Global Extreme Weather Log
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 11 August 2020
- Published on 11 August 2020
WEEKLY GLOBAL EXTREMES
(Article Mnager-news and events)
This page provides a weekly log of unique weather events and information that summarizes some key events of note. Most of these notes are from Electroverse Extreme Weather daily updates
For clips of these events see my Global Weather Album: Global Weather 2020-2021.
Global Weather Album 2020-2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bLyGGEv6oK6f7q9N8
Global Weather Album Spring 2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
Global Weather Album Fall-Winter 2021-22: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes.
JAN 30, 2023
WINTER 2023 continues to set cold records in many areas of the N hemisphere as the warmth in Western Europe is replaced by cold Arctic air and snow next week. Siberia, China, India Pakistan and Afghanistan have set cold records with many people dying in the cold. Large intense storms from Kamchatka (955 mb) to Baffin Island and the north Atlantic (969 mb) and the Kara Sea (970 mb) continue to pump Arctic Air south on their Western flank and warm air north on the Eastern side. Between the deep storms we have large cold domes of high pressure that bring the frigid temperatures south.
Of special interest is the new polar vortex that formed after the Nor"Ester moved into the Davis Straight up to Baffin Island. This storm dominated the Eastern half of North America spinning cold air south to the Gulf of Mexico and triggering short waves with their associated fronts that hit Florida and Cuba….
The Pacific jet continued to streak (180-200 kt) across the Pacific to about 165ºW, there it took a sharp north turn into Alaska, where it dumped 2 o 4 m of new snow. This AR then curved south down the Rockies bringing Arctic air into the High Plains and a short wave with snow. It brought a ridge of Pacific High pressure (1045mb) into the NW that merged with the 1050 mb Arctic high bringing very cold air into the US. Again the polar vortex over Canada provided the energy driving this system.
In contrast the Atlantic jet again delivered an AR that brought significant moisture up the Atlantic into Iceland and Svalbard, where they had over 1 m of new snow. This jet continued north then swung south pulling Arctic air down into central Siberia and the Stans - Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. Last week, the “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul that never freezes over froze for the first time in recorded history. Folks in this region are suffering the coldest temperatures in recent history with one village unofficially reporting -75ºC in Essey. If confirmed, this would be a new World Record Low temperature outside of the Antarctic. Vostok’s old record is -89ºC, but NASA reported -95ºC in the Antarctic.
Recall as with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These have significantly improved model forecasts.
Japan continued to get heavy snow (72 to 144 cm) and set records. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. The Kamchatka storm remained nearly stationary pumping moisture into eastern Siberia and generating >12 m wave heights.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Tornadoes again hit the South.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-51º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 4 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 290 cm on the ground on 25 Jan 2023 Ljubljana had 15 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC. This week LJU was cold with rain/snow mix nearly every day. Slovenia has snow on the ground over most of the country.
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (1-2 m).
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-1033 mm) accompanied these fronts last week. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 4 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross sea was now ~95% open and the Weddell Sea about 40% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-2 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. The Peninsula had 4 days with 10-day snow forecasts from 136 to 239 cm. South Georgia Island had significant snows reaching 145 cm this week.
This week (21-30 Jan 2023) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 136-239), (83-259), (25-145) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season with 177- 529 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons. The Crocks have free rein during the rainy season!!.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina where drought prevails.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
SEE SECTION ON CURRENT EXTREMES:
Climate Commentary:
Complex sea conveyor belt interactions lead to Little Ice Age
See: https://electroverse.co/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-lia/
The authors, whose research can be found in the journal Science Advances, conclude that there is now “an urgent need” for further research to address all these uncertainties.
Agreed.
One way or another, I fear the COLD TIMES are returning, that the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
https://hydrogen-central.com/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
JUMP TO THIS SECTION OF CURRENT EXTREMES:
Heavy Snow For Europe; Historic Totals Across Western U.S.; Nunavut School Lowers ‘Cold Weather Cutoff’ To -60C (-76F); + “Unprecedented” 170-Strong Herd Of Bison Spotted In Poland
January 27, 2023 Cap Allon
Heavy Snow For Europe
From Scotland to Spain, Sweden to Turkey, further bouts of heavy snows and freezing lows are on the cards for Europe.
https://electroverse.co/snow-europe-historic-totals-western-u-s-cold-weather-cutoff-170-strong-bison/
Algeria Sees Rare Snowfall; 157 Afghans Now Confirmed To Have Frozen-To-Death In “Coldest Winter On Record”; Benchmarks Busted In U.S.; + *All-Time* Records Continue To Fall Across Japan
January 26, 2023 Cap Allon
Algeria Sees Rare Snowfall
Algeria has witnessed rare snowfall this week as Europe’s Arctic front plunges as far south as Northern Africa.
The sand dunes across the south-west of the country have been blanketed white, with Beni Ounif, for example, seeing its first heavy snowfall since 2012.
Northern parts have endured heavy snow for days, which has led to blocked roads, isolating towns and villages, and delays at airports.
https://electroverse.co/algeria-snow-157-afghans-frozen-to-death-u-s-cold-all-time-records-japan/
New National Record Low Set In China; All Korean Stations Fall Below Zero; Heathrow’s Coldest Jan Temp Since 1987–With UK National Grid “Rewarding” Brits For Switching Off Power; + Cold Records Fall Across U.S.–As “Piercing” Arctic Outbreak Looms
January 24, 2023 Cap Allon
There’s a lot to get through today so I’ll try to keep things short…
New National Record Low Set In China
Impressive low temperature benchmarks have been felled across Asia of late, none more so than Sunday’s -53C (-63.4F) in Mohe City, China — the coldest reading ever recorded by the Chinese meteorological system.
Note: outlets such as the BBC are reporting that Inner Mongolia’s -58C (-72.4F) from 2009 (solar minimum of cycle 23) is China’s official record low, but this data wasn’t logged by an official national weather station and so has to be discarded (much like the eastern Siberian Village of Essey registering -75C (103F) last week).
https://electroverse.co/china-all-korea-zero-heathrow-national-grid-power-cuts-cold-records-fall-us-more/
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul, Intense Winter storms and record cold regions….
JAN 23, 2023
After 3 weeks of intense AR storms hitting the West Coast, they finally have a break in a ridge of high pressure. However, the strong wavy jet is still quite fascinating with a complex pattern of strong storms (959 mb) and ridges (1060 mb) with powerful pressure gradients from the Aleutians to Greenland, and Siberia. Have a look at the Winter 2023 album for an example on 21 January.
The Pacific jet continued to streak (180-200 kt) across the Pacific to about 165ºW, there it took a sharp north turn into Alaska, where it dumped 2 o 4 m of new snow. This AR then curved south down the Rockies bringing Arctic air into the High Plains and a short wave with snow.
In contrast the Atlantic jet delivered an AR that brought significant moisture up the Atlantic into Iceland and Svalbard, where they had over 1 m of new snow. This jet continued north then swung south pulling Arctic air down into central Siberia and the Stans - Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. The “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul that never freezes over froze last week for the first time in recorded history. Folks in this region are suffering the coldest temperatures in recent history with one village unofficially reporting -75ºC in Essey. If confirmed, this would be a new World Record Low temperature outside of the Antarctic. Vostok’s old record is -89ºC, but NASA reported -95ºC in the Antarctic.
As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes again hit the South. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific and Atlantic. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These have significantly improved model forecasts.
Japan continued to get heavy snow (125 to 158 cm) and set records. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Tornadoes again hit the South.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-51º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 4 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 245 cm on the ground on, 17 Jan 2023 Ljubljana had 15 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC. This week LJU was cold and snowy every day.
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (1-2 m).
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-1033 mm) accompanied these fronts. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December. Australia was again cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 4 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross Sea was now ~90% open and the Weddell Sea about 30% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-2 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. The Peninsula had 4 days with 10-day snow forecasts from 136 to 210 cm.
This week (4-9 Jan 2023) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 136-315), (124-275), (25-78) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season lightened up with 112-179 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons. The Crocks have free rein during the rainy season!!.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
China Suffers -50C (-58F) For First Time In 54 Years; The Russian Towns And Cities Enduring All-Time Record Cold; Kyrgyzstan’s Lake “That Never Freezes Over” Just Froze Over; + Arctic Blasts For Europe And North America
January 20, 2023 Cap Allon
China Suffers -50C (-58F) For First Time In 54 Years
China did it, the forecasts were accurate: The northern city of Mohe has logged China’s first -50C since 1969.
During the early hours of Friday, January 20 the official weather international station of Mohe dropped to -50C.
This is the first time in since Februay 15, 1969 that China has officially logged such as benchmark.
https://electroverse.co/china-suffers-50crussia-all-time-record-lake-that-never-freezes-over-just-froze-cold-us-eu/
Central America Endures Record Cold; China Forecast First -50C Since 1969; At Least 100 Killed In Afghanistan’s Big Freeze; Major Winter Storm Clatters Plains, Midwest; + Antarctic Ice Sheet Posts Record SMB Gains
January 19, 2023 Cap Allon
Central America Endures Record Cold
Anomalous chills are being felt in Central America this week.
The region’s largest country, Nicaragua, has felled low temperature benchmarks: Polar air encased the town of Jinotega on Jan 17, dropping the mercury to 8.6C (47.5F) — the locale’s lowest temperature ever recorded.
Antarctic Ice Sheet Posts Record SMB Gains
Surface mass balance (SMB) is a good barometer for the ‘health’ of a glacier, but readings can vary wildly over Antarctica.
Still, this season’s gains are proving exceptional:
https://electroverse.co/central-america-cold-china-forecast-50c-afghanistans-big-freeze-snow-plains-midwest-antarctic-record/
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms, AR into Svalbard, icy “Warm Lake” Issyk-Kul…
JAN 16, 2023
Once again Meteora dealt an extreme weather hand to California as AR Pacific storms pounded the West Coast. The jet stream had a zonal flow (West to East) from Japan across the Pacific to California, where it developed a series of strong storms that pumped moisture into Western North America. The Atmospheric River slammed into California dumping heavy rain 10-15 inches) and snow (2-4 m). California continues to live up to its extreme reputation going from drought to floods much like Australia this year. However Australia had extreme storms with over 1033 mm vs California’s 200-600 mm. The heavy Sierra snowfall (2-3 m) was predicted by the models and will help with the drought mitigation this year. On Jan 11th two large deep (962 965 mb) Pacific Storms dominated the N Pacific.
The Pacific jet will continue to blast the West Coast this week; however, it will develop several short waves that move across the Rockies and by Saturday 14 JAN, A SHARP LONG WAVE DEVELOPS that will take the 540 thickness line into N Florida. This line marks the rain/snow line. Much colder temperatures will hit the Eastern US. The Snow depth on the ground ranges from 2.5 to 1.9 m in the Sierra from Big Bear above LA to Mt Shasta. The Coast range from Vancouver to Anchorage has from 2 to 5 meters on the ground on Jan 9th according to the ECMWF model Analysis. Temperatures across the US moderated, but largely remained below normal in the West. The East and Western Europe were much above normal; however Scandinavia was cold and snowy. Western Siberia had max temperatures below -30ºC. Slovenia finished December 4ºC above normal on the sunny side of the Alps; however this will change this week with snow in Ljubljana. On 16 Jan it snowed all day in LJU.
On January 11th a very intense deep (966 mb) storm was in the N Atlantic west of northern Norway pumping moisture into Svalbard which had 1.5 m of new snow and open water on tits N coast. A complex Atlantic storm pattern is pulling cold Arctic air into western Europe. Svalbard’s northern ice was pushed north opening the sea around the Islands. Franz Joseph Islands remained ice locked. Slovenia remained on the sunny side of the Alps last week; however, a cold front is threatening them now. Have a look at wendy.com satellite images. An intense high (1056 mb) over western Siberia pulled Arctic air south into the Stans cooling the region to -30 to -40ºC with another area to the East at -50 to -61ºC. South of this, the HinduKush had 100-110 cm. Japan and Korea continued to get snow extending their record cold, snowy winter.
Australia was quite cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 4 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross sea was now ~70% open and the Weddell Sea about 30% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-2 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the Antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb. The Peninsula had 3 days with 10-day snow forecasts above 3 m.
Japan continued to get heavy snow and set records. N Hemisphere jet continued to have a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes hit from Louisiana to Missouri. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks. see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These have significantly improved model forecasts.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Tornadoes again hit the South. Extreme floods occurred in Victoria around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-48º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 3 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 190 cm on the ground on, 19 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm. Cold penetrated India setting records as the Himalayas had heavy snows (1-2 m).
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-1033 mm) accompanied these fronts. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December.
This week (4-9 Jan 2023) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 162-345), (86-207), (45-102) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season continues to hit hard with 140-1033 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons. The Crocks have free rein during the rainy season!!.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Asia’s Record-Breaking Arctic Outbreak Reaches Indian Ocean: Alerts Issued In India, China, Taiwan and Others; Big Freeze To Return To Europe (Just In Time For Davos); + U.S. To Be Pummeled Again Later In The Month
January 13, 2023 Cap Allon
Asia’s Record-Breaking Arctic Outbreak Reaches Indian Ocean
Asia’s cold spell is continuing to drop jaws, take names and fell records.
Remarkable lows have been logged in recent weeks/months across the likes of Kazakhstan, Mongolia and Northern China; now that freeze is both encasing north regions (Siberia) and also pushing unusually-far south …..
Looking at the latest GFS run (shown below), Western/Central Europe is about to see a reversal of fortunes, another ‘swing’ back to something rivalling the disruptive polar outbreak of mid-December — due to commence Jan 16 (for most).
https://electroverse.co/arctic-outbreak-reaches-indian-ocean-big-freeze-to-return-to-europe-and-u-s/
Extreme Freeze Intensifies Across Asia–Iranian’s Told “To Bundle Up”; “More Snow Than Forecast” Buries European Slopes–Even More To Come; + U.S. Agri Exports To China Smash Records
January 12, 2023 Cap Allon
Extreme Freeze Intensifies Across Asia
In Siberia, and as discussed on Wednesday, temperatures have plunged to their lowest levels in at least two decades: around minus-80F (-62C). This exceptional cold is now projected to persist, intensify and expand across the majority of Asia.
https://electroverse.co/extreme-freeze-asia-snow-hits-european-slopes-u-s-agri-exports-to-china-smash-records/
Sydney’s Longest Spell Of Days Below 30C In 140-Years; Coldest Start To A Year Since 1982 In São Paulo, Brazil; + Historic Snow In Western U.S. Helps Drive Northern Hemisphere Snow Mass *Further* Above 1982-2012 Average
January 11, 2023 Cap Allon
Sydney’s Longest Spell Of Days Below 30C In 140-Years
It was a cold 2022 across Australia, with many daily, monthly and even all-time records felled — 2023 has started in the same chilly vein.
Sydney is on the verge of recording its longest spell of days below 30 degrees Celsius (86F) in 140 years, since 1883.
The Harbour City has warmed since its pre-Christmas record cold spell, but Tuesday’s maximum of 26.6C at Observatory Hill marked the 323rd consecutive day under 30C — already the longest stretch in three decades.
https://electroverse.co/sydneys-140-years-cold-sao-paulo-historic-snow-u-s/
Siberia’s Coldest Temperature Since 2002, Host Of Records Felled ACROSS Transcontinental Russia; + X1.9-Flare ‘Jerks’ Earth’s Magnetic Field
January 10, 2023 Cap Allon
Siberia’s Coldest Temperature Since 2002, Host Of Records Felled ACROSS Transcontinental Russia
The 13.1 million km2 land mass that is Siberia has just logged its coldest temperature since 2002, with many more older, localized records being felled, too — and with an intensification and expansion of the Arctic Outbreak still to come.
A bone-chilling -62.1C (79.8F) was registered in Dzalinda last night (-61.9C shown below, but it dropped a little further). This is Siberia’s coldest temperature since at least 2002, and usurps Dzlalinda’s January record of 62C set in 1942 (for ref, the all-time low of -64C was registered here back in the 1880s).
https://electroverse.co/siberias-coldest-temperature-since-2002-x1-9-flare-jerks-earth/
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms,…
JAN 9, 2023
This week the jet stream had a zonal flow (West to East) from Japan across the Pacific to California, where it developed a strong southerly flow up to Alaska as the Atmospheric River slammed into California dumping heavy rain 10-15 inches) and snow (2-4 m). California lived up to its extreme reputation going from drought to floods much like Australia this year. The heavy Sierra snowfall (2-4 m) was predicted by the models and will help with the drought mitigation this year. On Jan 5th the deep (967 mb) Pacific Storm moved up the West Coast as a ridge developed over the Rockies giving us blue skies after the week long clouds and snow from last week’s snowstorm that moved into Wisconsin and a 1044 mb high developed over Greenland. On Jan 9th, another deep 974 mb storm moved up the California coast dumping heavy rain and snow in the Sierra. The Pacific jet will continue to blast the West Coast this week. The Snow depth on the ground ranges from 2.5 to 1.9 m in the Sierra from Big Bear above LA to Mt Shasta. The Coast range from Vancouver to Anchorage has from 2 to 5 meters on the ground on Jan 9th according to the ECMWF model Analysis. Temperatures across the US moderated, but largely remained below normal in the West. The East and Western Europe were much above normal; however Scandinavia was cold and snowy. Western Siberia had max temperatures below -30ºC. Slovenia finished December 4ºC above normal on the sunny side of the Alps. It was sunny above the inversion at Kredarica, but Ljubljana was socked in with much fog and clouds with beneficial rains.
On January 6th a very intense deep (945 mb) storm covered the Atlantic from Newfoundland to Norway as the UK and Norway were battered by several smaller storms. By 7 Jan this storm impacted the region from Morocco to the Svalbard Islands with a huge circulation.
This storm was energized by the temperature contrast from Greenland’s -48ºC to the warm N Atlantic drift. It pulled cold Arctic air into western Europe and had an Atmospheric River (AR) from the subtropical Atlantic that energized the system. Svalbard’s northern ice was pushed north opening the sea around the Islands. Franz Joseph remained ice locked. Slovenia remained on the sunny side of the Alps; however, a cold front is threatening them. Have a look at wendy.com satellite images. An intense low (967 mb) over Siberia pulled Arctic air south into western Siberia cooling the region to -30 to -40ºC with another area to the East at -50 to -58ºC. South of this, the HinduKush had 100-110 cm; however, a 1030 mb ridge over the Tibetan Plateau kept it dry. Japan and Korea continued to get snow extending their record cold, snowy winter.
Australia was quite cool and rainy in the Northern Territory, while Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures. Western Australia was hot with ground temperatures up to +48ºC. South America was above normal, while the Antarctic was mixed with warm and cold regions and significant (1 to 4 meters) coastal snows during their summer. Interior Antarctic temperatures ranged from -20 to -40ºC). The Ross sea was now ~50% open and the Weddell Sea about 25% open as the Peninsula warmed to +4 to+7ºC. The Andes continued to build their glaciers ( 1-3 m) , albeit on a much smaller scale (only on the highest mountains) than earlier, it is summer there! Deep Cyclonic storms continued to circle the antarctic with central pressures from 946 to 979 mb.
Japan continued to get heavy snow and set records. N Hemisphere jet had a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms have the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records like the “bomb cyclone” mentioned above. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes hit from Louisiana to Missouri. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific. NOAA and the US Air Force have a field project studying the ARs on the West Coast from Hawaii to California. If you look at Environment Canada’s upper air analyses you can see the winds from flight tracks.
see: https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/sah_100.gif
These analyses show aircraft wind reports. The unusual cross-section tracks are from the AR project. Today most commercial aircraft have automatic meteorological flight track reports that are fed into the international modeling data base in real-time. These data have significantly improved model forecasts.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-48º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 was well above the normal, but fell below the record high side the past 3 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard was closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 190 cm on the ground on, 19 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
This week the West Coast again has 5 to 15 inches of rain and SWE as a strong AR floods the region from Vancouver to San Diego. California’s Sierra had 3 to 4 meters of new snow. NOAA’s 7-day QPF had 10-15 inches again in its forecast as the AR and Pacific storms continue to batter the West Coast. The Rockies get a small fraction of this moisture (20 to 85 cm).
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this week date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-831 mm) accompanied these fronts. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December.
This week (4-9 Jan 2023) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 108-403), (102-149), (20-33) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season continues to hit hard with 140-492 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons. The Crocks have free rein during the rainy season!!.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
California’s Snowpack Highest In 40 Years; Heavy Snow “Causes Chaos” In Oslo; Extreme Freeze Begins Across Vast Areas Of Russia/Asia; + X-Flare Watch
January 6, 2023 Cap Allon
California’s Snowpack Highest In 40 Years
Snowpack across California’s mountains is at the highest level in 40 years — with more heavy snow in the forecast.
Currently, the Cali pack is measuring 179% of the historical average, boosted by recent record-setting snowstorms.
Statewide snowpack is even 70% of the April 1 average, and is matching the best water year on record (1982-1983):
see: https://electroverse.co/cali-snowpack-chaos-in-oslo-extreme-freeze-russia-asia-x-flare/
Vancouver Sees Earliest Snowfall In 31 Years; Utah’s Snowpack As Much As 1417% Above Normal; + France’s Electricity Prices Surge As More Nuclear Plants Unexpectedly Go Offline
November 9, 2022 Cap Allon
Vancouver Sees Earliest Snowfall In 31 Years
The Arctic outbreak that descended into British Columbia’s Lower Mainland this week delivered Vancouver its earliest measurable snowfall in decades.
Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) confirmed 1.2cm (0.5 inches) of snow was recorded at the Vancouver International Airport weather station on Monday — a very rare occurrence this early in November.
ECCC Meteorologist Alyssa Charbonneau had to go all the way back to 1991 to find documentation of measurable snowfall earlier in the fall: “I remember that,” she said, “because I think there was snow for Halloween.”
see: https://electroverse.co/vancouver-sees-earliest-snowfall-in-31-years-utahs-snowpack-as-much-as-1417-above-normal-frances-electricity-prices-surge/
Frigid Decembers For North America, Australia, Parts Of Europe, And Asia; Cold 2022 For The South Pole; Historic Snowfall In SD And MN; Twin Cities’ Snowiest Start To Winter In 30-Years; + More To Come
January 5, 2023 Cap Allon
Frigid Decembers For North America, Australia, Parts Of Europe, And Asia
As shown by the 15x NASA/NOAA AMSU satellites (that measure every square inch of the lower troposphere), Earth cooled in December, down to a reading of just 0.05C above the multidecadal baseline (the planet was warmer back in the late-1980s).
see: https://electroverse.co/frigid-december-cold-2022-south-pole-historic-snowfall-us-more-to-come/
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
WINTER 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…California extreme weather, AR flight tracks, Europe Storms,…
JAN 3, 2023
Many Americans will remember tails of their grand parents about past winters that were extremely cold and had deep snows. This past Christmas Holiday week certainly met and surpassed those winters. NOAA called it a “Generation” storm. Buffalo, NY had an epic record breaking lake effect storm that encased many homes in ice as the Christmas low moved into Ontario and Quebec, deepened and intensified , producing the perfect lake fetch with high winds into the Buffalo area. Historic snows created a state of emergency as nothing moved in the 100 inch + blizzard. The storm persisted for over 37 hours continuously dumping heavy snow. Over 34 deaths around Buffalo added to the 60 or so dead during the Christmas Storm. The model forecasts that I mentioned last week unfortunately verified quite well. Travelers had plenty of warning; however, thousands were stranded in airports and missed their holiday with family and loved ones. SW Airlines canceled thousands of flights creating even more havoc.
Winter wheat was frozen in many areas thus leading to future food shortages.
Western Europe remained relatively mild and had above normal temperatures. The UK was cold and wet with 50 to 100 cm in the Highlands. Slovenia was mild and cloudy with periods of rain and snow at high elevations. Svalbard remains ice free in the south; however, in the north the Arctic Ocean sea ice closed in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. Svalbard had 35 to 50 cm of new snow. The Ob River is frozen now. Norway continued to pick up 50 to 140 cm of new snow. The Alps began to pick up significant snowfall up to 157 cm. Central Russia also had from 108 to 169 cm in the ECMWF 10-day forecasts as temperatures plunged to -53ºC.
Japan continued to get heavy snow (130-13 cm) and set records. N Hemisphere jet had a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms had the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records like the “bomb cyclone” mentioned above. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes hit from Louisiana to Missouri. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific…
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream brought Arctic air south into western Europe and western North America. The Arctic High Pressure (1055mb) from Alaska to the Yukon and south into Montana brought this season’s coldest weather. Eastern Colorado had a very strong upslope on 21-22 Dec as the Arctic front passed and dumps 5-10 cm of snow on the front range (ECMWF model). This brought maximum temperatures down to -18ºC (0ºF) about 20ºC below normal for 2 days. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 36º N over Tennessee by 23 DEC as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This cold Jet core (161 kt max) spun up a fast moving East Coast storm. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure with subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to 30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house last week. This week will dipped below 0ºF for several days.
This week cold domes of high pressure dominated and fed Arctic air into North America and Europe. Canada’s polar vortex from last week dissipated and this week’s storm spun up a huge low that extended from Baffin Island to Florida for a few days. The models correctly predicted another deep polar vortex over Ontario and Quebec this week as the Missouri low deepened and moved NE. This produced another Hudson Bay vortex by 23 Dec. that pulled Arctic air into Eastern N America. The West was under a relatively warm ridge. Temperatures in the East from Maine to Florida fell to 8 to 20ºC below normal by 24 Dec. Cold air reached the Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba Thirty-seven deaths were caused by this storm.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec. It is now back online.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West coast. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. A Pacific storm moved into California with significant snows in the Cascades, Sierra and Rockies (94 to 456 cm). The Pacific storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. Our Colorado Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. This week the San Juans have 104 cm in their 10-day ECMWF forecast. All of our mountains should have significant snowfall. However the Sierra and Cascades should get considerably more: 225 to 456 cm.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-40º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 remains well above the normal but fell below the record high side the past 2 weeks according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard is closed on the N coast, but and Barents Sea is still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 190 cm on the ground on, 19 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (18-311 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California. Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-2 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2-3 m (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington. This week the West Coast had 5 to 15 inches of rain and SWE as a strong AR floods the region from Vancouver to San Diego. California’s Sierra had 3 to 4 meters of new snow. NOAA’s 7-day QPF had 10-15 inches again in its forecast as the AR and Pacific storms continue to batter the West Coast. The Rockies get a small fraction of this moisture (20 to 85 cm).
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains diminished this week as the N African Monsoon stopped. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. This week Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows again closed key roads. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream. Some claim that the models predict this; however, the models fail after 10 days.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 130 to 163 cm.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 39 to 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula’s high mountain ridge (1500 m msl) had 99 to 305 cm at this week date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open significantly; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (144-831 mm) accompanied these fronts. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December.
This week (27 Dec to 3 Jan) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, and South Georgia Island continued to have snows ( 99-305), (212-384), (30-44) respectively.. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season continues to hit hard with 500 to 831 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons. The Crocks have free reign.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
UK Avalanche Kills One; Extreme Freeze To Engulf All Of Russia; Mughal Road Blocked By 3-Feet Of Snow; Sydney Failed To Reach 32C In 2022 (First Year In Books Dating Back To 1859); + Greenland’s Jakobshavn Glacier Continues To Grow
January 2, 2023 Cap Allon
UK Avalanche
The New Year has brought unseasonable warmth to Central Europe –the result of a low solar activity-induced ‘meridional’ jet stream flow, not a taxable human excretion– but this localized treat looks set to be short lived as polar air prepares to descend down from what continues to be an exceptionally chilly Scandinavia/NW Russia.
Scandinavia’s Cold December; A Busy Month For Sunspots; + If Global Warming Is Real And ‘Catastrophic’, Why Are The Deserts Greening?
January 3, 2023 Cap Allon
Scandinavia’s Cold December
Along with the UK, Ireland, Iceland and the Baltic countries, Scandinavia was another region of Europe to suffer a far colder-than-average December of 2022.
https://electroverse.co/scandinavias-cold-dec-sunspots-why-are-the-deserts-greening/
Adapt 2030: Winter Wheat and ICE AGE…. CRITICAL FOOD SHORTAGES??
https://youtu.be/yVPFqT_ri2w
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…
DEC 26, 2022
CHRISTMAS 2022 will go down in history as one of the most intense stormy periods on record in both hemispheres. North America had an extreme storm that impacted over 150 million Americans primarily from the Rockies to the East Coast and South. The numerical models gave ample warning of this storm’s evolution and severity 5 to 10 days before the event. It was a classic evolving storm that closely obeyed the laws of physics as a very cold dome (1058 mb) of Arctic air moved down from the Arctic Ocean North of Alaska and Siberia into the Yukon and down the Canadian Prairie Provinces into the High Plains and south to Mexico and Florida. The high pressure had a very strong pressure gradient that produced high winds, wind chills to below -50ºF and spun up a “bomb cyclone” that deepened rapidly from Missouri to Illinois and into Ontario and Quebec where it became an intense, large polar vortex. Hundreds of cold temperature records and record fast drops of temperature as the cold front passed and displaced the warm air ahead of the cold front. It resulted in shocking temperature changes setting many record drops within 1 to 2 hours. On Christmas Day this storm continued to blast the Great Lakes with very heavy lake effect snows of 2-3 feet.
Western Europe remained relatively mild and had above normal temperatures. The UK was cold and wet with 50 to 100 cm in the Highlands. Slovenia was mild and cloudy with periods of rain and snow at high elevations.
Japan continued to get heavy snow and set records. N Hemisphere jet had a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms had the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records like the “bomb cyclone” mentioned above. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes hit from Louisiana to Georgia. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific…
Major winter changes continue to spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold A very cold 1053 mb dome of cold air from Ukraine to SE China is setting cold records; however, the Tibetan Plateau remained cold and dry except on the SE mountains where 50 to 150 cm fell. Record cold and snow hit the UK with the Scottish glens falling below -15ºC breaking records back into the 1800’s last week.
Svalbard remains ice free in the south; however, in the north the Arctic Ocean sea ice closed in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. Svalbard had 35 to 50 cm of new snow. The Ob River is frozen now. Norway continued to pick up 50 to 140 cm of new snow.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream brought Arctic air south into western Europe and western North America. The Arctic High Pressure (1055mb) from Alaska to the Yukon and south into Montana brought this season’s coldest weather. Eastern Colorado had a very strong upslope on 21-22 Dec as the Arctic front passed and dumps 5-10 cm of snow on the front range (ECMWF model). This brought maximum temperatures down to -18ºC (0ºF) about 20ºC below normal for 2 days. Denver set several all time cold records. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 36º N over Tennessee by 23 DEC as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This cold Jet core (161 kt max) spun up a fast moving East Coast storm. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure with subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to 30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house last week. This week will dipped below 0ºF for several days.
This week cold domes of high pressure dominated and fed Arctic air into North America and Europe. Canada’s polar vortex from last week dissipated and this week’s storm spun up a huge low that extended from Baffin Island to Florida for a few days. The models correctly predicted another deep polar vortex over Ontario and Quebec this week as the Missouri low deepened and moved NE. This produced another Hudson Bay vortex by 23 Dec. that pulled Arctic air into Eastern N America. The West was under a relatively warm ridge. Temperatures in the East from Maine to Florida fell to 8 to 20ºC below normal by 24 Dec. Cold air reached the Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba Thirty-seven deaths were caused by this storm.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -26 Dec.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West coast. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. A Pacific storm moved into California with significant snows in the Cascades, Sierra and Rockies (140-323 cm). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. Our Colorado Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. This week the San Juans have 104 cm in their 10-day ECMWF forecast. All of our mountains should have significant snowfall. However the Sierra and Cascades should get considerably more: 150 to 300 cm.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-40º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 remains well above the normal but fell below the record high side this week according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open but nearly closed.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified when Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 190 cm on the ground on 19 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
Canada continued to pack in new snow 68-310 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-2 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2-4 m (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington. This next week the West Coast should get 5 to 15 inches of rain and SWE as a strong AR floods the region from Vancouver to San Diego.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains diminished this week as the N African Monsoon stopped. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream. Some claim that the models predict this; however, the models fail after 10 days.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 131 to 170 cm.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula had over 205-365 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to be clear of sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (74-719 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting light snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (19-26 Dec) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island continued to have snows (92-343), (105-352), (29-103) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 44 to 320 mm of rain in the rain forests. Australia’s Northern Territory’s Rainy Season hit hard with 500 to 700 mm rains. When we drove SE of Darwin the highway had 2 m markers showing the high water in rainy seasons.
Argentina and Brazil have summer warming, yet some Antarctic cold bursts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 24 to 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Hijiori, Japan Loses Power After 2.3m (7.6ft) Of Snow Hits; Severe Weather Warnings Encompass All Of Iceland; + N. Hemisphere Snow Extent Continues To Climb Far-Above Average, With Much More Forecast
December 22, 2022 Cap Allon
Hijiori, Japan Loses Power After 2.3m (7.6ft) Of Snow Hits
It’s been snowy in Japan this week — all-time, record-busting, AGW-destroying snowy.
Hijiori is the country’s snowiest locale, with 2.32 (7.6ft) on the ground as of Tuesday, December 20.
That total is likely to have climbed since then, but the area is dealing with widespread power outages which are also impacting weather stations.
see: https://electroverse.co/hijiori-loses-power-severe-warnings-iceland-snow-extent/
N. Hemisphere Snow Extent Continues To Climb Far-Above Average, With Much More Forecast
Snow extent in the Northern Hemisphere continues its dogged march above the multidecadal norm, according to the latest data, with winter storm Elliot about to extend the snowline by at least another 1 million km2 in North America.
The extensive snow is aiding Arctic air in its descent south.
Record-breaking temperatures are sweeping most N. Hem land masses, most recently in Europe, Eastern Asia and North America. The UK busted all-time mid-Dec readings in books dating back to the 1800s this week, and, according to the Central England Temperature dataset –which extends back to 1659– Britain was on for its 9th coldest December in 363-years.
–All impossibilities by now (2022) under the ‘global warming’ hypothesis.
“Blockbuster” Cold Strikes North America; UK On For Its 9th Coldest December In 363-Years Of Record-Keeping; + Japan’s Unprecedented Snow Continues, Strands Drivers
December 20, 2022 Cap Allon
“Blockbuster” Cold Strikes North America
Christmas 2022 is on course to be the coldest on record for many, as two disruptive and dangerous weather systems sweep large portions of Canada and the Lower 48.
UK On For 9th Coldest December In 363-Years Of Record-Keeping
To the 17th, this December is on course to be the UK’s ninth coldest in books dating back to 1659.
https://electroverse.co/blockbuster-cold-strikes-america-uk-on-for-coldest-dec-japans-snow/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows, North America’s Christmas 2022 storm…
DEC 19, 2022
WINTER WEATHER dominated the N Hemisphere from Japan’s heavy snow to N America’s white Christmas frigid snows to the UK and Scandinavia, where a huge Barents Sea Low (981 mb) controlled the area from Iceland to central Siberia. Even the “sunny side of the Alps” in Slovenia was cold and stormy. For meteorologists looking at the surface weather map, it was fascinating to see the series of storms and large cold domes of 1050+ mb high-pressures. windy.com clearly showed a deep winter pattern from the surface to the 300 mb jet stream levels.
This week a number of traveling short waves brought winter weather from Japan to North America and Europe. Greenland had one of the highest pressures I have seen at 1070 mb according to Environment Canada. This extreme dome of cold air then moved SE into Europe from 9 to 10 December. This cold air was north of a Genoa low that moved from the Med to the Adriatic sea dumping significant precipitation across the Alps and the Balkans with snow at higher elevations. Siberia also cooled in many areas to -40 to -60ºC under a 1050 mb dome of high pressure setting records. THIS PATTERN continued this week Dec 12-19th.
N Hemisphere jet had a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms have the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. Tornadoes hit from Louisiana to Georgia. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which in the NW coast of North America, Greenland, and East coast of Siberia again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. These concentrated fluxes of moist air often originate in the warm subtropics laden with moisture and carry this into the mid and high latitudes. Satellite images show the ARs from Hawaii, Bahamas, Azores, central Pacific…
Major winter changes continue to spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold jet stream brought Arctic air down the Rockies into Mexico and again Dec 21-24 will bring extreme cold to N America with 20 to 25ºC below normal. It will spin-up a deep low over Missouri that will create a most memorable Christmas Storm in the east-central US,.. Another large deep 963 mb N Atlantic low off the Irish coast in a trough from Maine to the Svalbard will trigger winter storms in western Europe. A very cold 1050 mb dome of cold air from Ukraine to SE China is setting cold records; however, the Tibetan Plateau remained cold and dry except on the SE mountains where 50 to 150 cm fell. Record cold and snow hit the UK with the Scottish glens falling below -15ºC breaking records back into the 1800’s last week.
Svalbard remains ice free; however, the Arctic Ocean sea ice is closing in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. Svalbard had 35 to 50 cm of new snow. The Ob River is frozen now. Norway continued to pick up 50 to 120 cm of new snow.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream brought Arctic air south into western Europe and western North America. The Arctic High Pressure (1055mb) from Alaska to the Yukon and south into Montana will bring this season’s coldest weather. Eastern Colorado will have a very strong upslope on 21-22 Dec as the Arctic front passes and dumps 5-10 cm of snow on the front range (ECMWF model). This will bring high temperatures down to -18ºC (0ºF) about 20ºC below normal. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 36º N over Tennessee by 23 DEC as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This cold Jet core (161 kt max) will spin up a fast moving East Coast storm. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure subsiding sinking air will clear the skies and the West will warm after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to 30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house last week. This week will dip below 0ºF for several days.
This week cold domes of high pressure dominated and fed Arctic air into North America and Europe. Canada’s polar vortex was displaced as the Greenland 1064 mb high sent cold air into the North Sea and set records in the UK last week. The models indicate another deep polar vortex over Ontario and Quebec this week as the Missouri low deepens and moves NE. This will produce another Hudson Bay vortex that pulls arctic air into Eastern N America. The West will be under a relatively warm ridge. Temperatures in the East from Maine to Florida will fall to 8 to 20ºC below normal by 24 Dec. Cold air will reach the Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba…
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -12 Dec.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West coast. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. A Pacific storm moved into California with significant snows in the Cascades, Sierra and Rockies (140-160 cm). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. Our Colorado Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland was under the cold dome (-40º) of high pressure that limited snowfall to local orographic lifting along the coast. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 remains well above the normal but fell below the record high side this week according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open but nearly closed.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Moscow had significant historic snowfalls. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reached 190 cm on the ground today, 19 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
Canada continued to pack in new snow 68-202 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-2 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1-3 m (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains diminished this week as the N African Monsoon stopped. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream. Some claim that the models predict this; however, the models fail after 10 days.
Asia from China to Japan set record cold temperatures. Japan continued to get heavy snow in the high elevations with 155 to 204 cm predicted by the ECMWF model this week. Japan set new all time snowfall records with 24 hr snowfalls of 170 to 231 cm.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Antarctic Peninsula had over 205-365 cm at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea have begun to open; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to clear the sea ice.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (58-349 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting light snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (12-19 Dec) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (243-365), (112-226), (3-29), and (0-2 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 118-187 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding with 100 to 300 mm rains. Temperatures have reached 40ºC in Argentina.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Cold Wave Grips East Asia, Felling All-Time Snowfall Records Across Japan; Historic Snow In Moscow; + Christmas Freeze: Extreme Cold/Snow To Blast North America Over The Holidays
December 19, 2022 Cap Allon
Cold Wave Grips East Asia…
A fierce cold wave engulfing the majority East Asia is busy felling long-standing records.
see: https://electroverse.co/cold-wave-grips-east-japan-historic-snow-moscow-christmas-freeze-north-america/
China Approaches -50C (-58F); Record Cold In The Dominican Republic; Summer Snow Down Under, Another 12 *Monthly* Low Temp Records Felled; + The Sun Is Crackling With M-Flares
December 15, 2022 Cap Allon
China Approaches -50C (-58F)
China’s lingering –and already record-breaking– freeze has intensified again this week, with Northern provinces in the grips of yet another fierce Arctic Outbreak.
Temperatures had plunged to -43.4C (-46.1F) on the Greater Hinggan Mountain yesterday evening, with thermometers expected to continue dropping overnight, to perhaps a record-busting -50C (-58F) by morning.
The polar air is now traversing south, into the tropics.
see: https://electroverse.co/china-approaches-50c-58f-record-cold-dominican-summer-snow-cold-down-under-sun-is-crackling/
Record Cold Caribbean; Colder-Than-Average Novembers For Brazil And Paraguay; State Of Victoria Just Set Its Coldest Summer Temp Ever; UK Freeze Breaks Records; + Ferocious Arctic Blast On Course To Slam U.S.
December 14, 2022 Cap Allon
Record Cold Caribbean
It’s been holding cold across much of The Caribbean of late.
see: https://electroverse.co/record-cold-caribbeans-cold-novs-sa-victoria-coldest-summer-temp-uk-freeze-arctic-us/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…Japan’s record snows…
DEC 12, 2022
This week a number of traveling short waves brought winter weather from Japan to North America and Europe. Greenland had one of the highest pressures I have seen at 1070 mb according to Environment Canada. This extreme dome of cold air then moved SE into Europe from 9 to 10 December. This cold air was north of a Genoa low that moved from the Med to the Adriatic sea dumping significant precipitation across the Alps and the Balkans with snow at higher elevations. Siberia also cooled in many areas to -40 to -60ºC under a 1050 mb dome of high pressure setting records.
N Hemisphere jet had a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms have the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which in the NW coast of North America, Greenland, and East coast of Siberia again dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows. Japan continued to build its mountain snow pack with 50 to 150 cm snowfalls.
Major winter changes continue to spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold jet stream brought Arctic air down the Rockies into Mexico. It spun-up a cutoff low over NM that dumped snow there and in NW Texas. A large deep 956 mb N Atlantic low off the coast of Portugal influenced the weather from Virginia to the UK. A very cold 1050 mb dome of cold air from Ukraine to SE China. The Tibetan Plateau was cold and dry. Record cold and snow hit the UK with the Scottish glens falling below -15ºC breaking records back into the 1800’s.
Svalbard remains ice free; however, the Arctic Ocean sea ice is closing in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. Svalbard had 30 to 89 cm of new snow. The Ob River is frozen now.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can see these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to the Sierra and Rockies shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream now brought Arctic air south into western Europe and western North America cooling with a strong 175 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (137-413 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 30º N on the West Coast as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved south again bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies and warm air in the East. Cold records fell from Washington to Florida. California also had a quiet wildfire season this year. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to 30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house. My 6 inch depth increased to 16 inches and we’ll have another storm this week.
This week cold domes of high pressure dominated and fed Arctic air into North America and Europe. Canada’s polar vortex was displaced as the Greenland 1064 mb high sent cold air into the North Sea and set records in the UK.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -12 Dec.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West coast. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. A Pacific storm moved into California with significant snows in the Cascades, Sierra and Rockies (140-160 cm). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 111-252 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained near record high levels. This week a large high reduced snowfall producing a strong northwesterly flow into ICELAND 1-2 m of snow, and 20-60 cm into Scotland and highlands of the UK. The Greenland accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 remains well above the normal and continues to peak on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open but shrinking.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland. The ECMWF forecasts verified with Kredarica, Slovenia’s mountain observatory reaching 182 cm on the ground today, 12 Dec. Ljubljana had 1 cm on the ground and temperatures dropping to -5ºC.
Canada continued to pack in new snow 97-240 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-2 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1-4 m (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains diminished this week as the N African Monsoon stopped. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream. Some claim that the models predict this; however, the models fail after 10 days.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 48º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 924 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 940 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 1-2 m of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-4 m at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remained closed with sea ice; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to open.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (30-120 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (5-12 Dec) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (107-248), 192-262), (53-91), and (0-12 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 192-439 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Russia Plunges To -61C (-77.8F); Record-Cold And Snow-Chaos Hit The UK, Sending Energy Prices To Unprecedented Highs; Sierra Slammed With Snow, More Threatens Central US; + Australia Busts 20+ Monthly Low Temperature Records
December 12, 2022 Cap Allon
Russia Plunges To -61C (-77.8F)
It’s been historically cold across the majority of transcontinental Russia in recent weeks.
https://electroverse.co/russia-plunges-to-61c-record-cold-uk-sierra-slammed-with-snow-australia-busts-20-monthly-records/
Record-Cold And Snow-Chaos Hit The UK…
The UK has been enduring some truly anomalous early-season chills, with snow blanketing all four home nations.
The Scottish glens plunged below -15C (5F) over the past few mornings, which, in record books dating back to the 1800s, makes it the UK’s lowest temperatures for Dec 11 and 12 on record, besting the 14.7C from 1967 and the 15C from 1981, respectively.
Sierra Slammed With Snow…
Roads remain closed and conditions dangerous as a winter storm that slammed the Sierra continued Sunday, with low temperatures and freeze watches extended into the new week, and another 2-feet of snow expected overnight Sunday alone.
An overnight low of 40F was forecast for San Francisco, with the mercury forecast to plunge lower Tuesday.
A freeze watch is in effect from late Monday through Tuesday morning in the North Bay valleys, encompassing Santa Rosa and the Napa Valley. Overnight it could sink to the mid-20s
Australia’s Coldest Spring In Decades; China’s Record Arctic Outbreak Freezes Livestock, Traps Herders, Kills Road Workers; South Korea Shivers; + Russia/Ukraine Planting Woes
November 30, 2022 Cap Allon
Australia’s Coldest Spring In Decades
Following a colder-than-average winter, Australia has suffered its coldest spring in decades, “a rare feat considering climate change ensures nearly every season is now warmer than normal,” peddles ABC, the nation’s agenda-driving MSM outlet.
Well, that’s two frigid seasons in quick-succession now, ABC — a “rare feat”?
Australia’s daytime highs were especially low, the coldest in 30 years for Melbourne, Adelaide, and Canberra. Brisbane was another to endure an anomalously-nippy spring, after shivering through what was its coldest winter on record.
https://electroverse.co/australias-coldest-spring-in-decades-chinas-arctic-outbreak-kills-livestock-herders-workers-korea-shivers-russia-ukraine-woes/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies, Sierra heavy precipitation…
DEC 5, 2022
This week we had 3 deep storms controlling the N Hemisphere weather from the N Pacific east to Siberia. N America had two major storms and highs that triggered tornadoes in the South and brought an Arctic blast to the West with heavy snows from the Cascades and Sierra to Montana. Colorado even had significant snows in the Rockies bringing Summit County back into a winter wonder land. Temperatures fell below normal from Canada to Mexico in the cold sectors.
N Hemisphere jet has a number of short traveling waves from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms have the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the warm and cold fronts. These cold fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which in the NW coast of North America, Greenland, and East coast of Siberia dumped large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows.
Major winter changes continue to spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold jet stream brought Arctic air down the Rockies into Mexico. It spun-up a cutoff low over NM that dumped snow there and in NW Texas. A large deep 956 mb N Atlantic low off the coast of Iceland continued to influence the weather from Labrador to Norway. Last week’s 978 mb low in the Kara Sea N was replaced by a very cold 1063 mb dome of cold air from Finland to Korea. MONGOLIA also had a 1059 mb high that stretched from the Ob River to the Tibetan Plateau. This pattern is typical of mid-winter, not November.
Svalbard remains ice free; however, the Arctic Ocean sea ice is closing in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. Svalbard had 30 to 89 cm of new snow. The Ob River is frozen now. Central Siberia reached -50ºC several days in a row.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can watch these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to Vancouver shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 175 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (144-439 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 35º N on the West Coast as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved south bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies and warm air in the East. Cold records fell from Washington to Florida. California also had a quiet wildfire season this year. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house. My 6 inch depth is quickly disappearing.
This week 2 large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (976 mb) to N Atlantic SE of Greenland (968 MB) covering the N Atlantic from Greenland to Western Europe. These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian. Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .3 to 1.6 m of new snow from the Urals to Kamchatka. A large Arctic high sat north of Canada into Greenland, while a deep 975 mb low was in the Bering Sea and N of Alaska, with another Hudson Bay low (polar vortex like 700mb low ) pumped moist air northward into Greenland’s west coast dumping 1-2 m of new snow.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -20 Nov.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Later this Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>24 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. A similar storm (978 mb) developed this week from a Pacific Jet and short wave that continued to dump significant snows in the from the Sierra to the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 111-252 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained near record high levels. This week a large deep low (970 mb) produced a strong northeasterly flow into the east coast of Greenland then the Canadian low added to the west coast. ICELAND also had widespread snow of 50 to 100 cm. This flow continued to push the SMB curve past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. The SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 was ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 6 new daily record max thru 14 Nov. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -47ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator with a cold dense 1040 mb high pressure this week. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and continues to peak on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe was cooled by cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (50-250 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (79-166 cm ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 59 to 317 cm (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains diminished this week as the N African Monsoon stopped. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring with 44º C measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures. However, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even hit the Australian Bite. A 948 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-4 m at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remained closed with sea ice; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula continued to open.
AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts early this week. Significant rains (100-279 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (14-20 Nov) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (107-159), (299-404), (44-108), and (0-10 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 135-315 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains. Dry areas are receiving beneficial rains and some flooding.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
INDEPENDENT THINKING is very important to scientific understanding. Dr. Willie Soog presents a comprehensive review of climate change and global warming facts in a very interesting semi-technical way. If you haven’t seen this, it is well worth your time to get an over view of physical controls from CO2 to geophysical, oceans and solar impacts on climate and how numerical models fail to accurately predict our future. See:
Global Warming: Fact or Fiction? Featuring Physicists Willie Soon and El...
Eastern Pacific Ocean is cooling NOT warming! Are the climate models wro…
https see://youtu.be/KtjeNvTwYeU
Economics of global warming strategies: Dr. Robert Bryce Manhattan InstituteCCA2 Energy
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS this week:
Siberian Freeze Strengthens (-55.1C/-67.2F); New Zealand’s Frosty Start To Summer; Arctic Air To Hit Europe This Week, Bringing Heavy Snow; + Is Solar Cycle 25 About To Awaken?
December 5, 2022 Cap Allon7 Comments
Australia’s Coldest Spring In Decades; China’s Record Arctic Outbreak Freezes Livestock, Traps Herders, Kills Road Workers; South Korea Shivers; + Russia/Ukraine Planting Woes
Yesterday, Greenland Gained Enough Mass To Bury Central Park Under 9,000 Feet Of Ice; Antarctica’s Coldest Month Of November Since 1987; China’s Big Freeze Intensifies–Beijing’s Lowest Nov Temp Since 1970; + Quiet Sun
Arctic Air To Hit Europe This Week, Bringing Heavy Snow
Brutal Arctic air is readying to invade much of the European continent.
Record lows and historic snows are potentially on the cards as a ‘blocking high’ above Greenland threatens to set up a truly baltic-looking festive season, particularly for Northern, Western and Central nations — starting this week:
Australia’s Coldest Spring In Decades; China’s Record Arctic Outbreak Freezes Livestock, Traps Herders, Kills Road Workers; South Korea Shivers; + Russia/Ukraine Planting Woes
November 30, 2022 Cap Allon
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves and temperature anomalies…
NOV 28, 2022
Our N Hemisphere jet is controlling many winter storms from Japan to Europe. Many of these storms have the intensity of mid-winter extratropical cyclones (lows) and they are bringing cold and snow a bit earlier than normal, some setting local records. As with any storm, we have the warm sector ahead of the cold sector, hence dramatic swings between warm and cold along the cold fronts. These fronts have strong vertical wind shear which can spin up tornadoes in extremely unstable conditions. With the strong jet stream comes the atmospheric river (AR) which in the NW coast of North America, Greenland, and East coast of Siberia dumps large amounts of moisture from heavy rains to snows.
Major winter changes continue to spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold jet stream brought Arctic air down the Rockies into Mexico. It spun-up a cutoff low over NM that dumped snow there and in NW Texas. This was balanced by a large N Pacific high (1035 mb) and a deep 966mb low that dumped significant snow from Kamchatka to Japan. Most of the US was under a large 1040 mb high that gave us a beautiful Thanksgiving. A large deep 956 mb N Atlantic low off the coast of Iceland influenced the weather from Labrador to Norway. Last week’s 978 mb low in the Kara Sea N was replaced by a very cold 1063 mb dome of cold air from Finland to Korea. MONGOLIA also had a 1059 mb high that stretched from the Ob River to the Tibetan Plateau. This pattern is typical of mid-winter, not November.
Svalbard remains ice free; however, the Arctic Ocean sea ice is closing in and it has closed the Franz Joseph Islands and Kara Sea. The Ob River is frozen now.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can watch these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to Vancouver shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm isobar pressure patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 175 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (144-439 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 35º N on the West Coast as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved south bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies and warm air in the East. Cold records fell from Washington to Florida. California also had a quiet wildfire season this year. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to 45ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house. My 6 inch depth is quickly disappeared, followed by a 2 inch snow on 27 Nov - More coming tonight.
This week, 2 large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (977 mb) to N Atlantic SE of Greenland (983 MB) covering the N Atlantic from Greenland to Western Europe. These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian. Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .3 to 1.6 m of new snow from the Urals to Kamchatka.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -28 Nov.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Later this Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>24 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. A similar storm (978 mb) developed this week from a Pacific Jet and short wave that continued to dump significant snows in the from the Sierra to the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022. Canada is completely snow covered today. A strong 990 mb low moved across the Prairie Provinces on 28 Nov with a strong 1048 mb high moving down from Alaska. This will bring cold Arctic air into the US. The Tropical Tidbits GSM forecast shows a series of storms moving around the N Hemisphere with strong cold anomalies preceded by the warm sector into mid-December.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ. Heavy rains moved north from Sydney to Cairns.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 226-317 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained near record high levels. This week a large deep low (970 mb) produced a strong northeasterly flow into the east coast of Greenland. ICELAND also had heavy snows with 56 to 183 cm. This flow continued to push the SMB curve past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to near record increases. The SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 was ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 6 new daily record max thru 14 Nov. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -47ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator with a cold dense 1040 mb high pressure this week. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and continues to peak on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open. They are warmed by the North Atlantic Drift. Note: if the Beaufort Gyre releases cold dense Arctic Ocean water the Drift will be cut and cold will hit Europe.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe is changing from the mild conditions to much colder. Eastern Europe and Scandinavia had snow (1-2 m) and below normal temperatures. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of 50 to 70 cm. Kredarica now is completely white as Triglav, Slovenia’s highest mountain looks more like winter. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland again this week.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (104-308 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (50 to 200 cm ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 0.5 to 2.3 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains dropped to 30-60 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. A 948 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 1.5 to 3 m at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea remained closed with sea ice; however, the Bellingshausen Sea west of the Peninsula was open.
AUSTRALIAN radars again showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-500 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (14-20 Nov) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows 151-307), (218-404), (55-79), and (0-36 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 93-315 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains: 100-300mm.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
https://hydrogen-central.com/
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 980 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week (41 to 152 cm.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS.
“140 Frosts Registered In Vale Do Caminhos, Brazil This Year–A New Record; “Off The Scale” Greenland Blocking Suggests Arctic Freeze For Europe/Eastern North America; + Polar Bear Numbers At Highest Level In Six Decades
November 28, 2022 Cap Allon
140 Frosts Registered This Year In Vale Do Caminhos, Brazil–A New Record
Unseasonable frosts returned to parts of Brazil on Friday, November 25, according to the country’s INMET network.
https://electroverse.co/140-frosts-registered-in-vale-do-caminhos-off-the-scale-greenland-blocking-freeze-for-europe-america-polar-bear-numbers-at-highest-ever/
Highest Northern Hemisphere Snow Extent In Books Dating Back To 1967; Eastern Aussies Warned To Brace For Cold, Wet Summer; + Rime Ice In China
November 25, 2022 Cap Allon
Highest Northern Hemisphere Snow Extent In Books Dating Back To 1967
The Northern Hemisphere’s 2022-2023 snow season is off to an impressive start.
The United States registered its snowiest November 16 ever last week–before the historic lake-effect dumpings, and the snow cover in Eurasia is truly extraordinary with practically every square inch of Russia currently blanketed.
South America Snow Extent At All-Time Highs — A Forerunner For The Coming Northern Hemisphere Winter
July 20, 2022 Cap Allon
While the media focuses on a two-day heatwave in Europe and a rather run-of-the-mill wildfire season –heat that was pulled anomalously far north by a low solar activity-induced ‘meridional‘ jet stream flow– unbeknownst to them, or at least unreported by them, is the fact that the entire Southern Hemisphere has been holding COLDER than the 1979-2000 average for some time now–according to the data provided by the Climate Change Institute at the University of Maine. “
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High, traveling waves - storms, 1060 mb Siberian High…
NOV 20, 2022
Major winter changes spread across the Northern Hemisphere this week as a cold record breaking Arctic high (1058 mb) stretched from Alaska to N Mexico under a very cold northerly jet steam’s meandering wave. This was balanced by a large N Pacific low and a deep 958 mb N Atlantic low off the coast of Iceland and a 978 mb low in the Kara Sea N of Siberia. This pattern is typical of mid-winter. The Alaskan 300 mb jet had a strong omega block that signifies very slow traveling waves in the N Hemisphere. This causes cold areas to get colder and on the other side of troughs, warm areas to stay warm.
A two day historic Lake Effect storm hit the lee side of the Great Lakes from Michigan to New York dumping 3 to 6 ft+ (1.8 m) and setting a 24 hour record snowfall in NY with over 50 inches (1.3 m). The Buffalo area east of Lake Erie was hit hard. These storms occur every year when the lakes are open and ice free. This sets up a strong unstable thermodynamic condition that enables deep convective clouds even thunderstorms - thunder snow squalls. A cold SW flow across Lake Erie provides a maximum moisture flux into the Buffalo area resulting in the deep snowfalls. This week a deep broad trough stretched from the Yukon to Texas and across the East. It pulled Arctic air across the Great Lakes in a long fetch directly into Buffalo. Dr. Helmut Weickmann’s NOAA Atmospheric Physics and Chemistry Lab studied these storms in 1967 for several seasons when I was a student trainee. They made extensive snow measurements, radar analyses, and cloud physics aircraft measurements to better understand and predict these storms.
As winter storms continued to dominate many areas of both hemispheres record cold hit many areas. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can watch these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to Vancouver shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating! You can see the cold Arctic blast coming out of Greenland across the Atlantic into Western Europe. If you would like to see the clear outline of storms, Windy’s wave height analysis shows the sea state and when pressure is turned on you see the storm patterns and cold ridges of high pressure.
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures last week. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 175 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (144-439 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 35º N on the West Coast as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved south bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies and warm air in the East. Cold records fell from Washington to Florida. California also had a quiet wildfire season this year. As is normal, a ridge of high-pressure subsiding sinking air cleared the skies and the West warmed after the Arctic shock. We warmed from -1º low to30ºF high temperature in Summit County at my house. My 6 inch depth is quickly disappearing.
This week 2 large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (976 mb) to N Atlantic SE of Greenland (968 MB) covering the N Atlantic from Greenland to Western Europe. These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian. Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .3 to 1.6 m of new snow from the Urals to Kamchatka.
Hurricane Nicole (CAT 1) with peak gusts to 86 mph hit Viro Beach FL on 10 Nov. Its storm surge extended to Cape Canaveral with heavy rains up the East coast. Much severe beach erosion and damage to homes occurred on the east coast of Florida. Hurricane season extends to the end of November. The Sea Surface Temperature SST anomaly east of Florida was -0.5 to +1ºC from the normal.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -20 Nov.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Later this Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>24 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. A similar storm (978 mb) developed this week from a Pacific Jet and short wave that continued to dump significant snows in the from the Sierra to the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 200-572 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained near record high levels. This week a large deep low (970 mb) produced a strong northeasterly flow into the east coast of Greenland. ICELAND also had heavy snow with 358 cm. This flow continued to push the SMB curve past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. The SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 was ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 6 new daily record max thru 14 Nov. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -47ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator with a cold dense 1040 mb high pressure this week. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and continues to peak on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe remained relatively mild with a couple cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. On 11 Nov the ECMWF model had heavy new snow on the Alps from the Maritimes to Graz. Eastern Europe and Scandinavia had snow (1-2 m) and below normal temperatures. Slovenia’s Alps had some light snow with the highest peaks covered. The ECMWF model predicted a 10-day snowfall in the Alps of > 1 m, the first of this season. Satellite cloud motion shows cold unstable air flowing down the N Sea into Central Europe from Labrador and Greenland.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (50-250 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (68-292 cm ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1 to 4 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains dropped to 30-60 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding, while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. A 948 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-4 m at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-279 mm) accompanied these fronts. The Snowy Range and volcanoes on Tasmania are still getting snow (this is the equivalent of May down under). Very late season records. NZ’s southern Alps had significant snow.
This week (14-20 Nov) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (249-430), (211-316), (8-37), and (8-107 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 105 to 312 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food. Today food prices in parts of Europe are up 15 to 22%.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS.
State Of Victoria Suffers Coldest-Ever November Temperature As Polar Outbreak Sweeps Australia; Cold Records Begin Tumbling Across U.S.; + Below-Average Octobers For Caribbean Islands
November 18, 2022 Cap Allon
Cold Records Begin Tumbling Across U.S.
The freeze and blizzards are intensifying across the United States.
https://electroverse.co/victoria-coldest-nov-temp-cold-records-u-s-below-cool-caribbean/
Below-Average Octobers For Caribbean Islands
It was an anomalously-cool October 2022 across the Caribbean.
California’s Quiet Wildfire Season; Snowfall Records Fall Across US; Monthly Low Temp Benchmarks Tumble Down Under As Rare Spring Flakes Hit Tasmania; Villages Cut Off As Heavy Snow Hits Kashmir; + Europe’s Food Prices Soar
November 16, 2022 Cap Allon
California’s Quiet Wildfire Season
California is enjoying its quietest wildfires in years, attributable, in part, to summer rain and cooler weather — natural cycles.
https://electroverse.co/californias-quiet-wildfire-season-snowy-us-low-temps-snow-australia-villages-cut-off-in-kashmir-europe-food-prices/
Yesterday Was America’s Snowiest Nov 16 On Record; “Extraordinary” And “Paralyzing” Lake Effect Snow Set To Pound The Northeast; Energy Crisis Update; + Siberia Plunges To -47.8C (-54F)
November 17, 2022 Cap Allon
https://electroverse.co/americas-snowiest-nov-16-on-record-extraordinary-snow-for-ne-energy-crisis-siberia-54f/
“Extraordinary” And “Paralyzing” Lake Effect Snow Set To Pound The Northeast
Yet more snow is on course to bury portions of the North American continent starting today, Thursday.
Western New York, for example, which gets more snow than almost any other corner of the U.S., is about to get pummeled by a winter storm “that is extraordinary — even by the region’s own standards,” reports bloomberg.com.
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies, Historic Lake Effect Snow, 1058 mb Yukon High…
NOV 13, 2022
This week of the COP27 meetings in Egypt, we had a very cold dome (1051 mb) of cold air slide down east of the Rockies from Alaska into the US. It set 33 new cold records in Alberta, and many more across Canada and the US.
Winter storms continue to dominate many areas of both hemispheres after the autumnal equinox. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can watch these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to Vancouver shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating. TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature. Canada broke over 30 record cold temperatures. Alberta set 33 cold temperature records this week. Even Nevada set snowfall records going back to 1920 and Alta Utah ski area has had 100 inches. Impressive early season snowfall in the Wasatch Front area: 300-1087% of normal by 10 Nov!
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 175 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (144-439 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet moved to 35º on the West Coast as a strong long wave dipped south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved south bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies and warm air in the East.
This week 2 large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (976 mb) to N Atlantic SE of Greenland (968 MB) covering the N Atlantic from Greenland to Western Europe. These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .3 to 1.6 m of new snow from the Urals to Kamchatka.
Hurricane Nicole (CAT 1) with peak gusts to 86 mph hit Viro Beach FL on 10 Nov. Its storm surge extended to Cape Canaveral with heavy rains up the East coast. Much severe beach erosion and damage to homes occurred on the east coast of Florida. Hurricane season extends to the end of November. The Sea Surface Temperature SST anomaly east of Florida was -0.5 to +1ºC from the normal.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -6 Nov.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Later this Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>24 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. A similar storm (978 mb) developed this week from a Pacific Jet and short wave that continued to dump significant snows in the from the Sierra to the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 200-546 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained near record high levels. This week a large deep low (970 mb) produced a strong northeasterly flow into the east coast of Greenland. ICELAND also had heavy snow with 358 cm. This flow continued to push the SMB curve past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. The SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 was ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 6 new daily record max thru 14 Nov. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -47ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator with a cold dense 1040 mb high pressure this week. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and continues to peak on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Western Europe remained relatively mild with a couple cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. On 11 Nov the ECMWF model had heavy new snow on the Alps from the Maritimes to Graz. Eastern Europe and Scandinavia had snow (1-2 m) and below normal temperatures.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (50-250 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California. Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (68-292 cm ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1 to 4 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains dropped to 30-60 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads Nov 1-7, 2022. During the summer’s heavy monsoon, they had extreme flooding while Europe suffered an extreme drought that caused record low flows on the Rhine and Danube - due to the meridional jet stream. Note: it is difficult to physically connect the fossil fuel CO2 production to the jet stream.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. A 948 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-4 m at this late date. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-279 mm) accompanied these fronts.
This week (1-6 Nov) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (332-451), (70-231), (50-81), and (0-29 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 200 to 600 mm of rain in the rain forests.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
Global Volcanic Winter Begins Right Now ! Adapt 2030 :
Hydrogen fuel systems of the future:
2000 km on a single tank of H2:
Don Sather found this important clean energy link:
https://hydrogen-central.com/new-hydrogen-car-travels-2000-kilometers-single-tank/
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS.
14 NOV 2022:
Century-Old Low Temperature Records Continue To Tumble Across Canada; Snowfall Benchmarks Busted In Nevada (And Elsewhere); + Digitized Proles
November 11, 2022 Cap Allon12 Comments
If the coming 8-or-so days seem cold, check out what’s in store for the U.S. *next weekend*… -30F, anyone?
https://electroverse.co/benchmarks-tumble-across-canada-snow-in-nevada-and-elsewhere-digitized-proles/
Vancouver Sees Earliest Snowfall In 31 Years; Utah’s Snowpack As Much As 1417% Above Normal; + France’s Electricity Prices Surge As More Nuclear Plants Unexpectedly Go Offline
November 9, 2022 Cap Allon32 Comments
Yesterday, 33 Low Temperature Records Fell In Alberta Alone; Mammoth Mountain, CA Receives 5-Feet During One Of The Biggest November Snowstorms On Record; + Much More To Come
November 10, 2022 Cap Allon
Calgary was one of 33 Alberta communities to see record-breaking daytime lows on Wednesday.
Of the record-busting communities, the coldest came out as Sundre — the small, central Albertan town plunged to a jaw-dropping -32C (-25.6F) yesterday, shaving more than 10C (17.8F) off of its previous record low of -22.1C (-7.8F).
The Top Climate Scientist who Exposed NOAA as Frauds
November 4, 2022 Cap Allon
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) ‘correct’ data they don’t like, and ‘fail to archive the evidence’ — they are frauds in the eyes of many
https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-who-exposed-noaa/
No Scientific Consensus On A Warming Arctic And Extreme Weather
November 3, 2022 Cap Allon
‘The impact of global warming on individual weather patterns is at the very limit of science’ — this is the mainstream position.
https://electroverse.co/no-scientific-consensus-on-a-warming-arctic-extreme-weather/
“The next 30 years will be Cold,” Says Climate Scientist Dr Willie Soon
November 2, 2022 Cap Allon
Article originally posted over at electroverse.net on July 28, 2021.
Alex Newman, of the New American, interviewed Dr. Willie Soon after his most recent Camp Constitution talk.
https://electroverse.co/next-30-years-will-be-cold/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November, 1051 mb Alaskan High Pressure, global temperature anomalies…
NOV 6, 2022
Winter storms are clearly dominating many areas of both hemispheres after the autumnal equinox. For those who watch the global satellite imagery on windy.com you can watch these strong systems march around the mid- and high-latitudes. In North America, the heavy snow cover from Alaska to Vancouver shows up on clear days - a beautiful pattern of winter. Quite fascinating. TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air again dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 170 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (50 to 170 cm) along the NW coast down into the Pacific Northwest and California. Remember those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet remained north of 45º with short waves dipping south bringing cold air. This week the Jet core moved a bit south bringing storms into the Sierra and Rockies.
This week four large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (966 mb) to Hudson Bay (982 mb), N Atlantic SE of Greenland (934 MB), off the UK coast (986 mb) and the Finland-Russia (976 mb). These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .5 to 1.3 m of new snow From the Urals to Kamchatka. The 934 mb low on 4 November is one of the most intense storms I have seen in the N Atlantic. It had 9 to 12 m waves over a large area - much stronger than Hurricane Ian with 40 to 55 kt winds. This storm will produce 1 to 3 m of new snow along Greenland’s SE coast according to the ECMWF’s 10-day forecast. The Danish Arctic Research web site showed 2-6 GT daily Snow Mass Balances observed during this period.
NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18 Oct -6 Nov.
A cold ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AR brought cold Pacific Arctic air into the West. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Later this Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>18 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. A similar storm (978 mb) developed this week from a Pacific Jet and short wave that continued to dump significant snows in the from the Sierra to the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north last week. These frontal storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 110-308 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 6 new daily record max thru 6 Nov. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -41ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator with a cold dense 1040 mb high pressure this week. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and has peaked on the record high side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open.
Western Europe remained relatively mild with a couple cold fronts bringing beneficial rains and some snow to the Alps. Eastern Europe and Scandanavia had snow and below normal temperatures.
Canada continued to pack in new snow (50-250 cm) from coast to coast as heavy snow moved south along the British Columbia coast into Washington, Oregon and California.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (75-163 cm ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1 to 2 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia have diminished as the monsoon moved south and has dissipated. I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 80 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 130-193 cm snows closed key roads.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 930 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. A 950 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-3 m at this late date. This is the lowest pressure I have seen in the ECMWF model runs. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-279mm) accompanied these fronts.
This week (1-6 Nov) Antarctic Peninsula, the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (258-418), (70-152), (60-100), and (0-5 cm) respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 200 to 600 mm of rain. In contrast another large deep 987 mb low over the Gulf of Alaska and a strong AR pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from Mt Logan to the coast range.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts that triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS.
6 NOV 2022:
The Top Climate Scientist who Exposed NOAA as Frauds
November 4, 2022 Cap Allon
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) ‘correct’ data they don’t like, and ‘fail to archive the evidence’ — they are frauds in the eyes of many
https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-who-exposed-noaa/
No Scientific Consensus On A Warming Arctic And Extreme Weather
November 3, 2022 Cap Allon
‘The impact of global warming on individual weather patterns is at the very limit of science’ — this is the mainstream position.
https://electroverse.co/no-scientific-consensus-on-a-warming-arctic-extreme-weather/
“The next 30 years will be Cold,” Says Climate Scientist Dr Willie Soon
November 2, 2022 Cap Allon
Article originally posted over at electroverse.net on July 28, 2021.
Alex Newman, of the New American, interviewed Dr. Willie Soon after his most recent Camp Constitution talk.
https://electroverse.co/next-30-years-will-be-cold/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October; major winter storms and balancing heat waves-the meandering wavy jet stream in November…
OCT 31, 2022
Strong contrasts of warm and cold air dominated this week as the wavy jet stream kept western Europe warm and western North America cool with a strong 180 kt atmospheric river (AR) dumping heavy snow (2-4 m) along the NW coast. Those areas on the pole side of the Jet (in the cold air) were below normal and stormy, while on the equator side they were above normal, sunny and warm under high pressures. The main path of the jet remained north of 45º with short waves dipping south bringing cold air.
Again this week four large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (966 mb) to Hudson Bay (982 mb), N Atlantic off the UK coast (986 mb) and the Finland-Russia (976 mb). These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-4 m) into the Canadian Rockies (50-1.5 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (100 to 200 mm). Russia had .5 to 1.3 m of new snow From the Urals to Kamchatka. NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line 18-31 Oct.
A cold Canadian high pushed subfreezing temperatures from the Mid-West to the East Coast breaking numerous cold temperature records early this week. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Michigan had over a foot of new snow on the upper peninsula and Lake Effect snows hit Ohio and NY. Later this week a Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>18 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND and north to Hudson Bay, pulling cold Canadian air southward. This storm evolved from a Pacific Jet and short wave that dumped the first significant snows in the Rockies. Calgary broke its daily snowfall record going back to 1881 with 19 cm on 22 October 2022.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Severe weather is triggered by these fronts. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north.…These storms continued this week with some thunderstorms reaching 50 dBZ.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 114-383 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT then 6 GT on 29 Oct of new snow and had 3 new daily record max thru October 31. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -41ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and has peaked on the record observed side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis. The DPP also shows that the Arctic sea ice is now solid over large parts of the Russian coast and Canadian Arctic from Greenland to Alaska. Svalbard and the Barents and Kara Seas are still open.
Canada’s Baffin Island and northeast continued to pack in new snow (60-125 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (982 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (2-3 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 3 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows. Heavy snow extended south along the Coast range to the Cascades of Washington.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia have diminished as the monsoon moved south and has dissipated. I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 80 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 60-140 cm snows closed key roads.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 940 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. A 966 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 30 to 151 cm of new snow. The Peninsula had over 2-3 m at this late date. This is the lowest pressure I have seen in the ECMWF model runs. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-279mm) accompanied these fronts.
This week (24-31 Oct) the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (233-458), (73-133), (0-5 cm) and 20-53 cm respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 200 to 6 mm of rain. In contrast another large deep 970 mb low over the Gulf of Alaska pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (195-558 cm), the Brooks Range (21-57 cm) and Coast range above Juneau (220-333 cm). On 23 Oct the heavy snow extended further south to the Vancouver coastal ranges (100 to 250 cm) and into the Cascades (114-226 cm).
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming with some Antarctic cold bursts.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts on his YouTube lecture.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
31 Oct 2022:
Low Temp Record Set In Half Moon Bay, CA; Triple-Dip La Niña Winter Inbound (Like 1976?); + Texas Grid Found “Not Ready” For Winter, Doomed To Repeat Deadly 2021 Blackouts…
October 28, 2022 Cap Allon
Low Temp Record Set In Half Moon Bay, CA
Following the hundreds of low temperature records felled across the U.S. over the past week-or-so, the West is still at it. Records have fallen in Nevada over the past 24-hours, and also in California.
Feet Of October Snow Slam The Rockies–Much More On The Way; + Record-Breaking Totals Hit Canada–Including Moose Jaw And Calgary…
October 25, 2022 Cap Allon
Feet Of October Snow Slam The Rockies–Much More On The Way
The Rockies are off to a great start to the season after a weekend storm delivered feet of snow to the range.
Alta, Utah officially received 25 inches in the recent storm, according to the National Weather Service (NWS), which took the area above its October monthly average of 24.4 inches with a week left to run — and with plenty more snow on the way, too.
23 Experts in the fields of Solar Physics and Climate Science Contradict the IPCC — the Science is *NOT* Settled
October 17, 2022 Cap Allon36 Comments
Dr. Connolly, lead author: “The IPCC have seriously hampered scientific progress into genuinely understanding the causes of recent and future climate change. I am particularly disturbed by their inability to satisfactorily explain the rural temperature trends.”
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn, Winter Storms in October…
OCT 24, 2022
Winter is quickly coming to many areas. This week four large deep lows dominated the N Hemisphere from the Gulf of Alaska (971mb) to Hudson Bay (977mb), N Atlantic off the Portuguese coast (980 mb) and the Kara Sea. These semi-stationary systems produced heavy snow from Alaska down the BC coast (2-3 m) and heavy rains on the West coast of Europe (125 to 307 mm). The Kara Sea low (977mb) extended from Svalbard to Taymar Peninsula dumping 20 to 170 cm of snow across Russia. NOTE: KIEV weather observations went off line on 18, 19, 20, 21,22,23,24 Oct.
A cold Canadian high pushed subfreezing temperatures into the Mid-West and south breaking numerous cold temperature records early this week. This is consistent with the Farmer’s Almanac and the GSM predictions. Michigan had over a foot of new snow on the upper peninsula and Lake Effect snows hit Ohio and NY. Later this week a Pacific storm moved into the NW with the first significant snows in the Cascades and Rockies (>18 inches in MT). The NW storm is typical of the La Nina which continues to develop in the Equatorial Pacific. The Rockies often benefit from the moist NW flow in these systems. On 24 Oct a large 984 mb storm moved from NB to ND pulling cold Canadian air southward. This storm evolved from a Pacific Jet and short wave that dumped the first significant snows in the Rockies.
Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north.…
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 124-216 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -39ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator. The accumulated SMB curve since 1 Sept 2022 is above the normal and has peaked on the record observed side according to the Danish Polar Portal analysis.
Canada’s Baffin Island and northeast continued to pack in new snow (60-107 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (982 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (3-5 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 3 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia have diminished as the monsoon moved south and is dissipating. I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 120 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. Pakistan and Northern India had heavy snows and sub 0ºC temperatures in Jammu and Kashmir. These 2 ft snows closed key roads.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (970 to 903 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. This 903 mb low was north of the Thwaites Glacier which received 50 to 150 cm of new snow. This is the lowest pressure I have seen in the ECMWF model runs. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 60 kt winds near these storms. AUSTRALIAN radars showed intense thunderstorms (30-50 dBZ) along the Antarctic cold fronts this week. Significant rains (100-279mm) accompanied these fronts.
This week (18-24 Oct) the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (233-458), (73-133), (0-5 cm) and 20-53 cm respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. Heavy rains hit the South Island with 200 to 500 mm of rain. In contrast another large deep 970 mb low over the Gulf of Alaska pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (195-558 cm), the Brooks Range (21-57 cm) and Anchorage Mtns (262-321 cm). On 23 Oct the heavy snow extended further south to the Vancouver coastal ranges (100 to 250 cm).
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts a YouTube lecture (click and go):
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge. Europe has been rapidly stocking up on natural gas and is now (24 Oct 2022) at 90% of storage capacity. This will be Ok for a normal winter; however if they are below normal, it will still lead to severe shortages of power.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
24 Oct 2022:
Florida Drops Below Freezing–Tallahassee, And Others, Log Earliest Freezes On Record; -31.5C (-24.7F) In Canada; Feet Of Early-Season Snow Hit Northern India; + Climate Flimflam
October 21, 2022 Cap Allon
Florida Drops Below Freezing, Tallahassee, And Others, Log Earliest Freezes On Record
Jarring with the mainstream narrative, hundreds of low temperature records have fallen across the Eastern U.S. this week.
Record October Ice Gains On Greenland; Low Solar Activity Persists; + Unprecedented Gamma-Ray Burst “Made Currents Flow In The Earth”
October 18, 2022 Cap Allon
Record October Ice Gains On Greenland
Continuing the trend reversal that began in 2013, Greenland’s ice sheet has started the 2022-2023 season in comparatively impressive fashion.
Yesterday, the island logged Surface Mass Balance (SMB) gains never before witnessed during the month of October in data extending back to 1981.
A Novel Look at Global Hurricane Data Reveals No Trend
October 10, 2022 Cap Allon
Experienced data analyst, 10-year Wall Street veteran, and self-proclaimed “Mrs. Smarty Pants” Zoe Phin of phzoe.com takes a look at the alarmists’ claim that “increasing CO2 emissions are leading to more frequent and intense hurricanes”.
Phin has already tackled Atlantic hurricanes (linked here), finding no trend.
Spring Chills Persist In South America; Russia Dips Below -30C (-24F); “Great Snow” Brought Record Winter Spending To New Zealand Resorts; + Australia Forecast Fierce November Cold
October 24, 2022 Cap Allon
Spring Chills Persist In South America
The string of spring chills is persisting across the South American continent.
The season is feeling more like a continuation of winter for many nations, with, most recently, frosts logged in the Argentine province of Buenos Aires, most notably at the beach resort town of Mar de Plata with its low of -2.4C (27.7F).
Sub-zeros (C) were also suffered in Las Armas (-1.6C/29.1F), Rauch (-1.4C/29.5F), Tandil (-1C/30.2F), and Azul (-0.4C/31.3F) yesterday, Oct 23, according to @ofimet on Twitter:
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricanes Ian and Roslyn
OCT 17, 2022
As the sun marches south and the N polar region cools, the temperature gradient increases between the Arctic and the Equator, thus enhancing the energy in the jet stream and producing more intense extratropical cyclones (lows) and anticyclones (highs). This week we had some very interesting deep lows from the Gulf of Alaska 989mb, NW Territory of Canada 985 mb (extending from Ellesmere Island - 80ºN to Georgia 34ºN), three lows from SW of Iceland to NW of Norway and SE of Svalbard 981, 989, 987 mb respectively. The large Canadian low warmed eastern Canada to 12ºC above normal, while the Icelandic lows pumped heavy snow (169 cm) into Iceland and Norway (135cm). High Pressures dominated from the Pacific NW to Texas, Azores to Ukraine, and central Russia bringing relatively cool dry air. CENTRAL US IS HAVING HARD FREEZE WARNINGS. Note: Svalbard remains surrounded by open ocean, while the Ob River is now frozen. ON 15 Oct two large Highs developed over the NW Territory 1040 mb and a very intense one over Greenland 1055 mb. Normally we don’t see such large highs until mid winter. Floods and droughts are developing under the meandering jet and omega block that slows short waves from traveling quickly and prolongs the flood and drought conditions. The Mississippi River is at record low flows in places. Even Africa and SE Asia have devastation floods.
In contrast the southern hemisphere warmed in its spring; however, large deep storms (940 to 918 mb) continued to circle the Antarctic and even the Australian Bite. Normally the transition periods of Spring and Fall tend to have more intense swings of extremes and the meridional jet stream drives these storms and their fronts that mark the boundary between warm and cold air. Extreme floods occurred in New South Wales around Melbourne as the Antarctic fronts swept north.…
This week (11-17 Oct) the Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows (233-330), (73-133), (1-10cm) and 20-53 cm respectively. NZ’s blueberry crop was decimated by spring frosts. In contrast another large deep 989 mb low over the Gulf of Alaska pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (195-558 cm), the Brooks Range (21-57 cm) and Anchorage Mtns (262-321 cm).
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 160-216 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling (-30 to -37ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator. This cooling produced very dense air and the 1066 mb high.
Canada’s Baffin Island and northeast continued to pack in new snow (60-107 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (982 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side. This low moved into the Labrador Straight as the Icelandic low deepened and produced snow across Iceland and Norway. Iceland had 1.5 m on the north coastal mountains.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (3-5 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 3 meters (in the ECMWF 10-day model forecasts). Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia have diminished as the monsoon moved south and is dissipating. I watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 90 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August and now September 47-106 cm. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow in August. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year with the snowy range still at 27 cm depth. This week’s Bite low (994 mb) pushed an Antarctic cold front across Australia and produced significant widespread rains (140-217 mm). New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains and the Southern Alps still have 200 to >500 cm of snow on the ground. Mt Cook and the Tasmanian Glaciers are growing a bit.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Climate Commentary:
DR. William Happer, Emeritus Professor at Princeton, a renowned Physicist discusses “Why Global Warming Paused” in factual, semi-layman’s terms. If you wish to understand key aspects of the greenhouse effects you will find his lecture interesting. Plenty of graphs and charts a YouTube lecture (click and go):
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Recall the Arctic’s ticking time bomb - the Beaufort Gyre, a pool of fresh, cold water in the Arctic Ocean. When this pool is released into the N Atlantic it could cut the Gulf Stream and suddenly send Europe into an ice age. See:
https://electroverse.net/the-arctics-ticking-climate-bomb-little-ice-age-imminent/
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
Grand Junction NWS forecast:
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
Some interesting real-time sites:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
17 Oct 2022:
“Unusually Cold” Weather To Blast Eastern U.S. Next Week, Winter Predictions Call For “A Cold One”; + Tom Harris: “There Is No Climate Crisis”
October 14, 2022 Cap Allon
Cold Paraguay; Record Lows Logged At Bismark And Parkersburg; Delhi Shivers; + “One-In-50-Year” Frost Decimates NZ Blueberry Crop
October 13, 2022 Cap Allon
Arctic Outbreak To Hit North America; Record Cold On Macquarie Island; + Plan To Tax Cow Burps Enrages New Zealand Farmers
October 12, 2022 Cap Allon
Late-Season Antarctic Outbreak Slams South America; Chilly Bermuda; Wheat Spikes; + China, Japan, And The Koreas Swing From Heat To Record-Smashing Cold And Snow
October 11, 2022 Cap Allon
23 Experts in the fields of Solar Physics and Climate Science Contradict the IPCC — the Science is *NOT* Settled
October 17, 2022 Cap Allon
A diverse expert panel of global scientists finds blaming climate change mostly on greenhouse gas emissions was premature.
Their findings contradict the IPCC’s conclusion, which the study shows, is grounded in narrow and incomplete data about the Sun’s total solar irradiance (TSI).
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricane Ian…
OCT 10, 2022
TWO major extratropical cyclones dominated high latitudes - one covering the Arctic Ocean, the other in the N Atlantic that moved from south of Iceland to the Barents Sea and Svalbard. The jet stream continued to intensify in the N hemisphere with a number of traveling short waves that kept northern areas from Alaska to Norway in new snow storms. The Azores High extended into central Europe keeping Slovenia quite nice.
Ian left immense destruction in SW Florida from an 18 ft storm surge, >500mm rains and 150 mph winds over Cape Coral, where it made landfall as a CAT 4. Florida is working to recover quickly in some spots others will take years.
The Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ continued to have snows. In contrast another large deep 950 mb low over the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (195-419 cm) and the Brooks Range (27-71 cm) Anchorage Mtns (243-375 cm) and on the north side it pumped moisture into Siberia (150 cm) with snow now covering 1/3 of Russia. This region is looking like winter.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 50 to 190 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling (-20 to -37ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator.
Canada’s Baffin Island and northeast continued to pack in new snow (64-158 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (989 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side. This low moved into the Labrador Straight as the Icelandic low deepened and produced snow across Iceland and Norway. Iceland had 1.5 m on the north coastal mountains.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (2-4 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 4 meters. Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 500 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 90 - 150 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes.
Spring down under continued to have incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (970 to 928 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier, and the Peninsula (100-300cm) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (150-350cm), and S Georgia Island (45-140cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (20-35) cm). Several large, classic, deep storms pumped Southern Ocean moisture into the Antarctic. Note Hurricane Ian’s lowest center pressure was ~952 mb.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August and now September 47-106 cm. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow in August. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year with the snowy range still at 90 cm depth. New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains and the Southern Alps still have 200 to >500 cm on the ground.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Historic Low Temperature Records Fall In New Zealand During “Power Shortage Warning”; Cold Central Europe; Bird Flu Outbreak Labelled “Unprecedented” and “Scary”; They’re Jabbing Cows With mRNA; + Scheduled Internet Blackout Inbound…
October 7, 2022 Cap Allon15 Comments
Very Cold September For The Baltic Nations; Bill Gates Concession?; Christchurch Sees First October Snow In 53 Years; Australia Is Next; + U.S. Forecast First Arctic Outbreak Of The Season
October 6, 2022 Cap Allon11 Comments
Northern Hemisphere Snow Season Off To A Near-Record Start; Cold September Across Scandinavia; October Snow Hits NZ; Antarctic Air Approaches Australia; Record Cold NYC; + 30% Chance Of An X-Flare
October 5, 2022 Cap Allon16 Comments
“Big Dangerous Sunspot”; “A Glitch In The Matrix”; Cold Sept For Sweden; “Hypothermia Risk” In New Zealand; + Global Temp Drops
October 4, 2022 Cap Allon1 Comment
Christchurch, NZ –for example– could see its first October snow in 50 years.
Cold September For Europe; Hurricane Activity Trending Down; + UN Says They “Own The Science” On Climate Change…
October 3, 2022 Cap Allon20 Comments
…and opposing viewpoints have now been pushed down in search results through their partnership with Google.
“Icelandic Blast” To Grip Europe, As It Stares Down “Cold, Dark Winter”; Early-Season Snow Clips Minnesota, Warnings Issued North Of The Border; + Greenland’s Record Start To A Season
September 29, 2022 Cap Allon
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricane Ian…
OCT 1, 2022
This week’s satellite imagery clearly showed the importance of cyclonic circulations around deep extratropical cyclones (lows) that dominated the Southern and Northern Hemisphere and the intense small powerful tropical cyclones like Hurricane Ian and Typhoon Roke.
Ian has been billed as the most deadly hurricane to hit Florida causing immense destruction in SW Florida from an 18 ft storm surge, >500mm rains and 150 mph winds over Cape Coral, where it made landfall as a CAT 4. Interestingly, the subtropical Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperature anomalies (DSST) were near normal to 0.5ºC above the last 30-year mean SST. Note that the most deadly hurricane in American history was the Galveston Storm in 1900, where over 6,000 to 12,000 fatalities occurred. This death rate was largely unique to Galveston’s orientation and the Bay plus lack of early warnings and evacuations.
A huge (934 mb) low north of the Thwaites Glacier again pumped large amounts of snow 1-6 m onto the glacier and Antarctic Peninsula. After all, they tell me it is spring down under. The Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ had snows. In contrast another large deep 957 mb low over the Bering sea pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (195-404 cm) and the Brooks Range (27-71 cm) Anchorage Mtns (243-375 cm) and on the north side it pumped moisture into Siberia (150 cm). This region is looking like winter.
T.S. Fiona became a major hurricane after hitting Puerto Rico with over 20 inches of rain and knocking out all power before recurving into the Atlantic as a cat 4 hurricane heading to Nova Scotia last week. This became another deep storm over Iceland (960 mb) that reached from Greenland to Norway on 1 Oct.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 218-414 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net record increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 26, Greenland added 9 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling (-20 to -27ºC) as the sun marches back toward the equator.
Canada’s Baffin Island continued to pack in new snow (64-158 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (996 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-4 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 3 meters. Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Europe had a coupe deep lows passing from the UK to Poland that produced flooding rains and some snow in the Alps. Slovenia had wide-spread flooding, cool temperatures, and >60 cm of new snow on Triglav. The Dalmatian Coast had reasonably nice weather for our sailing-Bike trip from Split to Dubrovnik. We missed several major convective storms and had one heavy night thunderstorm.
Colorado and Wyoming had significant precipitation and snow in their 10-day forecasts on 1 Oct 2022. Between the Canadian cold blast and a strong monsoon-like moisture flow from Mexico the Rockies should have some relief from the extreme SW drought.
Satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds, smoke, and precipitation including the explosive development of Hurricane Ian.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winter - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
Canada’s perpetual polar vortex - like low - that gyrated over the Hudson Bay all summer continued to initiate storms that fed Greenland with snows, and frontal systems that cooled the US.
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 500 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 90 - 150 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes.
Spring down under continued to have incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 933 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier, and the Peninsula (100-300cm) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (150-350cm), and S Georgia Island (45-105cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (20-35) cm). Several large, classic, deep storms pumped Southern Ocean moisture into the Antarctic. Note Hurricane Ian’s lowest center pressure was ~952 mb.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August and now September 47-106 cm. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow in August. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year with the snowy range still at 90 cm depth. New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains and the Southern Alps still have 200 to >500 cm on the ground.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES WEST NH satellite view shows a steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=asnow&runtime=2022091106&fh=6
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Chile’s Chilly August; Greece Logs Coldest Sept Temp Ever (Lows Also Fall In Crete); Record Cold To Blast Australia–As ABC Attempts To Dismiss The Continent’s “Bumper Snow Season”
September 28, 2022 Cap Allon48 Comments
Top Climate Scientist Slams Climate Alarm: Carbon Dioxide Is A “Particularly Ridiculous” Choice As A Pollutant
September 30, 2022 Cap Allon
https://electroverse.co/top-climate-scientist-slams-climate-alarm/
Top Climate Scientist Slams Climate Alarm
Warming by carbon dioxide is logarithmic due to ‘saturation’ within the infrared spectrum, and any future doubling of the gas in the atmosphere will be associated with the same warming of around 1°C.
This is considered obvious by atmospheric scientist and Emeritus Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT, and hardly controversial — although in today’s politicized environment, where CO2 has been forged into a scary and taxable ‘stick’ to bop the global population over the head with, this thinking does fatally undermine the ‘settled’ science concept of the AGW Party and so is regarded as heresy punishable by censorship and demonetization.
Physicist William Happer: “There is NO Climate Emergency … Renewable Energy is the inverse Robin Hood strategy … doubling CO2 makes no difference”
September 18, 2022 Cap Allon
[This article was originally published over at electroverse.net on May 5, 2021]
https://electroverse.co/dr-william-happer-there-is-no-climate-emergency/
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows; Hurricane Ian…
SEPT 23, 2022
Deep extratropical cyclones (lows) CONTINUED TO dominate the Southern and Northern Hemisphere after the autumnal equinox on Sept 21st. A huge (940 mb) low north of the Thwaites Glacier again pumped large amounts of snow 1-6 m onto the glacier and Antarctic Peninsula. After all, they tell me it is spring down under. The Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ had significant snows. In contrast another large deep 950 mb low over eastern Siberia and the Bering sea pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (181-448 cm) and the Brooks Range (30-90 cm) Anchorage Mtns (231-384 cm) and on the north side it pumped moisture into Siberia (180 cm). This region is beginning to look like winter. This storm caused flooding in coastal areas of Alaska. Super Typhoon Nanmadol’s moisture fed into this extratropical cyclone giving it plenty of energy.
The energy from Danielle and Earl significantly enhanced a very intense storm (981 mb) over west - central Russia centered over the Kara Sea. This cooled the western side of the low down to the Black Sea, and warmed Siberia on the East side up to 30ºC, a record heat. These extremes are typical of our meandering wavy jet stream.
Super Typhoon Nanmadol (910mb) passed Japan with heavy rains (480+mm), tides, and winds. These tropical cyclones from Fiona’s CAT 4 to Earl and Daniella provide very significant energy and moisture transport northward that enhances the intensity of storms in the jet stream further strengthening the extreme weather in the northern hemisphere.
T.S. Fiona became a major hurricane after hitting Puerto Rico with over 20 inches of rain and knocking out all power before recurving into the Atlantic as a cat 4 hurricane heading to Nova Scotia. This will become another storm for Greenland and possibly Europe. It is predicted to retain hurricane strength as it hits Nova Scotia and Labrador - a very rare occurrence.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 97 to 241 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve has climbed past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 3 Greenland added 7 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling as the sun marches back toward the equator.
Canada’s Ellesmere Island continued to pack in new snow (80-120 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (996 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow on the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side. This large extratropical cyclone pushed cool Canadian air south to the Gulf of Mexico on 11 Sept. This week it, along with a Prairie Province High (1029 mb) pushed cool air down the Rockies and into the High Plains.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-4 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 2 to 3 meters. Have a look at my weather album that documents this and the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts of the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Colorado and Wyoming had significant precipitation in their 10-day forecasts. Between the Canadian cold blast and a strong monsoon-like moisture flow from Mexico the west should have some relief from the extreme SW drought.
Satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds, smoke, and precipitation including the explosive development of Hurricane Fiona and rapid evolution of the Colorado heavy rains.
We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models and real-time global data nudging the solutions. There’s no data to correct - nudge the models in 2025+.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
Canada’s perpetual polar vortex - like low - that gyrated over the Hudson Bay all summer continued to initiate storms that fed Greenland with snows, and frontal systems that cooled the US.
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 500 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia, and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highland rains reached 120 - 170 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes.
Winter/spring down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 918 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier, and the Peninsula (100-300cm) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (150-350cm), and S Georgia Island (45-75cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (34-110) cm). Several large, classic, deep (970 to 918 mb) storms pumped Southern Ocean moisture into the Antarctic.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August and now September 47-106 cm. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow in August. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year with the snowy range still at 90 cm depth. New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains and the Southern Alps still have 200 to 500 cm on the ground.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
The N Hemisphere Jet continues to intensify and spin up deep high latitude storms. This jet stream intensifies as the temperature gradient in the N Hemisphere strengthens. The jet is beginning to look like a winter pattern in both hemispheres as they transition with the Equinox.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 15 Sept as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 106 cm) at high elevations. Central Russia is accumulating snow: 30 to 120 cm.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES WEST NH satellite view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. The Mt. Logan Massif in Alaska and SW Yukon had 120-234 cm this week and the Brooks Range is accumulating snow: 20 to 155 cm and has up to 400 cm on the ground in one spot and Mt Logan over 5 meters according to Windy’s snow depth analysis on 5 Sept. The area and depth of these snow accumulations are expanding as we go into fall. ECMWF and GSM are predicting significant early snows from P NW to Wyoming mountains.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=asnow&runtime=2022091106&fh=6
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over Svalbard producing heavy snows on the islands north of Norway this week.
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Heavy Spring Snow Sweeps South Africa; 2-Feet Buries Aussie Ski Resorts; Early-Season Flurries Hit Mt Shasta, CA; Record Frosts Persist In Europe; + Grain Prices Soar On Ukraine News
September 21, 2022 Cap Allon
Heavy Spring Snow Sweeps South Africa
What has been a very cold Southern Hemisphere winter isn’t over yet…
Early-Season Flurries Hit Mt Shasta, CA
The recent storm that soaked Northern California also delivered early-season snow to the region’s higher-elevations.
Lassen Volcanic National Park received substantial accumulations, enough to close the park’s highway.
Monte Rosa, Italy Logs Earliest Sub -20C (-4F) Ever; UK Sees Rare September Snow; Brisbane’s Coldest Winter On Record; Polar Cold Not Done With Australia Just Yet; + Rapidly Growing Sunspot
September 20, 2022 Cap Allon
Monte Rosa, Italy Registers Earliest Sub -20C (-4F) Ever
Europe’s well-documented summer of toasty African plumes seems a distant memory as many nations now find themselves ‘above’ an increasingly weak and wavy ‘meridional‘ jet stream flow and therefor subject to frosty Arctic outbreaks.
UK Sees Rare September Snow
The UK hasn’t been immune to mainland Europe’s early taste of winter, far from it.
Britain has been holding very cold of late, with the Met Office in recent days confirming sub-zero readings (degrees C) up and down the country, including the -1.7C (28.9F) at Shap in Cumbria.
Chilliest Sept 18 For The Netherlands
Sunday was the coldest September 18th ever recorded in The Netherlands, reports Weeronline.
The maximum temperature at the national weather station in De Bilt reached just 13.3C (55.9F), breaking the previous Sept 18 low of 13.5C (56.3F) set back in 1962.
Sunday’s high was measured at 12:40PM, after which it quickly cooled to 11.3C (52.3F)
Frosts Sweep France; Coldest Summer Nights Ever Recorded In Northern/Central Italy; Chilliest Sept 18 For The Netherlands; New Study Finds There Is No Climate Emergency; + ‘That’ Sunspot Has Resurrected
September 19, 2022 Cap Allon
Frosts Sweep France
Europe is contending with a record-breaking bout of late-summer chills — a freeze that the bought-out legacy media couldn’t give two hoots about (quelle surprise!).
September frosts swept the plains of Central France over the weekend — ground frosts as well as air frosts (below 2m).
New Study Reveals Potential Causes Of The Little Ice Age (LIA), Including Low Solar Activity, Disturbances To The Jet Stream, Volcanic Activity, And High-Variability Of Arctic Sea Ice Cover
August 22, 2022 Cap Allon
Full article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32654-w#MOESM1
Physicist William Happer: “There is NO Climate Emergency … Renewable Energy is the inverse Robin Hood strategy … doubling CO2 makes no difference”
September 18, 2022 Cap Allon
[This article was originally published over at electroverse.net on May 5, 2021]
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows …
SEPT 18, 2022
Deep extratropical cyclones (lows) dominated the Southern Hemisphere and N Hemisphere. A huge (918 mb) low north of the Thwaites Glacier pumped large amounts of snow 1-3 m onto the glacier and Antarctic Peninsula. After all, it is spring down under. The Andes, South Georgia Island, and even Australia & NZ had significant snows. In contrast a large deep 950 mb low over the Bering sea pumped moisture from the Gulf of Alaska into the mountains from the coast range to Mt Logan (181cm) and the Brooks Range (155cm) Anchorage Mtns (231 cm) and on the north side it pumped moisture into Siberia (173 cm). This region is beginning to look like winter. This storm caused flooding in coastal areas.
Moisture from Hurricane Earl hit the N Atlantic from Greenland to the UK. A very large storm (982 mb) moved across the UK into W Russia. Earl and Danielle pumped tropical moisture into the European storm that extended from the Kara Sea N of Siberia to Iceland - another massive storm that triggered heavy flooding rains down to Slovenia 14-17 Sept. with 157 and 92 mm of rain in LJU on 15 and 16 Sept.
Super Typhoon Nanmadol (910mb) is headed over Japan with heavy rains (480+mm), tides, and winds. This storm will also move into the Bering Sea next week. Looks like a really heavy winter there.
T.S. Fiona is moving thru the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico before recurving into the Atlantic.
Another storm for the EU in a week??
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 50 to 199 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve is now climbing past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 3 Greenland added 7 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling as the sun marches back toward the equator. Canada’s Ellesmere Island continued to pack in new snow (80-120 cm) as the Hudson Bay low (985 mb) continued to spin with warm southerly flow in the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side. This large extratropical cyclone pushed cool Canadian air south to the Gulf of Mexico on 11 Sept.
Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon continued to gain significant snow (1-2 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1 to 3 meters. Have a look at my weather album that documents the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts and the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Floods and fires continued to dominate the news from N California to Washington, Idaho, and Montana.
Colorado and Wyoming had significant snow in their 10-day forecasts. This cold blast should help the fire fighting from Washington to Montana.
Satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds, smoke, and precipitation including a classic cut-off low west of the UK and the Atmospheric River AR that fed snows into NW North America in Alaska and BC. We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1786-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move eastward thru the jet stream. Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. If you look closely at the surface temperature anomalies you can clearly see the warm and cold sectors of storms and follow their movement.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy using our very best computers and models.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
Canada’s perpetual polar vortex - like low - that gyrated over the Hudson Bay all summer continued to initiate storms that fed Greenland with snows, and frontal systems that cooled the US.
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 500 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached 120 - 170 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes.
Winter/spring down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 918 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier, and the Peninsula (100-300cm) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (150-350cm), and S Georgia Island (45-75cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (34-110) cm). Several large, classic, deep (970 to 918 mb) storms pumped Southern Ocean moisture into the Antarctic.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August and now September 47-106 cm. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow in August. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year with the snowy range still at 90 cm depth. New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains and the Southern Alps still have 200 to 500 cm on the ground.
Argentina and Brazil began their spring warming.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up another deep storm over Hudson Bay and Canada’s Maritime Provinces (982 mb) that pushed cool air into the US and moisture into Greenland. This jet stream continues to develop and intensify as the temperature gradient in the N Hemisphere strengthens. The jet is beginning to look like a winter pattern in both hemispheres.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 15 Sept as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 106 cm) at high elevations. Central Russia is accumulating snow: 30 to 120 cm.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES WEST NH view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. The Mt. Logan Massif in Alaska and SW Yukon had 120-234 cm this week and the Brooks Range is accumulating snow: 20 to 155 cm and has up to 400 cm on the ground in one spot and Mt Logan over 5 meters according to Windy’s snow depth analysis on 5 Sept. The area and depth of these snow accumulations are expanding as we go into fall. ECMWF and GSM are predicting significant early snows from P NW to Wyoming mountains.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=asnow&runtime=2022091106&fh=6
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep 982 mb low off Norway this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Fall-Like Weather To Engulf Energy-Stricken Europe (September Frosts For Germany); Another Cold Month For Much Of South America; + It’s Baaaack! (AR3088)
September 14, 2022 Cap Allon17 Comments
Record Lows Set Across The U.S.; Freeze Sees Smallest NW Cherry Harvest In 14 Years; Peer-Reviewed Science Shows There Is No Climate Emergency; + WMO Secretary-General Admits La Nina Is “Slowing Rise In Global Temperatures”
September 13, 2022 Cap Allon24 Comments
Carrington-like Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) To Strike Earth On Friday, September 23…
September 8, 2022 Cap Allon34 Comments
It Is Climate Zealotry, Rather Than Climate Change, That Is Destroying The World
September 7, 2022 Cap Allon15 Comments
Following Its 2-Day Heatwave, The UK Suffers Unusual July Chills (2.9C/37.2F); Summer Snow Sweeps Alaska; + Fresh Fertilizer Cuts In Canada And Germany Spark The Latest ‘Awakening’
July 28, 2022 Cap Allon25 Comments
New Study Reveals Potential Causes Of The Little Ice Age (LIA), Including Low Solar Activity, Disturbances To The Jet Stream, Volcanic Activity, And High-Variability Of Arctic Sea Ice Cover
August 22, 2022 Cap Allon
Full article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32654-w#MOESM1
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
Fall 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/96LnLphExapDFzVc8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ, Super Typhoon Nanmodal, Alaska’s Bering Sea storm, Antarctic’s 918 mb storm and heavy snows …
SEPT 12, 2022
Tropical Storms dominated the weather this week from the Pacific to the Atlantic with
SUPER TYPHOON Hinnamnor CAT 5 with sustained 257 + 313 km/hr: 138 + 169 knot winds in the East China Sea moving to Okinawa Islands and Korea on 3-7 Sept. and on into Kamchatka and eastern Siberia, where they had heavy snow (50 to 100 cm).
1ST Named Hurricane of the season 3 Sept 2022: Danielle in mid-Atlantic Ocean - sustained 65 kt winds moved into the N Atlantic as a cutoff low moved from Ireland into central Europe 11-12 Sept. breaking the drought and heatwave. Hurricane Earl also moved up the Western Atlantic past Labrador on 10 Sept. heading toward Iceland.
Another large Pacific storm - Kay moved N along the Baja into California by 11-12 Sept. producing locally heavy rains (1-5 inches) on 9-11 Sept.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 50 to 199 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve is now climbing past the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer to net increases. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. On Sept 3 Greenland added 7 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling as the sun marches back toward the equator. Canada’s Ellesmere Island continued to pack in new snow as the Hudson Bay low continued to spin with warm southerly flow in the east side and a northerly cold air flow on the west side. This large extratropical cyclone pushed cool Canadian air south to the Gulf of Mexico on 11 Sept. Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon is gaining significant snow (1-2 m ) as Alaska’s high mountains packed in 1 to 3 meters. Have a look at my weather album that documents the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts and the early North American snows.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Floods dominated the news from southern California to the SE US as tropical storm Kay hit S California and the Gulf states had subtropical moisture along a stationary front.
Colorado was back below normal after summer heat hit records and the Canadian upslope cooled the eastern slope. In contrast, the Pacific NW had record heat again (100 to 107ºF) from N Calif. to Wash. as fires hit Calif again. Kay’s rains are helping in S Calif.
Satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds and precipitation including a classic cut-off low west of the UK and the Atmospheric River AR that fed snows into NW North America. We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science and a historic perspective, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this next 30-year cold period. Casey notes that the French Revolution was caused in part by the extreme heat and drought in 1776-89 that preceded the Dalton Minimum much like today. Remember Napoleon was defeated in Moscow due to the severe winter of 1812-13 during the Dalton Minimum.
https://www.newsmax.com/Finance/MKTNews/Global-Warming-climate-change/2014/11/17/id/607827/
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Death Valley was flooded with 8 years worth of rain in a day on August 7, 2022! NASA provided an interesting analysis of this “1000-year” event. This is consistent with John Casey’s account of the Dalton Minimum from 1793-1830 and the French Revolution 1788-90.
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/150181/death-valley-flash-flooding
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move, although in summer a bit more slowly - not fast enough for many… Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. Fortunately, we have Pacific and Canadian air masses that provide relief.
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr. Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts. Look at today’s 15-day forecast accuracy.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
Canada’s perpetual polar vortex - like low - that gyrated over the Hudson Bay all summer continued to initiate storms that fed Greenland with snows, and frontal systems that cooled the US.
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 500 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached 120 - 170 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes.
Winter/spring down under continued with incredible strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 922 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier, and the Peninsula (100-300cm) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (150-350cm), and S Georgia Island (45-75cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (34-110) cm). Several large, classic, deep (970 to 922 mb) storms pumped Southern Ocean moisture into the Antarctic.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August and now September 47-106 cm. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow in August. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year with the snowy range still at 60 cm depth. New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains and the Southern Alps still have 200 to 500 cm on the ground.
Argentina and Brazil continued cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts moved north with the meandering southern hemisphere jet stream. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia in August. Temperatures were 3 to 6ºC below normal. Southern Africa also felt the Antarctic cold even Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock this past winter. A sharp short wave on the jet passed Cape Town this week.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up another deep storm over Hudson Bay and Canada’s Maritime Provinces (982 mb) that pushed cool air into the US and moisture into Greenland. This jet stream is intensifying as the temperature gradient in the N Hemisphere strengthens.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 10 Sept as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 99 cm) at high elevations. Central Russia is accumulating snow: 30 to 100 cm. The NW passage opened in August.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES West view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. Recall, Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC . This week Alaska continued accumulating significant snow - 150 to 345 cm on the highest mountains. The Mt. Logan Massif in Alaska and SW Yukon had 120-234 cm this week and the Brooks Range is accumulating snow: 20 to 35 cm and has up to 400 cm on the ground in one spot and Mt Logan over 5 meters according to Windy’s snow depth analysis on 5 Sept. The area and depth of these snow accumulations are expanding as we go into fall. ECMWF and GSM are predicting significant early snows from P NW to Wyoming mountains.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=asnow&runtime=2022091106&fh=6
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep 982 mb low off Norway this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Regions of Russia And Belarus Suffer Earliest Frosts On Record; Cold Benchmarks Fall In New Zealand; September Snow Forecast For NW U.S.; + USDA Crop Estimates Revised Lower
September 9, 2022 Cap Allon40 Comments
September Snow Forecast For Northwest
Before the arrival of astronomical fall, pockets of the West are set for high-level snowfall–particularly the Northwest.
Summer Frosts Sweep Siberia/Central Asia; Additional Snow Hits South Africa; Record-Cold Sweeps Australia And South America; + Germany To Prioritize Coal Trains Over Passenger Services
August 23, 2022 Cap Allon27 Comments
Christchurch Sees Its First Flurries In A Decade As Rare Spring Snow Sweeps New Zealand; Europe’s Energy Woes Intensify As Russia Cuts Off Nord Stream; + AGW Is For Dummies
September 6, 2022 Cap Allon
New Study Reveals Potential Causes Of The Little Ice Age (LIA), Including Low Solar Activity, Disturbances To The Jet Stream, Volcanic Activity, And High-Variability Of Arctic Sea Ice Cover
August 22, 2022 Cap Allon
Full article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32654-w#MOESM1
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new electroverse link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB; tropical storms Kaye, Earl, Hinnamnor CAT 5; Rare cold September in NZ …
SEPT 5, 2022
SUPER TYPHOON Hinnamnor CAT 5 with sustained 257 + 313 km/hr: 138 + 169 knot winds in the East China Sea heading to Okinawa Islands and Korea on 3-7 Sept.
1ST Named Hurricane of the season 3 Sept 2022: Danielle in mid-Atlantic Ocean - sustained 65 kt winds heading toward the UK by 11-12 Sept. Another large Pacific storm Kay is moving N along the Baja toward California by 11-12 Sept. This may bring some beneficial rains to S. Calif.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 50 to 199 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve is now climbing passed the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. Sept 3 Greenland added 7 GT of new snow. Greenland is cooling as the sun marches back toward the equator. Canada’s Ellesmere Island continued to lead Canada with 145 cm this week; however, the Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon is gaining along with Alaska’s high mountains (1 to 3 meters). Have a look at my weather album that documents the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Floods dominated the news from southern California to the SE US as the summer Monsoon continued to impact the West and subtropical rains hit from Texas to Georgia. The clouds and rain in Texas helped set a cold max temperature record of only 81ºF down from the normal 90-100º.
Colorado was near normal - summer heat with a few hot records and our first snow on the Mosquito Range and Pikes Peak last week. Monsoon rains ended with my total August rainfall at 3.71 inches (above our normal) and Water Year rainfall at 22.81 inches. We also have had frosty rooftops again this week. The SW Monsoon has provided much rain and local flash flooding. In contrast, the Pacific NW had record heat (100 to 107ºF) from N Calif. to Wash. as fires hit N Calif again. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of global records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds and precipitation including a classic cut-off low west of the UK and the Atmospheric River AR that fed snows into NW North America. We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this cold period.
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse documents a distinguished climate scientist’s position on climate models and their physical weaknesses in predicting future climate. Dr.Moto Nakamura, PHD from MIT states ”our models are micky-mouse mockeries of the real world” much like I have told you. We simply do not have the complete physics and computing power to make extended 50 to 100-year forecasts.
see: https://electroverse.co/climate-scientist-breaks-ranks-our-models-are-mickey-mouse-mockeries/
Satellite imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Global temperature anomalies:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere this year. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
Death Valley flooded with 8 years worth of rain in a day! NASA provided an interesting analysis of this “1000-year” event. This is consistent with John Casey’s account of the Dalton Minimum from 1776-1789 and the French Revolution. Another hurricane in the Pacific is moving north toward California …see:
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/150181/death-valley-flash-flooding
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move, although in summer a bit more slowly - not fast enough for many… Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. Fortunately, we have Pacific and Canadian air masses that provide relief.
Canada’s perpetual polar vortex - like low - that gyrated over the Hudson Bay all summer continued to initiate storms that fed Greenland with snows, and frontal systems that hit Europe with warm and cold air. These will provide relief from the heat as cold air from Greenland and the N Atlantic cools the region this week. Slovenia climbed back into the 28-30º range with some breaks back into the 22-30º range… Its Triglav glacier is almost completely gone after warm heavy rains and heat.
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 700 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached 150- 220 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes. SUPER TYPHOON Hinnamnor will dump huge amounts of rain in Korea.
Winter/spring down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 922 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (150-287cm), and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (227-400cm), and S Georgia Island (45-75cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (34-110) cm). Several classic deep 970 to 934 mb storms pumped Southern Ocean moisture into the Antarctic.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow last week. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year with the snowy range still at 60 cm depth. New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains and the Southern Alps still have 200 to 500 cm on the ground .
Argentina and Brazil continued cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts moved north with the meandering southern hemisphere jet stream. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia. Temperatures were 3 to 6ºC below normal. Southern Africa also felt the Antarctic cold even Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock this past winter. A sharp short wave on the jet passed Cape Town this week.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up another deep storm over Hudson Bay and Canada’s Maritime Provinces (982 mb) that pushed cool air into the US and moisture into Greenland. This jet stream is intensifying as the temperature gradient in the N Hemisphere strengthens.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 29 August as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 90 cm) at high elevations. Central Russia is accumulating snow: 30 to 100 cm. The NW passage is now open.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES WEST NH view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. Recall, Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. This week Alaska continued accumulating significant snow - 123 to 355 cm on the highest mountains. The Mt. Logan Massif in Alaska and British Columbia had 120-234 cm this week and the Brooks Range is accumulating snow: 20 to 60 cm and has up to 400 cm on the ground in one spot and Mt Logan over 5 meters according to Windy’s snow depth analysis. The area and depth of these snow accumulations are expanding as we go into fall.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep 989 mb low off Norway this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Atlantic Hurricane Season’s Weakest Start In 30 Years; + Odd Magnetism Beneath The Sun
August 25, 2022 Cap Allon2 Comments
This is also the first time in 40 years that no named storms formed between July 3 – Aug 22, according to CSU tropical scientist Phil Klotzbach.
Record August Chills In The Balkans; Antarctica Plunges Below -80C (-112F); Heavy Summer Snow Hits Xinjiang, China; + Texas Breaks Low Temperature Records, Including One From 1965
August 24, 2022 Cap Allon
Australia’s Colder-Than-Average Winter; Iceland’s “Historically Cold” Summer; + Antarctica Plunges To -80.5C (-112.9F)
September 5, 2022 Cap Allon3 Comments
Lost 2017 Airbus Engine Found Under 12-Feet Of Greenland Ice
September 4, 2022 Cap Allon3 Comments
Another Climate Scientist with Impeccable Credentials Breaks Ranks: “Our models are Mickey-Mouse Mockeries of the Real World”
September 3, 2022 Cap Allon11 Comments
Energy Crisis + A Cold Northern Hemisphere Winter Will Fuel The Next Great Depression
September 2, 2022 Cap Allon26 Comments
Journalists ‘Instructed’ To Attribute “Any Extreme Heat To Human Caused Climate Change”; Cold Records Fall In Texas And Guam; + First Time Since 1941 That The Atlantic Has Had No Named Storms
September 1, 2022 Cap Allon19 Comments
New Study Reveals Potential Causes Of The Little Ice Age (LIA), Including Low Solar Activity, Disturbances To The Jet Stream, Volcanic Activity, And High-Variability Of Arctic Sea Ice Cover
August 22, 2022 Cap Allon
Full article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32654-w#MOESM1
This link takes you to the stories above and more…
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season; record 7 GT increase in daily SMB…
AUG 29, 2022
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 50 to 199 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB which remained above normal. The SMB curve is now climbing passed the zero net change from a net daily deficit of summer. This put the SMB for the Sept 2021-August 2022 at ~100 GT above normal. Remember 1 GT is 1 cubic km of water equivalent - a significant increase in Greenland’s ice fields. Greenland is cooling as the sun marches back toward the equator. Canada’s Ellesmere Island continued to lead Canada with 145 cm this week; however, the Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon is gaining along with Alaska’s high mountains (1 to 3 meters). Have a look at my weather album that documents the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Floods dominated the news from southern California to the SE US as the summer Monsoon continued to impact the West and subtropical rains hit from Texas to Georgia.
Colorado was near normal - summer heat with a few hot records and our first snow on the Mosquito Range and Pikes Peak last week. Monsoon rains continued with my total August rainfall at 3.71 inches, above our normal and Water Year rainfall at 22.81 inches. We also have had frosty rooftops again this week. The SW Monsoon has provided much rain and local flash flooding. In contrast, the Pacific NW had record heat 100 to 107ºF) from N Calif. to Wash. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of global records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds and precipitation including our SW Monsoon flow and circulation around the Bermuda High and the Atmospheric River AR that fed snows into NW North America and rain into Europe turning drought into floods. We are seeing the extreme weather globally that is associated with the Grand Solar Minimum or solar “hibernation” as John Casey calls it. His book Dark Winer - How the sun is causing a 30-year cold spell (like the Dalton Minimum - Little Ice Age) provides a sobering look at the Earth’s future — not a global warming like the MSM would have you believe. see:
This link documents my original climate position nicely. Lots of solid science, well worth reading to the end. It is documented with references and published charts. We have begun the drop into this cold period.
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
The strong Bermuda High continues to suppress Atlantic Hurricane development resulting in the latest season (in 30 years) without a hurricane as of 29 August. However, the Eastern Pacific remained active. California’s central Sierra has had significant rains (10 to 50 mm) according to the ECMWF 10-day forecast after extreme drought. Death Valley flooded with 8 years worth of rain in a day! NASA provided an interesting analysis of this “1000-year” event. This is consistent with John Casey’s account of the Dalton Minimum from 1776-1789 and the French Revolution…see:
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/150181/death-valley-flash-flooding
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move, although in summer a bit more slowly - not fast enough for many… Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. Fortunately, we have Pacific and Canadian air masses that provide relief.
Europe bounced back into the heat followed by strong shortwaves that moved across the N Atlantic from Greenland to Norway. Canada’s perpetual polar vortex - like low - that gyrated over the Hudson Bay all summer continued to initiate storms that fed Greenland with snows, and frontal systems that hit Europe with warm and cold air. These will provide relief from the heat as cold air from Greenland and the N Atlantic cools the region this week. The UK was briefly back up to 32ºC: 6 to 12º above normal. Spain, Portugal and France remained hot, then cooled below normal. Drought, fires, and scorching heat plagued the region this extreme summer. Major rivers like the Rhine and Danube were dangerously low restricting commercial shipping and river tours. Slovenia climbed back into the 30-34º range with some breaks back into the 22-30º range… Its Triglav glacier is almost completely gone after warm heavy rains and heat.
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into central and eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 700 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached 150- 220 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered. China’s Road and Bridge project heeds John Casey’s plea that individuals and governments prepare for a long cold period with diminished crop production in high latitudes.
Winter down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 922 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (150-287cm), and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (227-400cm), and S Georgia Island (45-75cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (34-110) cm). Several classic deep 970 to 934 mb storms pumped Southern Ocean moisture into the Antarctic.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow last week. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year. New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains.
Argentina and Brazil continued cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts moved north. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia. Temperatures were 3 to 6ºC below normal. Southern Africa also felt the Antarctic cold even Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up another deep storm over Hudson Bay and Canada’s Maritime Provinces (982 mb) that pushed cool air into the US and moisture into Greenland. This jet stream is intensifying as the temperature gradient in the N Hemisphere strengthens.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 29 August as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 90 cm) at high elevations. Central Russia is accumulating snow: 30 to 100 cm. The NW passage is now open.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES WEST NH view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. Recall, Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. This week Alaska continued accumulating significant snow - 123 to 355 cm on the highest mountains. The Mt. Logan Massif in Alaska and British Columbia had 120-234 cm this week and the Brooks Range is accumulating snow: 20 to 60 cm.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep 989 mb low off Norway this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Summer Frosts Sweep Siberia/Central Asia; Additional Snow Hits South Africa; Record-Cold Sweeps Australia And South America; + Germany To Prioritize Coal Trains Over Passenger Services
August 23, 2022 Cap Allon
“Snowstorm in Africa!” — South Africa Smashes *an additional* 19 All-Time Low Temperature Records over the past 24 hours
Germany To Prioritize Coal Trains Over Passenger Services
Very Cold In Northern Iran and Southern Africa; South America’s ‘Swings Between Extremes’; + China Breaks More Than 20 *Monthly* Low Temperature Records
August 29, 2022 Cap Allon
China Breaks More Than 20 *Monthly* Low Temperature Records
Prof. Nils-Axel Mörner: “The Approaching Grand Solar Minimum and Little Ice Age Conditions”
August 28, 2022 Cap Allon
[Article originally published on electroverse.net on Sept 6, 2020]
NOAA Charts Reveal Global Cooling Is Intensifying; A Word On ‘Climate Reanalyzer’; + Long Cold Winter Mornings Persist In Australia
August 26, 2022 Cap Allon
August 10, 2022 Cap Allon11 Comments
11 Scientific Predictions for the upcoming Grand Solar Minimum (spoiler: wrap up, it’s getting cold)
August 13, 2022 Cap Allon
South America’s Antarctic Blast Pushes North, Sending Temps Crashing Into The Tropics; “Severe Summer Snowfall” Causes Mass Livestock Deaths In N. India And Pakistan; Record August Chills Sweep Morocco; + Rare Summer Freeze Strikes Iceland
August 19, 2022 Cap Allon
South America’s Antarctic Blast Pushes North, Sending Temps Crashing Into The Tropics
The planet is cooler than they’d have you believe
Below are the temperature anomalies for today, August 19, according to the Climate Change Institute at the University of Maine.
“Severe Summer Snowfall” Drives Mass Livestock Death In Northern India And Pakistan
Record-Breaking August Chills Sweep Morocco
Summer chills have swept Morocco this week.
Rare Summer Freeze Strikes Iceland
Cold and snowy weather has prevailed in Iceland this summer.
NASA “Climate Prophet” James Hansen Proclaimed The Arctic Would Be “Free of Summer Ice” by 2018
August 21, 2022 Cap Allon
[Article originally published on electroverse.net on Aug 2, 2020]
Confluence Of Catastrophes: The Next Great Depression Could Be Just Months Away
August 20, 2022 Cap Allon
New Study Reveals Potential Causes Of The Little Ice Age (LIA), Including Low Solar Activity, Disturbances To The Jet Stream, Volcanic Activity, And High-Variability Of Arctic Sea Ice Cover
August 22, 2022 Cap Allon
Full article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32654-w#MOESM1
This link takes you to the stories above.
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat; Greenland’s 100GT SMB accumulation above normal for 2021-22 season…
AUG 22, 2022
Colorado was near normal - summer heat with a few hot records and our first snow on the Mosquito Range and Pikes Peak this week. Monsoon rains continued with my total August rainfall at 3.21 inches, above our normal and Water Year rainfall at 22.15 inches. We also have had frosty rooftops this week. The SW Monsoon has provided much rain and local flash flooding. In contrast, the Pacific NW had record heat (100 to 107ºF) from N Calif. to Wash. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of global records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds and precipitation including our SW Monsoon flow and circulation around the Bermuda High. see:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
The Farmers Almanac is predicting a cold, stormy winter for all of the US except the SW in 2022-23. Colorado is considered Great Plains still in the coldest region by FA standards. This is consistent with the very cold winter in the Southern Hemisphere. See:
https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather
A Good aspect of the strong Bermuda High is that it continues to suppress Atlantic Hurricane development resulting in the latest season without a hurricane as of 22 August. However, the Eastern Pacific remains active. California’s central Sierra have had significant rains (10 to 50 mm) according to today’s ECMWF 10-day forecast. Death Valley flooded with 8 years worth of rain in a day! NASA provided an interesting analysis of this 1000-year event. see:
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/150181/death-valley-flash-flooding
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move, although in summer a bit more slowly - not fast enough for many… Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. Fortunately, we have Pacific and Canadian air masses that provide relief.
Europe bounced back into the heat; however, strong shortwaves are moving across the N Atlantic from Greenland to Norway. These will provide relief from the heat as cold air from Greenland and the N Atlantic cools the region. The UK was back up to 32ºC: 6 to 12º above normal. Spain, Portugal and France remained hot, then cooled below normal. Drought, fires, and scorching heat plagued the region. Major rivers like the Rhine and Danube were dangerously low restricting commercial shipping and river tours. Slovenia climbed back into the 30-34º range with some breaks back into the 22-30º range… Its Triglav glacier is almost completely gone after warm heavy rains and heat.
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into central and eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India, China, and Ethiopia continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 500 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached 150- 220 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow at high elevations with 50 to 199 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB that remained above normal. The SMB curve is now climbing back to the zero net change from a net daily deficit. Greenland is cooling as the sun marches back toward the equator. Canada’s Ellesmere Island continued to lead Canada with 145 cm this week; however, the Mt. Logan Massif in SW Yukon is gaining along with Alaska’s high mountains (1 to 3 meters). Have a look at my weather album that documents the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis and Windy’s forecasts.
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Winter down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 922 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (150-287cm), and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (227-400cm), and S Georgia Island (45-75cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (34-110) cm). Several classic deep 970 to 934 mb storms pumped Southern Ocean moisture into the Antarctic.
Recall, New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. This trend continued in August. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow last week. Snow forecasts for Australia kept the Snowy Range in a banner ski year. New Zealand’s rainforests had quite a boost from 200 to 700 mm 10-day rains.
Argentina and Brazil continued cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts moved north. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia. Temperatures were 3 to 6ºC below normal. Southern Africa also felt the Antarctic cold even Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up another deep storm over Hudson Bay and Canada’s Maritime Provinces (982 mb) that pushed cool air into the US and moisture into Greenland.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 22 August as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 90 cm) at high elevations. However, Russia from Moscow to Eastern Siberia was virtually snow free except along the Arctic ocean. The NW passage is now open.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
Energy needs: https://www.youtube.com/embed/wDOI-uLvTnY
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES WEST NH view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. This week Alaska continued accumulating significant snow - 123 to 355 cm on the highest mountains. The Mt. Logan Massif in Alaska and British Columbia had 120-234 cm this week and the Brooks Range is accumulating snow: 20 to 60 cm.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep 989 mb low off Norway this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today, many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on cooling regions - a pleasant change from our heat:
Cold Records Fall In Western Australia As Rare Third La Niña Builds; 4 Feet Of Snow Forecast For Southern Andes; Bermuda and Puerto Rico Chill; + Global Grain Stocks Cut (again)
Rare Summer Snow Hits Alaska; Bering Strait Sea Ice Refuses To Melt; + NASA/NOAA Erase The Arctic’s 1940s “Warming Blip”
Snow Falls In The Stirling Range As Antarctic Blast Sweeps Western Australia; “Boomer Season” Keeps New Zealand Ski Fields Open For An Extra Week; + Brits Braced For Winter Blackouts, Gov Draws-Up Emergency Plan
August 10, 2022 Cap Allon11 Comments
11 Scientific Predictions for the upcoming Grand Solar Minimum (spoiler: wrap up, it’s getting cold)
August 13, 2022 Cap Allon
South America’s Antarctic Blast Pushes North, Sending Temps Crashing Into The Tropics; “Severe Summer Snowfall” Causes Mass Livestock Deaths In N. India And Pakistan; Record August Chills Sweep Morocco; + Rare Summer Freeze Strikes Iceland
August 19, 2022 Cap Allon
South America’s Antarctic Blast Pushes North, Sending Temps Crashing Into The Tropics
The planet is cooler than they’d have you believe
Below are the temperature anomalies for today, August 19, according to the Climate Change Institute at the University of Maine.
“Severe Summer Snowfall” Drives Mass Livestock Death In Northern India And Pakistan
Record-Breaking August Chills Sweep Morocco
Summer chills have swept Morocco this week.
Rare Summer Freeze Strikes Iceland
Cold and snowy weather has prevailed in Iceland this summer.
NASA “Climate Prophet” James Hansen Proclaimed The Arctic Would Be “Free of Summer Ice” by 2018
August 21, 2022 Cap Allon
[Article originally published on electroverse.net on Aug 2, 2020]
Confluence Of Catastrophes: The Next Great Depression Could Be Just Months Away
August 20, 2022 Cap Allon
New Study Reveals Potential Causes Of The Little Ice Age (LIA), Including Low Solar Activity, Disturbances To The Jet Stream, Volcanic Activity, And High-Variability Of Arctic Sea Ice Cover
August 22, 2022 Cap Allon
Full article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32654-w#MOESM1
This link takes you to the stories above.
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July, August floods and Pacific NW record heat…
AUG 8, 2022
KENTUCKY CONTINUES in the crosshairs of the perfect flood again this week although not as severe. The large Azores-Bermuda High (1026 mb) covered most of the central Atlantic (FLA to Spain) and continued to pump hot moist air into the US up to New England. Kentucky was in the center of a stationary front dividing Cooler Canadian air from the Hudson Bay Low (982 mb) and the warm moist Gulf air. This persistent pattern triggered slow moving thunderstorms and heavy rain that caused record flash floods. The Good aspect of this is that the strong Bermuda High continues to suppress Atlantic Hurricane development resulting in the latest season without a hurricane as of 7 August. However, the Eastern Pacific has been active, where T.S. Frank moved up the Baja Peninsula today. California’s central Sierra should get significant rains (10 to 50 mm) according to today’s ECMWF 10-day forecast. Death Valley flooded with 8 years worth of rain in a day! Red Deer, Alberta had a supercell thunderstorm and Mesoscale convective complex MCC that produced grapefruit size hail on 3 August. This may be a record for Canada. My album shows the satellite imagery of this storm. On 4 Aug another strong short wave moved into Alberta. Note that Alberta has hosted hail mitigation research projects in the past.
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move, although in summer a bit more slowly - not fast enough for many… Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. Fortunately, we have Pacific and Canadian air masses that provide relief.
Colorado was near normal - summer heat. However, the Monsoon has provided much rain and local flash flooding. DENVER and the Front Range from Wyoming to NM had many areas of flash floods and destruction. Some cities had 1 to 3 inches in 1-2 hrs - something our sewer systems can’t handle. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of global records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds and precipitation including our SW Monsoon flow and circulation around the Bermuda High. see:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
Europe had a nice relief from the heat as cold air from Greenland and the N Atlantic cooled the region. The UK was back to a normal cooler temperature pattern. Spain and Portugal remained hot. Slovenia climbed back into the 30-37 range. Its glacier is almost completely gone.
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into central and eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 500 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached 150- 220 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow a high elevations with 50 to 120 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB that remained above normal. Of course snow was melting under the warm mid-night sun; however, it was less than normal. Have a look at my weather album that documents the latest Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis.
Winter down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 922 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (154-240cm), and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (220-330cm), and S Georgia Island (44-98cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (59-140) cm). A classic deep 922 mb storm was located N of the Ross Sea on 2 Aug. Concordia, the French Antarctic station hit -80ºC (-112ºF), coldest this season.
New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow last week. Snow forecasts for Australia, where very heavy rains (117-468 mm) caused floods and crop losses in the NE have now gradually receded. These wiped out Queensland’s fruit and vegetable crops. Argentina and Brazil continued cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts moved north. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia. Temperatures were 3 to 6ºC below normal. Southern Africa has also felt the Antarctic cold as Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up another deep storm over Hudson Bay and Canada’s Maritime Provinces (989 mb) that pushed cool air into the US and moisture into Greenland.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 7 August as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 90 cm) at high elevations. However, Russia from Moscow to Eastern Siberia was virtually snow free except along the Arctic ocean. The NW passage is now open.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
Note an extreme hot minimum temperature of ~100ºF may have been responsible for a herd of cattle mysteriously dying in Texas. Cattle need relatively cool nights to survive.
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES WEST NH view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. This week Alaska continued accumulating significant snow - 64 to 196 cm on the highest mountains. The Mt. Logan Massif in Alaska and British Columbia had over 1 meter this week and the Brooks Range is accumulating snow: 20 to 40 cm.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep 994 mb low off Norway this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Today many scientists are becoming more vocal regarding their assessment of the anthropogenic (fossil fuel) impacts on the earth’s climate. There are many forces pushing the human extinction concept and alarmist approach to solving “our climate problem”. The following link provides a comprehensive analysis of key motivating economics and corruption for personal gain driving the MSM’s alarms. It also discusses some fundamental physics driving true climate variability and the Cold Truth Initiative. Have a look:
https://w3.ultimatewealthreport.com/Finance/ULT/LP/UWR-Dark-Winter?dkt_nbr=6F1212bfxgiu
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Quiet Sun, Blue Jets And Super Sprites; Cold July In Australia; + Monthly Chills Across Scandinavia
August 4, 2022 Cap Allon
Cold July Across Australia
Europe Is Already Rationing Gas; More MSM Obfuscation, Freezing Southern African Nights; + “Unusually Cold Outbreak” To Hit New Zealand
Norway and Sweden have cool July
Australia has a cold July
Colder-Than-Average Iceland; Skiing In Southern Africa; More Snow Down Under; + Farmers’ Almanac Foresees “Record-Breaking Cold” And “Snowy” U.S. Winter
August 8, 2022 Cap Allon
Lesotho, a tiny mountain kingdom situated within South Africa, has an obscure geographical claim to fame: it is the only country on Earth where every inch of its territory sits more than 1,000 meters (3,280 feet) above sea level.
More Snow Down Under
Australia’s state of Victoria is on track to deliver its strongest ski season on record, reports theage.com.au. Early, record-setting snowfall allowed Victoria’s slopes to open weeks earlier that normal.
“New Little Ice Age Instead of Global Warming?” — Dr Theodor Landscheidt
Articles
PREDICTION OF SOLAR ACTIVITY FROM SOLAR BACKGROUND MAGNETIC FIELD VARIATIONS IN CYCLES 21–23
Simon J. Shepherd1, Sergei I. Zharkov2, and Valentina V. Zharkova3
Published 2014 October 13 • © 2014. The American Astronomical Society. All rights reserved.
The Astrophysical Journal, Volume 795, Number 1
Citation Simon J. Shepherd et al 2014 ApJ 795 46
Solar Minima, Earth's rotation and Little Ice Ages in the past and in the future: The North Atlantic–European case
Author links open overlay panel Nils-AxelMörner
Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics, Stockholm, Sweden
Accepted 13 December 2009, Available online 25 January 2010.
Chapter 2 - Development of Ideas and New Trends in Modern Sea Level Research: The Pre-Quaternary, Quaternary, Present, and Future
Author links open overlay panel Nils-AxelMörner
https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-814350-6.00002-1
Hunga Tonga Eruption Likely A Small VEI 5, Cooling Implications Explained
Have a look at the link below to see the detailed reviews, charts, and photos of the events mentioned above:
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods…Norway and Sweden's cool July…
AUG 1, 2022
Unfortunately KENTUCKY was in the crosshairs of the perfect flood this week. The large Azores-Bermuda High (1026 mb) covered most of the central Atlantic (FLA to Spain) and continued to pump hot moist air into the US up to New England. Kentucky was in the center of a stationary front dividing Cooler Canadian air from the Hudson Bay Low (990 mb) and the warm moist Gulf air. This persistent pattern triggered slow moving thunderstorms and heavy rain that caused record flash floods. The Good aspect of this is that the strong Bermuda High suppressed Atlantic Hurricane development resulting in the latest season without a hurricane as of 1 August. However, the Eastern Pacific has been active, where T.S. Frank is heading up the Baja Peninsula today. California’s central Sierra should get significant rains (20 to 80 mm) according to today’s ECMWF 10-day forecast.
The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move, although in summer a bit more slowly - not fast enough for many… Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. Fortunately, we have Pacific and Canadian air masses that provide relief.
Colorado was near normal - summer heat. However, the Monsoon has provided much rain and local flash flooding. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of global records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds and precipitation including our SW Monsoon flow and circulation around the Bermuda High. see:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
Europe had a nice relief from the heat as cold air from Greenland and the N Atlantic cooled the region.
Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into central and eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India continued as the ECMWF model also continued to predict 200 to 590 mm of rain. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached 150- 200 mm again this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered.
Greenland continued to get widespread snow a high elevations with 50 to 120 cm adding to the Snow Mass Balance - SMB that remained above normal. Of course snow was melting under the mid-night sun; however, it was less than normal. Have a look at my weather album that documents the Danish Arctic Research program’s daily SMB analysis.
Winter down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 926 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (154-240cm); and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes had (220-330cm), and S Georgia Island (57-164cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (42-104 cm). A classic deep 926 mb storm was located N of the Ross Sea on 1 July. Concordia, the French Antarctic station hit -80ºC (-112ºF).
New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 89 to 219 cm over large areas. Some NZ ski areas had to close due to too much snow this week. Snow forecasts for Australia, where very heavy rains (117-468 mm) caused floods and crop losses in the NE have now gradually receded. These wiped out Queensland’s fruit and vegetable crops. Argentina and Brazil continued cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts move north. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia. Temperatures were 3 to 6ºC below normal. Southern Africa has also felt the Antarctic cold as Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up another deep storm over Hudson Bay and Canada’s Maritime Provinces (989 mb) that pushed cool air into the US and moisture into Greenland.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 1 August as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 90 cm) at high elevations. However, Russia from Moscow to Eastern Siberia was virtually snow free except along the Arctic ocean. The NW passage is now open.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
Note an extreme hot minimum temperature of ~100ºF may have been responsible for a herd of cattle mysteriously dying in Texas. Cattle need relatively cool nights to survive.
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES WEST NH view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. This week Alaska continued accumulating significant snow - 53 to 64 cm on the highest mountains. The Mt. Logan Massif in Alaska and British Columbia had over 1 meter this week and the Brooks Range is accumulating snow: 20 to 40 cm.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep 985 mb low off UK this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Following Its 2-Day Heatwave, The UK Suffers Unusual July Chills (2.9C/37.2F)
Summer Snow Sweeps Alaska
Another region of the planet purported to be ‘burning into oblivion’ is Alaska.
Fresh Fertilizer Cuts In Germany…
Germany’s BASF, one of the world’s largest fertilizer producers, announced Wednesday that it will implement fresh cuts to its ammonia production in response to soaring natural gas prices.
Canadian farmers support Dutch farmers' protest: "No fertilizers, no farmers, no food." https://t.co/dzmZhcRDmE
The BBC Attempts To Rewrite The History Books
Solar activity holds the key to Earth’s climate.
‘Urban Heat Islands’–According To The U.S. Government; + New Study Finds 96% of U.S. Temperature Stations Are “Corrupted”
Hunga Tonga Eruption Likely A Small VEI 5, Cooling Implications Explained
Have a look at the link below to see the detailed reviews, charts, and photos of the events mentioned above:
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low; Kentucky floods….
July 25, 2022
JULY SETS EXTREME HEAT RECORDS: Over 200 million Americans were under excessive heat warnings from the SW to NE. Hundreds of daily records were set. Oklahoma had 114ºF…. Dozens of UK stations set daily records as UK was under a heat emergency. London and Liverpool set all time historic records back to the 1600s at 104 (40.2ºC) and 96ºF (36ºC) respectively; Coningsby set the record highest temperature for the UK at 104.5ºF (40.3ºC), followed by a cooling upper level low that provided clouds and rain. A week of extremes continued in the N Hemisphere from sweltering record heat: 114ºF in Oklahoma to increases in Greenland’s snow mass balance.
Our infamous large Bermuda High (1027 mb) covered most of the central Atlantic (FLA to Spain) and pumped hot air into the US up to New England. The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move, although in summer a bit more slowly - not fast enough for many… Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. Fortunately, we have Pacific and Canadian air masses that provide relief.
Denver is setting new records > 100ºF but this is only 4ºC above normal GJT hit 104º. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of global records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of clouds and precipitation including our SW Monsoon flow and circulation around the Bermuda High. see:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
Europe is having a hot summer punctuated by cooling. THIS WEEK From Spain and Portugal to the UK record heat and emergency warnings and extensive wild fire evacuations from Portugal to southern France were issued. A persistent upper level low sat off the coast of Portugal pushing hot air N from Maroc; then moved over the UK and France cooling them. Ljubljana hit 37ºC on 23 July. Check the Tropical Tidbits link for the latest temperature anomalies. Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below for comprehensive global summaries.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into central and eastern Europe this week.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India’s NE States continued; recall the massive flooding that had displaced > 4.7 million people according to the BBC in early July. ECMWF’s model also continues to predict 200 to 500 mm of rain through July. New Delhi had >450 mm in it 10-day forecast (QPF). I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached > 200 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered.
After Sydney’s serious flooding, Queensland suffered record cold and crop losses. Cairns in the subtropics had frost and Alice Springs had 10 consecutive days below freezing - a new record. Australia’s Snowy Range NE of Melbourne continued to have snow with 13-45 cm predicted. Australia’s ski areas opened 1-2 weeks early this season. RECORD COLD IN BRASILIA AT 1.4ºC. Record lows continue to be broken in Brasil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia, Namibia & Botswana. The Peruvian Andes hit its first sub -20ºC this season (at 4250 m msl). Tasmania also had record cold temperatures -9.9ºC. Tasmania and Zimbabwe have severe cold warnings this week with Tasmania accumulating significant snowfall. Antarctic sea ice and snow pack continue to increase at a fast rate. Arctic sea ice is at a 30-year high according to the Danish Arctic experts. Records across S America were rewritten on the cold side as Patagonia got a major snow storm.
Winter down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 926 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (154-240cm); and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes (220-330cm), and S Georgia Island (57-164cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (42-104 cm). A classic deep 926 mb storm was located N of the Ross Sea on 1 July. Concordia, the French Antarctic station hit -80ºC (-112ºF).
New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 162 to 265 cm over large areas. Snow forecasts for Australia, where very heavy rains (117-468 mm) caused floods and crop losses in the NE have now gradually receded. These wiped out Queensland’s fruit and vegetable crops. Argentina and Brazil continued cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts move north. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia. Temperatures were 3 to 6ºC below normal. Southern Africa has also felt the Antarctic cold as Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up another deep storm over Hudson Bay and Canada’s Maritime Provinces (989 mb) that pushed cool air into the US and moisture into Greenland.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 15 -25 July as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 90 cm) at high elevations.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
Note an extreme hot minimum temperature of ~100ºF may have been responsible for a herd of cattle mysteriously dying in Texas. Cattle need relatively cool nights to survive.
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES WEST NH view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. The Canadian Asparagus harvest was a month behind. This week Alaska began accumulating significant snow - 166 to 398 cm on the highest mountains. The Mt. Logan Massif in Alaska and British Columbia had over 2 meters.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep 985 mb low off UK this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Lake Superior Holding 7F Colder Than Normal; + Another “Historic” Snowstorm Pummels Southern Argentina
Another “Historic” Snowstorm Pummels Southern Argentina
A History of Climate Scares at the New York Times: 1978, “No End in Sight to 30-Year Cooling Trend; ” 1988, “Global Warming has Begun”
Satellite Imagery Reveals A Snow-Covered Andes; + Rules Are The Fabric Of Reality
Russia’s Cold Summer Sees Wheat Protein Drop; Low Temperatures Affect Zimbabwe Cotton; ‘Solar Tsunami’; + CNN Untruths
Hunga Tonga Eruption Likely A Small VEI 5, Cooling Implications Explained
Have a look at the link below to see the detailed reviews, charts, and photos of the events mentioned above:
Note the new link:
see: https://electroverse.co/category/extreme-weather/
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information, UK’s heat wave; Canada’s Hudson Bay Low….
July 18, 2022
SUMMER CONTINUES: A week of extremes continues from sweltering record heat to summer records to increases in Greenland’s snow mass balance and record summer frosts in Eastern Europe. The physics of our dynamic atmosphere has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move, although in summer a bit more slowly - not fast enough for many… Tropical Tidbits provides a comprehensive global look at our temperature extremes clearly showing the temperature anomalies from hot and cold record temperatures to normal temperatures. Fortunately, we have Pacific and Canadian air masses that provide relief.
Denver is setting new records > 100ºF but this is only 4ºC above normal. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of global records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of severe weather and a strong SW Monsoon flow. see:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022071712&fh=6
Europe also is having a hot summer punctuated by cooling. THIS WEEK From Spain and Portugal to the UK record heat and emergency warnings and extensive wild fire evacuations from Portugal to southern France were issued. A persistent upper level low sat off the coast of Portugal pushing hot air N from Maroc. Check the Tropical Tidbits link for the latest temperature anomalies. Slovenia remained relatively comfortable, but continued warming with thunderstorm rains and some severe hail. LJU’s mean temperature in June was 4ºC above normal. Yet Afghanistan had June snow, and cold in India threatening young livestock and crops. The EU crop monitoring service reduced yield forecasts again this month. Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into central and eastern Europe.
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India’s NE States continued massive flooding that has displaced > 4.7 million people according to the BBC. ECMWF’s model also continues to predict 200 to 500 mm of rain in mid-July. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached > 200 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) were triggered.
After Sydney’s serious flooding Queensland suffered record cold and crop losses. Crains in the subtropics had frost and Alice Springs had 10 consecutive days below freezing - a new record. Australia’s Snowy Range NE of Melbourne continued to have snow with 8 cm predicted. Australia’s ski areas opened 1-2 weeks early. RECORD COLD IN BRASILIA AT 1.4ºC. Record lows continue to be broken in Brasil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia, Namibia & Botswana. The Peruvian Andes hit its first sub -20ºC this season (at 4250 m msl). Tasmania also had record cold temperatures -9.9ºC. Tasmania and Zimbabwe have severe cold warnings this week with Tasmania accumulating significant snowfall. Antarctic sea ice and snow pack are increasing at a fast rate. Arctic sea ice is at a 30-year high according to the Danish Arctic experts. Records across S America were rewritten on the cold side as Patagonia got a major snow storm.
Winter down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 926 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (154-240cm); and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes (220-330cm), and S Georgia Island (57-164cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (42-104 cm). A classic deep 926 mb storm was located N of the Ross Sea on 1 July. Concordia, the French Antarctic station hit -80ºC (-112ºF).
New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. July continued to have extreme winter weather that swept NZ with snow forecast from 162 to 265 cm over large areas. Snow forecasts for Australia, where very heavy rains (117-468 mm) caused floods and crop losses in the NE have now gradually receded. These wiped out Queensland’s fruit and vegetable crops. Argentina and Brazil continued cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts move north. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia. Temperatures were 3 to 6ºC below normal. Southern Africa has also felt the Antarctic cold as Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up a new deep storm over Canada’s Hudson Bay (989 mb) that pushed cool air into the US. The jet continued to produced a deep storm SE of Greenland and the UK. The classic Canadian and UK storms were clearly seen in Windy’s satellite image on 16 & 26 June and 1 & 15 July 2022. This beautiful example of extratropical cyclone signatures also had an excellent temperature pattern that showed the warm (record breaking heat) and cold (comfortably cool) sectors across N America and Europe. Spain and France finally had a break in the heat as cool N Atlantic air flowed from Greenland last week. Tropical Tidbits captured this nicely. I have put this case in my Weather Album - have a look. It shows how Nature balances the extremes - the physics of a hydrodynamic fluid always seeks equilibrium. Note New Brunswick and Maine had record cold 10ºC max T last week under a northerly flow. Even Bermuda has had a relatively cold June and July under the northerly flow from Canada. Nature indeed balances her systems.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 15 July as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 90 cm) at high elevations.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
You can check https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022061200&fh=6 to see the surface temperature anomalies. On June 26 the NE had +4 to +12ºC above normal, while the NW from Wa to Ca we had +4 to 12ºC above normal and the Central US cooled to -4 to -10ºC below normal as a cold front blessed this region…
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
Note an extreme hot minimum temperature of ~100ºF may have been responsible for a herd of cattle mysteriously dying in Texas. Cattle need relatively cool nights to survive.
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years. Note that in the last Little Ice Age the mean global temperature dropped 1.6ºC below average; however, the growing season was significantly shortened - early and late frosts. The River Thames froze over and Europe relied on N Africa for food.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies and provide a 365 day growing season…
GOES WEST NH view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. The Canadian Asparagus harvest was a month behind. This week Alaska began accumulating significant snow - 166 to 398 cm on the highest mountains. The Mt. Logan Massif in Alaska and British Columbia had over 2 meters.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep 985 mb low off UK this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Is Australia Experiencing A ‘Volcanic Winter’?
New Zealand’s Cold Outbreaks
Satellite Lidar shows abundance of stratospheric aerosols + Volcanic skies over Australia and NZ
S Hemisphere coolest June in 22 years.
S.Pole experienced coldest winter in recorded history
Alice Springs, Australia Suffers Longest Streak Of Sub-Zero Days On Record; + Greenland Refuses To Melt As Scheduled
Going-To-The-Sun Road Ties Its Latest Opening On Record; Additional Cold Records Fall In Tropical Queensland; + Germany Braces For A Cold, Dark Winter Of Blackouts
Australia’s Antarctic Outbreak Intensifies–WA Town Logs Coldest Temperature Since 1965; Summer Frosts Sweep Eastern Europe; + Chilly June In Bermuda
Hunga Tonga Eruption Likely A Small VEI 5, Cooling Implications Explained
Have a look at the link below to see the detailed reviews, charts, and photos of the events mentioned above:
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th; mid-July charts and information….
July 11, 2022
SUMMER CONTINUES: A week of extremes continues from sweltering record heat to 4 to 8 GT increases in Greenland’s snow mass balance just before the summer solstice. Nature has a way of balancing the hot and cold regions; if we wait long enough the systems move, although in summer a bit more slowly - not fast enough for some…
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India’s NE States continue massive flooding that has displaced > 4.7 million people this past week according to the BBC. ECMWF’s model also continues to predict 200 to 1000 mm of rain over the next 10 days. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached 200 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) is triggered.
Sydney had serious flooding as an easterly on-shore flow pumped huge amounts of moisture into Australia’s east coast from Brisbane to Sydney with 200 to 400 mm in the ECMWF 10-DAY forecast. Fortunately that storm moved to the east but cold air moved across most of Australia after all, it is winter there..
Australia’s Snowy Range NE of Melbourne continued to have snow with 14 cm predicted. Australia’s ski areas were opened 1-2 weeks early. RECORD COLD IN BRASILIA AT 1.4ºC. Hundreds of record lows were broken in Brasil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia, Namibia & Botswana. The Peruvian Andes hit its first sub -20ºC this season (at 4250 m msl). Tasmania also had record cold temperatures -9.9ºC. Tasmania and Zimbabwe have severe cold warnings this week with Tasmania accumulating significant snowfall. Antarctic sea ice and snow pack are increasing at a fast rate. Arctic sea ice is at a 30-year high according to the Danish Arctic experts. Records across S America were rewritten on the cold side as Patagonia gets a major snow storm. …
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up a new deep storm over Canada’s Hudson Bay (989 mb) that pushed cool air into the US. The jet continued to produced a deep storm SE of Greenland and the UK. The classic Canadian and UK storms were clearly seen in Windy’s satellite image on 16 & 26 June and 1 July 2022. This beautiful example of extratropical cyclone signatures also had an excellent temperature pattern that shows the warm (record breaking heat) and cold (comfortably cool) sectors across N America and Europe. Spain and France finally had a break in the heat as cool N Atlantic air flowed from Greenland. Tropical Tidbits captured this nicely. I have put this case in my Weather Album - have a look. It shows how Nature balances the extremes - the physics of a hydrodynamic fluid always seeks equilibrium. Note New Brunswick and Maine had record cold 10ºC max T last week under a northerly flow.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 10 July as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 90 cm) at high elevations.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
You can check https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022061200&fh=6 to see the surface temperature anomalies. On June 26 the NE had +4 to +12ºC above normal, while the NW from Wa to Ca we had +4 to 12ºC above normal and the Central US cooled to -4 to -10ºC below normal as a cold front blessed this region…
Denver is setting new records > 100ºF but this is only 4ºC above normal. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of these records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of severe weather and a strong SW Monsoon flow. see:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Europe also has a hot summer punctuated by cooling. Slovenia remained comfortable but continued warming with thunderstorm rains and some severe hail. LJU’s mean temperature in June was 4ºC above normal. Even Afghanistan had June snow, and cold in India threatening young livestock and crops. The EU crop monitoring service reduced yield forecasts again this month. Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion. You can see cold air streaming into central and eastern Europe.
Winter down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 926 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (154-240cm); and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes (220-330cm), and S Georgia Island (57-127cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (42-104 cm). A classic deep 926 mb storm was located N of the Ross Sea on 1 July.
New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. This week extreme winter weather swept NZ with snow forecast from 80 to 125 cm over large areas. Snow forecasts for Australia where very heavy rains (117-468 mm) with floods and crop losses in the NE are gradually receding. These wiped out Queensland’s fruit and vegetable crops. Argentina and Brazil also are cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts move north. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia. Temperatures the weekend were 3 to 6ºC below normal. Southern Africa has also felt the Antarctic cold as Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Asia’s monsoon hit with a vengeance creating wide spread floods and debris flows. This week ECMWF predicted heavy rains from India: 300 mm to N Korea: 503 mm.
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
Note an extreme hot minimum temperature of ~100ºF may have been responsible for a herd of cattle mysteriously dying in Texas. Cattle need relatively cool nights to survive.
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies.
GOES WEST NH view shows a slow but steady stream of N Pacific storms and AR hitting the NW N America. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. The Canadian Asparagus harvest was a month behind.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep 985 mb low off UK this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on good ways to cool off after the sweltering July summer heat wave:
Argentina’s Coldest June In 20 Years; Antarctica Plunges Below -80C (-112F); + Winter Damage Strips Niagara Vineyards
Senior UK Banker Quits After “Nut Job” Climate Speech; The UN’s “Benefits Of World Hunger” Article Removed; + “Extreme” Wintry Weather Sweeps New Zealand
Queensland Crops “Wiped-Out” By Record-Breaking Cold; Heavy Snow Hits Argentina; + Strongest Noctilucent Cloud Activity In Decades
Hunga Tonga Eruption Likely A Small VEI 5, Cooling Implications Explained
Have a look at the link below to see the detailed reviews, charts, and photos of the events mentioned above:
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June; July 4th….
July 4, 2022
SUMMER CONTINUES: A week of extremes from sweltering record heat to 4 to 8 GT increases in Greenland’s snow mass balance just before the summer solstice and record cool NE in July for the 4th as a wet weekend cools most of the US …
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India’s NE States continue massive flooding that has displaced > 4.7 million people this past week according to the BBC. ECMWF’s model also predicted 400 to 600 mm of rain over the next 10 days into July. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached 200 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) is triggered.
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up a new deep storm over Canada’s Hudson Bay (989 mb) that pushed cool air into the US. The jet continued to produced a deep storm SE of Greenland and the UK. The classic Canadian and UK storms were clearly seen in Windy’s satellite image on 16 & 26 June and 1 July 2022. This beautiful example of extratropical cyclone signatures also had an excellent temperature pattern that shows the warm (record breaking heat) and cold (comfortably cool) sectors across N America and Europe. Spain and France finally had a break in the heat as cool N Atlantic air flowed from Greenland. Tropical Tidbits captured this nicely. I have put this case in my Weather Album - have a look. It shows how Nature balances the extremes - the physics of a hydrodynamic fluid always seeks equilibrium. Note New Brunswick and Maine had record cold 10ºC max T last week under a northerly flow.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 1 July as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 90 cm) at high elevations.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
You can check https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022061200&fh=6 to see the surface temperature anomalies. On June 26 the NE had +4 to +12ºC above normal, while the NW from Wa to Ca we had +4 to 12ºC above normal and the Central US cooled to -4 to -10ºC below normal as a cold front blessed this region…
THE SW Monsoon started early from Mexico to NM and Colorado with ECMWF 10-day QPF of 67 to 92 mm from 17 & 26 June forecasts. NOAA’s 7-day QPF also had significant precipitation moving into the San Juans (2-3 inches and .5 to 1.5 in Montana). Let’s pray that this Monsoon resumes in force. Denver tied its 100º F earliest ever record T and stayed hot. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of these records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of severe weather and a strong SW Monsoon flow. see:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Europe had another large winter-like storm (988mb) moving past the UK keeping it relatively normal with a hot Spain and Portugal to France and Germany fed by hot desert air from Morocco. Slovenia remained comfortable but continued warming with thunderstorm rains and some severe hail. LJU’s mean temperature in May was 4ºC above normal.Even Afghanistan had June snow, and cold in India threatening young livestock and crops. The EU crop monitoring service reduced yield forecasts again this month. Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below.
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
Winter down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 926 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (140-230 CM; and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes (156-306cm), and S Georgia Island (53-173cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (42-104 cm). A classic deep 926 mb storm was located N of the Ross Sea on 1 July.
New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. Australia continues to have very heavy rains (117-468 mm) with floods and crop losses in the NE gradually receding. Argentina and Brazil also are cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts move north. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia. Southern Africa has also felt the Antarctic cold as Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock.
Australia’s Snowy Range NE of Melbourne continued to have snow with 0-8 cm predicted. Australia’s ski areas were opened 1-2 weeks early. RECORD COLD IN BRASILIA AT 1.4ºC. Hundreds of record lows were broken in Brasil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia, Namibia & Botswana. The Peruvian Andes hit its first sub -20ºC this season (at 4250 m msl). Tasmania also had record cold temperatures -9.9ºC. Tasmania and Zimbabwe have severe cold warnings this week with Tasmania accumulating significant snowfall. Antarctic sea ice and snow pack are increasing at a fast rate. Arctic sea ice is at a 30-year high according to the Danish Arctic experts. Records across S America were rewritten on the cold side…
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Asia’s monsoon hit with a vengeance creating wide spread floods and debris flows. This week ECMWF predicted heavy rains from India: 300 mm to N Korea: 503 mm.
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
Note an extreme hot minimum temperature of ~100ºF may have been responsible for a herd of cattle mysteriously dying in Texas. Cattle need relatively cool nights to survive.
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies.
GOES WEST NH view STILL shows a steady stream of Pacific storms and AR hitting the Pacific NW south into N Calif. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. The Canadian Asparagus harvest is a month behind.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep low off UK this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on NO 4TH OF JULY CORN IN IOWA; Germany’s giant thermos to hold energy;
summer frosts in highlands of Portugal; Record heat in Italy (40.8ºC) in Rome; Meridional jet flow; S pole average T for 2021: -50.5ºC coldest yr since 1987; Severe Droughts are not due to climate change according to Oxford, Imperial College and Victoria Univ study; wildfire records 1910-2020; Australia exceptionally cold; Glacier N Park’s “Going to the Sun Highway” not open on 4 July 2022; Greenland’s 4000BP to Present central temperature record; Banff’s Sunshine village skiing has 1st Canada Day skiing in 31 years; biofuels vs food;
Have a look at the link below to see the detailed reviews, charts, and photos of the events mentioned above:
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
KIEV AND LVIV continued transmitting weather observations on 3 May. Note: Hartland institute provides an interesting weekly climate and environment review including impacts of the Ukrainian War, energy and crop issues …
see: https://heartlanddailynews.com/category/environment/?utm_source=ActiveCampaign&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Climate+Change+Weekly+#431:+What+Happens+When+Green+Energy+Fails?&utm_campaign=CCW+431+(4)
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records.
…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand and TS Alex’s heavy rains…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022. Global temperature anomalies on 30 June….
27 June 2022
A week of extremes from sweltering record heat to 4 to 8 GT increases in Greenland’s snow mass balance just before the summer solstice and record cool NE…
Heavy Monsoon Rains in India’s NE States created massive flooding that displaced a 4.7 million people this past week according to the BBC. ECMWF’s model also predicted 400 to 600 mm of rain over the next 10 days into July. I also watch Ethiopia and the filling of the massive White Nile dam that China built to irrigate the region and generate hydropower. Their highlands rains reached 200 mm this week as the N African Monsoon and moist deep convection (thunderstorms) is triggered.
The N Hemisphere Jet that spun up a deep storm over Canada’s Prairie Provinces that dumped snow in the Canadian Rockies and in Montana last week moved into the Hudson Bay (988 mb). The jet still produced a deep storm off SE Greenland and the UK that dumped a record 8 GT spike in the daily snow mass balance that SET a NEW record max. The classic Canadian and UK storms were clearly seen in Windy’s satellite image on 16 & 26 June 2022. This beautiful example of extratropical cyclone signatures also had an excellent temperature pattern that shows the warm (record breaking heat) and cold (comfortably cool) sectors across N America and Europe. Tropical Tidbits captured this nicely. I have put this case in my Weather Album - have a look. It shows how Nature balances the extremes - the physics of a hydrodynamic fluid always seeks equilibrium. Note New Brunswick and Maine had record cold 10ºC max T this week under a northerly flow.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 18-25 June as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow (20 to 90 cm) at high elevations.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
You can check https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022061200&fh=6 to see the surface temperature anomalies. On June 26 the NE had +4 to +12ºC above normal, while the NW from Wa to Ca we had +4 to 12ºC above normal and the Central US cooled to -4 to -10ºC below normal as a cold front blessed this region…
THE SW Monsoon started early from Mexico to NM and Colorado with ECMWF 10-day QPF of 67 to 92 mm from 17 & 26 June forecasts. NOAA’s 7-day QPF also had significant precipitation moving into the San Juans (2-3 inches and .5 to 1.5 in Montana). Let’s pray that this Monsoon resumes in force. Denver tied its 100º F earliest ever record T and stayed hot. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of these records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of severe weather and a strong SW Monsoon flow. see:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Europe had another large winter-like storm (988mb) moving past the UK keeping it relatively normal with a hot Spain and Portugal to France and Germany fed by hot desert air from Morocco. Slovenia remained comfortable but continued warming with thunderstorm rains and some severe hail. Even Afghanistan had June snow, and cold in India threatening young livestock and crops. The EU crop monitoring service reduced yield forecasts again this month. Check the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below.
see Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion.
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
Winter down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 940 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (92-219 CM; and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes (133-259cm), and S Georgia Island (67-160cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (25-215 cm). These storms and amounts of heavy snow (1-2 m) are more frequent than I have observed in May and June. New Zealand set new record low temperatures for June at -11ºC and -8.6º. Australia continues to have substantial rains (30-95 mm) with floods and crop losses in the NE gradually receding. Argentina and Brazil also are cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts move north. Argentina had record cold temperatures, frozen lakes and heavy snow in Mendoza and across Patagonia. Southern Africa has also felt the Antarctic cold as Namibia had snow and freezing cold that killed young livestock.
Australia’s Snowy Range NE of Melbourne continued to have a large area of snow with 6 to 33 cm predicted. Australia’s ski areas were opened 1-2 weeks early. Temperatures in early June to fall -6 to -12ºC BELOW normal. RECORD COLD IN BRASILIA AT 1.4ºC. Hundreds of record lows were broken in Brasil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia, Namibia & Botswana. The Peruvian Andes hit its first sub -20ºC this season (at 4250 m msl). Tasmania also had record cold temperatures -9.9ºC. Tasmania and Zimbabwe have severe cold warnings this week with Tasmania accumulating significant snowfall. Antarctic sea ice and snow pack are increasing at a fast rate. Arctic sea ice is at a 30-year high according to the Danish Arctic experts. Records across S America were rewritten on the cold side…
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Asia’s monsoon hit with a vengeance creating wide spread floods and debris flows. This week ECMWF predicted heavy rains from India: 300 mm to N Korea: 503 mm.
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
Note an extreme hot minimum temperature of ~100ºF may have been responsible for a herd of cattle mysteriously dying in Texas. Cattle need relatively cool nights to survive.
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies.
GOES WEST NH view STILL shows a steady stream of Pacific storms and AR hitting the Pacific NW south into N Calif. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. The Canadian Asparagus harvest is a month behind.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep low off UK this week. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic summer convective storms. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on crop losses in US, Canada, Brazil, Argentina, Ukraine, Russia… La Nina continues for 3rd year - not good for the SW US this winter. Cool Canada, record cool Japan. Sunspot analysis, Brisbane’s coldest start to winter ice 1904..Melbourne cold and Queensland’s icy blast, Antarctic coldest winter in recorded history (April-Sept 2021), Confluence of Catastrophes from weather to political technocratic tyranny…
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Interestingly the International Energy Agency has documented that since 2000 the world has doubled its coal-powered power capacity to around 2045 GW. China and India have not slowed their construction of coal plants, thus the developed countries that cut off fossil fuel use may have little impact on CO2 emissions. China continues to move forward with an additional 247 GW under construction and planning - this is 6 times Germany’s total coal fired capacity. China is also building an additional 235 GW of coal - fired capacity in other nations. Apparently these countries do not fear anthropogenic climate change; however, they like our climate alarmist fossil fuel curtailment. Who is really benefiting from this? Have a look at my website for physical discussions of climate controls. Today, 26 June Germany is studying off shore LPG terminals to import gas. These could be ready by December, we just need to produce the LPG…
SEE BBC.com
KIEV AND LVIV continued transmitting weather observations on 3 May. Note: Hartland institute provides an interesting weekly climate and environment review including impacts of the Ukrainian War, energy and crop issues …
see: https://heartlanddailynews.com/category/environment/?utm_source=ActiveCampaign&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Climate+Change+Weekly+#431:+What+Happens+When+Green+Energy+Fails?&utm_campaign=CCW+431+(4)
SEE SPECIAL NOTE THIS WEEK ON : TRANSFORMING THE US FOOD SYSTEM
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records. Record cold from Seattle to Denver hitting crop planting, MT, WY, NE, Colorado snows; late frosts in Turkey…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand and TS Alex’s heavy rains…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June; record cold in NZ 26 June 2022.
20 June 2022
A week of extremes from sweltering record heat to 4 to 8 GT increases in Greenland’s snow mass balance just before the summer solstice…
The N Hemisphere Jet spun up a deep storm over Canada’s Prairie Provinces that dumped snow in the Canadian Rockies and in Montana. The jet still produced a deep storm off SE Greenland that dumped a 4 GT spike in the daily snow mass balance that SET a NEW record max. The classic Canadian storm is clearly seen in Windy’s satellite image on 16 June 2022. This beautiful example of an extratropical cyclone signature also has an excellent temperature pattern that shows the warm (record breaking heat) and cold (comfortably cool) sectors across N America. Tropical Tidbits captured this nicely. I have put this case in my Weather Album - have a look. It shows how Nature balances the extremes - the physics of a hydrodynamic fluid always seeks equilibrium.
Note that Greenland, Iceland and Norway are still accumulating snow on 18-21 June as well as the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayas have significant snow at high elevations.
Have a look at these in the latest album:
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
You can check https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022061200&fh=6 to see the surface temperature anomalies. On June 18 the NE had -6 to -16ºC below normal, while the NW from Wa to Ca we had -4 to-16ºC below normal. Yellowstone National Park suffered extreme flooding that closed the N entrance road for the season. Heavy rain on top of deep snow created this extreme 1000-yr event according to the NPS. The Pacific Atmospheric River combined with a shortwave in the jet to trigger heavy precipitation.
THE SW Monsoon starts early from Mexico to NM and Colorado with ECMWF 10-day QPF of 67 to 89 mm from 17 June. NOAA’s 7-day QPF also had significant precipitation moving into the San Juans (2-3 inches and .5 to 1.5 in Montana). Let’s pray that this Monsoon resumes in force. Denver tied its 100º F earliest ever record T. The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin below has a nice summary of these records.
These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of severe weather and a deep Prairie Province 988mb low. see:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
Europe had another storm moving past the UK keeping it relatively normal with a hot Spain and Portugal to France and Germany fed by hot desert air from Morocco. Slovenia remained comfortable but continued warming.
on Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
Chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion.
Winter down under continued with incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 929 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica that are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (92-219 CM; and the Peninsula) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes (133-259cm), and S Georgia Island (67-135cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (25-215 cm). These storms and amounts of heavy snow (1-2 m) are more than I have consistently observed this early. Australia continues to have substantial rains (30-95 mm) with floods and crop losses in the NE gradually receding. Argentina and Brazil also are cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts move north.
Australia’s Snowy Range NE of Melbourne continued to have a large area of snow with 6 to 33 cm predicted. Australia’s ski areas are opened 1-2 weeks early. Temperatures in early June to fall -6 to -12ºC BELOW normal. RECORD COLD IN BRASILIA AT 1.4ºC. Hundreds of record lows were broken in Brasil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia, Namibia & Botswana. The Peruvian Andes hit its first sub -20ºC this season (at 4250 m msl). Tasmania also had record cold temperatures -9.9ºC. Tasmania and Zimbabwe have severe cold warnings this week with Tasmania accumulating significant snowfall. Antarctic sea ice and snow pack are increasing at a fast rate. Arctic sea ice is at a 30-year high according to the Danish Arctic experts. Records across S America were rewritten on the cold side…
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Cheyenne, WY had its coldest May in 71 years with many records smashed across the state. Seattle continues its cold April and May cool period in June. The Pacific NW now appears to have pollination problems due to the cold which are impacting crops. This was also reflected in JP Morgan’s statement that an “economic Hurricane” is coming.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
Note an extreme hot minimum temperature of ~100ºF may have been responsible for a herd of cattle mysteriously dying in Texas. Cattle need relatively cool nights to survive.
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies.
GOES WEST NH view STILL shows a steady stream of Pacific storms and AR hitting the Pacific NW south into N Calif. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. The Canadian Asparagus harvest is a month behind.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep low off Norway that had the remnants of Alex. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic summer convective storms. You could watch TS Alex move NE into the Atlantic. It became a major storm off the European coast. Pulses of this much moisture generate deep cyclonic storms. The ECMWF 10-day accumulation showed the track directly toward the UK. On 7 June this storm was east of Labrador heading into a larger extratropical cyclone to the west of Ireland. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on crop losses in US, Canada, Brazil, Argentina, Ukraine, Russia… La Nina continues for 3rd year - not good for the SW US this winter. Cool Canada, record cool Japan. Sunspot analysis, Brisbane’s coldest start to winter ice 1904..Melbourne cold and Queensland’s icy blast, Antarctic coldest winter in recorded history (April-Sept 2021), Confluence of Catastrophes from weather to political technocratic tyranny…
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Interestingly the International Energy Agency has documented that since 2000 the world has doubled its coal-powered power capacity to around 2045 GW. China and India have not slowed their construction of coal plants, thus the developed countries that cut off fossil fuel use may have little impact on CO2 emissions. China continues to move forward with an additional 247 GW under construction and planning - this is 6 times Germany’s total coal fired capacity. China is also building an additional 235 GW of coal - fired capacity in other nations. Apparently these countries do not fear anthropogenic climate change; however, they like our climate alarmist fossil fuel curtailment. Who is really benefiting from this? Have a look at my website for physical discussions of climate controls. …
BBC Europe had an interesting review of global impacts of fertilizer and fuel prices on agriculture from Brazil to Thailand and New Zealand, where people are under severe pressure to maintain food supplies and survive under high food and fuel prices. Many folks with productive farms cannot maintain production levels due to fertilizer shortages caused by the Ukrainian war. Some well off professionals in NZ are moving to Australia due to inflation’s impact on the cost of living there. SEE BBC.com
KIEV AND LVIV continued transmitting weather observations on 3 May. Note: Hartland institute provides an interesting weekly climate and environment review including impacts of the Ukrainian War, energy and crop issues …
see: https://heartlanddailynews.com/category/environment/?utm_source=ActiveCampaign&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Climate+Change+Weekly+#431:+What+Happens+When+Green+Energy+Fails?&utm_campaign=CCW+431+(4)
SEE SPECIAL NOTE THIS WEEK ON : TRANSFORMING THE US FOOD SYSTEM
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records. Record cold from Seattle to Denver hitting crop planting, MT, WY, NE, Colorado snows; late frosts in Turkey…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand and TS Alex’s heavy rains…to heatwaves in the SW US… record heavy snows on Greenland 21 June.
13 June 2022
The N Hemisphere Jet continues to weaken as it moves N; however, it still produces a few deep storms with an intense (977 mb) Atlantic storm south of Iceland again this week. Snowfall in N America decreased from Alaska to BC and the US as the region warmed under the rapidly approaching summer solstice. The US was blessed with a variety of extremes from cool wet Pacific NW conditions to a record blistering June heat wave from the SW to Texas which is moving east under a ridge in the Jet. Normally in summer the high pressure is associated with hot weather due to clear skies and warm advection (southerly flow in N Hem). The subsidence in the high warms and dries the air. In contrast in winter the high has a cold dome of Arctic air and it pulls cold air southward on the east side. You can check https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022061200&fh=6 to see the surface temperature anomalies. On June 12th, we had -2 to-5ºC below normal in Washington and +4 to+16ºC from California to Texas. New England and the East coast had Normal to -4ºC departures.
Europe felt the impact of TS Alex as it fed tropical moisture from the East Pacific across the tropical Atlantic and into a deep 977 mb low that hit Ireland on 9 June and moved to N Norway on 12 June. You can watch the progress of the moisture flux and cyclonic development on GOES-East satellite imagery. It is indeed a small world. These satellite video loops also clearly show the development of severe weather. see:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=120&dim=1
and on Windy at: https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,52.829,0.352,4
chose the 12h video loop to see cloud motion.
Incredibly strong Southern Hemisphere storms with intense deep (973 to 929 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica are pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (150-333 CM; and the Peninsula at 517 cm) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes (158-230cm), and S Georgia Island (67-135cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (80-353cm). These storms and amounts of heavy snow (1-4 m) are more than I have observed this early. Australia continues to have heavy rains (86-301 mm) with floods and crop losses in the NE gradually receding. Argentina and Brazil also are cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests as Antarctic cold fronts move north.
Australia’s Snowy Range NE of Melbourne continued to have a large area of snow with 50 to 102 cm predicted. Australia’s ski areas are opening 1-2 weeks early. Temperatures in early June to fall -6 to -12ºC BELOW normal. RECORD COLD IN BRASILIA AT 1.4ºC. Hundreds of record lows were broken in Brasil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia, Namibia & Botswana. The Peruvian Andes hit its first sub -20ºC this season (at 4250 m msl). Tasmania also had record cold temperatures -9.9ºC. Tasmania and Zimbabwe have severe cold warnings this week with Tasmania accumulating significant snowfall. Antarctic sea ice and snow pack are increasing at a fast rate. Arctic sea ice is at a 30-year high according to the Danish Arctic experts. Records across S America were rewritten on the cold side…
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
My weather album shows an example of the detailed cyclonic (low pressure) storm structure that is characterized by a comma cloud shape with the warm sector east of the cold front (where we may have record max temperatures) and the cold sector west of the front where we may have record cold temperatures. The storm’s cyclonic circulation (counter clockwise in the N Hem. and clockwise in the S. Hem,) drives the warm and cold air. The cold front is aligned parallel to the jet stream and has significant vertical and horizontal wind shear which triggers deep SEVERE thunderstorms when sufficient moisture and instability are available. Tornadoes may develop under the deep convection and wind shear here.
Cheyenne, WY had its coldest May in 71 years with many records smashed across the state. Seattle continues its cold April and May cool period in June. The Pacific NW now appears to have pollination problems due to the cold which are impacting crops. This was also reflected in JP Morgan’s statement that an “economic Hurricane” is coming.
FOOD AND ENERGY remain the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos last week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs were the weakest in 200 years.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies.
May’s warm temperatures are now improving planting in many parts of the world; HOWEVER LATE PLANTINGS ARE SUCEPTIBLE TO EARLY FALL FROSTS. See the Bulletin above. However, the bottom line will be lost crop production and food supplies this year. Many key producing areas are not reaching their normal output from harvests to planting. Crop yields will be impacted by climate variability and fertilizer access, fuel costs, and land mines.
GOES WEST NH view STILL shows a steady stream of Pacific storms and AR hitting the Pacific NW south into N Calif. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. The Canadian Asparagus harvest is a month behind.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows the deep low off Norway that had the remnants of Alex. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic summer convective storms. You could watch TS Alex move NE into the Atlantic. It became a major storm off the European coast. Pulses of this much moisture generate deep cyclonic storms. The ECMWF 10-day run accumulation shows the track directly toward the UK. On 7 June this storm was east of Labrador heading into a larger extratropical cyclone to the east of Ireland. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on crop losses in US, Canada, Brazil, Argentina, Ukraine, Russia… La Nina continues for 3rd year - not good for the SW US this winter. Cool Canada, record cool Japan. Sunspot analysis, Brisbane’s coldest start to winter ice 1904..Melbourne cold and Queensland’s icy blast, Antarctic coldest winter in recorded history (April-Sept 2021), Confluence of Catastrophes from weather to political technocratic tyranny…
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Interestingly the International Energy Agency has documented that since 2000 the world has doubled its coal-powered power capacity to around 2045 GW. China and India have not slowed their construction of coal plants, thus the developed countries that cut off fossil fuel use may have little impact on CO2 emissions. China continues to move forward with an additional 247 GW under construction and planning - this is 6 times Germany’s total coal fired capacity. China is also building an additional 235 GW of coal - fired capacity in other nations. Apparently these countries do not fear anthropogenic climate change; however, they like our climate alarmist fossil fuel curtailment. Who is really benefiting from this? Have a look at my website for physical discussions of climate controls. …
BBC Europe had an interesting review of global impacts of fertilizer and fuel prices on agriculture from Brazil to Thailand and New Zealand, where people are under severe pressure to maintain food supplies and survive under high food and fuel prices. Many folks with productive farms cannot maintain production levels due to fertilizer shortages caused by the Ukrainian war. Some well off professionals in NZ are moving to Australia due to inflation’s impact on the cost of living there. SEE BBC.com
KIEV AND LVIV continued transmitting weather observations on 3 May. Note: Hartland institute provides an interesting weekly climate and environment review including impacts of the Ukrainian War, energy and crop issues …
see: https://heartlanddailynews.com/category/environment/?utm_source=ActiveCampaign&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Climate+Change+Weekly+#431:+What+Happens+When+Green+Energy+Fails?&utm_campaign=CCW+431+(4)
SEE SPECIAL NOTE THIS WEEK ON : TRANSFORMING THE US FOOD SYSTEM
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records. Record cold from Seattle to Denver hitting crop planting, MT, WY, NE, Colorado snows; late frosts in Turkey…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand and TS Alex’s heavy rains…to heatwaves in the SW US
6 June 2022
FOOD AND ENERGY are the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos this week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work and their impacts on yields of various crops… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
BBC Europe had an interesting review of global impacts of fertilizer and fuel prices on agriculture from Brazil to Thailand and New Zealand, where people are under severe pressure to maintain food supplies and survive under high food and fuel prices. Many folks with productive farms cannot maintain production levels due to fertilizer shortages caused by the Ukrainian war. Some well off professionals in NZ are moving to Australia due to inflation’s impact on the cost of living there. SEE BBC.com
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production. This is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts. The last two GSMs are the weakest in 200 years.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our family food supplies.
May’s warm temperatures are now improving planting in many parts of the world. See the Bulletin above. However, the bottom line will be lost crop production and food supplies this year. Many key producing areas are not reaching their normal output from harvests to planting. Crop yields will be impacted by climate variability and fertilizer access, fuel costs, and land mines.
KIEV AND LVIV continued transmitting weather observations on 3 May. Note: Hartland institute provides an interesting weekly climate and environment review including impacts of the Ukrainian War, energy and crop issues …
see: https://heartlanddailynews.com/category/environment/?utm_source=ActiveCampaign&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Climate+Change+Weekly+#431:+What+Happens+When+Green+Energy+Fails?&utm_campaign=CCW+431+(4)
The N Hemisphere Jet continues to weaken as it moves N; however, it still produces a few deep storms with an intense (989 mb) Atlantic storm south of Iceland again this week. Snowfall in N America decreased from Alaska to BC and the US as the region warmed under the rapidly approaching midnight sun. However, in June Canada is still dealing with heavy June snow as Arctic cold fronts impact large areas. Vancouver Island Snowpack is 150% of normal.
Cheyenne, WY had its coldest May in 71 years with many records smashed across the state. Seattle continues its cold April and May cool period in June. The Pacific NW now appears to have pollination problems due to the cold which are impacting crops. This was also reflected in JP Morgan’s statement that an “economic Hurricane” is coming.
The eastern Pacific had its first named storm Athena which moved into the Gulf of Mexico producing very heavy rains across Cuba and Florida with flooding from its new name T S Alex.
GOES WEST NH view shows a steady stream of Pacific storms and AR hitting the Pacific NW south into N Calif. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. The Canadian Asparagus harvest is a month behind.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. The cold reached into the NW (-5 to-12º below normal) and N Rocky Mountains, then warm from Texas to ND and cool from Alabama to NY. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the latest detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America continued to show widespread snowfall from Canada’s coast range to Montana (70-20 cm). On May 12, 2022 the N Hemisphere looked much like mid winter with a 1046 mb cold dome over central Canada and a 1051 mb high over Greenland with a deep low 990 mb over MN that produced the unsettled weather. Today weaker highs 0f 1029 and 1040 mb respectively dominate. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows this pattern quite well. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic spring storm triggering severe weather along the cold front that extended from Arkansas to Ontario. TORNADOES in Texas and Oklahoma continued again this week as the Colorado storms moved east. Memorial Day weekend was a bit stormy as the fires in NM continued. You can watch TS Alex move NE into the Atlantic. It will be a storm to recon with in Europe. Pulses of this much moisture generate deep storms. The ECMWF 10-day run accumulation shows the track directly toward the UK. see:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.563,-33.223,4,m:ff3agyK
see also :https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
The Southern Hemisphere continues to move into winter with intense deep (973 to 933 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (150-333 CM; and the Peninsula at 517 cm) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes (158-230cm), and S Georgia Island(67-117cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps (80-353cm). These storms and amounts of heavy snow (1-4 m) are more than I have observed this early in their fall. Australia continues to have heavy rains (86-301 mm) with floods and crop losses in the NE gradually receding. Argentina and Brazil also are cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests an Antarctic cold front moved up across central Brazil - a rare occurrence. Australia’s Snowy Range NE of Melbourne continued to have a large area of snow with 50 to 102 cm predicted. Australia’s ski areas are opening 1-2 weeks early. Temperatures in early June to fall -6 to -12ºC BELOW normal. RECORD COLD IN BRASILIA AT 1.4ºC. Hundreds of lows were broken in Brasil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia, Namibia & Botswana. The Peruvian Andes hit its first sub-20ºC this season (at 4250 m msl). Tasmania also had record cold temperatures -9.9ºC. Tasmania and Zimbabwe have severe cold warnings this week with Tasmania accumulating significant snowfall. Antarctic sea ice and snow pack are increasing at a fast rate. Arctic sea ice is at a 30-year high according to the Danish Arctic experts. Records across S America were rewritten on the cold side…
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on crop losses in US, Canada, Brazil, Argentina, Ukraine, Russia… Cold April records in Puerto Rico, Italy, Spain, New Zealand and S America. La Nina continues for 3rd year - not good for the SW US this winter. Sharp uptick in Antarctic sea ice, exceptionally cold this fall (Mar-May 22), … BLUE BLOB cold SST off Greenland and the Beaufort Gyre under the Arctic Ocean. Record cold in Canada, Peru, Bolivia, Grain and fertilizer issues, Brits face 42% energy price increases; China buys BZ Grains…The Hunga Tonga Volcano caused the tallest ash plume ever recorded at 38 miles - 200,000 ft. This is having a significant impact on Eath’s radiation budget (cooling). Belgium experts show deaths due to environmental conditions have decreased from a maximum in 1930…
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Interestingly the International Energy Agency has documented that since 2000 the world has doubled its coal-powered power capacity to around 2045 GW. China and India have not slowed their construction of coal plants, thus the developed countries that cut off fossil fuel use may have little impact on CO2 emissions. China continues to move forward with an additional 247 GW under construction and planning - this is 6 times Germany’s total coal fired capacity. China is also building an additional 235 GW of coal - fired capacity in other nations. Apparently these countries do not fear anthropogenic climate change; however, they like our climate alarmist fossil fuel curtailment. Who is really benefiting from this? Have a look at my website for physical discussions of climate controls. …
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
Summer 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/UPA1dYMsEfqQ9u9SA
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records. Record cold from Seattle to Denver hitting crop planting, MT, WY, NE, Colorado snows; late frosts in Turkey…new heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand and TS Alex’s heavy rains…
30 May 2022
FOOD AND ENERGY are the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. The World Economic Forum in Davos this week addressed this critical survival challenge.
One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
BBC Europe had an interesting review of global impacts of fertilizer and fuel prices on agriculture from Brazil to Thailand and New Zealand, where people are under severe pressure to maintain food supplies and survive under high food prices. Many folks with productive farms cannot maintain production levels due to fertilizer shortages caused by the Ukrainian war. Some well off professionals in NZ are moving to Australia due to inflation’s impact on the cost of living there. SEE BBC.com
The Grand Solar Minimum CONTINUES TO impact global food production this is critical when combined with the Ukrainian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest cuts.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our individual food supplies.
May’s warm temperatures are now improving planting in many parts of the world. See the Bulletin above. However, the bottom line will be lost crop production and food supplies this year. Many key producing areas are not reaching their normal output from harvests to planting. Crop yields will be impacted by climate variability and fertilizer access, fuel costs, and land mines.
KIEV AND LVIV continued transmitting weather observations on 3 May. Note: Hartland institute provides an interesting weekly climate and environment review including impacts of the Ukrainian War, energy and crop issues …
see: https://heartlanddailynews.com/category/environment/?utm_source=ActiveCampaign&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Climate+Change+Weekly+#431:+What+Happens+When+Green+Energy+Fails?&utm_campaign=CCW+431+(4)
The N Hemisphere Jet remained relatively strong with an intense (990 mb) Atlantic storm south of Iceland. MONTANA and Wyoming (33-133 cm) had the highest snow forecast in the US in this week’s 10-day ECMWF forecast. NOAA gave MT 2-4 inches of rain in their 7-Day forecast on 26 May. Colorado had 10 to 30 cm in that forecast. Last week’s snowstorm brought extreme winter conditions blocking Vail Pass much like mid-winter with large areas of Hard Freeze that kills crops. The latest US Navy model put Colorado in a WNW flow with a couple short waves passing us thru 30 May with relatively cold temperatures then warming according to the GFS model. The NW continued to be battered with Pacific storms. Unfortunately NM was on the very dry windy side of these storms and suffered extreme fire danger and record state-wide fires. A-BASIN ski area had a 16 inch storm and was open on Memorial Day.
GOES WEST NH view shows a steady stream of Pacific storms and AR hitting the Pacific NW south into N Calif. Canada had its lowest late May temperature on record at -22.2ºC on 25 May. Its record for June is just -20.6ºC which it may hit next week. The Canadian Asparagus harvest is a month behind.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. The cold reached into the NW (-5 to-12º below normal) and N Rocky Mountains, then warm from Texas to ND and cool from Alabama to NY. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built into the text for those interested in quickly accessing the detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America continued to show widespread snowfall from the Cascades (70-160 cm) to Montana. On May 12, 2022 the N Hemisphere looked much like mid winter with a 1046 mb cold dome over central Canada and a 1051 mb high over Greenland with a deep low 990 mb over MN continuing the unsettled weather. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows this pattern quite well. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic spring storm triggering severe weather along the cold front that extended from MI to Tx. TORNADOES in Texas and Oklahoma continued again this week as the Colorado storms moved east. Memorial Day weekend was a bit stormy as the fires in NM continued.
see:https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
The Southern Hemisphere continues to move into winter with intense deep (973 to 933 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (150-333 CM) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes(158-230cm), and S Georgia Island(67-117cm), and New Zealand’s Southern Alps(25-82cm). These storms and amounts of heavy snow (1-4 m) are more than I have observed this early in their fall. Australia continues to have heavy rains (126-376 mm) with floods and crop losses in the NE gradually receding. Argentina and Brazil also are cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests an Antarctic cold front moved up across central Brazil - a rare occurrence. Australia’s Snowy Range NE of Melbourne continued to have a large area of snow with 50 to 132 cm predicted. RECORD COLD IN BRASILIA AT 1.4ºC. Hundreds of lows were broken in Brasil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia, Namibia & Botswana. The Peruvian Andes hit its first sub-20ºC this season (at 4250 m msl). Tasmania also had record cold temperatures -9.9ºC.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on crop losses in US, Canada, Brazil, Argentina, Ukraine, Russia… Cold April records in Puerto Rico, Italy, Spain, New Zealand and S America. La Nina continues for 3rd year - not good for the SW US this winter. Sharp uptick in Antarctic sea ice, exceptionally cold this fall (Mar-May 22), … BLUE BLOB cold SST off Greenland and the Beaufort Gyre under the Arctic Ocean. Record cold in Canada, Peru, Bolivia, Grain and fertilizer issues, Brits face 42% energy price increases; China buys BZ Grains…
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Interestingly the International Energy Agency has documented that since 2000 the world has doubled its coal-powered power capacity to around 2045 GW. China and India have not slowed their construction of coal plants, thus the developed countries that cut off fossil fuel use may have little impact on CO2 emissions. China continues to move forward with an additional 247 GW under construction and planning - this is 6 times Germany’s total coal fired capacity. China is also building an additional 235 GW of coal - fired capacity in other nations. Apparently these countries do not fear anthropogenic climate change; however, they like our climate alarmist fossil fuel curtailment. Who is really benefiting from this? Have a look at my website for physical discussions of climate controls. …
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records. Record cold from Seattle to Denver hitting crop planting, MT, WY, NE, Colorado snows; late frosts in Turkey…
23 May 2022
FOOD AND ENERGY will be the primary global challenges of 2022. These logs are designed to keep you informed regarding the impacts of weather on our lives. One excellent source of information that the USDA and NOAA compile each week is the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. I have read this since my subscription in High School and now can see it on-line FOR FREE. The Bulletin provides global coverage of everything from soil temperature and moisture to growing degree days and days suitable for field work… For those interested in an in-depth global analysis I suggest checking:
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/wwcb.pdf
The Grand Solar Minimum’s CONTINUES TO impact global food production THIS is critical when combined with the Ukranian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest shortages. Wet fields on Vancouver Island, the US Mid-West, deep snow and potential floods in Canada, frozen ground still in Finland and parts of Russia combine with southern Hemisphere’s drought and early frosts in Brazil and Argentina, and floods in Australia all are taking their toll on global crop yields. Note: CNN, BBC, and Fox News have had comprehensive commentaries on the global food crisis this week.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our individual food supplies.
May’s warm temperatures are now improving planting in many parts of the world. See the Bulletin above. The bottom line will be lost crop production and food supply this year. Many key producing areas are not reaching their normal output from harvests to planting. Crop yields will be impacted by climate variability and fertilizer access, fuel costs, and land mines.
KIEV AND LVIV continued transmitting weather observations on 3 May. Note: Hartland institute provides an interesting weekly climate and environment review including impacts of the Ukrainian War, energy and crop issues …
see: https://heartlanddailynews.com/category/environment/?utm_source=ActiveCampaign&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Climate+Change+Weekly+#431:+What+Happens+When+Green+Energy+Fails?&utm_campaign=CCW+431+(4)
The N Hemisphere Jet remained relatively strong with an intense (982 mb) Atlantic storm south of Iceland. Colorado had the highest snow forecast in the US this week with 20-73 cm in the 10-day ECMWF forecast. NOAA gave us .5 to 2 inches of rain in their 7-Day forecast on 19 May. A shortwave moved across the NW with a secondary low developing in SE Colo. Colorado’s May snowstorm brought extreme winter conditions blocking Vail Pass much like mid-winter with large areas of Hard Freeze that kills crops. We had a 19ºF minimum and 10-12 inches at our home at 2951 m msl. The latest US Navy model put Colorado in a NW flow with a couple short waves passing us thru 25 May with relatively cold temperatures according to the GFS model.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. The cold reached into the NW and Rocky Mountains, then warm from Texas and mid-West to Maine with departures and Wisconsin +12ºC from normal on 13 May. This pattern reverses on 17 May. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built in to the text for those interested in quickly accessing the detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America continued to show widespread snowfall from the Cascades (70-160 cm) to Montana. On May 12, 2022 the N Hemisphere looked much like mid winter with a 1046 mb cold dome over central Canada and a 1051 mb high over Greenland with a deep low 990 mb over MN continuing the unsettled weather. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows this pattern quite well. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic spring storm triggering severe weather along the cold front that extended from MI to Tx. TORNADOES in Texas and Oklahoma continued again this week as the Colorado storms moved east.
see:https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
The Southern Hemisphere continues to move into winter with intense deep (980 to 940 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains-especially those above the Thwaites Glacier (100-184 CM) - remember this “melting glacier” was to raise sea level 10 ft; the Andes(142-230cm), and S Georgia Island(65-102cm), and this week in Tasmania and New Zealand’s Alps(38-56cm). These storms and amounts of heavy snow (1-4 m) are more than I have observed this early in their fall. Australia continues to have heavy rains (161-465 mm) with floods and crop losses in the NE. Argentina and Brazil also are cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests. Australia’s Snowy Range NE of Melbourne had a large area of snow with 20 to 50 cm predicted. RECORD COLD IN BRASILIA AT 1.4ºC. Hundreds of lows were broken in Brasil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Bolivia.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on crop losses in US, Canada, Brazil, Argentina, Ukraine, Russia… Cold April records in Puerto Rico, Italy, Spain, New Zealand and S America. La Nina continues for 3rd year - not good for the SW US this winter. Sharp uptick in Antarctic sea ice, exceptionally cold this fall (Mar-May 22), … BLUE BLOB cold SST off Greenland and the Beaufort Gyre under the Arctic Ocean.…
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Interestingly the International Energy Agency has documented that since 2000 the world has doubled its coal-powered power capacity to around 2045 GW. China and India have not slowed their construction of coal plants, thus the developed countries that cut off fossil fuel use may have little impact on CO2 emissions. China continues to move forward with an additional 247 GW under construction and planning - this is 6 times Germany’s total coal fired capacity. China is also building an additional 235 GW of coal - fired capacity in other nations. Apparently these countries do not fear anthropogenic climate change; however, they like our climate alarmist fossil fuel curtailment. Who is really benefiting from this? …
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic; S American, S Africa low T records. Record cold from Seattle to Denver hitting crop planting, Colorado’s snow max…
16 May 2022
The Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) CONTINUES TO impact global food production THIS is critical when combined with the Ukranian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest shortages. Wet fields on Vancouver Island, the US Mid-West, deep snow and potential floods in Canada, frozen ground still in Finland and parts of Russia combine with southern Hemisphere’s drought and early frosts in Brazil and Argentina, and floods in Australia all are taking their toll on global crop yields. Note: CNN, BBC, and Fox News have had comprehensive commentaries on the global food crisis this week.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our individual food supplies.
May is still having a cold planting start in many parts of the world in both hemispheres. However, some areas like Pakistan and TEXAS set record heat waves last week. The bottom line will be lost crop production and food supply this year. Many key producing areas are not reaching their normal output from harvests to planting. Crop yields will be impacted by climate variability and fertilizer access, fuel costs, and land mines.
KIEV AND LVIV continued transmitting weather observations on 3 May. Note: Hartland institute provides an interesting weekly climate and environment review including impacts of the Ukrainian War…
see: https://heartlanddailynews.com/category/environment/?utm_source=ActiveCampaign&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Climate+Change+Weekly+#431:+What+Happens+When+Green+Energy+Fails?&utm_campaign=CCW+431+(4)
As the sun marches north, the N Hemisphere pressure gradient relaxes and the Jet stream weakens and moves north; however, this spring continues to have many strong shortwaves and large atmospheric rivers streaming across the Pacific and the Atlantic. The N Hemisphere Jet remained relatively strong with an intense (982 mb) Pacific storm in the Eastern Pacific extending from N of Hawaii to the Gulf of Alaska. Part of this AR is hitting the Pacific NW and dropped into the West including Wyoming and N Colorado. After this moved to the Plains more severe weather and heat moved N from Tx to the Prairie Provinces of Canada. This area of warm advection broke many heat records on Mothers Day 8 May and again this week. One unusual upper level storm developed in the SE dumping heavy rains (0.5 to 4 inches) from Virginia to Georgia from 11 to 14 May. Coastal areas from Georgia to Maine were battered with high waves.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. The cold reached into the NW and Rocky Mountains, then warm from Texas and mid-West to Maine with departures and Wisconsin +12ºC from normal on 13 May. This pattern reverses on 17 May. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built in to the text for those interested in quickly accessing the detailed meteorological charts and images. You can step thru the model forecasts out to 10 days.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America continued to show widespread snowfall from the Cascades (70-160 cm) to Montana. On May 12, 2022 the N Hemisphere looked much like mid winter with a 1046 mb cold dome over central Canada and a 1051 mb high over Greenland with a deep low 990 mb over MN continuing the unsettled weather. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows this pattern quite well. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic spring storm triggering severe weather along the cold front that extended from MI to Tx. TORNADOES in Texas and Oklahoma continued again this week as the Colorado storms moved east.
see:https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
The Southern Hemisphere continues to move into winter with deep (970 to 923 mb) cyclonic storms circling Antarctica pumping heavy snow onto the coastal mountains, the Andes, and S Georgia Island, and this week in Tasmania and New Zealand’s Alps. These storms and amounts of heavy snow (1-4 m) are more than I have observed this early. Australia continues to have heavy rains (161-465 mm) with floods and crop losses. Argentina and Brazil also are cooling with frosts that harm crop harvests.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes AND IMPACTS. This week it focuses on crop losses in US, Canada, Brazil, Argentina, Ukraine, Russia… Cold April records in Puerto Rico, Italy, Spain, New Zealand and S America. La Nina continues for 3rd year - not good for the SW US this winter. Sharp uptick in Antarctic sea ice, exceptionally cold this fall(Mar-May 22), … BLUE BLOB cold SST off Greenland .…
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Interestingly the International Energy Agency has documented that since 2000 the world has doubled its coal-powered power capacity to around 2045 GW. China and India have not slowed their construction of coal plants, thus the developed countries cut of fossil fuel use may have little impact on CO2 emissions. China continues to move forward with an additional 247 GW under construction and planning - this is 6 times Germany’s total coal fired capacity. China is also building an additional 235 GW of coal - fired capacity in other nations. Apparently these countries do not fear climate change…
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses… Snow in Hawaii on May 2nd. Deep storms circling the Antarctic…
9 May 2022
The Grand Solar Minimum’s impact on global food production is becoming critical when combined with the Ukranian War, gas shortages, fertilizer production, farm planting and harvest shortages. Wet fields on Vancouver Island, the US Mid-West, deep snow and potential floods in Canada, frozen ground still in Finland and parts of Russia combine with southern Hemisphere’s drought and early frosts in Brazil and Argentina, and floods in Australia all are taking their toll on global crop yields. Note: CNN, BBC, and Fox News have had comprehensive commentaries on the global food crisis this week.
We need to develop our family gardens, and hydroponic, aeroponic, and aquaponic greenhouses to protect our individual food supplies.
May is having a cold start in many parts of the world in both hemispheres. However,
some areas like Pakistan and TEXAS set record heat waves. The bottom line will be lost crop production and food supply this year. Many key producing areas are not reaching their normal output from harvests to planting. Crop yields will be impacted by climate variability and fertilizer access, and land mines.
KIEV AND LVIV resumed transmitting weather observations on 3 May. Note: Hartland institute provides an interesting weekly climate and environment review including impacts of the Ukrainian War…
see: https://heartlanddailynews.com/category/environment/?utm_source=ActiveCampaign&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Climate+Change+Weekly+#431:+What+Happens+When+Green+Energy+Fails?&utm_campaign=CCW+431+(4)
As the sun marches north, the N Hemisphere pressure gradient relaxes and the Jet stream weakens; however, this spring continues to have many strong storms and large atmospheric rivers streaming across the Pacific and the Atlantic. The N Hemisphere Jet remained relatively strong with an intense (982 mb) Pacific storm in the Eastern Pacific extending from N of Hawaii to the Gulf of Alaska. Part of this AR will impact the Pacific NW and drop into the West including Colorado on a short wave. After this moved to the Plains more severe weather and heat moved N from Tx to the Prairie Provinces of Canada. This area of warm advection may break many heat records on Mothers Day 8 May.
see: https://www.windy.com/?300h,51.179,-79.014,3
Surprisingly the Honolulu NWS put parts of the island under a “Winter Weather Advisory” for icy roads and snow!!
Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. The cold reached into the Great Basin, Texas and mid-West with -8 to -16ºC departures and west Tx -12ºC from normal on 3 May. This pattern reversed on 8 May. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built in to the text for those interested in quickly accessing the detailed meteorological charts and images.
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022041712&fh=6
see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/
ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for America showed widespread snowfall from the Cascades (70-160 cm) to MN. On April 24, 2022 the N Hemisphere looked much like mid winter with a 1046 mb cold dome over central Canada and a 1051 mb high over Greenland with a deep low 990 mb over MN continuing the unsettled weather. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows this pattern quite well. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic spring storm triggering severe weather along the cold front that extended from MI to Tx. TORNADOES in Texas and Oklahoma continued again this week as the Colorado storms moved east.
see:https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,55.826,-73.608,4
https://ocean.weather.gov/UA/OPC_ATL.gif
https://weather.gc.ca/data/analysis/935_100.gif
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes, crop loss, FAO food prices, volcanic & seismic activity, and articles… Today, it reviews global crop losses, a cold April in Europe, cold Antarctic April records…
see: https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss, global crop losses…
25 April 2022
The N Hemisphere Jet remained relatively strong with intense short waves traveling eastward within the meridional flows. Colorado had two injections of atmospheric river moisture as Pacific fronts provided several pulses of energy that generated intermittent snow. One strong short wave triggered snow along a front from Colo to ND and MN with an intense cold front that moved across the South from Texas to Georgia which triggering severe weather with numerous TORNADOES and damaging winds - an extreme spring event once again. On 22-23 April this system continued to develop spread severe spring storms from Texas to MN that slowly moved to the East coast producing a soggy rain/snow mix from the coast to ND. ND again was in the bullseye of this winter storm and got 20-30 inches of new snow. ND and the northern tier states remained in the snow into 4/22/22. Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. The cold reached into Arkansas with -8 to -16ºC departures and west Tx -20ºC from normal on 4 May. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built in to the text for those interested in quickly accessing the detailed meteorological charts and images.
Prince George, BC again set a new record snowfall on 22 April with cold temperatures -11ºC setting a new record. Binghamton, NY set a new record of 14 inches a 2-day April record. The snow and freezes threaten crop losses and calf losses during this calving season. These N American losses combined with the Ukranian War are creating surging food prices and starvation. Students in Manitoba missed up to 3 weeks of school due to wintry conditions in 2021-2022 .
CSU’s hurricane forecast team predicted 30% more storms than average with 19 named, 9 hurricanes and 4 > cat 3 storms. The weakening la Nina continued to dominate the equatorial Pacific.
From 23-24 April Colorado again returned to winter with a major Pacific NW storm and AR dumping significant snowfall (6-12 inches) on the highest peaks with hard freezes in the valleys and strong gusty winds - 40 to 50 kt with high fire danger across all of eastern Colorado. NOAA had multiple warnings out for the week. see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/ ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for America showed widespread snowfall from the Cascades (70-160 cm) to MN. On April 24, 2022 the N Hemisphere looked much like mid winter with a 1046 mb cold dome over central Canada and a 1044 mb high over Greenland with a deep low 990 mb over MN continuing the unsettled weather. Environment Canada’s global surface analysis shows this pattern quite well. The GOES East global satellite image loop clearly shows this classic spring storm triggering severe weather along the cold front that extended from MI to Tx.
EUROPE was dominated by a large trough that pushed moisture from the MED into central Europe. The ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast showed Iceland getting 10 to 30 cm this week as Western Europe was snow free except in the Alps. The temperature anomaly forecasts showed several waves of warm then cold anomalies… Note: you can use the cursor to look at the full 2-week daily forecast dT. Slovenia’s Kredarica mountain observatory
regained its 210 cm of snow, yet still significantly below the average of 325 cm on this date.
Again this week deep (944 - 973 mb) storms continued to circle the Antarctic dumping heavy snow (1-2 m) along the coast especially on the Peninsula and Thwaites Glacier. Central Plateau highlands (2800 to 3500 m msl) had temperatures drop to -72ºC ~-94ºF…winter is approaching. The French-Italian Concordia station reached -79ºC (-111ºF). ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast showed moderate snow (146 to 211 cm) on the Peninsula and 5 deep storms circling the Continent. The Weddell Sea is completely frozen and most of the Ross Sea is frozen his week.
Australia continued to have locally heavy precipitation and a wide range of temperatures this week.
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes, crop loss, volcanic & seismic activity, and articles… Today, it reviews Little Ice Age impacts on life from 1300 to 1860. Argentina’s predicted long winter and crop and energy shortages. Washington State cold records and snows. ….
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss time line, and photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere. Ukraine weather charts have been added again this week and a description of the Sudden Stratospheric Warming SSW and resulting strong Polar Vortex over the Arctic Ocean.
18 April 2022
The N Hemisphere Jet remained strong with intense short waves traveling eastward with strong meridional flows. Colorado had a moderate atmospheric river and several pulses of energy that kept us in clouds and intermittent snow all week - - Quite unusual and cold. One strong short wave spun up another strong low (986 mb) - and perfect cyclone pattern over MN with an intense cold front that moved across the South from Texas to Georgia triggering severe weather with numerous TORNADOES and damaging winds - an extreme spring event once again. On 12th April this system continued to develop and spin off a secondary low off the mid-Atlantic states that slowly moved up the East coast producing a soggy rain/snow mix from the coast to ND. ND was in the bullseye of this winter storm and got 20-30 inches of new snow. ND and the northern tier states remained in the snow into 4/19/22. Tropical Tidbits provides a daily temperature anomaly for the GFS model forecasts. The cold reached into Arkansas with -8 to -16ºC departures from normal. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built in to the text for those interested in quickly accessing the detailed meteorological charts and images.
CSU’s hurricane forecast team predicted 30% more storms than average with 19 named, 9 hurricanes and 4 > cat 3 storms. The la Nina continued to dominate the equatorial Pacific.
From 10 to 18 April Colorado returned to winter with a major Pacific NW storm and AR dumping significant snowfall (6-12 inches) on the highest peaks with hard freezes in the valleys and strong gusty winds - 40 to 50 kt with high fore danger across all of eastern Colorado. NOAA had multiple warnings out for the week. see https://www.weather.gov/gjt/ ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for America showed widespread snowfall from the Cascades (70-160 cm) to Pennsylvania.
EUROPE was dominated by a strong 1036 mb high that pulled Arctic air south from the Barents Sea into central Europe. The ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast showed Iceland getting 40 to 110 cm this week as Western Europe was snow free except in the Alps. The temperature anomaly here was +3 to 6º in Spain and -4 to -8º in Eastern Europe on 4/17/22. Note: you can use the cursor to look at the full 2-week daily forecast dT.
Again this week deep (953 - 973 mb) storms continued to circle the Antarctic dumping heavy snow (1-2 m) along the coast especially on the Peninsula and Thwaites Glacier. Central Plateau highlands (2800 to 3500 m msl) had temperatures drop to -70ºC ~-90ºF…winter is approaching. ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast showed moderate snow (146 to 211 cm) on the Peninsula and 5 deep storms circling the Continent. The Weddell Sea is completely frozen and most of the Ross Sea is frozen his week.
Australia continued to have locally heavy precipitation and a wide range of temperatures this week.
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes, crop loss, volcanic & seismic activity, and articles… Today, it reviews Little Ice Age impacts on life from 1300 to 1860. Argentina’s predicted long winter and crop and energy shortages. Washington State cold records and snows. ….
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss time line, and photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere. Ukraine weather charts have been added again this week and a description of the Sudden Stratospheric Warming SSW and resulting strong Polar Vortex over the Arctic Ocean. March Middle-East snows…
11 April 2022
The N Hemisphere Jet remained strong with intense short waves traveling eastward with strong meridional flows. Colorado had very high winds all day on 5 April as a jet max passed over producing >100kt winds (45 kt at my house) with BS++ Blowing Snow that was whipped up 50 to 100 ft above the ground. This jet max spun up a strong low (986 mb) - perfect cyclone pattern over MN with an intense cold front that moved across the South from Texas to Georgia triggering severe weather with numerous TORNADOES and damaging winds - an extreme spring event. On 7 April this system continued to develop and spin off a secondary low off Cape Hatteras that slowly moved up the East coast producing a soggy rain/snow mix from the coast to MI. Note: These logs now have hyperlinks built in to the text for those interested in quickly accessing the detailed meteorological charts and images.
CSU’s hurricane forecast team predicted 30% more storms than average with 19 named, 9 hurricanes and 4 > cat 3 storms. The la Nina continued to dominate the equatorial Pacific.
This week Colorado will return to winter with a major Pacific NW storm and AR dumping significant snowfall (6-12 inches) to the Rockies on 12-13 April with hard freezes in the valleys and strong gusty winds -40 to 50 kt. NOAA has multiple warnings out for the next few days see: https://www.weather.gov/gjt/weatherstory ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast for N America showed widespread snowfall from the Cascades (141 cm) to Pennsylvania.
EUROPE was dominated by a deep 966 mb low over the Baltic sea that pulled Arctic air south across the N Sea into central Europe. The satellite image showed cold unstable open cell convection (convective showers) pouring south into the NL and Germany. Scotland continued to get snow this week with 21 to 64 cm in the Highlands. Slovenia reached 235 cm at Kredarica before dropping back to 190 cm then back up as cold storms hit the county taking the snow line into Ljubljana. The ECMWF model’s 10-day forecast showed Iceland getting 165 cm this week as Western Europe was snow free.
Deep (937 - 973 mb) storms continue to circle the Antarctic dumping heavy snow (1-2 m) along the coast especially on the Peninsula and Thwaites Glacier. Central Plateau highlands (2800 to 3500 m msl) had temperatures drop to -70ºC ~-90ºF…winter is approaching. ECMWF shows heavy snow (177 cm) on the Peninsula and 5 deep storms circling the Continent.
Electroverse provides detailed descriptions of global extreme weather that may be linked to the Grand Solar Minimum each day. You can check weather extremes, crop loss, volcanic & seismic activity, and articles… Today, it reviews America’s Spring Freeze, Shiveluch Eruption, Big snowstorm in the Alps, rare Vancouver April snow, Turkey’s 2nd coldest March on record, cool Florida Temperatures, IPCC’s push to low carbon food systems… France suffers coldest ever April night - not good for vineyards! … Antarctica hit-70.6ºC (-95.1ºF)
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss time line, and photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere. Ukraine weather charts have been added again this week and a description of the Sudden Stratospheric Warming SSW and resulting strong Polar Vortex over the Arctic Ocean. March Middle-East snows…
4 APRIL 2022
Colorado’s mid-week storm moved quickly into Nebraska and NE into Ontario. While it provided much needed moisture, it failed to connect with an Atmospheric River AR, so we did not have a large amount of snow 4-8 inches in the central mountains. However, it triggered squall lines along the cold front that produced sever weather and TORNADOES from TX to MO.
The models give us a couple short waves with some additional moisture. The satellite imagery also shows a mid-level AR that will help the western ridge retrograde westward (3/31/22). We’ll see. Today’s satellite imagery shows the AR moving into the Pacific Northwest with heavy precipitation from the Olympics to the Cascades and ECMWF forecasts extend the significant (50 to 70 cm ) snow into Wyoming and Colorado for this week.
Many cold records were set in NY and Toronto this last week of March. Toronto broke its 100-yr record as Ontario had sub-zero temperatures with lows that felt like -20ºC - more like dead of winter. Newark broke its 1919 max T record by 3ºF at 32º a hundreds of rcords fell in the Eastern US. In contrast from Texas to Montana high temperature records were also set in the strong meridional (N-S) flow that marched eastward.
Western North America continued to have strong Aleutian and Gulf of Alaska lows that pounded the coastal ranges with 1 to 3 m of new snow. The AR continued to flow into NW N America. Eastern N America also had deep cyclonic storms off New Foundland which were well defined in Environment Canada’s analyses.
Europe finally had some significant rain and snow in the Central and Western areas as a cold front and deep trough brought much needed cold moist Atlantic and Med air into Slovenia and central Europe ending the beautiful blue skies. SLO had widespread snow at higher elevations with Kredarica reaching 190 cm on 2 April still 1 m below normal. The broad deep cold trough brought cold air across N Africa from Morocco to the Middle East. The UK forecast was for the coldest start to April in 100 years. From Scotland’s Highlands (50 + cm) to the Midlands snow continued to fall in April after a snowy March. Even Holland had record cold that permitted ice skating on naturally formed ice in Winterswijk. Germany, France, and Spain also set monthly low temperature records.
UKRAINE had rain and snow on 3 April with cold temperatures of 1 to 3ºC. Kiev and Lviv continued to report.
SE Asia had an historic cold spell with sub 20ºC temperatures in April ! Japan and Korea continued to have snow at higher elevations.
The Antarctic had a major winter storm (928 mb) north of the Thwaites Glacier that dumped 1-2 m of new snow in the ECMWF model forecast on 31 Mar 2022. The sea ice continues to expand covering the Weddell Sea and 80% of the Ross Sea. Temperatures continue to drop with many high elevations below -60ºC now. Concordia Station in Eastern Antarctica hit -11.8ºC on march 18th, a record max T, followed by extreme cold as the Conger ice shelf broke off. This was 1200 km2 about 0.0086% of Antarctica’s 14 M km2 ice sheet. These ice shifts have been occurring for millions of years, often caused by the severe winds around deep Southern Ocean storms with 10 to 14 m waves… Last winter the Antarctic suffered its coldest winter in recorded history with an average temperature of -78ºF (-61.1ºC).
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss time line, and photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere. Ukraine weather charts have been added again this week and a description of the Sudden Stratospheric Warming SSW and resulting strong Polar Vortex over the Arctic Ocean. March Middle-East snows…
28 Mar 2022
Ukraine stations at Kiev and Lviv continue reporting under a strong high, mostly clear skies and cool temperatures. In contrast SLOvenia had clear skies and warm days with cold nights with low humidity permitting strong radiational cooling. Snow in the mountains melted rapidly and Kredarica reached 135 cm about 100 cm below normal. This week’s forecast will bring significant mountain snows. A cold winter storm west of Portugal also dumped significant snowfall from Morocco’s High Atlas to the Pyrenees and the Maritime Alps, while the strong European high kept the central and northern Alps relatively dry.
On the other side of Eurasia the SE Himalaya N of Miramar received 132-338 cm as the Tibetan Plateau and SW China’s mountains also had significant snows with their record cold. Japan and Korea continued their winter snows this week with 10 to 90 cm and record March cold temperatures.
Severe weather ripped through the South from Texas to Georgia this week. As another snow storm hit further north. The NE SET COLD RECORDS WHILE THE WEST REMAINED WARM AND DRY SETTING MAX T RECORDS. Lake Mead reached 30% of capacity a near record low that threatens hydropower generation. Significant heavy precipitation is needed from California to Colorado. A deep intense storm is moving into the SW and may help the situation. This will develop into some heavy snow in the Rockies and severe storms again from Texas to Mississippi, Alabama, and Arkansas by Wednesday. The Nor’easter that exited NE brought strong cold (10 to18ºF) NW winds across the region with a snow squall that caused major accident in PA today. The NE cold also broke records for March. The models are predicting a series of Pacific storms that will hopefully help mitigate the SW drought during the next 10 days.
Intense Pacific storms continued to dump heavy snows on the N American Coastal Range from Anchorage (221-452 cm) to Vancouver (113-323 cm). On the other side, Greenland also continued to pick up significant snowfall (82 to 233 cm) as the Surface Mass Balance exceeded 2 to 10 GT (2 to 10 km3) of water PER DAY. The 10 GT was a daily record increase in SMB.
The S Hemisphere continued to cool as fall weather dominated. The Antarctic’s sea ice grew rapidly under -10 to -30ºC temperatures and -60s in the interior. Arctic Ocean sea ice was also at a 15 year maximum extent in March under some record cold temperatures. The Antarctic average temperature has cooled 2.4ºC over the past 40 years with West Antarctica cooling 1.6º. However, the Antarctic Peninsula has seen warming,(not statistically significant) but MSM focuses on that warming. The South Pole suffered the “coldest coreless winter” (April-Sept) in recorded history. The Antarctic ice sheet has been expanding in 2020 and 2021 to levels of 30 years ago. Satellite data show an increase of ~1%/decade for 1979-2021 - the satellite era.
The Andes continued to pick up significant snowfall this week with 183 to 275 cm. Argentina and Brazil remained relatively dry; however, they had some significant thunderstorms. Australia and New Zealand had some intense storms with 156 to 424 mm and 51 to 247 mm respectively.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss time line, and photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere. Ukraine weather charts have been added again this week and a description of the Sudden Stratospheric Warming SSW and resulting strong Polar Vortex over the Arctic Ocean. March Middle-East snows…
21 Mar 2022
Vernal Equinox - Spring is here 20 Mar ! Could have fooled Denver with 4-8 inches.
Ukraine continued to have relatively cold dry days with a few periods of snow as the War continued to devastate the population. Lviv weather station was briefly knocked off the air when the airport was hit. A strong 1046 mb high was stationary over the region. windy.com added improved radioactivity monitoring stations in Ukraine to its charts.
The N Hemisphere jet remained strong bringing intense short waves and storms from Japan to Norway and the Middle East. These storms rotated around the Polar Vortex that centered over the Arctic Ocean. The mountains of Lebanon continued to get 50 to 80 cm of new snowfall as Turkey and Armenia remained in winter with 80 to 110 cm with 9 m drifts. Morocco also had notable snow on the High Atlas 15 to 70 cm. The islands south of Athens even had 20-50 cm of snow. On 21 March, winter-like extreme highs and lows dominated the N Hemisphere with a 1059 mb on Greenland and a 976 mb low over the Barents Sea N of Siberia. The Balkans had a 1043 mb high keeping the region from Russia to Slovenia clear and cold. Slovenia had many clear cold dry (18% RH) mornings with temperatures from 0 to -5ºC. While the Gulf of Alaska had a 984 mb “developing storm” according to NOAA’s Ocean Prediction Center. OPC also had a deep 981 mb storm SE of Kamchatka where another volcano on the Pacific Rim: Bezymianny sent ash into the stratosphere this week….
US has a typical spring week of hot and cold with extreme wild fires in Texas - a state of emergency there. Our Colorado storms have triggered severe weather as they passed to the East. Our next storm will do it again this week. A sharp short wave is passing over us today with some snow - mostly upslope in the Sangre de Cristos.
The S Hemisphere jet began to intensify with a meridional flow and several deep storms dumping 1 to 3 m of new snow on the Antarctic coast and 1-2 m in the Andes. NZ had 0 to 8 cm in the Southern Alps and 100 to 200 mm of rain in the rain forests. Australia also had a few significant rain events with 50 to 150 mm. Antarctic temperatures continued to fall (-30 to -60ºC) as Fall approached.
North America just suffered its coldest winter in years; Spring Equinox saw “ a winter-like Cold” grip like much of Europe with Cyprus setting its lowest March Temperature (-11.6ºC) on record. Turkey and Eastern Med countries also had a very cold March with snow in Istanbul. Record cold with heavy frosts ravaged Brasil’s sugarcane, coffee and corn crops. This week Greenland gained a record breaking 10 GT of snow and ice on 15 March as the deep, intense Icelandic low pumped heavy snow into SE Greenland. The accumulated Snow Mass Balance anomaly for this winter has just surpassed the 1981-2010 average.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss time line, and photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere. Ukraine weather charts have been added again this week and a description of the Sudden Stratospheric Warming SSW and resulting strong Polar Vortex over the Arctic Ocean. March Middle-East snows…
7 MAR 2022
A cold high (1028 mb) over Finland and NW Russia was pumping cold air from Siberia into UKRAINE on 4 March. This cold pattern will persist as the Siberian High builds to 1044 mb by 18 March. Temperatures in the Ukraine were normal to +2ºC above normal in the east and -2ºC in the west.. Temperatures ranged from -3 to +4ºC with ENE winds and mostly cloudy skies. Temperatures could drop to -5ºC below normal by 10-17 March. Kiev is about 50.1ºN 30.6 E. Global grain prices continue to spike due to climate and Ukraine war impacts. see: https://www.windy.com/49.840/24.030?rainAccu,next10d,48.312,31.503,7
THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE JET STREAM had a very active meridional flow with many strong short waves moving east around the earth. These pulses of energy brought warm and cold records that are typical of spring. Iowa was the target of a severe tornado outbreak as the last storm exited Colorado. The West Coast of N America from Anchorage to Vancouver continued to have strong Atmospheric Rivers AR push moisture into the mountains with 1 to 3 m of new snow in the ECMWF 10-day forecasts. Even the Middle East from Turkey and Georgia to Beirut had deep snows of 1-1.5 m.
Denver tied its 74ºF daily record as a strong SW flow ahead of the next cold front provided comfortable spring conditions last week. This week a cold Arctic Blast will send temperatures into record cold levels from Canada to the Gulf according to the US GFS Model. It looks like the Farmers Almanac may be correct. see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=namer&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2022030712&fh=-72
The Pacific NW had flash floods as the AR dumped heavy rain and increased the snowpack melt.
Canada’s POLAR VORTEX, a function of the SSW, discussed last week in the Album, continued to control the short waves traveling around eastern N America. This coming week will have extreme cold across N America from coast to coast, Europe and Asia. Last week Greenland’s surface mass balance SMB increased from 2 to 7 GT significantly above normal. The deep Icelandic low and Atmospheric River continued to dump heavy snow on the SE coast with 146 to 446 cm in the 10-day ECMWF forecasts. The polar vortex maintained a steady flux of moisture from the N Atlantic storms.
The Southern Hemisphere continued to cool as Antarctic temperatures dropped below -60ºC and strong cyclones traveled around the continent dumping significant snowfall (240-378 cm) and the Andes began to build their winter snow pack (172-330 cm). Australia continued to have strong summer storms with 216 to 366 mm of rain.
The Hartland Institute released a comprehensive review of climate issues - a large pdf file:
https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/Books/CaaGbook30vWeb2021.pdf/
See page 76 for a discussion on consensus of climate change impacts, especially the statistics from the American Meteorological Society members 42 % of whom said they were “somewhat worried” which would seem to indicate they would only support monitoring scientific evidence and perhaps implementing some modest, cost-effective programs to deal with the effects of climate change… I have been a member of the AMS since 1960. I fall into their category of “not at all worried” 28 % of the members surveyed. Only 30% were “very worried”. This is hardly justification for the billions devoted to the green new deal.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss time line, and photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere. Ukraine weather charts have been added again this week and a description of the Sudden Stratospheric Warming SSW.
28 FEB 2022
A cold high (1037 mb) over the Baltic sea and NW Russia was pumping cold air from the Arctic Sea south into UKRAINE on 26 Feb. On 28 Feb., temperatures in the Ukraine were normal to +4ºC above normal. Temperatures ranged from -3 to +4ºC with NNE winds and partly cloudy skies. Temperatures could drop to -4ºC below normal by this weekend. Kiev is about 50.1ºN 30.6 E. Global grain prices are also spiking due to climate and Ukraine war impacts.
Greenland picked up significant snowfall (252 to 505 cm) as a deep Icelandic low (954 mb) continues to pump a moist N Atlantic flow into SE Greenland.
EUROPE continues to enjoy a relatively warm normal February with a few short waves with precipitation that dumped snow from Morocco (75 cm) to the Pyrenees to the Alps and Appenini of Italy (110 cm). Turkey and Georgia (150 cm also had heavy snow in the high elevations even down to the Middle East mountains of Lebanon (50 cm).
JAPAN continued its record heavy winter with significant snowfall (60 to 127 cm) as cold Arctic blasts across the Sea of Japan dumped deep snows. A bomb cyclone (954 mb) hit Japan and moved into the N Pacific, where it dominated the seas from Japan to British Columbia. Record cold and snow swept south across China to Hong Kong, where the max temp hit 4.6ºC (40ºF). Arctic air descended into the Gulf of Thailand, a rare event. Snow settled across Southern China (24ºN) a subtropical region-Xiamen, Fujian first time in 129 years - the Centennial Solar Minimum in 1893.
North America also set records this past week from BC to Maine. Winnipeg reached a seasonal total snowfall 157 cm by 20 Feb the 3rd highest on record. West Vancouver hit -5.7ºC, breaking the previous record of -3.1ºC. Kansas City had 7 inches breaking the 6 inch previous record snowfall going back to 1893. Colorado had a severe cold week with High Plains temperatures below 0ºF across the East and max temperatures remaining below 32º all week. I had a balmy -5ºF in Summit County. This coming week will be back to normal with plenty of sunshine thru Thursday. This week a new Sudden Stratospheric Warming SSW may result in a weaker Polar Vortex which can produce a strong meridional flow of cold air into N America and Europe.
Several deep cyclones (960 to 945 mb) moved around the Antarctic dumping heavy snows (155 to 303 cm). Central Plateau temperatures fell to -55ºC as the sun moved north. The Andes also had increasing areas of heavy snow with 176 to 311 cm. SGI snows tapered off from 136 to 43 cm this week. The Japanese base, Dome Fuji, had -60.6ºC on 26 Feb 2022 - “quite remarkable for February”.
Australia and New Zealand were wet with maximum rainfall amounts of 643 and 340 mm respectively. CHRISTCHURCH suffered chilly lows (2.6ºC) and record wet (144 mm) February as correctly predicted by the ECMWF model forecasts that I have been monitoring. Eight people died in Australian floods.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon, Australia and NewZealand. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss time line, and photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere. Ukraine weather charts have been added this week. A description of the Sudden Stratospheric Warming SSW is also added.
21 Feb 2022
High pressure domes of cold dense air (1045-1040 mb) dominated N American surface weather as an upper level trough in the Jet Stream moved across the US bringing locally heavy mountain snows and severe weather again to the mid-west and south. A cutoff low developed on the south end of this trough over S. California then moved east triggering the upslope snow in Colorado and severe weather. Environment Canada’s N American synoptic analysis clearly shows this event.
On 16 Feb 2022, the jet stream had a nearly perfect zonal flow (west to east) from Mauritania across N Africa to Saudi Arabia then over India, China, and Japan to the mid-Pacific, where again it turned abruptly N into the Aleutians and Alaska over the 1040 mb E Pacific Ridge, then south down the West coast of N America to Baja and back NE toward New England and the UK. The Subtropical jet merged with the polar jet over Algeria. Have a look at the album. Two ridges controlled the flow in the E Pacific and E Atlantic. Our infamous persistent SW ridge served as a block to the zonal flow that would have delivered much needed Pacific moisture to the SW US. This ridge is a feature of the la Niña - cold equatorial Pacific waters.
This jet stream pattern is unusual because the jet followed a nearly perfect zonal flow without waves for 3/4 of the earth. The jet is controlled by the pressure gradient force, a function of the density gradient dT/dX,dY, and the Coriolis Force. The jet max typically lies along the cold front where the maximum temperature gradient exists (from warm to cold sectors). The front often aligns with the atmospheric rivers AR which this week shot north with the jet into Alaska and down the Rockies into Colorado giving us the storm on 16 Feb. This storm then moved east creating havoc again with a mix of severe weather and tornadoes in the South, heavy rain and freezing rain and then heavy snow on the n side of the front. If you are interested in watching these events you can see the latest on windy.com and NOAA’s satellite imagery viewer:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G16&band=GEOCOLOR&length=120&dim=1
My weather album has screen shots of the 16 Feb event. You can see how the SW coast Pacific ridge deflects the jet north to Alaska, and the clear skies under the ridge. Fortunately in this case the ridge was forced to the west as the strong jet dove south into the SW US. This pattern will repeat on 20-24 Feb next week
Today 2/21/22, we have a major developing storm in the West as an Arctic Blast pushes South into the High Plains and the Jet drops south along the West Coast of N America. This is a classic winter storm that is strengthened by the extreme contrast of air masses that provide the energy for deep cyclonic development. The Arctic blast has temperatures of -17 to -27ºF on the Canadian border and the SW US has 40-50º moist air from the Pacific. The models spin up a deep trough and slow moving storm in Colorado and the SW that will dump 1-2 feet of snow this week.
Strong Atlantic storms have battered the UK this past week with significant snows (93 to 146 cm) from Scotland to Ireland and the Midlands of Britain. The deep (953 mb) Icelandic Low produced 14.5 m waves W of Ireland. Slovenia’s sunny-side of the Alps has protected them from the extreme cold; however, a Genoa Low in the Med. provided precipitation and snow today. Deep storms also dumped significant snows on Greenland (197 to 404 cm), Iceland (126-246 cm) and Norway (155 to 230 cm).
The Middle East has continued to get snow in the high elevations from Turkey (77-105 cm) to Iran as Siberian Arctic air pushes southward.
Japan also continued to set cold and snow (109-181 cm) records as Arctic blasts are drawn south eastward into deep (953 mb) Pacific storms. Yesterday, a jet max over Japan reached 211 kt (247 mph) above the 953 mb surface storm. We have a very strong N Hemisphere jet stream.
Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology reported that it’s average temperature for theist 2 years has been falling. Dr. Jennifer Marohasy, an oceanographic and Great Barrier Reef expert, comments on this report on her web site. see: https://jennifermarohasy.com/ and
https://jennifermarohasy.com/2022/02/how-officialdom-can-fail-to-acknowledge-two-years-of-cooling/
My daily looks at Australia and New Zealand have shown heavy rains this season with large temperature variations: hot typical of the Australian Deserts (40-45ºC) and cool around Perth Adelaide and Melbourne (4 to 10ºC). Further south the Antarctic is now dropping down to -50ºC as the sun marches N to the Vernal Equinox on March 20th. Antarctic storms are also intensifying with 10-day snowfall forecasts going from 94 to 310 cm now. Even the South Georgia Island (54º S Latitude) has been receiving significant snows of 60 to 125 cm.
This week the Wall Street Journal (Feb 17, 2022) had an article by Steven Koonin that reviewed the rate of Greenland ice melt and determined that it would contribute a 3 inch sea level rise by 2100. Not quite an alarmist view point. Have a look at the detailed report by Arctic scientists. The article showed a chart of ice melt from 1900 to 2020 which indicates large variations in the annual ice loss that do not follow an expected anthropogenic linear increase in losses. The plot would indicate natural causes of the ice loss. My album shows this chart and the Danish Meteorological Agency’s plots of daily changes in the Greenland’s Surface Mass Balance.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon. Greenland’s surface mass balance, ice loss time line, and photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere…
14 FEB 2022
This week’s log is dedicated to my good friend Tom French who passed last Friday.
THE JETSTREAM continued to meander around the N Hemisphere triggering short-waves that brought local snows, warm and cold periods as fronts marched eastward. A major storm 988 mb set up SW of Iceland and pumped heavy snow into SE Greenland. Another deep storm N of Russia continued to dump heavy snow into Norway (171-321 cm) and Scotland (63-103 cm). The N Canadian low remained a major force for cold air in the Eastern US. Siberian-Arctic cold domes of high pressure (1056 mb) continued to move SE across Canada into the E US. The SouthWest remained protected by a Pacific ridge of high pressure (1036 mb). Short waves pass through the ridge triggering surface storms and fronts. We’ll have one in Colorado 15-17th Feb. This may spin up severe weather in the SE US. Remember to check the surface temperature anomalies using Tropical Tidbits. I keep interesting charts in my album, see links below.
A beautiful, classic deep Pacific Aleutian low (946 mb) controlled the area from Kamchatka to Anchorage maintaining an atmospheric river into Alaska and the N American Coastal Range. Snow forecasts ranged from 2 to 5 m with British Columbia hitting 544 cm this week. Have a look at the album charts and satellite images.
South America’s crops have been significantly impacted by cold and drought with Argentina and Paraguay hit hard in corn and soybean production. Australia and New Zealand continue to have heavy rains of 100 to 340 mm in some areas. New Zealand’s Alps also picked up some snow (20-40 cm).
A few deep storms continued to circulate around the Antarctic producing 94 to169 cm of snow in ECMWF forecasts. High Andes glaciers also had 82 to 238 cm this week.
The Sun’s Corona Mass Ejection CME hit Earth and knocked down 40 of 49 SpaceX’s newly launched satellites. This is an indication of our weakened magnetosphere which normally would have helped protect the low orbit satellites that succumbed to atmospheric drag.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Latest Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast Range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon. Photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere…
7 FEB 2022
Another winter storm blasted the central and eastern US this week as an Arctic front moved south producing heavy rain, snow, and freezing rain, thus creating havoc from Texas to Maine. This Canadian Arctic air took temperatures below Zero ºF in many places to the coldest of this winter. Check Tropical Tidbits to see the areas that were 20 to 30ºC below normal. The GFS model continued to predict extreme cold over N America into mid-February. This model also predicts cold and snow from Europe to China and japan. In contrast the SW US continues to enjoy a ridge of warm dry air, thus remaining at normal to above normal.
The Aleutian Low (946 mb) continued to pump moist air into the Coast range of N America producing 2 to 5 m 10-day snow forecasts with BC getting 505 cm. To the east from Barrow, Alaska to Winnipeg, Manitoba, the Arctic high (1045-1050 mb) brought frigid temperatures south into Texas and Mexico. The jet stream had 180 to 215 kt zonal winds from Japan to N of Hawaii, then turned sharply North to Alaska and crested bringing a northerly flow south to Texas and then turned toward the NE along the storm front. Fortunately this system did not trigger much severe weather and tornadoes due to the extreme cold, and lack of vorticity to spin up the tornadoes. This is an interesting synoptic situation as the cold front lies in a trough between the Arctic high and an extended Azores high. There was no cyclonic circulation like the previous N’or Easter. Have a look at the album’s charts.
Norway continued to get significant snows (173-277 cm) from the NW flow around the persistent Siberian polar vortex (950 MB). However, western Europe remained relatively mild and had near normal conditions. Slovenia was about normal temperature wise and somewhat dry. Triglav’s snow pack dropped below normal at 160 cm vs a normal of 205 cm depth. Ljubljana had many cool sunny days. The intense Iceland low (936 mb) pumped heavy snow into Greenland and produced 10-11 m high waves.
Record Cold and Snowfall occurred from Norway to Turkey, the Middle-East and to India and Japan. Cuba even had some record cold temperatures. You can see the Arctic cold fronts sweeping down across the Gulf of Mexico in the weather album and photos of the extreme snow in Turkey and Japan. France is powering up its old coal power plants to meet the demand created by slowing nuclear output and cold temperatures. Japan continued to set record 24 hour totals 60 to 100 cm which are consistent with the ECMWF model forecasts that I check everyday.
The S Hemisphere continued to warm but had several deep (970 TO 944 MB) cyclones circling the Antarctic producing relatively deep coastal snowfalls (111-291 cm). The Andes also had small areas with 82 to 256 cm 10-day snows. Australia and New Zealand had strong tropical waves that brought heavy rains of 100 to 500 mm. BRAZIL also had significant summer rains of 100-300mm binging relief to the drought and local flooding.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon. Photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere.
31 JAN 20
A major “bomb” cyclone spun up into a record breaking Nor’Easter storm that dumped heavy snow from Virginia to Maine in an 18-24 hr period last weekend. Boston set a new January record of 23 inches with 80 kt winds blowing deep drifts and knocking out power. Kansas had record accumulations (27-30 INCHES) in a band from Colorado into Mt Sunflower, KA. Many cold and snowfall records fell with this deep (969 mb) extratropical cyclone. The associated cold front passed into the Caribbean over Puerto Rico. When you look at the satellite imagery on windy.com or NOAA’s GOES-E you can see the upslope stratus generated by the cold air plunging into Mexico and Central America.
Siberian Arctic air is heading south again thru Canada’s Prairie Provides into the US this week. This large dome of high pressure and cold dense air will penetrate to the Gulf of Mexico by Thursday and develop a major winter storm along the jet stream from Texas to Maine. Cold temperatures may set new records in many areas as this major change in the Jet stream pattern persists. Watch Tropical Tidbits to monitor the temperature anomalies. Colorado will be on the western edge of this cold air, and will again enjoy relatively mild Arctic blasts west of the Continental divide. The primary target of the Arctic Blasts will again be the eastern half of the US. Canadas’s polar low will continue to gyrate from Victoria Island to Baffin Island in the north of Canada. This system will generate shortwaves that bring stormy cold conditions from Ontario to Georgia.
Western Europe enjoyed clear skies and relatively warm temperatures under a strong high pressure ridge, while from Norway to Siberia were under the influence of a deep arctic low (970 mb) that covered the Arctic Ocean from Russia to Alaska. This week the Jet Stream will take a major cold trough into western Europe as the ridge retrogrades to the west permitting cold Arctic air to penetrate into N Africa. A series of shortwaves will provide warm and cold sector temperature changes.
GREECE had a major snow storm and record cold last week with deep snow in Athens and sea ice forming along the coast. A strong jet on the east side of the ridge over western Europe combined with the deep Siberian-Arctic low N of the Ob River and a Mediterranean low to bring cold stormy conditions from the Balkan Peninsula to Greece, Turkey, and into the Middle-East. Montenegro set an all time cold record of -33.4ºC on 25 Jan 2022. Turkey had 1 M of snow in parts of Istanbul, while Jerusalem also had record cold and snow, and S+ (> 50 cm) in the mountains NE of Beirut. The ECMWF model did quite well in its forecasts. India also remained in the cold air again this week.
Russia’s “Pole of Cold Marathon” was just entered in the Guinness Book of Records as the coldest race ever (-53.6ºC) in the Yukutia republic.
The S Hemisphere jet has retreated south around the Antarctic, but still spins up deep storms in the Southern Ocean with local S+ (115-215 cm) along the coast. SGI also has continued to have 50 to 130 cm S+ in its 10-day forecasts. The Andes are also receiving notable snows this month from 105 to 189 cm. Brazil’s drought may be mitigated by locally heavy thunderstorms and rains during the past 10 days.
Australia and New Zealand are enjoying summer cyclones and heavy thunderstorms that have 200 to 980 mm rains. I now understand why the markers on the highway from Darwin to Jabiru had high water markers over 1 m above the road bed. This rainy season certainly will meet that mark.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon. Photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere.
24 JAN 2022
The Hunga - Tonga volcano’s aerosols and sulfur dioxide were injected high into the stratosphere up to 98,0000 ft. This cloud will impact crop yields in the southern hemisphere. ADAPT 2030 has a very interesting analysis of this extreme event using NOAA’s GOES-West looking at Aerosols and SO2 concentrations and the motion of this volcanic cloud into Australia. GSMs are characterized by increased volcanism which significantly cooled the atmosphere in the Little Ice Age - 1650s. Click on the link to see the Adapt 2030 report: https://youtu.be/IlbD62i1Y2g
Australia has continued to have wide-spread heavy rains (339 to 635 mm) from Darwin to Alice Springs and into S Wales. It will be interesting to see how the volcanic ash affects this region during the next few months of harvest…
STRONG jet streams in both hemispheres continue to drive significant storms with winter weather in the N Hemisphere and deep storms in the Southern Ocean. A deep polar vortex over Hudson bay has established a cold flux of Arctic air in the Eastern US with corresponding northward flux of warm air on the east side of the low into Greenland.
Greenland has been consistently piling up large amounts of snow in the ECMWF forecasts ( 75 to 227 cm). The Danish Meteorological Research center reported a record 10 GT/day Surface Mass Balance of ice gain this week. Consistent with these Arctic blasts, Nashville has had the snowiest January since 1985, as many other records were broken in the East. Mississauga, Ontario had 45 cm last Monday which was the most since 1944. While the East remains cold, the West has been relatively mild under the persistent high pressure ridge which has been breached by a few short-waves and light snows. These short-waves spin up into major East-coast storms.
In Eastern Europe, St. Petersburg’s deep freeze set daily temperature records dating back to 1883. Norway also has had a tough winter with the Atlantic storms combining with Arctic air to dump 1 to 3 meters in the ECMWF forecasts over the past 15 days. Sweden also broke cold records with -46,8ºF, an all time December low. To the south, Georgia, Turkey and the middle-East have been cold with significant snows - up to 1.5 m predicted in the Golan Heights, quite unusual. Western Europe enjoyed fair weather under a strong ridge that kept it relatively mild and dry.
Our tracking of Japan’s winter is also showing a severe winter there as cold Siberian air flowed across the Sea of Japan triggering heavy snows (47 to 197 cm) in high elevations. 75% of Japan was below freezing on 20 Jan.
Another important process to watch is the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). This is related to the Beaufort Gyre, which I discussed before and have figures in the 2020 Global Weather Album. Recent research at the University of Massachusetts has rekindled the idea that an open Arctic Sea could quickly plunge us into an Ice Age as it did in the 1300-1400s. see: https://electroverse.net/warming-arctic-drove-earth-into-the-little-ice-age/
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and the Middle-East, and heavy rains in the Amazon. Photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric rivers AR. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Images of the Tonga volcanic cloud are also provided. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere.
17 JAN 2022
REMARKABLY, South Georgia Island (54º S LAT) has had 5 days with over 120 cm of new snow in the 10-day ECMWF model forecasts this past week. It is summer down under, I believe.
AUSTRALIA has had significant rains and thunderstorms so far this summer as Antarctic fronts and tropical cyclones pass over the continent.
Beautiful example of cold advection streaming off the US East Coast on 11 Jan. Have a look at the album. This cold air followed this deep N’orEaster storm (956 MB) that moved to the Labrador coast. Today 16 Jan, another major SE storm is developing and moving up the East Coast. This storm is producing severe icing, snow (20-68 cm) and high winds as it deepens and moves northward. The strong jet stream(150-185 KT)continues to produce energetic short waves that spin up into major storms in both hemispheres. Of course between the short wave troughs, we have ridges of high pressure like the ones in the SW US and Western Europe (1040 MB) that provide blue skies and relatively warm conditions.… Jan 17th, the second Nor’Easter (981 mb) moved from Louisiana to interior NY creating havoc in the SE with all time snowfall records in Ashville, NC dating back to 1881 and many other records set. Ice was the most notable hazard which knocked out power for over 182,000 people. Many records fell with this winter storm.
Europe enjoyed a strong high pressure ridge this week while a deep Arctic low (956 mb) was over the Barents Sea pulling cold moist air into Norway with heavy snow: 1-3 m forecasts.
A deep Antarctic low (956 mb) broke up the ice in the Ross Sea. Heavy snows continued to fall from these deep storms around the Antarctic (99-261cm) and in the high elevations of the Andes (129-401 cm). Costal areas warmed to 3 to 8ºC while the interior remained at -20 to -40ºC.
Australia continued to get heavy rains from traveling cyclones and Antarctic fronts that dumped locally heavy thunderstorms and rains (100 to 400 mm).
Japan had another week of heavy snow (109-179 cm) in high elevations. Over a meter of new snow fell in 24 hrs in the Hokuriku region in northern and western Japan. ECMWF model has been consistently predicting heavy snows here.
Hunga Tonga had a very large under sea eruption ejecting ash into the stratosphere up to 98,000 ft and sending out a tsunami across the Pacific to Japan, Alaska, and California. Extreme volcanic eruptions like this inject dust that filters out sunlight and cools the earth. These are typical of the GSM which combined with the deep space cosmic rays that increase the cloud condensation nuclei - increasing clouds and thus cooling large regions.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and heavy rains in the Amazon; Photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric river AR that dumped 5 meter snows in Alaska. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures(-80ºC) in strong thunderstorms in Brazil and Australia. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere.
10 JAN 2022
CLASSIC Winter storm (936 mb) in the N Atlantic with an AR from Bermuda to SE Greenland dumping heavy snow as a Siberian High (1055 mb) dived south into the US on 5 Jan. The pressure gradient across Colorado created blizzard (with peak gusts of 30 to 71 kt and BS++) conditions in Summit County all day making this feel like a real wintry day. The La Niña ridge brought an AR from Hawaii into the NW, over the ridge and down into Colorado dumping our heaviest snow of the year. I had ~18 inches of new snow with snow depths from 27 to 45 inches of heavy Sierra cement - over 1.20 inches of snow water equivalent (SWE).
Europe also had significant snows with 215 cm total on the ground at Kredarica. A beautiful classic storm (935 mb) sat SW of Iceland pumping heavy snow into Greenland, Iceland and Norway. Scotland and UK had 20 to 60 cm in higher elevations.
The jet stream remained very active with strong short waves within the long wave pattern that brought record cold and snow across many regions of the N Hemisphere from N America to Asia. Record cold and snow fell from Seattle to NYC. After the extreme severe weather last week, Nashville had 7 inches of snow that broke the 1800’s record of 4 inches. Washington DC had a significant snowstorm that stranded hundreds of cars and trucks on I-95, while Japan also had heavy snows (90 to 153 cm) blocking roads with deep drifts. Over 1 Million people were without power in the Eastern US. The latest storm was followed by a 1050 mb Siberian High that dropped down thru the Prairie Provinces of Canada pushing cold air into the Gulf of Mexico. That cold front was the focal point of an AR that ran up into the N Atlantic feeding the Greenland snow storm. Have a look at the weather album.
Greenland, Iceland and Norway had from 1 to 4 m of new snow as deep 936-960 mb storms pounded the N Atlantic with strong Atmospheric Rivers pumping subtropical moisture northward. Large areas of the UK, Scotland and Ireland saw from 10 to 60 cm of new snow.
The Middle East from Turkey to Iran and Pakistan had heavy snows of 1 to 2.3 m this week. The Himalaya and Hindu Kush also had 1.24 to 2.57 m of snowfall with records falling in India.
Our Colorado Rockies began to look like winter with large piles of the wet Sierra cement throughout Summit County. I had to dig out my snowboard - a 2x2 ft sheet that I keep on top of the snow to make more accurate measurements of new snowfall. It was 32 inches below the surface buried by drifting snow and our 18 inch storm.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Winter 2022: https://photos.app.goo.gl/9nqCQsFjLPVbxaUj8
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. The events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and heavy rains in the Amazon; Photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric river AR that dumped 5 meter snows in Alaska. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere.
3 Jan 2022
As I start writing this week’s log (123021), Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) changes are quickly moving into N America from California to Georgia. In Summit County, we have high winds with blowing snow and intermittent S- SW SW+ with 11ºF (-12C) as an Arctic front approaches. My minimum was -13ºF (-25ºC). This week we had 7 of 8 days with Snow and overcast skies as a broad long wave trough dropped south from Alaska and Canada, producing several short wave pulses of energy that continued the mountain snows, while the Plains remained sunny. Our blizzard conditions are typical of strong pressure gradients and jet stream interactions with the mountain ranges producing deep gravity waves that pull jet momentum down to the surface.
BOULDER COUNTY was in a State of Emergency due to wild fire and 115 kt winds on 30 Dec 2021. This historic fire is the most destructive in Colorado State history. Over 991 homes and businesses were lost. Our prayers go out to many friends and families in Boulder who have lost everything. ONLY 2 people remain missing at this time. See the album for selected charts of this horrific event.
During the next 10 days the US will have a series of Arctic blasts that drop temperatures by 8 to 24ºC below normal with warm sectors balancing the cold with + 4 to 8ºC above normal according to the GFS model and Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly analyses:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2021123012&fh=6
Europe in contrast enjoyed above normal +4 to 12ºC on New Years Day with cold blasts starting in Mid-January according to the GFS model. Here is the link to the N hemisphere’s dT anomaly analysis/forecast: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2021123012&fh=162
Scandinavia is set for -49ºC as Europe flip flops from hot to cold too.
The 500 mb level and sea level pressure analysis and forecast also gives you an excellent overview of our global dynamics: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2021123012&fh=366 On this 366 hr forecast from123021 12z GFS model run, you see the two major blocking high pressures in the Pacific 1039 mb, and Atlantic 1044 mb predicted for 14 Jan 2021. The color coded 500mb height field also shows the cold Arctic blast extending into the Florida Panhandle.
Near record cold hit Edmonton, Alberta on Christmas Eve as the Siberian air plunged south finally pushing out the unusual warm air mass. Cold is predicted to spread across the South in early January.
India and China have also experienced unusually cold weather as Siberian cold penetrated southward in those areas. Kamchatka has had heavy snows (174-245 cm) as the Aleutian Low pushed moisture into that region and Japan (92-191cm) in eastern Asia. Even Saudi Arabia’s north had snow on New Year’s Day. Parts of China and Mongolia set new all time cold records at -42 to -46.9ºC.
On the other side of the N Pacific the Gulf of Alaska low steered the AR into the central BC coast dumping 136 to 232 cm. The California Sierra also were a focal point of the AR flow that dumped 1-2 meters with up to 3 m in some areas this past week. California is emerging from the exceptional drought as lower elevations have also had much beneficial rain (100-300 mm). Seattle even had a White Christmas - 3% chance of that happening. California’s Central Sierra Snow Lab set a new record December snowfall of 544 cm (214”) which was consistent with the ECMWF model forecasts. Yosemite National Park also set a new record of 443 cm (171 inches) smashing the previous record for December at 143 inches (363 cm) set in 1996 at Yuolumne Meadows - where records started in 1980.
Colorado Rockies also enjoyed a White Christmas with a week of snows bringing out depth up to 20-25 inches at my house (9684 ft, 2951 m msl). TODAY, 3 JAN, a large Arctic High (1053 mb) is moving south into Alaska and the Yukon and NW Territory pouring Arctic air southward. This may be the first of a series of Arctic Blasts into the US over the next 10 days.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. This week the events range from the Boulder Wild Fire to heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and heavy rains in the Amazon; Photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric river AR that dumped 5 meter snows in Alaska. You also have images of clouds and cloud top temperatures. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomaly forecasts are shown for the US, EU and N Hemisphere.
27 Dec 2021
The Holidays had very interesting weather from near record Sierra snows and pacific rains to record warmth in the central US as the warm ridge ahead of the cold Pacific trough moved East. Mountain areas of the West enjoyed a beautiful White Christmas with 1-5 feet of snow in many areas and up to 10 ft in the High Sierra. The Colorado Rockies were white, while the Plains were relatively warm and dry in a Chinook katabatibc subsiding flow.
Europe was cold in the east and warm in the west as a ridge moved in and a deep stationary low continued to spin off the Labrador coast extending across the Atlantic. Western Russia was very cold and the East and China were -30 to -50ºC in a northerly Arctic flow. The Pacific blocking High (1040 mb) held steady slowing the eastward motion of storms and keeping the jet pattern nearly stationary. This enabled the Atmosphere Rivers to continue to dump heavy precipitation in the same areas; hence, our heavy Colorado mountain snows for 3 days. Short waves traveled through the long wave trough giving us nice 3-10 inch shots of snow.
The Seattle area had record cold and snow as Cold Alaskan air moved down the West coast of N America. Record breaking snow hit Prince George, BC with 35 cm in 24 hours. During the week houses were buried to the roof lines. Arctic blasts are predicted for New Years Day and January from coast to coast; displacing the record warm air…
In the Atlantic, the AR from the Azores to Europe provided shots of moist air to western Europe as the 1040 mb ridge moved eastward. Switzerland had record snow from the Pyrenees to Chamoniarde. Unusual cold hit gas prices as heating supplies dwindled. Heavy snow also hit Turkey and Georgia, then down into Iran causing blackouts.
Red Alerts were issued in India as a cold wave intensified in parts of Punjab, Delhi and other regions. Temperature dropped to -15 to -20ºC in LaHaul Spiti freezing local water supplies.
Floods in Brazil caused by 200-400 mm rains all week broke several dams resulting much devistation and loss of life; this coming after a prolonged drought. Argentina warmed to normal summer temperatures and the southern Andes still had deep 2-3 meter snowfalls.
The Antarctic continued to get deep storms (940 to 960 mb) that pushed heavy 1-2 m snows along the coastal mountains. Interior temperatures warmed to -17 to -29ºC at the S Pole and -19 to -31ºC at Vostock station. Australia warmed with strong thunderstorms across much of the country.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. This week the events range from heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and heavy rains in the Amazon; Photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric river that dumped 5 meter snows in Alaska. You also have images of clouds and cloud temperatures. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomalies are shown for the US, EU and Australia, and the White Christmas in Europe.
Have a Happy New Year, be safe and healthy.
13 Dec 2021
Extreme weather dominated this week with record heat followed by cold and Extremely intense TORNADOES that took over 100 lives. On 10-11 December a TORNADO outbreak from Arkansas to Kentucky and Illinois developed along a strong cold front behind record warm temperatures. This was the perfect storm situation with low level Gulf moisture, intense convection, strong wind shear and a jet max over the area. The tornado track on radar extended ~230 miles - a new record.
Deep storms from the N Pacific to N Atlantic and Siberia controlled the Atmospheric Rivers and cold advection that brought heavy snows along the coastal mountains and record cold to Scandinavia and Siberia. North America had heavy precipitation from Alaska down to the Sierra of California, where this week another 1-2 m of snow will fall. Greenland, Iceland, Norway, and the Alps from Spain to Austria now have a winter coat. The Pyrenees were hit hard (44 - 221 cm) by the NW flux of cold moist air across the N Atlantic from Greenland to the Bay of Biscay. The jet stream continued its strong meridional flow in N and S Hemispheres controlling the motion of the deep storms. Alaska has had a persistent record cold in November and December. Sweden broke its all time December low with -46.8ºF at Bethel. St Petersburg, Russia had a deep freeze that broke its 1893 record (-21ºC).
Europe is rapidly depleting its gas reserves to historically low levels.
Slovenia was mostly covered with an early snowfall that brought 20 cm to Ljubljana and covered Kredarica with 150 cm. Ski areas were open. Record snows fell in Austria (40 cm) and Turkey (80 cm). Most of Europe will have a White Christmas this year.
The southern hemisphere continued to warm as the sun marched south; however, Antarctica had significant heavy snows (178-325 cm) from deep storms (949-980 mb) in the Southern Ocean. Australia warmed a bit with heavy rains and thunderstorms (30 to 240 mm) and a 49db radar Cb - TRW+. Brazil and Argentina also had numerous thunderstorms (TRW).
Volcanic activity is also on the rise as expected in the GSM. Iceland is on a red alert.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. This week the events range from heavy snows in Alaska and along the Coast range to the Sierra, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, to the Pyrenees and heavy rains in the Amazon; Photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Charts of the TORNADO Outbreak are shown with some catastrophic damage photos. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric river that dumped 5 meter snows in Alaska. You also have images of clouds and cloud temperatures. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomalies are shown for the US, EU and Australia, and the White Christmas in Europe.
We should get another Pacific storm this week with 10 to 50 cm in Colorado.
Enjoy the pre holiday snows.
6 Dec 2021
A series of deep storms passed across the N Atlantic and UK pulling down Arctic air streaming cold moist air across the Bay of Biscay and North Sea. The Alps now have their winter coat of 1-2 meters. Record cold hit Siberia this week -55 and -48ºC that closed schools. This after last winter - Russia’s 2020-2021 winter went down as the “longest and harshest” winter on record. Northern Hemisphere’s Fall snow extent from 1967 to 2020 shows an increase from ~18 to 20 Million sq km according to climate.rutgers.edu (Rutgers Global Snow Lab) .
Slovenia had its first wide spread snowfall with 8 cm in LJU and 50 cm of new snow at Kredarica bringing the ground cover to 125 cm.
On Saturday, an early-season avalanche hit the Salzburg region of Austria killing three people and injuring two.
Record snow is forecast to persist ACROSS the European continent, including in the UK where Scottish and Southern Electricity Networks said that power has only today (Dec 6) been fully restored to all 135,000 homes impacted by the “once in a generation” weather event on November 26.
Staying in Britain, a plunging Arctic front is about to combine with recently named Atlantic storm “Barra” — according to the latest model (shown below), the combo threatens record-breaking early-December snow as far south as SW England.
Storm Barra will enter mainland Europe by week’s end, and, in conjunction with other fronts, will deliver some truly astonishing totals as the month of December progresses: See the album for a plot of this heavy winter snow prediction of 30 to110 cm in the high alps and 2-10 cm at low elevations.
Greenland’s Glaciers continue to build at the normal rate with large dumps of 2-3 m of new snow from deep N Atlantic storms and associated Atmospheric Rivers pulling moisture from Bermuda across Iceland (1-3 m) and into the SE GL coast (2-3 m). GL had 9 GT of snow and ice on 5 December according to the Danish Meteorological Institute. This is a significant spike above normal on the annual Snow Mass Balance plot. We are off to a good start on the Sep to Dec analysis.
TODAY, a branch of the Pacific AR that hit the NW coast of NA streamed in across N California into Utah, Colorado and Wyoming bringing the first fall snowfall to Denver - a new record late snow date. This same AR and jet brought snow to Hawaii’s volcanoes. Monthly record in Honolulu had a max T of 70ºF the coldest max temperature. Palau, 4800 mi west of Hawaii in Micronesia had 70ºF at the airport 1º shy of its record. The US will cool significantly in the Rockies and Plains with snowfall from the Sierra to the Appalachians by 16 Dec. Note: the la Ninja appears to be breaking up in the equatorial Pacific in the latest DSST weekly anomaly see the Album for chart.
Australia suffered the coldest Nov since 1999. Australia’s average temperature was -1.25ºC below the 1991-2020 baseline and even -0.63ºC below the cool 1961-1990 baseline. These statistics confirm what we have seen in these logs over the past year.
It looks like a normal Colorado week ahead with a couple short waves keeping us snowy and relatively cold as the jet moves south of us finally. Enjoy…
29 NOV 2021
A very active jet stream pattern in the N Hemisphere brought a series of storms from N America to Siberia and China. The Alps and Pyrenees received heavy snow as a northerly flow off the Bay of Biscay and the North Sea provided a cold moist flux into the mountains. The Pyrenees has forecasts of 120 to 236 cm and Alps 50 to 136 cm. A large ridge of high pressure (1040 mb) extended from the Canary Islands to just S of Iceland pulling cold air from Greenland (-38ºC) south into Europe. Spain was under orange and red alerts due to heavy snows with snow below 800 m msl. Temperatures were 16ºc below normal. A rare November snow - Storm Arwen - trapped 60 Brits in a pub for 3 nights in Tab Hill, Yorkshire UK. Snow blocked the pubs exits and piled high on cars. Roads were impassable. This was not in the Highlands, and was indeed a rare event. All of the UK had nights below freezing - quite unusual.
Slovenia’s Alps received 1 to 1.5 m of new snow this week as much the country had a few cm. Its heavy rains soaked the county this week and turned to snow.
As mentioned last week Arctic blasts have continued this week to hit Japan and Korea with historic snow and cold shutting down parts of Russia and China. Shumarinai had 77 cm a record snowfall in 24 hours. Many records fell across Japan. China had its 3rd cold wave dumping another 43 cm in Heilongjiang - NE China. Rare -50ºC in Yakutia RU closed schools.
A Peer reviewed study of climate model’s over estimates of CO2 effects revealed that there are NO credible scientists warning of a “climate emergency”. The peer reviewed study found models have over estimated temperature rise by a factor of +5, this is consistent with the earlier paper reported in the Wall Street Journal that found the attribution statistical analysis linking AGW to CO2 critically flawed. Key points of the paper a summarized here: notrickszone.com . COP26 had many dire warnings of AGW from our political leaders.
Argentina had rare snows this week, even Ushuala at the southern tip of S America had heavy snow. Antarctica also continued unusually cold with -50ºC at Dome A and Concordia Research Station in late November - incredibly rare cold… The South Pole registered an average 6 month temperature of -61.1ºC the region’s coldest recorded even as the deep (930-950 mb) storms piled 1-2 meters of snow along the coastal mountains.
Australia and NZ warmed to seasonal temperatures as heavy rains along Antarctic fronts continued to provide from 50 to 250 mm. The main southern jet moved poleward; however, periodic storms still push Antarctic blasts inland less frequently.
North America’s NW coast from Alaska to Seattle was the target of a strong jet and associated Atmospheric River AR. This threatened the rain soaked area again with floods and debris flows as the high elevations had heavy snow 1-3 m on the coast and ~1 m in the Canadian Rockies. The SW US was warm and dry while cold air flowed south across the Plains east of Colorado into the Gulf of Mexico. NE had some snows as the Quebec Low pulled down cold air. Our meridional flow will continue to provide warm and cold periods as storms travel along the jet.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. This week the events range from heavy snows in Iceland to heavy rains in the Amazon; Photos of the UK and Japan snowstorms… Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric river that is dumping 5 meter snows in Alaska and the Antarctic Peninsula. You also have images of clouds and cloud temperatures. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomalies are shown for the US EU and Australia.
21 Nov 2021
Extreme Floods hit NW and BC. The Aleutian Low guided the Atmospheric River AR into the Pacific NW this past week causing havoc and isolating Vancouver by debris flows and floods. This storm moved across the Canadian Rockies into the Prairie Provinces as a major winter storm (982 mb). This week the BC coast still has the AR from the next Aleutian low and jet with heavy precipitation (125-333 - 457mm) with Heavy snow in the Coast Range (125 to 311- 416cm). Fortunately this heavy precipitation was N of Vancouver. This type of weather is typical of a strong la Niña. The central N Pacific also has 2 to 4ºC warm anomalies this week.
The north and south polar jet streams continued their meridional traveling wave pattern which delivers a variety of warm and cold weather around the world as the ridges and troughs move eastward. Most notable in the temperature pattern is the extreme cold hitting Eastern Siberia and carrying heavy snow into NE China and Japan.
India has extreme smog in the capitol city New Delhi (0.2 km visibility CO concentration up to 2770ppbv…) . Note windy.com tracks air quality from the GEOS-5 satellite and model forecasts with estimates of NO2, PM2.5, AEROSOL, OZONE LAYER, SO2, AND DUST MASS. China and India are clearly the most dangerous places; however, you can monitor this globally.
New Zealand’s rain forest received 200 to 533 mm - heaviest I have seen in these 10-day ECMWF Rain Accumulation forecasts. SE Australia in Victoria they had 108 mm forecasts with 100 to 183 mm NW of Sydney north along the coast the Hunter Valley vineyards in New South Wales. The Antarctic fronts broke the 167 year old records in Australia this winter - Melbourne had 4 days below 15.5ºC this late into spring.. We have watched those Antarctic blasts. Much of the continent had -8 to -18ºC below normal on 14 Nov 2021.
Arctic Sea Ice Extent is the second highest in 15 years and growing. Greenland is building its snowpack and sending cold air SE into Europe. Norway and Iceland have been cold and snowy with 59-177 cm and 84 to 213 cm of snow respectively as a series of lows pass northward. Arctic Owls were even spotted in Spain, where they have also received significant snow (140 cm) this past week. These birds are rarely seen this far south.
UK’s energy market continues to rise as forecasters are predicting an extremely cold 6 weeks ahead. Scotland has had some significant snows in the Highlands - up to 60 cm with snow extending south to high elevations across the UK and Ireland.
A ridge of high pressure is keeping the West relatively warm this week with Thanksgiving +/- 4ºC in the West, -2 to -16ºC below normal from Amarillo to Winnipeg, warm from Texas to Ontario, and Cool in the East -2 to -4ºC below normal in the latest GFS model predictions.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. This week the events range from heavy snows in Iceland to heavy rains in the Amazon. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric river that is dumping 5 meter snows in Alaska and the Antarctic Peninsula. You also have images of clouds and cloud temperatures. Tropical Tidbits temperature anomalies are shown for the US EU and Australia.
Have an enjoyable Thanksgiving.
15 Nov 2021
The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes.
This past week the strong jet streams in both hemispheres continued. Keep in mind the primary driver of the jet is the difference in atmospheric density from poles to equator. Density is a function of temperature, thus the sun really controls it and of course as the sun travels south in the N Hemisphere the N polar region cools and S Polar region warms. The equatorial regions remain relatively constant with the seasons; hence, the importance of polar temperatures and the pole to equator temperature gradient. The Grand Solar Minimum GSM has a major impact on the radiative balance from net incoming radiation to volcanism. Clouds and ocean currents are much more important than all greenhouse gases.
Colorado had a couple snows, but the Sierra (20-70cm) and N American Coast (100-200 cm) ranges picked up significant snowfall again. The meridional flow of the jets again was quite strong transporting warm and cold air around the globe.
Greenland had a very strong High pressure of >1060 mb in the Canadian, Swiss, and ECMWF models on 13 Nov. This is usually not seen until mid winter. Earlier Siberia had a 1050 mb High. Summit Camp hit its coldest temp of this season -55.6ºC.
Record heavy snow fell in NE China this week with many deaths and shortages of food and power grid failures. Twenty-seven 100+ year old records fell. Temperatures fell 20ºC below normal. N Korea and Japan have had early snows of 20 to 40 cm already.
DC had the coldest start to November in a decade and Thanksgiving is predicted to break cold records. LeHigh Valley, PA watched its record -5ºC set in 2009 and 1954 in GSM cycle 23 and 18 respectively.
North Africa has had early snow from snow flurries to High Atlas of Morocco 10 to 30 cm forecasts already.
On Nov 7th, Australia had continent wide cold 4 to 12ºC Below Normal including plenty of precipitation and snow in the Snowy Range. New Zealand is still getting significant 20-80 cm snowfalls.
While the Antarctic warmed to -34 to -53ºC at the South Pole and Vostok stations, the Peninsula continued to pick up 175 to 522 cm snows from deep storms (970 to 926 mb). The Andes also picked up significant snowfall (113 to 35 cm). Brazil had significant convective storms (100 to 250mm) in their drought areas helping to mitigate the drought; however, reservoirs in Sao Paulo are nearly dry.
Regarding clouds, I have been modeling them since my early days with the US Navy Weather Research Facility in 1968 working with NOAA and USAF. We have come a long way, but long range climate models do not yet have the ability to predict them accurately for comprehensive radiation balance and detailed precipitation forecasts. Hence, I think the COP26 and IPCC folks don’t mention their critical importance. Models may provide a general estimate of clouds, but clouds are very complex and are functions of processes on scales from microns ( cloud and precipitation physics) to hundreds of kilometers (mesoscale and synoptic scale - jet stream) hydrodynamic lifting and sinking. Today’s operational forecasting numerical models explicitly simulate the dynamics and thermodynamics and have parameterized microphysics for cloud processes. These models have 4-dimensional data assimilation systems that continuously update the lateral boundary conditions with millions of real-time observations around the world from surface stations, ships and buoys to satellite sounding systems and radiometers working at a multitude of wavelengths. Without these real data, the models would wander off and numerical solutions would become unstable within a few days. Chaos theory is still quite real. Remember the butterfly effect. AI will certainly help, but remember it is only as good as the data it is based on. We have no real data from 2025 let alone 2050…Models don’t provide real data.
The best explanation of clouds and greenhouse radiation that I have seen is a lecture by Richard Lindzen.
Radiative balance: MIT Professor Emeritus Richard Lindzen
A Classic Lecture on Climate Sensitivity by Atmospheric Scientist Professor Emeritus Richard Lindzen delivered in Europe in April, 2014. Prof Lindzen has been at the top of this field for decades, and was a lead IPCC author during the early years of the IPCC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2czGg3fUUA
Stefan-Boltzmann radiative emittance law E=σ Τ4 σ=5.67 x10-8 W m-1 Tº-4
This law is a key control of the greenhouse effect. Temperature is the primary driver and cloud temperatures vary from 10 to 30º for low clouds to -30 to -80ºC for high clouds and thunderstorm tops. You can monitor these on the windy.com satellite images.
Stefan calculated sun surface temp of 5430ºC in 1879 vs 5504ºC observed today. I’ve seen this range from 5500 to 5700ºK.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. This week the events range from heavy snows in Iceland to heavy rains in the Amazon. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric river that is dumping 5 meter snows in Alaska and the Antarctic Peninsula. You also have images of clouds and cloud temperatures.
RCAT Note: The October 2021 Consumer Reports has an excellent article on The Big Problem with Plastic, pg 42-49.
8 NOV 2021
TRAVELING WAVES on the jet stream are bringing a variety of warm and cold temperature anomalies (dT) as storms move around both hemispheres. This is a typical fall as we transition into winter in the N Hemisphere. Michigan observed its record daily snowfall (11.7 inches) for November this week. TropicalTidbits.com clearly shows the evolution of these storms in the 2 meter dT GFS model forecasts. The Nov 12th Australian forecast clearly shows a strong Antarctic front cooling most of the continent with dT of -12 to -20ºC west of Adelaide. South America also has had a series of Antarctic waves move northward with dT of +/- 8 to 12ºC. Southern Africa warms, but it still has several Antarctic waves bring cold air northward with similar swings of dT.
The strong Pacific jet south of the Gulf of Alaska low accelerates (150-180 kt) and pushes the atmospheric river into the West coast of North America from N Calif to Anchorage. You can see 2-3 short waves on this jet where the energy is concentrated. You can also see a very strong flux of moist warm air carried northward on the lee side of the Rockies into the Arctic. This is clearly balanced by cold air flowing into the Gulf of Alaska and south into the Pacific NW US.
Slovenia and the Alps have received significant snows making their satellite signature look more like winter as many places received 30 to 200 cm.
The S Hemisphere’s jet continued to spin up deep storms that have been dumping 100 to 300 mm of rain in NZ’s west coast rain forests. Its S ALPS have also resumed relatively heavy snows of 30 to 70 cm. Australia has been quite wet (50 to 200 mm) this year with wide spread rains triggered by the Antarctic cold fronts. Dry regions like those in central Australia near Alice Springs have had 20 to 80 mm rains. Similarly in Brazil, heavy rains have replaced the drought with 100 to 250 mm dumps in frequent thunderstorms. windy.com ’s radar images clearly show the OBSERVED thunderstorm distribution predicted by the ECMWF model runs.
THIS PAST WEEK COP26 and the G20 discussed AGW. Political leaders from the Earth proclaimed we are under a cataclysmic threat to our survival due to fossil fuels. The speakers worried about everything from the Fiji Islands disappearing to vast deserts reclaiming our agricultural production and severe storms killing thousands. Many dramatic examples of the impacts of severe storms, glacier shedding and dust storms showed our climate changes today. HOWEVER there was no scientific evidence linking these well documented extreme weather events to CO2 and AGW causes. Yes, CO2 is rising. Yes, the temperature extremes have been observed (both hot and cold). Sea level rise has not been significant-yes there have been high tides and floods with storms especially when in sync with lunar tides. The Westside Highway on Manhattan is still quite dry, not under water as NASA’s Hanson predicted in the
1990’s for 2015. The challenge remains for the activists to discuss the physics of AGW with the other side of physicists. MSM refuses to present both sides. There are thousands of skeptic scientists, not deniers as in a religious cult, but realists. The COP26 speakers characterize the realists as ignorant nonbelievers who should be canceled. Extremist rhetoric should not be shaping trillion dollar investments. Science is not governed by consensus or the loudest voices. Britain’s Viscount Lord Monckton made a compelling physical argument on the realist side of the story at the Heartland Institute’s annual Climate Reality Forum in Glasgow.
see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R7p1O6aYlnE
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
For those who are curious about our weekly weather events and extremes have a look at the weather albums. This week the events range from heavy snows in Iceland to heavy rains in the Amazon. Cold extreme weather in both hemispheres are shown with examples of the atmospheric river that is dumping 5 meter snows in Alaska and the Antarctic Peninsula. Lord Monckton’s presentation of physical evidence of climate variability and key COP26 presenters are shown. Satellite and radar examples of cyclonic storms, thunderstorms, atmospheric rivers, warm and cold advection jet streams, snow-covered Alps and Rockies…
You can see TropicalTidbit’s Global temperature anomalies, photos of Southern Africa’s snowfall, record Surface Mass Balance snow accumulations in Greenland, and deep storms in the Pacific bringing cold air to N America (cold open cell advection) and heavy snow along N America’s west coast…Warm advection from the Gulf of Mexico to Ellesmere Island. Our spectacular Bomb low off BC is documented with the heavy precipitation forecasts from SFO to Alaska…. GFS snow and temperature forecasts are shown.
1 NOV 2021
GULF OF ALASKA extratropical cyclone (959 mb) and storm series pumped 4.7 m of snow into the mountains on the Kani Peninsula south of Anchorage in the 26 Oct 10-day QPF. The past 7 days of ECMWF new snow 10-day forecasts have been running between 473 to 566 cm with 4 days having >500 cm. This is the highest I have seen in this area. The Gulf of Alaska low (940-970 mb) has been pumping Pacific moisture into the Anchorage area during this time.
WINDY.COM's satellite loops of the earth show the meridional flows Poleward (warm advection) and Equator-ward (cold advection) and the driving storms of this heat transport. If you take time to look at these, you will see how dynamic and balancing nature really is. You gain a better appreciation to the laws of physics for mass and heat conservation. Yes, we do have extreme weather events - hot and cold; the laws of physics dictate that globally they must balance. In the Grand Solar Minimum we’ll see extremes, but the frequency and intensity of cold events will seriously cut crop production due to shortened growing seasons: Early and late seasonal frosts.
The net dT (temperature anomaly) in the Little Ice Age was only a drop of 1.6ºC below the global average temperature, but the Thames River and the Nederland canals froze. The Little Ice age was in the GSM’s 400 year cycle, which NASA and NOAA are now predicting for us in 2021-2030. This is not an Anthropogenic Global Warming or climate change that the IPCC claims today. Our best numerical models cannot predict this over 10-30 years. However, Astronomers can predict the orbital mechanics, solar cycles and their geomagnetic and gravitational impacts quite accurately.
NEW ENGLAND had its first intense Nor’easter winter storm (980 mb) move up the coast on 27-28 Oct. Wind gusts in this storm exceeded 90 kt near Boston. In Oklahoma severe weather with hail and damaging winds developed along a cold front that marked the N-S transport of heat and moisture flux, thus balancing this energy and mass flow. Conservation of energy and mass is evident in every storm. Satellite cloud top temperatures from Oklahoma to Kansas were -45 to -50ºC indicating deep convection - thunderstorms.
A second major storm followed the Nor’Easter over the SE US on 29 Oct. This storm followed up the East coast with additional major flooding due to the saturated soils. These deep storms look like the SE Canadian cut-off lows that persisted thru last winter pulling cold air southward.
Western Snows have dumped record or near record early snows in the Sierra permitting ski areas Mammoth, Mt Rose-105 cm, and Palisades-Squaw Valley-90 cm ) to open a month early. Donner Summit had its 2nd snowiest-October on Record according to the UC Berkley Central Sierra Snow Lab. Heavy snows are predicted for the western half of the US thru mid- November - have a look at the weather album.
Colorado’s 9News showed some interesting numbers on 20 Oct 2021. They showed snowpack at 263 to 1133% of normal with 346% above median…Early snow fall can be grossly misleading since the average may be 1-5 inches, so it is easy to get 1000% above normal, but it could all melt by the next week !! Nonetheless the more consistent snows we get the better.
UK is facing record cold and snow forecasts too. Scottish Highlands are predicted to cool to -6 to -10ºC by 5 November. The UK is turning back to coal for its energy during these cold times. You can watch the cold advection behind storms on the windy.com satellite images in motion, select 12 h and let the video run. TropicalTidbits.com also shows the deviations from normal temperatures. You can watch these change in motion from day to day also. Look at models and select thermodynamics and 2 meter T.
Kashmir Valley min T registered -1.1 and 1.7ºC - rare for October. Delhi, Punjab Plain, and Haryana are dropping below normal. Last year these areas set record breaking 12.5 ºC on 29 October.
Here in Europe, CNN runs an ad showing the Atacama Desert with an old wooden row boat as the ad talks about “CLIMATE CHANGE WILL AFFECT PEOPLE AROUND THE WORLD”, inferring this desert is a product of climate change. Unfortunately this desert is over 3 million years old, and the driest non-polar desert on Earth. It is not changing with climate as the large scale global dynamics at 23º N and S in the Hadley Cell produce strong subsidence that warms and dries the air. The Atacama is also on the lee side of Chile’s coast range 1.5 km msl and lies west of the high Andes 3-4 km msl; hence it is in a rain shadow like Death Valley.
The southern hemisphere jet continues to be quite strong and drives strong storms that have continued to dump 2 to 4 m of snow in the Antarctic and 1-3 m in the Andes. Australia and new Zealand’s snow fall have decreased significantly; however the rainfall and severe weather have been significant in NZ’s rain forests and across Australia.
THE SUN had a Cronal Mass Ejection CME that should hit earth on 30 Oct with bright auroras and some electronic interruptions.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
You can see TropicalTidbit’s Global temperature anomalies, photos of Southern Africa’s snowfall, record Surface Mass Balance snow accumulations in Greenland, and deep storms in the Pacific bringing cold air to N America (cold open cell advection) and heavy snow along N America’s west coast…Warm advection from the Gulf of Mexico to Ellesmere Island. Our spectacular Bomb low off BC is documented with the heavy precipitation forecasts from SFO to Alaska…. GFS snow and temperature forecasts are presented.
25 OCT 2021
The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes.
MAJOR WINTER STORMS are arriving a month early this year in the N Hemisphere from N America to Europe and Asia. This week’s global weather album shows examples focusing on one major storm (963 mb) off the Pacific coast from Alaska to San Francisco. This classic mid-winter storm dumped heavy rain and snow from SFO to SW Canada where the ECMWF 10-day QPF predicted 200-300+ mm and NOAA’s 7-day had 5 to 15 inches of rain. Mountain snows were from 1 to 3 meters in the ECMWF model. This storm dropped to a “Bomb” pressure of 948 mb on 23 Oct. as it rapidly intensified and moved N off the BC coast. Interestingly in the Southern Ocean a deep 923 mb storm pounded the Antarctic with 1-3 m of snow at this time.
The GFS model is predicting significant snowfall (1-3 feet) from Alaska to Colorado over the next 15 days. Eastern N America will also build a snow cover from the Smokey Mountains to Labrador. Mt Washington had its first 5 inch snow this week
Scotland and even central UK had some snow and more predicted into central UK. The Alps may get 20-30 inches. Slovenia’s Triglav mountain melted off much of its early 50 cm snowfall this week, while LJU hit 0 to 1ºC. Scandinavia has been receiving up to a foot of snow with more coming this week. Finland’ deepest October snow on record is 60 cm in 1967, on 18 October 2021 they had 20 to 60 cm in the ECMWF forecast thru 28 oct 2021. Sweden had 60 to 178 cm in that forecast with exceptional cold -18 and -16ºC in Finland.
Over 13 people in India died in heavy (40 to 120 cm) mountain snows this week.
Volcanoes continue to pour ashes and lava from La Palma to New Guinea’s new stratovolcano and Japan’s Aso Volcano on 20 Oct 2021. Volcanic ash and dust in the stratosphere significantly cools our atmosphere by blocking solar radiation.
Australia continued to get Antarctic fronts that are now triggering large hail producing thunderstorms as spring arrives. I can watch these on windy.com, seem to have more than I’ve noticed before. The Andes continued to get 1-3 m of snow on the highest mountains as deep storms and strong westerly jets circle the southern hemisphere.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Album at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
You can see TropicalTidbit’s Global temperature anomalies, photos of Southern Africa’s snowfall, record Surface Mass Balance snow accumulations in Greenland, and deep storms in the Pacific bringing cold air to N America (cold open cell advection) and heavy snow along N America’s west coast…Warm advection from the Gulf of Mexico to Ellesmere Island. Our spectacular Bomb low off BC is documented with the heavy precipitation forecasts from SFO to Alaska. La Nina re-established and intensified, reinforcing the long range forecasts for a cold wet NW, warm dry SW.
18 OCT 2021
The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes.
WINTER is approaching many parts of the N Hemisphere as it recedes in the South. Our jet streams are intense and provide a variety of warm and cool fall - winter weather. Many areas have had hard freezes, thus stopping crop development. Food supplies are tight and prices are rising.
The Rockies had their first significant snowfall from Montana to Colorado (18-10 inches respectively) as Alaska and the BC had 2-4 meters of snow in the ECMWF forecasts. The
Andes and Antarctic continue to get 2-4 m of snow in the high elevations and along the Antarctic coast from deep cyclonic storms.
We have many examples of cold advection in satellite imagery this week. Cold advection is the transport of cold air behind cold fronts and is especially prominent when cold air flows over warm sea water causing convective clouds to develop. These Open Cell or Closed Cell patterns are easy to identify. I mark these areas with blue arrow on the weather album imagery. This week we saw these patterns in the N Pacific, N Atlantic, and in the N Sea as cold air flowed into central Europe.
Hard freezes cut crop growth in many areas from the Rockies to Central Europe and across Siberia. Windy provides an excellent view of the cold advection.
China power rationing in 1/2 country - power crisis is limiting industrial production. China is forced to move to coal as is the UK due to natural gas shortages this winter.
German perspective on global warming http://plasmaresources.com/ozwx/landscheidt/pdf/NewLittleIceAgeInsteadOfGlobalWarming.pdf “New Little ICE Age Instead of Global Warming?” by Dr Theodor Landscheidt
September 7, 2020 Cap Allon
Among the long list of scientific papers suggesting that a solar-driven spell of global cooling is on the cards, Dr Theodor Landscheidt’s ‘New Little ICE Age Instead of Global Warming?‘ probably has the claim of priority.
For those who looked at windy.com ’s NH satellite loop on 17 Oct, you saw a perfect example of the strong meridional flow from Florida to Ellesmere-Baffin Islands carrying warm advection up NE N America. Quite impressive. The atmospheric river actually started in Mexico ahead of a strong cold front (warm sector). Have a look at my album (red arrow). I look at windy.com loops every morning when doing my yoga wake-up. - a great learning tool… NOAA’s GOES East GeoColor satellite images give you another high resolution look at these systems.
CNN has been playing an ad showing the Atacama desert with a boat on dry land and desert out to the horizon (990 mi). You may have seen this. We see it often in SLO, only thing is that desert has been dry for thousands of years, and occasionally fills. It is on the west side of the Andes and controlled by large scale subsidence and a two-sided rain shadow (only 15 mm of rain/yr - driest non polar desert). CNN also shows inundation maps of cities showing “AGW sea level rising” (potential 6 m rise) FALSE unproven forecasts…easy to map but based on unproven models. NOAA produces inundation maps for hurricanes and extreme floods. I worked with the teams in NOAA,NASA, and USGS that developed these maps in the mid 1990s.
Colorado is just south of the main storm track, so will get some snow but not close to the precip in the N Sierra up to the Canadian Coast range in the next week.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Album at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
You can see TropicalTidbit’s Global temperature anomalies, photos of Southern Africa’s snowfall, record Surface Mass Balance snow accumulations in Greenland, and deep storms in the Pacific bringing cold air to N America (cold open cell advection) and heavy snow along N America’s west coast…Warm advection from the Gulf of Mexico to Ellesmere Island.
11 Oct 2021
The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes.
Hurricane Sam moved into the N Atlantic this week bringing extreme tropical moisture northward off the coast of Laborador by 5 October, then moved rapidly as an extratropical cyclone into the UK by 8 Oct. Upper level Moisture from this storm flowed across the UK and down into the Bay of Biscay and on into the Mediterranean Sea and up into Italy and Slovenia on 6 October. windy.com's satellite loop clearly showed how inter-connected we are.
You have probably noticed that the Southern Ocean storms around the Antarctic are quite intense and large. This is due to the very strong temperature gradient from Antarctica and the Southern Ocean and the large Coriolis Force at high latitudes. Often we have 50 to 100 mb pressure changes over relatively short distances which drive the wind.
The geostrophic wind speed is
V=1/rho (1/f * dP/dN)
where the pressure gradient is dp/dn change of pressure over distance, rho is air density and f is the Coriolis factor that is a function of sin of the latitude. The colder the temperature the denser the air; Cold dense air flows down hill into the low pressure centers. When you look at the satellite images they clearly show this flow of cold air (cold advection) pointing to some extreme events denoted by their open cell or closed cell convective clouds. I show this phenomenon on satellite images in the Global Weather Albums. Today, we have a large area of open cell convection in the Pacific from Alaska to California behind a Pacific Cold Front that will impact the Rockies this week.
Russian forecasters are predicting an “Extreme Deep Winter Freeze” this winter in early January, they expect temperatures to be “twice as severe as average”. They cite this snow season’s snow mass as already off to an impressive start at 250 Gt above the 1982-2012 average. This week the Balkans region suffered freezing temperatures 10 to 16º C below normal. Also the South Pole just suffered the coldest winter in recorded history, thus pointing toward a similar hard winter in the N Hemisphere.
On 6-7 Oct Kredarica SLO’s mountain observatory at 2514 m msl had 48 cm of new snow, its first significant snow this fall. The ECMWF model forecast put a 75 cm max in the ALPS and 77 cm in the Carpathians of Romania and Serbia. The model also predicted the first significant snows in North America from 300 cm in Alaska to 150 in BC, and 170 in the Black Hills of SD. Satellite imagery clearly shows the new snow covering the Canadian Rockies and Coast range.
A strong cut off low moved into the Adriatic producing heavy rains and snow in the mountains for 4 days…. The US also had a deep cutoff low that produced flooding in the saturated soils of the SE as the jet stream’s omega blocks slowed the eastward movement of these systems. Note that the blocks are part of a strong meridional (N-S) flow typical in the GSM. Western Siberia was cold and clear under a strong blocking high (1045 mb) .
On October 6th the ECMWF model predicted a 10 day maximum of heavy snow in the West. US forecasters picked up on this on the 8th predicting feet of snow in the Rockies as a major winter storm moved from the Pacific on the 11-12th… The Central Rockies from Montana to Colorado received its first significant high elevation snows Oct 9-10th with more to come. Hard freeze warnings covered many areas. California fire fighters are finally getting some help from these storms as our beautiful Sequoia National Forest burns.
Las Palma volcano is producing more explosive eruptions this 3rd week.
Note: Google is planning to ban all advertisements on “Climate Denial Content” so much for free speech and a truthful competition of scientific thought. Not all scientists walk in lock step with a totalitarian AGW view point. We have yet to see a healthy debate on this subject in the MSM.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Album at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
You can see TropicalTidbit’s Global temperature anomalies, photos of Southern Africa’s snowfall, record Surface Mass Balance snow accumulations in Greenland, and deep storms in the Pacific bringing cold air to N America (cold open cell advection) and heavy snow along N America’s west coast….
Enjoy our 1st significant snow in the Rockies this week.
4 Oct 2021
Major cyclonic storms dominated the past week as the meandering jet stream in the NH intensified and the SH jet continued its strong flow. From the Deep Alaskan (976mb) storm that battered (170 to 250 cm) western North America and brought moisture into the NW Territories and northern Manitoba, to the Barents Sea storm (978 mb) that is building up the Norwegian snowpack (15 to 62 cm), we had a very active start to a cold Fall. The central US enjoyed a warm Indian Summer with some record heat. Slovenia had a record 120 mm of rain in an intense thunderstorm that hit LJUbljana on 29 Sept. We were having diner when a bright flash and instant crack of thunder shook our place. Extremely heavy rain followed for an hour as the cold front passed thru.
Greenland’s temperature continued to fall as it was the coldest (-30 to -38ºC) part of NH and it continued to build its glaciers (55 to 233 cm) over large areas. Snow Mass Balance remained positive with 1 to 10 GT/day increases this month. The 10 GT/day was an all time record (records began in 1981 for the Danish Arctic research institutions). The past year (Oct 1 2020 to 30 Sept 2021) was the 28th heaviest on record with 396.6 Gt. Note 1 Gt is equivalent to 1 km3 of water.
Southern Ocean storms continue to fascinate me when I look at windy.com's satellite imagery in motion. You can see the deep storms (970 to 930 mb) pushing frigid Antarctic air off the continent creating large areas of cold unstable air (open cell convective cloud patterns) over the relatively warm ocean, then pulling moist air back down onto the continent dumping heavy snow (160 to 280 cm) along the coast this week. The Andes were hit by a strong meandering jet and moist Pacific/Southern Ocean flow that dumped 150 to 250 cm of snow in the ECMWF 10-day forecasts. Australia and New Zealand have had many Antarctic cold fronts cool them and deliver snow to their mountains up to 5 meters in one storm on MT Hitts, NZ. The Australian Snowy Range has also been hit by significant snows this winter into late season October snows.
South America has a similar story of historically low temperatures that destroyed large areas of coffee and corn crops. Extreme drought in Brazil has also dried up reservoirs to record levels and led to rare dust storms. South Africa is also under threat of record cold this week.
The 2021 - 2022 winter is shaping up to be an extremely cold event, if this fall is an indicator. From early cold records in N America and Europe to snow storms that have killed experienced mountaineers on Mt Elbrus, Europe’s highest mountain and those in India to the global energy shortages, it is looking like a GSM cold year. Dutch TTF gas prices sky rocketed 10% due to limited storage capacity and new weather models that predict a colder than expected winter. UK has activated coal plants to keep up with demand as gasoline and gas shortages cut supplies. Brent crude soared to $80/barrel.
Tropical cyclones from Hurricane Sam and TD Victor in the Atlantic to Indian/Arabian Sea Cyclone Shaheen to Pacific Typhoon Mindulle continue our very active season that is delivering tropical moisture northward and into the Saudi Arabian Peninsula. The UK, Iceland, Norway and Greenland have been impacted by these systems delivering early snows.
Record high coral coverage across the Great Barrier Reef developed this year, contrary to the claims of catastrophic bleaching. An Australian expert, Dr Jennifer Marohasy, presented a comprehensive look at the Great Barrier Reef and sea level at the Climate Change Concern Forum in Maroochydore, Australia. She has been studying sea levels for over 30 years and has an interesting presentation that describes impacts on the Great Barrier Reef. see: https://youtu.be/dVlu-7_FxD8 You'll see there are many natural causes for sea level variations from lunar gravitational pull and 18-year orbital cycles to cyclones and extreme phase syncing of these phenomena that amplify tidal surges.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Album at:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
You can see TropicalTidbit’s Global temperature anomalies, photos of Southern Africa’s snowfall, record Surface Mass Balance snow accumulations in Greenland, and deep storms in the Southern Ocean, and heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand, and the global SST anomaly (La Nina is developing) among other things again this week. The Los Palmas volcano’s potential Tsunami map is shown. This week the volcano continued to flow producing toxic gases like H2SO4 as lava hit the sea causing massive evacuations.
27 SEPT 2021
SNOWICANE intensifies into a massive polar vortex (953 mb) over the N Atlantic and Arctic Ocean stretching from Greenland to Norway. This storm continues to push heavy snow into Greenland, Iceland, and Norway. Hurricane Sam may be the next tropical pulse of moisture into the N Atlantic, we’ll see.
Snow is falling across the higher elevations of Russia from the Urals to Kamchatka covering relatively large areas with from 20 to 120 cm. Three large lows fed cold air down from the N Atlantic, Kara Sea, and Arctic Ocean as short waves moved across Siberia. Cold winter-like high pressures are moving cold air southward from Greenland (1043 mb) and E Siberia (1040 mb).
Western North America from Alaska to Vancouver also is getting significant high elevation 10-day snow forecasts of 80 to 369 cm, while NE Canada gets 67 to 171 cm on Ellesmere and Baffin Islands. It looks like an early winter up North.
Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy, attributed this year’s healthy ice gains to a persistent cold low-pressure system over the northern Beaufort Sea that sent northwest winds over the Chukchi.
German scientists reported that the ERA5 temperature data is consistent with the cooling that has dominated East and West Antartica over the past 40 years. The Antarctic Peninsula warmed but it is not significant compared to the 2.8ºC cooling over the large East and West areas. German climate website Die kalte Sonne recently posted its 64th climate video. In it, they examined a new paper on Antarctica by Zhu et al (2021) entitled “An Assessment of ERA5 Reanalysis for Antarctic Near-Surface Air Temperature”. Note that I have been observing the daily reports from the French Meteo and University of Wisconsin showing relatively cold persistent temperatures in the Arctic and Antarctic.
China’s floods and poor crop yields have resulted in a jump of 221% in corn imports reported on 21 June 2021. Gas storage in Europe is dwindling as prices sore and UK is forced to restart its coal plants. AGW was a hot topic in the German elections primarily due to the record floods along the western border last summer ( see July 19, 2021 Log) that were falsely attributed to AGW.
Deep storms continue to dominate the Southern Ocean where SSTs are cooler than normal. These have persisted in dumping significant snows on the Antarctic Peninsula and Andes this week.
This past weekend millions of good meaning citizens of the Earth demonstrated against fossil fuels and AGW. I would venture to say few if any truly understood the complexity of the Earth’s greenhouse gases and how the greenhouse radiative effects work. It is not as simple as a glass greenhouse. Most have never heard of black body radiation let alone the Stefan-Boltzman law of black body radiative emissions which govern the greenhouse emissions in our atmosphere. This law is quite simple E=σ Τ4 σ=5.67 x10-8 W m-1 Tº-4 and T is the black body temperature ºK. You can see the complexity of this by looking at windy.com's satellite images which now show the skin temperature of the surface as seen by satellites. Today, Saudi Arabia had a surface temperature of 37ºC (310ºK) and a few clouds at -7ºC (266ºK) this resulted in an 15% variation of T4. India with the Monsoon had a clear sky surface T of 9ºC (282ºK) and a deep cloud top T of -80ºC (193ºK) with a 79% range of T4. You can see this results in quite a range of emissivity. Dr. Richard Lindzen, MIT Emeritus Professor, and former lead author on the IPCC team provides a comprehensive review of the greenhouse effect. You can see this below.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Album at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
You can see TropicalTidbit’s Global temperature anomalies, photos of Southern Africa’s snowfall, record Surface Mass Balance snow accumulations in Greenland, and deep storms in the Southern Ocean, and heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand, and the global SST anomaly (La Nina is developing) among other things again this week. The Los Palmas volcano’s potential Tsunami map is shown. This week the volcano continued to flow lessening the chance for a catastrophic Tsunami.
Enjoy our Indian Summer in Colorado and watch Hurricane Sam march up the central Atlantic. It may have a major impact in Europe and Greenland again.
20 SEPT 2021
Early in the week TS/Cat1 Nickolas hit the Texas/LA coast with R+++ (280 mm) causing flash flooding and extensive damage. Snowicane Larry also dumped record SMB (9 GT) on SE Greenland (ECMWF 10-day fcst: 217 cm - 3to 6 ft). This was a classic transition from Hurricane (tropical cyclone) to an Extratropical cyclone (low 974 mb) which greatly intensified as it moved northward. At the same time the Southern Ocean continued to support 6 major storms (962, 937, 955, 941, 965, and 929 mb center pressures). These dumped a maximum amount of 275 cm on the Peninsula.
IPCC is challenged by economist experts on attribution fingerprinting as published in Climate Dynamics technical journal.
THE NH and SH jets continue to deliver strong storms with heavy rain and snow in the mountains. Scotland had its first snow forecast (14cm) as Iceland (136cm) and Norway (64 cm) had significant amounts. Alaska and BC had 1-3 m of new snow predicted over 10 days.
Western Australia (WA) has September late frosts that cut the greenbelt crop production by up to 50%. This week much of Australia will have another cold blast that may take temperatures to 16 ºC BELOW normal. Dry conditions and frosts in the North have also impacted crops in the grain growing regions there. Extreme blizzards are striking both hemispheres this week. Have a look at the Fall Weather Album to see New Zealand’s record snow fields at Mt Dobson Ski Area.
China, India and Ethiopia continue to get heavy rains as their monsoons persist.
Interesting scientific studies of Australian wild fire carbon emissions and ash fallout in the ocean have shown that large algae blooms are consuming the fire’s CO2 and producing O2 as the phytoplankton grows thru photosynthesis. Thus Nature is balancing the harmful fire CO2 production scientists at CSIRO say.
Record gas prices across Europe are closing industries and forcing government intervention before the predicted upcoming cold winter. The US was to ship LNG to Europe, Russia was also to send gas, but diverted it to China. Here in Slovenia we have rising prices for gasoline and food too. Our friend’s garden was hit hard cutting the size of vegetables and yield due to dry hot and cold waves. Europe is set to freeze as a powerful Arctic blast moves south including the sunny side of the Alps in Slovenia this week. We’ll see.
Los Palmas had its first volcanic eruption in 50 years, thus contributing to global cooling. But the most critical component is potential for a MEGA -Tsunami that could hit the US East coast with 10-25 m waves thus washing away many coastal towns according to a study by Steven Ward and Simon Day. See Fall Weather Album.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Album at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
and: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
You can see TropicalTidbit’s Global temperature anomalies, photos of Southern Africa’s snowfall, record Surface Mass Balance snow accumulations in Greenland, and deep storms in the Southern Ocean, and heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand among other things again this week. The Los Palmas volcano’s potential Tsunami map is shown.
13 SEPT 2021
As the Fall Equinox approaches both the hemispheres have more intense storms and extremes due to the meridional flows transporting warm air poleward and cold air toward the equator. Colorado broke record high temperatures on 3 consecutive days. Argentina did the opposite.
The subtropics continued to generate tropical cyclones including Hurricane Larry which was CAT 4 in mid-Atlantic then a “Snowicane” as it became a massive blizzard when it passed Newfoundland and was forecast to dump 3-5 feet on Greenland and Iceland. This should boost the Greenland Surface Mass Balance to record levels for this date. Hurricane Sandy dumped 2-3 feet of snow in the central Appalachians in October 2012.
The US continued to clean up the massive destruction caused by Hurricane Ida and its remnants that created massive record floods from Pennsylvania to NJ and NY and rare NE Tornados from MD to NY. MSM attributes this storm to AGW, however, we should remember that the Subtropical Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico SSTs were near normal (bathtub temperatures 25-30ºC) and the vertical wind shear was minimal where the storms formed and developed. Hot SSTs and little wind shear are keys to developing tropical cyclones. These occur naturally in summer and during the hurricane season. Again remember the Great Galveston Hurricane of 1900 that caused massive destruction and loss of life (6,000 to 12,000 people died). This was pre-hockey stick AGW. It was the worst storm in American history. Ida’s extreme flooding and tornados in the NE was aided by vertical wind shear in the jet above a cold front that lifted the massive subtropical moisture causing R+++.
The US GFS model is predicting early season accumulations to hit the Western US starting next weekend in the Sept 10-26 model run. We shall see.
Europe is looking at increased gas prices and is starting coal plants to meet expected demands. Russia is diverting gas to China and Turkey ! Very interesting geopolitical events as we cope with the Anthropogenic Global Warming AGW. China is buying the global grain supplies and other key commodities that will be and are becoming scarce as food prices rise. China’s Bridge and Road project built the large dam in Ethiopia which is now filling thanks to a strong African Monsoon, like the SW Monsoon that has flooded parts of India and China all summer leading to crop failures. China hopes to harvest crops in this area like Europe did in the Little Ice Age. China also continues to build coal fired plants.
Our N and S jet streams continue to evolve and drive major storms that remain intense in the Southern Ocean and are intensifying in the N Pacific and N Atlantic. The Northern jet is regaining its winter intensity and with the help of tropical cyclone moisture is spinning up storms like the snowicane (976 mb) off Greenland and intense Aleutian lows that are feeding heavy snows (1-2 m) into Alaska’s coastal mountains. Even the record heat region of BC now is having early snows atop it’s peaks - Very exciting weather for us meteorologists - extreme climate variability.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Albums at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8 and https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
You can see TropicalTidbit’s Global temperature anomalies, photos of Southern Africa’s snowfall, record Surface Mass Balance snow accumulations in Greenland, and deep storms in the Southern Ocean, and heavy snows in Australia and New Zealand among other things again this week. Note: it would appear that the Tidbit anomalies are still at odds with the IPCC statement that this is the warmest year ever. The Wall Street Journal had an interesting critique of the latest IPCC report used to stir the alarmist MSM. It noted that the IPCC now considers AGC less intense and extreme impacts may not be felt until 2050 to 2100. Recall that NASA’s Hansen predicted the Westside Highway of Manhattan will be under water by 2015. It isn’t. We need to teach our students more about the underlying physics of climate and weather and less about reactions to alarmist climate change. They must understand why conservation of water and energy is good for our planet, not that they should just “save the planet” from fossil fuels.
30 Aug 2021
Hurricane IDA made land fall in Lousiana as a Cat 4 with gusts to 150 kt, heavy flooding rains and tidal waves and surge causing massive damage. Saturated soils from Fred and Henri contributed to extreme flooding. TS Nora is moving up the Gulf of California and will bring R+ to the SW US and Colorado this week.
Europe had fall-like conditions this week as a significant low passed across the UK into the Baltic sea bringing a cold front across central Europe that dropped temperatures to 4 to 12ºC below normal.. The upper air analysis looked much like a mid-winter cold low producing a strong northerly flow into central Europe. Triglav had a fresh snowfall as the glacier slowed is melt. Large portions of transcontinental Russia will be affected by 6 to 12ºC colder than normal temperatures Sept 5th to 11th.. Russia’s Arctic Ocean coastal waters were ice free from the Barrent’s sea to Alaska, even Franz Joseph and Svalbard Islands were ice free. However, the ECMWF model kept the Ob River Estuary frozen so far. Canada’s NW Passage remained closed with thick 2-3 m ice at Ellesmere Island.
Arctic Sea ice was mainly confined to the Greenland to Beaufort Sea and N to the Pole. Greenland’s Surface Mass Balance remained above the 20-year normal curve with large fluctuations in August as major storms dumped 1-2 meters of snow over large areas and the warm thin coastal areas melted rapidly. The SH ice extent anomalies from June 1079 to 2021 continued it upward trend - growth over the past 40 years with a slope of 0.8+- 1.1% per decade. Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in 2021 is the 5th highest on record in the 42 years of satellite data.
SH jet remains very strong (215 kt) SW of Australia continuing to spin up deep extratropical cyclones (lows) with center pressures from 959 to 935 mb. Relatively heavy snows fell around the Antarctic coast and up to S Georgia Island (50 to 475 cm) as the cold Antarctic temperatures remained at -59 to -74ºC this week. Cold records were set from South America to S Africa (19+) with historic snowfall in S Africa. The Chilean desert of Atacama even had a rare dumping of late season snow. September freezes will impact the already devastated crops in the continent’s growing regions: Brazil and Argentina.
Australia and New Zealand remained cold with snow in the Snowy Range of SE Australia and both heavy rains(100 to 300 mm) in the NZ rainforest and snows in the Southern Alps.
The IPCC released its AR6 report which declared a state of climate emergency again. This report reminds me of the three blind men describing an elephant. Cherry picking data to suit a particular scenario fails the basic truth test. Yes, hot records were broken from SW Canada 49.6ºC to Spain…; however, many cold records were also set around the world. Depending on your data set, the earth warmed or cooled. Natural variability makes representative temperature measurements difficult at best. The fundamental sources of energy remain the sun and oceans on earth. Watch out for the latest CME solar flare impacting earth this week.
Have a look at the detailed charts and documentation in my Global Weather Album at: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8