Global Extreme Weather Log
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 11 August 2020
- Published on 11 August 2020
WEEKLY GLOBAL EXTREMES
(Article Mnager-news and events)
This page provides a weekly log of unique weather events and information that summarizes some key events of note. Most of the extreme notes are from Electroverse Extreme Weather daily updates.
For clips of these events see my Global Weather Album: Global Weather 2020-2021.
Global Weather Album 2020-2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bLyGGEv6oK6f7q9N8
Global Weather Album Spring 2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
Global Weather Album Fall-Winter 2021-22: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Global Weather Album Winter 2022-23: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Global Weather Album Summer 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/rBprNqGzNmHBodKy8
Global Weather Album Fall - Winter 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Global Weather Album Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes. Note: I do not focus on heat as the MSM covers that aspect of our climate variability..
16 September 2024
COLORADO colors are rapidly approaching a peak golden with beautiful blades of gold within pine and fir forests. The West Coast has cooled below normal with clouds and rains helping fight the human caused wild fires. CAT 1 Francine unloaded tropical rains from Louisiana to Tennessee keeping that region 5-10ºC below normal with flash floods. Above normal temperatures extended from Minnesota to northern Manitoba. Snow fell in the High Sierra, Montana and Wyoming. Alaska and the Yukon picked up heavy early snows of 1-3 meters on the high peaks. Ellesmere Island in NE Canada also had over 1 m of September snow.
Europe was cool in the west and hot in western Russia. A deep trough extended from Iceland south to the Med, where a closed stationary cutoff low pumped heavy rains and record snows into central Europe and the ALPS respectively. The heavy rains in the Danube water sheds may send a record flood into Budapest. Slovenia had some significant rains and snow, but high northerly winds at Kredarica (126 km/hr) blew it off. Greenland had a total Snow Mass Balance on the normal curve with 370 Billion tons of accumulated ice by 1 September 2024.
Adapt 2030 (link below) provides a comprehensive summary of the European and interesting N American weather: "Unprecedented Deluge in Europe with 100 Year Floods & 10 Foot Snowfall".
Southern Hemisphere’s jet stream remained strong with sharp waves intensifying deep surface storms (970 to 936 mb) that continued to dump heavy snows from New Zealand to the Andes. The Antarctic was extremely cold with temperatures in the -70sºC over large areas ~ 12 to 28ºC below normal. Little America, McMurdo base was -25 to -32ºC. Australia was buffeted by strong Antarctic Highs (1043 mb) and record cold September temperatures.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 16 September 2024
Early-Season Snow In Austria; Scotland Shivers; Historic Lows Broken In U.S.; Greenland’s Surface Gained 370 Billion Tons Of Ice Last Season, Bang On Average; + Control Freaks
September 10, 2024 Cap Allon
Early-Season Snow In Austria
Austria’s summer heat has come to an abrupt end. After weeks of warmth, the country is now dealing with a dramatic cool-down, with early-September snow expected in its higher reaches. This is a story playing out across Central/Western Europe.
While the focus had been on summertime heat —heavily played up by certain media— the story now is the rapid arrival of harsh polar conditions, descending in far earlier than normal — a development I’m sure won’t receive a fraction of the coverage.
Austria is about to witness a true ‘swing between extremes’ as it is plunged into an early taste of winter. Tanking temperatures, thick clouds, and showers are sweeping across the country, with heavy snow hitting up top.
The contrast couldn’t be sharper: from summer heat to snow down to 1,000 meters (3,281 feet) in less than week, to regions such as Arlberg, Hohe Tauern, and Dachstein.
The incoming temperature anomalies are quite astonishing, particularly given what came before. From France to Hungary, Germany to Montenegro, readings some 20C below the seasonal norms are on the cards by Friday, September 13:
Scotland Shivers
As with the peaks of the European mainland, Scotland is on for an early nip of winter, including snow, following what was very cool summer.
In the Highlands, thermometers will likely dip below freezing on Wednesday and Thursday, as descending air from the northwest brings widespread frost to most northern regions and snow to the peaks, including the Cairngorms.
The Met Office is warning of “wintry showers above 800 meters (2,600 feet),” urging caution for those in the mountains.
The coming days will see Scotland firmly gripped by the early signs of winter; England and Wales likewise, with frosts possible here, and all. The UK is coming off its coolest summer since 2015, as per the Met Office, and now autumn is setting in hard and fast.
Historic Lows Broken In U.S.
Early-season chills continues to grip large parts of the U.S., breaking low temperature benchmarks in several regions. This week, parts of West Virginia and Indiana experienced historic cold, felling century-old records.
In West Virginia, Webster Springs logged its coldest Sept 9 on record, dropping to 37F (2.8C)—nearly 10 degrees colder than the previous low of 46F (7.8C) set in 2005.
Elkins, another WV town, also broke a longstanding record, dipping to 35F (1.7C) and surpassing the 1986 record of 39F (3.9C).
Much of the Allegheny Highlands was under a frost advisory as temperatures across the region hovered flirted around the freezing mark. The Canaan Valley Wildlife Refuge crashed well-below, posting an icy 20F (-6.7C)—the lowest temperature in the CONUS on Monday.
In Indiana, Rockville set a new milestone Sunday morning with 38F (3.3C), breaking a 124-year-old record set in 1899.
Anderson tied its own September low of 38F (3.3C), a record not matched since 1908.
Other towns across Indiana followed suit, with Crawfordsville hitting 36F (2.2C), the second-earliest cold-reading in some four decades of reliable records, and New Castle reaching 37F (2.8C), tying its record from 1956.
Further south, the NWS in Paducah reported record lows at Barkley Field on both Sunday and Monday mornings. On Sunday, 46F (7.8C) broke the 1953 record of 47F (8.3C), while Monday saw an even lower 44F (6.7C), shattering the old record of 48F (8.9C) from 1986.
Cape Girardeau was another to see a record-breaker on Sunday, with 43F (6.1C).
The early onset of cold and frost has given rise to agricultural concerns. Frost advisories were numerous at the start of this week, with the NWS saying it is monitoring the situation for potential impacts.
Greenland’s Surface Gained 370 Billion Tons Of Ice Last Season, Bang On Average
During the 2023-24 season, the surface of Greenland gained 370 billion tons of ice, bang on the 1981-2010 average:
This average season was a shocker given that recent times have been the hottest in 113,000 years with said heat made 37x more likely due to humanity’s CO2 emissions—or something.
This stable accumulation, ignored by the MSM, highlights the Greenland Ice Sheet’s resilience. The ice should be practically disappeared by now, as per the OG scares, but here it is in 2024 doing just fine. The developing trend of recent years remains intact: from 2012’s low to a swing and an inching return to Total Mass Gains.
Control Freaks
The World Economic Forum is seeking to “quantify” (i.e. tokenize, tax, and control) all aspects of nature.
“Beyond carbon, let’s think about other aspects of nature that are easier to quantify,” WEF managing director, Gim Huay Neo, said in a recent address (video below). “What about water?”
Anything that can be taxed will be taxed, even down to the building blocks of life—carbon and water. The elites are gunning for total control of the world around us, with the plan to then to charge us plebs a hefty price for access.
“This is fiat reality,” writes independent journalists Efrat Fenigson, “where there’s no end to greed and corruption. You thought ‘climate change’ is all about carbon credits? Think again. We’re dealing with control freaks.”
Record-Breaking Snow For The Alps; Zululanders See Surprise Spring Flakes; Mount Washington Registers Early First Measurable Snow; + Hurricane Dud
September 11, 2024 Cap Allon
Record-Breaking Snow For The Alps
Winter in Europe is arriving early, with significant lows and record-breaking snows forecast for the mountain ranges.
Meteo France is expecting as much 70 cm (28 inches) on the highest peaks of the Alps this week, with the French Pyrenees also forecast a healthy blanketing.
Already, early accumulations have swept Europe’s peaks, adding to the falls of last week, with France, Austria and, Italy all hit:
In the Swiss Alps, regions like Simplon and Valle Maggia are forecast another foot, with the Italian Alps expecting similar totals, across regions such as the Aosta Valley, Valtellina, and areas near the Swiss border like the Resia Pass.
Winter is arriving much earlier than usual in Europe, owing to a powerful polar air mass descending from on north.
Things are readying to intensify and all. Between September 13 and 14, the snow will turn even heavier and with the line dropping to very lower altitudes—an exceptional occurrence for the beginning of autumn, local meteorologists are saying.
The GFS is also picking up on this now (below). Note the snowfall in Scandinavia, too, and also Scotland (though further out).
These conditions are raising hopes for a bumper ski season, with many resorts already bringing their openings forward.
The word is for a snowy winter across Europe’s mountains:
MeteoWeb has called for a healthy season over the Italian Alps, with heavy snow even at very lower altitudes; Spain’s ElTiempo.es has said that the heavy snow in the Pyrenees is setting the stage for a promising ski season; while in Germany, MeteoDeutschland is forecasting a colder-than-usual winter with frequent heavy snowfall in the Bavarian Alps.
You won’t hear it from your favorite legacy media outlet, but Europe is expecting a bumper snow season—starting this week.
Zululanders See Surprise Spring Flakes
Just as Zululanders were welcoming in spring, winter made an unexpected return on Monday, bringing a sharp drop in temperatures.
The cold front brought rain to much of Zululand, while over the higher elevations of KwaZulu-Natal, namely the Drakensberg mountain range, snow was the theme, with Sani Pass seeing the best of it:
Mount Washington Resisters Early First Measurable Snow
The Mount Washington Observatory recorded its first measurable snowfall of the season this week, unusually early.
While the snowfall was a modest 0.1 inches, it arrived almost a month ahead of last year’s first measurable accumulation, and a good three-weeks before the average first snow date of around October 1.
According to the observatory, temperatures at the summit remained below freezing for nearly 36 hours Monday and Tuesday. During this time, researchers worked overnight to ensure the wind vane heater kept the weather instruments warm enough to continue operating.
Hurricane Dud
The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane season isn’t going to script, to say the least.
“A hurricane season from hell is shaping up,” were the original calls by the experts. But now, credibility in tatters, these experts are offering up a million and one reasons why this season is —thus far— proving a complete dud.
Of the record-smashing 33 named storms forecast by king of the warm-mongers Michael Mann, we’re currently standing at 6:
Once again, the climate models have been proven fatally flawed.
Given what we know, an active season was looking like a sure bet. All those ‘climate juices’ were present. This shows what we know: very little. It is Mother Nature that remains in charge, not some fanciful narrative propped up by junk science.
The historical data don’t lie when it comes to hurricanes — there is no trend:
Scientists well-know that the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) is modulated by natural cycles such as El Niño and La Niña, by Pacific interdecadal variability, and also by Atlantic multidecadal variability, but rarely do they publicly voice this.
The mainstream claim that tropical storms hurricanes are becoming more frequent due to man’s CO2 emissions is not supported by empirical evidence, not even down to the basics:
What is increasing is the number of ‘named’ storms in the Atlantic, despite the number of hurricanes remaining stable. In 2024, the Atlantic ACE is near normal, while the global ACE is 36% below normal — yet there has been an increase in named storms in certain regions. Critics call this “name-flation,” whereby more storms are receiving a designation even though overall intensity is low.
Some claim there is concerted effort to inflate the numbers so as to support an agenda. Experienced data analyst Zoe Phin simply puts it down to better sensing technology. But Phin does have an issue with frequency detection, saying that a far better methodology would be to count the hours spent in certain wind speed categories.
“Does it make sense to count a 6-hour Category 3 storm the same as a 42-hour Category 3 storm?” asks Phin. “Of course not…”
Below are the results from her analysis.
Note, 10yr CMA is 10-Year Centered Moving Average
Featured below is the combined data for category 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 hurricanes. Overall, no trend is revealed, just natural, cyclic motions. The ‘fingerprints of global boiling’ are not present in the hurricane data. This is irrefutable. The alarmists have backed the wrong pony, as they have a history of doing: polar bears, Greenland ice, the Great Barrier Reef, to name just three.
Snow Clips The UK, Cold Threatens Records; Arctic Sea Ice Still Trendless; + Another New Study Finds Clouds To Be Earth’s Climate Control Knob, Not CO2
September 12, 2024 Cap Allon
Snow Clips The UK, Cold Threatens Records
Scotland’s highest mountains have experienced an unusual early-season dusting of snow, with the Cairngorms, Glen Coe, and Lochaber among the areas receiving wintry showers. Colder and even snowier conditions are on the cards the week progresses, for much of Europe and all, not just the UK.
Strong north-westerlies have brought cold Arctic air sweeping across the British Isles, delivering an early taste of winter. Nights will feel particularly cold moving into the weekend, with rural areas at risk of ground frost.
The Met Office has said that temperatures across Scotland will easily dip to zero, reaching -3C (26.6F) in some isolated spots, perhaps lower. Such readings would threaten the UK’s lowest-ever temperatures recorded at this time of year: -3.5C (25.7F) is the record for Sept 13 (set in Kinbrace in 2023), with -3.3C (26.1F) the benchmark for Sept 14 (set at Lagganlia back in 1981).
Ireland, too, is enduring a sharp drop in temperatures, an abrupt end to what was already a cool and damp summer, with Met Éireann predicting that Friday and Saturday will be up some 8C colder than usual.
Shifting focus to mainland Europe, meteorologists have confirmed a significant Arctic blast driving polar air unusually-far south. The cold front will grip much of the continent, with southern Germany, Switzerland, Austria, and northern Italy—to name four regions—bracing for record-low temperatures for the month of September.
Temperatures are set to crash some 22C below normal this weekend, particularly across central nations:
Arctic Sea Ice Still Trendless
As per the chart below, which is compiled using official NSIDC data, Arctic sea ice has seen 18 years with no significant trend in its minimum, mean, or maximum extent — a reality that defies repeated and ever-loudening predictions of rapid decline.
Data from 2007 to 2024 shows consistent seasonal cycles, with no clear reduction in summer minimums or winter maximums.
Such stability undermines the narrative of an Arctic sea ice “crisis” driven by anthropogenic global warming.
For decades now, pop-scientists, politicians, and activist-journalists alike have forewarned of an ice-free Arctic summer, with those tipping point deadlines always uneventfully passing by. In reality, Arctic sea ice has remained inconveniently stable.
Raw data and logic challenge the AGW narrative, as they always do.
Another New Study Finds Clouds To Be Earth’s Climate Control Knob, Not CO2
Another study has reinforced the growing evidence that clouds, not CO2, are the primary drivers of Earth’s climate and temperature changes.
The new research shows that Earth’s energy imbalance—where the planet absorbs more solar energy than it emits—has doubled since 2000. This change is largely driven by significant reductions in cloud cover, which have allowed more solar radiation to be absorbed by the Earth’s surface, playing the key role in the recent modest temperature rise.
The study, Observational Assessment of Changes in Earth’s Energy Imbalance Since 2000, specifically highlights reductions in stratocumulus and middle cloud cover, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere. These changes are most prominent over the Pacific Ocean, where the decrease in cloud cover has coincided with a rise in sea surface temperatures.
As cloud cover thinned, less sunlight was reflected back into space, resulting in a notable increase in absorbed solar radiation (ASR) by nearly 0.9 watts per square meter.
The study also found that while outgoing longwave radiation (OLR)—the heat energy Earth radiates back into space—increased slightly, it did not compensate for the much larger rise in absorbed solar radiation (ASR). This growing gap between ASR and OLR has been a major factor in the warming observed since the year 2000.
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10712-024-09838-8.pdf
Unprecedented Summer Snowstorm Begins In The Alps; Italian Peaks Register Record-Breaking -24.6C (-12.3F); + CMEs Send Us To KP7
September 13, 2024 Cap Allon
Unprecedented Summer Snowstorm Begins In The Alps
A potentially record-smashing summer snowstorm has commenced in the European Alps, with a few models predicting as much as 5 feet of snow hitting the highest peaks this weekend.
Early-season snow has been hitting Europe’s mountains for weeks, but now it’s intensifying, spreading to relatively low elevations, and even impacting nations such as the Czech Republic. Here, the Czech’s saw their first snow of season on Thursday, September 12, down to 1,000m (3,280ft). Velký Javor was blanketed by a thin layer, and while the flakes didn’t last long, melting in the early-September warmth, local forecasts are calling for an intensification through Friday, Saturday, and also Sunday.
The Czech Republic’s first snow came on October 8 last year; September 18 the year before — the typical range.
This latest Arctic front, which has already plunged temperatures in Germany from balmy highs of 25C (77F) to winter-like lows, is colliding with moisture from the Mediterranean, resulting in a rare and powerful September snow event.
So far, accumulations have topped 35 cm (13 inches) in Germany with the snowline dropping to as low as 800 meters (2,625 feet). But this is thought to be just the beginning. Even heavier summer snow is forecast for much of the Alps through the weekend, with some models predicting totals exceeding 2 meters (6.6 feet), breaking September records with feet to spare.
The European Space Agency and meteorologists have warned of potential disruptions, reporting that this rare pattern, fueled by cold air descending unusually-far south from Scandinavia, is creating a perfect storm of strong winds, plunging temperatures, and unseasonal snow as it clashes with moisture from the south.
Record low temperatures for September are already falling (see below), and for Central Europe’s lower elevations, widespread heavy rainfall is on the cards with parts of Austria and Poland forecast over 35 cm (13.8 inches).
The recent cries of ‘severe drought’ in these parts are old news then, I can only assume…?
Germany has already seen a snowy walloping (photo below), but as the Arctic air continues to shirt south, the Austria, Switzerland, and Italy–to name just three–will also be severely impacted.
This summer snowstorm could be one for the history books, reports local media is reporting.
Canberra’s Coldest Spring Morning On Record; Europe’s Historic September Snowfall Turns Deadly; + X4.5 Flare To Deliver Earth Glancing Blow
September 16, 2024 Cap Allon
Canberra’s Coldest Spring Morning On Record
Canberra experienced a historic cold snap early Monday morning, with temperatures plummeting to -6.9C (19.6F) — the coldest temperature ever recorded in any spring month since record books began back in 1923, besting the previous seasonal low of -6.8C (19.8F) from Sept 2012.
This unseasonable freeze was the result of a brutal Antarctic air mass that engulfed southeastern Australia. The cold front brought showers to Canberra and late-season snow to the alpine areas of New South Wales, Tasmania, Victoria, and also the ACT.
Even some towns on the outskirts of the mountains experienced snowfalls.
While Thredbo’s gondola was covered in fresh snow just days after closing for the season:
By Sunday, the air mass had dried out, leaving behind clear skies and biting cold. And it wasn’t just the nation’s capital, Canberra, that shivered — to name a handful more:
Cooma Airport in NWS posted Australia’s lowest overnight temperature at –8.2C (17.2F)—a low that had also been recorded the night before at Thredbo Top Station.
Wagga Wagga experienced its coldest September minimum in 58 years, with thermometers reading –3.4C (25.9F)—typical September minimum here being 5.1C (41.2F).
In South Australia, the town of Keith shivered through its coldest September morning in over 62 years, with the mercury falling to –4.5C (23.9F).
While in Victoria’s Mallee region, Walpeup dipped to –1.2C (29.8F), its coldest night in 29 years. Even Hopetoun Airport saw –2.4C (27.7F). Such widespread subzero spring lows in these parts are highly unusual. Up high, Mount Hotham observed –6.1C (21F).
This is some swing between extremes for these parts, which were coming off the back of a very mild August, a month the AGW Party milked for all its worth, of course…
Europe’s Historic September Snowfall Turns Deadly
A powerful cold front has swept across Western and Central Europe, dropping record-breaking summer snow upon the Alps.
The snowfall began when an Arctic front —with temperatures 20C below average— collided with a storm system pushing up from Italy. Austria, Switzerland, Germany, and other alpine areas now find themselves buried under as much as 2 meters (6.6 feet) of snow, with the forecasts calling for more over the next 24 to 48 hours.
Snowfall has been reported as low as 600 meters (1,970 feet) above sea level, an exceptionally rare occurrence for September.
While the higher elevations are blanketed with snow, lower areas are grappling with torrential rains, leading to widespread flooding. Eastern Europe, in particular, including the nations of Czechia, Slovakia, and Poland, have all been inundated.
The heavy snow has forced the closure of numerous mountain passes, isolating some remote alpine villages and stranding travelers. Major routes in Switzerland, including the Klausen, Furka, Gotthard, and Flüela passes, have been blocked, while Austria has shut down high-altitude passes such as the Grossglockner and Silvretta-Hochalpen routes.
Authorities have urged residents and tourists to stay indoors and avoid unnecessary travel.
Despite the disruptions, the unexpected snow has also prompted a rare early opening of the Austrian ski area Hochkönig, located near Salzburg. After two days of heavy snow, the Arthurhaus Lift opened Sunday, giving skiers an impromptu summer session.
The rapid accumulation of snow has increased the risk of avalanches, with several incidents already reported.
In Austria, a German hiker was buried in an avalanche in the Karwendel region, and an Austrian rescue worker was injured during the search operation. The severe weather has delayed further rescue attempts, leaving the hiker presumed dead.
Another skier, a 54-year-old Slovenian, is confirmed to have died during a backcountry tour in Obertauern, Austria, after falling during treacherous conditions exacerbated by poor visibility and heavy snow.
Authorities have issued avalanche warnings across much of the Alps, particularly northeastern parts, with snow slides expected to continue in the coming days. Mountain rescue teams are strongly advising against venturing into the mountains.
The snowstorm has also had a devastating impact on wildlife, with migratory birds, caught by surprise during their journey, dying in large numbers across Europe’s higher elevations. Unable to find shelter or food, thousands of birds have perished from starvation and exhaustion, their natural flight paths disrupted by winter’s early onset.
Temperatures on Italy’s Monte Rosa have dropped to -21.8C (-7.2F) of late, setting a new record for the first half of September, surpassing the previous low of -19.2C (-2.6F) set Sept 15, 2008. Mont Blanc has been even colder, nearing -25C (-13F).
9 September 2024
Fall is in full swing in the Rockies with our aspen leaves changing and falling, and frost on the roofs. Colorado's mountain tops had 2-10 cm of new snow this week. Sharp contrasts in the US from heat in the West and cool in the East. Cold records were set in the East at 15-20ºC below normal. The N Hemisphere jet stream is intensifying as the N-S temperature gradient increases and shorter days in the north produce cold air. The wavy jet drives sharp changes in temperature. Hot dry conditions in California have triggered extreme wild fires, in contrast Tropical Storm Francine is rapidly developing in the western Gulf of Mexico. Francine is predicted to become a Cat 2 Hurricane hitting Louisana and moving up the Mississippi Valley this week.
Europe is also feeling the effects of fall as a strong cold front marched south into the Mediterranean producing heavy rains. The Alps had heavy snow forecasts of 0.5 to 1.5 m in the next 10 days. Iceland had significant snows (63-139 cm) as deep (986 mb) N Atlantic storms passed. Norway and Svalbard had significant new snowfalls. The UK Met Office stated that it had the coolest summer since 2015. One hot period reached 34ºC; however, the summer was below normal.
India is forecasting a harsh winter as early Snows hit Kyrgyzstan. The Tibetan Plateau continues to get wide spread snow of 30 - 90 cm. The Indian met office is predicting an Indian Ocean La Niña that will drive the cold weather beginning in December.
The southern Hemisphere continues to have a strong jet with deep storms moving around the Antarctic dumping heavy snow on the coastal mountains. Concordia station had -77ºC. September is significantly colder than August. The Andes continued to have heavy snows as the jet pounds the high peaks dumping 2-4 m. New Zealand had a significant heavy snow week with 120-208 cm predicted.
Recent scientific studies show that the Sea Surface Temperature SST is the main control of CO2 releases, not fossil fuels. See web site for further links and information.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 2 September 2024
UK’s Coolest Summer Since 2015; First Significant Snows Forecast For The Alps; 150 Years Of Antarctic Ice Data Reveals Decline In Wildfires Since 1920; + New Study: SST Drives CO2 Levels
September 3, 2024 Cap Allon
UK’s Coolest Summer Since 2015
The UK has just experienced a cooler than average summer, according to the Met Office, its coolest in nine years.
The highest temperature of the year came on August 12, when Cambridge briefly spiked to 34.8C (94.6F).
The last time the UK had a cooler-than-average summer was in 2015. Despite this significant deviation from “the Apocalyptic trend”, the media is largely rug-sweeping the cool 2024, likely deeming it more a brief inconvenience than a potential reversal.
Data from the Met Office shows the mean daily temperature across the UK was 14.37C (57.87F), which is 0.22C (0.4F) below the long-term average. Daytime temperatures were particularly subdued, though cloudy skies kept the nights somewhat stable.
Warm spells were notably short-lived, concludes the Met Office in its seasonal report.
Rainfall came in at 241.3mm through June, July, and August, which is about average, meaning that even the official questionable data shows this summer has defied the climate cabal’s decrees that UK summers would be hot and dry. I say ‘questionable’ because of the extreme narrative the Met Office has endorsed, and for the countless ‘tweaks’ the agency performs—such as the inexplicable nudging-up of temperatures to avoid negative anomalies, as we saw for June:
First Significant Snows Forecast For The Alps
Similarly for the European mainland, a significant shift is looming, one threatening to deliver an early onset of autumn to much of the continent, particularly central and western regions, including tanking temperatures, and heavy snow in the Alps.
A wave of cold disturbances are forecast to barrel in from the Atlantic, fueled by descending polar air masses. These factors will aid in the dispelling of any lingering African heat to the south, pushing the anticyclone back to its original position and driving the northerly-riding Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) back from whence she came:
Initial cold and wet conditions are forecast to start Sept 5, but the real impact will arrive Sept 9 through 15, when a much colder outbreak sweeps across Europe. This cold front will tank temperatures across the continent, definitively ending summer.
In Central Europe, temperatures at 1500 meters altitude could near the freezing mark, with the cold air, as it pushes south, will triggering a depression that will bring heavy rain/thunderstorms to the Mediterranean, and the first significant snows to the Alps–unusually early, with the first sizable falls typically arriving in late-Sept to early-Oct
Snow is forecast over the next week in hundreds of ski resorts across the likes of Austria and France, including Flachau, Innsbruck, Kaprun, Mayrhofen, Serfaus-Fiss-Ladis, Chamonix, La Plagne, Les Deux Alpes, Tignes, and Val d’Isère. The deepest reported snow in Austria currently is in Wettersteinbahn, with 45 cm (18 inches) on the upper slopes; the deepest in France is in La Rosière, where 360 cm (142 inches) on the upper slopes are reported.
Signs point to an early and decisive arrival of fall across much of Europe.
150 Years Of Antarctic Ice Data Reveals Decline In Wildfires Since 1920
For years, the story has been drilled into the public consciousness: wildfires are on the rise, driven by climate change and human activity. But new research reveals that this commonly accepted belief is fundamentally flawed. Wildfire activity has actually been on the decline for more than century—at least in the Southern Hemisphere, the focus of this study.
Scientists from the University of Cambridge and the British Antarctic Survey have analyzed pollutants trapped in Antarctic ice, which provide an untainted record of past atmospheric conditions.
Their findings, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, show that wildfire activity has not been increasing in recent decades, as many climate models assume. Instead, biomass burning has decreased since the 1920s, particularly in regions like southern Africa, South America, and Australia.
This decline in fire activity is not just a minor detail—it’s a significant oversight that calls into question the accuracy of widely used climate models, including those relied upon by the IPCC for their prosperity-wrecking polices.
One assumption made by the models is that fire activity has increased in tandem with population growth. But, said Rachael Rhodes, senior author of the study, “our work adds to a growing mass of evidence that this assumption is wrong, and the inventories of historic fire activity need to be corrected so that models can accurately replicate the variability we see in our record.”
The study tracked fire activity over the past 150 years by measuring carbon monoxide—released during wildfires and other forms of biomass burning—preserved in Antarctic ice. The data shows a marked decrease in fire activity since the early 20th century, coinciding with the conversion of wildlands into farmland. As agriculture expanded across southern Africa, South America, and Australia, forest cover shrank, and so too did the frequency and intensity of wildfires.
Despite the overwhelming evidence, many climate models continue to operate under the assumption that wildfire activity has been on the rise, leading to potentially significant inaccuracies in their predictions. This is also just the latest in an ever-growing pile of papers that show this, with data from North America and Europe also concluding that wildfires are on the decline.
Lead author, Ivo Strawson, emphasized the importance of revising the models: “We need to reduce uncertainties in climate models, which rely on these records to test or drive their simulations.”
Once again, the cLiMaTe MoDeLs have been exposed as having very basic flaws that render them all-but useless.
New Study: SST Drives CO2 Levels
A new study by independent researcher Dai Ato contends that human activities are NOT the primary drivers of rising atmospheric CO2 levels.
By applying multivariate analysis to data spanning from 1959 to 2022, Ato contradicts the story pushed by establishment climate science, arguing instead that sea surface temperature (SST) is the dominant factor influencing atmospheric CO2 levels, with human emissions playing a negligible role.
Ato’s analysis utilizes publicly available data from sources such as NOAA, NASA, the UK Hadley Centre, and the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH), with CO2 emissions data sourced from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and Our World in Data (OWID). Using multiple linear regression analysis, he demonstrates a near-perfect correlation between SST and atmospheric CO2 levels, with correlation coefficients approaching 0.9995. The predictive power of SST in determining CO2 concentrations is so strong that the models can accurately predict levels with only minor discrepancies—such as a mere 1.45 ppm difference in 2022.
In stark contrast to The Narrative, Ato argues that human CO2 emissions do not significantly contribute to the annual increases in atmospheric CO2 when SST is considered. His study, linked here, suggests that human emissions are negligible compared to the natural exchange of CO2 between the ocean and the atmosphere, which is primarily driven by temperature fluctuations.
https://scienceofclimatechange.org/wp-content/uploads/SCC-Ato-Multivariate-Analysis-Vol.4.2.pdf
The paper goes on to cast doubt on the historical reconstruction of atmospheric CO2 levels, particularly those derived from ice core data. Ato challenges the widely accepted belief that pre-industrial CO2 levels remained stable at around 280 ppm, arguing that this figure is likely grossly underestimated, perhaps by some 30-50%. He draws on the work of Zbigniew Jaworowski, who highlights issues such as gas diffusion and contamination that could lower the recorded concentrations. Jaworowski thinks that the compaction of ice and gradual closure of air bubbles could be smoothing out short-term fluctuations, giving a falsely stable impression of past CO2 levels.
Building on this, Ato also references early 20th-century chemical measurements, which often reported higher CO2 concentrations than those suggested by the ice core data, indicating that historical CO2 levels may have been more variable and sometimes significantly higher than currently believed. This threatens a key pillar of the AGW hypothesis, suggesting that the oft cited pre-industrial CO2 baseline could be wrong.
For a read of Ato’s paper in full, click here.
Early Snows Hit Kyrgyzstan; Eastern U.S. Fells Cold Records, 150 Million To See Fall-Like Temps; + The Forgotten Cooling Scare
September 4, 2024 Cap Allon
Early Snows Hit Kyrgyzstan
Snowfall was reported on September 2 at the Too-Ashu pass in Kyrgyzstan’s Zhaiyl district, surprising drivers with its early arrival, reported local news outlet Turmush.
This was the second snows of the summer season, following an earlier flurry on August 27-28. While not entirely unprecedented, snowfall this early is unusual for the region, with the first accumulating flakes typically arriving closer to October.
Eastern U.S. Fells Cold Records, 150 Million To See Fall-Like Temps
Another strong polar front is set to sweep the Eastern U.S. this week, bringing record cool temperatures to many.
A cold air mass, stronger than the one seen earlier this week, will barrel down from Canada this weekend, delivering fall-like conditions to some 150 to 160 million Americans.
The cold front will affect a wide area, with the Midwest, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and Northeast bearing the brunt of the chill.
Cities like Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Buffalo, and New York could see temperatures as much as 20C below average. Higher elevated regions in the north could see freezing lows, while daytime highs for many will do well to reach the 60s (15 to 18C).
Additional record-lows are expected, in places like the Ohio Valley which, on Monday, posted a high of just 70F (21C) and set a new record low-max. For reference, average high temperatures for early-September in the Valley typically reach 80F (26.6C), but the upcoming days will continue to struggle to reach the upper 60s (18 to 20C), with overnight lows tanking into the 40s (4 to 9C).
A host records were toppled over the past 24-hours, as per coolwx.com:
The Forgotten Cooling Scare
“The decline of prevailing temperatures since about 1945 appears to be the longest-continued downward trend since temperature records began,” declared The Des Moines Register in July of 1974. “Some scientists believe that expansion of the cold polar ice caps pushed the monsoon belt southward, causing many of the life-giving rains to fall on already fertile lands or into the sea.”
The 1974 article warned of devastating droughts, blizzards, and famines, all attributed to a global cooling trend that had scientists and experts predicting a darker, colder future. This language sounds eerily similar to the alarmist rhetoric spouted today—but with one obvious difference: fifty years ago, they were sounding the alarm over global cooling.
Scientists back then, including Professor Hubert H. Lamb of the University of East Anglia, claimed that the earth’s climate was “returning to a harsher—but more normal—state” of cooling. “The average temperature of the world as a whole has dropped by one-third to one-half a degree Centigrade in the last 30 years,” he asserted, citing NOAA data.
Global cooling “may be a cause of the devastating African drought,” continues the Des Moines Register, “now in its sixth year,” with the publication going on to warn of devastating crop failures, looming famines, as well as expanding polar ice caps.
Today’s shift in narrative—from cooling to warming—has not only reversed direction but doubled down on catastrophe. Today’s experts point to every heatwave, polar outbreak, flood, drought, hurricane, and mere gust of wind as evidence of an overheating planet, with human prosperity (CO2 emissions) the root cause and the solution being radical, economy-wrecking action.
Southern Hemisphere Snow: Argentina and Chile Pounded; + UN Calls For Global “Red Alert” Despite Clear And Obvious Natural Forcings
September 5, 2024 Cap Allon
Southern Hemisphere Snow Round-Up: Argentina and Chile Pounded
As spring arrives in the Southern Hemisphere, Argentina and Chile continue to see deep snowpacks and frequent snowfall. While Australia and New Zealand are facing milder conditions and dwindling snow, the mountains of South America, most notably the Andes, remain cold and snowy, providing excellent late-season skiing.
Australia and New Zealand
Australia and New Zealand’s ski seasons have struggled of late, with warmer temperatures and melting snow the theme.
A recent Antarctic blast did help matters, delivering fresh snow to a few Aussie resorts, though many have already closed or reduced terrain. While in New Zealand, the cold front dropped fresh powder to higher elevations, temporarily improving conditions despite ongoing challenges from rain and wind.
Argentina
Argentina, on the other hand, is experiencing one of its best spring ski seasons on record.
The most-recent storm alone has brought some 50 cm (20 inches) of fresh powder, with many resorts reporting 70-100% of terrain open. Catedral, near Bariloche, has the most open terrain globally, with 100 km (64 miles) of slopes and snow depths of up to 160 cm (64 inches). Temperatures remain favorable for skiing here, consistently holding below the freezing mark.
Chapelco is boasting the world’s deepest snowpack with 55 cm (22 inches) at the base and a whopping 330 cm (132 inches) up top, with 95% of its slopes open. Many Argentine resorts plan to stay open through October, many extending their seasons.
Looking ahead, more snow is forecast for southern Argentina, with the likes of Las Leñas and Catedral expecting another 20 cm (8 inches) by the weekend. Temperatures will consistently read -10C (14F) in the mountains, maintaining the snowy conditions.
Chile
Chile’s ski season remains strong, especially in the south, where snow depths at Nevados de Chillán range from 210-290 cm (84-116 inches). Most Chilean resorts are 80-100% open, with the Tres Valles area (including La Parva, Valle Nevado, and El Colorado) offering 100 km (63 miles) of slopes with snow depths between peaking at 290 cm (116 inches).
Cold overnight temperatures and continued snowfall are ensuring that snowpacks remain intact. As with Argentina, Chile is forecast more snow in the coming days.
UN Calls For Global “Red Alert” Despite Clear And Obvious Natural Forcings
The recent temperature spike of 2023 and the first half of 2024 can be fully explained by natural factors, not a runaway climate crisis. A powerful El Niño, the unprecedented eruption of the Hunga Tonga submarine volcano, and an unexpectedly intense solar maximum have all contributed to the rise in global temperatures — no CO2 boogeyman required.
Of particular significance is the Hunga Tonga eruption, which injected an extraordinary amount of water vapor—about 150 million metric tons—into the stratosphere. Water vapor is a potent greenhouse gas, far more potent than CO2, and the sheer volume added to the atmosphere has been a distinct—though oft rug-swept—short-term driver of recent temperatures.
The Tonga eruption is unparalleled in the modern era in terms of its stratospheric water vapor input, and its effects will likely linger, though at a steadily lessening degree, for several years to come (study).
Meanwhile, solar activity has surged beyond expectations in recent months, with the current solar maximum posting sunspot numbers almost double that of the official forecast. Though still far weaker than the powerful cycles of the 20th century, SC25 is adding higher-than-expected levels of energy to Earth’s climate system.
The strong El Niño of 2023 is another natural, cyclical climate warmer.
Despite these natural temporary drivers, which alone can fully account for the recent heat, the establishment continues to push a fear-based narrative. The UN, through its weather and climate agencies, has seized on the spike, calling for a global “red alert”.
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) chief Celeste Saulo is one those sounding the alarm, stating: “It’s clear that the temperatures are rising… above what we would like… [which we attribute to] insufficient climate action.”
It isn’t clear how much warming Saulo would like. I assume some is okay, given her wording, and also given that cold kills 15X the number of people in the US compared heat.
Again, while an anomalously-warm year-and-a-half is sold as a cause for great alarm, the excuse to run home prosperity-wrecking policies that work to enslave the poor and empower the powerful, it must be placed in the proper context. The natural forcings currently at play—unprecedented injections of water vapor, El Niño, and a stronger-than-forecast solar cycle—mean that these temperature increases can be fully explained by natural variability, not an out-of-control CO2-induced emergency.
The Narrative overlooks these natural mechanisms, downplaying or outright ignoring them, and chiefs like Saulo dutifully amplify urgency over logic. The establishment perpetuates fear-based messaging, using any and all weather to advance its case for ‘climate action’.
Snowy Colorado; Obfuscation At The Hill; Nothing To See Here; + ELECTROVERSE.SPACE
September 6, 2024 Cap Allon
Snowy Colorado
Snow is making headlines across Colorado peaks as the first flakes of the season blow in.
“It’s snowing on top of America’s Mountain this morning,” the NWS’s Pueblo office posted on X, adding, “Tis the season with fall-like temperatures across south central and southeast Colorado today!”
At Arapahoe Basin, the first snow arrived Wednesday night and continued through Thursday morning, leaving a healthy dusting by sunrise.
Keystone, Breckenridge and Copper Mountain were others to see snow, as were higher peaks of Summit County including Quandary Peak. In fact, a good portion of the Rockies (11,000+ feet) have received noteworthy early-season snow this week.
Obfuscation At The Hill
The Hill recently reported 2,325 heat-related deaths in 2023 and suggested that extreme heat be classified a “major disaster” event. While the headline sounds alarming, these deaths represent only 0.07% of the 3.3 million U.S. deaths annually.
Despite this small percentage, the media continues their scary fire and brimstone rhetoric, failing to point out that cold-related deaths outnumber heat-related deaths by 15 to 1 in the U.S., yet there are no calls for a similar “major disaster” classification.
How can global warming be labeled a “crisis” when heat-related fatalities are so small?
Heart disease claims 703,000 lives annually in the U.S., Alzheimer’s 134,000, and diabetes 102,000, yet the media’s focus is on the 2,325 heat-related deaths. This exposes the agenda. Our unhealthy lifestyles, driven by the consumption of processed foods and resulting in chronic illnesses, remain largely unaddressed because they’re profitable for multinational corporations.
Now, these same forces are taking aim at our access to affordable energy. Technologies like air conditioning and heating—powered by reliable sources like oil, coal, natural gas, and nuclear—save tens of millions of lives each year in the U.S. alone, far exceeding the small number of heat deaths that our use of said tech supposedly attributes to.
The facts and data are there for those willing to look beyond the headlines.
From whichever angle you choose to look at it, there is no “climate crisis”, only agendas.
Nothing To See Here
The European Union’s live births dropped below 4 million, with just 3.88 million babies born in 2022.
The EU’s average fertility rate is now 1.46, well below the 2.1 needed to sustain a population.
Malta (1.08), Spain (1.16), Italy (1.24), Greece (1.32), and Cyprus (1.37) have the lowest fertility rates in Europe.
Live births have tanked from 5.1 million in 1990 to just 3.88 million in 2022.
“Population collapse is a certainty,” so warns Musk on X.
ELECTROVERSE.SPACE
I have just launched a new website: electroverse.space.
The aim is for it to be a one-stop-shop for all solar and climate data.
The site offers the up-to-date information on solar events such as sunspots, flares, and other space weather phenomena, as well as the latest climate data, including global temperatures, snow cover, and polar ice.
Cold Records Tumble Across The East; Colder-Than-Average Augusts; India Meteorological Department Warns Of Harsh Winter To Come; + Dark Plasma Headed For Earth
September 9, 2024 Cap Allon
Cold Records Tumble Across The East
A cold snap across parts of the Eastern U.S. has broken or tied a myriad of long-standing temperature records. The NWS issued early-season frost advisories for many, with crops at risk.
In Charleston, WV, thermometers dropped to 43F (6C) on Sunday, breaking the previous record of 45F (7C) set in 1944.
Parkersburg, WV, tied its record low of 42F (6C), last recorded in 1986.
Also, the Sunday morning low at Central Park, NY rivaled a record set some 153 years ago:
Antarctica Nears -80C (-112F)
Antarctica has turned truly frigid this September—the continent continuing where it left off before a milder-than-average August set in.
On Sunday, the temperature in Concordia dropped to -77.1C (-106.8F). For reference, the average September low at Concordia is approximately -70C (-94F), with the coldest September temperature ever recorded being the -81.9C (-115.4F) from 2007.
Elsewhere, Dome C is also approaching -80C (-112F), with Dome A, Vostok, and the South Pole Station experiencing noteworthy lows.
Colder-Than-Average Augusts
August 2024 brought cooler-than-average temperatures to several regions across the globe. From the Atlantic islands to northern extremes, many places experienced a noticeable dip in temperatures compared to their historical norms.
Here’s a handful:
In Bermuda, the average August temperature came in at 27.6C (81.7F), which is 0.3C below normal.
Pakistan had a cooler and wetter-than-usual August, with an average temperature of 29.9C (85.8F), 0.36C below the norm.
Ireland saw a cool month with anomalies of -0.7C noted at Markree (vs the 1981-2010 average used there).
Iceland endured a very chilly August, with a nationwide anomaly of -1C below the multidecadal baseline.
And lastly in Alaska, large parts of central and western regions were cooler than usual, making for an anomalously-cool state overall, so writes Alaskan climate expert Rick Thoman. The city of Kotzebue, for example, recorded its coolest August since 1984.
A cooling trend appears to have emerged in Alaska in recent years. A trend to the snowier, and all. For only the second time on record, Anchorage posted its two consecutive seasons of 100+ inches of snow in 2022-23 and 2023-24, a feat previously achieved during the 1954-55 and 1955-56 seasons.
Unsurprisingly, these past two snowy years have contradicted the official USDA forecasts: “The snowfall season is expected to decrease across Alaska, with snowpack decreasing by 20–90% in Southern and Western Alaska due to increasing temperatures.”
India Meteorological Department Warns Of Harsh Winter To Come
India is preparing for a harsh winter in 2024-25, with La Niña conditions expected to dominate, although slightly delayed.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued warnings about the colder-than-usual season, urging citizens, particularly in northern regions, to brace for widespread freezing temperatures, even at lower elevations.
States in northern India, such as Punjab, Haryana, and Uttar Pradesh are set for extended cold spells that could disrupt agriculture. Winter crops, including wheat and barley, are expected to face challenges due to prolonged frost, impacting yields.
Even southern and central regions may experience unusually chilly weather, with La Niña at risk of extending the monsoon season and driving winter temperatures lower than normal. Typically, La Niña enhances monsoon rainfall in India, but as it shifts towards the winter months, colder-than-usual conditions are expected to take over.
According to the IMD, the delayed onset of La Niña is linked to neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions currently prevailing over the Indian Ocean. These neutral conditions are expected to give way to La Niña as the season progresses, potentially leading to severe cold weather events from December onwards.
In its latest report, the IMD emphasizes the importance of early preparation.
Citizens should ensure access to heating, stockpile essential supplies, and stay updated with regular weather alerts. Local governments are expected to introduce measures such as cold-weather shelters and provide assistance to vulnerable populations as needed.
La Niña, caused by the cooling of the Pacific Ocean, is expected to persist through February at least.
Dark Plasma Headed For Earth
A magnetic filament on the sun erupted yesterday, Sept 8, firing a coil of cool, dark plasma toward Earth.
According to latest modeling, the plasma is expected to arrive late on Sept 10.
The impact could trigger a G2-class geomagnetic storm, potentially producing visible auroras in northern U.S. states.
2 September 2024
Meteorological first day of fall: 1 September produced below normal temperatures in North America from Mexico to Quebec. Our Autumnal Equinox is around 23 September. Cold and snowfall records have been set in Western North America this week. Going to the Sun Highway was closed by heavy snow in Montana. The jet stream began to intensify in the north, while in the S Hemisphere it remained very strong (180-200 kt) and wavy. Alaska’s high peaks had significant snowfall with 1-2 m of new snow. The Brooks Range also has had significant snows.
Europe remained hot in the south and cooler in the north and UK. Greenland had a 6 GT daily increase in snowfall according to the Danish Arctic Research team. The SMB remained on the normal accumulation curve to the end of the 1 Sept to 31 August cycle. Greenland’s temperatures have begun to fall into the -20ºC at 3000 m msl. The Sahara has had unusual rains that are turning the desert green! Rare floods have hit N Africa. Forecasts for next week show cooling across Europe as the African High weakens and westerlies prevail.
New Zealand and Tasmania were hit hard by heavy snows 1-3 m and 0.5-0.8 m respectively. Even South Africa’s Table Mountain was white. The Southern Ocean’s deep storms (950-930 mb) combined with 1044 mb highs to produce very strong winds with many intense blizzards in the Antarctic. The southern Andes also picked up significant snow of 1-3 m. Australia’s solar energy is falling short of demand this winter as clouds have significantly reduced power production.
Recent scientific studies are proving what we have said over the past few years, namely Clouds not CO2 are the main controls of temperature. Water Vapor is a far more important greenhouse gas. See web site for further links and information.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 2 September 2024
August Snow Has U.S. Resorts Planning For Winter; Most Climate Policies Fail To Reduce Emissions; + New Study: Clouds, Not CO2, Control the Climate
August 27, 2024 Cap Allon
August Snow Has U.S. Resorts Planning For Winter
The Sierra Nevada has experienced a significant cold spell, and early-season snow.
Lassen Peak received 6 inches from a front that also sank temperatures to levels typically seen in mid-Nov. As reported yesterday, this stark shift was highlighted by the NWS which logged a record August low-max 57F at Reno Tahoe Airport.
The snowfall led to the temporary closure of Highway 89 through Lassen Volcanic Park. High-elevation trails, including the Lassen Peak Trail, remain snow-covered.
The system, originating from the Gulf of Alaska, brought snow much of the High Sierra. Tioga Pass in Yosemite National Park, at 9,900 feet, experienced its first August snow since 2003. Dustings were also reported at resorts around Lake Tahoe.
In response to the early flakes, some of Tahoe’s popular ski areas have announced tentative opening dates for the 2024-2025 season. Heavenly, Northstar, and Kirkwood have scheduled their openings for November 22 and December 6, contingent on snow conditions. Palisades Tahoe aims to open on November 27.
Last season was a bumper one for snow in the West. While it didn’t match the all-time record-smashing 2022-23 season, significant snowstorms in March and May extended the skiing into late April for many. Palisades Tahoe reported 423 inches, making for the third snowiest-season since record-keeping their began.
Looking ahead, the Northwest will continue to shiver through the remainder of August, with the possibility of a few more flakes. Then, as we hit September, the West will continue where it left off last week (i.e. record cold). Texas too is on for a real swing.
New Study: Most Climate Policies Fail To Reduce Emissions
Most climate policies fail to reduce emissions, raising concerns that said these economically burdensome initiatives may be more about diverting wealth up the economic hierarchy, rather than saving the planet.
This troubling reality was highlighted by a study led by Nicolas Koch at the Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change in Berlin. Koch and his team examined the effectiveness of 1,500 climate policies implemented between 1998 and 2022 across 41 countries on six continents.
The results paint a concerning picture—on both sides of the climate debate: Of these 1,500 policies, the researchers could only identify 63 with worthwhile total emissions reductions (between 0.6 and 1.8 Gt CO2).
See: https://www.science.org/doi/full/10.1126/science.adl6547
New Study: Clouds, Not CO2, Control the Climate
A new paper by Ned Nikolov and Karl F. Zeller, “Roles of Earth’s Albedo Variations and Top-of-the-Atmosphere Energy Imbalance in Recent Warming: New Insights from Satellite and Surface Observations” delves into the role of Earth’s albedo and the planet’s energy balance at the top of the atmosphere (TOA). The authors find that these factors are far more critical than CO2 in driving the modest global temperature increases since 2000.
Albedo refers to the amount of sunlight reflected by Earth’s surface and atmosphere, and a decrease in albedo means more solar radiation is being absorbed. Data from NASA’s Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) show that Earth’s albedo has been decreasing, leading to a substantial increase in the amount of solar energy absorbed by the planet.
This increase in absorbed solar radiation—around 2.7 watts per square meter (W/m²)—is strikingly similar in magnitude to the total anthropogenic forcing calculated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) over the past 270 years.
For the authors, the impact of albedo changes on global temperatures is THE key mechanism.
See: https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7418/4/3/17
The study also argues that variations in total solar irradiance (TSI)—the amount of solar energy reaching Earth—played only a minor role in recent warming. TSI remained relatively stable, with fluctuations paling in comparison to the decrease in albedo.
The authors developed a new climate-sensitivity model based on NASA planetary data. This model explicitly links variations in Earth’s temperature to changes in TSI and albedo without relying on traditional greenhouse gas metrics or feedback loops.
As per the model, the solar forcing, combining TSI and albedo changes, accounted for 100% of the observed global warming trend since 2000. Furthermore, the model explained 83% of the interannual variability in global surface air temperature.
Another of the paper’s central tenets is a reexamination of Earth’s Energy Imbalance (EEI), the difference between the amount of solar energy absorbed by Earth and the longwave radiation emitted into space. In mainstream climate science, a positive EEI is typically interpreted as evidence of heat retention in the atmosphere, largely due to greenhouse gases. However, the authors here argue that this interpretation is flawed. Instead, they propose that the observed energy imbalance is not a result of heat being trapped by greenhouse gases, but a byproduct of the natural cooling process in the atmosphere as air rises and expands. This quasi-adiabatic process, where the rising air loses energy due to decreasing pressure, explains the discrepancy between surface energy fluxes and those measured at the TOA. According to this view, EEI does not signal future warming but rather reflects a natural energy dissipation process as solar energy is absorbed and radiated by the planet.
The implications here being that efforts to reduce CO2 emissions will not affect the planet’s energy imbalance, because EEI does not represent a process of heat retention, but rather energy loss in the climate system.
Nikolov and Zeller conclude that if the mainstream climate models, which promote the effects of rising greenhouse gas concentrations, were correct, there should be additional warming beyond what can be explained by albedo changes and solar absorption alone. However, the authors found no such extra warming in the data.
Furthermore, the Earth’s sensitivity to absorbed solar radiation is much lower than what climate models currently predict. The authors estimate Earth’s climate sensitivity to be about 0.29 to 0.30 K per W/m², compared to the much higher estimates used in many climate models that predict significant future warming.
The relationship between cloud-albedo feedbacks and potential cosmic influences on cloud formation is also discussed. It is suggested that external cosmic forces, such as cosmic rays and solar wind, likely play a significant role in cloud formation, which in turn influences Earth’s albedo. The pair are keen to shift focus away from the over-simplistic feedback mechanisms involving greenhouse gases and toward more complex interactions that are not fully understood, calling for further investigation.
You can read the paradigm-shifting study in full here. Encouragingly, word of it is getting out. The paper currently ranks as the third most accessed on MDPI — a publisher that has 439 peer-reviewed journals and publishes some 285,000 papers a year.
Snow In Wyoming And Colorado; + “The Oceans Are Overflowing,” Claims Guterres; + “Paleoclimate Reconstruction Sausage”
August 28, 2024 Cap Allon
Snow In Wyoming And Colorado
In addition to the snow in Northern California, mountain ranges in Wyoming, Oregon, and Colorado also received rare August snow this week.
Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, WY recorded its first snowfall of the 2024-25 winter season on August 26.
CO’s Longs Peak, a 14,259-foot giant, was similarly treated to a dusting.
Mt. Bachelor, OR was another to see rare August flakes.
Contrary to the mainstream messaging, winter WILL return, sooner than many think.
“The Oceans Are Overflowing,” Claims Guterres
UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres recently sounded another dire warning about the state of our planet, this time claiming “the oceans are overflowing” because, you know, ‘science’.
“This is a crazy situation. Rising seas are a crisis entirely of humanity’s making. A crisis that will soon swell to an almost unimaginable scale, with no lifeboat to take us back to safety.”
Not content with the level of drama, Guterres ups it further, “A worldwide catastrophe is putting this Pacific paradise in peril. The ocean is overflowing.”
Guterres’ rhetoric leans on the same old alarm, but when examined against the actual data, the story falls apart.
Even the latest IPCC Report (AR6 WGI), sold as “the most authoritative source on climate science,” provides a far less concerning view of sea level rise. Far from confirming the “oceans are overflowing,” the IPCC report states that any rise is a far more gradual and regionally varied process, indistinguishably from natural variability.
The report makes it clear that for a great portion of the planet, a detectable change in the rate of relative sea level rise (RSLR) hasn’t been found (and might not even emerge before 2100), contradicting fairy tales of an imminent global catastrophe.
Moreover, to get any meaningful RSLR at all, the IPCC is required to employ the wholly unrealistic 4.5 and 8.5 emissions scenarios. And, even under those absurd higher scenarios, the AR6 report states that many regions may not see a detectable change for 100-years, if ever. This isn’t mentioned in the media.
“Paleoclimate Reconstruction Sausage”
Paleoclimate proxies—natural archives like tree rings, ice cores, and sediments—are key tools for studying Earth’s climate history. But how reliable are these reconstructions?
A new study published in Science China Earth Sciences, led by Professor Bao Yang, reveals how the choice of proxies drastically alters past global and hemispheric temperatures.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11430-024-1348-3
“Although the intensifying proxy network has improved the quality of recent large-scale climate reconstruction products, we wanted to know how our understanding of climate in the past is dependent on proxies,” explains Professor Yang.
Yang’s research draws from the PAGES 2k Consortium’s extensive proxy network, crafting new global and hemispheric temperature reconstructions for the past 2,000 years. The findings reveal stark differences, depending on whether tree-ring or non-tree-ring proxies are used. While tree-ring data show minimal cooling before the 20th century, non-tree-ring records—like ice cores and lake sediments—point to a much more significant historical cooling, especially in the Southern Hemisphere.
The implications are clear: the mainstream reliance on tree-ring data is misleading.
Tree rings, which dominate many reconstructions, capture short-term variability but fail to reflect long-term climatic trends. “All the evidence points out that we are still far from a complete understanding of the Common Era temperature variability at hemispheric and global scales,” says Professor Yang.
Tree rings capture high-frequency changes (decades to centuries), but flatten millennial-scale trends, masking any long-term natural variations—enemy number one to the AGW theory. This distortion supports the notion that current warming is unprecedented.
Yang’s study shows that our understanding of past climate is deeply flawed if proxy selection is not critically assessed. Non-tree-ring records—though fewer in number and spatially limited—better capture millennial-scale changes and paint an entirely different picture of the Earth’s climatic history than tree-ring records alone.
Using all available proxies, this is what our best guess global temperature reconstruction looks like:
Rare August Snow Clips Montana’s Peaks; Explanations For The Saharan Rains; + Earth’s Oceans Are Cooling Fast, And Scientists Have Yet To Come Up With A Party-Approved Reason Why
August 29, 2024 Cap Allon
Rare Summer Snow Clips Montana’s Peaks
Montana got an early taste of winter this week. The NWS even issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Glacier National Park and the Mission Mountains, as an unusual August snowstorm swept through the region.
On Wednesday, August 28, a myriad of Montana ski areas reported fresh accumulating snow.
Whitefish Mountain Resort was one of them. By 10 AM, noteworthy snow was settling as low as 5,800 feet, including at the resort’s upper terminals of Chair 1 and Chair 7:
“This has got to be a new record,” remarked Chad Sokol, Whitefish’s Public Relations Manager. “An unheard-of late-August squall delivered a solid inch of snow to the summit this morning, along with a visible dusting across the upper 1,000 feet of Big Mountain. … measurable snow this time of year? We didn’t see that coming.”
Whitefish wasn’t alone. Bridger Bowl Ski Area also reported its first snow of the season, as did a host of others.
The storm actually intensified at Glacier National Park’s Logan Pass. By late-morning, the NWS reported increasing snowfall rates, with forecasts predicting between as much as 7 inches of snow at the Logan Pass Visitor’s Center by day’s end.
This is the same Glacier National Park (GNP) that, back in late-2019, was forced to take down all of its visitor center signs that declared glaciers at the Park would be disappeared by the year 2020 due to the ravages of global boiling.
All signs were sheepishly pulled from its displays after the computer models it relied upon from the early 2000s, which foretold of unending glacial retreat, turned out to be garbage-in garbage-out.
“Larger than average snowfall over several winters slowed down that retreat rate and the 2020 date used in the display does not apply anymore,” said the USGS at the time, an agency tasked with monitoring the glaciers at GNP.
Since then, an all-time record-smashing snow season hit in 2022-23. This was followed by the well-above-average season just gone. And now, 2024-25 appears to have started in earnest, in August! — an early taste of winter that has certainly stirred the excitement. As one Instagramer put it, “I’ve seen enough. Open the lifts.”
Explanations For The Saharan Rains
Rain is reaching deep into the Sahara Desert, specifically along the Algeria-Mali border—an area that usually sees very little precipitation. This time, the rain is arriving from the south, an unusual direction for this region. While not unprecedented, this is far from typical.
Some point to the shifting of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) as being the culprit, a band near the equator where winds from the Northern and Southern Hemispheres meet that plays a significant role in global weather patterns.
Shifting focus to the Atlantic, the 2024 hurricane season has, thus far, been a dud, with far fewer storms developing than ‘experts’ were expecting—not least Michael Mann, who forecast a record 33 name storms (as of August 29 we’re at 5).
To be fair, the more realistic of the higher-end predictions made sense. They were based on the expected presence of a Pacific La Niña and a warmer-than-average Atlantic ocean. However, La Niña has been dragging its heels, refusing to manifest; and record cooling has swept the Atlantic in recent months, from the North to the Tropics, which has also likely dampened the 2024 storm count (more on that below).
Another factor is the unusually large amount of Saharan dust over the tropical Atlantic. This dust could be further suppressing storm formation, depressing those “climate disaster juices” that man is supposedly excreting with his desire to heat his dwelling, feed his children, and see more of the world than the two-bit town he grew up in.
The climate system always finds equilibrium. It is far more resilient than we have been led to believe, far more responsive to changes. Almost sentient. Admittedly pie-in-the-sky and kooky-sounding, I contend that it is possible that Mother Nature ‘allowed’ us humans to proliferate and ‘burn fossil fuels’ in order to save all life from CO2-extinction, because that’s where we were seemingly headed, levels being critically low before we ‘came along’–whatever that really means.
It could be that we humans, for all out polluting flaws and destructive tendencies, are Earth’s savior, not destroyer.
Earth’s Oceans Are Cooling Fast, And Scientists Have Yet To Come Up With A Party-Approved Reason Why
Recent data reveals a significant and rapid drop in ocean surface temperatures worldwide, “leaving scientists puzzled”—or more precisely, “still scrambling for an explanation that aligns with the mainstream narrative.”
The CoNfUsIOn accompanying this sudden cooling contrasts sharply with the alarm and assuredness that went with the rising temperatures of recent years. Without a second-though, ‘The Science’ attributed said warmer oceans to human-induced climate change, with the heat “32.4x more likely due to human prosperity”—or something. But now that thermometers are plunging, a universal head-scratching has ensued as the establishment frantically searches for a party-approved answer.
Never will they contend, as we touched on above, that Earth’s climate system forever seeks equilibrium via natural forcings/cycles, meaning ‘no cause for alarm’. Never. For almost two years now, “boiling oceans” has been a go-to for activist-scientists and alarmist alike, often used to justify drastic policies and raise public fear.
A key visual that circulated widely, until recently, was the graph showing global surface sea temperatures (SSTs). During 2023 and the first half of 2024, the graph showed increasing temperatures (see the interactive chart below). However, a significant and inconvenient decrease has played out in recent months, and the alarmists are employing an amusing level of ‘cope’:
Though a global phenomenon, temperatures have decreased most-rapidly in the Atlantic Ocean, particularly in central equatorial regions which are now some 1C below average for the time of year.
NOAA noted that the year began with the strongest warming event since 1982, which makes the swift transition to cold even more impressive: “Never before in the observed record has the eastern equatorial Atlantic swung so quickly from one extreme event to another,” wrote the agency in a recent report.
This Atlantic cooling is partly due to a seasonal process called “upwelling,” where colder, deeper waters rise to the surface as southern winds push warmer surface waters away from the equator. However, this season’s upwelling coincided with an event that typically results in warmer anomalies, the weakening of the trade winds, adding to the “mystery”.
As mentioned, stark cooling is not limited to the Atlantic.
Below is an embedded live and interactive global ocean SST chart that I’ve coded. This is part of a new project I’m working on, a free website that aims to be a one-stop shop for all climate data: temperature, solar activity, volcanic eruptions, etc.
NOAA reports that SSTs in three of the four Pacific locations used to determine the presence of an El Niño are now back below the historical trend. Additionally, temperatures in many parts of the Pacific have dropped significantly down to 300 meters (985 feet), indicating a broader cooling effect. Additionally, over the last 25 years, NOAA data show that all significant global temperature spikes have coincided with strong El Niño events, in 1998, 2016, and now 2024. The spikes are natural, so too are the periods of cooling that follow. The slight warming observed during the past few decades is natural, so too will be the cooling that follows. Will the COLD TIMES commence in the year 2030, as I contend? Only the sun and other cosmological forcings will govern that, not me, not Mann.
Today’s scientific community has been entirely corrupted by politics, agendas and ideologies. It really isn’t the place honest inquiry and debate. It’s apparent confusion over the recent rapid cooling is telling. It’s silence deafening. When temperatures rise, the explanation is simple. When temperatures fall, scientists slink back into the hedgerow. This discrepancy, this confusion, is due to the limitations of the current models, which fail to account for the chaotic and non-linear nature of the climate system. It gets them every time.
Thousands Without Power In Tasmania As Cold And Snow Intensify; Foot Of Snow Closes Going-To-The-Sun Road; + Climate Science: “An Appalling Scam”
August 30, 2024 Cap Allon
Thousands Without Power In Tasmania As Cold And Snow Intensify
Thousands of homes across Tasmania remain without power, with freezing temperatures and heavy snowfall set to worsen through the weekend.
The BOM says a significant polar front will approach Friday, with two further fronts bringing more of the same Saturday and Sunday. Thermometers have already crashed well-below freezing for many, with the city of Hobart ‘feeling like’ -14.6C (5.7F).
As of Friday afternoon, over 3,500 properties were still without electricity, primarily in the northern and northwestern regions. At its peak overnight, more than 9,000 properties were affected. Areas like Wynyard, Woolnorth, and Ulverstone have been particularly hard hit, with snow-covered trees falling onto power lines.
TasNetworks has urged residents to prepare for prolonged outages, emphasizing that the extreme cold and snow are making access difficult for repair crews. “We are asking our customers to prepare for long delays as our crews work tirelessly to restore power,” a spokesperson said.
Following multiple road incidents, motorists have been advised remain cautious.
Among the disruptions there are also plenty of picturesque scenes. Mount Wellington, for example, has been transformed into a winter wonderland, blanketed in snow since Wednesday. Likewise at Ben Lomand, the ski season typically ends in August here, but this week’s heavy late-season powder has led to unexpected extension.
The BOM warns that the coldest and snowiest weather is still yet to come, with snow expected to fall below 600 meters (1,970 feet) in the state’s south over the weekend.
Central Tasmania, including Great Lake and again Ben Lomond, are also expecting additional significant snowfall over the weekend.
According to the BOM, Tasmanians should brace for a weekend of freezing temperatures, heavy snow, and the associated challenges.
South Africa Freezes, Rare Snow Hits Table Mountain
Winter has returned with a bang in South Africa and all, with temperatures down to -9C (15.8F) and snow clipping the peaks.
Table Mountain saw its first snowfall in four years on Wednesday, Aug 28, with flakes last recorded on Aug 29, 2020.
The South African Weather Service (SAWS) tied the snowfall to a fierce cold front moving across the country, which is expected to reach Gauteng by Friday.
Foot Of Snow Closes Going-To-The-Sun Road
Heavy snow has continued in parts of Montana, prompting a winter weather advisory from the NWS office in Missoula. According to reports, areas of Glacier National Park (GNP) have received more than a foot of summer snow.
Missoula was also under a frost advisory and a freeze warning Thursday morning, with temperatures dropping as low as 28F (-2.2C) due to a descending polar front. Residents were cautioned to protect sensitive crops and vegetables — a first for August.
Conditions were hazardous enough that GNP officials were forced to close Going-to-the-Sun Road between Avalanche Creek and Jackson Glacier Overlook, owing to the heavy snow, mostly, but also the ice.
NWS meteorologist Alex Lukinbeal said heavy snowfall in August is highly unusual, even for Glacier National Park, where the first flakes of the season typically fall during the first-half of September and usually only a few inches.
“A foot of snow leading to road closures is definitely abnormal for August,” said Lukinbeal.
In July, 2022, Going-to-the-Sun Road tied its latest opening on record since the alpine byway debuted to the public in 1933.
Climate Science: “An Appalling Scam”
In a recent interview, Jordan Peterson referred to climate science as “an appalling scam.”
“We’re essentially in a CO2 drought by historical standards,” he stated. “We were almost at the point where the plants were going to start to die. Now, they have been increasing… The major consequence is that the planet is 20% greener than it was in the year 2000… Crop yield has gone up 13%… It’s the opposite of what was predicted, and the opposite was regarded as a catastrophe. So, the opposite of a catastrophe is good—there are more plants, and crops grow better. So, what’s the problem exactly?”
But what good is good news?
What good are facts?
“The climate crisis is real, it is an urgent matter,” so say the brain dead puppets in government. And what we should be doing about it is “holding ourselves to deadlines around time.” Uh-huh.
Kamala also admitted that the ‘Inflation Reduction Act’ was just a backdoor way to advance the climate scam, forgetting the cover story they’ve been peddling all along.
Arizona Sees August Snow; Europe Forecast Stark Temperature Drop; Australia’s Solar Power Woes; + Data Show Ocean Currents Aren’t Slowing Down…
September 2, 2024 Cap Allon
Arizona Sees August Snow
The Arizona Snowbowl was hit with an early taste of winter on Saturday, as the mountain’s peak, at 11,500 feet, witnessed anomalous lows and rare August snows.
The NWS said that although the accumulation resembled hail, such were the frigid temperatures over the weekend that snow was mixed in. Video from the resort shows the summit coated in thin but noteworthy layer on the final day of August:
Angela Grubb, marketing manager at Arizona Snowbowl, surprised by the early snow, went on to reflect on the remarkable 2023-2024 season just gone — the longest in the resort’s history and in the entire state, stretching all the way to June 1.
“We saw 281 inches of snow last season, with 55 inches falling in April alone,” said Grubb. “Skiing in Arizona on June 1 was surreal—truly unbeatable.”
Preparations for the upcoming season are already underway, which is currently scheduled to open on November 22.
“Usually, by late October, we see the temperature drop enough to start making snow,” added Grubb. “Once those machines are running, we hope Mother Nature keeps the temperatures low and brings us plenty of natural snow, too.”
Europe Forecast Stark Temperature Drop
Unusual warmth has been noted across Italy in recent days, mostly in Northern and Central regions. However, a “significant weather shift is imminent”, one that will see the majority of Europe turn uniformly ‘blue’.
All major forecasting centers appear in agreement, during the first week of September, the North African anticyclone will begin to retreat, giving way to cooler high-altitude winds from the Atlantic. These winds will bring the first notable autumn disturbances, which will initially affect central-northern Europe and gradually shift south/eastward, towards Italy.
This shift will bring Southern and Eastern Europe more in line with the cool West, particularly the UK, which has seen temperatures hold consistently below-average through June and July, and the latter half of August.
The polar vortex will play a role in unleashing these strong North Atlantic disturbances, reports meteogiornale.it, which are poised to sweep away the lingering subtropical heat. Staring September 5, a deep low-pressure system will establish itself between France, Spain, and the western Mediterranean, bringing rain, thunderstorms, and a significant drop in temperatures.
Following this, another major weather event is expected between September 9 and 12. This second, more powerful disturbance could definitively end the African heat in Italy, bringing more widespread cooling, and rains.
Despite the media caterwauls of “Impossible Mediterranean Heatwave”, autumn is arriving on time.
Australia’s Solar Power Woes
Australia’s winter extremes have highlighted the inadequacy of solar power in reliably supporting the country’s modern day infrastructure. Despite the sales pitch, solar’s ability to consistently meet demand is compromised by its vulnerability to changing weather conditions—a limitation starkly evident during July and August.
During this period, Australia experienced fluctuating extremes, from record-breaking cold to intense warmth.
According to Solcast, a DNV company (see chart below), winter’s weather extremes resulted in highly variable solar irradiance levels, which in turn negatively affected the performance of solar panels across the country.
In July, the majority of Australia’s National Energy Market (NEM) saw below-average solar generation, particularly on the east coast, where unusually cloudy conditions led to lower-than-expected output. Only Tasmania and South Australia managed to maintain normal PV levels, while Western Australia, heavily reliant on the Perth region, as well as New South Wales noted stark reductions.
The situation in August was even worse for most. Despite a positive swing in Victoria, Queensland, NSW, Western Australia, and most-notably Tasmania experienced increased cloud cover and rainfall that severely hit generation.
Even a late surge in sunshine across the east (with much-publicized warmth) wasn’t enough to offset the month’s earlier losses.
Looking ahead, it’s much of the same. The BOM is forecasting continued above-average cloud cover and rainfall for much of central and eastern regions.
The overall picture is clear: solar power, at its current capabilities, cannot reliably sustain a nation’s infrastructure. It’s absurd to consider it as anything more than a supplementary addition to a mix of coal, gas, and nuclear. Harnessing energy from the sun of course makes sense, but we’re simply not there, yet, and pushing for it in a hurried panic risks the lights going out.
Data Show Ocean Currents Aren’t Slowing Down
The ocean conveyor belt, or deep ocean circulation, plays a crucial role in distributing heat across the globe, moving water in a well-known pattern. This process is driven by a combination of temperature differences, surface winds between the poles and the equator, and variations in salinity across different parts of the ocean.
Colder, saltier water is denser and sinks, while warmer water remains closer to the surface. When water cools in northern ocean regions, it sinks, drawing warmer water from equatorial regions towards the Arctic, creating a continuous mixing effect.
This conveyor belt connects all the oceans in a perpetual cycle.
For years now, pop-scientists and climate activists alike have claimed that global warming is causing the world’s ocean currents to slow down. Citing computer model simulations, it was said that this slowing would trigger a host of apocalyptic events, such as devastation to African and Indian growing regions due to changing rainfall patterns, the charging of Atlantic hurricanes, and even another Little Ice Age–and the untold misery that would cause:
Since 2019, numerous op-eds and studies have claimed that ocean currents have slowed to their lowest pace in 1,600 years.
However, recent scientific research based on real-world measurements contradicts these claims, showing that ocean currents likely sped up during the same period when activist-scientists asserted that global warming was causing them to slow down.
https://www.livescience.com/ocean-currents-speeding-up.html
This discrepancy highlights a significant debate within the scientific community, with no consensus on whether ocean currents are speeding up or slowing down. Despite this Unsettled Science, media narratives continue to blindly push the idea that human activity is to blame for any observed changes, overlooking even the possibility of natural variations within Earth’s climate system.
When it was believed ocean currents were slowing down, the public were warned of impending disaster. Now that evidence shows ocean currents have been speeding up, it is this that will bring about our end. This is further proof, if it were needed, that no matter the climatological condition, the messaging will remain steadfast: “human prosperity needs pegging back”.
The AGW Party’s MO is to sell all weather events as a “climate crisis”, from heatwaves to polar outbreaks, from droughts to floods, rather than to acknowledge the more logical explanation: Earth’s climate, and in this case its ocean currents, are in constant flux, driven by natural forcings. From heat to cold, rains to droughts — Mother Nature is at the wheel.
26 August 2024
Amazingly much of the US and Brazil set cold records in summer and winter this week. We even have a strong Atlantic La Niña on the West African Coast. Unfortunately the MSM omitted this news as it fails to meet their climate agenda. From the Cascades and High Sierra to the East many summer cold records fell. NOAA noted more cold records than warm records this week…. Mt Shasta even had 16 inches of new snowfall. The ECMWF model predicted some snow, but less than the 16 inches.
Europe was cool on the West coast, but hot in central and southern areas. Slovenia had highs in the 30ºC + range. Greenland and Iceland continued to amass summer snows and the Snow Mass Balance SMB curve calculated by the Danish Arctic Research team remained normal, recovering from a minimum in early August. Iceland’s glaciers gained significant snows as did a few peaks in Norway. Greenland’s Pituffic Space Base (USAF Thule) even had daily snows.
The Southern Hemisphere continued to set cold and snowfall records as very intense storms (950 to 930 mb) circled the Antarctic producing 1-3 m of new snow along the coastal mountains. Vostok station hit -71ºC and large areas were below -60ºC. New Zealand finally had its heavy snowfalls of 1-3 m setting up great skiing. The Andes also continued their record snowfall from June with more snow falling in the south this week. Even South Georgia Island SGI had significant snows from the deep storms. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming that I noted last week appears to be setting up the wavy jet stream pattern that is pushing the Antarctic cold blasts northward - as predicted.
You can find a very interesting lecture by Dr. Richard Lindzen, MIT Emeritus Professor on climate change realities on YOU TUBE. The link is on this week’s website log.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 26 AUGUST 2024
Heavy Snow Hits New Zealand’s South Island; Record Summer Chills Sweep The Great Lakes, Northeast, and Southern Canada; + Where Are The Hurricanes? Another Crushing Defeat For Team Climate Change
August 20, 2024 Cap Allon
Heavy Snow Hits New Zealand’s South Island
Heavy snow has hit New Zealand’s South Island, causing widespread disruption, closing key highways, and trapping vehicles as frigid conditions took hold.
In the Canterbury region, cars were stranded at Castle Hill and Lake Lyndon, with police urging people to stay off the roads.
Snow piled up along State Highway 73, leading to its closure between Otira and Springfield, with drivers stranded in dangerous conditions. Folk found themselves stuck near Porters Skifield and all, waiting hours before local volunteers stepped in to provide shelter.
Snow even accumulated down to sea level in North Canterbury, as it did in areas such as Southland, Clutha, and Fiordland.
Record Summer Chills Sweep The Great Lakes, Northeast, and Southern Canada
A cool, crisp airmass has settled into the likes of Indiana and Ohio, bringing an early taste of fall to many. To the east, a vast cold front is sweeping into New York and Ontario, setting the stage for a biting, potentially record-setting week.
In Fort Wayne, a low of 46F (8C) is on the cards Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, just one degree shy of the record low for August 21 currently held by 1950 and 1908. The average low for this time of year is 61F (16C). Historically, this area doesn’t see don’t see lows in the 40s until late-September. So, we’re over a month ahead of schedule with these chilly temperatures.
Meanwhile, Buffalo is facing a similar cooldown, with a forecast high of just 65F (18C) on Tuesday. This would match the record low-max for the day, set way back in 1940. The polar cold will prove persistent, holding thermometers well-below August norms.
The chill will sweep the likes of Kentucky and Michigan.
Morning lows in the Upper Peninsula, for example, look almost frosty:
Headed north of the border, into Southern Ontario, an early taste of fall is hitting here and all. After a weekend of record-breaking rains, and even a surprise tornado, cooler air is now barreling in.
On Tuesday, the mercury across the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), for example, is expected to struggle to 20C (68F). Typically, this time of year sees highs of 25C (77F), but a upper-level low pressure system will dominate and usher in a trough of unseasonable polar air.
Further north, in Cottage Country, daytime highs will hover in the mid-teens, and overnight lows could dip as low as 10C (50F), potentially felling records, and certainly prompting some residents to turn on their heating — in the summer.
This unseasonably cool weather is part of a broader pattern affecting much of the Great Lakes region and Northeast. In fact, all the way down to the Mississippi and Alabama they’ll be feeling the chill.
Where Are The Hurricanes? Another Crushing Defeat For Team Climate Change
For decades now we’ve been bombarded by a constant drumbeat of climate fear-mongering, each headline more apocalyptic than the last. Every summer, we’re told to brace for unprecedented storms, for hurricanes of biblical proportions.
The climate activists and their media echo chamber would have us believe that we are teetering on the edge of oblivion, with the next cataclysmic “superstorm” just around the corner. But here we are, August 20, 2024, and the Atlantic tropics are quieter than ever, with barely a cloud in sight:
Rare August Snow For The Sierra Nevada; The Atlantic’s Rapid Cooling; + Failed Climate Testimony
August 21, 2024 Cap Allon
Rare August Snow For The Sierra Nevada
Swaths of the Eastern U.S. continue to endure August lows not seen in decades. Now the West is joining in and all. The 2023-24 Tahoe ski season ended barely three months ago, but winter-like conditions are already making a return this week.
A rare August storm is forecast to deliver the Sierra Nevada its first snowfall of the 2024-25 season, as a cold front, plunging down from Canada, threatens to hit Northern California in the coming days, bringing with it a high possibility of the white stuff.
Models foresee an unusually strong low-pressure system dropping from Canada toward the Oregon-California border by Friday. While such a system is common in the winter months, it is very rare in August — its strength could actually be record-breaking, and any snow would be the first in August for at least 20 years, according to the NWS Hanford office.
The European weather model forecasts near-record to record cold air over Northern California this week, with temperatures at 5,000 feet expected crash below 40F—some 20F below normal.
The National Weather Service anticipates freezing temperatures at higher elevations in the Sierra Nevada come Friday night.
As moisture-rich winds collide with the mountains, precipitation is expected. If these freezing temperatures align with showers, as expected, then snowflakes will accumulate across the Sierra.
“I was going to go camping, but now I’m not,” said Chris Johnston, a meteorologist with the NWS in Reno on seeing the forecast. Johnston goes on to urge campers and hikers to prepare for cold weather and the possibility of summer snow this weekend.
The snow line could drop as low as 7,000 feet at Tahoe resorts like Palisades Tahoe, Heavenly, and Kirkwood. The highest elevations could receive snow in the multiple inches.
“It’s exceptionally rare for our area to experience new snowfall in August, as it’s typically one of the warmest months here in Tahoe,” said Patrick Lacey, spokesperson for Palisades Tahoe.
Rare August Chill Breaks Decades-Old Records; Naomi Oreskes: Climate Dogma Thawing?; + Science, Politics, and the Climate Narrative: An MIT Scientist Exposes the Real Agenda
August 22, 2024 Cap Allon
Rare August Chill Breaks Decades-Old Records
On Wednesday, the Eastern half of the U.S. continued its unseasonably cool spell, marking some of the region’s coldest August temperatures in decades.
A mass of cool, dry Canadian air, driven south by high pressure to the north and influenced by a low-pressure system offshore, introduced an early taste of fall. In Virginia—for example—many areas saw thermometers drop into 40s, some even lower, with daytime highs holding below 80F (26.7C) statewide.
Burke’s Garden, Tazewell County, tanked to 38F (3.3C), a wintry-like reading which marked the area’s coldest August temperature for 20 years, matching the low from Aug 7, 2004. To find a colder August low in Burke’s Garden, you have to go back to 1989.
Crossing the state line into West Virginia, Canaan Valley posted a freezing low of 32F (0C).
Several notable temperature records were broken across the region.
Parkersburg, WV, saw 45F (7.2C), smashing the previous record of 51F (10.6C) set in 1940.
Clarksburg, WV, also experienced 45F (7.2C), surpassing its old record of 46F (7.8 C) also from 1940.
Charleston, WV, reached 48F (8.9C), breaking 50F (10C) from 1953.
While back in Virginia, Lynchburg tied its record low with 52 F (11.1C), matching 1918, 1922, and 1998.
Wytheville, VA, saw 43F (6.1C), with Abingdon noting to 47F (8.3C), marking the coldest August temperatures in these regions for 20 years.
In larger cities like Roanoke, notable lows were also reached. The 50F (10C) here marked the coldest August temperature the 47F (8.3C) on August 31, 1999. While at the Tri-Cities Airport in Tennessee, 49F (9.4C) bested the old record of 53 F (11.7 C) from 2012.
Hundreds of daily records fell across the Eastern U.S. on Wednesday, extending beyond just the Virginias. Monthly benchmarks were also toppled.
Below are snapshots of the new records set during the hours of 10:00 and 11:00 UTC alone on Aug 21, 2024:
The Atlantic’s Rapid Cooling
After a year of anomalous warmth, the Atlantic Ocean is now undergoing swift and unprecedented cooling.
This sudden, record-setting shift could signal the onset of an “Atlantic Niña,” a climate phenomenon that, alongside the forecast La Niña in the Pacific, is expected to drive global temperatures down.
Since June 2024, sea surface temperatures in the central equatorial Atlantic have cooled by 0.5 to 1C:
Typically driven by strong trade winds, this cooling has occurred despite unusually weak winds, confusing scientists.
“The mechanisms we usually associate with cooling events, like strong winds, are not in place,” says Franz Philip Tuchen from the University of Miami, “yet the cooling is happening.”
Even slight temperature changes in the Atlantic can alter weather patterns worldwide.
A cooling of 0.5C to 1C is quite significant.
It could reduce rainfall in Africa’s Sahel while increasing it in the Gulf of Guinea, while South America may see shifts in its rainy season, affecting agriculture.
This emerging Atlantic Niña may also be negating the 2024 hurricane season. While NOAA et al had almost gleefully predicted a “blockbuster” and “climate change-fueled” season, this unprecedented Atlantic cooling looks to be tempering storm intensity.
Failed Testimony
NASA’s James Hansen ignited the modern global warming scare during a Congressional committee meeting in 1988. On June 24 of that year, The New York Times reported:
“Until now, scientists have been cautious about attributing rising global temperatures of recent years to the predicted global warming caused by pollutants in the atmosphere, known as the ‘greenhouse effect.’ But today Dr. James E. Hansen of NASA told a Congressional committee that it was 99 percent certain that the warming trend was not a natural variation but was caused by a buildup of carbon dioxide and other artificial gases in the atmosphere.”
But how much credibility does The New York Times have left?
In a 1961 article, the publication was preparing its readers for the the opposite threat, a colder world:
These multidecadal temperature swings were obviously driven by natural forcings such as solar activity and the oceans. There can be no attribution to atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, which we’re told have been steadily rising since the late 1800s. The cooling Northern Hemisphere temperatures from ≈1940 to 1980 show a strong anti-correlation with rising CO2 levels.
As these past NYT articles reveal, cLiMaTe ChAnGe has been used to sell newspapers and control populations forever. The difference today is that the elites not only own the media, but The Science and all. Now, agencies such as NASA and NOAA it appears have been tasked with ‘adjusting’ historical temperature data with the aim of erasing all natural (inconvenient) trends.
The Father Of Global Warming
James Hansen is often regarded as ‘the father of modern-day global warming’.
‘Modern-day’ because the climate cabal conveniently ignore the comparable 1885-1939 warming, regarding it immaterial. What they’re up in arms about is the ≈1980-to-present warming, which they have linked to humanity’s burning of ‘fossil fuels’.
When preparing his 1988 climate forecast, Hansen devised three CO2 emission scenarios:
Scenario A: A “Business As Usual” path with increasing CO2 emissions.
Scenario B: A moderate reduction in CO2 emissions.
Scenario C: A reduction in CO2 emissions, capped at the year 2000 levels.
Clear to see, real-world temperatures are closely followed emissions Scenario C, where greenhouse gases were drastically reduced—a scenario that never happened, you don’t need me to point out. All the costly carbon reduction initiatives, the trillions of tax revenue spent, the free-falling living standards, well, it turns out that doing nothing would have achieved the same results.
This epic failure has bred huge public distrust in climate science—in all sciences—with it’s politicization “setting back the field probably a few generations,” so says MIT climate scientist (and former IPCC lead author) Dr. Richard Lindzen:
Naomi Oreskes: Climate Dogma Thawing?
In recent years, Naomi Oreskes has cemented herself as a key figure in promoting a vision of climate change that veers toward alarmism and authoritarianism, evident in her co-authored 2014 book The Collapse of Western Civilization.
This dystopian work paints a future where Western civilization crumbles under the weight of climate disasters.
Critics, like climate scientist Judith Curry, have long challenged Oreskes’ rigid stance on catastrophic climate predictions, with Curry recently calling Oreskes “second only to Mann in promoting and enforcing climate dogma.”
Oreskes’ past exaggerations are well-documented. In The Collapse of Western Civilization, she and her co-author Erik M. Conway predict absurd, apocalyptic outcomes: mass die-offs of dogs and cats by 2023 due to extreme heat, the complete depopulation of Australia and Africa, and a resurgence of deadly diseases like bubonic plague and typhus—all triggered by global warming.
Oreskes’ penchant for hyperbole undermines her credibility, she might as well be writing science fiction because her projections and tipping point deadlines certainly aren’t rooted in reasoned scientific debate — the abject of her projections in recent years is proof of this: cats and dogs, native to the hot climes of the Middle East and North Africa, are still with us.
Martin W. Lewis, in a critical review for geocurrents.info, highlights Oreskes’ apparent fascination with eco-authoritarianism.
She and co-author Conway go so far as to suggest that only authoritarian regimes, like China, will survive the coming climate apocalypse, a notion troubling to those who value democratic governance and personal freedoms. This disturbing embrace of totalitarian politics is presented under the guise of environmental urgency, suggesting that centralized power is the only solution to global warming, while democracy and personal liberty are cast as obstacles.
This is one aspect Oreskes has been correct: a clampdown on freedoms in the name of ‘safety’.
A Change Of Heart?
In light of Oreskes’ recent article dated Aug 20, 2024, in which she praises the scientific ability to admit error, Curry asks, “Could it be that a change of mind is forthcoming?” By using the example of scientists admitting they were wrong—such as in the history of plate tectonics—Oreskes may be signaling that she too could be about to reconsider her stance on climate catastrophism.
Science, Politics, and the Climate Narrative: An MIT Scientist Exposes the Real Agenda
In a recent talk in Brussels, Professor Richard S. Lindzen (MIT, Emeritus) delivered a critique of the modern climate movement, warning of the dangers when politics claim the mantle of science without truly understanding it.
Hosted by the Hungarian think tank MCC, Lindzen’s speech drew parallels between today’s climate alarmism and historical ideologies like eugenics and Lysenkoism—movements that also wielded “scientific consensus” as a political tool.
Lindzen’s key argument is that true science is not about enforcing consensus but rather about inquiry and debate. He points out that while science has earned credibility for solving real-world problems, this same authority has been co-opted by politicians for purposes that often have little to do with actual science. “The science” becomes a political slogan, stripping away the complexity and nuance of real scientific investigation. According to Lindzen, this is exactly what has happened with climate change.
He argues that the political obsession with decarbonization (“Net Zero”) is not genuinely motivated by environmental concerns but is part of a broader effort to control society by playing on people’s fears. He suggests that this trend of control has roots in a societal shift that began in the 1960s and ’70s, where elites began to criticize the working class for their materialism, referring to their pursuit of consumer goods like homes and cars as a sign of poor taste or misguided values. This has since evolved into the WEF’s famed propaganda piece, ‘You’ll own nothing, and you’ll happy”, with environmentalism the driving force.
With the rise of movements like Earth Day in 1970, the environmental narrative shifted from genuine concerns like clean air and water and zeroed in on the energy sector, which is “fundamental to all production” and rich with opportunities for political control, continues Lindzen.
Especially critical of how climate alarmism has exaggerated the impact of carbon dioxide (CO2), Lindzen points out that it is a minor greenhouse gas compared to water vapor. He recounts how, during the 1970s, early climate models by Manabe and Wetherald introduced the idea of positive feedback loops amplifying CO2’s effect, a hypothesis that has since become central to most climate models. However, these models, according to Lindzen, often violate basic principles of natural systems, which tend to resist change rather than exacerbate it.
Rare August Chill To Bring Snow To The West; Frost Damage Across Argentina And Brazil; + Mann Called For A Record 33 Atlantic Hurricanes This Season – By Late August, We’re At 5
August 23, 2024 Cap Allon
Rare August Chill To Bring Snow To The West
It’s not just Northern California bracing for rare August snowfall this weekend—higher elevations of states such as Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming could also see flakes.
A cold front is shifting through the NW, bringing the potential for snow in the mountains. Overnight temperatures in the western Montana valleys are expected to dip into the upper 30s, with even colder conditions at higher elevations, challenging records.
Temperatures across the region are forecast to plummet 30-40F below average, spanning northern California, Oregon, Idaho, and southwestern Montana. Even lower elevations, from central and southern California to Nevada, will feel the chill, with temperatures falling as much as 25F below normal.
In Montana’s Missoula and Bitterroot Valley, outright cold conditions are on the way, with temps in the low 40s predicted. Add to this a high chance of precipitation, and early-season mountain snowflakes are a very good bet — in August:
Frost Damage Across Argentina And Brazil
The intense cold snap that swept through southern Brazil last week is expected to have significantly affected several crops, particularly wheat.
In Rio Grande do Sul, where nearly a quarter of the state’s 1.31 million hectares of wheat is in the crucial flowering stage, frost damage has already been reported. A report from the state agency Emater/RS, released on Thursday, highlights growing concerns over potential yield losses during this critical phase of crop development.
Meanwhile, Argentina is bracing for more frost as damaging cold weather continues to grip much of the country, extending August’s pattern of harsh conditions. Recent reports suggest these frosts will further threaten wheat production, despite the forecasted rainfall in the coming days.
Argentina is facing another wave of polar cold, expected to intensify through the weekend, according to latest GFS runs.
Mann Called For A Record 33 Atlantic Hurricanes This Season – By Late August, We’re At 5
A highly publicized Atlantic hurricane season forecast called for 33 named storms this season. It will need 28 storms, mostly in September and October, to verify.
That’s approximately a new named storm every other day, after Ernesto recently made it five. I suppose this is possible, at a straw-clutching stretch and if the ‘cLiMaTe ChAnGe juices’ really start flowing, but it is highly improbable.
“Could this be the worst climate science prediction ever made?” asks meteorologist Ryan Maue, tongue firmly in cheek.
Unsurprisingly, the prediction came from none other than The Hockey Shtick himself, Michael ‘Nostradamus’ Mann — a man who, in my opinion, has done more to erode the credibility of climate science than all other AGW Party members combined.
Mann and his cronies colleagues called for a record-breaking 33 names storms for the North Atlantic Hurricane season:
NOAA joined in too, also forecasting the highest number of named storms in their history.
The mainstream media took these “dire predictions” and ran with them, as they are tasked to do:
Rare Snow And Century-Old Cold Records Fall In California; Cold Antarctica; + Fierce Polar Air Mass Grips South America
August 26, 2024 Cap Allon
Rare Snow And Century-Old Cold Records Fall In California
California’s Sierra Nevada Mountains experienced rare August snowfall and record low temperatures this past weekend. A “winter-like cold front” is how the NWS described it, one that barreled in from the Pacific.
Temperatures across the state plummeted, setting new records.
In Reno, August 24 struggled to a high of just 57F (13.9C) which made for the coldest August day in books dating back to 1893.
South Lake and Lovelock, likewise, were among the locales to also setting new historic benchmarks:
Other locations, including Mammoth and Truckee, braced for freezing lows, with the hard freezes expected to last for days.
The associated airmass proved highly unusual, particularly at higher altitudes. At the 500mb level (≈18,000 feet asl), temperature readings were among the coldest ever recorded in August (since at least the late-1970s):
The cold resulted in the High Sierras seeing its earliest snowfall in more than 20 years, some of it quite heavy, to the shock of locals: “August 24th and we are officially on the board for snow!” said one resident.
And while the likes of Mammoth Mountain and Palisades Tahoe received a summer dusting, Mount Shasta posted ≈16 inches of fresh snow:
Cold Antarctica
The low at Margaret AWS, Antarctica on August 26 was -60.8C (-77.4F), recorded at 00:30 UTC.
This isn’t too far from the station’s all-time low set on August 21, 2023 during what proved an extraordinarily cold season.
Antarctica’s short and sweet ‘heatwave’ is over, MSM, the status quo (i.e. anomalous cold) looks to have returned…
Fierce Polar Air Mass Grips South America
A powerful cold wave is advancing up the South America continent, pushing well-into southern Brazil. Rare snow has accompanied the cold, with flakes noted in parts of Santa Catarina over the weekend.
Nations such as Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay have been enduring anomalous lows for much of August, and now a cyclone forming off the coast of Rio Grande do Sul is contributing to the chill, driving frost into multiple Brazilian states.
As well as Rio Grande do Sul, the southern states of Santa Catarina and Paraná are forecast sub-zero temperatures on Monday (Aug 26), with thermometers expected drop to -2.5C (27.5F) in places like São José dos Ausentes.
Frost is likely across vast areas, including Rio Grande do Sul’s Serra region and the plateau areas of Santa Catarina, with -4C (24.8F) and beyond on the cards.
The cold is expected to reach beyond the southern regions and all, which is rare. The polar air mass will extend north, into São Paulo, Minas Gerais, and even parts of Mato Grosso do Sul.
São Paulo’s capital is on track to break records on both Monday and Tuesday — a low of 7C (44.6F) in the forecast here with strong polar winds making it feel far colder. The southeast, including Rio de Janeiro, is also threatening records.
It really is quite impressive just how far north these ‘blues’ and ‘purples’ are advancing (see maps below).
Tuesday, Aug 27, is predicted to be especially cold, with Paraná and even São Paulo forecast hard frosts.
19 August 2024
Hurricane Ernesto (CAT 1) moved up the Atlantic past Bermuda and into the N Atlantic headed to the UK. Summer continued hot in the West and South. Midwesterners had a couple Canadian cold fronts keep them below normal. One person said Missouri felt like fall - a month early. NOAA noted that more cold records were set than hot records this week. Colorado’s monsoon produced widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, thus supporting our beautiful wild flowers.
Europe’s west coast was mild, but interior areas were hot with thunderstorms. Greenland continued to maintain the normal melt curve and added a few days with significant increases (1-2 m snows) to its Snow Mass Balance as deep Icelandic lows passed. Iceland also has accumulated significant early snows on its glaciers (27-184 cm). The ECMWF wave analysis still shows the Ob River Bay frozen. Normally it is ice bound from October to June. Note: the same model now shows all of Hudson Bay ice free. It had ice for the polar bears on its west shores into July.
South America continued to suffer Antarctic blasts that now threaten the coffee crop. Rio had it’s coldest morning in a decade as the interior drought continues. New Zealand continued to build significant snows of 1-1.6 m in the Southern Alps. Island nations continue to grow as the Great Barrier Reef also thrives.
Deep 936-970 mb storms continue to pump significant snows of 1-2 m into Antarctic's coastal mountains and drive howling 40-55 kt blizzards. On August 14, 2024, temperatures in Antarctica hit extreme lows, with Dome Fuji AWS registering -73.5C (-100.3F) and Vostok dropping to -75.5C (-103.9F).
Electroverse noted the absurdity of recent claims that the earth was the warmest in 150,000 years by showing the actual climate record and the 1990 IPCC report that stated “scientists acknowledged that around 5,000 years ago, during the Holocene Maximum, Earth was significantly warmer than it is today.”
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 12 AUGUST 2024
Study: No Change In CO2 Signature Since The Little Ice Age; Island Nations Like Tuvalu: Growing, Not Sinking; + G4 Solar Storm Produces STEVE
August 13, 2024 Cap Allon
Study: No Change In CO2 Signature Since The Little Ice Age
The recent scientific paper “Net Isotopic Signature of Atmospheric CO2 Sources and Sinks: No Change since the Little Ice Age” delves into climate science, carbon cycles, and isotopic data. It challenges the assumption that human activities, namely fossil fuel emissions, are altering the Earth’s climate.
https://www.mdpi.com/2413-4155/6/1/17
At its core, the paper examines the isotopic signatures of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere over the last 40 years, with a special focus on stable carbon isotopes, 12C and 13C.
By studying these isotopes, the study aimed to detect whether the increase in CO2, largely attributed to human activities since the Industrial Revolution, has significantly altered the natural balance of these isotopes in the atmosphere. Surprisingly, the study found no discernible change in the isotopic signature that could be directly attributed to human CO2 emissions.
This finding contradicts the propagandized messaging that human activities are the primary drivers of recent changes in atmospheric CO2 levels and, by extension, the slight increase in temperatures observed since the end of the Little Ice Age.
The study suggests that natural processes, particularly those related to the biosphere, have a much more significant role in driving the carbon cycle and the observed isotopic changes.
The biosphere, which includes all living organisms on Earth, naturally exchanges vast amounts of CO2 with the atmosphere through processes like photosynthesis and respiration. The researchers argue it these natural processes, not human emissions, that are the dominant factors influencing the isotopic composition of atmospheric CO2.
One of the key tools used in the study is the Keeling plot, which plots the isotopic composition of CO2 against the inverse of CO2 concentration. This method, traditionally used to demonstrate the impact of fossil fuel usage on atmospheric CO2, revealed that the isotopic signature has remained surprisingly stable over time, despite CO2’s increase.
This stability was observed across different geographic locations, from the Northern Hemisphere to the South Pole, further supporting the conclusion that human activities have not significantly altered the isotopic balance.
The study also looked at proxy data going back to the Little Ice Age, a period of cooler global temperatures that ended in the 19th century. The proxy data, which includes records from coralline sponges and ice cores, showed no significant difference in the isotopic signature of atmospheric CO2 between that time and the modern era.
Island Nations Like Tuvalu: Growing, Not Sinking
It is often reported that island nations like Tuvalu are at the ‘forefront of climate change’, supposedly threatened by rising sea levels. However, a closer look at the data presents an entirely different story.
Sea levels don’t rise uniformly across the globe. Some regions experience a decrease, while others see an increase, often due to tectonic activity or other local factors unrelated to global ocean volume.
For example, the Big Island of Hawaii is expanding, while smaller islands in the chain are shrinking—not because of fluctuating sea levels, but due to the movement of the volcanic hotspot beneath the ocean that forms the Hawaiian Islands. As this hotspot shifts, older land formations erode while new ones are built.
Tuvalu and similar Pacific nations are frequently portrayed as being in imminent danger from rising seas. You may remember Tuvalu’s Foreign Minister Simon Kofe giving a speech knee-deep in the ocean to highlight the woes of climate change:
Additionally, corals grow upwards as sea levels rise, preserving the structure of atolls and other islands. This natural growth is evident in Tuvalu, a reef-formed island as opposed to Hawaii’s volcanic islands.
A recent peer-reviewed study using satellite imagery and aerial photography found that eight of Tuvalu’s nine large coral atolls have grown over time, along with 75% of its 101 smaller islands.
Similar studies on other islands in the region have reached the same conclusion: these coral atolls are growing.
Further evidence that Tuvalu is not in immediate danger is the island’s consistent population growth and ongoing investments in new beachside resorts and airports—hardly signs of a nation on the brink of submersion.
The fantastical bedtime stories that alarmists mothers tell their alarmists children of island nations such as Tuvalu being swallowed by the rising seas are not supported by the data (nor the application of basic logic).
For a closer look at said data you can visit climateataglance.com .
G4 Solar Storm Produces STEVE
The intense (G4) geomagnetic storm on August 12 triggered widespread auroras across both hemispheres, with sightings reported in the USA as far south as Texas, Mississippi, and Arizona. But not all the lights were auroras. There was also STEVE:
The End
Lastly, this is what I’ve long suspected but could never bring myself to fully believe. I still struggle. What say you?
Pascal Najadi, son of one of the World Economic Forum’s co-founder, calls for the arrest of WEF members, citing their role in injecting a “bioweapon” into 5.7 billion people, from which he and his mother are now dying.
“It’s a democide, and you’ll be judged. It will be corrected in the name of humanity.”
Low Temperature Records Fall In U.S.; Frosts Persist In South America, Impacting Coffee Prices; + Ocean Acidification Exaggerations
August 14, 2024 Cap Allon
Low Temperature Records Fall In U.S.
Anomalously cool temperatures have been the story for much of the U.S. this past week.
According to unofficial records compiled by coolwx.com, a host of daily cold benchmarks have been toppled in recent days, most notably on August 9 and 10:
This is supported even by NOAA, who for the past 7-days have daily cold records outstripping daily heat records.
Frosts Persist In South America, Impacting Coffee Prices
The second week of August has brought relentless cold to large swaths of South America, and records have been felled.
Polar air has pushed as far north as Brazil, into the state of Rio Grande do Sul among others. Already chilled, these regions are now eyeing a further drop in temperatures with the arrival of harsh frosts, according to Brazil’s Institute of Meteorology (Inmet).
A cyclone offshore is exacerbating the issue, diverting fierce Antarctic winds over much of the South American continent. Owing to this, thermometers are further lowering, to -6C (21.2F) in Santa Catarina (thus far).
Inmet has alerts in place for the likes of Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina, and also parts of Paraná, warning of an intensification to the current cold wave that will drop the mercury well-below average—posing health risks.
Already, many regions—including the city of Rio de Janeiro—have observed their coldest lows in over a decade.
Temperatures are set to gradually rise later this week, but the cold will persist, warns Inmet, the biting chill will remain for many.
These conditions are impacting the agricultural sector, driving Arabica coffee prices—for example—up some 7% due to concerns of frost damage in key Brazilian growing regions. While recent frosts haven’t caused widespread damage to key crops like sugarcane, coffee, or grains, the threat posed by the intensifying freeze has traders on edge, closely monitoring the weather.
Thiago Cazarini, president of Cazarini Trading Co., noted that even the threat of minimal frost in the Cerrado/High Mogiana regions has rekindled supply fears, especially given Brazil’s ongoing drought, which threatens next year’s crop and all.
Looking ahead, after the brief warm-up scheduled for this later this week, another polar blast is forecast to return on August 20 to Argentina, as per latest GFS runs (see below), making its way up the continent to Southern Brazil by August 23.
Ocean Acidification Exaggerations
Ocean acidification is often a key source of AGW Party alarm, conjuring imaginations of environmental devastation. However, such fears are misplaced.
First and foremost, ocean water is not acidic and is unlikely to become so.
The pH scale, where 7 is neutral, classifies values below 7 as acidic and above 7 as alkaline. The ocean’s pH typically ranges between 7.8 and 8.5, with an average around 8.1—well within the alkaline spectrum.
For comparison, rainwater, naturally more acidic with an average pH of 5.6, poses no threat to lifeforms exposed to it.
As atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) levels increase, more CO2 is absorbed by the oceans, leading to a slight reduction in pH. Since 1850, the pH of surface ocean waters has dropped from 8.2 to 8.1—a minimal change that keeps the oceans far from acidic.
This situation is similar to what happens in planted aquariums where CO2 is injected into the water by growers to promote plant growth: unless CO2 levels become unrealistically high, it actually benefits the ecosystem. In the oceans, this extra CO2 supports the growth of phytoplankton, which is crucial to the marine food chain, ultimately fostering a more vibrant marine ecosystem.
Record High Coral Cover
Australia’s Great Barrier Reef (GBR) is a case in point.
Despite the decades of alarmist claims that acidifcation is killing the coral, 2024 has seen then GBR achieve its highest recorded coral cover since monitoring began in 1986, surpassing the previous records set in 2022 and 2023.
Dr. Peter Ridd, a former professor at James Cook University, has long criticized the mainstream portrayal of the GBR’s health, arguing that fears of its destruction are based on flawed science.
Despite facing professional backlash, including being fired, Ridd continues to advocate for a more balanced and accurate assessment of the reef’s status over baseless fear-mongering rhetoric.
Researchers Pumped Extra CO2 Into A Forest, And Biodiversity Thrived; UK’s Low Food Production; + Personal Carbon Credits, Another Tool For Control
August 15, 2024 Cap Allon
Researchers Pumped Extra CO2 Into A Forest, And Biodiversity Thrived
The Birmingham Institute of Forest Research (BIFoR) conducted a study on a 180-year-old oak forest, revealing that elevated CO2 levels (140 ppm above ambient) resulted in a 9.8% increase in woody biomass over seven years.
Using Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) technology, the trees absorbed more CO2, particularly into wood, which stores carbon for longer periods. The study found that the additional carbon led to increased exudation from fine roots, enhancing nutrient cycling in the soil, which further supports ecosystem growth.
The researchers analyzed tree rings and conducted laser scans of the canopy to assess tree growth and carbon sequestration.
Interestingly, while overall net primary productivity (NPP) increased by an average of 10.6%, most of this boost was attributed to wood production rather than to increases in other tissues. This suggests that mature temperate forests, previously thought to have limited responses to increased CO2, could play a more active role in carbon sequestration than expected.
Moreover, the study found that elevated CO2 resulted in a 43-63% increase in root exudation, which stimulates soil microbial activity and enhances nutrient availability, further improving forest growth dynamics and biodiversity.
The study—likely in order to get published—insists that while forests like these are crucial carbon sinks, they are not a substitute for reducing fossil fuel emissions. Over time, wood decomposes, and the stored carbon is eventually released back into the atmosphere, meaning that the long-term solution to climate change still lies in curbing emissions.
UK’s Low Food Production
UK farmers are urging the government to safeguard national food self-sufficiency as new data reveals record lows in domestic production.
The National Farmers’ Union (NFU) highlighted this on “self-sufficiency day,” marking when the UK would run out of home-grown food if reliant solely on domestic supply from January 1. The NFU is asking that the government to acknowledge the vulnerabilities in global food supply chains and the need for stable domestic production.
Defra recently reported that Britain’s self-sufficiency in fresh vegetables has dropped to 53%, its lowest since 1988.
Recent challenges, including a wet winter/spring, a historically cool summer, and absurd government incentives to stop growers from growing have strained yields and lowered farm confidence, leading to a significant reduction in cereal planting for the 2024 harvest.
Personal Carbon Credits, Another Tool For Control
Global elites, via puppet governments, are pushing increasingly radical policies to address the “existential crisis” that is climate change. However, critics argue that the “climate emergency” is merely a scare story, a modern tool used to manipulate and control the masses, driving acceptance of undemocratic draconian measures.
Dutch political commentator Eva Vlaardingerbroek is one of those vocal critics. She warns that the climate agenda is already ushering in a modern form of feudalism, where power and wealth are concentrated in the hands of a few, and ordinary people are left with nothing (and we should be happy about it).
Such extreme initiatives are being promoted as if they are beyond question, argues Vlaardingerbroek, who calls the current climate narrative a smokescreen, one designed not to save the planet but to justify policies that will lead to unprecedented control over individual lives.
“So what will happen is the rich will get richer, the poor will get poorer, and they’re saying it openly as if it’s not a controversial thing at all,” says Vlaardingerbroek.
Nothing Makes Sense
For centuries, Earth has gone through periods of warming and cooling—long before industrialization. Today’s carbon emissions are not the primary driver of our planet’s change; rather, factors such as solar activity and oceanic cycles are the key players.
In a rational world, this position wouldn’t be considered controversial. However, we don’t live in an era guided by reason and reflection; instead, we are governed by unseen megalomaniacs who view controlling the global population as the ultimate prize.
The climate narrative is the excuse for these unelected betters to forward their controlling policies, such as Net Zero and personal carbon credits. Many, like Vlaardingerbroek, believe that by creating a constant sense of fear and urgency, the elites can push through measures that limit personal freedoms under the pretext of saving the planet.
Antarctica Registers -75.5C (-103.9F), Sea Ice Surges; Winter Far From Over In New Zealand; Historical “Heatwave Days” Show No Trend; + No, CO2 At 1,000 ppm Won’t Lead To Headaches And Nausea
August 16, 2024 Cap Allon
Antarctica Registers -75.5C (-103.9F), Sea Ice Surges
On August 14, 2024, temperatures in Antarctica hit extreme lows, with Dome Fuji AWS registering -73.5C (-100.3F) and Vostok dropping to -75.5C (-103.9F).
Accompanying the anomalously cold, Antarctic sea ice is up 1.5 million square kilometers compared to the same date last year—an area more than twice the size of Texas.
Around the Antarctic Peninsula, in particular, sea ice coverage is at or near record highs, standing in stark contrast to the incessant mainstream shrills of climate doom.
Despite this major growth, media outlets like the BBC have remained silent, choosing instead to focus on narratives that support the theory of man-made climate change rather than unobjectively report on the truth, which is their supposed mandate.
While AGW Party-funded climate models foretell of vanishing ice due to human prosperity, this year’s Antarctic surge highlights the fatal flaws in those assumptions. Polar ice behavior, especially sea ice around Antarctica, is far more complex and variable than the press and climate activists want to acknowledge.
Winter Far From Over In New Zealand
A stretch of milder weather had hinted at an early spring in New Zealand, but a looming cold front is about to send those hopes packing, particularly across the South Island.
Otago and Southland, for example, have already seen a stark temperature drop this week, with an intensification on the cards. The likes of Dunedin are forecast 2C (35.6F), Mosgiel -1C (30.2F), with inland areas of Otago and Southland seeing -2C (28.4F).
MetService meteorologist Mmathapelo Makgabutlane has advised residents to prepare for the incoming chill, recommending that firewood supplies be topped up before the weekend freeze sets in.
A southwest flow is expected to bring substantial snowfall to inland parts of the South Island, with settling snow expected Sunday down to as low as 400 meters (1,300 ft).
“This is an early heads-up for farmers with young livestock and road users who may be traveling on elevated roads or mountain passes,” said Makgabutlane .
The polar cold is forecast to persist into next week and all, with snow potentially reaching even lower levels.
Historical “Heatwave Days” Show No Trend
Heatwaves in the United States are often cited as evidence of global climate broiling, with claims that these events are becoming more frequent. However, examination of the historical data tells a different story.
A heatwave is defined as a period of at least three consecutive days where the maximum daily temperature (Tmax) reaches or exceeds the 90th percentile for that specific date and location. Using this definition, the number of “heatwave days” (HWDs) can be calculated annually by counting the total number of days that meet these criteria.
To provide a broader national perspective, these values are averaged across multiple weather stations. For this analysis, data from 828 USHCNd stations, all those with at least 100 years of daily temperature records to ensure accuracy and consistency.
The results show that there is no statistically significant increase in the frequency of heatwaves in the U.S. since 1895. In fact, there is a slight downward trend.
The most notable spike in heatwave activity occurred in the 1930s, coinciding with the Dust Bowl era, which saw widespread drought and extreme temperatures across much of the country.
Additionally, none of the top ten years with the highest number of heatwave days have occurred in the last 35 years. Eight of these record years took place before 1955. The top heatwave years are found to be 1936, 1934, 1931, 1901, 1980, 1933, 1954, 1988, 1930, and 1937 — the most intense periods of heatwave activity in U.S. history are well in the past, when atmospheric CO2 concentrations were lower.
The data show that heatwaves are not becoming more frequent in the United States. The long-term trends suggest stability rather than escalation. This jars with the absurd and down-right insulting headlines doing the MSM rounds:
The summer of 2024 is starting to wind down, and the percent of the U.S. to have reached 90F this year is the fifth lowest on record:
No, CO2 At 1,000 ppm Won’t Lead To Headaches And Nausea
Elon Musk recently claimed that if carbon dioxide (CO2) levels were to rise above 1,000 parts per million (ppm) breathing would become uncomfortable, among other health issues. Put simply, this isn’t true.
Historically, Earth’s atmosphere has contained far higher levels of CO2—5,000+ ppm—during periods like the Cambrian explosion and the Permian period. These epochs saw explosive biodiversity and life thrived.
For example, CO2 levels during the Cambrian explosion reached around 4,000 ppm, yet this period marked one of the most significant increases in life on Earth, with the emergence of most major animal groups.
In modern contexts, many people are regularly exposed to CO2 levels above 1,000 ppm without negative health effects.
Workers in greenhouses, where additional CO2 is often pumped in to promote plant growth, experience concentrations around 1,000 ppm without issues. Submariners live in environments with CO2 levels up to 7,000 ppm for months on end without discomfort. Even classrooms, offices, and cars often have CO2 levels around 1,500 ppm, with no adverse effects.
While extremely high CO2 concentrations (≈20,000+ ppm) can lead to health issues such as hypercapnia, a condition where CO2 builds up in the bloodstream, levels of 1,000–2,000 ppm are far below those thresholds, such levels are provenly beneficial for life. Moreover, as per mainstream scientific understanding, atmospheric CO2 concentrations were ≈1,000 ppm when primates evolved.
Claims suggesting ‘CO2 = boogeyman’ are inconsistent with both historical evidence and modern indoor environments.
Challenging Mainstream Climate Absurdities; Universities: From Objectivity to Activism; + Climate Policies = Wealth Redistribution
August 19, 2024 Cap Allon
Challenging Mainstream Climate Absurdities
Hockey stick graphs, which depict a sharp rise in recent temperatures, have become a central tool for promoting climate alarmism. The latest claim—that the past 12 months were the hottest in 150,000 years—is demonstrably absurd.
In the 1990 IPCC report, scientists acknowledged that around 5,000 years ago, during the Holocene Maximum, Earth was significantly warmer than it is today.
The past had changed dramatically by the late-1990s, thanks in no small part to rewrittings of Michael Mann.
Take a look at the IPCC Third Assessment Report from 2001 (chapter 2, on page 134) which based its new temperature reconstruction on Mann’s newfound ‘hockey stick’:
Mann et al’s 1998 paper was, however, widely derided upon publication, and with good reason. Respected American statistician and professor Edward J. Wegman was one of the first to analyze Mann’s methodology and findings. He came to this conclusion:
“Overall, our committee believes that Mann’s assessments that the decade of the 1990s was the hottest decade of the millennium and that 1998 was the hottest year of the millennium cannot be supported by his analysis.”
Ouch.
More importantly though, the evidence against abrupt 1990s warming extends far deeper than scathing peer reviews.
According to the Geological Survey of Norway, 6,000–7,000 years ago, the Arctic Ocean was periodically ice-free. In contrast, current sea ice levels closely match the 30-year average, and the Arctic, even at the height of summer, is nowhere near ice free.
Sea ice has proven stable, and the polar bear population is growing quite rapidly. In fact, there are so many bears in Canada and Greenland this summer that locals are having to shoot them over safety concerns:
Another piece of evidence: 5,000 years ago, trees grew much far north than their current range. A 5,000-year-old tree stump near the Arctic Ocean in Canada shows that the closest trees were once 80 to 100 km further north. In Russia, forests extended to the Arctic coastline between 9,000 and 7,000 years ago. It must have been warmer during the Holocene Optimum than today.
The tree line rose to higher altitudes and all, suggesting warmer mountain climates.
The 1990 IPCC graphs, which showed the Holocene Maximum, are far more accurate than those to have followed.
Before Michael Mann’s rewriting of climate history 25 years ago, the data showed that Earth was warmer when CO2 levels were lower—directly contradicting the narrative that carbon dioxide controls global temperatures. The hockey stick was introduced because it showed that temperatures spiked as CO2 levels surpassed 300 parts per million. But absurdity breeds absurdity, and built upon the hockey stick’s foundations, it follows that the last 12 months were the hottest in 150,000 years.
Although the data say otherwise, the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming train must keep going, no backtracking allowed.
Universities: From Objectivity to Activism
In a direct challenge to traditional scientific neutrality, the authors here advocate that universities formally integrate climate activism and advocacy into academic job requirements, abandoning the pretense of objectivity.
These activist-scientists believe that a “re-purposing of universities” is required in order to achieve “sustainable human progress”, arguing that research and teaching alone are insufficient to address the urgent climate and ecological crises, insisting that academics must “move from publications to public actions” to drive transformational change.
The authors propose radical reforms: universities should “explicitly recognize advocacy as part of the work mandate,” allocating time for activism, public engagement, and even civil disobedience. They suggest revising hiring and promotion criteria to reward activism, stating that “the criteria used in promotion decision-making should…include specific criteria related to advocacy and engagement.”
In short, political activism would become a cornerstone of academic careers.
Rejecting the notion of scientific impartiality, the authors assert that remaining neutral is morally indefensible, claiming that “with knowledge comes responsibility” like academic spidermen. They dismiss concerns about credibility loss, citing studies that show activism does not damage public trust in research. Uh-huh. They even urge universities to defend staff who engage in civil disobedience, suggesting institutions “explicitly guarantee that they will not discriminate against staff with a criminal record for non-violent protest.”
The end goal is for academia to become a hub of climate activism, where scientific inquiry and political advocacy are muddied and intertwined. The authors envision a new academic model, one in which the role of scholars is not only to seek knowledge but to actively engage in fighting for environmental and social change. I think we’re just about there already, and it isn’t working.
Climate Policies = Wealth Redistribution
The data are clear: despite the billions spent since the Paris Agreement, global decarbonization has barely improved, inching up from 1.98% to 1.99%.
To meet the target of reducing CO2 emissions by 80% by 2050, the world would need to increase its decarbonization rate to 8.1%—a far cry from where we stand today. But I argue this was never the goal.
Where is our money is going?
Taxpayer funds, funneled into climate policies, are evidently doing next to nothing to solve the proclaimed environmental crisis. Instead, these policies are benefiting the elites. Wealthy corporations and industries, often under the guise of green initiatives, receive substantial subsidies and government support, while the middle and lower classes bear the brunt through higher taxes, rising energy costs, and job losses in traditional sectors.
The system is designed to maintain the status quo, enriching the already rich and empowering those already in power. Policies perpetuate this wealth redistribution, all while delivering jack in terms of environmental progress.
In the end, said policies have nothing to do with saving the planet—they’re about control. The centralization of power and wealth through climate policy reveals a system more concerned with economic dominance than decarbonization.
Most frustrating of all, the deluded paint-tossers among us continue to support their own gradual enslavement:
12 August 2024
This week North America had a CAT 1 Hurricane Debby hit the Florida Panhandle and move up the East Coast as a Tropical Depression dumping heavy rains and flash flooding. The Central US cooled as another Canadian High and Ontario low pulled cool air south and triggered rains along the front. The Rockies had a strong monsoon with thunderstorms, heavy rain, and a rare tornado at 9500 ft elevation in the old mining town of Cripple Creek. Heavy monsoon rains in Colorado are triggering local flash flooding particularly in forest fire burn scars. Polar Bears in Northern Canada continue to increase in numbers and are becoming a nuisance with one man killed last week.
The La Niña remains very weak, now leading to a potentially neutral forecast this winter. See album for SST anomaly maps and Polar Bear sightings....
Europe was relatively mild in the North and hot in the south as the westerly jet brought in cool Atlantic air. Greenland and Iceland collected 30 to 200 cm snows and the Greenland ice melt remained at normal levels. Siberia remained relatively mild with max temperatures only reaching 28ºC. Slovenia had several 30ºC + days. The UK remained relatively cool.
Asia continued to add snow in the Tibetan Plateau and the Indian Khardungla Pass had several cm of snow - another rare event. The monsoon rains kept New Delhi relatively cool after its record heat this spring.
Australia continued to have Antarctic fronts keep it relatively cool and the Snowy Range had notable snows. New Zealand also continued to add snow to the Southern Alps. The jet stream continued to spin up deep storms on the Antarctic coast that dumped 1-2 meter snows. The interior warmed to -50 to -69ºC. Heavy snows continued in the highest mountains of the Andes with 1-2 m in narrow bands. Antarctic Sea Ice continued to expand in area coverage gaining 1 million square km in a week as observed by satellites.
Brazil is setting cold records as far north as Sao Paulo. Antarctic cold fronts kept Brazil and Argentina cold. Interior Amazona still reached 30-35ºC under clear skies.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 12 AUGUST 2024
Vast Cold Wave About To Sweep The U.S.; No, Jellyfish Aren’t Taking Over The World; Greek Study Challenges CO2-Temperature Causality; Temperature Variations and Civilizations; + X-Flares
August 6, 2024 Cap Allon
Vast Cold Wave About To Sweep The U.S.
Last week’s forecast appears to be holding up: summer threatens to quit early this year.
The United States is about to be painted ‘blue’ and ‘purple’ as descending polar chills crash down from on north.
The cold wave will start today (Tuesday) for northern states, for the likes of Montana, and will have engulfed much of the CONUS by Friday.
As per latest GFS runs, thermometers could drop as much as 20C below summertime norms:
Monthly low temperature records are under threat.
Let’s see if the media gives this as much attention as they did last month’s standard summer heatwave:
No, Jellyfish Aren’t Taking Over The World
Data from the Spanish Mediterranean coast shows a clear decline in jellyfish stings—a reliable proxy for populations—since 2008.
These findings challenge the much-propagandized narrative that jellyfish are proliferating due to global warming…
A recent paper “Epidemiology of Jellyfish Using the Sting Index to Identify Trends and Support Proactive Management” debunks the alarmist notion that jellyfish populations are increasing due to climate change.
Analyzing 15 years of lifeguard reports from 148 municipalities along the Spanish Mediterranean coast, the study uses the ‘Sting Index’ to assess trends from 2008 to 2022.
The index measures jellyfish stings (as well as other beach injuries), and it shows a clear downward trend:
Greek Study Challenges CO2-Temperature Causality
A recent peer-reviewed study from a team of prominent Greek researchers has cast doubt on the prevailing anti-carbon narrative, suggesting that the relationship between CO2 and temperature is misrepresented.
The study asserts that it is temperature changes that drive variations in CO2 levels, rather than the widely promoted belief that CO2 increases cause temperature rises. Today’s paint-tossing alarmists have it entirely backwards.
The researchers based their findings on an analysis of data from the past 70 years, showing that natural CO2 variations due to temperature increases are significantly larger than those caused by human activities–which account for no more than 4% of the total emissions.
This was further supported by examining the stable carbon isotopes, 12C and 13C, in atmospheric CO2. The analysis revealed that the isotopic signature of CO2 has remained stable over the past 40 years, indicating that the increase in CO2 is not primarily due to human prosperity but to natural processes, particularly the biosphere’s response to temperature changes.
Temperature Variations and Civilizations
Climate proxies –such as gas bubbles, pollens, isotopes, and ice cores– are preserved physical characteristics that allow scientists to reconstruct historical climatic conditions before record-keeping began around 1880.
The chart below shows temperature variations of surface ice in Greenland from ice cores relative to the 1880-1960 average, correlated with European and Mediterranean temperatures with the rise/peaks of major civilizations overlaid:
Analyzing the chart, during the ‘Holocene Climatic Optimum’ (≈8,000 to ≈4,000 BC), a thermal maximum (warming peak) occurs at around 6000 BC. The temperature drop from this maximum to 20th century levels is approximately 3C.
Temperature variations between warm and cold peaks come out at around 1C, except for the ‘8,200 BP event’ which saw a 2C change.
Warm peak intervals average 400 years, hinting at cyclical astronomical influences.
The chart also points to potential links between climatic changes and the rise and fall of civilizations. Jarring with today’s narrative, humanity has thrived during epochs of warmth, with the peaks of past civilizations coinciding with local peaks in temperature.
Polar Fronts To Hit South America; Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Gains 1 Million Km2 In A Week; Frigid Winter Forecast For NH; + New Study: Predicting Climate Change “More Difficult Than Previously Thought”
August 7, 2024 Cap Allon
Polar Fronts To Hit South America
South America is on for three significant cold waves this month, according to latest GFS runs, with extreme temperature anomalies expected across vast areas of the continent.
The first major cold wave is forecast to hit August 10, with southern Brazil, Paraguay, northern Argentina, and parts of Bolivia seeing anomalies some 12C to 16C below 1981-2010 climatological norms.
These blues and purples will bring frost and snow to areas unaccustomed to such phenomena.
https://electroverse.info/additional-polar-fronts-to-grip-south-america-antarctic-sea-ice-extent-gains-1-million-km2-in-a-week-frigid-winter-forecast-for-nh-new-study-predicting-climate-change-more-difficult-than-previ/
By August 21, the cold looks set to have intensified, but by this point it will be its persistence causing problems, to agriculture and also daily life more broadly.
Warnings are being issued for hazardous conditions, centering around freezing temperatures. The agricultural sector is on alert, readying for potential impacts to crops and livestock. Energy providers are also anticipating increased heating demand.
Stay tuned for updates.
Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Gains 1 Million km2 In A Week
Antarctica is witnessing a vast increase in its sea ice extent: a ≈1 million km2 gain during the past week alone.
This year (blue line) is pointing straight-up, fast approaching the levels of the 1980s:
As they did during the months and months of colder-than-average temperatures observed in recent years, I expect the media to drop their interest in Antarctica (and so neglect to inform the public re. the vast ice expansion currently playing out), only to return when conditions once again realign with their narrative. This tells a one-sided sort of heat and melt ONLY, misinforming, as is their MO.
Frigid Winter Forecast For NH
This winter is shaping up to be exceptionally cold, according to The Old Farmer’s Almanac.
Ever since its first edition in 1792, The Old Farmer’s Almanac has used a unique, proprietary method of predicting weather that it still employs today, though with updated tech.
Three scientific disciplines are used: “solar science, the study of sunspots and other solar activity; climatology, the study of prevailing weather patterns; and meteorology, the study of the atmosphere.”
The 2025 winter almanac doesn’t arrive until Labor Day (Sept 2), but their website is offering a teaser: Say goodbye to the warm El Niño and say hello to the cold La Niña, is the general theme.
According to The Almanac:
“We’re expecting a neutral El Niño Southern Oscillation or possibly even a La Niña this winter, following a strong El Niño last year. At the same time, we’re anticipating a warm Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and a cool Pacific Decadal Oscillation. We’re also watching equatorial stratospheric winds known as the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation. Combinations of these factors can also cause the polar vortex to drop added flashes of cold into North America.”
Adding cementaion would be a waning Solar Maximum and the dissipation of all that additional stratospheric water vapor from Hunga-Tonga (there are signs the latter could even be delaying the onset of La Niña — more on that in another article).
New Study: Predicting Climate Change “More Difficult Than Previously Thought”
A new study published in Science Advances reveals that uncertainties are currently too large to accurately predict exact tipping points for Earth’s climate systems, such as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), polar ice sheets, and tropical rainforests.
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adl4841
These theorized tipping points are characterized by rapid, irreversible climatic changes with potentially catastrophic consequences. However, as the study shows, predicting when/if these events will occur is more difficult than previously thought.
Climate scientists from the Technical University of Munich (TUM) and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) have identified three primary sources of uncertainty.
First, predictions rely on assumptions regarding the underlying physical mechanisms as well as regarding future human actions to extrapolate past data into the future. These assumptions can be overly simplistic and lead to significant errors.
Second, long-term, direct observations of the climate system are rare, and the Earth system components in question may not be suitably represented by the data.
Third, even the historical climate data that we do have is incomplete. Huge data gaps exist, and the methods used to fill these gaps, particularly on longer timescales, often introduce significant errors rendering them all-but useless.
Summer Snowfall at Khardungla Pass; Polar Bear And Arctic Sea Ice Lies Persist; + Incoming CMEs
August 8, 2024 Cap Allon
Summer Snowfall at Khardungla Pass
Fresh settling snow was recorded over Khardungla Pass on Wednesday afternoon.
According to local reports, 2 inches of rare summer snow has accumulated on the pass located in the Ladakh region of the Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir, with more on the cards.
“No, this is not a joke,” writes Kashmir Weather on X.
‘India is on fire’, has been the impression given by legacy media outlets in recent months.
Not so.
It’s snowing in the north, for one…
https://electroverse.info/summer-snowfall-at-khardungla-pass-polar-bear-and-arctic-sea-ice-lies-persist-incoming-cmes/
Polar Bear And Arctic Sea Ice Lies Persist
Polar bear populations are increasing, and the Arctic isn’t coming anywhere close to being ice-free, yet that hasn’t stopped researchers at the University of Manitoba claiming the opposite in a new report.
The report, published in Ecology Letters, included researchers from Polar Bears International, Environment and Climate Change Canada, the San Diego Zoo Wildlife Alliance, and MacEwan University, in addition to the University of Manitoba.
The researchers posit that polar bears living in the high Arctic are most at risk, as they rely heavily on frozen sea ice for hunting and mating and would struggle to adapt to a warming climate.
“The problem with climate change is that in probably around 10 years from now, we will see the entire Arctic becoming ice-free in the summer,” claims Ruth Rivkin, a postdoctoral research fellow at the University of Manitoba.
“Polar bears in the high Arctic are not genetically suited for those environments, because those are not the environments they currently exist in. So we think this might contribute to their vulnerability to climate change.”
Polar bear populations are increasing globally and all, from an estimated 5,000 – 10,000 in 1960 to north of 30,000 today.
The University of Manitoba et al. know this full well, hence them spewing ‘forecasts’ and ‘predictions’ rather than analyzing the actual data we have. “Human prosperity bad, heat planet, melt ice, kill bears.” After 30 year of this claptrap, little has changed.
Temperatures at the North Pole are about to drop back below freezing with winter 2024-25 fast-approaching, and yet miraculously a whopping 6,471,875 km2 of ice has survived another catastrophic summer melt season.
Incoming CMEs
One, and possibly two, Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are currently heading towards Earth after M-class solar explosions from sunspots AR3774 and AR3777 on Wednesday, August 7.
The CMEs are anticipated to reach Earth on August 10, and their impact could trigger G3-class geomagnetic storms.
Such storms can cause disturbances in the Earth’s magnetosphere, potentially producing powerful auroras, and also affecting satellite operations, power grids, and radio communications:
Record Heat Streak Ends; “Think Before You Post”; + Multiple (X-Flare) CMEs Inbound
August 9, 2024 Cap Allon
Record Heat Streak Ends
According to the European climate agency Copernicus, the 13-month streak of record-breaking global temperatures ended this July as the natural El Niño climate phenomenon began to subside.
Copernicus calculates its global average temperature using observations and climate models. It produces reanalysis datasets, filling in gaps where direct observations are lacking (which is a substantial portion of the planet, I might add). The Earth’s surface is gridded, and temperatures are averaged within each grid cell, then combined with area-weighted calculations to determine the global average.
In a copied-and-pasted article doing in the mainstream rounds, scientists are warning that this recent dip in temperatures does not reduce the threat of climate change.
“The broader context remains unchanged,” said Samantha Burgess, Copernicus’ deputy director. “Our climate continues to warm.”
As per the article, human-caused climate change is continuing to drive extreme weather events worldwide. In support of this contention, a few cherry-picked and entirely unprecedented events are offered up, including the flooding in Cape Town, South Africa; the landslide on Indonesia’s Sulawesi island; and Hurricane Beryl.
July’s global average temperature was 0.68C (1.2F) above the 30-year average, according to Copernicus, and 1.48C (2.7F) above pre-industrial levels, nearing the 1.5C ‘threshold of doom’ set by the 2015 Paris Agreement.
“Think Before You Post”
The UK government’s latest campaign, as showcased in the X post below urging citizens to “Think before you post,” is a chilling reminder of the state’s increasing clampdown on free expression.
Cloaked in the rhetoric of preventing harm, this warning from the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) that “content that incites violence or hatred isn’t just harmful—it can be illegal” reeks of a draconian overreach into the lives of citizens.
This is not just a nudge towards responsible behavior; it’s a blatant threat. The vague language around what constitutes “inciting hatred” opens the door to a scenario where any dissenting opinion could be criminalized.
The government’s message is clear: step out of line, express a controversial opinion, and you might find yourself in jail.
In their most desperate attempt yet to stifle free speech, the CPS will “prosecute when the legal test is met”. But of course the state decides what is permissible discourse, which leaves no room for the messy, sometimes uncomfortable realities of free expression. “In order to think, you have to risk being offensive,” goes the Jordan Peterson quote.
And to the point of asking citizens to monitor and control the behavior of those around them, well, this harks back to an Orwellian shoulder-glancing hellscape where everyone is both a suspect and an enforcer.
Brits, resist this encroachment on your rights and remain vigilant against a government that is all too eager to silence dissent.
August 12, 2024 Cap Allon
Deadly Polar Bear Attack Highlights Growing Threat
A fatal attack at a remote radar site in the Canadian Arctic has highlighted growing concerns about increasing polar bear numbers.
The incident occurred last Thursday at an outpost on Brevoort Island, in Canada’s far northeastern Nunavut territory, where a pair of polar bears attacked and killed a worker, as reported by Nasittuq Corporation, the facility’s operator.
“Two polar bears attacked, resulting in the tragic loss of one of our valued employees,” wrote the logistics company in a statement. “Nasittuq employees responded swiftly to the situation, and one of the bears was subsequently put down.”
The recent surge in polar bear numbers has raised safety concerns, not only in Canada but also in Greenland, where there has been a notable increase in bear sightings onshore, most notably in East and Southwest regions.
The Polar Bear Specialist Group recently estimated the population in East Greenland at around 650 bears, far higher than expected. A study then identified an additional 234 bears in Southeast Greenland which, again, far exceeded earlier estimates.
Former Prime Minister of Greenland, Aleqa Hammond, has linked the rise in bear sightings and incidents near communities to the abundant sea ice offshore. Hammond noted that polar bears, which rarely venture into Southern or Western Greenland, have been spotted near towns and even close to Nuuk, Greenland’s capital.
The situation has become so critical that locals have had to shoot several bears for safety reasons, as they encroached on populated areas. The Greenlandic government is now under pressure to increase the annual hunting quota.
This is some twist to The Narrative, one that is still being peddled by the likes of the BBC and National Geographic even in 2024:
Record Cold Sweeps Brazil
Much of South America, including Brazil, is grappling with a fierce cold wave that has meteorologists reaching for the record books.
A powerful polar air mass traversing up Chile, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and Bolivia has entered Southern regions of Brazil, leading to record-low temperatures, widespread frost, and even rare snowfall in areas unaccustomed to such conditions.
The cold has even been felt in São Paulo, with the city, typically mild even in winter, enduring its coldest temperatures in years.
On August 11, 2024, Greater São Paulo recorded a low of 7C (44. F) at the Mirante de Santana station, marking the coldest August morning in 13 years. In other parts of the city, temperatures dipped even further, with Marsilac reporting 4.3C (39.7F).
Meteorologists say temperatures will continue to plummet, potentially reaching new lows of 5C (41F) on August 13 and 14. In higher-altitude areas like Campos do Jordão, the mercury is expected to drop to a historic 2C (35.6F), with a high risk of frost.
The ongoing cold front has disrupted daily life not only in São Paulo but across the South and Southeast. Heating systems—often unnecessary in this region—are now being used extensively across schools and businesses, sending energy demand soaring.
The chill is proving particularly harsh in these southerly regions, with cities like São Joaquim and Porto Alegre crashing below the freezing mark. Thermometers here are forecast to plunge further still, as per MetSul Meteorologia, to 7C (19.4F) and beyond.
Widespread frosts and even snowfall are on the cards in these parts, according to MetSul —a rare occurrence in Brazil.
As this cold wave persists, residents across the affected regions are being urged to take precautions. Dressing in layers, insulating homes, and keeping a supply of warm blankets and hot beverages are essential measures to combat the cold, so reads government advice.
Latest GFS runs foresee South America’s big freeze persisting through Aug 14. And then, after a brief reprieve, another wave of blue and purple is expected to barrel in next week, again reaching southern Brazil (by Aug 23) and intensifying thereafter.
Natural Climate Variability
The below (uncited) graph illustrates the significant fluctuations in Central Greenland temperatures over the last 15,000 years, showing that natural climate variability has been a constant feature of Earth’s history. see album
Periods such as the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age reveal the climate has experienced notable changes without human influence, long before the much-maligned industrial era (when the bulk of humanity clawed itself out of the gutters).
Throughout the 11,700 years of the Holocene interglacial period, carbon dioxide levels rose by less than 2 molecules per 10,000. Yet, for over 81% of this time, temperatures were higher than they are today, even with lower CO2 levels.
This points to factors other than CO2 driving temperature changes on Earth.
5 August 2024
The Wall Street Journal WSJ had an interesting lead article entitled “Polar Bears, Dead Coral and other Climate Fictions” 31 July 2024. This comprehensive article gives statistics on polar bear population increases, healthy coral reef expansions, atoll island expansions, and cold waves killing more than heat waves…. See:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/polar-bears-dead-coral-and-other-climate-fictions-528b18ea?mod=hp_opin_pos_5#cxrecs_s
Colorado is suffering extremely dry and hot conditions that have spread 4 deadly wild fires. Monsoon rains are expected this week to help the firefighters. Today, Summit County had its second wet monsoon afternoon. Yesterday, Gunnison had flash flood conditions. Front Range heat exceeded 100ºF and the high deserts in Colorado and Utah have exceeded 103ºF frequently this week. The central US was actually below normal by 3-10ºC. TD4, now Hurricane Cat 1 Debby hit the Florida Panhandle today. This slow moving storm threatens to produce record rains and flooding.
Europe has had a cool summer in the UK and parts of central Europe; however, southern areas were hot with cooling thunderstorms. Greenland set a daily record increase of 3 GT Snow Mass Balance as the seasonal SMB curve remained normal. However, polar bears were becoming a hazard as their numbers were unusually high in several coastal towns.
Southern Hemisphere jet stream continues to trigger large deep storms that are setting cold and snow records. New Zealand skiing is off to a good start catching up with the central Andes. Southern Brazil is wet and cool while the Amazon is hot and dry.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 5 AUGUST 2024
Remarkable Summer Gains On The Greenland Ice Sheet; Solar Influence on Tropical Cyclones; + IPCC Misrepresents Satellite Data, Scientists Say
July 31, 2024 Cap Allon
Remarkable Summer Gains On The Greenland Ice Sheet
On Tuesday, July 30, 2024, the Greenland ice sheet posted a remarkable ≈3 Gigaton July gain. Data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) show this to be one of the highest daily summer additions since records began in 1981.
This figure is only bested by the ≈4 Gigaton set at the beginning of the month on July 1, 2024.
The deep blue areas on the map below visualize the significant mass gains, occurring predominantly in the south:
The 1981-2010 averages call for significant summer melt at this time of year, what we saw yesterday was a 3 Gigaton gain.
Though not all plain sailing –note the two-day plunge in mid-July– this season, overall, is proving another frustration for the alarmists; it looks set to be another year of above-average SMB for the Greenland Ice Sheet:
Greenland’s Petermann Glacier, for example, has grown almost ten miles since 2012, when the press hysterically announced the glacier’s imminent demise:
Solar Influence on Tropical Cyclones
A new paper paper “Effects of Solar Variability on Tropical Cyclone Activity” explores the relationship between solar variability, measured by sunspot numbers (SSN), and tropical cyclone (TC) activity across six global regions: Eastern Pacific (EP), North Atlantic (NA), North Indian (NI), South Indian (SI), South Pacific (SP), and Western Pacific (WP).
Using TC best-track data and SSN, the study reveals a significant anti-correlation between yearly TC activity and yearly SSN in the North Atlantic region, evident when considering their 11-year moving averages.
This trend is observed for both TC counts and accumulated cyclone energy (ACE).
The study highlights that globally, more TCs occur during periods of low solar activity (SSN < 50) compared to high solar activity (SSN > 100).
Notably, extreme TC events, defined by maximum wind speeds of 137 knots or higher (i.e. Category 5), are most likely to occur during the declining phase of a solar cycle and least likely during the ascending or maximum phases. The yearly occurrence rate of extreme TCs is almost double during the declining phase (1.123) compared to the ascending phase (0.625).
The study suggests that the lower solar activity periods are more conducive to intense TCs due to decreased UV radiation, which decreases the upper troposphere temperature and consequently the cyclone intensity. However, competing mechanisms, such as geomagnetic activity and cosmic rays, are also suspected to play key roles.
Additionally, while the North Atlantic shows a strong inverse relationship between TC counts and SSN, this pattern does not hold for other regions, with the South Pacific even showing a positive correlation.
As per the paper’s conclusion:
We have studied the relationship between solar activity and TC activity. The study utilized SSN as a proxy for solar activity. TC activity was inferred from IBTrACS data set The major findings are as follows:
The long-term trends in TC occurrence and SSN suggest that, in the Northern Atlantic region, solar activity and TC activity are strongly anti-correlated. TC occurrence count increases with decreasing solar activity and vice versa. A similar behavior is observed in terms of ACE.
Lower solar activity conditions are more favorable toward the generation of more intense TCs as compared to those in higher solar activity.
More importantly, extreme TC events (≥137 knots) are most likely to occur during the declining phase of a solar cycle. They are least probable during the maximum and ascending phases of the solar cycle.
Although solar activity levels are similar during the declining and ascending phases, the yearly occurrence rate is nearly double in the declining phase (1.123) as compared to that in the ascending phase (0.625).
The exact physics and dynamics behind such behavior are not clearly understood. It would require a proper modeling framework to understand and explain how solar variability controls/contributes toward TC activity.
IPCC Misrepresents Satellite Data, Scientists Say
In their article “Misrepresentation of Critical Satellite Data by IPCC,” scientists Ned Nikolov and Karl Zeller argue that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) manipulated critical satellite data in its 2021 report to support the theory that human activities are the primary cause of recent global warming.
The NASA Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) project has been providing detailed data on Earth’s reflected solar and emitted thermal radiation for over 24 years. These data indicate that Earth’s absorption of solar energy has increased significantly since 2000, primarily due to a decrease in low-level clouds.
As per the article, “CERES data have shown that the Earth’s average annual absorption of solar energy increased by 2.0 W m-2 from 2000 to 2020 (and by 2.7 W m-2 between 2000 and 2023) due to a decrease in planetary albedo, which was mostly driven by a reduction of low-level clouds.”
Nikolov and Zeller argue that the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) ignores this increase in solar energy absorption and misrepresented key data. Specifically, they claim the IPCC report incorrectly shows trends for reflected solar and outgoing thermal radiation, suggesting that greenhouse gases, not solar changes, are the primary drivers of recent warming.
They assert that “not only was the measured albedo-controlled solar forcing ignored as a climate driver in the Report’s conclusions, but Section 7.2.2 in Chapter 7 contains Figure 7.3, which shows opposite trends of reflected solar and outgoing thermal fluxes to those observed by CERES.”
The authors discovered that the IPCC report had inverted the trends of the CERES data, creating a misleading impression that solar forcing played no role in recent warming, resulting in false trends.
“We found out that the CERES global anomalies of reflected shortwave and outgoing longwave radiation have been multiplied by -1 in the computer code employed to generate Fig. 7.3. This caused inversion of the long-term trends of these key climate parameters.”
The problem with IPCC’s Fig. 7.3 is that the plots of reflected solar and outgoing thermal radiation show opposite temporal trends compared to those found in the actual CERES observations. Figures 1 and 2 below illustrate this fact.
At the same time, the net flux (a.k.a. the Earth’s Energy Imbalance or EEI) in the IPCC Figure has a correct trend (Fig. 3).
Nikolov and Zeller believes the implications to be significant.
If the CERES data were correctly represented, it would show that the increase in absorbed solar energy could explain the observed warming without needing to attribute it to greenhouse gases. This of course challenges the central claim of the IPCC report that human activities are the main cause of global warming.
According to the authors, “the solar forcing explains the entire tropospheric warming since 2000, and there is no sign of ‘heat trapping’ by greenhouse gases in the system.”
Nikolov and Zeller call for an independent reevaluation of climate science, free from political influence, to ensure unbiased representation of data in future IPCC reports. They advocate for depoliticization of climate science.
The pair conclude, “it would be in the World’s best interest to launch an independent, critical reevaluation of fundamental premises in the climate theory from the standpoint of modern observations, and establish a new, objective peer-review system that ensures a complete and unbiased representation of all available data in the IPCC Reports.”
In recent years, Nikolov’s work has shown that the CERES satellite data effectively disproves the global warming GHG theory. Recent warming, his research reveals, was caused by a decrease in Earth’s cloud cover and albedo, not an increase in CO2.
Nikolov has high hopes regarding his exposing of the IPCC’s misrepresentation of the CERES data, recently writing on X: “This discovery may be more powerful than ClimateGate in its potential to collapse the entire anthropogenic climate-change narrative.”
Record July Cold Hits Scotland; Summer To Quit Early This Year; NASA’s Claim of Earth’s Hottest Day; + Auroras In The USA
August 1, 2024 Cap Allon
Record July Cold Hits Scotland
Barring for the odd day, July has been notably chilly across the UK, record cold in parts of Scotland.
Last night, temperatures dropped to a remarkable 1.7C (35.1F) in both Tyndrum and Tulloch Bridge — new lows or July. While Bishopton, Renfrewshire also recorded a new summer low of 5.1C (41.2F), breaking the old record of 5.3C (41.5F) set in 2001.
Though a handful of pleasant days have prevailed, temperatures across the UK this July have been lackluster, with Scotland barely reaching the mid-20s (mid-70s Fahrenheit), with Floors Castle in the Borders doing best with 25.2C (77.4F) on July 19.
July temperatures typically reach around 30C (86F), while every July since 2010 has surpassed this year’s high. July 2007 was the coolest in modern times, with a high of 23C (73.4F) — you have to go back to 1960 to find a cooler July.
This July’s maximum of 25.2C (77.4F) ranks 69th out of the last 84 years.
“Astonishingly low temperatures for this late in July!” writes STV forecaster Sean Batty on X.
https://electroverse.info/record-july-cold-hits-scotland-summer-to-quit-early-this-year-nasas-claim-of-earths-hottest-day-auroras-in-the-usa/
NASA’s Claim of Earth’s Hottest Day
NASA reported that July 22, 2024, was Earth’s hottest day on record, with temperatures nudging above 17C (62F), surpassing the previous record set in July 2023. NASA attributes these temperatures to human prosperity, i.e. CO2 emissions.
“In a year that has been the hottest on record to date, these past two weeks have been particularly brutal,” states NASA Administrator Bill Nelson.
NASA claims July 22 was Earth “hottest day on record”, but the global historical climatology network data set, used by both NOAA and NASA to draw their comparisons, contains long-term daily temperature data mostly the United States, not the globe.
For the majority of the planet we don’t have temperature data extending back this far, yet government agencies and their western media lapdogs continue to give the impression that a long-term global average is well-known. It isn’t. It is guesswork.
It is possible to construct a relatively reliable long-term temperature dataset for the United States –dating back to the late-1800s– but the AGW Party aren’t fans of doing this as it doesn’t show much of a warming trend — things are practically flat.
Looking at the average maximum temperatures in the U.S. on July 22 from 1895 to 2024, this year saw a relatively cool July 22, ranking as the 110th warmest since 1895.
Critics, such as Tony Heller, argue that NASA’s assertion of July 22, 2024 being the hottest day on record globally overlooks significant historical patchiness. Also, note NASA’s own chart ‘global daily temperature’ (above), it only dates back to 1980.
Nothing unprecedented is occurring; there is no cause for alarm; no call to trash living standards in order to save humanity. Are 2023 and 2024 proving anomalously warm? It appears so, yes. But as always, there are natural (temporary) explainers:
What we should be concerned about is ‘Net Zero’:
“If we actually achieved Net Zero, at least 50% of the population would die of hunger and disease,” says Dr. Patrick Moore, co-founder of Greenpeace, who goes on to give just one example, nitrogen based fertilizers.
“At least 50% of the population depends on nitrogen fertilizer for its existence. And there’s people trying to ban it, and the Netherlands and Sri Lanka have already made these kinds of moves. So it is truly a death wish in disguise, and the disguise is to save the Earth, which doesn’t need saving.”
Summer To Quit Early This Year
In a frustrating twist for the AGW Party, latest GFS runs foresee a significant cold air mass engulfing much of the CONUS come mid-August, contradicting the media’s relentless cherry-picked spiel of “record summer heat”.
Maps show a massive cold anomaly sweeping from the Rocky Mountains to the East Coast, with temperatures plunging as much as 20C below average.
States from Montana to Alabama are set to experience unseasonable, potentially record-breaking lows.
This premature end to summer will give the MSM’s heatwave fixation a few problems.
Not to worry though, I’m sure the likes of CNN will sidestep the U.S. and instead ambulance chase the warmth around the planet — I would say they’d continue their milking of the Paris Olympics, which is apparently experiencing heat “impossible without climate change,” but a cool-down is on the cards here and all:
Auroras In The USA
On July 31, Earth was struck by two coronal mass ejections (CMEs).
Though each impact was weak, they collectively triggered a G1-class geomagnetic storm, resulting in auroras over Minnesota:
Heavy Snow Hits New Zealand; Chilean Ski Resort Remains Open Despite Volcanic Activity; Too Many Polar Bears In Greenland; + British Farmers Paid To NOT Produce Food
August 2, 2024 Cap Allon
Heavy Snow Hits New Zealand
Crowds descended upon Canterbury’s ski fields for a “perfect snow day” on Friday, with Mt Hutt drawing over 3,000 skiers and snowboarders alone. “Today is the day we’ve been waiting for!” wrote Porters Alpine Resort on its website.
Fresh snowfall this week has revitalized South Island ski fields, and as the weather cleared, skiers hit the slopes in their droves.
Heavy blowing snow had caused significant disruptions across the region, with areas such as Fairlie, Hanmer Springs, and parts of Canterbury, all blanketed white, before the flakes shifted towards Marlborough.
Owing to the conditions, multiple severe weather warnings were issued, including for North Canterbury which was put under an orange warning for heavy snow.
As of Friday, all facilities at Mt Hutt Ski Area, Porters Alpine Resort, and Mt Dobson were operational, with access roads cleared.
Mt Hutt general manager James Urquhart had anticipated a large turnout, but Friday’s crowd “exceeded our expectations.”
“This is our busiest day of the season. It seems like everyone in Canterbury took the day off,” he added “There’s a lot of excitement on the slopes today.”
New Zealand Ski chief executive Paul Anderson remarked that Thursday was also an “amazing day” with decent snow bases reported across the South Island after the most-recent 24-hour storm, including the 83 cm (32.7 inches) at Mt Hutt.
Meteorologist Alwyn Bakker explained that a high-pressure system was now over much of the South Island, keeping skies clear and the temperatures low. Mt Dobson is noting -7C (19.4F), while Mt Hutt, slightly cloudy, is seeing -4.6C (23.7F).
“A lot of ski fields received a substantial snowfall from the recent storm,” said Bakker. “The low temperatures are helping to preserve the snow, making it a great time for skiing.”
This reality calls into question the myriad of predictions calling for catastrophic glacial demise in New Zealand.
One prominent forecast claims that a significant number of glaciers on NZ’s South Island will have completely melted by 2030.
“In a decade, we predict that many of our beloved and important glaciers will be gone,” said NIWA principal scientist Andrew Lorrey in 2022. “This will have far reaching impacts, such as altering our beautiful landscape, affecting the livelihoods of people who rely on these natural wonders for tourism, and flow on effects from decreased meltwater during periods of drought.” (WEF)
Chilean Ski Resort Remains Open Despite Volcanic Activity
The Villarrica Volcano, towering 9,383 feet (2,860 meters) above Centro Ski Pucon in Chile, has shown significant activity. Since late last year, Villarrica has been in an active eruption cycle, with a further uptick noted in July.
Last erupting in 2015, the volcano released three emissions on July 21 that caused “long-period earthquakes,” according to the Chilean National Geology and Mineral Service
Villarrica, located 470 miles south of Santiago, is one of Chile’s most active volcanoes and hosts Centro Ski Pucon, a modern ski resort. The town of Pucon, known as Chile’s “adventure capital,” sits at the volcano’s base, and has not yet been evacuated but is on alert.
Following the major eruptions in March 2015, thousands were evacuated, and the highest level alert was issued which prohibited all activities on the mountain.
Recent activity at Villarrica has exceeded normal Strombolian levels, with a yellow alert issued.
Despite the alert, the ski resort remains open during what is proving a record-breaking snow season. Already, some 400 inches of snow has accumulated since the start of the season, with another large storm expected Friday.
This is the story across many Chilean and Argentinian mountains this year; that is, unprecedented snowfall.
Speaking to resorts in North America, Timberline on Mt. Hood in Oregon is the continent’s last open ski center.
Owing to strong snowfall and efficient snow management, Timberline has been running for over eight months now, surpassing Arapahoe Basin in Colorado for the longest season in North America.
The resort is expected to reach nine months, with August 22 set as its likely closing date.
Too Many Polar Bears In Greenland
Recent reports of an unexpected surge of polar bears onshore in East and Southwest Greenland have raised safety fears among locals and tourists.
The Polar Bear Specialist Group had recently estimated that around 650 bears are located in East Greenland, while a recent study identified an additional 234 bears in Southeast Greenland — numbers far greater than previously thought.
Former Prime Minister of Greenland, Aleqa Hammond, has attributed the unusual number of bear sightings and incidents near communities in recent weeks—including a serious attack on a German researcher—to abundant sea ice offshore.
Zoologist Dr. Susan Crockford adds on her blog, “None of the bears sighted have been described as thin or starving.”
This of course contradicts the predictions of polar bear specialists and AGW Party members alike.
Polar bears rarely venture into Southern or Western Greenland, but this year has been different. On Wednesday, two bears were even spotted near Nuuk, Greenland’s capital.
“There are bears everywhere in West Greenland this year,” Hammond told ExplorersWeb. “Quite a few have been dangerously close to towns in South Greenland this summer, too. Several polar bears have been shot in Qaqortoq, as the bears were literally in town.”
Another two polar bears had to be shot in Ittoqqortoormiit, one on Tuesday evening, the other on Thursday morning — the former was after the bear had approached a dog crate and then headed towards a soccer field where children were playing.
This comes after an attack last week in East Greenland involving a German researcher on Traill Island.
There are so many polar bears in Greenland right now that locals are having to shoot them for their safety. The Greenlandic government is even being pressured to raise the annual hunting quota. This is some twist to the story that those coffee-spitting alarmists have been peddling for the past few decades.
For more, you can read Dr. Crockford’s article over at polarbearscience.com.
British Farmers Paid To NOT Produce Food
A British farmer describes how his government is offering to pay him not to produce any food.
“We’ve been offered £2500 to join a scheme for three years, where we don’t supply you any food.”
Why would a government incentivize farmers not to grow food?
“Control the food, control the people” …?
Arctic Shipping Season Is Shortening; Rapid Antarctic Sea Ice Growth; Failed IPCC Desertification Prediction; Sunspot AR3780; + Don’t Tell Me What I Can And Can’t Eat
August 5, 2024 Cap Allon
Arctic Shipping Season Is Shortening
There is a belief that melting sea ice in the Arctic is making the Northwest Passage—a shipping route connecting the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans—more accessible.
However, a new study examining changes in the shipping season from 2007 to 2021 paints a different picture.
The research, which analyzed the navigability of the Northwest Passage (NWP), found that the shipping season is actually getting shorter along the majority of the route.
This finding is significant—for one because it had been hoped the NWP would be used as a shorter and more economical alternative to traditional shipping routes like the Panama and Suez Canals.
The northern route, in particular, shows a significant decrease in the duration of the shipping season. The Eastern Beaufort Sea, M’Clure Strait, and Viscount Melville Sound, all parts of this route, have experienced substantial reductions in the number of weeks that ships can safely navigate these waters.
In the Eastern Beaufort Sea, for example, the shipping season has decreased by 14 weeks over the 15-year period, a substantial change that poses challenges for both commercial shipping as well as community resupply missions.
The southern route of the NWP shows less variability in shipping season length — no statistically significant changes, in fact. This stability, however, does not necessarily make it a more reliable option for future shipping, assert the researchers, as the presence and dogged persistence of multi-year ice (MYI) remains a significant obstacle.
Despite the propagandized reports of “Arctic sea ice decline”, real world data points continue to paint a different picture. The continued presence of MYI, which is older and thicker ice, in “choke points” along the route is shortening the shipping season.
This shortening has broader implications beyond international shipping, points out the researchers. Arctic communities that rely on maritime traffic for the resupply of goods and food could face increased challenges and costs. The study recommends that resupply missions to these communities be carefully planned based on the growing ice across the NWP.
As zoologist Susan Crockford recently posted to X: “A climate ‘tipping point’ is a theoretical concept that has never been observed. It’s really fear mongering on steroids: we might call it the ‘big scare.’ … Arctic summer sea ice was predicted to go into a ‘death spiral’ but shows no sign of plummeting.”
Rapid Antarctic Sea Ice Growth
The AGW narrative isn’t being supported by goings on at the foot of the world either. Over the past five days, the Antarctic sea ice extent has grown at a record rate.
As shown by recent data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), from July 28 to August 3 there has been a significant increase in ice coverage, particularly along the coastlines of East and West Antarctica.
Green indicates areas of ice gain:
Failed IPCC Desertification Prediction
According to the IPCC, climate change is set to worsen desertification in dryland areas.
As per the doctrine, rising temperatures, increased evapotranspiration, and decreased precipitation will intensify land degradation, which will in turn negatively impact millions of people, especially in regions such as Asia and Africa.
Desertification will degrade ecosystem health, reduce agricultural productivity, and cause biodiversity loss, is the claim.
Checking in with reality, however, the opposite is playing out — the planet is greening owing to increased CO2 levels in the atmosphere. Southeast Australia, for example, has seen its woodlands grow, a pattern that is also observed in the Sahel, western India, northern China, and southern Africa–to name just four other regions (e360.yale.edu).
The primary cause is the rise in atmospheric CO2, which enhances photosynthesis and allows plants to use water more efficiently. This CO2 fertilization effect boosts vegetation growth even in arid regions. Studies suggest this greening trend will continue as CO2 levels rise, improving ecosystem health, boosting agricultural productivity, and increasing biodiversity — the exact opposite of IPCC assertions.
Instead of the promised desertification, drylands, covering about 40% of Earth’s land and home to a third of the global population, have expanding vegetation. The vast majority of the planet’s arid regions are greening.
The AGW Party has been proven dead wrong. So, they have updated the wording in their EOTW pamphlets:
“Yes, the world is greening,” they now admit, “HOWEVER, increased vegetation can deplete scarce water resources and disrupt native desert ecosystems. Invasive species may also outcompete native plants, leading to ecological shifts.”
Sunspot AR3780
A new noteworthy sunspot group is appearing over the southeastern limb of the sun.
Labeled AR3780, this large and active region is expanding. Due to its substantial size, the sunspot likely has the potential to generate strong solar flares. However, an assessment of its magnetic stability will need to wait until it turns towards Earth.
Earth has been firing of late. The monthly average sunspot number for July 2024 was 196.5, according to the Royal Observatory of Belgium’s Solar Influences Data Analysis Center — the highest number since December 2001:
Don’t Tell Me What I Can And Can’t Eat
In 1979, Austrian-British academic Friedrich Hayek wrote: “‘Emergencies’ have always been the pretext upon which the safeguards of individual Liberty have been eroded, and once they are suspended it is not difficult for anyone who has assumed such emergency powers to see to it that the emergency persists.”
In a recent interview, Jordan Peterson sat down with German farmer Anthony Lee.
“We have a farming minister who’s telling us we should only eat… 10 grams of meat per day,” said Lee.
“When the politicians start telling you what you can and can’t eat, we’ve crossed a line,” replied a fiery Peterson.
“You don’t get to tell me where I set my thermostat. You don’t get to tell me what I can drive and when, and you certainly bloody well don’t get to tell me what I can eat,” Peterson continued. “Once you’re waving the flag of planetary savior on the environmentalist front, once you’ve turned 100% to that kind of nature worship, there is absolutely no level of control whatsoever that you won’t stoop to and justify by your moral pretension.”
29 JULY 2024
FRANCE opened the Olympics with rain and heavy rain as a jet stream max passed over triggering heavy showers and rain. This kept the opening ceremonies cool and wet. Today was clear and warm. Greenland had significant snows of 1-2 m on the SE coast as deep (986 mb) storms near Iceland pumped moisture ashore. Greenland’s Snow Mass Balance SMB is on the normal curve decreasing as the ice melts in summer. It has had several large daily increases and decreases as storms pass. Much of Europe N of the Alps has enjoyed relatively cool temperatures. Siberia and much of Asia remained normal with the Indian Monsoon tempering the area.
Canadian and California wild fires produced smoke and aerosol alerts over wide areas in Canada and the US including Colorado, where dangerous air quality slowed outside work and recreation. Visibility dropped to 1-5 miles by mid week. Fortunately, westerly winds cleared the skies by Friday 7/27/24 and our Summit County visibility went back up to its normal 20+ mi. The Central US had below normal temperatures as Canadian air and thunderstorms cooled the afternoons. This week another ridge will bring excessive heat and dry skies creating wild fire dangers to Colorado.
Polar bear scientists in Canada reported on July 18th that a large band of sea Ice was jammed against the western shore of Hudson Bay. The polar bears, tagged by the University of Alberta, are still on the ice - unusual for July. windy.com's wave analysis also showed this ice. See:
https://polarbearscience.com/2024/07/18/w-hudson-bay-sea-ice-not-going-away-anytime-soon-as-polar-bears-sit-tight-offshore/
The Southern Hemisphere jet stream remained strong bringing deep storms and Antarctic blasts to Australia, New Zealand, Chile and Argentina. The Andes continued to pick up 1-3 meters of snow and New Zealand had 65-186 cm in its 10-day forecasts. Australia’s Snowy Range also picked up 11-21 cm. Snowy Range skiers enjoyed a rare taste of powder. Interestingly, a cold 1035 mb high over Victoria and a 999 mb large storm over the Tasman Sea created an intense snow storm over NZ with 5 cm/3hr snows and 10-day forecasts of 91-106 cm today. Howling blizzards of 40-55 kt winds continued to hit the Antarctic coast with 956 to 975 mb storms dumping 176-259 cm in the 10-day forecasts. Temperatures warmed to -40 to -66ºC in the interior.
The Sudden Stratospheric Warming continues to evolve in the Southern Hemisphere. This warming of +25ºC in the stratosphere ~15 km MSL would reverse the flow and create a strong meridional - wavy flow in the troposphere bringing cold Antarctic air northward. This bears watching.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 29 JULY 2024
Study Confirms CO2 Is Greening The Earth; Geo-Engineering Driven By Profit and Megalomania; Statewide Highs; + “Control Energy, Control Human Beings”
July 23, 2024 Cap Allon
Study Confirms CO2 Is Greening The Earth
The studies are mounting re. the significant positive impact of CO2 on global greening, providing strong evidence that the AGW Party fanatics are wrong and that increased carbon emissions are a net benefit to the planet and its biodiversity.
The world is becoming greener due to carbon emissions, so concludes a study published in Global Ecology and Conservation.
The paper, by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and the Postgraduate Research & Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province, aimed to provide clear-up mixed results from other recent studies on global greening and browning trends.
In some cases, reduced moisture levels can actually aid crop growth.
“A growing body of research indicates that vegetation growth can be enhanced by moisture constraints due to increased VPD and decreased soil moisture from climate warming,” the researchers stated. Vapor pressure deficit (VPD) represents the gap between the moisture present in the air and the maximum amount of moisture the air can hold at saturation. “A global browning trend could not outpace the positive effects of CO2 fertilization on vegetation growth,” they concluded.
The researchers, from universities in China and Australia, assert that “global greening is an undeniable fact.”
By analyzing meteorological data, they determined that changes in CO2 levels were the main factor influencing the LAI trend, with ‘global warming’ merely dictating the rate of LAI growth. The study effectively sidelines ‘climate change’.
“Within the consistent areas, 64.06% displayed accelerated greening, especially in India, the European plain, and East Africa. Areas with accelerating browning were only 2.07%, primarily in eastern Brazil,” the researchers explained.
“Only 14.44% of the globe experienced browning, with roughly equal portions accelerating (7.28%) and decelerating (7.16%).”
Canadian psychologist Jordan Peterson wrote on X:
“The evidence now points to substantial environmental and economic benefits. I guess I’m no longer just a climate skeptic. I believe that the narrative of a climate apocalypse is fundamentally false.
Geo-Engineering Driven By Profit and Megalomania
If we can’t control rising global temperatures by drastically cutting carbon emissions, could something called geo-engineering be a way to cool the planet? That’s the question posed by the BBC’s Lead Weather Presenter Simon King in a recent article.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c98qp79gj4no
This $135bn industry is experimenting with ways to manipulate the climate. But these speculative and financially motivated efforts are not grounded in sound science, and they come with extreme, often completely unknown risks.
Geo-engineering could inadvertently disrupt global weather patterns, throwing the climate out of whack and resulting in unintended consequences, exacerbating or indeed causing the very issues they claim to want to solve.
King writes that the conspiracy theories are increasing, doubling this year, with ‘BBC Weather’ seeing a spike in social media comments. But the fears, questions and conspiracies are all warranted: plans include reflecting sunlight back into space; removing atmospheric CO2 and pumping it underground; and pouring “60,000 gallons of bleach into the ocean” to “combat acidification” — to name just three.
Statewide Highs
Courtesy of Chris Martz on X, the below map shows U.S. “all-time” record high maximum temperatures by state.
38 of the 50 states (76%) recorded their high temperature records before 1955.
43 states measured theirs in or before 1985. SEE Summer 2024 ALBUM for map
“Control Energy, Control Human Beings”
These are the words of American business executive Joseph Bast, former president and CEO of The Heartland Institute.
“Back in 1993, we identified [global warming] as the mother of all environmental scare tactics,” says Bast. “Groups on the left understood that if you can control energy, you can control human beings.”
He continues: “If, in fact, the combustion of fossil fuels is having a dangerous impact on climate, you have a recipe for controlling all use of fossil fuels—that’s 80-90% of all the energy. If you can control that and shut it down, you can shut down the engines of the world.
“And that is no less than what the environmental movement wants to do, and has been trying to do now going on 30 years [with] the global warming debate.”
Texas Cold Front Breaks Daily Records; Aussie Freeze Exposes Energy Shortfalls; UK’s Cool Summer Results In Low Bat Numbers; + CO2 vs. Natural Climate Variability
July 24, 2024 Cap Allon
Texas Cold Front Breaks Daily Records
Across the United States, anomalous cold has been the dominant story this week — hence crickets from the media.
The mercury across the majority of the CONUS has held below average for going on a week now, with more of the same forecast.
Aussie Freeze Exposes Energy Shortfalls
An unusual and long-lasting cold spell across Australia’s southeast has led to record demand in the national electricity market (NEM).
Throughout April, May, and June, the persistently low temperatures, particularly in Victoria, drove a significant increase in morning peak electricity demand, according to the latest figures from the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO).
Decreased wind in the southern states has also reduced the power output from turbines, marking the lowest quarter of wind power output since 2017 (despite additional capacity).
The combo of low temps and no wind has caused the wholesale spot price for electricity to surge by 23% compared to the same period last year. Gas-fired power generation had to step in to fill the gap, increasing by 16% from the previous year, which, in turn, has seen gas prices reach almost $30 per gigajoule, levels reminiscent of the energy crisis of two years ago.
More importantly, this has also pushed gas infrastructure to breaking point, with AEMO highlighting immediate risks to supplies. The operator warns that peak demand days over next three months (or more) risk rapidly depleting gas storage levels.
UK’s Cool Summer Results In Low Bat Numbers
Conservation groups across England are reporting a surge in malnourished bats due to the UK’s historically cool summer, which has significantly reduced the population of insects, including butterflies and moths, that the bats feed on.
Regions like Cambridgeshire, Norfolk, Worcestershire, Essex, and Lancashire are seeing more “starving” or “underweight” bats, especially juveniles, needing rescue and care. Overall, far fewer bats are being observed this summer.
Butterfly Conservation has noted a significant decline in insects this year.
Dr. Dan Hoare, director of the Conservation, attributes this to the wet spring and consistently cold temperatures, stating, “Butterflies and moths need warmth and dry conditions to fly and mate. Without this, they have fewer opportunities to breed.”
Jonathan Durward of the Cambridgeshire Bat Group explains that the cold summer has forced bats to expend vital energy to stay warm, which they would typically use to care for their young.
In Pensthorpe Natural Park, reserve manager Richard Spowage said, “It’s a downward spiral,” warning that fewer insects reproducing this year could mean even fewer insects next year, further impacting bat populations.
Though the cause is the cold, this hasn’t stopped flagbearers for the uniformed –Claire in this case– blaming the go-to:
Unusually Persistent Sea Ice In Hudson Bay
A broad band of sea ice is jammed up against the western shore of Hudson Bay, hanging on despite the mid-July warmth.
Its unusual thickness suggests it won’t be gone anytime soon, which means most Western Hudson Bay polar bears will likely remain offshore for at least a few more weeks, writes zoologist Susan Crockford on her blog.
Bears tagged by University of Alberta researchers are almost all still on the ice — only two have come ashore so far:
CO2 vs. Natural Climate Variability
In a recent article, Dr. Roy Spencer discusses the impact of increasing CO2 vs natural variability on global temperatures.
https://www.drroyspencer.com/2024/07/an-unusually-warm-year-or-two-cannot-be-blamed-on-climate-change/
Dr. Spencer notes, “Yes, in a warming world due to increasing CO2 there will be a statistical increase in ‘unusually warm’ years. But assuming the warming is entirely due to steadily increasing CO2 causing a slight (currently ~1%) energy imbalance in the climate system, then the warming that results is about ~0.02 deg. C per year.”
He suggests that any deviation from this 0.02 deg. C per year warming rate must be attributed to natural causes.
“This can be easily demonstrated with a simple 1D energy balance model,” Spencer explains. “Anything different is due to natural weather and climate variability.”
Using the UAH global lower trop. temperature chart as an example, Spencer highlights that 2023 was significantly warmer, at +0.51 deg. C above the 1991-2020 average. According to the established trend of +0.14 deg. C per decade, 2023 should have been +0.25 deg. C above the baseline. Conclusion: “About half that warmth was natural. … It’s really that simple.”
Dr. Spencer continues, “All of the media and environmentalist hype is just noise. Really warm years will be offset by cooler years (which no one reports on because it’s not newsworthy) so that the long term temperature trend remains ~0.02 deg C per year of warming (+0.014 deg C per year in our satellite data) … Again, this assumes CO2 is 100% to blame for the long-term warming trend, and the 0.02 value assumes a climate sensitivity on the low end of IPCC projections–which is consistent with observations” — this is shown below, and is written up in more detail here.
B.C. Wineries Get Support After Devastating Winter Freeze; Antarctic Stratospheric Warming Update; “No Snow By 2030”; “Hottest Day in 100,000 Years”?; + X14 Farside Solar Flare
July 26, 2024 Cap Allon
B.C. Wineries Get Support After Devastating Winter Freeze
On Thursday, it was announced that temporary support is on the way for the myriad of B.C. wineries devastated by a deep freeze in January that led to a massive loss of grapes.
New measures will allow the use of grapes and juice from outside the province for the 2024 vintage, helping the industry recover from the severe vine damage suffered earlier in the year.
“It’s been an extraordinarily tough season, with an unprecedented freeze threatening the future of B.C.’s wine industry,” said Roly Russell, Parliamentary Secretary for Rural Development and MLA for Boundary-Similkameen. “Wineries dependent on local grapes face a bleak year unless they can offset costs by sourcing grapes from outside B.C.”
Paul Growers, board chair at Wine Growers British Columbia, stated, “This regulatory change offers essential survival options for B.C.’s mostly small, family-owned wineries, ensuring living-wage jobs and economic stability for our rural communities.”
The wine industry, generating around $3.75 billion annually and employing over 14,000 full-time workers in B.C., desperately needed the new measures, which should provide stability through 2025 and sustain its significant economic contributions.
Antarctic Stratospheric Warming Update
Stratospheric warming above Antarctica is expected to persist into August. This warming event could have significant atmospheric implications, particularly influencing the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).
The SAM is a climate driver for the north-south movement of the westerly wind belt that circles Antarctica. It influences weather patterns in the Southern Hemisphere, particularly in Australia, New Zealand, and parts of South America, and oscillates between positive and negative phases.
During its positive phase, the westerly winds contract towards Antarctica, while in the negative phase, these winds shift towards the equator.
The current stratospheric warming event is expected to significantly impact the SAM.
Stratospheric warming, such as Sudden Stratospheric Warming events (SSWs), involve rapid temperature increases in the stratosphere, and are typically caused by disturbances in the polar vortex. These disturbances can weaken the polar vortex, allowing warmer air from lower latitudes to move poleward and upward into the stratosphere.
A SSW event is a particular type of stratospheric warming event characterized by a swift temperature increase of about 25 degrees Celsius or more within a few days. This can disrupt the normal atmospheric circulation patterns, leading to a cascade of effects that can filter down to the troposphere, the lower part of the atmosphere where our weather occurs. While not all stratospheric warming events are classified as SSWs, they share similar dynamics and potential impacts on weather patterns.
“No Snow By 2030”
Coinciding with the announcement that France will host the Winter Olympics in 2030, French politician and economist Sandrine Rousseau, affiliated with the Green Party, tweeted that there will be no more snow by then:
Contrary to the AGW Party propaganda more broadly, the Alps have experienced significant snowfall of late.
Data from the NCEI points to snow cover in the Alps being above average in 2024 . Reports from ski resorts and national agencies themselves also confirm substantial snow depths and extensive coverage. From France and Austria to Italy and Switzerland persistent snow contributed to one of the most memorable seasons in recent history. The Glacier Monitoring in Switzerland, for example, reported a historic spring pack with all glaciers well-above the multidecadal norm and many breaking all-time records.
“Hottest Day in 100,000 Years”?
According to some reports, Earth just experienced its hottest day in over 100,000 years.
As per the Copernicus ECMWF, the global mean surface temperature (GMST) on Monday, July 22, was 17.16C, narrowly pipping the previous record from July 6, 2023:
This data comes from their ERA Reanalysis product, which dates back to 1940.
Reanalysis combines observations and past computer model data from around the world to create a global picture of hourly estimates of atmospheric, ocean-wave, and land-surface variables. The model interpolates (estimates) any missing data.
In essence—and as discussed yesterday—these figures are not direct measurements but computed means from estimated observations, covering only 84 years—an extremely small fraction of Earth’s geological history.
Reanalysis data has limitations, such as estimating the GMST to the nearest hundredth of a degree Celsius — laughable.
The assertion that this was the “hottest in 100,000 years” is ludicrous. 17.16C? What was the GMST a thousand years ago? What about 10,000 years ago? 90,000 years ago? To the hundredth of a degree, what was the temperature a mere 85 years ago?
They cannot tell you.
X14 Farside Solar Flare
The largest flare of Solar Cycle 25 recently erupted from the sun’s far side.
X-ray detectors on the European Solar Orbiter (SolO) spacecraft recorded an enormous X14 category blast:
“This is a significant event—a 360-degree occurrence,” explained George Ho of the Southwest Research Institute, principal investigator for one of SolO’s energetic particle detectors. “It also caused high radiation levels on Mars.”
On July 24, SolO, directly in the CME’s path, experienced a dramatic spike in particle counts, increasing nearly a thousand-fold in minutes as it was bombarded by energetic ions and electrons. The CME dispersed energetic particles throughout the solar system. Despite being on the opposite side of the sun, Earth was struck by ‘hard’ protons (E > 100 MeV).
Australia’s Winter Continues to Defy BOM Forecasts; EV Industry on the Brink of Collapse; + No Cause For Alarm
July 29, 2024 Cap Allon
Australia’s Winter Continues to Defy BOM Forecasts
Australia’s already very cold winter is intensifying, with temperatures set to plunge further this week.
Brisbane, known for its reliably sunny spells, shivered through its coldest morning in a decade Monday, with more to come.
The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) reported that south and south-eastern Queensland faced some of their lowest temperatures in years. Brisbane hit an overnight low of 2.7C (36.9F), while the Sunshine Coast saw a 17-year July low of 1.6C (34.9F).
Dalby was the coldest place in the sunshine state on Monday morning, with a record low of -4C (24.8F).
Sky News Weather Meteorologist Rob Sharpe: “We’ve already seen this widespread frost from South Australia to Tasmania to Queensland,” he said Monday morning.
Canberra, the nation’s capital, endured an overnight minimum of -5.6C (21.9F).
Alice Springs posted -1.1C (30.0F).
The cold will linger for many, including the central and tropical regions of Queensland — it will actually be colder Tuesday and Wednesday with sub-zero minimums expected to deliver a slew of additional record lows.
South Australia has a frost warning in place, while Sydney residents are forecast to awake to single-digits throughout the week.
The BOM are on damage control, downplaying the cold which continues to render their winter forecast an agenda-fueled joke.
“If we are seeing -6 degrees (C) tomorrow morning, it will either be reaching the record, or record-breaking July minimum temperatures,” Park said, pointing to Cootamundra where the record of -6.9C (19.6F) has stood for more than 50 years ago.
Sheep graziers have been warned that cold temperatures and southerly winds could harm their flocks. Areas affected include the Tablelands (Northern, Southern and Western), Illawarra, Central West Slopes and Plains, South West Slopes, Snowy Mountains and the Australian Capital Territory.
The Snow
With regards to snowfall, it is piling up on the southeast peaks.
More than that, snow in Australia often resembles wet cement, so wet and heavy in temperatures barely below freezing that it’s nicknamed “elephant snot.” However, this past weekend, the unusually frigid, record-breaking lows combined with a dry airmass resulted in light, fluffy, powdery snow falling—something that usually draws Australians to destinations like Canada and Japan.
At Mt Hotham, the Victorian ski resort tied its lowest July temperature in 34 years on Sunday morning, plunging to -8.8C (16.2F).
EV Industry on the Brink of Collapse
It has become clear that the electric vehicle industry is on the brink of collapse.
Profits at the German auto giant Mercedes plunged on Friday as sales of its new range of EVs went into freefall
Porsche abandoned its sales targets for battery-powered cars amid waning demand from customers.
Ford is losing nearly $50,000 on every EV it sells, while Tesla’s profits dropped 45pc.
Meanwhile, battery manufacturers such as Germany’s Varta are getting wiped out.
As concluded by Matthew Lynn, writing for the telegraph.co.uk, hundreds of billions have been pumped into this industry by political leaders and the subsidy junkies that surround them – and it is surely time they were held to account for the vast quantities of taxpayer cash that has been wasted.
EV’s are nothing more than virtue signaling trinkets for the ideologues. They are not ready for the masses. Nor do they work logically, i.e. they are not ‘green’ (to manufacture or run). If it weren’t for subsidies, the free market would have organically disposed of EVs many moons ago.
No Cause For Alarm
Roughly 95% – 97% of annual carbon dioxide emissions come from natural sources like plant respiration, volcanic eruptions, and ocean-atmosphere exchanges. Human activities contribute 3% – 5% of annual CO2 emissions.
The natural environment effectively manages CO2 levels: the oceans, forests, and soils absorb it. Plants absorb CO2 during photosynthesis; oceans take it in through physical and biological processes.
If human emissions ceased today, natural sinks would begin reducing atmospheric CO2 levels immediately with more than 50% completely absorbed within just 30 years.
Ipso facto, there is no cause for alarm, non at all. Some 97% of annual CO2 emissions come from natural sources, and that which has been released by humans can be undone within mere decades. The CAGW narrative is built on fear-mongering obfuscations and outright lies. It ignores the positive impacts that increased CO2 is having, such as greening the planet, as per NASA data.
“The greening data are overwhelmingly significant compared to all counter-arguments,” writes Canadian psychologist Jordan Peterson.
“We see rapidly shrinking arid and semi-arid areas and higher crop yields. In the last few decades, an area twice the size of the U.S. has greened. A more decisive refutation of the doomsayers’ narrative is hard to imagine.”
22 JULY 2024
SUMMER is here in the N. Hemisphere with its typical variety of weather from hot dry to thunderstorms and summer showers, to Canadian cold fronts that bring relief and take temperatures from much above normal to comfortably below normal. Central US gets a “cold wave” July 21-24, 2024.
Europe is experiencing the same variety of weather as N Atlantic storms 990 mb lows pump moisture across north central EU and keep the UK and France relatively cool and in the warm sector above normal with thunderstorms to cool the afternoons. UK Met Office reported a cooler than average summer so far at -1.55º C below normal. The Alps’s glaciers remain snow covered even in the Pyrenees.
India shivvers with 11ºC in July. Himalyas and Tibetan Plateau continue to get significant snow 30 to 60 cm. The Indian Mosoon to mid-July is 22% above normal.
The Southern Hemisphere is in winter with cold and snow - upto 529 cm in the southern Andes, and 20-60 cm in the Snowy Range of SE Australia. Deep 932-970 mb storms buffet the Antarctic coast with 1-2 m of snow in selected spots and blizzards whip the area with 40-55 kt winds.
The South Pole Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSWs can weaken or displace the polar vortex, influencing tropospheric weather. The polar vortex extends from the troposphere, where ‘weather happens’, to the stratosphere, where the ozone layer resides. It acts like a large cyclone covering the poles to mid-latitudes, varying in shape at different altitudes. See album for graphical summary. Dome station hit -82.1ºC on 16 July, its record is -82.9ºC on 27 July 2014.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT. The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now below normal. see:
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
and
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg
The northern jet stream is weakening with many short meridional - wavy N-S flows. Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful. Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall. Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement around the hemisphere.
See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea are back to summer after a record cold and snowy winter.
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m throughout the winter. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns. Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact. The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this winter. Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows in April and a deadly storm in early May. The Tibetan Plateau continues to get significant snow on 15 July 2024 with 49-71 cm.
Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic. It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer. On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok… Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 100% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively. SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly. McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September. Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC. December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively. The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under. South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-137 cm this week. May is setting fall records.
Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward. Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather and now is turning cold as Antarctic highs set new cold records in April and May and are continuing to set cold records. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms. Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
South America was warm, but cold fronts are predicted to take temperatures 5-10ºC below normal next week. The Andes continued to build their glaciers (1-2 m). South American snow was at record levels. Patagonia had significant snows and skiing in the Andes continued in November 2023. Surface temperatures reached -10ºC this week in Patagonia with 8 feet of snow. Argentina and Brazil continued to cool in the south with the floods and antarctic air. Antarctic cold fronts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains (100-300 mm) in the South of Brazil by Iguazu Falls in April. The Iguazu region had heavy rains and floods in contrast to a record drought in the Amazon Basin. However, the past month had heavy rain in the upper headwaters of the Rio Negro and Amazon Rivers. Deep thunderstorms with top temperatures of -70 to -80ºC are helping mitigate the drought. These mesoscale convective complexes can dump 100-200+ mm. Rio and Sao Paulo had flash floods and have remained wet. The Porto Alegro lost over 126 people as extreme flash floods hit the region in May.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
UK energy policy:
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00367-6
Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
Global temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
Allan T. Emrén
Published Online:June 30, 2023pp 401-412. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
Abstract
During the past 170 years, temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased. Published data on global temperature, CO2 data, and data on sea ice in the Arctic have been investigated. It is seen that support for human activities causing the observed increases is weak. It is found that the rate of change in CO2 concentration is controlled by global temperature rather than vice versa. To stop the growing concentration, the temperature has first to be decreased by about 1.4 K. This makes it questionable if attempts by humans to modify the global temperature, or the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere will give any noticeable result. A correlation is found between seasonal variations in CO2 concentrations and Arctic sea ice quantities. The present increase in CO2 concentration and temperature is similar to one 55 million years ago, indicating that the Earth passed a 'tipping point' around 1750.
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
…….
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
A new documentary on climate: Well worth viewing —
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 22 JULY 2024
Buenos Aires’ Coldest First Half Of July On Record; Great Barrier Reef Sets All-Time Record In 2024; Sunspot AR3738; + South Pole SSW Event
July 16, 2024 Cap Allon
Buenos Aires’ Coldest First Half of July On Record
Argentina has been having a historically cold and snowy time of it this winter.
This graph shows the average temperature in Buenos Aires for the first half of July from 1950 to 2024, based on observations from the city’s official Central Observatory.
The first half of July this year, with an average temperature of 7.3C (45.1F), was the coldest since records began in 1950.
The Buenos Aires Astronomical Observatory, established in 1872, has been instrumental in climatological studies through its systematic collection of temperature data.
Initially supporting astronomical observations, the observatory included meteorological measurements to correlate with atmospheric conditions, with reliable records dating back to 1950.
Unfortunately for the alarmists, during the first half of July at least, the dataset shows no trend.
Great Barrier Reef Sets All-Time Record In 2024
As a backwards mainstream media continues to call for the imminent collapse of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) –as they have been for decades now– the latest data reveals sustained, record-setting recovery that should finally silence the doomsayers.
And this is more than a recovery, mind: The most-recent data (2024) reveals GBR coral cover achieved another all-time record-smashing high in monitoring books dating back to 1986, increasing the remarkable cover documented in 2022 and 2023.
[The Guardian]
Defying every CAGW predictions, the GBR has gone the same way as the exaggerated scares of extinct polar bears and an ice-free Arctic. The establishment lapdogs in the media, following script, haven’t yet realized the jig is up, which is amusing.
Refering again to the chart above, the Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS) has reported sustained record-breaking coral growth through the latest annual period ending May 2024. The data show that average hard coral cover in 2023-2024 has remained consistent with the trend seen in previous years, advancing further a remarkable resilience and recovery.
Contrary to the catastrophic warnings, recent years have seen no significant coral bleaching, no cyclones wreaking havoc, and no crown-of-thorns starfish outbreaks. This stability is poison to the AGW Party narrative.
Dr. Peter Ridd, formerly of James Cook University (JCU) in Queensland, has been a steadfast critic of the mainstream narrative regarding the GBR. He has long argued that fears of global warming ‘killing the reef’ are baseless and driven by flawed models and ideologically-motivated claptrap.
In January 2018, Dr. Ridd published an opinion piece in the ‘Marine Pollution Bulletin’, highlighting what he described as a “reproducibility crisis” and questioning the validity of several studies on the reef’s health.
After voicing his dissent, Dr. Ridd faced severe disciplinary actions from his employers, culminating in his dismissal. Despite the attacks, he has continued to advocate for a more accurate and balanced portrayal of the reef’s status, for scientific integrity.
And he has been right to do so — the studies and rhetoric Dr. Ridd publicly questioned in 2018 were prophetic:
Dr. Ridd’s experiences highlight a broader issue within the scientific community, where funding and peer-review processes are often swayed by powerful interests with agendas; where spineless academics buckle under weaponized terms like “consensus”, fail to apply proper scrutiny, and aid in the marginalizing of dissenting voices.
In his commentary for the spectator.com.au in 2023, Dr. Ridd expressed his concerns, stating, “I have been saying for some time that many of our science institutions have become totally untrustworthy. By its willful abandonment of quantitative analysis, the Australian Academy of Science (AAS) has destroyed its reputation as a source of useful scientific advice.”
South Pole SSW Event
Weather patterns in the Southern Hemisphere look to be initiating a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event above the South Pole — a rare but powerful event with global implications.
The polar vortex, which keeps cold conditions at the pole, can occasionally be disrupted by an SSW event. Minor SSWs involve stratospheric temperatures rising at least 25C in a week, while major SSWs also include a dramatic reduction in stratospheric winds.
Currently, stark warming is observed in the stratosphere above East Antarctica, nearing the threshold for a minor SSW.
SSWs can weaken or displace the polar vortex, influencing tropospheric weather.
The polar vortex extends from the troposphere, where ‘weather happens’, to the stratosphere, where the ozone layer resides. It acts like a large cyclone covering the poles to mid-latitudes, varying in shape at different altitudes.
Monitoring the polar vortex is crucial as it affects daily weather. A strong vortex contains cold air at the poles, creating milder conditions elsewhere, while a weak vortex allows cold air to escape into lower latitudes, resulting in ‘polar outbreaks’.
Current analyses show a warming wave pressing against the vortex’s core, causing significant pressure anomalies. This stratospheric warming event, which is seeing temperatures exceed 60C above average, is reducing the vortex’s wind speeds.
SSW events are rare in the Southern Hemisphere, with only three recorded in the satellite era: September 2002, September 2010, and August-September 2019.
Past events have led to sustained cold outbreaks across Southern Hemisphere land masses. Post the 2010 event, New Zealand witnessed a record-cold October, with precipitation benchmarks also falling.
This 2024 event, the latest model runs, suggest the documented warming will lead to above-normal pressures developing over Antarctica in late July, forcing lower pressures across mid-latitudes.
New Zealand, Australia, South America, and southern Africa could see stormier and colder conditions as a result, potentially lasting more than two months and so impacting all of winter.
As for global implications, the Brewer-Dobson circulation connects both hemispheres’ stratospheres.
Eastern Australia Breaks Electricity Demand Records Due To Polar Blast; Summer ‘Snow’ Record At Philadelphia; New Study: Temperature Drives CO2; + Climate Charting Obfuscations
July 18, 2024 Cap Allon
Eastern Australia Breaks Electricity Demand Records Due To Polar Blast
The wintry blast sweeping eastern Australia is setting records for cold and electricity demand alike, affecting multiple states and prompting energy authorities to prepare for outages.
On Monday, Victoria broke a 17-year record for maximum winter electricity demand, reaching 8,612 MW at 6PM, surpassing the previous record set in July 2007 by more than 250 MW.
This demand spike is expected to be challenged again, as temperatures across much of the state remain well-below average with further snows expect from Tasmania through Victoria and New South Wales.
Headed north, Queensland has also set a new record for maximum winter electricity demand, reaching 8,728 MW, up 12 MW from the previous record set on July 4, 2022. At the time of the peak demand, Queensland’s generation mix consisted of 65.1% black coal, 25.9% gas, 4.2% hydro, 2.5% wind, 0.7% batteries, and 1.6% imported.
With winter only halfway over and lengthy periods of anomalous cold forecast to continue buffeting Australia, AEMO has warned that “deliverability risks” could persist until the end of August. Energy authorities say they are working to ensure that households can maintain heating while managing industrial gas supplies.
The cold has persisted this week, intensified even.
Most-recently, Queensland has broken a slew of cold weather records, so reports cairnspost.com.au, in what they have called a “brutal” polar blast. On Thursday, Far North Queensland notched its lowest temperatures in 116 years, with Cape York taking the biscuit. The state has even seen rare snow, which is reported to have fallen at three separate regions in Southern Queensland.
The story of the past few weeks has been anomalous cold, at least in the east.
And looking ahead, latest GFS runs foresee more of the same, with the majority of the Aussie continent set to be engulfed by ‘blue’ by the end of the month, piling extra strain on the grid.
Summer “Snow” Record At Philadelphia
On Sunday afternoon, small hail fell during a thunderstorm at Philadelphia International Airport. The local NWS in Mount Holly, New Jersey logged it as snow due to official guidelines that categorize hail, along with sleet and graupel, as snowfall.
This might have gone unnoticed but for it triggering a record event report:
“Here’s a win for #TeamSnow,” the NWS posted on X. “A record snowfall of a trace was set at Philadelphia PA yesterday. This breaks the old record of 0.0 inches set in 1870.”
The NWS noted that there had been 13 other instances where a trace of summertime ‘snow’ was recorded due to hail:
New Study: Temperature Drives CO2
A study led by Demetris Koutsoyiannis challenges the mainstream belief that atmospheric carbon dioxide drives global temperature increases.
The study employs a sophisticated stochastic assessment method to analyze data spanning from the Phanerozoic eon (around 540 million years ago) to the present.
By examining both instrumental data from the past 70 years and paleoclimatic proxy data from natural recorders like ice cores and tree rings, the research offers a comprehensive look at the temperature-CO2 relationship.
Contrary to the prevailing consensus, the study finds that across all time scales, changes in temperature lead changes in CO2 levels. This unidirectional causality remains consistent whether the period analyzed is short-term (decades) or long-term (millions of years).
https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024287
Climate Charting Obfuscations
A topic sidestepped by climate scientists is a subtle but significant detail in a widely-circulated climate projection chart.
Starting with a projection for temperature increases due to ongoing CO2 emissions, derived from the latest IPCC report, the below graph outlines various potential future scenarios.
The ‘future’ shaded areas and the bars on the right show the uncertainty ranges, which are based on calculations from around two dozen ‘top’ climate models. The IPCC then calculate the mean value, and the deviation from the main value.
This next chart focuses on past temperature simulations from these different ‘top’ models, depicted by various colored lines, with the red line indicating the mean value and the black line representing ‘actual’ data.
German theoretical physicist Sabine Hossenfelder, in her latest video, describes this colorful array as “the rainbow of scientific uncertainty.”
Hossenfelder notes that climate scientists typically report temperature ‘anomalies’ (deviations from a baseline) rather than ‘actual’ temperatures. This practice can be confusing since the baseline varies between the models.
Why not use absolute temperatures? Well, while the models do predict absolute temperatures, these predictions vary significantly and are often found to be wildly inaccurate, and so they are left out.
Cold Records From 1899 Fall In Queensland, With “Vigorous Winds And Blizzards” Forecast For NSW; Stratospheric Water Vapor Update; + Active Sun
July 19, 2024 Cap Allon
Cold Records From 1899 Fall In Queensland, With “Vigorous Winds And Blizzards” Forecast For NSW
Eastern Australia’s cold spell is now proving historic, with long-standing benchmarks continuing to fall.
Focusing on Aussie tropics, i.e. Queensland, Thursday morning saw Palmerville (located at 16°S!) reach 0.5C (32.9F), smashing the July record of 1.7C that had stood since 1899.
Kowanyama posted 4.9C (40.8F), which was a full 1C below the July record set in 1984.
While the 6C (42.8F) daily high observed at Applethorpe made for the lowest max anywhere in the state since 2015.
The remarkable chill has rolled-over into Friday and all.
Charters Towers posting 0.1C (32.2F), which breaks the all-time record also set in 1899, and by 1C and all.
Weipa touched 9.9C (49.8F), which is 0.5C below the July record that had stood since 1959.
Scherger, at 10.8C (51.4F), is 0.9C below its all-time benchmark set June 2011.
While Point Fawcett’s 9.7C (49.5F), pips the July 2023 record by 0.1C.
–This list is far from exhaustive, but you get the idea.
Eyeing ahead there’s even more to come and all, specifically for NSW, where the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has just issued a weather warning: “Damaging winds are expected this afternoon as a strong cold front moves through. Vigorous winds are predicted for the southern ranges, central tablelands, and Illawarra coast, with blizzard conditions likely in the Alpine region.”
If you’re in the East brace for another cold and potentially snowy weekend, is the messaging.
The BOM’s severe weather warning for the NSW Alpine region includes “vigorous winds and blizzards” as a northwesterly cold front passes through Friday. Strong winds will also affect parts of southern NSW before moving over eastern NSW Saturday.
Meanwhile, Queensland set a new record for electricity demand on Wednesday owing to the cold, surpassing the previous winter record set in July 2022. Victoria also set a record on Monday. While Southern WA is next in line for a polar blast.
Looking further ahead, the majority of the continent could be shivering before the end of July, as per the GFS at least:
Stratospheric Water Vapor Update
While Australia has endured cooling of late, globally, thermometers have cranked up a touch over the past 12-or-so months, owing mostly to the unprecedented injection of stratospheric water vapor following the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai volcanic eruption. Referencing the few studies that have been done on this topic, Australia chilling out is actually predicted.
The additional water vapor in the stratosphere, the ~150Tg injected in early-2022, is the defining climatic story of the past two years (H2O being the most potent greenhouse gas), yet it is continually swept under the rug by mainstream climate scientists, mentioned even less by the legacy press.
This is despite NASA themselves quietly conceding its significance.
As stated on the agency’s website, the eruption of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (HT-HH) underwater volcano “resulted in the largest stratospheric aerosol perturbation since the Pinatubo eruption.” … “Studies have proposed that, due to its larger and more persistent water vapor plume, HT-HH will have a net surface warming effect.”
Among the few studies on this subject is “Long-term climate impacts of large stratospheric water vapor perturbations“ published in the Journal of Climate, which states that large stratospheric water vapor (SWV) anomalies “lead to strong and persistent warming of Northern Hemisphere landmasses in boreal winter, and austral winter cooling over Australia, years after the eruption.”
Active Sun
The Sun is crackling right now with 276 sunspots peppering the Earth-facing solar disk — the highest number of Solar Cycle 25.
A potentially dangerous spot lurks among them, the ever-growing ‘AR3751’.
It hasn’t exploded … yet, but AR3751 has a mixed-polarity magnetic field and so harbors energy for X-class flarings. Note the plus-minus-plus sandwich at the heart of the sunspot in this magnetic map from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory:
The Snow Piles Up Down Under, Cold Records Fall; Bengaluru Shivers; Sailors Found Dead After Attempting Fossil Fuel-Free Atlantic Crossing; + Demonizing Human Prosperity
July 22, 2024 Cap Allon
The Snow Piles Up Down Under, Cold Records Fall
A massive snowstorm Friday night continued into Saturday, blanketing Aussie alpine regions.
Despite ‘The Science’ foretelling of a future without snow, this weekend brought a spectacular “Christmas in July” for ski resorts across the southeast, with more 50cm (20 inches)
accumulating in popular tourist destinations.
Angus Hines of the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) described it as a “very wintry outbreak”.
Mt Buller received 22cm (8.7 inches) of snow on Saturday morning, with an additional 15cm (5.9 inches) accumulating throughout the day, and yet more on the way. “It’s been brilliant, it
started snowing on Friday night and hasn’t stopped,” said the resorts marketing manager David Clark. “The best conditions we’ve seen so far.”
While cold enough to snow, it was a slow start in June, “but it’s such a relief to have these big snowfalls and proper cold fronts coming through, setting us up for the rest of the season,” Clark added. “We’re guaranteed to have snow now through October.”
Mount Hotham saw 31cm (12.2 inches) in 24 hours to Saturday morning, reaching full capacity and closing to day visitors. Thredbo, further north, posted 27cm (10.6 inches) overnight, bringing its seven-day total to 43cm (16.9 inches).
“The entire mountain and village are covered in a thick blanket of fresh white snow, creating magical wintry scenes,” a spokesperson said. “Experts forecast this low-pressure system could bring another 50cm (19.7 inches) over the next 10 days.”
Falls Creek in north-east Victoria received 45cm (17.7 inches) of snow in just 24 hours. Its seven-day total has now exceeded 70cm (27.6 inches).
Perisher was hit hard and all, with freezing temperatures were recorded as low as 800m (2,625 feet).
This is owing to the anomalously-low temperatures, which have already proven record-breaking in many spots.
Queensland experienced additional record lows on Monday.
In tropical north Queensland, Cairns dropped to 11.4C (52.5F), to Townsville to 8.6C (47.5F), and the Sunshine Coast to a very chilly 3.7C (38.7F). Coastal centers such as Mackay also felt the blast, dropping to 4.4C (39.9F).
Southern Queensland experienced sub-zero temperatures, with Oakey recording the state’s coldest morning at -4.4C (24.1F), Amberley seeing -1.2C (29.8F), Applethorpe dropping to -3.8C (25.2F), and Warwick to -3.7C (25.3F).
Longstanding records were broken elsewhere, with Palmerville in Cape York –for example– shivering through its coldest day in 125 years, hitting an all-time low of 0.5C (32.9F).
Tuesday and Wednesday will be another cold one, before a reprieve kicks in for the remainder of the week.
Bengaluru Shivers
The India city of Bengaluru has shivered through one of its lowest summer temperatures on record, according to the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), with the mercury reading 23.8C (74.8F).
This marked a significant departure from the average for the capital of Karnataka, and made for one of the lowest July temperatures ever recorded in the southern city’s history, dating back to the late-1800s.
The unusual cold has been attributed primarily to an offshore trough forming over coastal Karnataka which has been channeling cool, moist air from the Arabian Sea into the interior regions of the state. This was highlighted by IMD scientist CS Patil who noted a dramatic 3.2C drop in daytime temperature within just 24 hours — highly unusual for this part of the world..
The intensification of westerly winds is also a factor, as it has transported significant moisture from the sea, interacting with the existing weather patterns over Bengaluru. This interaction has led to persistent cloudy and wet conditions.
The heavy monsoon rains, 22% above normal since June, have also contributed to the cooler temperatures and unusual weather.
The IMD is expecting these conditions to persist, with heavy rainfall record-low temperatures forecast to continue, intensify even.
Sailors Found Dead After Attempting Fossil Fuel-Free Atlantic Crossing
Tragically, the bodies of a couple of eco-adventurers, Brett Clibbery, 70, and Sarah Justine Packwood, 54, have been discovered in a life raft washed up on Sable Island, often referred to as the ‘Graveyard of the Atlantic.’
The pair, who set sail on their renewable vessel The Theros from Nova Scotia June 11, were reported missing a week later.
Despite extensive Coast Guard searches, no traces of the Theros have been found.
The exact circumstances leading to their trouble remain unclear, but investigators are exploring multiple theories.
Veteran sailors have proposed that the additional weight from the batteries –taken from a Nissan Leaf electric car– and solar panels may have destabilized the boat. It has also been intimated that the amateur nature of the boat’s engine replacement could have posed problems, with one source describing it as ‘a homemade job.’
Demonizing Human Prosperity
Award-winning journalist Alex Newman summarizes the push to demonize human prosperity:
“The notion that CO2 is pollution is absolutely preposterous… The idea that [it’s] going to destroy the planet or change the temperature of the Earth is totally ludicrous,” he says.
“But from a totalitarian perspective, if you can convince people that CO2 is pollution, there’s no human activity that doesn’t result in CO2 emissions, including living, including dying, turning on a light switch.
“Every single aspect of your life, then, if we submit to the idea that CO2 is pollution, then comes under the regulatory control of the people who claim to be saving us from pollution.”
Antarctica Nears July Record Low With -82.1C (-115.8F); European Glaciers Remain Covered In Snow; UK Met Office Reports a Cool Summer So Far; + July Cold Wave To Grip Much Of U.S.
July 17, 2024 Cap Allon
Antarctica Nears July Record Low With -82.1C (-115.8F)
The global minimum for 2024 has just been nudged lower.
On July 16, the Dome Fuji AWS, Antarctica posted -82.1C (-115.8F), which is a reading not far off the station’s monthly record of -82.9C (-117.2F) set on July 27, 2014.
The Relay Station AWS also hit a noteworthy -72C (97.6F) at 22:50 UTC.
Below-average readings persist at the Ross Ice Shelf and all, with Schwerdtfeger, Vito, and Margaret all approaching -60C (-76F).
European Glaciers Remain Covered In Snow
The Ossoue Glacier, France remains covered in snow in mid-July, a theme repeated across many European mountains — news unreported by the legacy media.
The great health of the glacier is attributed to a cold spring and a cool start to the summer, according to Météo Pyrénées on X.
Situated in the French Pyrenees, the Ossoue Glacier is considered a crucial indicator of climatic trends in the region—or it was before it started misbehaving, i.e. retaining mass. The heavy snow cover this season is preserving the glacier’s integrity, which still, as of mid-July, has no ice exposed.
This is a story repeated across European peaks in 2024, from France through Switzerland, to Germany through Italy — to name just four nations.
Typically, by June, the Alps would see a significant reduction in snow cover. However, this year, even into July, snow levels are riding exceptionally high, rivaling some of the largest snowpacks ever recorded.
The Glacier Monitoring in Switzerland (GLAMOS), for example, recently reported a historic pack with ALL Swiss glaciers well-above the multidecadal norm, many breaking records
“Something special has happened in recent months,” reports aviationanalysis.ne. “So much snow has fallen [in Switzerland] that amounts are now at record levels.”
UK Met Office Reports a Cool Summer So Far
As of mid-July, the UK has experienced a cooler-than-average summer. The mean temperature currently stands at 13.04C (55.47F), which is 1.55C below the long-term seasonal average.
July 2024 has continued the trend set in June, with consistently below-average temperatures across the UK. It has also been a little drier than average, with 45% of the total season rain falling, when we should by now be at 49%.
Cool and dry — the exact opposite of AGW Party proclamations.
In their latest report, released Tuesday, the Met Office stresses, “It’s important to remember that we are now only halfway through meteorological summer. We still have the second half of July and August to go, and summer weather can sway statistics in short periods of time. Things can change quickly when it comes to summer rainfall, with short heavy bursts quickly pepping up totals and a few very hot days can bring average temperatures up quickly.”
While all true, this is not the rhetoric the agency would employ if we were enduring two months of above average temperatures. They would be claiming ‘human prosperity has made this heat 35.76x more likely’ with supporting quotes from pop-scientists like Stephen Belcher, who in 2023 after Coningsby, Lincolnshire nudged above 40C for 15 minutes, said “In a climate unaffected by human influence, climate modelling shows that it is virtually impossible for temperatures in the UK to reach 40C.”
But that was last summer. The UK is now chilling out in 2024, and the Met Office has had no choice by to turn the EOTW rhetoric right down.
Emily Carlisle writes in the latest Met Office report: “British summers are highly variable. Some are hot and dry, others cold and wet. June saw contrasts, with a cool first half offset by warmth later, but overall it was cooler and drier than average. July has continued the cool trend.”
The Met Office looks set to have a harder time hiding the chill in July.
To the 15th, the month is posting an anomaly of -1.5C, which is substantial, and looking ahead, the forecasts are calling for much of the same for the remainder of the month — and for the majority of Europe, and all:
July Cold Wave To Grip Much Of U.S.
Much of the central and eastern United States is on course to face a pretty fierce July “cold front” next week, bringing organized showers and storms.
A deep trough will move south across the eastern half of the U.S. on Thursday, according to the National Weather Service (NWS), ushering in unseasonably cool air and above-average rainfall.
Cooler, wetter weather may persist in the southern, central, and eastern U.S. through the rest of the month, forecasters said.
Below average temperatures are set to engulf a broad swath, including Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland, and northern parts of Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi, according to the NWS’s Climate Prediction Center.
15 JULY 2024
EXTREME HEAT AND COLD dominated the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere news this week. The American Southwest set hot temperature records and Australia, Argentina set cold and snow records - Nature’s balance. The impact of clouds and thunderstorms were clearly felt on temperatures in the afternoon temperature anomalies in the N. Hemisphere. These local effects cool us and decrease the temperature record counts.The SW US should cool as an upper level short wave and the monsoon kick in. NOAA’s CPC is predicting that the La Niña will develop and have a 79% probability by November 2024. Today, it has weakened from its June status.
Europe continued hot in the south and cool and wet in the north. The Tour de France has been graced with relatively mild temperatures with some rain showers. Spain was blessed with cooling rains from the Atlantic. Greenland’s snow mass balance is maintaining a normal decrease as summer melting continues. Siberia is relatively mild with 20 to 28ºC temperatures.
Argentina continues to set record low temperatures and the Andes have picked up significant snows of 1-3 meters. Southern Africa also had significant snow and cold weather. Australia’s snowy range is beginning to pick up 30 to 60 cm snows as NZ’s Alps have 14-61 cm. The Antarctic continues to be battered with large deep storms (934-976 mb) that have produced 1-2 m of snow along the coastal mountains. Ground blizzards of 40 to 50 kt winds continue as McMurdo base reached -31 and Amundsen Scott (S Pole) station hit -65ºC and other stations down to -73ºC.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT. The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now below normal. see:
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
and
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg
The northern jet stream is weakening with many short meridional - wavy N-S flows. Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful. Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall. Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement around the hemisphere.
See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea are back to summer after a record cold and snowy winter.
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m throughout the winter. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns. Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact. The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this winter. Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows in April and a deadly storm in early May. The Tibetan Plateau continues to get significant snow on 15 July 2024 with 49-71 cm.
Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic. It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer. On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok… Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 100% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively. SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly. McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September. Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC. December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively. The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under. South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-137 cm this week. May is setting fall records.
Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward. Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather and now is turning cold as Antarctic highs set new cold records in April and May and are continuing to set cold records. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms. Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
South America was warm, but cold fronts are predicted to take temperatures 5-10ºC below normal next week. The Andes continued to build their glaciers (1-2 m). South American snow was at record levels. Patagonia had significant snows and skiing in the Andes continued in November 2023. Surface temperatures reached -10ºC this week in Patagonia with 8 feet of snow. Argentina and Brazil continued to cool in the south with the floods and antarctic air. Antarctic cold fronts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains (100-300 mm) in the South of Brazil by Iguazu Falls in April. The Iguazu region had heavy rains and floods in contrast to a record drought in the Amazon Basin. However, the past month had heavy rain in the upper headwaters of the Rio Negro and Amazon Rivers. Deep thunderstorms with top temperatures of -70 to -80ºC are helping mitigate the drought. These mesoscale convective complexes can dump 100-200+ mm. Rio and Sao Paulo had flash floods and have remained wet. The Porto Alegro lost over 126 people as extreme flash floods hit the region in May.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
UK energy policy:
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00367-6
Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
Global temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
Allan T. Emrén
Published Online:June 30, 2023pp 401-412https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
Abstract
During the past 170 years, temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased. Published data on global temperature, CO2 data, and data on sea ice in the Arctic have been investigated. It is seen that support for human activities causing the observed increases is weak. It is found that the rate of change in CO2 concentration is controlled by global temperature rather than vice versa. To stop the growing concentration, the temperature has first to be decreased by about 1.4 K. This makes it questionable if attempts by humans to modify the global temperature, or the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere will give any noticeable result. A correlation is found between seasonal variations in CO2 concentrations and Arctic sea ice quantities. The present increase in CO2 concentration and temperature is similar to one 55 million years ago, indicating that the Earth passed a 'tipping point' around 1750.
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
…….
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
A new documentary on climate: Well worth viewing —
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 15 JULY 2024
La Niña Forecast: Heavy Snow Ahead; Dr. Judith Curry On ‘Scientific Consensus’; “A Vaccine-Style Approach To Tackle Carbon Emissions”; + Space Weather Lull
July 9, 2024 Cap Allon
La Niña Forecast: Heavy Snow Ahead
It may only be July but thoughts are turning to the Northern Hemisphere winter, to the forecast La Niña and the cold and snow said ENSO pattern brings.
The 2022-23 winter, characterized by record-breaking snow totals and extended ski seasons, occurred during the previous La Niña. That winter capped a rare “triple-dipper” La Niña in fact, spanning three consecutive seasons from 2020 to 2023.
NOAA forecasts say another La Niña is likely on the cards during the 2024-25 winter, making for the fourth in the last five years and so contradicting the climate models that decreed ‘global warming would favor more frequent El Niño events’.
Research has claimed, and continues to claim, that greenhouse warming will increase the frequency and intensity of El Niño events. A 2018 study published in Nature Climate Change projects that extreme El Niño events could become twice as frequent as temperatures rise. Similarly, a 2022 study from the University of Exeter foresees a global warming-fueled increase in the frequency of El Niño events by 2040.
These predictions are based on climate models that simulate the impact of increased greenhouse gas concentrations on the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) indicate a robust strengthening of ENSO and more frequent extreme El Niño events under global warming scenarios .
But these models have failed, evidenced by the planet set to experience its fourth La Niña winter out of the past five.
It may be summer, but skiers are already hopeful of the season to come.
As per skimag.com, significant snowfall should be the theme this winter, with snowy conditions hitting the likes of Montana, Wyoming, Idaho, Utah, and northern Colorado in the west; and Maine, northern Vermont, and northern New Hampshire in the east.
While NOAA’s official preseason report isn’t due until August, OpenSnow COO and Meteorologist Sam Collentine provided a preview, stating, “La Niña tends to favor average to above-average snowfall in much of the western U.S. during significant events.”
Although not a guarantee, this developing La Nina is hinting at another winter of heavy, record-breaking snow. Prepare. Meteorologists underestimated the historic totals during the 2022-23 season. Heed the warnings.
“A Vaccine-Style Approach To Tackle Carbon Emissions”
Sir Patrick Vallance, the face of the UK’s stringent COVID-19 lockdowns and mandated vaccine roll-out, has just been appointed Minister of State for Science, Research and Innovation.
A former executive at pharmaceutical giant GlaxoSmithKline, Vallance was instrumental in the government’s heavy-handed pandemic response.
He frequently appeared in televised briefings alongside then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson, advocating for no-nonsense lockdown measures and widespread vaccination, and was knighted in 2022 for his ‘services’.
Earlier this year, Vallance endorsed Labour’s flagship manifesto pledge to establish a publicly owned energy firm, Great British Energy, aimed at driving Net Zero policies.
Vallance has been critical of the country’s approach to Net Zero thus far, urging faster implementation of said policies. Writing in The Times, he argued that delaying action would leave the UK dependent on solutions provided by other countries.
He stated, “If we choose to go slowly others will provide the answers and we will ultimately end up buying the solutions.”
Vallance also drew parallels between the urgency of Net Zero and the COVID-19 response, suggesting a vaccine-style approach to tackle carbon emissions, high energy bills, and energy insecurity.
“With a determined effort using currently available technologies and those that are close to being deployable, a clean power system by 2030 is achievable,” he wrote.
In Vallance, we have another unelected executive, a link between conglomerates and government, helping shape public policy.
Dr. Judith Curry On ‘Scientific Consensus’
The “scientific consensus” talking point was shredded by climatologist Dr. Judith Curry in her interview with John Stossel.
Stossel: “The overwhelming scientific consensus. That’s what people still believe.”
Dr. Curry: “… when you talk about ‘scientific consensus,’ like the Earth orbits the sun, you don’t need to say ‘There’s a consensus that the Earth orbits the sun,’ it’s a well-known fact. When you’re talking about consensus, it’s usually on a topic where there is disagreement, and a government has asked a group to come to some sort of an agreement on what’s what. You see it in science, you see it in… medical boards… So, it’s a manufactured consensus. It’s a consensus of scientists, which is different than a scientific consensus.”
Dr. Curry goes on to explain that there is no consensus on the most contentious climate change issues.
Dr. Curry: “… there’s a true scientific consensus on very little of this, you know that: • The temperatures have been increasing for over a hundred years • That burning of fossil fuels emits CO₂ into the atmosphere • And, CO₂ has a radiation spectrum that sort of keeps the Earth’s surface warm, all other things being equal. Beyond that, there’s no real big consensus on anything.
“The most consequential issues we don’t have a consensus on: • How much of the recent warming is caused by fossil fuels? We still don’t know • And is warming dangerous? This is the weakest part of the argument. There’s no agreement as to whether warming is even dangerous.”
Dr. Curry also discusses the IPCC.
Dr. Curry: “… The origins go back to the 1980s, and the U.N. environmental program had this big environmental agenda, anti-capitalism. They hated the oil companies and they seized on the climate change issue as one to move their policies along… the policy cart was way out in front of the scientific horse from the very beginning. So, the IPCC’s mandate was to look for dangerous human-caused climate change. The IPCC wasn’t supposed to focus on any benefits of warming. They weren’t supposed to focus on natural climate variability. They were just supposed to look for the signal of dangerous human-caused climate change.”
You can watch the interview in full here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U0PQ1cOlCJI
Space Weather Lull
No CMEs are heading for Earth, which means geomagnetic storms are unlikely for the next 3-or-so days. At the same time, none of the sunspots currently facing Earth are producing anything more than low-level M-flares.
Just 90 sunspots currently pepper the Earth-facing solar disk, the lowest number since late-May.
Historic, All-Time Cold Hits Argentina; South Africa Hit by Cold Fronts And Heavy Snow; + Offshore Wind Farms Are A “Big Lie”
July 10, 2024 Cap Allon
Historic, All-Time Cold Hits Argentina
Argentina has been experiencing unprecedented lows this week, with severe frost affecting most regions and shattering several historic temperature records.
In Gualeguaychú, a new all-time low of -7.6C (18.3F) was recorded, surpassing the previous records of -7C (19.4F) set on June 23, 1945, and June 14, 1967 — with data here collected since 1931.
Venado Tuerto set a new monthly record low of -7.5C (18.5F).
Similarly in El Palomar, the monthly minimum record was equaled with a temperature of -7C (19.4F), tying the July 29, 2007 record — data since 1935.
Additionally, the Observatory Central Buenos Aires posted a temperature below 2C (35.6F) —at 11 p.m. on July 9— a rare occurrence not seen since 2007.
Minimum temperatures in Junín are also nearing the all-time record set in 1967.
While back in mid-June, Rio Gallegos logged -17.4C (0.7F), its coldest temperature recorded in the past 42 years and the fourth lowest in its historical records since 1956.
The snows have been just as impressive as the lows, more so even, with tremendous accumulations hitting both Argentina and Chile.
Snowfall records have been falling, with South America’s overall cover riding incredibly and consistently high.
South Africa Hit by Cold Fronts And Heavy Snow
South Africa is experiencing a series of cold fronts, leading to extremely frigid conditions, gusty winds, and heavy snowfall.
Pretoria residents, for example, have been waking up to freezing lows this week, with -2C (28.4F) noted Tuesday.
This has been the story for many South Africans, particularly those in the interior, who have been enduring temps well-below the freezing mark and widespread frosts.
Vryburg experienced a bone-chilling -9.5C (14.9F). While elsewhere, monthly cold records for July have been toppled, including the -7.3C (18.9F) at Lindleyspoort, the -6.3C (20.7F) at Marken, -4.5C (23.9F) at Marico, and -1.9C (28.6F) at Pietermaritzburg.
Flakes are even hitting the Kalahari Desert, a large semi-arid sandy savanna in Southern Africa extending for 900,000 km2 (35,000 sq mi) covering much of Botswana, as well as parts of Namibia and South Africa.
The Kalahari is currently enduring a significant drop in temperature, reports informante.web.na.
Looking ahead, two more cold fronts are expected to sweep South Africa on Thursday and then again Saturday, primarily affecting the Cape provinces. While not as strong as the first front, the already saturated ground means additional snow and rain could lead to widespread flooding. Warnings have been issued for Cape Town, the Winelands, Overberg, and Cederberg districts.
Farmers are advised to take necessary precautions to protect crops and ensure the safety and wellbeing of their animals.
The Tshwane EMS is urging the general public to keep warm too, but to stay safe by observing essential safety precautions.
Offshore Wind Farms Are A “Big Lie”
Edgar J. Gunter, professor emeritus in mechanical and aerospace engineering at the University of Virginia and a fellow at the American Society of Mechanical Engineers, has expressed significant concerns regarding the development of offshore wind farms.
Gunter, who has vacationed at Long Beach Island, particularly Harvey Cedars, for the past 50 years, became particularly attentive to this issue when dead whales started washing ashore. “This drew my focus to the problems associated with offshore wind farms,” he writes.
Gunter, who has been researching offshore wind turbines in the U.S. and Europe for the past year, argues that there has been a proliferation of misinformation from atmospheric activists, politicians, and wind turbine developers.
Claims that wind turbines are reliable, affordable, and produce cheaper energy than fossil fuels or nuclear power are what he terms the “big lie.” Gunter insists, “If repeated often enough, many people will believe it. Nothing could be farther from the truth.”
He asserts that large offshore wind turbine farms are unacceptable and should not be supported for several reasons:
Unreliable Energy Source: Wind turbine energy is secondary and not available 24/7. During large winter storms, turbines must shut down to avoid damage, making them unavailable when most needed.
High Costs: Offshore wind turbines are extremely expensive to develop and maintain, leading to high energy costs for consumers.
Limited Lifespan: Wind turbines have a limited lifespan of 10 to 20 years, compared to nuclear plants designed to last 60 years. The blades, made of toxic epoxy glues, need replacing within ten years and are difficult to recycle.
Environmental Impact: Wind turbines pose significant environmental risks to marine life and migrating birds. Noise from surveying and construction can cause the death of whales and dolphins.
Unsuitable for Data Centers: Reliable energy is crucial for AI and data centers, which cannot depend on the inconsistent energy produced by wind turbines. These centers need their own emergency backup power systems.
Grid Reliability Issues: Wind turbines are unreliable generators of secondary energy, which can cause damage to the electrical grid and stationary equipment. As a result, grid operators are hesitant to integrate this energy.
As the director of the rotor bearing dynamics laboratory at the University of Virginia for over 30 years, Gunter developed reliable rotating equipment for NASA’s space shuttle program, the petrochemical industry, and fossil and nuclear power plants.
“Wind turbines are the most unreliable equipment due to the high loading involved with the rotating huge fan blades and the complex gearing arrangement,” he explains. There also environmental risks associated with the turbines. “Gallons of highly toxic, synthetic lubricants are required to minimize bearing and gear wear. The Environmental Protection Agency has stated that as little as several gallons of this oil leaking can contaminate over 1 million gallons of water,” he warns.
Gunter, in his piece for thesandpaper.net, concludes that offshore wind farms offer no advantages over conventional power generation systems. He criticizes the Biden administration’s goal to make the grid fossil-free by 2035 using wind and solar as misguided. “Eighty-five percent of atmospheric carbon dioxide pollution comes from China and India. China produces more electricity from coal-fired power plants than our entire electrical system.”
Gunter underscores that no qualified mechanical, electrical, or power engineers support the development of these “expensive, inefficient, and unreliable wind turbines.”
New Zealand’s Cold Start To Winter; 79% Chance Of A Winter La Nina; + Trouble Ahead For Markets?
July 12, 2024 Cap Allon
New Zealand’s Cold Start To Winter
NIWA’s official prediction for a warmer-than-average winter in New Zealand isn’t exactly going to plan, with temperatures plunging below freezing across the country, to -7.8C (18F) in Omarama this morning.
MetService’s Lewis Ferris explains that New Zealand is under a high-pressure system, with the combination of light winds, clear skies, and long nights leading = to some of the lowest temperatures seen in years.
“It’s been a cold, wintry start across much of the country, especially in the South Island,” Ferris noted.
Mt Cook Airport recorded -7.6C (18.3F), while Auckland Airport experienced its coldest morning of the year at 3C (37.4F).
Ferris indicated that cold temperatures are expected to persist throughout July.
While a warmer system next week is predicted to bring northerly rain and clouds, causing temperatures to rise slightly in the north, the overall theme will be cold, particularly in the south, in the likes of Otago and Southland.
Police have issued warnings to Southland drivers to exercise caution due to multiple reports of black ice on the roads.
A word on Australia: the Bureau of Meteorology’s official forecast for the warmest winter on record is also proving an abject failure. The country is bracing for potentially historic cold next week, extending the run of cold that began in June.
A low-pressure system is intensifying as it moves south, towards Tasmania’s coast. This system, combined with a stalling high south of the bight, will draw extremely cold Antarctic air northwards.
This frigid airmass will drop temperatures across Victoria, NSW, and Queensland, leading to icy cold south-westerly winds that could bring temperatures down 10C below average. Queenslanders, especially, may experience their coldest days in years, and possibly even snow over the granite belt early Wednesday morning, reminiscent of June 2019 when rare snow hit Stanthorpe.
Heavy snowfall is expected along the ranges from Monday to Wednesday, with ski resorts anticipating 50 cm (20 inches) or more of fresh powder. Snow could also fall around the ACT, Blue Mountains, and Orange as freezing levels drop well-below 1000 m (3280ft). The NSW Northern Tablelands, including Guyra, are expecting see fresh flakes by Tuesday.
79% Chance Of A Winter La Nina
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC), a division NOAA, issued its latest El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) report on July 11.
The ENSO Alert System Status is now “La Niña Watch,” indicating a 70% chance that La Niña will emerge during August-October and persist into the Northern Hemisphere winter of 2024-25, with a 79% chance during November-January.
ENSO-neutral conditions prevailed over the past month, with near-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the east-central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.
This upcoming La Niña would mark the fourth La Niña winter in the past five years, contrary to climate model predictions that anticipated fewer La Niña events due to global warming.
As for the impacts, research indicates that La Niña events typically result in cooler global temperatures due to enhanced upwelling and stronger trade winds (Zhang et al., 2013). In the U.S., La Niña winters often bring increased snowfall, especially in the northern and western regions, as the jet stream more-readily buckles, allowing colder Arctic air to sink south.
ENSO-neutral conditions are likely to continue in the short term, with La Niña expected to emerge by late summer and persist into the winter. This, if it plays out, will likely lead to cooler global temperatures and extra snowfall across the Northern Hemisphere.
Weekly updates are available on the CPC’s website, with the next’ ENSO Diagnostics Discussion’ scheduled for August 8.
Argentina Continues To Freeze; Hurricane Lull; U.S. Still Mostly Run On Fossil Fuels; + X-Flare
July 15, 2024 Cap Allon
Argentina Continues To Freeze
The likes of Argentina and Chile are continuing to shiver, with South America’s snow cover maintaining unusually-high levels; record-breaking lows and widespread snows have impacted daily life, agriculture, and infrastructure.
Swaths of Argentina recorded notably low temperatures again Sunday: Santa Rosa del Conlara saw -9C (15.8F), Villa Reynolds hit -8.7C (16.3F), Coronel Suarez -7.1C (19.2F), Azul -6.8C (19.8F), Tandil -6.5C (20.3F), El Palomar -6.0C (21.2F), La Plata -5.2C (22.6F), and Junín -5C (23F).
Snowfall has been unusually heavy and widespread this season and fall.
Vast areas of the Andes have posted totals of over 2 m (6.5 ft), Southern Argentina and Chile up to 1.5 m (5 ft), and Brazil’s southern states like Rio Grande do Sul have reported up to 30 cm (12 inches).
The extreme cold and snow have put strains on infrastructure. Snow and ice have led to road closures, disrupting travel and logistics. Increased demand for heating has strained power grids, leading to occasional outages.
Agriculture has also been impacted, with frost damage already leading to reduced yields and economic losses. Fruit orchards and vineyards are particularly vulnerable. Likewise, livestock farmers are taking extra measures to protect their animals.
The cold has been felling records in some spots.
Yesterday, Iguazú logged a high of just 8.3C (46.9F), the third lowest daily maximum in its recorded history, rivaling the all-time record set back in 1965. Additionally, this made for the city’s fourth consecutive daily high below 10C (50F), an unprecedented feat with the previous record being three consecutive days set during the July of 2000.
Hurricane Lull
The rest of July looks quiet in the Atlantic tropics.
Even in hyperactive seasons the basin can still become a “ghost town,” experiencing long periods of inactivity, writes meteorologist Ryan Maue.
The below forecast model, courtesy of ECMWF, indicates no significant cyclonic activity in the Atlantic basin over the next 15 days, from July 13 to July 28:
The map shows minimal cyclone tracks, i.e. very little activity.
The majority of the basin, including the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico, and the eastern Atlantic, appears free of significant cyclonic development. This lull in activity is tied various, likely temporary factors such as unfavorable atmospheric conditions, sea surface temperatures, and wind shear, which can inhibit cyclone formation.
While the season overall may still prove active, the remainder of July is forecast to be calm. But rest assured, MSM outlets will resume their fear-porn, cherry-picking coverage as soon as activity steps back up–they’ll just likely have to wait until August.
Despite the CAGW narrative, global tropical cyclone energy (ACE) remains at the levels of the 1980s.
Scientists know that ACE is modulated entirely by climate patterns such as El Niño and La Niña, by Pacific interdecadal variability, and also by Atlantic multidecadal variability, but rarely do they publicly voice this.
The mainstream claim that major hurricanes are becoming more frequent is not supported by empirical evidence.
U.S. Still Mostly Run On Fossil Fuels
Despite the subsidies for renewable energy, despite the tax credits, the schemes, and the incessant propaganda, the United States still relies heavily on fossil fuels.
As of 2023, some 82% of all energy consumption in the U.S. comes from fossil fuels.
Oil: 38%
Natural Gas: 36%
Coal: 9%
Nuclear energy also plays its part, contributing 9% to the overall energy mix.
Renewable energy accounts for another 9%, but the largest portion of this comes from biomass at 5.3%, which isn’t ‘green’. The burning of biomass releases particulates into the atmosphere –carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, and others– at levels often exceeding those released by fossil fuels.
Other renewable sources include:
Wind: 1.6%
Solar: 0.9%
Hydro: 1%
Geothermal: 0.1%
Together, solar and wind contribute just 2.5% to total energy consumption, highlighting America’s ongoing reliance on FFs to fuel its prosperity.
Data sourced from the Energy Information Administration.
Despite considerable financial incentives, including Investment Tax Credits, Production Tax Credits, grants and loan guarantees, solar and wind energy are still struggling to make any significant impact.
In short, they aren’t worth the effort.
The intermittent nature of solar and wind power generation poses significant challenges and necessitates additional investment in energy storage and backup systems. High initial costs, even with subsidies, also make it a poor investment, especially in a market with cheaper and more reliable options, i.e. fossil fuels.
The material requirements for various renewable electricity generation sources are also substantial and overlooked:
X-Flare
Sunspot AR3738 erupted on July 14, producing an X1.2-class solar flare.
NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory captured the extreme ultraviolet flash:
The radiation from the flare ionized the upper layers of Earth’s atmosphere, leading to a shortwave radio blackout over Australia, Southeast Asia, and Japan.
The flare was not sustained long enough to expel a CME from the sun’s atmosphere, meaning no auroras.
More eruptions are expected today, July 15 due to AR3738’s ‘beta-gamma-delta’ magnetic field configuration. NOAA puts the chances of another X-flare at 15%, with the probability of an M-flare at 65%.
Contrasting last week, the sun is looking on form Monday, with 200+ spots currently peppering the Earth-facing solar disk.
8 JULY 2024
Northern jet continues to deliver cool weather in short waves, while southern areas suffer heat waves especially on the West Coast. California fires continue after a wet, rapid grassland growth spring. Las Vegas set a hot record ~120ºF on 7/8/24. June’s “historic heat in the US” has been challenged by observed data. July’s Hurricane Beryl caused massive destruction in the Windward Islands and Jamaica as an early season CAT 5 which decreased to a tropical storm in the Gulf then spun up to hit Houston as a CAT1. It brought in heavy rains and surf, then moved NE to Arkansas.
Europe continues a mild summer with the UK having a very cool wet summer. Scotland’s Ben Nevis ski area had a touch of snow on July 1st. Greenland set a daily record Snow Mass Balance increase of 4 GT on July1st. Greenland’s accumulated SMB for this water year is slightly above normal this week.
Northern Italy had an exceptional snow year in the Dolomites. Arpa Lombardia Nivometeorological Center revealed that between May and June, the period of maximum accumulation, Lombardy’s glacial basins logged depths of as much as 40 meters (131 feet). The dense compact snow is beneficial for growing the glaciers. Six major ski areas are open into July.
Cold records have been set in South Australia, and Argentina set heavy snow records as the intense Southern Jet and subtropical jets stirred up very deep storms (970 to 934 mb) and heavy snow in the Antarctic. Argentina had an early ski season and heavy snows trapped herds of sheep. Tasmania suffered record cold at -13ºC that froze water pipes and closed roads.
The Tonga Volcano may be responsible for the extreme weather because it injected > 150 million tonnes of water vapor into the stratosphere. Water vapor is a strong greenhouse gas. See details in the Electroverse articles displayed in the link below.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Review of past logs:
Atmospheric Rivers dominate precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere from Alaska to Greenland and Europe. These ARs are associated with intense cyclonic storms on the jet stream that dominate the weather. Recall tropical cyclones (hurricanes) and extratropical cyclones (Lows) and anticyclones (Highs) control our weather. Atmospheric River forecasts quantify the model computations of moisture flux from surface to 700 mb. This flux controls the duration and intensity of precipitation. Remember last winter when California had a record number of intense ARs that filled the “1000 yr“ drought’s reservoirs and extended Mammoth Mountain’s ski season into August 2023. Mammoth mountain is again accumulating heavy snows with a foot a day for 7 days in the last storm. California is drought free today as new ARs are pounding the coast again this winter triggering flash floods and debris flows in this saturated ground. The Colorado River Basin continues to benefit from these snowstorms from Colorado to Wyoming and Utah. Early season NRCS snow water equivalent SWE is running from 100 to 120% of normal. The May 19, 2024 had from 98 to 250%.
NRCS Basin Data: https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/imap/#version=169&elements=&networks=!&states=!&basins=!&hucs=&minElevation=&maxElevation=&elementSelectType=any&activeOnly=true&activeForecastPointsOnly=false&hucLabels=false&hucIdLabels=false&hucParameterLabels=true&stationLabels=&overlays=&hucOverlays=2&basinOpacity=75&basinNoDataOpacity=25&basemapOpacity=100&maskOpacity=0&mode=data&openSections=dataElement,parameter,date,basin,options,elements,location,networks&controlsOpen=true&popup=&popupMulti=&popupBasin=&base=esriNgwm&displayType=basinstation&basinType=6&dataElement=WTEQ&depth=-8¶meter=PCTMED&frequency=DAILY&duration=I&customDuration=&dayPart=E&monthPart=E&forecastPubDay=1&forecastExceedance=50&useMixedPast=true&seqColor=1&divColor=7&scaleType=D&scaleMin=&scaleMax=&referencePeriodType=POR&referenceBegin=1991&referenceEnd=2020&minimumYears=20&hucAssociations=true&relativeDate=-1&lat=43.728&lon=-104.797&zoom=5.0
Atmospheric River forecast by Marty Ralph’s team:
https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/iwv-and-ivt-forecasts/
An important component of the Grand Solar Minimum is an increase in clouds due to its impact on our solar system’s magnetosphere and increased numbers of deep space cosmic rays penetrating our upper atmosphere and generating cloud condensation nuclei. Clouds produce many complex phenomena ranging from cooling as solar radiation is reflected back to space, to surface warming as heat is retained at night and radiational cooling is reduced under stratus and in fog. On a large scale temperature gradients control the winds and jet stream dynamics. Clouds also impact the sea surface temperature SST which can have profound impacts on the Earth’s energy budget from the El Niño and La Niña to Jet stream intensity and location. NASA is now predicting a solar maximum of cycle 25 by January 2024 with some CMEs. Like the one that gave us the beautiful Auroras last week. Note: current climate models fail to adequately simulate clouds; hence, a serious limit to their long term predictions. The primary critical impact of the GSM is late spring frosts and early fall frosts that limit the growing season. it is difficult for long term models to predict these critical events accurately.
Volcanic activity has increased dramatically in November 2023 with two stratovolcanoes pumping huge amounts of volcanic ash into the stratosphere in the northern Hemisphere from Kamchatka, and the tropics from New Guinea. Iceland’s seismic activity also increased significantly and resulted in a small volcanic eruption. Stratospheric volcanic dust from volcanoes cause significant atmospheric cooling. During the Little Ice Age there were many volcanoes associated with the Milankovitch Cycle that also contributed to the cooling. Japan had a devastating earthquake in the last weeks.
During the winter, low clouds can keep the polar regions warmer, thus reducing the N-S temperature gradient that may lead to a weaker jet stream and a meridional flow. This wavy N-S flow enhances the warm and cold sectors of storms and hence, extreme temperature swings. Thus far this winter we have a very wavy jet steam. Have a look at my album’s examples.
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT. The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now below normal. see:
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
and
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg
The northern jet stream is weakening with many short meridional - wavy N-S flows. Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful. Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall. Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement around the hemisphere.
See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea are back to summer after a record cold and snowy winter.
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m throughout the winter. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns. Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact. The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this winter. Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows in April and a deadly storm in early May.
Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic. It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer. On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok… Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 100% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively. SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly. McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September. Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC. December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively. The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under. South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-137 cm this week. May is setting fall records.
Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward. Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather and now is turning cold as Antarctic highs set new cold records in April and May and are continuing to set cold records. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms. Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
South America was warm, but cold fronts are predicted to take temperatures 5-10ºC below normal next week. The Andes continued to build their glaciers (1-2 m). South American snow was at record levels. Patagonia had significant snows and skiing in the Andes continued in November 2023. Surface temperatures reached -10ºC this week in Patagonia with 8 feet of snow. Argentina and Brazil continued to cool in the south with the floods and antarctic air. Antarctic cold fronts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains (100-300 mm) in the South of Brazil by Iguazu Falls in April. The Iguazu region had heavy rains and floods in contrast to a record drought in the Amazon Basin. However, the past month had heavy rain in the upper headwaters of the Rio Negro and Amazon Rivers. Deep thunderstorms with top temperatures of -70 to -80ºC are helping mitigate the drought. These mesoscale convective complexes can dump 100-200+ mm. Rio and Sao Paulo had flash floods and have remained wet. The Porto Alegro lost over 126 people as extreme flash floods hit the region in May.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
New 2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
UK energy policy:
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00367-6 .
Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
Global temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
Allan T. Emrén
Published Online:June 30, 2023pp 401-412 https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
Abstract
During the past 170 years, temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased. Published data on global temperature, CO2 data, and data on sea ice in the Arctic have been investigated. It is seen that support for human activities causing the observed increases is weak. It is found that the rate of change in CO2 concentration is controlled by global temperature rather than vice versa. To stop the growing concentration, the temperature has first to be decreased by about 1.4 K. This makes it questionable if attempts by humans to modify the global temperature, or the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere will give any noticeable result. A correlation is found between seasonal variations in CO2 concentrations and Arctic sea ice quantities. The present increase in CO2 concentration and temperature is similar to one 55 million years ago, indicating that the Earth passed a 'tipping point' around 1750.
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
…….
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
A new documentary on climate: Well worth viewing —
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 7 JULY 2024
Greenland Gaining Gigatons Of Mass In Summer; NOAA’s Ghost Stations; + Global CO2 Emissions Tracking Well Below ‘Scary’ Climate Scenarios
July 2, 2024 Cap Allon
Greenland Gaining Gigatons Of Mass In Summer
On July 1, 2024, Greenland’s ice sheet posted an unprecedented ≈4 Gigaton summer gain. Data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) show this is the highest daily July gain since records began in 1981.
During a period usually marked by significant summer melt, the charts show extensive snow and ice accumulation, with deep blue areas indicating significant mass gains.
The 1981-2010 averages call for a 4 Gigaton melt at this time of year, what we saw yesterday was a 4 Gigaton gain, adding to the ≈2 Gigaton gain the day before.
Several factors have contributed to the narrative-defying gains.
1) This summer has seen cooler-than-average temperatures in the Arctic, slowing the melt. 2) Cooler water brought by ocean currents has reduced ice melt. And 3) unusually high summer snowfall has added significantly to the ice sheet’s mass.
These gains challenge the simplistic mainstream climate models calling for accelerated melt due to human prosperity.
Frustratingly for the alarmists, this season looks set to be another with above-average SMB for the Greenland Ice Sheet:
NOAA’s Ghost Stations
NOAA’s manipulation of climate data through the use of “ghost stations” exposes a systematic effort to fabricate temperature records, so as to fuel the global heating narrative.
In decades past, the number of US Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) temperature stations fluctuated, with new ones added and old ones decommissioned.
However, a trend began in the late 1990s, coinciding with the rise of AGW narratives.
Contrary to what one might expect during a period when accurate climate monitoring is crucial, the number of active temperature stations has plummeted. From a consistent 1,200 stations between 1930 and 1996, the number dropped to just 830 by 2020—and continues to decline.
Even more perplexing is the fact that many of the decommissioned stations still report temperature data to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). These “ghost stations” continue to contribute phantom data, completely fabricated temperature readings, which NOAA incorporates into its official climate reports.
Meteorologist John Shewchuk has highlighted this issue extensively, pointing out that by 2020, NOAA was fabricating temperature data for more than 40% of all USHCN stations. Just a few examples of these ghost stations include:
Childs, AZ (USHCN No. 21614): Temperature observations ended in 2005, yet NOAA continues to fabricate data.
The systematic fabrication of data has allowed NOAA and other government agencies to portray an artificially warming present, one aided by their simultaneous cooling of the past.
These agencies control the data, meaning they can do whatever they want with it, present it however they see fit, tweak and manipulate it to their hearts content, so long as they adequately cover their tracks.
Contrary to NOAA’s adjusted data, the raw USHCN data indicates no significant warming (see below).
The 1930s Dust Bowl era remains the hottest period on record, and overall, summers have been cooling eversince. The perceived warming trend only emerges after NOAA’s “adjustments” are made, which they claim are necessary “to improve data quality”.
Global CO2 Emissions Tracking Well Below ‘Scary’ Climate Scenarios
The notion that global CO2 emissions are skyrocketing towards extreme levels, as depicted by the SSP5-8.5 scenario, is increasingly being debunked by actual emissions data.
The SSP5-8.5 scenario, which projects extreme and highly unrealistic CO2 emissions, is often used to generate alarmist climate predictions. However, actual data increasingly diverges from these doomsday projections, revealing the manipulative intent behind their continued use.
As Dr Roy Spencer writes: “The IPCC knows very well that as long as climate models are run that produce extreme amounts of climate change, few people will question the assumptions that went into those model projections. Peoples’ careers now depend upon the continuing fear of a “climate crisis” (which has yet to materialize).”
Dr Spencer wasn’t able to find a recent graph showing how actual CO2 emissions compare to the scenarios. “So I made one,” he writes. In the following plot, Spencer shows estimates of global CO2 emissions from fossil fuel use through 2023, and EIA projections every 5 years from 2025 through 2050 (green). Also shown are a few of the latest (AR6) SSP scenarios.
The most-unrealistic scenario, SSP5-8.5, assumes a future where global CO2 emissions skyrocket unchecked, leading to “catastrophic climate outcomes”. Although practically impossible, this is the baseline for many extreme predictions, including:
1) The IPCC AR6 predicts an increase in global surface air temperature by 2.4C to 4.8C by the end of the century under SSP5-8.5. This projection supports claims of extreme heatwaves and uninhabitable regions.
2) According to a study published in Nature Communications, SSP5-8.5 could result in up to 1.3 meters of sea-level rise by 2100, threatening coastal cities and displacing millions [UCAR] .
3) Research in the Journal of Climate suggests an explosion in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, droughts, and heavy rainfall under SSP5-8.5, forecasting widespread agricultural failure and water shortages .
4) The Environmental Research Letters report highlights potential mass extinctions and habitat destruction driven by the extreme conditions projected under SSP5-8.5 . These scenarios push for aggressive conservation measures.
These dire warnings are built on exaggerated and wholly unrealistic assumptions about fossil fuel use. The only reason the IPCC and other bodies persist with the likes of SSP5-8.5 is because it serves their agenda. There is no logic behind it.
By painting a picture of impending doom, they galvanize support for drastic measures that might otherwise face resistance, measures that often involve significant economic and social upheaval, including draconian regulations, taxes, and shifts in energy policy that can undermine economic prosperity and personal freedoms.
The use of SSP5-8.5 in climate models allows proponents of AGW to claim that they are “following The Science”, but this scenario is far from scientific, it is merely another tool of fear used to justify extreme, poverty-inducing climate policies.
Unprecedented Snowfalls in Argentina Threaten 1 Million Livestock; Aussie Cold; Record Stratospheric Water Vapor; Global Temperatures Took Another Step Down In June; + CO2 Fantasticals
July 3, 2024 Cap Allon
Unprecedented Snowfalls in Argentina Threaten 1 Million Livestock
Breeders in Argentine Patagonia have taken to social media to express their distress after unprecedented snowfalls buried their livestock, threatening about 1 million animals with starvation in one of the region’s coldest winters in decades.
Videos from Chubut show sheep buried in deep snow, with only their heads visible.
The Argentine Rural Confederation (CRA) has described the situation as “dramatic.”
Enrique Jamieson, president of the Federation of Agricultural Institutions Santa Cruz, highlighted the complexity of the situation, with heavy snowfalls extending across Santa Cruz, affecting about 40,000 cattle and 1 million sheep.
The most-recent snow dumps, ranging from 40 to 60 cm (1.3 to 2 ft) in depth, have rendered pastures inaccessible, endangering cattle and sheep. Efforts are underway to move livestock to areas with less snow to forage or receive supplemental feeding.
Jamieson explained that consistent, early-season snowfalls through April and May had already formed a frozen layer, complicating access to food for the animals. The recent snowfall added additional feet on top of this layer, exacerbating the problem and making it difficult for the animals to reach food.
The situation is dire, with breeders and agricultural institutions urgently seeking solutions to prevent the starvation of their livestock amidst the extreme winter conditions.
Aussie Cold
Southern and Eastern Australia is continuing to shiver through a pretty persistent and harsh cold snap, with thermometers dipping to subzero levels (C) in numerous regions.
Frost has swept the likes of Victoria, Tasmania, and South Australia, causing disruptions and posing headaches for farmers.
In Victoria, where a swatch of frost warnings have been issued, places such as Ballarat and Bendigo have posted overnight lows of -2C (28.4F) and -1C (30.2F), respectively. Melbourne too continues to shiver, hovering around 2C (35.6F) Wednesday morning.
Tasmania has also been hit, with Hobart noting -1C (30.2F). Inland areas, including Liawenee, are enduring colder lows, with -10C (14F) registered here. The severe cold has led to icy roads, prompting authorities to advise caution for motorists.
In South Australia, Adelaide recorded its coldest morning of the year at 3C (37.4F), while the state’s mid-north region saw -3C (26.6F). Farmers here are particularly affected, with the freeze posing a threat to crops and livestock.
The Antarctic air mass responsible is expected to linger and all. The Bureau of Meteorology forecasts it has at least another few days to run, with both day and night-time temperatures expected to remain well below average.
Record Stratospheric Water Vapor
The massive impact of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai eruption on global temperatures and climate is striking, yet few in mainstream academia seem keen to discuss it.
When this underwater volcano erupted in January 2022, it injected a massive amount of water vapor—approximately 50 million tons—into the stratosphere, significantly altering atmospheric conditions. This increase in stratospheric moisture by about 10%-30% has contributed to a warming effect on Earth’s surface, a forcing expected to persist for years.
This chart shows the significant impact the eruption had on the stratosphere’s water vapor content. Note the initial pop in early 2022 and then the subsequent gradual latitudinal spread, particularly through 2023.
Typically, large volcanic eruptions cool the planet by releasing sulfur dioxide and ash, which block sunlight. However, the Hunga Tonga eruption was unique because it released more water vapor than sulfur dioxide.
Water vapor is a potent greenhouse gas, the most potent, leading to a warming effect rather than cooling. This anomaly explains the unexpected rise in global temperatures observed from 2023 into 2024, partly attributed to this event.
The delay between the eruption and its warming impact is due to the time it takes for the injected water vapor to mix and distribute within the stratosphere. Unlike heavier volcanic aerosols, water vapor is less affected by gravity and remains suspended longer, enhancing its warming effect. Increased stratospheric water vapor increases global temperatures, this is not contended, but it has been suspiciously sidestepped since Jan 15, 2022.
Global Temperatures Took Another Step Down In June
The V6 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for June, 2024 has come in at 0.80C, down 0.10C from May and down 0.25C from the April peak:
Brits Asking “Where Is Summer?”; Europe’s Lowest Burn Acreage On Record; Tasmania’s Second-Coldest Temperature Ever; + America’s “Historic June Heatwave” Was a Lie
July 4, 2024 Cap Allon
Brits Asking “Where Is Summer?”
This summer, the UK has held anomalously cool, defying earlier Met Office forecasts for a record hot season.
June’s average mean was 12.9C (55.2F), which is 0.4C below the long-term average, making for the coldest June in years. Snow fell on Scotland’s peaks for eight consecutive days last month, a very rare occurrence.
Likewise in Ireland, a cold June was endured: an average of 13.18C meant for 0.51C below the norm.
BBC Scotland forecaster Calum MacColl blames the unusual chill on natural causes (naturally). “The jet stream was in a west to north-westerly orientation across the North Atlantic,” he explains, “resulting in Scotland often being on the cold side of the jet [which funneled polar maritime air into the nation].”
Contrary to official “record hot” forecasts, a cool June is now spilling into July where it continues to impact livestock and agriculture, with farmers reportedly struggling with the unseasonably low temperatures.
The cold is expected to persist for the foreseeable, and all, with ‘blues’ set to dominate through the first half of July–at least.
Europe’s Lowest Burn Acreage On Record
Recent data reveals that Europe is experiencing its lowest burn acreage on record in 2024, a fact completely ignored by an agenda-driving media.
The below chart from the Global Wildfire Information System visualizes this inconvenience:
The chart shows cumulative burned areas in Europe from January 1 to June 30, 2024, compared to the average and min-max range of the previous decade. The green line representing 2024 shows significantly lower burned areas, the lowest on record.
Despite this, MSM coverage focuses heavily on localized fire incidents in places like Greece, skewing public perception. This selective reporting overlooks countries like France, Hungary, Portugal, Spain, Italy, Bulgaria, and Ukraine, which are posting record-low burn.
Many of these nations are also posting colder-than-average Junes. As well as the UK and Ireland, France, Belgium and the Netherlands have also noted monthly cold anomalies, of -0.04C, -0.4C and -0.7C respectively.
Climate foretellings keenly link global warming to increasing wildfire incidents in Europe. The Science warns that “climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of wildfires” (European Environment Agency). However, the substantial decrease in burned areas this year challenges these alarmist projections.
And 2024 isn’t a one-off either, with 2023, 2022 and even the decades prior refusing to play AGW ball.
As climate scientist at the University of East Anglia Dr Matthew Jones admitted during the summer of 2022: “We’ve actually seen a decline in the area burned by fires in the Mediterranean and across Europe more widely over the last couple of decades, in a way that doesn’t marry up with the rapidly changing risk of fires.”
Accurate and balanced reporting is key for public understanding and solid policy-making; fear and wild obfuscations are good for serving narratives and enforcing compliance. The establishment routinely highlights negative events without acknowledging positive trends, and its lapdogs in the media dutifully sell the tale.
The broader wildfire picture shows a significant reduction in burned area across Europe, reaching the lowest levels on record in 2024, continuing a multidecadal trend — a trend not only confined to Europe, it is global (as detailed in the article below).
Tasmania’s Second Coldest Temperature Ever
Australians in Victoria, Tasmania, and South Australia have been experiencing fierce chills, with temperatures plunging to record lows, defying recent forecasts by the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) that had called for the warmest winter on record.
In Tasmania, Liawenee set a new record low for the third consecutive day, with -13.5C (7.7F) logged early Thursday morning — the coldest ever July reading in the area, after yesterday’s -12.9C (8.8F) and -10.8C (12.6F) the day before.
It is also the state’s second-coldest temperature ever, behind the -14.2C (6.4F) set back in August 2020.
South Australia was not spared either. West Terrace, Adelaide registered a low of 0.6C (33.1F), tying its coldest temperature since July 24, 1908. The outback town of Yunta recorded -4.3C (24.3F), while the Nullarbor weather station hit -3.2C (26.2F) — additional record lows. While even in the metropolitan region, Noarlunga experienced its coldest July temperature at 2.2C (36F).
Bureau of Meteorology senior forecaster Chris Kent said some areas are enduring readings 10C below their July norms, a setup caused by a strong high-pressure system south of Australia that is driving cold air over the southern states, with clear skies and light winds helping create perfect conditions for frigid overnight lows.
Eastern and Southern Australia’s long-lasting cold snap starkly contrasts the BoM’s calls for a “record warm winter”.
America’s “Historic June Heatwave” Was a Lie
Recent media reports have widely claimed that the United States experienced a “historic heatwave” in June 2024. However, an examination of long-term climate data reveals a different reality.
The chart below shows the percentage of US Historical Climatology Network stations that reached or exceeded 90F (32.2C) each June from 1895 to 2024. The blue line represents annual data, while the red line indicates the 10-year moving average.
Over the past 129 years, there has been significant variability in the percentage of stations reaching 90F in June. The highest percentage was recorded in 1933, with 91% of stations reaching this temperature, and the lowest was in 1928, with only 42.3%.
Despite fluctuations, the long-term average percentage of stations reaching 90F in June stands at 73.1%, with a standard deviation of 9.3%. The data for June 2024 shows that the percentage of stations hitting 90F was below this historical average, at 66%, contradicting the media’s narrative of an exceptionally hot month.
Alarmists would do well to follow their own guidelines, i.e. to look at long-term data trends rather than short-term events. The overall percentage of stations reaching 90F in June 2024 was below the historical norm.
The “historic heatwave” of June 2024 is yet another media creation, it isn’t one bore out by the data, it isn’t one, ignoring the myriad of headlines, that would actually be remembered by history.
Scottish Ski Centers Report Rare July Snowfall; Brewing SSW Event In The Southern Hemisphere?; + 101 Scientists: Claims Of Man-Made Global Warming Are Exaggerated
July 5, 2024 Cap Allon
Scottish Ski Centers Report Rare July Snowfall
Following the eight consecutive days of snow in June, Scottish peaks are seeing the summer flakes persist into July.
After weeks of increasingly cold and stormy weather since the summer solstice, attributed to the jet stream, Scottish ski centers have reported a rare occurrence of snowfall on high slopes this morning.
WinterHighland’s webcam captured fresh snow at Glencoe on Thursday morning, marking a rare summer event. Snow flurries also hit peaks across the Highlands, including the slopes of Cairngorm above Aviemore.
The AGW Party have long warned that Scotland’s ski resorts would soon be no more.
Dr. Adam Watson, a leading expert on Scottish snow patches, stated in 2010, “With rising temperatures and changing weather patterns, the snow cover in Scotland will diminish.” Additionally, a 2017 report by the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment noted, “Scotland’s ski resorts are at risk due to a decline in snow cover, which could severely impact winter sports tourism and local economies.”
Mainstream studies continue to predict significant reductions in snow cover across ski areas worldwide. A 2024 study published in PLOS ONE states that under high emissions scenarios —absurd as they are— snow cover days in ski areas will likely decrease dramatically, threatening the viability of these resorts.
The study highlights that the European Alps, which include Scotland’s ski resorts, could see a 42% decline in annual snow cover days by 2071 compared to historical norms.
Despite the predictions, this past spring, the Alps saw an unusually large blanketing of snow, contributing to the general Northern Hemisphere trend of increasing mass:
Data from Glacier Monitoring Switzerland (GLAMOS) indicated that the snow accumulation in the Alps in 2024 has been significantly higher than average. Surveys of 14 Swiss glaciers, extrapolated to all 1,400 glaciers in the country, showed about 31% more snow compared to the 2010-2020 average.
“The snow mass in the Alps this spring reached levels not seen in years,” reads a GLAMOS report, with the head of the network, Matthias Huss, writing on X, described the weather this year as a “blessing”.
Brewing SSW Event In The Southern Hemisphere?
The Southern Hemisphere has registered only one major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event, in Sept 2002, with two minor events in Sept 2010 and Aug-Sept 2019. Now, there are signs that something substantial is brewing in the SH strat.
Forecasts indicate a significant warming at the 10 hPa level through mid-July (animation below).
Questions remain as to whether a 25C increase will be reached, required to classify as even a minor SSW, but there is chance.
101 Scientists: Claims Of Man-Made Global Warming Are Exaggerated
–
Richard Lindzen – Atmospheric physicist, MIT: “There is no evidence that the natural variability of the climate is driven by anything other than natural phenomena.” (2018)
Freeman Dyson – Theoretical physicist and mathematician, Princeton University: “I am skeptical of the claim that climate change is a crisis.” (2015)
Judith Curry – Climatologist, Georgia Institute of Technology: “The climate is always changing, and the causes of this change are complex and multifaceted.” (2020)
William Happer – Physicist, Princeton University: “CO2 is not a pollutant but a benefit to the planet.” (2019)
Roy Spencer – Meteorologist, University of Alabama in Huntsville: “The evidence for significant human impact on climate change is not as strong as often portrayed.” (2017)
John Christy – Atmospheric scientist, University of Alabama in Huntsville: “The climate system is not very sensitive to CO2.” (2021)
Nils-Axel Mörner – Geologist and geophysicist: “Sea level rise is not accelerating.” (2016)
Henrik Svensmark – Physicist, Danish National Space Institute: “Cosmic rays influence climate.” (2020)
Patrick Michaels – Climatologist, Cato Institute: “Climate models overestimate warming.” (2018)
Tim Ball – Climatologist, University of Winnipeg: “Climate change is a natural phenomenon.” (2015)
Ian Plimer – Geologist, University of Melbourne: “Human-induced climate change is a hoax.” (2019)
Christopher Landsea – Meteorologist, NOAA: “Hurricanes are not increasing in frequency or intensity due to climate change.” (2013)
Vincent Courtillot – Geophysicist, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris: “Solar activity has a significant impact on climate.” (2017)
Syun-Ichi Akasofu – Geophysicist, University of Alaska Fairbanks: “Natural climate variability is the dominant factor.” (2014)
David Bellamy – Botanist: “Global warming is not a significant threat.” (2013)
Robert Carter – Geologist, James Cook University: “Climate change is driven by natural variability.” (2015)
Khabibullo Abdusamatov – Astrophysicist, Russian Academy of Sciences: “Solar cycles are the primary drivers of climate change.” (2017)
Don Easterbrook – Geologist, Western Washington University: “Climate change is a natural process.” (2020)
Joseph D’Aleo – Meteorologist: “Climate models are unreliable.” (2016)
Benny Peiser – Social anthropologist: “Climate change policies are economically damaging.” (2014)
Ross McKitrick – Economist, University of Guelph: “The economic impact of climate change policies is underestimated.” (2020)
Tom V. Segalstad – Geologist, University of Oslo: “CO2 is not the primary driver of climate change.” (2019)
…… see Electroverse link
Exceptional Snow-Year In Northern Italy; Winter Begins With a Bang In South America; Tasmania Freezes; + “Tonga Volcano Prime Suspect”
July 8, 2024 Cap Allon
Exceptional Snow-Year In Northern Italy
2024 is proving an impressive year for snow in the European Alps, and an inconvenient one for the warmists.
I’ve written about the record-accumulations on Swiss glaciers, but the same is being witnessed across northern Italy.
In the first six months of 2024, the administrative region of Lombardy –for example– has posted well-above average accumulations across all of its glaciers, particularly on the Adamello.
Contrary to AGW Party predictions of ‘forever less’ (more on that below), data from the Arpa Lombardia Nivometeorological Center reveal that between May and June, the period of maximum accumulation, Lombardy’s glacial basins logged depths of as much as 40 meters (131 feet).
Conducting 55 core samples and numerous snow depth measurements, Arpa Lombardia data show that glaciers like Adamello, Pisgana, Alpe Sud, and Savoretta witnessed snowfall well above the historical average, 10 meters (32.8 feet) above in many cases
Furthermore, this year’s snow is dense and compact, and is so far withstanding summer warmth, reducing the glacial melt season which will contribute to a season of limited drought.
Endless mainstream studies foresaw the Alps suffering significant declines in snow cover and glacier mass by now.
One study, led by the University of Bayreuth and published in 2012, projected that Alpine ski resorts would lose 80 snow cover days annually by the mid-2020s if high emission scenarios continued.
Likewise, a Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (2019) paper projected that the Alps would see substantial snow cover reduction by 2025. The study indicated that the number of snow cover days could halve, with severe impacts on water availability and local ecosystems.
While a Eurac Research study, published in 2022, suggested that, due to cLiMaTe ChAnGe, the Alps could see a reduction in snow cover by up to 50% by 2025.
Despite the prophesies, the snowfalls of 2024 have led to great summer glacier skiing conditions, with well-above average pack.
Even into July, skiing and snowboarding is on offer in Austria, France, Italy and Switzerland, at the following resorts:
Hintertux, Austria
Tignes, France
Val d’Isere, France
Cervinia, Italy
Passo Stelvio, Italy
Zermatt, Switzerland
Winter Begins With a Bang In South America
The ski season in South America is off to a spectacular start, with resorts opening earlier than usual due to record snowfall.
It hasn’t been all plain sailing for ski areas, though.
Las Leñas, Argentina had planned a pre-opening on June 20 but had to cancel due to avalanches, road closures, and excessive snow. The resort is now open with a snow depth of more than 1.2 meters (4 feet) at the base, with 6+ meters (20+ feet) up top.
“We were excited about the pre-opening, but weather conditions made it impossible,” the resort stated. “The snow accumulation was so significant that even the access road had to be closed by provincial authorities. We thank our visitors, collaborators, friends, and suppliers for their understanding and trust, as safety is our priority in such natural events.”
Cerro Catedral, also in Argentina did manage to open in early-June and is enjoying a bumper start to the season. Likewise in Chile, conditions are proving remarkable.
The data tell the story. Since the record-setting start in May, snow extent across the South American continent has consistently challenged records:
Looking elsewhere in the Southern Hemisphere, Australia and New Zealand are yet to be hit with any big snow dumps. Although temperatures have been more than cold enough for flakes to form, the necessary weather systems haven’t blown in.
Recently though, snow has started to arrive across resorts in both Australia and New Zealand, backing up the work done by snow cannons.
The NZ ski season has been “jump-started by natural snowfall,” so reads local reports, with South Island resorts the first to open, followed by a host on the North Island.
Whakapapa, in particular, welcomed 12,000 visitors over the first two days.
“It’s been a brilliant Matariki weekend, an amazing kickoff for us here at Whakapapa,” said operations manager Steve Manunui.
Tasmania Freezes
Australia’s cold has indeed been noteworthy. Eastern and Southern regions in particular have felt the chill, including Tasmania where, among statewide hazards, freezes have closed the Great Lake Hotel in the Central Highlands.
The hotel, located on the Marlborough Highway in Miena, suffered significant damage from frozen pipes and heavy frost, with temperatures in the area plummeting to record-breaking lows, including the historic -13.5C (7.7F) logged by nearby Liawenee.
Initially planning to reopen on Saturday, the hotel will now remain closed until at least July 10. “We are literally stuck without water and will be unable to open until [the pipes] thaw out,” a spokesperson said, thanking folk for their understanding.
The school holidays have been disrupted more broadly, with Tasmania Police warning drivers of dangerous road conditions due to ice and snow. They emphasized the risk of black ice and urged caution, with more than 50 main roads under official alerts.
Overnight temperatures Sunday dropped to -10.5C (13.1F) in Liawenee, -6.2C (20.8F) in Butlers Gorge, -5.3C (22.5F) in Fingal, and -4.5C (23.9F) in Launceston Airport and Cressy. In Campbell Town, a frozen fountain has become a local attraction.
“Tonga Volcano Prime Suspect”
Just over a year before the abrupt warming, in January 2022, an unusual VEI 5 volcanic eruption took place in Tonga.
While there have been several VEI 5 or higher eruptions in the last 200 years, the majority haven’t affected the global climate in any significant way. Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai is one of the exceptions. Its eruption was a submarine one, at a very shallow depth (about 150m/500ft below the sea surface), and as a consequence it ejected 150 million tons of water into the stratosphere.
In 200 years of records, the only one other VEI 5+ submarine eruption occurred in 1924 off the Japanese island of Iriomote at a depth of 200m/660ft, but this did not have anywhere near the same atmospheric affects as Hunga Tonga. It is believe the Tonga explosion occurred at just the right depth to project the most water into the stratosphere.
The Tonga eruption is considered a once-in-a-200-year event, likely much rarer.
“Science was fortunate to witness it,” writes Javier Vinós.
We know strong volcanic eruptions reaching the stratosphere can significantly affect the climate for a few years, with effects often delayed by over a year. The eruption of Mount Tambora in April 1815, for example, had a global climate impact but it took 15 months for the effect to develop, eventually resulting in the “year without a summer” in 1816.
These delayed effects coincided with the appearance of a sulfate aerosol veil in the Northern Hemisphere due to seasonal changes in global stratospheric circulation.
The figure below shows the modern water vapor anomaly in the stratosphere between 15 and 40 km altitude. The large darkening created by the Tonga eruption appears in the Northern Hemisphere in 2023 and coincides with the abrupt warming.
1 JULY 2024
FLOODS, extreme heat, cold, record snows, and severe weather characterize 2024 thus far. We are off to horrific start to extremes from America to Europe, China, South America and Australia and the Antarctic. While the heat has been bad in the US, the SW is yet to beat June 1996. The percentage of the US reaching 90º F by 23 June is below normal inspite of the MSM extreme heat warnings. Canadian Highs have continued to relieve the excessive heat. The northwest has been cool. Severe floods hit Iowa and Minnesota damaging large areas of farmland. Interestingly, the northern jet stream continues to flow with short waves triggering cold fronts and severe weather from Asia to Europe. Normally in summer, the jet weakens and becomes intermittent. The North American Monsoon started early bringing heavy rains and flash flooding to New Mexico and southern Colorado.
Alta, Utah had the snowiest 2-year period October 2022 to May 2024 with 1531 inches (127 ft, 39 m). The second named tropical storm Beryl formed in the Atlantic north of Brazil at 9ºN on 29 June. This storm is predicted move into the Caribbean south of Cuba by 4 July as a CAT 1-2 hurricane after reaching CAT 4 east of the Lesser Antilles.
Europe and Asia have had a variety of extreme conditions from short heat waves punctuated by severe thunderstorms, heavy rains and local floods to “February-like” snowfalls in Kashmir and the Tibetan Plateau with avalanches. China had severe floods and debris flows as the SW Monsoon moved into the region.
The Andes have received record snows providing an outstanding ski season with 87% of the total annual snowfall received by 29 June. Major ski areas now have 13 and 19 feet on the ground with more to come. Avalanches closed major roads near Santiago and ice is forming in Tierra del Fuego bay. The Chilean Resort of Valle Nevado, for instance, has already received 87% of its average winter snowfall, accumulating more than 209 inches (5.3 m). The resort opened three weeks early on May 31, benefiting from a massive storm that dumped six feet, chased by another that dropped two more. The southern jet provided a strong Atmospheric River into the central Andes.
Australia and New Zealand are receiving snow with 13-29 cm and 95-138 cm respectively. Deep storms (932 -970 mb) continue to circle the Antarctic as the southern jet stream intensifies. These are dumping 144 to 312 cm along the coast near the Thwaites Glacier. Interior temperatures remain cold at -60 to -78ºC. Eastern Australia is setting new record lows where Antarctic Highs have brought clear skies and radiative cooling. Low winds and cold have put “immense pressure” on the energy grid.
These 2024 extremes may be indicative of the Grand Solar Minimum. Certainly the shortened growing season is characteristic of a GSM. Flood crop damage furthers the impact on crop yields. However, the sun is very active with large CMEs expected to continue into 2026.
Look forward to the climate cabal picking a different cherry as sweaters are redonned across the West:”
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Review of past logs:
Atmospheric Rivers dominate precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere from Alaska to Greenland and Europe. These ARs are associated with intense cyclonic storms on the jet stream that dominate the weather. Recall tropical cyclones (hurricanes) and extratropical cyclones (Lows) and anticyclones (Highs) control our weather. Atmospheric River forecasts quantify the model computations of moisture flux from surface to 700 mb. This flux controls the duration and intensity of precipitation. Remember last winter when California had a record number of intense ARs that filled the “1000 yr“ drought’s reservoirs and extended Mammoth Mountain’s ski season into August 2023. Mammoth mountain is again accumulating heavy snows with a foot a day for 7 days in the last storm. California is drought free today as new ARs are pounding the coast again this winter triggering flash floods and debris flows in this saturated ground. The Colorado River Basin continues to benefit from these snowstorms from Colorado to Wyoming and Utah. Early season NRCS snow water equivalent SWE is running from 100 to 120% of normal. The May 19, 2024 had from 98 to 250%.
NRCS Basin Data: https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/imap/#version=169&elements=&networks=!&states=!&basins=!&hucs=&minElevation=&maxElevation=&elementSelectType=any&activeOnly=true&activeForecastPointsOnly=false&hucLabels=false&hucIdLabels=false&hucParameterLabels=true&stationLabels=&overlays=&hucOverlays=2&basinOpacity=75&basinNoDataOpacity=25&basemapOpacity=100&maskOpacity=0&mode=data&openSections=dataElement,parameter,date,basin,options,elements,location,networks&controlsOpen=true&popup=&popupMulti=&popupBasin=&base=esriNgwm&displayType=basinstation&basinType=6&dataElement=WTEQ&depth=-8¶meter=PCTMED&frequency=DAILY&duration=I&customDuration=&dayPart=E&monthPart=E&forecastPubDay=1&forecastExceedance=50&useMixedPast=true&seqColor=1&divColor=7&scaleType=D&scaleMin=&scaleMax=&referencePeriodType=POR&referenceBegin=1991&referenceEnd=2020&minimumYears=20&hucAssociations=true&relativeDate=-1&lat=43.728&lon=-104.797&zoom=5.0
Atmospheric River forecast by Marty Ralph’s team:
https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/iwv-and-ivt-forecasts/
An important component of the Grand Solar Minimum is an increase in clouds due to its impact on our solar system’s magnetosphere and increased numbers of deep space cosmic rays penetrating our upper atmosphere and generating cloud condensation nuclei. Clouds produce many complex phenomena ranging from cooling as solar radiation is reflected back to space, to surface warming as heat is retained at night and radiational cooling is reduced under stratus and in fog. On a large scale temperature gradients control the winds and jet stream dynamics. Clouds also impact the sea surface temperature SST which can have profound impacts on the Earth’s energy budget from the El Niño and La Niña to Jet stream intensity and location. NASA is now predicting a solar maximum of cycle 25 by January 2024 with some CMEs. Like the one that gave us the beautiful Auroras last week. Note: current climate models fail to adequately simulate clouds; hence, a serious limit to their long term predictions. The primary critical impact of the GSM is late spring frosts and early fall frosts that limit the growing season. it is difficult for long term models to predict these critical events accurately.
Volcanic activity has increased dramatically in November 2023 with two stratovolcanoes pumping huge amounts of volcanic ash into the stratosphere in the northern Hemisphere from Kamchatka, and the tropics from New Guinea. Iceland’s seismic activity also increased significantly and resulted in a small volcanic eruption. Stratospheric volcanic dust from volcanoes cause significant atmospheric cooling. During the Little Ice Age there were many volcanoes associated with the Milankovitch Cycle that also contributed to the cooling. Japan had a devastating earthquake in the last weeks.
During the winter, low clouds can keep the polar regions warmer, thus reducing the N-S temperature gradient that may lead to a weaker jet stream and a meridional flow. This wavy N-S flow enhances the warm and cold sectors of storms and hence, extreme temperature swings. Thus far this winter we have a very wavy jet steam. Have a look at my album’s examples.
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT. The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now below normal. see:
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
and
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg
The northern jet stream is weakening with many short meridional - wavy N-S flows. Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful. Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall. Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement around the hemisphere.
See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea are warming into summer heat after a record cold and snowy winter.
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m throughout the winter. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns. Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact. The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this winter. Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows in April and a deadly storm in early May.
Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic. It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer. On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok… Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 100% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively. SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly. McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September. Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC. December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively. The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under. South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-137 cm this week. May is setting fall records.
Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward. Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather and now is turning cold as Antarctic highs set new cold records in April and May and are continuing to set cold records. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms. Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
South America was warm, but cold fronts are predicted to take temperatures 5-10ºC below normal next week. The Andes continued to build their glaciers (1-2 m). South American snow was at record levels. Patagonia had significant snows and skiing in the Andes continued in November 2023. Surface temperatures reached -10ºC this week in Patagonia with 8 feet of snow. Argentina and Brazil continued to cool in the south with the floods and antarctic air. Antarctic cold fronts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains (100-300 mm) in the South of Brazil by Iguazu Falls in April. The Iguazu region had heavy rains and floods in contrast to a record drought in the Amazon Basin. However, the past month had heavy rain in the upper headwaters of the Rio Negro and Amazon Rivers. Deep thunderstorms with top temperatures of -70 to -80ºC are helping mitigate the drought. These mesoscale convective complexes can dump 100-200+ mm. Rio and Sao Paulo had flash floods and have remained wet. The Porto Alegro lost over 126 people as extreme flash floods hit the region in May.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
New 2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
UK energy policy:
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00367-6 .
Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
Global temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
Allan T. Emrén
Published Online:June 30, 2023pp 401-412https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
Abstract
During the past 170 years, temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased. Published data on global temperature, CO2 data, and data on sea ice in the Arctic have been investigated. It is seen that support for human activities causing the observed increases is weak. It is found that the rate of change in CO2 concentration is controlled by global temperature rather than vice versa. To stop the growing concentration, the temperature has first to be decreased by about 1.4 K. This makes it questionable if attempts by humans to modify the global temperature, or the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere will give any noticeable result. A correlation is found between seasonal variations in CO2 concentrations and Arctic sea ice quantities. The present increase in CO2 concentration and temperature is similar to one 55 million years ago, indicating that the Earth passed a 'tipping point' around 1750.
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
…….
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
A new documentary on climate: Well worth viewing —
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 1 JULY 2024
Avalanches Strand Dozens In Chile; Utah’s Snowiest Two-Year Period On Record; + The AMO Is Turning Cold With Global Implications
June 25, 2024 Cap Allon
Avalanches Strand Dozens in Chile
The recent record-breaking snowfall has stranded dozens of people in mountain towns east of Santiago, Chile following a number of avalanches. The snow combined with extreme cold has caused significant disruptions, blocking roads, knocking out the power, and isolating communities.
In the Chilean province of Maipo, for example, heavy snowstorms have led to towering accumulations. Two towns in the Cajon del Maipo mountain range, along with a ski center, have been cut off, with authorities working to reach and evacuate those stranded.
At Lagunillas Ski Center, some 33 people, including 8 children, remain trapped, but food supplies have been successfully delivered. While in Lo Barnechea, Carabineros an avalanche buried Route G-251 in Valle Nevado, burying at least one vehicle:
Another avalanche blocked a nearby mountain pass, trapping nine people in the town of Banos Morales and 20 in Lo Valdes. Authorities are awaiting snow plows to clear the roads, which are reported to be under some 33 feet (10 meters) of snow.
The June extremes in South America have resulted in one of the deepest snowpacks on record so early into a season. In Chile, Ski Portillo is topping 15 feet, with Las Leñas in Argentina already exceeding 20 feet — with much more to come.
Utah’s Snowiest Two-Year Period On Record
Utah has set a remarkable record for the snowiest two-year period in its history, receiving 131% of its average snowfall — data courtesy of the Utah Avalanche Center’s recently released annual report.
“Utah experienced another exceptional snowpack this winter. Following the historic snowfall of the 2022-2023 season, we saw 131% of the average snowfall this winter across the State, setting a record for the snowiest two-year period in Utah’s history,” reads the opening lines of the report.
“From October 2022 to May 2024, Alta Ski Area reported an astonishing 1,531 inches of snow—over 127 feet!”
The 2022-23 season alone saw Alta Ski Area accumulating 903 inches, the highest seasonal snowfall ever recorded there. The following season, 2023-24, also experienced exceptional snowfall. By the end of March 2024, Alta had received 580 inches of snow, making for the snowiest start to a year since records began.
“As has become typical, the year began with early-season snow followed by long periods of cold, dry weather, resulting in weak, faceted snow on shaded aspects. The snow guns eventually activated, providing a winter filled with powder riding,” continues the report.
“Unfortunately, following an unprecedented May storm that delivered over 39 inches of snow in the Central Wasatch Mountains, our season ended tragically with the May 9th fatalities of two backcountry riders.”
Despite absurd mainstream warm-mongering over localized (and brief) summer heatwaves, the likes of the Rockies and parts of the Northwest have experienced late-season snows, with vast portions of the U.S. enduring anomalous lows.
Research meteorologist Ryan Maue is another to have had enough of establishment gaming — his tongue firmly in his cheek here:
Exclusive heat map 6/18/24. NWS NDFD
Analysis of the historic & brutal heat wave caused by a climate-fueled "heat dome" Temperatures across Great Lakes + Northeast will up to 17°F above normal for mid-June. Atlanta will be an incredible 3°F above normal. Also, Montana will be 24°F below… Show more
SEE SUMMER 2024 ALBUM
Maue’s ridicule is more than warranted.
The MSNBC report (below) isn’t balanced news, it is propaganda supporting a tired narrative that the majority of people are no longer buying. The terms used: “extreme heat,” “baking,” “absolutely scorching,” “extreme,” “ferocious,” “relentless heat wave smashing records,” “intense,” “scorching hot,” “scientists say there is a clear link between intense heat and human-caused climate change, meaning this extreme weather is unlikely to go anywhere anytime soon”.
Last Monday (June 17), some one million residents across the Northwest were under a winter weather advisory and/or frost advisory — this goes unreported.
Moderate to heavy snowfalls were observed in the mountains of western Montana and Idaho, with more than a foot falling at Clover Meadows in Montana. This unusual weather event marked only the fifth time that a Winter Storm Warning has been issued in Montana during the month June — this goes unreported.
Speaking again to MSM deceptions, even according to NOAA’s own phantom, UHI-skewed and poorly-cited temperature readings nothing untoward is occurring. So far this year, 1,484 monthly heat records have fallen vs 948 monthly cold records. And when it comes to all-time records, 31 have fallen for heat with a narrative-crushing 199 toppling for all-time cold.
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records
“U.S. temperature trends reported by NOAA bear no resemblance to the thermometer data they are derived from,” writes climate researcher Tony Heller.
For more on this tampering, click below:
The AMO Is Turning Cold With Global Implications
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is a climate cycle that affects North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, alternating between warm and cool phases over several decades. The oscillation has significant climatic implications.
The AMO shifts between warm phases and cool phases, with the combined cycles (the two that we have data for) spanning 58 and 67 years.
As shown above, we are currently in a warm phase that commenced in 1995, which is projected to end between 2027 and 2032.
The subsequent cool phase of the AMO is expected to be are characterized by below-average sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, leading to broader climate impacts.
Cooler sea surface temperatures can reduce the intensity and frequency of hurricanes and alter rainfall patterns, leading to changes in regional climates such as droughts in the Sahel and increased precipitation in the southwestern United States.
Research suggests that the AMO influences not just regional but also global climate systems. Studies indicate that the AMO’s cool phases can lower global temperature averages due to the significant heat exchange between the ocean and the atmosphere.
For instance, Knight et al. (2005) demonstrated that the AMO plays a critical role in modulating Northern Hemisphere temperatures, with cool phases corresponding to cooler periods on a global scale. Similarly, Zhang et al. (2007) noted that the AMO’s influence extends beyond the Atlantic, affecting climate variability in the Pacific and also global atmospheric circulation patterns.
The AMO’s upcoming cool phase is expected align with other global cooling ‘forcings’ — its commencement dates (2027 to 2032) fit very well with the forecast onset of the Grand Solar Minimum, with the Suess de Vries Cycle, also with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and perhaps even lunar cycles. Also, any lingering water vapor following Hunga-Tonga’s historic eruption should be gone by then, with a recent paper noting its stratospheric impacts peaking 3 – 7 years post eruption (so 2025 – 2029).
To wrap things up, as the AMO transitions into a cool phase we should expect a significant hit to global temperatures. The historical pattern of the AMO suggests that cooler sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic will contribute to a period of global cooling, exposing today’s crippling Net Zero policies anti-human and “crazy”.
Percentage of U.S. To Reach 90F by June 23 Among Lowest On Record; Discovery of Steve’s Twin; + Historical Storm Data Exposes NYT Billion-Dollar Deception
June 26, 2024 Cap Allon
Percentage of U.S. To Reach 90F by June 23 Among Lowest On Record
Despite the copy-&-paste hysteria from mainstream media outlets about an “unprecedented heatwave” and “record-breaking temperatures,” the data is telling an entirely different story.
The below chart shows the percentage of U.S. weather stations reaching 90F from January 1 to June 23 each year, from 1895 to 2024. The blue line represents annual data, while the red line indicates the 10-year moving average.
This year, the percentage is shown to notably low, ranking as the 19th lowest since records began 129 years ago, at ≈55%. This contradicts media claims of “deadly, unprecedented heat,” highlighting a palpable disconnect between the truth and the story.
For reference, the highest recorded percentage was in 1933 (89.8%), and the lowest in 1982 (42.4%).
Despite the unarguable facts, sensational quotes continue to flood Western propaganda outlets: “Unprecedented heatwaves are sweeping across the nation.” “Record-breaking temperatures highlight the urgent need for climate action.”
These exaggerated claims aim to mislead the public by distorting reality, so as to povertize and to privatize. Alarmists keenly accept ANYTHING that supports their dogma, they are propagandized sheep in sheep’s clothing. “Humans’ fossil fuel burning has cooled the planet while warming it,” is one of their latest nonsensicals:
Discovery of Steve’s Twin
Ever since aurora chasers identified Steve, a mysterious purple ribbon in the dusk sky, scientists speculated about a possible dawn twin. Recently, a photographer’s sharp eye and data from ESA’s Swarm satellites confirmed this suspicion.
Steve, initially documented by the Alberta Aurora Chasers, is not an aurora borealis, but a sub-auroral ion drift—a fast-moving stream of extremely hot gas moving westward.
At first, its unusual characteristics puzzled scientists. Unlike the aurora borealis, which displays green, blue, and red hues and lasts for hours, Steve is a fleeting mauve-colored phenomenon.
ESA’s Swarm satellites helped identify Steve as a sub-auroral ion drift, technically termed a Strong Thermal Emission Velocity Enhancement (STEVE).
Historical Storm Data Exposes NYT Billion-Dollar Deception
Is climate change driving massive increases in severe thunderstorm costs and causing “The Possible Collapse of the U.S. Home Insurance System”? According to the NYT, this alarming trend is evident, one requiring drastic, energy-restricting action.
While it is a fact that billion-dollar disasters and global insured disaster losses are increasing, with thunderstorms the key contributor (green in the below chart), it is crucial to separate scientific evidence from media exaggeration.
See Album for charts
When analyzing historical trends, it becomes apparent that US tornadoes have not shown any long-term increase, with the strongest tornadoes actually shown to decrease (see below graphic). While for hail, data since at least 2004 reveals “no clear overarching national climatological hail trend has been found for the USA,” according to a 2021 study published in Nature.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-020-00133-9
As explained by Patrick Brown, a PhD climate scientist infamous for his withholding of the full truth in order to get his climate paper published, “fundamental theory tells us that severe thunderstorms require many ingredients, but two are particularly important: Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and wind shear.”
Historical data show no real change in these ingredients. Tornado and hail reports from 1990 are largely stable (see below). However, climate models consistently predict increased CAPE with warming (they are more uncertain re. wind shear).
https://electroverse.info/climate-scientist-withholds-full-truth/
While legacy media outlets keenly attribute increased economic losses to cLiMaTe ChAnGe, losses are instead primarily driven by increased exposure and construction costs — a truth that the insurance industry itself even acknowledges.
Therefore, reducing economic losses is achieved by managing exposure and costs, not by absurd and expensive plots to control the weather. The media’s bent to overplay the role of climate change is, once again, obscuring the real issue from public eyes.
See album for total emissions 1959-2020 by country
South America’s Snowiest Start To A Season In 30-Years; Record Cold Freezes The Sea In Tierra del Fuego; Help For BC Wineries Following Devastating Winter; Denmark’s Absurd ‘Flatulence Tax’; + US Heatwave Failed To Deliver
June 27, 2024 Cap Allon
South America’s Snowiest Start To A Season In 30-Years
The ski season in South America is shaping up to be one of the most remarkable in decades. Early-season snowfall has been abundant, with multiple storms blanketing resorts across Chile and Argentina.
Conditions have allowed many resorts to open weeks earlier than usual, with the season expected to extend to late-October.
In Chile, locals are calling it to the best start to a season in 30 years.
The Chilean Resort of Valle Nevado, for instance, has already received 87% of its average winter snowfall, accumulating more than 209 inches. The resort opened three weeks early on May 31, benefiting from a massive storm that dumped six feet, chased by another that dropped two more.
The scenes are even more impressive at Ski Portillo, another Chilean report, where more than 20 feet have already accumulated, surpassing the seasonal average before the resort even had chance to open, which is scheduled for June 29.
July and August are expected to bring exceptional skiing conditions if current trends continue. However, it isn’t all plain sailing, the historic snow has led to some resorts temporarily closing due to avalanche concerns and blocked access roads.
Record Cold Freezes The Sea In Tierra del Fuego
The remarkable snows in Chile and Argentina are coinciding with persistent and record-breaking cold. This May was Chile’s coldest since 1950, according to the country’s meteorological agency, and the chill is now intensifying through June.
In Tierra del Fuego, Argentina this week, unusually low temperatures have frozen the sea near San Sebastián, north of Río Grande:
Ocean waves have frozen solid amid a persistent cold wave affecting Patagonia, where temperatures have routinely plummet to -15C (5F) and beyond. For instance, Balmaceda, Chile, posted a frigid -21.9C (-7.4F) this week — a new record.
Owing to the big freeze, the Argentine National Weather Service has issued red alerts across multiple regions, citing health risks and infrastructure issues–such as the freezing of pipes in Río Grande.
Cindy Fernández, a service spokesperson, attributed the sea freezing to a combination of polar air and weak winds.
Exceptionally cold Antarctic air has been blowing hard into South America of late. Temps across the bottom of the world have been holding below-average for months and months, with this week delivering sub -70Cs to the likes Concordia and Vostok.
Help For BC Wineries Following Devastating Winter
Wineries in British Columbia faced unprecedented challenges this year as a severe winter cold blast decimated crops. The January cold event caused a catastrophic 97-99% reduction in grape and wine production across a wide area.
To help, the provincial government has exempted affected wineries from the 4,500 liters minimum production requirements, allowing them to maintain licenses and continue selling past vintages.
Additionally, the government recently pledged an extra $70 million for vineyard recovery, on top pf the $15 million already issued, with the federal government suspending the annual excise tax increase.
“This means B.C.’s 295 land-based wineries, many in the South Okanagan, can keep their tasting rooms open and continue selling inventory from prior years’ harvests,” said Jordan Knox, president of the chamber, speaking to the exemptions.
The province is also exploring additional support re. the grape shortage, including reviewing winery sales agreements.
Executive director Michael Magnusson emphasized the need for stopgap measures, such as sourcing grapes from outside the province, “to sustain wineries during this crisis” caused January’s devastating cold blast.
Denmark’s Absurd ‘Flatulence Tax’
Denmark’s proposal to impose a “flatulence tax” on livestock farmers is a clear example of how the myth of man-made climate change is being weaponized to control and impoverish the people.
This misguided plan, expected to pass in the national parliament, aims to tax farmers for the gases emitted by their cows, sheep, and pigs starting in 2030.
Taxation Minister Jeppe Bruus claims this tax will help slash Denmark’s greenhouse gas emissions by 70% by 2030 and achieve climate neutrality by 2045.
US Heatwave Failed To Deliver
Despite the AGW Party’s wall-to-wall propaganda campaign, not a single U.S. state set a new June high temperature record during the brief and pretty standard bout of summer heat.
Vermont might have tied its June record of 101F on the 21st at N. Springfield Lake, matching readings from 2003 and Saint Johnsbury from 1919, but the data is still preliminary, and either way, it wasn’t unprecedented.
As pointed out by meteorology major Chris Martz on X, 39 states recorded their all-time June high-temperature records thirty or more years ago. Of these, 31 were set prior to 1960, and 28 were set before 1950. Six states set their all-time June record highs in the years 1934, 1936, and 2012, while five states each set records in 1919, 1931, and 1994.
The Desert Southwest has yet to experience a heatwave as intense as that of late June 1994, which remains unmatched in the historical record. June 2012 rivaled the heatwaves of 1931, 1934, and 1936 across the Heartland and eastern U.S., while the year 1919 remains a benchmark in New England’s record books.
Moreover, barring isolated pockets of ‘red’, the story this week has been ever-expanding ‘blue’. This is a theme forecast to intensify into the weekend as anomalously low temperatures sweep the majority of the U.S., as per latest GFS runs:
The AGW Party let its mask slip this week, it overplayed the heat and exposed its true self in yet another failed bid to control the climate narrative. A sign of desperation.
Avalanche At Kedarnath Temple; Australia’s Bitter Cold And Low Wind Leads To Power Concerns; Greenland’s Record Summer Gains; + Incoming CMEs And The Approaching Solar Max
July 1, 2024 Cap Allon
Avalanche At Kedarnath Temple
On Sunday morning, a large avalanche struck the snowy mountain behind Kedarnath Dham, Uttarakhand, India.
A video of the event went viral on social media.
Fortunately, no casualties or damage have been reported.
“There was no loss of life or property,” Dr. Vishakha Ashok Bhadane, the region’s senior superintendent of police.
Heavy snow has beset the region in recent weeks and months, notes disaster management officer Nandan Singh Rajwar.
The higher reaches Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Kashmir have all observed healthy snow volumes in June, with stark temperatures drop noted that are “giving Kashmir a February-like feel in June,” so said the meteorological department.
Australia’s Bitter Cold And Low Wind Leads To Power Concerns
Eastern Australia is enduring a brisk start to the season, felling record lows and defying the BoM’s winter forecast.
On one of the coldest mornings in recent years, thermometers dipped to 7.8C (46F) in Sydney. This chill is part of a broader pattern affecting much of the country, including New South Wales and Queensland, as a polar air mass and clear skies dominate.
https://electroverse.info/avalanche-at-kedarnath-temple-australias-bitter-cold-and-low-wind-leads-to-power-concerns-greenlands-record-summer-gains-incoming-cmes-and-the-approaching-solar-max/
In NWS, temperatures at Perisher Valley dropped to -4.7C (23.5F), while Sydney’s Observatory Hill posted an anomalous 8.1C (46.6F). Queensland shivered through similarly frigid conditions, with Stanthorpe hitting -2C (28.4F), the lowest reading in years.
Tasmania has also faced some of its coldest nights in years of late.
Liawanee, for example, on the Central Plateau recorded -12.1C (10.2F), just shy of breaking the state’s all-time record. Ross, with -6.5C (20.3F), experienced its coldest night in more than five years, and Launceston, with -3.1C (26.4F), had its coldest July night in 16 years.
The biting cold has also impacted Australia’s energy grid. A high demand for heating, coupled with low wind power generation, has put immense pressure on infrastructure.
A coal-rich nation relying heavily on unreliable renewables is the crux of the issue. You let a fanciful, anti-human narrative run unchecked and this is the result.
Looking ahead, the ‘blues’ and ‘purples’ are expected to persist, intensify even, into the new week, with a fresh front crossing southeastern Australia — one forecast to deliver additional anomalous lows and also substantial snows to the higher elevations.
Greenland’s Record Summer Gains
Recent data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) showcases record-breaking gains on Greenland. Contrary to mainstream foretellings, the ice sheet is posting substantial accumulations, continuing the run started in mid-May.
The latest SMB charts reveal multiple-gigaton gains on June 29 and 30, a stark contrast to the typical summer melt. These gains not only far-exceed the 1981-2010 average, they are also among the highest ever summer readings in 43-years of data.
Indeed, despite the ongoing ‘atmospheric CO2 apocalypse’, fierce chills and sizable snow dumps have worked to deliver the island its largest late-June gains in DMI books dating back to 1981. See Summer Album
The next chart illustrates the wider story.
It shows that Greenland has been failing to follow the prescribed melting trajectory for years now, since 2012:
According to alarmist climate models, Greenland should have experienced significant melting by now which, in turn, should have inundated coastal locales with rising seas.
But the data show nothing alarming continues to occur.
As highlighted, 2024 is resulting in additional headaches for the AGW Party. Instead of the anticipated summer melt, Greenland is seeing a late pickup, leading to above-average mass, reinforcing the inconsistency between climate reality and climate models.
The dire predictions of Greenland’s imminent melting are not materializing.
The same can be said for the Arctic. Recent data here indicates that the Arctic sea ice melt since the summer solstice has been the slowest in almost three decades.
The below chart, which comes courtesy of Tony Heller, shows summer sea ice melt from June 21 to June 29 for each year dating back to 1997. Clearly visible, 2024’s melt rate is exceptionally slow; extent is significantly higher than in the past 27 years.
Cooler atmospheric conditions, the jet stream, variations in ocean currents, and healthy Hemisphere-wide snow cover are likely contributing to these anomalies. The same can also be said for the record cold experienced the past few years on Antarctica.
Incoming CMEs And The Approaching Solar Max
Three Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) that left the Sun over the past few days are expected to graze Earth’s magnetic field July 1 through 3, as the Solar Maximum of Cycle 25 continues.
The most significant impact is likely on July 3, stemming from a CME hurled into space by a magnetic filament eruption in the Sun’s southern hemisphere. Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible leading up to the Fourth of July.
As of mid-2024, solar activity has notably increased, suggesting we are approaching the peak of Solar Cycle 25.
As reported by spaceweather.com, amateur astronomer Eduardo Schaberger Poupeau has compiled daily images of the Sun for the first six months of the year, creating a composite image that vividly illustrates the heightened activity:
Poupeau comments, “Since the beginning of 2024, the Sun has increased its activity. The presence of so many sunspots is a clear indication that we are close to the maximum activity of Solar Cycle 25.”
The composite image reveals two significant patterns.
First, sunspots are concentrated in two distinct bands, one north and one south of the Sun’s equator. As the solar cycle progresses, these bands will converge at the equator, ultimately neutralizing each other in a collision of opposite-polarity magnetic fields. This convergence will mark the transition from Solar Maximum to Solar Minimum.
Second, the southern hemisphere is exhibiting more sunspots than the northern hemisphere. This imbalance is not unusual, as one hemisphere can dominate sunspot activity for extended periods. In this instance, the disparity is largely due to a massive southern sunspot (AR3664) that circled the Sun three times, significantly boosting the southern sunspot count.
Solar Maximum is still unfolding, with some models predicting it could persist for another 2 years. It is possible we have peaked in terms of strength, but a period of relatively high activity is set to persist until ≈2026, meaning continued flare danger.
24 JUNE 2024
Summer Solstice arrived on 21 June bringing summer weather in its fullest strength to the N Hemisphere. Our first named TS Alberto moved off Honduras and Yucatan briefly into the Gulf and then back into Mexico. South Texas had another shot of flooding rains and storm tides. Montana also had heavy snow in the Rockies. The Central and Eastern US was hot as the offshore Canadian High’s return flow pulled warm moist air from the Gulf setting hot records. Iowa was on the frontal boundary of the warm air that triggered severe thunderstorms and record flooding after 10-17 inches of rain. The June chill hit the West setting cold records in Alberta and Montana. While weak, the northern jet persists with short waves triggering cold fronts, severe weather, forecasts of tornadoes in NE…
We live in a fluid atmosphere where hydrodynamics and thermodynamics must create a net balance. As you know the density of the atmosphere varies with temperature, thus hot areas must be compensated by cold areas to create an equilibrium. Our extreme heat in the East was balanced by a cool west and cool areas over the oceans. While the Northern Hemisphere heats in summer, the lack of sunshine cools the Southern Hemisphere, where cold records have been set this season. The sun and the oceans are our primary controls of the earth’s temperature, not fossil fuel emissions. Watch TropicalTidbits.com ’s temperature anomalies: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=global&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024062400&fh=6
Europe had mixed conditions from a rare Cool Spain to Hot Central Europe under a SW flow bringing dust from Algeria. Mediterranean lows brought some rain and relief to southern Europe. Greece suffered in record heat. The Alps have several glacier areas open and Les 2 Alpes in France will open for summer skiing with one of the deepest snowpacks ever reported there, in contrast, Slovenia’s Kredarica observatory is down to 10 cm. It’s glacier is gone - only snow fields/couloirs left. In Mecca over 1300 people died in 120ºF (49ºC) heat.
Deadly floods hit China as the monsoon moved north. Thunderstorm cloud tops hit -71ºC - deep storms. The Tibetan Plateau continued to get snow while south of the Himalayas India cooled in the monsoon.
The Southern Hemisphere moved toward winter with very cold days in the high latitudes. Australia, Chile and Argentina turned cold with heavy snow in the Andes and Patagonia (10-30 cm, 2-5 m, and 50-80 cm) respectively. Afriski in Lesoto opened the only open ski area in the African Continent.
Electroverse: “Moreover, looking ahead, the Northeast is due to swing back to ‘blues’ next week.
I look forward to the climate cabal picking a different cherry as sweaters are redonned across the West:”
NEW: Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Review of past logs:
Atmospheric Rivers dominate precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere from Alaska to Greenland and Europe. These ARs are associated with intense cyclonic storms on the jet stream that dominate the weather. Recall tropical cyclones (hurricanes) and extratropical cyclones (Lows) and anticyclones (Highs) control our weather. Atmospheric River forecasts quantify the model computations of moisture flux from surface to 700 mb. This flux controls the duration and intensity of precipitation. Remember last winter when California had a record number of intense ARs that filled the “1000 yr“ drought’s reservoirs and extended Mammoth Mountain’s ski season into August 2023. Mammoth mountain is again accumulating heavy snows with a foot a day for 7 days in the last storm. California is drought free today as new ARs are pounding the coast again this winter triggering flash floods and debris flows in this saturated ground. The Colorado River Basin continues to benefit from these snowstorms from Colorado to Wyoming and Utah. Early season NRCS snow water equivalent SWE is running from 100 to 120% of normal. The May 19, 2024 had from 98 to 250%.
NRCS Basin Data: https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/imap/#version=169&elements=&networks=!&states=!&basins=!&hucs=&minElevation=&maxElevation=&elementSelectType=any&activeOnly=true&activeForecastPointsOnly=false&hucLabels=false&hucIdLabels=false&hucParameterLabels=true&stationLabels=&overlays=&hucOverlays=2&basinOpacity=75&basinNoDataOpacity=25&basemapOpacity=100&maskOpacity=0&mode=data&openSections=dataElement,parameter,date,basin,options,elements,location,networks&controlsOpen=true&popup=&popupMulti=&popupBasin=&base=esriNgwm&displayType=basinstation&basinType=6&dataElement=WTEQ&depth=-8¶meter=PCTMED&frequency=DAILY&duration=I&customDuration=&dayPart=E&monthPart=E&forecastPubDay=1&forecastExceedance=50&useMixedPast=true&seqColor=1&divColor=7&scaleType=D&scaleMin=&scaleMax=&referencePeriodType=POR&referenceBegin=1991&referenceEnd=2020&minimumYears=20&hucAssociations=true&relativeDate=-1&lat=43.728&lon=-104.797&zoom=5.0
Atmospheric River forecast by Marty Ralph’s team:
https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/iwv-and-ivt-forecasts/
An important component of the Grand Solar Minimum is an increase in clouds due to its impact on our solar system’s magnetosphere and increased numbers of deep space cosmic rays penetrating our upper atmosphere and generating cloud condensation nuclei. Clouds produce many complex phenomena ranging from cooling as solar radiation is reflected back to space, to surface warming as heat is retained at night and radiational cooling is reduced under stratus and in fog. On a large scale temperature gradients control the winds and jet stream dynamics. Clouds also impact the sea surface temperature SST which can have profound impacts on the Earth’s energy budget from the El Niño and La Niña to Jet stream intensity and location. NASA is now predicting a solar maximum of cycle 25 by January 2024 with some CMEs. Like the one that gave us the beautiful Auroras last week. Note: current climate models fail to adequately simulate clouds; hence, a serious limit to their long term predictions. The primary critical impact of the GSM is late spring frosts and early fall frosts that limit the growing season. it is difficult for long term models to predict these critical events accurately.
Volcanic activity has increased dramatically in November 2023 with two stratovolcanoes pumping huge amounts of volcanic ash into the stratosphere in the northern Hemisphere from Kamchatka, and the tropics from New Guinea. Iceland’s seismic activity also increased significantly and resulted in a small volcanic eruption. Stratospheric volcanic dust from volcanoes cause significant atmospheric cooling. During the Little Ice Age there were many volcanoes associated with the Milankovitch Cycle that also contributed to the cooling. Japan had a devastating earthquake in the last weeks.
During the winter, low clouds can keep the polar regions warmer, thus reducing the N-S temperature gradient that may lead to a weaker jet stream and a meridional flow. This wavy N-S flow enhances the warm and cold sectors of storms and hence, extreme temperature swings. Thus far this winter we have a very wavy jet steam. Have a look at my album’s examples.
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT. The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now below normal. see:
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
and
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg
The northern jet stream is weakening with many short meridional - wavy N-S flows. Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful. Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall. Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement around the hemisphere.
See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea are hot.
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m throughout the winter. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns. Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact. The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this winter. Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows in April and a deadly storm in early May.
Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic. It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer. On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok… Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 100% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively. SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly. McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September. Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC. December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively. The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under. South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-137 cm this week. May is setting fall records.
Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward. Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather and now is turning cold as Antarctic highs set new cold records in April and May and are continuing to set cold records. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms. Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
New 2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
UK energy policy:
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00367-6. .
Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
Global temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
Allan T. Emrén
Published Online:June 30, 2023pp 401-412 https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
Abstract
During the past 170 years, temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased. Published data on global temperature, CO2 data, and data on sea ice in the Arctic have been investigated. It is seen that support for human activities causing the observed increases is weak. It is found that the rate of change in CO2 concentration is controlled by global temperature rather than vice versa. To stop the growing concentration, the temperature has first to be decreased by about 1.4 K. This makes it questionable if attempts by humans to modify the global temperature, or the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere will give any noticeable result. A correlation is found between seasonal variations in CO2 concentrations and Arctic sea ice quantities. The present increase in CO2 concentration and temperature is similar to one 55 million years ago, indicating that the Earth passed a 'tipping point' around 1750.
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
…….
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 24 JUNE 2024
Queensland Freeze Breaks 32-Year Record; Record Cold British Columbia; Heat Index Obfuscations; + New Study Identifies Antarctica’s Record Winter Cold
June 18, 2024 Cap Allon
Queensland Freeze Breaks 32-Year Record
Eastern Australia’s unusual chill has busted a 32-year record in Queensland and also blanketed a 640 km (400 mile) stretch of the state in frost, so reports couriermail.com.au.
On Sunday, Brisbane Airport recorded 2.6C (36.7F), the coldest June temperature since 1992. The Scenic Rim and Darling Downs regions saw temperatures plunge to -5C (23F) and beyond, setting new monthly record lows for June.
The frost extended over 640km, reaching as far north as Mackay and covering the Darling Downs, Burnett, and Wide Bay regions. Such extensive frost coverage is highly unusual for Queensland, with its northern reaches enjoying a tropical climate.
Meteorologists are attributing this ongoing ‘cold snap’ to clear skies, dry air, and light winds, which allowed temperatures to drop significantly overnight. The cold air mass settled over the region, creating ideal conditions for frost formation.
Queensland residents have donned winter clothing typically reserved for southern parts of the country, continues the Courier Mail article, while farmers are working hard to protect crops from frost damage.
Temperatures have also struggled across Victoria and South Australia, with locales experiencing their coldest June days in decades, according to Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) data.
BoM senior forecaster Angus Hines said the frigid temps were showing no signs of letting up, in what was proving to be an unusually persistent chill.
“It’s quite a long time, actually,” he said. “We’ve had a chilly weekend, but the weather pattern is going to keep feeding in those chilly conditions through most of the rest of this week.”
Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be the worst, according to Hines, with widespread areas of morning frost forecast for Tasmania, Victoria, New South Wales, and the ACT.
Record Cold British Columbia
Environment Canada reports an unseasonably cool air mass over British Columbia, breaking multiple temperature records, including some dating back about 70 years.
Temperatures in the Trail area fell to 4C (39.2F) on Sunday, breaking the previous record of 4.4C (39.9F) set back in 1954.
In Bella Bella, the minimum dropped to 3.9C (39F), pipping the old record of 4C (39.2F) set ten years ago.
While in Kelowna, a new low daily maximum of 13.3C (55.9F) was notched, besting the 15C (59F) from way back in 1906.
Additional records for low daily maximum temperatures were set across the likes of Penticton and Princeton, both of which reset records established in 1939. Other locations, including Summerland (1987), Sparwood, Nakusp, Merritt, and Kamloops (1991), also set new low daily maximum temperatures as descending Arctic air crashed the summer party.
Lytton, for example, reached a maximum of just 15.2C (59.4F), breaking its previous record of 15.4C (59.7F) set in 2014.
Tuesday will see the anomalous cold march eastward out of B.C. and into the neighboring provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan, no doubt breaking June-records there and all.
‘Blues’ and ‘purples’ will also sink well-south of the border, challenging records from Montana and Washington, all the way down through Nevada and Utah, and also Arizona…
Heat Index Obfuscations
America’s cold outbreak hasn’t made it to our favorite mainstream news outlet, they’re busy exaggerating localized heat and standard summer warmth:
When ordinary temperatures aren’t quite doing it, the “heat index” is used to ramp-up the climate anxiety.
Attempting to define how hot it feels when both temperature and humidity are considered, the heat index has notable inaccuracies. It often overestimates the perceived temperature, especially outside typical ranges or in varying conditions like wind and sunlight.
Climate alarmists routinely use the heat index to exaggerate global warming. By emphasizing higher perceived temperatures rather than actual ones, they can make the current conditions appear more extreme — as the New York Times has done above.
This tactic stirs up undue fear and urgency among the gullible, skewing public perception of the climate data.
The lead weather story in America this week in’t heat, it’s anomalous summer chills.
New Study Identifies Antarctica’s Record Winter Cold
Despite 2023 being the “hottest year ever!”, Antarctica experienced extreme cold in late winter (July and August), as detailed in a new study published in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences on June 13.
In late winter 2023, Antarctica saw unprecedented cold temperatures across various regions.
The Antarctic Meteorological Research and Data Center noted record lows at both staffed and automatic weather stations, including those in East Antarctica, the Ross Ice Shelf, and the Antarctic Peninsula.
Kunlun Station, for example, logged its lowest-ever temperature at -79.4C (-110.9F).
Taking August 2023, numerous locations across the continent experienced extreme lows. Margaret AWS endured -66.4C (-87.5F), the second-coldest minimum ever recorded in its region. Other notable records include Vito AWS on the Ross Ice Shelf with -61.1C (-78.0F), Willie Field on Ross Island with -59.9C (-75.8F), and Erin in West Antarctica with -53.2C (-63.8F).
The study identified four distinct cold phases from mid-July to late August 2023, phases characterized by strong negative anomalies in the mid-tropospheric atmosphere. Negative 500-hPa geopotential height anomalies were prominent over regions that experienced extreme cold, such as East Antarctica and the Ross Ice Shelf. The atmospheric conditions during these phases included southerly flows and calm weather patterns, contributing to the freezes severity.
Temperatures below -50C (-58F) severely disrupted essential flight operations to key research stations, risking hydraulic failure and fuel gelling in aircraft. The WINFLY (winter fly-in) period was particularly affected, delaying the arrival of cargo, supplies, and personnel to McMurdo Station.
Antarctica has shown cooling since 1979, with the South Pole experiencing its coldest-ever winter (April-Sept) in 2021.
The South Pole’s cold persisted through 2022. November of that year averaged -40.4C (-40.7F), making for the the coldest Nov since 1987, while December 2022 averaged -29.1C (-20.4F), the coldest Dec since 2006.
In January 2023, Vostok saw -48.7C (-55.7F), its lowest Jan reading since records began in 1957. Concordia tied its lowest January temperature that month, of -48.5C (-55.3F).
Antarctica’s cold trend continued through March, with the continent logging its coldest early-year reading ever.
July 2023 saw Earth’s lowest temperature since 2017, and August 2023 at Vostok averaged -71.2C (-96.2F), the coldest since 2002. Several sites set new all-time records last August, as mentioned, including Vito AWS, Willie Field, and Erin.
In September, Vostok recorded a low of -80.6C (-113.1F), the lowest Sept reading since 2012.
October saw the South Pole average an anomalous -52.8C (-63.0F).
And then November 2023 brought Vostok’s coldest November in 40 years.
The freeze has persisted into 2024.
Vostok and the South Pole reported significant deviations below normal for the months of January, February, and March. Their averages for January, for example, came in at -2.4C (-27.7F) and -3.2C (-26.2F) below normal, respectively.
And as recently as April 2024, a new low of -77C (-106.6F) was set at Concordia, while Vostok saw -75.5C (-103.9F). While the month over all was another colder-than-average one for both Vostok and the South Pole, the seventh in a row, with 3.1C and -2.2C below the norm, respectively.
Antarctica’s persistent and extreme cold points to the complexity of Earth’s climate system, emphasizing that can’t be “CO2 what did it”. The continent’s extensive ice cover, coupled with the consistently low temperatures, suggests that Antarctic ice isn’t in any danger of ‘melting away’ as the mainstream scientific community might have us believe. Recent measurements indicate a recovery in Antarctic sea ice extent, aligning with levels from the 1980s.
For more on Antarctica, click the articles below:
Fresh Snowfall Hits Northwestern Peaks; Cold Records Fall In Montana And Alberta; Frosts Hit The Aussie Tropics; Michael Mann: Tool of the Establishment; + Three Big Sunspots
June 19, 2024 Cap Allon
Fresh Snowfall Hits Northwestern Peaks
As many Americans plan for the Fourth of July, mountain peaks in the northwest are experiencing unseasonable snowfall.
Timberline Lodge on Mt. Hood, Oregon, reported 7 inches of fresh snow on Sunday.
The storm also hit Silver Mountain in Kellogg, Idaho, blanketing Kellogg Peak under an unseasonal layer.
The snow disrupted the North American Enduro Cup (NAEC) races, forcing the cancellation or alteration of multiple stages.
As the storm moves east, peaks in Montana, Wyoming, and parts of Colorado are expected to see up to a foot by Thursday.
Cold Records Fall In Montana And Alberta
Western North America has held cold this week.
Billings, Montana posted its lowest-ever temperature for the date on Tuesday, while north of the border, in southern Alberta, at least seven communities set new cold records for June there with some breaking benchmarks that had stood for over a century.
Despite the chilly start to the week, summer-like warmth should return by Saturday. Increasingly, wild fluctuations are proving the theme, swings between extremes. Alberta saw 30cm of snow on Tuesday, just days out from the 30C forecast on the summer solstice.
Frosts Hit The Aussie Tropics
Chasing the cold records set earlier in the week, Australia’s southeast has continued to shiver through Wednesday, with numerous locales experiencing their coldest June morning in at least 20 years.
A Tasman Low is shipping icy southerly winds over eastern Australia this week, and a high-pressure system is causing temperatures to plummet under clear skies.
Listed below a few of the latest benchmarks to fall…
Tasmania
Smithton recorded -4.5C (23.9F), the lowest temperature there since records began in 1962.
King Island saw -0.1C (31.8F), the coldest since July 2020.
Victoria
Westmere dropped to -5.7C (21.7F), a record since 2006.
Sheoaks recorded -2C (28.4F), the coldest June temp in 29 years.
Omeo hit -6.4C (20.5F), the coldest since 1995.
Melbourne recorded 1.4C (34.5F), the coldest in nearly two years, with Melbourne Airport matching its coldest June morning since 1996 at 0.2C (32.4F).
Mortlake Racecourse fell to -3.5C (25.7F), the coldest June morning in 28 years.
Bendigo saw -3.9C (25F), its coldest reading since August 2013.
New South Wales
Griffith Airport hit -4C (24.8F), the coldest temp since August 2018.
Queensland
And as the headline of this section suggest, frosts were noted in the tropics.
The town of Tambo, QLD dropped to -5.6C (21.9F), smashing a 42-year record there.
For all concerned, the wind chill made it feel some 4C to 6C colder, with Sydney feeling like 1C (33.8F) and Melbourne feeling like -2.3C (27.9F). Daytime highs struggled to reach 16C (60.8F) in Sydney, Hobart, and Melbourne.
Historical Context of the Heatwave
(Data compiled by Chris Martz)
Atlanta, Georgia:
Tue 6/18: 89°F / record: 101°F (1944)
Wed 6/19: 89°F / record: 99°F (1933)
Thu 6/20: 90°F / record: 98°F (1933)
Fri 6/21: 93°F / record: 98°F (1933)
Sat 6/22: 97°F / record: 98°F (1964, 2022)
Sun 6/23: 97°F / record: 99°F (1930, 1944)
Mon 6/25: 95°F / record: 99°F (1930, 1988)
Chicago, Illinois:
Tue 6/18: 93°F / record: 98°F (1954)
Wed 6/19: 95°F / record: 102°F (1953)
Thu 6/20: 89°F / record: 104°F (1988)
Fri 6/21: 92°F / record: 101°F (1988)
Sat 6/22: 96°F / record: 97°F (1988)
Sun 6/23: 86°F / record: 97°F (1930)
Mon 6/24: 85°F / record: 97°F (1937, 1953)
New York City, NY:
Tue 6/18: 89°F / record: 95°F (1929)
Wed 6/19: 91°F / record: 98°F (1994)
Thu 6/20: 94°F / record: 98°F (1923)
Fri 6/21: 94°F / record: 97°F (1953, 1988)
Sat 6/22: 88°F / record: 98°F (1988)
Sun 6/23: 89°F / record: 96°F (1888)
Mon 6/24: 87°F / record: 96°F (1888)
Oklahoma City, OK:
Tue 6/18: 87°F / record: 104°F (2011)
Wed 6/19: 89°F / record: 101°F (1918, 1953, 2011)
Thu 6/20: 86°F / record: 104°F (1918, 1953)
Fri 6/21: 91°F / record: 104°F (1936, 1988)
Sat 6/22: 95°F / record: 107°F (1936)
Sun 6/23: 97°F / record: 101°F (1925, 1933, 1934)
Mon 6/24: 98°F / record: 104°F (1911)
St. Louis, MO:
Tue 6/18: 91°F / record: 101°F (2021)
Wed 6/19: 95°F / record: 105°F (1936)
Thu 6/20: 96°F / record: 103°F (1953)
Fri 6/21: 98°F / record: 99°F (1988)
Sat 6/22: 99°F / record: 102°F (1930)
Sun 6/23: 94°F / record: 101°F (1930)
Mon 6/24: 95°F / record: 102°F (1988)
Washington, D.C.:
Tue 6/18: 92°F / record: 97°F (1944)
Wed 6/19: 89°F / record: 99°F (1994)
Thu 6/20: 92°F / record: 99°F (1931)
Fri 6/21: 96°F / record: 99°F (2012)
Sat 6/22: 97°F / record: 101°F (1988)
Sun 6/23: 97°F / record: 98°F (1988)
Mon 6/24: 93°F / record: 100°F (2010)
Montana’s Record Lows and Snows; Global Snow Roundup; + Surprise Noctilucent Clouds Persist
June 20, 2024 Cap Allon
Montana’s Record Lows and Snows
An invasion of Arctic air has led to record low temperatures and rare snows in Montana this week.
On Tuesday, Billings registered 38F (3.3C), breaking the old 1939 record. Then on Wednesday, the city logged 39F (3.9C), besting the previous 1946 benchmark of 42F (5.6C).
Additional records fell across the state on June 19:
Jackson: thermometers read 24F (-4.4C) Wednesday morning, felling a daily record.
Driggs: 25F (-3.9C) set a new benchmark here.
Cut Bank: 33F (0.6C) beat the previous record of 34F (1.1C) from 1972
Great Falls: 34F (1.1C) broke the old record of 38F (3.3C) set in 1902 and 2001
Missoula: 35F (1.7C) tied the 1996 record
Lewistown: 34F (1.1C) tied the old record from 1978
Miles City: 37F (2.8C) easily bested the 41F (5C) set in 2020
A few higher elevation spots, such as Showdown Montana ski area near Neihart, received several inches of mid-June snow.
Looking ahead, something of a warm-up is expected this weekend, before temperatures risk crashing back below average during the second half of next:
The story this week is ‘anomalous June chill’, and it looks set to be story next week and all.
Despite this, AGW Party lackeys are ramping up the fear over a few pockets of pretty standard summer heat.
New York Governor Kathy Hochul has said that these are “temperatures we have not seen in our lifetime,” and CNN fave, Dr. Michael Mann has stated that this “heat dome” is part of an increasing trend in “unprecedented extreme weather events.”
The forecast temperature anomalies for mid-week, when Hochul and Mann made there claims, are shown below:
Global Snow Roundup
Impressive snow totals have been posted across numerous global destinations.
This roundup aims to provide a comprehensive review of conditions and updates from key winter sports locations worldwide.
Record Snowfall in South America
Portillo in Chile reported 113 cm snow in 24 hours this week, with totals at 325 cm (10.7 ft) before the season’s official start.
Exceptional June falls have been the theme across many South American resorts, making for a historically early start.
Valle Nevado and La Parva, for example, saw 1.5m (5 ft) in 48 hours, enabling these resorts to open far earlier than planned.
New Zealand Ski Season
Three centers —Cardrona, Mt Hutt, and The Remarkables— have opened despite initial rain delays.
Cold temperatures and fresh snowfall have improved conditions greatly across New Zealand’s South Island, with Cardrona receiving an additional dumping since opening.
These centers have seen a promising start, providing solid early-season conditions.
Improved Conditions in Australia
Owing to the recent spate of record low temperatures, recent snowfalls have also enhanced terrain at Aussie ski resorts.
Falls Creek opened Wombat’s Ramble, while Perisher, with 26 cm (10.2 inches) of fresh snow, has the most terrain open.
The cold weather has also facilitated extensive snowmaking efforts, ensuring good coverage.
Afriski in Lesotho
The only outdoor ski center open in African continent, Afriski, has its main run and a terrain park operational.
Timberline, Oregon
Timberline remains the last open ski resort in North America, offering a few miles of slopes.
Despite being midsummer, the resort continues to provide skiing opportunities, with fresh snowfall reported on high peaks in the Rockies and Pacific Northwest.
Europe
Several glacier ski areas, including Hintertux in Austria and Zermatt in Switzerland, remain open thanks to a hisfresh June snowfall.
Les 2 Alpes in France is set to open for summer skiing with one of the deepest snowpacks ever recorded there.
Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent, as per ECCC, is currently well-above 1998-2011 norms, and on the increase:
Polar Blast Hits Australian Alps; They Said… + Prepare For Less
June 21, 2024 Cap Allon
Polar Blast Hits Australian Alps
Thermometers in Eastern Australia took a further step down Thursday, with the Aussie Alps posting freezing lows.
The combination of extremely dry and cold air, clear skies, and light winds overnight caused temperatures to plummet across the Australian Alps and surrounding areas.
Temperatures in the highland areas of both Victoria and New South Wales sank below -8C (17.6F), marking some of the lowest readings in years.
Mount Hotham hit a frigid -8.3C (17.1F), the lowest temperature recorded in the state of Victoria for six years. While in New South Wales, Khancoban equaled its lowest temperature in six years with a nippy -3.8C (25.2F).
https://electroverse.info/polar-blast-hits-australian-alps-they-said-prepare-for-less/
Other notable minimum temperatures on Thursday included the -9C (15.8F) at Thredbo Village, the -8.9C (16F) at Cooma Airport, the -8.1C (17.4F) at Perisher Valley, the -4.5C (23.9F) at Falls Creek, and the -4.4C (24.1F) at Omeo
Despite it being too dry for natural snow, the frigid conditions created the perfect setup for snowmaking.
“With the Winter Solstice almost upon us, we’re feeling the full brunt of winter’s cold, enabling our snowmaking crews to excel in their operations,” said John Palmer, Falls Creek Ski Lift Company Mountain Operations Manager.
The Australian Alps are forecast natural snow now through Saturday as lingering polar air combines with incoming moisture.
The benchmarks continued to fall at lower elevations and all Thursday, both monthly and even all-time records. I’ve listed a handful below.
Smithton, Tasmania
Temperature: -4.5C (-40.1F)
Viewbank, Victoria
Temperature: -1.9C (28.58F)
Record: 0.6C below 2013 June record
POR: Since 2013
Omeo
Temperature: -6.4C (20.48F)
Record: 0.1C below 2016 record
Strahan, Tasmania
Temperature: -2.9C (26.78F)
Record: Just 0.1C above all-time record
POR: 52 years
Record: 0.3C below 1982 all-time record / 0.6C below 2015 June record
Period of Record (POR): 61 years
Griffith
Temperature: -4C (24.8F)
Record: Ties 2007 June record
POR: 49 years
They Said…
They said European glaciers would vanish.
Below is comparison of France’s Mont Buet (June 14, 2009 vs June 16, 2024):
Six years ago this week, they said we only have five years left to save the planet.
Needless to say, Earth is coping just fine.
They said the polar bears would die, they’ve thriving. They said the Arctic would melt away, it’s expanding. They said the Great Barrier Reef would bleach into nothingness, it is breaking records. All of it, either exaggerations, obfuscations or outright lies.
Yet there are grown adults who still believe warmth = bad:
Prepare For Less
The AGW Party is an arm of the wider globalist movement, where money and power are removed from public hands and funneled up to a select, self-anointed few.
The propaganda is everywhere you turn, conditioning us for a future of less.
From Dutch news this week, “The Netherlands will have to get rid of the idea that electricity is available to everyone at all times”:
Canada Hit With Extremes; Swiss Glacier Recovery; Ski Season Delays In S. America After Record Snow; Coldest Start To Winter In Decades For Parts Of Australia; + “Net Zero Averted Temperature Increase”
June 24, 2024 Cap Allon
Canada Hit With Extremes
Weather patterns in Canada have brought both record-breaking heat and cold.
Recently, Western Canada has experienced significant June snowfall and record cold while Eastern Canada has faced an early taste of summer. Last Wednesday alone, Alberta set 13 new record low temperatures, with Hendrickson Creek dropping to -2.7C (27.1F). Simultaneously, heat records were slain in Ontario, Quebec, and the Atlantic provinces.
Ken Dosanjh, a meteorologist at Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), noted that while fluctuations in atmospheric circulation are normal, the recent extremes are unusual. Kerri Lang, a warning preparedness meteorologist for ECCC, echoed Dosanjh, saying the current situation is distinguished by the intensity of these extremes, which are breaking all-time records.
A key factor in these weather patterns is the jet stream, which separates colder air to the north from warmer air to the south.
Typically, it flows west to east in a relatively straight line. However, scientists, as reported by mainstream outlets such as cbc.ca even, say the jet stream has become less stable and more wavy, contributing to the recent weather extremes.
As the jet stream dips across Canada, it is causing heat in the east (below the jet stream) and cold in the west (above it).
Some researchers suggest that prolonged periods of low solar activity could be responsible for weakening the jet stream.
During the Maunder Minimum, a notable period of diminished solar activity, Europe and North America experienced some of the coldest winters in documented history.
A weakened jet stream played a huge part in this, as it shifted from its typical zonal flow (west-east) to a more meridional flow (north-south). This change allowed Arctic air masses to penetrate much further south than usual, causing extended cold spells and significant cooling across the affected regions. Conversely, on the flip side, extreme heat was also a theme, such as in Siberia.
There are many studies underscoring the influence of solar activity on the jet stream.
Click below for a deeper dive:
Swiss Glacier Recovery
Swiss glaciers have been enjoyed a season of heavy snowfall, drastically improving their condition, so says Matthias Huss, head of the Swiss Glaciological Survey Network (GLAMOS).
In a recent post on X, Huss noted that at the summer solstice, the state of Swiss glaciers is better than it has been in many years. Earlier in June, Huss described the weather this year as a “blessing” for Swiss glaciers.
A report by GLAMOS at the end of May indicated that glaciers across Switzerland had snow cover well above the average, with depths ranging from 3 to 6 meters (10 to 2- feet).
Surveys of 14 Swiss glaciers, extrapolated to all 1,400 glaciers in the country, showed about 31% more snow at the end of April compared to the average from 2010 to 2020.
This story is one shared across the European Alps this winter: heavy and persistent snow, even into summer.
Even in July, Europe’s anomalous cold and high-elevation snow looks set to continue. Following a brief burst of warmth come the final days of June, summer’s chill (and mountain snow) is forecast to return the following week, by July 4:
Ski Season Delays In S. America After Record Snow
Comparable to North America’s record-smashing snow season of 2022-23, South America is experiencing its own potentially legendary ski year with unprecedented snowfall burying the slopes of Chile and Argentina.
Skiers at Ski Portillo, Chile, have been greeted by remarkable early powder, notching 13 feet (as of late last week). Similarly, Las Leñas, Argentina, has been inundated with snow, receiving 19 feet so far. Due to the excessive dumpings, road closures, and high avalanche danger, both resorts have had to delay their official openings.
Portillo did manage a weekends-only on the 1st and 2nd of June, but heavy storms have put pay to all further pre-season dates. Las Leñas likewise had plans to open for a pre-season launch but had to delay due to extreme avalanche risk.
Even more snow is expected in the coming days, with forecasts predicting an additional 2-5 feet across South America.
David Owen, founder of PowderQuest, noted, “It’s close to the best start we have ever seen in our 25 years guiding here.” With more snow on the way, records for June snowfall at many ski areas in Chile and Argentina seem likely to be broken.
South America’s ski season began robustly in May when Patagonia posted historic snowfall. Catedral Alta Patagonia in Argentina seized the opportunity for an early pre-season opening from May 9th to 11th. “Locals were calling it ‘Magic May,'” Owen said, and June has continued the trend with non-stop snow across most ski areas.
Despite the delays at Las Leñas and Portillo, spirits remain high. Owen shared, “Everyone is so pumped to have such an early start. Huge bases and deep powder are a dream for all of us. Hopefully, it continues!”
Coldest Start To Winter In Decades For Parts Of Australia
Parts of Queensland, New South Wales, and Victoria are experiencing their coldest start to winter in decades with temperatures expected to stay low for the foreseeable as another polar air mass traverses across the country this week.
Dean Narramore, a senior meteorologist at the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), reported that great swathes of southeastern Australia held some 5C below the winter average last week.
Numerous locations logged their lowest June temperatures on record.
To name just a handful, Thangool and Tambo in Queensland, as well as Omeo, Viewbank, and Echuca in Victoria, all experienced unprecedented June cold. The peaks also shivered with Mount Hotham seeing -8.3C (17.1F), Victoria’s coldest temp since 2018.
Narramore noted that SE Australia is experiencing its coldest start to winter in a decade, likely since the mid-2010s, but perhaps even earlier.
Frost as far north as Mackay and inland parts of Townsville have been noted, historic events that the BoM say was the result of a low-pressure system in the Tasman Sea combined with a high-pressure system in the Great Australian Bight, which created prolonged southerly winds across southern and eastern Australia.
Looking to this week, a similar polar outbreak is predicted to blow in Tuesday through Thursday, one forecast to deliver some 20 cm (8 inches) of snow to the peaks of Victoria and NWS.
Eyeing further ahead, latest GFS runs see a more robust system moving through Western Australia later next week, spreading to the majority of the country by the end of the week and into the weekend, as July commences, turning the Alpine snow heavier.
RICHARD LINDZEN + WILLIAM HAPPER:
“Net Zero Averted Temperature Increase”
Dr. Richard Lindzen is an atmospheric physicist and professor emeritus at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), noted for his contributions to climate dynamics. Dr. William Happer, a physicist and professor emeritus at Princeton University, has an extensive background in atomic physics and has served as the Director of Energy Research at the U.S. Department of Energy. Dr. William A. van Wijngaarden, a physicist at York University in Canada, specializes in radiation and its interaction with atmospheric particles and gases.
Their recent paper, published June, 2024, argues that achieving net zero CO2 emissions by 2050 would have an insignificant effect on global temperatures.
Specifically, it estimates that eliminating U.S. CO2 emissions would only avert a 0.0084°C temperature increase, while global net-zero emissions would avert just 0.070°C. Even considering the IPCC’s higher climate sensitivity estimates, the reductions remain minimal, so small that they fall below current measurement capabilities.
The bombshell is based on a climate sensitivity (S) of 0.75°C, lower than the IPCC’s estimate of 3.0°C that includes positive feedbacks. But even when using the higher sensitivity, the averted warming is still minor: 0.034°C for the U.S. and 0.28°C globally.
The paper explains that the warming effect of CO2 is logarithmic, meaning each additional unit of CO2 has a progressively smaller impact. This principle suggests that the cost of reducing CO2 emissions increases disproportionately compared to the benefits. The paper highlights the significant economic and societal costs of achieving net zero, arguing that these costs are not justified by the minimal climate benefits — assuming you consider a slight reduction in warming beneficial in the first place.
The findings support the view that there is no climate crisis necessitating drastic foot-shooting policies. And increasingly, net zero looks to be a weapon of the haves wielded to control the economy and so society, enforcing austerity and privatization. Unquestionably, carbon reduction disproportionately impacts ordinary people while offering negligible environmental benefits, at best.
The paper suggests alternative environmental strategies that balance economic growth and environmental protection without extreme measures, focusing on technology and adaptation rather than an attack on human property via stringent CO2 reduction targets with high economic costs.
Dr. Lindzen, Dr. Happer, and Dr. van Wijngaarden: “There is no climate crisis”.
Full paper linked HERE.
https://co2coalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Net-Zero-Averted-Temperature-Increase-2024-06-11.pdf
Hurricanes 2017: All time Records
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- Category: News and Events
- Created on 01 October 2017
- Published on 01 October 2017
Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria set all time historic records of intensity, duration and catastrophic damage. This is byfar the worst most destructive hurricane season the United States has ever had. We have suffered hundreds of deaths, massive destruction of property and land, and Billions in damage. These hurricanes were well predicted and emergency evacuations ordered days in advance of the landfall thanks to NOAA's forecast teams, emergency managers and local governments.
2015 Year of Extremes
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- Category: News and Events
- Created on 03 November 2016
- Published on 03 November 2016
Selected Extreme events of 2015
LATEST Major Weather Events
30 NOV 2015: COP21 Climate Talks in Paris
Leaders from over 180 countries from around the world are meeting in Paris to develop a comprehensive plan to curb greenhouse emissions and develop renewable energy. President Obama noted that terrorists were unable to stop such an important meeting of world leaders from taking place. President Obama clearly stated that the US has taken significant steps to slowing emissions and are now producing renewable energy that is competitive with conventional fuels. He stated specific goals for emission reduction of 17% by 2020 and 25% by 2025 and requested that other countries do the same with significant commitments with capitol to drive down costs of clean energy. The US supports emission reductions, but will not sign an agreement!!!!
Data from 2015 indicate that this is the warmest year on record based on surface measurements. Extreme weather continues around the world from record winters to extremely hot summers. Today, Bejing’s pollution set records 17 times greater than world health standards.
7 Dec 2015: Extreme floods in Channi, India and UK.
India battling deadly floods in Chennai
Weeks of heavy rain and flooding have inundated Chennai, India
In 24 hours, Chennai received as much rain as London would in 6 months (CNN)Weeks of heavy rain and flooding have knocked out power, suspended public transportation and left people stranded in Chennai, one of India's largest cities. It has rained 34 of the past 40 days and the heavy-rain-warning continues, according to CNN meteorologists. The rain warning for the southern Indian states of Tamil Nadu and neighboring Puducherry are forecast through December 5, according to India's main weather office.
UK has extreme Precipitation:
Office: Rain and storms soaked the northern U.K. this weekend, prompting evacuations, severe flood warnings and the arrival of the army in the worst-hit areas. Rory Stewart, the British floods minister, told the BBC that Storm Desmond has “broken all the U.K. rainfall records” and unleashed “a completely unprecedented amount of water.”
Drone footage shot above Kendal, a flood-hit town in Cumbria, shows the flooded cricket ground and people wading through inches of water.
Storm Desmond dumped more than 10 inches of rain on some areas in England, including the northwestern county of Cumbria, while other rain-battered regions such as North Wales got more than seven inches, according to the Met Office, the U.K. weather forecaster. Nearly 50 severe flood warnings (which indicate danger to life) remain in effect in England and Wales, while 32 flood warnings are in place in Scotland.
An Environment Agency spokesman warned "significant flooding" was expected in the area, adding: "The situation is serious and there is a significant risk to life.” Homes around the 18th century stone bridge, over the River Wharfe, were evacuated by soldiers.
An Environment Agency spokesman warned "significant flooding" was expected in the area, adding: "The situation is serious and there is a significant risk to life."
The strongest El Nino on record is likely to increase the threat of hunger and disease for tens of millions of people in 2016 aid agencies say.
December 30, 2015 CNN:
More than 18 million Americans live in areas under flood warnings, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Tuesday.Thirteen states are affected, NOAA said.
One of the states most affected is Missouri, which is grappling with deadly flooding that will threaten cities and towns along rivers for days even through the most of the rain has stopped.
Levees have been overtopped in West Alton, just north of St. Louis. And late Tuesday, St. Charles County emergency officials ordered all people to evacuate the mostly rural area, which lies on the Mississippi River.
Record flooding on Mississippi There have been an estimated 49 weather-related deaths in the past week across the country, with the current severe storm system blamed for 35 deaths: 13 in Missouri, 11 in the Dallas area, five in southern Illinois, five in Oklahoma and at least one in Georgia. Many died after their cars were swept away by floodwater.
Record Flooding in Mississippi River
225 roads closed across Missouri I44 closed in 2 places
US Streamflow Map 30 DEC 2016
Major historic flooding: NOAA Flood Forecast Map
Flood Hydrograph showing historic flood at Cape Girardeau Mississippi: 27 DEC 2015 to 6 Jan 2016
GLOBE
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- Category: News and Events
- Created on 31 October 2016
- Published on 31 October 2016
GLOBE - Global Learning and Observations to Benefit the Environment GLOBE presents an opportunity for students, teachers, and scientists to learn and develop scientific thought processes and to understand our environment. In the early 1990’s Vice President Al Gore had an idea to help children around the world use the internet to communicate and learn about each other and their environment. His goal was to have at least one computer in every school around the world. He wanted students to improve their understanding of science and math thru making observations that they could share. I had an opportunity to meet Dr. Sandy McDonald, Director, Forecast Systems Laboratory, NOAA when he was helping Al Gore develop the early stages of GLOBE in 1993. At the time I worked with the US Bureau of Reclamation and was a visiting scientist at NCAR in Boulder, Colorado. NCAR and UCAR hosted many meetings on GLOBE and UCAR now hosts the GLOBE Implementation Office (GIO). One of my interests has been to promote GLOBE in various regions. After returning from Morocco in 1988, I maintained interests with the Direction de la Meteorologie National and with friends at the Casablanca American School. Morocco joined GLOBE after helping make the connections there.
Today, I am interested in helping Slovenia join GLOBE. This effort dovetails with US Ambassador, Brent Hartley’s interest in developing a partnership between the Slovenian Triglav National Park and Crater Lake National Park in Oregon. Environmental science and biodiversity are common interests of Triglav and Crater Lake park rangers and environmental scientists.
Lyn Wigbels, International Coordinator, GLOBE Implementation Office relayed this information about recent GLOBE Student Research Experience: "I was pleased to hear about the Ambassador’s project which sounds like a great venue for involving students in the GLOBE Program. Over the years, GLOBE activities have been organized in national parks. Most recently, during our 20th GLOBE Annual Meeting in Estes Park, Colorado, in July, GLOBE students visited Rocky Mountain National Park to take part in a Student Research Experience:
http://www.globe.gov/news-events/globe-news/newsdetail/globe/video-captures-the-essence-of-the-2016-globe-student-research-experience?
This video truly captures the essance of the GLOBE scientific discovery process and clearly demonstrates how it works to engage students from around the world in learning about nature and their environment. It shows how students apply the scientific procss and communicate their discoveries to others working with their mentors.
Joining GLOBE can be a life changing process that enables teachers, scientists, GLOBE partners, and alumni to improve their understanding of earth.
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