Global Extreme Weather Log
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 11 August 2020
- Published on 11 August 2020
WEEKLY GLOBAL EXTREMES
(Article Mnager-news and events)
This page provides a weekly log of unique weather events and information that summarizes some key events of note. Most of these notes are from Electroverse Extreme Weather daily updates
For clips of these events see my Global Weather Album: Global Weather 2020-2021.
Global Weather Album 2020-2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bLyGGEv6oK6f7q9N8
Global Weather Album Spring 2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
Global Weather Album Fall-Winter 2021-22: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Global Weather Album Winter 2022-23: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Global Weather Album Summer 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/rBprNqGzNmHBodKy8
The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes.
5 June 2023
A strong El Niño is developing in the Eastern Pacific. This is similar to the 1983-84 period that produced very heavy late season snow in the Colorado River Basin that filled and spilled reservoirs in two seasons. It is also typical of strong vertical wind shear in the subtropics that limits hurricane development and intensity.
Convective storms dominated northern hemisphere precipitation this week. Spain and Portugal are recovering from the extreme heat and drought of last winter with thunderstorms. California is also having an unusually wet and cool spring. The Sierra even had 5-20 cm of snow in the ECMWF forecasts. Colorado had a wet week with snow at high elevations. The jet continued to weaken and a weak named Tropical Storm developed in the Gulf of Mexico as super typhoon MAWRA moved past Japan as a much weakened tropical storm. The Azores High was displaced to the UK and central Europe as its return flow brought cooler air in an Easterly flow south of the Alps. Slovenia had its warmest day and a squall line on intense thunderstorms and heavy rain on 2 June. This line of convective storms extended from Greece to Austria. This week 5 -10 June will be a wet week as a Mediterranean Low slowly moves east and pumps moist air northward.
The Northern Hemisphere’s transitioning to summer as the jet stream weakens and moves north. Short waves still trigger storms as they become more infrequent and less powerful.
Europe continues to benefit from a 1032 mb high that brought clear skies to the UK and mild temperatures. Spain even dropped to near normal temperatures and had beneficial rains. Spain’s Sierra Nevada had late season snow as forecasts for the next 10 days continued significant rain and cool weather. Last week, Italy had severe floods. Convective storms are lighting up the satellite images as thunder storms are popping. Kredarica is rapidly melting from its max depth to 445 cm ~ over 200 cm above normal for 5/18/23 to 240 cm on 6/5/23. Slovenia, in late may, had a hard freeze in the NE as did much of Central and Eastern Europe. This hit vineyards, orchards, and young crops. Recall his is typical of the GSM shortening of the growing season by Late Frosts in Spring and Early Frosts in the Fall. In the Little Ice Age this forced Europe to get grains from N Africa. The Hindukusch had heavy snow with 1 meter in Kyrgyzstan.
The Grand Solar Minimum’s impact on extreme weather events was again apparent this week as Norway, and Greenland continue to have heavy snows. Super typhoon (Mawar) developed in the subtropical Pacific, Australia set new cold and snowfall records, and Mexico had a strong volcanic eruption and Canada had extreme wild fires have continued. Even Greenland again set new SMB daily records of 5-8 GT (1 GT is a cubic kilometer of water).
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea warmed and snow stopped. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a few weak short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation. When the jet forms an “omega block” the waves remain in place continuing to enhance the cold and warm sectors. When the jet core is on the equator side of you, you are in the cold air. This was the situation this week in southern Australia.
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (25-117 cm). The Tibetan Plateau snowfall remains high with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges and across the interior. China broke 241 cold records on one day in late April. Pakistan had late April snow records and India heavy snows. India had a record cold May.
Southern hemisphere jet continues to intensify with several large deep storms (946 to 965 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic now has large areas in the interior below -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations to -76ºC. A 948 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier (122-199 cm). Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remain closed with sea Ice; however, an intense 942 mb storm opened sea ice just north of McMurdo station in the Ross Sea.
AUSTRALIA had a series of strong Antarctic cold fronts this week that brought a record cold May. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! A 932 mb storm generated 11m waves in the Southern Ocean SW of Adelaide. This week the Snowy Range and Tasmanian Volcano picked up 5 to 20 cm of new snow. This year was the first since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to have heavy snows over the entire South Island with 32 to 210 cm and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast (171-395 mm).
South America was cooling, while the Antarctic was cold and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 2-3 m). South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-162 cm this week.
Argentina and Brazil are cooling, some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. At the end of April, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts. This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina have significantly below normal yields. Brazil also had its earliest snowfall of record.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
Impressive Greenland SMB Gains; Bone-Chilling Lows Grip Northern India; + Australia’s Record-Cold May
June 1, 2023 Cap Allon
Impressive Greenland SMB Gains
Following last season’s impressive performance, the Greenland ice sheet is at it again in 2022-23.
https://electroverse.info/greenland-smb-gains-bone-chilling-chills-india-record-cold-may-for-australia/
After the season’s record-breaking start, Greenland’s snow/ice measurements now appear ready to post a strong close, too.
This is a similar setup to last season where summer also proved historically cold with frequent powerful snowstorms.
It also continues the ice sheet’s overall return to growth, after losing mass from 1996 to 2012.
Bone-Chilling Lows Grip Northern India
India’s hill state of Himachal Pradesh has seen the mercury plummet to new monthly lows this week.
Typically, May is a time for blooming flowers and gentle breezes; this year, however, the month has delivered a rain-soaked spectacle –with the final week receiving 325% more than usual– and truly “bone-chilling temperatures … leaving both locals and tourists in awe,” reports himachalscape.com.
Australia’s Record-Cold May
It’s been a professionally torrid time for Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology of late. Tasked with pushing a warming catastrophe upon an frustratingly-awake (not woke) public, Mother Nature is flat-out refusing to play ball.
May 2023 was exceptionally cold across the Aussie continent.
So cold, in fact, that well-over 100 weather stations registered their coldest May temperatures ever recorded.
Frosts extending as far north as tropical Queensland and the Northern Territory were commonplace throughout May, as were early-season dumpings of snow across the southeast ranges
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
NEW: Global Weather Album Summer 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/rBprNqGzNmHBodKy8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India; TORNADO forecasts, radar and satellite images, April records and storms, Antarctic -70ºC, cold spring temperature anomalies, Andes > 4m snows, Alaska 3 m snows, thermodynamics of warm air. SST anomalies (dSST) el Niño development, Texas floods, Colorado S+; Wawar Super Typhoon, Triglav heavy snows, Antarctic cold May, Ross Sea storm…
29 May 2023
The Northern Hemisphere is transitioning to summer as the jet stream weakens and moves north. Short waves still trigger storms as they become more infrequent and less powerful. However, a closed low off Spain is still providing significant rain and clouds to relieve the extreme drought and heat of Janurary to March. California continues to receive significant rains and some snow in the Sierra, this is very unusual, yet welcome. New England had record cold that has severely hit the NY vineyards for the first time as a cold Canadian 1032 mb high moved south. Mt. Washington had snow, making Memorial Day hiking dangerous.
The Grand Solar Minimum’s impact on extreme weather events was again apparent this week as Norway, and Greenland continue to have heavy snows. Super typhoon (Mawar) developed in the subtropical Pacific, Australia set new cold and snowfall records, and Mexico had a strong volcanic eruption and Canada had extreme wild fires have continued. Even Greenland set new SMB daily records of 5-8 GT (1 GT is a cubic kilometer of water).
Europe is benefiting from a 1032 mb high that brought clear skies to the UK and mild temperatures. Spain even dropped to near normal temperatures and had beneficial rains. Spain’s Sierra Nevada had late season snow as forecasts for the next 10 days continued significant rain and cool weather. Last week, Italy had severe floods. Convective storms are lighting up the satellite images as thunder storms are popping. Kredarica is rapidly melting from its max depth to 445 cm ~ over 200 cm above normal for 5/18/23 to 330 cm on 5/29/23. Slovenia, last week, had a hard freeze in the NE as did much of Central and Eastern Europe. Recall his is typical of the GSM shortening of the growing season by Late Frosts in Spring and Early Frosts in the Fall. In the Little Ice Age this forced Europe to get grains from N Africa. The Hindukusch had heavy snow with 1 meter in Kyrgyzstan.
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
A N. Atlantic storm (986 mb) extended from Newfoundland to Ireland pushing warm moist air into Greenland this week as the daily SMB popped significantly above normal.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea warmed and snow nearly stopped. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of weak short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation. When the jet forms an “omega block” the waves remain in place continuing to enhance the cold and warm sectors. When the jet core is on the equator side of you, you are in the cold air. This was the situation this week in southern Australia.
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (25-117 cm). The Tibetan Plateau remains high with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges and across the interior. China broke 241 cold records on one day in late April. Pakistan had late April snow records and India heavy snows.
Southern hemisphere jet continues to intensify with several large deep storms (946 to 965 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic now has large areas in the interior below -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations to -73ºC. A 932 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier (129 cm). Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remain closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIA had a series of strong Antarctic cold fronts this week that brought record cold. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. A 932 mb storm generated 11m waves in the Southern Ocean SW of Adelaide. This week the Snowy Range and Tasmanian Volcano picked up 4 to 54 cm of new snow. This year was the first since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to have heavy snows over the entire South Island with 110 to 261 cm and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast (319-552mm).
South America was cooling, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their fall. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 2-3 m). South Georgia Island had snows reaching 77-108 cm this week. Argentina and Brazil are cooling, some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. At the end of April, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts. This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina have significantly below normal yields. Brazil also had its earliest snowfall of record.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
Memorial Weekend Snow Clips Mt Washington; “Happy Summer Skiing” At 10 U.S. Resorts, Including At A “Massive” Parking Lot Pile; + Snow Li(n)es
May 26, 2023 Cap Allon
https://electroverse.info/snow-mouth-washington-happy-summer-skiing-snow-lines/
“Winter-like conditions have returned to the summit this morning with just over an inch of new snowfall and temperatures hovering in the 20s with stiff northerly winds adding a nip to the air,” the Mount Washington Observatory posted Thursday:
Out-Of-Season Snow Clips Southern Spain; A Meter (3.3 ft) Hits Parts Of Kyrgyzstan; + “Unprecedented” Frosts Destroy Northeast Vineyards, Orchards…
May 24, 2023 Cap Allon
The Science’ confidently called (still calls) for a summer of devastating drought across Europe. This week, however, the rains –and snows– are hitting heavy, rendering those agenda-driven fears nothing but gun-jumping garbage.
…cold is leading to much of that higher elevation rain falling as yet more spring snow.
This is true even in southern Spain.
Here, the Sierra Nevada mountain range –located in the Andalusian province of Granada– is witnessing “significant accumulations,” reports Meteored, courtesy of @websierranevada, with “more of the same expected in the coming days”.
A Meter (3.3 ft) Hits Parts Of Kyrgyzstan
Snowfall has been hitting parts of Issyk-Kul, Kyrgyzstan for three consecutive days now.
“Unprecedented” Frosts Destroy Northeast Vineyards, Orchards
Late last week, temperatures across the Northeast plummeted below freezing, felling long-standing May records and putting the region’s burgeoning crops at risk. According to early damage reports, many growers have lost everything.
Crop-destroying frosts are historically rare in these parts, namely because bud break generally occurs too late in the season for frost to be a concern. This May, however, plunging Arctic cold enveloped the region sending the calendar back to January.
“The Finger Lakes have never needed frost protection in the past,” said Paul Brock, winemaker and co-owner of Silver Thread Winery, New York. “This is new for us. Nobody I have talked with has ever seen anything like this—going back to the 1970s and earlier.”
Temperatures were truly exceptional, with readings in the 20s sweeping the likes of the Champlain Valley.
Montpelier logged a record May low of 25F, while Burlington tied its historic low of 28F.
…. With the Southeast copping its own wintry-like walloping starting tomorrow, May 25, and running through the remainder of the month
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India; TORNADO forecasts, radar and satellite images, April records and storms, Antarctic -70ºC, cold spring temperature anomalies, Andes > 4m snows, Alaska 3 m snows, thermodynamics of warm air. SST anomalies (dSST) el Niño development, Texas floods, Colorado S+; Wawar Super Typhoon, Triglav heavy snows…
22 MAY 2023
The Grand Solar Minimum’s (GSM) impact on extreme weather events was apparent this week as Europe experienced killing late frosts, super typhoons developed in the subtropical Pacific, Australia set new cold and snowfall records, and Mexico had a strong volcanic eruption and Canada had extreme wild fires. Even Greenland set new SMB daily records of 5-8 GT (1 GT is a cubic kilometer of water).
Cyclone Mocha hit Myanmar causing extensive flooding and killing 3 people. Today Super Typhoon Mawar is heading to Guam then on toward Taiwan. Illinois and the Ohio River Valley had flooding as Gulf air hit cold fronts under very unstable conditions. Huge forest fires hit Alberta with smoke plumes extending to Colorado and New England. You can see the plumes on windy.com ’s satellite images.
Extreme Weather continues from Texas to record cold and snow in New Zealand. Spring is typically a very diversified period of severe weather as warm and cold air clash under areas of strong jet stream wind shear and intense convection in the northern hemisphere. The Pacific Coast from BC to Calif has been drying a bit, although showers and some high elevation snows developed. California even had late season rains. Colorado led snowfall this week with 10 to 53 cm on the highest peaks and significant rains. In contrast the S Texas - Mexico region had 237 mm ECMWF and 4-5 inch Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) NOAA 7-10 day forecasts. SE Colorado also had 2-3 inch QPF for the next 7 days.
Deep storms continue in the N Atlantic pumping heavy snow onto Greenland with a 5 to 7 GT daily Snow Mass Balance according to the Danish research team. Europe was cool and wet and Spain even dropped to near normal temperatures and had beneficial rains. Italy had severe floods. Kredarica had another 90 cm of new snow bringing max depth to 445 cm ~ over 200 cm above normal for 5/18/23 after a below normal Jan to March. Slovenia had a hard freeze in the NE as did much of Central and Eastern Europe. Recall his is typical of the GSM shortening of the growing season by Late Frosts in Spring and Early Frosts in the Fall. In the Little Ice Age this forced Europe to get grains from N Africa.
Noteworthy are observations that indicate the Beaufort Gyre in the Arctic Ocean may be setting up to release fresh cold, low salinity water into the N Atlantic. If this happens, there will be extreme consequences cutting the N Atlantic Drift’s warming of Europe. The el Niño continues to develop along Equator’s coast.
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
A N. Atlantic storm (986 mb) extended from Newfoundland to Ireland pushing warm moist air into Greenland this week as the daily SMB popped significantly above normal.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea warmed and snow nearly stopped (1-4 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation. When the jet forms an “omega block” the waves remain in place continuing to enhance the cold and warm sectors. When the jet core is on the equator side of you, you are in the cold air. This was the situation this week in southern Australia.
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (42-133 cm). The Tibetan Plateau remains high with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges and across the interior. China broke 241 cold records on one day in late April. Pakistan had late April snow records and India heavy snows.
Southern hemisphere jet continues to intensify with several large deep storms (946 to 965 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic now has large areas in the interior below -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations to -73ºC. A 946 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remain closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIA had a series of strong Antarctic cold fronts this week that brought record cold. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. This week the Snowy Range and Tasmanian Volcano picked up 4 to 54 cm of new snow. This year was the first since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand had its first significant snows over he entire South Island with 66 cm south of Nelson. Its rainforests continued to have 148-442 mm of rain.
South America was cooling, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their fall. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 3-4 m). South Georgia Island had snows reaching 30-74 cm this week. Argentina and Brazil are cooling, some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. At the end of April, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts. This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina have significantly below normal yields. Brazil also had its earliest snowfall of record.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
Australia Sees Year-Round Snowpatches For First Time Since 1997, As Record Cold Persists; Rare May Snow Hits Kashmir’s Gulmarg; Frosts Sweep Europe; + Surprise Geomagnetic Storm
May 22, 2023 Cap Allon1 Comment
Surprise May Snow Hits Kashmir’s Gulmarg
India’s Kashmir region remains under winter-like conditions, even as June approaches.
Gulmarg’s ski resort, located in the Kashmir Valley, continues to surprise tourists its massive dumpings of snow and freezing cold temperatures. Apharwat still has a full foot of snow on its slopes which is attracting thousands of tourists everyday.
Frosts Sweep Europe
Much of Europe is freezing. Moreover, and despite mainstream gun-jumping “no snow!” caterwaulings, the continent’s higher elevations continue to received copious volumes of late-spring snow.
The past few nights have been exceptionally frigid across much of Central and Eastern Europe, and although ‘The Science’ foretold of a looming devastating drought, the rains have returned (falling as heavy snow over the Alps and Pyrenees).
Storm #Minerva gave devastating flooding this week, particularly in the Emilia-Romagna region of Italy Central and southern Europe may see further heavy rain in the coming days, as #StormNino brings the risk of flash flooding in parts of Italy, Corsica and Sardinia
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India; TORNADO forecasts, radar and satellite images, April records and storms, Antarctic -70ºC, cold spring temperature anomalies, Andes > 4m snows, Alaska 3 m snows, thermodynamics of warm air. SST anomalies (dSST) el Niño development, Texas floods, Colorado S+…
15 MAY 2023
Extreme Weather continues from tornadoes and floods in Texas to record cold and snow in New Zealand. Spring is typically a very diversified period of severe weather as warm and cold air clash under areas of strong jet stream wind shear and intense convection in the northern hemisphere. The Pacific Coast from BC to Calif has been drying a bit, although showers and some high elevation snows developed. Colorado led snowfall this week with 10 to 53 cm on the highest peaks. In contrast the S Texas - Mexico region had 237 mm ECMWF and 4-5 inch Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) NOAA 7-10 day forecasts. SE Colorado also had 2-3 inch QPF for the next 7 days.
Deep storms continue in the N Atlantic pumping heavy snow onto Greenland with a 5 GT daily Snow Mass Balance according to the Danish research team. Europe was cool and wet and Spain even dropped to near normal temperatures. Kredarica had another 90 cm of new snow bringing the depth to 395 cm ~ 150 cm above normal for 5/14/23 after a below normal Jan to March.
Noteworthy are observations that indicate the Beaufort Gyre in the Arctic Ocean may be setting up to release fresh cold, low salinity water into the N Atlantic. If this happens, there will be extreme consequences cutting the N Atlantic Drift’s warming of Europe.
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
A N. Atlantic storm (970 mb) extended from Newfoundland to Ireland pushing warm moist air into Greenland this week as the daily SMB popped above normal.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea warmed and snow nearly stopped (1-13 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation. When the jet forms an “omega block” the waves remain in place continuing to enhance the cold and warm sectors. When the jet core is on the equator side of you, you are in the cold air. This was the situation this week in the US and in southern Australia.
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (154-369cm). The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. China broke 241 cold records on one day in late April. Pakistan had late April snow records and India heavy snows.
Southern hemisphere jet intensified with several large deep storms (928 to 955 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic now has large areas in the interior below -60º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations to -73ºC. A 928 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remain closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIA had a series of strong Antarctic cold fronts this week that brought record cold. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. This week the Snowy Range and Tasmanian Volcano picked up 2-6 cm of new snow. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand had its first significant snows over the entire South Island with 66 cm south of Nelson. Its rainforests continued to have 130-290 mm of rain.
South America cooled, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their summer. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 2-4 m). South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 32-149 cm this week.
Argentina and Brazil are cooling, some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. At the end of April, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts. This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina are significantly below normal yields. Brazil also had its earliest snowfall of record.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
Winter Arrives Early In New Zealand; Record Cold Continues To Sweep Australia; Cold Czech Republic; + Warming ‘MUST’ = Cooling
May 12, 2023 Cap Allon
https://electroverse.info/snowy-new-zealand-cold-australia-chilly-czech-warming-cooling/
Temperatures across New Zealand have plummeted this week, and heavy May snowfall has clipped both island’s, dropping the snowline to below 400m (1,300ft).
Record Cold Continues To Sweep Australia
‘Frosty temperatures have already sent shivers across Australia, sending warning signs for an especially cold winter.’
Cold Czech Republic
Just a quick word on Europe…
Along with the likes of Poland, Slovenia, Slovakia, Serbia, Croatia, Moldova –to name just six– April 2023 in the Czech Republic was colder than the multi-decadal norm, finishing with an average temperature of 6.4C (-2.1C below the norm):
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India; TORNADO forecasts, radar and satellite images, April records and storms, Antarctic -70ºC, cold spring temperature anomalies, Andes > 4m snows, Alaska 3 m snows, thermodynamics of warm air. SST anomalies (dSST) el Niño development, Texas floods, Colorado S+…
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
8 MAY 2023
The Grand Solar Minimum’s (GSM) global impact was evident from Alaska to the Antarctic where winter-like storms continued to dump large amounts of snow (221 to 334 cm) on high elevations. Even the Sierra had significant snow in their normally dry season. Slovenia passed 390 cm - about 70 cm above the average on this date at Kredarica (2515 m msl).
Meteora continues to fascinate me as I watch deep cyclonic storms march around the earth under the control of the jet stream. While spring is decreasing the pressure gradient in the N Hemisphere, we still have beautiful large storms that wreck havoc along cold fronts and keep some regions warm and others cold. Have a look at my winter weather album to see prime examples. The N Atlantic has a deep 977 mb storm SE of Greenland pumping moisture into the UK for King Charles III’s coronation and snow into Greenland. Western Europe was mild while Western Siberia went cold as a deep 975 mb storm over the Ob River pulled Arctic air south.
Spain had a brief cool Atlantic air day, yet the extreme drought in the Iberian Peninsula and Morocco continued. windy.com has a global drought monitor page now. See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
A N. Atlantic storm (977 mb) extended from Newfoundland to Ireland pushing warm moist air into Greenland this week as the daily SMB dropped below normal.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea continued to get snow (4-52 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation. When the jet forms an “omega block” the waves remain in place continuing to enhance the cold and warm sectors. When the jet core is on the equator side of you, you are in the cold air. This was the situation this week in the US and in southern Australia.
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (154-369cm). Mt Everest again had snow forecasts 2-3 m. These heavy snows resulted in a killing serac collapse. The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. China broke 241 cold records on one day in late April. Pakistan had late April snow records and India heavy snows.
In contrast the southern hemisphere is cooling with the Antarctic now showing large areas in the interior below -60º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations to -72ºC. However, large deep storms (960 to 946 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 949 mb low was north of the Weddell Sea dumped 150cm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remain closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIA had a series of strong Antarctic cold fronts this week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. This week the Snowy Range and Tasmanian Volcano picked up 17-32 cm of new snow. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand had its first significant snows over he entire South Island with 66 cm south of Nelson. Its rainforests continued to have 250 to 737 mm of rain.
South America cooled, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their summer. The Andes continued to build its glaciers ( 1-4 m). South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 61-120 cm this week.
Argentina and Brazil are cooling, some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 4 to 14º in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then last week, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts 2 weeks ago!! This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina are significantly below normal yields. Brazil also had its earliest snowfall of record.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
AGW Party: All Hopes Hang On Developing El Niño
May 5, 2023 Cap Allon
The legacy media is out in full force, vitriolically calling the end of La Niña and prematurely selling the next El Niño.
The rhetoric is unlike anything I’ve ever seen, the warm-mongering is on full show, and EVERYONE is dutifully following the instruction. These charlatans have sat patiently through three years of La Niña (cooling that they previously claimed was an impossibility) and now they’re pouncing on the very first glimpse of oceanic warming.
https://electroverse.info/agw-party-all-hopes-hang-on-developing-el-nino/
My Album shows the Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly evolution each week.
just now
AUSTRALIA SUFFERS RECORD LOWS AND EARLY SNOWS; RARE MAY FLURRIES HIT PAKISTAN; COLD AND WET KENYA; + EASTERN EUROPE’S FREEZING APRIL SPILLS INTO MAY
Sunday evening delivered Sydney its coldest temperature this early into a season for 85 years, since 1938.
https://www.patreon.com/posts/australia-record-82683595?utm_medium=post_notification_email&utm_campaign=patron_engagement&utm_source=post_link
4 days ago at 11:35 AM
SIX STRAIGHT COLD MONTHS FOR CHEYENNE; HISTORIC SNOW ACROSS THE LIKES OF MICHIGAN AND WEST VIRGINIA; NOME’S “COLDEST APRIL IN A LIFETIME”; HEAVY MAY SNOW CLIPS INDIA; COOL UK; RECORD COOL LATVIA; + REVERSED POLARITY SUNSPOT
https://www.patreon.com/posts/six-straight-for-82496077
May 1 at 12:13 PM
“SURPRISE” LATE-SEASON SNOW HITS REYKJAVÍK; FROSTY QUEENSLAND; HISTORIC MAY COLD AND SNOW ON COURSE FOR MICHIGAN; + HEAVY SPRING DUMPINGS CONTINUE ACROSS EUROPEAN ALPS
"Glaciers are the ambassadors of the climate crisis," so states AGW Party dogma -- not U.S. glaciers, though, or western Swiss glaciers, or a great many French, Austrian and Italian glaciers, or Greenland glaciers, or….
https://www.patreon.com/posts/surprise-late-on-82329229
Frosty Queensland
Australia’s pre-winter cooling is forecast to persist this week, further demonstrating the ‘probe-loving‘ BoM’s calls for a ‘warmer-than-average’ autumn nothing but an agenda-driving fantasy.
Sunday morning delivered anomalously-cold temperatures across the entire continent — a familiar scene:
https://electroverse.info/snow-hits-reykjavik-frosty-queensland-record-snowy-michigan-heavy-snow-european-alps/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India; TORNADO forecasts, radar and satellite images, April records and storms, Antarctic -70ºC, cold spring temperature anomalies, Andes > 4m snows, Alaska 3 m snows, thermodynamics of warm air. SST anomalies (dSST).
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
1 MAY 2023
The Rockies and Minnesota continued to have winter-like conditions with significant snow and stormy weather as a deep trough and several fronts triggered snows. A warm ridge moved into California triggering rapid melt and flooding from the winter’s record snowpack. The Missouri River Basin including Yellowstone had snowmelt triggered flooding too. The Mississippi had over 100 miles under flood conditions, not too unusual for this time of year. The East had a wet period as the cold fronts and Gulf moisture produced significant rains. Interestingly, the Appalachians have a 50-60 cm 10-day snowfall forecast and Upper Michigan has a 90-110 cm ECMWF forecast on 30 April 2023. This soggy severe weather was driven by a deep large storm (992 mb) centered on Upper Michigan extending to the East coast, where it triggered secondary storms that triggered tornadoes in Florida and severe weather to Virginia Beach. This storm will persist into early May.
California also is still having significant precipitation with over 100 mm and 60 cm in its 10-day forecast. The ridge in the West will give-way to sharp trough and stormy conditions as the meandering Jet continues to carry storms around the N Hemisphere.
The South from Texas to Florida continued to have severe weather along the cold fronts with hail, tornadoes, and heavy flash flood rains. Don Sather raised the question about warmer climates having more precipitation. Thermodynamically, warmer air has a higher moisture carrying capacity than cold air; however, precipitation is not so simple. Moisture flux, lifting, and sustained repeated jet steam cold Atm Rivers make a significant impact as in the record California storms and snow pack. When you look at a thermodynamic diagram, 30ºC has a mixing ratio of 26g/kg vs 10º at 8 g/kg and 0ºC at 4g/kg at 1000 mb ~ sea level. See the Album for examples from Tropical Tidbit GFS soundings from cold Texas and warm California on 29 April 2023 12z. Spain is in an extreme drought and heat wave. It’s sounding clearly shows that while the carrying capacity is high, the atmospheric dynamics are dry.
Another huge N Atlantic storm (982 mb) extended from Newfoundland to Ireland pushing warm moist air into Greenland this week; however, a 1044mb high suppressed snowfall and pushed cold air into N Central Europe. Siberia warmed to its highest temperatures of the season.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Slovenia’s highest observatory reached 355 cm on the level during a Genoa Low and deep upper level trough. This was balanced by warm 20º C sunny skies before the next system. Weather in Europe will turn cold with more snow in high elevations in the next wave.
Japan and N Korea continued to get snow (2-84 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation. When the jet forms an “omega block” the waves remain in place continuing to enhance the cold and warm sectors. When the jet core is on the equator side of you, you are in the cold air. This was the situation this week in the US.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe and down the North Sea this week. On clear days the Alps stand out quite well. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Deadly Tornadoes again hit the South last week.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (154-369cm). Mt Everest again had snow forecasts 2-3 m. These heavy snows resulted in a killing serac collapse. The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. China broke 241 cold records on one day in late April.
In contrast the southern hemisphere is cooling with the Antarctic now showing large areas in the interior below -60º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations to -71ºC. However, large deep storms (956 to 946 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 946 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 50-70 cm of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 74-184 cm. The King George Coast range had 120 cm with a 956 mb storm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIA had a series of strong Antarctic cold fronts this week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. This week the Snowy Range and Tasmanian Volcano picked up 10-30 cm of new snow. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal.
South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their summer. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 2-4 m. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 191 cm this week.
Argentina and Brazil are cooling, some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 24 to 30ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then last week, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts last week!! This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina are significantly below normal yields. Brazil also had its earliest snowfall of record.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
Exceptional Cold Grips Parts Of Japan; Utah Posts -19.2F As U.S. Suffers Late-Season Freeze; + China’s ‘Return To Winter’ Persists With Regions Seeing Their Latest Snowfall In Recorded History
April 25, 2023 Cap Allon
Exceptional Cold Grips Parts Of Japan
East Asia has been enduring a fierce polar outbreak in recent days, one that spread eastwards from Siberia.
Remarkable low temperatures have been logged across large areas of Japan.
https://electroverse.info/cold-japan-u-s-suffers-late-season-freeze-chinas-return-to-winter/
China’s ‘Return To Winter’ Persists With Regions Seeing Their Latest Snowfall In Recorded History
The rare strong cold front has put the brakes on spring for much China, too, where records are being slain.
The mercury widely dropped by 22C across swathes of Gansu, Shaanxi and Shanxi provinces. Here, a staggering 241 low temperature records were broken on Monday alone; these same regions have also been hit by unseasonable snow. According to the Center, many areas have registered their latest accumulating snow since records began. Recently, Shanxi received 24cm (9.4 inches), according to the province’s meteorological service, with record totals falling in southern parts.
The cold and snow “arrived suddenly,” so say the locals.
A farmer in Taiyuan, Shanxi, said that snowfall caught him completely off guard: “Now the fruit trees are covered with snow, the temperature is too low. If the flowers are frozen over time, they won’t bear fruit later,” he was quoted as saying.
Utah Posts -19.2F As U.S. Suffers Late-Season Freeze
America’s late-season freeze is reluctant to shift. Most recently, it delivered -19.2F (-28.4C) to Peter Sinks, Utah — a very cold reading for late April. Note, the national record for May –also set at Peter Sinks (1983)– stands at -19F (-28.3C).
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India; TORNADO forecasts, radar and satellite images, April records and storms, Antarctic -70ºC, cold spring temperature anomalies, Andes > 4m snows, Alaska 3 m snows, thermodynamics of warm air..
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
18 & 24 April 2023
SPRING has arrived bringing more typical weather in the N hemisphere with jet stream’s traveling waves with their warm and cold sectors. The West was cool with some beautiful clear warm brakes with max temperatures in the 80ºF range breaking records. The East was mild with one deep cyclone dumping heavy snow in the upper mid-west. Followed by cold Canadian High that dropped temperatures across the US. Texas was 16-20ºC below normal. Another cold dome (1054 mb) north of Alaska and one over Greenland (1044 mb) will bring cold air south. The Greenland Blocking High remains stationary thus forcing more cold air southward into the US.
A huge N Atlantic storm (969 mb) extended from Newfoundland to Ireland pushing warm moist air into Greenland with heavy snow at higher elevations last week. Today another 985 mb storm is off Labrador pushing moisture into western Europe.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Europe was mild in the SW and cold in the N. Slovenia’s highest observatory reached 350 cm on the level during a Genoa Low and deep upper level trough. This was balanced by warm 20º C sunny skies before the next system. Weather in Europe will turn cold with more snow in high elevations.
Japan continued to get snow (3-26 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation. When the jet forms an “omega block” the waves remain in place continuing to enhance the cold and warm sectors. When the jet core is on the equator side of you, you are in the cold air. This is the situation this week in the US.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe and down the North Sea this week. On clear days the Alps stand out quite well. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Deadly Tornadoes again hit the South last week.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (154-238cm). Mt Everest again had snow forecasts 2-3 m. The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges.
In contrast the southern hemisphere is cooling with the Antarctic now showing large areas in the interior below -60º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations. However, large deep storms (956 to 946 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 946 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 50-70 cm of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 1 to 2 m. The King George Coast range had 120 cm with a 956 mb storm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal.
South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their summer. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 2-4 m. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 150 cm this week.
Argentina and Brazil are starting to cool, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then last week, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts last week!! This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina are significantly below normal yields. Brazil also had its earliest snowfall of record.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
“Unprecedented” April Cold Sweeps Siberia; Sri Lanka Shivers; + More Establishment Obfuscation
April 21, 2023 Cap Allon8 Comments
CRED’s ‘Disasters in numbers’ is a doom-seeking fairy-tale, one whose authors have bent over backwards to forge statistical support for when in actual fact “the data and trends of weather-related disasters are pointing in the opposite direction”.
https://electroverse.info/?utm_content=cmp-true
One Of The Earliest Snowfalls Ever Recorded In Brazil; Historically Cold March For Guadeloupe; + At Least 19 U.S. Resorts Have Broken All-Time Snowpack Records This Year, With More To Come
April 20, 2023 Cap Allon 15 Comments
Low Temperature Records Fall Down Under
Contrary to BoM divinations, temperatures have been holding anomalously cold across Australia this autumn.
The West has been busy felling low temperature records this week, including the new monthly lows set at Carnarvon Airport (8.9C/48F) and Tennant Creek Airport (11.5C/52.7F) — to name just two.
North America’s Spring Freeze To Break Records
A monstrous mass of polar cold will plunge into United States later this week, particularly central, southern and eastern states, delivering frosts, freezes, record low temperatures, and even snow. This cold looks to have staying power, too.
The cooler air will crash into the Plains beginning Thursday, April 20.
Models suggest it will then reach the Mississippi Valley and Southern Plains Friday; the Southeast, Ohio Valley and Great Lakes Saturday; and by Sunday, perhaps Monday, the Northeast should expect its wintry walloping — just a week out from May.
Europe Braces For Late-Season Arctic Outbreak
And lastly, similarly frigid conditions are on the way for Europe–notably northern, central and eastern parts.
My neck of the woods –the Iberian Peninsula– will continue to be the exception, with April warmth set to persist for the foreseeable, but for the vast majority of the European continent, from the UK to Turkey, anomalous, out-of-season cold looms.
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India; TORNADO forecasts, radar and satellite images, April records and storms, Antarctic -70ºC, cold spring temperature anomalies, Andes > 4m snows, Alaska 3 m snows ….
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
10 April 2023
Tornadoes and severe weather again dominated the past three weeks killing over 50 people and devastating cities from Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee to Iowa, IIlinois and Maryland. The Strong Pacific storms hit the NW, dumped heavy snow in the Rockies, then moved east with strong cold fronts, jet stream shear, and mixed with warm moist Gulf of Mexico air that spun up Tornadoes. This combination created the perfect conditions for extreme EF3 and EF4 TORNADOES.
Last week Colorado had more winter weather with much below normal temperatures (-1ºF) on April 6th at my house (9684 ft msl) and snow in the Rockies, high winds sparked wild fires on the Front Range and in the Plains. The West had much the same pattern. Many are still feeling winter conditions from California to the deep south, where Mississippi Valley had a major tornado outbreak that was over 25 miles long and killed over 25 people. The satellite and radar imagery clearly showed these storms developing. Note this coming week Colorado will be warm and dry melting our snowpack under clear skies until Thursday. Denver could set some record high temperatures.
California continued to have Pacific storms; however they were weaker and focused in northern California and the High Sierra. The West Coast was hit by the 12th strong Atmospheric River. California’s extreme drought has been eliminated in just 4 months. Pity they could not hold the excess flood waters. Southern California had some relief for digging out. Again this week another AR hit California bringing 3 to 50 cm to the Sierra and 20-86 mm of rain. This AR hit the Western mountains with areas of heavy snow again helping the Colorado River Basin which on 1 April 2023 has 136 % of normal SWE in the Headwater Basins. The Lower Colorado Basin had SWE 364% of normal. You can see the latest GOES satellite imagery of these storms here:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
The West will get another blast of Pacific moisture with forecasts of 50-90 cm of new snow this week. This is helping mitigate the Colorado River Basin drought; however, we can use as much as we can get. Lakes Powell and Mead are at record low water - 22 and 28% of capacity according to the US Bureau of Reclamation. See:
https://www.usbr.gov/uc/water/hydrodata/status_maps/
https://www.usbr.gov/main/water/
While Spring is here, WINTER 2023 has set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe will be replaced by cold Arctic air and snow in the Alps next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan and Japan continue to remain cold. Large intense storms from Gulf of Alaska (991 mb) to Cape Farewell (956 mb) - S tip of Greenland- and the Barents Sea (993 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure (1048 to 1060 mb) that bring the frigid temperatures southward. The jet stream continues to have a meandering meridional flow from the mid-Pacific to Europe. Have a look at the Winter 2023 album. Forecasts for next week have the jet with short waves across the Atlantic into Spain and Portugal and Europe. Last week the UK had several days with snow (8-38 cm) in the ECMWF model forecasts as the Atlantic storms and AR hit the region. Scotland’s Highlands west of Aberdeen had 20-30 cm of snow. This is their Scotch Whisky producing region.…;Today, 1 April has a cold unstable pulse moving down the N Sea into central Europe. Forecasts for the next 10 days show a series of these cold air masses with warm bursts between them. This does not bode well for early planting; however, it is typical of the Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) that shortens the growing season.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, in the central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These data have significantly improved model forecasts.
Greenland had heavy snow 240-469 cm which raised the Danish observed daily Snow Mass Balance above 7 Gt on 8 April. Large Atlantic storms also produced significant snows 185-332 cm on Iceland, while Norway was cold and drier (25-123 cm). Greenland set a record 1-day with 11 GT of snow from the deep N Atlantic storm several weeks ago. This week a 1040 mb high slowed the snowfall.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan continued to get snow (25-67cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation and severe thunderstorms.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe and down the North Sea this week. On clear days the Alps stand out quite well. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Deadly Tornadoes again hit the South last week.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (143-320 cm). Mt Everest again had snow forecasts 2-3 m. The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges.
In contrast the southern hemisphere is cooling with the Antarctic now showing large areas in the interior below -60º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations. However, large deep storms (956 to 946 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 946 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 50-70 cm of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 1 to 3.8 m. The King George Coast range had 120 cm with a 956 mb storm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal.
South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their summer. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 110-304 cm). Many costal peaks had 1-2 meters as deep storms passed. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 150 cm this week.
This week (4-9 APR 2023) Antarctic, the Andes, and South Georgia Island, NZ continued to have snows (152-309), (85-236), 25-154 cm), (5-42 cm) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season had 104-493 mm rains. New Zealand also had heavy rains: 127-323 mm.
Argentina and Brazil are starting to cool, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then last week, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts last week!! This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina are significantly below normal yields.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
Romania’s Spring Cold And Snow; Iceland’s Coldest March Since 1979; Almost One Million Lose Power As Freezing Rain Hits Ontario And Quebec; + Records Continue To Fall Across Western U.S.
April 7, 2023 Cap Allon12 Comments
Even as the Sun approaches solar maximum, it is–as of today, April 7–almost blank, i.e. devoid of spots…
https://electroverse.info/romania-icelands-coldest-march-since-1979-freezing-rain-hits-canada-records-fall-u-s/
Iceland’s Coldest March Since 1979
Iceland’s temperature data is in for March 2023, revealing it was a historically cold month across the land of ice and fire.
With an anomaly of -3.8C below the multidecadal norm, last month was the country’s coldest March since 1979.
Record Lows And Deadly Snows Sweep Japan; Iceland’s Coldest December For 50 Years; + Cold Arctic Skies Produce Rare ‘Polar Stratospheric Clouds’
Almost One Million Lose Power As Freezing Rain Hits Ontario And Quebec
Monthly Low Temperature Records Fall Across Western U.S.; April Blizzards Break Historical Benchmarks; Snowplows In Hawaii; April Cold Records Slain Across Europe; + Deadly Indian Avalanche
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
https://hydrogen-central.com/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India; TORNADO forecasts, radar and satellite images, record Greenland SMB, ….Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies - la Niña to Neutral
3 April 2023
Tornadoes and severe weather have dominated the past two weeks killing over 50 people and devastating cities from Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee to Iowa and Maryland. The Strong Pacific storms hit California, dumped heavy snow in the Rockies, then moved east with strong cold fronts, jet stream shear, and mixed with warm moist Gulf of Mexico air that spun up Tornadoes. This combination created the perfect conditions for extreme EF3 and EF4 TORNADOES.
Last week Colorado had more winter weather with much below normal temperatures and snow in the Rockies, high winds sparking wild fires on the Front Range and in the Plains. The West had much the same pattern. Many are still feeling winter conditions from California to the deep south, where Mississippi had a major tornado outbreak that was over 100 miles long and killed over 25 people. The satellite and radar imagery clearly showed these storms developing.
California continued to have Pacific storms; however they were weaker and focused in northern California and the high Sierra. The West Coast was hit by the 11th strong Atmospheric River. California’s extreme drought has been eliminated in just 4 months. Pity they could not hold the excess flood waters. Southern California had some relief for digging out. Again this week another AR hit California bringing >50 cm to the San Bernardino mountains and 100 mm to the LA Basin. This AR hit the Western mountains with areas of heavy snow again helping the Colorado River Basin which on 1 April 2023 has 136 % of normal SWE in the Headwater Basins. You can see the latest GOES satellite imagery of these storms here:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
The West will get another blast of Pacific moisture with forecasts of 50-90 cm of new snow this week. This is helping mitigate the Colorado River Basin drought; however, we can use as much as we can get. Lakes Powell and Mead are at record low water - 22 and 28% of capacity according to the US Bureau of Reclamation. See:
https://www.usbr.gov/uc/water/hydrodata/status_maps/
https://www.usbr.gov/main/water/
While Spring is here, WINTER 2023 has set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe will be replaced by cold Arctic air and snow in the Alps next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan continue to remain cold. Large intense storms from Gulf of Alaska (991 mb) to Cape Farewell (983 mb) - S tip of Greenland- and the Barents Sea (993 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure (1048 to 1060 mb) that bring the frigid temperatures southward. The jet stream continues to have a meandering meridional flow from the mid-Pacific to Europe. Have a look at the Winter 2023 album. Forecasts for next week have the jet with short waves across the Atlantic into Spain and Portugal and Europe. Last week the UK had several days with snow (8-38 cm) in the ECMWF model forecasts as the Atlantic storms and AR hit the region. Scotland’s Highlands west of Aberdeen had 20-30 cm of snow. This is their Scotch Whisky producing region.…;Today, 1 April has a cold unstable pulse moving down the N Sea into central Europe. Forecasts for the next 10 days show a series of these cold air masses with warm bursts between them. This does not bode well for early planting; however, it is typical of the Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) that shortens the growing season.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, in the central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These data have significantly improved model forecasts.
Greenland had light snow last week with cold (-47ºC) and dry conditions. Large Atlantic storms also produced significant snows 125-323 cm on Iceland while Norway was cold and drier. Greenland set a record 1-day with 11 GT of snow from the deep N Atlantic storm several weeks ago. This week a 1060 mb high slowed the snowfall to 110to 297 cm in a band along the SE coast.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan continued to get snow (3-26 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe and down the North Sea this week. On clear days the Alps stand out quite well. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Deadly Tornadoes again hit the South last week.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (154-238cm). Mt Everest again had snow forecasts 2-3 m. The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges.
In contrast the southern hemisphere is cooling with the Antarctic now showing large areas in the interior below -60º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations. However, large deep storms (956 to 946 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 946 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 50-70 cm of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 1 to 3.8 m. The King George Coast range had 120 cm with a 956 mb storm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal.
South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their summer. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 110-304 cm). Many costal peaks had 1-2 meters as deep storms passed. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 60 cm this week.
This week (27 Mar-3 APR 2023) Antarctic, the Andes, and South Georgia Island, NZ continued to have snows (150-382), (110-304), 9-60 cm), (3-9 cm) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season had 75-196 mm rains. New Zealand also had heavy rains: 107-224 mm.
Argentina and Brazil are starting to cool, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then last week, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts last week!! This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina are significantly below normal yields.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
Canada Still Hasn’t Seen 20C; Freezing March Across Scandinavia; Deadly Norwegian Avalanches; Monthly Lows Fall In Argentina; + Snow Strikes Northern China
April 3, 2023 Cap Allon5 Comments
The cold times are returning…
https://electroverse.info/
Brutal Winter Taking Toll On Wyoming Wildlife; India’s Bitter March; + Solar Wind Arrives
March 31, 2023 Cap Allon
Brutal Winter Taking Toll On Wyoming Wildlife
Much of the U.S. is enduring a harsh, prolonged winter with extremely cold temperatures and deep snowpack. Wildlife managers across the state of Wyoming, for example, are monitoring the impact this is having on big game, and are seeing increased mortality.
“Wyoming is used to tough winters, but it has been a while since we have had a winter where severe conditions were so widespread across the state,” said Doug Brimeyer, Wyoming Game and Fish Department deputy chief of wildlife.
https://electroverse.info/brutal-winter-taking-toll-on-wyoming-wildlife-indias-bitter-march-solar-wind-arrives/
India’s Bitter March
Despite a warm CO2-fueled beginning to the month, natural forcings have dominated ever since and have driven March 2023 into the top 10 coldest on record across India (in books dating back to 1951).
“March 2023 has seen a radical change in temperatures compared to historical averages,” reports the hindustantimes.com.
Auroras In Florida For First Time In Decades; Cold Records Continue To Fall Across U.S.; Europe Set For Spring Freeze; + Australia’s Polar Outbreak
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
27 MAR 2023
The first week of spring here in Colorado was more like winter with much below normal temperatures and snow in the Rockies. The West had much the same pattern. Many are still feeling winter conditions from California to the deep south where Mississippi had a major tornado outbreak that was over 100 miles long and killed over 25 people. The cold temperature anomaly last week from our Canadian High extended from Montana to Monterrey, Mexico, and into N. Florida. Big Bend Texas was -16 to -20ºC below normal and had a couple cm of snow! This week the cold in the West continued. This gradient from cold to warm creates ideal severe thunderstorm and tornado conditions as the jet stream provides the horizontal and vertical wind shear to spin up these tiny extreme vortices. Alabama was in a perfect situation with both the polar and subtropical jets passing over. The satellite imagery clearly showed these storms developing.
California continued to have Pacific storms; however they were weaker and focused in northern California and the high Sierra. California’s extreme drought has been eliminated in just 4 months. Pity they could not hold the excess flood waters. Southern California had some relief for digging out. Many people are still stranded in the San Bernardino Mountains and the death toll is rising. Again this week another AR hit California bringing >50 cm to the San Bernardino mountains and 100 mm to the LA Basin. This AR hit the Western mountains with areas of heavy snow again helping the Colorado River Basin. You can see the latest GOES satellite imagery of these storms here:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
The West will get another blast of Pacific moisture with forecasts of 50-90 cm of new snow this week. This is helping mitigate the Colorado River Basin drought; however, we can use as much as we can get. Lakes Powell and Mead are at record low water - 22 and 28% of capacity according to the US Bureau of Reclamation. See:
https://www.usbr.gov/uc/water/hydrodata/status_maps/
https://www.usbr.gov/main/water/
While Spring is here, WINTER 2023 has set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe will be replaced by cold Arctic air and snow in the Alps next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan continue to remain cold. Large intense storms from Gulf of Alaska (991 mb) to Cape Farewell (983 mb) - S tip of Greenland- and the Barents Sea (993 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure (1048 to 1060 mb) that bring the frigid temperatures southward. The jet stream had a meandering meridional flow from the mid-Pacific to Europe. Have a look at the Winter 2023 album. Forecasts for next week have the jet with short waves across the Atlantic into Spain and Portugal and Europe. The UK has had several days with snow (8-38 cm) in the ECMWF model forecasts last week as the Atlantic storms and AR hit the region. Scotland’s highlands west of Aberdeen had 20-30 cm of snow. This is their Scotch Whisky producing region.…;Today, 27 March has a cold unstable pulse moving down the N Sea into central Europe. Forecasts for the next 10 days show a series of these cold air masses with warm bursts between them. This does not bode well for early planting; however, it is typical of the Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) that shortens the growing season.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, in the central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These data have significantly improved model forecasts.
Greenland had light snow last week with cold (-47ºC) and dry conditions. Large Atlantic storms also produced significant snows 125-323 cm on Iceland and in Norway. Greenland set a record 1-day with 11 GT of snow from the deep N Atlantic storm several weeks ago. This week a 1056 mb high slowed the snowfall to 29-109 cm in a narrow band along the SE coast and the accumulated Snow Mass Balance is back to the normal curve.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan continued to get snow (23-55 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe and down the North Sea this week. On clear days the Alps stand out quite well. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Deadly Tornadoes again hit the South last week.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (154-238cm). Mt Everest again had snow forecasts 2-3 m. The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan Ranges.
In contrast the southern hemisphere is cooling with the Antarctic now showing large areas in the interior below -60º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations. However, large deep storms (956 to 946 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 958 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 50-70 cm of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 1 to 2 m. The King George Coast range had 120 cm with a 946 mb storm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal.
South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their summer. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 315-453 cm). Many costal peaks had 1-3 meters as deep storms passed. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 135 cm this week.
This week (14-21 Mar 2023) Antarctic, the Andes, and South Georgia Island, NZ continued to have snows (166-328), (194-312), 82-130 cm), (12-67 cm) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season had 47-145 mm rains. New Zealand also had heavy rains: 217-325 mm.
Argentina and Brazil are starting to cool, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then last week, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts last week!! This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina are significantly below normal yields.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
Fierce Spring Freeze Grips Siberia; Record March Cold Tears Across Scandinavia; -34F In Utah; + Latest Snowfall Ever For Yushan, Taiwan
March 27, 2023 Cap Allon
Fierce Spring Freeze Grips Siberia
Much of transcontinental Russia has been holding very cold of late, particularly swathes of Siberia as well as the northwest.
Over the weekend, a low of -48.4C (-55.1F) was registered in Delyankir, Siberia — a very rare reading in Russia for late March.
For reference, Oymyakon logged -49.6C (-57.3F) on March 28, 1998, with Verkhoyansk posting -50.1C (-58.2F) on March 29, 1942.
Polar Plunge To Grip Europe; Tahoe’s Emerald Bay Freezes Over For First Time In Decades; + Ski Seasons Extended Across U.S. Thanks To Historic Snowpack
March 24, 2023 Cap Allon
Polar Plunge To Grip Europe
Another avalanche death has been posted in the European Alps this week — an 18-year-old British man has been swept to his death in Switzerland, with another person still missing.
Ski Seasons Extended Across U.S. Thanks To Historic Snowpack
Staying in Tahoe, Heavenly Mountain, Palisades Tahoe, Northstar, Kirkwood, and Sugar Bowl are among the many ski resorts that are extending their season.
While most resorts usually close in early/mid-April, many are now staying open until May, some longer.
Palisades, for example, announced Thursday that they have received so much snow they’re staying open through July 4.
Cars Entombed In Ice; Spring Blizzards Sweep Southern California; Crop-Wrecking Mid-March Snow Hits J&K, India; + Prof. David Dilley: “Winters Beginning to Revert Back to Pre-1982 Weather Patterns Around The World”
“Winters will become colder, longer lasting and more severe … it’s going to be very cold.”
The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center projections indicate a higher probability for more winter storm action to close out the month, meaning Utah’s all-time 1983 record (of 26 inches) is all but assured of falling.
While in Colorado, the state has endured an exceptional year for snowfall, with all regions, with the exception of the far southeast region, ahead of the 30-year snowpack average.
Persistent and disruptive winter weather has blown through seemingly non-stop this season, particularly across the southwest. And even now, with April fast approaching, areas were forecast 72 inches over a two-day period this week.
San Miguel-Dolores-Animas-San Juan river basin is pushing 180% of the snowpack norm.
And on March 23, the region surpassed the to-date all-time snowpack max of 29.9 inches set back in 1993.
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
https://youtu.be/QcLzjSCKCUE
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
https://hydrogen-central.com/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India….
20 MAR 2023
Spring Equinox today! Yet many are still feeling winter conditions from California to the deep south where frost and freeze warnings are up. On 18 Mar, I had a min temperature of -6ºF (-21ºC) a bit cold even for our home at 9684 ft msl. The cold temperature anomaly from our Canadian High extended from Montana to Monterrey, Mexico, and into N. Florida. Big Bend Texas was -16 to -20ºC below normal and had a couple cm of snow!
California continued to have Pacific storms hit the north-central coastal mountains and Sierra. Heavy flooding rains fell at lower elevations. California’s extreme drought has been eliminated in just 4 months. Pity they could not hold the excess flood waters. Southern California had some relief for digging out. Many people are still stranded in the San Bernardino Mountains and the death toll is rising. Again this week another AR will hit California bringing >50 cm to the San Bernardino mountains and 100 mm to the LA Basin. This AR will hit the Western mountains with areas of heavy snow again helping the Colorado River Basin. You can see the latest GOES satellite imagery of these storms here:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
The West will get another blast of Pacific moisture with forecasts of 1-2 feet of new snow this week. This is helping mitigate the Colorado River Basin drought; however, we can use as much as we can get. Lakes Powell and Mead are at record low water - 22 and 28% of capacity according to the US Bureau of Reclamation. See:
https://www.usbr.gov/uc/water/hydrodata/status_maps/
https://www.usbr.gov/main/water/
While Spring is here, WINTER 2023 continues to set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe will be replaced by cold Arctic air and snow next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan continue to remain cold. Large intense storms from Gulf of Alaska (969 mb) to Cape Farewell (972mb) - S tip of Greenland- and the North Atlantic ridge (1041 mb)) and the Barents Sea (964 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure that bring the frigid temperatures southward. Greenland’s Snow Mass Balance increased significantly with 1 to 2 meter snows. The jet stream had a meandering meridional flow from the mid-Pacific to Europe. Have a look at the Winter 2023 album. Forecasts for next week have the jet with short waves across the Atlantic into Spain and Portugal and Europe. The UK has had several days with snow (8-38 cm) in the ECMWF model forecasts last week as the Atlantic storms and AR hit the region…
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These data have significantly improved model forecasts.
Greenland had light snow last week with cold (-47ºC) and dry conditions. Large Atlantic storms also produced significant snows 39-100 cm on Iceland and in Norway. It set a record 1-day with 11 GT of snow from the deep N Atlantic storm several weeks ago. This week a 1048 mb high slowed the snowfall to 29-109 cm in a narrow band along the SE coast.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan continued to get snow (23-55 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. This meandering jet bought sharp contrasts of temperature and precipitation.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe and down the North Sea this week. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Deadly Tornadoes again hit the South last week.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures in the past weeks. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (154-238cm). Mt Everest again had snow forecasts1-2 m. The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges.
In contrast the southern hemisphere is cooling with the Antarctic now showing large areas in the interior below -60º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations. However, large deep storms (956 to 946 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 958 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 50-70 cm of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 1 to 2 m. The King George Coast range had 120 cm with a 946 mb storm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal.
South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their summer. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 315-453 cm). Many costal peaks had 1-3 meters as deep storms passed. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 135 cm this week.
This week (14-21 Mar 2023) Antarctic, the Andes, and South Georgia Island, NZ continued to have snows (166-328), (194-312), 82-130 cm), (12-67 cm) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season had 47-145 mm rains. New Zealand also had heavy rains: 217-325 mm.
Argentina and Brazil are starting to cool, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then last week, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts last week!! This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina are significantly below normal yields.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Adapt 2030: Impacts of Ohio train spill, ozone depletion, GSM short growing season on food production and health.:
America Breaks Hundreds Of Low Temperature Records; European Frosts; + Coronal Hole
March 20, 2023 Cap Allon
America Breaks Hundreds Of Low Temperature Records
A full-blown Arctic Outbreak gripped much of the U.S. over the weekend — one that continues to be felt.
Hundreds of low temperature records were felled on Sunday alone.
The below graphic depicts those to have fallen from 7:00 AM on March 19 to 6AM March 20 (UTC):
https://electroverse.info/america-breaks-hundreds-of-low-temperature-records-european-frosts-coronal-hole/
European Frosts
Very cold conditions are persisting across areas of Europe, particularly the Iberian Peninsula and the south/southeast.
In Italy, for example, frosts are still sweeping the nation’s low elevations, even in Sicily — incredibly rare mid/late-March.
Recently, freezing lows have been registered here, with -0.6C (30.9F) posted in the usually mild Noto area.
Deadly Avalanches In Europe; Cold Februaries For Dominica And Barbados; Brits In The Cold And Dark Due To Soaring Energy Prices–As Gov Seeks To *Further* Extend Life Of Aging Coal Power Plants
March 17, 2023 Cap Allon
Deadly Avalanches In Europe
Following the impressive European snows, avalanches are hitting.
Earlier this week, a 28-year-old Dutch skier was killed near the ski resort of Nendaz, Switzerland.
https://electroverse.info/deadly-avalanches-in-europe-cold-febs-for-dominica-and-barbados-brits-soaring-energy-prices/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India….
13 MAR 2023
FIVE deep cyclonic storms dominated the N Hemisphere weather this week from the N Pacific to Arctic Ocean N of Siberia. In the S Hemisphere even more intense storms that are typical of mid-winter dumped heavy snow along the coast from Wilkes Land to the Peninsula and on to Queen Maud Land. The Southern Andes also continued to consistently have heavy snows of 2-4 meters.
California continued to have Pacific storms hit the north-central coastal mountains and Sierra. Heavy flooding rains fell at lower elevations. California’s extreme drought has been eliminated in just 4 months. Patty they could not hold the excess flood waters. Southern California had some relief for digging out. Many people are still stranded in the San Bernardino Mountains and the death toll is rising. You can see the latest GOES satellite imagery of these storms here: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
SEE the links to Electroverse for more detailed reports below.
WINTER 2023 continues to set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe will be replaced by cold Arctic air and snow next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan continue to remain cold. Large intense storms from Gulf of Alaska (969 mb) to Cape Farewell (972mb) - S tip of Greenland- and the North Atlantic ridge (1041 mb)) and the Barents Sea (964 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure that bring the frigid temperatures southward. Greenland’s Snow Mass Balance increased significantly with 1 to 2 meter snows. The jet stream had a meandering meridional flow from the mid-Pacific to Europe. Have a look at the Winter 2023 album. Forecasts for next week have the jet in a Zonal flow across the Atlantic into Spain and Portugal. The core will be south of Europe allowing cold air to penetrate into N Africa.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These data have significantly improved model forecasts.
Greenland had heavy snow last week with 1 to 2 m building its glaciers on the SE coast. These storms also produced significant snows 39-100 cm on Iceland and in Norway. It set a record 1-day with 11 GT of snow from the deep N Atlantic storm several weeks ago. This week a 1051 mb high slowed the snowfall to 19-126 cm.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan continued to get significant snow (54-101 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe and down the North Sea this week. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Deadly Tornadoes again hit the South last week.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (120-255cm). Mt Everest again had 5 day week of snow forecasts over 200 cm. The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges.
In contrast the southern hemisphere is cooling with the Antarctic now showing large areas in the interior below -50º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures and surface observations. However, large deep storms (970 to 943 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 943 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 50-70 cm of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 1 to 2 m. The King George Coast range had 215 cm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to close significantly with the Weddell Sea now completely closed with sea Ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal.
South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their summer. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 315-453 cm). Many costal peaks had 1-3 meters as deep storms passed. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 24-65 cm this week.
This week (7-13 Mar 2023) Antarctic, the Andes, and South Georgia Island, NZ continued to have snows (157-309), (262-521), 24-79 cm), (0-29 cm) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season had 20-308 mm rains. New Zealand also had heavy rains: 195-358 mm.
Argentina and Brazil are starting to cool, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then last week, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts last week!! This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January. Crop harvests in Brazil and Argentina are significantly below normal yields.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Rare ‘Snow Rollers’ Spotted In Northern Ireland; Cold February Across Western Europe; Cool Caribbean; + California: Extreme Drought To No Drought In Four Months Thanks To Historic Snow
March 13, 2023 Cap Allon
Rare ‘Snow Rollers’ Spotted In Northern Ireland
Rare snow rollers have been spotted in fields across County Down, Northern Ireland.
These naturally occurring ‘rollers’ form when strong winds blow across a flat, snow-covered field or hillside. According to Royal Meteorological Society (RMETS) three conditions need to be met: the ground must be icy or covered with a snow crust, winds must be strong and gusty, and Snowfall must be wet and at least a couple of inches deep.
Met Office Issues ‘Amber’ Warning; Cold Utah; + S America’s Crops
March 9, 2023 Cap Allon
Due to continued establishment censorship, electroverse.co has been moved to electroverse.info — going forward, all new posts will be published here.
The .co site will remain live and will retain all existing articles.
To read today’s article please click the link below:
UK Met Office Issues ‘Amber’ Warning With Feet Of Snow And -18C (0.4F) Forecast; Historically Cold Utah; + South America’s Crop Reductions
March 9, 2023 Cap Allon
UK Met Office Issues ‘Amber’ Warning With Feet Of Snow And -18C (0.4F) Forecast
Following on from yesterday’s (revised down) -15.4C (4.3F), the UK went a little better this morning with -16C (3.2F) posted at Altnaharra Saws, Scotland — the coldest March temperature in the UK since 2010, and among the coldest on record.
https://electroverse.info/uk-met-office-issues-amber-warning-historically-cold-utah-crop-output-cut/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
https://youtu.be/QcLzjSCKCUE
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
https://hydrogen-central.com/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India….
6 MAR 2023
March came in like a fierce Lion in many areas from California to Mississippi. Californians had a state of emergency as mountain communities were isolated with snow depths reaching rooftops. Roads were closed and National Guard was needed to clear them.. The classic winter pattern continued in the N Hemisphere with intense deep storms and balancing cold high pressures. Canada has also been cold and setting records this week. Have a look at the GOES E and W satellite loops of these storms:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
California continued to have Pacific storms hit the north-central coastal mountains and Sierra. Southern California had some relief for digging out. SEE the links to Electroverse reports below.
WINTER 2023 continues to set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe will be replaced by cold Arctic air and snow next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan continue to remain cold. Large intense storms from Gulf of Alaska (969 mb) to Cape Farewell (972mb) - S tip of Greenland- and the North Atlantic ridge (1041 mb)) and the Barents Sea (984 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure that bring the frigid temperatures southward. Greenland’s Snow Mass Balance increased significantly with 2 to 4 meter snows. The jet stream had a meandering meridional flow from the mid-Pacific to Europe. Have a look at the Winter 2023 album. Forecasts for next week have the jet in a Zonal flow across the Atlantic into Spain and Portugal. The core will be south of Europe allowing cold air to penetrate into N Africa.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These data have significantly improved model forecasts.
Greenland had heavy snow last week with 1 to 4 m building its glaciers on the SE coast. These storms also produced heavy snows 1-2 m on Iceland and in Norway. It set a record 1-day with 11 GT of snow from the deep N Atlantic storm. This week a 1041 mb high slowed the snowfall to 19-206 cm.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Morocco had heavy snows last week that shut down travel with 7 ft of new snow in the High Atlas Mountains. This is impacting fruits and vegetable imports in the UK where rationing is in effect as grocery stores run out. The ECMWF model has been correctly predicting 50 to 150 cm of snow in the Atlas.
Japan continued to get significant snow (19-69 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe and down the North Sea this week. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Deadly Tornadoes again hit the South last week.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (120-255cm). Mt Everest had 5 days of snow forecasts over 220 cm. The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (981 to 969 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 969 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 1 to 2 m at this late date. The King George Coast range had 215 cm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to close significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal.
South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 2 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -60ºC). The Ross sea was now ~90% open and the Weddell Sea about 40% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 316-487 cm). Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. Many costal peaks had 1-2 meters as deep storms passed. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 40 to 170 cm this week.
This week (1-6 Mar 2023) Antarctic, the Andes, and South Georgia Island, NZ continued to have snows (120-215), (211-487), 41-170 cm), (10-26 CM) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season with 330-720 mm rains. New Zealand also had heavy rains: 171-354 mm.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then last week, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts last week!! This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened. Recall the US winter wheat crop was damaged by killing frost in January.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Exceptionally Low Temps Strike The Antarctic Plateau; SoCal Residents: “Help Us!”; Australia’s Cool Feb; + India, the World’s Third-Biggest Producer, To Start Importing Wheat
March 6, 2023 Cap Allon
Due to continued establishment censorship, electroverse.co has been moved to electroverse.info — going forward, all new posts will be published here.Exceptionally Low Temperatures Strike The Antarctic Plateau
Exceptionally low temperatures continue to strike the Antarctic Plateau.
Vostok recently plunged to -65.2C (-85.4F) — an incredibly very rare reading for early March.
For reference, -65.5C (-85.9F) is the lowest temperature ever recorded in the Southern Hemisphere in February (again at Vostok).
Israel Chills
Just briefly, February 2023 in Israel was cool and wet.
The nation finished with an average temperature of 12.04C (53.7F), which is 0.79C below the multidecadal average.
India, the World’s Third-Biggest Producer, To Start Importing Wheat
India, the third-biggest producer of wheat in the world, is expected to start importing the grain due to persistently poor, weather-related harvests and low stocks.
Lower production and the need to boost stocks will likely prompt the Indian government to buy at least 34 million mt of wheat from the open market, according to trade sources who pegged consumption at around 104 million mt.
https://electroverse.info/antarctic-plateau-socal-residents-help-us-australias-cool-feb-india-to-import-wheat/
Californian’s Still Snow-Stranded; Mallorca Hit By 13-Feet; UK Set For Powerful, Long-Lasting Arctic Outbreak — All As CO2 Emissions Hit Record High
March 3, 2023 Cap Allon
Californian’s Still Snow-Stranded
Snow-stranded Californians are still digging out after a “once-in-a-generation” winter storm, with more heavy snow forecast for the weekend.
The state’s popular Yosemite National Park has been closed indefinitely after record-breaking snowfall hit the area.
With Tahoe resorts, such as Palisades, logging a record-breaking 6.4 feet (2 m) of snow in the past 48-hours.
In San Bernardino County, east of Los Angeles, around-the-clock snow removal is underway, though it could take well-over a week to reach some areas, particularly with further feet of snow in the forecast.
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.info
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storms, Morocco 7 ft S+, Winter storms and meridional jet, record CO2 emissions China and India….
Feb 27, 2023
A meteorologist’s fascinating week as the classic winter pattern continued in the N Hemisphere with intense deep storms and balancing cold high pressures that provided much needed sunshine and clear skies over the West (1048 mb) and western Europe (1045 mb). Storms moved quickly from west to east, with Colorado’s Monday 2/21/23 snow storm exiting New England on Friday 2/24/23. This storm and its deep trough impacted the US from the LA Basin to Maine. It brought record cold, snow and freezing rain. The ice storm hit from Iowa to NY with up to 0.5 inches of heavy ice in many areas causing downed power lines. Colorado had a deep (979 mb) storm that dumped heavy snow and icy conditions on 21-22 Feb as a large Arctic dome of cold air moved south from the Yukon to Texas. Denver set a new minimum temperature record at -11ºF. In contrast New England warmed up in the warm sector ahead of the storm. Canada has also been cold and setting records this week. Have a look at the GOES E and W satellite loops of these storms:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
California had a major winter storm that the models correctly predicted 96 hours in advance. This remarkable storm produced heavy snow in the Coast ranges and the High Sierra. The Pacific jet developed short waves as it continued to streak (180-200 kt) across the Pacific developed a moist ARs that streamed up the West Coast of N America dumping 1 to 2 m of new snow again this week. The jet plunged south south west down the west coast taking cold Arctic air along the Coast Ranges and dumping snow all the way down into the San Bernardino Mountains above LA. The Pacific Coast storm rapidly deepened into a strong vortex at 700mb that dumped heavy snow in the High Sierra. The LA Basin had blizzard warnings, the first since 1989. These meandering meridional jet short waves bring balancing cold and warm air as they travel eastward. Last week another short wave over the SW developed on 11 Feb which pulled a Pacific cold front across the Rockies with some light snow 14-15 Feb. The San Juans had 1-3 feet. This week’s ECMWF forecast spun up another cutoff low over the LA Basin. Santa Monica, San Bernardino, and San Gabriel Mountains around LAX had heavy snow ( over 150 cm in the 10-day forecast). SEE the links to Electroverse reports below.
WINTER 2023 continues to set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe will be replaced by cold Arctic air and snow next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan continue to remain cold. Large intense storms from Gulf of Alaska (973 mb) to Cape Farewell (964mb) - S tip of Greenland- and the North Atlantic ridge (1034 mb)) and the Kara Sea (971 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure that bring the frigid temperatures southward. Greenland’s Snow Mass Balance increased significantly with 2 to 4 meter snows. Europe’s ridge of high pressure moved east opening up to a cold NW flow with moisture and cloudy weather. Slovenia’s max temperature reached 16ºC after those cold days with below 0ºC nights.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These data have significantly improved model forecasts.
Japan continued to get heavy snow (60 to 100 cm). N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. The Kamchatka storm remained nearly stationary pumping moisture into eastern Siberia and generating >12 m wave heights last week.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe and down the North Sea this week. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Tornadoes again hit the South.
Greenland had heavy snow this week with 1 to 4 m building it’s glaciers on the SE coast. These storms also produced heavy snows 1-2 m on Iceland and in Norway. It set a record 1-day with 11 GT of snow from the deep N Atlantic storm.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Morocco had heavy snows that shut down travel with 7 ft of new snow in the High Atlas Mountains. This is impacting fruits and vegetable imports in the UK where rationing is in effect as grocery stores run out. The ECMWF model has been correctly predicting 50 to 150 cm of snow in the Atlas.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 100-180 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (120-252 cm). The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (981 to 969 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 969 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) range had 1 to 2 m at this late date.
The KING GEORGE (V) COAST had 350 cm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to close with new sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-1033 mm) accompanied these fronts last week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC.
South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 3 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross Sea was now ~90% open and the Weddell Sea about 40% open as the cold returns and new sea ice forms. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-3.9 m), albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is still summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. The Peninsula had 4 days with 10-day snow forecasts from 136 to 239 cm. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 134 cm this week.
This week (21-27 Feb 2023) Antarctic, the Andes, and South Georgia Island, NZ continued to have snows (184-252), (279-498), 50-101 cm), (12-36 CM) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season with 193-433 mm rains. New Zealand also had heavy rains: 193-488 mm with high mountain snows accumulating as in Tasmania.
Brazil and Argentina had summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then last week, a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts!! This is the GSM’s classic impact like the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Record Cold In Australia; Summer Snow Hits New Zealand; Flakes In Hollywood; + Greenland Ice Sheet Posts Record-Breaking 11 Gigaton Gain
February 27, 2023 Cap Allon
Record Cold In Australia
Australia has been enduring anomalous, record-breaking COLD over the past 12-or-so months, with a visible cooling trend now entering its 10th year (at a rate of -0.132C per decade since 2013–and increasing):
Snow Falls Across California, Sets Records In The South; LAX Busts Low Temperature Record; Portland’s Snowiest Day Since 1943; + Europe’s Looming Arctic Outbreak
February 24, 2023 Cap Allon
Snow Falls Across California, Sets Records In The South
A high-impact winter storm continues to impact the vast majority of the North American continent, with close to a million homes without power early Friday morning in Michigan state alone — where is is taking down trees and powerlines.
Winter storm/blizzard warnings stretch from Oregon south to California’s border with Mexico, as Arctic air invades the Lower 48, bringing snow levels down to historically-low elevations, including the coastal areas of Northern California.
Unprecedented 7.2 Feet Of Snow In Morocco Cuts Off 87 Villages; Power Outages In Georgia Due To Heavy Snow; + North America’s “Historic” Arctic Outbreak Arrives: “Blizzards, Brutal cold, and Record Snowfall”
February 22, 2023 Cap Allon
Unprecedented 7.2 Feet Of Snow In Morocco Cuts Off 87 Villages
It’s been a cold start to the year in North Africa, particularly Morocco.
This week, southeast Morocco has been suffering a string of unprecedented snowstorms that have left 24,000 families in need of assistance and some 87 towns and villages cut off, most notably in the Ouarzazate, Taroudant and Zagora regions.
Food and blankets have been distributed to 9,000 families in Ouarzazate–where snow totals reached a staggering 2.2 meters (7.2 feet)–10,000 homes in Taroudant and 5,000 in Zagora.
Coast-To-Coast Snowstorm Fells Records; First Blizzard Warning Issued In Los Angeles Since 1989; Special Weather Alerts In Canada; 13+ Feet Of Snow Hits Sochi, Russia; + Europe To Freeze
February 23, 2023 Cap Allon
Coast-To-Coast Snowstorm Fells Records
A nation-spanning wintry storm is already felling records across the United States.
According to NWS data, the 4.5 inches of snow that settled at Bismarck Airport Tuesday busted the city’s Feb 21 record of 3.2 inches, set just last year. Another 4 inches is forecast into Thursday with blowing/drifting snow likely. These are totals that will push the city north of 60 inches for the season — 27 inches above normal.
https://electroverse.co/coast-to-coast-snowstorm-blizzard-warning-in-los-angeles-cold-canada-snow-sochi-europe/
https://electroverse.co/category/crop-loss/
Alice Springs, Australia Suffers Longest Streak Of Sub-Zero Days On Record; + Greenland Refuses To Melt As Scheduled
July 15, 2022 Cap Allon
Alice Springs, Australia Suffers Longest Streak Of Sub-Zero Days On Record
The ‘climate brigade’ have gone quiet re. Australia in recent weeks, focusing instead on a slither of summer heat gripping Western Europe and a perfectly ordinary ‘heat dome’ building in the Central U.S. — and that’s because it’s bloody freezing Down Under, unprecedentedly cold, in fact.
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
See my latest extreme event documentation in the Album:
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
https://youtu.be/QcLzjSCKCUE
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
https://hydrogen-central.com/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast, California winter storm, Morocco 7 ft S+ ….
Feb 20, 2023
A classic winter pattern continued in the N Hemisphere with intense deep storms and balancing cold high pressures that provided much needed sunshine and clear skies over the West and western Europe (1045 mb). Storms moved quickly from west to east, with Colorado’s Monday 2/13/23 snow storm exiting NewFoundland on Friday 2/17/23. Slovenia had another week of clear dry skies with cold nights (-5ºC), a pleasant change from the stratus and fog of previous weeks. MAX T reached 14ºC. Colorado had 3 days of clear skies under a 1040 to 1048 mb High and 2 stormy days with minimum temperatures below 0ºF. In contrast New England warmed up quickly after the pervious week’s Arctic Blast and the mid-west heated to 70s and 80s. An intense winter storm is developing (2/20/23) in the West with high winds and snow from Montana to NM. This storm has a perfect AR into Washington and BC, then SE across the Rockies, have a look at the GOES West satellite imagery.
WINTER 2023 continues to set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe will be replaced by cold Arctic air and snow next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan continue to remain cold. Large intense storms from Gulf of Alaska (943 mb) to Cape Farewell (955mb) and the north Atlantic (970 mb) and the Kara Sea (970 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure that bring the frigid temperatures south.
The Pacific jet continued to streak (180-200 kt) across the Pacific to about 165ºW, there it developed short waves and ARs that streamed up the west coast of N America dumping 2 o 3 m of new snow again this week. This AR then curved south down the Rockies bringing Arctic air into the High Plains and a short wave with snow last week. These meandering meridional jet short waves bring balancing cold and warm air as they travel eastward. Another short wave over the SW developed on 11 Feb which pulled a Pacific cold front across the Rockies with some light snow 14-15 Feb. The San Juans had 1-2 feet. This week’s ECMWF forecast has a max of 60 cm there. However, the San Bernardino Mountains around LAX could get heavy snow over 100 cm in the next 10 days.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These data have significantly improved model forecasts.
Japan continued to get heavy snow (100 to 180 cm) and set records. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. The Kamchatka storm remained nearly stationary pumping moisture into eastern Siberia and generating >12 m wave heights last week.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Tornadoes again hit the South.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-51º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 6 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 100-180 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (137-190 cm). The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (981 to 969 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 969 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 1 to 2 m at this late date. The King George Coast range had 350 cm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have opened significantly; the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-1033 mm) accompanied these fronts last week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC.
South America was above normal at the beginning of the week, then broke cold records. The Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 3 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -48ºC). The Ross Sea was now ~99% open and the Weddell Sea about 60% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-3.9 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. The Peninsula had 4 days with 10-day snow forecasts from 136 to 239 cm. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 134 cm this week.
This week (13-20 Feb 2023) Antarctic, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and NZ continued to have snows (115-246), (143-390), (52-134 cm), (2-36 CM) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season with 193-433 mm rains. New Zealand also had heavy rains: 139-233 mm.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. BRAZIL had severe flooding and killing debris flows. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail. Then a strong Antarctic front flipped Argentina into winter breaking many cold temperature records and cutting crop growth with early summer frosts!! This is the GSM’s classic impact and that risk from the LITTLE ICE AGE where growing seasons are drastically shortened.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
CURRENT EXTREMES:
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Historic Cold Across South America; North America To Be Pounded This Week; Snowy Iran; + SSW Event To Funnel Arctic Air Into Europe
February 20, 2023 Cap Allon
Historic Cold Across South America
Argentina has flipped on a dime, from record heat to historic cold: Temperatures have plummeted to a jaw-dropping -30C (-22F) across the higher elevations and unprecedented summer snow has accumulated.
https://electroverse.co/cold-south-america-north-america-freeze-snowy-iran-ssw-arctic-europe/
Cold Wave Grips East Asia, Felling All-Time Snowfall Records Across Japan; Historic Snow In Moscow; + Christmas Freeze: Extreme Cold/Snow To Blast North America Over The Holidays
December 19, 2022 Cap Allon
Cold Wave Grips East Asia…
A fierce cold wave engulfing the majority East Asia is busy felling long-standing records.
Low temperature benchmarks are falling across North and South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Vietnam, to name just five, with -28C (-18.4F), -19C (-2.2F), -4C (24.8F)–at sea level, 5C (41F) and 0C (32F) logged, respectively.
The Hong Kong Observatory issued both a ‘frost warning’ and a ‘cold weather alert’ on Sunday. While Taiwan’s -4C (24.8F), registered at Emei, was a nationwide record low for a non-mountain area, according to the Central Weather Bureau.
https://electroverse.co/cold-wave-grips-east-japan-historic-snow-moscow-christmas-freeze-north-america/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
https://hydrogen-central.com/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast ….
Feb 13, 2023
A classic winter pattern prevailed in the N Hemisphere with intense deep storms and balancing cold high pressures that provided much needed sunshine and clear skies over the West and western Europe (1045 mb). Slovenia had a week of clear dry skies with cold nights (-10ºC), a pleasant change from the stratus and fog of previous weeks. Colorado had 4 days of clear skies under a 1040 to 1048 mb High. In contrast New England’s deep arctic blast and deep extratropical cyclone - dubbed Polar vortex by the media, moved into the Arctic Ocean by Svalbard and developed into a large Arctic vortex (972 mb) extending from Greenland to the Kara Sea and central Siberia. This storm pumped heavy snow into Iceland (1-3 m) and Norway (1-2 m) while Western Europe was protected by the strong 1045 mb ridge.
WINTER 2023 continues to set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe is replaced by cold Arctic air and snow next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan continue to remain cold. Large intense storms from Gulf of Alaska (981 mb) to Cape Farewell (965mb) and the north Atlantic (972 mb) and the Kara Sea (970 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure that bring the frigid temperatures south.
The Pacific jet continued to streak (180-200 kt) across the Pacific to about 165ºW, there it developed a short wave and AR that streamed up the west coast of N America dumping 2 o 3 m of new snow again this week. This AR then curved south down the Rockies bringing Arctic air into the High Plains and a short wave with snow last week. These meandering meridional jet short waves bring balancing cold and warm air as they travel eastward. Another short wave over the SW developed on 11 Feb which is pulling a Pacific cold front across the Rockies with some light snow by 15 Feb. The San Juans could get 90 cm over the next 10 days.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These have significantly improved model forecasts.
Japan continued to get heavy snow (72 to 144 cm) and set records. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. The Kamchatka storm remained nearly stationary pumping moisture into eastern Siberia and generating >12 m wave heights last week.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow that outlines the mountains - white and valleys - dark. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blasts coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Tornadoes again hit the South.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-51º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 6 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 78-130 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (137-190 cm). The Tibetan Plateau remains high and dry with new snow on the ringing mountains from the Himalaya to Shan ranges.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (981 to 969 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 969 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 1 to 2 m at this late date. The King George Coast range had 350 cm. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-1033 mm) accompanied these fronts last week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 4 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross sea was now ~95% open and the Weddell Sea about 50% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-2 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. The Peninsula had 4 days with 10-day snow forecasts from 136 to 239 cm. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 145 cm this week.
This week (7-12 Feb 2023) Antarctic, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows (198-350), (251-351), (16-41 cm) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season with 148-482 mm rains. New Zealand also had heavy rains: 222-556 mm.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
SEE SECTION ON CURRENT EXTREMES:
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
LINK TO THIS SECTION OF CURRENT EXTREMES:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Cold Spain, Cyprus And Eastern Europe; SSW Update; + Scientists Use Artificial Intelligence To Forecast Sunspot Cycles
February 13, 2023 Cap Allon
Cold Spain, Cyprus And Eastern Europe
Despite the calls for a ‘no show winter’, swathes of Europe have held anomalously-cold since the turn of the year.
January 2023 in Spain, for example, had an average temperature of 5.9C (42.6F), which is below the multidecadal average.
Temperature anomalies map comes courtesy of Aemet.
https://electroverse.co/cold-spain-cyprus-and-eastern-europe-ssw-update-ai-sunspot-cycles/
Heavy Snow Strikes Lebanon; The Balkans Freeze; Collapse Of The Polar Vortex Looms (SSW); + Top Russian Space Scientist: “We Should Fear A Deep Temperature Drop, Not Global Warming”
February 10, 2023 Cap Allon
Heavy Snow Strikes Lebanon
Western Asia continues to get pounded with anomalous lows and disruptive snows.
Today’s Lebanon, particularly the norther districts of Bsharri and Keserwan.
The snow depth in Hadchit is measuring at 1.2m (almost 4 feet), with far larger accumulations posted at higher elevations.
https://electroverse.co/heavy-snow-lebanon-balkans-freeze-polar-vortex-we-should-fear-a-deep-temperature-drop/
U.S. Suffers Its Coldest-Ever Wind Chill Reading; Australia’s Summer Snow Extends To New Zealand, Leaving Behind Record Cold; + More Than 650 Dead As M7.8 Earthquake Strikes Syria And Turkey
February 6, 2023 Cap Allon
U.S. Suffers Its Coldest-Ever Wind Chill Reading
Mt Washington in New Hampshire posted a ‘feels-like’ of -108F (-78C) late last week — the coldest wind chill reading ever recorded in the continental U.S.
The brutal Arctic blast led to a myriad of records falling across the Northeast and Eastern Canada, including at Mt Washington itself: the ‘actual’ -47F posted there has been confirmed a a new record For February for New Hampshire and a reading that also ties the state’s all-time lowest temperature (set more than a century ago) .
https://electroverse.co/coldest-ever-wind-chill-australias-summer-snow-extends-to-new-zealand-m7-8-strikes-turkey/
Heavy Snow From Slovakia To Greece, Pakistan’s Historically Cold January; + Solar Activity Ultimately Controls The Climate
February 9, 2023 Cap Allon
Heavy Snow From Slovakia To Greece
Strong winds and powerful snowstorms have caused traffic disruptions in Slovakia this week, as below average temperatures grip much of Europe.
Road, rail and air have been impacted across the country due to feet of accumulating snow, with Slovakia’s main east-to-west highway also closed.
https://electroverse.co/heavy-snow-from-slovakia-to-greece-pakistans-cold-jan-solar-activity-climate/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar (Arctic) Vortex evolution - record Arctic Blast ….
Feb 6, 2023
New England suffered its first major Arctic Blast of this season breaking many long term records and extreme wind chills down to -108ºF on Mount Washington’s observatory where 140+ kt winds were measured. Even Boston broke a cold record. The Arctic air was pulled down by an intense Nor”Easter - polar vortex (982 mb) that moved south from Baffin Island then up into Labrador and the SE Greenland coast (948mb). A large dome of Arctic air moved from the Prairie Provinces into the High Plains behind this system. The cold air created an intense ice storm from Texas to Kentucky causing havoc as up to 0.60 inches of ice accumulated on power lines and trees knocking out power to thousands of customers.
WINTER 2023 continues to set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe is replaced by cold Arctic air and snow next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan have set cold records with many people dying in the cold. Large intense storms from Kamchatka (955 mb) to Baffin Island and the north Atlantic (969 mb) and the Kara Sea (970 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure that bring the frigid temperatures south.
Of special interest is the new polar vortex that formed after the Nor"Ester moved into the Davis Straight up to Baffin Island. This storm dominated the Eastern half of North America spinning cold air south to the Gulf of Mexico and triggering short waves with their associated fronts that hit Florida and Cuba. When these polar vortices are stationary a persistent record breaking period occurs. This last storm over NE moved quickly into the N Atlantic resulting in an immediate warm up over the NE.
The Pacific jet continued to streak (180-200 kt) across the Pacific to about 165ºW, there it developed a short wave and AR that streamed up the west coast of N America dumping 2 o 3 m of new snow. This AR then curved south down the Rockies bringing Arctic air into the High Plains and a short wave with snow last week. Another short wave over the SW developed on 5 Jan which is pulling a Pacific cold front across the Rockies with some light snow by 7 Jan.
In contrast the Atlantic jet again delivered an AR that brought significant moisture up the Atlantic into Iceland and Svalbard, where they had over 1-3 m of new snow. Norway also benefited from this moist flow with 1-2 m of new snow. This jet continued north then swung south pulling Arctic air down into central Siberia and the Stans - Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. Last week, the “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul that never freezes over froze for the first time in recorded history. Folks in this region are suffering the coldest temperatures in recent history with one village unofficially reporting -75ºC in Essey. If confirmed, this would be a new World Record Low temperature outside of the Antarctic. Vostok’s old record is -89ºC, but NASA reported -95ºC in the Antarctic a few years ago.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These have significantly improved model forecasts.
Japan continued to get heavy snow (72 to 144 cm) and set records. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. The Kamchatka storm remained nearly stationary pumping moisture into eastern Siberia and generating >12 m wave heights last week.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter snow. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Tornadoes again hit the South.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-51º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 4 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 290 cm on the ground on 25 Jan 2023 Ljubljana had 15 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC. This week LJU was cold with rain/snow mix nearly every day. Slovenia has snow on the ground over most of the country.
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (1-2 m).
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-1033 mm) accompanied these fronts last week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 4 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross Sea was now ~95% open and the Weddell Sea about 50% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-2 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. The Peninsula had 4 days with 10-day snow forecasts from 136 to 239 cm. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 145 cm this week.
This week (30 Jan - 6 Feb 2023) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 187-239), (89-305), (63-149) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season with 154-256 mm rains.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought continues to prevail.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
SEE SECTION ON CURRENT EXTREMES below the commentary section:
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
A new major concern is the impact of last y ear’s Super volcano Kr that injected water and particles high into the Stratosphere. Adapt 2030 has an alarming article on the continued impacts on ozone depletion and crop yield reductions under increased UV-B radiation. See: Adapt 2030 GSM food
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
LINK TO THIS SECTION OF CURRENT EXTREMES:
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
Study: India’s ‘Cold Waves’ Have Increased Over The Past Decade; Summer Snow Clips Australia; + Arctic Outbreaks For Asia, Europe And North America–With All-Time Record Cold Forecast Across The Northeast
February 3, 2023 Cap Allon
Study: India’s ‘Cold Waves’ Have Increased Over The Past Decade
Extreme cold waves are increasing across India “despite global warming”, a new IITM study has indicated.
The analysis, led by Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM) scientists Raju Mandal and Susmitha Joseph, took into account the number of cold wave events over the past seven decades, from 1951-2022. The researchers discovered that more cold wave days are occurring in recent decades than in previous ones.
https://electroverse.co/study-indias-cold-waves-have-increased-over-the-past-decade-summer-snow-clips-australia-arctic-outbreaks-for-asia-europe-and-north-america-with-all-time-record-cold-forecast-across-the-no/
Stations Across Antarctica Log Coldest January Temperatures Ever; Utah ‘Sinks’ To -62F, State’s Coldest Reading Since 2002; Asia’s All-Time Lows; + “The Stratosphere Has Suddenly Become Very, Very Cold”
January 31, 2023 Cap Allon
Stations Across Antarctica Log Coldest January Temperatures Ever
https://electroverse.co/antarctica-record-cold-utah-62f-asias-all-time-lows-stratosphere-very-cold/
As discussed yesterday, for the past 7-decades –at least– Antarctica has been defying AGW Party orders and COOLING with its ice sheet EXPANDING. This trend has intensified in recent years, with the burgeoning 2023 continuing the move…
Extreme cold (for summer) is striking Antarctica this January with anomalous readings well-below -40C a regular feature.
On Saturday, Jan 28 the infamous Vostok Station, which lies at the southern Pole of Cold, posted a staggering -47.5C (-53.5F) — the station’s lowest January temperature since the -48.5C (-55.3F) of Jan 30, 1989 (solar minimum of cycle 21).
Then, on Sunday, Jan 29, Vostok sank even further, logging a low of -48.7C (-55.7F) which took out 1989’s historical January low and made it the station’s coldest-ever summer temperature since its opening back in 1957 (note: slightly lower temps were posted in 1994 and 1998 but both failed quality control).
Global Temperatures Fall Below 30-Year Baseline, Now Down 0.75C From 2016 Peak
February 2, 2023 Cap Allon
The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature reading for January 2022 is in. It shows a negative anomaly of -0.04 deg. C vs the multidecadal average.
Despite the ever-loudening cries of ‘Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming’ and the mindless prosperity-wrecking policies that accompany them, this is the fourth sharp global temperature drop in as many months, drops that continue the overall downward trend observed since 2016’s peak (now down 0.75C deg. C since then).
https://electroverse.co/temps-fall-below-30-year-baseline-now-down-0-75c-from-2016/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions, NE Polar Vortex evolution - record arctic Blast ….
JAN 30, 2023
WINTER 2023 continues to set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe is replaced by cold Arctic air and snow next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan have set cold records with many people dying in the cold. Large intense storms from Kamchatka (955 mb) to Baffin Island and the north Atlantic (969 mb) and the Kara Sea (970 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure that bring the frigid temperatures south.
Of special interest is the new polar vortex that formed after the Nor"Ester moved into the Davis Straight up to Baffin Island. This storm dominated the Eastern half of North America spinning cold air south to the Gulf of Mexico and triggering short waves with their associated fronts that hit Florida and Cuba….
The Pacific jet continued to streak (180-200 kt) across the Pacific to about 165ºW, there it took a sharp north turn into Alaska, where it dumped 2 o 4 m of new snow. This AR then curved south down the Rockies bringing Arctic air into the High Plains and a short wave with snow. It brought a ridge of Pacific High pressure (1045mb) into the NW that merged with the 1050 mb Arctic high bringing very cold air into the US. Again the polar vortex over Canada provided the energy driving this system.
In contrast the Atlantic jet again delivered an AR that brought significant moisture up the Atlantic into Iceland and Svalbard, where they had over 1 m of new snow. This jet continued north then swung south pulling Arctic air down into central Siberia and the Stans - Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. Last week, the “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul that never freezes over froze for the first time in recorded history. Folks in this region are suffering the coldest temperatures in recent history with one village unofficially reporting -75ºC in Essey. If confirmed, this would be a new World Record Low temperature outside of the Antarctic. Vostok’s old record is -89ºC, but NASA reported -95ºC in the Antarctic.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These have significantly improved model forecasts.
Japan continued to get heavy snow (72 to 144 cm) and set records. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. The Kamchatka storm remained nearly stationary pumping moisture into eastern Siberia and generating >12 m wave heights.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Tornadoes again hit the South.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-51º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 4 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 290 cm on the ground on 25 Jan 2023 Ljubljana had 15 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC. This week LJU was cold with rain/snow mix nearly every day. Slovenia has snow on the ground over most of the country.
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (1-2 m).
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-1033 mm) accompanied these fronts last week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 4 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross sea was now ~95% open and the Weddell Sea about 40% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-2 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. The Peninsula had 4 days with 10-day snow forecasts from 136 to 239 cm. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 145 cm this week.
This week (21-30 Jan 2023) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 136-239), (83-259), (25-145) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season with 177- 529 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons. The Crocks have free rein during the rainy season!!.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought prevails.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
SEE SECTION ON CURRENT EXTREMES:
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
https://hydrogen-central.com/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
JUMP TO THIS SECTION OF CURRENT EXTREMES:
Heavy Snow For Europe; Historic Totals Across Western U.S.; Nunavut School Lowers ‘Cold Weather Cutoff’ To -60C (-76F); + “Unprecedented” 170-Strong Herd Of Bison Spotted In Poland
January 27, 2023 Cap Allon
Heavy Snow For Europe
From Scotland to Spain, Sweden to Turkey, further bouts of heavy snows and freezing lows are on the cards for Europe.
https://electroverse.co/snow-europe-historic-totals-western-u-s-cold-weather-cutoff-170-strong-bison/
Algeria Sees Rare Snowfall; 157 Afghans Now Confirmed To Have Frozen-To-Death In “Coldest Winter On Record”; Benchmarks Busted In U.S.; + *All-Time* Records Continue To Fall Across Japan
January 26, 2023 Cap Allon
Algeria Sees Rare Snowfall
Algeria has witnessed rare snowfall this week as Europe’s Arctic front plunges as far south as Northern Africa.
The sand dunes across the south-west of the country have been blanketed white, with Beni Ounif, for example, seeing its first heavy snowfall since 2012.
Northern parts have endured heavy snow for days, which has led to blocked roads, isolating towns and villages, and delays at airports.
https://electroverse.co/algeria-snow-157-afghans-frozen-to-death-u-s-cold-all-time-records-japan/
New National Record Low Set In China; All Korean Stations Fall Below Zero; Heathrow’s Coldest Jan Temp Since 1987–With UK National Grid “Rewarding” Brits For Switching Off Power; + Cold Records Fall Across U.S.–As “Piercing” Arctic Outbreak Looms
January 24, 2023 Cap Allon
There’s a lot to get through today so I’ll try to keep things short…
New National Record Low Set In China
Impressive low temperature benchmarks have been felled across Asia of late, none more so than Sunday’s -53C (-63.4F) in Mohe City, China — the coldest reading ever recorded by the Chinese meteorological system.
Note: outlets such as the BBC are reporting that Inner Mongolia’s -58C (-72.4F) from 2009 (solar minimum of cycle 23) is China’s official record low, but this data wasn’t logged by an official national weather station and so has to be discarded (much like the eastern Siberian Village of Essey registering -75C (103F) last week).
https://electroverse.co/china-all-korea-zero-heathrow-national-grid-power-cuts-cold-records-fall-us-more/
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions….
JAN 23, 2023
After 3 weeks of intense AR storms hitting the West Coast, they finally have a break in a ridge of high pressure. However, the strong wavy jet is still quite fascinating with a complex pattern of strong storms (959 mb) and ridges (1060 mb) with powerful pressure gradients from the Aleutians to Greenland, and Siberia. Have a look at the Winter 2023 album for an example on 21 January.
The Pacific jet continued to streak (180-200 kt) across the Pacific to about 165ºW, there it took a sharp north turn into Alaska, where it dumped 2 o 4 m of new snow. This AR then curved south down the Rockies bringing Arctic air into the High Plains and a short wave with snow.
In contrast the Atlantic jet delivered an AR that brought significant moisture up the Atlantic into Iceland and Svalbard, where they had over 1 m of new snow. This jet continued north then swung south pulling Arctic air down into central Siberia and the Stans - Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. The “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul that never freezes over froze last week for the first time in recorded history. Folks in this region are suffering the coldest temperatures in recent history with one village unofficially reporting -75ºC in Essey. If confirmed, this would be a new World Record Low temperature outside of the Antarctic. Vostok’s old record is -89ºC, but NASA reported -95ºC in the Antarctic.
As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These have significantly improved model forecasts.
Japan continued to get heavy snow (125 to 158 cm) and set records. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Tornadoes again hit the South.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-51º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 4 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 245 cm on the ground on, 17 Jan 2023 Ljubljana had 15 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC. This week LJU was cold and snowy every day.
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (1-2 m).
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-1033 mm) accompanied these fronts. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 4 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross Sea was now ~90% open and the Weddell Sea about 30% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-2 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. The Peninsula had 4 days with 10-day snow forecasts from 136 to 210 cm.
This week (4-9 Jan 2023) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 136-315), (124-275), (25-78) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season lightened up with 112-179 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons. The Crocks have free rein during the rainy season!!.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
China Suffers -50C (-58F) For First Time In 54 Years; The Russian Towns And Cities Enduring All-Time Record Cold; Kyrgyzstan’s Lake “That Never Freezes Over” Just Froze Over; + Arctic Blasts For Europe And North America
January 20, 2023 Cap Allon
China Suffers -50C (-58F) For First Time In 54 Years
China did it, the forecasts were accurate: The northern city of Mohe has logged China’s first -50C since 1969.
During the early hours of Friday, January 20 the official weather international station of Mohe dropped to -50C.
This is the first time in since Februay 15, 1969 that China has officially logged such as benchmark.
https://electroverse.co/china-suffers-50crussia-all-time-record-lake-that-never-freezes-over-just-froze-cold-us-eu/
Central America Endures Record Cold; China Forecast First -50C Since 1969; At Least 100 Killed In Afghanistan’s Big Freeze; Major Winter Storm Clatters Plains, Midwest; + Antarctic Ice Sheet Posts Record SMB Gains
January 19, 2023 Cap Allon
Central America Endures Record Cold
Anomalous chills are being felt in Central America this week.
The region’s largest country, Nicaragua, has felled low temperature benchmarks: Polar air encased the town of Jinotega on Jan 17, dropping the mercury to 8.6C (47.5F) — the locale’s lowest temperature ever recorded.
Antarctic Ice Sheet Posts Record SMB Gains
Surface mass balance (SMB) is a good barometer for the ‘health’ of a glacier, but readings can vary wildly over Antarctica.
Still, this season’s gains are proving exceptional:
https://electroverse.co/central-america-cold-china-forecast-50c-afghanistans-big-freeze-snow-plains-midwest-antarctic-record/
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul…
JAN 16, 2023
Once again Meteora dealt an extreme weather hand to California as AR Pacific storms pounded the West Coast. The jet stream had a zonal flow (West to East) from Japan across the Pacific to California, where it developed a series of strong storms that pumped moisture into Western North America. The Atmospheric River slammed into California dumping heavy rain 10-15 inches) and snow (2-4 m). California continues to live up to its extreme reputation going from drought to floods much like Australia this year. However Australia had extreme storms with over 1033 mm vs California’s 200-600 mm. The heavy Sierra snowfall (2-3 m) was predicted by the models and will help with the drought mitigation this year. On Jan 11th two large deep (962 965 mb) Pacific Storms dominated the N Pacific.
The Pacific jet will continue to blast the West Coast this week; however, it will develop several short waves that move across the Rockies and by Saturday 14 JAN, A SHARP LONG WAVE DEVELOPS that will take the 540 thickness line into N Florida. This line marks the rain/snow line. Much colder temperatures will hit the Eastern US. The Snow depth on the ground ranges from 2.5 to 1.9 m in the Sierra from Big Bear above LA to Mt Shasta. The Coast range from Vancouver to Anchorage has from 2 to 5 meters on the ground on Jan 9th according to the ECMWF model Analysis. Temperatures across the US moderated, but largely remained below normal in the West. The East and Western Europe were much above normal; however Scandinavia was cold and snowy. Western Siberia had max temperatures below -30ºC. Slovenia finished December 4ºC above normal on the sunny side of the Alps; however this will change this week with snow in Ljubljana. On 16 Jan it snowed all day in LJU.
On January 11th a very intense deep (966 mb) storm was in the N Atlantic west of northern Norway pumping moisture into Svalbard which had 1.5 m of new snow and open water on tits N coast. A complex Atlantic storm pattern is pulling cold Arctic air into western Europe. Svalbard’s northern ice was pushed north opening the sea around the Islands. Franz Joseph Islands remained ice locked. Slovenia remained on the sunny side of the Alps last week; however, a cold front is threatening them now. Have a look at wendy.com satellite images. An intense high (1056 mb) over western Siberia pulled Arctic air south into the Stans cooling the region to -30 to -40ºC with another area to the East at -50 to -61ºC. South of this, the HinduKush had 100-110 cm. Japan and Korea continued to get snow extending their record cold, snowy winter.
Australia was quite cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 4 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross sea was now ~70% open and the Weddell Sea about 30% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-2 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. The Peninsula had 3 days with 10-day snow forecasts above 3 m.
Japan continued to get heavy snow and set records. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes hit from Louisiana to Missouri. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These have significantly improved model forecasts.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Tornadoes again hit the South. Extreme floods occurred in Victoria around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-48º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 3 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 190 cm on the ground on, 19 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (1-2 m).
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-1033 mm) accompanied these fronts. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December.
This week (4-9 Jan 2023) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 162-345), (86-207), (45-102) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season continues to hit hard with 140-1033 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons. The Crocks have free rein during the rainy season!!.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Asia’s Record-Breaking Arctic Outbreak Reaches Indian Ocean: Alerts Issued In India, China, Taiwan and Others; Big Freeze To Return To Europe (Just In Time For Davos); + U.S. To Be Pummeled Again Later In The Month
January 13, 2023 Cap Allon
Asia’s Record-Breaking Arctic Outbreak Reaches Indian Ocean
Asia’s cold spell is continuing to drop jaws, take names and fell records.
Remarkable lows have been logged in recent weeks/months across the likes of Kazakhstan, Mongolia and Northern China; now that freeze is both encasing north regions (Siberia) and also pushing unusually-far south …..
Looking at the latest GFS run (shown below), Western/Central Europe is about to see a reversal of fortunes, another ‘swing’ back to something rivalling the disruptive polar outbreak of mid-December — due to commence Jan 16 (for most).
https://electroverse.co/arctic-outbreak-reaches-indian-ocean-big-freeze-to-return-to-europe-and-u-s/
Extreme Freeze Intensifies Across Asia–Iranian’s Told “To Bundle Up”; “More Snow Than Forecast” Buries European Slopes–Even More To Come; + U.S. Agri Exports To China Smash Records
January 12, 2023 Cap Allon
Extreme Freeze Intensifies Across Asia
In Siberia, and as discussed on Wednesday, temperatures have plunged to their lowest levels in at least two decades: around minus-80F (-62C). This exceptional cold is now projected to persist, intensify and expand across the majority of Asia.
https://electroverse.co/extreme-freeze-asia-snow-hits-european-slopes-u-s-agri-exports-to-china-smash-records/
Sydney’s Longest Spell Of Days Below 30C In 140-Years; Coldest Start To A Year Since 1982 In São Paulo, Brazil; + Historic Snow In Western U.S. Helps Drive Northern Hemisphere Snow Mass *Further* Above 1982-2012 Average
January 11, 2023 Cap Allon
Sydney’s Longest Spell Of Days Below 30C In 140-Years
It was a cold 2022 across Australia, with many daily, monthly and even all-time records felled — 2023 has started in the same chilly vein.
Sydney is on the verge of recording its longest spell of days below 30 degrees Celsius (86F) in 140 years, since 1883.
The Harbour City has warmed since its pre-Christmas record cold spell, but Tuesday’s maximum of 26.6C at Observatory Hill marked the 323rd consecutive day under 30C — already the longest stretch in three decades.
https://electroverse.co/sydneys-140-years-cold-sao-paulo-historic-snow-u-s/
Siberia’s Coldest Temperature Since 2002, Host Of Records Felled ACROSS Transcontinental Russia; + X1.9-Flare ‘Jerks’ Earth’s Magnetic Field
January 10, 2023 Cap Allon
Siberia’s Coldest Temperature Since 2002, Host Of Records Felled ACROSS Transcontinental Russia
The 13.1 million km2 land mass that is Siberia has just logged its coldest temperature since 2002, with many more older, localized records being felled, too — and with an intensification and expansion of the Arctic Outbreak still to come.
A bone-chilling -62.1C (79.8F) was registered in Dzalinda last night (-61.9C shown below, but it dropped a little further). This is Siberia’s coldest temperature since at least 2002, and usurps Dzlalinda’s January record of 62C set in 1942 (for ref, the all-time low of -64C was registered here back in the 1880s).
https://electroverse.co/siberias-coldest-temperature-since-2002-x1-9-flare-jerks-earth/
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms,…
JAN 9, 2023
This week the jet stream had a zonal flow (West to East) from Japan across the Pacific to California, where it developed a strong southerly flow up to Alaska as the Atmospheric River slammed into California dumping heavy rain 10-15 inches) and snow (2-4 m). California lived up to its extreme reputation going from drought to floods much like Australia this year. The heavy Sierra snowfall (2-4 m) was predicted by the models and will help with the drought mitigation this year. On Jan 5th the deep (967 mb) Pacific Storm moved up the West Coast as a ridge developed over the Rockies giving us blue skies after the week long clouds and snow from last week’s snowstorm that moved into Wisconsin and a 1044 mb high developed over Greenland. On Jan 9th, another deep 974 mb storm moved up the California coast dumping heavy rain and snow in the Sierra. The Pacific jet will continue to blast the West Coast this week. The Snow depth on the ground ranges from 2.5 to 1.9 m in the Sierra from Big Bear above LA to Mt Shasta. The Coast range from Vancouver to Anchorage has from 2 to 5 meters on the ground on Jan 9th according to the ECMWF model Analysis. Temperatures across the US moderated, but largely remained below normal in the West. The East and Western Europe were much above normal; however Scandinavia was cold and snowy. Western Siberia had max temperatures below -30ºC. Slovenia finished December 4ºC above normal on the sunny side of the Alps. It was sunny above the inversion at Kredarica, but Ljubljana was socked in with much fog and clouds with beneficial rains.
On January 6th a very intense deep (945 mb) storm covered the Atlantic from Newfoundland to Norway as the UK and Norway were battered by several smaller storms. By 7 Jan this storm impacted the region from Morocco to the Svalbard Islands with a huge circulation.
This storm was energized by the temperature contrast from Greenland’s -48ºC to the warm N Atlantic drift. It pulled cold Arctic air into western Europe and had an Atmospheric River (AR) from the subtropical Atlantic that energized the system. Svalbard’s northern ice was pushed north opening the sea around the Islands. Franz Joseph remained ice locked. Slovenia remained on the sunny side of the Alps; however, a cold front is threatening them. Have a look at wendy.com satellite images. An intense low (967 mb) over Siberia pulled Arctic air south into western Siberia cooling the region to -30 to -40ºC with another area to the East at -50 to -58ºC. South of this, the HinduKush had 100-110 cm; however, a 1030 mb ridge over the Tibetan Plateau kept it dry. Japan and Korea continued to get snow extending their record cold, snowy winter.
Australia was quite cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 4 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross sea was now ~50% open and the Weddell Sea about 25% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-3 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb.
Japan continued to get heavy snow and set records. N Hemisphere jet had a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms have the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records like the “bomb cyclone” mentioned above. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes hit from Louisiana to Missouri. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks.
see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif
These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These data have significantly improved model forecasts.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-48º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 3 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 190 cm on the ground on, 19 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
This week the West Coast again has 5 to 15 inches of rain and SWE as a strong AR floods the region from Vancouver to San Diego. California’s Sierra had 3 to 4 meters of new snow. NOAA’s 7-day QPF had 10-15 inches again in its forecast as the AR and Pacific storms continue to batter the West Coast. The Rockies get a small fraction of this moisture (20 to 85 cm).
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this week date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-831 mm) accompanied these fronts. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December.
This week (4-9 Jan 2023) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 108-403), (102-149), (20-33) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season continues to hit hard with 140-492 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons. The Crocks have free rein during the rainy season!!.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
California’s Snowpack Highest In 40 Years; Heavy Snow “Causes Chaos” In Oslo; Extreme Freeze Begins Across Vast Areas Of Russia/Asia; + X-Flare Watch
January 6, 2023 Cap Allon
California’s Snowpack Highest In 40 Years
Snowpack across California’s mountains is at the highest level in 40 years — with more heavy snow in the forecast.
Currently, the Cali pack is measuring 179% of the historical average, boosted by recent record-setting snowstorms.
Statewide snowpack is even 70% of the April 1 average, and is matching the best water year on record (1982-1983):
see: https://electroverse.co/cali-snowpack-chaos-in-oslo-extreme-freeze-russia-asia-x-flare/
Vancouver Sees Earliest Snowfall In 31 Years; Utah’s Snowpack As Much As 1417% Above Normal; + France’s Electricity Prices Surge As More Nuclear Plants Unexpectedly Go Offline
November 9, 2022 Cap Allon
Vancouver Sees Earliest Snowfall In 31 Years
The Arctic outbreak that descended into British Columbia’s Lower Mainland this week delivered Vancouver its earliest measurable snowfall in decades.
Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) confirmed 1.2cm (0.5 inches) of snow was recorded at the Vancouver International Airport weather station on Monday — a very rare occurrence this early in November.
ECCC Meteorologist Alyssa Charbonneau had to go all the way back to 1991 to find documentation of measurable snowfall earlier in the fall: “I remember that,” she said, “because I think there was snow for Halloween.”
see: https://electroverse.co/vancouver-sees-earliest-snowfall-in-31-years-utahs-snowpack-as-much-as-1417-above-normal-frances-electricity-prices-surge/
Frigid Decembers For North America, Australia, Parts Of Europe, And Asia; Cold 2022 For The South Pole; Historic Snowfall In SD And MN; Twin Cities’ Snowiest Start To Winter In 30-Years; + More To Come
January 5, 2023 Cap Allon
Frigid Decembers For North America, Australia, Parts Of Europe, And Asia
As shown by the 15x NASA/NOAA AMSU satellites (that measure every square inch of the lower troposphere), Earth cooled in December, down to a reading of just 0.05C above the multidecadal baseline (the planet was warmer back in the late-1980s).
see: https://electroverse.co/frigid-december-cold-2022-south-pole-historic-snowfall-us-more-to-come/
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms,…
JAN 3, 2023
Many Americans will remember tails of their grand parents about past winters that were extremely cold and had deep snows. This past Christmas Holiday week certainly met and surpassed those winters. NOAA called it a “Generation” storm. Buffalo, NY had an epic record breaking lake effect storm that encased many homes in ice as the Christmas low moved into Ontario and Quebec, deepened and intensified , producing the perfect lake fetch with high winds into the Buffalo area. Historic snows created a state of emergency as nothing moved in the 100 inch + blizzard. The storm persisted for over 37 hours continuously dumping heavy snow. Over 34 deaths around Buffalo added to the 60 or so dead during the Christmas Storm. The model forecasts that I mentioned last week unfortunately verified quite well. Travelers had plenty of warning; however, thousands were stranded in airports and missed their holiday with family and loved ones. SW Airlines canceled thousands of flights creating even more havoc.
Winter wheat was frozen in many areas thus leading to future food shortages.
Western Europe remained relatively mild and had above normal temperatures. The UK was cold and wet with 50 to 100 cm in the Highlands. Slovenia was mild and cloudy with periods of rain and snow at high elevations. Svalbard remains ice free in the south; however, in the north the Arctic Ocean sea ice closed in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. Svalbard had 35 to 50 cm of new snow. The Ob River is frozen now. Norway continued to pick up 50 to 140 cm of new snow. The Alps began to pick up significant snowfall up to 157 cm. Central Russia also had from 108 to 169 cm in the ECMWF 10-day forecasts as temperatures plunged to -53ºC.
Japan continued to get heavy snow (130-13 cm) and set records. N Hemisphere jet had a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms had the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records like the “bomb cyclone” mentioned above. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes hit from Louisiana to Missouri. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific…
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream brought Arctic air south into western Europe and western North America. The Arctic High Pressure (1055mb) from Alaska to the Yukon and south into Montana brought this season’s coldest weather. Eastern Colorado had a very strong upslope on 21-22 Dec as the Arctic front passed and dumps 5-10 cm of snow on the front range (ECMWF model). This brought maximum temperatures down to -18ºC (0ºF) about 20ºC below normal for 2 days. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 36º N over Tennessee by 23 DEC as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This cold Jet core (161 kt max) spun up a fast moving East Coast storm. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure with subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to 30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house last week. This week will dipped below 0ºF for several days.
This week cold domes of high pressure dominated and fed Arctic air into North America and Europe. Canada’s polar vortex from last week dissipated and this week’s storm spun up a huge low that extended from Baffin Island to Florida for a few days. The models correctly predicted another deep polar vortex over Ontario and Quebec this week as the Missouri low deepened and moved NE. This produced another Hudson Bay vortex by 23 Dec. that pulled Arctic air into Eastern N America. The West was under a relatively warm ridge. Temperatures in the East from Maine to Florida fell to 8 to 20ºC below normal by 24 Dec. Cold air reached the Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba Thirty-seven deaths were caused by this storm.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West coast. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. A Pacific storm moved into California with significant snows in the Cascades, Sierra and Rockies (94 to 456 cm). The Pacific storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. Our Colorado Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. This week the San Juans have 104 cm in their 10-day ECMWF forecast. All of our mountains should have significant snowfall. However the Sierra and Cascades should get considerably more: 225 to 456 cm.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-40º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 remains well above the normal but fell below the record high side the past 2 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard is closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 190 cm on the ground on, 19 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (18-311 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California. Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-2 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2-3 m (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington. This week the West Coast had 5 to 15 inches of rain and SWE as a strong AR floods the region from Vancouver to San Diego. California’s Sierra had 3 to 4 meters of new snow. NOAA’s 7-day QPF had 10-15 inches again in its forecast as the AR and Pacific storms continue to batter the West Coast. The Rockies get a small fraction of this moisture (20 to 85 cm).
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains diminished this week as the N African Monsoon stopped. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. This week Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows again closed key roads. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream. Some claim that the models predict this; however, the models fail after 10 days.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this week date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-831 mm) accompanied these fronts. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December.
This week (27 Dec to 3 Jan) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 99-305), (212-384), (30-44) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season continues to hit hard with 500 to 831 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons. The Crocks have free reign.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
UK Avalanche Kills One; Extreme Freeze To Engulf All Of Russia; Mughal Road Blocked By 3-Feet Of Snow; Sydney Failed To Reach 32C In 2022 (First Year In Books Dating Back To 1859); + Greenland’s Jakobshavn Glacier Continues To Grow
January 2, 2023 Cap Allon
UK Avalanche
The New Year has brought unseasonable warmth to Central Europe –the result of a low solar activity-induced ‘meridional’ jet stream flow, not a taxable human excretion– but this localized treat looks set to be short lived as polar air prepares to descend down from what continues to be an exceptionally chilly Scandinavia/NW Russia.
Scandinavia’s Cold December; A Busy Month For Sunspots; + If Global Warming Is Real And ‘Catastrophic’, Why Are The Deserts Greening?
January 3, 2023 Cap Allon
Scandinavia’s Cold December
Along with the UK, Ireland, Iceland and the Baltic countries, Scandinavia was another region of Europe to suffer a far colder-than-average December of 2022.
https://electroverse.co/scandinavias-cold-dec-sunspots-why-are-the-deserts-greening/
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…
DEC 26, 2022
CHRISTMAS 2022 will go down in history as one of the most intense stormy periods on record in both hemispheres. North America had an extreme storm that impacted over 150 million Americans primarily from the Rockies to the East Coast and South. The numerical models gave ample warning of this storm’s evolution and severity 5 to 10 days before the event. It was a classic evolving storm that closely obeyed the laws of physics as a very cold dome (1058 mb) of Arctic air moved down from the Arctic Ocean North of Alaska and Siberia into the Yukon and down the Canadian Prairie Provinces into the High Plains and south to Mexico and Florida. The high pressure had a very strong pressure gradient that produced high winds, wind chills to below -50ºF and spun up a “bomb cyclone” that deepened rapidly from Missouri to Illinois and into Ontario and Quebec where it became an intense, large polar vortex. Hundreds of cold temperature records and record fast drops of temperature as the cold front passed and displaced the warm air ahead of the cold front. It resulted in shocking temperature changes setting many record drops within 1 to 2 hours. On Christmas Day this storm continued to blast the Great Lakes with very heavy lake effect snows of 2-3 feet.
Western Europe remained relatively mild and had above normal temperatures. The UK was cold and wet with 50 to 100 cm in the Highlands. Slovenia was mild and cloudy with periods of rain and snow at high elevations.
Japan continued to get heavy snow and set records. N Hemisphere jet had a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms had the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records like the “bomb cyclone” mentioned above. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes hit from Louisiana to Georgia. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific…
Major winter changes continue to spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold A very cold 1053 mb dome of cold air from Ukraine to SE China is setting cold records; however, the Tibetan Plateau remained cold and dry except on the SE mountains where 50 to 150 cm fell. Record cold and snow hit the UK with the Scottish glens falling below -15ºC breaking records back into the 1800’s last week.
Svalbard remains ice free in the south; however, in the north the Arctic Ocean sea ice closed in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. Svalbard had 35 to 50 cm of new snow. The Ob River is frozen now. Norway continued to pick up 50 to 140 cm of new snow.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream brought Arctic air south into western Europe and western North America. The Arctic High Pressure (1055mb) from Alaska to the Yukon and south into Montana brought this season’s coldest weather. Eastern Colorado had a very strong upslope on 21-22 Dec as the Arctic front passed and dumps 5-10 cm of snow on the front range (ECMWF model). This brought maximum temperatures down to -18ºC (0ºF) about 20ºC below normal for 2 days. Denver set several all time cold records. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 36º N over Tennessee by 23 DEC as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This cold Jet core (161 kt max) spun up a fast moving East Coast storm. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure with subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to 30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house last week. This week will dipped below 0ºF for several days.
This week cold domes of high pressure dominated and fed Arctic air into North America and Europe. Canada’s polar vortex from last week dissipated and this week’s storm spun up a huge low that extended from Baffin Island to Florida for a few days. The models correctly predicted another deep polar vortex over Ontario and Quebec this week as the Missouri low deepened and moved NE. This produced another Hudson Bay vortex by 23 Dec. that pulled Arctic air into Eastern N America. The West was under a relatively warm ridge. Temperatures in the East from Maine to Florida fell to 8 to 20ºC below normal by 24 Dec. Cold air reached the Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba Thirty-seven deaths were caused by this storm.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West coast. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. A Pacific storm moved into California with significant snows in the Cascades, Sierra and Rockies (140-323 cm). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. Our Colorado Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. This week the San Juans have 104 cm in their 10-day ECMWF forecast. All of our mountains should have significant snowfall. However the Sierra and Cascades should get considerably more: 150 to 300 cm.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-40º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 remains well above the normal but fell below the record high side this week according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open but nearly closed.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified when Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 190 cm on the ground on 19 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
Canada continued to pack in new snow 68-310 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-2 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2-4 m (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington. This next week the West Coast should get 5 to 15 inches of rain and SWE as a strong AR floods the region from Vancouver to San Diego.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains diminished this week as the N African Monsoon stopped. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream. Some claim that the models predict this; however, the models fail after 10 days.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 131 to 170 cm.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula had over 205-365 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (74-719 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting light snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (19-26 Dec) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island continued to have snows (92-343), (105-352), (29-103) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 44 to 320 mm of rain in the rain forests. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season hit hard with 500 to 700 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Hijiori, Japan Loses Power After 2.3m (7.6ft) Of Snow Hits; Severe Weather Warnings Encompass All Of Iceland; + N. Hemisphere Snow Extent Continues To Climb Far-Above Average, With Much More Forecast
December 22, 2022 Cap Allon
Hijiori, Japan Loses Power After 2.3m (7.6ft) Of Snow Hits
It’s been snowy in Japan this week — all-time, record-busting, AGW-destroying snowy.
Hijiori is the country’s snowiest locale, with 2.32 (7.6ft) on the ground as of Tuesday, December 20.
That total is likely to have climbed since then, but the area is dealing with widespread power outages which are also impacting weather stations.
see: https://electroverse.co/hijiori-loses-power-severe-warnings-iceland-snow-extent/
N. Hemisphere Snow Extent Continues To Climb Far-Above Average, With Much More Forecast
Snow extent in the Northern Hemisphere continues its dogged march above the multidecadal norm, according to the latest data, with winter storm Elliot about to extend the snowline by at least another 1 million km2 in North America.
The extensive snow is aiding Arctic air in its descent south.
Record-breaking temperatures are sweeping most N. Hem land masses, most recently in Europe, Eastern Asia and North America. The UK busted all-time mid-Dec readings in books dating back to the 1800s this week, and, according to the Central England Temperature dataset –which extends back to 1659– Britain was on for its 9th coldest December in 363-years.
–All impossibilities by now (2022) under the ‘global warming’ hypothesis.
“Blockbuster” Cold Strikes North America; UK On For Its 9th Coldest December In 363-Years Of Record-Keeping; + Japan’s Unprecedented Snow Continues, Strands Drivers
December 20, 2022 Cap Allon
“Blockbuster” Cold Strikes North America
Christmas 2022 is on course to be the coldest on record for many, as two disruptive and dangerous weather systems sweep large portions of Canada and the Lower 48.
UK On For 9th Coldest December In 363-Years Of Record-Keeping
To the 17th, this December is on course to be the UK’s ninth coldest in books dating back to 1659.
https://electroverse.co/blockbuster-cold-strikes-america-uk-on-for-coldest-dec-japans-snow/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…
DEC 19, 2022
WINTER WEATHER dominated the N Hemisphere from Japan’s heavy snow to N America’s white Christmas frigid snows to the UK and Scandinavia, where a huge Barents Sea Low (981 mb) controlled the area from Iceland to central Siberia. Even the “sunny side of the Alps” in Slovenia was cold and stormy. For meteorologists looking at the surface weather map, it was fascinating to see the series of storms and large cold domes of 1050+ mb high-pressures. windy.com clearly showed a deep winter pattern from the surface to the 300 mb jet stream levels.
This week a number of traveling short waves brought winter weather from Japan to North America and Europe. Greenland had one of the highest pressures I have seen at 1070 mb according to Environment Canada. This extreme dome of cold air then moved SE into Europe from 9 to 10 December. This cold air was north of a Genoa low that moved from the Med to the Adriatic sea dumping significant precipitation across the Alps and the Balkans with snow at higher elevations. Siberia also cooled in many areas to -40 to -60ºC under a 1050 mb dome of high pressure setting records. THIS PATTERN continued this week Dec 12-19th.
N Hemisphere jet had a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms have the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes hit from Louisiana to Georgia. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which in the NW coast of North America, Greenland, and East coast of Siberia again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific…
Major winter changes continue to spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold jet stream brought Arctic air down the Rockies into Mexico and again Dec 21-24 will bring extreme cold to N America with 20 to 25ºC below normal. It will spin-up a deep low over Missouri that will create a most memorable Christmas Storm in the east-central US,.. Another large deep 963 mb N Atlantic low off the Irish coast in a trough from Maine to the Svalbard will trigger winter storms in western Europe. A very cold 1050 mb dome of cold air from Ukraine to SE China is setting cold records; however, the Tibetan Plateau remained cold and dry except on the SE mountains where 50 to 150 cm fell. Record cold and snow hit the UK with the Scottish glens falling below -15ºC breaking records back into the 1800’s last week.
Svalbard remains ice free; however, the Arctic Ocean sea ice is closing in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. Svalbard had 35 to 50 cm of new snow. The Ob River is frozen now. Norway continued to pick up 50 to 120 cm of new snow.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream brought Arctic air south into western Europe and western North America. The Arctic High Pressure (1055mb) from Alaska to the Yukon and south into Montana will bring this season’s coldest weather. Eastern Colorado will have a very strong upslope on 21-22 Dec as the Arctic front passes and dumps 5-10 cm of snow on the front range (ECMWF model). This will bring high temperatures down to -18ºC (0ºF) about 20ºC below normal. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 36º N over Tennessee by 23 DEC as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This cold Jet core (161 kt max) will spin up a fast moving East Coast storm. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure subsiding sinking air will clear the skies and the West will warm after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to 30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house last week. This week will dip below 0ºF for several days.
This week cold domes of high pressure dominated and fed Arctic air into North America and Europe. Canada’s polar vortex was displaced as the Greenland 1064 mb high sent cold air into the North Sea and set records in the UK last week. The models indicate another deep polar vortex over Ontario and Quebec this week as the Missouri low deepens and moves NE. This will produce another Hudson Bay vortex that pulls arctic air into Eastern N America. The West will be under a relatively warm ridge. Temperatures in the East from Maine to Florida will fall to 8 to 20ºC below normal by 24 Dec. Cold air will reach the Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba…
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -12 Dec.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West coast. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. A Pacific storm moved into California with significant snows in the Cascades, Sierra and Rockies (140-160 cm). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. Our Colorado Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-40º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 remains well above the normal but fell below the record high side this week according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open but nearly closed.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 190 cm on the ground today, 19 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
Canada continued to pack in new snow 68-202 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-2 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1-3 m (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains diminished this week as the N African Monsoon stopped. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream. Some claim that the models predict this; however, the models fail after 10 days.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 170 to 231 cm.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Antarctic Peninsula had over 205-365 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to clear the sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (58-349 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting light snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (12-19 Dec) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (243-365), (112-226), (3-29), and (0-2 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 118-187 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Cold Wave Grips East Asia, Felling All-Time Snowfall Records Across Japan; Historic Snow In Moscow; + Christmas Freeze: Extreme Cold/Snow To Blast North America Over The Holidays
December 19, 2022 Cap Allon
Cold Wave Grips East Asia…
A fierce cold wave engulfing the majority East Asia is busy felling long-standing records.
see: https://electroverse.co/cold-wave-grips-east-japan-historic-snow-moscow-christmas-freeze-north-america/
China Approaches -50C (-58F); Record Cold In The Dominican Republic; Summer Snow Down Under, Another 12 *Monthly* Low Temp Records Felled; + The Sun Is Crackling With M-Flares
December 15, 2022 Cap Allon
China Approaches -50C (-58F)
China’s lingering –and already record-breaking– freeze has intensified again this week, with Northern provinces in the grips of yet another fierce Arctic Outbreak.
Temperatures had plunged to -43.4C (-46.1F) on the Greater Hinggan Mountain yesterday evening, with thermometers expected to continue dropping overnight, to perhaps a record-busting -50C (-58F) by morning.
The polar air is now traversing south, into the tropics.
see: https://electroverse.co/china-approaches-50c-58f-record-cold-dominican-summer-snow-cold-down-under-sun-is-crackling/
Record Cold Caribbean; Colder-Than-Average Novembers For Brazil And Paraguay; State Of Victoria Just Set Its Coldest Summer Temp Ever; UK Freeze Breaks Records; + Ferocious Arctic Blast On Course To Slam U.S.
December 14, 2022 Cap Allon
Record Cold Caribbean
It’s been holding cold across much of The Caribbean of late.
see: https://electroverse.co/record-cold-caribbeans-cold-novs-sa-victoria-coldest-summer-temp-uk-freeze-arctic-us/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows…
DEC 12, 2022
This week a number of traveling short waves brought winter weather from Japan to North America and Europe. Greenland had one of the highest pressures I have seen at 1070 mb according to Environment Canada. This extreme dome of cold air then moved SE into Europe from 9 to 10 December. This cold air was north of a Genoa low that moved from the Med to the Adriatic sea dumping significant precipitation across the Alps and the Balkans with snow at higher elevations. Siberia also cooled in many areas to -40 to -60ºC under a 1050 mb dome of high pressure setting records.
N Hemisphere jet had a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms have the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which in the NW coast of North America, Greenland, and East coast of Siberia again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. Japan continued to build its mountain snow pack with 50 to 150 cm snowfalls.
Major winter changes continue to spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold jet stream brought Arctic air down the Rockies into Mexico. It spun-up a cutoff low over NM that dumped snow there and in NW Texas. A large deep 956 mb N Atlantic low off the coast of Portugal influenced the weather from Virginia to the UK. A very cold 1050 mb dome of cold air from Ukraine to SE China. The Tibetan Plateau was cold and dry. Record cold and snow hit the UK with the Scottish glens falling below -15ºC breaking records back into the 1800’s.
Svalbard remains ice free; however, the Arctic Ocean sea ice is closing in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. Svalbard had 30 to 89 cm of new snow. The Ob River is frozen now.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream now brought Arctic air south into western Europe and western North America cooling with a strong 175 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (137-413 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 30º N on the West Coast as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved south again bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies and warm air in the East. Cold records fell from Washington to Florida. California also had a quiet wildfire season this year. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to 30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house. My 6 inch depth increased to 16 inches and we’ll have another storm this week.
This week cold domes of high pressure dominated and fed Arctic air into North America and Europe. Canada’s polar vortex was displaced as the Greenland 1064 mb high sent cold air into the North Sea and set records in the UK.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -12 Dec.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West coast. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. A Pacific storm moved into California with significant snows in the Cascades, Sierra and Rockies (140-160 cm). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 111-252 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained near record high levels. This week a large high reduced snowfall producing a strong northwesterly flow into ICELAND 1-2 m of snow, and 20-60 cm into Scotland and highlands of the UK. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 remains well above the normal and continues to peak on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open but shrinking.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reaching 182 cm on the ground today, 12 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
Canada continued to pack in new snow 97-240 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-2 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1-4 m (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains diminished this week as the N African Monsoon stopped. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream. Some claim that the models predict this; however, the models fail after 10 days.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 924 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-4 m at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remained closed with sea ice; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to open.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (30-120 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (5-12 Dec) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (107-248), 192-262), (53-91), and (0-12 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 192-439 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Russia Plunges To -61C (-77.8F); Record-Cold And Snow-Chaos Hit The UK, Sending Energy Prices To Unprecedented Highs; Sierra Slammed With Snow, More Threatens Central US; + Australia Busts 20+ Monthly Low Temperature Records
December 12, 2022 Cap Allon
Russia Plunges To -61C (-77.8F)
It’s been historically cold across the majority of transcontinental Russia in recent weeks.
https://electroverse.co/russia-plunges-to-61c-record-cold-uk-sierra-slammed-with-snow-australia-busts-20-monthly-records/
Record-Cold And Snow-Chaos Hit The UK…
The UK has been enduring some truly anomalous early-season chills, with snow blanketing all four home nations.
The Scottish glens plunged below -15C (5F) over the past few mornings, which, in record books dating back to the 1800s, makes it the UK’s lowest temperatures for Dec 11 and 12 on record, besting the 14.7C from 1967 and the 15C from 1981, respectively.
Sierra Slammed With Snow…
Roads remain closed and conditions dangerous as a winter storm that slammed the Sierra continued Sunday, with low temperatures and freeze watches extended into the new week, and another 2-feet of snow expected overnight Sunday alone.
An overnight low of 40F was forecast for San Francisco, with the mercury forecast to plunge lower Tuesday.
A freeze watch is in effect from late Monday through Tuesday morning in the North Bay valleys, encompassing Santa Rosa and the Napa Valley. Overnight it could sink to the mid-20s
Australia’s Coldest Spring In Decades; China’s Record Arctic Outbreak Freezes Livestock, Traps Herders, Kills Road Workers; South Korea Shivers; + Russia/Ukraine Planting Woes
November 30, 2022 Cap Allon
Australia’s Coldest Spring In Decades
Following a colder-than-average winter, Australia has suffered its coldest spring in decades, “a rare feat considering climate change ensures nearly every season is now warmer than normal,” peddles ABC, the nation’s agenda-driving MSM outlet.
Well, that’s two frigid seasons in quick-succession now, ABC — a “rare feat”?
Australia’s daytime highs were especially low, the coldest in 30 years for Melbourne, Adelaide, and Canberra. Brisbane was another to endure an anomalously-nippy spring, after shivering through what was its coldest winter on record.
https://electroverse.co/australias-coldest-spring-in-decades-chinas-arctic-outbreak-kills-livestock-herders-workers-korea-shivers-russia-ukraine-woes/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…
DEC 5, 2022
This week we had 3 deep storms controlling the N Hemisphere weather from the N Pacific east to Siberia. N America had two major storms and highs that triggered tornadoes in the South and brought an Arctic blast to the West with heavy snows from the Cascades and Sierra to Montana. Colorado even had significant snows in the Rockies bringing Summit County back into a winter wonder land. Temperatures fell below normal from Canada to Mexico in the cold sectors.
N Hemisphere jet has a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms have the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which in the NW coast of North America, Greenland, and East coast of Siberia dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows.
Major winter changes continue to spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold jet stream brought Arctic air down the Rockies into Mexico. It spun-up a cutoff low over NM that dumped snow there and in NW Texas. A large deep 956 mb N Atlantic low off the coast of Iceland continued to influence the weather from Labrador to Norway. Last week’s 978 mb low in the Kara Sea N was replaced by a very cold 1063 mb dome of cold air from Finland to Korea. MONGOLIA also had a 1059 mb high that stretched from the Ob River to the Tibetan Plateau. This pattern is typical of mid-winter, not November.
Svalbard remains ice free; however, the Arctic Ocean sea ice is closing in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. Svalbard had 30 to 89 cm of new snow. The Ob River is frozen now. Central Siberia reached -50ºC several days in a row.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can watch these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to Vancouver shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 175 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (144-439 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 35º N on the West Coast as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved south bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies and warm air in the East. Cold records fell from Washington to Florida. California also had a quiet wildfire season this year. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house. My 6 inch depth is quickly disappearing.
This week 2 large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (976 mb) to N Atlantic SE of Greenland (968 MB) covering the N Atlantic from Greenland to Western Europe. These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian. Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .3 to 1.6 m of new snow from the Urals to Kamchatka. A large Arctic high sat north of Canada into Greenland, while a deep 975 mb low was in the Bering Sea and N of Alaska, with another Hudson Bay low (polar vortex like 700mb low ) pumped moist air northward into Greenland’s west coast dumping 1-2 m of new snow.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -20 Nov.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Later this Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>24 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. A similar storm (978 mb) developed this week from a Pacific Jet and short wave that continued to dump significant snows in the from the Sierra to the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 111-252 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained near record high levels. This week a large deep low (970 mb) produced a strong northeasterly flow into the east coast of Greenland then the Canadian low added to the west coast. ICELAND also had widespread snow of 50 to 100 cm. This flow continued to push the SMB curve past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. The SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 was ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 6 new daily record max thru 14 Nov. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -47ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator with a cold dense 1040 mb high pressure this week. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and continues to peak on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (50-250 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (79-166 cm ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 59 to 317 cm (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains diminished this week as the N African Monsoon stopped. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 44º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 948 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-4 m at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remained closed with sea ice; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to open.
AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts early this week. Significant rains (100-279 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (14-20 Nov) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (107-159), (299-404), (44-108), and (0-10 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 135-315 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
Economics of global warming strategies: Dr. Robert Bryce Manhattan InstituteCCA2 Energy
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Siberian Freeze Strengthens (-55.1C/-67.2F); New Zealand’s Frosty Start To Summer; Arctic Air To Hit Europe This Week, Bringing Heavy Snow; + Is Solar Cycle 25 About To Awaken?
December 5, 2022 Cap Allon7 Comments
Australia’s Coldest Spring In Decades; China’s Record Arctic Outbreak Freezes Livestock, Traps Herders, Kills Road Workers; South Korea Shivers; + Russia/Ukraine Planting Woes
Yesterday, Greenland Gained Enough Mass To Bury Central Park Under 9,000 Feet Of Ice; Antarctica’s Coldest Month Of November Since 1987; China’s Big Freeze Intensifies–Beijing’s Lowest Nov Temp Since 1970; + Quiet Sun
Arctic Air To Hit Europe This Week, Bringing Heavy Snow
Brutal Arctic air is readying to invade much of the European continent.
Record lows and historic snows are potentially on the cards as a ‘blocking high’ above Greenland threatens to set up a truly baltic-looking festive season, particularly for Northern, Western and Central nations — starting this week:
Australia’s Coldest Spring In Decades; China’s Record Arctic Outbreak Freezes Livestock, Traps Herders, Kills Road Workers; South Korea Shivers; + Russia/Ukraine Planting Woes
November 30, 2022 Cap Allon
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies…
NOV 28, 2022
Our N Hemisphere jet is controlling many winter storms from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms have the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the cold fronts. These fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which in the NW coast of North America, Greenland, and East coast of Siberia dumps large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows.
Major winter changes continue to spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold jet stream brought Arctic air down the Rockies into Mexico. It spun-up a cutoff low over NM that dumped snow there and in NW Texas. This was balanced by a large N Pacific high (1035 mb) and a deep 966mb low that dumped significant snow from Kamchatka to Japan. Most of the US was under a large 1040 mb high that gave us a beautiful Thanksgiving. A large deep 956 mb N Atlantic low off the coast of Iceland influenced the weather from Labrador to Norway. Last week’s 978 mb low in the Kara Sea N was replaced by a very cold 1063 mb dome of cold air from Finland to Korea. MONGOLIA also had a 1059 mb high that stretched from the Ob River to the Tibetan Plateau. This pattern is typical of mid-winter, not November.
Svalbard remains ice free; however, the Arctic Ocean sea ice is closing in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. The Ob River is frozen now.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can watch these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to Vancouver shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm isobar pressure patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 175 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (144-439 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 35º N on the West Coast as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved south bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies and warm air in the East. Cold records fell from Washington to Florida. California also had a quiet wildfire season this year. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to 45ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house. My 6 inch depth is quickly disappeared, followed by a 2 inch snow on 27 Nov - More coming tonight.
This week, 2 large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (977 mb) to N Atlantic SE of Greenland (983 MB) covering the N Atlantic from Greenland to Western Europe. These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian. Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .3 to 1.6 m of new snow from the Urals to Kamchatka.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -28 Nov.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Later this Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>24 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. A similar storm (978 mb) developed this week from a Pacific Jet and short wave that continued to dump significant snows in the from the Sierra to the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022. Canada is completely snow covered today. A strong 990 mb low moved across the Prairie Provinces on 28 Nov with a strong 1048 mb high moving down from Alaska. This will bring cold Arctic air into the US. The Tropical Tidbits GSM forecast shows a series of storms moving around the N Hemisphere with strong cold anomalies preceded by the warm sector into mid-December.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ. Heavy rains moved north from Sydney to Cairns.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 226-317 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained near record high levels. This week a large deep low (970 mb) produced a strong northeasterly flow into the east coast of Greenland. ICELAND also had heavy snows with 56 to 183 cm. This flow continued to push the SMB curve past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to near record increases. The SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 was ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 6 new daily record max thru 14 Nov. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -47ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator with a cold dense 1040 mb high pressure this week. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and continues to peak on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open. They are warmed by the North Atlantic Drift. Note: if the Beaufort Gyre releases cold dense Arctic Ocean water the Drift will be cut and cold will hit Europe.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe is changing from the mild conditions to much colder. Eastern Europe and Scandinavia had snow (1-2 m) and below normal temperatures. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of 50 to 70 cm. Kredarica now is completely white as Triglav, Slovenia’s highest mountain looks more like winter. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland again this week.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (104-308 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (50 to 200 cm ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 0.5 to 2.3 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains dropped to 30-60 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. A 948 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 1.5 to 3 m at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remained closed with sea ice; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula was open.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-500 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (14-20 Nov) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows 151-307), (218-404), (55-79), and (0-36 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 93-315 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains: 100-300mm.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
https://hydrogen-central.com/
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 980 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week (41 to 152 cm.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS.
“140 Frosts Registered In Vale Do Caminhos, Brazil This Year–A New Record; “Off The Scale” Greenland Blocking Suggests Arctic Freeze For Europe/Eastern North America; + Polar Bear Numbers At Highest Level In Six Decades
November 28, 2022 Cap Allon
140 Frosts Registered This Year In Vale Do Caminhos, Brazil–A New Record
Unseasonable frosts returned to parts of Brazil on Friday, November 25, according to the country’s INMET network.
https://electroverse.co/140-frosts-registered-in-vale-do-caminhos-off-the-scale-greenland-blocking-freeze-for-europe-america-polar-bear-numbers-at-highest-ever/
Highest Northern Hemisphere Snow Extent In Books Dating Back To 1967; Eastern Aussies Warned To Brace For Cold, Wet Summer; + Rime Ice In China
November 25, 2022 Cap Allon
Highest Northern Hemisphere Snow Extent In Books Dating Back To 1967
The Northern Hemisphere’s 2022-2023 snow season is off to an impressive start.
The United States registered its snowiest November 16 ever last week–before the historic lake-effect dumpings, and the snow cover in Eurasia is truly extraordinary with practically every square inch of Russia currently blanketed.
South America Snow Extent At All-Time Highs — A Forerunner For The Coming Northern Hemisphere Winter
July 20, 2022 Cap Allon
While the media focuses on a two-day heatwave in Europe and a rather run-of-the-mill wildfire season –heat that was pulled anomalously far north by a low solar activity-induced ‘meridional‘ jet stream flow– unbeknownst to them, or at least unreported by them, is the fact that the entire Southern Hemisphere has been holding COLDER than the 1979-2000 average for some time now–according to the data provided by the Climate Change Institute at the University of Maine. “
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves - storms, 1060 mb Siberian High…
NOV 20, 2022
Major winter changes spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold record breaking Arctic high (1058 mb) stretched from Alaska to N Mexico under a very cold northerly jet steam’s meandering wave. This was balanced by a large N Pacific low and a deep 958 mb N Atlantic low off the coast of Iceland and a 978 mb low in the Kara Sea N of Siberia. This pattern is typical of mid-winter. The Alaskan 300 mb jet had a strong omega block that signifies very slow traveling waves in the N Hemisphere. This causes cold areas to get colder and on the other side of troughs, warm areas to stay warm.
A two day historic Lake Effect storm hit the lee side of the Great Lakes from Michigan to New York dumping 3 to 6 ft+ (1.8 m) and setting a 24 hour record snowfall in NY with over 50 inches (1.3 m). The Buffalo area east of Lake Erie was hit hard. These storms occur every year when the lakes are open and ice free. This sets up a strong unstable thermodynamic condition that enables deep convective clouds even thunderstorms - thunder snow squalls. A cold SW flow across Lake Erie provides a maximum moisture flux into the Buffalo area resulting in the deep snowfalls. This week a deep broad trough stretched from the Yukon to Texas and across the East. It pulled Arctic air across the Great Lakes in a long fetch directly into Buffalo. Dr. Helmut Weickmann’s NOAA Atmospheric Physics and Chemistry Lab studied these storms in 1967 for several seasons when I was a student trainee. They made extensive snow measurements, radar analyses, and cloud physics aircraft measurements to better understand and predict these storms.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can watch these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to Vancouver shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 175 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (144-439 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 35º N on the West Coast as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved south bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies and warm air in the East. Cold records fell from Washington to Florida. California also had a quiet wildfire season this year. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house. My 6 inch depth is quickly disappearing.
This week 2 large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (976 mb) to N Atlantic SE of Greenland (968 MB) covering the N Atlantic from Greenland to Western Europe. These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian. Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .3 to 1.6 m of new snow from the Urals to Kamchatka.
Hurricane Nicole (CAT 1) with peak gusts to 86 mph hit Viro Beach FL on 10 Nov. Its storm surge extended to Cape Canaveral with heavy rains up the East coast. Much severe beach erosion and damage to homes occurred on the east coast of Florida. Hurricane season extends to the end of November. The Sea Surface Temperature SST anomaly east of Florida was -0.5 to +1ºC from the normal.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -20 Nov.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Later this Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>24 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. A similar storm (978 mb) developed this week from a Pacific Jet and short wave that continued to dump significant snows in the from the Sierra to the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 200-572 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained near record high levels. This week a large deep low (970 mb) produced a strong northeasterly flow into the east coast of Greenland. ICELAND also had heavy snow with 358 cm. This flow continued to push the SMB curve past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. The SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 was ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 6 new daily record max thru 14 Nov. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -47ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator with a cold dense 1040 mb high pressure this week. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and continues to peak on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe remained relatively mild with a couple cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. On 11 Nov the ECMWF model had heavy new snow on the Alps from the Maritimes to Graz. Eastern Europe and Scandinavia had snow (1-2 m) and below normal temperatures. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (50-250 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (68-292 cm ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1 to 4 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains dropped to 30-60 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. A 948 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-4 m at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-279 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (14-20 Nov) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (249-430), (211-316), (8-37), and (8-107 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 105 to 312 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS.
State Of Victoria Suffers Coldest-Ever November Temperature As Polar Outbreak Sweeps Australia; Cold Records Begin Tumbling Across U.S.; + Below-Average Octobers For Caribbean Islands
November 18, 2022 Cap Allon
Cold Records Begin Tumbling Across U.S.
The freeze and blizzards are intensifying across the United States.
https://electroverse.co/victoria-coldest-nov-temp-cold-records-u-s-below-cool-caribbean/
Below-Average Octobers For Caribbean Islands
It was an anomalously-cool October 2022 across the Caribbean.
California’s Quiet Wildfire Season; Snowfall Records Fall Across US; Monthly Low Temp Benchmarks Tumble Down Under As Rare Spring Flakes Hit Tasmania; Villages Cut Off As Heavy Snow Hits Kashmir; + Europe’s Food Prices Soar
November 16, 2022 Cap Allon
California’s Quiet Wildfire Season
California is enjoying its quietest wildfires in years, attributable, in part, to summer rain and cooler weather — natural cycles.
https://electroverse.co/californias-quiet-wildfire-season-snowy-us-low-temps-snow-australia-villages-cut-off-in-kashmir-europe-food-prices/
Yesterday Was America’s Snowiest Nov 16 On Record; “Extraordinary” And “Paralyzing” Lake Effect Snow Set To Pound The Northeast; Energy Crisis Update; + Siberia Plunges To -47.8C (-54F)
November 17, 2022 Cap Allon
https://electroverse.co/americas-snowiest-nov-16-on-record-extraordinary-snow-for-ne-energy-crisis-siberia-54f/
“Extraordinary” And “Paralyzing” Lake Effect Snow Set To Pound The Northeast
Yet more snow is on course to bury portions of the North American continent starting today, Thursday.
Western New York, for example, which gets more snow than almost any other corner of the U.S., is about to get pummeled by a winter storm “that is extraordinary — even by the region’s own standards,” reports bloomberg.com.
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High…
NOV 13, 2022
This week of the COP27 meetings in Egypt, we had a very cold dome (1051 mb) of cold air slide down east of the Rockies from Alaska into the US. It set 33 new cold records in Alberta, and many more across Canada and the US.
Winter storms continue to dominate many areas of both hemispheres after the autumnal equinox. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can watch these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to Vancouver shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating. TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 175 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (144-439 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 35º on the West Coast as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved south bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies and warm air in the East.
This week 2 large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (976 mb) to N Atlantic SE of Greenland (968 MB) covering the N Atlantic from Greenland to Western Europe. These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .3 to 1.6 m of new snow from the Urals to Kamchatka.
Hurricane Nicole (CAT 1) with peak gusts to 86 mph hit Viro Beach FL on 10 Nov. Its storm surge extended to Cape Canaveral with heavy rains up the East coast. Much severe beach erosion and damage to homes occurred on the east coast of Florida. Hurricane season extends to the end of November. The Sea Surface Temperature SST anomaly east of Florida was -0.5 to +1ºC from the normal.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -6 Nov.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Later this Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>24 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. A similar storm (978 mb) developed this week from a Pacific Jet and short wave that continued to dump significant snows in the from the Sierra to the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 200-546 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained near record high levels. This week a large deep low (970 mb) produced a strong northeasterly flow into the east coast of Greenland. ICELAND also had heavy snow with 358 cm. This flow continued to push the SMB curve past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. The SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 was ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 6 new daily record max thru 14 Nov. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -47ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator with a cold dense 1040 mb high pressure this week. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and continues to peak on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe remained relatively mild with a couple cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. On 11 Nov the ECMWF model had heavy new snow on the Alps from the Maritimes to Graz. Eastern Europe and Scandinavia had snow (1-2 m) and below normal temperatures.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (50-250 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California. Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (68-292 cm ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1 to 4 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains dropped to 30-60 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. A 948 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-4 m at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-279 mm) accompanied these fronts.
This week (1-6 Nov) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (332-451), (70-231), (50-81), and (0-29 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 200 to 600 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS.
14 NOV 2022:
Century-Old Low Temperature Records Continue To Tumble Across Canada; Snowfall Benchmarks Busted In Nevada (And Elsewhere); + Digitized Proles
November 11, 2022 Cap Allon12 Comments
If the coming 8-or-so days seem cold, check out what’s in store for the U.S. *next weekend*… -30F, anyone?
https://electroverse.co/benchmarks-tumble-across-canada-snow-in-nevada-and-elsewhere-digitized-proles/
Vancouver Sees Earliest Snowfall In 31 Years; Utah’s Snowpack As Much As 1417% Above Normal; + France’s Electricity Prices Surge As More Nuclear Plants Unexpectedly Go Offline
November 9, 2022 Cap Allon32 Comments
Yesterday, 33 Low Temperature Records Fell In Alberta Alone; Mammoth Mountain, CA Receives 5-Feet During One Of The Biggest November Snowstorms On Record; + Much More To Come
November 10, 2022 Cap Allon
Calgary was one of 33 Alberta communities to see record-breaking daytime lows on Wednesday.
Of the record-busting communities, the coldest came out as Sundre — the small, central Albertan town plunged to a jaw-dropping -32C (-25.6F) yesterday, shaving more than 10C (17.8F) off of its previous record low of -22.1C (-7.8F).
The Top Climate Scientist who Exposed NOAA as Frauds
November 4, 2022 Cap Allon
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) ‘correct’ data they don’t like, and ‘fail to archive the evidence’ — they are frauds in the eyes of many
https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-who-exposed-noaa/
No Scientific Consensus On A Warming Arctic And Extreme Weather
November 3, 2022 Cap Allon
‘The impact of global warming on individual weather patterns is at the very limit of science’ — this is the mainstream position.
https://electroverse.co/no-scientific-consensus-on-a-warming-arctic-extreme-weather/
“The next 30 years will be Cold,” Says Climate Scientist Dr Willie Soon
November 2, 2022 Cap Allon
Article originally posted over at electroverse.net on July 28, 2021.
Alex Newman, of the New American, interviewed Dr. Willie Soon after his most recent Camp Constitution talk.
https://electroverse.co/next-30-years-will-be-cold/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies…
NOV 6, 2022
Winter storms are clearly dominating many areas of both hemispheres after the autumnal equinox. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can watch these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to Vancouver shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating. TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 170 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (50 to 170 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet remained north of 45º with short waves dipping south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved a bit south bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies.
This week four large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (966 mb) to Hudson Bay (982 mb), N Atlantic SE of Greenland (934 MB), off the UK coast (986 mb) and the Finland-Russia (976 mb). These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .5 to 1.3 m of new snow From the Urals to Kamchatka. The 934 mb low on 4 November is one of the most intense storms I have seen in the N Atlantic. It had 9 to 12 m waves over a large area - much stronger than Hurricane Ian with 40 to 55 kt winds. This storm will produce 1 to 3 m of new snow along Greenland’s SE coast according to the ECMWF’s 10-day forecast. The Danish Arctic Research web site showed 2-6 GT daily Snow Mass Balances observed during this period.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -6 Nov.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Later this Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>18 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. A similar storm (978 mb) developed this week from a Pacific Jet and short wave that continued to dump significant snows in the from the Sierra to the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 110-308 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 6 new daily record max thru 6 Nov. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -41ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator with a cold dense 1040 mb high pressure this week. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and has peaked on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open.
Western Europe remained relatively mild with a couple cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Eastern Europe and Scandanavia had snow and below normal temperatures.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (50-250 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (75-163 cm ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1 to 2 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia have diminished as the monsoon moved south and has dissipated. I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 80 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. A 950 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-3 m at this late date. This is the lowest pressure I have seen in the ECMWF model runs. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-279mm) accompanied these fronts.
This week (1-6 Nov) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (258-418), (70-152), (60-100), and (0-5 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 200 to 600 mm of rain. In contrast another large deep 987 mb low over the Gulf of Alaska and a strong AR pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from Mt Logan to the coast range.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS.
6 NOV 2022:
The Top Climate Scientist who Exposed NOAA as Frauds
November 4, 2022 Cap Allon
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) ‘correct’ data they don’t like, and ‘fail to archive the evidence’ — they are frauds in the eyes of many
https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-who-exposed-noaa/
No Scientific Consensus On A Warming Arctic And Extreme Weather
November 3, 2022 Cap Allon
‘The impact of global warming on individual weather patterns is at the very limit of science’ — this is the mainstream position.
https://electroverse.co/no-scientific-consensus-on-a-warming-arctic-extreme-weather/
“The next 30 years will be Cold,” Says Climate Scientist Dr Willie Soon
November 2, 2022 Cap Allon
Article originally posted over at electroverse.net on July 28, 2021.
Alex Newman, of the New American, interviewed Dr. Willie Soon after his most recent Camp Constitution talk.
https://electroverse.co/next-30-years-will-be-cold/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November…
OCT 31, 2022
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 180 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (2-4 m) along the NW coast. Those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet remained north of 45º with short waves dipping south bringing cold air.
Again this week four large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (966 mb) to Hudson Bay (982 mb), N Atlantic off the UK coast (986 mb) and the Finland-Russia (976 mb). These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .5 to 1.3 m of new snow From the Urals to Kamchatka. NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18-31 Oct.
A cold Canadian high pushed subfreezing temperatures from the Mid-West to the East Coast breaking numerous cold temperature records early this week. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Michigan had over a foot of new snow on the upper peninsula and Lake Effect snows hit Ohio and NY. Later this week a Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>18 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. This storm evolved from a Pacific Jet and short wave that dumped the first significant snows in the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north.…These storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 114-383 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 3 new daily record max thru October 31. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -41ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and has peaked on the record observed side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open.
Canada’s Baffin Island and northeast continued to pack in new snow (60-125 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (982 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (2-3 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 3 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia have diminished as the monsoon moved south and has dissipated. I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 80 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 60-140 cm snows closed key roads.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 940 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. A 966 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-3 m at this late date. This is the lowest pressure I have seen in the ECMWF model runs. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-279mm) accompanied these fronts.
This week (24-31 Oct) the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (233-458), (73-133), (0-5 cm) and 20-53 cm respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 200 to 6 mm of rain. In contrast another large deep 970 mb low over the Gulf of Alaska pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (195-558 cm), the Brooks Range (21-57 cm) and Coast range above Juneau (220-333 cm). On 23 Oct the heavy snow extended further south to the Vancouver coastal ranges (100 to 250 cm) and into the Cascades (114-226 cm).
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
31 Oct 2022:
Low Temp Record Set In Half Moon Bay, CA; Triple-Dip La Niña Winter Inbound (Like 1976?); + Texas Grid Found “Not Ready” For Winter, Doomed To Repeat Deadly 2021 Blackouts…
October 28, 2022 Cap Allon
Low Temp Record Set In Half Moon Bay, CA
Following the hundreds of low temperature records felled across the U.S. over the past week-or-so, the West is still at it. Records have fallen in Nevada over the past 24-hours, and also in California.
Feet Of October Snow Slam The Rockies–Much More On The Way; + Record-Breaking Totals Hit Canada–Including Moose Jaw And Calgary…
October 25, 2022 Cap Allon
Feet Of October Snow Slam The Rockies–Much More On The Way
The Rockies are off to a great start to the season after a weekend storm delivered feet of snow to the range.
Alta, Utah officially received 25 inches in the recent storm, according to the National Weather Service (NWS), which took the area above its October monthly average of 24.4 inches with a week left to run — and with plenty more snow on the way, too.
23 Experts in the fields of Solar Physics and Climate Science Contradict the IPCC — the Science is *NOT* Settled
October 17, 2022 Cap Allon36 Comments
Dr. Connolly, lead author: “The IPCC have seriously hampered scientific progress into genuinely understanding the causes of recent and future climate change. I am particularly disturbed by their inability to satisfactorily explain the rural temperature trends.”
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October…
OCT 24, 2022
Winter is quickly coming to many areas. This week four large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (971mb) to Hudson Bay (977mb), N Atlantic off the Portuguese coast (980 mb) and the Kara Sea. These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-3 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (125 to 307 mm). The Kara Sea low (977mb) extended from Svalbard to Taymar Peninsula dumping 20 to 170 cm of snow across Russia. NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line on 18, 19, 20, 21,22,23,24 Oct.
A cold Canadian high pushed subfreezing temperatures into the Mid-West and south breaking numerous cold temperature records early this week. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Michigan had over a foot of new snow on the upper peninsula and Lake Effect snows hit Ohio and NY. Later this week a Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>18 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND pulling cold Canadian air southward. This storm evolved from a Pacific Jet and short wave that dumped the first significant snows in the Rockies.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north.…
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 124-216 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -39ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and has peaked on the record observed side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis.
Canada’s Baffin Island and northeast continued to pack in new snow (60-107 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (982 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (3-5 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 3 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia have diminished as the monsoon moved south and is dissipating. I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 120 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 2 ft snows closed key roads.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 903 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. This 903 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 50 to 150 cm of new snow. This is the lowest pressure I have seen in the ECMWF model runs. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-279mm) accompanied these fronts.
This week (18-24 Oct) the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (233-458), (73-133), (0-5 cm) and 20-53 cm respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 200 to 500 mm of rain. In contrast another large deep 970 mb low over the Gulf of Alaska pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (195-558 cm), the Brooks Range (21-57 cm) and Anchorage Mtns (262-321 cm). On 23 Oct the heavy snow extended further south to the Vancouver coastal ranges (100 to 250 cm).
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts a YouTube lecture (click and go):
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
24 Oct 2022:
Florida Drops Below Freezing–Tallahassee, And Others, Log Earliest Freezes On Record; -31.5C (-24.7F) In Canada; Feet Of Early-Season Snow Hit Northern India; + Climate Flimflam
October 21, 2022 Cap Allon
Florida Drops Below Freezing, Tallahassee, And Others, Log Earliest Freezes On Record
Jarring with the mainstream narrative, hundreds of low temperature records have fallen across the Eastern U.S. this week.
Record October Ice Gains On Greenland; Low Solar Activity Persists; + Unprecedented Gamma-Ray Burst “Made Currents Flow In The Earth”
October 18, 2022 Cap Allon
Record October Ice Gains On Greenland
Continuing the trend reversal that began in 2013, Greenland’s ice sheet has started the 2022-2023 season in comparatively impressive fashion.
Yesterday, the island logged Surface Mass Balance (SMB) gains never before witnessed during the month of October in data extending back to 1981.
A Novel Look at Global Hurricane Data Reveals No Trend
October 10, 2022 Cap Allon
Experienced data analyst, 10-year Wall Street veteran, and self-proclaimed “Mrs. Smarty Pants” Zoe Phin of phzoe.com takes a look at the alarmists’ claim that “increasing CO2 emissions are leading to more frequent and intense hurricanes”.
Phin has already tackled Atlantic hurricanes (linked here), finding no trend.
Spring Chills Persist In South America; Russia Dips Below -30C (-24F); “Great Snow” Brought Record Winter Spending To New Zealand Resorts; + Australia Forecast Fierce November Cold
October 24, 2022 Cap Allon
Spring Chills Persist In South America
The string of spring chills is persisting across the South American continent.
The season is feeling more like a continuation of winter for many nations, with, most recently, frosts logged in the Argentine province of Buenos Aires, most notably at the beach resort town of Mar de Plata with its low of -2.4C (27.7F).
Sub-zeros (C) were also suffered in Las Armas (-1.6C/29.1F), Rauch (-1.4C/29.5F), Tandil (-1C/30.2F), and Azul (-0.4C/31.3F) yesterday, Oct 23, according to @ofimet on Twitter:
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn
OCT 17, 2022
As the sun marches south and the N polar region cools, the temperature gradient increases between the Arctic and the Equator, thus enhancing the energy in the jet stream and producing more intense extratropical cyclones (lows) and anticyclones (highs). This week we had some very interesting deep lows from the Gulf of Alaska 989mb, NW Territory of Canada 985 mb (extending from Ellesmere Island - 80ºN to Georgia 34ºN), three lows from SW of Iceland to NW of Norway and SE of Svalbard 981, 989, 987 mb respectively. The large Canadian low warmed eastern Canada to 12ºC above normal, while the Icelandic lows pumped heavy snow (169 cm) into Iceland and Norway (135cm). High Pressures dominated from the Pacific NW to Texas, Azores to Ukraine, and central Russia bringing relatively cool dry air. CENTRAL US IS HAVING HARD FREEZE WARNINGS. Note: Svalbard remains surrounded by open ocean, while the Ob River is now frozen. ON 15 Oct two large Highs developed over the NW Territory 1040 mb and a very intense one over Greenland 1055 mb. Normally we don’t see such large highs until mid winter. Floods and droughts are developing under the meandering jet and omega block that slows short waves from traveling quickly and prolongs the flood and drought conditions. The Mississippi River is at record low flows in places. Even Africa and SE Asia have devastation floods.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (940 to 918 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north.…
This week (11-17 Oct) the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (233-330), (73-133), (1-10cm) and 20-53 cm respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. In contrast another large deep 989 mb low over the Gulf of Alaska pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (195-558 cm), the Brooks Range (21-57 cm) and Anchorage Mtns (262-321 cm).
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 160-216 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -37ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator. This cooling produced very dense air and the 1066 mb high.
Canada’s Baffin Island and northeast continued to pack in new snow (60-107 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (982 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side. This low moved into the Labrador Straight as the Icelandic low deepened and produced snow across Iceland and Norway. Iceland had 1.5 m on the north coastal mountains.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (3-5 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 3 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia have diminished as the monsoon moved south and is dissipating. I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 90 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August and now September 47-106 cm. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow in August. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year with the snowy range still at 27 cm depth. This week’s Bite low (994 mb) pushed an Antarctic cold front across Australia and produced significant widespread rains (140-217 mm). New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains and the Southern Alps still have 200 to >500 cm of snow on the ground. Mt Cook and the Tasmanian Glaciers are growing a bit.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts a YouTube lecture (click and go):
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
17 Oct 2022:
“Unusually Cold” Weather To Blast Eastern U.S. Next Week, Winter Predictions Call For “A Cold One”; + Tom Harris: “There Is No Climate Crisis”
October 14, 2022 Cap Allon
Cold Paraguay; Record Lows Logged At Bismark And Parkersburg; Delhi Shivers; + “One-In-50-Year” Frost Decimates NZ Blueberry Crop
October 13, 2022 Cap Allon
Arctic Outbreak To Hit North America; Record Cold On Macquarie Island; + Plan To Tax Cow Burps Enrages New Zealand Farmers
October 12, 2022 Cap Allon
Late-Season Antarctic Outbreak Slams South America; Chilly Bermuda; Wheat Spikes; + China, Japan, And The Koreas Swing From Heat To Record-Smashing Cold And Snow
October 11, 2022 Cap Allon
23 Experts in the fields of Solar Physics and Climate Science Contradict the IPCC — the Science is *NOT* Settled
October 17, 2022 Cap Allon
A diverse expert panel of global scientists finds blaming climate change mostly on greenhouse gas emissions was premature.
Their findings contradict the IPCC’s conclusion, which the study shows, is grounded in narrow and incomplete data about the Sun’s total solar irradiance (TSI).
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricane Ian…
OCT 10, 2022
TWO major extratropical cyclones dominated high latitudes - one covering the Arctic Ocean, the other in the N Atlantic that moved from south of Iceland to the Barents Sea and Svalbard. The jet stream continued to intensify in the N hemisphere with a number of traveling short waves that kept northern areas from Alaska to Norway in new snow storms. The Azores High extended into central Europe keeping Slovenia quite nice.
Ian left immense destruction in SW Florida from an 18 ft storm surge, >500mm rains and 150 mph winds over Cape Coral, where it made landfall as a CAT 4. Florida is working to recover quickly in some spots others will take years.
The Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows. In contrast another large deep 950 mb low over the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (195-419 cm) and the Brooks Range (27-71 cm) Anchorage Mtns (243-375 cm) and on the north side it pumped moisture into Siberia (150 cm) with snow now covering 1/3 of Russia. This region is looking like winter.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 50 to 190 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling (-20 to -37ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator.
Canada’s Baffin Island and northeast continued to pack in new snow (64-158 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (989 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side. This low moved into the Labrador Straight as the Icelandic low deepened and produced snow across Iceland and Norway. Iceland had 1.5 m on the north coastal mountains.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (2-4 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 4 meters. Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 500 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 90 - 150 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes.
Spring down under continued to have incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (970 to 928 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier, and the Peninsula (100-300cm) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (150-350cm), and S Georgia Island (45-140cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (20-35) cm). Several large, classic, deep storms pumped Southern Ocean moisture into the Antarctic. Note Hurricane Ian’s lowest center pressure was ~952 mb.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August and now September 47-106 cm. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow in August. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year with the snowy range still at 90 cm depth. New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains and the Southern Alps still have 200 to >500 cm on the ground.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Historic Low Temperature Records Fall In New Zealand During “Power Shortage Warning”; Cold Central Europe; Bird Flu Outbreak Labelled “Unprecedented” and “Scary”; They’re Jabbing Cows With mRNA; + Scheduled Internet Blackout Inbound…
October 7, 2022 Cap Allon15 Comments
Very Cold September For The Baltic Nations; Bill Gates Concession?; Christchurch Sees First October Snow In 53 Years; Australia Is Next; + U.S. Forecast First Arctic Outbreak Of The Season
October 6, 2022 Cap Allon11 Comments
Northern Hemisphere Snow Season Off To A Near-Record Start; Cold September Across Scandinavia; October Snow Hits NZ; Antarctic Air Approaches Australia; Record Cold NYC; + 30% Chance Of An X-Flare
October 5, 2022 Cap Allon16 Comments
“Big Dangerous Sunspot”; “A Glitch In The Matrix”; Cold Sept For Sweden; “Hypothermia Risk” In New Zealand; + Global Temp Drops
October 4, 2022 Cap Allon1 Comment
Christchurch, NZ –for example– could see its first October snow in 50 years.
Cold September For Europe; Hurricane Activity Trending Down; + UN Says They “Own The Science” On Climate Change…
October 3, 2022 Cap Allon20 Comments
…and opposing viewpoints have now been pushed down in search results through their partnership with Google.
“Icelandic Blast” To Grip Europe, As It Stares Down “Cold, Dark Winter”; Early-Season Snow Clips Minnesota, Warnings Issued North Of The Border; + Greenland’s Record Start To A Season
September 29, 2022 Cap Allon
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricane Ian…
OCT 1, 2022
This week’s satellite imagery clearly showed the importance of cyclonic circulations around deep extratropical cyclones (lows) that dominated the Southern and Northern Hemisphere and the intense small powerful tropical cyclones like Hurricane Ian and Typhoon Roke.
Ian has been billed as the most deadly hurricane to hit Florida causing immense destruction in SW Florida from an 18 ft storm surge, >500mm rains and 150 mph winds over Cape Coral, where it made landfall as a CAT 4. Interestingly, the subtropical Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperature anomalies (DSST) were near normal to 0.5ºC above the last 30-year mean SST. Note that the most deadly hurricane in American history was the Galveston Storm in 1900, where over 6,000 to 12,000 fatalities occurred. This death rate was largely unique to Galveston’s orientation and the Bay plus lack of early warnings and evacuations.
A huge (934 mb) low north of the Thwaites Glacier again pumped large amounts of snow 1-6 m onto the glacier and Antarctic Peninsula. After all, they tell me it is spring down under. The Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ had snows. In contrast another large deep 957 mb low over the Bering sea pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (195-404 cm) and the Brooks Range (27-71 cm) Anchorage Mtns (243-375 cm) and on the north side it pumped moisture into Siberia (150 cm). This region is looking like winter.
T.S. Fiona became a major hurricane after hitting Puerto Rico with over 20 inches of rain and knocking out all power before recurving into the Atlantic as a cat 4 hurricane heading to Nova Scotia last week. This became another deep storm over Iceland (960 mb) that reached from Greenland to Norway on 1 Oct.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 218-414 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling (-20 to -27ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator.
Canada’s Baffin Island continued to pack in new snow (64-158 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (996 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-4 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 3 meters. Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Europe had a coupe deep lows passing from the UK to Poland that produced flooding rains and some snow in the Alps. Slovenia had wide-spread flooding, cool temperatures, and >60 cm of new snow on Triglav. The Dalmatian Coast had reasonably nice weather for our sailing-Bike trip from Split to Dubrovnik. We missed several major convective storms and had one heavy night thunderstorm.
Colorado and Wyoming had significant precipitation and snow in their 10-day forecasts on 1 Oct 2022. Between the Canadian cold blast and a strong monsoon-like moisture flow from Mexico the Rockies should have some relief from the extreme SW drought.
Satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds, smoke, and precipitation including the explosive development of Hurricane Ian.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or sol