Global Extreme Weather Log
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 11 August 2020
- Published on 11 August 2020
WEEKLY GLOBAL EXTREMES
(Article Mnager-news and events)
This page provides a weekly log of unique weather events and information that summarizes some key events of note. Most of the extreme notes are from Electroverse Extreme Weather daily updates.
For clips of these events see my Global Weather Album: Global Weather 2020-2021.
Global Weather Album 2020-2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bLyGGEv6oK6f7q9N8
Global Weather Album Spring 2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
Global Weather Album Fall-Winter 2021-22: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Global Weather Album Winter 2022-23: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Global Weather Album Summer 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/rBprNqGzNmHBodKy8
Global Weather Album Fall - Winter 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Global Weather Album Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes. Note: I do not focus on heat as the MSM covers that aspect of our climate variability..
10 Feb 2025
Eastern US gets a taste of winter with snow and ice in the NE. This storm was a major freezing rain event from Illinois and Missouri to Virginia and NY. The NW from N Calif to Montana has a strong AR with heavy snow. This week a series of cold arctic blasts are moving south from Canada to the Gulf. These will bring below normal (-6 to -16ºC) anomalies from the NW to the Gulf and East. Heavy rain and severe weather may develop along the cold fronts.
Europe has a rare 1051 mb high over Norway that extended east to just east of the Ob River at 1055mb. From Scandinavia to the Urals temperatures were above normal at -1 to -10ºC in contrast to the east at -20 to -50ºC. Hydrodynamics dictate that there is a balance in the extremes, gravity moves cold dense air down hill. Finland set a record at -48ºC. The UK continued wide spread snow and cold conditions. Spain had significant snows in its mountains. Morocco and Algeria also had 20-50 cm of snow in their forecasts.
Asia continues to get cold and heavy snow in Japan under a 1051 mb High centered in SE China. The Himalayas also saw a significant increase in snow with 183 to 296 cm as the area from the Hindukusch to north of Miramar had heavy snows. One WMO station in the Tibetan plateau has been consistently reporting -50 to -70ºC. Japan continued to set more records this week: “Arai Resort in Niigata now stands at 610 cm (20+ feet), according to snowjapan.com — a historic feat for early-Feb.” “South Korea is in the grip of an intense cold wave with temperatures plunging below -10C (14F) across most inland regions.
Arctic air from the northwest has driven temperatures some 12C below average, with morning lows reading below -10C (14F) for many and daytime highs struggling to climb above freezing in some spots.” “India’s central state of Madhya Pradesh has been hit by an unexpected cold wave, with nighttime temperatures plunging sharply across the state.”
The coldest temperatures of the summer season have been recorded on Antarctica. On Feb 5 at Concordia, a low of -48.5C (-55.3F) was posted. On Feb 6, Vostok came in at -47.6C (-53.7F), with AGO-4 AWS reporting -44.1C (-47.4F). SGI is steadily increasing its snow pack with 90 to 167 cm predicted. The Antarctic mountains also continue to increase new snowfalls from 168 to 304 cm as deep storms continue to circle the continent. The Andes continued to have heavy snows from the 6700 m mountains in Peru and Bolivia (80-120 cm) to the high Andes of the south with 3 to 6 m of new snow predicted. South Georgia Island’s snows began to increase with 90-167 cm. Temperatures in the Antarctic began to decrease as the sun moved north. Vostok hit -45ºC this week.
Australia and South America continue to enjoy summer between Antarctic fronts that trigger deep thunderstorms and heavy rains.
The above article summarizes the latest additions to the Global Extreme Weather Log’s web site that has the compete weekly logs:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
New Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/27/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 31 January reversed with cooling from Eqiador to180º W. See the albums.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 10 February 2025
Global Temperatures Cool Significantly In January; Record Snows Persist In Japan; No Sea-Level Rise Since 1800s; Blizzards On Sakhalin; + Finland Nears -40C (-40F)
February 5, 2025 Cap Allon
Global Temperatures Cool Significantly In January
The latest data point from the UAH shows a temperature anomaly of 0.46C, a noticeable drop from the recent peaks.
The dip suggests a larger cooling trend could be playing out, one tied to the waning of El Niño, the passing of Solar Maximum, and the dissipating aftereffects of the Hunga-Tonga submarine eruption.
This is a significant drop. Readings are now approximately 0.5C off the April 2024 peak — that’s half a degree of global cooling in 10 months.
Global temperatures were warmer back in the late-1990s.
And given the aforementioned wanings, particularly the returning of Solar Minimum, I would expect more to come in the months and years ahead.
Every region of the planet cooled from December. The biggest drop was seen in the ‘USA48’ which went from +1.42C above the multidecadal mean in December 2024 to -1.02C below it in January 2025. That’s some swing. More data can be found here.
What Does The UAH Measure?
Utilizing the Advanced Microwave Sounding Units (AMSUs) on NOAA and NASA satellites, UAH measures the temperature of the global lower atmosphere, and it does it with remarkable precision. These satellites, orbiting Earth from pole to pole, collect data that is processed to detect subtle changes in atmospheric temperature over time.
The UAH Satellite-Based Temperature of the Global Lower Atmosphere (chart above), reflects temperature anomalies compared to the 1991-2020 average, extending back to when satellite measurements first began back in 1979.
UAH’s satellite instruments focus on microwave emissions from oxygen molecules in the atmosphere, which vary with temperature. This allows us to derive temperature readings from different atmospheric layers, especially the lower troposphere—the region closest to Earth’s surface, where most weather events occur.
Continuous monitoring through UAH and other datasets will be vital in determining whether this recent cooling represents a sustained climatic shift, as I contend it could. And while it might be tempting to rub this inconvenient truth in global warming proponents faces, remember global cooling isn’t something to celebrate—cold kills, the data are very clear on that…
Record Snows Persist In Japan
Japan is witnessing record-setting snowfall this season.
In Hokkaido, regions like Obihiro and Kushiro have experienced severe snows, with accumulations reaching 129 cm (4.2 ft) in Obihiro. This extends the record set Tuesday and also makes for the highest totals ever recorded, breaking the old 1972 record.
120 cm (47.2 inches) fell in just 12 hours here — the highest 12-hour snow total ever recorded in Japan.
Two locales have also beaten the previous 3-hour national snowfall record (the 48 cm (18.9 inches) set at Otoineppu in 2013) — these being Obihiro with 59 cm (23.2 inches) in 3 hours on Tuesday morning, and also Memuro with its 51 cm (20.1 inches).
These two stations also broke the national record for 6-hour snowfall.
While the snow’s impact remains most pronounced in the northern regions along the Sea of Japan, the cold air mass is advancing westward, spreading snow to the Kyushu region facing the East China Sea and the Shikoku region facing the Seto Inland Sea.
Parts of Kyushu are reading below -12C (-10.4F), threatening records. Kagoshima Prefecture is experiencing steady snow, with accumulations building in the city center. Mountainous areas have seen roads buried white, with totals measuring in the feet.
Looking ahead, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) is forecasting an additional 100 cm (3.3 ft) of snow in northwestern regions and some 50 cm (1.6 ft) more in Hokkaido over the next 24 hours.
No Sea-Level Rise Since 1800s
Staying in Japan, a recent study published in Regional Studies in Marine Science, concludes that there has been no significant long-term rise or acceleration in relative sea levels around Japan since at least the late 1800s.
Using data from stable tide gauges at Hosojima, Wajima, Tonoura, and Oshoro, the study reveals multi-decadal fluctuations in sea levels but no consistent upward trend.
Japan’s comprehensive, long-term tide gauge records—minimally affected by subsidence—show that sea levels have remained stable over more than a century.
For a full read of the study, click here.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2352485524003530
Blizzards On Sakhalin
Severe blizzards continue to batter the southern regions of Sakhalin Island, Russia:
Finland Nears -40C (-40F)
Finland is enduring a deep freeze with morning temperatures in Kittilä approaching -40C (-40F). 4 Feb 2025
A low of -39.4C (-38.9F) was posted here, though similarly anomalies have engulfed much of Lapland, with much of Scandinavia, in fact, gripped by anomalous cold. Sodankylä Lokka saw -37.8C (-36F) , with Kittilä Lompolonvuoma sinking to -37.7C (-35.9F).
Even areas further south weren’t immune, as widespread sub-zero temperatures stretched across the region.
To Close
This is the big news today, and it warrants repeating:
Arctic temperatures took a dip in January and all, temporarily piercing below the 1979-2000 average even:
Concordia At -48.5C (-55.3F); Arctic Outbreak Round Two; New Nature Study: No Slow Down In AMOC; + NOAA Data Practices Investigated
February 6, 2025 Cap Allon
Concordia At -48.5C (-55.3F)
The coldest temperatures of the summer season have been recorded on Antarctica.
On Feb 5 at Concordia, a low of -48.5C (-55.3F) was posted. On Feb 6, Vostok came in at -47.6C (-53.7F), with AGO-4 AWS reporting -44.1C (-47.4F).
These temperatures are notably below average for the Antarctic summer. Typically, February temperatures at Concordia range around -35C (-31F), while Vostok averages near -30C (-22F).
Antarctica is cooling though, has been for decades — we know this.
Arctic Outbreak Round Two
Salina, Kansas just endured its coldest January in decades, with temperatures not seen since 1985.
The average reading for the month came in at just 22.9F (-5C), besting records from nearly four decades ago. The coldest day was on Jan 21, when the thermometers read -13F (-25C), setting a new record low for the date.
Salina’s freeze was accompanied by significant snowfall. The city received more than a foot (30+ cm) of snow throughout the month, well above the seasonal norm.
Across the U.S., January 2025 was marked by widespread frigid condition, with 166 out of 191 analyzed cities posting well-below-average temperatures (and this despite official data sets ignoring the UHI effect).
From the Midwest to the Northeast, the mercury held far below average. Cities from Chicago to Boston experienced prolonged cold spells, with many areas reporting temperatures in the single digits (Fahrenheit) and even colder in northern reaches.
Notably, Kansas, Wyoming, and West Virginia had cities averaging more than 7F below their typical January values.
On Jan 22, Kansas City recorded a new daily record low of -8F (-22C), and Pueblo, Colorado, reached -19F (-28C). In the Southern U.S., Beaumont, Texas, set an all-time January record low of 11F (-12C), while cities in Louisiana, including Jennings, New Roads, Lafayette, and New Iberia, experienced record lows ranging from 2F to 7F (-17C to -14C).
Looking ahead, ’round 2′ looms on the horizon. Another full-blown Arctic Outbreak is expected by mid-month, one rivaling the extreme freeze seen in January, perhaps even surprising it. Below is the temperature anomaly outlook for Feb 12 (GFS):
New Nature Study: No Slow Down In AMOC
A new study in Nature Communications shatters claims of a weakening Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).
Titled Atlantic Overturning Inferred from Air-Sea Heat Fluxes Indicates No Decline Since the 1960s, the research exposes the baseless fear-mongering pushed by climate alarmists and activist-academics, such as those working for the BBC.
Using data from 24 Earth System Models (CMIP6), researchers Jens Terhaar, Linus Vogt, and Nicholas P. Foukal found no significant weakening of the AMOC from 1963 to 2017. Unlike other studies which rely on sea surface temperature (SST) proxies, this analysis focused on air-sea heat flux anomalies—a more accurate measure.
The result? The same as always: natural variability, not a catastrophic decline.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-55297-5
The AMOC regulates climate across North America and Europe. Activists have recently begun exploiting unfounded collapse fears to support the push for extreme, anti-energy policies. This study points to the AMOC’s inconvenient resilience, putting said fears to bed — for a while, at least. The AMOC will slow down at some point, but not today… not tomorrow… and not the day after tomorrow…
NOAA Data Practices Investigated
The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is investigating NOAA for its data management practices. Initially denied access to the agency’s IT systems, DOGE has now gained entry, with the aim of reviewing NOAA’s climate data handling—among other things.
NOAA’s refusal to grant immediate access raised concerns about data transparency and integrity, fueling further speculation about potential data manipulation or concealment. With access secured, DOGE will audit NOAA’s data processes to verify accuracy and scientific rigor, aiming to identify discrepancies that could affect climate-related insights and policies.
The findings could expose NOAA’s long-suspected malpractices, it’s data-tampering, it’s cooling of the past to exaggerate a natural warming trend that followed the Little Ice Age. I believe it is corrupted government agencies —like NOAA, NASA, the NWS, the Met Office— that are fueling the ‘climate crisis’ narrative. Without these agencies, nobody would fear the weather. Their incessant drip-feeding of misleading information to the media is the ONLY reason people think cLImAtE cHaNgE is an issue.
https://electroverse.info/how-did-the-global-warming-scam-survive-climategate/
Heavy Snow Hits Iran; Himachal Pradesh Suffers Intense Lows/Snows; Rare Low-Elevation Flurries In Taiwan; Japan Ski Resort Surpasses 20 Feet; Antarctic Sea Ice Recovery: Climate Models In Crisis; + Clowns, All
February 7, 2025 Cap Allon
Heavy Snow Hits Iran
On the evening of Feb 7, the Ghoshchi Pass near Urmia, Iran, experienced a significant snowstorm, resulting in numerous vehicles becoming stranded.
The storm dropped about a foot of snow, with flurries and fog persisting into the morning.
This winter in Iran has been marked by severe conditions. Back in December, the country faced a bought of heavy snow and freezing temperatures, leading to widespread shutdowns across multiple provinces due to energy shortages.
Residents are advised to exercise caution during this latest freeze event.
Himachal Pradesh Suffers Intense Lows/Snows
Himachal Pradesh, India is in the grips of a severe cold wave, with sub-zero lows and heavy snows leading to widespread disruptions.
Keylong recently registered a low of -12.2C (10F), Kukumseri saw -11.6C (11F), Tabo shivered at -10.8C (12F), Kalpa at -3.1C (26F), Bharmour saw -1.9C (28F), and Manali dipped below the freezing mark at -1.5C (29F) — all well-below seasonal norms.
Recent snow in these parts has exceeded 6 inches, with larger totals in the mountains.
More than 100 roads are currently blocked, mostly across Lahaul-Spiti, Kinnaur, Kullu, and Chamba. Heavy snow and strong winds have also damaged power lines, causing widespread outages across the northern Indian state.
The cold wave will persist, with the Indian Meteorological Department forecasting additional snow Feb 8-12.
Rare Low-Elevation Flurries In Taiwan
Taiwan is facing a rare cold blast as a powerful front descends, one expected to deliver snowfall at record-low elevations.
This surge will bring snow to elevations as low as 1,500 meters (4,921 feet) in northern Taiwan, an exceptionally rare occurrence.
Flakes have already blanketed peaks above 3,000 meters (9,843 feet), on Thursday, with the Central Weather Administration (CWA) warning of the snow-line potentially dipping to unprecedented levels Friday and into the weekend.
Temperatures are currently plummeting across Taiwan, with northern parts and the Yilan-Hualien region posting single digit (C) readings. The anomalous cold is leading to icy conditions, especially from Taoyuan northward and in the eastern regions.
Japan Ski Resort Surpasses 20 Feet
Hopping across the East China Sea, to Japan, ski resorts here have now surpassed 6 meters in snow depth.
Arai Resort in Niigata now stands at 610 cm (20+ feet), according to snowjapan.com — a historic feat for early-Feb.
Across Hokkaido, for example, the snow has proved disruptive, trapping people in their homes and collapsing bridges. Below are scenes from Obihiro Airport, which earlier in the week posted all-time record-breaking totals: 120+cm in 12 hours.
Global Picture
Asia’s accumulations are aiding Northern Hemisphere cover, which has seen a sharp increase of late—as per FMI (Finnish Meteorological Institute) data (see below). Total snow mass for the NH (excluding the mountains) is now all-but back to the 1982-2012 average, and climbing fast:
Antarctic Sea Ice Recovery: Climate Models In Crisis
The same climate models that confidently proclaimed the record-low Antarctic sea ice extent in 2023 was “extremely unlikely” without human-induced CO2 emissions now stand awkwardly silent in the face of a dramatic recovery.
In fact, by Jan 2025, Antarctic sea ice levels surpassed those recorded in January 1980.
Climate models, such as those spewing from the British Antarctic Survey (BAS), claimed that 2023’s sea ice low made four times more likely by climate change.
However, the BAS’s own models now undercut their alarmist assertions. The stark rebound in 2024/25 was found to be about as close to impossible as you can get, rendering the models junk. Mother Nature has once again made fools of the doom-sayers. I’m waiting on the update where the BAS admit all this.
Also, what is “strong climate change”?
“Four times more likely”?
These people are clowns.
Clowns, All
This about sums it up:
The Guardian are just the worst, all flappy arms and emotion and no logic.
They’re constantly mad, and all, this week at Jeff Bezos, whose ‘Earth Fund’ has stopped its support for the ‘Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi),’ an international body that assesses if companies are decarbonizing in line with the Paris agreement.
No loss there then.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
While Greenland’s ice sheet saw melt until ≈2012, the study suggests this was influenced by factors beyond LST, such as oceanic and atmospheric changes.
For a full read of the 2024 study, click here.
https://mausamjournal.imd.gov.in/index.php/MAUSAM/article/view/6099/5719
Snow Records Continue To Fall Across Japan; Intense Freeze Sweeps S. Korea; MP’s Rare Chill; Turkey’s Record Gas Consumption Amid Big Freeze; Record Cold Grips B.C.; + Arctic Blast To Wallop The U.S.
February 10, 2025 Cap Allon
Snow Records Continue To Fall Across Japan
Japan is enduring its strongest cold wave in years, which is dropping additional record snow to multiple regions.
The Hokuriku region has been hit especially hard, with Niigata City posting 12-hour totals of 50 cm (19.7 inches), with Aikawa in Sado City seeing 38 cm (15 inches)—both the highest ever recorded, according to the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA).
The cold wave has led to unprecedented snowfall totals across the country. Obihiro City in Hokkaido’s Tokachi region recorded 124 cm (48.8 inches) of snow in just 72 hours (as of Feb 7), setting a new all-time record for the city.
In Gifu Prefecture, Shirakawa Village experienced its highest February snowfall on record, with 156 cm (61.4 inches) settling in 72.
Niigata Prefecture also saw staggering totals. Yasuzuka in Joetsu Municipality received 130 cm (51.2 inches) of snow in 72 hours, while Tokamachi recorded 125 cm (49.2 inches) in the same period–both, again, setting new February records.
Three resorts have now exceeded 600cm (20 ft) for the season — these being Happo-one in Nagano Prefecture with 620cm, Arai in Niigata Prefecture with 614cm, and Charmant Hiuchi, also in Niigata, with 600 cm.
The heavy snow isn’t limited to traditionally snowy regions either. Rare accumulations have blanketed parts of Kyushu, Shikoku, and all, with the Pacific side of the Tokai region also copping historic inches.
The JMA forecasts another 60 cm (23.6 inches) in Hokkaido Monday morning, and over 120 cm (47.2 inches) across the Tohoku region. Authorities are urging extreme caution, especially on the Sea of Japan side, where whiteout conditions are enduring.
Intense Freeze Sweeps S. Korea
South Korea is in the grip of an intense cold wave with temperatures plunging below -10C (14F) across most inland regions.
Arctic air from the northwest has driven temperatures some 12C below average, with morning lows reading below -10C (14F) for many and daytime highs struggling to climb above freezing in some spots.
Bone-chilling lows were posted Sunday morning: -9.3C (15F) in Seoul, -14.8C (6F) in Eunpyeong, -17.8C (0F) in Jangho-won, -20.1C (-4F) in Baegun, -20.4C (-5F) in Seokpo, and -23.7C (-10F) in Anheung — to name just six.
Temperatures will remain frigid through the new week, reads a Korea Meteorological Administration update. Cold wave warnings are in effect for the central region, inland Jeonbuk, and inland Gyeongsang. Winds of over 55 km/h (15 m/s) are forecast to intensify the cold further, especially along coasts and up in the mountains.
MP’s Rare Chill
India’s central state of Madhya Pradesh has been hit by an unexpected cold wave, with nighttime temperatures plunging sharply across the state.
While days offer some relief with mild sunshine, the nights have turned bitterly cold, marking an unusual chill for this time of year. For the first time in February, thermometers have fallen below 5C (41F) across a wide area of the state, with Shahdol’s Kalyanpur, for example, shivering at a frigid 4.5C (40.1F) overnight Saturday.
According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), cold winds fueled by copious snow in North India are intensifying winter conditions in Madhya Pradesh. Over the past four days, both day and night temperatures have plummeted significantly.
3 February 2025
Winter relaxed a bit after last week’s extreme cold and snow across the US. Temperatures warmed to normal and above normal in many areas as we went into a zonal (W to E) flow. Joshua Tree National Park in California had a rare snowfall as the LA Basin gradually recovered from the wild fires and San Diego had a Santa Ana wind and wild fire. This weekend a strong atmospheric river AR from Hawaii to N. Calif. dumped heavy rains and snow in the Sierra and NW mountains. Another cold blast is developing Canada and will bring extreme cold to the East and south as the Polar Vortex wobbles with a strong trough into North America.
Europe enjoyed relatively warm conditions while Norway, Iceland and Greenland had heavy snows from Svalbard to Oslo. Greenland again spiked above 5 GT of new snow mass balance. The UK also had wide spread snow and cold conditions. Spain had significant snows in its mountains. Morocco and Algeria also had 20-50 cm of snow in their forecasts. “The same experts who warned of a scorched UK now say bitter, ice age-like cold could be on the cards, but insist that both outcomes are proof of climate change.” The Alps had significant snows with 1.2 m at Chamnoix in 3 days. From France to Austria ski areas were happy.
Asia and Eastern Siberia suffered extreme cold and snow as a cold dome of air developed in eastern Siberia and heavy storms hit Korea (130 cm) and Japan with snow depths reaching 9 meters. Record snows and cold from Western Siberia to China and Japan continued this week. WINDY.COM's predictions and station temperatures were verified.
The southern hemisphere had large swings of temperature in Australia and South America. Australia continued to have heavy precipitation (86 to 573 mm) as Antarctic fronts triggered deep thunderstorms and heavy rains. South America had wide swings of temperature and drought in the north with normal to below normal temperatures in the south. The Antarctic continued to have deep storms dumping locally heavy snows (170-291 cm) on its coastal mountains. The Andes continued to have heavy snows from the 6700 m mountains in Peru and Bolivia (80-116 cm) to the high Andes of the south with 3 to 6 m of new snow predicted. South Georgia Island’s snows began to increase with 75-145 cm. Temperatures in the Antarctic began to decrease as the sun moved north.
The above article summarizes the latest additions to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly logs:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
New Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/27/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 27 January showed warming off Equador with cooling from 120 to180º W. See the albums.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 3 February 2025
Mid-Summer Snow Blankets New Zealand’s Mt Hutt; China’s Severe Cold Wave; South Korea Braces For Record Snows And Freezing Lows; U.S. Freeze, Part Two; + Wildfire Victims To Sue Oil Companies?
January 28, 2025 Cap Allon
Mid-Summer Snow Blankets New Zealand’s Mt Hutt
Mount Hutt in Canterbury woke up to rare summer snow on Monday, with a chilling blast delivering a few inches of powder.
General manager James Urquhart noted that while snow falls on the mountain at least once a month year-round, summer snow is typically just a light dusting. “This amount is more than we usually see in summer,” he said.
China’s Severe Cold Wave
As China approaches the Lunar New Year, a significant cold wave is sweeping across the nation, bringing with it rapid temperature drops and widespread snowstorms.
Over the weekend, heavy snow buried central and northwest regions, breaking January snow depth records across a myriad of locales. Totals in Song, for example, reached 24 cm (9.4 inches) — a new record for the month there.
The wintry conditions have intensified into the new week, with 26 stations in Liaoning alone setting new January snowfall records on Monday (Jan 27). The snow depth across many cities has now exceeded a foot —a rare feat— with Fusong reading 1.35 ft.
Thermometers have also impressed, with lows of -35.9C (-32.6F) noted in Qingshuihe, and -36.6C (-33.9F) in Maqin Youyun.
With the blast persisting, the Central Meteorological Observatory has issued fresh alerts, indicating that additional heavy snowfall is anticipated in regions including southeastern Inner Mongolia, central and eastern Liaoning, southern and eastern Jilin, and the northern Shandong Peninsula. In certain areas, accumulations are expected to exceed a foot, higher in the mountains.
This additional snowfall—particularly that falling later in the week—is expected to disrupt travel during the festive period.
A weakening of the ‘polar vortex’ and a Siberian high-pressure system are combining to funnel cold and dry air from Siberia southwards, trapping it over the region and intensifying the temperature drop.
In response, authorities have advised local governments and related departments to implement measures to prevent snow and frost disasters, especially during the peak of the Lunar New Year. The transportation, railroad, electricity, and communications sectors have been urged to reinforce the inspection and maintenance of infrastructure and to carry out cleaning and de-icing tasks. While in rural areas, citizens have been advised to store sufficient fodder and prepare for damages caused by the snow.
Looking ahead, China can expect another burst of cold and snow at the start of February, particularly the eastern half. While looking north, waves of freezing air will also engulf much of Russia this week, as well as northern Kazakhstan and Mongolia:
South Korea Braces For Record Snows And Freezing Lows
South Korea is preparing for record-breaking snows and freezing lows during the 2025 Lunar New Year holiday (known as Seollal/설날), with meteorologists warning it could be the most extreme in at least three decades
The Korea Meteorological Administration is forecasting 10 inches of snow in Seoul January 27 through 28, with significant accumulations anticipated across the country.
So far, the forecast is delivering.
U.S. Freeze, Part Two
That ‘polar vortex’ is threatening to make a comeback America.
Watch what happens during the second week of February:
Wildfire Victims To Sue Oil Companies?
California lawmakers, led by eco-zealots like State Senator Scott Wiener, are now pushing to let wildfire victims sue oil companies for damages, introducing legislation (SB 222) “to ensure oil companies pay for the climate-fueled disasters that are burning and flooding California.”
Wildfires aren’t caused by fossil fuels though, they are the result of predictable environmental risks and negligence.
Southern California Edison, for instance, failed to de-energize power lines during high-risk Santa Ana winds. But instead of holding the utilities accountable or addressing decades of mismanaged forest policies, lawmakers continue to push The Narrative to fit their anti-oil agenda.
This isn’t about justice—it’s political theater. By scapegoating oil companies, these zealots deflect from their own failures to manage wildfire risks effectively.
California, tidy your forest floors, hold utilities accountable, get the water flowing, and lock-up the arsonists. There, fixed.
I’ll leave you with Senator Wiener’s X post, followed by my favorite reply:
South Korea Sees 4.25 Feet Of Snow In 2 Days; Blizzards Batter Russia’s Far East; Munnar’s Rare Snow; South Pole Cold Streak; Study Debunks ‘Doomsday Glacier’ Narrative; + China Coal
January 29, 2025 Cap Allon
South Korea Sees 4.25 Feet Of Snow In 2 Days
South Korea has been gripped by record-breaking snowfall and bitter cold for the second consecutive day, throwing transportation into disarray and stranding travelers heading home for the Lunar New Year holiday.
By 4 PM Tuesday, Mount Halla on Jeju Island was buried under 130 cm (51.2 inches/4.25 feet) of snow (since Monday), marking an unprecedented accumulation for the region.
https://electroverse.info/south-korea-sees-4-25-feet-of-snow-in-2-days-blizzards-batter-russias-far-east-munnars-rare-snow-south-pole-cold-streak-study-debunks-doomsday-glacier-narrative-china-coal/
In Gangwon Province, parts of the eastern counties received 40 cm (15.7 inches), while Anseong and Pyeongtaek in Gyeonggi Province, 60 kilometers (37 miles) south of Seoul, saw 25 cm (9.8 inches). Seoul’s southwestern Gwanak District recorded 13.7 cm (5.4 inches) — this follows a historic snowstorm in Nov 2024, when Seoul experienced its heaviest daily November snow since records began in 1907, with 16.1 cm (6.3 inches) falling in a single day.
The Korea Meteorological Administration forecast another 15 cm (6 inches) of snow in Jeju’s mountains and another 10 cm (4 inches) in the Chungcheong and Jeolla provinces on Wednesday.
Temperatures are set to plunge further and all, with parts of Gangwon Province expecting morning lows of around -15C (5F), which would threaten records there. Cold wave warnings remain in effect across multiple regions.
Widespread disruptions have been reported nationwide: numerous car accidents, train stallings, cancelled flights, suspend ferries, leaving many travelers stranded. Entrances to some 20 national parks were also shut.
South Korea is contending with some of its heaviest snowfalls on record, during one of the busiest travel periods of the year.
Shots from Monday, Jan 27:
Blizzards Batter Russia’s Far East
A severe winter storm is hitting Sakhalin, located in Russia’s Far East, unleashing heavy snowfall and strong winds.
The harsh weather has caused significant transport disruptions, with rail services and flights cancelled. Many business are also closed, and local authorities have moved schools to distance learning as a precaution.
Munnar’s Rare Snow
Munnar, a hill station in Kerala, India, has reported freezing lows of 0C (32F) — a rare occurrence for the tropical region.
By Tuesday, the mercury had risen slightly –to 1C (33.8F)– but the snow-covered meadows remained, creating a surreal sight.
Snowfall is virtually unheard of in Munnar, known for its mild climate, and tourists have flocked to the region to see this extraordinary anomaly. While nights remain freezing, days are reaching 25C (77F)–still unusually low, but a striking contrast.
Continued chills are expected through the remainder of the week.
South Pole Cold Streak
This week, the South Pole Station reached 1,100 consecutive days with temperatures below -20C (-4F).
This remarkable streak, contrary to climate alarmist caterwauling, underscores the unrelenting cold of Antarctica’s interior.
Study Debunks ‘Doomsday Glacier’ Narrative
Once again, climate alarmists have been exposed, falsely linking their latest pet catastrophe—the so-called “Doomsday Glacier”—to climate change.
A new study from University of Florida researchers utterly dismantles this narrative, finding no link between climate change and the frequency or size of large Antarctic iceberg calving events.
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2024GL112235
Rolling Stone et al. might want to start drafting retractions (not holding my breath):
The research team, led by Assistant Professors Emma MacKie (Geological Sciences) and Katy Serafin (Geography), analyzed nearly five decades of satellite data and came to this conclusion: major iceberg calving events remain rare and unpredictable, and they show no significant increase in size or frequency since reliable data started in 1976.
Climate change has no role here.
Using ‘extreme value theory,’ a statistical method typically reserved for rare natural disasters like earthquakes or floods, the team modeled the likelihood of extreme calving events. Their findings are clear: the largest icebergs were recorded decades ago, with their peak size occurring between 1986 and 2000, with even these monsters fitting squarely within natural variability.
The study concludes that extreme iceberg calving events are part of natural cycles, not some new apocalypse wrought by humanity. “Doomsday Glacier” panic is merely another case of climate hysteria running ahead of the evidence.
The study, published by the American Geophysical Union, can be read in full here.
China Coal
China burns more coal annually than the rest of the world combined.
The country is responsible for nearly a third of all energy-related greenhouse gas emissions, surpassing the emissions of the United States, Europe, and Japan combined.
In its push to sustain its energy demands, China has constructed a 1,128-mile railway dedicated exclusively to coal transport. This enables the movement of 200 million tons of coal each year, seamlessly connecting mining regions to power plants.
Criticism of China’s energy practices often remains muted, particularly among Western politicians.
This restraint may be influenced, in part, by China’s increasing efforts to extend its influence into foreign governments, creating a complex dynamic where economic ties and political considerations, let’s call it, overshadow any confrontation or spotlighting.
China knows that cheap and reliable energy is the key to prosperity, to economic success; India knows it too:
Heavy Snow At Joshua Tree National Park; Accumulations In Murcia, Spain; ‘Climate Change’ Is Nothing New, Study; + Media Parrots Bogus Wildfire Report
January 30, 2025 Cap Allon
Heavy Snow At Joshua Tree National Park
On Jan 27, a rare snow day hit Joshua Tree National Park, turning the high desert landscape white.
While the park’s higher elevations—above 4,000 feet—typically see snow once or twice a year, this event was especially notable due to 1) the depth, and 2) the unusually dry preceding six months.
Snow is crucial for the park’s ecosystem, providing moisture for plant life.
Accumulations In Murcia, Spain
Storm Herminia is currently battering Europe, bringing an unusual blanket of snow to the Murcia region, Spain:
Much of Europe, particularly the west, is set to remain anomalously cold for the foreseeable, well into February.
The Central England Temperature (CET) record is back reporting after a curious week-long outage. Met Office?
It is reading 3.3C for the month of January (to the 28th) which is 0.5C below the 1960 – 1990 average. This makes for the coldest January since 2001 in the long-running series, and sees it match those of 1991, 1978, 1965, 1953, 1870, 1754, and 1747.
‘Climate Change’ Is Nothing New, Study
Alarmists love to push doomsday scenarios, demanding radical economic policies to combat cLiMaTe BrEaKdOwN. However, a Nature Communications study by Kemp, Eichenseer, and Kiessling challenges the doom and gloom.
The study reveals past climate fluctuations were often underestimated due to the limitations of geological records. The researchers go further, noting:
“Implicitly, our findings also mean that caution must be exercised when describing recent temperature changes as unprecedented in the context of geological rates.”
In short, the warming trend witnessed over the past few hundred years isn’t unique but part of Earth’s natural cycles.
Climate change doesn’t occur in a smooth, linear fashion but includes fluctuations and reversals, reads the study. Short-term data captures more pronounced shifts than longer geological records, creating a misleading impression of modern warming’s uniqueness. Past warming events, like the Permian–Triassic boundary and PETM, exceeded today’s rates on short timescales.
The study undermines claims that human activity is uniquely destabilizing the planet. Historical shifts were as pronounced than today’s, often far more so — a reality that removes any justification for radical economic intervention.
Science has been hijacked for political agendas — this is the real crisis, the radical policies imposed under false pretenses.
For a full read of the study, click here.
https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms9890
Media Parrots Bogus Wildfire Report
Another day, another grandiose climate change fantasy spoon-fed to the masses.
This time, the mainstream media is breathlessly parroting an unpublished, unreviewed, and laughably flimsy “study” that claims climate change is making California wildfires worse — linked here.
Junk Science on Parade
This so-called “study” isn’t published in any reputable scientific journal—which is admitted up front by some of the outlets covering it, to be fair. Yet, somehow, it is still making the MSM rounds. Peer review? Who needs that when you have a narrative to sell? The echo chamber of legacy media dutifully blasts out the same pre-packaged drivel, completely devoid of skepticism, curiosity, or, frankly, basic journalism. The “study” was “too rapid for peer-review,” writes AP ‘journalist’ Seth Borenstein.
Yet, every mainstream news outlet ran with it—echoing the same unquestioning stance and alarmist tone:
The reality is that today’s reporters aren’t truth-seekers; they’re stenographers for radical activists. Rather than asking tough questions, they regurgitate whatever pseudo-scientific nonsense they’re fed, so long as it aligns with the alarmism script.
Follow the Money
Surprise! The “scientists” behind this piece of propaganda are part of World Weather Attribution (WWA), an organization partnered with Climate Central—a group bankrolled by the Bezos Earth Fund and the MacArthur Foundation.
Climate Lawsuits: The Ultimate Shakedown
Attribution studies like this one aren’t real science; they’re trial exhibits-in-waiting, tailor-made to manufacture evidence for lawsuits against energy companies. The goal isn’t truth—it’s wealth redistribution. We know this. Progressives drool over the idea of siphoning trillions from the energy sector under the guise of “climate justice,” using dubious studies to justify their cash grab.
A 6% Increase? Stop the Presses!
Even if we take their ridiculous claims at face value, this grand, earth-shattering study concludes that human-caused climate change has increased fire severity in Los Angeles by 6%. Six. Percent. That’s barely a rounding error.
Meanwhile, better land management—like controlled burns and clearing excess brush—could reduce wildfire severity by 15%, more than offsetting their exaggerated doomsday scenario. We can’t discuss real solutions, however, because that risks actually solving the issue — the climate change grift is only sustained by disaster, take that away and it has nothing, it dies a death.
Snow In Japan Exceeds 17 Feet; Another “Polar Express” Looms For The U.S.; Cold Chokes Spanish Vegetables; + NASA Removes Past Temperature Data
January 31, 2025 Cap Allon
Snow In Japan Exceeds 17 Feet
Japan has been experiencing extraordinary snowfall this winter, even by its standards. As of Jan 31, at least 32 locations have depths exceeding 300 cm (9.8 ft).
Arai Snow Resort in Myoko City, Niigata, stands out with a staggering 526 cm (17.3 ft).
Other major ski areas, including Charmant Hiuchi (480 cm / 15.7 ft) and Hakuba Happo-one (440 cm / 14.4 ft), continue to see heavy accumulation, providing stellar conditions for winter sports but also posing challenges in terms of avalanches, transportation, and infrastructure maintenance.
The snowfall has been particularly intense in Niigata, Nagano, and Aomori prefectures, where records have fallen.
With more snow expected, Japan’s winter is shaping up to be one of the most extreme in recent memory.
Cold Chokes Spanish Vegetables
Winter cold is hurting Spanish crops, disrupting supply and weakening sales.
Vegetables are struggling—peppers hit by thrips, cucumbers losing color, and aubergines suffering shelf-life issues due to the cold. Iceberg lettuce won’t form proper heads. Even tomatoes, usually resilient, remain scarce.
With quality inconsistent and prices steep, demand has plummeted. “There’s no energy in the market—nothing moves,” says Pieter de Ruiter of 4 Fruit Company, adding, “Growers demand high prices, but buyers won’t bite.”
Spain—much of Europe in fact—shouldn’t bet on a warm-up anytime soon.
The chill looks set to extend long into February.
Another “Polar Express” Looms For The U.S.
Arctic air has gripped North America, partially freezing Niagara Falls, creating a frozen spectacle at the U.S.-Canada border.
While not particularly rare, it is still a fingers up to global warming proponents who have long claimed this event would become increasingly rare. Not so. In recent times, substantial icing has been noted: in 2014, 2015, 2019, and now 2025…?
America, including the Niagara River, is forecast more of the same into February: another “Polar Express.”
After what has proven very cold January, a fresh lobe of the ‘Polar Vortex’ is readying to plunge southward.
January saw relentless cold across nearly all of the U.S., sparing only parts of southern Florida. This deep freeze shattered records —daily monthly, and all-time— and marked one of the coldest starts to a year in recent memory.
Historic snowfall records were also toppled:
As January closes, a shifting pressure pattern hints at a brief relief across the eastern U.S. and southern Canada. However, a corridor of cold continues stretching from Alaska through the Northeast, setting the stage for another major Arctic outbreak.
By the second week of February, the Polar Vortex will have tightened its grip, according to the models. A dominant low-pressure system settles over the Midwest, unleashing a powerful shot of polar cold across the northern and eastern U.S.
As this frigid air mass surges southward, Valentine’s Day may be marked by subzero temperatures in many regions.
Expect temperatures to once again plummet to record lows, and for widespread, persistent snow to make a return.
The final days of February could bring another shot of cold, particularly for the Northeast and Great Lakes, but this outlook really needs to be taken with a pinch of salt. Spring is approaching, gradually, but for now, Winter remains firmly in control.
NASA Removes Past Temperature Data
Once again, NASA has vanished early temperature records—in this example for Talladega, Alabama.
The pre-1950 data, which showcased higher temperatures in the past and natural variability, has been erased, leaving only the post-1950 record that fits the preferred narrative:
By homogenizing and “adjusting” historical temperatures, NASA systematically rewrites climate history to exaggerate warming.
This isn’t the first time they’ve done it, and it won’t be the last. This is how NASA handles an inconvenient truth — they scrub it from the record books. They don’t want you to see the past. They seek to hide much of the rural data, and all…
Staying in Alabama, below are two rural weather stations with 120+ years of recorded temperatures (chart courtesy of retired meteorologist John Shewchuk). There is no “hockey stick” warming present, you’ll note—rather a clear, long-term cooling trend:
Using NOAA’s Time of Observation Bias (TOB) adjusted data, you can categorized weather stations as rural, urban, or intermediate. The trend then speaks for itself—urban stations show warming (the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect), while rural stations exhibit a cooling trend.
You can verify this yourself. Use NOAA’s weather station latitude/longitude data, cross-check with Google Earth, and classify the stations independently. The data doesn’t lie—the pattern is clear.
As long suspected by the likes of Dr. Roy Spencer, “global warming” appears to be an exclusively urban phenomenon. Expanding cities, with their asphalt, concrete, and other heat-trapping structures, retain more and more heat over time.
The natural climate signal is to be found in the rural stations which, on more occasions than not, and so overall, show cooling cooling.
Arctic Blast To Slam The U.S.; Sakhalin Blizzards; Scientists Say Global Warming Could Cool The UK; UN Wildfire Lies; + Sunspot 3981
February 3, 2025 Cap Allon
Arctic Blast To Slam The U.S.
January was cold across the CONUS, historically so.
The Climate Prediction Center did NOT see it coming…
Looking ahead, February is set to offer a repeat.
Another Arctic outbreak—colder than even that of January—threatens to grip the majority of the U.S. come mid-month, especially the Midwest, Plains, and Great Lakes regions, as per latest ECMWF models (see below).
Cities like Chicago, Minneapolis, and Kansas City are currently on for record-breaking lows, with southern states like Texas and Georgia not spared either.
Driving this frigid blast is a disruption in the ‘Polar Vortex’, as seen in the 500 hPa temperature chart (below), which will allow brutally cold air from the Arctic to surge deep into the Lower 48:
Sakhalin Blizzards
Blizzards are continuing in Sakhalin, Russia, triggering what locals are calling a “snow apocalypse.”
Massive snowdrifts have shattered windows and brought road traffic to a standstill.
Residents are digging themselves out from beneath the heavy snow, while utility crews work tirelessly to manage the overwhelming conditions.
Eastern Asia is currently holding anomalously cold, with the freeze running from Russia, down through Mongolia, and into China, the Koreas, and Japan.
Scientists Say Global Warming Could Cool The UK
Brits were told to expect endless heatwaves and “forever hotter” summers. Now, after a freezing January (-0.4C below 1961-1990 average — Met Office), The Science™ says global warming might actually make the UK colder. A lot colder.
Scientists foot the blame at the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), which might slow down or collapse, plunging the UK into Arctic conditions. Or it might not. They’re not all that sure.
The same experts who warned of a scorched UK now say bitter, ice age-like cold could be on the cards, but insist that both outcomes are proof of climate change.
AMOC measurements only started in 2004, but that’s long enough for wild and terrifying predictions to do the MSM rounds.
A recent study, however, published in Science Advances highlights the massive uncertainties in predicting climate tipping points like AMOC.
Conducted by scientists from the Technical University of Munich and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, the study reveals that forecasting these so-called tipping points is riddled with errors due to oversimplified models, scarce long-term data, and incomplete historical records.
Predictions for AMOC’s collapse range wildly, it turns out—from 2050 to 8065. That’s a 6,000-year window, rendering these forecasts useless for policymaking.
Yet, media outlets run with the most dramatic scenarios, ignoring the uncertainty behind them and, worst still, ignoring the real-world data.
Both Arctic temperatures and sea ice show stability, not impending disaster (see charts below). Since the early 2000s, Arctic temperatures have shown modest fluctuations around a stable mean. Similarly, sea ice extent has followed natural, cyclical patterns, with no evidence of a “catastrophic melt.”
An AMOC collapse would be “like a war situation,” so says Prof. Tim Lenton of the University of Exeter, ignoring the slim chance of it actually occurring in our lifetimes. Because when the science is shaky, fear fills the gaps. And climate alarmism, however unfounded, will always make deadlines.
Heatwave? Climate change. Deep freeze? Climate change. The solution? Cut emissions. Different weather, same agenda. No matter how contradictory the evidence, the prescription stays the same: more regulations, more taxes, more panic.
For the UK, the short-term outlook calls for continued cold through February, with widespread snow potentially returning mid-month. In typically hyperbolic fashion, the media is calling this ‘Beast from the East 2’.
UN Wildfire Lies
Despite recent claims by the UN, wildfires are not on the rise globally.
Advances in satellite technology, particularly NASA’s MODIS sensors on the Terra (1999) and Aqua (2002) satellites, have greatly improved our ability to monitor fires accurately. The Global Fire Emissions Database (GFED) uses MODIS data to estimate fire activity through CO2 emissions, which correlate with burned vegetation.
In recent decades, both the number of fires and the total burned area decreased significantly. In fact, burned areas declined by 24.3% between 1998 and 2015, driven by increased vegetation productivity in North Africa and global agricultural expansion.
The UN are guilty of spreading MiSiNfOrMaTiOn.
Sunspot 3981
Sunspot 3981 is rapidly expanding and now positioned directly facing Earth, firing off intense solar flares.
On Feb 3 at 03:58 UT, it unleashed an M8.8-class flare—just shy of reaching the powerful X-class threshold. Updated SOHO coronagraphs will tell us if any CMEs are headed for Earth. For the latest info, check out spaceweather.com .
Record February Cold Threatens Northern China; All-Time Snow Totals Sweep Japan; 4 Feet In 3 Days Buries The Alps; + Stable Temperatures In Greenland, Study Finds
February 4, 2025 Cap Allon
Record February Cold Threatens Northern China
Severe cold is poised to hit northern China, with the likes of Hohhot, the capital of Inner Mongolia, bracing for record-breaking low temperatures for the month of February.
Latest forecasts indicate readings in mountainous regions could plummet to -35C (-31F), setting new monthly records, well-below the overnight norm of -13C (8.6F).
The China Meteorological Administration has warned that, starting Thursday, a wide area will suffer exceptional cold. They attribute this to a weakening ‘polar vortex,’ which is allowing northern polar air to push farther south than usual. This, in turn, is being exacerbated by a Siberian high, which is funneling frigid, dry air southwards from Siberia, further intensifying the freeze.
Residents are advised to prepare for the extreme cold by “ensuring adequate heating in homes, wearing appropriate clothing, and minimizing time spent outdoors.” The cold wave coincides with the Spring Festival travel rush, potentially affecting transportation. “Drivers are urged to exercise caution, reduce speeds, and maintain greater following distances.”
All-Time Snow Totals Sweep Japan
Much of SE Asia is reeling under polar-like conditions, not just China, with unprecedented snow sweeping much of Japan.
Northern areas, in particular, have been pummeled by feet of snow, with a host of cities experiencing unprecedented accumulations. Obihiro City posted a whopping 120 cm (3.9 feet) in just 12 hours, setting an all-time record there.
Memuro logged 105 cm (3.5 ft); Urahoro saw 77 cm (2.5 ft); and Shiranuka posted 69 cm (2.3 ft)—each city setting a historic high.
In Aomori City, officials have allocated their largest-ever budget for snow removal.
While below is footage of the all-time record-breaking snow to hit Obihiro City, where it’s STILL coming down:
In Aomori City, officials have allocated their largest-ever budget for snow removal.
While below is footage of the all-time record-breaking snow to hit Obihiro City, where it’s STILL coming down:
4 Feet In 3 Days Buries The Alps
The Alps have been hit with their heaviest snowfall of the season, with 1.2 meters (4 feet) falling in just three days.
This massive storm has blanketed resorts across France, Italy, Switzerland, and Austria, making for excellent conditions through the rest of the season.
Chamonix recorded the largest total with 1.2 meters (4 feet) accumulating in 72 hours. Flaine followed closely with 105 cm (3.5 feet), while La Thuile in Italy received 80 cm (32 inches) and Switzerland’s Crans Montana reported 70 cm (28 inches).
In Austria, Kaunertal picked up 40 cm (16 inches) in a single day, with other areas reporting 60 cm (2 feet) in 24 hours.
The recent snowfall has dramatically boosted base depths.
Resorts like Avoriaz, Chamonix, and Les Arcs are now posting over 3 meters (10 feet) of snow on their higher slopes. Even regions that had been struggling earlier this season have seen significant improvements, pushing them above average, with Livigno, Italy more than doubling its base.
The heavy snow isn’t without challenges though.
Avalanche risks have also risen sharply, with danger levels climbing to 3 (“considerable”) in many areas and up to 4 (“high”) along parts of the Swiss-Italian border. An off-piste avalanche in Chamonix’s Grand Montets area resulted in a fatality this week.
Despite these risks, the recent snowfall has cemented a solid base across the Alps, ensuring strong conditions as the season moves into spring.
“We’re seeing a big increase in bookings of Easter ski holidays,” said Richard Sinclair of SNO Holidays. “Some customers say they had planned not to ski this year but that the incredible snowfall is too good to miss.”
Stable Temperatures In Greenland, Study Finds
A recent study analyzing Greenland’s land surface temperature (LST) patterns from 2000 to 2019 found no significant overall warming or cooling trends across the island.
Using satellite data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), researchers observed stable temperature patterns in Greenland’s North, Central-North, and Central-South regions. The South region showed a slight tendency toward cooling, but the results were not statistically significant.
The average temperature change for the entire island between 2000 and 2019 came in at -0.055C per decade, with a 95% confidence interval that included zero, indicating no significant shift.
While Greenland’s ice sheet saw melt until ≈2012, the study suggests this was influenced by factors beyond LST, such as oceanic and atmospheric changes.
For a full read of the 2024 study, click here.
https://mausamjournal.imd.gov.in/index.php/MAUSAM/article/view/6099/5719
27 JANUARY 2025
WINTER EXTREME COLD and SNOW dominated the weather in North America from Alaska to Florida this week. Record cold and snow hit the South from Texas to Florida. Governors from Louisiana to Florida declared a state of emergency as 11.5 to 9.8 inches respectively stopped all traffic and broke long standing records. Temperatures in southern Louisiana on the Gulf of Mexico dropped to 11 and 21ºF. The broad deep 300 mb long wave trough extended from Canada’s NW Territory to Louisiana and back north to Maine bringing Arctic air to the Gulf and heavy snow along the cold front as a winter storm quickly moved along the Gulf coast. “North America: the Alyeska Resort in Alaska added 37-inch of snow on Saturday, pushing the season’s total to 436 inches—an incredible feat for January.”
Europe from Scandinavia (2-6 m) to Spain (53-91cm) had cold and snow. Much of Europe had large areas of fog and low clouds. A deep Atlantic Storm (950 mb) moved up the Atlantic west of the UK past Iceland dumping heavy snow from Greenland (1-6 m) to Norway (1-3 m). The Danish Arctic Research scientists reported an 8 GT (8 km3)spike in Greenland’s Snow Mass Balance. This was the first large spike this season. However, Slovenia remained on the sunny side of the Alps with only 65-95 cm in its Alps. The UK had wide spread snow and cold again this week. Portugal has a yellow snow alert for the next 2 days with 15 cm expected above 800 m.
Asia was cold and snowy especially in Japan where heavy snow continued producing an exceptional ski season. India and Pakistan were cold: Fatehpur registered 0 (32F), while Mount Abu shivered at 1.8 (35F). Other cities like Sikar, Chittorgarh, and Udaipur are witnessing anomalous lows between 2C (36F) and 5C (41F), as icy northern winds sweep through the state. A severe cold wave is gripping Pakistan, with Islamabad posting a 0C (32F) over the weekend, significantly below average. Other anomalies across the country include Lahore, which saw 7C (44.6F), Karachi at 12C (53.6F), and Peshawar with 5C (41F). While in the north, Leh hit a record-breaking -13C (8.6F), Astore -11C (12.2F), and Gupis -9C (15.8F).
The Southern Hemisphere continued to have a relatively strong jet stream with deep storms delivering heavy snow (1-2 m) to Coastal Antarctic’s mountains and cool fronts to Australia and Argentina giving comfort from the 30-48ºC summer temperatures and significant rains. The Antarctic’s Ross sea is ~70% open as a 984 mb storm circulates there. Weddell Sea ice is also melting with about 40% open on the east side. Central plateau temperatures remain cold with Dome A reporting -38 to -40 and Vostok at -28 to -35ºC. The Andes continued to have 1-4 m snows with the high peaks in Bolivia and Peru receiving 53 to 125 cm.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
New Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/18/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 18 January showed warming off Equador with cooling from 120 to180º W.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 27 January 2025:
The Deep South’s Deep Freeze; Declining Global Disaster Costs; Pre-Industrial Warming Dwarfs Modern Warming; + Sense
January 21, 2025 Cap Allon
The Deep South’s Deep Freeze
America’s all-encompassing freeze is breaking a slew of low temperature records. From California to New York, from Montana to Florida, benchmarks are falling.
Wind chills in the Midwest have plunged to -57F (-49C).
The Deep South, too, is reeling under a rare blast of polar cold. Temperatures 20–30F below normal are sweeping the region, with governors in Louisiana, Georgia, Alabama, Florida, and Mississippi declaring emergencies, and Texas bracing for snow and ice.
Snowfall is sweeping across the I-10 and I-20 corridors, with some 3 inches expected from Texas to the Carolinas. In New Orleans, where snow hasn’t fallen since 2009, totals could reach 6 inches, threatening to smash the city’s all-time record of 2.7 inches set in 1963. Houston, where snow is similarly rare, could see its largest accumulation in years. Even parts of Florida may record measurable accumulations, which would mark the first winter since 2010 that all 50 states have had snow on the ground.
Winter Storm Warnings stretch from the U.S.-Mexico border to Duval County, Florida.
Across the South, cities like Houston, Atlanta, and Jackson, Mississippi, face freezing highs and all, threatening pipes and power systems unaccustomed to such prolonged cold. Record lows set in the 1930s are forecast to be broken across the likes of Houston, Austin, and Baton Rouge by Wednesday morning.
Travel has been paralyzed. Over 1,700 flights are canceled across the region, and roads from Texas to Georgia are icy and dangerous. Schools have shuttered, and warming centers are opening for residents unprepared for days of freezing weather.
Officials urge people to stay indoors, protect pipes, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
“This is a dangerous storm,” forecasters have warned, calling it a “generational” event.
Declining Global Disaster Costs
Climate-related disaster costs as a share of GDP—a logic way to measure it, recommended by the UN even—have declined globally from 1990 to 2024, across rich and poor countries, and all major disaster types:
The cost of climate-related disasters has dropped nearly 5-fold since 1980, across all countries:
The establishment media claim that total costs are increasing due to climate change, but this excludes logic. Simply put, the world is ‘worth more’ now. A storm hitting Shanghai in 2020 will cause more damage than one that blew through in 1990:
Pre-Industrial Warming Dwarfs Modern Warming
Analyzing historical temperature records for Moscow, Berlin, Paris, and Central England from the 16th to the 18th centuries reveals significant and rapid warming events occurred long before industrialization and its associated CO2 emissions.
The Central England temperature data (below) shows a whopping 2C rise between 1695 and 1735. This dwarfs today’s modern warming of 1.5C over 150 years. Natural climate variability can patently cause stark warming, yet this is conveniently ignored.
Pre-Industrial Warming Dwarfs Modern Warming
Analyzing historical temperature records for Moscow, Berlin, Paris, and Central England from the 16th to the 18th centuries reveals significant and rapid warming events occurred long before industrialization and its associated CO2 emissions.
The Central England temperature data (below) shows a whopping 2C rise between 1695 and 1735. This dwarfs today’s modern warming of 1.5C over 150 years. Natural climate variability can patently cause stark warming, yet this is conveniently ignored.
In Moscow, the historical temperature records (1520 – 1750) reveal striking fluctuations, with periods of rapid warming and rapid cooling that, of course, cannot be attributed to human CO2 emissions: see album for charts
Berlin and Paris temperature trends also echo this pattern of violent cooling and warming episodes over relatively short time periods. The rate of warming from 1700 to 1740(-ish) is again quicker than today’s, at approximately 1C in three decades.
Without the industrial-age emissions, how exactly do climate alarmist propose these temperature swings occurred?
Historical data exposes a glaring gap in The Narrative. Ignoring Earth’s complex climate system allows for an overemphasizing of a single, exploitative explanation.
That’s why they do it.
Science finally appears to be winning out though, with logic returning…
Sense
Among a raft of sensical orders, the United States is to withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement (again):
The climate activists have had their day. They lost. Common sense is returning. The free marketplace of ideas demanded it. Science and logic demanded it:
Historic Snowfall Blankets Gulf Coast; Hundreds Of Cold Records Fall Across The U.S.; + Climate Absurdities
January 22, 2025 Cap Allon
Historic Snowfall Blankets Gulf Coast
A remarkable snowfall event is unfolding in the Gulf Coast, setting all-time records across several regions.
In Milton, Florida, 8.8 inches of snow has accumulated, setting a new all-time state record, more than doubling the 4 inches from March 1954. This is also thought to be state’s highest snow total in over two centuries, since the blizzard of January 1800 (at least).
A total of 6.5 inches (and counting) has been posted at Pensacola, breaking the all-time record there and all.
The likes of Houston and New Orleans have joined northern Florida’s fun, each registering record-setting totals. Local reports say a foot hit isolated areas of New Orleans. It is believed that this marks the first time since the great snowstorm of February 1895 that each of these three locales have seen snow simultaneously.
Mobile, Alabama picked up 7.5 inches, besting the old record of 6 inches from Feb 14-15, 1895. While in neighboring Georgia, people are skating on the streets in Atlanta:
Truly historic.
And it’s not over yet.
Hundreds Of Cold Records Fall Across The U.S.
It is all of America, not just the the Deep South, that is reeling under the effects of this deadly Arctic blast.
Hundreds of low temperature records are falling, from Washington to Alabama, from Massachusetts to Arizona (to Mexico, even):
The standouts were probably Louisiana, with Acadia AP tanking to 6F (-14.4C), tying the all-time record from Feb 13, 1899; and also Kansas, which had Topeka at -12F (-24.4C) Wednesday morning, pipping the daily record of -11F (-23.9C) set back in 1888.
There was nowhere to escape the cold overnight Tuesday:
PJM Interconnection, the operator of the largest power grid in the US, has issued a Level 1 emergency alert for Wednesday in response to rising electricity demand driven by extreme cold weather. The grid spans from Washington, D.C., to Illinois and is preparing for energy use to approach levels not seen in a decade+.
The Eastern U.S. is experiencing dangerously low temperatures, prompting PJM to issue a maximum generation alert. This move gives the operator flexibility to curtail electricity exports to neighboring grids if necessary to maintain reliability.
The cold is spilling down into Mexico, and all, down into the Caribbean even — with minimums of just 26.2C (79F), Nevis Island is breaking all-time January records for cold.
More to come for the CONUS this week:
Climate Absurdities
The climate cabal are NOT happy with Trump’s executive orders.
Some have taken to X to vent and cry (and inadvertently expose themselves as know-nothing cultists), including Stefan Rahmstorf, professor of physics of the oceans and head of Earth System Analysis at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research:
THESE are the so-called “academics” the Establishment has long relied on to weaponize the weather—self-styled “experts” groomed by the UN and its poisonous offshoots to convince policymakers into dismantling the West’s energy production.
There is no such thing as ‘fossil fuel-fired hurricanes,’ Rahmstorf, you are talking utter nonsense. Truly, pie in the sky BS. “Just surreal.”
Winter Storm Slams Siberia; Greenland Ice Sheet Gains; Uptick In Great Lakes Ice Coverage; Global Warming And Extreme Cold; + Fink Questioned
January 23, 2025 Cap Allon
Winter Storm Slams Siberia
A powerful winter storm is ripping through Western Siberia and the Urals.
A whopping 60C (108F) temperature gradient—the difference between air masses—is fueling the storm, as warmer, moist air clashes violently with colder, denser air, intensifying winds and driving extreme weather patterns.
The storm will continue moving northeast, bringing freezing temperatures, heavy snowfall, and powerful winds to much of Siberia. Authorities are warning residents to prepare for further disruptions and remain cautious as the system progresses.
Greenland Ice Sheet Gains
After a slow start to the season, the Greenland Ice Sheet has awoken, gaining 7 gigatons of mass yesterday alone:
The GFS is calling for an extended run of anomalous cold through the remainder of January and into February, with exceptional snowfall persisting across the southeast.
This could prove the turning point for Greenland’s season.
Uptick In Great Lakes Ice Coverage
Ice coverage across the Great Lakes is also on the up and up.
Lake Eire is now 81% frozen over, almost double the multidecadal norm for the date. Lake Ontario and Lake Michigan are also up.
Despite decades of warm-mongering, Greats Lakes ice is bang on the 1973-2024 combined average of 25%…
…and growing thanks to continued favorable conditions.
This is proving a very cold January, for the majority of America, in fact:
Global Warming And Extreme Cold
The U.S. continues to reel under record cold, with all-time benchmarks falling.
Three states have broken their all-time snowfall records: Florida has received 10+ inches, at Milton, in the Panhandle—smashing the previous record of 4 inches from 1954; Louisiana has posted 10 inches thus far, at New Orleans—more than tripling the old 1963 record; while Alabama has seen 7.5 inches, at Mobile—besting its 1985 record of 6 inches.
From extreme subzero conditions in the Midwest to snowstorms along the Gulf Coast, the Arctic blast has delivered…
Global warming proponents are eagerly tying this record-breaking freeze to their beloved theory. For decades, it was all about uniform planetary warming: ‘forever hotter.’ Now though, as real-world observations have refused to cooperate, the AGW Party is scrambling to shift the goalposts, silencing those that happen to notice.
The polar vortex, a naturally occurring system of cold air circling the Arctic, occasionally weakens, spilling frigid air southward. The latest fanciful claim is that Arctic warming weakens the jet stream, allowing cold polar air to escape southward. I say ‘fanciful’ because it lacks any empirical evidence and is contradicted by historical and observational data showing that extreme cold events occurred with regularity long before significant Arctic warming. Even with modern instances, such as America’s 2014 polar outbreak or the deadly 2021 freeze, these occurred due to natural atmospheric variability, as per NOAA.
NOAA’s Dr.Amy Butler goes further: “I don’t think there is any convincing evidence of a long-term trend in the polar vortex.”
Even the IPCC rates the connection as “low confidence.”
Despite the crippling lack of evidence, the CAGW fanboys are still selling the connection anyway:
Cognitive bias has folks convinced that record-breaking cold—felling all-time records from the 1800s—is perfectly normal in a ‘catastrophically’ warming world, meaning there are no weather events left to refute global warming, all bases are covered.
The cult keenly laps it all up, parroting the talking points:
Critics of this ‘pivot,’ such as the late Dr. Tim Ball, have argued that AGW proponents routinely adjust their theories to fit reality: “When predictions fail, they retrofit new explanations rather than admit flaws in the original hypothesis,” said Ball.
One plus, fewer and fewer people are taking the climate crazies seriously anymore.
With a change of administration in America, this promises to be a new dawn.
Fink Questioned
While I guess ultimately pointless, this was still a good watch:
See : https://x.com/OzraeliAvi/status/1882190113591144911?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1882190113591144911%7Ctwgr%5E79c201583f4be345ec2576c42f41ebc0704e754f%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Felectroverse.info%2Fwinter-storm-slams-siberia-greenland-ice-sheet-gains-uptick-in-great-lakes-ice-coverage-global-warming-and-extreme-cold-fink-questioned%2F&mx=2
Extremes Insights; Wind Power Below 1%; Two CMEs; + Trump Bans CBDCs—Or Does He?
January 24, 2025 Cap Allon
Extremes Insights
Contrary to alarmist tales, the flagship examples of the movement—hurricanes and wildfires—do not exhibit the worsening global trends often attributed to climate change. Instead, these patterns are driven by natural variability and regional factors.
https://electroverse.info/extremes-insights-wind-power-below-1-two-cmes-trump-bans-cbdcs-or-does-he/
Hurricanes
The data show that global hurricane frequency has not increased since 1980 and has declined since 1990. Major hurricanes show no significant upward trend. Although the proportion of stronger storms has risen, this is due to a decline in overall hurricane numbers, not an increase in major hurricanes. Global Tropical Cyclone intensity, as measured by ACE, shows the same trend.
Tropical cyclones are warm-core cyclones with organized convection and closed wind circulation. Hurricanes, typhoons, and major hurricanes are categorized by increasing wind speeds—with the latter reaching at least 111 mph.
Metrics like the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index assess Tropical cyclone and Hurricane intensity and duration:
Wildfires
Wildfires are vital to ecosystems, clearing underbrush, recycling nutrients, and fostering regeneration. Saying that, human activity, such as urban planning, has indeed exacerbated wildfire risks in certain regions.
California’s wildfires are largely down to humans: 97% of fires are caused by human ignitions, with power lines becoming a major source. Wind-driven events like Santa Ana Winds exacerbate risks by drying vegetation within hours.
Globally, wildfire frequency and burned areas have dropped significantly over the past two decades:
It’s good news all round, in fact — fewer people are dying from natural disasters than ever before…
Addressing hurricane and fire risks requires infrastructure upgrades, improved weather modeling, prescribed burns in the case of wildfires, and public awareness, not hamstringing the economy with emission reductions.
Wind Power Below 1%
The UK’s obsession with wind and solar is crippling its economy, driving up energy costs while delivering no environmental benefits.
This week’s collapse in wind power generation underscores the folly of relying on something as fickle as the weather for a critical resource: electricity. Output tanked to less than 1% of the country’s supply due to an atmospheric lull—a “dunkelflaute”—and it exposed the UK’s energy policy as disastrously short-sighted.
The UK’s 12,000 wind turbines, touted as the backbone of a green revolution, were producing a pathetic 200 megawatts at their lowest point—less than 2% of their capacity. Winter demand in the UK is around 50GW.
During this week’s calm spell, Britain was forced to import over 10% of its electricity from neighbors like France and Norway via undersea cables. Meanwhile, the aging and out-of-favor gas-fired power stations, which still shoulder the lion’s share of energy production, had to scramble to meet demand. The cost was astronomical. One gas plant was offered an obscene £745 per megawatt hour, compared to the usual £100—a spike that will inevitably hit consumers’ wallets.
The Ratcliffe-on-Soar coal plant could have helped by adding 2GW to the grid, but it closed last year as a symbolic gesture to cut greenhouse gas emissions — another potentially catastrophic misstep.
Britain’s grid managed to limp through this latest crisis, but the strain was palpable and the extra cost eye-watering.
Proponents of wind and solar energy sold their vision on the promise of sustainability, reliability, and affordability. So far, they’ve delivered none of these. The UK’s economy is failing with the burden of skyrocketing energy costs, households are bracing for even higher bills, and the climate isn’t noticeably any better: Arctic Blasts, heatwaves, floods, and droughts are all still occurring?!
The winds are about to pick up with the arrival of Storm Éowyn. The only trouble is, they’re going to blow a little too much. As is proving a regular occurrence, British taxpayers will be paying for wind turbines to be shut down due to strong winds.
In 2024, the UK spent £1 billion compensating wind farms to cease operations during periods of high wind. This practice, known as curtailment, is expected to cost £2.5 billion annually over the next few years.
Two CMEs
The latest NOAA model indicates that two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) may be about to graze Earth’s magnetic field—the first on Jan 24 and the second Jan 25.
If both CMEs make contact, their combined effects could trigger a G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm.
Overall though, solar activity appears to be on a continued downward trajectory.
Cold January For Florida; Big Freeze Kills Thousands Of Mullet; Harsh Lows Grip Pakistan; India Chills; Alyeska Already At 436 inches; Snow Warning For Portugal; Record Cold To Spark Rare Clouds; + Today’s Sun
January 27, 2025 Cap Allon
Cold January For Florida
As with the majority of the United States, 2025 has started cold across Florida, with temperatures consistently holding well-below seasonal norms.
Morning lows have been dipping into the 30s and 40s in Central parts, while afternoons are struggling to warm past the 50s and 60s — a stark departure from the usual January highs of around 72F (22C).
With an average daily high of just 55F (12.87C), Orlando is experiencing its seventh coldest January on record.
Big Freeze Kills Thousands Of Mullet
Last week’s cold blast impacted much of the Gulf Coast, including Baldwin County, Alabama where thermometers plummeted to a rare 16F (-8.9F), partially icing over Little Lagoon and in the process killing thousands of mullet.
The hard freeze, which dipped temperatures below freezing for six consecutive days, occurs roughly every 10 years, explained Brian Jones, curator at Dauphin Island Sea Lab’s Alabama Aquarium, with the last significant event in 2018.
The lagoon’s shallow canals became deadly cold traps, said Little Lagoon Preservation Society President Dennis Hatfield. “You can almost bet on mullet kills during a hard freeze,” he noted.
The true extent of the fish kill is still expected unfold, with less common species like speckled trout or snook among the casualties. However, the impact on the ecosystem will likely be short-lived.
The city plans to bury any fish not scavenged by the bird and crabs in sand dunes, turning the tragedy into fertilizer for sea oats.
Harsh Lows Grip Pakistan
A severe cold wave is gripping Pakistan, with Islamabad posting a 0C (32F) over the weekend, significantly below average.
Other anomalies across the country include Lahore, which saw 7C (44.6F), Karachi at 12C (53.6F), and Peshawar with 5C (41F). While in the north, Leh hit a record-breaking -13C (8.6F), Astore -11C (12.2F), and Gupis -9C (15.8F).
Across the border, Indian-administered Kashmir also froze, with Srinagar posting -4C (24.8F) and Pulwama at -5C (23F).
The Meteorological Department urges precautions, especially in icy northern areas, with the cold wave set to continue.
India Chills
Rajasthan, the largest state in India, is enduring an unusually strong cold wave.
Fatehpur registered 0 (32F), while Mount Abu shivered at 1.8 (35F). Other cities like Sikar, Chittorgarh, and Udaipur are witnessing anomalous lows between 2C (36F) and 5C (41F), as icy northern winds sweep through the state.
Daytime temperatures have provided little relief. Jaipur, Kota, Udaipur, and Jodhpurremain uncomfortably cold, while slightly warmer cities like Barmer and Jalore struggle. Frost has blanketed much of the state, wreaking havoc on crops and leaving farmers scrambling to salvage their livelihoods. Districts like Karauli, Dausa, Nagaur, and Churu are among the worst affected.
Across northern India, this winter has proven colder and snowier than usual. The northern peaks have seen heavier snowfall, amplifying the icy winds blowing south across the plains. In Rajasthan, residents bundle up in heavy woolens, and heaters are in record demand.
Alyeska Already At 436 inches
Returning to North America: the Alyeska Resort in Alaska added 37-inch of snow on Saturday, pushing the season’s total to 436 inches—an incredible feat for January.
Alyeska boasts a history of impressive totals, averaging 512 inches at mid-mountain, and 650 up top.
Recent seasons include the 740 inches in 2022-23, the 785 inches in 2021-22, and the 735 inches in 2020-21.
The 2024-25 season is on track to deliver another burial.
Snow Warning For Portugal
A quick word on my neck of the woods: A Yellow Snow Warning is in effect for regions of Portugal on Monday and Tuesday, including Castelo Branco.
Snowfall is expected above 800 m (2,600 ft), with 15 cm (5.9 inches) accumulating, more at higher elevations.
Authorities warn of possible road restrictions, structural damage, and supply disruptions due to snow and icing. Residents and travelers are urged to stay cautious and avoid unnecessary travel in affected areas.
Record Cold To Spark Rare Clouds
A dazzling display of Type II Polar Stratospheric Clouds (PSCs)—often hailed as the most beautiful clouds on Earth—could be about to adorn Arctic skies.
NASA’s MERRA2 satellite-based climate model projects polar stratospheric temperatures plunging to unprecedented lows in the coming days—to their lowest point in nearly half a century:
Record Cold To Spark Rare Clouds
A dazzling display of Type II Polar Stratospheric Clouds (PSCs)—often hailed as the most beautiful clouds on Earth—could be about to adorn Arctic skies.
NASA’s MERRA2 satellite-based climate model projects polar stratospheric temperatures plunging to unprecedented lows in the coming days—to their lowest point in nearly half a century:
If the forecast holds, it will create ideal conditions for the emergence of intense PSCs.
Typically, Earth’s stratosphere is void of clouds due to its dry, stable air. However, when temperatures tank to -85C (121F), scattered water molecules condense and crystallize into dazzling Type II PSCs, producing a show rivaling the aurora borealis.
Today’s Sun
The Sun is quiet—but for a CME released from a filament eruption on Jan 26.
While most of the blast is expected to pass south of Earth, NOAA forecasters say it could graze the planet on Jan 29, triggering a G1 geomagnetic storm.
A total of 140 sunspots are visible Jan 27 — all of which are stable and quiet:
Our star appears to have given up the ghost in recent months
20 JANUARY 2025
CALIFORNIA FIRES have diminished as the SANTA ANA WINDS lessened and an onshore flow started. During the fires over 100,000 were evacuated and entire communities were devastated with ~ 26 deaths and > $250 billion in damages. The area looked like an atomic bomb wiped out the homes and businesses. Beginning January 17th, a cold Arctic blast was spun off from a weakened Polar Vortex. This extreme cold dome came down in a 1050 mb high that will break records from Minnesota to the Gulf. The Presidential Inauguration was moved inside the Capitol Rotunda due to the cold and snow. A Cape Hatteras Low will move up the East coast dumping snow from Washington to Boston and inland.
“An all-encompassing Arctic blast is plunging 300 million Americans into bitter cold as the ‘polar vortex’ ‘breaks loose’.
This extreme cold, driven by a violent buckling of the jet stream, is ushering in temperatures some 30F below normal across much of the country—on course to hold all week. The biting chill is being accompanied by snow and thick ice, meaning vast regions of the Midwest, South, and East Coast are grappling with dangerous conditions.” 20 January 2025 - President Trump’s Inauguration ceremonies were moved inside the Capitol due to this extreme cold (12º with 10-15 kt winds).
Arctic air also hit Europe stressing energy supplies from Scotland to Germany and Italy. North Macedonia had heavy snow that restricted travel. Bulgaria had over 40 cm of snow. “Albania has bore the brunt of the frigid conditions, with more than 70 schools shuttered and access to numerous villages cut off.” Greenland, Iceland and Norway had heavy snows. The ECMWF model predicted 3 to 8 meters of snow on the SE Greenland coastal mountains during the next 15 days. Summit Tower on the Greenland Plateau had -55ºC this week. The UK and Ireland again had a cold, snowy (13-101 cm) week. January is shaping up as a record cold month. However, Slovenia’s Alps are sharply lagging their normal >200 cm with only 60-70 cm today.
Asia also had more cold and snow with Japan continuing its near record snows with 110 to 147 cm predicted and over 100 cm in many mountain areas. “ ARAI Snow Resort in Myoko City, Niigata is currently leads with 486 cm (16 ft), owing to an extra 53 cm (1.74ft) over the past 24-hours on 16 Jan 2025.”
The Southern Hemisphere continued to have a relatively mild summer with periodic Antarctic fronts bringing relief to the heat in Australia and South America. Deep storms (970 to 940 mb) continued to blast the Antarctic with 1-3 meters of new snow. Bolivia and Peru had 88 to 121 cm snows and the southern Andes had 234 to 477 cm snow forecasts. South Georgia Island even had 70 to 113 cm. The Ross Sea is ~80 % open and the Weddell Sea has opened on the east side to ~50%.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
New Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/11/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 11 January showed warming off Equador with cooling from 120 to180º W. Winter 2024, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low pulled cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 20 January 2025
Polar Conditions Grip SE Europe; Deadly Avalanche In Italy; Germany’s Heating Demand Soars; Population Density By Latitude; + U.S. Still On Course To Freeze
January 15, 2025 Cap Allon
Polar Conditions Grip SE Europe
Southeastern Europe is enduring a brutal cold spell this week. Temperatures have tanked well below seasonal norms, with Ice, heavy snowfall, and widespread disruptions sweeping a large region.
Freezing weather has blanketed much of the Balkans, disrupting transportation, closing schools, and isolating remote villages. A storm system unleashed powerful winds and substantial snow across countries such as Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Greece, Italy, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Slovenia.
Albania has bore the brunt of the frigid conditions, with more than 70 schools shuttered and access to numerous villages cut off. With the skies temporarily clearing, emergency crews worked around the clock to clear snow-covered roads.
In Bulgaria’s Smolyan region, the snow piled up to 40+cm (16 inches), bringing significant delays.
While in North Macedonia, regions such as Prilep have imposed restrictions on larger vehicles as snow made regional roads treacherous. Emergency teams, working non-stop for over 48 hours now, are struggling to keep the traffic moving.
SE Europe’s anomalous cold is forecast to persist all week, due to intensify, actually.
Ever keen to maintain The Narrative, the European Environment Agency (EEA) has attributed these extreme cold spells to global warming, which they claim is driving increasingly erratic and severe weather patterns across the continent: warm = cold.
These ‘horrors of global warming’ are impacting Western and Central Europe and all…
Deadly Avalanche In Italy
Recent heavy snowfall across the Italian peaks has heightened the avalanche risk, leading to deadly incidents.
An avalanche on Punta Valgrande, near the Italy-Switzerland border, has claimed the lives of three skiers. The victims were swept thousands of feet downhill by the cascading snow. Rescue teams, arriving swiftly by helicopter, managed to save two individuals but tragically found three others deceased at the scene.
Prior to the incident, authorities had issued an avalanche alert for areas above 2,100 meters (6,900 feet) in Piedmont, warning of considerable danger.
In a separate event, the search for a missing climber in Adamello was temporarily suspended because of worsening conditions.
Across the Alps, areas over 600 meters (2,000 feet) have experienced significant snowfall of late, with more to come:
Germany’s Heating Demand Soars
German authorities have issued snow and ice alerts owing to the recent “severe cold weather”.
The freeze has led to a significant increase in heating demand, causing power consumption to approach the all-time high. Transportation has also been disrupted, with flights delayed at Leipzig and Cologne Bonn airports–to name just two.
Germany’s energy woes are a masterclass in policy failure, in ideology trumping logic. The country’s reckless pursuit of unreliable renewables, coupled with its ill-conceived decision to phase out nuclear power, has left it vulnerable energy shortages.
Wind and solar, touted as the panacea for Germany’s energy needs, falter precisely when they are needed most—during long, frigid winters when the sun is scarce, and the winds are still. Instead of a robust, diversified energy strategy, Germany, like most Western economies, bowed to whims of fanatics, betting on intermittent sources that consistently fail to deliver.
Adding to the woes was its dependence on Russian gas.
For years, Berlin ignored the risks of relying on an foreign regime for critical resources, only to see its vulnerability laid bare when Moscow weaponized its energy exports. Now, Germans grapple with soaring heating costs and the looming threat of winter blackouts—the penalty for prioritizing “green propaganda” over pragmatic energy security.
The energy sector is buckling under the weight of skyrocketing demand, with resources stretched thin. The German Weather Service has urged residents to prepare for continued cold, keeping emergency services on high alert.
Population Density By Latitude
Warmer climates have always been a boon for life on Earth. They are called “climate optimums” because they support greater biodiversity and abundance. The climate zealots among us have it entirely backwards.
Humans are inherently tropical creatures. We evolved at the equator, thriving in warmth, and only managed to inhabit higher latitudes through technological ingenuity—fire, clothing, and shelter.
Yet even with these adaptations, the vast majority of humanity still prefers the warm embrace of regions between 40°N and 40°S, with 75% clustered even closer, between 30°N and 30°S. These that are the regions of comfort and life:
Biodiversity plummets as you move away from the tropics—cold and inhospitability go hand in hand, as one intensifies so does the other. The CAGW narrative blatantly ignores this fundamental truth: cold is the killer.
U.S. Still On Course To Freeze
This is still looming, by the way:
February will be cold and snowy and all—at least according to the latest long-range snowfall guidance. “A strong temperature gradient may drive a train of storms,” writes meteorologist Ben Noll on X.
Japan Resorts Near 5 Meters (16.4 Feet) Of Snow; England On For 7th Coldest January Since 1659; The World Is Burning Less; America, Prepare; + Hemisphere-Wide Freeze Incoming
January 16, 2025 Cap Allon
Japan Resorts Near 5 Meters (16.4 Feet) Of Snow
Japan’s ski resorts are experiencing one of their snowiest starts to a season on record, with several resorts reporting snow depths exceeding 400 cm (13 feet).
ARAI Snow Resort in Myoko City, Niigata is currently leads with 486 cm (16 ft), owing to an extra 53 cm (1.74ft) over the past 24-hours.
In total, some 30 ski areas across the country are reporting snow depths above 300 cm. Resorts in Niigata, Nagano, and Yamagata dominate the list.
While Japan is no stranger to heavy snow, this season stands out.
Several resorts have already surpassed their average peak season snow depths, and conditions rival some of the heaviest winters on record, particularly at ARAI, Charmant Hiuchi, Tengendai Kogen, and Hakuba Happo-One—to name just four.
The snowy conditions are forecast to persist; historically, Japan sees its heaviest snowfall from mid to late January.
England On For 7th Coldest January Since 1659
After asserting that ‘very cold winters were highly unlikely now due to gLoBaL wArMiNg,’ the UK’s Met Office has some explaining to do: January 2025 is proving not only very cold but historical so.
To Jan 14th, the Central England Temperature (CET) record—the world’s longest-running temperature dataset, dating back to 1659—shows an average of just 2C. This marks an anomaly of -1.8C below the 1960–1990 average (a cold era, by the way).
Remarkably, despite the ravages of ‘catastrophic planetary heating,’ England is on track for its seventh coldest January in 366 years, beaten only by the Januaries of 1716, 1963, 1740, 1814, 1684, and 1795.
Under the AGW hypothesis, a first half of January this cold should be all-but impossible by now. Time to rethink the hypothesis.
And there’s more cold to come. This weekend looks set to be another chilly one (with Ireland spared):
The World Is Burning Less
NASA satellite data shows a sharp, decades-long decline in global burned area, with 2024 marking the second-lowest level ever recorded.
Savanna fires, which account for over 80% of global burned areas and more than half of PM2.5 air pollution, have significantly decreased. This has slashed fire-related air pollution deaths by nearly 25% from 2000 to 2019, even as the global population grew by 1.6 billion. Yet these improvements are casually brushed aside as they destroy the lucrative ‘climate catastrophe’ grift.
Laughably, outlets like The Washington Post dismiss this global decline as “misleading,” instead focusing their readers on only the regional, localized fires that are increasing. The most dangerous and polluting fires—savanna fires—are discounted entirely to sustain The Narrative.
As Bjorn Lomborg notes, the MSM only highlights areas that burn more, ignoring the larger picture of decline. This isn’t about data or science, clearly—it’s about anti-human politics. Regardless though, the world is burning less, air quality is improving, and lives are being saved.
It’s Still Coming America…
AccuWeather has dubbed it an “Arctic Invasion”; Meteorologist Chris Martz calls it “old-time cold”…
A few possible developments re. the Polar Outbreak about to wallop the States…
One plausible outcome, as per the ICON model, suggests that stronger high-pressure systems in the Southeast could drive colder air further south. This shift may result in conditions too cold and dry for precipitation in areas like Atlanta.
Instead, snow could fall along the I-10 corridor, stretching from New Orleans to Pensacola and Tallahassee—a rare event.
The GFS model goes even further, with the polar front plunging directly into the Gulf of Mexico. Under this scenario, the South would remain largely dry, with no snow expected through next Wednesday, but the cold will be biting, record-beating.
Either way, America: prepare.
Hemisphere-Wide Freeze Incoming
For the Northern Hemisphere more broadly, negative anomalous are forecast tp dominate for the remainder of January:
As the ever ‘spiky’ Ryan Maue, PhD writes on X: “During next two-weeks, extreme cold over Northern Hemisphere continents may be enough to return global temperatures to the 1991-2020 mean, temporarily erasing the last 5-years of global warming.”
This should lead to a sizable dip in January’s UAH.
The COLD TIMES are returning—and while it may be tempting to throw this in the face of oblivious CAGW proponents, the implications are sobering: lower crop yields, strained energy grids, and, ultimately, increased mortality.
Thailand’s Unusual Chill; Drought Of ’77 Blamed On Cooling; America’s Arctic Outbreak, Updated Forecast; + Sense
January 17, 2025 Cap Allon
Thailand’s Unusual Chill
Thailand is enduring unusual cold, with a high-pressure system from China sending temperatures tanking. This rare phenomenon, similar to a ‘polar vortex’, has disrupted typical weather patterns, and has left much of SE Asia shivering.
On Jan 13, Sakon Nakhon logged a low of 6.6C (43.9F), one of the coldest temperatures in years. While in Bangkok’s Bang Na district, thermometers read 15.2C (59.4F), far below the usual 23-33C (73.4-91.4F) range for this time of year.
The Thai Meteorological Department expects the cold to linger into mid-February, with even March and April, typically Thailand’s hottest months, currently forecast to hold cooler than normal. An early rainy season, influenced by La Niña, is also on the cards.
Drought Of ’77 Blamed On Cooling
The drought of 1977, which affected much of the U.S., particularly western states like California and Montana, was one of the most significant droughts of the 20th century, impacting agriculture, water supplies, and ecosystems.
It was blamed on global cooling and expanding polar ice:
Politicians and experts of the time went further and all, warning citizens of a chilling future, urging action against the looming threat of a colder, drier world. Fast-forward a few decades, and now droughts are blamed on global warming and shrinking polar ice.
I don’t think we’re witnessing evolving science here, merely evolving rhetoric tailored to fit the crisis of the day. The narrative appears as cyclical as the climate itself, as fickle as the weather. Yet the pattern remains: extreme weather events are consistently used to stoke fears of imminent catastrophe.
America’s Arctic Outbreak, Updated Forecast
The ‘Polar Vortex’ —a recent term for the circulation of frigid air in the upper atmosphere— is breaking loose, allowing Siberian cold to cross the Arctic and spill into North America. This pattern will bring record lows and unusual snows from the Mid-Atlantic to the Gulf Coast.
Initially, a weaker system is expected to deliver 1–2 inches of snow to the Washington D.C. area on Sunday. This low-pressure system could then intensify into a mini-Nor’easter, blanketing parts of New England with heavier snowfall.
Further south, an unprecedented event may develop along the Gulf Coast. Models consistently show snow and ice from Houston to Jacksonville, with snowfall totals topping 6 inches and freezing rain possible even in northern Florida. While the exact track remains uncertain, this has the potential to be a historic winter weather event for the region.
Below is the ECMWF model showing snow totals (inches) for the next 6-days: SEE ALBUM
The cold behind this snow blast will be truly intense, record-setting.
In Pittsburgh, temperatures could drop as low as -20F by Wednesday morning, while Chicago is forecast to hit -8F on Tuesday. These dangerously low temperatures, combined with snow-covered ground, will bring life-threatening wind chills across much of the Midwest and Northeast. Nationwide, subzero lows will dominate, creating harsh, dangerous conditions throughout the week.
Here’s how the ECMWF sees it (Jan 17 – Jan 22):
The bitter chill will also make its presence felt in major events.
Buffalo will experience temperatures in the teens (F) during Sunday’s NFL playoff game. On Monday, around 20F is forecast in Washington D.C. which would make for one of the coldest Inauguration Days on record, certainly the coldest in 40-years. Wind chills will take things down to the single digits, with perhaps some lingering snow on the ground from Sunday’s accumulations.
Looking ahead, the Arctic chill will persist into next week. Then, even colder air forecast to arrive at the end of January. Montana, in particular, may see temperatures 20°F below average as another surge of Arctic air arrives.
Here’s what the GFS currently sees for Jan 25:
Sense
Some common sense may be (re-)entering U.S. policy making. A little logic, and all.
Ron Wyden, senior Senator from Oregon: “We’re in a clean energy arms race with China. Which side are you on?”
Scott Bessent, investor, nominated to serve as the Secretary of the Treasury: “China will build 100 new coal plants this year. There is not a clean energy race. There is an energy race.”
Record-Breaking Cold Enters The U.S. + The Great Climate Retreat
January 20, 2025 Cap Allon
Record Cold Enters The U.S.
An all-encompassing Arctic blast is plunging 300 million Americans into bitter cold as the ‘polar vortex’ ‘breaks loose’.
This extreme cold, driven by a violent buckling of the jet stream, is ushering in temperatures some 30F below normal across much of the country—on course to hold all week. The biting chill is being accompanied by snow and thick ice, meaning vast regions of the Midwest, South, and East Coast are grappling with dangerous conditions.
On Saturday, Jan 18, temperatures in the northern U.S. had hit the single digits (F), with wind chills in the negative teens. By Sunday, conditions worsened as the cold reached the Central Plains, dropping wind chills to -20F (-29C) and daytime highs barely into the teens. By early Monday, the polar air mass will reach the Deep South, freezing the likes of Atlanta with lows of 32F (0C).
The Rockies, Plains, and Midwest face harsher cold, with some areas set to struggle to climb above 0F (-18C). Record-breaking cold is set to grip cities like Minneapolis, where temps are tanking to -30F (-34C) overnight Sunday. Washington, D.C., is bracing for its coldest Inauguration Day in 40 years, with highs in the low 20s (-6C) and wind chills in the single digits (-9C to -13C).
https://electroverse.info/record-breaking-cold-enters-the-u-s-the-great-climate-retreat/
This historic cold is being accompanied by heavy snow and ice stretching from New England to the Gulf Coast.
Boston is expecting 4-8 inches of snow, Philadelphia 3-7 inches, and Washington, D.C., up to 3 inches. Even the South is feeling the effects, with Charleston, South Carolina, bracing for snow. New Orleans could be on for its largest snowstorm in 130 years Tuesday, with as much as 4 inches in the forecast.
Heavier falls are expected over higher ground, of course, particularly out West:
Across more northerly states, the National Weather Service has issued warnings for frostbite and hypothermia.
In Pittsburgh, for example, exposed skin can freeze within 30 minutes at wind chills of -25F (-32C). Cleveland residents are cautioned about infrastructure damage, including frozen pipes and dead car batteries. Improper heating methods also raise the risk of carbon monoxide poisoning.
The extreme cold is disrupting daily life and local economies.
Schools across affected regions are likely to close, and increased heating demands are already straining power grids. Travel has been severely impacted, with over 1,100 flights canceled and 5,380 delayed Sunday night. Major airports, including Newark Liberty, LaGuardia, and Reagan National, have been hardest hit.
On the roads, snow emergencies have been declared in parts of Pennsylvania and New Jersey, restricting vehicle use and parking to facilitate snow removal.
The intensity of this cold blast will rival some of the worst in recent history, setting records across the board.
The last Inauguration Day this frigid was in 1985, when President Reagan’s ceremony was moved indoors due to lows of 7F (-14C).
Latest warnings call for extreme conditions to linger through midweek, with subzero wind chills persisting.
Already in Canada, a wind chill of -59C (-74.2F) has been logged in Baker Lake, NU — the country’s lowest of the season so far.
The Great Climate Retreat
Love him, hate him, like him, meh him — logic is logic, sense is sense:
In recent months though, the climate policy narrative has shifted dramatically. Governments, corporations, and institutions are finally retreating from the economically suicidal commitments of the last decade.
Two key moves epitomize this pivot: the U.S. Federal Reserve’s withdrawal from the Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) and BlackRock’s exit from the Net Zero Asset Managers initiative (NZAM), effectively collapsing the coalition. These two actions are the cherries atop a growing institutional movement that now widely accepts that climate policies are costly, entirely ineffective, and, therefore, politically untenable. I think we won.
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s departure from the NGFS came as a shock to the coffee-spitting catastrophists among us. What began as a coalition to address climate-related financial risks morphed into a politicized platform for pushing ‘green’ mandates at odds with economic priorities. The Fed’s withdrawal comes amid broader U.S. skepticism of regulatory overreach in the name of climate, particularly in the financial sector, where such policies are infamous for inflating costs and disrupting industries.
BlackRock has also recently dumped its climate initiatives, exiting NZAM and signaling a broader retreat from politicized investments. Once a leading proponent of net-zero, BlackRock faced mounting criticism for prioritizing absurd environmental, social, and governance (ESG) goals over fiduciary duties.
States like Florida and Texas accused BlackRock of undermining energy industries, while Tennessee took the firm to court. Pressured to deliver financial returns, not ideological BS, BlackRock has now joined the growing list of institutions dumping woke.
Energy giants BP and Shell have also scaled back their climate pledges—no real surprises there. BP has divested from offshore wind projects, while Shell drastically reduced renewable investments, returning focus to traditional energy.
These shifts reflect a truth: oil, gas, and coal remain the backbone of global energy, and so human prosperity, while renewables rely on subsidies and lack reliability.
Europe’s energy woes have are down to a rapid phase out of fossil fuels which has driven up costs, destabilized energy grids, and created real economic hardships.
But ideological commitments crumble when confronted with economic realities.
Countries once celebrated for their green ambitions are now grappling with the fallout. Germany faces soaring electricity costs and industrial flight, while the UK is contending with public backlash over rising energy bills and stagnating growth.
In the U.S., the Inflation Reduction Act’s ‘clean energy subsidies’ are projected to cost $825 billion over the next decade, with this cost disproportionately hitting working households.
The growing backlash stems from the realization that climate policies often demand immense economic sacrifices while delivering negligible environmental benefits. Worse, they exacerbate existing issues like supply chain disruptions and inflation.
This unraveling of climate coalitions is a long-overdue course correct. Policymakers must focus on energy reliability, affordability, and innovation instead of blindly appeasing the purple-haired, placard-brandishing banshees that roam the forests.
I trust Trump on this issue, and I see the rest of the West having no choice but to follow suit, and soon.
13 JANUARY 2025
EXTREME SANTA ANA WINDS hit Los Angles destroying multimillion dollar homes with uncontrollable wild fires. Five fires raced down the hills to the sea around Malibu. Pasadena, JPL, Rose Bowl all threatened with this armageddon fire. Over 100,000 people were evacuated, total devastation hit dozens of communities and over 12,000 structures were leveled and over 16 people have died. Winds ranged from 50 to 100 kt keeping fire fighters and aircraft at bay. This is the most devastating fire in the history of LA and likely worst disaster in US History. Lack of water in fire hydrants, and dry reservoirs indicated gross miss management of the fire protection system according to the fire departments and media. More than half of the fires in urban areas like LA and Oakland are linked to homelessness, often caused by illegal campfires or intentional arson (with 95+% of the total wildfires in CA started by arson/human carelessness).
The central US from Texas to NC had a severe winter storm with freezing rain and snow covering areas where snow is rare. Cold and snow records were set from Texas to Kentucky. Arkansas had 3 to 14 inch storm totals; Mississippi had 3-7 inches; Tennessee 3-7 inch; while many areas from Alabama to NC had 0.1 to 0.25 inches of freezing rain. The Rockies continued to get light snows from passing cold fronts as the temperature fell below Zero F. The mountains from Alaska to the Cascades continued to get 1 to 5 m 15-day Snowfall forecasts as a deep 956 mb storm in the Gulf of Alaska pumped moisture northward in a strong Atmospheric River.
Europe also experienced cold and snow with the UK and Ireland setting records over the past 6-7 days. The UK and Ireland had yellow and orange alerts for cold and snow this week. Romania has a gas crisis due to cold weather across Europe. Finland dropped to -38.9ºC - a normal winter ! Eastern Siberia has a pocket of very cold -40 to -55ºC air that is predicted to hit the US by 21 January submerging N America in extreme cold.
Both N and S Hemisphere jet streams remain strong with 215 and 187 kt respectively in a meridional - wavy stormy flow pattern. This pattern is responsible for the Santa Ana winds in the LA Basin, and record cold in the UK. Waves extend from the Arctic to the Gulf of Mexico and Greenland to Central and N. Europe. Of course on the warm sector of the wave, it is mild as in western Siberia with 0 to -10ºC !
Asia continues cold and snowy. A Record freeze hit Pakistan as the region gets Siberian air and Hindukusch picks up heavy snows. Heavy snows continued in Japan with some farm areas receiving 110 cm in 3 days.
Australia and South America still have Antarctic Highs cooling them periodically; however, interior temperatures range from 25 to 45ºC in the windy.com satellite images. Thunderstorm tops also reach -60 to -70ºC with frequent lightning. The Andes continue to pick up significant snows (1-3 m) from the south to Bolivia and Peru.
Storms (941 - 970 mb ) continue to batter the Antarctic Coastal mountains with 1-3 m of new snow. Blizzards accompany these storms with 30 - 50 kt winds. Interior temperatures range from -43 to -20º. The Ross Sea is ~80 % open and the Weddell Sea has opened on the east side to ~40%.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
New Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/03/25 has an intensifying La Niña. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 13 January 2025
UK Shivers At -13.3C (8F); Flawed Data; Cold Winter Exacerbates Romania Gas Crisis; + Arctic Blast Continues Across The U.S.
January 7, 2025 Cap Allon
UK Shivers At -13.3C (8F)
The UK’s coldest night of winter so far was recorded in the UK, with temperatures in northern Scotland plunging to -13.3C (8F), as per Met Office data.
The low was logged at Loch Glascarnoch, a reservoir in the Scottish Highland, during the early hours of Monday morning. Schools across Aberdeenshire, the Highlands, and Moray were among those forced to close as snow/ice gripped the area.
Last winter, thermometers in the Highland village of Dalwhinnie dropped to -14C (7F). This low is expected to be bested later this week as an even colder air mass descends into the UK, running Wednesday through Friday. Meteorologists aren’t ruling -20C (-4F) or below in the Highlands, which would threaten the UK’s coldest temperatures (for the dates) on record, set back in 1982.
As winter deepens, the UK remains firmly in the grip of freezing temperatures.
The snow isn’t letting up either, with warnings currently in place for much of the country:
https://electroverse.info/uk-shivers-at-13-3c-8f-flawed-data-cold-winter-exacerbates-romania-gas-crisis-arctic-blast-continues-across-the-u-s/
Flawed Data
UK annual temperatures have decreased for the second consecutive year:
The Met Office is keen to point to what it frames as an ‘unrelenting upward trend in mean temperatures’. However, this trend is presented without error margins, a critical omission that raises questions about the statistical rigor of their analysis.
A major issue lies in the poor siting of weather stations, recently discussed by Paul Homewood at notalotofpeopleknowthat.com. As per WMO standards, Class 4 and Class 5 sites—representing 77.9% of the UK network—carry uncertainties of up to 2C and 5C, respectively.
Averaging these, the UK’s official temperature measurements may be overstated by as much as 2.5C. Unlike errors in other fields, which might ultimately cancel each other out, poor thermometer siting consistently inflates temperature readings.
The problem is exacerbated when attempting to compare modern readings with historical data. There’s no documentation of the siting quality of stations from earlier decades, rendering long-term trend analysis unreliable. If we account for a plausible 1C margin of error, recent temperatures are statistically indistinguishable from those recorded in the early 20th century.
The Met Office flat out refuses to adjust for urban heat island (UHI) effects, which artificially inflate temps at urbanized sites.
Without addressing the fatal, heat-skewing issues with its network and the omission of error margins, the Met Office’s claims about record temperatures and climatic trends are far from scientifically definitive.
The agency’s assertion that it can calculate UK temperatures to the hundredth of a degree is also provably absurd.
Cold Winter Exacerbates Romania Gas Crisis
The spot price of natural gas on the Romanian Commodity Exchange (BRM) surged 66% year-over-year to RON 250 (EUR 50) per MWh at the start of 2025.
A harsher winter compared to last year accelerated gas extraction from domestic storage, leading to faster reserve depletion. On Jan 1, Romania’s gas reserves stood at 22 TWh—65% of total capacity—6 TWh less than the same day last year.
The rapid depletion of reserves is being further impacted by Romania’s gas exports to Moldova. Moldova, facing an energy crisis after Gazprom cut supplies to Europe, has increased its reliance on Romanian resources in recent years.
Romania is currently exporting record amounts of gas to Moldova, exceeding 50 GWh/day—about one-fifth of Romania’s daily production. Unless Romania increases its domestic production, this could spell disaster for both countries.
Arctic Blast Continues Across The U.S.
An Arctic blast is sweeping the U.S., plunging the nation into a deep freeze and breaking records for both snow and temperatures. The ‘polar vortex’ brought bitter weather to vast regions, including areas unaccustomed to such conditions.
States east of the Rockies bore the brunt, with thermometers plummeting as much as 40F below seasonal averages. The Northern Plains and Midwest faced bone-chilling lows, while even southern states like Florida and Texas experienced rare freezes.
Heavy snow blanketed communities across the country, creating treacherous conditions, standstills, and ghost towns.
Washington, D.C., received a rare 6-or-so inches of snow, closing federal offices and public schools. Annapolis, Maryland, saw its highest single-day snowfall in decades, with accumulations nearing 7 inches. Delaware and southern New Jersey were similarly disrupted by nearly 9 inches of snow, while regions like Lee Center, New York, were buried under over six feet of accumulation, leaving entire towns immobilized.
In Louisville, Kentucky, a record-setting 7.7 inches of snow fell, eclipsing a century-old record, while Topeka, Kansas, was buried under 14.5 inches, surpassing the historic snowfall totals set in 1962. Cincinnati, Ohio is also breaking old benchmarks:
Temperatures plunged to “life-threatening lows”.
The Northeast recorded coastal temperatures as low as 5F (-15C), while the Central Plains shivered through similarly bitter conditions, with lows well below 0F (-18C). Even Gulf Coast cities, including Jacksonville and Tallahassee, Florida, registered freezing lows around 30F (-1C), a rare phenomenon that highlights the unusual scope of the Arctic air mass.
Virginia State Police reported responded to over 430 crashes, with dozens injured. In Missouri, more than 600 motorists were stranded as snow and ice made travel impossible. The extreme weather also left more than 330,000 homes and businesses without power in Kentucky, Indiana, Virginia, and West Virginia, while states of emergency were declared to mobilize resources.
Communities were urged to stay indoors and limit travel as authorities worked to address the fallout. Schools and businesses remained closed in multiple states, and energy conservation efforts were implemented to prevent further strain on power grids.
Forecasters warn that the frigid conditions will persist, with temps remaining far below normal for some time to come.
As millions dig out from record snowfalls and deal with prolonged cold, the mainstream position is, absurdly, that winter’s increasingly extreme freezes are due to human prosperity, i.e. CO2 emissions, i.e. global warming.
The number of cold-related deaths in the US more than doubled between 1999 and 2022, with ‘The Science’ scrambling for acceptable answers. In a study published in the Journal of the American Medical Association, ‘experts’ are trying to sell the idea that global heating is behind the increasingly severe winters, that the freezing temperatures killing more and more people are the result of a planet that’s burning up. This position is illogical, you don’t need me to tell you (but in case you do, click the link below).
While the climate system is almost infinitely complex, one certainty exists:
Warming does NOT equal cooling.
Kashmir’s Cold Kills; Record Freeze Grips Pakistan; Depleting European Gas Reserves; + Michael Mann Ordered to Pay $530,820.21 In Long-Running Lawsuit
January 8, 2025 Cap Allon
Kashmir’s Cold Kills
Kashmir is enduring an unforgiving winter, with snow and biting cold bringing both beauty and hardship.
Night temperatures have plummeted to historic lows, with Srinagar recording -8.5C (-16.3F), the coldest December night in nearly a century, and Gulmarg enduring -13C (8.6F). In Shopian, nights have hovered around -10C (14F) for days.
The cold has proven deadly. On Sunday, five members of a family in Gingle, Uri, died of suffocation caused by using a gas heater to stay warm. Their deaths underscore the dangers of the freezing conditions, which have also frozen water pipes and knocked the power out to tens-of-thousands of homes.
“We’ve had frozen pipes for days,” said Irshad Ahmad from Srinagar. “Modern PPR pipes are useless in this cold.”
Traditional homes designed to withstand the cold have given way to poorly insulated concrete structures, leaving residents struggling to stay warm. While affluent households have turned to electric underfloor heating, high costs and unreliable electricity make it inaccessible for most. Even traditional hamams (public bathhouses) remain out of reach for many due to their expense.
The snow has transformed the region into a winter wonderland, drawing tourists to spots like Gulmarg. Yet, for locals, this winter is a hardship, with no reprieve from the biting cold in sight. Meteorologists are calling for more of the same through January.
Record Freeze Grips Pakistan
In neighboring Pakistan, Chief Meteorologist Sardar Sarfaraz of the country’s Meteorological Department (PMD) has warned that a fierce cold wave is about to descend, plunging temperatures to record-breaking lows.
Speaking to local news, Sarfaraz described the ongoing cold spell as unprecedented, with temperatures dropping to single digits where they’re expected to remain through mid-January, at least. He highlighted that this winter has already shattered records.
A fresh wave of polar air arriving this week is forecast to intensify the chill over the next 10-or-so days, particularly in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
India’s northern regions remain blanketed under heavy snowfall, up to a foot of fresh accumulations in some areas.
The PMD has urged citizens to take precautions as the country braces for “extended extreme cold.”
Depleting European Gas Reserves
Europe’s gas reserves have plunged to their lowest in seven years due mainly to harsh winter weather and ‘green ideals.’
Colder-than-average temperatures, especially in NW Europe, have driven up heating demand, rapidly depleting storage levels. Reserves are now at 70.3% capacity, down 15% from last year and at the fastest consumption rate since 2016.
The UK has only 54% of its reserves left, with similar levels in Denmark, France, and the Netherlands.
Gas prices on Europe’s TTF market have surged 20% since December, driven by the end of a Russian transit deal, Norway’s LNG plant shutdown, the ongoing political unfavoring of gas, and rising demand. Goldman Sachs warns that persistent cold weather, as forecast, could push prices to €63–€84 per megawatt-hour, straining efforts to replenish reserves before next winter, even with ‘help’ from the US via increased exports.
Europe faces a tough challenge balancing immediate needs with future supply security.
This problem has been building for years, driven by shortsighted ‘green’ policies championed by governments that are idiotic, opportunistic, compromised—or all three—that prioritize political trends over pragmatic solutions and national interests.
Michael Mann Ordered to Pay $530,820.21 In Long-Running Lawsuit
After 13 years of contentious litigation, Michael E. Mann, known for his absurd “hockey stick” climate model and general slime-ball tactics, has been ordered to pay $530,820.21 in attorney fees and costs to National Review.
Recent Developments
In January 2024, Steyn and Simberg went to trial, during which several key motions emerged. Among them, Mann sought attorney fees from Steyn, citing anti-SLAPP provisions. Meanwhile, National Review filed a counter-motion to recover their legal fees under the same law.
This week, the DC Superior Court issued two rulings:
Mann’s motion to collect attorney fees from Steyn was denied.
Mann was ordered to pay National Review over half a million dollars in legal fees.
Implications
The rulings are a significant shift in a case often criticized as an example of “lawfare”—using legal actions to suppress public debate. Under the American Rule, litigants generally bear their own legal costs unless exceptions, such as anti-SLAPP laws, apply.
This order marks the first time Mann has been held accountable for the financial toll of his lawsuit.
Pending Motions
Several post-trial motions remain unresolved, including:
Steyn’s motion to reduce the $1 million punitive damages award, which he argues is unconstitutional.
A motion for a new trial based on Mann’s alleged presentation of false data to the jury.
A motion for sanctions against Mann for introducing the disputed evidence.
This case underscores the corrosive nature of Michael Mann’s tactics—weaponizing the courts to silence his critics while evading accountability for over a decade. The lingering question of who funded his costly legal crusade also remains unanswered,
casting a shadow over the integrity of his motivations. Was it ideologically aligned donors, shadowy benefactors, or something else?
For all his sanctimonious posturing as ‘a defender of science,’ Mann’s actions reveal him as a petty, litigious opportunist, more concerned with silencing dissent and preserving his inflated, media-constructed reputation than engaging in scientific discourse.
This ruling finally forces him to bear some of the financial burden of his vindictive campaign.
First, Michael Mann lost his case against Dr. Tim Ball, and now he seems poised to ultimately lose his case against Mark Steyn—a man who has been devastated by the process, left in a wheelchair as a result.
Mann can’t twist the fabric of reality without having it snap back.
UK Braces For -20C (-4F); Ideology Above Energy Security; Finland To -38.9C (-38F); Madhya Pradesh Freezes; + Southern US States Expecting Heaviest Snow In Years
January 9, 2025 Cap Allon
UK Braces For -20C (-4F)
Scotland is bracing for a hard freeze, the hardest in decades (perhaps ever) with temperatures in the Highlands forecast to drop below -20C (-4F) Thursday night.
Dalwhinnie, near the Cairngorms, is forecast to hit -18C (0F), with the likes of Altnaharra possibly dipping below -20C (-4F). If reached, this would be the coldest January temperature recorded in the UK since 2010. If breached, it could mark the coldest January 9th/10th since 1982. (The nation’s record Jan low is the -27.2C (-17F) logged in Braemar, Aberdeenshire, also in 1982.)
Dr. Agostinho Sousa of the UK Health Security Agency warned of serious health risks for the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions, including heart attacks, strokes, and respiratory issues. “Check on vulnerable friends, family, and neighbors during this extreme cold,” he advised.
Wales, Northern Ireland, and much of England are also experiencing freezing conditions, with warnings in place.
Heavy snow is also proving an issue up and down the country:
‘The Science’ claims that UK winter temperatures will rise throughout the century with, as per one prominent study, the chances of seeing an extremely cold winter dropping from 6% now to just 0.6% by the year 2100. By mainstream math and logic, by 2100 harsh winters in the UK should occur once every 167 years, which seems a stretch.
Since the year 2000, the UK has endured multiple extreme winters, including the fierce season of 2009-10, and the ‘Beast from the East’ of 2017-18. There should also be notable mentions for the record-setting winters of 2010-11 and 2012-13.
Even this winter (2024-25), so a quarter-way through the century, is proving very cold. It’s early days, granted, but to Jan 7 the CET record is giving a reading of just 3C. This is 0.8C below the cold era of 1961-1990 (that the Met Office still insists on using), and ranks with the Januaries of 1659, 1670, 1675, 1677, 1693, 1712, 1713, and 1719.
There’s little letup in sight, and all. Following Thursday night’s record-threatening lows in the -20s (C), the polar air is forecast to persist (barring a few days reprieve in mid-Jan).
Ideology Above Energy Security
Wednesday’s freezing temperatures exposed the stark failure of the UK’s energy policy, with households paying millions of pounds per hour to boost gas power output as wind and solar all but flatlined.
The National Energy System Operator (NESO) scrambled to avoid blackouts, paying £1.8 million per hour to Rye House and £2 million per hour to gas units in North Wales. Meanwhile, costly foreign imports filled the gaps left by Britain’s reliance on unreliable renewables.
This crisis is the inevitable result of pandering to green ideologues who put net-zero fantasies above everything else.
The UK has no coal plants left, gas continues to be demonized and curtailed, nuclear likewise, and the grid is dead weak as a result—all while politicians trumpet a “clean grid” by 2030. Yesterday’s reality check: gas supplied 55% of the nation’s power while wind floundered at barely 8%, with solar negligible at around 1%.
The financial cost of this incompetence lands squarely on the public. NESO’s emergency payouts will inflate already punishing energy bills, as politicians blindly double down on their net-zero obsession.
Britain doesn’t need more hollow climate goals—it needs reliable, affordable energy, the backbone of every thriving economy. That means re-investing in coal, gas, and nuclear. Unfortunately though, this spineless, controlled clown is in charge:
Finland To -38.9C (-38F)
Finland recently posted its coldest temperature of the season so far, as the Tulppio weather station in eastern Lapland registered -38.9C (-38F) at 3:40 AM Wednesday.
The same Tulppio station had previously set this winter’s cold record with a temperature of -38.2C (-36.8F) back on Dec 16.
Temperatures below -40C (-40F) are rare but not unprecedented in Finland’s history, particularly in Lapland. The country’s all-time coldest temperature remains safe: the -51.5C (-60.7F) set in set in Kittilä, Lapland, on Jan 28, 1999.
Heavy snow has accompanied this week’s freeze, with the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) issuing warnings for hazardous driving conditions in the east.
Madhya Pradesh Freezes
Like much of India, the central state of Madhya Pradesh is in the grip of its coldest January in years.
Pachmarhi recently saw 0.2C (32.4F), with Bhopal hitting 3.6C (38.5F)—its coldest low in more than a decade. A cold day alert has been issued for nine districts in Madhya Pradesh alone, with icy winds sweeping 20 regions, including Gwalior and Morena.
Brutal winds from the northern areas of Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh, owing to solid snow accumulations, have intensified the cold. Meteorologists are predicting ‘cold wave days’ persisting for the entirety of January.
Madhya Pradesh, as with many other Indian states, is bracing for a prolonged winter, particularly up north where this morning (Jan 9) Zojila hit a remarkable -31C (-23.8F); Drass saw -24.8C (-12.6F; the Deosai plains posted ground temperatures of -50C (-58F)—among the coldest-ever readings there—with Zanskar’s Rangdum seeing -33C (-27.4F).
Southern US States Expecting Heaviest Snow In Years
From Thursday through Sunday, areas spanning Texas to the Carolinas are expecting their first significant winter storm in years. The storm’s impact is expected to reach as far north as New England, including regions already hit earlier this week.
This storm is set to bring freezing temperatures and rare snowfall to parts of Texas and the Gulf Coast before moving eastward. States like Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia are also in the storm’s path, with predictions of icy conditions and freezing rain. By the weekend, the Carolinas could face significant ice accumulation, with power outages likely.
Winter storm warnings, watches, and advisories have been issued across more than 10 southern and central states.
As the system moves north, the Mid-Atlantic and New England regions are likely to see additional snowfall, further burdening areas still recovering from earlier storms. The combined effects of consecutive storms are stretching resources thin.
Southern states are particularly vulnerable to winter storms due to limited infrastructure and resources. Even light accumulations can bring widespread disruptions, closing schools, halting transportation, and causing power outages.
Officials are urging residents to prepare by stocking essentials and staying informed as the storm unfolds, as the region faces days of rare, potentially historic conditions.
Looking further ahead, the cold is forecast to persist through the remainder of the month for the majority if the CONUS, barring the odd respite:
Ireland’s Extreme Cold Warnings Extended; Heavy Snow Buries Japan; Northern Hemisphere Snow Trackers; + Failures Fueled The LA Fires, Not CO2
January 10, 2025 Cap Allon
Ireland’s Extreme Cold Warnings Extended
Ireland remains locked in an extreme cold snap, with a ‘Status Orange’ warning for severe low temperatures and ice extended for 15 counties through Friday morning.
Temperatures will tank below -5C (23F) for most of the country, with further snow in the northwest. Met Éireann is warning of severe frost, black ice, and freezing fog, making roads treacherous. Motorists and pedestrians are urged to take caution.
Granard, Co Longford, registerd a low of -8.2C (17.2F) Thursday, Ireland’s coldest temperature this week. Mullingar, Co Westmeath, dropped to -7.5C (18.5F), with Athenry, Co Galway, at -7C (19.4F).
Above the border, Northern Ireland’s warnings for snow and ice persist, while the UK braces for lows as brutal as -20C (-4F).
Heavy Snow Buries Japan
Japan has been experiencing intense snowfall this season, with many Prefectures facing some of their most significant accumulations in years.
Shirakawa-go, a UNESCO World Heritage Site renowned for its traditional gassho-zukuri farmhouses, has received 110 cm (43.31 inches) of snow in less than three days, making for a total depth of 186 cm (73.23 inches).
Given the outlook, which calls for more of the same, the village is on course to break its all-time monthly snow record of 280 cm (110.24 inches), set in 2006.
Far larger totals have hit other regions…
Northern Hemisphere Snow Trackers
Discrepancies in Northern Hemisphere snow metrics have been noticeable of late. Different tracking systems are painting slightly contrasting pictures, but these variations are likely rooted in how the data is measured.
For example, the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) tracks total snow mass—a measure of the volume and weight of snow expressed in gigatons.
Their chart shows mass on the lower side compared to recent years—though note that the latest datapoint is back within 1SD of the 1982-2012 average.
The difference lies in what these metrics measure. Snow mass reflects the water content of accumulated snow, emphasizing volume and density. Snow cover extent, however, simply measures how much land area is covered by snow, irrespective of its thickness or water content.
This year, the data suggests a divergence: solid snow cover but slightly reduced snow mass. This likely indicates thinner or less dense snow accumulation, especially in lower-elevation, non-mountainous regions, as FMI’s data excludes the mountains.
The Snow/Ice Mapping System (below) is aligning closely with last year’s trends, though up a little.
Taking a closure look at the U.S., snow is currently covering 44.2% of the country (as of Jan 9, NOAA). If we exclude last year’s coverage for the same date, which stood at 46.8%, we have to go back to 2017 to find a larger snow cover (59.7%). While back in 2012, coverage stood at a mere 14.7% at this point.
I expect 2025 to prove another healthy NH snow year come season’s end, i.e. for mass to catch up with coverage. There are already signs of this starting. Let’s see how things pan out. And note: I see no reason to distrust the data sources.
Failures Fueled The LA Fires, Not CO2
And just briefly, seeings as the MSM and the activists are having a field day with this one…
The fires in Los Angeles were not caused by climate change. Climate is not an ignition source. What ultimately allowed these fires to wreak havoc was leadership failures, mismanagement of resources, and misplaced priorities by California’s political leaders, Governor Gavin Newsom and Mayor Karen Bass.
Officials are well aware of Southern California’s susceptibility to wildfires, exacerbated by Santa Ana winds and an ever-expanding urban-wildland interface. Yet, critical steps to mitigate fire risks were ignored:
Infrastructure Neglect: Utility companies weren’t required to bury power lines, which could prevent fires sparked by electrical malfunctions.
Lack of Preventative Measures: Mechanical thinning of underbrush and better water management systems were not implemented, leaving communities vulnerable.
Underfunded Fire Departments: Mayor Bass cut $17.5 million from the Los Angeles Fire Department, and Governor Newsom reduced funding for fire prevention and water infrastructure projects.
As discussed by Michael Shellenberger (video below), these failures are compounded by a broader trend of political distraction. State and local leaders prioritized progressive agendas—climate change rhetoric, diversity initiatives, and homelessness programs—over the immediate safety and well-being of Californians.
More than half of the fires in urban areas like LA and Oakland are linked to homelessness, often caused by illegal campfires or intentional arson (with 95+% of the total wildfires in CA started by arson/human carelessness). Instead of addressing this directly, California’s leadership subsidized homelessness. Simultaneously, weakened laws and reduced funding for law enforcement exacerbated the crisis, leaving communities more exposed to crime and fire risks.
California’s political climate, dominated by a radical faction of the Democratic Party, often prioritizes ideology over practical governance. Progressive thought leaders who dismiss investments in fire safety as tools to protect wealthy neighborhoods have influenced policy to disastrous effect. Meanwhile, discussions of real solutions—like increasing firefighter resources or addressing water shortages—are drowned out by abstract debates on race, identity, and climate change.
Some reporters and even scientists are blaming global warming for the lack of rain in LA this winter. This is ridiculous, and easily refuted — there’s no trend in annual rainfall from 1877 to 2024:
Blaming climate change for every natural disaster has become a convenient political crutch, but this narrative distracts from actionable solutions. Californians need to elect leaders focused on competence and practical governance rather than radical ideology. Maybe these ravaging fires will serve as their red pill.
Have a look at the videos on the LA fires at the end of this set of information:
https://electroverse.info/irelands-extreme-cold-warnings-extended-heavy-snow-buries-japan-northern-hemisphere-snow-trackers-failures-fueled-the-la-fires-not-co2/
UK & Ireland Freeze, Gas “Concerningly Low”; All-Time Record Cold In Qatar; Rare Chill Sweeps Taiwan; + 56% Of The U.S. Is Under Snow, Extreme Cold Inbound
January 13, 2025 Cap Allon
UK & Ireland Freeze, Gas “Concerningly Low”
The UK and Ireland have been holding consistently cold for weeks now, with the snow building and gas reserves shrinking.
Sheep farmers working Ireland’s snow-laden Galtee Mountains on the Limerick-Tipperary border have been up since dawn each day for the past week, racing to rescue sheep trapped beneath the heavy drifts.
The a bleak and icy conditions are proving a “nightmare” for local farmers, posing a threat to the thousands of sheep grazing there. “The last time we faced something like this was during the Beast from the East in 2018,” said one Galtee farmer.
Despite best efforts, a significant number of animals are thought to have perished under the unyielding snow.
The UK’s snow has matched that of Ireland’s, with biting cold gripping just about everywhere.
Thermometers in Altnaharra, Scottish Highlands tanked to -18.9C (-2F) over the weekend, making for the UK’s coldest January night since the historic winter of 2010 when -22.3C (-8.1F) was notched on Jan 8 (also at Altnaharra).
In England, the average CET for January (to the 11th, see below) is standing at 1.5C (34.7F). This is a significant -2.3C below the 1961-1990 average, and is making for a January on par with 2010 and also those of 1789, 1718, 1678, and 1672.
With freezing weather and gas storage “concerningly low,” the UK is teetering on the brink of an energy crisis.
Centrica, owner of the UK’s largest gas storage facility, warns reserves are below a week’s demand. Yet National Gas, parroting government spin, insists supplies are “diverse” and storage “healthy.” This fantasy ignores Britain’s dependence on imported gas, a fragile lifeline vulnerable to geopolitical whims.
Three-quarters of households rely on gas for heating. Meanwhile, Centrica struggles to refill storage owing, mostly, to persistent cold weather, and also UK storage infrastructure remaining laughably inadequate. The Rough facility, closed in 2017 but partially reopened in 2022 due to biting cold and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, highlights years of ‘expert’ failure: cold winters in the UK were supposed to be rare by now, with renewables comfortably filling the gap where coal and gas once stood.
Centrica wants £2 billion to expand storage and shift to hydrogen, but government dithering leaves the nation exposed.
The UK’s reliance imports underscores its energy fragility. A single disruption could spell disaster, yet officials offer only empty reassurances. Brits are paying the price for years of hubris, complacency, and failed energy policy — the country’s energy system isn’t just strained; it’s broken.
Record Cold In Qatar
The year has begun with unusually cold nights across the southeastern Arabian Peninsula.
In Qatar, temperatures have dropped to 3.6C (38.5F) at Abu Samra, setting a new national record low for January, surpassing the previous Jan record of 3.8C (38.8F) set in Mesaieed back in 1964.
Other countries in the region are also posting anomalous lows. In the United Arab Emirates, for example, 1.5C (34.7F) hit Jais Mountain in Ras Al Khaimah, a rare reading.
Rare Chill Sweeps Taiwan
Shifting east, a low of 1C (33.8F) gripped Miaoli County, Tawian Monday morning, marking one of the coldest temperatures for a non-mountainous area of the country in recent times, according to the Central Weather Administration (CWA).
The biting cold, driven by a powerful continental air mass and intensified by radiative cooling, tightened its grip on Sanwan Township at 7:20 AM, the CWA reported.
The low of 1C is exceptional for lower-elevations of Tawain, unprecedented in recent years, since reliable thermometer data has been available. Monday morning saw similar readings across the island, with nearby Emei Township registering 2.1C (35.8F).
The cold isn’t retreating anytime soon, so say the CWA, with another Arctic air mass surging southward Wednesday. Mountainous regions in the south will feel the bite, cautioned the administration. While in northern Taiwan, significant snow will accumulate up high, persisting at least through Friday.
56% Of The U.S. Is Under Snow…
As of Jan 11, 56% of the CONUS is covered in snow. Excluding Florida, every U.S. state currently has some accumulation on the ground.
This makes for one of largest blanketings in recent times (for the date), with only the years 2016, 2011, 2010 eclipsing 2025 in NOAA books dating back to 2003.
…Extreme Cold Inbound
Despite the copious snows and record lows, the Lower 48 has yet to endure a truly fierce blast of polar air. That, however, is about to change this coming weekend.
Starting Saturday, Jan 18, a powerful Canadian high-pressure system combined with a Siberian Express is expected to crash into the Rockies, bringing anomalous cold that will engulf much of the CONUS—and, in fact, much of the North American continent: see album’s images
6 JANUARY 2025
Winter continued to hit the N Hemisphere with Cold and Snow as intense storms circled the north. A major winter storm hit the US from Colorado to Delaware with snow, ice, and severe weather with tornadoes triggered by warm convection and wind shear in the South as an extreme cold front moved from Texas to DC. Today’s jet stream is pulling extreme cold south to the Gulf of Mexico, with the East going to have record cold this week. Washington DC had a rare foot of snow. Heavy freezing rain from Kansas to Ohio caused power lines and trees to fall and cut power to over 300,000 homes. Governors in 7 states declared a state of emergency due to the snow and ice.
Europe had a deep 956 mb storm over the N Sea which brought cold air south to Spain and N Africa, where snow fell. The Alps continued to pick up snow from France and Switzerland to Austria. Norway was cold with -20 to -30ºC and heavy 1-2 m snows. Siberia was also cold and snowy with eastern regions falling to -40 to -56ºC with 50 to 150 cm of new snow. Norway’s heavy snow has caused widespread power outages, airports have been forced to close, and many roads and mountain passes are now impassable, isolating towns and villages as temperatures approach -30C (-22F) for many. The UK had a yellow alert for 3 days of snow. Scotland had 50-100 cm and the midlands ~50 cm. Athens also had snow on 31 December.
Asia was also cold and snowy from the Hindukush to Japan where heavy snow continued. Delhi endured a ‘severe cold wave’ day on Dec 30, with temperatures dropping significantly below normal due to icy northwesterly winds. The Himalayas are set for record-breaking snowfall, so predict local meteorologists, owing in no small part to La Niña’s impact on western disturbances. Dr. Narendra of the Aryabhatta Science Research Institute confirmed that La Niña’s influence began in December, triggering drastic weather changes. “There was a 60% likelihood of La Niña, and it has materialized,” he said.
The Southern Hemisphere’s summer continued to get relief from Antarctic Highs that brought cool air north into Australia and southern S America. The Andes continued to get significant snows even in Bolivia where 50n-150 cm fell. Australia continued to have areas with 100 to 200 mm of rain. Again, deep storms 948 to 970 mb circled the Antarctic producing locally heavy mountain snows of 194-380 cm and 30 to 50 kt winds. Dome A continues to report -40 to -45ºC in the interior. The Esperanza station on the Peninsula reported -3 to 5ºC. The Ross Sea opened up to the Southern Ocean with 80% ice free area, while the Weddell Sea remained at about 70% ice covered.
The following videos provide some interesting expert summaries of current US weather, Australia’s energy challenges with renewable energy, and the real cost of NET ZERO.
Ice Storms Paralyze US as Interstates Blocked, Power Grids Teetering and.…
DAVID DUBYNE : ADAPT 2030 presents detailed look at this week’s ice storm and it’s impact on the US. He shows how fragile our energy grid is today:
https://youtu.be/RwimcKu6q0g?si=cYCFlOYrhbM9gnVz
This lecture provides a comprehensive look at the Australian energy situation and economics of providing reliable energy.
The Real Cost of Net Zero: The shocking truth of the renewable energy push
https://youtu.be/YbxpieEQ7bc?si=wI2tsXq4ydJp8KOc
This is a very interesting summary of climate science and related issues by an expert who has testified before Congress many times. For those interested in a thorough review of the science and politics of our climate change…
John Christy on The Economics and Politics of Climate Change
https://youtu.be/ttNg1F7T0Y0?si=xEiQMHzZ9TcWjiPO
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
New Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 15-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 15-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/03/25 has an intensifying La Niña. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 6 January 2025
Snow Reaches Athens; Delhi Plunges; U.S. To Freeze; Arctic Ice Up 26%; + New Years CME
December 31, 2024 Cap Allon
Snow Reaches Athens’ North
Ice and rare snowfall blanketed Athens’ northern suburbs in recent days, as a polar front brought swaths of Greece to a standstill. Mountainous regions on Evia and Lesvos islands were similarly transformed, with heavy snow reported in high-altitude areas across East Macedonia, Evia, Attica, and Crete.
The Greek National Meteorological Service (EMY) warned of worsening conditions, forecasting relentless snow and freezing rain across much of the country.
Evia bore the brunt, with its roads, forests, and homes buried under thick snow. Emergency alerts urged residents to stay indoors, as plummeting temperatures and icy winds gripped the region.
Long queues of stranded vehicles formed on mountain passes, as drivers unprepared with snow tires or chains struggled against the elements.
Roads across Central Greece and Macedonia have been treacherous, with heavy snowfall and ice disrupting traffic overnight.
Flooding in Viotia and Evia compounded the chaos, while gale-force winds reaching 10 on the Beaufort scale immobilized ships at Greek ports. Ferries were unable to depart, and one vessel was forced back to Rafina to escape the freezing storm. The icy conditions also grounded heavy trucks and large vehicles across the national road network, adding to the disruption.
Police enforced strict measures, mandating snow tires or chains for all vehicles, with fines of €80 for non-compliance.
For Greece and wider Europe, a round of fierce polar cold—a proper Arctic Outbreak—is threatening to descend this week:
Delhi Plunges
Delhi endured a ‘severe cold wave’ day on Dec 30, with temperatures dropping significantly below normal due to icy northwesterly winds.
The maximum temperature at Safdarjung, the city’s representative weather station, was 15C (59F) — over 5C below normal. The coldest maximum across the city was the 12.8C (55F) recorded at the Pusa station, marking a ‘severe cold day’ (defined by temperatures 6.5C or more below normal).
Looking ahead, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a ‘yellow alert’ for New Year’s Eve, forecasting continued cold day conditions. The city’s minimum temperature is expected to fall further, well below 10C (50F), accompanied by shallow to moderate fog.
The IMD attribute the chilling effect to winds blowing down from snow-covered mountains.
U.S. To Freeze
A significant Arctic Blast is forecast to descend into much of the United States in the New Year, potentially leading to the coldest January in over a decade, particularly for the east.
Temperatures are expected to plummet some 20F below average (or more), with wind chills dropping below zero in the Midwest and freezing conditions extending as far south as the Gulf Coast and Florida.
This impending Outbreak is expected to commence around Jan 4, with the most severe conditions occurring between Jan 7 and Jan 14. The frigid temperatures are set to persist throughout the month, with relief not anticipated until February.
As a result, natural gas prices are on the surge.
Futures for February delivery rose more than 20% during Monday trading, reaching as high as $4.20 per million British thermal units, before settling at $3.936. This marks the most significant percentage increase since 2012.
The anticipated increase in natural gas demand, combined with potential production disruptions due to well freeze-offs in regions like Texas and the Marcellus, could further impact supply and prices. Higher natural gas prices may contribute to increased headline inflation and could dampen consumer spending due to elevated heating costs.
As the ‘warming trifecta’ —of Solar Maximum, El Niño, and Hunga-Tonga— continues to wane, the COLD TIMES appear to be returning, as expected. Global temperatures are nudging lower (see below), and fierce polar outbreaks are on the increase.
Arctic Ice Up 26%
This year’s minimum Arctic sea ice extent came in 26% larger than that observed in 2012:
Despite dire predictions and ‘tipping point’ deadlines, such as those made by the BBC suggesting the Arctic could be ice-free by 2013, sea ice continues to persist. As it does at the bottom of the world, as reported yesterday:New Year CMEs
New Year CMEs
A burst of solar activity on December 29-30 launched two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) toward Earth:
These are expected to arrive between Dec 31 and Jan 1, potentially triggering moderate (G2) to strong (G3) geomagnetic storms.
If a strong storm occurs, the Northern Lights may extend to mid-latitudes across the USA and Europe, providing a celestial complement to New Year’s fireworks.
I’ll likely be having New Years Day off, but I’ll be back bright and early Thursday with updates on the looming polar blasts.
See you then.
Happy New Year!
Best,
Cap
Three-Day Snow Warning For UK; Extreme Snowfall Paralyzes Northern Norway; Siberia Nears -60C (-76F); Record Snows For Uttarakhand; + “Dangerous Cold”
January 2, 2025 Cap Allon
Three-Day Snow Warning For UK
A three-day snow warning has been issued for most of England this weekend as the UK braces for a frigid start to 2025.
The warning, effective though Saturday, Sunday and Monday, covers Wales, southern Scotland, and nearly all of England. The Midlands, Wales, and northern England are expected to be hardest hit, with snowfall exceeding a foot in many spots.
These conditions are likely to cause significant travel disruptions and power outages.
An ice warning is also in place Thursday, affecting northern England, Northern Ireland, northern Wales, and much of Scotland, adding to the hazardous conditions.
Extreme Snowfall Paralyzes Northern Norway
Nord-Helgeland and Salten in northern Norway have been buried under relentless snowfall since Monday.
Forecasts called for 60 cm (2 ft), driven by powerful westerly winds. Reports from Bodø and Glomfjord show totals reaching 40 cm (15.75 inches) so far, with more to come: a foot due Thursday, followed by another 2 feet on Friday (higher totals over the peaks).
The heavy snow has caused widespread power outages, airports have been forced to close, and many roads and mountain passes are now impassable, isolating towns and villages as temperatures approach -30C (-22F) for many.
Despite round-the-clock efforts by road crews and emergency responders, the situation remains critical. Residents are urged to stay home unless absolutely necessary and to monitor local weather updates closely.
As northern Norway digs out, regions to the south, including the Alps, are bracing for their own bout of extreme snowfall—not just the high-altitude regions though, the majority of Europe will be walloped AGAIN by significant accumulations. This promises a boon for winter sports enthusiasts, but also a strain on the continent’s green-hamstrung power grids as heating demand soars.
The Italian ski resorts of Frontignano and Bolognola —for example— enjoyed a very snowy December, with substantial snow totals attracting a record number of visitors to the slopes, eager to enjoy the excellent conditions. The Alps, too, are sitting well above average. As are eastern Europe peaks, such as those in Turkey and Slovakia, and also Russia for that matter.
Europe’s ski season is far from dead, as the catastrophists routinely claim…
Siberia Nears -60C (-76F)
Siberia is living up to its reputation this winter.
In Tegyulte, the mercury hit a staggering -58.7C (-73.7F) on January 1. If confirmed, this would be one of the lowest temperatures ever recorded at the station (data running since 1942), and a reading not too far from the all-time low of -61.6C (-78.9F).
Oymyakon, renowned as one of the coldest inhabited places on Earth, bottomed out at -56C (-68.8F); Agayakan endured -55C (-67F); Iema posted -54.4C (-65.9F), with Batamay and Pokrovskaja both reporting -54C (-65.2F) —- all stark, anomalous lows.
Record Snows For Uttarakhand
India faces an exceptionally frigid January, with severe cold waves in the plains and record snowfall in the Himalayan regions. Uttarakhand, in particular, has been reeling of late, with widespread snow noted in the hills.
The Himalayas are set for record-breaking snowfall, so predict local meteorologists, owing in no small part to La Niña’s impact on western disturbances. Dr. Narendra of the Aryabhatta Science Research Institute confirmed that La Niña’s influence began in December, triggering drastic weather changes. “There was a 60% likelihood of La Niña, and it has materialized,” he said.
Meteorologist Birendra Singh added, “This season will reverse the recent trend of declining snowfall. La Niña’s impact will likely last three months, with increased rainfall expected during the monsoons.”
The Meteorological Center is predicting a prolonged winter for much of India, especially across the likes of Uttarakhand and also Jammu and Kashmir…
“Dangerous Cold”
Winter’s vengeance is here, global warmists, and it looks merciless — you may want to revise your sermons. Even the mainstream are warning of “dangerous cold, even for winter”.
Arctic air, sharper and colder with each surge, is set to engulf the eastern two-thirds of the U.S., driving temperatures to bone-chilling lows and testing the limits of even the most seasoned winter veterans.
The northern plains will feel the first icy punch midweek, with highs barely scraping single digits in Montana, the Dakotas, and Minnesota. By week’s end, the cold will have seeped south and east, freezing everything from the Midwest to the Gulf Coast.
North Dakota could plunge to a staggering 25 below zero. Wind chills here will cut like a blade, making frostbite and hypothermia genuine threats.
Even Florida won’t escape. Orlando is set to struggle to break out of the 50s, while overnight freezes threaten to decimate citrus crops and send those stunned iguanas crashing from the canopies.
Looking ahead, next week promises even harsher chills. Temperatures could nosedive 30F below multidecadal norms, with overnight freezes hitting the Gulf Coast and a bitter chill persisting through much of January. The Southeast is on course to be the coldest it’s been in years, and the snow potential looms. January 2025 is forecast to be the U.S.’s coldest in at least a decade.
This is winter, raw and unyielding — a reality check to those who preach forever heatwaves. Bundle up America…
Thailand Freezes; Record Snow In Japan; Parts Of Morocco See Snow For First Time In 50 Years; Cattle Futures Hit Record High Amid Looming Arctic Blast; + New Study: Global Greening Reality
January 3, 2025 Cap Allon
Thailand Freezes
Doi Inthanon in Chiang Mai saw a stark temperature drop on Jan 2, with the surface hitting -3.2C (26.2F) — rare for Thailand.
A high-pressure system traversing the country’s north drew large numbers of visitors to Doi Inthanon in Chom Thong District. Folk here arrived before dawn to witness the rare frosts. To help alleviate traffic, shuttle services were put on from Kiew Mae Pan to the summit for 30 Baht per trip.
Thursday morning marked the 10th frost event of the winter season so far.
For reference, yesterday’s low of -3.2C (26.2F) recorded on Doi Inthanon is notably cold for Thailand, thought to be the coldest reading since the -5C (23F) from Dec 21, 2017. It is also ways off the all-time national record of -8C (17.6F) set Jan 7, 1974.
The cold will persist over the coming days, intensify even, threatening that 2017 benchmark.
Record Snow In Japan
Japan’s higher reaches are experiencing a phenomenal winter, with relentless, record-setting snowfall blanketing the slopes.
https://electroverse.info/thailand-freezes-record-snow-in-japan-parts-of-morocco-see-snow-for-first-time-in-50-years-cattle-futures-hit-record-high-amid-looming-arctic-blast-new-study-global-greening-reality/
Here’s a brief breakdown:
Geto Kogen
Geto Kogen is reporting an astounding 941 cm (370.4 feet) of cumulative snowfall as of January 3. Powder-rich slopes have made for great skiing, though strong winds have occasionally challenged operations. The snow is forecast to continue, and all.
Hakuba
Hakuba’s Happo has recorded over 5 meters (16.4 feet) of snow this season, with December 2024 marking its snowiest December in 13 years at 278 cm (9.1 feet). As with Geto Kogen, more heavy snow is expected, setting the stage for an extraordinary season.
Niseko
Niseko has received fresh snow on 29 of the last 30 days, with a cumulative total of 400 cm (13.1 feet) so far. Temperatures remain historically low, and steady snowfall promises more “powder paradise” days ahead, so reads the resorts website.
Nozawa Onsen
Nozawa Onsen had a slower start but finished December very strong, including a 41 cm (1.3 feet) dump on December 29. Now fully operational, the resort is poised for an excellent season ahead with continuous snowfall in the forecast.
Rusutsu
Rusutsu has enjoyed 31 consecutive days of snowfall, amassing 529 cm (17.4 feet) of cumulative snow. The trend is set to continue with snow forecast every day for at least the next seven, solidifying its reputation for consistent powder.
Furano
Furano’s cold temperatures and dry snow have delivered fresh powder on 22 of the last 27 days. While not quite matching the jaw-dropping totals of other resorts, its reliable falls and open terrain offer some of the best skiing conditions in Japan.
Parts Of Morocco See Snow For First Time In 50 Years
Snow has blanketed several regions of Morocco for the first time in half a century.
The rare weather event, originally reported by Maghreb Arabe Press, has transformed a traditionally arid landscape into this:
The National Meteorological Center of Morocco attributes the unusual weather to a significant surge of cold air from Northern Europe. This climatic anomaly triggered rare, heavy snowfall across southern and southeastern provinces, including Azilal, Beni Mellal, Ifrane, Midelt, Taroudant, Tinghir, Ouarzazate, and Al-Haouz.
In some areas, snow accumulation reached an impressive 40 cm (16 inches).
Cattle Futures Hit Record High Amid Looming Arctic Blast
Cattle futures surged to a new record high Thursday as plummeting temperatures and severe winter weather threatens to disrupt an already strained US beef market.
The Weather Prediction Center is forecasting heavy snows and bone-chilling lows across the Plains cattle belt in the coming days and weeks. The frigid conditions are expected to compound challenges for the American cattle industry, which is already grappling with historically low herd numbers and import restrictions.
“While cattle can tolerate cold weather, extreme conditions force them to expend more energy, reducing feed efficiency and ultimately lowering carcass weights,” noted the Daily Livestock Report. A cold snap last year saw animal weights drop by 3%. This incoming blast looks far more severe.
Adding to the pressure, the US cattle herd is the smallest in decades, owing in part to ‘green lobbying’. Supplies have been further constrained since November, when imports from Mexico were suspended following a screwworm infection.
The approaching Arctic blast is expected to exacerbate these supply woes, with temps set to break historic lows in many areas.
On Thursday, live cattle futures in Chicago reached the highest level recorded since data collection began in 1964:
New Study: Global Greening Reality
New research by Gutiérrez-Hernández and García (2025) introduces a groundbreaking methodology, True Significant Trends (TST), that refines our understanding of vegetation changes over the past 42 years. Their findings not only highlight a significant global greening trend but at the same time dismantle catastrophist claims.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352938524002416
The study reveals that 38.16% of the Earth’s terrestrial land surface has experienced significant vegetation trends during the satellite era, with greening trends outnumbering browning trends nearly four to one. Specifically, 76.07% of detected trends reflect increases in vegetation, while only 23.93% show declines. In regions with normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) values above 0.15, greening becomes even more dominant, accounting for 85.43% of trends compared to just 14.57% for browning.
These results challenge the pervasive narrative that higher CO2 levels are driving ecological collapse and instead point to its vital role in enhancing plant growth and productivity — the exact opposite that the alarmists have been peddling for four+ decades.
The study’s findings are particularly striking in Eurasia, where it shows significant increases in vegetation cover. This trend, largely attributed to CO2 fertilization, directly contradicts those most dire coffee-spitting predictions. Far from being a “pollutant,” CO2 is shown to be a catalyst for growth, increasing photosynthesis rates and improving water-use efficiency, particularly in water-stressed regions. Rising atmospheric CO2 levels are boosting biodiversity.
Rare Snow Sweeps Sahara Desert; Europe Plunges Below -30C (-22F), Sees Heavy Snow; U.S. Endures Record Cold; Rare Tashkurgan Snow; + Global Temperature Nudges Lower
January 6, 2025 Cap Allon
Rare Snow Sweeps Sahara Desert
For the second winter running, rare snow has blanketed parts of the Sahara Desert.
On New Year’s Day, snow settled in Ain Sefra, Algeria, surprising residents in the “Gateway to the Sahara.”
Photographer Karim Bouchetata captured the scene of dunes dusted white:
The snow, driven by a fierce cold wave from Europe, is a rare anomaly in the world’s largest hot desert, where summer highs regularly exceed 100F. While Ain Sefra’s 3,600-foot elevation occasionally allows for snow, accumulations typically occur only once every 10 years—making two consecutive years of snowfall all the more remarkable.
Europe Plunges Below -30C (-22F), Sees Heavy Snow
Europe’s cold wave has indeed been fierce, with thermometers crashing below -30C (-22F), and snow registering in the feet.
Temperatures tanked to an extraordinary -33.9C (-29F) on Saturday in Jura, as France experienced one of its coldest days in history, according to a report by The Connexion, citing Météo France. The reading, registered in the commune of Mignovillard, came close to the national record of -36.7C (-34F) set in nearby Mouthe, Doubs, back on January 13, 1967.
The deep freeze triggered high-level alerts in 30 departments across France. In Paris, authorities escalated the ‘cold and ice plan’ to level two, enforcing a 20 km/h (12 mph) reduction in speed limits on major roads from 17:00 to midnight on January 5.
As for the Alps, the already impressive 2024-25 winter season is intensifying with additional feet falling across the French, German, Austrian, and Swiss peaks with A LOT more to follow—including for Spain, Scandinavia, and the Balkans (see below).
The Scandinavian snow has already made an impression. Skistua, for example, located in Trondheim, Norway, has recorded 81 cm (2.66 ft) of snow over the past seven days (Dec 29 to Jan 5). Only three ‘snow event’ in history have been larger, with the top spot held by the 1 meter (3.3 ft) that fell between Jan 27 and Feb 1, 1958. This year seems poised to break that.
“Non-stop snow” is hitting swaths of the UK and all, knocking out the power, stranding drivers, and cancelling flights.
Scotland is on the verge of breaking a 15-year snow record, with no signs of a let up. As of Sunday, weather charts had logged five consecutive days of snow up north, with forecasts suggesting more to come through January 10.
The Met Office has issued yellow warnings for snow and ice across much of the UK for Sunday and Monday, and further warnings are expected as freezing conditions persist and snow totals exceed two feet. These follow the amber warnings for snow issued for northern England throughout the weekend—which were recently extended to cover Monday morning.
Met Office Deputy Chief Forecaster Mike Silverstone: “A cold northerly flow will dominate next week, bringing further snow and hail showers. … Temperatures will stay below average, with widespread frost and icy conditions.”
Meteorologist John Hammond told Sky News: “We’re going to see some remarkably low temperatures at night.”
According to Netweather, this could become the coldest early January since 2010, when much of the UK experienced lying snow throughout the first two weeks of the year.
U.S. Endures Record Cold
An Arctic blast entered the United States over the weekend, with ‘Snow Storm Blair‘ now driving east, about to bring record-breaking cold, blizzard conditions, and widespread disruptions to many states. Some 63 million Americans are under winter weather alerts, with officials warning of life-threatening conditions ahead.
Already the coldest storm since 2011, Blair has blanketed parts of Nebraska, Missouri, and Kansas with well-over a foot of snow, and has left 150,000 homes without power. Louisville, Kentucky, broke a 113-year record with 7.7 inches of snow in a single day. And Kansas City has seen its heaviest snowfall in decades, with totals surpassing 14 inches.
“This is one of the most significant storms Kansas City has ever seen,” said city manager Brian Platt. “Despite days of preparation, the sheer intensity is overwhelming.”
Governors in seven states have declared emergencies as blinding snow, ice, and gale-force winds create treacherous conditions. Hundreds of motorists are stranded in Missouri, where plows are struggling to keep roads clear. In Indiana, snow is falling so heavily that cleared highways are quickly being buried again. Kentucky’s governor has urged residents to stay indoors.
The storm has cancelled 200 flights in St. Louis with disruptions gradually spreading south and east. Washington, D.C., has closed non-essential government offices in preparation, and the Smithsonian museums will remain shut as Blair approaches the mid-Atlantic. Folks up early in D.C. are witnessing heavy snowfall at a rate 2 to 3 inches per hour.
Exceptional cold is gripping much of the U.S., with biting lows crashing as far south as Texas and Florida. In North Carolina, residents awoke to snow-covered neighborhoods on Sunday, an extraordinary sight for the region.
The NWS has already called this “the heaviest snowstorm in over a decade for parts of the Plains and Midwest”, but officials warn it is far from over. Blair is expected to deliver another foot-and-a-half of snow to many areas this week, driven by 45 mph winds.
Looking further ahead, the month of January will hold anomalously cold for the majority of the CONUS…
Rare Tashkurgan Snow
The town of Tashkurgan, located in China’s western region of Pamir, Xinjiang, has experienced significant snowfall over the past two days due to a Western Disturbance impacting the Himalayas.
The depth has surpassed 5 inches which, according to local reports, has made for the region’s heaviest snow in recent history.
30 December 2024
This was a remarkable Holiday week with an extreme Pacific Jet stream impacting western N America providing extreme moisture to the West from the Cascades to the Rockies. Central and Eastern US dealt with extreme convective storms, tornadoes and snow in the NE as an intense low 990 mb and southerly jet stream shear spun up over 100 tornadoes and severe weather from Texas to NC. This storm controlled the NE side of N America. Between the Pacific westerly flow and the strong southerly jet N. America had above normal temperatures. Warm air in a strong AR moved from the Gulf of Mexico to NW Territories. Today, another Gulf of Alaska 975 mb storm pumped moist air into Alaska with 1-4 m of snow predicted in the mountains. North central Alaska was quite cold at -20 to -39ºC. The weather albums document these events.
Europe was also mild with heavy snow in the Alps, Norway, Iceland, and Greenland where 1-3 m of new snow were predicted in the ECMWF 15-day forecasts. A deep 969 mb low moved up the central Atlantic as another 956 mb Low sat in the Kara Sea pumping cold air into Scandinavia. This storm covered the area from central Siberia to Iceland. The Alps are enjoying an excellent ski season in Switzerland, France, Italy…Eastern Siberia reported -40 to -51ºC over large areas. Sea Ice now covers NE Svalbard and the western 2/3 of Hudson Bay.
Asia continued to have heavy snows from the Himalayan and Hindukush to Japan and Kamchatka. NE China was cold. Japan’s ski season is off to its best start in at least 10 years. Resorts like Hakuba’s Arai have reported an additional 50cm (1.64ft) of snowfall in just 24 hours, and it was the first destination globally to claim a three-meter (9.84 feet) base this season. ECMWF has consistently predicted heavy mountain snows (130 to 278 cm) over the past month. Overall, India is enduring one of its coldest winters in decades.
In Kashmir, the iconic Dal Lake have frozen for the first time in years. Recent temperatures in Srinagar plummeted to -8.5C (16.7F), the coldest December night since 1974, when the mercury hit -10.3C (13.5F).
The S. Hemisphere warmed into summer; however, Antarctic Fronts cooled parts of Australia and S. America. Australia and New Zealand continued heavy convective rains. The Antarctic warmed along the coast; however deep 950-970 mb storms continued to circle the continent bringing locally heavy snows (1-3 m) to the coastal mountains. The Andes had significant snows at the highest elevations, and Peru and Bolivia had 50-90 cm of new snows. South Georgia Island also had notable snows of 18-74 cm. Vostok station was cold at -35ºC, while Dome A had -43 to -48ºC. The Antarctic Peninsula had 2 to 12ºC at Base Marambio. The Ross Sea was ~70% Open, while the Weddell Sea was only 10% open.
Here are some links to interesting lectures on our changing climate and CO2:
Dr. Patrick Moore - Carbon and Climate Catastrophe
https://youtu.be/2H0OxmF7fak?si=pJcfSi6PsEpSXM71
Moore addresses environmental sciences, CO2, whales, bears, plastic gyres,
Best energy sources for transport, heating, electricity… positive spin on nuclear
Crusade Against Carbon Dioxide | Professor Will Happer
https://youtu.be/v2nhssPW77I?si=RJPyy2TyOS5Z9SO6
A true study of earth’s history and resilience between ice ages
Warm periods, and the relationship between life and CO2
Record Events Shattering Our World: David DuByne Adapt 2030
An interesting view of recent extreme events 40-60 ft Pacific waves…solar flares, magnetic fields, Egyptian floods, earthquakes, volcanoes, infrastructure…record snows
https://youtu.be/MbV9fMuT4k0?si=LXSsYfW3YwK4nCCk
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
New Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 12/21/24 still has a developing La Niña. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 30 December 2024
Dal Lake Freezes Over; Extreme Snow Roundup; + Antarctic Sea Ice Recovery
December 30, 2024 Cap Allon
Dal Lake Freezes Over
Delhi is dealing with a persistent chill as heavy December rain breaks a 15-year precipitation record. The cold snap recently tanked temperatures to a max of just 14.6C (58.3F), marking the city’s coldest December day in five years.
Dehli’s chill stands out when compared to recent cold December days:
2024: 14.6C (58.3F)
2023: 15.9C (60.6F)
2022: 15.6C (60.1F)
2021: 17.8C (64F)
2020: 15.2C (59.4F)
Overall, India is enduring one of its coldest winters in decades.
In Kashmir, the iconic Dal Lake have frozen for the first time in years. Recent temperatures in Srinagar plummeted to -8.5C (16.7F), the coldest December night since 1974, when the mercury hit -10.3C (13.5F).
The freezing of Dal Lake has disrupted daily life as locals struggle to free their boats from the icy surface. Many have resorted to lighting bonfires and using traditional kangris—earthen pots filled with hot ash—for warmth. Demand for winter clothing and blankets has surged amid temperatures as low as -18C (-0.4F) in some parts of the country.
Looking ahead, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts cloudy skies and intermittent rain in Delhi through Saturday. From December 29 onward, temperatures are expected to dip even further as dense fog descends over the city, reducing visibility in the mornings. Delhiites should brace for an even colder end to the year.
The snow has also been falling up north, with Kashmir and parts of Jammu blanketed under the heaviest accumulations in years.
Sinthan Top and Margan Top recorded 4 feet of snow, making the passes inaccessible. Peer Ki Gali and Baltal each saw 3 feet, disrupting connectivity on the Mughal Road and burying the Amarnath Yatra base camp. Qazigund, the gateway to Kashmir, saw 2 feet, while nearby areas like Kokernag received similar amounts.
Districts in South Kashmir, including Anantnag, Pulwama, Kulgam, and Shopian, experienced widespread snowfall ranging from 1 to 2 feet. While in Jammu, the likes of Banihal and Bhaderwah was significant snow, up to a foot.
Despite the disruptions, the snowfall has been welcomed by farmers and snow lovers, boosting hopes for a prosperous winter season and a scenic end to the year.
https://electroverse.info/dal-lake-freezes-over-extreme-snow-roundup-antarctic-sea-ice-recovery/
Extreme Snow Roundup
Europe
The Alps have been hit by a spectacular week of snowfall, with some regions seeing up to 2 m (6.6 ft) of accumulation. Base depths have quadrupled in places, and temperatures plummeted to an icy -20C (-4F) and beyond.
On the negative though, high winds, low visibility, and avalanche risks peaking at level 4 (on a scale of 5) have caused widespread slope closures. Avalanche fatalities have been reported in Austria, France, Italy and Switzerland, with at least eight people dying in six separate incidents.
France: Val Thorens, Europe’s highest resort, reported over 2 meters (6.6 feet) of snowfall, while Alpe d’Huez, Flaine, Les Arcs, and Méribel more than doubled their base depths. Avalanche danger initially caused disruptions, but sunny weather since has stabilized conditions. Sunshine is forecast through New Year’s week with freezing levels fluctuating between 500m (1,640ft) and 2,500m (8,200ft)
Austria: Up to a meter (3.3 feet) of snow fell on the Stubai Glacier and Saalbach Hinterglemm, with St Anton opening its iconic Valluga terrain for deep powder enthusiasts. A sunny week is on the cards with temperatures bottoming out at -5C (23F).
Italy: Snowfall was lighter in most parts. However, Cervinia saw significant snow with 75cm (29.5 inches) in 72 hours.
Switzerland: Massive snowfalls hit Verbier’s Four Valleys and Crans-Montana, which received over five feet of fresh snow, transforming the landscape. Andermatt became the first Swiss resort to boast a two-metre base. Looking ahead, cold and sunny conditions are on the cards, with alpine thermometers dropping to -10C (14F) at night.
The Pyrenees: Fresh snow has brightened the outlook for larger resorts like Grandvalira in Andorra and Baqueira Beret in Spain, now 70% open.
Scandinavia: Moderate snowfall is helping resorts, with Hemsedal, Trysil, and Åre reporting 40% open terrain, with Geilo at 50%.
Eastern Europe: Snowstorms brought fresh powder but also strong winds, closing lifts at Slovakia’s Jasná on Christmas Eve. Bulgaria’s Bansko is now 90% open owing to fantastic falls.
Scotland: Heavy snow from “the storm with no name” was followed by a thaw, but temperatures are dropping hard again.
According to the latest GFS runs, Europe will be buffeted by another round of heavy, widespread snow in the early New Year—from Spain to Russia, Scotland to Turkey: Heavy mountain snows
North America: Quiet but Cold
Canada: Consistent freezing lows (down to -15C/5F at night) have preserved conditions in Alberta and British Columbia despite modest snowfalls. Whistler Blackcomb now boasts 85% of its terrain open, while Tremblant in the East is at 70%. Overcast skies, light snow, and continued cold across Canadian slopes is the picture looking forward.
United States: December has been drier than usual, with most resorts operating at 50-75% capacity. Aspen leads with the most terrain open, but Park City struggles with only 15% of its trails accessible. Eyeing ahead, the cold is returning, with moderate snow in the Rockies and heavy storms on the West Coast, where up to a 3.3 feet (1 meter) is expected.
Japan: A Decade-High Start
Japan’s ski season is off to its best start in at least 10 years. Resorts like Hakuba’s Arai have reported an additional 50cm (1.64ft) of snowfall in just 24 hours, and it was the first destination globally to claim a three-meter (9.84 feet) base this season.
Sukayu has also reached 357 cm (11.7 ft) this season, setting a new December national record for Japan, surpassing the previous benchmark of 324 cm in Tsunan, set in 2005. Additionally, Sukayu broke its own December station record of 297 cm, set in 2012.
Across Japan, many stations in Niigata and Gifu Prefectures are reporting snow depths exceeding 300 cm, with even greater accumulations in the surrounding mountains. This season is already one for the record books across Japan.
Antarctic Sea Ice Recovery
The ice was supposed to vanish, seas were destined to rise, and disaster seemed inevitable—until reality intervened.
New data shows a stark—though entirely predictable—recovery… Antarctic Sea Ice is higher now than it was on the same day in 2023, 2022, 2021, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2006, 2005, 2000, 1998, 1997, 1996, 1993, 1992, 1991, 1989, 1987, 1986, 1982, 1980, and 1979:
https://www.bas.ac.uk/media-post/declining-antarctic-sea-ice-generating-more-ocean-heat-loss-and-storms/
23 DEC 2024
WINTER SOLSTICE brought a mid-winter jet stream storm pattern to the N Hemisphere. Large intense deep storms impacted the Eastern Pacific (944mb), Gulf of Alaska(956mb), New England (960mb), Iceland (953mb), Norway, central Siberia, and Japan. North America was warm in the West and Cold in the East. Canadian fronts passed into the Gulf of Mexico producing snow in NE and frost in the South. A deep Nor’Easter moved into the Labrador Strait creating a strong Atmospheric River AR that hit Iceland and Norway with 1-2.5 m of new snow. The ECMWF 15-day forecast put 2-5 m of new snow along the Pacific Rim from Anchorage to Portland. NWS QPF forecasts for the next 7 days call for 3-15 INCHES of precipitation from N Calif. to Vancouver with 2-4 inches in the Bitterroots of Idaho and western Montana’s Rockies. This will be a significant winter storm. Several intense ARs are predicted to hit the NW coast.
Europe was relatively mild as the warm sector moved over Spain and Portugal to Germany. However, this week has a deep cold trough over the area. Record cold hit China and Asia this month with 15 provincial capitals setting new record lows. Spain did not escape the cold as Murcia, a region of southeastern Spain, has experienced a striking drop in temperatures, marking an icy start to winter. Italian Alps Hit -31.1C (-24F)
An intense AR is predicted to hit the UK and western Europe this week. Yesterday, Slovenia had wide spread snow - perhaps a white Christmas there. LJU had 4 cm, Kredarica has 35 cm on the ground; however, 60-100 km/hr winds swept most of it into drifts.
Japan set new snow and cold records. ECMWF has been consistently predicting 1-2 m each day in the mountains of Japan over the past 15 days. Sapporo remained below 1 m in these forecasts. NE China also set snow and cold records. India and Pakistan remained cold and snowy.
The Southern Hemisphere jet weakened and moved south bringing 3 deep storms (950-970 mb) circling the Antarctic. Cold interior temperatures created the temperature gradient that maintained the jet. Coastal mountains continued to get 1-4 m of new snow. The Ross Sea ice continued to open ~50% cover, while the Weddell Sea Ice is only 10% open. The Andes had much diminished snows over a very small, high elevation area. However, the Peruvian Andes at 8 to 17 ºS latitude had 50 to 104 cm.
Australia continued to get Antarctic fronts and ridges of High Pressure that kept the SE cool and West warm with significant thunderstorms and precipitation (50 to 200 mm). New Zealand’s snows ended with the exception of the highest peaks; however, heavy rains (150-290 mm) hit the rainforests.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
New Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 10/26/24 still has a weak La Niña. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 23 December 2024
Bhopal Breaks 58-Year Record; Vostok At -40C (Again); The Truth About Iceberg A-68; Extreme Cold And Heavy Snow Slam Finland; + Europe Wind Power A “Shit Situation,” Says Minister
December 17, 2024 Cap Allon
Bhopal Breaks 58-Year Record
A severe cold wave continues across much of India, breaking temperature records.
In Madhya Pradesh, the city of Bhopal logged a minimum of -3.3C (26.1F), breaking a 58-year-old record of -3.1C (26.4F) set on December 11, 1966.
Cold wave conditions are prevailing across districts like Rajgarh, Khandwa, Badwani, Pachmarhi, Shajapur, Umaria, Shahdol, Jabalpur, Mandla, and Seoni, with alerts for severe to moderate cold wave conditions issued in many regions, including Raisen, Vidisha, Dewas, Satna, Panna, Chhatarpur, Rewa, and Narsinghpur.
In Kashmir, temperatures are plunging well below freezing. Anantnag and Shopian saw the lowest readings, both at -8.9C (16F), followed by Sonamarg at -7.7C (18.1F). While in Srinagar, -5.3C (22.5F) froze water bodies, including the iconic Dal Lake.
The cold shows no signs of relenting.
Vostok At -40C (Still)
For the third consecutive day, minimums in Vostok, Antarctica have dipped below -40C, with a low of -40.7C (-41.3F) observed Tuesday.
This unusual cold spell nearing the peak of summer suggests that the core of the season could remain exceptionally frigid—as it did last year.
The Truth About Iceberg A-68
Iceberg A-68 broke off Antarctica’s Larsen C Ice Shelf in 2017, and the usual suspects blindly blamed cLiMaTe ChAnGe:
Well, now a new study in Geophysical Research Letters (MacKie et al., 2024) definitely dismantles that narrative.
The study analyzed 47 years of satellite data and concluded that extreme calving events, like A-68, are part of a natural cycle of glacier advance and retreat—not evidence of ice shelf instability.
In their own words:
“Extreme calving events should not automatically be interpreted as a sign of ice shelf instability, but instead represent the natural cycle of calving front advance and retreat.”
Key findings:
No upward trend in Antarctic iceberg calving size since 1973.
The break-off of A-68? Statistically unremarkable.
Even far larger calving events could occur without climate change being the cause.
Indeed, Paleoclimate data backs all this up, with far larger calving events occurring throughout the Holocene (Bentley et al., 2005).
The legacy media will never cover this, of course, once again exposing their prioritization of agenda over facts.
For a full read of the study, click here.
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2024GL112235
Extreme Cold And Heavy Snow Slam Finland
Finland is facing harsh winter weather as a snowstorm blankets the south and west, while Lapland endures extreme cold. The Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) warns of hazardous travel, power outages, and disruptions nationwide.
A fast-moving snowstorm hit the country on Sunday evening, dumping up to 5 inches by Monday morning across southern and central regions, with more expected.
FMI meteorologist Hannu Valta cautioned, “The snow will be heavy, making driving conditions extremely poor.” Authorities have reported multiple accidents on icy roads. Pertti Törni of Traficom advised: “If you must drive, do so cautiously. It’s safer to stay off the roads.”
Heavy, wet snow has also strained Finland’s electricity grid, particularly in Pirkanmaa and Häme, where trees weighed down by snow have taken out power lines. Repairs here are complicated by rough terrain and limited daylight.
Record-setting cold is being endured in Lapland. On Sunday, Savukoski posted a very cold -35.6C (-32.1F), breaking a record set the previous day, of -34.4C (-29.9F). These are readings well below the -11C (12F) December average.
Forecasters expect the cold to continue, particularly in the north: “The cold will intensify again tomorrow,” say the FMI.
Europe Wind Power A “Shit Situation,” Says Minister
Europe’s energy woes are spiraling out of control, a predictable disaster brought on by shortsighted policy making and an overconfidence in wind and solar power.
As cold wintry weather and the dreaded Dunkelflute (wind drought) grip the continent, electricity prices are skyrocketing.
Southern Norwegians, accustomed to paying €0.18 per kWh saw prices soar past €1.12 kWh last week. While in southern Sweden, a 10-minute shower now costs €2.65.
Wind power is flatlining, rendering those towering monstrosity even more useless than usual.
German wind output plummeted to a paltry 2.8 gigawatts, far from the usual 19 gigawatts expected at this time of year (Montel Analytics). The fallout has forced Germany to fire up coal plants and import electricity from France. At one point last week, German wholesale prices hit a staggering €936 per megawatt hour—the highest in 18 years—as wind turbines stood still, solar produced next to nothing under the gloomy December skies, and the entire grid teetered on the brink.
Industry is being hit hardest. With energy costs obliterating profit margins, several German manufacturers have been forced to shut down operations—including companies with histories spanning a century or more. The Feralpi electric steel plant in Saxony has ground to a halt, with its executives calling the situation unsustainable. “Dire doesn’t even begin to cover it,” they add.
German industry, once the backbone of Europe’s economy, is folding under the weight of idiotic, suicidal energy policy that no sane soul voted for.
For consumers, things are just as depressing. Electricity supplier Tibber is warning Norwegian households to brace for price hikes of up to 400%. Norway’s energy minister, Terje Aasland, summed up the situation: “It’s an absolutely shit situation.”
Norway, a hydropower giant, still imports 10% of its electricity from wind-starved Europe, and now finds itself caught in the chaos. Both ruling parties are now vowing to sever energy interconnections with Denmark and the continent by 2026, promising to prioritize cheap electricity at home—as they did for decades before succumbing to the misguided ‘save the planet’ ideology.
Sweden’s government ministers are also seething, with Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson waking up: “If we hadn’t shut down half of nuclear power, we wouldn’t have these problems. It’s true and it needs to be said.” The previous Social Democrat-Greens coalition, in their ideological zeal, dismantled several reactors
between 2019 and 2020. These clowns should be tried.
Swedish Energy Minister Ebba Busch turned her fury toward Germany: “I’m furious with the Germans,” she told SVT. Germany’s decision to close its nuclear plants—culminating in the April 2022 shutdown of its last reactors—has had catastrophic ripple effects across the continent. “They made a decision for their country… but it has had very serious consequences.” Indeed, when German wind production falters, Swedish electricity is siphoned off to fill the gap, squeezing domestic supply and inflating prices.
Wind, solar, and wishful thinking aren’t enough—not with the tech as it currently stands. Ideology doesn’t keep the lights on, it turns out. Nations are choosing the path of self-inflicted ruin—gutting their energy stability in favor of an unreliable grid.
Sweden has seen the light—belatedly, and their government is now planning to build 10 new nuclear reactors. Norway, too, is finally waking. How long will it be before the rest follow? How many factories need to be shuttered, how furious do we citizens need to get, before our corrupted overlords agree to 180?
White Christmas For Europe; Bengaluru’s Record Cold; Xinjiang Plummets To Record -42.5C; Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Higher Now Than In 1979; China’s Starlink; + Science Will Win Out…
December 18, 2024 Cap Allon
White Christmas For Europe
A powerful polar air mass is about aid in the delivery of feet of Christmas snow to much of Europe, including Italy.
Italian’s should expect the first heavy snows this Thursday, Dec 19, which will focus on the Alpine arc, where the border valleys of Piedmont, Aosta Valley, Lombardy, and South Tyrol will bear the brunt.
Severe snow will hit Friday, Dec 20, as frigid air combining with a system over the Tyrrhenian Sea triggers widespread precipitation totaling in the feet.
Temperatures will plunge as icy winds descend down from the north, bringing flakes to the central-northern Apennines. Marche, Abruzzo, Molise, and even inland areas of Lazio are set to see heavy snowfalls, while in the south, accumulations will build in regions such as Campania, Basilicata, Puglia, and Calabria.
https://electroverse.info/white-christmas-for-europe-bengalurus-record-cold-xinjiang-plummets-to-record-42-5c-antarctic-sea-ice-extent-higher-now-than-in-1979-chinas-starlink-science-will-win-out/
Ski resorts across the central Apennines, including Terminillo, Roccaraso, Majelletta-Blockhaus, and Campo Imperatore, are preparing for significant snow. Fresh powder could reach depths of 3 feet, with peaks exceeding that (above 5,900 feet).
The below GFS run takes us through Christmas day — expect disruptions.
You’ll note that it isn’t just Italy set for a festive burial. All of the Alps, the Balkans, much of Romania, western Ukraine, a lot of Germany, and the majority of of Scandinavia being hit. From Scotland to eastern Turkey, in fact, a white Christmas is on the cards.
Bengaluru’s Record Cold
Bengaluru, India is set to experience its coldest December night in decades this week. Temperatures have already dropped to 12.2C/54F (in the early hours of Dec 17), the lowest minimum in 14 years, but a further plunge is on the cards.
Areas of Bengaluru should expect thermometers to read 10C (50F) before the week is out, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the coldest nights in decades, ones that will comfortably break the 11.5C (52.7F) set back in 2011.
Looking further back, Bengaluru’s coldest-ever temperature was the 7.8C (46F) from January 13, 1884. While this week’s readings are unlikely to challenge that, they still stand out in the historical weather books.
The IMD has urged Bengaluru residents to prepare for continued cold that could “redefine the city’s December weather”.
Xinjiang Plummets To Record -42.5C
Asia’s cold isn’t confined to India, the likes of Siberia, Eastern Russia, Mongolia and China are also shivering…
The mercury at Bayinbuluke Station, located in China’s northwest region of Xinjiang, has tanked to -42.5C (-44.5F), setting a new record for December. The AWS there actually sank even lower, coming in at -46.1C (-50.1F).
This extreme cold is part of a broader trend, with the average temperature for the month also poised to break historical lows.
This is the theme across much of China with, to date, 15 provincial capital cities breaking a record winter low. These include Lanzhou -10.6C (12.9F), Lhasa -6.1C (21F), Xi’an -4.5C (23.9F), Hefei -4.5C (23.9F), and Wuhan -4.1C (24.°F) — to name just five.
Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Higher Now Than In 1979
Despite years of dire warnings and apocalyptic forecasts, Antarctic sea ice extent is doing just fine in 2024 — exceeding levels recorded in 1979 even:
Far from shrinking, Antarctic ice is expanding, exposing AGW Party climate models as worthless junk and unmasking the activist scientists/journalists promoting them as either corrupted propagandists or outright fools
Moreover, in books dating back to the late-1970s, Antarctic Sea Ice today is also higher that it was in 1982, 1986, 1987, 1989, 2005, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022, and 2023:
China’s Starlink
On Monday, December 16, the China Satellite Network Group Co., Ltd. launched the first batch of satellites for its ambitious Guowang megaconstellation.
“I captured images of the deployment and counted 10 spacecraft,” said Daniel Parrott, who observed the event over Oklahoma:
Guowang is China’s answer to Starlink, aiming to deploy nearly 13,000 satellites, with at least half expected to launch by 2032.
Chinese military analysts took note of Starlink’s impact during the Ukraine conflict and are determined to establish their own satellite network to reduce reliance on foreign systems.
China is rapidly working to close the gap on Starlink, which currently boasts around 7,000 satellites in orbit.
Japan’s Record-Breaking Snowfall; + BBC Still Pushing Polar Bear Propaganda
December 19, 2024 Cap Allon
Japan’s Record-Breaking Snowfall
Japan’s ski season has started with a bang, smashing decades-old records and delivering extraordinary snowfall across many resorts. Heavy snowfalls and anomalous cold have made this December one for the books.
Niseko is leading the charge, posting snow totals unseen since 1956. In Kutchan Town, a snow depth of 142 cm (55.9 inches) was recorded on December 17, just shy of the 144 cm (56.7 inches) all-time benchmark set 68 years ago—on course to be broken.
At Higashiyama, stations have registered 281 cm (110.6 inches) of cumulative snowfall.
Scenes at Rusutsu have been equally remarkable. The resort’s station, located just 10 minutes from its base, has recorded 343 cm (135 inches) of cumulative snowfall so far this season. There have already been seven days with over 20 cm (7.9 inches) of fresh accumulations and 16 days exceeding 10 cm (3.9 inches).
With cold temperatures preserving the powder and more snow on the horizon, Rusutsu’s coverage will only grow.
Furano has still logged 158 cm (62.2 inches) of cumulative snowfall this season, with snow reported every day since Dec 7. Consistent snowfall and low temperatures here have ensured reliable powder conditions, particularly on the Furano Zone side.
Turning to Honshu island, Hakuba is enjoying early-season depths of 200 cm (78.7 inches, or about 6.6 feet) at top stations in Happo, Goryu, and Hakuba 47. Looking ahead here, forecasts are calling for “a massive incoming storm” that promises additional feet Saturday through Monday.
https://electroverse.info/japans-record-breaking-snow-bbc-still-pushing-polar-bear-propaganda/
Likewise at Nozawa Onsen, totals at the base have reached 101 cm (39.8 inches), with 120 cm (47.2 inches) reported higher up.
Geto Kogen continues to astonish with a jaw-dropping 586 cm (230.7 inches, or about 19.2 feet) registered already this season, including an 80 cm (31.5 inches) dump in a single day on Dec 16.
While even Central Tokyo has posted its first snow of the season, a full two weeks ahead of schedule.
Across Japan, early-season conditions have surpassed expectations, with some regions experiencing the best snowfalls in decades, on course to be the best ever. From Hokkaido’s relentless powder to Honshu’s breathtaking depths, the 2024-2025 season is shaping up to be an unforgettable one for skiers, just as the MSM foretold (oh wait).
BBC Still Pushing Polar Bear Propaganda
A recent BBC article on polar bears and cLiMaTe ChAnGe is a perfect example of peddling a sensationalist, one-sided narrative divorced from actual data.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yg344zz1ro
The piece hinges on the tired trope of polar bears as helpless victims of global warming, cherry-picking statistics and ignoring hard facts that don’t fit its alarmist agenda. It is an exercise in selective reporting, designed not to inform but to propagandize.
The BBC focuses on possible declines in Western Hudson Bay (WH) polar bear numbers, while ignoring potentially larger gains in the adjacent Southern Hudson Bay (SH) numbers over the same period. They also rug-sweep increases to the global population.
Polar bears are far from fragile creatures teetering on the brink of extinction. They are apex predators that have survived countless periods of ice loss and warming over hundreds of thousands of years. These animals are highly adaptable, capable of foraging on land and exploiting alternative food sources such as bird eggs and carrion when seals are less accessible.
The claim that polar bears spending more time on land is leading to a “precarious” future for the species completely ignores historical evidence of the bears thriving during interglacial periods when Arctic ice levels were far lower than they are today.
The resilience of Arctic ice is also ignored by the BBC, when catastrophe should have long-hit by now. Looking to Greenland, the island’s Surface Mass Balance has seen a dramatic turnaround since 2012, clawing its way back to yearly gains:
Murcia’s Record Lows; Red Alert In Bidar Amid India’s Cold Wave; Italian Alps Hit -31.1C (-24F); + U.S. Cold-Deaths Double Since 1999—The Establishment Blames Global Warming
December 20, 2024 Cap Allon
Murcia’s Record Lows
Murcia, a region of southeastern Spain, has experienced a striking drop in temperatures, marking an icy start to winter.
Los Royos in Caravaca de la Cruz has logged -3.5C (25.7F), Yecla saw -2.9C (26.8F) with Jumilla at -2.1C (28.2F). The coldest spot, La Junquera, plummeted to a record -9.7C (14.5F). And even coastal Cartagena wasn’t spared, seeing temps of 4C (39.2F).
Frosty rooftops and frozen fields now define the usually mild region, catching many off guard
Red Alert In Bidar Amid India’s Cold Wave
Much of India is reeling under severe cold wave conditions, prompting the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to issue a rare Red Alert for the city of Bidar, located in the southwest state of Karnataka.
Thermometers in Karnataka’s northern districts, including Bidar but also Vijayapura and Kalaburagi, have plunged to around 6C (42.8F), far below the seasonal average of 13C (55.4F), far below what people here are used to dealing with.
In Bidar, the situation is critical. With temperatures expected to dip even further in the coming days, authorities have urged residents to stay indoors.
The cold wave has extended to the likes of Bengaluru and all, and Hemmigepura. Areas near Kempegowda International Airport and Hindustan Aeronautics Limited Airport are also dealing with stark anomalies. India’s north continues to shiver, with sub -20C (-4F) lows a regular occurrence for some spots.
Italian Alps Hit -31.1C (-24F)
The Italian Alps have experienced extremely low temperatures this morning (Dec 20).
At 5:30 am local time, Cime Bianche registered -17.5C (0.5F), Monviso saw -18.2C (-0.8F), and Gran Vaudala reached -18.5C (-1.3F).
Even colder temperatures were observed on the peaks of Monte Rosa, -29.7C (-21.5F), and Monte Bianco, -31.1C (-24F).
These are extreme figures for the time of year, a freeze that will also aid in the snow about to bury the region:
U.S. Cold-Deaths Double Since 1999—The Establishment Blames Global Warming
The number of cold-related deaths in the United States more than doubled between 1999 and 2022, with researchers scrambling to blame the trend on the mother of all cash-cows climate change.
According to a study published in the Journal of the American Medical Association, ‘experts’ are pushing the idea that global warming is behind more severe winters, that the freezing temperatures killing people are the result of a planet that’s heating up.
Apparently, increasing deaths from hypothermia, frostbite, and extreme cold are attributed to a “weakened polar vortex” linked to “polar amplification.” Translation? When reality contradicts The Narrative, they twist the facts to keep their story going.
Polar Amplification
The Polar Amplification theory claims that faster warming at the poles weakens the jet streams, allowing frigid polar air to plunge southward more readily. Even within climate alarmist circles though, this half-baked thinking is riddled with problems.
For Polar Amplification to work, both poles would need to be warming. They aren’t. While the Arctic has warmed, slightly (now slowing with sea ice holding firm), Antarctica has been cooling. East Antarctica has cooled by 2.8C over the last 40-or-so years, and West Antarctica by 1.6C. This cooling is shown to be intensifying in recent years, yet, crucially, the southern hemisphere jet streams are weakening all the same, meaning something other that ‘Polar Amplification’ is at play.
It’s cold even now on the continent—in December 2024.
Sub -40C readings are rare in December, but Vostok this past week has endured five on the trot: -40.9C (-41.6F) on Dec 15, -40.8C (-41.4F) on Dec 16, -40.7C (-41.3 F) on Dec 17, -41.1C (-42F) on Dec 18, and -41.5C (-42.7F) on Dec 19—historically cold values. A sub -40C was also likely observed on Dec 20, but satellite transmissions went down. For more on a cooling Antarctica, click here.
If Antarctica’s cooling continent doesn’t fit the Polar Amplification script, and southern jet streams weaken regardless, what’s really driving the changes? Solar activity provides a far better explanation, but that doesn’t serve the interests of climate hysteria.
Polar Amplification isn’t science—it’s propaganda. It’s a convoluted tale meant to keep a collapsing climate narrative alive by blaming everything, even deadly freezes, on the poverty-stripping poster boy that is ‘global warming’.
The CAWG Theory Is Dying A Death
More than 40,000 cold-related deaths were officially recorded during the 24-year period (1999-2022), with the rate rising 109%. These deaths, we’re told, are partly due to homelessness, poverty, and poor infrastructure—serious issues that deserve attention. But to claim that “global warming” has resulted in deadly freezes stretches logic and credibility past the breaking point.
The catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) theory is gasping for air.
The very people who have spent decades warning about melting ice caps and sweltering temperatures are now attempting to spin cold weather disasters as evidence of their ‘forever hotter’ hypothesis. This mental gymnastics ignores a basic fact: cold kills far more people than heat, in every region of every nation. Cold is the threat. If the world truly were on fire, we wouldn’t see this doubling of cold-related deaths in the US.
While activists and their media lapdogs pontificate about “polar vortexes” and “amplifications” they ignore practical solutions like improving housing and energy security. Instead, they push policies that make heating homes more and more expensive.
The increase in cold-related deaths isn’t proof of global warming. It’s proof that ideology and dogma, not science, drives academic thinking. While the climate industrial complex busies itself fitting square pegs into round holes, ordinary folk are freezing to death.
NEXT ELECTROVESE REPORTS WILL BEGIN DECEMBER 30, 2024. HAPPY HOLIDAYS
16 Dec 2024
Our wavy jet stream (meridional flow) brought intense winter weather across the northern hemisphere this week. Three deep storms controlled the weather from Alaska to Eastern Canada then the North Atlantic and Siberia. The cold persistent High (1040 mb) over the UK and Sweden kept the temperatures below normal. Heavy snows lined the West coastal Mountains of N America and Norway. Eastern US had record cold from the 972 mb Ontario - Quebec storm that stretched from Saskatchewan to Greenland pulling cold air south and pushing warm air north on its eastern side. This combined with a 1040 mb Greenland High to produce heavy coastal snows in S Greenland and Iceland. A 1044 mb High moved in behind the Ontario-Quebec storm cooling the NE on 15 DEC. At the same time, an intense Pacific storm (980 mb) threatened to hit the West Coast again with bands of heavy rain and snow in the Sierra and Cascades. A rare tornado hit near Santa Cruze as convective bands triggered severe thunderstorms on 13 December from another storm. Our December weather is much like mid-winter. Winter Solace is on 21 December. Texas’ grid operator, ERCOT, has warned of “extreme cold” this winter but insists the state’s power grid is better prepared than in past years. Here’s hoping.
Europe had significant snows from the Pyrenees to the Alps with many ski areas open. Atlantic storms moved north hitting Morocco, Spain, France, UK, and Norway. A deep Siberian Low also pumped cold moist air into Norway dumping 1-2 m of new snow. On 15 December a deep 952 mb storm west of Norway combined with a 1044 mb High over Spain to pull Atlantic air into Western Europe. This put significant snows in the UK from Scotland to the Midlands. Russia hit -49ºC - a sure sign of winter.
Asia continued cold in N China and Mongolia with cold dropping into Pakistan and India. However, the Tibetan Plateau remained above normal with no snow except on it’s mountain rim-Himalayans and the Kunlun Shan to the north. India and Kashmir continued to shiver with -18ºC in Kashmir. Japan continued to get heavy mountain snows of 1-2 m. A cold wave even hit Vietnam.
Australia and New Zealand continued to have heavy convective storms and rain (100-400 mm) as Antarctic fronts hit. Argentina had a significant heatwave and drought between fronts. Brazil continued to recover with deep thunderstorms (-60 to -80ºC) tops.
The Antarctic warmed a bit, but Vostok Station was -40ºC - unusual so close to the Solstice. Deep storms (970 to 950 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic dumping 1-2 m on the highest peaks.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
New Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 12/7/24 still has a strengthening La Niña. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 16 December 2024
Kashmir Freezes At -18C (-0.4F); Below Average Antarctic Plateau; Another Round Of Lake-Effect Snow; Cold Waves Lifting Natural Gas Prices; + The Little Ice Age
December 5, 2024 Cap Allon
Kashmir Freezes At -18C (-0.4F)
Crippling cold continues to grip the Kashmir and Ladakh regions of India, tanking temps to anomalously low levels.
Srinagar saw -2.1C (28.2F) overnight Wednesday, Pahalgam dipped to -5.3C (22.5F), with Gulmarg seeing -3.6C (25.5F).
The Zojila Pass, a vital link between Kashmir and Ladakh, was buried under heavy snow with thermometers plunging to -18C (-0.4F), forcing its closure and halting essential supplies through the pass.
In Ladakh itself, the districts of Leh and Kargil endured temperatures below -9C (15.8F), with remote areas cut off.
Jammu also experienced the chill, with areas like Banihal, Batote, and Bhaderwah all recordeding freezing lows and heavy snows.
School closures are mounting and public transportation is being disrupted, with residents urged to stay indoors. Authorities are working hard, providing relief to those cut off, maintaining the flow essential supplies, and also increasing snow-clearing efforts.
As per local forecasts, the cold wave shows no signs of abating.
Below Average Antarctic Plateau
Temperatures across the Antarctic Plateau continue to hold exceptionally cold, even as the continent enters summer.
At the South Pole Station, the average temperature from December 1 to 4 has come in at -35.8C (-32.4F), far colder than the historical norm of -31.5C (-24.7 F).
Similarly, at the Vostok Station, conditions have been extreme, with -43.1C (-45.6F) posted on December 5.
Another Round Of Lake-Effect Snow
A strong clipper system is set to bring more widespread snowfall to the northern U.S. and southern Canada by Friday.
Starting in Canada, southern Ontario, including Toronto and Ottawa, are forecast 10 inches, with southern Quebec, including Montreal, expecting similar totals.
The likes of northern Wisconsin, Michigan’s Upper Peninsula, and northern Minnesota could see another foot in the coming days, with lake-enhanced areas exceeding that. Western Michigan and northern Ohio are also bracing for additional accumulations.
Northern New York and New England are also in the path, with totals forecast to approach 2 feet at higher elevations.
Colder air will follow the system, freezing much of the lake-effect snow in place, prolong its impacts and delaying the cleanup.
Residents in affected areas have been told to prepare for more challenging conditions.
Cold Waves Lifting Natural Gas Prices
The bitter cold gripping swaths of the U.S. and much of Europe is driving natural gas demand sharply higher, pushing Henry Hub prices above $3 per MMBtu, as heating needs climb and energy markets brace for potential supply strains.
Notably in Europe, colder-than-expected temps are amplifying energy supply concerns. Adding to the cold weather woes are unreliable renewables which are taking-up a increasingly large share of generation, as well as quickly declining inventories and high crude prices.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration has also taken notice, raising its 2025 price forecast to $3.06 per MMBtu, up from $2.90. It also notes longer-range forecasts, which call for consistently cold temperatures into the new year.
The Little Ice Age
The Little Ice Age (LIA), lasting 1250 to 1860 AD, was one of the coldest periods in the last 8,000 years. It was marked by harsh winters, shifting climate patterns, and significant environmental and societal impacts. This period’s complexity, driven by a mix of external forcings and internal variability, gives insight into how natural factors can violently upend the climate.
The LIA was predominantly a winter phenomenon, asserts a 2022 study, with summers intermittently cold and warm, dry and humid, reflecting the high seasonal variability.
Europe experienced three notable alpine glacier advances during this time, around 1380, 1680, and 1860 AD, which serve as markers of the LIA’s most intense periods.
It is widely agreed that the primary drivers of the LIA were volcanic eruptions, reduced solar irradiance, and orbital forcing, all of which worked in concert to lower global temperatures:
Volcanic Eruptions: Clusters of eruptions injected aerosols into the atmosphere, reflecting sunlight and cooling the planet. These events accounted for approximately 51% of the cooling during the LIA, according to the 2022 study. Notably, the “Years without a Summer “were direct consequences of volcanic activity, such as the most infamous 1816 which followed the VEI 7 eruption of Tambora.
Solar Variability: The Grand Solar Minima—Wolf, Spörer, Maunder, and Dalton—resulted in dramatically weakened solar output, compounding the cooling effects of the volcanic eruptions.
Orbital Forcing: Changes in Earth’s orbit (precession and obliquity) reduced summer insolation at high northern latitudes, amplifying glacial advances and the overall cooling trend.
Feedback Mechanisms: Cooling is thought to have triggered the sea-ice–albedo feedback, where increased ice cover reflected more sunlight, further cooling the planet. This feedback weakened the Atlantic overturning circulation and contributed to a trend toward negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) indices, intensifying European winters.
Global Oscillations: The Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) and the NAO influenced climate patterns across hemispheres, showcasing the interconnected nature of global climate systems.
The Little Ice Age (LIA) succeeded the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA), a period of relative warmth spanning 950 to 1250 AD. However, the transition to cooler conditions was neither uniform nor simultaneous. In the Southern Hemisphere, the onset of the LIA lagged by up to two centuries, likely due to the buffering influence of vast oceanic heat reservoirs.
The cooler climate of the LIA left a profound mark on agriculture, food security, and human societies. Harsh winters and erratic weather patterns disrupted farming, while advancing glaciers encroached upon alpine settlements, forcing communities to adapt or relocate.
This historical interplay of solar cycles, climate, and human resilience raises a pressing question for our time: could we be approaching another Grand Solar Minimum?
The forthcoming Solar Cycle 26, anticipated to begin 2030-ish, should yield critical insights. While our advanced understanding of climate systems and technological progress better equip us to navigate such shifts, the lessons of the LIA remain poorly learned. Modern thinking has framed heat as life’s primary adversary, when the opposite is so obviously true.
Northern India’s Big Freeze Intensifies; Cold Wave Enters Vietnam; Freezing Lows And Heavy Snows Hit U.S., More To Come; + Everything Causes Climate Change
December 6, 2024 Cap Allon
Northern India’s Big Freeze Intensifies
Bone-chilling lows are persisting, intensifying even, across the likes of Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh, with many regions crashing below the freezing mark.
Leh posted at -10C [14F], while Zojila Pass neared -20C [-4F].
Srinagar, Pahalgam, Qazigund, and Gulmarg all shivered well below zero (C), as did Shopian, Larnoo, and Pulwama.
Water bodies like Dal Lake in the Kashmir Valley have partially frozen over.
Looking ahead, the Indian Meteorological Department is forecasting a further drop over the weekend, with mostly dry conditions expected from December 10-14, with isolated snow in the higher reaches from December 15.
Cold Wave Enters Vietnam
Shifting further east, a rare cold front is sweeping northern Vietnam Friday, dropping temperatures in the plains to 15C (59F) and the mountains below 10C (50F). The lowlands and central regions, in particular, are unaccustomed to such a chill.
According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, the cold is hitting eastern areas first, with an expansion west and across the northern plains by Saturday.
AccuWeather predicts Hanoi will see a sharp drop, with Saturday’s temperatures struggling to reach 16C (61F), some 6C below the norm. The chill will then extend into central Vietnam, where thermometers could reach single digits (C).
These unseasonably cold conditions stand out in a country where winters are typically mild. Such cold waves, while not unprecedented, are rare and often disrupt daily life, agriculture, and energy demand in areas unprepared for sustained cold.
This latest chill will run until at least next Tuesday, with longer-range outlooks calling for additional outbreaks later in December.
Last month recorded four such cold waves, with lows of 7C (45F) noted in Lang Son from November 26-28.
Freezing Lows And Heavy Snows Hit U.S., More To Come
The polar front that has gripped the eastern half of the United States and also swaths of Canada, unleashing heavy snows, fierce winds, and bone-chilling lows, will persist though Friday:
Erie, PA, remains among the hardest hit, with a fresh blizzard warning in effect through early-Saturday here. Snow accumulations could touch 2 feet south of I-90, with winds gusting as high as 60 mph. Travel disruptions and school closures are set to continue.
Lake-effect snow continues to hammer the Great Lakes region, with Michigan’s Tahquamenon Falls State Park reporting over 4 feet. Parts of Connecticut saw 8.5 inches, while the highest reaches of western New York reported more than five feet. Snow squalls hit cities like Boston, Hartford, and Providence, with strong winds leading to power outages.
Wind chills across the East Coast are expected to drop to single digits or teens (F) Friday morning.
The storm’s reach has extended southward where temps into the 20s were reported near New Orleans. While up north, across the border, southwestern Ontario also finds itself digging out from heavy snow, with snow squalls choking towns and roadways.
Looking Ahead
Despite earlier calls for milder weather next week, forecasts have since flipped.
Latest EMCWF modelling (below) now shows a strong trough setting up across eastern parts next Wednesday through Friday, bringing another round of well-below-normal temperatures and snow.
EVERYTHING seems to cause CO2 levels—and, in turn, global temperatures—to rise, except for India’s and China’s coal-fired power plants. These two rapidly growing economies are currently constructing more than 1,000 new coal plants, with over 6,500 already in operation, according to GEM data:
Mumbai’s Lowest Temp In A Decade; Northern Hemisphere Cold; Solar Storms Are Possessing Tractors; + The Amazon Rainforest Is A Cloud Machine
December 10, 2024 Cap Allon
Mumbai’s Lowest Temp In A Decade
Winter’s icy grip continues to tighten across India, with temperatures tanking and snow blanketing northern parts.
Mumbai has just shivered through its coldest December morning in 10 years, with the Santacruz observatory recording a teeth-chattering 13.7C (56.7F), which is 5.1C (9.2F) below normal. The cold is expected to persist for a few days before easing slightly.
Elsewhere, Delhi woke to anomalous 8.2C (46.8F), with light showers adding to the chill.
In the north, Himachal Pradesh glistens under its heavy snowfall of the season. The likes of Shimla, Kufri, and Fagu have been blanketed, with the higher-altitude areas of Lahaul-Spiti and Chamba registering totals in the feet.
Temperatures continue to crash up high, with Tabo posting -13.1C (8.4F) and reporting travel disruptions due to icy roads.
Similarly in Jammu & Kashmir, the cold wave has deepened, with fresh snowfall driving Gulmarg’s temp to -9C (15.8F). Sub-zero conditions prevail across Srinagar and Pahalgam as well, with the region bracing for even harsher cold, as per official forecasts.
Temperatures across the north are expected to drop by another 4C in the coming days.
India’s winter shows no signs of abating.
Northern Hemisphere Cold
Russia
Winter is deepening across Russia also, with the country grappling with some of its most severe December temps in years.
Siberia’s Sukhana region has just hit -49.5C (-57.1F), marking the Northern Hemisphere’s coldest reading of the season so far outside of Greenland — a freeze attributed to a fierce Arctic air mass sinking south, aided by clear skies/calm winds.
While notably severe for the month of December, this reading doesn’t surpass the historical record. That title remains with Oymyakon, another Siberian locale, which hit -61.1C (-78F) in 2021 — Russia’s coldest December temperature since 1984.
The outlook calls for an intensification of the cold as the month progresses, meaning that record could be challenged.
Europe
Europe, particularly northern parts, are enduring relentless surges of polar air, owing to a buckled jet stream that is driving down powerful low-pressure systems, bringing heavy snow and frigid temps.
Eastern Europe is shivering too, thanks to a Siberian High spreading stable yet brutally cold conditions over areas like eastern Turkey. This Continental Polar Air Mass is already sending thermometers well below freezing here, with much more to come.
Even in the eastern Mediterranean, a blocking high is locking weather patterns in place, preventing milder air from entering.
In a nutshell: Northern Europe endures wintry storm after wintry storm, while southern and eastern regions remain cold and static. This will be the story for the next few days; that is, until the high breaks, and the north’s snow returns down south:
North America
Starting in Canada, an Arctic air mass is sweeping the country this week, plunging nearly every region into deep winter conditions. Temperatures will plummet well below seasonal norms, with only parts of British Columbia escaping.
The Prairies face the harshest cold, with daytime highs struggling to -20C (-4F) with wind chills in the -30s (-22F to -40F). Winnipeg is set for a frigid -25C (-13F) on Thursday, while overnight lows will sink below -30C (-22F) across the region. While Ontario’s snowbelt regions will see lake-effect squalls and gusty winds midweek, with Thursday bringing whiteout conditions.
In the East, Arctic air clashing with milder Atlantic flows will fuel a rapidly intensifying storm, bringing heavy snow, fierce winds, and freezing conditions to the likes of Quebec and the Maritimes by the end of the week.
Canada’s brutal cold and snowstorms are sinking south of the border and all, into the United States.
A powerful cold front here will make it all the way down to Texas, bringing freezing temperatures to parts of the state by midweek.
Dallas-Fort Worth could hit 32F (0C) or lower by Tuesday night, while El Paso faces a freeze with lows below 28F (-2C) expected Wednesday morning. Austin and San Antonio will hover in the mid-30s (1-3C), while Houston and Gulf Coast areas should stay above freezing.
Across the U.S., December 2024 (through the 8th) has been 4F cooler than the December of 1981. This doesn’t make sense, alarmists, given that 1.5 trillion tons ofCO2 emissions have been added to the atmosphere since then. Unless, of course, CO2 isn’t the ‘climate control knob’…?
Solar Storms Are Possessing Tractors
Planting season is chaos for farmers, many working through the night with GPS-guided tractors to seed thousands of acres. But on May 10, 2024, the biggest solar storm in decades threw their high-tech systems into disarray.
“Our tractors acted possessed,” said Elaine Ramstad, a Minnesota farmer and aurora chaser. “Cousins kept calling to complain that ‘my auroras’ were ruining planting.”
Modern farming relies on GPS for precision, guiding tractors to plant straight rows and apply exact amounts of seed and fertilizer. But during solar storms, turbulence in the ionosphere scrambles GPS signals. Tractors stop, veer off course, or “dance.”
The May storm left fields full of crooked rows, and October storms brought more trouble.
Ramstad’s tractor lost its way while defoliating sugar beets: “The GPS was off by a foot. Twice, the Autosteer jumped rows, forcing me to restart. By nightfall, it was uncontrollable.”
Answering the question posed on New Ag Talk, ‘How’s everyone’s GPS working?’, one Iowa farmer wrote: “Working great! Wonder how many more plants per acre I got with the world’s straightest crookedest rows,” attaching the accompanying photo:
The Amazon Rainforest Is A Cloud Machine
The Amazon rainforest is proving to be far more influential in shaping the planet’s climate than previously understood.
Recent research published in Nature (studies 1 and 2) has torn-up long-held assumptions about the role of isoprene—a hydrocarbon released in vast quantities by plants worldwide. Scientists had long dismissed isoprene as irrelevant to upper-atmosphere cloud formation. Being highly reactive, and so breaking down within hours under sunlight, it was thought to never reach the altitudes where clouds form, and thus, the climate models confidently ignored it — a(nother) catastrophic oversight.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08192-4
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08196-0
Each year, plants release 500–600 million tons of isoprene, with the Amazon alone responsible for a quarter of these emissions. By day, hydroxyl radicals near the ground react with isoprene, breaking it down. But at night, thunderstorms over the rainforest act like industrial vacuums, sucking the isoprene into the upper troposphere, up to 15 kilometers above the ground. Here, in the frigid air where temperatures routinely plunge below -30C (-22F), isoprene undergoes a transformation. Its reactions with lightning-induced nitrogen oxides produce aerosol particles—i.e. cloud seeds that eventually grow large enough to catalyze the formation of rainclouds.
For decades, junk climate models have assumed this process didn’t exist. Researchers at CERN’s CLOUD experiment have now confirmed it in detail.
When sunlight returns, the trapped isoprene reacts with hydroxyl radicals, but in the cold upper troposphere, the chemistry is profoundly different from what occurs near the surface. Highly condensable compounds like sulfuric acid and iodic acid are produced, clustering into nanoparticles. Even trace amounts of sulfuric acid and iodine oxoacids, present naturally in the atmosphere, accelerate particle formation by a factor of 100. These aerosols grow rapidly into sizes that seed clouds, it has been shown, which fundamentally alters our understanding of the planet’s radiative balance—the interplay of sunlight absorbed and heat reflected back into space.
The implications cannot be undersold.
High concentrations of aerosols over the Amazon have puzzled scientists for decades. The new research shows that these particles, originating from isoprene, are transported thousands of kilometers by high-altitude winds. They influence cloud cover far beyond the rainforest, affecting even marine cloud systems.
Clouds, depending on their type and height, either reflect sunlight and cool the Earth or trap heat and warm it. The realization that vast amounts of cloud-seeding aerosols have been missing from climate models invalidates key and long-held assumptions about Earth’s climate sensitivity. For years now, decades even, climate models have been fed junk input. They underestimated aerosol production in the pre-industrial atmosphere, failing to account for forests’ role in cloud formation.
As CERN researcher Jasper Kirkby bluntly puts it, “Isoprene represents a vast source of biogenic particles in both the present-day and pre-industrial atmospheres that is currently missing in atmospheric chemistry and climate models.”
Forests like the Amazon are crucial to cloud formation, yet this role is ignored in the lackluster models. Deforestation, a ‘poster boy’ for climate change, may indeed have contributed to warming—but not in the way claimed. The blame is blindly placed on CO2, reinforcing a false narrative while overlooking a critical feedback loop: more CO2 fosters forest growth, which seeds more clouds, potentially cooling the planet, or at least counteracting some warming.
Once again, CO2 is shown as a secondary player, hardly the ‘climate control knob’.
This new research lays bare the scale of this miscalculation. By reproducing the upper troposphere’s freezing conditions in a controlled chamber, they have pinpointed the exact reactions responsible for rapid aerosol growth. Their findings confirm that even trace chemicals in the atmosphere, long overlooked, play a vital role in cloud formation.
The researchers involved optimistically suggest that their work will “improve climate models,” but it’s more honest to admit that the models have been disastrously wrong and will remain so on most counts—not just clouds—due to external agendas. The critical processes driving cloud formation—vital to understanding global temperature—were simply absent. This isn’t a minor oversight; it’s a systemic failure.
Rather than assuming that forests grow where the rain falls, it would be more a case of rain falling where forests grow.
Record Cold Grips Indore; Asia Chills; Record Snowfall In Midwest; + Another Round Of Arctic Air To Hit Much Of North America
December 11, 2024 Cap Allon
Record Cold Grips Indore
The Indian city of Indore shivered through record cold this week with overnight lows hitting 8.7C (47.7F) on Monday, the lowest December reading in years. Daily highs of 22.1C (71.8F) were noted Tuesday—some 7C below normal.
By comparison, last year’s coldest December temp was 10.1C (50.2F), with 2023’s 11C (52.9F). Tuesday morning’s 8.7C (47.7F), according to the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), qualifies as a “severe cold day,” one intensified by icy winds.
The chill extended beyond Indore: Dhar saw 7.6C (45.7F); Khandwa 8C (46.4F); and Ratlam 8.4C (47.1F). Even notoriously warm districts like Khargone and Ujjain reached rare benchmarks, of 12C (53.6F) and 10C (50F), respectively.
The IMD has said the cold conditions will persist to the weekend—at least.
Asia Chills
Staying in Asia, the likes of Vietnam and China are expecting to endure returning polar air this week.
Northern Vietnam is set to experience a sharp drop in temperatures as a new cold air mass arrives Wednesday night. The plains will see temps tank to 14C (57F), while mountainous regions brace for a frigid 5C (41F), according to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting.
The cold front will first hit eastern areas before sweeping across the Red River Delta and western regions.
Thermometers in Hanoi will drop steadily from 20C (68F) midweek to just 14C (57F) by Saturday, with high-altitude areas like Lao Cai’s Sa Pa struggling to 9C (48F) during the day and dipping to just 5C (41F) overnight—significantly below the 9.8C (49.6F) average.
“This cold spell will affect people’s health, as well as crops and livestock,” warned Nguyen Van Huong, head of the weather department. “Necessary measures should be taken to keep cattle, poultry, and crops warm.”
December has already delivered four cold waves to Vietnam, with even more icy spells anticipated as the month unfolds.
Similarly in China, anomalous cold, driven by a descending northeast monsoon, is set to crash southern parts of the country, with weekend temperatures in Hong Kong—for example—expected to drop to 10C (50F), according to the Hong Kong Observatory, marking a fall of 5C below the norm.
Inland locales will see starker cooling, with Tai Po, Ta Kwu Ling, and Shek Kong on course for single digit lows (C). Even coastal areas of Guangdong will feel the chill.
The Observatory has hinted that the issuance of the season’s first ‘cold weather warning’ is coming.
And looking north, the biting lows and building snows impacting Mongolia, Kazakhstan, and swaths of Russia will intensify:
Record Snowfall In Midwest
Joining the West, the Midwest is now also reveling in a burst of record-setting early-season snowfall.
Four feet in four days: A Thanksgiving storm set the stage across Michigan. Arctic air from a clipper ignited the lake-effect snow machine, resulting in historic totals.
In Gaylord, Dec 1 saw 24.8 inches in 24 hours, shattering the previous daily record of 17 inches set in 1942. By Dec 5, the city had accumulated a whopping 57 inches.
Owing to brutal temps and buckets of lake-effect snow, ski resorts across the region are off to a tremendous start…
Caberfae Peaks
Nicknamed the “Alta of the Midwest,” Caberfae Peaks opened December 6 with 37 inches of natural snow accumulating since Thanksgiving and 150+ hours of snowmaking. The resort is boasting better conditions than at any point last season.
Mt. Bohemia
Mount Bohemia opened December 7 with 46 inches of natural snow blanketing the slopes. Key areas like the Haunted Valley and Graveyard were fully open, while 35% of the Outback terrain is also ready for skiers.
Boyne Mountain
Boyne got a jumpstart, opening November 30 with one run before pausing mid-week for intensive snowmaking. By December 3, the resort had 22 runs open across 171 acres, serviced by five lifts.
Another Round Of Arctic Air To Hit Much Of North America
Another surge of Arctic air is descending southward from Canada, poised to deliver record-setting temperatures and additional snowfall across a wide swath of the U.S., including the Great Lakes and beyond.
Chicagoland is preparing for its lowest lows of the season, with some December benchmarks under threat, but the cold will stretch far beyond Illinois, affecting millions with disruptive snow squalls and dangerous wind chills.
By midday Wednesday, an Arctic front will have arrived in the Midwest bringing with it gusty winds and bursts of heavy snow.
As the front clears overnight Wednesday, skies will clear and the mercury will tank. By Thursday morning, the single digits (F)—near zero in far western IL suburbs—will be widespread with wind chills as low as -15F. Another system Friday night into Saturday is expected to bring snow/freezing rain, further icing the roads.
This Arctic air mass will spread its chill far and wide, with southern Canada (AB, SK, MB) actually feeling the brunt:
In the U.S., the northern Plains, Midwest, and even parts of the South will experience stark anomalies.
Cities such as Minneapolis, Detroit, and St. Louis will face subzero wind chills, while states like Texas and Oklahoma bracing for disruptive, icy conditions.
By the weekend, the Ohio Valley and Northeast will be impacted, seeing subfreezing lows and significant snows.
Antarctic Sea Ice Nearing 1979-1990 Average; “Excellent” Early-Season Snow Across The Alps; Delhi’s Record Cold; Chilly Waters Stun Record Number Of Turtles; + New Study: Flawed Net Zero Science
December 12, 2024 Cap Allon
Antarctic Sea Ice Nearing 1979-1990 Average
Contrary to breathless claims of irreversible melting and looming catastrophe, current Antarctic sea ice extent is both comfortably within two standard deviations of historical norms and rapidly approaching the 1979–1990 average.
This recovery underscores natural variability of Earth’s climate, which is governed by complex and dynamic forcings that go beyond simplistic, CO2-focused unthinking.
The seasonal ebb and flow of Antarctic ice, influenced by factors like ocean currents, wind patterns, volcanic activity, and solar cycles, showcases nature’s resilience and self-regulation.
As the data shows, nature isn’t obeying alarmist scripts:
Policymakers, pop-scientists, and media pundits alike need to acknowledge the cyclical, multifaceted reality of our planet’s climate—one that refuses to conform to their ideological storytellings.
“Excellent” Early-Season Snow Across The Alps
Temperatures are holding cold across Europe’s higher elevations, minimizing any melting of the recent snowfall. Snow conditions are good-to-excellent for the time of year, according to reports, with solid coverage across much of the Alps.
The western Alps is currently boasting the deepest natural snow, with Val Thorens, France reporting accumulations of 115 cm (3.8 ft).
While across the Pyrenees, particularly northern parts (like Baqueira Beret), a remarkable transformation has occurred with more than a meter (3.3 feet) of snow falling at resort level with double that falling up top owing to recent heavy storms.
Looking ahead, moderate snow is expected this weekend across the Alps.
The takeaway, as widely reported: early-season skiing conditions are very impressive for the time of year.
Delhi’s Record Cold
Temperatures in New Delhi dropped to 4.5C (40.1F) Thursday—the earliest sub 5C reading in 14 years. For reference, the December record holder remains that of 1987 when thermometers hit 4.1C (39.4F).
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a yellow alert, and they have signified that Delhi entered “cold wave” conditions. A cold wave is defined by a minimum temperature departure of 4.5 to 6.4C below normal (Wednesday’s low was 5.1C below), while deviations exceeding 6.4C signify a “severe cold wave.”
Cold wave conditions are also sweeping Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra & Kutch, and Jammu-Kashmir regions. Freezing lows are being felt in many northern parts, with settling snow also reported.
The IMD has warned of even colder conditions persisting to the weekend, threatening Delhi’s 1987 record.
New Study: Flawed Net Zero Science
A new study by Dr Michael Simpson of Sheffield University (PhD in Physical/Analytical Chemistry) challenges the CAGW premise at its core, arguing that CO2’s impact on global temperatures is far less significant than claimed and that Net Zero policies are both scientifically unfounded and economically devastating.
https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/jsd/article/view/0/50940
The greenhouse gas theory suggests that CO2 traps heat in the Earth’s atmosphere, causing temperatures to rise. Simpson’s study highlights a critical flaw: the logarithmic nature of CO2 absorption — that as CO2 concentrations increase, its warming effect diminishes rapidly.
Most of CO2’s theoretical warming potential has already been realized at current levels of about 420 parts per million (ppm). Adding more CO2 will result in minuscule temperature changes, far below the alarming projections often publicized.
The study also underscores the stability of Earth’s climate system, which is driven more by natural factors like solar radiation, ocean currents, and atmospheric pressure than by trace gases like CO2. Using the Ideal Gas Law, Dr Simpson explains that planetary temperatures can be predicted with remarkable accuracy based on atmospheric pressure and solar input, without invoking greenhouse effects. For instance, Venus’s extreme heat is attributed to its immense atmospheric pressure, not its CO2 concentration.
Simpson’s findings align with empirical studies showing minor temperature impacts from increased CO2 levels. The study points to laboratory experiments and satellite data revealing that even a doubling of CO2 from current levels would raise global temperatures by no more that 0.5C, a negligible effect. Moreover, CO2 comprises only 0.04% of the atmosphere, and human activities contribute a mere fraction of this. These proportions are too small to drive significant climatic change.
Snow Hits Malaga, Spain; Cold Wave Sweeps Pakistan; Canadian Prairies Near -40C; Texans Warned Of “Extreme Cold”; + Absurdities
December 13, 2024 Cap Allon
Snow Hits Malaga, Spain
A cold snap is gripping Spain, with even the typically temperate Costa del Sol caught in its icy embrace.
The mercury in Malaga is struggling, with city thermometers plunging close to the freezing mark overnight. This is a rarity, as the region’s Mediterranean climate usually keeps temperatures well above freezing, even in the depths of winter.
Speaking to the province’s higher elevations, the Sierra de las Nieves National Park has had its peaks coated with a thick layer of snow. Early-December snow is considered rare in these parts.
Looking ahead, Spain—and indeed much of Western Europe—should expect the chill to continue for the remainder of the month (barring a brief reprieve Dec 17 – 19).
Unusual lows have extended to Italy and all, with temperatures plummeting in its high mountains. On Monte Rosa, the first ten days of December have logged an average low of -21.5C (-6.7F), dipping below the 2002-2023 average of -21.1C (-6F).
Cold Wave Sweeps Pakistan
A severe cold wave is sweeping Pakistan, plunging temperatures to unprecedented lows. The Pakistan Meteorological Department reports that Leh experienced a record-breaking -12C (10.4F), while Astore shivered at -11C (12.2F).
Skardu faced -9C (15.8F), and Quetta, Kalam, and Gupis each recorded -6C (21.2F). The chill has gripped major cities and all, with Islamabad dropping to 0C (32F), rare for early-Dec, and Karachi experiencing an anomalous 12C (53.6F).
Srinagar is another to dip below freezing, posting -2C (28.4F).
Authorities advise residents to take precautions, including staying indoors during peak hours and ensuring adequate heating.
Looking east, neighboring India is also continuing to shiver, with its Hill stations reporting record-early snowfall.
The snow across northern states has been heavy and disruptive:
Shimla has seen its earliest snow in 12 years, with rare white dustings also noted in Kufri, Narkanda, Lahaul-Spit. Across Uttarakhand, Mussoorie and Nainital, December snows have also set in, regions that don’t typically see their first flakes until January.
“It’s unusual for places like Mussoorie and Nainital to see snow this early,” confirmed Mahesh Palawat of Skymet Weather.
The snow brought a sharp chill to the northern plains, and has triggered cold wave conditions from Delhi to Madhya Pradesh.
The lows and snow will persist for some time, so say the IMD.
Canadian Prairies Near -40C
Starting in Ontario, the city of Dryden has hit -30.4C (-22.7F), nearing its -34C (-29.2F) record from 1989, with wind chills dropping it to -43C (-45.4F). Frostbite is a constant threat here, capable of striking in minutes, as it is across much of the Canadian Prairies…
Across Saskatchewan, temperatures are tanking: to -39.7C (-39.5F) in Key Lake, -39.4C (-38.9F) in Stony Rapids, -36.7C (-34.1F) in Collins Bay, and -36.2C (-33.2°F) in Uranium City — to name just a handful.
While in Manitoba, Cypress River endured -35C (-31F), Dauphin saw -33.9C (-29F), Brandon dropped to -31.5C (-24.7F), and even Winnipeg logged a sub -30C low, coming in at -30.7C (-23.3F).
Residents in these parts are urged to wear full winter gear if venturing out, check on vulnerable neighbors, keep pets indoors, and ensure vehicles are equipped with emergency supplies. In conditions this extreme, readiness is critical for survival.
Anomalous cold has extend south of the border too, setting records across the Eastern U.S., even down to Florida. Similarly out the West, the likes of New Mexico and Texas are freezing, with much more to come as winter 2024-25 unfolds…
Texans Warned Of “Extreme Cold”
Texas’ grid operator, ERCOT, has warned of “extreme cold” this winter but insists the state’s power grid is better prepared than in past years. Here’s hoping.
ERCOT officials noted winter poses a “higher risk of outages” but pointed to the 10,000+ megawatts of new power generation that has been added since 2023. This includes 5,155 megawatts of solar power—oh dear—and 3,693 megawatts of storage.
Owing to the additions, the winter emergency risk has dropped from 11.6% last year to 8.7%, so claim ERCOT.
The operator’s head meteorologist Chris Coleman has forecast a higher-than-average chance of extreme cold, warning that conditions this year resemble those of 2021, when Winter Storm Uri caused widespread power failures and 700+ deaths.
While a repeat can’t of course be guaranteed, Coleman has said, “The conditions are there.”
ERCOT CEO Pablo Vegas said the state has weatherized facilities extensively, conducting nearly 3,000 inspections since new standards were implemented after Uri. These measures have “markedly changed the risk profile” with wind and solar now contributing less during extreme cold demand spikes “because the tech, as it currently stands, is bloody useless during the winter months”—that last quote was me
Hurricanes 2017: All time Records
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- Category: News and Events
- Created on 01 October 2017
- Published on 01 October 2017
Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria set all time historic records of intensity, duration and catastrophic damage. This is byfar the worst most destructive hurricane season the United States has ever had. We have suffered hundreds of deaths, massive destruction of property and land, and Billions in damage. These hurricanes were well predicted and emergency evacuations ordered days in advance of the landfall thanks to NOAA's forecast teams, emergency managers and local governments.
2015 Year of Extremes
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- Category: News and Events
- Created on 03 November 2016
- Published on 03 November 2016
Selected Extreme events of 2015
LATEST Major Weather Events
30 NOV 2015: COP21 Climate Talks in Paris
Leaders from over 180 countries from around the world are meeting in Paris to develop a comprehensive plan to curb greenhouse emissions and develop renewable energy. President Obama noted that terrorists were unable to stop such an important meeting of world leaders from taking place. President Obama clearly stated that the US has taken significant steps to slowing emissions and are now producing renewable energy that is competitive with conventional fuels. He stated specific goals for emission reduction of 17% by 2020 and 25% by 2025 and requested that other countries do the same with significant commitments with capitol to drive down costs of clean energy. The US supports emission reductions, but will not sign an agreement!!!!
Data from 2015 indicate that this is the warmest year on record based on surface measurements. Extreme weather continues around the world from record winters to extremely hot summers. Today, Bejing’s pollution set records 17 times greater than world health standards.
7 Dec 2015: Extreme floods in Channi, India and UK.
India battling deadly floods in Chennai
Weeks of heavy rain and flooding have inundated Chennai, India
In 24 hours, Chennai received as much rain as London would in 6 months (CNN)Weeks of heavy rain and flooding have knocked out power, suspended public transportation and left people stranded in Chennai, one of India's largest cities. It has rained 34 of the past 40 days and the heavy-rain-warning continues, according to CNN meteorologists. The rain warning for the southern Indian states of Tamil Nadu and neighboring Puducherry are forecast through December 5, according to India's main weather office.
UK has extreme Precipitation:
Office: Rain and storms soaked the northern U.K. this weekend, prompting evacuations, severe flood warnings and the arrival of the army in the worst-hit areas. Rory Stewart, the British floods minister, told the BBC that Storm Desmond has “broken all the U.K. rainfall records” and unleashed “a completely unprecedented amount of water.”
Drone footage shot above Kendal, a flood-hit town in Cumbria, shows the flooded cricket ground and people wading through inches of water.
Storm Desmond dumped more than 10 inches of rain on some areas in England, including the northwestern county of Cumbria, while other rain-battered regions such as North Wales got more than seven inches, according to the Met Office, the U.K. weather forecaster. Nearly 50 severe flood warnings (which indicate danger to life) remain in effect in England and Wales, while 32 flood warnings are in place in Scotland.
An Environment Agency spokesman warned "significant flooding" was expected in the area, adding: "The situation is serious and there is a significant risk to life.” Homes around the 18th century stone bridge, over the River Wharfe, were evacuated by soldiers.
An Environment Agency spokesman warned "significant flooding" was expected in the area, adding: "The situation is serious and there is a significant risk to life."
The strongest El Nino on record is likely to increase the threat of hunger and disease for tens of millions of people in 2016 aid agencies say.
December 30, 2015 CNN:
More than 18 million Americans live in areas under flood warnings, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Tuesday.Thirteen states are affected, NOAA said.
One of the states most affected is Missouri, which is grappling with deadly flooding that will threaten cities and towns along rivers for days even through the most of the rain has stopped.
Levees have been overtopped in West Alton, just north of St. Louis. And late Tuesday, St. Charles County emergency officials ordered all people to evacuate the mostly rural area, which lies on the Mississippi River.
Record flooding on Mississippi There have been an estimated 49 weather-related deaths in the past week across the country, with the current severe storm system blamed for 35 deaths: 13 in Missouri, 11 in the Dallas area, five in southern Illinois, five in Oklahoma and at least one in Georgia. Many died after their cars were swept away by floodwater.
Record Flooding in Mississippi River
225 roads closed across Missouri I44 closed in 2 places
US Streamflow Map 30 DEC 2016
Major historic flooding: NOAA Flood Forecast Map
Flood Hydrograph showing historic flood at Cape Girardeau Mississippi: 27 DEC 2015 to 6 Jan 2016
GLOBE
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- Category: News and Events
- Created on 31 October 2016
- Published on 31 October 2016
GLOBE - Global Learning and Observations to Benefit the Environment GLOBE presents an opportunity for students, teachers, and scientists to learn and develop scientific thought processes and to understand our environment. In the early 1990’s Vice President Al Gore had an idea to help children around the world use the internet to communicate and learn about each other and their environment. His goal was to have at least one computer in every school around the world. He wanted students to improve their understanding of science and math thru making observations that they could share. I had an opportunity to meet Dr. Sandy McDonald, Director, Forecast Systems Laboratory, NOAA when he was helping Al Gore develop the early stages of GLOBE in 1993. At the time I worked with the US Bureau of Reclamation and was a visiting scientist at NCAR in Boulder, Colorado. NCAR and UCAR hosted many meetings on GLOBE and UCAR now hosts the GLOBE Implementation Office (GIO). One of my interests has been to promote GLOBE in various regions. After returning from Morocco in 1988, I maintained interests with the Direction de la Meteorologie National and with friends at the Casablanca American School. Morocco joined GLOBE after helping make the connections there.
Today, I am interested in helping Slovenia join GLOBE. This effort dovetails with US Ambassador, Brent Hartley’s interest in developing a partnership between the Slovenian Triglav National Park and Crater Lake National Park in Oregon. Environmental science and biodiversity are common interests of Triglav and Crater Lake park rangers and environmental scientists.
Lyn Wigbels, International Coordinator, GLOBE Implementation Office relayed this information about recent GLOBE Student Research Experience: "I was pleased to hear about the Ambassador’s project which sounds like a great venue for involving students in the GLOBE Program. Over the years, GLOBE activities have been organized in national parks. Most recently, during our 20th GLOBE Annual Meeting in Estes Park, Colorado, in July, GLOBE students visited Rocky Mountain National Park to take part in a Student Research Experience:
http://www.globe.gov/news-events/globe-news/newsdetail/globe/video-captures-the-essence-of-the-2016-globe-student-research-experience?
This video truly captures the essance of the GLOBE scientific discovery process and clearly demonstrates how it works to engage students from around the world in learning about nature and their environment. It shows how students apply the scientific procss and communicate their discoveries to others working with their mentors.
Joining GLOBE can be a life changing process that enables teachers, scientists, GLOBE partners, and alumni to improve their understanding of earth.