Global Extreme Weather Log
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 11 August 2020
- Published on 11 August 2020
WEEKLY GLOBAL EXTREMES
(Article Mnager-news and events)
This page provides a weekly log of unique weather events and information that summarizes some key events of note. Most of the extreme notes are from Electroverse Extreme Weather daily updates.
For clips of these events see my Global Weather Album: Global Weather 2020-2021.
Global Weather Album 2020-2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bLyGGEv6oK6f7q9N8
Global Weather Album Spring 2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
Global Weather Album Fall-Winter 2021-22: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Global Weather Album Winter 2022-23: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Global Weather Album Summer 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/rBprNqGzNmHBodKy8
Global Weather Album Fall - Winter 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Global Weather Album Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes. Note: I do not focus on heat as the MSM covers that aspect of our climate variability..
9 DEC 2024
Western North America and New England had significant snows this week as deep storms pumped heavy snow into the mountains from Anchorage to the Sierra and Lake Effect snows combined with a strong Ontario - Quebec storm to dump significant snows in New England. Cold Canadian air reached south Florida keeping it below normal setting many cold records. The West had mild dry conditions under an upper level ridge. Today, another storm is developing along the subtropical jet from Louisiana to New England. This will connect with an Arctic Front that is moving rapidly east threatening heavy rains, flash floods and heavy northern NE snows this week. The Rockies from Montana to NM had a snowy day today. The West Coast will have significant snows from the N Cascades (225 cm) to the Sierra (236 cm) as a deep upper level trough brings Arctic air from Alaska and the Yukon into California.
RED Mountain Resort in British Columbia’s Kootenay Mountains is kicking off the season with record snowfall. November was the resort’s second snowiest winter, with 190 cm (75 inches) hitting the slopes, forming a solid 128 cm (50 inches) base.
The N. Atlantic had two deep storms and a 1045 mb ridge centered on the UK that triggered winter conditions from Morocco to Svalbard. The Atlas, Pyrenees, Alps, Highlands, Norway and Iceland’s mountains all had significant snow from 46 to 258 cm. See Album for details. An Atlantic Atmospheric River AR streamed north into Iceland today with heavy snow (1-2.5 m) on its glaciers. Similarly another AR in the Pacific associated with a Bering Sea 967 mb storm dumped 2 to 5 m of new snow. The satellite images in the album show these intense systems.
Asia had a deep cold pool of -40ºC air over central Siberia that spilled into Pakistan breaking records. The Tibetan Plateau remained mild, however, Japan’s mountains had heavy snows of 1-2 m. These snows are continuing again this week.
Australia and New Zealand continue to have heavy rains (200-400 mm) especially in NZ’s rain forest of the South Island. Nearly all of Australia had heavy thunderstorms triggered by Antarctic fronts, followed by warm interludes. The Antarctic also had deep 940-970 mb storms that produced significant snows (1-3 m) on the coastal mountains. Recall this is now their June equivalent. Interior temperatures run from -20 (Dome C) to -45ºC at Dome A station. windy.com shows temperature observations when you turn on the temperature icon and are zoomed in a bit. You can see the station name, time of observation, wind, T, and precipitation.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
New Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 12/7/24 has an intensifying La Niña. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 9 December 2024
Severe Cold Hits Pakistan; Florida Set For Record Cold; Snowy November At RED Mountain; Global Wine Production At Historic Lows; + “Climate-Friendly Milk”: Safety Concerns Over New Cow Feed Additive
December 3, 2024 Cap Allon
Severe Cold Hits Pakistan
Biting cold has sunk its teeth into Pakistan, with Duki, Balochistan suffering a historic hailstorm, breaking a 42-year record. Snow has also amplified the chill across the region, resulting in significant damage to solar panels and trees.
Picturesque snowfall has transformed the likes of the Neelum Valley, blanketing Arang Kel and Upper Gres. Similarly, Kalam and Swat have been buried under heavy snow, with the mountains of Balakot and Kaghan Valley also coated, impacting daily life.
Temperatures have plummeted nationwide. Leh and Quetta logged the coldest lows on Monday, each posting -8C (17.6F). Skardu, Gupis, and Hunza also endured freezing lows, with Kalam barely dipping below at -1C (30.2F).
Extensive crop damage has been reported in some regions, adding to the challenges faced by local communities. In addition, Karachi continues to struggle with severe air pollution, registering an Air Quality Index (AQI) of 233—the worst in the nation.
The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) predicts more snowfall in Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, and also Kashmir. The rest of the country will remain dry but very cold, with light fog expected in Punjab’s plains and upper Sindh.
Snowy November At RED Mountain
RED Mountain Resort in British Columbia’s Kootenay Mountains is kicking off the season with record snowfall. November was the resort’s second snowiest winter, with 190 cm (75 inches) hitting the slopes, forming a solid 128 cm (50 inches) base.
Early November storms delivered 52 cm (20.5 inches) of snow. Three powerful systems then hit between the 9th and 26th, each dumping over 20 cm (8 inches) in a single day. Webcams reveal chairlifts and patios buried under heaps of fresh powder:
This year’s snow rivals the historic November of 2005, when 196 cm (77 inches) accumulated before the season commenced. This pre-season is just 6 cm (2.4 inches) shy of that record, with the forecast suggesting 2024 will surpass even that epic year.
Owing to the great base, RED has moved up its opening day to Dec 7. And the resort isn’t alone in celebrating; across the Pacific Northwest, abundant snow has also hit the likes of Whistler Blackcomb, Mt. Baker, Crystal Mountain, Mt. Bachelor, and Mammoth.
As a La Niña year unfolds, the PNW is seeing exceptional early-season conditions, already making 2024-25 one for the books.
Florida Set For Record Cold
Florida will be plunged back into winter this week, with wind chills dropping to the upper 30s inland and low 40s along the coast. Tuesday and Wednesday mornings look set to be the chilliest, possibly breaking records.
West Palm Beach’s expected low of 45F is far below the early December norm of 64F, and will approach the coldest readings ever recorded for both Dec 3 (43F from 1903) and also Dec 4 (42F from 1974).
Inland areas, particularly west of Lake Okeechobee, could well face “feels like” temperatures in the 30s.
A deep trough is delivering Arctic conditions to much of the U.S. Freeze warnings are in place from Ocala to Jacksonville, with Lake City expecting lows of 27F.
In Palm Beach County, while temperatures will be well below average, they are not expected to trigger the opening of cold shelters, which require wind chills of 35 degrees or lower for at least four hours, but fragile tropical plants will suffer. Joe Carmakal, owner of a Wellington nursery, plans to mitigate the effects by watering plants, using the water’s warmth as insulation.
The ol’ freezing iguanas could also make a return, with temporary paralysis setting as temps flirt with their tolerance limits.
While Florida shivers, parts of the Northeast continue to be pummeled by record-setting lake-effect snow, with areas already under several feet, and counting! Conditions here are forecast to persist through midweek, marking what has been, for many in these parts, one of the coldest and snowiest starts to December in recent memory.
Global Wine Production At Historic Lows
Global wine production is projected to drop to its lowest level since 1961, with output in 2024 expected to range between 227 million and 235 million hectoliters, according to the International Organization of Vine and Wine (OIV).
This represents a significant 13% decline from the ten-year average, driven by extreme weather events, namely freezes.
France, previously the world’s largest wine producer, has experienced the steepest decline in output due to severe weather conditions. Severe spring frosts, summer hailstorms, and mildew outbreaks have decimated vineyards in regions such as Champagne, Burgundy, and Bordeaux. Italy is now expected to surpass France as the leading wine producer in 2024.
The cold effects haven’t been confined to Europe, they have been felt globally.
In Canada, British Columbia’s wine industry is reeling from a historic cold snap in January 2024, with temperatures plummeting below -20C (-4F), decimating grape harvests to as little as 1–3% of normal volumes.
Similarly, Washington State in the U.S. reported significant vine damage due to a prolonged freeze.
And in the Southern Hemisphere, regions like South Australia have seen yields shrink due to frost events compounded by drought, marking the lowest production levels in two decades. Grape (and also grain) producers are reporting significant financial losses.
The OIV, an intergovernmental organization focused on vine and wine research since 1924, highlights these climatic challenges as a pressing concern for the industry. Of course, the organization lays the blame with ‘gLoBaL wArMiNg’, ignoring this year’s ruinous freezes.
“Climate-Friendly Milk”: Safety Concerns Over New Cow Feed Additive
A new feed additive for cows, called Bovaer, is sparking controversy. Developed by DSM-Firmenich AG, this chemical aims to reduce methane emissions from cows by 27% by cutting down on ‘gaseous releases’—let’s say.
Arla, the UK’s largest dairy cooperative, has begun trialing Bovaer on 30 farms in partnership with major supermarkets like Morrisons, Tesco, and Aldi. Products potentially affected include milk, Lurpak butter, and various cheeses.
Norway, which introduced “climate-friendly milk” over a year ago, saw low demand for the product. Despite the apparent boycott, the additive is now being used in all regular milk, with plans to extend it to all milk production by 2027.
Bovaer’s active ingredient, 3-Nitrooxypropanol, is a chemical aimed at reducing methane emissions from cows. While proponents argue it is safe, critics highlight a few troubling findings. Research has linked it to potential DNA toxicity. Other studies on rats that finding it damaged sperm production. Reports have also indicated that, in high doses, it can reduced the ovary size in cows. Furthermore, PubChem, a chemical database, lists the substance as “corrosive” and a “health hazard”.
Bill Gates—who else—has donated over $5 million to DSM-Firmenich AG.
Enough said.
2 DEC 2024
WINTER ARRIVED IN FULL FORCE this week. By week’s end Arctic air extended from Canada to the Gulf of Mexico. Many areas had their first snowfall of the season. Colorado Rockies had 15-30 inches setting up an excellent ski season. The Thanksgiving Holiday travel was difficult due to harsh winter weather. The Arctic Blast (1040mb) Arctic High set up ideal lake effect snows that are dumping record early snows of 3-5 feet. ECMWF predicted 104 cm in the Erie - Buffalo area. WARM Lake temperatures combined with a westerly fetch of cold unstable air enhanced deep convection along the lake shores. This is a normal early winter phenomenon before the lakes freeze. However, this week is early and historic. Ontario’s deep low (980 mb) again this season has anchored producing cold northerly winds over the NE, which combined with nor’easters dump heavy snow in northern NE. The jet stream over North America has a ridge in the West and a trough in the East which drives Arctic air into the East and keeps the West relatively warm and dry in a NW flow. The west coast from Alaska to California had heavy snows with 109 to 459 cm. The Pacific Northwest and California will have significant snows this week with 159 to 109 cm respectively.
Records fell from Canada to Greenland, UK, Russia, China, India and Korea as cold and snow hit early this November. The NH Jet stream has a strong wavy pattern triggering deep storms and their associated warm and cold sectors. Summit Camp Greenland set a new early season record of -56ºC. Note: Summit Tower reports on windy.com when you turn on temperatures. Seoul, Korea was buried in the heaviest snow since 1907. India set cold records from Madhya Pradesh to Mumbai. NE China also set cold and snowfall records. Moscow had heavy snows and much of Russia is snow covered with 20 to 90 cm. A persistent storm (976 mb) sat in the Barrents Sea this week. It was one of 4 such NH lows controlling our weather. Another winter storm is headed to the UK and Scotland where cold temperature records may fall next week. Much of Europe will be cold and snowy into mid-December. Ukraine’s Carpathian Mountains had 78cm (31 inches) of new snow. Ukraine’s Vernadsky Research Base in Antarctica who are digging out after 1.8 meters (5.9 feet) of snow accumulated at their facility.
Down under, Australia continues to have wide spread rains (50 - 200 mm) as Antarctic fronts move north. Argentina also felt the impacts of cold fronts that triggered heavy rains into Brazil. Snow in the Andes diminished (100-200 cm) as spring confined the areas with snow to the south and high pressures dominated. However, the Antarctic continued to be pounded by deep storms and heavy coastal mountain snows. Dome A station continued to report temperatures below -50ºC as the Antarctic Peninsula’s Berango station warmed to 6º and down to -4ºC. The Ross Sea ice began to open along the shore, while the Weddell Sea remained solid ice this week. Antarctic snowfall remained high along the coastal mountains with 1-3 m.
Solar activity diminished as cycle 25 appears to have passed its maximum, thus decreasing our magnetosphere, letting in deep space cosmic rays that ionize the upper atmosphere and create cloud condensation nuclei. These CCN create more clouds and decrease our temperatures.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
NEW FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 11/30/24 still has a weak La Niña. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 2 December 2024
India’s Cold Wave; Israel’s First Snows Of The Season; 31 Inches Hit Ukraine; Parts Of Russia Buried; Big White; Northern Hemisphere Burial; + Record Cold Headed For Greenland
November 26, 2024 Cap Allon
India’s Cold Wave
India is currently under ‘cold wave conditions’, with significant temperature drops noted across several states.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) designates a cold wave when temperatures in the plains drop below 10C (50F) and are at least 4.5C (8F) below normal. This criteria has been met in many locales, including across Madhya Pradesh where nine cities have dropped below 10C (50F), with Pachmarhi bottoming out at a rare 5.8C (42.4F).
Bhopal broke a 25-year record for November with its nighttime lows of 9.4C (48.9F).
Mumbai experienced its coldest November day in 8 years on Tuesday, with the Santacruz observatory struggling to just 16.8C (62.2F)—with the previous low being the 16.3C (61.3F) from Nov 11, 2016.
The IMD is attributing this chill to icy winds blowing down from a snowy Himalayas, and it’s calling for even sharper, harsher cold as the calendar flips to December. According to the department, this winter is on course to be one of the harshest in many years.
Snow arriving in November is considered early, with the mountain typically seeing its first flakes in December or January, aligning with Israel’s rainy season. This early snowfall is attributed to an unseasonable cold front passing through the region.
For Israelis, the sight of snow on Mt. Hermon is a cherished symbol, signalling the changing seasons.
31 Inches Hit Ukraine
Winter has arrived in Ukraine’s Carpathians, with cm (31 inches) of snow and thermometers tanking below freezing.
Worse is still to come as the week progresses, with the majority of Ukraine facing a further drop in temperature, down to -7C (19F), and beyond, in some parts, challenging long-standing records for the month of November.
Daytime highs will struggle to rise above freezing in many regions, forecasters at the Ukrainian Weather Center report.
Across the country, icy roads and snow will continue to pose hazards, particularly in the west and north.
Vernadsky
Spare a thought for researchers at Ukraine’s Vernadsky Research Base in Antarctica who are digging out after 1.8 meters (5.9 feet) of snow accumulated at their facility:
The Vernadsky Research Base is located near the western coast of the Antarctic Peninsula, close to the northernmost tip of Antarctica. Originally established by the British in 1947 as Faraday Station, it was transferred to Ukraine in 1996 and renamed in honor of the Ukrainian mineralogist Vladimir Vernadsky.
Israel’s First Snows Of The Season
The first snow of the season has hit Israel, blanketing Mt. Hermon—the country’s northernmost mountain range.
Parts Of Russia Buried
The snows are piling up in Russia, and all.
Towns and villages around Moscow have received impressive totals:
Areas outside of St Petersburg have reported meter-high drifts (3.3 feet):
Further east, severe blizzards have struck the likes of the Sakha Republic (aka Yakutia):
Big White
Big White Ski Resort, B.C. has opened its slopes with 2,500 visitors and a record-setting 40-inch snow base, marking one of its best starts to season in decades.
“This is the best snow I’ve seen in many, many years—easily in the top three in my 39 years at the resort,” said Darcy Arnold, Big White’s Chief Operations Officer.
Early snowfall has also allowed for early openings across Northwest resorts, such as Mt. Baker and Whistler Blackcomb.
Looking ahead, more of the same is on the cards…
Northern Hemisphere Burial
By early December, more than half of the Northern Hemisphere is expected to be under snow.
That’s Canada, Russia, Scandinavia, Iceland, Eastern Europe–the likes of Turkey and Greece even, and further east across China, Mongolia, and Japan.
The latest North America run (below) actually shows increased totals for Eastern Canada and also U.S. states of Colorado and New Mexico:
A closure look at Asia points to a similar theme:
This spells trouble for those countries who abandoned cheap and reliable energy in favor of virtue-signalling and all-but useless renewables. Western infrastructure, namely that in Europe, will creek under these early winter conditions, and energy supplies, for many, will prematurely deplete.
The writing is on the wall.
Record Cold Headed For Greenland
Greenland, in particular, is set for an absolute burial, with the forecast temperature anomalies also looking noteworthy.
As per latest GFS runs, ALL of Greenland will be engulfed by a mass of Arctic air, plunging much of the island to -20 to -30C below historical norms. Impressive volumes of snow are also expected, boosting what is already looking to be another solid SMB season:
Speaking to the cold, while data is sketchy, sources point to Qaanaaq (Thule) as being Greenland’s current November record holder, with its low of -42C (-43.5F). Such a reading, according to latest model runs, is under threat–particularly next week.
The GFS is currently forecasting -42.2C (-44F) for central Greenland next Thursday afternoon, December 5.
Record Russia Snow; Seoul’s Heaviest November Snow Since Records Began (In 1907); Arctic Blast To Impact 230 Million Americans; + U.S. Cold Front Sends NatGas Futures Soaring Amid Falling Production
November 27, 2024 Cap Allon
Record Russia Snow
Much of Russia, particularly its central regions, is experiencing a polar outbreak that has brought record-breaking snowfall.
By the morning of Sunday (Nov 24), Tver reported a depth of 27 cm (10.6 inches), which comfortably surpassed the previous November snow record of 21 cm (8.3 inches).
Likewise, the western Moscow Region, including Mozhaisk, Volokolamsk, and Klin, all record snow depths north of 20 cm (7.9 inches)—again setting records.
While in the Smolensk Region, the areas of Yelnya, Vyazma, and Gagarin observed 25 cm (9.8 inches). But it was the Kaluga Region’s of Spas-Demensk and Mosalsk that took the top spot, reporting 29 cm (11.4 inches).
Latest Rutgers University Global Snow Lab data show extensive snow cover across Russia, with over 90% of the country covered. Note Mongolia and Canada are also blanketed, with the U.S. up next (see below).
Looking ahead, forecasts are calling for more of the same, with Dombaj expecting another 41 cm (16 inches) and Rosa Khutor anticipating an additional 39 cm (15 inches) over the coming week.
Winter’s early onset continues across Russia, with substantial snow accumulations already affecting various regions.
Seoul’s Heaviest November Snow Since Records Began (In 1907)
Seoul has seen its heaviest November snowfall since records began in 1907, bringing the South Korean capital to a standstill.
On Wednesday morning, the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) reported 16.5 cm (6.5 inches) of snowfall, surpassing the previous record of 12.4 cm (4.9 inches) set in 1972.
The sudden and heavy dumping created treacherous conditions across the country, not just Seoul.
In the eastern town of Hongcheon, a five-vehicle collision on icy roads resulted in one fatality and four injuries. Falling trees exacerbated the chaos, causing power outages that affected thousand of households.
Authorities issued heavy snow warnings, urging residents to avoid driving and outdoor activities. President Yoon Suk Yeol ordered government agencies to deploy emergency personnel and equipment to mitigate damage and ensure public safety.
Youn Ki-han, director of the KMA’s Forecast Division, noted that westerly winds consistently funneled snow-laden clouds into the Seoul metropolitan area, causing repeated accumulation in the same regions. This weather pattern has already led to historic levels of snow, but an additional 20 cm are predicted to accumulate Thursday before the storm subsides.
The city of Seoul, and the country at large, remains on high alert.
Arctic Blast To Impact 230 Million Americans
An Arctic blast will grip the United States starting Thanksgiving Day, sending temperatures plunging far below seasonal averages, affecting over 230 million people by Friday, and dropping copious volumes of snow.
After the snow, as the Thanksgiving storm exits the Northeast, it will drag down frigid air from Canada, as far as the Southeast. By Saturday (Nov 30), temperatures across much of the country will have plummeted as much as 25 F below normal.
Portions of the northern Plains, such as Bismarck and North Dakota, will struggle to reach 13F, while Minneapolis is forecast to remain below freezing at 26F. The freeze will spread to major cities like Chicago and Indianapolis, which will remains in the 20s, as will even Columbus, Ohio. The East Coast will also feel the chill, with the likes of New York City stuck in the 30s through Sunday.
The freezing conditions, coupled with the lake-effect snow from the Thanksgiving storm, will make for hazardous travel — it will strain energy grids, and all, boosting heating demand…
U.S. Cold Front Sends NatGas Futures Soaring Amid Falling Production
A record-breaking 561,379 Henry Hub Natural Gas options contracts were recently traded, surpassing the previous high of 506,500 set in November 2018. This surge comes as the U.S. braces for the aforementioned winter cold spell, compounded by declining natural gas production that is driving volatility and risk in the market.
“The U.S. is entering the winter season while production is falling, creating price volatility and risk that needs to be managed in natural gas markets,” said Peter Keavey, Global Head of Energy and Environmental Products at CME Group.
The record activity highlights growing concerns over natural gas supply as U.S. production slows. The decline is driven by several factors, including reduced investment in shale drilling, operational setbacks in key production regions, and maintenance at critical facilities. With demand surging during the winter heating season, these constraints are pushing prices higher and creating greater uncertainty, leading market participants to turn to Henry Hub futures and options to manage their risk.
The implications of lower U.S. natural gas production extend beyond domestic markets, particularly through the liquefied natural gas (LNG) export sector. The U.S. is a major LNG supplier to Europe which has relied heavily on American shipments to compensate for reduced Russian pipeline flows following the Nord Stream sabotage and all round hostility towards Moscow.
Production declines in the U.S. threaten LNG exports, tightening global supply and putting upward pressure on prices.
Europe, already facing elevated energy costs and tightened supplies, could see further price surges. The UK, for example, which sources much of its natural gas through LNG imports, would see a further increase in costs for households and industries alike. Worst still, the U.S. could cut it off altogether, prioritizing domestic needs.
Parts of Europe are already seeing strained power supplies during this week’s polar outbreak.
Hungary’s electricity grid—for example—is experiencing unprecedented strain with demand reaching a historic 7,450 MW, as per Mavir Zrt. data, the nation’s system operator, surpassing the previous record high of 7,441 MW set back in January.
The surge in electricity demand is attributed to 1) the early-season freeze, and 2) the ongoing, mad push for electrification.
The ongoing polar front delivered sizable snows and overcast skies to Hungary, significantly reducing its solar production. As households and businesses cranked up their heating, increasing pressure on the grid, renewable production fell off a cliff. Imported energy from the EU kept half of the country’s lights on, with the other half supplied by the Paks nuclear power plant, the Mátra coal-fired power plant, and a string of gas-fired facilities.
Europe’s energy market ensured Hungary that it could meet its import needs. And this time it did. But we’re only in November. What happens in the depths of winter when demand is consistently strained across the continent and renewables, once again, fail…?
Record Snows Hit Siberia And Russian Far East; ECMWF Forecasts Cold Winter For Europe; Half Of China Registers Record Low Temps, Snow Records Broken; NH Snow Cover Steps Up; + Greenland’s 20-Year Cooling Trend
November 28, 2024 Cap Allon
Record Snows Hit Siberia And Russian Far East
A powerful winter system is unleashing chaos across Siberia and the Russian Far East, delivering record snow, hurricane-force winds, and paralyzing blizzards across multiple regions.
Storm warnings have been in effect for the Taimyr Dolgano-Nenets Municipal Region, the Turukhansk District, and the Evenki Municipal Region. Whiteout conditions and fierce northwest winds topping 80 mph have swept these parts.
The Amur Region is another buried under unprecedented snowfall. From Nov 25 – 27, three times the normal monthly snow has accumulated here, and records are falling. Blagoveshchensk, for example, has busted its benchmark set in 1940. While in Tiksi, blizzard conditions have raged for four consecutive days now, and are expected to persist until Nov 29.
The cyclone responsible will pass by the weekend, to be replaced by clearer skies and temperatures of -20C (-4F), and beyond.
This is proving a brutal start to winter.
ECMWF Forecasts Cold Winter For Europe
Latest forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) point to this being a colder and snowier winter than usual for the majority of Europe.
Temperatures are expected to hold below average for long periods of time, raising heating demand and straining Europe’s already precarious gas supplies, leading to yet higher energy prices.
Gas storage, currently at 88%, is being depleted faster than usual owing to November’s fierce cold snap — at this rate reserves will do well to make it through winter. The war in Ukraine, uncertainty over the Russian gas transit, and falling production in the U.S. (recently a key exporter) further cloud Europe’s energy outlook, with risks of halted supplies and brownouts looming.
Meteorologists are also tracking a potential Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event, which could send additional shots of polar cold deep into Europe later in the season, in December, further spiking heating demand. The mere prospect of this has driven European natural gas prices up 20% this month—compounded by the current freeze and also global supply challenges.
Europe’s energy resilience will be tested and then some as the season unfolds.
The continent’s puppet leaders have tossed billions upon billions of tax payer euros at wind and solar farms, seemingly unaware that rarely does the sun shine during the winter months, and not at all at night; that wind is notoriously inconsistent; and thirdly, that useful battery technology has yet to be invented.
On the plus side, a harsh winter could see Europeans vote out this Net Zero nonsense across the board.
Half Of China Registers Record Low Temps, Snow Records Broken
Northeastern China is enduring a punishing cold wave this week, with nearly half of the country’s weather stations reporting record-breaking low temperatures for the month of November, as low as -33.9C (-29F).
The extreme chill was accompanied by heavy, record-setting snowfall.
In Heilongjiang, the city of Huzhong received 20.9 inches, breaking the previous November snow depth record. In Hegang, 14.6 inches hit, with Tahe posting 19.3 inches, and Aihui registering 18.5 inches — all have set new benchmarks for November snow.
The brutal conditions strained infrastructure, with Heilongjiang authorities deploying 35,000 personnel, 5,121 snow-clearing vehicles, and 4,600 snow-removal machines to manage the effects of the storm.
As temperatures linger at historic lows and snow-clearing operations continue, Northern China remains largely at standstill. Moreover, Heilongjiang’s snow is expected to will persist through next week, with the depth forecast to exceed 3 feet.
“It is very rare to see such a fierce and long-lasting blizzard here in late November!” writes severe weather enthusiast Jim on X.
NH Snow Cover Steps Up
The recent snows sweeping Asia, Europe, and also North America are driving Northern Hemisphere cover above historical norms.
The late-November accumulations have seen the Rutgers weekly NH Snow Cover Extent chart shoot in a straight line up (with the latest falls still to be added):
Greenland’s 20-Year Cooling Trend: Another Blow to Climate Alarmism
Greenland’s surface temperatures have been declining for decades, undermining alarmist ‘climate crisis’ narratives.
A recent study (2024) by Thai scientists analyzed 31,464 satellite records from 2000-2019, finding an average temperature drop of 0.11C—a “non-significant change in LST [land surface temperature],” so states the paper.
https://mausamjournal.imd.gov.in/index.php/MAUSAM/article/view/6099
Such findings contradict the claim that Greenland is warming and that its melting ice sheet will cause catastrophic sea-level rise.
Using rigorous statistical methods—including natural cubic splines and multivariate regression models—the study adjusted for seasonal patterns and spatial correlations to ensure accurate and reliable results.
Slight warmer temperatures were noted in Greenland’s ice-free regions, but the researchers attributed this to “population density”—a familiar urban heat island distortion. Such nuances, however, don’t suit the apocalyptic script promoted by activists in academia and their pals in the media, so never are they mentioned. Instead, outlandish claims of the EOTW are promoted, such as the World Economic Forum’s recent assertion that Greenland’s ice sheet will collapse “within months.”
It is hysteria alone that is driving the Net Zero agenda, not science.
The Thai study corroborates findings from Japanese researchers who attribute Greenland’s recent ice loss (shown to now be rebounding) to natural phenomena such as the Central Pacific El Niño Southern Oscillation, not human activity.
This chimes with data from the bottom of the world, where Antarctica’s multidecadal cooling trend continues to baffle
A study published by the American Meteorological Society noted a 2C temperature drop over the past two decades, with significant seasonal declines detected. Other studies reveal cooling for the past 70-years, some even longer.
The relentless demonizing of cheap and reliable energy relies on a cocktail of exaggerated fears, outlandish claims and scientific cherry-picking. Greenland’s 20-year cooling trend is just one more inconvenient truth for the AGW Party to bury.
Six Dead As Record Snowfall Hits South Korea; Farmers In Northern China Struggle During Record Cold/Snow; Harsh Chill Grips India; Canada At -40.6C, Greenland Sees -56.3C; + America’s Arctic Outbreak
November 29, 2024 Cap Allon
Six Dead As Record Snowfall Hits South Korea
South Korea’s capital, Seoul, and surrounding regions continue to contend with record snowfall and all-round icy conditions, which have so far led to at least five fatalities.
With the month almost over, the country is experiencing its coldest November on record, and one of its snowiest and all.
More than 16 inches buried Seoul on Wednesday, its heaviest November snows since records began in 1907, and another 12 inches was added Thursday. This grounded 142 flights from the capital, disrupted 76 ferry routes, and forced the closure of 1,285 schools across Gyeonggi province.
The extreme weather has proved deadly.
Four people lost their lives in Gyeonggi province when structures collapsed under the weight of the snow, and two people died in a bus accident on an icy road. A pile-up involving 53 vehicles on a highway in Gangwon province left 11 injured.
Authorities have urged residents to stay off the roads as icy surfaces continue to pose significant risks.
Amid the chaos, 73-year-old Lee Sook-ja sought solace at Seoul’s Namdaemun Market. “It’s freezing and chilly,” she said, clutching a cup of steaming fish cake soup, “but this helps warm me up.”
The falling snow gradually eased Thursday, but the deep freeze lingers, forecast to intensify even into the weekend.
Farmers In Northern China Struggle During Record Cold/Snow
Northern China continues to reel from an unprecedented cold wave, with record-breaking snowfall and plummeting temperatures endangering farmers and their crops. Authorities have deployed agricultural specialists to help mitigate the impact of the extreme weather.
In Heilongjiang and Jilin provinces, the cities of Hegang and Heihe have received their most November snowfall ever in long-standing record books, and temperatures have plummeted to historical lows.
While the metropolis have been severely disrupted, it’s the rural farmers that are struggling most. Local governments have mobilized teams of agricultural experts to help, with these specialists securing greenhouses, managing heating systems, and preventing frost damage. Also, drones are inspecting power lines to ensure stable electricity to the farms.
In Inner Mongolia’s Tuquan County, a hub for greenhouse agriculture, conditions are particularly harsh, with lows nearing -40C (-40F) in some remote parts.
Local farmer Dong Zhi credited government-dispatched technicians with helping him prepare: “With their guidance, I added heating blocks, hot-air furnaces, and extra film coverings to my greenhouse,” said Zhi. “Despite the heavy snow, I feel secure.”
Beyond agriculture, the cold wave has disrupted roads, closed schools, and strained infrastructure across Northern China. Wth the blizzards worsening, traffic authorities are enforcing road safety measures, while schools in rural areas have been forced to suspend classes.
Looking ahead, further snows and temperature declines are on the cards, according to the China Meteorological Administration, as one of the harshest early winters in decades shows no signs of abating just yet.
Harsh Chill Grips India
Large parts of India continue to shiver under an unusual cold spell, with Mumbai’s Santacruz observatory logging 16.5C (61.7F) on Friday (Nov 29), just days after posting 16.8C (62.2F) — the lowest November temperatures since at least 2016.
The chill gripping Mumbai is mirrored across central India, where the cold has intensified in recent days.
In Madhya Pradesh, the city of Betul saw an anomalous 10.7C (51.3F), resulting in a homeless man tragically succumbing. CCTV footage captured the man shivering as he sought warmth under plastic sheeting, underscoring the hard reality: ‘cold kills’.
The lows are proving even more anomalous elsewhere, with the likes of Bhopal and Jabalpur experiencing their coldest November temperatures in decades, at around 10C (50F). Across the state of Bhopal, in particular, cities such as Indore, Gwalior, Ujjain, and Pachmarhi are posting temperatures in the single digits (C), with Pachmarhi down to a historic 5.6C (42.1F).
Heavy snowfall across Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Ladakh is exacerbating the cold further south, with the chilled air riding on the back of strong winds and intensifying the freeze across the plains and central India.
Canada At -40.6C, Greenland Sees -56.3C
The cold is intensifying up north.
Starting in Canada: Old Crow, Yukon, hit -40.3C (-40.5F) on November 28, marking Canada’s first -40C of the season. The country’s coldest temperature yesterday came in a touch lower — the -40.6C (-41.1F) in Norman Wells, NT.
Friday is expected to bring exceptionally cold readings to Saskatchewan, likely setting monthly cold records.
Looking to Greenland, the Summit Camp officially saw -56.3C (-69.3F) on Thursday, the Northern Hemisphere’s lowest of the season. This is notably cold for November, with the monthly record at the Camp standing at -60C (-76F) set Nov 26, 2001.
America’s Arctic Outbreak
An Arctic blast is gripping the United States, plunging temperatures far below seasonal norms and blanketing swaths of the country under early-season snow.
The snow has been building out West for a week+ already, with Mammoth Mountain, for example, logging its snowiest November since 2010 after a storm between Nov 23 and 26 dumped 50 inches, bringing the Eastern Sierra resort’s monthly total to 62 inches. Note: this is an inch more than November 2022, which marked the start of a record-smashing winter.
A mass of frigid air began sweeping SE Wednesday, with all lower 48 states due to feel its impact by the weekend.
Temperatures will drop some 20F below average in areas like the northern Great Plains, Appalachia, and parts of the Gulf Coast. Every state will experience at least a 10F-15F decline, with freezing conditions reaching deep into the South, even Florida. The hardest-hit areas will include North Dakota, Minnesota, Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia which will face extreme cold.
As the Arctic air collides with warmer Great Lakes waters, powerful lake-effect snowstorms will form Thursday night, intensifying Friday morning. Heavy snow is set to persist into early next week, with accumulations in the feet hitting spots like Watertown, New York, and the Tug Hill Plateau. Highways near Buffalo and Syracuse are bracing for near-whiteout conditions.
The contrast between the warmer Great Lakes’ and the fiercely cold Siberian air mass is creating explosive instability, fueling snow bands capable of dumping 4 inches per hour. Westerly and southwesterly winds will funnel moisture over the lakes, further upping the snow in certain areas.
The impacts on agriculture, travel, and daily life will be severe across large areas, and from snow-covered Great Lakes to frosty palms in Florida, the deep freeze will be felt coast to coast. Prepare for icy roads, protect plants, and stay warm America.
U.S. Battered By Cold And Record Snow; Parts Of Ontario Under A Meter Of Snow; Early-December To Deliver Another Burial To Europe; + Solar Decline
December 2, 2024 Cap Allon
U.S. Battered By Cold And Snow
An Arctic air mass gripped much of the U.S. over the weekend, unleashing record snowfalls and bitterly cold temperatures.
Thanksgiving travelers faced treacherous conditions, with communities across the Great Lakes and Northern Plains struggling the most under relentless lake-effect storms and freezing air.
In New York’s Tug Hill Plateau, a healthy 46 inches (117 cm) of snow buried Barnes Corners by Sunday morning. Nearby Copenhagen saw even more, with 58.8 inches—nearly five feet—accumulating by Sunday night, according NWS data.
Local residents were left to dig out for hours. “We just keep digging out,” said Kevin Tyo, who spent his weekend battling drifts with his plow, tractor, and snowblower.
In Buffalo, a snow-covered Orchard Park Stadium posed a challenge ahead of the Bills’ Sunday night NFL game against the 49ers. The team called on fans to help clear snow from the stadium, offering $20 per hour and hot drinks.
By kickoff, 24.3 inches had blanketed the area, with wind chills in the low 20s.
Statewide, the storm disrupted travel and prompted New York Governor Kathy Hochul to declare a state of emergency for 11 counties, mobilizing more than 100 National Guard members.
Commercial vehicles were banned on I-90 along a 134-mile stretch, as forecasters warned of additional snowfall in lake-effect zones.
Officials urged residents to stay home, labeling the event “snowmageddon.”
In Erie, Pennsylvania, 31 inches of snow had settled early Sunday, stranding even the plowing trucks. North East recorded 42 inches Friday morning through Saturday afternoon, with residents describing arduous clearing efforts.
State officials reported hundreds of road incidents and activated the National Guard to assist stranded motorists. Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro called conditions “treacherous” after whiteouts, ice, and deep drifts rendered many roads impassable.
Ohio’s Ashtabula County also faced extreme conditions, with parts of the county receiving 40 inches of snow with another 21 inches expected by Tuesday.
In Michigan, lake-effect snow hit portions of the Upper Peninsula with more than 2 feet (61 cm). Gaylord set a single-day snowfall record when 24.8 inches (63 cm) fell Friday, smashing a record held since 1942. The snow has bolstered Treetops Resort’s ski season preparations, but noted the snowfall has created its own set of headaches, namely parking lot clearing.
Nearly 70% of the continental U.S. is facing freezing temperatures, with daily highs 10–25F below average. And looking ahead, the Arctic air is expected to linger into the new week, particularly for the East, bringing continued disruptions.
The Establishment media, keen to link every weather even to ‘global climate heating’, is really struggling with this one:
“This narrative is getting dumber by the day,” writes Earth science professor Dr Matthew Wielicki on X. “Thank God the whole planet is rejecting it.”
Parts Of Ontario Under A Meter Of Snow
Likewise north of the border, across the likes of Ontario, a meter (3.3 feet) of snow has hit large areas, with more to come.
Blowing snow off the Great Lakes has blanketed towns, closed sections of the Trans-Canada Highway, and knocked out power to tens-of-thousands of homes.
Gravenhurst has logged 140+ cm (55+ inches) of snow since Friday, forcing the central Ontario town to declare a state of emergency:
Bracebridge and Sault Ste. Marie also received a hammering, digging out from 89 cm (35 in) and 80 cm (31 in), respectively, with another 50 cm (20 in) expected overnight Sunday.
“It’s a pretty big flip of the switch,” said Environment Canada meteorologist Brent Linington, speaking to the snow squall warnings in place along Lakes Superior and Huron. ECCC also has Niagara Falls and Kingston remaining under lake-effect snow ‘watches’.
For most, the storm tapered off Sunday night, but forecasters are warning of more accumulations midweek and another potential lake-effect event next weekend.
Early December To Deliver Another Burial To Europe
Europe is preparing for another severe polar plunge, mirroring mid-November’s conditions. Freezing temperatures, widespread snowfall, and strong winds are set to disrupt daily life across much of the continent in the coming days.
The UK Met Office has warned Scotland of an exceptionally cold start to December, with temperatures plunging as low as -15C (5F). Snow totals could be measured in the feet, with strong winds, up to 70 mph, likely leading to blizzard conditions in parts.
The cold could challenge long-standing records for the date, with benchmarks for the 5th and 6th of December currently standing a -18.9C (-2F) and -18.3C (-0.9F), respectively, set back in 1879:
Early forecasts show a snow front stretching some 900 miles across the UK, affecting the Scottish Highlands, but also extending south into Wales, the Midlands and possibly even southern England.
The polar blast will grip much of mainland Europe and all, with conditions paralleling those endured in mid-November, when freezing lows and record snow swept the likes of France, Italy, as well as swaths of Eastern Europe.
Authorities are urging residents to monitor official updates and prepare for potential travel disruptions and power outages.
Solar Decline
Recent data highlights a marked decline in solar activity as the Sun moves away from the peak of Solar Cycle 25.
The daily sunspot number has dropped significantly, with recent daily counts falling below 100 (the Dec 2 count stands at 83). The smoothed monthly sunspot number is also now trending downward, beginning its steady decline toward solar minimum.
The decrease in sunspots is translating into reduced solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and, ultimately, temperatures here on Earth.
The frequency of M-class and X-class solar flares, for instance, has dropped by over 40% compared with the 2024 peak. At the same time, the weakening solar wind is allowing more cosmic rays to reach Earth, increasing radiation levels in the upper atmosphere by 10-15%, based on space weather monitoring data, and also increasing cloud cover (and so cooling).
25 NOVEMBER 2024
BOMB CYCLONES dominated the northern hemisphere this week. A deep 984 mb storm west of Washington deepened to a 940 mb storm off the west coast. This storm gyrated off the coast and pumped in extreme precipitation into N. California. Many areas in the cascades and northern Sierra have had 2 to 4 feet, with over 400 mm of rain predicted. In the Atlantic another large deep storm was predicted to drop to 936 mb west of the UK on 23 Nov. Excellent forecast: This storm named Bert by the UK Met Office had 70+ kt winds, snow and ice, adding to the record cold and heavy snow week already. Then record rains developed in the warm sector as a focused Atmospheric River hit for 48 hours. Over 140 floods developed, setting new records. Wales Floods were ”absolutely devastating. Earlier this week was the coldest since the 2010 Arctic outbreak. Both Bomb cyclones were invigorated by cold unstable Arctic air that fed into the storms. See album for satellite images.
Europe also had cold and heavy snow North of the Alps. France had heavy snow and the ski areas from the Maritimes to the central Alps have opened with a meter of November snow. See album. Slovenia’s Alps had a coating which blew off with 70 to 120 km/hr winds. Turkey had heavy snows and India is expecting an extreme winter. Beijing is also bracing for extreme winter weather.
The Central and Eastern US also dealt with a deep winter storm with heavy snow and cold air from Minnesota to New England. The NE had 15-25 inches of new snow. This deep slow moving storm moved into the Labrador Sea. Calgary had record November snowfall and cold. Predictions call for continued snow and cold for the next 15 days in North America. Ski areas are very happy.
Our jet stream and surface synoptic patterns are typical of mid winter. We had a 1067 mb High over Greenland and a 1040 mb High over Ireland and the UK according to the Canadian surface analysis. These are mid winter pressures created by cold domes of air. After the cold air, Ireland had early November snows. These extended across the UK as Bert spun up.
Asia also had very cold snowy conditions as the Mongolian herders dealt with severe cold and snow. India is bracing for an extreme winter. Europe likewise is straining its energy grid.
Down under, Australia continues to have wide spread rains as Antarctic fronts move north. Argentina also felt the impacts of cold fronts that triggered heavy rains into Brazil. Snow in the Andes diminished as spring confined the areas with snow to the south and high pressures dominated. However the Antarctic continued to be pounded by deep storms and heavy coastal mountain snows. Dome A station continued to report temperatures below -50ºC as the Antarctic Peninsula’s Berango station warmed to 6º. The Ross Sea ice began to melt along the shore, while the Weddell Sea remained solid ice this week.
Several recent refereed studies show that the Greenland Ice is stable, long term temperature studies had a cold temperature bias from 1900 to the 1930s, the Hockey Stick temperature record of Mann was challenged as not including the warmer Medieval Warming temperatures… you will find reference links in the website log. Our climate is always changing, we have been here before fossil fuels.
These articles are in the latest additions of this log to the Global Extreme Weather Logs web site that has the compete weekly log:
http://hydrometdss.org/index.php/news-and-events
My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.
NEW FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 11/23/24 still has a weak La Niña and possible El Nino. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 25 November 2024
U.S. Snow Spreading East; Rescue In Morocco; UK Snow Builds, Farmers Protest Regardless; Mountain Snowpack Above Average; + Study: Antarctic Sea Ice Has Increased Since 1979
November 19, 2024 Cap Allon
U.S. Snow Spreading East
The storms currently dropping feet of snow on the higher reaches of the Western U.S. are shifting east, preparing to hit North Dakota late Monday with heavy snowfall, powerful winds, and a sharp drop in temperatures.
Snowfall of 8 inches is expected in north-central areas, with higher totals likely in the Turtle Mountains.
A Winter Storm Watch is in effect Monday morning through to Tuesday evening for counties including Bottineau, Rollette, and Ramsey. Travel conditions will deteriorate quickly due to slippery roads, blowing snow, and poor visibility.
In the Bismarck-Mandan area, rain will have turned to snow by Tuesday morning, and fierce northwest winds will create additional hazards as snow lingers Tuesday night. Daily highs will be in the 20s with lows tanking to the teens through the week.
https://electroverse.info/u-s-snow-spreading-east-rescue-in-morocco-uk-snow-builds-farmers-protest-regardless-mountain-snowpack-above-average-study-antarctic-sea-ice-has-increased-since-1979/
Rescue In Morocco
Unusually heavy November snowfall has been reported in Morocco’s Azilal mountains, stranding two hikers.
Caught off guard by the early snows, the pair lost contact Friday evening while exploring the area between Amsemrir and Zaouiat Ahansal.
With no communication from the hikers, rescue teams deployed a Royal Gendarmerie helicopter to search the snow-covered terrain. Thankfully, a break in the weather allowed crews to locate and rescue the stranded, airlifting them to Azilal hospital.
UK Snow Builds, Farmers Protest Regardless
Scotland, Northern England, and down through the West Midlands and also across Wales, the UK is copping an early taste of winter this morning (Nov 19).
Warnings have been issued, including a UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) ‘amber cold weather health alert’ which covers the majority of the UK from now through to Saturday evening. Dr. Agostinho Sousa of UKHSA has urged the public to check on vulnerable individuals, particularly the elderly, with more cold weather expected.
The snow has been coming down all night up north, increasingly spreading south as the morning progresses.
Disruptions have been reported across the country, with school closures exceeding 100, a host of key roads shut, and the power outages mounting. But while the snow is thick, British farmers are determined to get to London to fulfill their planned protests:
It is ironic. Part of the farmers’ dispute is that climate taxes are an unnecessary burden to the industry, that global warming is an exaggerated and exploited threat used to undermine national security. And now here they are, protesting en masse with their point helpfully backed by Mother Nature dropping heavy, early-season snow across great swathes of the country.
Snowfalls were supposed to be “a thing of the past”, of course. Laughably, the very same Independent that published the infamous ‘no snow’ story (below) is today posting a live breaking news section on their website devoted to the heavy Nov accumulations.
Not only snow though, it was precipitation in general that should be in short supply by now. Back in 2012, The Guardian‘s environment correspondent, Fiona Harvey, declared drought would be the UK’s “new norm,” citing catastrophic forecasts and the “drastic measures” required to combat them, such as drought-resistant genetically modified crops:
Despite their 10.7 million totally real followers, @guardian X posts average fewer than 50 retweets each. Nobody cares, clearly. The Guardian has been on life support for years. The only way it survived this long is because 1) it dutifully panders to a handful of cultist lefty loons, and 2) it has deep-pocketed donors, such as Bill Gates. Gates is publicly known to have donated $13 million to the rag–all out of the goodness of his heart, of course.
This week’s early-season cold and snow won’t just be confined to Britain, much of Europe is also on course for a whiteout as December nears:
Storm Bert live: New weather warning issued as Britain braces for 70mph winds and rain this weekend
Parts of the country are bracing for power cuts as charities and energy companies warn homeowners to stay warm as temperatures drop to freezing
The Met Office has issued a new weather warning ahead of the arrival of Storm Bert on the weekend.
The storm is set to reach the UK on Saturday and the Met Office is expecting it to bring “heavy rain, strong winds and disruptive snow to parts of the UK through the weekend”, potentially causing travel disruption and flooding.
The forecaster has issued a yellow weather warning across southern England, covering Cornwall, Plymouth and Southampton. It is in place from 3pm on Saturday to 9pm on Sunday.
Overnight on Thursday, the Met Office said much of the UK experienced temperatures near freezing, with the mercury falling as low as minus 6C at Tulloch Bridge in Scotland.
The forecasting body said many will wake up to a frost with icy surfaces in places with several yellow warnings for snow and ice in place across the UK until 10am on Friday.
Commuters can expect significant travel disruption, with National Rail predicting four days of delays as heavy snow continues through the weekend.
The wintry weather affected education, with dozens of schools closed across the country.
Weather warnings in place as cold snap grips Ireland
Both yellow and orange weather warnings have been issued for snow and ice.
Rebecca Black
Wednesday 20 November 2024 21:32 GMT
Study: Antarctic Sea Ice Has Increased Since 1979
Antarctic sea ice trends defy the alarmist narrative that attributes climate shifts to human activity. A recent study by Bonan et al. (2024) published in The Cryosphere shows that natural variability, not man, drives changes in Antarctic sea ice.
Below are a four findings, lifted from the study, that counter the mainstream story:
Gradual Expansion: Antarctic sea ice has exhibited a slow, steady increase since satellite records began in 1979, peaking around 2014. This expansion aligns with natural climate cycles, particularly the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), which influences ocean temperatures and wind patterns.
Abrupt Declines Explained: The 2016–2019 sea ice dip, heavily publicized by the media, resulted from weakened circumpolar westerlies, reduced ocean heat transport, and changes in the mixed-layer ocean depth—all natural phenomena linked to Pacific climate variability like ENSO (El Niño–Southern Oscillation).
No Long-Term Decline: Unlike the Arctic, where sea ice trends show modest decline, Antarctic sea ice variability has no consistent downward trajectory. Even the European Copernicus Climate Service admits there’s no clear trend since 1979.
Historical Perspective: Early Nimbus satellite data from the 1960s reveal significant variability in Antarctic sea ice even then, with highs and lows similar to recent events—well before industrial CO₂ emissions could play a role.
Bonan’s paper highlights key failures of the climate models: they consistently overestimate Antarctic warming and fail to capture the observed trends. Natural cycles play the dominate role, as shown by the trends, such as atmospheric oscillations and ocean currents, and the models always struggle to simulate these accurately.
https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/18/2141/2024/tc-18-2141-2024.pdf
Mainstream media often seizes on short-term anomalies, like the 2023 sea ice dip, to declare “climate catastrophe” and push for prosperity-wrecking policies. However, such caterwaulings ignore historical patterns of variability and oversimplify the complex climate system. Antarctic sea ice, far from collapsing, continues to behave within the bounds of natural fluctuation.
The study is again linked here.
Record Cold And Heavy Snow Grip The UK; Norway Chills; Harsh Freeze Sweeps Siberia And Mongolia; + New Study: Decades Of Stable Greenland Temperatures Undermine Climate Alarm
November 20, 2024 Cap Allon
Record Cold And Heavy Snow Grip The UK
An early cold snap has gripped the UK and Ireland, setting records and resulting in widespread disruption.
Braemar, Scotland, recorded -11.2C (12F), marking the region’s coldest November temperature since 1998. While to the south, the likes of Huddersfield, West Yorkshire was dealing with -8C (17.6F) and heavy snow, and flakes were even falling in London.
https://electroverse.info/record-cold-and-heavy-snow-grip-the-uk-norway-chills-harsh-freeze-sweeps-siberia-and-mongolia-new-study-decades-of-stable-greenland-temperatures-undermine-climate-alarm/
The polar conditions brought significant snowfall and icy roads to a large portion of the UK, in fact, disrupting travel extensively on Monday and closing over 200 schools, delaying train services and cancelling flights.
Ireland, too, has faced harsh weather with lows of -4C (27F) recorded.
Met Éireann has extended its cold weather warnings through Nov 21, with the anticipation of further heavy snow and tanking temps across all counties, particularly northern and western areas such as Cavan, Donegal, and Monaghan.
Norway Chills
The cold is encroaching into the European mainland and all, into Scandinavia.
Wednesday morning saw Cuovddatmohkki and Suolovuopmi-Lulit, located in Finnmark, post Norway’s lowest temperature’s of the season. The mercury hit -25C (-13F) and -24.9C (-12.8F), respectively, marking readings some 17C below the historical average.
As the week professes, more and more of Europe will be impacted, from France and Spain to Poland and Ukraine.
As of Wednesday morning, Italian peaks—for example—are just beginning to feel the chill. At 6:00 AM local time, Monte Rosa logged -19.5C (-3.1F), while Colle Major on Mont Blanc dipped to -21.5C (-6.7F) at 5:30 AM.
In terms of snow, the models are doubling-down, an absolute burial is on the cards:
Harsh Freeze Sweeps Siberia And Mongolia
The severe and early cold waves engulfing central and northern Asia are persisting. Across the likes of Siberia and Mongolia this week, plunging temperatures continue to cause widespread disruptions and hardship.
In Siberia, Novosibirsk, the region’s largest city, has experienced sub -30C (-22F) lows in recent days, one of the harshest and earliest cold spells in years.
The extreme cold strained local infrastructure, with heating systems struggling to meet soaring demand. Icy roads and poor visibility disrupted transportation networks, leading to widespread delays.
Rural communities, with limited access to heating and emergency services, faced heightened risks, prompting authorities to deliver vital supplies. Schools across the region were closed, and residents were advised to minimize outdoor activity.
Meteorologists attributed this anomaly to shifts in the polar vortex, which descended Arctic air earlier than usual. While Siberia is of course no stranger to frigid conditions, the timing and intensity of this influx of cold is considered rare, setting the tone for what is expected to be a long and punishing season, for the Asian continent more broadly.
Headed south, neighboring Mongolia has faced similarly extreme conditions in recent days and weeks.
Ulaanbaatar, the nation’s capital, log lows south of -25C (-13F) on November 19, marking the earliest arrival of such severe cold in more than a decade. The sudden drop disrupted daily life here and all, with schools closing and farmers struggling to protect livestock from the bitter chill.
Winter has come around again all too soon.
The 2023-24 season, which seemed never-ending, resulted in 90% of the country being blanketed under snow up to a meter (3.3ft) deep—the most snow since 1975—and the loss of at least 8 million livestock, according to the National Statistics Office, destroying the livelihoods of many a nomadic herder.
New Study: Decades Of Stable Greenland Temperatures Undermine Climate Alarm
Greenland’s ice sheet has long been the poster child for global warming, portrayed as melting into oblivion due to rising temperatures. Yet a new study spanning nearly two decades upends this narrative, and presents rigorous evidence.
https://mausamjournal.imd.gov.in/index.php/MAUSAM/article/view/6099/5719
The research, conducted using high-resolution satellite data from 2000 to 2019, reveals that most of Greenland’s land surface temperature (LST) trends have been stable. Contrary to the oft-repeated claims of runaway warming, the study found no statistically significant temperature increases across either the island’s ice-covered or ice-free regions.
In fact, the average temperature trend for Greenland over this period was -0.055C per decade.
The researchers used “sophisticated statistical models” to analyze seasonal temperature variations and long-term trends, and they suggest that any observed melting during the past two decades was influenced by factors other than surface temperature, suggesting that simplistic warming narratives fail to capture the full complexity of the region’s climate dynamics.
This study is part of a growing body of research that calls in question the exaggerated rhetoric surrounding the Greenland ice sheet. These recent analyses indicate no significant overall temperature changes across the island, exposing the need for a more nuanced understanding of the interplay between atmospheric, oceanic, and geophysical forces that impact the ice sheet.
For decades now, Greenland has been used as a symbol of impending climate doom, its imagery wielded in campaigns pushing for urgent global action. But, just as with polar bear populations, the data fail to support the sensationalized story telling.
UK Issued Fresh Snow Warnings; Global Cooling And Storminess; New Nature Study Reveals Early-20th-Century Oceans Were Warmer, Challenging AGW Narratives; + Gore vs Limbaugh
November 21, 2024 Cap Allon
UK Issued Fresh Snow Warnings
Brits are bracing for yet another Arctic blast, bringing more heavy snows and freezing lows.
The Met Office has issued Snow/Ice warnings across the country for Thursday, November 21, including the Southwest—a rarity for November.
For Scotland and the north of England, the warnings will persist throughout the weekend, spanning the Highlands to Stoke-on-Trent. Going on a foot of snow is expected at elevations above 150 m (492 ft), with higher reaches set for much more.
Travel disruptions are likely, with risks of stranded vehicles, flight cancellations, and icy roads. The forecast also warns of severe ice through the weekend, especially in Ayr, Aberdeen, and the Highlands, as freezing, temperatures persist.
Of the UK’s 16 regions (as designated by the Met Office), all dipped below freezing Wednesday morning (per the latest data), and Thursday morning looks set to be a repeat. Cairn Gorm, Scotland currently holds the coldest spot today, at -9.2C (15.4F).
Mainland Europe will be hit next, starting today (Nov 21):
Global Cooling And Storminess
During the Little Ice Age (LIA)—the coldest period in recent history—storms intensified dramatically due to stronger temperature gradients and disrupted atmospheric circulation.
The global warming theory insists warmer and warmer temperatures cause more and more storms, but this only plays with selective reasoning. The theory focuses on factors like increased water vapor and energy from warmer seas fueling storms, which are valid in isolation; however, it ignores the historical evidence that cooling—through heightened polar-equatorial temperature contrasts and shifting jet streams—creates even more storm-prone conditions.
Today’s oversimplified and much parroted narrative serves a convenient agenda, using fear of heat, destruction, and death to thrust climate policies, taxes, and regulations on an increasingly suppressed society. But it disregards the complexities of atmospheric science and the historical record.
Both warming and cooling can influence storminess, but the claims of a ‘warming induced crisis’ lack any scientific backing.
This recalls the work of the late climatologist Dr. Tim Ball, former professor at the University of Winnipeg, who noted that during periods of global cooling, such as the LIA, the increased temperature gradient between the equator and the poles led to more severe storms. He argued that global warming reduces this gradient, leading to fewer/less intense storms.
New Nature Study Reveals Early-20th-Century Oceans Were Warmer, Challenging AGW Narratives
A new study in Nature (November 20, 2024), has upended long-held assumptions about early 20th-century ocean temperatures, suggesting that historical sea surface temperature (SST) records are artificially biased toward cooler values.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08230-1
Led by Sebastian Sippel and a team of international researchers, the accuracy of today’s global warming narratives are being called into question with the charge being that they are built on flawed datasets. The research highlights that SST measurements from 1900 to 1930, largely taken using primitive bucket methods, underestimated actual ocean temperatures by about 0.26C.
This discrepancy, previously overlooked, has overstated the extent of modern warming.
By correcting this cold bias, the modern warming trend appears far less dramatic; if the early-20th-century oceans weren’t as cold as previously thought, the current rate of warming is far from unprecedented—as is the alarmists’ claim.
The study also highlights how misaligned the historical SST data are with observed land-based temperatures and even the latest “state-of-the-art” climate models. The researchers say correcting these biases improves agreement with observed warming.
This isn’t the first time foundational datasets have come under scrutiny.
The infamous “Climategate” scandal of 2009 saw leaked emails from the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit (CRU)—a hub for global temperature data—reveal efforts to manipulate datasets, evade Freedom of Information requests, and suppress dissenting research. The emails showed leading figures like Professor Philip Jones discussing strategies to exclude skeptical papers from IPCC reports, remove inconvenient observations, and delete correspondence that might undermine their conclusions.
At the heart of Climategate was the manipulation of key records, including those underpinning the widely cited “hockey stick” graph, which controversially erased historical warming events like the Medieval Climate Optimum to emphasize modern warming trends. This selective representation, this fraud has been key in driving the alarm that dominates the space today.
Cooling the past to warm the present — a government agency classic:
How Did The Global Warming Scam Survive ‘Climategate’?
September 1, 2023 Cap Allon
In 2009, a whistleblower released emails showing how climate academia was manipulating/destroying data, and blocking publication of articles which didn’t support their anthropogenic global warming agenda.
“Our hopelessly compromised scientific establishment cannot be allowed to get away with the Climategate whitewash,” wrote reporter Christopher Booker for the telegraph.co.uk back in November, 2009.
Even The Guardian’s George Monbiot expressed total shock and dismay at the picture revealed by the hacked emails, as their authors are not just any old bunch of academics.
“Their importance cannot be overestimated,” continued Brooker.
“What we are looking at here is the small group of scientists who have for years been more influential in driving the worldwide alarm over global warming than any others, not least through the role they play at the heart of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).”
Professor Philip Jones was the director of the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit (CRU) from 1998 to 2016 — during this time, Jones was in charge of the two key sets of data used by the IPCC to draw up its reports.
Through its link to the Hadley Centre, part of the UK Met Office, which selects most of the IPCC’s key scientific contributors, Jones’ global temperature record was, and remains, the most important on which the IPCC and governments rely when making policy decisions — not least for their predictions that the world will warm to catastrophic levels unless trillions of dollars are spent to avert it.
Jones is also a key part of the closely knit group of American and British scientists responsible for promoting that picture of world temperatures conveyed by Michael Mann’s “hockey stick” graph, which turned climate history on its head by claiming that, after 1,000 years of decline, global temperatures recently shot up to their highest level in recorded history:
Mann’s “hockey stick” was the basis for the IPCC’s conclusion that “there is discernible human impact on climate.” However, and in a first step toward restoring the rigor of science in the global climate debate, a committee of the National Academy of Sciences back in 2006 presented the results of its directed study of the science behind the infamous graph.
The Academy’s report identified the failure of the hockey stick to model climate beyond the past 400 years, as evidenced by its inability to reflect the medieval climate optimum (MCO).
The optimum has been extensively documented by recorded human history and proxies, but cannot be explained by computer models based on equations that assume that greenhouse gases dominate climate change. These same models predict massive increases in Earth’s atmospheric temperature because of the additions of a small percentage of human-derived carbon dioxide.
The IPCC needed to remove the MCO from the historical record books because the period blew apart their global warming theory: any forcing other than CO2 able to cause terrestrial warming is an inconvenient spanner in the works, and so, with the help of Mann, the panel completely erased every one of them from history in one clean swipe.
This was a brazen plan, particularly given the extensive data, records and proxies out there demonstrating that the MCO did indeed occur. These same natural records also prove the existence of the cyclic and preceding Roman-era warm event, and the very same data, records and proxies are on show again today during our modern warming event.
Climate, it turns out, is driven mainly by the Sun and the impact solar activity has on the oceans. Ironically, it is the IPCC that are the true climate deniers.
Below are a few of the ‘hacked’ exchanges between Philip Jones and Michael Mann between 1999 and 2008 (courtesy of The Guardian):
1) CONFLICT OF INTEREST
From: Phil Jones <This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.>';
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To: “Michael E. Mann” <This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.>';
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Date: Wed Mar 31 09:09:04 2004
Mike,
… Recently rejected two papers (one for JGR and for GRL) from people saying CRU has it wrong over Siberia. Went to town in both reviews, hopefully successfully. If either appears I will be very surprised, but you never know with GRL.
Cheers
Phil
Jones did not specify which papers he had rejected. But one appears to have been by Lars Kamel, which claimed to have found much less warming in Siberia than Jones.
It was a rare example of someone trying to replicate Jones’ analysis — one of the key ways in which science validates itself. So on the face of it, there was good reason to publish, even if flaws needed correcting. But the paper was rejected by Geophysical Research Letters, partly it seems because Jones “went to town”.
SEE ELECTROVERSE LINK FOR FULL TEXT
https://electroverse.info/how-did-the-global-warming-scam-survive-climategate/
Cold, Snowy Europe; England’s Lowest Temp Since 2014; Ireland Hits Record Electric Demand; Fierce Winter Forecast For India; + Record Snow Clips The U.S.
November 22, 2024 Cap Allon
Cold, Snowy Europe
A powerful cold wave is weeping into Europe, already delivering record-breaking temperatures and heavy snowfall.
Monte Rosa in the Alps registered -29.4C (-20.9F) in the early hours of November 22, the coldest in late November since 2007 and the third morning straight with a sub -29C reading.
Elsewhere, Mont Blanc reached -30.9C (-23.6F), while in Norway, Oppdal-Sæter saw -17.9C (0.2F) Thursday, setting a record for this early in the season since measurements began.
Switzerland is one nation at the heart of this winter assault, with widespread record-breaking snow forecast. Meteorologists expect a foot in the lowlands and much more at up high — one of the heaviest November snow events on record looms.
Records are already falling, in fact.
The southern Swiss town of Locarno Monti received 15 cm (5.9 inches) of snow Friday morning, breaking a November record in weather books dating back to 1935.
A Level 3 weather warning has been issued for much of the country, with significant disruption already seen on roads and public transport. Bus services in Bern have been suspended, and Zurich’s streets were eerily empty as residents heeded warnings.
The cold wave extends beyond Switzerland of course, with heavy snow blanketing parts of Germany, Austria, and Italy, as well as other Alpine nations, creating hazardous conditions and widespread disruptions.
Authorities are urging caution as Europe braces for one of its most intense early winter storms in years.
England’s Lowest Temp Since 2014
Topcliffe, a village in North Yorkshire, recorded -9.4C (15.1F) early Thursday morning, marking England’s lowest November temperature since the ‘Arctic Outbreak’ of 2010. BBC weatherman Paul Hudson confirmed the record on X.
A slew of locales broke longer-standing, regional records. The coastal town of Bridlington, for example, set its lowest November temperature since 1987 with thermometers there bottoming out at -6C (21.2F).
The Met Office has issued fresh warnings as snow and ice continues to blanket swathes of the UK, cautioning against icy patches and potential travel disruptions Friday through the weekend.
Ireland Hits Record Electric Demand
Ireland has seen record electricity demand this week, with EirGrid reporting a peak of 5,639 MW early Thursday evening, besting the previous record of 5,577 MW set back in January.
Such surges underscore the growing strain on the country’s energy grid, tied to winter weather. For every 1C drop in temperature, demand jumps by approximately 50 MW, so goes the math.
Ireland’s renewable energy generation was next to non-existent during the latest peak, with no wind blowing and thick clouds blocking the sun. Despite this, EirGrid managed to maintain a buffer but only due to imports from its neighbor, the UK.
Ireland’s dependence on Britain is risky, given that the UK itself is growing increasingly fragile and dependent on the continent for handouts. Once a bastion of reliability, the UK has gutted its domestic energy security, shuttering its last coal plant a few months back, and now relies heavily on imports from the mainland.
Should Europe face a severe winter (or a geopolitical crisis), neither the UK nor Ireland would be a priority. They would be left in the dark.
Fierce Winter Forecast For India
India is bracing for a harsh winter, with the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasting intensified cold due to the building La Niña and heavy monsoon rains.
Even southern regions, such as Karnataka, are predicted record-breaking lows as the season progresses. The chill is already setting in here, in fact, with early morning lows dropping to 7C (44.6F) in some areas. This is hitting agriculture hard, as per local reports, with crops, including grapes, suffering frost damage. Livestock are also stressed, with reduced milk production noted.
La Niña is helping drive colder-than-usual air into the country.
Northern states facing the brunt, with the snows already building across the likes of Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh.
Record Snow Clips U.S.
A record-setting winter storm is currently sweeping the United States, unleashing heavy snow, freezing temperatures, and hazardous conditions from coast to coast.
The higher reaches of California and the Pacific Northwest are grappling with a relentless barrage of snow and high winds. The storm has already dumped more than a foot across the Cascades, with forecast calling for an additional 4 feet in some spots by early next week. The Sierra Mountains are bracing for similar accumulations. Snow-covered roads, poor visibility, and a spate of avalanches and landslides have created dangerous travel conditions, prompting no travel warnings from local authorities.
Yet another storm is now taking shape in the Pacific.
While it is not expected to reach the intensity of the recent ‘bomb cyclone’, it will still bring gusty winds, snow, and freezing temperatures to regions already struggling with saturated ground and weakened infrastructure.
Treacherous road conditions, power outages, and sub-zero lows are already complicating daily life and travel, and it’s still only November. In urban centers and rural communities alike, this early onset of winter is bringing a stark reminder of the challenges ahead. From the towering peaks of the West to the frozen plains of the Midwest and the snow-laden hills of the Northeast, the country is bracing for what could be a long and arduous season to come, likely bolstered by a building La Niña.
At summer’s height, the AGW Party conveniently forgets that winter’s inevitable return is only months away. In their zeal, they expand their wind and solar farms at great expense and shutter the coal-fired power plants, all as the sun shines, ignoring the risks to energy reliability and security as the COLD TIMES return.
France Sees Heavy Snow; Turkey Blanketed; Winter Arrives In The U.S.; Record Snowfall In Calgary; + Beijing Braces For Cold Wave
November 25, 2024 Cap Allon
France Sees Heavy Snow
Following last week’s heavy snow across the UK, mainland Europe is now copping an early-season dumping with unprecedented snowfall and icy temperatures sweeping the likes of France, Germany, Switzerland, Austria, and Italy.
Ski resorts are embracing the bounty, with many opening early.
France has seen remarkable snowfall in recent days, with Paris experiencing its most significant early-season accumulation in 55 years, since 1969. The snow that fell late last week transformed the City of Light, blanketing it white:
Neighboring nations have not been spared, with travel delays and power outages commonplace.
Higher up, the snow has been particularly impressive.
Germany’s Bavarian Alps are reporting significant early snows, as are Swiss resorts like Zermatt and Verbier. In Austria, the Tyrolean slopes received 80 cm (2.62 ft) in just two days. While in Italy, the Dolomites are prepping for an influx of visitors with “pristine skiing conditions” boasted there.
As for the French Alps, resorts like Tignes and Val Thorens are reporting exceptional conditions, with depths of a meter (3.3 feet) up top, prompting an early opening. While a boon for the industry, winter’s early onset is also posing challenges. In Val Thorens, the heavy, blowing snow resulted in a cable car accident that injured eight workers.
A prolonged and snowy winter is on the cards for Europe, as per latest forecasts.
Turkey Blanketed
Eastern Europe has also been hit, particularly Turkey‘s central and eastern regions.
From Kayseri to Niğde, cities awoke to heavy snow, with lows of -5C (23F) widely reported. In Kayseri, the flakes began early Saturday evening, swiftly coating rooftops, cars, and streets. Authorities worked flat out to clear roads in mountainous areas, with Erciyes Mountain, a popular ski destination, receiving snow totals in the feet.
The higher reaches saw true whiteout conditions:
Yozgat had posted deep accumulations by Sunday morning, coating the city center. And it was a similar story in Kırıkkale where overnight snow buried vehicles, sidewalks, and roads with snow removal teams mobilized to help morning commuters.
Sivas experienced a sharp drop in temperature and an early dusting. While in Niğde, heavy snow brought city life to a grinding halt, causing damage to roofs, including that of a school.
Removal crews worked to keep rural roads open across Turkey, while agricultural teams monitored weather impacts on farming.
The cold is forecast to continue through the week ahead.
Winter Arrives In The U.S.
With the 2024 hurricane season behind us—largely a dud, with just 18 of the 33 storms Michael Mann predicted actually materializing—attention now turns to winter storms.
On cue, Arctic Outbreaks are on course to impact much of the U.S. this week, with early snows already piling up across the Sierra Nevada, the Rockies, and the Appalachians.
In the East, a powerful early-season snowstorm hit the Appalachians November 20 through 23, dumping more than 2 feet of snow across its higher elevations and disrupting travel in states like Pennsylvania, West Virginia, New York, and New Jersey.
Towns like Tyrone, PV, reported 25 inches, while elevated areas in New Jersey and Virginia saw accumulations top 20 inches.
Looking west, Colorado posted sizable totals Sunday with the Rocky Mountains receiving as much as a foot. This system is now shifting toward Denver, due to hit Tuesday, threatening travel headaches as Thanksgiving nears.
The Sierra Nevada is also expecting a burial this week, with an additional 7 feet of snow in the forecast.
Nationwide, Arctic air will be the theme by Thanksgiving with a top-up of snow on the cards for those already hit.
Looking a little further ahead, yet another mass of intense Arctic air will follow this weekend, plunging the Midwest and Northeast into very frigid conditions. Cities like Chicago and Detroit will see highs struggle to the 20s with lows plunging to the single digits, accompanied by biting winds and lake-effect snow.
Winter is here America — plan ahead for Thanksgiving travel, and prepare for much more after that.
Record Snowfall In Calgary
Record-breaking snow has been dropping north of the border, in the likes of Calgary.
Environment Canada had initially predicted 15 cm (5.9 inches) would fall across the Stampede City, but a record-setting 30 cm (11.8 inches) hit some areas Sunday morning, leaving city crews scrambling to clear major roadways like Crowchild Trail and Glenmore Trail, achieving just 22% clearance by the afternoon.
Calgary Weather Records on X noted the city saw its deepest November 23 snow since 1955, with the day overall ranking as the seventh snowiest November day ever recorded
Saskatchewan also experienced a severe snowstorm, with the likes of Prince Albert and Melfort reporting hazardous conditions. Areas such as Meadow Lake and Biggar faced heavy drifting snow and near-zero visibility, prompting a no travel advisory there.
Beijing Braces For Cold Wave
Beijing’s 21+ million residents have been issued a ‘blue’ cold wave alert, signaling “an imminent sharp temperature drop” and “severe weather conditions”.
Snow commenced Sunday night and forecast to persist through Monday, with blizzard conditions anticipated in certain regions. Following the snowfall, strong winds and freezing temperatures are expected to dominate through the remainder of the week.
In preparation, Beijing’s urban management authorities have mobilized over 35,000 personnel, 5,121 snow-clearing vehicles, and more than 4,600 pieces of snow-removal machinery to address the anticipated snow and ice accumulations.
Zhao Wei, chief forecaster of the Beijing meteorological center, advised residents to drive cautiously, monitor road conditions, and avoid outdoor activities, particularly in mountainous, areas due to risks.
The National Meteorological Center recently renewed weather alerts for cold waves and strong winds, with significant temperature drops expected to impact great swathes of the country as the week progresses.
Hurricanes 2017: All time Records
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 01 October 2017
- Published on 01 October 2017
Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria set all time historic records of intensity, duration and catastrophic damage. This is byfar the worst most destructive hurricane season the United States has ever had. We have suffered hundreds of deaths, massive destruction of property and land, and Billions in damage. These hurricanes were well predicted and emergency evacuations ordered days in advance of the landfall thanks to NOAA's forecast teams, emergency managers and local governments.
2015 Year of Extremes
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 03 November 2016
- Published on 03 November 2016
Selected Extreme events of 2015
LATEST Major Weather Events
30 NOV 2015: COP21 Climate Talks in Paris
Leaders from over 180 countries from around the world are meeting in Paris to develop a comprehensive plan to curb greenhouse emissions and develop renewable energy. President Obama noted that terrorists were unable to stop such an important meeting of world leaders from taking place. President Obama clearly stated that the US has taken significant steps to slowing emissions and are now producing renewable energy that is competitive with conventional fuels. He stated specific goals for emission reduction of 17% by 2020 and 25% by 2025 and requested that other countries do the same with significant commitments with capitol to drive down costs of clean energy. The US supports emission reductions, but will not sign an agreement!!!!
Data from 2015 indicate that this is the warmest year on record based on surface measurements. Extreme weather continues around the world from record winters to extremely hot summers. Today, Bejing’s pollution set records 17 times greater than world health standards.
7 Dec 2015: Extreme floods in Channi, India and UK.
India battling deadly floods in Chennai
Weeks of heavy rain and flooding have inundated Chennai, India
In 24 hours, Chennai received as much rain as London would in 6 months (CNN)Weeks of heavy rain and flooding have knocked out power, suspended public transportation and left people stranded in Chennai, one of India's largest cities. It has rained 34 of the past 40 days and the heavy-rain-warning continues, according to CNN meteorologists. The rain warning for the southern Indian states of Tamil Nadu and neighboring Puducherry are forecast through December 5, according to India's main weather office.
UK has extreme Precipitation:
Office: Rain and storms soaked the northern U.K. this weekend, prompting evacuations, severe flood warnings and the arrival of the army in the worst-hit areas. Rory Stewart, the British floods minister, told the BBC that Storm Desmond has “broken all the U.K. rainfall records” and unleashed “a completely unprecedented amount of water.”
Drone footage shot above Kendal, a flood-hit town in Cumbria, shows the flooded cricket ground and people wading through inches of water.
Storm Desmond dumped more than 10 inches of rain on some areas in England, including the northwestern county of Cumbria, while other rain-battered regions such as North Wales got more than seven inches, according to the Met Office, the U.K. weather forecaster. Nearly 50 severe flood warnings (which indicate danger to life) remain in effect in England and Wales, while 32 flood warnings are in place in Scotland.
An Environment Agency spokesman warned "significant flooding" was expected in the area, adding: "The situation is serious and there is a significant risk to life.” Homes around the 18th century stone bridge, over the River Wharfe, were evacuated by soldiers.
An Environment Agency spokesman warned "significant flooding" was expected in the area, adding: "The situation is serious and there is a significant risk to life."
The strongest El Nino on record is likely to increase the threat of hunger and disease for tens of millions of people in 2016 aid agencies say.
December 30, 2015 CNN:
More than 18 million Americans live in areas under flood warnings, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Tuesday.Thirteen states are affected, NOAA said.
One of the states most affected is Missouri, which is grappling with deadly flooding that will threaten cities and towns along rivers for days even through the most of the rain has stopped.
Levees have been overtopped in West Alton, just north of St. Louis. And late Tuesday, St. Charles County emergency officials ordered all people to evacuate the mostly rural area, which lies on the Mississippi River.
Record flooding on Mississippi There have been an estimated 49 weather-related deaths in the past week across the country, with the current severe storm system blamed for 35 deaths: 13 in Missouri, 11 in the Dallas area, five in southern Illinois, five in Oklahoma and at least one in Georgia. Many died after their cars were swept away by floodwater.
Record Flooding in Mississippi River
225 roads closed across Missouri I44 closed in 2 places
US Streamflow Map 30 DEC 2016
Major historic flooding: NOAA Flood Forecast Map
Flood Hydrograph showing historic flood at Cape Girardeau Mississippi: 27 DEC 2015 to 6 Jan 2016
GLOBE
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 31 October 2016
- Published on 31 October 2016
GLOBE - Global Learning and Observations to Benefit the Environment GLOBE presents an opportunity for students, teachers, and scientists to learn and develop scientific thought processes and to understand our environment. In the early 1990’s Vice President Al Gore had an idea to help children around the world use the internet to communicate and learn about each other and their environment. His goal was to have at least one computer in every school around the world. He wanted students to improve their understanding of science and math thru making observations that they could share. I had an opportunity to meet Dr. Sandy McDonald, Director, Forecast Systems Laboratory, NOAA when he was helping Al Gore develop the early stages of GLOBE in 1993. At the time I worked with the US Bureau of Reclamation and was a visiting scientist at NCAR in Boulder, Colorado. NCAR and UCAR hosted many meetings on GLOBE and UCAR now hosts the GLOBE Implementation Office (GIO). One of my interests has been to promote GLOBE in various regions. After returning from Morocco in 1988, I maintained interests with the Direction de la Meteorologie National and with friends at the Casablanca American School. Morocco joined GLOBE after helping make the connections there.
Today, I am interested in helping Slovenia join GLOBE. This effort dovetails with US Ambassador, Brent Hartley’s interest in developing a partnership between the Slovenian Triglav National Park and Crater Lake National Park in Oregon. Environmental science and biodiversity are common interests of Triglav and Crater Lake park rangers and environmental scientists.
Lyn Wigbels, International Coordinator, GLOBE Implementation Office relayed this information about recent GLOBE Student Research Experience: "I was pleased to hear about the Ambassador’s project which sounds like a great venue for involving students in the GLOBE Program. Over the years, GLOBE activities have been organized in national parks. Most recently, during our 20th GLOBE Annual Meeting in Estes Park, Colorado, in July, GLOBE students visited Rocky Mountain National Park to take part in a Student Research Experience:
http://www.globe.gov/news-events/globe-news/newsdetail/globe/video-captures-the-essence-of-the-2016-globe-student-research-experience?
This video truly captures the essance of the GLOBE scientific discovery process and clearly demonstrates how it works to engage students from around the world in learning about nature and their environment. It shows how students apply the scientific procss and communicate their discoveries to others working with their mentors.
Joining GLOBE can be a life changing process that enables teachers, scientists, GLOBE partners, and alumni to improve their understanding of earth.