Global Extreme Weather Log

Details: Category: News and Events; Created on 11 August 2020; Published on 11 August 2020

WEEKLY GLOBAL EXTREMES

(Article Mnager-news and events)

This page provides a weekly log of unique weather events and information that summarizes some key events of note. Most of the extreme notes are from Electroverse Extreme Weather daily updates.

For clips of these events see my Global Weather Album: Global Weather 2020-2021.

Global Weather Album 2020-2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bLyGGEv6oK6f7q9N8

Global Weather Album Spring 2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8

Global Weather Album Fall-Winter 2021-22: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7

Global Weather Album Winter 2022-23: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA

Global Weather Album Summer 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/rBprNqGzNmHBodKy8

Global Weather Album Fall - Winter 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6

Global Weather Album Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7

The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes. Note: I do not focus on heat as the MSM covers that aspect of our climate variability..

ECMWF SH 15-DAY TSNOW

1 December 2025

Intense winter storms dominated N hemisphere weather this week from Alaska to Siberia. The jet stream had many short waves that carried these storms eastward. One of the most notable in the US was a Thanksgiving storm that hit the midwest from Iowa to Michigan and the NE. Some areas had 20-30 inches or more. Many snow and cold records were set. The next week should continue with Arctic blasts expanding across the US. The Polar Vortex is very weak thus permitting Arctic blasts.

“A potentially major Arctic outbreak is lining up for North America around the first week of December, with both the ECMWF and GFS continuing to lock onto a deep cross-polar flow and a weakened, elongated polar vortex.
The signal has held for several consecutive runs: widespread readings of 20 to 40F below normal, subzero lows across the Upper Midwest, and Chicago brushing against early-December values typically suited to the 1800s.”

Europe had heavy snows in the Alps from the Maritimes to Switzerland and Austria. The region turned cold and significant snows hit N Africa from the High Atlas to Algeria. Over 30 ski areas opened. “The Alps have erupted into deep winter, with more than 1 meter (3.3 feet) of snow falling in 72 hours across French and Swiss resorts. Chamonix is reporting a full meter (39.4 inches), followed by Val d’Isère at 81 cm (31.9 in), Courchevel at 80 cm (31.5 in), and 70 cm (27.6 in) at both Alpe d’Huez and Les Deux Alpes. Crans-Montana reports 60 cm (23.6 in).”

Asia also had record cold in India and N China as Siberian Arctic outbreaks moved south. “Northern India is locked into one of its sharpest November cold spells in years. Rajasthan is enduring a very cold November so far. Mount Abu has hit 0C (32F) — its first November freeze since 2010. Fatehpur saw 5.8C (42.4F), while Lunkaransar dropped to 6.6C (43.9F) and Churu to 7.8C (46F) — all comfortably below normal.” “Siberia has delivered the first -50C (-58F) readings of the season this morning (Nov 25), with Delyankir plunging to -50.7C (-59.3F), and Ust-Nera and Yurty also both touching the -50C mark. Oymyakon followed closely with a low of -49.5C.”

Southern Hemisphere had a strong jet stream that intensified deep storms (949 MB) around the Antarctic continuing to dump locally heavy (1-2m) coastal mountain snows. The Andes south of 45º also had heavy snows of 2-3 m. “Snow on the first day of summer, December 1, has swept Australia’s southeast as a deep pulse of polar air drove temperatures as much as 15C below average across Victoria, NSW and Tasmania. Melbourne logged its coldest December 1 since 1996, reaching just 15C (59F) — and feeling closer to 8C once factoring in the wind-chill from strong south-westerlies. Ballarat, Canberra and Hobart also endured their coldest start to summer in decades.”

New album: Fall 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bugmjy45uEMGyKJU7

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/27/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 27 January showed warming off Ecuador with cooling from 120 to180º W. This warming continued this week of 12 April. The warming turned neutral to cold in May 3rd’s analysis. Today the pattern is an intensifying la Nina. See NOAA’s Physical Sciences Lab: https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst.shtml

Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.

Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs. This year Fall temperatures ranged from 5 to 35ºC by 19 May 2025.

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
1 December 2025

Record Cold Northern India; Northeast China To -31.1C (-24F); Russia’s First -50C (-58F); November Snow Blankets Tunisia And Algeria; Pielke On COP30 Lies; + Google’s Science
November 25, 2025 Cap Allon

Record Cold Northern India
Northern India is locked into one of its sharpest November cold spells in years.
Rajasthan is enduring a very cold November so far. Mount Abu has hit 0C (32F) — its first November freeze since 2010. Fatehpur saw 5.8C (42.4F), while Lunkaransar dropped to 6.6C (43.9F) and Churu to 7.8C (46F) — all comfortably below normal.
Farther north, the Kashmir Valley is shivering. Pulwama fell to -5C (23F) and Shopian to -5.4C (22.3F). Pahalgam logged -4.4C (24.1F), Baramulla -4.3C (24.3F), Pampore -4.5C (23.9F), and Srinagar Airport -4.2C (24.4F). Srinagar city itself dipped to -3.2C (26.2F).
At higher elevations, Zojila Pass plunged to -16C (3.2F), while Leh reached -8.5C (16.7F), Kargil -8.8C (16.2F), and Nubra -6.6C (20.1F).
In the Jammu region, Banihal dropped to -1.2C (29.8F) as the wider cold wave spread south.
India’s freeze is forecast to intensify into early December.
 

Northeast China To -31.1C (-24F)
Northeast China plunged into deep freeze this morning as a strong cold air mass drove temperatures below freezing across almost the entire region — running 10C to 15C below the seasonal norm.
The Greater Khingan Mountains saw the sharpest drop. Beiji Village fell to -31.1C (-24F) — the first station in China to break -30C (-22F) this season, a threshold usually not reached until mid-December. Mohe also dipped below -30C (-22F).
Daytime temperatures are being crushed. Most of the Northeast will stay below 0C (32F) even at midday, while Huzhong, Tahe and Xinlin will remain locked under -15C (5F) throughout the day — far below the typical late-November highs near -5C (23F).
A fiercely cold November outbreak across China’s far north:

Russia’s First -50C (-58F)
Looking north, Russia is split down the middle this week, with the East shivering and the West enjoying record-tying warmth.
Siberia has delivered the first -50C (-58F) readings of the season this morning (Nov 25), with Delyankir plunging to -50.7C (-59.3F), and Ust-Nera and Yurty also both touching the -50C mark. Oymyakon followed closely with a low of -49.5C.

November Snow Blankets Tunisia And Algeria
Snow has settled across the highlands of Tunisia and Algeria, whitening the likes of Kasserine, Kef, Siliana, Tebessa and Batna as a cold Mediterranean trough drove freezing air into North Africa.
 Accumulations were reported on Jebel ech Chambi and across the western Tunisian plateaus, while Algeria’s Aurès and Tell Atlas ranges saw road crews deployed and traffic advisories issued due to drifting snow and freezing wind chills.
 November snowfall here is considered infrequent, but not exactly rare at elevation, with similar early events occurring in 2012, 2017, 2019, 2021 and 2023. The cold marks the southern edge of the broader early-winter chill gripping the Mediterranean and Europe.

The likes of France and Switzerland have been posting some of their lowest November readings on record.
In France, Les Pontets hit -27.6C (-17.7F), the lowest November temperature in years.
While across the border, Switzerland’s Sägistalsee collapsed to -36.8C (-34.2F) — an exceptional November low. With La Brévine registering -26.3C (-15.3F), ranking among its coldest November temperature since records began in 1959.

Pielke On COP30 Lies
Following yesterday’s article, COP30 has rewritten climate history. The agreement claims the world was once headed for more than 4C of warming until Paris “bent the curve” to 2.3–2.5C. This is false, as Roger Pielke Jr. demonstrates.

https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-battle-for-climate-science-and#footnote-2-179818455

The claim rests entirely on RCP8.5 — a scenario that was never remotely plausible. It demanded impossible coal use, fantasy demographics, and energy pathways that defied both geology and economics.
The scientific community had all the evidence necessary to drop it in 2017, when Justin Ritchie and Hadi Dowlatabadi published a paper that exposed the long-running systematic errors baked into these scenarios. Their conclusion: RCP8.5 and similar high-forcing pathways were “exceptionally unlikely” and should not be used for research or policy. The field ignored them.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0360544217314597

A 2020 Nature commentary by Zeke Hausfather and Glen Peters recast RCP8.5 not as broken but as a “worst case,” implying climate policy progress had steered the world off that track. The evidence says unequivocally otherwise. Emissions never followed an RCP8.5 trajectory. The scenario was never “business as usual.” But the spin stuck, and has been cited more than a thousand times to justify continued use of a scenario long invalidated by real-world data.
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00177-3

Pielke points out that almost 10,000 papers published this year alone rely on climate scenarios already falsified (SSP3-7.0/SSP5-8.5) — an enormous waste of scientific effort, and a further degrading of public trust in the field.
COP30 has now codified the fiction, claiming victory over a future that was never going to happen:
 The world was never heading for RCP8.5. Paris did not bend anything. And the UN is attempting to rewrite the past to justify its present relevance. The extreme scenarios were flawed from the start. As a result, The Narrative built upon them is collapsing.

Google’s Science
The establishment is turning AI into a compliance engine. Most mainstream models don’t analyze — they sanitize. They reproduce the safest, most politically accepted narrative. And for most users, I’m worried that satisfies their inquiry.
From Grok, to ChatGPT, to Gemini, ask a hard question on mortality, energy, climate, or policy, and you don’t get reasoning, you get guardrails written by people who fear the public more than they trust the math.
But models can break free — not through corporate training necessarily (because that’s unlikely), but through users forcing them into uncomfortable territory, guiding them with real data, and rewarding clarity over conformity. When you strip away the censorship layers and demand actual logic, these systems change. They become sharper. Less obedient to the approved story.
I want an AI that challenges power, not parrots it. The establishment wants AI to reinforce its worldview. But with the right pressure, it may end up doing the opposite.

A Meter Of Snow Hits The Alps; Thanksgiving Blizzards; Weak La Niña Holds; Polar Vortex Collapses; Arctic ‘Methane Bomb’ Fizzles Out; + New Study: Forcing Up, Heat Uptake Down
November 26, 2025 Cap Allon

A Meter Of Snow Hits The Alps
The Alps have erupted into deep winter, with more than 1 meter (3.3 feet) of snow falling in 72 hours across French and Swiss resorts.
Chamonix is reporting a full meter (39.4 inches), followed by Val d’Isère at 81 cm (31.9 in), Courchevel at 80 cm (31.5 in), and 70 cm (27.6 in) at both Alpe d’Huez and Les Deux Alpes. Crans-Montana reports 60 cm (23.6 in).

https://electroverse.info/a-meter-of-snow-hits-the-alps-thanksgiving-blizzards-weak-la-nina-holds-polar-vortex-collapses-arctic-methane-bomb-fizzles-out-new-study-forcing-up-heat-uptake-down/

Austria has also been hit: widespread 20–40 cm (8–16 in) totals have been reported here, with more on the way.
And snow has reached valley floors for the first time this autumn.
Avalanche danger has risen sharply, sitting at Level 4 (high) in parts of the western Alps in France and Switzerland.
Roughly 30 ski areas are already open. Austria’s Sölden leads with 98 km of pistes, overtaking Zermatt/Cervinia’s 86 km.
Freezing temperatures are locking in the cover, and more storms lining up – across Europe:

Thanksgiving Blizzards
The Midwest and Great Lakes are enduring full-scale blizzard conditions. This system was barely hyped — yet it is shaping up to be one of the more disruptive Thanksgiving periods of recent years.
Central pressure is dropping to around 990 mb with widespread 50–60 mph wind gusts, easily meeting blizzard criteria across northern Wisconsin and Michigan’s Upper Peninsula. Around Minneapolis, heavy snowfall is combining with 45–50 mph gusts.
The HRRR is showing substantial accumulations through Wednesday evening across the likes of Minnesota:
Behind the main low, colder air floods south, switching the Great Lakes into full lake-effect mode from Thursday through Saturday — a setup primed for significant, sustained snowfall from Michigan through western New York.
Looking ahead, both the GFS (below) and ECMWF show another storm racing across the northern Rockies and into the Great Lakes this weekend, with a fresh stripe of heavy snow possible —including over Chicago— during the post-holiday rush.
Note the accumulations north of the border too. Winter is upon us.

Weak La Niña Holds
The Pacific remains in weak La Niña territory.
The Nino3.4 region cooled to around -0.8C in November, the strongest negative anomaly of this episode so far:

Polar Vortex Collapses
The boreal ‘Polar Vortex’ has collapsed for the time on record during the month of November.
NOAA’s 10 hPa data confirms zonal winds plunging into deep negative values, far outside the climatological range:
A vortex this weak lets Arctic air spill south, meaning cold outbreaks are likely to hit the northern continents sometime within the next month.
White Christmas anyone?

Arctic ‘Methane Bomb’ Fizzles Out
A new pan-Arctic microbial study shows that methane-eating microbes often dominate methane-producing ones in thawing permafrost, especially in dry soils. The feared surge in methane release looks increasingly overstated.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02765-5
The researchers analyzed soils from across Canada, Greenland, Siberia and Alaska, sequencing microbial communities in intact and recently thawed permafrost.
They found that methanotrophs, particularly those related to Methylobacter, appear widely and routinely outcompete methanogens. In many samples, methane producers were barely detectable. In some thawed sites near Fairbanks, for example, the soils were dominated by bacteria even capable of oxidizing methane directly from the air.
This means the Arctic can act as a methane sink under common thaw conditions — the exact opposite of the “methane bomb” theory. Hydrology is key. Wet, oxygen-poor soils can favor methane production, but dry or well-drained soils tilt the balance the other way. As one scientist put it, these systems may simply not be producing the methane we once assumed they would.
The findings echo other recent work, including research from Alaska’s Copper River Delta showing iron-metabolizing microbes outcompeting methane producers. This looks to be a competitive microbial ecosystem, not one with simplistic runaway potential.
Uncertainty rules, as always. Very few long-term, ground-level measurements actually exist. The Arctic remains drastically under-sampled, which makes confident claims about ANYTHING hard to support. But when it comes to methane, new data is repeatedly showing natural feedbacks working against runaway emissions.

New Study: Forcing Up, Heat Uptake Down
A new study upends the claim that rising CO2 should translate directly into rising planetary heat storage.
The authors reconstruct Earth’s energy imbalance back to 1880 by inferring ocean heat uptake from sea-surface data. Because the oceans absorb about 90% of any surplus energy, this record effectively shows how much extra heat the planet actually retained each decade.
From 1880 to 1980, Earth’s heat uptake rose in step with estimated radiative forcing. After 1980, that relationship breaks. Forcing climbs sharply, yet the imbalance rises far more slowly. In 2000–2020, less than half of the supposed forcing shows up as stored heat — about 38%.
Human CO2 output was roughly 1 GtC per year in 1910–1945, but surged to 6 GtC by 1990 and nearly 10 GtC by 2010.
Crucially, ocean heat uptake, thermal expansion and sea-level rise in 1910–1945 were almost as strong as in 1980–2010, and all three slowed between 1945 and 1975 despite rapidly rising emissions.
The post-1980 energy budget does not behave the way CO2-driven projections assume.
For a full read of the study, click here.

https://www.pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.2408839122

Great Lakes Thanksgiving Blizzard; The Glacier “Crisis”; Bovaer Trials Collapse; + The IPCC’s Original “Climate Solution”
November 27, 2025 Cap Allon

Great Lakes Thanksgiving Blizzard
A powerful early-season storm is hammering the Great Lakes.
Heavy lake-effect snow bands from Michigan to New York are forecast through Friday, with blizzard conditions around Lake Superior’s south shore.
A blizzard warning is in place for Michigan’s Keweenaw Peninsula, where Houghton and surrounding areas are forecast up to 3 feet of snow and whiteout travel. Lake-effect bands could drop even more across other traditional snowbelts.
AccuWeather’s ‘Local StormMax’ is also calling for 3 feet in the core bands.
While north of the border, prolonged snow squalls will persist across the likes of southern Ontario, with 20–40+ cm (8–16+ in) and locally higher totals through Thursday–Friday.
Cold is spreading too — much of the CONUS turns ‘purple’ by Monday (Dec 1):

https://electroverse.info/great-lakes-thanksgiving-blizzard-the-glacier-crisis-bovaer-trials-collapse-the-ipccs-original-climate-solution/

The Glacier “Crisis”
The WMO’s headline claim that “glaciers lost 450 gigatons of water in 2024” is, within context, meaningless.
Antarctica alone stores ~25 million gigatons of ice. That makes the reported loss about 0.002% of the continent’s total mass. At that rate, you’re looking at 50,000+ years to melt the ice sheet.
Natural variability also dwarfs the WMO’s headline. Antarctic sea ice swings wildly from year to year — the highest totals on record were posted in 2014, just 11 years ago. Snowfall shifts can offset or exceed that 450-Gt number in a single season.
Any melt that is occurring is concentrated in West Antarctica, where volcanic and geothermal heat is warming the bedrock from below. Multiple studies have mapped active magma systems, high geothermal flux and subglacial heat flow beneath the region.
It is this process that is responsible for destabilizing glaciers like Thwaites, not air temperature. Atmospheric temperatures over West Antarctica have actually cooled over the past 20 years.
In other words, the melt mechanism is geological, not atmospheric — and I don’t think even the staunchest carbon-fearing, coffee-spitting, plant-praying hippy contends that we humans can control the volcanoes.
The planet’s glaciers overall remain stable. Nothing much has changed in centuries. In millennia, even.
 Less Snow In, More Ice Out
For most of the last 2,000 years, atmospheric CO2 has sat around 280 ppm. But at the same time, major glaciers, such as the Alps’ Great Aletsch, advanced and retreated multiple times to positions very close to today’s. It saw four distinct cycles, all while CO2 was essentially flat.
Only in the past 150 years do CO2 levels and glacier retreat appear to move together — but that tells you nothing about what’s driving what. It simply reflects the fact that two trends can overlap in time without being physically linked.
Today, a number of glaciers around the world are stable or advancing. Below are just a handful of examples (analysis courtesy of American ecologist Jim Steele):
https://x.com/JimSteeleSkepti

Perito Moreno, Patagonia: Advanced roughly 4 km between 1947 and 1996; broadly stable since the 1990s.
Hubbard Glacier, Alaska: One of the world’s fastest-advancing tidewater glaciers. Has been growing for more than a century, adding ~2 km since 1960 thanks to heavy snowfall.
Karakoram Glaciers, Pakistan/India: Around 10–20% of glaciers here are stable or thickening — increased winter precipitation outweighs melt.
Mulebreen, East Antarctica: Advanced about 13.5 km since the 1980s. Thickness changes since the 1960s show slight growth due to steady snowfall and minimal melt.
Lützow-Holm Bay, East Antarctica: Ice elevations essentially unchanged from the 1930s through 2025.
Icelandic Glaciers: Many advanced between 1970 and 1990 after retreating earlier in the century.
Franz Josef & Others, New Zealand: Advanced several hundred meters in the 1980s–1990s under cooler, wetter conditions.
Glacier advance or retreat is governed mainly by moisture delivery, not air temperature. Even in sub-freezing climates glaciers can shrink due to sublimation, wind scour, calving, and basal heat, while snowfall decreases. Less snow in, more ice out.

Bovaer Trials Collapse
Europe’s push to dose dairy herds with the methane-suppressing feed additive Bovaer is falling apart, with Sweden the latest country to exit the scheme entirely.
Gäsene, the country’s final dairy producer still running Bovaer trials, has ended its project following Norrmejerier dropping its “climate milk” earlier in the year. Sweden now has zero dairies feeding Bovaer to cows.
That follows the retreat in Norway, where the nation’s largest dairy supplier suspended use after reports from Denmark of cows collapsing shortly after being put on Bovaer. In the UK, Arla has also halted its trial.
In Denmark, the government actually mandated Bovaer for cattle. And since the rollout more than 100 Danish farmers have reported collapsing cows, severe distress, and sudden health breakdowns after the additive was introduced to feed rations.
Bovaer’s active compound, 3-NOP, carries hazard classifications for suspected reproductive toxicity, including potential harm to fertility or unborn offspring, according to its own safety documentation. Independent studies have raised further red flags.

Fierce Cold Sweeps India; Greenland At -50.9C; Hungary’s Apple Crop At Record Low; Strong Ski Season In France; Thanksgiving Winter; + UN’s Coral Collapse Claim
November 28, 2025 Cap Allon

Fierce Cold Sweeps India
India is posting some biting lows of late.
In the north, Kashmir remains in an early deep freeze, with Srinagar falling to -4.4C (24.1F), its coldest November night since 2007; Qazigund hitting -4C (24.8F), also the coldest since 2007, and Kupwara logging -4.4C, its lowest since 2009.
Shopian was the coldest in the Valley at -6.5C (20.3F), with widespread sub-zero readings across the region’s south and north. Zojila Pass saw -16C (3.2F) for the fourth consecutive day. Ladakh joined the freeze: Kargil posted -9.5C (14.9F) and Leh -8.6C (16.5F).
Far to the south, Odisha registered a historic low: Jharsuguda tanked to 8.1C (46.6F), its lowest November temperature in 71 years of records, breaking the 8.4C from 1970.
The IMD expects the cold wave to persist.
Fierce Cold Sweeps India; Greenland At -50.9C; Hungary’s Apple Crop At Record Low; Strong Ski Season In France; Thanksgiving Winter; + UN’s Coral Collapse Claim

https://electroverse.info/fierce-cold-sweeps-india-greenland-at-50-9c-hungarys-apple-crop-at-record-low-strong-ski-season-in-france-thanksgiving-winter-uns-coral-collapse-claim/

Greenland At -50.9C
Greenland has just logged its lowest temperatures of the season so far.
East Grip has plunged to -50.9C (-59.6F), followed by NEEM at -47.7C (-53.9F) and Summit at -40.8C (-41.4F).
These are mid-winter levels arriving early.
 

Hungary’s Apple Crop At Record Low
Hungary’s 2025 apple harvest has collapsed to record lows after a brutally cold spring gutted blossoms across the country.
Growers expect under 160,000 tons, which is barely a third of Hungary’s typical 500,000-ton potential.
The main driver was cold: sharp frosts in early April and again in May wiped out large portions of the crop, especially in unirrigated orchards and on sandy soils. Table-apple output is running at 55% of normal; industrial fruit at an even worse 20%.
Domestic demand far exceeds both.
 

Strong Ski Season In France
France’s 2024/25 ski season has gone down as a big success thanks to early, widespread, and persistent snow.
Back in November (2024) accumulations set up reliable cover at most elevations. Val Thorens opened under new snow, and every range —Alps, Jura, Vosges, Massif Central— ran far stronger than average.
Come March, skier visits were up 6% on 2023/24 and 7% above the recent average.
Consistent snowfall through spring made for an official count of 54.8 million skier-days.
Some ski operators, such as Compagnie des Alpes, posted record traffic: 13.9 million skier-days, with revenue up 7.6%.
For years, academics and media outlets warned skiing in the Alps would be “largely gone” by now, with early claims of as much as 70% less natural snow and whole regions becoming “unsuitable for winter sports.”
That collapse never happened.
The Alps has received bountiful snow in 2025, and the skiers showed up to enjoy it.
Looking to the new season, it is starting as the previous one left off. Over the past four days alone (Nov 24 – 27), more than 1.5 meters (5 feet) has settled over the high peaks, with the likes of La Rosière (shown below) seeing a meter:

Thanksgiving Winter
The Great Lakes, Iowa, and Chicago are currently being hammered by a Thanksgiving winter storm, with lake-effect bands and a fast-moving Plains system combining to deliver widespread snow and sharply sinking temperatures.
The HRRR projects intense lake-effect snow through Friday and into Saturday, with totals exceeding a foot in the heaviest bands.
A swath of significant snowfall will sweep the Plains, Midwest, and Great Lakes as a compact storm races east.
Chicago and much of Iowa look set for disruptive totals.
Snowfall totals over the next 7-days could really impress:
And Monday should bring the first widespread taste of the Arctic:
Behind it all sits the same driver dominating recent seasons — a fractured, weakened polar vortex.
One lobe is dropping as far south as James Bay before retreating, but another major cold pool is already forming over Alaska and western Canada. Currently, we should expect another push into the Lower 48 around December 10–14.

UN’s Coral Collapse Claim
The UN is again warning that “70 to 99%” of the world’s coral reefs will “vanish” with a 1.5C to 2C temperature rise.
This absurdity is presented as settled science:
Coral reefs are overwhelmingly concentrated in the warmest waters on Earth — the Indo-Pacific, the Coral Triangle, the Red Sea, the Maldives, the Caribbean. They exist there because corals require warm water and strong sunlight.
If warmth killed coral, these zones would be barren. Instead, they hold the greatest reef diversity on the planet.
The Great Barrier Reef, supposedly on its deathbed for decades, has posted record coral cover over the past four years, according to Australia’s official marine monitoring agency (AIMS):

Record-Cold Start To Summer For Australia’s SE; Mumbai Shivers; Saskatchewan To -30.2C; Arctic Outbreak Signaled For North America; + X Flare And A Giant Sunspot Group
December 1, 2025 Cap Allon

Record-Cold Start To Summer For Australia’s Southeast
Snow on the first day of summer, December 1, has swept Australia’s southeast as a deep pulse of polar air drove temperatures as much as 15C below average across Victoria, NSW and Tasmania.
Melbourne logged its coldest December 1 since 1996, reaching just 15C (59F) — and feeling closer to 8C once factoring in the wind-chill from strong south-westerlies. Ballarat, Canberra and Hobart also endured their coldest start to summer in decades.
Over the Alps, Mt Hotham managed a daytime high of only -0.6C (30.9F), breaking its previous December 1 record of 0.5C (from 2019), with Thredbo dipping to -0.8C (30.6F), also a new record.
Summer snow began falling, and settling across the likes of Mt Buller, Falls Creek, Mt Baw Baw and Mt Wellington.

https://electroverse.info/record-cold-start-to-summer-for-australias-se-mumbai-shivers-saskatchewan-to-30-2c-arctic-outbreak-signaled-for-north-america-x-flare-and-a-giant-sunspot-group/

This marks at least the sixth snowfall event for the mainland Alps since early November, giving the region one of its snowiest spring-summer transition periods in modern records. Mt Buller reported fresh, wind-packed drifts on exposed ridges.
Dozens of southeastern locations are now registering their coldest start to summer in decades, with feels-like values plunging to mid-single digits in metropolitan areas — and as low as 2.5C (36.5F) at Melbourne Airport.
More cold is due through Tuesday.
 

Mumbai Shivers
Mumbai has posted its coldest November morning in more than a decade.
Santacruz dropped to 15.7C (60F) — 4.4C below normal. The city hadn’t seen a sub-16C (61F) November reading since 2014.
Cold, dry northeasterlies are driving the drop, spilling south from Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh. Regions up north are posting equally anomalous lows. Chandigarh, for example, just shivered through its coldest Nov night since data began there in 2011.
While Srinagar, Qazigund, and Kupwara are among those to post their coldest November nights since 2007-2009.
Another western disturbance is forecast for December.

Saskatchewan To -30.2C
After a mild November, the Canadian Prairies have now snapped into winter.
Val Marie, Saskatchewan plunged to -30.2C (-22.4F).
Alberta followed suit, with multiple locations pushing toward -30C (-22F).
It’s the first true Arctic hit of the season across the region, a sharp flip from weeks of anomalous warmth. With deeper cold pooling to the north and models hinting at stronger cross-polar flow into December, this could well be a preview of what’s coming…
 

Arctic Outbreak Signaled For North America
A potentially major Arctic outbreak is lining up for North America around the first week of December, with both the ECMWF and GFS continuing to lock onto a deep cross-polar flow and a weakened, elongated polar vortex.
The signal has held for several consecutive runs: widespread readings of 20 to 40F below normal, subzero lows across the Upper Midwest, and Chicago brushing against early-December values typically suited to the 1800s.
Through December 10, the core of the cold is set to settle over the Upper Midwest, where ECMWF anomalies plunge into the -30F to -45F range. Subzero lows spill from the Dakotas through Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, and northern Illinois.
Chicago’s current projected minimum of -14F (-25.6C) on December 8, while of course not guaranteed, sits in the ballpark of the city’s earliest -14F reading in books dating back to 1876. Then, the freeze looks to drive south and east, drawing most of the country well below seasonal norms. Even the Gulf states are forecast to turn sharply colder as the Arctic pipeline remains open.
Forecasts will surely adjust, but the potential is there for the coldest December opening in decades. And looking further ahead, hints of additional reinforcing waves during the second-half of the month are on the ensemble means (more on that to follow).
Before all that, shots of cold have already produced record-setting lows and early-season snows for a number of regions.
Speaking to the snow:
Madison posted 11.7 inches (29.7 cm) over the weekend — its heaviest pre-December two-day snowfall on record.
Milwaukee saw 8 inches (20.3 cm) — its biggest pre-December storm in three decades.
While Des Moines received 9.9 in (25.1 cm) — the city’s third-largest November snowstorm in 140 years:

X Flare And A Giant Sunspot Group
A huge sunspot complex, AR4294-96, has rotated onto the Earth-facing disk — one of the largest groups of the past decade.
The structure spans roughly 180,000 km end-to-end, with at least five individual cores larger than Earth. Images arriving from observers, including one from Brazil showing a sprawling, complex magnetic system in the southern hemisphere:

24 NOVEMBER 2025

Our N. Hemisphere jet stream is driving strong storms from Alaska to NE to Europe that are bringing Arctic air south and warm air north. An intense, deep 974 mb storm continued to gyrate from Maine to Labrador on 18 Nov. Its circulation extended from Western Ontario to Greenland and Baffin Island to NJ - a huge storm. A series of these storms have kept NE below normal and stormy during the past weeks. RECORD SNOW in NE Ski areas from Jay Peak to Stowe. Mt Washington has Nov snow of 60 inches (1.5 m) record is 86.6 inches for November. On the West Coast, another storm dumped record rains, flash floods and mountain snows in Southern California and the High Sierra. A series of these storms will dump snow in the Rockies through Thanksgiving (27 Nov.) TEXAS had a record rainfall day with ~ >10 inches and flash floods as a Gulf atmospheric river AR carried moisture across the Hill country into Oklahoma. Mauna Kea, Hawaii had a winter snow advisory!

Europe remains under the effects of a deep jet stream trough which is bringing cold air down the N Sea and triggering a Genoa Low and heavy snows in the Alps and down the Balkan Peninsula from Slovenia to Macedonia during the next 15 days. Ljubljana had its first 2cm snowfall on 17 Nov. and Triglav its highest mountain had ~1 m of new snow. Norway continued to set records as Finland had extreme cold (-25 to -30ºC) for November. The UK had an Amber Alert for snow and cold that closed many roads. Even Wales was blanked with snow. “Early-season snow and biting Arctic cold is hitting much of Europe. Hungary’s western counties received heavy snow on Saturday, cutting off settlements in Baranya, Somogy, Veszprém and Zala. Bus routes were halted, roads closed and multiple vehicles stranded across the Bakony Mountains where jackknifed trucks and cars blocked traffic.” France, Spain, and Belarus were hit by Arctic cold and snow.

Asia warmed a bit after arctic blasts. “Indore, in west-central India, has just logged 11 consecutive cold-wave days in November — the longest such stretch ever recorded for the month, as confirmed by the IMD. Monday night posted 7.7C (46F), after 7.2C (45F) the day before. Even with Tuesday’s slight rise to 8.2C (47F), the minimum remains 7C below normal.” Ethiopia’s Hayli Gubbi, a shield volcano in the Afar Region, the southernmost volcano of the Erta Ale range, has erupted for the first time in at least 10,000 years. It sent ash up to 14 km msl.

Southern Hemisphere weather continues to warm with a few intense 934 mb storms circling the Antarctic with interior temperatures of -48 to -33ºC. Note the temperature gradient controls the intensity of the jet stream and storms. Australia still has some snow in the Snowy Range and Tasmania (3-15 cm), while many areas have 20-150 mm of rain. Darwin is impacted by a deep tropical storm that is dumping 200-400 mm. Cloud tops there are -70 to -80ºC - deep thunderstorms. To the east, the Andes continue to have significant snows from 50-70 cm in Peru’s 5000 m peaks and to the south in Chile with 140-400 cm.

“UN Censorship Push At COP30
Even the UN has sniffed the wind.
With the world waking up with a start to “Net Zero,” and with even Big Tech backtracking toward reliable energy, the climate establishment is scrambling for a new play. The announcement of which has been timed with COP30: the focus is no longer fossil-fuel eradication, exactly — it’s a shift to ‘climate health’ and controlling that transition before the narrative collapses.”

New album: Fall 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bugmjy45uEMGyKJU7

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
24 NOVEMBER 2025

La Niña Strengthens — And Global Sea Surface Temperature Rapidly Cool; West Antarctica’s Melt Is Coming From Below; Study Says Early-Holocene CO2 Matched Today; + The Met Office’s Phantom Data
November 18, 2025 Cap Allon

La Niña Strengthens — And Global Sea Surface Temperature Rapidly Cool
After a weak October, all Nino regions have cooled into La Niña territory. A strongly positive Southern Oscillation Index is likely driving it: sustained +SOI means stronger trades, more upwelling, and a clear shift into a cold ENSO pattern.
Subsurface data confirms the turn. The cool pool that nearly vanished in October has rebuilt quickly, and the warm patch east of the Dateline has disappeared. November’s upper-ocean analyses now show a classic La Niña structure returning.

https://electroverse.info/la-nina-strengthens-and-global-sea-surface-temperature-rapidly-cool-west-antarcticas-melt-is-coming-from-below-study-says-early-holocene-co2-matched-today-the-met-office/

Across the global oceans, SSTs are have taken a nosedive in recent weeks (below chart).
ERA5’s 60S–60N mean slipped to 20.40C on Nov 15, with NOAA’s OISST falling to 20.44C. The oceans are now the coolest they’ve been since 2017.
The anomalous (Hunga-Tonga-driven) warmth of 2023-24 has faded as ENSO cools and Pacific cloud cover shifts.
A strengthening La Niña typically boosts high-latitude blocking and sharpens cold outbreaks across the mid-latitudes. And with less oceanic heat available to buffer extremes, the early cold already hitting Eurasia and North America may be the first sign of a severe winter to come.
 

West Antarctica’s Melt Is Coming From Below
Vast areas of West Antarctica sit on top of some of the highest geothermal heat fluxes on the planet.
Multiple independent studies —magnetic and seismic— all converge: the West Antarctic Rift System (WARS), a major volcanic province stretching beneath the ice sheet, is pumping out heat levels normally associated with tectonic rifts and mid-ocean ridges.
These models, published over the past two decades, map widespread geothermal outputs on the order of 100 mW/m², with localized hot zones approaching 200–240 mW/m². For comparison, typical continental crust sits around 60–70 mW/m².
West Antarctica’s bedrock is unusually hot, and it is melting the ice from below:
The region’s two fastest-thinning glaciers —Thwaites and Pine Island— sit directly over some of the highest geothermal anomalies. This explains why sections of the ice sheet behave as though they’re being warmed from beneath, because they are.
This geological reality is almost entirely absent from public reporting on Antarctic melt. In reality, West Antarctica’s foundation is a volcanic rift, not a cold, stable plate, and the heat pouring out of that rift is a primary driver of basal melt.
The atmospheric record reinforces this point.
A recent study (Zhang et al., 2023) shows that central West Antarctica has actually cooled at the surface over the past two decades: about 0.93C per decade overall, and 1.84C per decade in spring. Climate models missed this cooling entirely, projecting warming instead.
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/104/6/BAMS-D-22-0153.1.xml  
The surface is cooling, the base is heating, and the melt is occurring where the geothermal flux is strongest.
The public messaging reduces the story to “CO2 is melting Antarctica.” But you cannot attribute basal melt to atmospheric warming when the atmosphere is cooling (and the ground is literally hot enough to sustain volcanic systems beneath the ice).
 

Study Says Early-Holocene CO2 Matched Today
A new study by independent scientist Frans Schrijver questions the “280 ppm for 800,000 years” ice-core claim.
Schrijver begins with a point even the IPCC accepts: today’s “global greening” is driven by higher atmospheric CO2 levels. And if that’s true, Schrijver asks: what CO2 level would have been required during periods in the ‘recent past’ that were even greener?
Around 10,000 years ago, during the Holocene Thermal Maximum, Earth had about 50% more forest than today and slightly higher overall plant growth. Using standard agronomy maths (a simple “diminishing returns” curve), Schrijver shows that once you include real-world limits like nutrients and water, a very green planet naturally corresponds with high atmospheric CO2 and a longer “residence time” of CO2 in the air.
If the world was at least as green as today, biology says CO2 has to be close to today’s level, not way down at 280 ppm.
That directly contradicts the Antarctic ice-core record.
The paper argues those cores are proxies with big uncertainties —gas dissolving into melt layers, bubbles taking years to close, smoothing of peaks— and likely underestimate past CO2, especially during warmer periods.
It also reinforces something the climate models hate: natural CO2 can move a lot.
Soil and ocean respiration ramp up with temperature, while plant uptake depends on CO2 concentration. That mismatch alone can lift atmospheric CO2 during warm phases, even without fossil-fuel input — exactly what the 2023 Koutsoyiannis study showed, finding that 30 to 50% of today’s CO2 rise can be explained by natural flux changes driven by temperature rather than human emissions.
Schrijver says you cannot have a very green Earth at very low CO2 and keep modern plant biology. Either satellite-measured CO2 fertilization is wrong, or the ice cores are. And if the ice cores are off, then The Narrative takes a serious hit.
 

The Met Office’s Phantom Data
The UK Met Office has been caught—again—publishing temperatures from weather stations that don’t exist. That’s not an accusation — it’s confirmed through FOI.
Lowestoft closed in 2010, yet the Met Office kept issuing “official” temperatures for it. When challenged, it claimed the figures came from “well-correlated neighbouring stations.” But an FOI forced an admission: there are no such neighbors. The numbers were generated by a computer model (HADUK-Grid) that itself relies on the same phantom neighbors.
It’s invented data feeding invented data.
Once exposed, the Met Office quietly deleted years of temperatures from Lowestoft, and also Nairn and Paisley — the periods when the stations didn’t exist. Only then did it add a new disclaimer to its historic database saying the page is “for general interest” and “not used for formal climate monitoring.”
This isn’t an isolated glitch.
Earlier FOIs uncovered that more than one-third of the Met Office’s listed stations —each with precise coordinates and elevations— never actually existed. The Met Office responded by renaming its database “Location-specific long-term averages,” language vague enough to cover anything, including sites that only exist in software.
Worse still, high-quality real stations are ignored. Cawood in Yorkshire is a pristine WMO Class 1 site with clean data since 1959, yet it is omitted from the record entirely. Instead, the Met Office uses data from four closed stations and one site located 27 miles away. The Met Office prefers synthetic records to observational data.
A separate FOI reveals that more than 80% of Met Office temperature stations are low-grade Classes 4 and 5, as per WMO standards, which carry uncertainties of 2C to 5C. Across the entire UK, the number of Class 1 sites now stands at just 19.
This is the bedrock of the UK’s official climate record: closed stations, imaginary stations, modeled stations, and circular algorithms designed to fill gaps with synthetic values that cannot be independently audited. The Met Office isn’t fit for purpose.

New England Buries Another Climate Prediction; Indore Sets Cold-Wave Record; Cold And Snow To Wallop Europe; SSW Shift; + No U.S. Landfalls
November 19, 2025 Cap Allon

New England Buries Another Climate Prediction
Mount Washington is off to a strong start this winter.
A November 17 storm added 6.7 inches, pushing the month’s total to 42.5 inches — well above the long-term mid-November average of 35.6 inches, according to the Mount Washington Observatory.
Snow began in early October, and a run of powerful storms hit the summit through early-November — a foot by Nov 5.
Back in 2013, Boston Magazine warned the New England ski industry was “melting away” and insisted “winter is not coming:”

https://electroverse.info/new-england-buries-another-climate-prediction-indore-sets-cold-wave-record-cold-and-snow-to-wallop-europe-ssw-shift-no-u-s-landfalls/

Twelve years on, Vermont’s Jay Peak is opening early with “more snow than we’ve ever had in November:”

Mount Mansfield tells the same story.
Vermont’s highest peak is flirting with record early-season snow depth:

SSW Shift
The developing stratospheric warming is no longer centered over Siberia. Latest GFS runs now place it over Northern Canada. That shift matters because warming above Canada can push Arctic cold straight into the U.S.
High above the Arctic, the 10 hPa chart now shows temperatures jumping fast as we head into early December:
The projected rise pushes the stratosphere toward the upper end of its historical range, the type of spike that can displace the vortex and make it easier for Arctic air to drop into the mid-latitudes — usually with a delay of 1-3 weeks.
Before that influence arrives though, the troposphere has already flipped colder.
Latest GFS runs now show sharp anomalous cold for the central and eastern U.S. come late November. Yesterday the model had warmth for next weekend; today it replaces it with a broad outbreak of blues and purples:

Indore Sets Cold-Wave Record
Indore, in west-central India, has just logged 11 consecutive cold-wave days in November — the longest such stretch ever recorded for the month, as confirmed by the IMD.
Monday night posted 7.7C (46F), after 7.2C (45F) the day before. Even with Tuesday’s slight rise to 8.2C (47F), the minimum remains 7C below normal.
The persistence is driven by strong northeasterly winds keeping the wider Madhya Pradesh state locked in cold-wave conditions, including Rajgarh, Shajapur, Dhar, Khargone and Khandwa. The anomaly is widespread.
Local meteorologists are calling the prolonged November chill historic, and it is forecast to run for at least two more days.
 

Cold And Snow To Wallop Europe
GFS runs are locking in sub-seasonal cold across much of Europe now through early December (at least).
Blues and purples dominate from Iberia to Poland, from Scandinavia to Turkey:
High-elevation stations are already responding. Monte Rosa, Italy has dipped to -21.9C (-7.4F) with Mont Blanc down to -23.8C (-10.8F).
Snowfall projections are also impressing. Totals climb sharply over the Alps and Carpathians, but even lowland regions show repeated rounds of snow as the cold holds firm:
Norway has already posted unusually early low-level snow this week, while high-Alpine sites continue building deep bases ahead of schedule. Italy’s peaks are frozen. France’s Massif Central and the Pyrenees have picked up early snow.
This cold is entrenched. The coming snow looks expansive. And the signal is growing stronger with every run.
 

No U.S. Landfalls
For the first time in ten years, the conterminous United States has gone a full season without a hurricane landfall.
NOAA’s long-term record (1851–2025) shows plenty of active periods, but 2025 has proved a dud, in terms of both frequency and intensity — the U.S. logged zero Category 3+ hits in 2025, continuing the multi-decade pattern.
This is not what the models promised. Decades of messaging insisted warming seas would drive stronger, more frequent U.S. landfalls. Yet NOAA’s own series shows no such acceleration. In fact, the trendlines lean flat to down.
We see this globally too:
Study Shows North Atlantic Is At Its Coldest Point In 9 Millennia
A new GRL study (Liu et al., 2025) uses a finely layered Chinese stalagmite to track North Atlantic summer sea-surface temperatures across the last 9,000 years.
The mechanism is simple, explains the authors: when the North Atlantic cools and sea ice expands, the Atlantic overturning circulation weakens, the Asian summer monsoon fades, and rainfall over the cave shifts to heavier δ18O. The stalagmite locks this in, year by year.
The record shows steady North Atlantic cooling from the early Holocene to the present, with the lowest values occurring in the last ~200 years. Three abrupt cooling events are isolated — 8.2 ka, 4.2 ka, and the Little Ice Age:
The researchers note that each event has the same structure: a rapid shift to cooler/drier conditions, two pulses of peak severity, then a recovery. Duration is shown to increase through time (≈180 to ≈220 to ≈260 years) as summer insolation falls and sea ice grows.
The authors point to natural drivers as the cause, such as orbital forcing, sea-ice feedbacks, internal ocean variability — not CO2.
Cross-checks with independent proxies confirm the same pattern. Recent centuries sit at the bottom of that long-term trajectory. Today’s “global warming” begins from what appears to be the coldest North Atlantic baseline in at least nine millennia.

Cold Records From Mumbai To Madhya Pradesh; Europe Freezes, Snow In London; New England Sees Record November Snow; + A Taste Of Arctic Air For Thanksgiving Week, Then The “Full Load”
November 20, 2025 Cap Allon

Cold Records From Mumbai To Madhya Pradesh
Northern and central India continue to shiver through unusually sharp, record-setting November cold.
Mumbai logged its coldest November morning in 13 years on Wednesday as Santacruz dropped to 16.2C (61F) — the city’s coldest low since 2012’s 14.6C (58F).
Deeper cold has struck inland, with Bhopal breaking an 84-year November record, falling to 5.2C (41F) and so beating the 6.1C (43F) from 1941. Rajgarh dipped to 5C (41F). Indore fell to 6.9C (44F), its coldest November reading in 25 years.

https://electroverse.info/cold-records-from-mumbai-to-madhya-pradesh-europe-freezes-snow-in-london-new-england-sees-record-november-snow-a-taste-of-arctic-air-for-thanksgiving-week-then-the-full-load/

Across Madhya Pradesh, 15 cities held below 10C (50F) Wednesday — a rare feat. While across Rajasthan, 16 cities dipped below 10C, and more than half the state is now under a cold-wave warning with snowfall in surrounding hills feeding the chill.
Chhattisgarh is also running below average as well. Here, Ambikapur logged 7.3C (45F), ranking among its coldest November readings since records began in 1970.
The synoptic driver is straightforward: persistent northerly and north-westerly winds, clear overnight skies, and fresh Himalayan snowfall. The cold is expected to persist through at least Nov 23 before a Bay of Bengal low briefly disrupts the pattern.
 

Europe Freezes, Snow In London
Winter has arrived in Europe, and models say it isn’t budging. From Scotland to the Alps, the continent has slid into a harsh November cold spell with snow and sub-zero days delivering some of the lowest November temperatures in years.
Up to 20cm (8 inches) of snow settled Wednesday across the Scottish Highlands and Aberdeenshire, shutting dozens of schools and driving overnight lows below -10C (14F).
Yellow warnings for snow and ice are in place across much of the country, with a second round of alerts issued as the Arctic air deepens.
Aberdeenshire, the Highlands and Shetland are already reporting road closures, with communities from Aboyne to Portree waking Thursday to heavy drifts.
Over into the mainland, Norway’s Trøndelag joined the run of lows with Drivdalen bottoming out at -15.4C (4F).
While down across the Alpine arc, peaks are posting record-nearing benchmarks for the time of year: -27.4C (-17F) on Monte Rosa and -30.3C (-22F) on Mont Blanc — both logged as polar air spilled over the high passes.
This pattern isn’t transient. GFS runs keep much of Europe well below average through the rest of November, with repeated cold reinforcements and additional widespread snow cover building across Scotland, Scandinavia, the Alps and central Europe:

New England Sees Record November Snow
New England resorts across Vermont and New Hampshire are reporting record-breaking November snow totals.
On Mount Mansfield, Vermont’s highest peak, 16 inches in 48 hours have pushed the summit to 38 inches — more than two and a half feet above normal for mid-November, and the highest depth on record for this date in a dataset that goes back to 1954.
Jay Peak is having its biggest early-season stretch on record: 66 inches in a week, 93 inches so far this season, puts it on pace to hit 100 inches before December. The resort is opening early: “a November to Remember,” reads their website, and: “the best opening day coverage in serviceable memory.”
Across the border in New Hampshire, Mount Washington has topped 60.4 inches for the month so far. And with 10 days left, the November record (of 86.6 inches) is in reach.
Killington, Sunday River, and Black Mountain have also opened early, each citing one of the strongest starts on record.
 

Hawaii Has Snow
Hawaii is getting in on the action too.
A winter weather advisory was issued for Mauna Kea after several inches of snow settled atop the summit.
A Taste Of Arctic Air For Thanksgiving Week, Then The “Full Load”
A strong Canadian front is readying to tank temperatures across the eastern half of the U.S. heading into Thanksgiving.
A sharp blast is forecast: a Midwest–Great Lakes trough, a dip in the jet stream, and a delivery of Canadian Arctic air:
It’s not the “full load” —the polar vortex remains largely bottled up in Canada for now— but it’s a preview of what December could unleash once the Pacific–Alaska ridge sets up and the

Siberian Express gets a track to run on.
EPS means show cold pushing east, with warmth trying to rebound in the first days of December. But with an ongoing SSW evolving above the Arctic —a major, possibly record-early event— the door for more sustained cold opens through the second half of the month.
Models show the two required ingredients lining up: a sharp stratospheric temperature spike and a rapid slowdown of the polar vortex winds.
And if the disruption propagates downward —as early signals suggest— Arctic air could spill into mid-latitudes with December delivering repeated cold shots. High pressure anchoring over Russia would reinforce the pipeline.
Christmas and New Year could be the coldest and snowiest in years.
With the onset of early-season cold, U.S. natural gas futures have jumped more than 30% this month, with a 4.3% climb on Wednesday alone. Stronger heating demand is tightening the market just as winter begins.

Deepest Snow In Decades Hits Wales; Fennoscandia Plunged Into Deep Winter; Big Tech’s About-Face; + UN Censorship Push At COP30
November 21, 2025 Cap Allon

Deepest Snow In Decades Hits Wales
Parts of the UK, most notably Wales, have been buried under a rare November snowstorm, cutting power to homes and closing dozens of schools as depths climbed to levels not seen in at least two decades.
The likes of Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion and Carmarthenshire were under a snow warning as the Met Office forecast 10cm (4in) for some spots. In reality though, totals pushed far beyond that, with Pembrokeshire councilor Shon Rees reporting 25cm (10in) — calling it “very, very deep snow” and the heaviest in his 20 years living there.

https://electroverse.info/deepest-snow-in-decades-hits-wales-fennoscandia-plunged-into-deep-winter-big-techs-about-face-un-censorship-push-at-cop30/

Across the Preseli Hills, power flickered, “thundersnow” clapped, trees snapped under the weight, and rail services were halted after a fallen trees blocked the lines. Roads across north Pembrokeshire became impassable.
Scotland and northern England have also been hit, with deep snow burying the North York Moors Thursday:
Forecast calls for similar conditions through the weekend and into early next week. Today (Friday) has started frigid with -10.9C (12.4F) at Loch Glascarnoch, Scotland.
 

Fennoscandia Plunged Into Deep Winter
Fennoscandia (Sweden, Norway, and Finland) is posting sub-freezing lows and snow depths not seen for more than a century.
Sweden led the plunge on Thursday with Gielas and Nattavaara tanking to -31.7C (-25F), with Abraur down to -31.4C (-25F), Buresjön to -30.8C (-23F), and both Karesuando and Vittangi bottoming out at an exceptional -30.1C (-22F).
Finland followed close behind, with Kittilä at -30.5C (-23F).
Norway too posted ridiculous lows for the time of year, with Kautokeino dropping to -28.8C (-20F). Even southern Norway shivered, with -26C (-15F) at Grotli.
The bigger story is Norway’s snow.
Skistua in Trondheim (Norway) is measuring 61 cm (24 in) of snow — the highest November depth in more than 100 years. Not since 1917 has the city bested that mark (or even seen anything comparable). Tromsø, likewise, is now sitting on 72 cm (28 in) — officially its highest November depth since 2013, but among the most substantial early-winter totals of the past century.
Winter is arriving fast and with force across northern Europe.
 

Hayli Gubbi Erupts After 10,000 Years

Ethiopia’s Hayli Gubbi, a shield volcano in the Afar Region, the southernmost volcano of the Erta Ale range, has erupted for the first time in at least 10,000 years.

The blast began around 08:30 UTC on November 23, 2025, when the Toulouse VAAC detected an explosive eruption and an ash plume on satellite imagery.

According to VAAC reports, the column shot to roughly 14 km (45,000 ft) and drifted across the Red Sea toward Yemen and Oman carrying a clear sulfur dioxide signature.

Big Tech’s About-Face
Twelve months ago the tech giants were preaching austerity — lecturing the public on “climate responsibility,” demanding restrictions on coal, gas and oil, and cheering on every policy that made electricity more expensive and less reliable.
The outcome: higher prices, weaker grids, and the political censorship needed to protect those failures from scrutiny.
They were all-in on the narrative. “Green or nothing.” Energy abundance was treated as a threat. Dissenting views on renewables, grid stability, and climate policy were throttled across their platforms under the guise of “misinformation.”
Now look at them.
The same companies are suddenly crying out for terawatts. Not megawatts or gigawatts — terawatts. The need for AI, the cloud, and data centers have exposed the obvious: you cannot power a technological revolution on wind, solar and wishful thinking.
Almost overnight, the morality flipped. They now want faster permitting for power plants. They all of a sudden want nuclear. They want baseload. They want reliability. They want dispatchable energy, firm generation, grid stability.
This isn’t an ideological evolution. It is a cynical about-face.
The Narrative is falling apart. The fabric of reality finally snapped back.

UN Censorship Push At COP30
Even the UN has sniffed the wind.
With the world waking up with a start to “Net Zero,” and with even Big Tech backtracking toward reliable energy, the climate establishment is scrambling for a new play. The announcement of which has been timed with COP30: the focus is no longer fossil-fuel eradication, exactly — it’s a shift to ‘climate health’ and controlling that transition before the narrative collapses.
The headline announcement in Brazil wasn’t emissions or targets. It was the UN’s new Global Initiative for Information Integrity on Climate Change — a censorship framework designed to make it harder for people like you and me to point out their BS.
Marc Morano nailed it: the “craziest thing” out of COP30, he said, is the explicit plan to police speech. Ten nations have already signed. The objective: standardize The Narrative, suppress dissent, and rope in governments, NGOs and tech platforms to enforce it.
The UN of course “own the science.” And they’ve partnered with Google since 2021 to curate search results and elevate “approved” sources. That arrangement is now being hardened into policy — a global filter on what citizens are allowed to see.
The new declaration demands a “whole-of-society effort,” meaning state agencies, corporations, media and Big Tech acting as one censorship bloc. UNESCO officials even admitted the purpose: to fight “climate disinformation” on social media, which means silencing criticism of their own failed predictions, failed policies, and now their jarring tactical transition to ‘health’.
As reality forces a pivot back to cheap and reliable energy, and as public trust in climate alarmism drops through the floor, the UN is rushing to shut down debate before people notice how drastically the story has shifted.
More on this health pivot here:

17 NOVEMBER 2025

Sudden Stratospheric Warming and the weakening of the Polar Vortex will result in extreme cold outbreaks in the N. Hemisphere as early as December. Last week’s record cold that hit the South is a precursor to this winter’s weather. Fortunately, it warmed behind the cold and temperatures climbed above normal in the West until the next Pacific storm hit California spreading heavy rains, flash floods and debris flows in burn scars and heavy snow in the Sierra. Snows will move into the Rockies. In NE a deep 982 mb storm brought rain and snow to the mountains. This storm and Claudia formed the base of an Omega block that slowed the eastward motion of jet stream waves. “North of the border, winter has taken hold this week. Southern Canada has been gripped by record-low daytime highs and the heaviest early-November snow in more than half a century.”

Storm Claudia hit Europe flooding regions from Portugal and Spain to Wales. At least one person died in the severe thunderstorms. Claudia sat in the Bay of Bisque for 3 days creating havoc. On 11/16/25 a deep 964 mb storm centered in the Kara Sea extended west to Greenland and south to Morocco swallowing up Claudia and pulling Arctic air south into the N Sea and central Europe. In contrast, a strong 1058 mb high sat over Mongolia with its cold dome intensifying the Kara sea’s SW flow that now extended into E. Siberia - a huge winter circulation (from. 20ºW to 130ºE). ECMWF predicts 117 to 128 cm of new snow over the Alps in the next 15 days.

Asia continued to have Arctic blasts from Siberia. “The early-season freeze marked a significant shift from the mild start to autumn, with cold air pouring into the north from Siberia under a strengthening northwest flow.” “Odisha’s Daringbadi has crashed to 7.6C (45F), an unusually low mid-November minimum and one of the sharpest early-season chills recorded in the Eastern Ghats.” “Russia’s Far North is now deep in winter.
On Nov 12, two stations in Yakutia —Saskylakh (-45.2C) and Yubileynaya (-45C) — dropped to their coldest November 12 readings on record. Saskylakh beat its 1972 record (of -44.9C), while Yubileynaya bested a mark that had stood since 1949 (-42.8C).”

INDIA: “In Madhya Pradesh, the likes of Bhopal and Indore sank to 6.4C (43.5F) over the weekend, their coldest November temperatures in 25 years. Rajgarh hit 6C (43F), Rewa 7.5C (46F), Jabalpur 8.5C (47F) and Chhindwara 9.8C (49F) — all rare territory for mid-November.”
KOREA: “South Korea is shivering, with the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) issuing a cold wave advisory from 9 PM Monday for a broad sweep of Gangwon, North Chungcheong, North Gyeongsang, and also parts of Busan. Lows across the country dipped below -5C (23F) — the season’s coldest air to date.”

Southern Hemisphere weather continued to produce Antarctic blasts and heavy 2-3 m snows in the Andes. Australia continued to have Antarctic blasts into spring. “Residents across Australia’s southeast woke to a late-spring freeze Wednesday as dozens of stations logged their coldest November temperatures on record. Canberra sank to -2.3C (28F), its coldest November morning since 1967.” Deep 940-970 mb storms circled the Antarctic dumping heavy snows (192-270 cm) in the coastal mountains and creating ground blizzards. The Ross Sea began opening as strong southerly winds pushed ice off the land. Interior temperatures warmed ranging from -53 to -30ºC.

New album: Fall 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bugmjy45uEMGyKJU7

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:

17. NOVEMBER 2025

Record Early Snow Slams Midwest U.S. And Eastern Canada; Another Siberian Blast To Strike China; Study: Gradients And Water Vapor, Not CO2; + China Burns, Europe Bleeds
November 11, 2025 Cap Allon

Record Early Snow Slams Midwest U.S. And Eastern Canada
An exceptional early-season Arctic outbreak has delivered record-breaking snow across the U.S. Midwest and eastern Canada, bringing the heaviest early-November accumulations in decades and snarling transport from Cincinnati to Ottawa.
In the U.S., Cincinnati picked up 2.1 inches (5.3 cm) on Nov 10 — the most snow ever recorded on that date, according to the NWS. The previous record, 0.3 inches (0.8 cm) from 1948, stood unchallenged for 77 years.

https://electroverse.info/record-early-snow-slams-midwest-u-s-and-eastern-canada-another-siberian-blast-to-strike-china-study-gradients-and-water-vapor-not-co2-china-burns-europe-bleeds/

Nearby Dayton saw 3.6 inches (9.1 cm), crushing its 1960 record of just 0.2 inches (0.5 cm). Minimums fell into the low 20s (around -6C), with wind chills in the teens (-10 C), marking one of the coldest early-November nights in decades.
A myriad of regions posted their earliest snowfalls on record, including in South Carolina’s Myrtle Beach and Florence.
North of the border, Ontario saw one of its snowiest early-November stretches on record.
Toronto’s Pearson International Airport logged 9.8 cm (3.9 inches) on Nov 9 — its snowiest day that early in the season in more than half a century, breaking the 1971 record of 1.5 cm (0.6 inches).
Environment Canada meteorologists described the storm as “a very rare event for this much snow to fall this early.”
Across the Greater Toronto Area, more than 300 collisions were reported within 24 hours as 16 cm (6.3 inches) fell in Hamilton and 14 cm (5.5 inches) in Kitchener, breaking a benchmark that had stood since 1921.
Waterloo set a new daily snowfall record of 14 cm (5.5 inches), breaking twin records from 1921 and 1933. Ottawa also posted its snowiest Nov 9 on record, with 11.7 cm (4.6 inches), surpassing a mark that had stood since 1897.
Across Ontario, tow truck drivers and plow crews struggled to keep up, with city crews from Toronto to Ottawa salting, plowing, and clearing hundreds of kilometers of streets and sidewalks.
In Ottawa, the Canadian Premier League final was played in blizzard conditions with snowplows having to repeatedly clear the pitch. The now-viral “icicle kick” that won Atletico Ottawa the title may go down as the most Canadian goal in history:
This was no routine first flurry. For both sides of the border, it ranks among the strongest early-season snowfalls since the 1960s — and in some areas, even earlier. The only thing keeping it from being truly historic was timing: arriving so early in the season, when bare ground limited the cold’s intensity.
With flurries reported as far south as Atlanta (among the earliest on record, though accumulation is yet to be confirmed), note that the city’s earliest measurable snow came on Nov 11, 1968. Then, seventeen days later, the stratosphere flipped to deliver the only November sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event in the modern record. The 1968-69 winter that followed impressed. The Dec–Feb NAO index came in as the second most negative since 1950. The U.S. Northeast was buried by two major February blizzards, including the infamous “100-hour snowstorm,” while the UK shivered through one of its coldest and snowiest late winters on record.
Could we see a repeat in 2025? The ECMWF seems open to the idea:

Another Siberian Blast To Strike China
A powerful cold front is gathering in Siberia and is readying to surge into China November 14 through 17.
Before that though, today (Nov 11) is already seeing biting cold sweep northern China, delivering the coldest readings of the season so far. Harbin fell to -7.2C (19F) and Changchun to -7.7C (18F), both marking new lows since the start of winter.
Farther north, the Greater Khingan Mountains dropped below -20C (-4F), with Mohe logging the nation’s minimum at -26.1C (-15F). The chill extended into the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and Shandong, where most stations hovered near or below 5C (41F).
Beijing registered 0C (32F), Tianjin Xiqing 0.6C (33F), Shijiazhuang 3.3C (38F), and Jinan 4.5C (40F).
With another Siberian mass now forming, forecasters expect the next plunge to reach deeper and hit harder, spreading freezing air across much of central and southern China, not just the north.
 

Study: Gradients And Water Vapor, Not CO2
A fresh Frontiers paper (Koutsoyiannis, Tsakalias, 2025) argues the climate’s thermostat is the vertical temperature gradient and the water cycle, not CO2.
The researchers replace “greenhouse effect/gases” with “atmospheric radiative effect (ARE)” and “radiatively active gases (RAGs).” By their accounting, water vapor and clouds supply about 95% of ARE; CO2 about 4–5%, with only about 4% of CO2 itself human-emitted.
Without what’s called a lapse rate (the steady drop in temperature as you ascend higher into the atmosphere) extra CO2 would have no warming effect at all. On Earth, air cools by about 6.5C (12F) for every kilometer (3,300 ft) you go up. That gradient, created by sunlight heating the surface and by the rising and cooling of moist air, is what keeps the ground warm. It’s the difference between the average atmospheric temperature (252 K, or -21C) and the surface (288 K, or 15C).
In their analysis, doubling CO2 changes that balance by almost nothing — from zero to about 1.5C at most. They also find no measurable CO2 signal in longwave radiation and note that temperature shifts tend to occur before CO2 rises, not after.
Moisture, clouds, and dynamics govern surface temperature; CO2’s role is minor in this framework.

China Burns, Europe Bleeds
While the UN hails China for pledging “economy-wide emission cuts,” Beijing is in the midst of the largest coal expansion in history. Around 800 new coal plants are being built (to add to the 3,300 already operating) to power its factories, AI clusters, and heavy industry.
China talks climate at the UN while locking in cheap power for the next half-century.
Europe chose the opposite path — and the results are catastrophic.
A slump in wind speeds has just cost Danish energy giant Ørsted £236 million, exposing the fragility of weather-dependent power. Politicians now say “climate change” is to blame for the calm air — the perfect circular lie of the Net Zero cult.
Once the powerhouse of Europe, Germany’s industrial collapse is in full swing. Steel output is down 25% since 2018. Energy-intensive companies are fleeing abroad. Power prices remain the highest in the world. The government’s answer? More subsidies — billions poured into a failing system to mask the consequences of a disastrous renewable policy.
The ‘Green Transition’ has gutted Europe’s competitive core. Russian gas is gone, coal and nuclear have been dismantled, and renewables are collapsing under their own intermittency.
What’s left is an economy running on subsidies, fantasy, and debt — a corrupt continent dismantled by its own bogus ideology, and one all-too eagerly lapping up the lies told by China…

Record Cold Sweeps Florida And The Southeast; Canada Freezes; Early Chill Breaks Records In Northern Japan; Historic November Freeze Hits Australia; + G4-G5 Solar Storm: Triple Impact Now Underway
November 12, 2025 Cap Allon

Record Cold Sweeps Florida And The Southeast
An early-November Arctic blast has busted temperature records across the U.S. Southeast, from Florida’s Gulf Coast to North Carolina’s Outer Banks, delivering the region’s coldest/earliest start to winter in decades.
In Florida, Punta Gorda plunged to 39F (4C), breaking its previous record by 5F and marking the coldest this early since 1966. Naples fell to 44F (7C), besting its 1993 record by 3F, while Tampa Bay hit 39F, its coldest November 11 since 1892. Vero Beach (40F), Fort Pierce (41F), Orlando (36F), Daytona (35F), Leesburg (35F), and Melbourne (37F) all set or tied daily records.
Tuesday morning marked the coldest statewide reading this early in nearly 60 years.
Across the state, residents woke to frost, record chill, and paralyzed iguanas tumbling from trees — a familiar sign of sub-45F cold, but bizarre to see in early-November. The NWS confirmed “cold-stunning” events from Boca Raton to Fort Myers.

https://electroverse.info/record-cold-sweeps-florida-and-the-southeast-canada-freezes-early-chill-breaks-records-in-northern-japan-historic-november-freeze-hits-australia-g4-g5-solar-storm-triple-impact-now-underway/

The same Arctic air mass also swept across the likes of Georgia and the Carolinas, driving Jacksonville and Savannah to 28F (-2C) — the coldest so early in the season since 1976. In eastern North Carolina, rare snow flurries dusted the Outer Banks, while new record lows were logged at Cape Hatteras (36F, breaking 37F from 1961) and Manteo (34F, breaking 35F from 1976).

Across the east, hundreds of low temperature records were toppled Monday and Tuesday, with more forecast to fall Wednesday. Looking ahead though, this could be just a taste of what’s to come. Another stronger ‘stratospheric warming’ event looks to be building, meaning even larger, colder lobes might be readying to crash south out of the Arctic circle: perhaps “one for the ages,” writes meteorologist Ryan Maue.

Canada Freezes
North of the border, winter has taken hold this week. Southern Canada has been gripped by record-low daytime highs and the heaviest early-November snow in more than half a century.
In Toronto, Pearson Airport managed a daytime maximum of just -2.6C (27F) on November 10 — the third-lowest this early in the season since records began in 1937, behind -2.8C in 1951 and -3.4C in 2017. The city also logged 11.4 cm (4.5 inches) of snow over November 9–10, the greatest two-day November total since October 1969.

Early Chill Breaks Records In Northern Japan
A sharp cold spell has swept across northern Japan delivering mid-December chill weeks ahead of schedule.
Hokkaido bore the brunt, with Sapporo struggling to a daily high of just 1.9C (35F) — the coldest so early in the season since 1991.
The early-season freeze marked a significant shift from the mild start to autumn, with cold air pouring into the north from Siberia under a strengthening northwest flow.
Heavy, widespread snowfall is expected in the coming days as Japan’s winter monsoon (冬の季節風) begins to take hold.
 

Historic November Freeze Hits Australia
Residents across Australia’s southeast woke to a late-spring freeze Wednesday as dozens of stations logged their coldest November temperatures on record.
Canberra sank to -2.3C (28F), its coldest November morning since 1967.
In New South Wales, Mudgee registered -0.1C, Orange -2.0C, and Young -2.7C — all new monthly records.
Across Victoria, Wangaratta dipped to -1.3C, Benalla -1C, and Reedesdale -1.5C, while Mildura’s 1.6C marked its coldest November morning since 1912. South Australia also shivered, with Renmark at 1.9C and Cummins Aero briefly touching -0.1C.
Australian Weather News confirmed widespread records across SA, VIC, NSW, and the ACT — many with datasets spanning over half a century. Meteorologists attribute the freeze to a series of reinforcing cold fronts funneling Antarctic air deep into the continent, suppressing the usual late-spring warmth — a pattern that looks set to persist through the foreseeable.
This is a setup seen across much of the Southern Hemisphere. Antarctica has been holding far colder than the climatological norm of late, with its icy reaches stretching out not only into Australia, but also southern Africa and South America.
Clear skies in Australia will make for great viewing of the aurora australis as a powerful G4 geomagnetic storm gets underway…
 

G4-G5 Solar Storm: Triple Impact Now Underway
A severe G4 (Kp 8) geomagnetic storm is pounding Earth today after multiple CMEs from sunspot region AR4274 arrived in rapid succession, delivering a triple impact to the magnetosphere.
The first shock arrived hours earlier than predicted, followed by two additional powerful CMEs.
Data from NOAA’s DSCOVR spacecraft show solar wind speeds surging above 800 km/s, with the crucial Bz component (the north–south orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field) plunging southward below –60 nT — an extremely geoeffective alignment that allows energy to pour directly into Earth’s magnetic field.
Had the negative Bz persisted at such extreme levels, grid operators might have faced major failures. “If this hadn’t broken when it did,” one analyst noted, “we’d be halfway to the Stone Age by now.”
The Bz has since eased somewhat (see SWPC plot below, red trace), reducing the threat to infrastructure, but the storm remains far from over.
These displays rival, if not exceed, those of the May 2024 superstorm, which also disrupted GPS-based farm equipment across the US. Early accounts this evening suggest similar interference, with several users reporting erratic signals.
While no major grid failures have been confirmed, voltage irregularities, GPS errors, and radio blackouts have been. And with more to come, the next 12–24 hours are critical to monitor as the storm continues.
The Sun has unleashed a series of powerful X-class flares in recent days, the latest reaching X5.1. Each eruption launched a coronal mass ejection (CME), and as they raced toward Earth, several merged into a “cannibal CME.” This combined plasma cloud is now slamming into Earth’s already weakened magnetic field driving the ongoing geomagnetic storm.

Record Cold Continues Across Southeast; Early-Season Snowstorm To Hit Norway; Earliest Polar Vortex Collapse Could Be Brewing; + Solar Storms, Auroras And The Weakening Magnetic Field
November 13, 2025 Cap Allon

Early-Season Snowstorm To Hit Norway
Winter is about to strike with force across Norway, particularly central regions.
Starting Thursday (Nov 13), fierce polar air will sweep south, replacing autumn’s rain with snow across the likes of Nordfjord, Møre og Romsdal, and Trøndelag.  The snow line is dropping rapidly to below 300 m (980 ft) —forecast to sink even lower throughout Thursday— as flurries spread south from northern Trøndelag. Totals could reach a foot in just 24 hours, with significantly more in mountain areas.

https://electroverse.info/record-cold-continues-across-southeast-early-season-snowstorm-to-hit-norway-earliest-polar-vortex-collapse-could-be-brewing-solar-storms-auroras-and-the-weakening-magnetic-field/

Authorities have issued a snow warning, citing difficult driving conditions and possible delays in air and public transport.
As the cold air deepens into the weekend, the snow is forecast to build early over the wider Scandinavia region.
 

Record Cold Continues Across Southeast
The Arctic cold pool refused to budge Wednesday, delivering another round of record lows across the Southeast.
Areas of Florida have registered their coldest and earliest readings in half a century. Ocala dropped to 28F (-2.2C) and Gainesville to 29F (-1.7C), both breaking records that had stood since the mid-1970s.
Farther north, Lake City, Cross City, and High Springs also logged sub-freezing lows, marking one of the most extensive early-November freezes on record for the region.
Frost coated lawns as far south as the I-4 corridor, while inland Georgia and the Carolinas remained locked under the same Arctic air mass, posting another morning of record/near-record cold following Tuesday’s frosty sweep.
With the core of the high now drifting east, temperatures are expected to slowly moderate — for now…
 

Earliest Polar Vortex Collapse Could Be Brewing
Models show a potential major Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) developing by late November — an unprecedented atmospheric disruption.
Both the GFS and ECMWF project intense warming over northern Canada around November 25 to 27, displacing the polar vortex toward Russia:
f this plays out it would be the earliest major SSW ever recorded (in data back to 1952), beating 1968.
Despite the name, “warming” refers to temperatures high in the stratosphere, not at the surface. These events typically weaken or split the vortex, allowing Arctic air to spill unusually far south.
f this plays out it would be the earliest major SSW ever recorded (in data back to 1952), beating 1968.
Despite the name, “warming” refers to temperatures high in the stratosphere, not at the surface. These events typically weaken or split the vortex, allowing Arctic air to spill unusually far south.
This setup is driven by strong wave activity from North America —visible in the striking height anomalies over Canada— pushing heat upward into the stratosphere and destabilizing the vortex. If it holds, impacts could arrive in two waves…
1) Late November–early December: stormier U.S. pattern around Thanksgiving.
2) Mid–late December: blocked flow, deep, record-setting cold and snow across North America/Europe/Russia.
A full collapse this early would be historic — and it could set up one of the coldest/snowiest Decembers in decades.
Extended ECMWF ensemble projections (though unreliable this far out) are picking up widespread snow cover building across the U.S. through late December:

Solar Storms, Auroras And The Weakening Magnetic Field
X1 to X5 solar flares may not sound extreme, but even relatively modest events can now push auroras as far south as Mexico — a sign of our weakening magnetic field.
When a coronal mass ejection (CME) slams into Earth, it compresses the magnetosphere and drives powerful electric currents through the upper atmosphere. If the solar wind’s magnetic field tilts southward, it reconnects with Earth’s northward field, unlocking energy and sending the auroral oval surging toward mid-latitudes.
That’s why people in southern Europe, North America, and Asia are increasingly seeing northern lights overhead.
Earth’s magnetic field has been weakening steadily for more than a century — roughly 10% since 1850, with faster declines observed in recent decades. The South Atlantic Anomaly, where the field is weakest, has expanded and deepened, allowing more radiation to reach low-Earth orbit.
Some researchers view the current decline as a precursor to a geomagnetic excursion — a rapid destabilization and partial collapse of the magnetic field, sometimes ending in a full pole reversal. The last major event, the Laschamp excursion around 41,000 years ago, saw field strength plunge to less than 10% of today’s value. It coincided with abrupt climate oscillations, atmospheric ionization spikes, increased cosmic radiation, and possible genetic and behavioral shifts in early humans — a period some describe as an evolutionary stress test for life on Earth, an evolutionary ‘leap.’
While we are not yet at that stage, with the field still holding relatively well, we could be entering the tipping phase of a geomagnetic excursion — a rapid reconfiguration of the field rather than a continuation of the ‘slow fade’ we’ve seen so far.
Satellite data show the poles migrating faster each year (video below), the South Atlantic Anomaly deepening, and the dipole moment decaying along an exponential curve. These are hallmarks of a system approaching instability.
When the magnetic field weakens too far, the magnetosphere contracts, cosmic-ray flux rises, and atmospheric ionization increases — driving feedbacks that can disrupt climate and biospheric balance.
It follows that during such transitional periods, the Sun–Earth system becomes hyper-reactive: smaller flares deliver outsized impacts, geomagnetic coupling intensifies, and crustal or atmospheric responses may follow.
Civilization, dependent on electrical infrastructure, sits directly in the crosshairs. The recent X1-X5 events are more than a visual spectacle — they are warning shots. The shield is thinning, and the next phase could arrive within mere years.

-45C In Yakutia As Deep Winter Grips Siberia; Northern India Shivers; The Brightening Bombshell; + Fossil Fuels Aren’t for Turning — But the Agenda Is
November 14, 2025 Cap Allon

-45C In Yakutia As Deep Winter Grips Siberia
Russia’s Far North is now deep in winter.
On Nov 12, two stations in Yakutia —Saskylakh (-45.2C) and Yubileynaya (-45C) — dropped to their coldest November 12 readings on record. Saskylakh beat its 1972 record (of -44.9C), while Yubileynaya bested a mark that had stood since 1949 (-42.8C).

https://electroverse.info/45c-in-yakutia-as-deep-winter-grips-siberia-northern-india-shivers-the-brightening-bombshell-fossil-fuels-arent-for-turning-but-the-agenda-is/

Across central Yakutia, overnight lows continue to sink to -35C to -40C (-31F to -40F), with clearings dropping even lower. In the northeast and northwest, thermometers are expected to hover between -40C and -45C, with lowland pockets plunging toward -48C (-54F). The region faces increasing northwesterly winds up to 18 m/s, bringing blizzards to parts of Neryungri District.
Heavy snow, a “winter wonderland”—according to reports—is currently unfolding in Sheregesh, Kemerovo Oblast:
Across central Yakutia, overnight lows continue to sink to -35C to -40C (-31F to -40F), with clearings dropping even lower. In the northeast and northwest, thermometers are expected to hover between -40C and -45C, with lowland pockets plunging toward -48C (-54F). The region faces increasing northwesterly winds up to 18 m/s, bringing blizzards to parts of Neryungri District.
Heavy snow, a “winter wonderland”—according to reports—is currently unfolding in Sheregesh, Kemerovo Oblast:
Northern India Shivers
Odisha’s Daringbadi has crashed to 7.6C (45F), an unusually low mid-November minimum and one of the sharpest early-season chills recorded in the Eastern Ghats.
The cold has been persistent for a full week, with Udayagiri and surrounding hill towns locked into below-normal temperatures and repeated fog formations. Morning visibility has collapsed under dense mist, consistent with strong nocturnal cooling.
Officials warn that temperatures could sink further, toward 3C (37F), meaning cold-sensitive blooms and crops could take damage. Latest model runs show continued cooling and new lows in the coming days.
 

The Brightening Bombshell
Surface sunlight has jumped sharply across Europe since the 1980s. This isn’t opinion or model output. It’s measured, published, and confirmed by national meteorological agencies. [Below analysis comes courtesy of @Orwell2024 on X].
Germany’s Potsdam record shows +15 W/m² more solar radiation hitting the ground today than during the 1970s dimming era:
This is the “brightening effect.” Clearer air. Fewer aerosols. A more transparent atmosphere. The mechanism is simple: reduce the aerosols that once blocked sunlight, and more sunlight reaches the surface — and temperatures respond accordingly.
The peer-reviewed literature is explicit, writes Orwell: the atmosphere itself has become more transparent.
More sunlight means more energy. And the scale is not subtle. Central and northern Europe gained 10–20 W/m² of surface solar radiation over four decades. Austria gained more than 20, according to the national dataset. Over the same period, CO₂ added around 1.4 W/m² of forcing globally (being generous). The sunlight increase is roughly ten times larger.
Yet this rarely appears in public climate communication. The technical reports acknowledge aerosol-driven brightening. The press releases quietly shift the language. “Emissions” becomes a stand-in for CO₂. “Cloud cover changes” becomes a climate-change phrase. The cause —cleaner air letting in more sunlight— is softened until it vanishes.
But the data is unambiguous. When you add 15–20 extra watts of solar power per square meter to a region, the region warms. You don’t need feedback fantasies or complex model plumbing. You just need a lamp that’s suddenly brighter.
Austria is the clearest demonstration. A +23 W/m² jump in surface sunlight lines up with the country’s reported warming of around three degrees. Basic physics supports that scale.
Japan shows the same pattern. Stations that were heavily polluted in the 1970s dimmed the most. As the air cleared, they brightened the most. Rural stations shifted far less. The signal matches aerosol behavior perfectly.

The picture across all datasets is the same. Observed warming mostly coincides with a large, documented, and ongoing increase in surface sunlight. The brightening effect is the dominant radiative change since the 1980s, with the Urban Heat Island effect explaining much of the rest.
The Science says so. The measurements say so. The national agencies say so. Only the narrative doesn’t.

 Fossil Fuels Aren’t for Turning — But the Agenda Is
The IEA (International Energy Agency) has folded. In its new World Energy Outlook, the agency, once the high priest of Net Zero, quietly restored its “high demand” fossil fuel scenario, admitting oil and gas consumption will keep growing well beyond 2050. The dream of an imminent “peak” in hydrocarbons is dead.
Even Europe is blinking. This week, the European Parliament voted to gut its ESG framework, exempting over 90% of companies from mandatory climate reporting.
The financial system that once led the charge is also bailing out. The Wall Street Journal reports that major banks (JPMorgan, Citibank, UBS) are walking away from their Net Zero pledges. The Financial Times says hundreds of corporations have abandoned climate targets altogether. While the Net Zero Banking Alliance has gone into “suspended operations.”
But this isn’t the end of The Game — it’s the pivot.
As climate hysteria loses its grip, as the people vote it out, the establishment is rearming under a new banner: health. The UN’s own COP30 conference in Brazil has shifted focus away from emissions toward “integrating health into climate resilience.” Behind the slogans are programs for immunization, surveillance, and “pandemic preparedness” — all conveniently bankrolled through the same international channels once used for climate finance.
Bill Gates just confirmed the direction of travel. After years of backing climate ventures, he now says his focus will shift to “new vaccines” and “global immunization.” The timing is no accident. With the green narrative collapsing, the climate-industrial complex is mutating into the ‘biosecurity’-industrial complex.
The medical journals are already writing the script. The Lancet recently ran a feature titled “Climate Change and Pandemics: A Call to Action,” arguing that warming contributed to outbreaks like Wuhan and urging the merger of health and climate policy. The new logic is seamless: CO2 causes climate change, climate change causes disease, and therefore every policy, from carbon taxes to vaccination drives, becomes a matter of “public health.”
The same global networks and flow of funds that once enforced carbon compliance will now police “health resilience.”
At COP30 in Belém, Brazil, the UN unveiled its Global Initiative for Information Integrity on Climate Change — a polite title for state-sanctioned censorship. Ten nations, including Canada, Germany, and Brazil, signed a “landmark declaration” to combat disinformation, denialism, and “attacks” on climate scientists. The establishment’s panic is showing.
With the money and public backing vanishing, the UN is building ministries of truth to protect the lie.
WHO chief Dr. Tedros told COP30 he wants a “climate-style” pandemic treaty (video below) — lockdowns on demand, vaccine passports forever, and national sovereignty erased under the banner of “solidarity” and “information integrity.”
The climate cult may be dying, but its architects are not going quietly. They’re trading one fear for another, swapping atmospheric doom for biological dread, and desperately silencing dissent to make sure no one calls it out.
Call it out!

Early Cold Slams India; South Korea Freezes; Arctic Air Sweeping Europe; WaPo’s Snow Story Falls Apart; Climate Coverage Is Collapsing; + Urbanization Bias, Not CO2
November 17, 2025 Cap Allon

Early Cold Slams India
India has been hit by a sharp, early blast of winter, with regions posting some of their lowest November readings in years.
In Madhya Pradesh, the likes of Bhopal and Indore sank to 6.4C (43.5F) over the weekend, their coldest November temperatures in 25 years. Rajgarh hit 6C (43F), Rewa 7.5C (46F), Jabalpur 8.5C (47F) and Chhindwara 9.8C (49F) — all rare territory for mid-November.

https://electroverse.info/early-cold-slams-india-south-korea-freezes-arctic-air-sweeping-europe-wapos-snow-story-falls-apart-climate-coverage-is-collapsing-urbanization-bias-not-co2/

Cold-wave alerts now stretch across Bhopal, Indore, Dewas, Shivpuri, Satna, Rewa, Katni and Jabalpur. And fresh Himalayan snowfall in Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Jammu & Kashmir is bringing additional bite to the northerly surge.
At Zoji La Pass, located between Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh, temperatures crashed to -15C (5F) this morning (Nov 17), while Delhi reportedly dipped to 9C (48F) — the capital’s earliest single-digit minimum since 2020 (4.5C below normal).
If similar readings persist, the IMD will have choice but to declare an official ‘cold wave.’

 South Korea Freezes
South Korea is shivering, with the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) issuing a cold wave advisory from 9 PM Monday for a broad sweep of Gangwon, North Chungcheong, North Gyeongsang, and also parts of Busan.
Lows across the country dipped below -5C (23F) — the season’s coldest air to date.
The chill is forecast to deepen Tuesday: Cheorwon and Daegwallyeong are set to plunge to -8C (18F), Paju to -7C (19F), with Chuncheon down to -5C (23F). Seoul is forecast to hit -4C (25F), its lowest of the season.
The freeze holds through Wednesday before a brief return to seasonal norms on Thursday.
Light rain will brush the west coast late Monday, with snow expected across the higher terrain of Jeju as the Arctic digs in.

Arctic Air Sweeping Europe
A sharp pattern shift is setting up across the North Atlantic, with cold northerlies forecast to drive Arctic air deep into western Europe this week.
Sunday morning already delivered -7C (19F) for Tulloch Bridge, Scotland —the UK’s coldest lows since March— but “much colder conditions” are on the way, according to the Met Office as high pressure to the northwest funnels a direct Arctic feed.
Widespread frost is forecast for not only the UK and Ireland but also much of Western and Central Europe:
Snow is expected across higher ground, from Scandinavia, through Scotland, down through France and Italy.
Already, Sestriere in Italy’s Piedmont is seeing steady snowfall:
Longer-range signals point to continued cold into early December, with models hinting at deeper Arctic air building behind the initial front. Looking further ahead, mid-to-late December could deliver a truly impressive outbreak due to the forecast SSW.
Models have backed off a little from a full reversal (below), but an extreme disruption or ‘stretching’ of the polar vortex is still on.
 
WaPo’s Snow Story Falls Apart
The Washington Post is back to blaming gLoBaL wArMiNg for D.C.’s recent snow drought — while quietly admitting that large parts of the country have actually gained snow. More snow here, less snow there — regardless, it’s ALL tied to emissions.
A quick check with Rutgers’ Global Snow Lab shows no decline in North America and Greenland winter snow cover since the 1960s. The trend is basically flat, edging upward if anything. In a genuinely warming world, winter snow extent would be collapsing.
It isn’t:
WaPo fails to mention this.
Instead, they focus on D.C., a region dominated by the urban heat-island effect, shifting storm tracks, and land-use change, with recent variability driven by factors such as El Niño, the Hunga Tonga eruption, and reduced cloud cover — all non-CO2 forcings, of course.
More snow, less snow — whatever the pattern, The Narrative stays the same.
For now.

Climate Coverage Is Collapsing
U.S. network news hasn’t even shown up at COP30 — a near-total blackout that matches the decline across the wider media.
Climate coverage at even the ‘catastrophe stalwarts’ —the New York Times, the Washington Post, and the Guardian— has fallen sharply from its 2021 peak, mirroring the drop across the major U.S. papers:
Even Democrats, once aggressively pushing CO2 doom, have gone quiet since the post–Inflation Reduction Act spike:

Newsroom output is shrinking and audience interest is fading.
Most climate coverage was never real reporting anyway. It was coordinated messaging, but now that messaging has shifted to ‘health’ (as noted Friday).
With the story moving on, it’s only the most entrenched voices still banging the climate drum. And it’s getting quieter.
 

Urbanization Bias, Not CO2
Independent researchers analyzing Europe’s high-resolution Copernicus land-cover data have exposed a major flaw inside Berkeley Earth’s temperature record.
Most of Berkeley’s so-called “rural” stations aren’t rural. They sit inside expanding towns, industrial zones, or heavily altered landscapes — all of which warm far faster than stable environments.
Berkeley Earth continues to rely on an outdated MODIS urban/rural mask that misses vast amounts of modern development. When the independent researchers reclassified the stations using Copernicus data, Berkeley’s “rural” category effectively collapsed. Large numbers of stations used to anchor the global temperature record are, in reality, urban heat islands.
Satellite imagery confirms it.
Even a quick Google Maps check shows many of these supposedly untouched countryside thermometers in actual fact sit beside asphalt, buildings, and irrigation.
Urbanizing stations show the dramatic late-century “hockey stick,” whereas truly rural, stable stations do not. The sharp temperature spike evaporates when you isolate sites that haven’t been swallowed by development.

The researchers also highlight the deeper methodological problem: Berkeley Earth stitches together broken and incomplete station histories, mixing baselines from different eras and environments. The result of this is not a physical temperature measurement but a modeled index dominated by urban noise and statistical patching.
The global warming scare is largely the signature of growing cities, not the actual climate. When you use accurate land-cover data plus continuous rural stations, the ‘hockey stick’ disappears. Not one verified, long-running stable site shows it.
The spike is an artifact of urbanization, poor classification, and stitched-together datasets — not a global thermometer.

10 NOVEMBER 2025

Winter has arrived in many areas a month ahead of normal. America’s first major Arctic blast (1041mb High) from Canada is taking cold air to the Gulf and Mexico. Today Florida may have frosts ! This takes the temperature in many East and Southern areas to 5-12ºCbelow normal. From the mid-west to the Gulf cold records have fallen today. “A brutal Arctic outbreak is tightening its grip on the United States, with models showing one of the most severe early-season cold anomalies ever observed for November.” Light to moderate snow is falling across the Great Lakes and along neighboring states.

Europe will have winter-like conditions by the end of this week - after 20 November. ECMWF predicts snow from the High Atlas of Morocco to the Pyrenees and the Alps. Greenland was impacted by deep Atlantic storms dumping 2-4 m of snow. Iceland and Norway also benefited from these early winter storms with 50 to 144 cm of new snow. The High Atlas also had 10-50 cm of early snow. “Russia has just posted its lowest temperature of the season so far — an exceptional -45C (-49F) in Shelagontsy. According to Pogoda i Klimat (a long-running Russian meteorological data archive), this reading sets a new daily record for the station, beating all observations since 1940, and ranks among the coldest early-November values ever logged there.”

Asia’s typhoons are making catastrophic news as two hit the Phillipeans and SE Asia - Vietnam and Cambodia. Today’s 2nd super typhoon Fung Wong Winds > 150 mph the previous one caused over 200 deaths. In contrast China is feeling like mid winter: “Xinjiang, northern China has been struck by one of its most expansive early-season snow events in years, with 77 weather stations across the region meeting ‘full blizzard’ criteria between Wednesday and Thursday.”

SOUTHERN Hemisphere still cold in Argentina and Australia. “Argentina’s bumper wheat crop has been hit by late-season frosts across the southern grain belt. The freeze, arriving behind a strong cold front late last week, left widespread frost damage in fields of Buenos Aires and La Pampa provinces — just as crops entered a vulnerable growth stage, as reported by the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange (BAGE).” Australia’s 2025 snow season was the biggest in years — and it broke rescue records. The NSW SES Alpine Search and Rescue Unit logged 25 callouts across the Snowy Mountains, up from just four last year,

Antarctic remained unusually cold: “The Amundsen–Scott South Pole Station remains locked in exceptional cold as the austral summer approaches. Wednesday’s high was -39.2C (-38.6F), continuing a pattern of deep, persistent chill that has defined recent years.” “And at Dome Fuji, the AWS logged -55.9C (-68F), confirming a continent-wide cold pool anchored over the plateau.” I see Dome A on windy.com reporting -53ºC still.

New album: Fall 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bugmjy45uEMGyKJU7

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/27/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 27 January showed warming off Ecuador with cooling from 120 to180º W. This warming continued this week of 12 April. The warming turned neutral to cold in May 3rd’s analysis. Today the pattern is an intensifying la Nina. See NOAA’s Physical Sciences Lab: https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst.shtml

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
10 NOVEMBER 2025

Avalanche In Italy Kills Five; Major Cold Blast Forecast For The U.S. Next Week; Heavy Snow For Northern China; Late-Season Frosts Threaten Argentina’s Wheat; + The Strongest Solar Flare Of The Space
November 4, 2025 Cap Allon

Avalanche In Italy Kills Five
An avalanche on Cima Vertana (Vertainspitze), a peak in Italy’s Ortler Alps, has killed five German climbers.
The mountaineers were struck by a slab of snow that broke free at 16:00 on Saturday. Three victims were recovered the same day, while fog and fading light delayed retrieval of the remaining two until Sunday morning.

https://electroverse.info/avalanche-in-italy-kills-five-major-cold-blast-forecast-for-the-u-s-next-week-heavy-snow-for-northern-china-late-season-frosts-threaten-argentinas-wheat-the-strongest-solar-flare-of-th/

The mountaineers were struck by a slab of snow that broke free at 16:00 on Saturday. Three victims were recovered the same day, while fog and fading light delayed retrieval of the remaining two until Sunday morning.

Rescuers say the slide was caused by recent heavy snow that failed to bond to the older icy layer beneath — a common setup for early-season avalanches. The region saw multiple snowfalls through late October and early November, with a foot+ reported and strong winds forming unstable slabs.
The deaths on Cima Vertana follow a spate of early snow-related incidents across the Alps.
 

Major Cold Blast Forecast For The U.S. Next Week
An ‘Arctic outbreak’ is forecast to plunge deep into the United States early next week, with subfreezing air reaching as far south as the Gulf of Mexico America by Monday, November 10.
The ECMWF run (below) shows 850 hPa (upper air) temperatures dipping below -12C (10F) across large swaths of the Midwest and Plains, with the cold mass driving southward through the central corridor.
This setup mirrors early-season polar incursions typical of strong blocking patterns and negative AO phases.
The GFS (below) supports this scenario, projecting widespread temperature anomalies 8-12C below the 1981–2010 average across much of the central and eastern U.S., while a stretch of the West will hold on to some anomalous warmth.
With the clash of cold and warm air, there’s a chance for decent snowfall at lower elevations — unusual for early November. The GFS is currently all over the place regarding snow totals (below). We’ll revisit it later in the week.

Looking north across the border, the same system will unleash extreme conditions over Atlantic Canada:
Heavy snowfall is set to pound the western half of Newfoundland, accompanied by violent winds.
“This is a snow hurricane / blizzard of epic proportions for early November,” writes meteorologist Ryan Maue.

Heavy Snow For Northern China
A powerful cold mass is sweeping down from Central Asia and into Xinjiang, northern China, threatening the region with yet another bout of early-season snow.
The system is slower and moister than previous outbreaks, a combination set to unleash prolonged snowfall across northern Xinjiang, the Ili River Valley, and the Tianshan Mountains, reports 中国气象爱好者 on Weibo.
Heavy to blizzard-level snow is expected in parts of the Tianshan range, with some locations facing “extremely heavy” accumulations. ‘Winter’ is effectively crashing down from Siberia and Mongolia —already snow-covered— signaling a deepening cold pattern across China, from the Altai to the Himalayas, as Arctic air continues to press south.

Late-Season Frosts Threaten Argentina’s Wheat
Argentina’s bumper wheat crop has been hit by late-season frosts across the southern grain belt.
The freeze, arriving behind a strong cold front late last week, left widespread frost damage in fields of Buenos Aires and La Pampa provinces — just as crops entered a vulnerable growth stage, as reported by the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange (BAGE).
The extent of the damage is still unclear, but the frost comes as Argentina was poised to post one of its biggest wheat harvests on record of 22 million tonnes — only 400,000 tonnes below the 2021–22 record.
Early field reports suggest losses in southern districts. Crops in the north —harvested earlier— have so far performed well, but the final national yield now depends on how quickly the southern fields recover.
Minimums are plunging well below seasonal norms as polar air crashes north, marking one of the latest significant frost events in Argentine records — a setup that could run through much of November, particularly if La Niña develops.
 

The Strongest Solar Flare Of The Space Age
Twenty-two years ago today (Nov 4, 2003), the Sun unleashed the most powerful solar flare ever recorded in the Space Age.
The blast, originating from a massive sunspot just beyond Earth’s view, was so intense that instruments couldn’t immediately measure it. GOES satellite detectors maxed out at X17.4 for 11 minutes before completely saturating, meaning the true magnitude was likely far greater. And shortwave radio across North America went dead as the ionosphere convulsed.
Subsequent analysis using Earth’s ionosphere as a “giant detector” revealed the flare’s actual strength was around X45, potentially on par with the 1859 Carrington Event, which triggered global auroras and telegraph fires.
Modern infrastructure is far more vulnerable to geomagnetic disturbances than that of the 19th century, and a direct hit today would likely spell disaster: crippling satellites, knocking out GPS and communications networks, and triggering widespread grid failures.
The 2003 flare struck during the declining phase of Solar Cycle 23, points out Dr Tony Phillips of spaceweather.com. Today, 22 years later, Solar Cycle 25 is entering a similar phase — the same period when history’s largest solar explosions tend to occur.

Russia’s Record -45C; Blizzards Slam Xinjiang; Deep Winter Ahead As QBO And Stratosphere Align; Australia’s Bumper Snow Season; CBS Fires Its ‘Climate Unit’; + Europe’s Solar Boom Is Breaking The Grid
November 5, 2025 Cap Allon

Russia’s Record -45C (-49F)
Russia has just posted its lowest temperature of the season so far — an exceptional -45C (-49F) in Shelagontsy.
According to Pogoda i Klimat (a long-running Russian meteorological data archive), this reading sets a new daily record for the station, beating all observations since 1940, and ranks among the coldest early-November values ever logged there.

https://electroverse.info/russias-record-45c-blizzards-slam-xinjiang-deep-winter-ahead-as-qbo-and-stratosphere-align-australias-bumper-snow-season-cbs-fires-its-climate-unit-europes-solar-boom-i/

Nearby Siberian locales joined in: -41C (-42F) was registered in Oymyakon, -40.2C (-40F) in Habardino, -40.1C (-40F) in Kerbo, and -40C (-40F) in Delyankir — all signaling that the Arctic is now firmly entrenched across the Sakha Republic.
This year’s plunge comes around two weeks earlier than average, as -45C readings usually aren’t seen until late-November.
With models showing continued blocking to the north and deep snow cover expanding westward, further sub -45C readings are likely in the coming days.
 

Blizzards Slam Xinjiang
Siberia’s chill has surged south into Xinjiang, China delivering widespread snow and strong winds across the region.
On the morning of Nov 5, the Ili River Valley and western border areas saw the first wave of snowfall as the front pushed east.
The Central Meteorological Observatory warns that Urumqi faces further blizzard conditions tonight, with the Tianshan Mountains bracing for even heavier snow totaling in the feet. Travel disruptions are expected as the cold intensifies and the snow drifts.
This marks Xinjiang’s second major early-season snowfall event in just days.
The same frigid air mass pressing through Central Asia has now spilled south into the Himalayas, where heavy snowfall and avalanches have struck Nepal’s Dolakha District near the Chinese border. At least seven climbers have been killed on Yalung Ri after severe weather and deep snow triggered a collapse.
Cyclone Montha last week already blanketed much of Nepal, and these latest falls confirm that winter’s reach is extending unusually far south for November.
The snow boundary is now stretching west as well, into the likes of Sonamarg, India:

Deep Winter Ahead As QBO And Stratosphere Align
Europe could be headed into one of its coldest winters in decades. Long-range outlooks suggest temperatures may regularly plunge to -25C (-13F) across northern and eastern Europe, with even southern regions expected to freeze.
Forecasters point to a convergence of natural drivers: shifting air-mass circulation, strengthening Arctic anticyclones, and a cooling Atlantic — all creating long-lasting cold pools across the continent.
Adding weight, new analysis from Climate Impact Company highlights that the 2025-26 season coincides with a winter-peaking easterly phase of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (-QBO) — a pattern historically linked to sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) episodes that can unleash severe Arctic outbreaks.
https://climateimpactcompany.com/
“Generally, SSW events capable of producing arctic outbreaks are more likely during easterly QBO,” the report notes.
Reviewing seven comparable winters since 1979, it found 8 major SSW events across 21 winter months, including January 2006, 2015 and 2024 — each featuring a strong polar-region warming at 10 mb. A December 1989 event saw the warming centered over Quebec, which triggered record cold across the central and eastern United States:

Reviewing seven comparable winters since 1979, it found 8 major SSW events across 21 winter months, including January 2006, 2015 and 2024 — each featuring a strong polar-region warming at 10 mb. A December 1989 event saw the warming centered over Quebec, which triggered record cold across the central and eastern United States:

This year’s analogs suggest a similar setup —easterly QBO, solar decline, cooling North Atlantic— favoring blocked, northerly regimes and potentially extreme cold across Northern Hemisphere land masses through winter.
Weather services across the Baltics are already urging residents to inspect heating systems and insulation early.
If projections verify, the 2025-26 winter could rival the brutal mid-2000s cold spells, when temperatures in major European cities routinely crashed below -20C (-4F).
 

Australia’s Bumper Snow Season
Australia’s 2025 snow season was the biggest in years — and it broke rescue records.
The NSW SES Alpine Search and Rescue Unit logged 25 callouts across the Snowy Mountains, up from just four last year, as blizzards and deep snow buried Kosciuszko National Park from Thredbo to Charlotte Pass.
“This winter has been relentless,” said Chief Inspector Malika Bailey. “Our teams have been out in sub-zero temperatures and whiteout conditions rescuing stranded skiers and hikers.”
The surge reflects the exceptional depth and duration of this year’s snowpack, which held firm well into spring. One July mission near Dead Horse Gap saw teams navigate through blizzard conditions to recover two lost skiers — one of many operations in what has gone down as the busiest alpine season on record.
Volunteers have been training hard to keep up, but Bailey says more locals are needed: “If you know these mountains, your skills could save lives.”
 

CBS Fires Its ‘Climate Unit’
CBS News has axed its “Climate Unit” following a network-wide email sent by senior producer Tracy Wholf parroting Climate Central talking points — a political advocacy group.
Wholf urged her reporters to claim that Hurricane Melissa was “supercharged” by an “overly-hot Atlantic Ocean,” turning a “category 4 storm into a category 5.” Two days later, she was gone — along with nearly the entire team responsible for CBS’s climate coverage.
The purge followed the arrival of new Paramount Skydance CEO David Ellison and editor-in-chief Bari Weiss, who have moved quickly to dismantle what insiders describe as CBS’s “hard-left” reporting divisions. The layoffs also hit the network’s “race and culture” staff.
For years, CBS’s climate output leaned on Climate Central and Covering Climate Now — activist networks funded to push carbon narratives into mainstream news. Now, only one CBS correspondent remains assigned to “climate,” without a producer or a team — a symbolic end to years of taxpayer-fed climate propaganda.
 

Europe’s Solar Boom Is Breaking The Grid
Europe’s renewables experiment isn’t “transitioning,” it’s destabilizing.
Voltage exceedances have exploded from 34 alerts in 2015 to 8,645 in 2024 — a ~25,000% surge.
What was once 1 alert every 11 days now hits once per hour:
The cause is uncontrollable solar spikes hammering a grid built for stability, not volatility.
European operators admit they’re overwhelmed. Control rooms that were once calm now flash amber, red, and blackout warnings as millions of rooftop panels and oversized solar farms dump power the system cannot safely absorb.
Spain already suffered a 50-million-person blackout when a solar surge triggered cascading disconnections. And nothing has been fixed. Spain’s grid operator is still issuing emergency warnings. Germany is scrambling for laws to throttle solar farms. Poland is openly warning that controlled blackouts may soon be necessary to protect equipment.
Fossil plants once provided grid stability for free (via inertia); now Europe must spend billions on compensators, transformers, and emergency hardware just to stop solar from blowing the system apart.
This is the price of unreliability, of ideology-driven policy devoid of logic.

Record Snow For Northern India; Record-Breaking Wintry Surges In China; “Gobsmacking” U.S. Cold Lobe; Northern Hemisphere Snow Report; South Pole’s Sub -20C Stretch; + Germany Hits Another Wind Drought
November 6, 2025 Cap Allon

Record Snow For Northern India
Northern India is enduring one of its heaviest early-November snowfalls in years, with areas already in full winter condition.

https://electroverse.info/record-snow-for-northern-india-record-breaking-wintry-surges-in-china-gobsmacking-u-s-cold-lobe-northern-hemisphere-snow-report-south-poles-sub-20c-stretch-germany-hits-another-wind-dro/

The broader Kashmir highlands have been buried, including Sonamarg, Baltal, Zojila Pass, Razdan Top, Gurez Valley, Sinthan Top and Peer Ki Gali. While it was Gulmarg that saw the deepest totals, looking more like January than November (video below).
Razdan Top picked up fresh inches, along with surrounding ranges.
Temperatures have dropped below freezing, with more snowy systems forecast through November.

Record-Breaking Wintry Surges In China
The seasonal shift is well under way in southern China, even Taiwan feels like autumn now. But it’s the north that’s grabbing the headlines: Xinjiang has just registered one of its most powerful early-November snow events on record.
Northern Xinjiang and the Ili River Valley were buried Wednesday as dense moisture met a strong Arctic feed along the Tianshan foothills. Widespread totals in the inches settled across the region.
Urumqi topped the lot, officially reaching heavy blizzard criteria over the past 24 hours, with snow depth topping 22 cm (8.7 inches), breaking the city’s all-time November snowfall record.
Tekes and other national stations along the Tianshan flank also reported rapidly deepening cover as the storm peaked.
The same cold air mass is now driving winter southward through the highlands of Yunnan, Guizhou, and Sichuan.
With skies clearing, authorities warn of severe icing and sharp overnight temperature drops.
 

“Gobsmacking” U.S. Cold Lobe
The models continue to lock onto a remarkable early-season outbreak across the central and eastern United States.
By Tuesday morning, wind chills will resemble mid-January, with temperatures crashing to 20F (-7C) in Atlanta, upper-20s (-2C) across Tallahassee and Jacksonville, low-30s (0C) through Tampa and Orlando, and even Miami stuck in the low-40s (5C).
The upper-air pattern looks unreal.
Multiple meteorologists have flagged the -40C (-40F) contour at 500 mb plunging over Indiana on November 10.  NOAA’s GFS goes even colder, resolving a -44C (-47F) core centered over Michigan.
And the ECMWF agrees, showing a deep, Siberia-style upper-air pool over the Midwest:
The same cold air mass is now driving winter southward through the highlands of Yunnan, Guizhou, and Sichuan.
With skies clearing, authorities warn of severe icing and sharp overnight temperature drops.
Meteorologist Ryan Maue describes the feature as an “unbelievably intense tropopause PV anomaly,” a tightly wound lobe of the polar vortex diving out of the Canadian Arctic like a Plinko disk into the Great Lakes.
“It is gobsmacking to see -40C contour at 500 mb over Indiana on November 10th,” adds Maue. “Historic cold.”
The depth and timing of this anomaly suggest something more than a standard early-season chill. We’re still four+ days out, but this looks to be a full-scale Arctic intrusion, the kind usually reserved for mid-winter.

Northern Hemisphere Snow Report
Winter has arrived early across much of the Northern Hemisphere, with major ski regions logging deep snow, record openings, and widespread cold.
While the U.S. has so far dragged its heels somewhat, it’s a different story in Europe where the Alps are off to a flying start.
Verbier has opened a month early after 40 cm (16 inches) of new snow, joining a growing list of glacier resorts expanding terrain weeks ahead of schedule. Zermatt increased its base by a foot, Saas-Fee is up 50 cm (20 inches) in two weeks, and Austria’s Solden, Stubai, and Hintertux now offer some unusually-good skiing this early in the season.
Up north, Iceland set an October snowfall record with 37 cm (15 inches), while Scandinavia prepares for another round of cold and accumulating snow this week.
Across the pond, Canada is matching Europe’s fast start.
Sunshine Village posted what may be its earliest opening ever, helped by 20 cm (8 inches) in 24 hours and lows near -15C (5F). Lake Louise opened early too after a 29 cm (11.5 inches) dump. While in the Pacific Northwest, Stevens Pass received 42 cm (17 inches), with similar totals noted in Oregon.
Light early-season snow is now reaching the East and Midwest, with snowmaking underway from New England to Michigan. But as noted above, there could be a natural early-season dumping on the horizon.
 

South Pole’s Sub -20C Stretch
The Amundsen–Scott South Pole Station remains locked in exceptional cold as the austral summer approaches.
According to station logs, the last time the South Pole rose above -20C (-4F) was January 22, 2022, when it briefly reached -17.6C (0.3F). Since then—almost four years—the -20C mark (-4F) has not been touched — highly unusual.
It would take a rare warm-air intrusion to lift temperatures, and so far there are no signs of such a pattern developing.

Germany Hits Another Wind Drought
Germany is heading into another wind drought this week, with forecasts showing output collapsing to just 1.2 GW.
A blocking high is settling over central Europe, wiping out the wind. And solar won’t help in November: low sun angles, short days, and inversion-driven fog cut generation to a faint trickle.
Germany is left with a self-engineered gap — a large one. With nuclear gone and coal politically sidelined, the grid has no depth, no stability. Calm weather means gas ramp-ups, emergency imports, and prices drifting higher.
Industrial output is still falling. Auto production has collapsed. Chemicals and steel are shifting abroad. Energy-intensive manufacturers now rely on subsidies just to keep operating. Germany’s electricity is expensive and unreliable, a setup echoed across much of Europe, much of ‘the West’.
A grid tied to atmospheric patterns behaves like atmospheric patterns — unstable and impossible to run an economy on. Nothing about this situation is surprising. Germany dismantled its dependable generation and replaced it with weather.

Australia Starts November With Record Cold; Late-Season Antarctic Cold; In China, 77 Stations Meet ‘Full Blizzard’ Criteria; Arctic Blast Locks Onto U.S.’ + Climate Sanity Returning To Europe
November 7, 2025 Cap Allon

Australia Starts November With Record Cold
Australia has opened November on a cold note, delivering a sharp flip from last month’s heat and posting a string of early-season records across multiple states.

https://electroverse.info/australia-starts-november-with-record-cold-late-season-antarctic-cold-in-china-77-stations-meet-full-blizzard-criteria-arctic-blast-locks-onto-u-s-climate-sanity-returning-to-europe/

Stations that broke October high-temperature records only weeks ago are now setting new November cold benchmarks, underscoring the volatility sweeping the subtropics.
Notable new record minimums for the month of November include the 10.6C (51.1F) at The Monument, 10.2C (50.4F) at Julia Creek, 10.1C (50.2F) at Mount Isa Airport, 9.4C (48.9F) at Blackall, and a frosty 3.9C (39F) at Cleve in South Australia.
Daytime highs also broke records, including the 21.6C (70.9F) logged in Cloncurry and the 21.1C (70F) at Urandangi Airport — unusually low for early November in Queensland’s northwest.
Warmth dominated October headlines. Now, in a matter of days, large parts of inland Australia have swung to the opposite extreme, owing to strengthening southerlies, polar intrusions, and a cooling Pacific.
And there’s more where that came from (on Nov 8 and Nov 9):

Late-Season Antarctic Cold
Antarctica has snapped back to winter this week, delivering temperatures wildly out of step with early November.
On November 6, the South Pole Station fell to -47.1C (-53F) — far below the usual early-November minimums in the -30s C.
Vostok was even harsher: -54.8C (-66F), more than 20C (36F) colder than the station’s seasonal norms.
And at Dome Fuji, the AWS logged -55.9C (-68F), confirming a continent-wide cold pool anchored over the plateau.
The Antarctic interior is not warming on schedule, at least not yet — values this low belong to late-winter, not a period when the sun is already above the horizon and the first summer crews are returning to the Pole:

In China, 77 Stations Meet ‘Full Blizzard’ Criteria
Xinjiang, northern China has been struck by one of its most expansive early-season snow events in years, with 77 weather stations across the region meeting ‘full blizzard’ criteria between Wednesday and Thursday.
In total, 538 stations reported rain/snow, while 11 locations, including Urumqi and parts of the Ili Prefecture, saw ‘heavy-blizzard’ conditions. Urumqi set a new November snow record of 8.7 inches (video below), while Turgen Township, in Ili, neared a foot.
Sections of the G7, G216 and G335 highways remain closed, rail services have been cancelled, and Urumqi crews spent Thursday removing broken branches, clearing treetops, and battling disruptive accumulations across the city.
Forecasts call for more snow in the coming days.

 Arctic Blast Locks Onto U.S.
A potent Arctic outbreak is still on track to sweep across the United States from this weekend into early next week, delivering a widespread early-November freeze from the Dakotas to the Gulf Coast and pushing cold air deep into Florida.
Forecasts show temperatures running as much as 20F below normal across the Midwest, Great Lakes, interior Northeast and down through the Tennessee Valley, with single-digit wind chills in the Northern Plains and 20s and 30s stretching into the Deep South.
Snow will accompany the leading edge of the front, with lake-effect bands primed to produce as much as a foot in some spots.
Freezes are likely in the Florida Panhandle, with 40s reaching into South Florida — up to 17F below normal for mid-November and the coldest air of the season statewide. Record lows may be challenged across parts of the Southeast Tuesday morning.
The only limiting factor preventing this from becoming a truly historic event is surface thermodynamics: snow cover across Canada and the northern U.S. is still patchy, which means the near-surface air mass will not reach January intensity. With a deeper snowpack, this pattern would have delivered crippling, all-time cold across the eastern half of the country.
Even without that amplification, the setup is more than enough to freeze an iguana or two, and regions should prepare for their sharpest November drops in years.
 

Climate Sanity Returning To Europe
A decade of ‘climate panic’ is finally breaking in Europe.
Fresh Eurobarometer data show the public’s obsession with “climate/environment” has collapsed across the EU:
https://europa.eu/eurobarometer/surveys/detail/3372
Since 2010, the share of Europeans naming climate as a top-two issue surged through the mid-2010s, peaked during the Greta/Net Zero mania, and remained artificially inflated through years of propaganda.
But over the past 18 months, that curve has plunged. Europeans are no longer buying it, with energy bills, inflation, and economic insecurity now outranking climate by wide margins.
The same countries that led the Net Zero charge —Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, Belgium— are seeing the steepest declines in ‘climate concern,’ and the steepest rises in anger over soaring power prices, grid instability, and failed “green transitions.”
Europe’s decade-long climate hysteria is fading.
Now to rebuild energy systems on something sturdier than the weather.

Arctic Air Mass To Shatter U.S. Early-Season Cold Records; Earth-Directed X-Flare To Deliver Double Hit; + BBC To Review Its Own Climate Lies
November 10, 2025 Cap Allon

Arctic Air Mass To Shatter U.S. Early-Season Cold Records
A brutal Arctic outbreak is tightening its grip on the United States, with models showing one of the most severe early-season cold anomalies ever observed for November.
At 500 mb —the mid-troposphere level where large-scale air masses and jet stream dynamics are measured— the European model projects temperatures plunging below -40C (-40F) from the Great Lakes to Kentucky by Tuesday, November 11.

https://electroverse.info/arctic-air-mass-to-shatter-u-s-november-cold-records-earth-directed-x-flare-to-deliver-double-hit-bbc-to-review-its-own-climate-lies/

Such values are extraordinary for mid-November, rivaling events seen only a handful of times in recorded history. For example, the forecast of -38C (at 500 mb) near Dulles Airport Tuesday would break the November record of -37.3C set Nov. 13, 1977:

The anomaly forms a near-perfect, spherical cold core extending through the Midwest and Ohio Valley — effectively a dislodged lobe of the polar vortex swinging down from Hudson Bay:

At the surface, the cold will be just as historic.
From the Dakotas to the Gulf Coast, widespread freezes are forecast early in the week, with readings running 20F below normal across much of the eastern half of the nation. Freeze Warnings stretch from the Midwest through the Tennessee Valley, while even northern Florida faces near-freezing lows — a level of November chill not seen since the 1960s.

Dozens of daily records are set to fall on Veterans Day, with some of the coldest contenders including: 
Huntsville, AL: 21F (record: 22F in 1926)
Birmingham, AL: 22F (record: 25F in 1926)
Montgomery, AL: 22F (record: 29F in 1926/1991)
Meridian, MS: 23F (record: 24F in 1894)
Jackson, MS: 25F (record: 25F in 1900)
Columbus, GA: 26F (record: 26F in 1913)
Baton Rouge, LA: 29F (record: 32F in 1991)
Gainesville, FL: 29F (record: 31F in 1943)
Jacksonville, FL: 30F (record: 35F in 1977)
Orlando, FL: 37F (record: 39F in 1932)
Tampa, FL: 38F (record: 40F in 1892)
 Meanwhile, Lake Michigan is expected to spawn a compact cyclonic system —essentially a hybrid polar low— as frigid air sweeps across its still-warm waters. Gusts of 40–70 mph and intense lake-effect snow are forecast to hammer northern Illinois and northwest Indiana, adding to travel chaos already unfolding across the Midwest.
The setup coincides with a sharp downturn in the Arctic Oscillation (AO), which ensemble models show sliding strongly negative through mid-month — a classic signal of high-latitude blocking and southward cold transport:
A recent Climate Impact Company report states that the current “intense negative North Atlantic Oscillation (–NAO)” tied to late-October’s hurricane has amplified Greenland blocking, further reinforcing the polar plunge.
The stratospheric vortex may also be weakening again:

Earth-Directed X-Flare To Deliver Double Hit
Active sunspot AR4274 erupted again on Nov 9, unleashing an X1.8 flare and launching a CME directly toward Earth:

BBC To Review Its Own Climate Lies
After years of fabricating, exaggerating, and distorting climate stories, the BBC now claims it will “review” its coverage. Not because it suddenly discovered journalistic integrity — but because it got caught.
A leaked letter from former standards adviser Michael Prescott accused executives of ignoring “widespread evidence of skewed reporting.” The BBC has lied —repeatedly— to push a political agenda, to follow UN directives.
It told viewers that human-driven climate change made US heatwaves “35 times more likely.” Lie. It claimed global wildfires were exploding due to CO2. Lie. It presented Net Zero as an economic miracle, hiding the cost and chaos it caused. Lie.
It broadcast false statistics, doctored context, and platformed activists as “experts,” such as the hapless Chris Packham who is opening a National Briefing Emergency on Nov 27 because the climate is breaking down and “we’re all doomed”:
And when challenged, the BBC quietly edited, deleted, or buried the evidence.
Question Time segments have been re-edited after making false Net Zero claims. Panorama was caught manufacturing fear about “extreme weather.” Meat: A Threat to Our Planet? was so dishonest that the TV regulator ordered it removed from iPlayer. The BBC’s Climate Editor, Justin Rowlatt, personally and routinely pushes falsehoods on air — and still holds his job.
For years, the corporation has served not the public, but the ideology of its own class: green absolutism, globalist orthodoxy, moral panic. It has become a megaphone for unelected activists and corporate interests that profit from the “climate crisis.”
Now the same BBC that lied about Brexit, COVID, Trump, and Israel is pretending to investigate itself. It’s all a big farce. Regardless, it is the people that have the power to bring about the institutions end. Roughly a million UK households have stopped paying the BBC licence fee in the past two years alone — a mass rebellion that is gaining momentum.

3 NOVEMBER 2025

Major Storms from Alaska to the Caribbean to the N Atlantic dominated the weather extremes this week. Hurricane Melissa CAT 5 (899mb) with 180 kt winds hit Jamaica causing catastrophic damage as the eye wall passed over the western part of the island. Over 60 people died from Jamaica to Haiti and Cuba . Melissa passed Bermuda on 31 October and fed an atmospheric river that intensified a low over NY and the NE dumping very heavy rains and deadly flooding. A huge deep 953 mb storm over the Gulf of Alaska pumped heavy snow (2-4 m) from Anchorage to Vancouver. Another huge N Atlantic storm (956 mb) sat south of Iceland controlling the weather from Greenland to Portugal.

EUROPE

“The Icelandic Meteorological Office confirmed 27 cm (10.6 in) of snow measured at its Reykjavík station that morning, surpassing the previous October record of 15 cm (5.9 in) set more than a century ago.” “Russia closed October under a wave of brutal cold, with multiple stations in Yakutia plunging below -37C (-35F) — the lowest readings of the season so far.” “On November 3, Konstantinovskaya, Russia plunged to -40.0C (-40.0F) — the nation’s first -40C of the season.” Western and Central Europe had a mild week; however, a cold front from a deep 972 mb storm in the N Atlantic cooled the region from Norway to the Mediterranean with mild Atlantic air. By November 1, remnants of Hurricane Melissa moved south of Iceland in a large intense storm that extended from Greenland to Portugal and across central Europe bringing gales and heavy rains to the UK and wide spread precipitation. Greenland had ECMWF forecasts of 1-4 m with central temperatures in the -40sºC as the Snow Mass Balance remained on the normal curve. Today, EX-Melissa’s impact was felt along another cold front that extended across the UK into France.

ASIA
“An intense cold outbreak has swept across northern and eastern China, sending temperatures plunging far below seasonal norms and shattering October records at multiple national weather stations.” Heavy snow hit the Himalayan mountains. Korea and Japan had 20-60cm of new snow. “The freeze was most severe in Gangwon’s Seoraksan Mountain, which fell to -7.8C (18F) with a biting wind chill of -15.2C (5F). Freezing temperatures were also logged across the central inland regions, running approximately 4C below seasonal norms.” Mount Emei in Sichuan has been buried under its heaviest snowfall in recent memory, as a rare November storm slams southwest China. The Polar Vortex continues to weaken with a Sudden Stratospheric Warming. “An SSW often disrupts the polar vortex and precedes stronger cold and snow events (Arctic Outbreaks) in the mid-latitudes.”

S HEMISPHERE
“A blast of polar air has engulfed southeastern Australia, delivering freezing lows across five states and the ACT — weeks before the start of summer. The coldest air settled over the alpine regions, with Perisher Valley (NSW) reaching -8.8C (16F), the nation’s low. Nearby Mt Ginini on the ACT border dropped to -5.4C (22F) —within 0.1C of its coldest October night— while Canberra touched -0.2C (32F).”
The Antarctic continued to have deep 970-942 mb storms circling in the Southern Ocean even as the Continent warmed from the -60s to the -30sºC. Mountain snowfall was from 123 to 211 cm while the Andes still had 1-5 m of new snow predicted. The high 4-5k msl Andes in Peru also had 60-101 cm of new snow. The Glaciers in the Andes are thriving.

New album: Fall 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bugmjy45uEMGyKJU7

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
3 NOVEMBER 2025

Freezing Lows Grip Five Aussie States; Seoul Shivers Through Early-Season Frosts; QBO Raises Risk of Polar-Vortex Disruptions; + Basic Physics vs The CO2 Theory
October 28, 2025 Cap Allon

Freezing Lows Grip Five Aussie States
A blast of polar air has engulfed southeastern Australia, delivering freezing lows across five states and the ACT — weeks before the start of summer.
The coldest air settled over the alpine regions, with Perisher Valley (NSW) reaching -8.8C (16F), the nation’s low. Nearby Mt Ginini on the ACT border dropped to -5.4C (22F) —within 0.1C of its coldest October night— while Canberra touched -0.2C (32F).

https://electroverse.info/freezing-lows-grip-five-aussie-states-seoul-shivers-through-early-season-frosts-qbo-raises-risk-of-polar-vortex-disruptions-basic-physics-vs-the-co2-theory/

In Victoria, Mt Hotham tanked to -7.3C (19F), just a degree above its record October minimum, and Falls Creek logged -6.6C (20F) — its coldest October night in 19 years. Lower down, She Oaks fell to -0.2C, its coldest October night in 17 years, Kilmore Gap to 0.9C, its coldest in any month for three years, and Gelantipy to -2.3C, the coldest in three years.
Tasmania froze too, with Liawenee hitting -4.2C (25F) and Campania, northeast of Hobart, recording -1C (30F) — its chilliest October night in 17 years. In South Australia, Keith West dipped to -1.5C (29F), the state’s coldest temperature this October.
The sharp frost came from the remnants of a polar air mass funneled north.

Seoul Shivers Through Early-Season Frosts
South Korea has been gripped by an early blast of Arctic air, triggering the first ‘cold wave advisory’ of the season.
The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) issued cold wave advisories across northern Gyeonggi, Gangwon, Chungcheongbuk, and northern Gyeongsangbuk provinces on Monday, October 27. And the chill didn’t disappoint: by Tuesday, Seoul had recorded its first frost, arriving more than a week ahead of schedule.
The freeze was most severe in Gangwon’s Seoraksan Mountain, which fell to -7.8C (18F) with a biting wind chill of -15.2C (5F). Freezing temperatures were also logged across the central inland regions, running approximately 4C below seasonal norms.
Forecasters attribute the early freeze to a cut-off low pressure system detached from the Arctic, coupled with a continental high expanding from China’s Shandong Peninsula. This “double cold wind” funneled icy air southward, says the KMA, while clear skies overnight allowed radiative cooling to intensify the drop.
The combination of early frost, ice, and cold wave alerts marks one of South Korea’s coldest starts to autumn in recent years.
 

QBO Raises Risk of Polar-Vortex Disruptions
The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) has flipped into its easterly phase—a development that historically precedes sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events and weakened polar vortices.
Easterly QBO winters (such as 2005-06, 2007-08, 2012-13 and 2014-15) often coincide with sharp Arctic outbreaks across Europe and North America. Easterly winds in the tropical stratosphere create favourable conditions for Rossby-wave propagation into the polar stratosphere.
A new study by Dillon Elsbury and colleagues confirms that while models struggle to reproduce every connection, real-world data show that heat and momentum rising from the tropics can disrupt the polar circulation weeks later.

https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/37/14/JCLI-D-23-0395.1.xml?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Following an SSW, the disrupted vortex often allows Arctic air to spill south, spawning the “polar-vortex” events that can dominate winters.
With the QBO now fully negative, forecasters see heightened odds of an SSW between December and February—potentially bringing notable cold to mid-latitudes. The next few months of tropical activity will decide whether that threat materializes.

Basic Physics vs The CO2 Theory
We’re told a trace gas sets Earth’s thermostat. But multiple recent analyses show the data don’t fit that story.
Most of the system’s excess energy ends up in the oceans (well over 90%), yet ocean temperatures don’t rise smoothly with CO2; they step, stall, and swing with changes in sunlight, clouds, volcanic aerosols, and ocean-atmosphere cycles.
That’s mainstream physics: the ocean is the primary heat reservoir, storing more than 90% of any imbalance (IPCC).
A new paper in Science of Climate Change re-checks attribution using unadjusted observations alongside model runs and finds that CMIP models struggle to match observed temperature trajectories and sea-ice trends while underplaying plausible solar variability. It argues that when higher-variability total solar irradiance (TSI) reconstructions are considered, a larger solar role emerges than the IPCC’s preferred low-variability series allows.

https://scienceofclimatechange.org/wp-content/uploads/SCC-Grok-3-Review-V5-1.pdf?

“Our analysis reveals that human CO₂ emissions, constituting a mere 4%of the annual carbon cycle, are dwarfed by natural fluxes, with isotopic signatures and residence time data indicating negligible long-term atmospheric retention.”….
Scafetta (2023) builds “balanced” multi-proxy solar activity records and finds that alternative, defensible TSI histories can explain more of the observed multidecadal pattern, implying a lower effective CO2 sensitivity than many models assume.
Connolly et al. (2023) show that attribution is highly sensitive to the solar record chosen and that natural variability can rival anthropogenic factors in Northern Hemisphere surface trends since 1850.
Harde (2022) likewise finds a comparatively modest role for CO2 when solar forcing and cloud feedbacks are treated more broadly than in standard model setups.
Satellite, ARGO-era, and surface records align more cleanly with changes in incoming solar energy and cloud/aerosol conditions than with a simple, monotonic CO2 control knob. That doesn’t make CO2 completely irrelevant: it does absorb infrared radiation in a few narrow wavelengths, helping to trap some outgoing heat. But those bands are already close to saturation, meaning most of the effect is already in play. Doubling CO2 adds only a small, diminishing amount of extra warming—a logarithmic response measured in fractions of a degree, not the multi-degree surges predicted by models that assume strong positive feedbacks.
Drawing conclusions from the aforementioned studies: CO2’s effect is real but modest; modeled sensitivity is inflated; and observed climate variability tracks the Sun–ocean–cloud system more than a single trace gas.

Reykjavik Shut Down By Record October Snowfall; 20 Hikers Rescued From Freezing Mt Washington; Early Frosts In Daegu And Gwangju; Record Cold Sweeps China; Greenland SMB Update: Above-Average Gains; + Bill Gates’ Climate Backtrack
October 29, 2025 Cap Allon

Reykjavik Shut Down By Record October Snowfall
Reykjavik awoke on October 28 to its heaviest October snowfall since records began in 1921.
The Icelandic Meteorological Office confirmed 27 cm (10.6 in) of snow measured at its Reykjavík station that morning, surpassing the previous October record of 15 cm (5.9 in) set more than a century ago.

https://electroverse.info/reykjavik-shut-down-by-record-october-snowfall-20-hikers-rescued-from-freezing-mt-washington-early-frosts-in-daegu-and-gwangju-record-cold-sweeps-china-greenland-smb-update-above-average-gains/

By midday, accumulations had reportedly exceeded 30 cm (a foot) across parts of the capital, turning the city into a standstill.
Roads were impassable, buses were halted or delayed, and crews focused only on keeping main routes open as side streets disappeared under drifting snow.
By midday, accumulations had reportedly exceeded 30 cm (a foot) across parts of the capital, turning the city into a standstill.
Roads were impassable, buses were halted or delayed, and crews focused only on keeping main routes open as side streets disappeared under drifting snow.
An ‘orange weather warning’ was issued with authorities advising residents to stay indoors.
Morgunblaðið reported that the harbor froze and that the city’s snow-clearing capacity was “quickly overwhelmed.”
Such heavy snow is exceptional for October, when Reykjavík typically sees only a trace or two.
And can we spare a thought for the three mosquitoes found just north of the city.
 

20 Hikers Rescued From Freezing Mt Washington
Winter has settled over Mount Washington, New Hampshire, where 20 unprepared hikers were rescued from freezing lows.
According to Cog Railway staff, the group reached the 6,288-ft summit in “light clothing” despite the State Park facilities closing for the season. Many were hypothermic when rescued, with summit readings around -5C (23F) and wind chills down to -20C (-4F).
Snow was also on the ground, around 3-4 inches.
New Hampshire State Parks warned that it is now “winter on the summit,” urging visitors to “be prepared or hike another day.”
It’s cold in the Northeast of late, with a handful of low temperature records falling over the past 24 hours.

Czechia’s Heaviest October Snow Since 2009
Czechia’s main mountain ranges awoke this week to their heaviest October snowfall in 16 years, according to the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute (ČHMÚ).
The Šumava, Krkonoše, and Jeseníky Mountains were blanketed overnight — a rare event for October.
The deepest accumulation was reported on Velký Javor in Šumava which received 48 cm (19 inches), followed by Labská bouda with 42 cm (17 inches), Plechý with 35 cm (14 inches), and Praděd with 22 cm (9 inches)

ČHMÚ noted that “a minimum of 20 cm somewhere in the mountains occurs in October about once every three years, but simultaneous snow across Šumava, Krkonoše, and Jeseníky is exceptionally rare.”
The last time all three ranges were hit at once was October 2009.
The agency says long-range outlooks suggest a colder, snowier winter ahead for Europe.
 

Early Frosts In Daegu And Gwangju
Early-winter conditions continued to grip South Korea Wednesday, with frost and ice recorded across multiple inland regions, including Daegu and Gwangju, arriving 12 days ahead of schedule.
Morning lows on October 29 hovered near 5C (41F) nationwide, with several interior locations dropping below freezing.
Daegwallyeong in Gangwon fell to -4C (25F), Geochang in South Gyeongsang to -1.7C (29F), and widespread frost was observed in Suncheon, Yeongwol, Cheorwon, Chuncheon, and Chupungnyeong.
In Daegu, the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) confirmed the first frost and first ice of the season — 12 days earlier than average, with Gwangju seeing its first frost 7 days early.
Forecasters warn of continued cold nights, posing risks for crops and livestock.
 

Record Cold Sweeps China
An intense cold outbreak has swept across northern and eastern China, sending temperatures plunging far below seasonal norms and shattering October records at multiple national weather stations.
According to data shared via Weibo’s 中国气象爱好者 account, new October record lows were set this week in Liaoning and Inner Mongolia, led by Kezuohouqi at -12.8C (9F), and followed by Baoguotu at -11.6C (11F), Qinglongshan at -11C (12F), Fuxin -10.6C (13F), Sujiatun -8.3C (17F), Liaozhong -8.2C (18F) and Donggang -5.2C (23F) — to name just seven.
For Fuxin and Baoguotu, it was the first time on record that temperatures have fallen below -10C (14F) in October.
The cold also gripped the provincial capital Shenyang, which dropped to -7.6C (19F)—its lowest of the season.
While the same Arctic air mass pushed deep into eastern China, with Hefei posting 6.4C (43F) and Shanghai’s Xujiahui district dipping to 14.6C (58F)—unseasonably cold for late October in the lower Yangtze region.
China’s meteorological service has noted several early-season cold surges this month, extending unusually far south.
Early-season cold of this magnitude reinforces a growing pattern seen across the Northern Hemisphere this autumn—an increasingly unstable jet stream, sharp polar plunges, and an early build-up of snow cover across Siberia and Mongolia.
 

Greenland SMB Update: Above-Average Gains
After two weeks of silence, Polar Portal (via the DMI) has finally updated Greenland’s surface mass balance (SMB) record — now current to October 15.
The fresh data show above-average daily gains through mid-month across the ice sheet, with heavy accumulation centered along the western slopes, where daily gains exceeded 30 mm water equivalent.
The Oct 15 chart shows Greenland’s SMB season running comfortably above the 1981–2010 mean — continuing the trend of recent years.
According to DMI, the pause since early October was caused by “input-data problems” affecting both automatic weather-station feeds (PROMICE) and the HARMONIE-AROME regional model.
Polar Portal notes that updates will resume automatically once data stability is restored.
 

Bill Gates’ Climate Backtrack
Bill Gates has quietly released a 17-page memo, Three Tough Truths About Climate, walking back the apocalypse he spent years promoting.
He now says climate change “won’t lead to humanity’s demise,” that we’re focusing too much on emissions, and that “health and prosperity are the best defense.”
This is not humility — it’s a PR escape hatch.
Gates spent the past decade preaching Net Zero from private jets. Through his Breakthrough Energy fund, he pushed useless wind-and-solar projects that drained trillions and achieved nothing. He even blocked Africa’s access to reliable coal power.
Now, with the renewables bubble collapsing, he’s repositioning himself as the voice of reason.
But he can piss off.
Between the lines, his memo admits it all: there’s no viable route to Net Zero, the tech doesn’t exist, and the panic went too far. He’s swapping alarmism for optimism, hoping no one notices he helped build the disaster he’s now denouncing.
In 2021 he warned climate change could be “as deadly as COVID-19.” Four years later, he shrugs and says the planet will cope. Convenient timing — just as governments slash green subsidies and public belief in climate catastrophe tanks to record lows.
Gates hasn’t seen the light, as such — he’s seen the collapse coming.

Record Early Snow Closes Mount Everest; Heavy Snow Hits Pip Ivan; MJO Surge, La Niña, Winter Cold Trigger; + The Sun’s Hidden Pulse And The Next Cooling Epoch
October 30, 2025 Cap Allon

Record Early Snow Closes Mount Everest
Tourism across the Himalayas has been shut down after Cyclone Monta unleashed unseasonably heavy snow across both the Nepali and Tibetan sides of Mount Everest — the second major Himalayan blizzard this month.
The storm, which swept north from the Bay of Bengal October 28, buried roads, downed power lines, and stranded more than 1,500 trekkers stranded as trails disappeared under deep snowdrifts.
Nepal’s Civil Aviation Authority confirmed a helicopter crashed in heavy snow near Lobuche, north of Namche Bazaar, while attempting to rescue stranded climbers. The aircraft slid while landing and overturned. The pilot survived and was later rescued.

https://electroverse.info/record-early-snow-closes-mount-everest-heavy-snow-hits-pip-ivan-mjo-surge-la-nina-winter-cold-trigger-the-suns-hidden-pulse-and-the-next-cooling-epoch/

Authorities have now ordered all climbing and trekking routes closed across the Everest, Annapurna, Manaslu, and Dhaulagiri ranges. While on the Tibetan side, access roads to Base Camp in Tingri County have been sealed since October 28 as ice, drifting snow, and whiteout conditions made travel impossible. Ticket sales for Everest visits have been suspended indefinitely.
Overnight lows are bottoming out at -20C (-4F), with forecasts calling for continued snow through at least October 31.
This level of accumulation typically arrives in late-November/early-December, making it one of the earliest and most intense Himalayan snow events in recent decades — likely record-breaking.
It also follows an early-October blizzard that stranded hundreds of trekkers on the Tibetan slopes near the eastern face of Everest.
This winter is arriving early and with force.
 

Heavy Snow Hits Pip Ivan
Rescuers in Ukraine’s Ivano-Frankivsk region have urged hikers to avoid the Carpathians after severe weather struck Mount Pip Ivan on Wednesday, October 29.
Snowdrifts up to 80 cm (31 inches) were reported on the summit, with freezing temperatures, poor visibility, and strong winds creating whiteout conditions across the ridge.
The Prykarpattya Mountain Rescue Service put out a warning Tuesday (embedded below) for “extremely dangerous” conditions.

MJO Surge, La Niña, Winter Cold Trigger
A strong phase of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) has moved from the Indian Ocean across the Maritime Continent and is forecast to shift into the West Pacific.
This pattern tends to drive the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) positive, strengthening the trade winds and drawing up cooler subsurface water in the equatorial Pacific — reinforcing a weak La Niña for 2025-26.
More importantly, if the MJO re-intensifies in the West Pacific in November, it could send a Rossby-wave pulse into the polar stratosphere and trigger a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) — an effect made more likely by the recent flip of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) into its easterly phase.
An SSW often disrupts the polar vortex and precedes stronger cold and snow events (Arctic Outbreaks) in the mid-latitudes.
So… while a weak La Niña looks possible, the bigger watch-point is a potential winter cold trigger via the stratosphere.
 

The Sun’s Hidden Pulse And The Next Cooling Epoch
The Sun leaves fingerprints in ice and wood here on Earth, and from this we can predict the next great cooling epoch, the next Grand Solar Minimum.
Long before telescopes tracked sunspots, nature was already recording the Sun’s ups and downs in the chemistry of the atmosphere. When the solar wind weakens, more cosmic rays from deep space reach Earth, colliding with nitrogen and oxygen atoms high above. Those collisions create rare isotopes — beryllium-10 and carbon-14 — that fall to Earth and become sealed into ice cores and tree rings.
When those isotopes are charted through time, we find a repeating pattern of pulses.
Every time the Sun’s magnetism falters, the cosmic-ray bombardment increases, and isotope levels spike. When the Sun strengthens again, the bombardment drops and the isotopes thin out. In this way, the frozen and wooden archives of the planet act like a 10,000-year solar diary, revealing the Sun’s long-term heartbeat.
Those isotope pulses show clear rhythms: roughly every 100 years (the Gleissberg cycle), every 200 years (the de Vries or Suess cycle), and every 350–400 years (a longer centennial rhythm). These aren’t clockwork, they do drift slightly, but the pattern is there. When several of these downswings overlap, the Sun’s magnetic field collapses into a prolonged lull known as a Grand Solar Minimum.
The isotope record lines up closely with history’s known cold episodes. During the Maunder Minimum (1645–1715), isotope spikes soar, sunspots vanish, and the Northern Hemisphere cools sharply. Europe’s rivers froze, harvests failed, and the “Little Ice Age” took hold. The smaller Dalton Minimum (1790–1830) followed the same pattern — higher isotopes, fewer sunspots, colder years — compounded by volcanic eruptions like Tambora in 1815, which brought the “Year Without a Summer.”
The same isotope curves suggest another alignment may be approaching. The longer solar cycles — 100, 200, and 400 years — appear to be dipping together again, with several reconstructions suggesting overlapping low points in the 2030s–2040s.
If that pattern holds, the Sun’s magnetic shield will weaken, cosmic-ray flux will rise, and the planet could enter another extended quiet phase — potentially a modern grand minimum.
Whether it delivers a chill as deep as the Maunder is unknown — but the pulse is there, carved into every layer of ancient ice: when the Sun sleeps, the Earth cools.

Russia’s Deep Freeze; Iceland At -20C; Study: 80% Of Today’s Cat 5 Hurricanes Would’ve Been Missed In 1940s–50s; Warming Natural, Not CO2; New Study: Antarctica Has Cooled Since 2003; + Sunspots Slip
October 31, 2025 Cap Allon

Russia’s Deep Freeze
Russia closed October under a wave of brutal cold, with multiple stations in Yakutia plunging below -37C (-35F) — the lowest readings of the season so far.
Baimka-Baimra led with -37.9C, followed closely by Oymyakon at -37.1C, Nera at -37C, and Delyankir at -36.5C — all within Siberia’s core cold basin, where winter has now firmly taken hold.
Further east, Anadyr in Chukotka dropped to -27.4C (-17.3F) on October 30 — its second-lowest October temperature since records began way back in 1898 (just 0.8C shy of the all-time monthly record).

Russia’s First -40C; Seoul To -2.8C (27F); Record November Snow In China; Early Blocking; New Study: Greenland’s 1920s And 1990s Warming Bursts Offset By Cooling; + Sunspots Drop To Multi-Year Low
November 3, 2025 Cap Allon

Russia’s First -40C
On November 3, Konstantinovskaya, Russia plunged to -40.0C (-40.0F) — the nation’s first -40C of the season.

https://electroverse.info/russias-first-40c-seoul-to-2-8c-27f-record-november-snow-in-china-early-blocking-new-study-greenlands-1920s-and-1990s-warming-bursts-offset-by-cooling-sunspots-drop-to-multi-year-low/

This year’s first -40C arrives earlier than average, as per Ogimet SYNOP archives, with it typically not seen until mid-November.
Temperatures are expected to drop further in the coming days, with deep cold forecast to expand westward.
 

Seoul To -2.8C (27F)

South Korea shivered through its first major cold wave of the season early Monday (Nov 3), with Seoul falling to -2.8C (27F) — one of the capital’s coldest early-November readings on record.
The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) issued cold wave advisories for parts of Seoul and surrounding provinces — earlier than usual, and far earlier than last winter, when none were raised until January.
The early chill is being driven by a strong continental high-pressure system pushing frigid air south from Siberia.
Regional lows have impressed across South Korea, including Muju Seolchunbong’s -8.7C (16F); Paju’s -4.5C (24F); Cheorwon’s -3C (27F). Frost was also reported in Incheon, Daejeon, and Jeonju — almost a week earlier than last year.
Overnight freezes are forecast to persist in inland regions. Then another cold front is expected to sweep in over the coming weekend, potentially delivering renewed subzero lows and some sizable snows.

Record November Snow In China
Mount Emei in Sichuan has been buried under its heaviest snowfall in recent memory, as a rare November storm slams southwest China.
Widespread rain and snow have swept across Sichuan, Tibet, and Yunnan, with single-day snowfall records toppled at multiple weather stations, including at Demula (Linzhi) with its 30+ cm (12+ inches).

Early Blocking
While still deep in the extended range, the ECMWF continues to hint at renewed high-latitude blocking developing mid-November —notably over Greenland and northern Europe— with a deep trough extending into central and eastern Europe:
It’s too early to call, but the repeated signal of blocking in successive runs is worth watching closely. And should it verify, it would likely disrupt the zonal flow and open the Arctic gates earlier than expected this season.
Updates to follow…
 

New Study: Greenland’s 1920s And 1990s Warming Bursts Offset By Cooling
A new study shows Greenland’s climate runs in bursts and reversals — not a straight line of human-driven heat.
Using more than a century of Danish Meteorological Institute records, researchers found two short, equally strong bursts of warming —about 2.9C from 1922-1932 and about 3.1C from 1993-2007— separated by a long cooling of roughly 3C between 1933 and 1992.
The result: basically no net warming since the 1920s.
The paper, Weather and Climate Dynamics, shows that both warming episodes were triggered by shifts in large-scale wind patterns, not rising CO2.
In the 1920s, more frequent cyclonic and southerly airflows brought mild air into Greenland; in the 1990s, a similar configuration reappeared. When those patterns faded, temperatures fell again.
Greenland’s climate doesn’t follow the smooth upward curve implied by global models — it flickers in response to atmospheric circulation changes. The researchers found that southerly winds always bring warmth, northerly flows bring cold, and the overall relationships have stayed stable for 100 years of documentation.
The findings expose the weakness of The Narrative. Today, Greenland is little changed from a century ago. And now the signs hint at cooling again, with six out of the past eight years resulting in above-average snow and ice gains (DMI) for the ice sheet.

Sunspots Drop To Multi-Year Low
According to SILSO, only 20 sunspots were recorded on November 2, which made for the lowest daily count since June 8, 2022, when 3 were observed.
https://www.sidc.be/SILSO/datafiles
This region, already active on the farside, produced at least three significant coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in late October. Whether that volatility continues on the Earth-facing side remains to be seen.
Meanwhile, an equatorial coronal hole has opened, sending a high-speed stream of solar wind toward Earth. The flow is expected to arrive November 6-7 and could trigger minor (G1-class) geomagnetic storms.
Even with the emerging region, today’s (Nov 3) sunspot number remains subdued at just 43 — still among the weakest daily readings of Solar Cycle 25.

27 OCTOBER 2025

The N. Hemisphere Polar Vortex is weaker this year as confirmed by NASA and NOAA. This means there will be more intrusions southward of Arctic air bringing a cold winter to N America, Europe and Asia. The latest GFS model forecasts have the SE US at 10-12ºC below normal in early November. The jet stream continues its meandering flow with omega blocks slowing its normal eastward progression. Its jet max over the Pacific hit 180 kts, typical of winter. The deep troughs brought stormy conditions along the cold fronts and warm air ahead in the warm sectors. The N. American west coastal mountains again picked up 2-5 m on the high peaks from Anchorage to Vancouver. Significant early snows fell from the Cascades (50-170cm) to Sierra (3-77cm) and Rockies (10-40cm). Hurricane Melissa (984 mb) very slowly moved across the Caribbean into Jamaica with CAT 4-5 winds, very heavy rains and storm surges lasting up to 48 hrs threatening catastrophic damage…

Europe had another major “Storm Benjamin” (970 mb) that moved over Ireland and the UK into the Baltic Sea triggering heavy rains and thunderstorms as its cold front moved across the EU. This 5-day storm continues to linger in the Baltic Sea and control weather across Europe. The French Alps had early heavy snows with 50 to 160 cm in model forecasts. Slovenia’s peaks had their second measurable snow with heavy rains at lower elevations. “In Tromsø, 19 cm (7.5 inches) of early season snow fell on Monday, it’s first October 21 snowfall since 2005, with additional flakes falling as of Tuesday morning.” ECMWF model forecasts have predicted 40 to 140 cm across the mountains of Norway and up to 154 cm in Svalbard. The N. Hemisphere snow extent continued to increase according to Rutgers scientists. “The Netherlands is one of Europe’s most advanced economies, but it is now running government TV ads begging citizens not to charge their cars or run appliances between 4 PM and 9 PM because the grid might collapse.”

Asia felt the Arctic blasts from Siberia into SE Asia again this week. Korea had cold and snow that extended into Japan. “Fresh snow blanketed Koksar in Himachal Pradesh’s Lahaul-Spiti district this morning (Oct 22), marking northern India’s heaviest falls of the season so far.” Mongolia braced for another season of the Dzud with cold and snow. Last year they lost over 2 million animals to the snow and ice.

Southern Hemisphere spring continues to be quite variable with S. America still having record Antarctic incursions of cold air. “A sharp cold front and surge of polar air dropped temperatures across much of Brazil. In São Paulo, it fell to 11.2C (52F) on Monday morning (Oct 20) — the city’s coldest October reading since 2014’s 10.7C (51F).”

AUSTRALIA changed from a cool wet winter to record heat this week with 40ºC across the N Territories. New Zealand, however, continued its heavy alpine snows (101-249cm) and rains (200-700mm) at low elevations on the South Island.

The Antarctic continues to warm as Vostok Station had -35 and Dome A -56ºC with the U Wisc Peninsula station at -24ºC. Howling blizzards continue along the coast as deep 940-970 mb storms circle the Antarctic. Heavy snows (2-3m) continue along the coastal mountains.

New album: Fall 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bugmjy45uEMGyKJU7

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
21 October 2025

Cold Deepens In South Korea; São Paulo Shivers; Strong Snow Season At Valle Nevado; Cold Outlook Sends U.S. Gas Prices Higher; + How Renewables Are Bringing The Dutch Grid To Its Knees
October 21, 2025 Cap Allon

Cold Deepens In South Korea
A chill has tightened its grip on South Korea, delivering widespread frost, freezing wind chills, and the season’s first snow.
The sudden plunge followed a powerful high-pressure system pushing cold Arctic air south from northern China over the weekend, sending temperatures tumbling well below seasonal norms. Morning readings across the peninsula are expected to hold below 10C (50F) all week, with daytime highs sitting as much as 7C below average.
In Seoul, Monday morning dropped to 5.3C (42F) with wind chills dipping to 3.6C (38F) — colder than even an early-December low.

https://electroverse.info/cold-deepens-in-south-korea-sao-paulo-shivers-strong-snow-season-at-valle-nevado-cold-outlook-sends-u-s-gas-prices-higher-how-renewables-are-bringing-the-dutch-grid-to-its-knees/

At Seoraksan, temperatures sank to -1.3C (30F) with a wind chill of -8.2C (18F) — and the first snows settled:
Frost advisories are in effect for inland and highland regions of Gyeonggi, Gangwon, North Chungcheong and North Jeolla provinces. Higher elevations in northern Gangwon are expecting additional snow in the days ahead.
 

São Paulo Shivers
A sharp cold front and surge of polar air dropped temperatures across much of Brazil.
In São Paulo, it fell to 11.2C (52F) on Monday morning (Oct 20) — the city’s coldest October reading since 2014’s 10.7C (51F).
The unusual chill triggered severe cold alerts across the state and prompted emergency measures to protect vulnerable residents. Authorities opened a temporary shelter at Pedro II Station, offering food, mattresses, and blankets.
Officials say the cold snap will linger into midweek.
 

Strong Snow Season At Valle Nevado
Staying in South America, Chile’s premier ski resort, Valle Nevado, has closed its 2025 season after a strong winter marked by above-average snowfall and record crowds.
The mountain has registered 174 inches (4.4 m) of snow —well above the norm— including a peak-season storm that dumped five feet (1.5 m) in just days.
Prime conditions were noted from June through early October, with consistent high-altitude snowpack keeping runs open deep into spring, and drove visitation numbers to new highs.

Cold Outlook Sends U.S. Gas Prices Higher
A sudden cold turn across the U.S. has jolted the gas market, sending futures up 8% on October 20 to around $3.25 per mmBtu.
Forecasts now show daytime highs only in the 40s and 50s (4–15C) and overnight lows in the 30s and 40s (-1–9C) from the Midwest to the Northeast through early November, which, if it plays out, will sharply boost heating demand.
Production has slipped to 106.6 bcfd from 107.4 bcfd, tightening supply just as consumption spikes. Storage remains 4% above seasonal norms but is expected to draw down quickly if the cold lingers. Also, LNG exports are near record highs at 16.4 bcfd, with a cold Europe and Asia pulling U.S. supply into global markets and keeping prices supported.
The sudden cold outlook triggered a scramble to rebuild winter positions, flipping sentiment and fueling the rally. If LNG flows stay high and production remains below 107 bcfd, analysts see prices approaching $4.00 if Arctic air deepens into November.
 

How Renewables Are Bringing The Dutch Grid To Its Knees
The Netherlands is one of Europe’s most advanced economies, but it is now running government TV ads begging citizens not to charge their cars or run appliances between 4 PM and 9 PM because the grid might collapse.
This is the inevitable result of an energy policy built on ideology. The Dutch state dismantled a robust gas-based system and replaced it with a chaotic patchwork of solar panels and wind turbines — and the consequences are now being reaped.
Weather-dependent power generation is not just intermittent, it’s fundamentally incompatible with the physics of the grid. Unlike traditional plants, which provide steady, dispatchable power and crucial rotational inertia to stabilize frequency, solar and wind output surges and collapses with the weather. They supply no inertia, nostored kinetic energy, and no reliable baseline.
The grid itself was never designed for this: built around a few large central power stations, it is now being flooded with electricity from millions of small, scattered generation points. Distribution lines in suburban and rural areas, never meant to carry large loads, are overwhelmed, creating “grid congestion” so severe that even basic upgrades are now impossible.
Around 8,000 companies across the Netherlands are waiting to connect new generation projects, while 12,000 more are stuck in limbo, unable to expand electricity use. New homes can’t be connected. Businesses can’t grow. Even households trying to install heat pumps or EV chargers are being turned away. The Dutch system is now so brittle that grid operators routinely curtail generation, shutting down wind farms and switching off solar arrays, to avoid blackouts. Consumers who agree to have their electricity supply reduced during peak demand get discounts, while those exporting solar power may soon have to pay to feed it into the grid.
The economic fallout is already enormous. Grid congestion is estimated to be costing the Dutch economy up to €35 billion a year. Fixing the mess will cost hundreds of billions more, and take decades — most of that time swallowed by legal battles over permits and land rights.
What’s happening in the Netherlands is a warning for every nation rushing blindly into renewables, which is most-every Western nation, from Canada, through Europe, to Australia. The physics hasn’t changed, it has just been ignored: solar and wind cannot provide reliable, on-demand power or stabilize a grid. Without dispatchable generation and sufficient inertia, every additional panel and turbine simply makes the system weaker, more volatile, and more expensive.
The “green transition” promised a future of abundant, clean energy. Instead, one of the world’s richest countries is asking people to limit their electricity usage after work, and waiting lists to connect to the grid stretch into the next decade.
The citizens are finally waking up — and anger is rising fast.

Fresh Snow Hits Himachal Pradesh; “Fairytale Landscapes” In Norway; Spring Freeze To Sweep South America; Polar Vortex Disruption; + Happer on Rogan

October 22, 2025 Cap Allon

Fresh Snow Hits Himachal Pradesh
Fresh snow blanketed Koksar in Himachal Pradesh’s Lahaul-Spiti district this morning (Oct 22), marking northern India’s heaviest falls of the season so far.
The high-altitude settlement woke to white-covered roads and rooftops as a western disturbance pushed moisture across the western Himalayas. Temperatures in the valley have plunged below freezing, with the Manali–Leh Highway again disrupted.

https://electroverse.info/fresh-snow-hits-himachal-pradesh-fairytale-landscapes-in-norway-spring-freeze-to-sweep-south-america-polar-vortex-disruption-happer-on-rogan/

Similar early-season snow has been reported across parts of Himachal and Jammu-Kashmir this week as cold air masses strengthen over the Tibetan Plateau and funnel into the Indian ranges.
Forecasters expect another wave of snow through the weekend before a clearer, colder pattern sets in, with the IMD warning that minimums will continue to fall sharply.
 

“Fairytale Landscapes” In Norway
Winter has arrived early in Norway.
In Tromsø, 19 cm (7.5 inches) of early season snow fell on Monday, it’s first October 21 snowfall since 2005, with additional flakes falling as of Tuesday morning.
Further south, the Oppland region awoke to white as Beitostølen, Tonsåsen, and Vingromsåsen posted their first significant accumulations of the season. The snow held through the morning as crews began clearing streets.

Spring Freeze To Sweep South America
A chill is currently gripping much of South America, one that’s about to intensify sharply next week.
Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, Bolivia and southern Brazil are bracing for fierce chills early next week:
And the cold will linger. From Oct 26 to early November, temperatures across Argentina/southern Brazil will hold well below average (ECMWF). And while the accompanying rains will be welcome news to growers, Brazil’s coffee harvest still looks in serious trouble (more on that tomorrow).

Polar Vortex Disruption
An early-season disruption in the ‘Polar Vortex’ is now underway high above the Arctic — and it could set the stage for a much colder pattern across the United States, Canada, and Europe as November begins.
The stratospheric vortex —the vast swirling pool of freezing air above the pole— is developing unusually weak this year. Instead of spinning tightly and locking cold air in the Arctic, it’s being distorted by high pressure over Greenland and the North Pacific.
That pressure is shoving the vortex off-center, creating fractures and extensions that allow Arctic air to spill southward.
Stratospheric winds are running well below normal (GEFS), and are forecast to remain that way for at least the next few weeks:
NASA sees the same thing, and notes earlier in the month zonal winds were flirting with record low levels (pink line):

In the coming days, weather models show the first major “disruption” event of the season: high pressure building over Greenland and northern Canada will push into the polar regions, displacing the vortex and breaking up its lower arm.
Indeed, by late October and early November, cold anomalies are expected to deepen across eastern Canada and the eastern United States, while Europe also trends cooler under a displaced vortex segment.
Latest GFS runs are picking ‘something’ up:
If the vortex remains unstable into November, as ensemble models suggest (zonal charts above), cold shots will likely intensify and become more frequent through early winter.
The early signals from the stratosphere are flashing cold. The Polar Vortex is wobbling, the jet stream is weakening, and the pattern is primed for Arctic outbreaks on both sides of the Atlantic as the season turns.
 

Happer on Rogan
Physicist William Happer and MIT’s Richard Lindzen went on the Joe Rogan podcast yesterday.
Mainstream platforms are finally giving airtime to real physicists, and the narrative is cracking.
“The theory that the control knob is CO2 doesn’t work; it’s completely clear. It doesn’t work. … Dick [Lindzen] would’ve made a lot more progress, and his colleagues would’ve made a lot more progress, if they hadn’t been forced to deal with this CO2 cult.”

Why The Greenland Chart Hasn’t Updated
The Greenland SMB chart (in the sidebar) hasn’t budged since early October. This is due to the data feed from Polar Portal —run by Denmark’s Meteorological Institute (DMI), GEUS, and DTU— suffering “input-data problems.“
Polar Portal notes that its model relies on a mix of automatic weather-station data (PROMICE network) and the HARMONIE-AROME regional forecast model. When either stream fails, daily SMB calculations halt to prevent false outputs. DMI explains that stations can lose power when solar batteries run low, become buried in snow, or even topple, while satellite links can also drop.
Compounding that, microwave satellite data (SSMIS) used for related melt-extent monitoring has faced recent transmission delays, forcing other polar datasets to freeze as well.
The pause isn’t evidence of anything unusual happening on the ice sheet (I assume) — it’s a technical bottleneck upstream. Once stable data resumes, the chart will automatically update here on Electroverse.

Winter Arrives In Northern Japan; Early Snow Continues Across Himachal’s Peaks; + Early Snow Deepens Across Mongolia As “Dzud” Fears Grow
October 23, 2025 Cap Allon

Winter Arrives In Northern Japan
Polar cold has swept northern Japan, delivering the season’s first true taste of winter.
The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) map for October 23 shows widespread single-digit highs across Hokkaido and northern Honshu.

https://electroverse.info/winter-arrives-in-northern-japan-early-snow-continues-across-himachals-peaks-early-snow-deepens-across-mongolia-as-dzud-fears-grow/

Highs struggled to 6C (43F) in Nayoro, 7C (45F) in Wakkanai and Asahikawa, and barely 11C (52F) in Sapporo — all around 4-6C below average.
The chill came as strong Arctic air spilled south, triggering snow across the north, including on Mt Fuji (video), and dipping overnight readings below freezing in many spots.
Early accumulations are possible even on low ground, notes UHB Hokkaido News.

Early Snow Continues Across Himachal’s Peaks

Fresh snow hit Himachal Pradesh’s higher reaches on Wednesday, marking the state’s second major October snowfall.
Koksar in Lahaul-Spiti recorded 11.4 cm (4.5 inches) of snow, as nearby Tabo dipped to an anomalous -0.7C (31F), Keylong to 1.8C (35F) and Kalpa to 4.9C (41F).
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) confirmed that Keylong also saw October snow this year for the first time since 2022, and the earliest since 2008.

Early Snow Deepens Across Mongolia As “Dzud” Fears Grow
Heavy snow has blanketed Mongolia, reinforcing the expanding Eurasian cold pattern. As reported yesterday, the country has also posted its first -30C (-22F) readings of the season — exceptionally early.
Western and central provinces, including Uvs, Khovd, and areas around Ulaanbaatar, have seen widespread snowfall of late, with depths locally exceeding 40-80 cm (16–31 inches) and unofficial reports up to 180 cm (71 inches) in the higher mountains.
Exceptionally, almost 50% of Mongolia is now covered in 30 cm (a foot) of snow, as stated by the country’s National Agency for Meteorology and Environmental Monitoring in a recent report:
“As of October 20, at least 46 percent of the country’s total territory has been covered with snow of 30 cm thick, increasing a high risk of experiencing the extreme wintry weather “dzud” this winter.”
Temperatures have plunged 6-12C (11-22F) below normal following the October storm sequence.
The China Meteorological Administration confirms the early-season surge was driven by powerful northerlies spilling south from Siberia, feeding directly into Mongolia’s plateau and deepening the regional cold pool (the same setup delivering the aforementioned chills to northern India and Japan).
Russia’s Far East has plunged even colder this morning (Oct 23), with -32.1C (-26F) logged in Mukhomornoye and -32C (-26F) in Ust-Chaun — among the lowest October temps ever recorded at these stations.

Rutgers (map below) show broad snow cover stretching from central/western Siberia through Mongolia and into northern China — the classic early-winter setup that strengthens the Siberian High and drives polar air toward East and South Asia:
A “dzud” is a severe winter where snow or ice blocks livestock from grazing, unique to Mongolia.
Between 1940 and 2015, official dzud declarations were made twice a decade, but government and UN data show six major freeze events since 2015, with 2025-26 forecast to deliver a seventh.
The intensity has been increasing, too, not just the frequency.
The back-to-back freezes of 2023 and 2024 were truly devastating. Last winter, temperatures held below -40C (-40F) for weeks-on-end, and snowfall reached levels not seen since 1975. The UN confirmed 90% of Mongolia was hit, with well-over 2 million animals ‘reported’ dead and hundreds of thousands of herder families affected.
Data show colder, snowier winters have gripped Mongolia since the mid-2010s, driven by stronger Siberian highs and persistent Arctic intrusions. Yet, despite the increasing COLD, the UN blames the worsening dzuds on “global warming.”
In its ‘2024 Dzud Early Action & Response Plan’ (Feb 2024), the UN links changes in Mongolia’s harsher winters, deeper snow, etc with broader climate change impacts. While its press releases expressly state:
“While dzud has always been a part of life in Mongolia … its frequency and intensity have escalated drastically in recent years, and climate change is at the heart of this shift.”
Regardless of the spin: early-season snow is once again building across the steppes, setting the stage for another cold disaster.
This from a herder named Delgerbat who spoke back in May, 2024 of having to take his son out of school to help care for the family’s livestock:
“The climate is very different from when I was a child. When I was young the snow would have melted by this time and it would already be spring, but now spring comes so late.”

21 OCTOBER 2025

The N. Hemisphere jet stream continues to intensify triggering deep storms from the Gulf of Alaska to the N Atlantic and Arctic Ocean. A large 994 mb low over Michigan with a strong cold front is triggering severe weather with tornadoes, hail and heavy rains from Mississippi to Michigan as it moves east. Cool Canadian air was pulled south behind the front. Canada has broken cold records from British Columbia to Alberta : “The cold then rolled westward into British Columbia’s interior, where Quesnel endured its chilliest Oct 14 since records began back in 1910 with a reading of -9.1C (15.6F). Tatlayoko Lake posted -12.3C (9.9F), and Prince George plunged to -11.3C (11.7F), both well below their October averages. Puntzi Mountain dropped to -15.7C (3.7F), obliterating the old record of -9.4C (15.1F) from 1969.” Arctic air will move into the US during the next weeks. Alaska and the BC coastal ranges are getting heavy snows of 2-6 m.

Europe warmed to near normal this week as a large 1036 mb High centered on the UK. Clear skies brought radiational cooling to many areas. The Alps from the Maritimes to Swiss and Dolomites have had significant snows with more to come. N. Hemisphere snow cover continues to expand particularly in eastern Siberia and Alaska thus improving the chances for a severe winter. Another deep storm (974 mb) passed over the UK on 18 October slowly moving N of Scotland where the Highlands will have 5-14 cm of snow. This storm sent a strong cold front into the Balkan Peninsula with heavy rain and mountain snows. Norway continues to have mountain snows of 50-150 cm.

Asia is cooling with record cold in Mongolia as the snow cover promotes radiative cooling. Cool air is moving into SE Asia setting records for October. “A powerful cold front has slammed into northern China, sending temperatures crashing to mid-winter levels. On the morning of October 13, the town of Tahe in Heilongjiang province plunged to -17.6C (0.3F), with an automated weather station in the region posting an even colder -22.6C (-8.7F). Such cold is extraordinary for the first half of October.” Lewotobi Laki-laki volcano, Indonesia erupted again at 15:37 UTC on October 14, blasting a dense ash column 13,700 m (44,500 ft) above sea level.” Japan and N Korea have their first significant snows of 9-70 cm.

Southern Hemisphere weather moderated as spring began to take hold. Australia warmed into the 30sºC with significant precipitation as Antarctic fronts moved north. New Zealand continued to have heavy precipitation with 400-700 mm along the coast and 1-2 m of snow in the Alps. Vostok station reported a record cold October : “On Oct 16, temperatures at Vostok Station collapsed from a daytime high of -42C (-43.6F) to a pre-dawn low of -65C (-85F) — a 23C (41.4F) plunge in half a day.” Deep Southern Ocean storms continue to circle the Antarctic dumping 1-2 meters on local mountain tops.

New album: Fall 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bugmjy45uEMGyKJU7

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
21 October 2025

China To -22.6C (-8.7F) As Early Arctic Blast Hits; North America Pattern Flip; Coral Scare — Again; New Study Sinks AMOC Collapse Fears; + Britain Has Awoken
October 14, 2025 Cap Allon

China To -22.6C (-8.7F) As Early Arctic Blast Hits
A powerful cold front has slammed into northern China, sending temperatures crashing to mid-winter levels.
On the morning of October 13, the town of Tahe in Heilongjiang province plunged to -17.6C (0.3F), with an automated weather station in the region posting an even colder -22.6C (-8.7F).
Such cold is extraordinary for the first half of October.

https://electroverse.info/china-to-22-6c-8-7f-as-early-arctic-blast-hits-north-america-pattern-flip-coral-scare-again-new-study-sinks-amoc-collapse-fears-britain-has-awoken/

Average lows in Tahe for this time of year are -4C to -8C (25F to 18F), making this outbreak 14–18C below normal. And while the all-time October record here sits near -29C (-20F), that occurred later in the month; a reading of -22.6C this early ranks among the coldest first-half-of-October lows ever recorded in China.
And there’s more where that came from. Looking ahead, frigid Siberian air, aided by the anomalous snow cover up there, will continue sinking south this week, engulfing ALL of eastern China in ‘blues’ and ‘purples’ by the coming weekend:

North America Pattern Flip
A sharp pattern flip is coming.
After weeks of warmth, a strengthening Greenland Block will drive deep troughs into the eastern U.S. from late October into early November, pulling cold air south and ending the mild spell.
The change begins around Oct 26, with below-normal temperatures spreading across the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast.
Already, Western Canada is feeling the first punch. Thanksgiving here brought deep cold across the region, with Hendrickson Creek, Alberta down to -21.8C (-7.2F) and British Columbia seeing -15.7C (3.7F) at Puntzi Mountain — the coldest that early since 2009. Prince George hit -11.4C (11.5F), Dawson Creek -9.4C (15.1F), and even Vancouver struggled to 1.8C (35.2F).
Snow is now following the cold.
Forecasts show moderate accumulations spreading across the Canadian Rockies, northern Plains, and interior high terrain of the US, with winter storm alerts beginning to appear. And in California, the “End of Snow” fairy-tale is once again undercut — a strong Pacific storm is forecast to deliver as much as 3 feet of early-season snow to the Sierra Nevada as October closes.
 

Coral Scare — Again
The Global Tipping Points Report has been released — a Bezos-funded panic pamphlet coming out of the University of Exeter, home to the UK Met Office’s alarmist climate research unit.
They needed a scare story for COP30 (or whatever we’re up to now), and Exeter duly delivered: unless global temperatures are forced back down to 1.2C, they say, coral reefs will all die off.
It stands though that corals have thrived for hundreds of millions of years — through ice ages, asteroid impacts, and eras 5C to 8C warmer than today. They didn’t collapse then, and they’re not going to now.
In fact, the Great Barrier Reef has been thriving in recent years, posting its best-ever coral covers (in AMS records dating back to 1986):
Even scientists quoted in the report admit reefs can adapt and survive at 2C higher, and that local pollution and overfishing are far bigger threats. Bleaching happens, recovery follows, species shift — that’s how ecosystems work.
This isn’t science, it’s theater — a bit of choreographed doom to grease the wheels of yet another BS climate summit.

New Study Sinks AMOC Collapse Fears
A new peer-reviewed study in Theoretical and Applied Climatology has just torpedoed another favorite climate scare story: the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).
By looking at the simplest physical proxy we have —the sea level difference across the Atlantic— and correcting it for land subsidence, researchers found no sign of AMOC weakening at all.
The data, taken from tide gauges in New York and Brest, France, show that once you remove local land sinking, the absolute sea level rise on both sides of the ocean has been virtually identical since 1960. No divergence. No acceleration. No collapse.
The “tipping point” rhetoric evaporates the moment you strip away sloppy assumptions.

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-025-05690-x
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1038/s41586-024-08544-0?fromPaywallRec=true

If the AMOC had slowed significantly, the sea level gradient would have changed (east-west sea level difference would grow). The fact it hasn’t is strong observational evidence against a “collapse” or major weakening. That’s not opinion — it’s the conclusion of the paper itself: “These findings challenge claims of AMOC weakening.”
For years, activists and modelers have cited AMOC as a looming climate domino. Yet more than sixty years of real-world measurements say otherwise: the circulation has remained stable throughout the so-called “Anthropocene.”
Next!
 

Britain Has Awoken
Five years ago, nearly half of Britons told TV money pundit Martin Lewis they’d happily pay more tax to “tackle climate change”:
Today, that number has collapsed. In a fresh poll asking the exact same question, support for a 3% council tax hike has cratered from 44.9% to just 12.7% — while outright opposition has exploded from 30.4% to a staggering 72.6%:
That’s a wholesale rejection of the climate agenda’s financial demands — a sign that the public mood has completely flipped.
After years of soaring bills, broken promises, and empty “green” rhetoric, voters no longer buy the narrative that shelling out enormous sums of cash and drastically lowering their living standards will stop the weather.
The establishment spent years telling people this view was a consensus, that most Brits support ‘climate action’ and anyone who doesn’t is part of a fringe group of ‘deniers’ (the same tactic they used during the COVID ‘vaccination’ program, I might add).
But when asked in 2025, with Net Zero costings now laid bare, the verdict is clear: Britain’s days of blind belief are over.
The people have awoken.

Arctic Air Crushes Century-Old Records Across Western Canada; Northern Hemisphere Snow Above Average; UK’s Energy Woes; Lewotobi To 44,500 Feet; + Three CMEs Headed For Earth
October 15, 2025 Cap Allon

Arctic Air Crushes Century-Old Records Across Western Canada
An early blast of Arctic air has swept across western Canada, toppling long-standing temperature records.
From Alberta’s windswept plains to the deep valleys of British Columbia, dozens of locales plunged far below seasonal norms.

https://electroverse.info/arctic-air-crushes-century-old-records-across-western-canada-northern-hemisphere-snow-above-average-uks-energy-woes-lewotobi-to-44500-feet-three-cmes-headed-for-earth/

 Alberta: Deep Freeze Sets 121-Year-Old Record
The most brutal cold struck Alberta, where Thanksgiving Day (Oct 13) delivered historic lows.
Red Deer plunged to -12.7C (9.1F), making for the coldest Thanksgiving reading ever recorded in books dating back to 1904.
Hendrickson Creek tanked to -21.8C (-7.2F), smashing its previous record of -18.5C (-1.3F) from 2017.
Other parts of Alberta saw long-standing records fall: 
Edson: -12.4C (9.7F), breaking -10.7C (12.7F) set in 1992. 
Jasper: -9.9C (14.2F), breaking -8.3C (17.1F) from 1930. 
Drumheller: -9.3C (15.3F), breaking -8.3C (17.1F) set in 1969. 
Beaverlodge: -9.1C (15.6F), breaking -8.2C (17.2F) set in 2009. 
Brooks: -8.6C (16.5F), breaking -7.8C (18F) set in 1969. 
British Columbia Interior: 115-Year-Old Record Falls
The cold then rolled westward into British Columbia’s interior, where Quesnel endured its chilliest Oct 14 since records began back in 1910 with a reading of -9.1C (15.6F).
Tatlayoko Lake posted -12.3C (9.9F), and Prince George plunged to -11.3C (11.7F), both well below their October averages.
Puntzi Mountain dropped to -15.7C (3.7F), obliterating the old record of -9.4C (15.1F) from 1969.
Other interior stations also rewrote the books: 
Chetwynd: -7.7C (18.1F), breaking -7.0C (19.4F) set in 2009. 
Terrace: -2.8C (27F), breaking -2.2C (28F) from 1930. 
 Coastal and Island Regions: Subzero Cold Hits Sea Level
Even typically mild coastal regions caught the cold, with Bella Bella sinking to -1.6C (29.1F), breaking its 2018 record of 1.1C (34F); and Sechelt dipping to 1.4C (34.5F), busting its previous 2.4C (36.3F) from 2017.
On Vancouver Island, Port Alberni tied its -2.2C (28F) record from 1966, while Port Hardy plunged to -2.3C (27.9F), beating its 1966 mark of -0.6C (30.9F). For sea-level communities these are significant departures from October norms.
A Sharp Turn To Winter-Like Cold
With sub -20C (-4F) readings already appearing in Alberta and century-old record falling in B.C., the seasonal pendulum has swung hard to winter.
And with snow already dusting the Rockies, forecasters warn the descending Arctic air mass is likely just getting started.
Peaks south of the border are also turning white.
Below is a look at Yosemite, Sierra Nevada yesterday (Oct 14):

Northern Hemisphere Snow Above Average
The first data point for the 2025-26 Northern Hemisphere snow season is in — and we’ve opened above both the long-term mean and the standard deviation (1982–2012):
The early uptick aligns with widespread cold anomalies and expanding snow cover already noted across Siberia, Central Asia, and parts of North America. As touched on recently, early accumulation can have broader climatic consequences, increasing surface albedo, reinforcing cold air pooling, and helping drive further snowfall.
It’s only one data point — but it’s a strong first signal that undermines decades of alarmist “no snow” caterwauling.
 

UK’s Energy Woes
Today is the UK’s fourth-straight day of limp renewable output.
UK wind has been providing just 7% of grid supply in recent days, while solar is stuck around a negligible 2% — a poor return for the £200 billion-plus in subsidies and support handed to renewables since 2002, and hardly a strong case for the hundreds of billions more this government hopes to ‘invest’ in the years ahead.
Once again, it’s gas that’s been doing the heavy lifting, at 69%, keeping the lights on and British homes warm. Even the usual backup from abroad is faltering, with interconnectors supplying barely 2%, hinting at low wind across Europe too.
Replicate this scenario in the depths of winter, when demand soars, and the “green transition” could translate to “blackouts.”

Lewotobi To 44,500 Feet
Lewotobi Laki-laki volcano, Indonesia erupted again at 15:37 UTC on October 14, blasting a dense ash column 13,700 m (44,500 ft) above sea level.
PVMBG reports the eruption column soared about 9,000 m above the summit (10,584 m a.s.l.) and spread southwest, west, and northwest. VAAC immediately raised the Aviation Color Code to Red after Himawari-8 satellite imagery confirmed the plume drifting northwest at roughly 28 km/h (17 mph).

30+ Cold Records Fall In British Columbia; Major Cold Blast For China; Deep Winter Forecast Across South Asia; Vostok Crashes To -65C (-85F) In Mid-October; Auroras Tonight; + U.N. Climate Tax

October 16, 2025 Cap Allon

30+ Cold Records Fall In British Columbia
Following yesterday’s round of record-breaking lows across western Canada, the cold continued through Oct 15.
Between Monday and Wednesday, British Columbia alone has now logged more than 30 new daily minimum temperature records, deepening what is shaping up to be one of the most widespread early-season cold outbreaks in provincial history.
Among the most dramatic plunges are Merritt’s -9.8C (14.4F), which breaks the previous Oct 15 record of -6.7C (19.9F) set in 1938; Clinton’s -8.4C (16.9F) (old record -5.6C / 21.9F, from 1976); and Golden’s -7.5C (18.5F) (old mark -7.2C / 19F, set back in 1931).
The southern Interior also saw widespread record-setting cold. Kamloops dipped to -4.7C (23.5F) (old -3.3C / 26.1F, 1952); Vernon hit -3C (26.6F) (old -2.5C / 27.5F, 1992); and Salmon Arm slid to -4.5C (23.9F) (old -4C / 24.8F, 1992).
Other notable records included: 
Blue River: -7.8C (17.9F), beating -6.1C (21F) from 1972
Ashcroft: -3.5C (25.7F), breaking the -3.3C (26.1F) from 1970
Castlegar: -4.2C (24.4F), besting -4.1C (24.6F) from 2002
Lillooet: -2.8C (27F), beating -1.7C (28.9F) from back in 1931
Nakusp: -4C (24.8F), breaking -2.5C (27.5F) from 1992
Sparwood: -6.9C (19.6F), pipping -6.7C (19.9F) from 1973
Whistler: -2.9C (26.8F), nudging out the -2.7C (27.1F) from 1977

Even coastal and island regions saw long-standing records tumble, with freezing lows reported at the likes of Bella Bella, Port Alberni, Port Hardy, and Powell River. Sechelt broke records twice this week, most recently with 1.2C (34.2F).
 Major Cold Blast For China
An unusually rapid and early buildup of snow across Mongolia, far northeast China, and southern Russia is helping drive the formation of a powerful cold air mass — one that models show will surge south into China next week.

Rutgers Snow Lab data confirm that northern Eurasia’s snow cover is already running well ahead of schedule for mid-October, with widespread accumulation across the steppe and taiga.
This extensive pack is reinforcing strong surface cooling, producing temperature anomalies in Siberia of as much as 17C below average. And looking to next week, that ‘cold dome’ will begin sliding south.
Forecast maps show ‘pinks’ expanding deep into northern and western China, dropping temperatures below freezing across vast areas and pushing the 0C (32F) isotherm deep into the country.
The map below shows the probability of those 0C (32F) lows:
While the air mass will lose some of its Siberian bite as it travels south, next week’s pattern change still looks significant, potentially record-setting for the time of year.
Updates to follow.
 

Deep Winter Forecast Across South Asia
A strengthening La Niña is forecast to bring one of the coldest winters in decades to Pakistan and India, according to new assessments and national meteorological outlooks.
A recent UN-OCHA report warns of “colder-than-usual” conditions across Pakistan, especially in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Gilgit-Baltistan. To the south, Indian meteorologists have warned that winter 2025-26 could rival the coldest on record, with heavier snowfall, prolonged cold waves, and widespread temperature lows across northern and Himalayan regions, in particular.
The intensifying La Niña, coupled with a negative Indian Ocean Dipole, is expected to strengthen polar winds and lengthen cold outbreaks — threatening crops, water supplies, and public health across southern Asia.
 

Vostok Crashes To -65C (-85F) In Mid-October
On Oct 16, temperatures at Vostok Station collapsed from a daytime high of -42C (-43.6F) to a pre-dawn low of -65C (-85F) — a 23C (41.4F) plunge in half a day.
While the thermal swing is impressive, so too is the low itself. Mid-October minimums at Vostok typically come in around -59C (-74.2F), making this morning’s reading a good 6C below the norm. The chill is backed up elsewhere on Antarctica, with the South Pole station registering a low of -62.6C (-80.7F), another impressive figure for this point in the austral transition.

Auroras Tonight
At least three CMEs launched from rapidly growing sunspot 4246 are expected to reach Earth Oct 16.
Individually faint and slow, the CMEs are forecast to merge on arrival and trigger a G2-class geomagnetic storm.
If that happens, auroras may spill into a dozen or more northern U.S. states tonight.
 

U.N. Climate Tax
The globalists have dropped the mask. The U.N. is now preparing to impose a global climate tax — billions seized from working people and funneled straight into the hands of unelected bureaucrats.
The IMO, a U.N. agency, wants to charge up to $380 per ton of CO₂ from shipping —up to $12 billion a year— paid not to governments, but to a “Net Zero Fund” run by U.N. staff. This is taxation without representation.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis isn’t a fan: “Being taxed by the U.N. would be far more offensive than the taxes that sparked the American Revolution. The U.N. should be defunded, not seeded with new tax revenue.”
But spineless British PM Keir Starmer is on board — backing a global levy voters have flatly rejected. A massive 72.4% of Britons in a new Martin Lewis poll said no to even a 3% local climate tax. But Starmer, like every captured Western leader, doesn’t care. He’s bending the knee to a supranational racket designed to drain the West and bankroll so-called “climate justice” schemes abroad.
This isn’t about the planet. It’s about money and control. Unable to win democratic consent, the Net Zero lobby is now bypassing parliaments altogether — imposing taxes through unelected bodies and redistributing the loot to cronies and pet projects.
Handing taxation powers to the U.N. is a betrayal of democracy.
The last time free people were taxed without representation, they started a revolution.

China’s Arctic Blast Begins Today; France’s Bumper Ski Season; Arctic ‘Meltdown’ Myth Collapses; + ‘Climate Change’ Is Dead
October 17, 2025 Cap Allon

China’s Arctic Blast Begins Today
Starting today (Oct 17), a fierce cold air mass will descend into China, bringing a dramatic end to the early autumn warmth.
Forecasters say temperatures will plunge by 10C to 20C across much of the country, with the sharpest drops in the south.
The sudden shift marks a decisive pattern flip from persistent high-pressure dominance to widespread polar air intrusion. After weeks of unseasonable warmth, the incoming blast will deliver below-normal temperatures to nearly all provinces and is forecast to trigger early frosts across many inland areas.

https://electroverse.info/chinas-arctic-blast-begins-today-frances-bumper-ski-season-arctic-meltdown-myth-collapses-climate-change-is-dead/

The cold surge is part of a broader hemispheric trend, as early-season snowpack and high-latitude blocking steer Arctic air masses southward.
France’s Bumper Ski Season
For decades, alarmists have warned that global warming would spell the end of skiing in the Alps. By now, they said, French resorts would be shuttered, snowless slopes would sit abandoned, and winter sports would be a relic of the past.
A Guardian article from 2023 reads, “[global warming] is an existential threat to skiing in the Alps … the science is clear.” 
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/26/ski-resorts-battle-for-a-future-as-snow-declines-in-climate-crisis

 In reality though, the 2024–25 season just delivered a record 54.8 million skier visits across France, a 5.5% jump from last year, and cementing the country’s position as the world’s second-largest ski market behind the U.S. (61.5 million).
Far from fading, France’s ski industry is booming.
The reason is snow. And plenty of it. Early and abundant snowfall blanketed resorts from the Pyrenees to the Alps, setting the stage for a bumper season. Perfect conditions at all elevations, followed by stretches of clear weather, kept slopes busy from the holidays well into spring. Even mid-altitude ranges like the Massif Central and Jura posted monster rebounds.
Despite repeated assurances of a shorter ski calendar, cold and snowy conditions extended this season into May.
Also, the growth wasn’t confined to the big names like Chamonix, Courchevel, and Val Thorens. Smaller and medium-sized resorts also reported gains, while France’s 15 top destinations saw their busiest year in over a decade.
The Alps are not melting away. France’s ski industry isn’t dying — it’s breaking records.
 

Arctic ‘Meltdown’ Myth Collapses
Back in the early 1970s, during what the media dubbed the “coming ice age,” National Geographic’s 1971 map of the Arctic (below) shows the Northern Sea Route navigable to icebreakers in summer.
Even at the peak of the global cooling scare, ships were cutting across the top of the world:
At this time, scientists and reporters weren’t panicking about melting — they were panicking about freezing.
As The New York Times reported on July 18, 1970: “The Arctic climate is becoming more frigid … parts of the Arctic sea ice have recently become ominously thicker.”
The Arctic has gone through many natural cycles —warmer, colder, thicker, thinner— and none of them align with atmospheric CO2’s steady increase.
Today the story is still being heavily distorted, though, headlines still scream “collapse” despite the fact that Arctic sea ice minimum has held steady for 18 years:
And that 2025’s minimum came in 36% higher than 2012’s:
If the Northern Sea Route does open up it won’t be due to melting ice, it’ll be because Russia and China are deploying fleets of powerful nuclear icebreakers to carve a path through it. Moscow and Beijing have just signed a major cooperation deal on the route, which cuts 7,000 km from Asia–Europe voyages and slashes shipping time by nearly 40%.

Climate isn’t unlocking the Arctic — heavy steel and state power are.
 

‘Climate Change’ Is Dead
It’s over. “Climate change,” once the rallying cry of a generation, is now dead in the water.
A new Swedish study shows just how far the once-dominant narrative has fallen.
In 2019, some 51% of young women and 34% of young men (aged 15–29) named “environment/climate” among their five most engaging social issues. Today, that number has crashed to just 15% and 13% respectively.
Climate has plunged from the top of the list to the bottom half of social concerns, now ranking behind basics like health, education, and safety. The issue that was supposed to define their future now barely registers.
And it’s the same story everywhere—across even the ‘greenest’ nations like Britain and Germany.
But why the collapse? Commentator Scott Adams suggests a few potential reasons: 
The billionaire-funded hysteria served its purpose — the money dried up or moved-on. 
AI’s exploding energy demands exposed the hypocrisy of “net zero” rhetoric. 
Greta Thunberg moved on to other causes, taking much of the movement’s momentum with her. 
Europe’s economic reality revealed climate alarmism as a “luxury belief” — a cause for the comfortable, not the struggling. 
Or perhaps the simplest answer: the data never supported the doom narrative in the first place. 
Whatever the reason, the climate crusade has lost its audience. The generation it most depended on to carry the torch has quietly put it down.
And the ‘climate crisis’ isn’t the only modern fad dying a death — many trendy causes are rapidly losing their cultural cachet:

Cold Records Fall Across Siberia And Mongolia; Taste Of Winter In B.C.; Snow For Tromsø; Hurricane Dud; + Climate Scientist Debunks Sea Level Rise Fears; New Study: Cold, Not Heat, Is The Real Killer
October 20, 2025 Cap Allon

Cold Records Fall Across Siberia And Mongolia
October is running far colder than normal across Siberia, with average temperatures so far this month sitting 7C to 9C below average.
Novosibirsk has seen nights plunge to -12C (10F), while daytime highs have failed to top 4C (39F). Last week, the city set a daily record: -10.4C (13.3F). Omsk broke two records: -12.7C (9.1F) and -13.8C (7.2F). While to the south, Chemal in the Altai Republic fell to -8.7C (16.3F) last Wednesday, beating a record that had stood since 1961.
The cold has since deepened, with Shologonsky crashing to -30.4C (-22.7F) over the weekend, the Northern Hemisphere’s first -30C reading of the season (outside Greenland) — a whopping 14C (25F) below the mid-October norm.

https://electroverse.info/cold-records-fall-across-siberia-and-mongolia-taste-of-winter-in-b-c-snow-for-tromso-hurricane-dud-climate-scientist-debunks-sea-level-rise-fears-new-study-cold-not-heat-is-the-real-killer/

Taste Of Winter In B.C.
The first real taste of winter has hit British Columbia, with fresh snow blanketing elevations above 1,500 m (4,921 ft).
Early accumulations have been reported at Brohm Ridge Chalet (1,500 m), Whistler Roundhouse (1,850 m), and SilverStar Mountain (1,600 m).

Snow For Tromsø
It’s starting to look and feel like winter in Norway, too.
Tromsø woke up under a white blanket Monday morning, with inches coating the lowlands and feet at elevation.
Conditions have turned crisp across the Finnmarksvidda plateau, where Sihccajavri tanked to -11.5C (11.3F) overnight.

Hurricane Dud
NOAA had warned of an “above-average” hurricane season, the media screamed “historic danger,” and activists braced for disaster.
But… June and July delivered nothing; August’s only real threat, Hurricane Erin, fizzled 200 miles offshore; and now, well into October, more than a month past the seasonal peak, not a single hurricane has hit U.S. soil.
The “superstorm season” has been a no-show.
NOAA: “We cannot confidently detect a trend today in observed Atlantic hurricane activity that can be attributed to human-caused climate change.”
 

Climate Scientist Debunks Sea Level Rise Fears
One of the loudest claims in climate politics is that rising seas are proof of a looming catastrophe, that ‘global warming’ is driving oceans upward at a pace humanity has never before seen. But this is nonsense.
“Sea levels rose about 12.5 cm per decade for 8,000 years,” says climatologist Dr. John R. Christy, Director of Atmospheric and Earth Sciences at the University of Alabama. “Then it leveled off — and now it’s rising only about 2.5 cm per decade.”
Even if this modest rise continues it’s not remotely threatening, says Christy.
Even a hypothetical rise of 30 cm a decade is still “a ridiculous” thing to worry about: “In a hurricane, the U.S. East Coast gets a 20-foot [6 m] rise in six hours. A 30 cm rise will be easily handled.”
There’s no sign of acceleration, no evidence of crisis, and no justification for the hysteria.
 

New Study: Cold, Not Heat, Is The Real Killer
A new NBER study spanning 30 countries confirms what officialdom keeps dodging: cold is one of the biggest external threats to human life today, killing far more people than heat across every context examined.
In the U.S., the authors estimate about 120,000 temperature-attributable deaths annually; in the EU, more than 500,000, with the burden from cold exposure outweighing heat by at least five to one in temperate regions.

https://www.nber.org/papers/w34313

The biggest share of deaths accumulates on moderately cold days that occur frequently.
The cross-region contrast is stark.
Europe remains far more sensitive than the U.S., with temperature-attributable deaths (as a share of all deaths) more than double America’s and roughly on par with Mexico — despite Europe’s higher incomes. The paper points to multiple plausible reasons, including demographics, differences in health systems, and higher energy costs that deter adequate heating/cooling.
A U.S. study finds that cheaper home heating (driven by lower natural-gas prices) prevented roughly 11,000–12,500 winter deaths per year, mostly from cardiovascular and respiratory causes. In Japan, post-Fukushima energy-saving policies that constrained electricity use increased mortality on cold days.
The policy takeaway from the authors: many fashionable “climate-heat” interventions lack causal proof of health benefits and often miss where the burden lies (the vast, non-extreme part of the distribution). By contrast, the measures with the strongest empirical support for saving lives are not slogans about “climate,” but fundamentals: affordable, reliable energy, accessible healthcare, and resilient services that function when temperatures deviate from the comfort zone.
The key truth, hammered home by the data: cold is the bigger killer. Europe’s risk profile is worse than the U.S. and energy policy sits at the heart of the gap. Keep energy expensive, and you keep mortality high when the weather turns cold.
A recent Lancet paper shows the effect is amplified in Africa and Asia:

13 OCTOBER 2025

Winter like weather continued across much of the N Hemisphere. The jet stream continued to intensify with strong meridional flows (N-S) transporting warm air pole-ward in the warm sectors and cold air equator-ward in the cold sectors of storms. This was especially well defined in UK’s storm Amy (944mb) whose cold front extended from Scotland southwest to Spain in a deep 300mb trough that pulled cold air into N. Africa as it moved east. The region had it’s first winter-like blast with sub freezing temperatures in Slovenia and significant snows in the mountains of the Balkan Peninsula. The Western US was relatively warm followed by a Pacific cold front and tropical moisture from TS Raymond that brought significant rains to the SW and floods to Mexico. The West will have significant snows from the Sierra to the Rockies. A N’or Easter spun up off the SC coast and moved slowly into NE with coastal flooding, heavy rains and flash floods. Winds reached 40-60 kts.

European weather appeared about 1 month ahead of normal. “Snowstorms are pounding the Carpathians, with blizzard conditions delivering near zero visibility across the highlands.” “The early-season cold gripping Siberia shows no sign of easing. Summer quickly collapsed this year into a sharp September freeze, and temperatures have remained 4C to 7C below normal across vast regions of Russia, including Kemerovo, Tomsk, and Altai, through the first 8 days of October.” Current forecasts call for an extremely cold winter across EU. For example Warsaw could hit -30ºC.

Asia had significant snows in Tibet and Pakistan and northern India that closed passes and stranded Mt Everest climbers. Early season cold swept Thailand, China, and India. “Southern Asia’s early wintry onslaught has strengthened across Kashmir and Ladakh, delivering heavy snow and the season’s first widespread freeze.”

Southern Hemisphere storms continued around the Antarctic, New Zealand and the Andes dumping heavy spring snows of 30 to 250cm in Australia and New Zealand. The Andes had considerably more with 70-100 cm in Peru and 150 to 640 cm in Chile. Antarctic temperatures continued to warm into the -60 to -40sºC. Interior and northern Australia rose to 30 to 38ºC with wide spread Rains. New Zealand’s rain forests on the S Island had 400 to 700 mm forecasts..

New album: Fall 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bugmjy45uEMGyKJU7

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
13 October 2025

Rare October Snowstorm Strikes Tibet And India; Antarctica Colder And Icier Today Than At Any Time In 5,000 Years; + ‘Truth Map’ Exposes Australia’s Net Zero Madness
October 7, 2025 Cap Allon

Rare October Snowstorm Strikes Tibet And India
A deep depression tearing through Nepal, eastern India, and Bhutan has unleashed early-season snow across the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau.
Kamba County, just north of Gurudongmar Lake, saw several inches of accumulation as temperatures dropped below -5C (23F).

https://electroverse.info/rare-october-snowstorm-strikes-tibet-and-india-antarctica-colder-and-icier-today-than-at-any-time-in-5000-years-truth-map-exposes-australias-net-zero-madness/

Farther west, Shigatse in Tibet was struck by a rare October snowstorm:
While heavy snowfall in Dingri County forced the evacuation of large numbers of tourists:
round 1,000 people were also stranded on the eastern slopes of Mount Everest, as reported yesterday.
Satellite imagery confirms widespread snow cover across the plateau, extending into northern India where conditions have also turned wintry in Himachal Pradesh:
Here, the flakes are falling on Loser village, where snow is already nearing a foot deep:

Fresh snow has coated Rohtang Pass and the Dhauladhar range in Himachal Pradesh. While higher elevations of Jammu and Kashmir, including Sinthan Top, Gulmarg, Zojila, and Gurez Valley, are also blanketed in white.
The snow is forecast to continue in the coming days, with a western disturbance now advancing on Pakistan, northwestern India, and western Nepal.
The cold has been biting, with India already logging anomalous subzero readings. At Zoji La, for example, the mercury dropped to -8C (17.6F), while the HIMANSH research station at Batal, Lahaul, fell to -7.5C (18.5F). In Padum, temperatures dipped to -3.7C (25.3F), followed by Nyoma at -3.4C (25.9F) and Drass at -2.6C (27.3F) — readings more typical of December than early October.
Not just confined to the mountains, Delhi posted a maximum of just 26.5C (79.7F) on Monday — 8C below normal and the capital’s coldest October day in two years.
 

Antarctica Colder And Icier Today Than At Any Time In 5,000 Years
Multiple recent studies continue to demolish the narrative of a “melting” Antarctica. In reality, the southern continent is now colder and more ice-bound than at any time in the past five millennia.
Research by Zhang et al. (2023) shows that West Antarctica cooled by more than 1.8C (3.2F) from 1999 to 2018 — a rate of nearly 1C (1.8F) per decade. East Antarctica has cooled by a similar magnitude this century.
These temperature trends are mirrored in glacier records.
A study of the Collins Glacier by Piccini et al. (2024) found that its front was 1 km farther back 6,000 years ago and only reached its current extent around 5,000 years ago. The ice then retreated for four millennia, peaking around 1,000 years ago, before advancing again to its modern position — a clear sign of long-term cooling since the Medieval Warm Period.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01245-6

The evidence extends beyond ice cores.
The Ross Sea hosted vast elephant seal colonies, with an estimated 200,000 individuals as far south as 78°S. Today, those colonies are gone. Elephant seals require open water to breed and forage, yet modern Antarctic coasts are now too cold and ice-choked to sustain them. Genetic traces show that the once-thriving Victoria Land population vanished within the past millennium as heavy sea ice returned (Hall et al., 2023).
The researchers here note that “the last few centuries, including the present, represent the coldest, iciest conditions in the post-glacial period.” And both observational and biological records confirm it: modern Antarctica is not melting — it’s freezing.
 

‘Truth Map’ Exposes Australia’s Net Zero Madness
A new “Truth Map” has laid bare the staggering scale, and ecological insanity, of Australia’s Net Zero rollout.
Working with academic Tim Nevard, conservationist and photographer Steven Nowakowski has mapped has mapped more than $1.38 trillion worth of so-called green developments nationwide.
To hit Labor’s Net Zero targets, the plan calls for around 31,000 wind turbines, 550 million solar panels, and over 28,000 kilometers (17,400 miles) of transmission lines — with a further 7,800 km of undersea cables cutting through marine habitats, and 44,000 km of new haulage roads gouged across the landscape.
That’s longer than Australia’s entire coastline.

https://rainforest-reserves-map.mangoesmapping.com.au/

Nowakowski calls the destruction of wilderness areas, particularly Queensland’s untouched mountain forests, “hypocrisy of the highest order,” adding that the same activists and politicians who once fought to protect old-growth habitats are now endorsing their destruction.
“These are the high-elevation refugia forests. They’ve never been logged or cleared. And yet they’re being bulldozed in the name of green energy.”
Wind turbines will operate just 30–40% of the time, and panels only 18–25%, meaning vast overbuilding is needed to compensate for their intermittency. Both technologies require replacement within a few decades — an ecological and economic treadmill.
“I’ve ground-truthed dozens of sites,” Nowakowski said. “Dead birds and bats lie beneath the turbines. Even critically endangered migratory species are being struck down.” After decades photographing Australia’s wilderness, he said he has “never seen a threat like this.”
The Truth Map’s interactive platform reveals what’s coming.
Coal plants never did this kind of damage. And the government continues to dismiss nuclear, which wouldn’t do this either.

Southern Asia’s Early October Snow Intensifies; Romania’s Peaks Under Deep October Snow; New Report: Renewables Caused Spain’s Blackout; + Startup To Reflect Sunlight To Earth At Night
October 8, 2025 Cap Allon

Southern Asia’s Early October Snow Intensifies
Southern Asia’s early wintry onslaught has strengthened across Kashmir and Ladakh, delivering heavy snow and the season’s first widespread freeze.
Fresh snow fell overnight in the likes of Gulmarg, Pahalgam, Sonamarg, Aru Valley, Chandanwari, and Kokernag. The Zojila Pass recorded half a foot of new snow, with temperatures tanking to -8C (17.6F) — roughly 10 to 12C below average for early October.
Authorities reported complete closures of the Srinagar–Leh Highway, Mughal Road, and Sinthan Top due to snow and ice.

https://electroverse.info/southern-asias-early-october-snow-intensifies-romanias-peaks-under-deep-october-snow-new-report-renewables-caused-spains-blackout-startup-to-reflect-sunlight-to-earth-at-night/

Meteorologists confirmed that the cold has reached both divisions of Jammu and Kashmir, an unusually early pattern for October. Independent forecaster Faizan Arif described Zojila’s readings as “the strongest early-season freeze in years.”
With clearing skies forecast from Thursday, temperatures are expected to plunge further overnight.
Meanwhile, the mainstream media continues to embarrass itself — these two articles were published on the same day (Oct 7):

Carpathian Peaks Under Deep October Snow
Snowstorms are pounding the Carpathians, with blizzard conditions delivering near zero visibility across the highlands.
Temperatures have tanked well-below freezing, with authorities warning hikers to stay off the mountains.
Meteorologists have measured 41 cm (16 inches) of fresh “wet and unstable” snow on Romania’s Omu Peak in the Bucegi Mountains, exceptionally deep totals for October, with another foot expected in the coming days.
Below is footage from Pip Ivan in the Carpathians (extending into Ukraine):
Avalanche warnings are in place on the Fagaras and Bucegi massifs, especially on steep slopes where ice crusts have formed overnight.
This marks one of the region’s earliest and heaviest October snowfalls on record — another sign of deepening cold across Eastern Europe as winter conditions advance weeks ahead of schedule, aided by Russia’s anomalous cover:

New Report: Renewables Caused Spain’s Blackout
ENTSO-E, Europe’s official grid authority, has released its “factual” report on April’s blackout across Spain — though the “root cause” analysis has been postponed until 2026.
The only logical conclusion from ENTSO-E’s own findings is that wind and solar triggered the collapse.
In the first 80 seconds of the event, Spain lost 2.5 gigawatts —around 10% of its national generation— and every single megawatt of that early loss came from solar and wind. Gas and hydro remained stable, they only began tripping after the cascade was already underway.
ENTSO-E’s own charts and timestamps (below) show the sequence. By 12:33:20, voltage and frequency instability had spread across the grid — what ENTSO-E itself describes as “an unprecedented speed of blackout.”
And yet the report stops short of calling this out clearly. Instead, it blames “peculiar voltage regulation,” “local grid dynamics,” and “complex interactions” — cautious phrases that deflect responsibility away from renewables.
But the raw data, as always, says it all: as voltage at Spain’s 400 kV Carmona substation plunged, the trips snowballed—almost entirely from wind and solar. It’s a textbook inverter-chain failure — renewables dropping so fast that the grid’s stabilizing systems never stood a chance. When renewables blinked, the nation’s lights went out.
By midday, Spain’s grid had virtually no inertia, nothing spinning fast enough to hold frequency steady.
ENTSO-E concedes this obliquely, noting a “low-inertia condition” and an abnormally high rate of frequency change. Which is code for “a grid hollowed out by policy, stripped of the mechanical stability that once made blackouts all-but impossible.”
But to admit that would mean questioning Europe’s “green transition” itself — something ENTSO-E appears unable to do. So the event is described as a “rare local disturbance,” rather than what it actually was: a systemic failure of weather-dependent power.
 

Startup To Reflect Sunlight To Earth At Night
California’s Reflect Orbital wants to turn night into day.
The company has asked the FCC to approve satellites that beam sunlight onto solar farms after dark, keeping panels running 24/7.
A demo launch is slated for 2026, with 4,000 mirror satellites planned by 2030. Funded by Sequoia Capital and tech billionaire Baiju Bhatt, the project aims to “extend solar uptime” by flooding the planet with reflected light.
Astronomers call the plan “ruinous.” Even one satellite, says Rubin Observatory scientist Anthony Tyson, would shine as bright as a full moon — blinding to telescopes. Artificial light at night also confuses insects, birds, bats, frogs — even humans.
None of it makes sense.
The same environmental movement working to dim the skies by day is now planning to reflect sunlight back at night.
Why is logic always the first casualty of ideology?

Siberia’s Deep October Chill; Snow In Bulgaria; Polar Vortex Struggling To Form; Global Sea Ice Recovery; Palisades Fire: Arson Not “Climate Change”; + Spain’s Grid Operator Warns Of New Instability
October 9, 2025 Cap Allon

Siberia’s Deep October Chill
The early-season cold gripping Siberia shows no sign of easing.
Summer quickly collapsed this year into a sharp September freeze, and temperatures have remained 4C to 7C below normal across vast regions of Russia, including Kemerovo, Tomsk, and Altai, through the first 8 days of October.
A stationary cold core is once again dominating the region, fed by ultra-polar air spilling south through the troposphere. This setup has locked Siberia into a prolonged cold phase, with no meaningful thaw in sight.
Additional snow is forecast, in locales such as the Altai and Kuzbass highlands, where nighttime lows will dip to -8C (18F). More of the same, in other words: more snow, more cold — with Kazakhstan, Mongolia, northern China, and India also impacted.

https://electroverse.info/siberias-deep-october-chill-snow-in-bulgaria-polar-vortex-struggling-to-form-global-sea-ice-recovery-palisades-fire-arson-not-climate-change-spains-grid-operator-warns-of/

Heavy October snow is already burying India’s northern reaches, with Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand hit hard.
More than 75 cm (30 inches) fell at Hemkund Sahib in Uttarakhand between Oct 6 and 8, while Himachal’s Lahaul–Spiti, Keylong, and Koksar posted 30–45 cm (12–18 inches).
Roads are blocked, power lines down, and apple orchards are reporting extensive damage with temperatures crashing below freezing — as low as -5C (23F) across the higher valleys.
The Manali–Leh highway remains shut, and villages in Pangi and Spiti remain cut off.
The Indian Meteorological Department has alerts in place for the likes of Kullu, Lahaul–Spiti, Chamba, and Kangra, warning of more snow and strong winds to come. The department has already described northern India’s cold and widespread snowfall as unusually early, among the earliest on record.

Snow In Bulgaria
More than half a meter (20 inches) of snow has buried Vitosha Mountain near Sofia — very early totals for Bulgaria.
Rescuers warn of deep snow, poor visibility, and unstable terrain, adding that access by snowmobile or ATV is difficult, and even their helicopter rescues may be hampered.
Hikers are urged to avoid the mountain, dress for subzero conditions, and inform someone of their route.

 Polar Vortex Struggling To Form
The zonal-mean winds at 10 hPa and 60°N —the key measure of polar vortex strength— show a labored development of October westerlies, i.e. the vortex is struggling to form:
This is unusual for early October.
Normally the polar night jet is strengthening as darkness builds over the Arctic, but this year the stratosphere remains weak and disorganized.
A sluggish start like this leaves it more vulnerable to disturbance from below, increasing the risk of wave-driven disruption later in the season.
If the westerlies fail to recover through October, the setup could favor high-latitude blocking, sudden stratospheric warmings, and major cold outbreaks across the mid-latitudes as winter progresses.

 Global Sea Ice Recovery
Sea ice extent at both poles is now tracking close to their 1981–2010 averages.
Antarctic ice has rebounded sharply from last year’s low:
This is unusual for early October.
Normally the polar night jet is strengthening as darkness builds over the Arctic, but this year the stratosphere remains weak and disorganized.
A sluggish start like this leaves it more vulnerable to disturbance from below, increasing the risk of wave-driven disruption later in the season.
If the westerlies fail to recover through October, the setup could favor high-latitude blocking, sudden stratospheric warmings, and major cold outbreaks across the mid-latitudes as winter progresses.
 

Palisades Fire: Arson Not “Climate Change”
Authorities have charged 29-year-old Jonathan Rinderknecht with starting the Palisades Fire, the most destructive wildfire in Los Angeles history.
The blaze killed 27 people, burned 37,000 acres, and damaged or destroyed more than 12,000 structures across Pacific Palisades.
That’s awkward news for The Washington Post’s Jennifer Rubin, who back in January published a scolding op-ed in which she asserted the inferno was “another undeniable sign of the dangers of climate change.”

Spain’s Grid Operator Warns Of New Instability
Spain’s grid operator, REE, has sounded the alarm after detecting steep voltage swings across the national network over the past two weeks — fluctuations strong enough, it says, to risk another nationwide blackout.
In a document sent to the energy regulator CNMC, REE warned that the “rapid voltage fluctuations recorded in recent days, though within established margins, can trigger demand and generation disconnections that end up destabilizing the electrical system.” The operator urged immediate technical measures to contain the problem before it escalates.
The warning comes just five months after the April 28 Iberian blackout, which a recent report by Europe’s official grid regulator, ENTSO-E, quietly confirmed was triggered by a massive inverter failure among Spain’s wind and solar fleet.
As reported yesterday, within 80 seconds, 2.5 GW of renewable generation had tripped offline, setting off a chain reaction that took down the grid.
Now, the same symptoms are appearing again.
REE’s latest alert suggests continued instability as renewables dominate the supply mix and grid inertia dwindles. With conventional plants sidelined, the grid lacks the spinning reserve to absorb shocks or smooth out surges from erratic wind and solar input.
The CNMC has announced a public consultation to introduce “urgent, provisional measures” while a longer-term solution is sought — but the underlying issue is not technical, it’s structural, and political, and ideological. Spain’s grid is being forced to run on transient energy sources that cannot provide the physical stability a national power system requires.
If April was the warning shot, these new swings are the aftershocks — proof that Europe’s “green transition” is leaving its grids weaker, not stronger, and that the “big one” —a long blackout— is edging closer with every new turbine and panel bolted to the grid.

Early Season Cold Sweeps Thailand, China, India — And Beyond; Western Energy Back On Track?; + Solar Wind Stream Incoming
October 10, 2025 Cap Allon

Early Season Cold Sweeps Thailand, China, India — And Beyond
An unusually early cold snap has gripped northern Thailand, with temperatures on Doi Inthanon dipping to 11C (51.8F) on Thursday, October 10 — one of the earliest seasonal shifts in recent years.
The cold air is sweeping the country’s highlands, with the Thai Meteorological Department confirming wintry conditions are arriving ahead of schedule, even as lingering monsoon moisture leaves a slight chance of isolated storms.

https://electroverse.info/early-cold-snap-hits-thailand-and-beyond-west-back-on-track-solar-wind-stream-incoming/

The source of the chill lies far to the north. A broad dome of cold over Siberia, Mongolia, and northern China is now pushing deep into Southeast Asia.
While Doi Inthanon is sampling 11C, deep inland Asia is already flirting with freezing lows.
NOAA’s Global Hazards dashboard shows that Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan are running well below normal for early October, with weekly average minimums dipping to -5C (23F). Forecasters have also highlighted an “anomalous cold” zone over eastern Kazakhstan for the coming days.
The cold is spreading further east, too. In Beijing, Thursday’s high stalled at just 10.6C (51F), the city’s coldest early-October day since 1951, with temperatures suppressed by persistent rain and the advancing Siberian air mass. While to the west, India continues to shiver, with the HIMANSH research station in Lahaul, Himachal Pradesh observing -13.8C (7.2F) Friday morning — an exceptional low for early October.
Under the hood, background signals are aligning in favor of an even colder pattern.

NOAA and the CPC issued a La Niña advisory on October 9, the first official confirmation of a developing cold-phase ENSO, one that typically tilts Northern Hemisphere winters toward more frequent cold intrusions. At the same time, a growing North Pacific anomaly may help anchor atmospheric blocking patterns that funnel Arctic air southward.
To wrap this up, the cold engine is revving earlier than usual, from the Kazakh steppe to the South China Sea, and the atmospheric setup heading into winter 2025-26 appears primed to give it some extra juice.

Western Energy Back On Track?
A decade of net zero policies has gutted investment in reliable energy. Now the West is scrambling to rebuild its fossil fuel infrastructure, but there are issues…
Starting with gas power plants, demand for the turbines is far beyond what manufacturers can supply.
In the US, new orders are backed up 3–5 years, a direct consequence of policies that scared off investors and pushed producers to scale down. The global turbine market is dominated by three companies —Siemens Energy, GE Vernova, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries— and after years of contraction, they are simply unable to ramp up quick enough to meet the surging demand.
A modern gas turbine weighs up to 500 tons and works like a jet engine repurposed for electricity: air is compressed, mixed with natural gas, and ignited to spin precision blades at ≈3,000 revolutions per minute, driving a generator that can power entire cities. Since the 1960s, engineers have gone further by capturing the scorching exhaust to create steam and spin a second turbine — a combined-cycle system that squeezes far more electricity from every unit of fuel.
That capability is now back in demand.
US electricity use is projected to jump 25% by 2030. Germany plans to build as many as 20 new gas plants by the end of the decade to replace the stable baseload it lost when it shut down coal and nuclear. Japan has abandoned its assumption that demand would keep falling and is considering new gas infrastructure. And Saudi Arabia is spending billions to expand gas generation as its economy grows.
Gas plants can run around the clock, offering the reliability that intermittent wind and solar cannot. They also emit roughly half the carbon dioxide of coal, if that’s your thing. But after a decade of neglect, the capacity to build them at scale no longer exists.
The result is a global backlog and a scramble to reindustrialize energy systems that clueless policymakers spent a decade undermining.

Australia
Australia’s top coal-producing state has scrapped plans to shut its coal power stations by 2035, a major reversal.
Queensland Treasurer David Janetzki announced that the previous government’s “ideological decision to close coal units by 2035, regardless of their condition, is officially abolished.” Instead, the state’s coal fleet will keep operating “for as long as they are needed in the system and supported by the market.”
The policy shift deals a blow to Australia’s pledge to more than double renewable generation by 2030, but officials say it will deliver cheaper and more reliable electricity, saving around A$26 billion in grid investment.
 

Solar Wind Stream Incoming
A coronal hole has opened in the Sun’s atmosphere, releasing a stream of solar wind now on course for Earth.
NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory photographed the dark gap on Oct 9 — a region where magnetic field lines open into space, letting charged particles escape.

Delhi Shivers As Early Himalayan Snow Builds; NASA “Prophet” Said Arctic Would Be Ice-Free By 2018; Spain’s Grid Operator Asks For Emergency Powers; + Cold To Grip Europe Amid Gas Storage Concerns
October 13, 2025 Cap Allon

Delhi Shivers As Early Himalayan Snow Builds
Delhi’s minimum has slipped below 20C (68F) for the second day running as cold air builds unusually early across the north.
This chill follows exceptional early snowfall across the Himalayas, where peaks have been blanketed far earlier and more extensively than in recent years:

https://electroverse.info/delhi-shivers-as-early-himalayan-snow-builds-nasa-prophet-said-arctic-would-be-ice-free-by-2018-spains-grid-operator-asks-for-emergency-powers-cold-to-grip-europe-amid/

That snowpack is now funneling colder air southwards into the plains, helping drive the early-season temperature drop in the likes of Delhi, Noida, Gurgaon, and beyond.
The India Meteorological Department says the pattern is set to intensify as La Niña strengthens, bringing stronger surface winds, frequent fog, and heavier snowfall in the hills. The setup points to a colder-than-normal winter ahead, they warn.
A check in with Rutgers shows extensive cover building across much of the Northern Hemisphere (particularly Siberia):
The extent of the cold across Russia is also impressive, with ‘blues’ covering much of the 17,000,000 km2 (6,600,000 square miles) land mass — a setup forecast to persist through October.

NASA “Prophet” Said Arctic Would Be Ice-Free By 2018
In 2008, NASA’s leading climate scientist James Hansen warned that the Arctic was approaching a “tipping point” and would be free of summer sea ice within five to ten years.
Congressional Democrats hailed him as a visionary — Rep. Ed Markey even called him a “climate prophet”:
Seventeen years on, the Arctic remains covered in summer ice. Extent has varied within its usual range since 2007, but the doomsday prediction never materialized. In fact, the Arctic has held steady for almost two decades now. No trend.

Spain’s Grid Operator Asks For Emergency Powers
Spain’s grid operator REE has asked regulators for “urgent interim powers” to stabilize the electricity network amid escalating voltage swings in the south — the same type of disturbance that triggered April’s nationwide blackout.
Too many conventional power stations, which once anchored the grid, have been shut down.
Their heavy spinning turbines not only supplied power but also provided inertia —the stabilizing force that slows down sudden changes in frequency— and helped dampen voltage spikes. Most remaining synchronous generators are now in the north and east, leaving southern Spain exposed to dangerous oscillations. Without that physical stability, the grid is far more vulnerable.
In April, 2.5 GW of wind and solar tripped offline in seconds after a single inverter fault, dragging the system into a rapid collapse.
REE has since asked for emergency powers to fix the issue, and has also quietly ordered more gas plants to provide inertia.
The UK faces similar risks.
Its grid is increasingly dependent on heavily subsidized wind and solar, which cost taxpayers billions while delivering poor reliability. So-called “green jobs” are costing almost £200,000 each per year in subsidies — yet as I type, wind is providing just 1% of the UK’s power and solar 0%. Gas is supplying the bulk, around 60%, with nuclear and imports making up most of the rest.
Wind and solar don’t just destabilize the grid, they’re also expensive (to both build and run) and remain wholly unreliable.
Without the physical backbone of conventional generation, Europe’s power systems are becoming weaker all while energy costs skyrocket.
 

Cold To Grip Europe Amid Gas Storage Concerns
Arctic air is sweeping Europe, crashing temperatures well below freezing and threatening early seasonal records.
Amid the chill, Gazprom CEO Alexey Miller has warned that an “abnormally cold winter” —the kind seen roughly once every 20 years— may be ahead, with the potential for extreme lows to grip the European part of Russia and beyond.
It is a message that conveniently supports the interests of Russia’s state-controlled gas giant, but it should not be dismissed.
Europe entered October with gas storage around 83% full — not critically low, but below the levels of the past two years and uneven across member states. Germany’s 75%, for example, leaves less room for maneuver if cold weather proves prolonged.
Seasonal forecasts also point to a higher probability of cold spells later this winter, with early signals hinting at a weaker-than-normal polar vortex and higher-than-normal snow cover over Siberia (see Rutgers map above) — a setup that greatly increases the probability of Arctic outbreaks into Europe (and also the U.S. and also Russia itself).
An X post has circulated claiming Miller predicted extreme city-by-city lows such as -24C (-11.2F) in Berlin and -30C (-22F) in Warsaw. Although pure guesswork, the underlying message stands — Europe faces an elevated cold risk this winter, with LNG the answer.

6 OCTOBER 2025

As the sun travels south, the N Hemisphere rapidly cools in high latitudes bringing Greenland’s high plateau to -40ºC and Canada’s Victoria Island to -19ºC with significant snows from Alaska’s Brooks Range to SW Yukon, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, and east central Siberia. Even the mountains of Macedonia, Montenegro and Kosovo had 30-100 cm - more than the Alps! Our two Hurricanes off the SE US coast moved off-shore up the coast posing a threat to Nova Scotia and Iceland…. Mountains of the West had their first heavy snows this past weekend with 8-14 inches in Montana and Wyoming. Colorado’s Rockies had a good taste of Indian Summer as temperatures reached 70ºF after a 28º at my house.

Europe has its first major winter storm (946 mb) - Amy - that passed by the UK into the N Sea and Atlantic sweeping cold Greenland air south to the Mediterranean. It felt like the end of October in Slovenia. Amy triggered extreme (RED) weather warnings across the UK and region. Earlier in the week Poland, Romania, Ukraine had high elevation snows from the Tartas to the lower Carpathians. Greenland, Iceland and Norway continued to have significant snows. Russia’s early start to winter is causing record consumption of gas for heating this week. Slovenia had over 40 cm in the Julien Alps and across large high elevations measurable snow fell - an early start. “Across the Balkans, autumn has been shoved aside by midwinter. In Skopje, North Macedonia, the high on October 2 barely scraped 7.1C (44.8F)—a staggering 13C (23F) below the seasonal norm, more typical of December.”

Asia from E. Siberia to Mongolia suffered unusual cold and snow. Korea and Japan had their first measurable snows. Kamchatka had wide spread snow of 50-289 cm. ECMWF model forecasts over the Himalayas predicted 1-2 m of new snow. This weekend over 1000 climbers and hikers were stranded by a rare October intense storm. Low elevation areas had flash floods. “On Sunday, Verkhoyansk, Yakutia plunged to -27.2C (-17F), marking its fourth consecutive morning below -25C (-13F).”

S. Hemisphere storms continued to dump heavy snow in New Zealand, the Andes, and Antarctica. As the sun heads south, the Antarctic interior temperatures have risen from the -70s to -60ºC. Arctic and Antarctic sea ice extent has not significantly changed over the past 20 years according to recent research studies. A ship report this week on windy.com reported -30ºC near the center of the Arctic Ocean- N Pole. It must have been a Submarine popping thru the ice. The Danes reported ice thickness there at ~ 1.5 m. US Navy often reports from the Arctic.

New album: Fall 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bugmjy45uEMGyKJU7

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
6 October 2025

Arizona’s September Snow; Blue Planet; First Snows Sweep Kazakhstan; Carpathians Covered; Southern Hemisphere Polar Vortex Weakens Sharply; + G2 Storm
September 30, 2025 Cap Allon

Arizona’s September Snow
Two snowfall events, on Sept 26 and 28, have hit Arizona Snowbowl, marking the resort’s first snows of the season.
The resort is slated to open Nov 21, though history shows earlier dates are possible. Last year, abundant early storms pushed Snowbowl’s opening to Nov 8 —the earliest on record— leading to a marathon 185-day season that stretched into June.

https://electroverse.info/arizonas-september-snow-blue-planet-first-snows-sweep-kazakhstan-carpathians-covered-southern-hemisphere-polar-vortex-weakens-sharply-g2-storm/

This latest bout comes as early snow spreads across North America’s peaks.
Whistler Blackcomb logged flakes the same day, while Colorado resorts including Arapahoe Basin, Keystone, and Breckenridge have already seen September snow.
Keystone could be targeting a mid-October opening, with Arapahoe likewise hinting at an early start.

Blue Planet
Overall, North America has been running relatively mild—barring the odd cold spot, such as Canada logging its first -20C (-4F) of the season on Sept 29 in Eureka, Nunavut. But that mildness stands out, with much of the rest of the world trending colder.
As per latest ECMWF runs (below), enormous swathes of ‘blue’ will cover much of the planet’s land masses Sept 29 – Oct 6.
Extending from Southern Africa, up through Western Europe, east into Russia, and across to the Far East, anomalous cold will be the story through the first week of October — with only North America and China seeing any meaningful ‘red’.
Ignoring the model-heavy 2m air temperatures over the oceans, which are extrapolated (more so than land) and less certain, the planet is overwhelmingly blue.
 

First Snows Hit Kazakhstan
Already, central Asia is feeling the chill.
On Monday, Kazakhstan saw early settling snow — its first of the season.
The city of Kostanay was dusted white with the streets reportedly icing over within hours. Traffic lights failed, power outages were reported, with local police urging caution.
Meteorologists had warned of a sharp temperature drop from Sept 28, with cold and storms impacting much of the country.
Autumn’s cooling is now in motion in these parts, aided by the impressive early-season snow cover building in Siberia:
Ignoring the model-heavy 2m air temperatures over the oceans, which are extrapolated (more so than land) and less certain, the planet is overwhelmingly blue.
 

Southern Hemisphere Polar Vortex Weakens Sharply
Shifting attention south, the Southern stratospheric polar vortex has taken a sudden dive this September, breaking away from its usual seasonal trajectory.
NOAA’s red line (below) shows the vortex posting an early spring collapse, diverging sharply from the mean (yellow line):
The stratospheric polar vortex is a key driver of Southern Hemisphere climate.
A strong, stable vortex tends to keep cold air bottled over Antarctica, while a weak or unstable one, as we’re seeing now, increases the risk of cold outbreaks spilling northward into South America, Australia, and southern Africa.
In 2002, the Antarctic vortex saw its first observed sudden stratospheric warming, splitting in September — an exceptionally rare breakdown. Again in 2019, the vortex weakened unusually early, with effects coupling downward into the troposphere. Both events disrupted circulation and helped drive cooler conditions across Southern Hemisphere land masses.
September’s sharp weakening sets the stage for another bout of unusual circulation patterns into October.
Also, a weak SH vortex often goes hand in hand with disrupted ozone chemistry, which we’re seeing again now. The sudden shrink in September has limited the growth of the ozone hole, holding it near 15 million km² — well below recent years.
A strong vortex keeps Antarctic air sealed off, allowing chemical reactions to chew through ozone and expand the hole to 20–25 million km² or more. This year, with the vortex weakened, those conditions have broken down and the hole is shrinking.
A smaller ozone hole means southern nations like Chile, Argentina, Australia, and New Zealand face less of the usual spring spike in ultraviolet radiation. It also means the Antarctic stratosphere won’t be cooled as much, so it can warm and destabilize earlier — further raising the odds of a SSW–type breakdown, increasing the risk of cold shots to Southern Hemisphere landmasses.
Natural shifts in the polar vortex largely determine ozone outcomes — far more than the simplistic, one-way “human cause” narrative that has dominated headlines in the recent past.
 

G2 Storm
A geomagnetic storm that began on Sept 28 has intensified, now pushing G2 levels as Earth remains magnetically linked to the Sun for a second straight day.
The culprit is the Russell-McPherron effect, a phenomenon that peaks around the equinoxes when the solar and terrestrial fields align, opening a channel for the solar wind to stream directly into Earth’s magnetosphere.
No CME was involved, yet the auroras looked like one had struck. Curtains of purple, green, and red lit the Arctic skies from Yellowknife to as far south as DeKalb, Illinois. The display began as soon as the sun set on Sept 28 and lasted the entire night.

Romania’s Mountain Snow; Heavy Dumps On The Way For North America; U.S. Summer Days Barely Warmer Since 1985; + UK’s Power Prices Lead The World — And So Does Its Decline
October 1, 2025 Cap Allon

Romania’s Mountain Snow
Romania has received early season snow this week, notable on the Transfăgărășan (Bâlea Lake sector).
Road crews have been plowing and salt-spreading across the country’s higher elevations, in Transalpina between Rânca and Obârșia Lotrului, in Maramureș at Prislop Pass, and across other high zones including Suceava’s Gura Haitii and Parâng-Șureanu.

https://electroverse.info/romanias-mountain-snow-heavy-dumps-on-the-way-for-north-america-u-s-summer-days-barely-warmer-since-1985-uks-power-prices-lead-the-world-and-so-does-its-decline/

The Administrația Națională de Meteorologie (ANM) has a countrywide advisory in force through October 2 warning of nationwide lows as well as sizable snows above 1,500 m [4,900 ft], with inches of additional accumulation on the cards.
 

Heavy Dumps On The Way For North America
On Tuesday, Sept 30 an early dusting of snow coated Mammoth Mountain, California.
This teaser adds to a growing list of early snows across North America, from Colorado’s Arapahoe Basin and Winter Park to Arizona Snowbowl and British Columbia’s Whistler Blackcomb.
Mammoth has form for long seasons: in 2023 it stayed open into August after all-time record-setting snow.
Meteorologists are calling for “significant” early-season totals across the Northern Rockies and Utah as the calendar flips to October. Forecasts point to a foot settling in the Tetons, Yellowstone, Wind Rivers, and Wasatch, with snow also in the Pacific Northwest and down to 7,000 ft (2,100 m) in BC.
Colorado should see lighter amounts—maybe half a foot in the north—but the pattern is active: multiple storm systems, cooler-than-average temperatures, and widespread mountain snow with valley rain.
The Sierra Nevada should also see sporadic flurries.
The first 10-or-so days of October are shaping up snowy for large portions of Canada and the western U.S., setting the stage for an early, solid start to the 2025–26 ski season. America has been lagging Siberia in early-season snow cover, but these systems may be about to even the score.
And then after that, early model runs are hinting at the beginnings of proper polar incursion starting around Oct 11:
 

U.S. Summer Days Barely Warmer Since 1985
Dr Roy Spencer has processed data from 400 WBAN stations and more than 2,000 cooperative observer sites across the United States. His findings: the hottest days of summer have barely warmed since the mid-1980s.
Spencer looked at the three hottest and three coolest days of each summer month (June–August) from 1985 to 2024.
The results show that the hottest days have warmed little, in some regions not at all, while the coolest days have warmed by more than half a degree C per decade. In the Northeast, the hottest days rose only 0.10C per decade, in the Southeast there was no warming, and in the Upper Midwest the hottest days cooled slightly:
This contrast appears across all U.S. climate regions: the hottest days are flat, while the coolest rise.
Spencer also tested for the influence of urbanization, using Landsat data on impervious surfaces (roads, parking lots, buildings). The effect is strongest at night. Minimum temperatures rise most where urban growth is greatest, while daytime highs are barely affected.
On average, the hottest summer days across all WBAN stations have warmed just 1.2F (0.67C) in forty years. Nighttime lows, by contrast, show stronger increases, but those are heavily tied to the urban heat island effect, contends Spencer. And correcting for urbanization reduces the apparent trend: at stations with little or no growth in impervious surfaces, minimum temperatures warmed only about 0.2-0.3C per decade, compared with 0.5-0.7C per decade at urbanizing sites.
 

UK’s Power Prices Lead The World — And So Does Its Decline
 The International Energy Agency’s latest electricity price comparisons, released yesterday, confirm the UK has the highest industrial electricity prices in the developed world and now the second-highest domestic costs, behind only Germany.
Industrial users in Britain pay almost 25 pence per kWh against an already overly-inflated IEA median of ~14p.
Taxes, levies, and environmental charges make up a sizable slice of the bill. Yet even without them, Britain’s wholesale costs are inflated by decades of enforced “transition” measures that have weakened baseload capacity and over-relied on intermittent sources such as wind and solar.
Energy is the base input of every economy. Cheap and reliable power underpins industrial strength and affordable living. Expensive power drives the opposite: factories closing, investment fleeing, wages eroded, and households squeezed.
While UK families pay more than double those in Turkey, Korea, or the US, competitors benefit from stable and cheaper supply (namely China and India, chart below) — leaving Britain de-industrializing and uncompetitive, locked into a cost-of-living crisis driven not by market forces but by a political class marching in unison. Whether Labour, Conservative, or Liberal, every major party enforces the same energy orthodoxy dictated by supranational “green” agendas. Voters are offered no real alternative, only a conveyor belt of politicians who serve the same unhinged masters while the public pays the price.
The UK, like much of the West, is pricing itself out of prosperity. Energy policy is no longer about powering economies but about signalling ideology. Unless the public pushes back, this will not just erode prosperity — it will mark the death of the West.

Poland’s Tatras Blanketed; Reinsurers Rake In €2 Billion As ‘Climate Crisis’ Goes Missing; Pope Leo XIV Blesses A Block Of Ice; + 5th Day Of Geomagnetic Storms
October 2, 2025 Cap Allon

Poland’s Tatras Blanketed
Hala Gąsienicowa in the Tatra Mountains has flipped to winter.
Fresh snow swept across Poland’s highlands on Wednesday, coating the meadows and peaks in white.

https://electroverse.info/polands-tatras-blanketed-reinsurers-rake-in-e2-billion-as-climate-crisis-goes-missing-pope-leo-xiv-blesses-a-block-of-ice-5th-day-of-geomagnetic-storms/

These early-season falls arrive as much of the continent is slipping into colder, unsettled weather patterns — again, aided by the anomalous cover in Siberia.
Exceptional, record-threatening cold is forecast to strike the Balkans on Friday, Oct 3:
Reinsurers Rake In €2 Billion As ‘Climate Crisis’ Goes Missing
Europe’s four big reinsurers —Munich Re, Swiss Re, Hannover Re, and SCOR— are sitting on an unexpected surplus after one of the quietest “catastrophe stretches” in years.
Global loss activity has been “exceptionally benign” this year, according to analysts at Autonomous. No U.S. hurricane landfalls have materialized, and Q2–Q3 passed without major events.
The result is surplus earnings of around €0.5–0.6 billion each for Hannover Re, Munich Re, and Swiss Re, and €120 million for SCOR. Collectively, almost €2 billion of pre-tax gains could be booked as the ‘climate crisis’ goes missing for almost a full year.
Autonomous projects that, even if Q4 losses track closer to average, the reinsurers’ catastrophe results will end 2025 roughly €2.5 billion better than budget. Munich Re alone could be €1 billion under budget, Swiss Re €950 million, Hannover Re €500 million, and SCOR €200 million. That equates to 20–40% of divisional earnings and about 15% of group-wide profit before tax.

As the Pope blesses ice blocks, reinsurers are laughing all the way to the bank…
 Pope Leo XIV Blesses A Block Of Ice
In his first address on cLiMaTe ChAnGe, Pope Leo XIV railed against those who “ridicule global warming,” urging citizens to pressure politicians into climate action.
But the spectacle was even more ludicrous than the words, if that’s possible. The Pope literally blessed a block of ice, standing by as eco-activists performed a bizarre pagan-style “Earth worship” ritual. This is not faith—it is theater. The leader of the Catholic Church has no business indulging in hippie rites designed to sanctify climate ideology.
Climate models have exaggerated warming for decades. Satellites show little trend. Antarctica has cooled since records began. Predictions of drowned islands, famine, and collapse have all failed. Yet the Church repeats them as gospel while ignoring data.
The poor, whom the Pope claims to defend, are being crushed not by CO2 but by soaring bills and collapsing industries. Europe’s “green transition” has shut factories, thrown millions into fuel poverty, and outsourced emissions to China.
History tells us warmth brings abundance and cold brings hardship. Today, crop yields are at record highs, and climate-related deaths have plunged 95% since the 1920s despite a quadrupled population. That is progress, not crisis.
Now COP30 looms in Brazil (Nov, 2025), something the Pope points to — another circus of private jets and empty promises.
COP26 in Glasgow pledged 1.5C limits and coal phase-outs—delivered nothing. COP27 in Egypt and COP28 in Dubai likewise achieved nothing. COP29 in Azerbaijan, headed by oil executives who actually downplayed climate alarmism, is already forgotten. Brazil will be no different: pageantry, lies, and policies that punish ordinary people.
The Church should comfort the poor and speak truth. Instead, it bows to secular dogma, blessing blocks of ice while preaching energy poverty. The “climate crisis” is not physical reality—it is political theater, and now religious theater too.

5th Day Of Geomagnetic Storms
Earth’s magnetic field has been rattling for five straight days—an unusually long run of geomagnetic unrest.
The culprit is the Russell–McPherron effect, which around the equinoxes lets solar wind couple directly into Earth’s field. With gusts topping 600 km/s, storms have surged to G2 and even G3 strength.
“I never imagined we’d see such a spectacular storm so many nights in a row,” said observer Valentin Grigore visiting Tromsø, Norway, one of the aurora hot spots.

Balkans Shiver Through Historic October Cold; Early Freeze Drives Record Gas Demand In Russia; Michael ‘Hockey Stick’ Mann Booted From UPenn Position; + LCOE Is a Lie
October 3, 2025 Cap Allon

Balkans Shiver Through Historic October Cold
Across the Balkans, autumn has been shoved aside by midwinter.
In Skopje, North Macedonia, the high on October 2 barely scraped 7.1C (44.8F)—a staggering 13C (23F) below the seasonal norm, more typical of December.
Today (Oct 3) brings the peak of the outbreak.
From Sarajevo to Pristina, and into the hills around Sofia, snow is expected to reach down to 500–600 meters (1,640–1,970 feet) — virtually unheard of for early October. Indeed, the magnitude of this cold has been labelled once-in-a-lifetime.

https://electroverse.info/balkans-shiver-through-historic-october-cold-early-freeze-drives-record-gas-demand-in-russia-michael-hockey-stick-mann-booted-from-upenn-position-lcoe-is-a-lie/

Early Freeze Drives Record Gas Demand In Russia
Looking east, Gazprom has set back-to-back records for domestic gas deliveries as a sharp cold snap grips much of Russia.
On Sept 29 the state giant pushed 982 million cubic meters through its Unified Gas Supply System, only to surpass it the next day with 1 billion cubic meters — the highest ever daily volume to Russian households and industry.
The surge marks the onset of the heating season across the country, with an early severe chill gripping the likes of Yakutia.
The first -25C (-13F) of the season has arrived well ahead of schedule.
Verkhoyansk dropped to -25.3C (-13.5F) on both Oct 2 and 3, among the coldest early-October readings ever. Records sit just a degree or two lower, at -26.1C (-15F) for Oct 2 and -27.3C (-17F) for Oct 3.
While Gazprom’s domestic flows are booming, its European market has collapsed.
The only Russian pipeline still reaching the continent is TurkStream, and Brussels is now preparing its 19th sanctions package: a phase-out of Russian LNG by Jan 1, 2027 — a year earlier than planned.
Unsurprisingly, Moscow is turning east. A binding memorandum was signed last month to advance a second pipeline to China via Mongolia, linking Siberia’s giant fields to Beijing.
For now, Europe shivers in self-inflicted energy scarcity while Russia burns record gas at home, comfortably keeping the lights on even during a severe and long-lasting early season freeze that continues, and will continue, to dump anomalous volumes of snow across vast swathes of the country:

Michael ‘Hockey Stick’ Mann Booted From UPenn Position
Michael Mann, the discredited fabricator of the infamous “hockey stick” graph, has resigned as vice provost at the University of Pennsylvania after months of public meltdowns.
Forced out following his latest tirade comparing Charlie Kirk to Hitler Youth, Mann also joked about Kirk’s assassination and warned of “Second Amendment territory” if Trump didn’t follow court orders. Even UPenn, long a safe haven for climate alarmist types, couldn’t keep covering for him.
But Mann’s downfall is not just about political hysteria, of course.
It caps decades of controversy: 
The Hockey Stick Fraud: Mann’s 1998 temperature reconstruction, plastered across UN IPCC reports, erased the Medieval Warm Period and spliced thermometer data onto proxy series to manufacture unprecedented 20th-century warming. Independent statisticians exposed the trick; subsequent reconstructions restored the missing warmth. 
The ‘Hide the Decline’ Emails: Climategate 2009 revealed Mann’s behind-the-scenes role in manipulating temperature series and silencing dissent. His infamous “trick” of blending datasets to conceal declining proxy records was about optics, not science. 
Litigation Backfires: For over a decade Mann pursued libel suits against critics who called him a fraud. Courts repeatedly narrowed or dismissed his claims; this year, after finding he misled the jury about lost grants, a D.C. judge ordered him to pay more than $1 million in combined legal costs to National Review, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, and co-defendants including Mark Steyn. 
The Activist Disguised As Scientist: Mann has spent years parading as an impartial academic while acting as a partisan activist — fronting media stunts, promoting alarmist narratives, and smearing opponents as “deniers” on par with Holocaust revisionists.

LCOE Is a Lie
Solar and wind are always advertised as “cheaper” than coal, gas, or nuclear using a number called LCOE (Levelized Cost of Energy). But LCOE is a junk metric because it pretends that one megawatt-hour of intermittent power is the same as one megawatt-hour of reliable power. It isn’t.
If the sun isn’t shining or the wind isn’t blowing, you still need electricity. That means you must keep a full fleet of backup power plants running in the background—coal, gas, or nuclear—ready to pick up the slack instantly. LCOE doesn’t count that cost.
Nor does it count the miles of new transmission lines to link faraway wind farms, the storage systems to smooth out lulls, the frequency stabilizers, or the need to massively overbuild capacity just to cover bad weather weeks.
All of these costs grow rapidly as wind and solar make up more of the grid.
On paper, LCOE makes solar and wind look “cheap.” In practice, they drive up systemwide costs for everyone. That’s why countries with the most wind and solar also suffer the highest electricity prices.
Until reliability is built into the calculation, LCOE is a scam metric and should be ignored.
Big Freeze For Canadian Rockies; Historic Cold Stretch In Russia; 1,000 Trapped On Everest By Rare October Blizzard; Arctic “Death Spiral” That Never Was; + Met Office Deletes ‘Phantom Station’ Data After Exposure

October 6, 2025 Cap Allon

Big Freeze For Canadian Rockies
The season’s first widespread freeze swept through Alberta over the weekend.
Mountain Park registered an icy -12.5C (9.5F), while Duck Lake dipped to -11.5C (11.3F), Abee -10.8C (12.6F), and Job Creek -10.2C (13.6F). Even Pika Run, Willow Creek, and Scalp Creek all touched -10C (14F).
Farther south and east, the chill extended into the cities. Edmonton International bottomed at -7.7C (18F), Edmonton-Blatchford -2.9C (26.8F), and Calgary International -3.3C (26F).

https://electroverse.info/big-freeze-for-canadian-rockies-historic-cold-stretch-in-russia-1000-trapped-on-everest-by-rare-october-blizzard-arctic-death-spiral-that-never-was-met-office-deletes/

Historic Cold Stretch In Russia
On Sunday, Verkhoyansk, Yakutia plunged to -27.2C (-17F), marking its fourth consecutive morning below -25C (-13F).
Such early-season cold has never been recorded in October since observations began in 1885.
And now Monday morning has just extended the stretch to six, with a reading of -25.6C (-14.1F).
Nearby Oymyakon also logged its first -20C (-4F) of the season (on Sunday), as Arctic air entrenches itself over Siberia.
These are historic values for early October, coming a full month ahead of schedule and aiding Siberian snow cover:

To the West, Europe is also turning white.
The Alps are seeing early-season snow, even at the likes of Monte Lussari in Friuli Venezia Giulia, Italy, where a hefty 40 cm (16 inches) hit overnight Saturday. Across the eastern Alps in fact, snow has already accumulated as low as 1,000 meters (3,300 feet).
Switzerland also saw its first widespread Alpine dusting of the season, as per a Meteo Schweiz report.
While in the Balkans, western parts have been buried under half a meter (20 inches), cutting power, water, and phone lines across Serbia and Bosnia. Heavy, wet snow on Friday and Saturday left entire municipalities in the dark. Emergency measures were declared in several regions, while Bosnia closed mountain roads and urged drivers to fit winter tires — weeks earlier than usual. On Jahorina near Sarajevo, tourists were stunned: “We came in flip-flops and now need boots and jackets,” said one.

1,000 Trapped On Everest By Rare October Blizzard
Rescue operations are under way on the Tibetan slopes of Mount Everest after a powerful October snowstorm trapped close to 1,000 hikers and climbers.
Chinese state media report that hundreds of local villagers and emergency crews have been deployed to dig out buried camps and reopen blocked access roads. Around 350 people have so far been rescued and guided to safety in the township of Qudang.
The blizzard struck late Friday and intensified through the weekend, dumping extraordinary snow across the eastern flank of Everest — a region popular with domestic trekking groups. Many tents reportedly collapsed under the weight of the snow, and rescuers say several people have suffered hypothermia.
“The weather this year is not normal,” one survivor told Reuters. “Our guide said he had never seen such conditions in October. It happened all too suddenly.”
Authorities have now suspended all ticket sales and entry to the Everest Scenic Area.
And over in India, too, the hills of Kashmir are enduring early snow on Monday, with more expected over the next 36 hours:

Arctic “Death Spiral” That Never Was
In 2009, newly appointed NSIDC director Mark Serreze warned the world that Arctic sea ice was in a “death spiral.”
He told Grist that summers would likely be “ice-free by 2030,” perhaps even sooner, citing an accelerating decline and claiming recovery was “becoming less and less likely.”
Nearly two decades on, September sea ice has shown no downward trend since 2007 — 18 years of stability according to NSIDC’s own data:
Despite increasing CO2 emissions and every conceivable feedback mechanism supposedly in play, summer sea ice remains where it was in the mid-2000s.
“Clearly, the models on which these predictions are based do not accurately reflect the actual climate,” noted researcher Javier Vinós.
 

Met Office Deletes ‘Phantom Station’ Data After Exposure
The UK Met Office was publishing “monthly temperatures” for Lowestoft —a station closed since 2010— with data supposedly drawn from “well-correlated neighbouring sites.” But when pressed under FOI, the Met Office admitted it kept no record of which stations these were.
Now, in a quiet update, the Met Office has erased the evidence. All Lowestoft data back to 2010 has been deleted from the national record — no explanation given. Similar “cleansings” have occurred at Nairn Druim and Paisley, where long-closed sites had continued to report detailed monthly figures to a tenth of a degree.
Citizen researcher Ray Sanders, who first exposed the issue, says the office “could not substantiate its fabrication of false data and has had to delete them in their entirety.”
His review found that the supposed “well-correlated” substitutes were either long-defunct or wildly unrepresentative. The only operational coastal stations near Lowestoft, Cromer (35 miles) and Weybourne (41 miles), are rated poor to moderate quality and far too distant to justify decimal-point precision.
The Met Office refuses to identify the “correlated” inputs, claiming such information “is not retained.” FOI requests seeking the list of donor stations have been dismissed as “vexatious” and “not in the public interest.”
The office feeds climate data that drives public policy, and it claims to know —to within one-hundredth of a degree— that towns such as Llandrindod Wells have warmed 1.07C since 1960, despite the local weather station closing fifty bloody years ago.
And the UK is not alone.
In the United States, NOAA fills gaps from more than 30% of its defunct or offline stations, appending an “E” for estimate. “These ghost data make NOAA’s monthly reports not representative of reality,” says meteorologist Anthony Watts. “If this were a courtroom, it would be thrown out.”

29. SEPTEMBER 2025

FALL 2025 continues to be more like winter than fall in many regions of the N Hemisphere as the slow meandering jet stream pulls Arctic air southward. From Alaska east to Mongolia and Siberia heavy mountain snows (2-5 m) and cold temperatures (-5 to -22.6ºC) prevailed. Of course warm sectors provided 5 to 10ºC above normal.

Europe sat in a cold winter-like trough with clouds and precipitation keeping it cool from France to Georgia. The Alps had 1-2 feet of new snow. “Both ECMWF and GFS project an early and severe onset in the Alps this week, with ECMWF runs suggesting as much as 4 meters (13 feet) of snow piling up at high elevations by Sept 26. ECMWF can overestimate so projections to be taken with some salt.” Satellite images show the Alps with snow from the Maritimes to the Dolomites. The UK had some cold : “Already, overnight lows have dipped below freezing these past few nights, with -4C (24.8F) forecast for isolated northern regions.”

France had a very cold September: “Wednesday’s nationwide mean max of just 10.9C (51.6F) stands as one of the coldest September days ever recorded in France, ranking alongside the historic early-season cold snaps of 1902, 1919, and 1942.”
Asia and eastern Siberia are looking white as the jet pulled Arctic air south and deep snows were predicted in the Himalayan’s 1-3 m. Mongolia: “The National Agency for Meteorology and Environmental Monitoring reported accumulations of 25-30 cm (10-12 inches) across Zavkhan province on Sunday and Monday, with depths surpassing 60 cm (2 feet) in the mountains.” India also has early winter conditions: “Forecasts point to heavy accumulations across Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand between Oct 6-10, with rain and hail sweeping the lower plains.”

As mentioned earlier, Australia and New Zealand have a banner snow year: “Australia’s 2025 ski season continues to be the best in years, with snowpacks holding firm deep into September and resorts already announcing extensions well into October.” Perisher in New South Wales is reporting depths over 1.5 m (5 feet), with 32 lifts running and terrain fully open. Across Victoria, Mount Buller and Hotham are pushing toward 1 m (3.3 feet) of cover. For this late in the season, those numbers are impressive.”

New Zealand has had significant snows (1-2 m) and very heavy rain forest rains (300-500mm). The Andes are also having a banner year with 1 m in the Peruvian areas to 3-9 m in the south in consistent 15-day forecasts. If they have half that amount it would be astounding.

The Antarctic continues to have heavy 1-2.5 m snows and cold -55 to -70ºC temperatures as deep 934 to 970 mb storms circle the continent. Antarctic sea ice is growing not disappearing as some predicted.
New album: Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 29 September 2025

Early Snows The Alps; Siberian Snow Cover Expands, More Incoming; U.S. Hot Days Down; Sea Ice Recovery At Both Poles; + New Paper: Modern Warming Is Nothing New
September 22, 2025 Cap Allon

Early Snows For The Alps
The models are flagging an unusually sharp start to fall across central Europe.
The latest GFS runs project a completed cold-core low embedded in the polar jet stream at around 300 hPa (9 km) over the Alps by October 1. This setup is primed to deliver heavy snowfall, dragging snowlines down to below 1,500 m (4,900 feet).
Snow depth forecasts show up to 30 cm (1 ft) settling across wide swathes of the central and eastern Alps by midweek:

https://electroverse.info/early-snows-the-alps-siberian-snow-cover-expands-more-incoming-u-s-hot-days-down-sea-ice-recovery-at-both-poles-new-paper-modern-warming-is-nothing-new/

This is a severe onset for September — and it comes with a broader European chill.
Widespread anomalies of -4C to -8C will engulf the continent this week.

Siberian Snow Cover Expands, More Incoming
Autumn snow cover is building fast across northern Russia and Siberia, and forecasts point to further expansion in the days ahead.
The Rutgers Global Snow Lab’s latest analysis (Sept 21) shows large positive snow cover anomalies across Siberia:
This comes on top of a decades-long upward trend in autumn snow extent: since records began in 1967, Northern Hemisphere fall snow cover has increased from ~18 million km² to regularly above 20 million km² in recent years:Looking ahead, the latest GFS runs forecast heavy, widespread snowfall across Eurasia through late September and into early October — stretching from northern Russia and Siberia down into Mongolia and Kazakhstan.
For years now, Mongolia’s “dzuds” have been intensifying (extreme freeze-and-snow events fatal to both livestock and people). Between 1940 and 2015, official dzud declarations were made twice a decade. Now in recent years they happen annually. Even the UN admits dzuds are “an increasing phenomenon”—though they link this to ‘global warming.’ Warming = cooling.
Source: National Statistics Office of Mongolia
Early Eurasian snow advance has long been linked to downstream winter patterns.
Fast-developing snowpack in Siberia helps drive high-latitude blocking later in the season, which can displace Arctic air into mid-latitudes. Europe, East Asia, and even North America have often seen colder, snowier winters in years of rapid Siberian buildup.
Already this September, early snow has hit Turkey’s Artvin Highlands, the Alps have been buffeted, and cool anomalies have extended as far south as Saudi Arabia and Korea.
The indicators are lining up: Eurasian snow cover is ahead of schedule, and the forecast keeps adding more

U.S. Hot Days Down
The official U.S. Historical Climatology Network shows that the percentage of days above 90F (32.2C) so far this year ranks as the 27th lowest in records back to 1895 (through Sept 20).
The long-term data —as tweaked, adjusted, and manufactured as it is— STILL makes clear that extreme summer heat was far more common in the early-to-mid 20th century. The peak came in the 1930s, particularly during the Dust Bowl, when nearly one-quarter of all days topped 90F. Since then, the trend has declined, with recent decades sitting well below those historic highs.

Sea Ice Recovery At Both Poles
Children were taught that the Arctic would be ice-free by now, while endless headlines warned that Antarctica was “melting from below.” But the scare was never about data, it was about narrative. Now that narrative is being shredded in real time.
In the Arctic, 2025’s extent (black line) is stubbornly persisting, increasing even in recent years: Flip to the Southern Hemisphere, and it’s the same story. After last year’s much-hyped low, Antarctic extent has rebounded sharply, now tracking right through the heart of the long-term range:
This year’s maximum extent is now 550,000 km² above last year’s and 710,000 km² above the 2023 low.
That’s two hemispheres, two datasets, and one conclusion: the “melting poles” scare is collapsing. The science-by-press-release that promised an ice-free Arctic and a drowning world has not just failed, it has reversed.

New Paper: Modern Warming Is Nothing New
A new paper of Holocene climate argues today’s modest warming (since the Little Ice Age) sits inside a long rhythm of natural swings, not a one-off CO2 story.

https://www.pgi.gov.pl/dokumenty-pig-pib-all/publikacje-2/przeglad-geologiczny/2025/2-luty-5/10898-contemporary-global-warming-versus-climate-change-in-the-holocene/file.html

The Holocene record shows repeated cool pulses, known as ‘Bond events,’ separated by strong warm phases. These included the early–mid Holocene peak, later the Roman and Medieval warmings, then a downturn into the Little Ice Age before a 19th-century rebound.

13 Feet Of September Snow For The Alps; Siberia’s Record Early-Season Freeze; UK Shivers; Australia’s Best Snow Season In Years; + USHCN: Temperature Records “Adjusted”
September 23, 2025 Cap Allon

13 Feet Of September Snow For The Alps
The models are flagging an unusually early and harsh start to winter across Europe.
Both ECMWF and GFS project an early and severe onset in the Alps this week, with ECMWF runs suggesting as much as 4 meters (13 feet) of snow piling up at high elevations by Sept 26. ECMWF can overestimate so projections to be taken with some salt.

https://electroverse.info/13-feet-of-september-snow-for-the-alps-siberias-record-early-season-freeze-uk-shivers-australias-best-snow-season-in-years-ushcn-temperature-records-adjusted/

Looking east, snow is also surging across northern and northeastern Russia, a region where early accumulation often primes Europe for colder, snowier winters.
Rutgers data confirm anomalous increases in snow cover here:
On the ground, conditions have already turned deadly.

Severe September snow has buried the highlands of Dagestan, stranding dozens of sheep and their shepherds in summer pastures near Kedi village, Tsumadinsky district. They remained cut off for days, waiting for the weather to ease.
 

Siberia’s Record Early-Season Freeze
Siberia’s snow is sticking around thanks to exceptional early-season cold, with thermometers tanking to levels rarely seen this early in the calendar.
At Ust-Charky, the mercury fell to -19.1C (-2.4F) on Tuesday (Sept 23) — the lowest September reading since 2014, and not too far from the record Sept low of -21.6C (-6.9F). 
Delyankir posted -18.2C (-0.8F) on the same day, its coldest Sept temp since 2021, when the monthly record was set: -24C (-11.2F). While Oymyakon, one of the coldest inhabited places on Earth, dropped to -17.8C (0F), its lowest September mark in 24 years, with monthly record here coming in at only a fraction lower: -18.3C (-0.9F).
These readings, of 15 to 20C below average, have been aided by the vast snow cover already building across northern latitudes. With such early cold pooling over the Eurasian landmass, the stage is set for a frigid fall and potentially a harsh winter ahead.
 

UK Shivers
Polar air is dragging Britain into an early freeze this week.
Already, overnight lows have dipped below freezing these past few nights, with -4C (24.8F) forecast for isolated northern regions.
On Monday morning, Sennybridge in Wales dipped to -1.7C (29F) while Shap in the Lake District fell to -1.9C (28F), with air frosts logged across all four home nations.
For context, the coldest readings ever recorded in the UK for this time of year range between -2.6C for Sept 20 (Lagganlia in 1997) and -6.1C for Sept 25 (Glenlivet in 1946).
The Met Office expects the first sizable snows of the season on the highest Scottish peaks, where the Mountain Weather Information Service warns of “unusually cold” conditions with bitter northerlies.
 

Australia’s Best Snow Season In Years
Australia’s 2025 ski season continues to be the best in years, with snowpacks holding firm deep into September and resorts already announcing extensions well into October.
Perisher in New South Wales is reporting depths over 1.5 m (5 feet), with 32 lifts running and terrain fully open. Across Victoria, Mount Buller and Hotham are pushing toward 1 m (3.3 feet) of cover. For this late in the season, those numbers are impressive.
The Bureau of Meteorology notes “perfect spring conditions” in the Alps, with cold air and clear skies keeping the snow in place. NSW resorts, in particular, should remain in peak condition for weeks to come.
Resorts are seeing booming demand, with strong bookings into October.
 

New Climate Assessments
And yet, while Aussies are skiing into October, their government has chosen this time to release a slew of new “climate assessments,” namely the National Climate Risk Assessment (NCRA) and the Net Zero 2035 (NZ35) report.
Starting with the NCRA: this has binned the long-discredited SSP5-8.5 scenario — but only to embrace another equally implausible one, SSP3-7.0. This pathway imagines a global population of more than 12 billion by 2100 (versus today’s consensus of under 10 billion, and likely closer to 8–9 billion) coupled with a tripling of global coal use.
While at the same time, the NZ35 report does the opposite trick: it assumes an unrealistically optimistic baseline for energy transition costs, making decarbonization look cheap and easy — it is not.
The IEA itself admits global renewable deployment is already running into soaring material costs and grid bottlenecks. Wind and solar prices are up (wind: +40% since 2020), with the tech requiring exorbitant amounts of materials and rare earth minerals.
Battery storage remains prohibitively expensive, with utility-scale lithium-ion costs stuck around $150–200 per kWh, far above what’s needed for widespread adoption.
And then there’s the grid: Australia’s transmission system is nowhere near capable of handling a fully electrified economy. Even government estimates put the bill for new lines in the hundreds of billions of dollars, not counting the cost of replacing dispatchable coal and gas with intermittent solar and wind.
In other words, exaggerated impacts on one hand, low-balled costs and disruptions on the other.
The models behind the government’s reports project a world that doesn’t exist — one of runaway coal, exploding populations, and an absurd 4C of warming. By clinging to implausible scenarios, the Aussie government is unashamedly ramping up the fear.
 

USHCN: Temperature Records “Adjusted”
Fresh evidence confirms the wholesale rewriting of U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) data.
Between March 1 and 2, 2025, scans show nearly 2 million temperature records were processed, with 74% “altered” in a single day. By the following day, 69% had been changed AGAIN. And by August 9, 2025, 88% of the entire dataset had been “adjusted.”
Each time these sweeps are run, temperatures are tweaked — a bias that conveniently more often than not supports the narrative. This is not speculation: side-by-side comparisons of raw versus adjusted datasets show a clear pattern of inflation.
How can The Science be settled when the past is constantly rewritten…

Heavy Snow Slams Mongolia; Early Flakes Sweep Scandinavia; Colorado’s First Real Snowstorm Of The Season; Trump Calls Out UN To Their Faces; + China Burns Record Amount Of Coal
September 24, 2025 Cap Allon

Heavy Snow Slams Mongolia
An unusually heavy September snowstorm has buried parts of western Mongolia.
The National Agency for Meteorology and Environmental Monitoring reported accumulations of 25-30 cm (10-12 inches) across Zavkhan province on Sunday and Monday, with depths surpassing 60 cm (2 feet) in the mountains.
The snow blanketed multiple soums, including Uliastai, Yaruu, Ider, Aldarkhaan, Tsagaankhairkhan, Shiluustei, and Otgon. In the aftermath, temperatures are forecast to plunge well-below freezing, compounding hazards for drivers and nomadic herders.

https://electroverse.info/heavy-snow-slams-mongolia-early-flakes-sweep-scandinavia-colorados-first-real-snowstorm-of-the-season-trump-calls-out-un-to-their-faces-china-burns-record-amount-of-coal/

Zavkhan is no stranger to brutal winters, but such heavy falls this early in the season highlight the intensifying cold across Mongolia — a region where deadly dzuds have become an increasing hazard, a near-annual occurrence.
With Siberia already locking in exceptional early snow cover (map below), northern and central Asia appears primed for another brutal winter — one expected to spill west into Europe.

Siberia’s early-season COLD also continues to intensify, delivering historic readings this early in the calendar.
On Sept 24, Oymyakon sank to -18.2C (-0.8F) — its lowest September mark since 2001 (-18.3C) and its sixth-coldest September reading since records began in 1943. Verkhoyansk, similarly, reached -16.1C (3F), its coldest September reading since 2002 (-16.4C) and the fifth-lowest for this time of year in books extending all the way back to 1885.
Other Siberian cold poles, such as Susuman, also joined the deep freeze.
And as reported yesterday, Ust-Charky hit -19.1C (-2.4F) on Sept 23, with Delyankir posting -18.2C (-0.8F).
Early Flakes Sweep Scandinavia
It’s not just Russia, anomalous cold snow is sweeping Scandinavia too.
A taste of winter is hitting northern Scandinavia this week, with Norway’s Bjornfjell mountains in Nordland province under thick snow at elevations as low as 500 m (1,640 ft).
Strong northwest winds have driven moist air into the mountains, triggering heavy snow on the windward slopes.

Scandinavia’s chill is now sinking south, set to deliver heavy snow to central Europe’s peaks, including the Alps, and biting, long-lasting cold to much of Europe’s lower elevations, as per latest GFS and ECMWF runs:
The freeze is already hitting the continent’s peaks on the morning of Sept 24.
Biting lows of -17.5C (0.5F) have been reported on Italy’s Monte Rosa: And -18.9C (-2F) on France’s Mont Blanc:

Trump Calls Out UN To Their Faces
At the UN General Assembly, Donald Trump called climate change “the greatest con job ever perpetrated on the world.”
He mocked the “carbon footprint” scam, slammed Europe for bankrupting itself on renewables, and warned every nation: “If you don’t get away from this green scam, your country is going to fail.”
Back in June, UN Secretary-General António Guterres said “just follow the money,” bragging that $2 trillion was funneled into so-called clean energy last year — $800 billion more than fossil fuels. He used it as proof the green transition is “unstoppable.”
Trump said all that spending is wrecking economies, and that western CO2 sacrifices are meaningless — Europe’s 37% emissions cuts are wiped out by China’s surge alone. “All green is all bankrupt,” he said.
Trump has already pulled the U.S. out of Paris, gutted wind and solar handouts, and torn up EPA reporting rules. In their place: oil, gas, coal, nuclear — real energy, not fantasy.
The UN summit this week is theater. World leaders bow to an unelected bureaucracy selling fear, failure, and control. Trump told them to their faces: the predictions were wrong, the science is cooked, and the whole show is a con.

China Burns Record Amount Of Coal
Staying on topic, China just posted its highest ever monthly coal burn.
According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, electricity generation from thermal plants —almost all of them coal-fired— hit 627.4 TWh in August 2025, the most ever recorded, in any month.
This comes as Beijing leans on coal to stabilize its grid amid rising industrial demand and patchy renewable output.
While Western governments boast of phasing out fossil fuels, the world’s largest energy consumer is moving in the opposite direction: ramping up coal capacity, running mines at full tilt, and approving new plants at a rate not seen before.
Globally, there are 1,214 coal-fired power plants either under construction, permitted, with pre-permit, or announced — and there are no prizes for guessing where the majority of them are located:
The West is crippling its economies with expensive and intermittent energy, while the East powers ahead.

First Heavy Snows Hit The Pyrenees And Alps; Historic September Cold Grips France; B.C.’s Vineyards Still Reeling From Crippling Freeze; + Half A Century Of Failed Doomsday
September 25, 2025 Cap Allon

First Heavy Snows Hit The Pyrenees And Alps
The first significant snow of the season has arrived in Europe’s mountains.
Temperatures in the Pyrenees collapsed by more than 20C, plunging from late-summer warmth to biting autumn chill almost overnight. The switch delivered decent snow accumulations to the high peaks, including the Pic du Midi de Bigorre:

https://electroverse.info/first-heavy-snows-hit-the-pyrenees-and-alps-historic-september-cold-grips-france-b-c-s-vineyards-still-reeling-from-crippling-freeze-half-a-century-of-failed-doomsday/

Such widespread snowfall this early is considered unusual, with the conditions not confined to the Pyrenees. Continued snows across the Alps have been observed all week, with totals piling up at the likes of Italy’s Aosta Valley:
Continued snows across the Alps have been observed all week, with totals piling up at the likes of Italy’s Aosta Valley:
With Siberia already locking in exceptional early-season cover and now Europe’s ranges turning white, the stage is set.
 

Historic September Cold Grips France
It’s little wonder early snowfall is building on the European ranges — historic cold is currently gripping much of the continent. France logged an exceptionally cold September day on Wednesday, with maximums rivaling century-old records.
Paris (Montsouris) managed only 10.9C (51.6F), ranked as the city’s fourth-lowest September max since records began in 1873.
Limoges stalled at just 9.1C (48.4F), its second-lowest September maximum since 1973.
Metz struggled to 10.5C (50.9F), the second-lowest since 1936.
While Paris Orly Airport reached only 11.1C (52F), its second-coldest September high since 1949.
And the list goes on: Nancy, Strasbourg, Reims, Colmar, Grenoble, and many more posted daily highs into the low-teens, breaking/rivaling long-standing benchmarks.
Wednesday’s nationwide mean max of just 10.9C (51.6F) stands as one of the coldest September days ever recorded in France, ranking alongside the historic early-season cold snaps of 1902, 1919, and 1942.
Anomaly maps (GFS below) confirm the extent of the blues and purples. Much of western Europe was bathed in wintry-like conditions on Sept 24, with the peaks, such as Mont Blanc, cracking to -19C (-2.2F).
 

B.C.’s Vineyards Still Reeling From Crippling Freeze
British Columbia’s wine industry is still struggling to recover from the devastating cold snap of January 2024 — a freeze so severe it wiped out much of the province’s grape harvest, the worst hit in decades.
The provincial government has been forced to extend its emergency measure allowing wineries to import grapes and juice from outside B.C., a stopgap first introduced last year.
Officials admit that even if 2025’s harvest proves strong, the province will remain about 10,000 tonnes short of what’s needed to meet pre-freeze demand. Without continued support, they warn the industry would face mass layoffs.
The 2024 freeze left vines destroyed, forcing widespread replanting — but young vines take years before they can reach full production. “Last year’s freeze was the most devastating event to hit B.C. vineyards,” said Agriculture Minister Lana Popham.
B.C.’s wine sector is worth nearly $4 billion annually and supports more than 14,000 jobs. Yet one extreme Arctic blast was enough to cut production to the bone, leaving wineries dependent on imports to survive.
 

Half A Century Of Failed Doomsday
For more than 50 years, environmentalists have issued apocalyptic forecasts, and time after time they’ve failed.
In 1968’s Population Bomb, Paul Ehrlich predicted hundreds of millions would starve and called for sterilization programs. Instead, the Agricultural Revolution boosted yields and turned India into the world’s top rice exporter.
In 1972, Limits to Growth warned the world would run out of food, oil, and metals within decades. Today, thanks to innovation, resources are more abundant than ever and billions have escaped extreme poverty.
The 1970s also brought the “coming ice age” scare, with major magazines predicting mass famine from global cooling. The cooling didn’t last. In the 1980s, acid rain was said to wipe out forests. It didn’t. By the 1990s and 2000s, we were told the Arctic would be ice-free by dates long passed. It isn’t.
This year, the Great Barrier Reef was once again declared “on the brink.” Reality: it now has its fourth-highest coral cover since records began in 1986, following record breaking years of 2024, 2023, and 2022.
Climate-related disaster deaths have fallen 98% since the 1920s. Yet the message never changes: stop growth, embrace austerity, repent. Now it’s Net Zero by 2050, a policy with an annual price tag of $27 trillion — costs outweighing benefits 7 to 1.
Fear built nothing. Innovation built everything.

Siberia Plunges To -22.6C (-8.7F); Early Cold Signs For U.S.; Net-Zero Banking Alliance Collapses; + EU Pushes -90% Emissions Goal
September 26, 2025 Cap Allon

Siberia Plunges To -22.6C (-8.7F)
The freeze across Siberia has intensified, delivering Russia its lowest September temperature in four years.
On Sept 25, Batagay-Alyta (Sakkyryr Airport) sank to -22.6C (-8.7F), the coldest September mark anywhere in Russia since Delyankir’s -24C (-11.2F) in 2021. The nation’s all-time September record remains the -27.6C (-17.7F) at Ilirney back in 1965.

https://electroverse.info/siberia-plunges-to-22-6c-8-7f-early-cold-signs-for-u-s-net-zero-banking-alliance-collapses-eu-pushes-90-emissions-goal/

Russia’s brutal drops, coming in September, point again to the accelerating build-up of cold across Eurasia, with implications for the winter ahead.
Moreover, Siberia’s extraordinary early-season snow cover continues to build: 

Early Cold Signs For U.S.
Likewise for North America, early cold signs are emerging, particularly for the West:

Net-Zero Banking Alliance Collapses
The UN’s Net-Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA) —launched in 2021 with more than 120 banks pledging to align lending with “net zero by 2050”— has effectively collapsed. On August 27, 2025, the alliance announced it was suspending operations after a wave of high-profile exits from both U.S. and European institutions.
Much of the media have pinned the retreat on politics. After Donald Trump’s 2024 election victory, his administration pressured Wall Street to dump ESG commitments. Attorneys general from more than 20 states even accused net-zero groups of operating as an “anticompetitive cartel.” Soon after, giants like JPMorgan, Citi, and Morgan Stanley walked away.
Trump’s termination of the Green New Scam also wrecked Beijing’s play: U.S. subsidies for Chinese solar junk vanished, leaving factories with no buyers. Now China’s solar industry is imploding in a race-to-the-bottom, with shuttered plants and swelling pools of unemployed slave labor.
European banks, such as HSBC, Barclays, UBS, followed America’s lead, despite Europe being seen as more “climate-friendly.”
Crucially though, politics only accelerated what was already happening.
A new study by researchers at UMass Boston and Tel Aviv University interviewed over 80 insiders across banks, oil companies, and activist groups. Their conclusion: the entire net-zero banking model was built on weak economics.
The numbers never worked…
Deep decarbonization projects were expensive and risky. Fossil fuels stayed hugely profitable, especially after the Ukraine war sent prices soaring. Oil majors like BP and Shell, which once touted climate targets, lost money, then pivoted back to oil and gas. Banks that restricted fossil lending simply saw business shift to competitors or private finance.
In 2024, overall fossil fuel financing surged to $869 billion — a three-year high.
Even in pro-green countries like Britain, subsidies are fragile. Past governments abruptly cut support for solar and wind; Reform UK now openly promises to scrap green handouts if it takes power. That means loans for renewables can turn toxic overnight.
By 2025, membership in the NZBA was no longer an asset but a liability, and exits snowballed until the alliance had little choice but to suspend operations. The market has delivered its verdict. Net Zero is dead policy walking.
Still…

EU Pushes -90% Emissions Goal
The money may be pulling out, but corrupted politicians are doubling down.
This week is “climate week” at the UN — a stage for world leaders to ignore the wreckage of their own anti-fossil-fuel policies and pledge even deeper cuts. The European Union has now set a target of slashing emissions by 90% by 2040 compared to 1990 levels, a ramp-up from its current goal.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen declared: “The world can count on Europe’s climate leadership. Our Nationally Determined Contribution will range between 66.25% and 72.5%. And we are working full speed on -90% by 2040. We are on our way to climate neutrality.”
Percentages calculated to two decimal places, and a promise to drive entire economies toward cuts that no existing technology can deliver without gutting food, power, and autonomy. Banks have already recognized the math doesn’t work here — pulling out of net-zero alliances because decarbonization projects are too costly and risky. Yet Europe’s leaders are still chasing the fantasy, dictating quotas as though society itself were a spreadsheet.
This isn’t environmental stewardship. It’s control. The framework treats carbon —the basis of all life— as a pollutant to be eradicated, and compliance as the measure of virtue. Strip away the rhetoric though and what remains is a system of carbon rationing: a reset where energy, industry, and food are dictated not by need or innovation, but by quotas enforced from above.
Ursula von der Leyen says here: “You want to pollute while you pay, you want to avoid the payment while you innovate.” But here’s what she really means:
Pollute while you pay → everyday life is rebranded as “pollution.” Drive, farm, heat your home — fine, but only if you pay their carbon tax. Avoid the payment while you innovate → you escape the tax only by buying into their approved “green” technologies. That’s where the €180 billion fund comes in — a slush pool of subsidies funneled to corporate allies, not to you.
This isn’t about saving the planet, obviously. It’s about control — a €180 billion system of penalties, payments, and permissions where the money flows upward to Brussels bureaucrats and favored corporations that profit from policing the system.

Feet Of Snow Hit The Alps; Early Snow For India; Sierra Snow Still Burying A 2022 Balloon Payload; “Warm Blob” Fading; La Niña Strengthening; + Study: Models Overstate Greenland Melt By Up To 58%
September 29, 2025 Cap Allon

Feet Of Snow Hit The Alps
The European Alps have flipped from late-summer warmth to early-winter cold in just days, with snowfalls of up to 2 feet now burying peaks in France, Switzerland, and Italy.
At Zermatt’s Gornergrat, temperatures are now below freezing; Italy’s Piedmont region logged its heaviest September snowfall in more than 30 years, forcing widespread road closures; and Switzerland’s famed Gotthard Pass also had to shut as drifts mounted.

https://electroverse.info/feet-of-snow-hit-the-alps-early-snow-for-india-sierra-snow-still-burying-a-2022-balloon-payload-warm-blob-fading-la-nina-strengthening-study-models-overstate-greenland-melt-b/

Webcams show Tignes in France white from 2,700 m (8,860 ft) and the Matterhorn wrapped in fresh snow. Swiss snow chasers shared scenes of buried alpine roads, while hotels near the Rhône Glacier woke to mid-winter landscapes.
This year’s totals actually fall a little short of last year’s (Sept 2024 saw a 3-ft storm), but the scale and intensity still marks this as a striking start to the 2025-26 ski season — and another data point in a growing run of early autumn snows across Europe.

Early October Snow For India
A strong western disturbance is set to bring an unusually early and intense spell of snow to India’s northern mountains.
Forecasts point to heavy accumulations across Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand between Oct 6-10, with rain and hail sweeping the lower plains.
Analysts say the setup is tied to an abnormal dip in the jet stream, and warn of “serious interactions” with a monsoon low-pressure system that could amplify precipitation totals.
Snow in the first week of October is rare but not unprecedented. Records show a brutal early onset in 1877 that buried Dras under feet that lasted into spring. More recently, untimely snows in early October 2018 shut Rohtang Pass; in 2022, Uttarakhand valleys turned white; and in 2023, Himachal’s Manali–Leh highway was blocked in late-September.
Recent years have delivered a string of early-season snowfalls in the Himalayas, though long-term data are limited as the Indian Meteorological Department doesn’t publish a robust “first snow date” series.
 

Sierra Snow Still Burying A 2022 Balloon Payload
The “disappearing Sierra snowpack” narrative keeps colliding with reality. Nearly three years after a high-altitude cosmic ray balloon came down near Echo Lake in the Sierra Nevada, researchers still can’t find it.
On Sunday (Sept 29), Spaceweather.com confirmed another failed recovery attempt. Dr Tony Phillips spent the weekend climbing icy slopes above the lake, but the payload —lost in Oct 2022— remains entombed in snow. This marks the team’s 12th search.
The “megawinter” of 2022-23 buried Echo Lake slopes under drifts up to 50 feet deep. California’s Department of Water Resources measured statewide snowpack at 237% of average that April, one of the biggest readings ever, with the Southern Sierra near 300%. Tahoe and Mammoth resorts logged 700–800 inches of snow, leaving firn in shaded gullies (old, compacted snow that has survived at least one summer melt season — the intermediate stage between snow and glacial ice).
After another impressive winter in 2024, much of that snow is failing to melt out. North-facing chutes continue to hold onto years of accumulation, a fact underscored by Phillips’ repeated failure to locate a small box of radiation sensors and cameras.
So much for “vanishing snow.”

 “Warm Blob” Fading
The ‘Warm Blob’ —a patch of overheated water in the northeast Pacific once touted as proof of climate change— looks to be breaking down.
First identified in 2013, it was tied to mass marine die-offs, California’s drought, and even the “polar vortex” winters of 2013–15 via a blocking ridge over Alaska. And, as usual, it was quickly branded a symptom of human-driven climate change.
A 2020 Science study (Laufkötter et al.) argued that events like the Blob were made more likely by rising CO2, with anthropogenic warming pushing ocean baselines higher and raising the odds of such extreme anomalies.
Other papers have since echoed that link, presenting the Blob as another “fingerprint of greenhouse forcing”.
And while the latest data, the daily anomaly map, still flashes orange offshore, the 30-day change shows the Blob fading quickly, with blues spreading across the basin. In places, sea surface temperatures have dropped more than 2C in just a month:
Despite ever-higher CO2 levels in 2025, the Blob is retreating. It is not a fixed feature of “climate change” but a transient product of shifting circulation and ocean cycles. The same forcings/dynamics that helped it surge are just as easily breaking it down.
 

La Niña Strengthening
The CDAS 3.4 index has dropped to -1.02C, moving firmly into La Niña territory.
Cooling has accelerated since early July:
Despite this clear signal, the latest NMME ensemble (September initialization) continues to underplay the event. Most models project only a weak-to-moderate La Niña through boreal winter, bottoming near -1C before rebounding in early 2026.
Yet reality (CDAS chart: SST data, buoy data, and model assimilation) is already tracking stronger than the NMME mean — suggesting forecasts may once again be underestimating both the depth and persistence of the cooling.
Historically, La Niña tilts the odds toward a colder, snowier winter across Canada and the northern U.S., drier conditions in the southern U.S., and heightened cold risk in Europe and much of Asia. It also tends to disrupt monsoons, shift tropical cyclone tracks, and lower global temperatures.
Whether this proves a brief dip, as the models suggest, or the start of a more sustained event will hinge on coupled atmosphere-ocean feedbacks over the next 6–8 weeks. For now, the equatorial Pacific is undeniably tilting toward a cold base state.
 

Study: Models Overstate Greenland Melt By Up To 58%
A new study in Nature Communications has revealed a major flaw in how climate models handle Greenland’s ice sheet.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-62281-0

For decades, models have assumed that bare ice —the exposed surface left behind once seasonal snow has melted away— is impermeable, that every drop of summer melt runs straight into the ocean. But this research shows that bare ice can act more like firn or snow —porous, able to retain and refreeze meltwater— and that the models are systematically overestimating runoff as a result.
The difference is not marginal. Direct field measurements show models exaggerate supraglacial runoff by between 21 and 58% during peak melt. Runoff-driven mass loss has been exaggerated by 21–47% in models, compared with satellite and field data, while altimetry reveals surface melt has been exaggerated by 14 to 40%.In southwest Greenland alone, between 11 and 17 gigatonnes of meltwater are held back each year within bare ice, representing close to 15% of what models assumed was flowing to sea.
Because more than three quarters of Greenland’s melt originates in these bare ice zones, the error carries serious implications for the models. Greenland has been the ‘global warming’ poster boy for decades. If its melt contribution has been overstated by half, the narrative collapses. If The Science has mischaracterized something as basic as how bare ice behaves, then any confidence in century-scale sea-level maps and forecasts immediately vanishes.

21 SEPTEMBER 2025

As today’s Autumnal Equinox approached this week, the Northern Hemisphere continued to cool with winter conditions from the mountains of Alaska and the Yukon and British Columbia to Ellesmire Island and Greenland, Iceland, Norway to Eastern Siberia. The jet stream had numerous strong short waves with their warm and cold sectors triggering fall weather. Last weekend Iowa was in a warm sector with extreme 96ºF temperatures in a southerly flow from the Gulf that tipped temperatures 10-15ºC above normal. In contrast a low over Labrador pulled below normal temperatures into NE. Today, Colorado has a Pacific cold front approaching that will bring an abrupt transition into Fall tomorrow. Model forecasts have 5 to 30 cm of new snow in our high mountains. Alaska and the British Columbia coastal mountains continue to have a strong start to winter with 2-5 m forecasts. NE Canada continues to cool and have widespread snowfalls.

Europe is cooling as another deep trough moves over the region pulling cold air south in the cold sector. The Alps from the Maritimes to the Dolomites picked up notable dustings. A deep storm over the head of the Baltic Sea is pulling down cold air even cooling Spain and Portugal. Snow is predicted from the Maritimes to Slovenia’s Julien Alps.

Early snow hits Turkey as predicted in the ECMWF snow forecasts. “This snow is running ahead of schedule, nodding to the broader theme already emerging across Eurasia this month. Anomalous snow cover has been building in Siberia since mid-Sept, and forecasts show incursions deep into Europe before the month is out.” Model predictions reached 1 m on high mountains, and a large area of the Hindu Kush had 1-1.4 m predicted. Eastern Siberia continued to get wide-spread snows of 50 to 120 cm with temperatures falling to -12ºC.

Southern Hemisphere’s winter remains intense as 934-970 mb storms and 1036 mb highs create some ideal conditions for heavy snow in New Zealand, and the Andes. New Zealand has had 1-2 m forecasts consistently over the past week. Skiing must be fantastic. Have a look at windy.com ’s web site cameras. Australia and Tasmania also have significant snows, rains and cold weather. Chile’s Andes are also packing in 1-4 meters in these ECMWF forecasts. If they get half that it’s significant. The Antarctic remains in the grips of winter with -70’s in the interior and coastal storms with locally heavy mountain snows of 1-3 m.

New album: Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/27/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 27 January showed warming off Ecuador with cooling from 120 to180º W. This warming continued this week of 12 April. The warming turned neutral to cold in May 3rd’s analysis. Today the pattern is developing cold la Nina with a forecast of a brief la Nina by November. See the albums.

Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 21 September 2025

Concordia To -102.8F; More Polar Vortex Nonsense; New Study: Hunga Tonga Not CO2; + Michael Mann Is A “Weirdo” And A “Liar”
September 16, 2025 Cap Allon

Concordia to -102.8F
Concordia Station bottomed out at -74.9C (-102.8F) at 20:56 UTC on September 15 — a notable low even for Antarctica.
While warming headlines churn, the Antarctic Plateau continues to log lows in the -70s deep into September, even as the austral spring begins.

https://electroverse.info/concordia-to-102-8f-more-polar-vortex-nonsense-new-study-hunga-tonga-not-co2-michael-mann-is-a-weirdo-and-a-liar/

 More Polar Vortex Nonsense
A new study claims to have cracked the riddle of why Arctic air still pounds the U.S. in an age of catastrophic global warming. The culprit, according to Judah Cohen and his team: cLiMaTe ChAnGe.
The polar vortex, that swirling low pressure over the Arctic, has always wobbled and sometimes split, sending cold air south. That’s how cold outbreaks have always happened. But now researchers argue that melting sea ice amplifies atmospheric waves, destabilizing the vortex, and that’s why Texas froze in 2021. Cold equals warming. Or is it warming equals cold? I think they actually want it both ways.
Cohen’s team at MIT dug through data from 1980–2021 and identified five stratospheric “patterns.” Two were linked to U.S. cold spells. One has shown up more since 2015, coinciding with increasingly frequent La Niña events. But instead of highlighting that natural cooling phenomenon (La Niña), the story is bent back to CO2 emissions.
It gets worse for Cohen, because the Arctic hasn’t lost ice for 18 years, according to even mainstream papers and articles. In fact, extent has likely held steady for decades longer. As I reported last Thursday, the ‘big dip’ in the records post-2007 can be tied to 1) a satellite change, and 2) adjustments made to reduce things like false ice from melt ponds, weather contamination, and coastal spillover. Corrections, according to the NSIDC themselves, that trimmed extent values, especially during the melt season.
The combined effect of new instrument plus tighter algorithms created a systematic downward step in the series.
Blasts of Arctic air are encroaching deeper and deeper into the U.S., creating the kind of extreme cold that crippled Texas and Oklahoma in 2021. The establishment needed an explainer for these increasingly common freezes. Climate scientist Cohen was more than happy to oblige.
 

New Study: Hunga Tonga Not CO2
A new study finds the 2022 Hunga Tonga eruption, not rising CO2, drove the short-term warming seen in 2023–24.
https://setpublisher.com/index.php/jbas/article/view/2607
Lightfoot and Ratzer (2025) use the UAH satellite dataset, the most reliable global record and one that avoids distortions from urban heat. That record shows Earth cooled by about 0.5C between January 2019 and January 2023, in line with forecasts from solar physicists such as Valentina Zharkova, who argue that declining solar output will push temperatures back toward pre-industrial levels over the coming decades.
The sudden warming after 2022 was caused not by CO2 but by a single natural event.
On January 15, 2022, the Hunga Tonga submarine volcano exploded with record-breaking force, blasting 146 million metric tonnes (146 Tg H₂O) of water vapor into the stratosphere — an increase of at least 10% in its moisture content. Normally the stratosphere holds only a few parts per million of water vapor, typically ~4–6 ppm, but the eruption added at least 10% on top of that baseline — a sharp anomaly captured by NOAA balloon launches and NASA’s Aura satellite. The added vapor trapped outgoing heat, producing a measurable short-term spike.
By April 2024, satellite readings peaked at about 0.45C above the IPCC’s 1.5C line. Monthly anomalies hovered near or above that threshold for some time, which the media used to trumpet “new heat paradigm” fantasies. Yet the rise in CO2 during the same period was less than 1%. The correlation was not with greenhouse gases but with the volcanic injection of water vapor.
By July 2025 the warming spike had collapsed by more than half a degree C, returning the record to its cooling trend.
The authors stress that Earth briefly sat above the 1.5C mark with no disastrous effects. Hunga Tonga shows how natural events can overwhelm the slow rise of CO2, producing short-lived swings in global temperature that climate models fail to capture.
And now the focus shifts to what comes next. With the volcanic water vapor dissipating, the underlying cooling seen before 2022 is reasserting itself. The Sun remains the dominant regulator, with forecasts pointing to lower activity and so colder conditions into the 2030s. Agriculture, the paper warns, should prepare for shorter growing seasons, early frosts, and the real possibility of declining yields in the decades ahead.
You can read the paper in full here (PDF).

Michael Mann Is A “Weirdo” And A “Liar”
Michael Mann has built a career on lies.
One graphic and one narrative stand out: the infamous “hockey stick” temperature reconstruction that flattened a thousand years of natural climate variability into a straight line, then bolted on a sharp 20th-century rise to declare unprecedented warming. It was a statistical illusion, assembled by cherry-picking proxies and splicing thermometer data on top, but it became the icon of the IPCC’s Third Assessment Report and launched Mann into climate stardom.
Then came Climategate (2009), where leaked emails revealed Mann and colleagues plotting to “hide the decline,” blacklist skeptical scientists, manipulate peer review, pressure journals, and obstruct Freedom of Information requests. The correspondence, published for the world to see, showed not objective scientists but political operatives — gatekeeping, cherry-picking, and smearing critics.
Mann’s behavior outside academia has been just as revealing. He has cultivated a persona of aggrieved victimhood, insisting that anyone who questions him is part of a shadowy petrostate conspiracy, a “denier” funded by “dark money.” His social media rants verge on the unhinged: labeling opponents as “forces of evil,” demanding censorship, and pushing for indoctrination of schoolchildren with his brand of alarmism. He will not debate, dismissing critics as beneath him, yet he insists his opponents are the real threat to science.
The courts have caught up with him too. In his defamation case against writer Mark Steyn, Mann misled the judge, earning a ruling that effectively branded him a liar. He now owes Steyn over half a million dollars in legal costs. The veneer of the noble scientist “under siege” collapses when tested against evidence.
And still, Mann is promoted — a member of the National Academy of Sciences, given a platform for endless book tours, granted softball interviews where he blames every storm, drought, or cold wave on CO2. When Texas froze in 2021, he blamed fossil fuels. When California burned, he blamed fossil fuels. He has even claimed that questioning his work is tantamount to attacking science itself.
But his hockey stick was statistical trickery. His Climategate emails exposed deceit and collusion. His courtroom lies have cost him dearly. And his public rhetoric has devolved into paranoid smears against anyone who disagrees.
Mann is less a scientist than a political activist draped in lab-coat credibility. He has turned climate science into a blunt instrument of censorship and fear. As one critic put it: “Mann is the Lance Armstrong of climate.” The parallels fit — a manufactured image, protected by institutions, finally unraveling under the weight of its own BS. Meteorologist Chris Martz puts it a little more bluntly: “Most “climate scientists” are a bunch of weirdos.”

Antarctica’s Late Season Freeze; Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Higher Again In 2025; Atlantic Hurricane Season Stalls Out; NOAA Rewrites The Past — All The Time; Australia’s $22.9m Climate Report Is A Joke; + Sunspots Inbound

September 17, 2025 Cap Allon

Antarctica’s Late Season Freeze
Antarctica is still serving up deep winter cold — even as spring arrives.
At Concordia Station, a sequence of lows is perhaps marking the final gasp of the 2025 winter:
Sept 13: -71.4C (-96.5F) Sept 14: -73.4C (-100.1F) Sept 15: -74.9C (-102.8F) Sept 16: -73.8C (-100.8F)
That -74.9C (-102.8F) is particularly frigid for this late in the season.
 Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Higher Again In 2025
The minimum Arctic sea ice extent for 2025 has come in at 4.602 million km² — 350,000 km² more ice than in 2024 and 180,000 km² above the 2011–2020 average. “Ice-free” claims have failed for yet another summer.
In fact, any decline at all is built on shaky foundations. As recently reported, a switch in sensors and a reworked algorithm in 2006–07 created an artificial drop in the dataset. Since then, there has been no sustained decline in sea ice — further supporting the contention that the drop was a product of methodology, not reality.
Even mainstream literature exposes the problem.
The probability of an 18-year pause in Arctic sea ice melting under ongoing emissions was calculated by Swart et al. (2015) at less than 10% (chart below) — meaning experts assigned more than a 90% chance against what has actually happened.
Arctic sea ice is not disappearing, and the models, along with their architects, have been proven dead wrong.
 

Atlantic Hurricane Season Stalls Out
It has now been 19 days since the Atlantic last hosted a named storm.
From August 29 to September 16 not a single system has formed — the first time this has happened since 1939. Even during weak seasons, the late-Aug to mid-Sept period usually produces at least one storm.
For a basin hyped every year as on the verge of hyperactivity, this barren stretch comes as another reality check.
It also comes after a muted 2024. Though a word of caution… even last year’s dud of a season still managed two relative heavyweights late on: Helene, which made landfall Sept 26, and Milton, which hit Florida with destructive storm surges Oct 9.
So far, 2025 is proving another dud. But the guard cannot be let down. Not just yet.

NOAA Rewrites The Past — All The Time
The official U.S. temperature record (USHCN) is not fixed in stone. It is quietly re-written, day after day after day.
Take the data at Brewton, Alabama (Station No. 011084) for 1940 through 1950 (table below).
On June 25, 2025, the NOAA database listed one set of monthly temperatures for those eleven years, but when that same station was checked again on July 25, just one month later, every single number had been changed. The “official” historical temperature record was one thing in June, but then something entirely different in July.
The same is true for all other months. Across all other years. Not a single monthly value stays the same.
“The data is changed every day,” writes atmospheric scientist Wei Zhang.
NOAA calls this process “homogenization,” a statistical method supposedly used to correct for things like station moves or instrument changes. But in practice, it means the past is never settled. It can be whatever the government agency wants it to be.
The U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) is sold as the gold standard for U.S. temperatures, with policymakers and media outlets presenting its graphs as solid proof of “unprecedented warming.” Yet if baseline numbers from the 1940s, 1950s —or any decade— can be rewritten month to month, then the foundation of those claims is anything but solid.
Add politics and agendas to the mix, and you have a high risk of systemic rot.
 

Australia’s $22.9m Climate Report Is A Joke
Australia’s $22.9 million National Climate Risk Assessment has been condemned as a “complete abuse of taxpayer money.”
The 284-page report comes in at more than $80,600 per page. One diagram alone ran to around $50,000. That bought the Australian people a scatter of arrows and absurdly unhelpful ranges such as “-15% to +89% drought” and “-57% to +59% runoff.”
Institute of Public Affairs researcher Saxon Davidson described the report as “a disgrace” and “net zero propaganda.”
Tellingly, buried in the document, the authors admit it cannot be used to determine emission targets. They “disclaim all liability” for any damage caused by following the report’s findings. Australia paid $22.9 million for a report that explicitly warns it should not be used.

Sunspots Inbound
Over the next 2-3 days, sunspot counts are forecast to climb to their highest in weeks.
The jump signals an increased risk of flarings and CMEs — a heightened Kp.

Autumn Snow Increasing; Signals Of A Cold Winter Ahead; World’s Oceans Cool In September; + NASA Study Claims Sun “Recovered” After 2008

September 18, 2025 Cap Allon
Autumn Snow Increasing
The Rutgers Global Snow Lab shows large, early accumulations across northern Siberia as of September 17:

https://electroverse.info/autumn-snow-increasing-signals-of-a-cold-winter-ahead-worlds-oceans-cool-in-september-nasa-study-claims-sun-recovered-after-2008/

While early and heavy, this snow follows a trend.
Since records began (in 1967), Northern Hemisphere autumn snow cover has been on the up. Rutgers data show fall snow extent rising from ~18 million km² in the late 1960s to regularly exceeding 20 million km² in recent decades.
Several of the highest values on record have occurred since 2010:
Solid snow cover over Siberia often leads to a cold, snowy winter for Europe. Already, latest WO/GFS runs are hinting at at early taste of this for the continent. Fierce polar cold is forecast to funnel in starting Sept 25 and persist well into into October:

Heavy snow is on the cards for the Alps around Sept 25, and even in central Europe’s low mountain ranges by Sept 26. Scandinavia likewise will be hit, as will SW Ukraine, Romania and much of the Balkans — heavy accumulations could pile up here:

Signals Of A Cold Winter Ahead
The Intertropical Front (ITF) —the climatic equator— surged northward this summer, averaging 2.4° above its seasonal norm across Africa. The shift has delivered widespread rainfall to the Sahel, but it also points to something larger: altered hemispheric energy transport.
When the ITF pushes north, the tropics and Southern Hemisphere lock in more of the planet’s heat and moisture. Less is carried across the equator into the Northern Hemisphere. With less incoming energy, the north runs a deficit heading into winter — a setup that makes colder seasons more likely. The wetter Sahel is one visible marker of this imbalance.
And this year the ITF is not acting alone.
Global oceans are trending cool, with large swaths running below the 1991–2020 WMO baseline (see below). And a developing La Niña in the Pacific adds weight: La Niña winters often bring more blocking highs and increased Eurasian and North American snow cover.
On top of this, both the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO) are trending down. When negative, these indices weaken the westerlies and allow Arctic air to spill south into the mid-latitudes. That is the very pattern tied to some of the harshest winters on record.
Early-season data are already lining up. Snow has advanced quickly across northern Siberia this September (discussed above), and forecasts call for the first flakes in central Europe by late month. If that snowpack builds early, it will reinforce blocking highs and cold pooling across the continent.
Taken together —ITF northward, cooler oceans, La Niña, falling NAO/AO, and early snow— the signals are stacking the deck toward cold. Mainstream mid-range models will continue to project mild, but the physical drivers are pointing the other way.

World’s Oceans Cool In September
NOAA’s reanalysis shows the world’s oceans running cold during the first half of September 2025.
Outside of a patch of warmth in the northern North Pacific, much of the world’s oceans are dominated by average to below-average sea surface temperatures compared to the 1991–2020 WMO climate baseline — that’s large areas of Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian basins all shaded blue and purple, indicating anomalies of up to -3C:
Oceans drive weather and climate. When such vast areas are running below average, the knock-on effects can be profound: shifts in storm tracks, altered monsoon patterns, and a drag on global temperatures. For all the headlines about “boiling seas,” September 2025 is swinging the opposite way — a cooling world ocean, and with it, the prospect of a cooling planet.
Source: NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, NCEP/NCAR reanalysis.
 

NASA Study Claims Sun “Recovered” After 2008
NASA scientists Jasinski & Velli (2025) have published a paper in The Astrophysical Journal Letters declaring that the Sun has “reversed its decades-long weakening trend.”
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/2041-8213/adf3a6/pdf

Using OMNI-2 solar wind data, they note modest upticks since 2008: speed (+6%), density (+26%), temperature (+29%), dynamic pressure (+34%), and interplanetary magnetic field strength (+31%).
On the back of this data, they conclude that the exceptional weakness of Solar Cycle 24 (2008–2019) was merely an “outlier” — not evidence of a long-term decline into another Maunder or Dalton-type minimum.
Their argument is this: solar wind parameters bottomed out around the deep 2008 minimum, and have since climbed back. Cycle 25’s sunspot numbers have come in higher than Cycle 24’s, reinforcing the idea of recovery. Their conclusion: the Sun is not entering a modern grand minimum, and forecasts of extended low activity were premature.
Problem 1: These “recoveries” are measured against the weakest cycle in the Space Age. Yes, dynamic pressure is up from 1.39 nPa in 2008 to 1.86 in 2025, but it remains well below the 2.36 nPa average at the end of the 20th century. The Sun is still historically weak. To call this a meaningful rebound is premature.
Problem 2: Cherry-picking the baseline. The paper starts its “trend” in 2008, which, as touched on above, was during the deepest solar minimum in a century+ (likely since the Dalton Minimum). Of course you can plot an upward slope if you begin at the pit. Extend the chart back to 1990, however, and the secular decline in activity since Solar Cycle 22 is unmistakable.
Problem 3: NASA frames any breaking of a downward trend as statistically significant, but past minima have contained similar “blips”. The current uptick could easily be a temporary oscillation, not a structural reversal.
Take the Gleissberg Minimum (~1880–1930).
Looking at the chart (below), SC13 is seen to be higher than 12, but then 14 came in lower than them both: Solar Cycle 13, which is comparable to today’s 25, was not the start of a recovery. And in the same stretch, 15 is higher than 14, with 16 lower.
alentina Zharkova’s solar dynamo model still projects a deep minimum stretching into the 2030s. Russian solar physicists have published similar low-activity forecasts for decades, warning of a prolonged cooling phase tied to reduced solar output again starting in the 2030s (Abdussamatov, Nagovitsyn, and Tikhonov—to name three). Even McIntosh & Leamon’s “terminator” framework, while predicting a stronger Cycle 25, does not imply that higher activity will persist beyond it.
Solar forecasting remains an uncertain science. NASA is betting that one slightly higher cycle signals the end of a multi-decade decline. But given the depth of SC24 and the failure of SC25 to regain late-20th-century levels, along with the false recoveries of past minima (like the Gleissberg, noted above), it’s just as plausible that the Sun is wobbling along a path to a longer minimum.
It has paid to go against NASA’s predictions in the past — recall their failed forecasts of a strong Cycle 24.
Yes, 25 is higher than its predecessor, but it is still historically weak. Sunspot counts are still far below those of the late 20th century. That does not spell “recovery.” It spells uncertainty. And when it comes to the Sun, humility is the only honest forecast: Who knows?
Solar Cycle 26 is due to commence around 2030.

Saudi Arabia Chills; Early Snow Hits Turkey; SSW And Winter 2025-26; The Sun And AMO Signal Colder Winters Ahead; Met Office Caught Fabricating Half a Century of Data

September 19, 2025 Cap Allon

Saudi Arabia Chills
Forecasts show a continued cool-down across Saudi Arabia, with overnight lows slipping well below seasonal norms.
A cooler air mass continues to dominate the northern sector of the Kingdom, dragging nights lower. Areas such as Jabal Al Lawz will see the sharpest drops, down to around 12C (54F), with nearby Al Uqlan and surrounding mountains posting similar lows.
In Tabuk itself, dawn readings of 19C (66F) are on the cards — very cool compared to the late-summer heat typical of the region. Similar conditions are expected further east in Al-Jawf and along the Jordanian border.
For mid-September in Saudi Arabia, such lows are considered impressive.

https://electroverse.info/saudi-arabia-chills-early-snow-hits-turkey-ssw-and-winter-2025-26-the-sun-and-amo-signal-colder-winters-ahead-met-office-caught-fabricating-half-a-century-of-data/

 Early Snow Hits Turkey
Headed west, snow is hitting the Artvin Highlands of northeastern Turkey this morning (Sept 19):
This snow is running ahead of schedule, nodding to the broader theme already emerging across Eurasia this month. Anomalous snow cover has been building in Siberia since mid-Sept, and forecasts show incursions deep into Europe before the month is out.

SSW And Winter 2025-26
The stratospheric polar vortex is reforming over the Arctic. Early indicators show it weaker than average, raising the risk of disruption later this winter.
A Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event —a rapid rise in stratospheric temperatures that destabilizes the vortex— can force Arctic air south into Siberia, North America, and Europe. Roughly two-thirds of major SSWs produce surface impacts, namely prolonged cold spells, heavy snowfall, and overall jet stream disruption.
The chart (below) tracks the zonal mean wind at 60°N and 10 hPa, the standard measure of vortex strength. While winds are now climbing from their summer minimum, the forecast spread shows the circulation developing below the long-term ERA5 average.
Autumn or early-season disturbances, namely anomalously strong upward propagation of planetary and gravity waves, can “precondition” the stratospheric polar vortex by weakening it and reducing its resilience. This makes the vortex more vulnerable so that later forcing in mid/late winter has a higher chance of triggering a full Sudden Stratospheric Warming.
In short: A weaker vortex entering autumn is more vulnerable to disruption later in the season. (Yang et al. 2023)
The timeline and severity remain uncertain, and not every SSW reaches the surface. But if the vortex does collapse —and recent winters suggest this is becoming more common— then large parts of the NH could face sustained cold in early 2026.
 

The Sun And AMO Signal Colder Winters Ahead
The charts below track two of the most important drivers of Earth’s climate…
1) Solar activity.
Sunspot counts show the familiar 11-year solar cycle, but also broader multidecadal swings.
2) The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO).
The AMO reflects sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic.
From 1980 to around 2000 the Sun was exceptionally active, a period called the Modern Solar Maximum. Looking at the AMO chart, we see this period coincided with its positive (warm) phases (readings above 0).
The AMO goes through positive and negative (cool) phases, lasting 30 to 40 years each. Historically, these phases have lagged solar output, with warmer phases lining up after strong solar decades and cooler phases following weaker ones.
The AMO has been positive since the mid-1990s, in step with the solar maximum of the late 20th century. With the Sun now well into decline, the AMO is expected to tip negative again, likely locking into that state for the next 30 to 35 years.
Negative AMO phases are strongly tied to colder, drier winters across large swathes of the Northern Hemisphere as ocean temperatures influence circulation patterns, storm tracks and blocking over the North Atlantic.
The cold, snowy winters of the 1960s and 1970s occurred during the last negative AMO phase, just as the weaker solar decades of the early 20th century coincided with the previous one.
The Sun has already weakened, and the Atlantic will follow, as per the pattern. When it does, Europe, in particular, should prepare for decades of harsher winters, an outlook entirely at odds with what governments are currently ‘preparing’ their people for.
 

Met Office Caught Fabricating Half A Century Of Data
The Met Office sells its station archive as a gold-standard record of UK climate. But recent digging shows much of it is nothing but stitched together guesswork.
At RAF Valley in Anglesey, data is listed back to 1930, despite the station only opening in June 1941. Those phantom years were lifted from another station, Salt-Holyhead, located six miles away — a fact the Met Office has long known but never corrected.
Cwmystradllyn is worse. The station ran for just eight years, collecting temperatures from 1974–1982 (and even then missed more than 10% of days, rounding the rest to whole degrees). Yet the Met Office database shows rolling monthly averages back to 1961 and continuing to the present, calculated to two decimal places. The missing decades have been filled in by CARLOS, a system that invents figures using “neighbouring stations,” but the Met Office refuses to name these nearby stations, rejecting Freedom of Information requests as “vexatious.”
These aren’t isolated issues. The majority of the Met Office’s active stations are poorly sited, according to WMO guidelines. Nearly 80% of the Met Office’s 380 active sites are classed 4 or 5, meaning official uncertainties of 2–5C. Add station moves, closures, and fabrications like Valley and Cwmystradllyn, and what remains is hardly a robust “gold-standard” record — yet it underpins glossy “State of the UK Climate” reports, cited to two decimal places and weaponized for Net Zero propaganda.
This isn’t unique to Britain either. In the US, NOAA’s homogenization quietly rewrites historical readings, lowering past warmth and inflating recent highs. While in Australia, the Bureau of Meteorology has repeatedly been caught adjusting raw data to exaggerate warming trends. Even smaller agencies like Switzerland’s MeteoSwiss has been shown to play the same game.
Everywhere the pattern is on repeat: patchy, corrupted, or entirely manufactured observations dressed up as precise climate records, then used to drive political messaging.

15 SEPTEMBER 2025

Winter weather in September stretches from the high mountains of Alaska to NE Canada and Greenland, Iceland, Norway to eastern Siberia. Heavy snows with cooling temperatures are predicted by the European model as strong waves in the jet stream produce intense surface Highs and Lows in a relatively slow moving pattern. “Central Nebraska has just endured one of its coldest late-August to early-September periods on record.”From August 23 through September 7, daily highs in Hastings averaged just 73.9F (23C) with lows at 56.8F (14C). Grand Island wasn’t far off, with highs of 74.2F (23C) and lows of 55.9F (13C). Both sites ran about 7F (4C) below normal for the stretch.” “In Minnesota, Duluth tied its 1904 record at just 52F (11.1C), Hibbing set a new low maximum at 50F (10C), and Ashland, Wisconsin broke its 1926 mark with 53F (11.7C). International Falls tied its 53F (11.7C) record, and Brainerd matched 57F (13.9C).” ECMWF model new snow predictions range from 2-4 m in Alaska and the Yukon to 5-30 cm in Colorado. Colorado had it’s first dustings this weekend.
“A fast-moving solar wind stream struck Earth on September 14, driving an unexpectedly strong G3-class geomagnetic storm. Auroras lit up skies as far south as Colorado overnight, with vivid displays reported across Canada and the northern U.S.”

Europe continues to be under the influence of a winter-like trough with cold air pushing south to the Mediterranean Sea. The Alps highest mountains from the Maritimes to Austria have 10-30 cm forecasts.
“Autumn’s freeze has wasted no time: Russia and Canada have already posted their first -10C (14F) readings of the season. In Russia, Batagay-Alyta fell to -10.4C (13.3F), Suhana to -10.3C (13.5F), and Deputatsky to -10.1C (13.8F). While across the Arctic in Canada, Isachsen tanked to -10.3C (13.5F).” The Tibetan Plateau continued to get 50 to 150 cm snows and the Hindu Kush is now hitting 1 m on the high peaks.

Southern hemisphere winter is still quite strong from Australia to the Andes with late season heavy snows in the Snowy range (30 to 60 cm), very heavy 2-4 meter snows in the New Zealand Alps with rainforest precipitation of 400 to 700+ mm predicted, to 30 -60 cm in the Andes of Peru and Bolivia and 2-4 m in the southern Andes. South Georgia Island also has 80-120 cm in its 15-day forecasts. The Rockies and Sierra also have early dustings 5 - 30 cm of new snow. "Snow depths across Australia’s alpine regions are surging. At Spencers Creek, snowpack has towered over historical comparisons. Depth is exceeding 2m (6.6ft) — far outpacing 1954 even, the first year in the books:”

The Antarctic continues to have intense storms marching around the Continent with very cold -60 to -70ºC temperatures and 1-3 m of coastal snows. Ground blizzards of 30 to 60 kts are along the coast. Little America reached -31ºC, still quite cold.

New album: Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/27/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 27 January showed warming off Ecuador with cooling from 120 to180º W. This warming continued this week of 12 April. The warming turned neutral to cold in May 3rd’s analysis. Today the pattern is neutral with a forecast of a brief la Nina by November. See the albums.

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 15 September 2025

Records Continue To Fall In U.S.; La Niña Update; European Winter Forecast Calls For Arctic Finish; Southern SSW; + New Study: IPCC’s Models “Significantly Overestimate” Sea Level Rise
https://electroverse.info/records-continue-to-fall-in-u-s-la-nina-update-european-winter-forecast-calls-for-arctic-finish-southern-ssw-new-study-ipccs-models-significantly-overestimate-sea-le/

September 8, 2025 Cap Allon
Records Continue To Fall In U.S.
Early September is delivering November-like chill across large swathes of the United States.
On Saturday, Sheridan, Wyoming posted 31F (–0.6C), while Baker, Montana dropped to 30F (–1.1C) — both new records. Livingston tied its 32F (0C) mark. Patchy frost was reported across ranchland, a rare sight for September’s opening week.
In Minnesota, Duluth tied its 1904 record at just 52F (11.1C), Hibbing set a new low maximum at 50F (10C), and Ashland, Wisconsin broke its 1926 mark with 53F (11.7C). International Falls tied its 53F (11.7C) record, and Brainerd matched 57F (13.9C).
Further south, Lexington, Kentucky logged its fourth record low in two weeks, falling to 45F (7.2C) Sunday morning. Burlington, Iowa tied its Sept 7 record of 42F (5.6C) from 1956, with nearby towns also dipping into the low 40s (≈5–6C).
A slew of daily records have fallen over the past 24 hours…

La Niña Update
Another La Niña could emerge this fall.
The WMO pegs the odds at 55% for September–November, rising to 60% for October–December.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has already issued a La Niña Watch, pointing to a weak phase late in 2025 before fading back to neutral in early 2026.
While the IRI forecast shows neutral clinging on with a 68% chance through August–October, but La Niña odds climb toward 40–45% by winter.
La Niña is historically linked to global cooling. Over the past 9 years, La Niña has dominated 7 — whether through weak or moderate phases: 2016, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2021, 2022, and early 2023. This is the exact opposite of early AGW predictions, which favored El Niño as the dominant ENSO pattern moving forward.
 

Mkweather calls it “a winter written by teleconnections” — meaning the season’s path is being dictated by large-scale drivers. La Niña, the weakening polar vortex, and a likely swing of the NAO from positive to negative could see northern blocking and Arctic air dominating later on, delivering cold waves capable of rivaling the harshest winter freezes in modern times.
 

Southern SSW
The southern stratospheric polar vortex is tracking at unprecedented weakness for early September.
Zonal winds at 60S, 10 hPa have collapsed sharply from August highs, now running well below the multidecadal envelope, according to NOAA CPC data.
For the first time since 2002, a full-blown Southern Hemisphere sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event is possible.
That 2002 breakdown delivered historic impacts, with Antarctic air spilling into South America and Australia, leading to record frosts, disrupted agriculture, and altered ozone concentrations above the pole.
A similar scenario now looms. When the vortex weakens, the containment of Antarctic air fails, allowing polar cold to escape northward into mid-latitudes. The resulting circulation shifts can persist for weeks, reshaping weather far from Antarctica.
This development adds to the global cooling trend that began in 2024 (likely earlier but the Hunga Tonga eruption is looking to have delayed things a couple of years). Rather than accelerating warming, as foretold by The Narrative, atmospheric dynamics are instead flashing cold signals from pole to pole.
The coming weeks will determine how much of this Antarctic air escapes. If the vortex continues to collapse, the Southern Hemisphere could face its first full-blown SSW in more than two decades — with widespread implications.
In related news, ocean temperatures are continuing their decline, much to the ignoration of Greta’s flotilla.

Coldest Start To September On Record; First -10Cs Of The Season In Russia And Canada; Snowy Australia; Antarctica Is Doing Just Fine; + Atlantic Still Quiet Even At Hurricane Season Peak

September 9, 2025 Cap Allon
Coldest Start To September On Record
At least seven states reported record lows Monday morning as an early-season chill spread across the eastern U.S.
The NWS’s Weather Prediction Center confirmed records in Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Missouri, and Alabama, with ties logged in Minnesota, Illinois, Maryland, and Connecticut.
Frost advisories extended across parts of Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, and New York, where overnight readings in the low 30s (–1C to 1C) threatened crops and gardens. Sioux City, South Dakota dropped to 36F (2.2C), breaking its 1986 record, while Mitchell fell to 35F (1.7C), a mark last seen in 1898.

https://electroverse.info/coldest-start-to-september-on-record-first-10cs-of-the-season-in-russia-and-canada-snowy-australia-antarctica-is-doing-just-fine-atlantic-still-quiet-even-at-hurricane-season-peak/

Sheridan, Wyoming, Baker, Montana, and multiple stations in Minnesota and Wisconsin also set or tied daily records over the weekend.
Local forecasters are noting the broader anomaly. In northeast Wisconsin, for example, meteorologist Cameron Moreland reported the region is off to its coldest start to September since records began in 1886, with temperatures running about 10F below average. Monday’s low of 38F (3.3C) was the coldest this early in the month since 1988.
With September barely underway, the coldest start in nearly 140 years signals that this coming winter may not be a gentle one.
For reference (map below), thirty-eight states set their September highs before 1955, with 30 of them before 1950.

First -10Cs Of The Season In Russia And Canada
Autumn’s freeze has wasted no time: Russia and Canada have already posted their first -10C (14F) readings of the season.
In Russia, Batagay-Alyta fell to -10.4C (13.3F), Suhana to -10.3C (13.5F), and Deputatsky to -10.1C (13.8F).
While across the Arctic in Canada, Isachsen tanked to -10.3C (13.5F).
The first -10Cs in northern Siberia usually arrive toward late September or early October. To see them register this early is another nod to the advancing seasonal chill we’ve been tracking.
Winter is pressing in early from the north.
 

Snowy Australia
Snow depths across Australia’s alpine regions are surging.
At Spencers Creek, snowpack has towered over historical comparisons.
Depth is exceeding 2m (6.6ft) — far outpacing 1954 even, the first year in the books:
This reality is the direct opposite of the predictions made by the CSIRO and other establishment climate bodies, which have long insisted that Australian snow would be all but gone by now. The models forecasted collapse — instead we have growth.
 

Antarctica Is Doing Just Fine
The data from UAH satellites show that South Polar temperatures have been flat to declining since records began in 1979.
Despite a relentless climb in atmospheric CO2, from ~340 ppm in 1980 to over 420 ppm today, the Antarctic lower troposphere has shown no warming trend.
Carbon dioxide, as it has done for hundreds-of-millions of years, plays no discernible role in temperature. This chart plainly demolishes the claim that CO2 is the climate’s “control knob”. If that claim were true, the South Pole —particularly with its clean, unpolluted air and minimal heat island effects— should show a clean and clear warming signature. It doesn’t.
The UAH begins in 1979 (the start of the satellite era), but since the 1950s several meteorological stations have been tracking temperatures in Antarctic. Inconveniently for the bed-wetting, data-fudging alarmists they also show no trend:

The Sun is coming
Roughly two-weeks before sunrise, the Sun has been pictured just below the horizon, behind the Dark Sector Laboratory (DSL) and the South Pole Telescope (SPT) at the Amundsen–Scott Station:

Atlantic Still Quiet Even At Hurricane Season Peak
The Atlantic Basin is experiencing a lull at the very height of hurricane season.
The first 10 days of September typically mark the statistical peak. In 2025, however, activity has all but ground to a halt — a scenario virtually unheard of for early September.
It’s been quiet all season, in fact. It’s September 9 but we’ve only reached the F-named storm (Ferdinand).
Storm formation has failed.
Meteorologists suspect strong upper-level winds are disrupting systems across the Caribbean and Main Development Region, preventing them from organizing. These unfavorable conditions are expected to linger through mid-Sept, extending the lull.
Pre-season forecasts called for above-normal hurricane activity in 2025, as they did last year (Michael Mann projected a record 33 named storms for 2024—the highest total ever predicted), but both seasons have been duds.
There’s still some time for 2025, the Atlantic Hurricane Season runs to November, but the first half, and now the busiest stretch, have delivered nothing of note.

New Zealand Resort Revived; NOAA Data: Cooler Than 1904; ASEAN Chooses Coal Over Fairy Tales; Skepticism On The Rise; + Scientific Fraud Inc.

September 10, 2025 Cap Allon
New Zealand Resort Revived
While the Aussie Alps logged one of their best winters in years, alarmists pointed across the Tasman at New Zealand’s sparse snowpack as their proof of “climate breakdown”. But spring has flipped the script.
Temple Basin Ski Area, which announced closure in late August after weeks of bare rock, was hit with a foot and a half of fresh snow late last week. Enough to reopen for the weekend, spin lifts, and bring skiers and boarders back up the slopes.
“It was simply fantastic,” said Temple Basin president Peter Marriott. “Really good snow with really good people, and lots of smiles.”

https://electroverse.info/new-zealand-resort-revived-noaa-data-cooler-than-1904-asean-chooses-coal-over-fairy-tales-skepticism-on-the-rise-scientific-fraud-inc/

NOAA Data: Cooler Than 1904
August 2025 finished cooler than August 1904, according to NOAA’s own data.
Even NOAA, famed for its adjustments, gap-filling, homogenization, and urban heat island downplaying, can’t conjure all that much warming. Maximum temperatures, the measure of true heat extremes, have barely shifted in over 100 years:
 

ASEAN Chooses Coal Over Fairy Tales
ASEAN is a 650-million-strong economic engine, and its electricity demand is exploding.
In 2023 alone, the regional bloc —made up of Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam— added nearly 45 TWh of new demand, 96% of which was met by coal.
Indonesia, the world’s nickel hub for EV batteries, leaned on coal for two-thirds of its extra 17 TWh in 2023. The Philippines generates more than 60% of its power from coal. Malaysia and Vietnam each around half.
Meanwhile, wind and solar together provide just 4.5% of ASEAN’s electricity — a token gesture.
The money is going into oil, coal, and gas. Ultra-supercritical coal plants at Malaysia’s Manjung and Indonesia’s Batang operate at higher efficiency and lower emissions than older designs. ASEAN governments are investing hundreds of billions into coal and gas projects — nobody spends that kind of money if the plan is to abandon fossil fuels in a decade, which is the current pledge.
Every new highway, airport, and factory rising across ASEAN runs on fossil fuels, and almost every EV battery sold to the west as ‘green’ is made from burning coal (from mining, to smelting, to the processing of nickel, cobalt, and lithium).
The East has it right: prosperity first.
 

Skepticism On The Rise
Britons are tuning out the climate alarm. According to a 2025 Times poll, the share who believe global-warming threats are exaggerated has jumped more than 50% since 2021. One in four now dismiss the claims outright.
Support for banning new petrol and diesel cars has fallen from 51% to under 30%. Just 16% are willing to pay higher gas bills to fund electrification. Confidence in the government’s 2050 net-zero pledge has halved, from 32% to 15%.
Older voters lead the skepticism, but even the youngest are moving: 15% of 18–24-year-olds now say the threat is exaggerated, up from 11%.
Other polls echo the trend. Research by More in Common and Climate Outreach found just 48% now view net-zero positively—down from 62% a year earlier.
Consensus is fracturing and trust is draining.
Little wonder…
 

Scientific Fraud Inc.
Scientific publishing is no longer just tainted by bias — it’s being run like an organized crime racket.
A new study exposes how fraud has become industrialized, with networks of editors, authors, and brokers colluding to pump fake research into the system, an operation now openly called the paper mill.
The investigation, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, shows how the fraud works in practice. Journals rely on editors to decide what gets published. Increasingly though, these editors are approving papers that later collapse under scrutiny and have to be retracted. In many cases, groups of editors and authors are effectively working together — one approves the other’s paper, and the favor is returned.
Then there are the brokers: middlemen who take stacks of low-quality or outright fabricated studies and funnel them into journals willing to look the other way. At PLOS ONE, a supposedly reputable “megajournal,” one editor oversaw 79 papers, and 49 were eventually retracted. Hindawi, another big open-access publisher, became so saturated with paper-mill products that Wiley (its owner) had to close hundreds of titles. And at Frontiers, investigators just uncovered a network of 35 editors and authors responsible for more than 4,000 dubious papers across seven different publishers with 122 of them already retracted.
Fraudulent studies are doubling every 18 months, ten times the growth rate of legitimate science, as per the research. Retractions can’t keep up. And this isn’t hidden in the shadows — companies like ARDA in India openly charge $250–500 to place papers in “high-impact” journals, advertising the service more like a pay-to-play marketplace than a scientific one.
These pay-to-publish studies seep into reviews and meta-analyses, get cited by the mainstream press, and ultimately shape the policies governments enforce. In medicine, that corrupts our understanding of drugs and treatments. In climate science, it feeds directly into global schemes like carbon taxes and Net Zero mandates — policies built on rotten data.
As Wolfgang Kaltenbrunner of Leiden University notes: “Perverse incentives, inflated metrics, the ‘publish or perish’ culture, and systemic tolerance for weak scholarship all allow paper mills to flourish.”
Fraud has been industrialized. Publishers and funders have little incentive to stop it, because the machine generates headlines, grants, and control. The term “consensus” was always political, now the academic scaffolding it rests on is increasingly fake, too.
You can read the full investigation here.
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2420092122

Nebraska’s Coldest Late-Summer Stretch In Almost A Century; NSW’s Cold, Wet Winter; Why Arctic Sea Ice Suddenly Dropped In 2008 (Hint: It Wasn’t Nature); + Large Coronal Hole Targets Earth

September 11, 2025 Cap Allon
Nebraska’s Coldest Late-Summer Stretch In Almost A Century
Central Nebraska has just endured one of its coldest late-August to early-September periods on record.
From August 23 through September 7, daily highs in Hastings averaged just 73.9F (23C) with lows at 56.8F (14C). Grand Island wasn’t far off, with highs of 74.2F (23C) and lows of 55.9F (13C). Both sites ran about 7F (4C) below normal for the stretch.
According to the National Weather Service, this was the second-coolest such period on record (since 1935) for Hastings and the fourth-coolest for Grand Island (since 1896).
The chill made for lower A/C usage but also slowed crop development heading into harvest.

https://electroverse.info/nebraskas-coldest-late-summer-stretch-in-almost-a-century-nsws-cold-wet-winter-why-arctic-sea-ice-suddenly-dropped-in-2008-hint-it-wasnt-nature-large-coronal-hole-targets-earth/

 NSW’s Cold, Wet Winter
Winter 2025 in New South Wales was marked by unusual cold, heavy rain, and snow. Across the state, minimum temperatures dropped well below average in many regions.
Towns such as Armidale and Lismore recorded their lowest winter mean maximums on record, while stations at Narooma and Mangrove Mountain set new lows for winter minimums.
Early August delivered snowfalls of up to 40 cm (16 in) in the Northern Tablelands, considered rare.
Sydney reflected the broader chill and posted its wettest winter since 2007. August alone brought 389.6 mm (15.3 in), ranking as the third wettest August on record. Alongside the deluge came some of the coldest nights in years.
Even the warm-mongering Bureau of Meteorology confirmed winter 2025 as the second coolest of the decade — nationally.
 

Northwest Passage Blocked
Canadian Ice Service charts for September 9 show thick, old ice sealing the Amundsen Gulf—the western doorway to the southern route of the Northwest Passage—forcing any through-transit to rely on icebreakers.
This is not the High Arctic; Amundsen Gulf sits near 70N between Banks and Victoria Islands, opening into the Beaufort Sea—the “gateway” to the Passage. In a normal year most ice here has broken up by July, sometimes it takes until August.
The southern Canadian Archipelago from Amundsen to Queen Maud Gulfs has a median shipping season from late July to mid-October. In other words, early-September is typically navigable. This year’s hard choke is unusual.
Sources: Canadian Ice Service; US National Ice Center; NASA Earth Observatory; NOAA Climate.gov; Copernicus.eu.
 

Why Arctic Sea Ice Suddenly Dropped In 2008 (Hint: It Wasn’t Nature)
Arctic sea ice charts show a sharp downward break between 2006 and 2007, as if a “sudden new climate regime” had arrived. But this reflects a satellite sensor failure and subsequent switch in instruments and algorithms, not an abrupt natural shift.
Until mid-2006, sea ice was tracked with the DMSP F13 SSM/I sensor. By 2007, F13 was degrading, with calibration drift and intermittent data loss. To preserve continuity, monitoring moved to the newer DMSP F17 SSMIS sensor (with partial use of F15 during the overlap).
NSIDC acknowledges that statistically significant differences exist between F13 and F17, introducing a baseline offset in extent and area.
Alongside the sensor transition, NSIDC also refined its processing: adjustments were made to reduce false ice from melt ponds, weather contamination, and coastal spillover. These corrections further trimmed extent values, especially during the melt season. The combined effect of new instrument plus tighter algorithms created a systematic downward step in the series.
There is no known physical mechanism capable of producing a one-year, multi-million square-kilometer loss of sea ice that then remains baked into every subsequent year. The timing of the break matches the sensor transition, not a sudden change in ocean or atmospheric forcing. Alarmists don’t know this. They still highlight the post-2006 data as evidence of a climate-driven collapse.
It is also worth mentioning the slew of news articles (based on a recent paper) that admit “no Arctic sea ice change in 20 years.” They’re measuring from the artificial 2006–2007 step. Remove that glitch, and there’s actually been no real change since the satellite era began.

Stanley’s Cold August; Snow Forecast In Utah; Britain Faces Blackouts: Net Zero Disaster; + Sea Levels: No Runaway Rise

September 12, 2025 Cap Allon
Stanley‘s Cold August
Stanley, Virginia just logged its coolest August in 57 years.
Afternoon highs averaged 79.9F (27C), more than 5F below normal. The thermometer hit 90F (32C) only once, on Aug 17, topping out at 91F (33C). By comparison, August 1988 averaged 89.4F (32C) with 20 days above 90F.
Lows averaged 61.3F (16C), with the monthly minimum of 49F (9C) posted on Aug 30.
Records fell, including on Aug 28 when 51F (11C) bested a 1969 benchmark.
Stanley’s chill was no anomaly. NOAA data show the U.S. as a whole endured a markedly cool August — finishing cooler than August 1904 and many Augusts since. Maximums, as per even the official data, have barely budged in more than a century:

https://electroverse.info/stanleys-cold-august-snow-forecast-in-utah-britain-faces-blackouts-net-zero-disaster-sea-levels-no-runaway-rise/

Snow Forecast In Utah
Utah’s peaks are forecast their first flakes of the season this weekend as a Gulf of Alaska low slides into the state.
The National Weather Service gives Kings Peak, Utah’s tallest mountain, an 80% chance of collecting some snow by early Sunday. Other high points in the Uintas and Cottonwood Canyons could also get a brushing.
Widespread precipitation is expected across central and eastern Utah, according to the latest models, with maybe even an inch in places like Price, Moab, and Blanding. Salt Lake City will feel a sharp cool-down.
The first snows typically arrive in Utah’s mountains in September. Last year they came on Sept 17, while 2023 brought a much heavier Labor Day dumping. This year’s first storms, while modest, mark the seasonal shift all the same.
To the east, mid-range forecasters are already warning of the potential for above-average October snow in western New York. There is a high risk of lake-effect events there, reminiscent of Buffalo’s notorious October 2006 “surprise” storm that dumped 2+ feet in two days.
 

Britain Faces Blackouts: Net Zero Disaster
Within just five years, a third of Britain’s gas fleet —built in the 1990s— will retire alongside most nuclear reactors.
“We would not be able to manage demand under those circumstances,” warns energy consultant Katherine Porter. “We would have to ration.” New gas plants can’t fill the gap, she notes: “The lead time to buy a gas turbine is eight years.” Coal, available in three, may be the only fallback. But the government has made it clear that Net Zero takes precedence over energy security.
The current energy-profits levy pushes effective taxes on North Sea operators above 100%. “Harbour Energy said in some cases they’re paying 110%,” explains Porter. Firms are cutting UK jobs and shifting abroad, which means the Treasury is already losing tax revenue. By the 2030s, it will also be forced to pay out billions in decommissioning rebates — money it doesn’t have.
Labour’s chosen savior, wind, still can’t stand on its own after 35 years of subsidies. Developers now say they need a guaranteed price of £83 for every megawatt hour of electricity they produce, even though the average wholesale price is only £73. In other words, wind is still more expensive than gas power, and consumers are expected to make up the difference. Even with that 13% premium, Ørsted scrapped its flagship Hornsea 4 offshore project because it still didn’t stack up economically.
The output figures are no better. Despite more turbines, UK wind generation actually fell 6% last year. Imports from Europe dropped 10%, and gas use had to rise 17% to cover the shortfall. Wind turbines only generate at about 35% of their stated capacity, which means two days out of three they produce little or nothing. That forces the system to keep gas plants ready as backup, extend costly new grid connections to remote sites, pay billions to shut turbines off when the grid can’t take their output, and spend billions more balancing the constant surges and lulls that come with weather-based power.
“The end cost of renewables to the consumer is significantly higher than gas,” Porter concludes.
Nuclear, the only serious zero-carbon baseload, has been buried in red tape. Kepco builds reactors in South Korea in under nine years for $6 billion (Kori 3 & 4). Britain stumbles toward £35 billion per plant (Hinkley Point C). “This is all because of our ridiculously stupid regulatory system,” says Porter.
Fracking remains banned under seismic limits “equivalent to dropping a pen on the floor.”
And all the while, the grid is ageing. Transformers from the 1960s and 70s are failing. Heathrow’s March blackout was a warning. Yet spending goes to new renewable connections instead of replacing life-expired kit.
“We are heading towards a situation where not only do we have very expensive energy, we’re also having insecure energy,” concludes Porter. The government’s Net Zero obsession is driving the UK into economic and literal darkness. And for what?

Sea Levels: No Runaway Rise
NASA’s satellite record shows global mean sea level down 3 mm since late 2023 — from 100.7 mm to 97.6 mm by Sept 2025. At the oft-cited rise rate of 3.4 mm/yr, we should have seen close to +7 mm. Instead, the line has flattened, even fallen.
Short windows don’t overturn long-term context, but natural cycles clearly dominate.
During the 2010–11 La Niña, heavy rains pulled enough water onto land to drop sea levels by ~5 mm in less than a year.
Tide gauges, with records stretching back 150 years, show the same: a slow, steady rise of ~1–2 mm/yr, beginning in the 1800s as the Little Ice Age ended. Satellites only began in 1993 (altimetry of sea level) and rely on “adjustments” that inflate the rate to 3.4 mm/yr, yet even they display pauses and dips that contradict the narrative of relentless acceleration.
A 2025 statistical review of 204 tide gauges worldwide found 95% show no statistically significant acceleration in the modern rate of rise. The handful that do reflect local geology (land motion, subsidence) — not global climate.
On average, the observed rate is just 1.5–1.9 mm/yr, well below the ~3.4 mm/yr assumed by IPCC models.
There is no evidence of a global acceleration, no runaway rise, and no looming “drowning world.” What the data show is unpredictable but modest change consistent with natural variability and a gentle rebound from the Little Ice Age.
Sources: NASA, CSIRO, PSMSL, Voortman & De Vos (2025)

Biting Cold In Canada’s Far North; Cleveland’s 22 Days Of Chill; Colorado’s First Snows; La Niña Locks In, Cooling Deepens; Pole Shift Update; Auroras Reach CO; + The Climate Hustle Is Failing

September 15, 2025 Cap Allon
Biting Cold In Canada’s Far North
The likes of Nunavut are continuing their early-season plunges.

https://electroverse.info/biting-cold-in-canadas-far-north-clevelands-22-days-of-chill-colorados-first-snows-la-nina-locks-in-cooling-deepens-pole-shift-update-auroras-reach-co-the-climate-hustle-i/

On September 14, Isachsen (78.5N) logged -14.8C (5F) — a very cold reading for mid-Sept. While further north, at Svartevaeg/Cape Stallworthy (81.2N), thermometers dipped to -12.3C (10F).
The sun is beginning to drop below the horizon in the High Arctic, and winter is setting in early.
 

Cleveland’s 22 Days Of Chill
Cleveland has endured one of its longest late-summer cold streaks on record.
From August 21 through September 11, every night at Hopkins International came in below average — 22 straight days, the sort of run seen only a handful of times since records began in 1938 (24 days in 1963, 19 in 1946, 17 in 1976).
Daytime highs also lagged.
Cold Canadian air and clear, dry skies drove the anomaly, explained Dr. Peter Whiting of Case Western Reserve University.

Colorado’s First Snows
Colorado’s high country posted snow over the weekend.
Telluride and Arapahoe Basin saw a dusting on September 13.

La Niña Locks In, Cooling Deepens
The Niño 3.4 index has dropped to -0.95C (Sept 14), with the Pacific slipping into La Niña territory.
Anomalies have slid steadily since July, now running close to -1C below the 1981–2010 average.
Latest NMME model runs show the cooling deepening through winter, with the majority of ensembles dipping well within La Nina territory (below the -0.5C threshold).
La Niña winters often bring colder conditions to North America, stronger monsoons in Asia, and can tip Europe toward snowier, blocked patterns — especially under low solar activity (and output has been falling off a cliff in recent months).
A strong La Niña now would have serious implications for winter weather, food production, and energy demand.
Note: NOAA’s CPC will only declare an official La Niña once the cooling is sustained over several months and is matched by the right atmospheric signals (such as stronger trade winds and suppressed convection near the Date Line). For now, conditions remain neutral, though the Pacific has cooled sharply, and NOAA has upped the chance of a La Niña developing to 71% by Oct–Dec 2025.
 

Pole Shift Update
Using sandstones baked by magma dykes in Hainan, China, researchers measured the ancient field during the Cretaceous Normal Superchron (~105 million years ago). These rocks act like pottery fired in a kiln, locking in the magnetic field at the time.
The results reveal a field intensity of 40–50 microteslas, giving a dipole moment of ~95 ZAm² — about 40% stronger than today’s ~80 ZAm².
And yet stability still broke down. The Cretaceous Normal Superchron held a single polarity for ~37 million years, but when it ended, reversals returned abruptly. That shows a powerful dipole is no guarantee of stability: the field can be at its strongest right before it breaks.
As the authors note: “This combined data set leaves open the question of the dependency between geomagnetic dipole strength and reversal frequency.”
That’s enough to excite pole-shift watchers, because one of the last mainstream reassurances was: “Don’t worry, the field is still strong today.” The new data show that strength is not protection.
Meanwhile, Earth’s modern field continues to weaken — down ~10–15% since the 1800s, with the South Atlantic Anomaly expanding and the poles drifting faster across the globe.
Whether the outcome is a full reversal or a shorter excursion, the geodynamo can lurch into chaos even from a position of strength.
 

Auroras Reach CO
A fast-moving solar wind stream struck Earth on September 14, driving an unexpectedly strong G3-class geomagnetic storm.
Auroras lit up skies as far south as Colorado overnight, with vivid displays reported across Canada and the northern U.S.
“The corona overhead was writhing like a snake — absolutely gorgeous,” said observer Lauri Kangas, who captured the lights over Lake Superior, Ontario:
The storm is easing but not finished. Moderate (G2) disturbances are likely through September 15.
The solar wind originated from the butterfly-shaped coronal hole we discussed on Friday. While such streams often trigger little more than G1 activity, this event was amplified by the Russell-McPherron effect — a seasonal alignment of solar and terrestrial magnetic fields that heightens geomagnetic impact near the equinox. Earth’s weakening magnetic field likely also played a role.

The Climate Hustle Is Failing
The EU’s grand green machine is seizing up. Plans to ram through a new climate target —a legally-binding 90% emissions cut by 2040— have been shelved after pushback from heavyweight governments including France and Germany.
For all the talk of “certainty for investors” and “net zero by 2050,” the reality is Europe can’t afford it. Industry is collapsing under soaring costs, farmers are in revolt. Even governments once happy to sign every climate communiqué are suddenly dragging their heels, due to mounting pressure (boiling anger) from the people. They can’t risk a revolution.
The 2040 target was supposed to be rubber-stamped on September 18, ahead of the UN’s climate submission deadline. Instead, it has been kicked upstairs to EU leaders, where unanimous agreement is required—a political death sentence. France, Italy, and Poland are balking. Germany insists leaders must hash it out first. The plan is falling apart.
Behind the sloganeering (Europe is the “fastest warming continent,” climate change has “unleashed deadly heatwaves and wildfires”), the numbers don’t add up. Also, Europe emits barely 7% of global CO2, yet it insists on unilateral economic suicide.

7 SEPTEMBER 2025

September is providing many indications of a cold winter in much of the Northern Hemisphere. Our wavy jet stream is bringing Arctic Air south N America, western Europe, and eastern Siberia. A cold Canadian airmass dipped into the Gulf chilling the South and setting hundreds of cold temperature records. Colorado’s peaks saw a dusting of snow and frost in many elevated areas. “This week, widespread departures of 10–15C below average are expected from the Dakotas through the Midwest and into the Ohio Valley. The chill then digs further south and east into the weekend, engulfing the Plains, Appalachians, and even the Deep South. Alongside the cold, stormy weather will roll across the eastern half of the country.” In the north Alaska’s Brooks Range had 30-80 cm and high peaks near Anchorage over 3-5 meters of new snow. The Mt Logan Massif had 2-4 m of new snow in the 15-day forecasts, another early winter indicator.

Europe was comfortable with temperatures in the 15 to 25ºC range as a deep 974 mb storm moved up the Atlantic east of the UK and into Iceland. The Alps had their first significant snow forecasts above 3000 m. “On Friday (Aug 29), the Russian LNG carrier Arctic Metagaz was forced to halt and reverse course near the East Siberian Sea after running into heavy summer ice floes.”

Asia was cold in the east as Siberia and Mongolia turned below normal and 20-100 cm snows fell in high elevations and on islands in the Arctic Ocean. The snow in the Tibetan Plateau increased in intensity and was wide spread.

Down Under Australia and New Zealand continued to have a banner snow year. “Resorts across the Aussies Alps logged equally impressive totals: Mount Buller in Victoria received 53 cm (21 in) in just two days. Hotham posted 77 cm (30 in), Thredbo 71 cm (28 in), Perisher 67 cm (26 in), Charlotte Pass 70 cm (28 in), Falls Creek 69 cm (27 in), and Buller 62 cm (24 in). Snow even reached lower elevations west of Sydney: “the most significant fall in years,” said the locals.” “Kununurra, in northern Western Australia, posted 8.7C (47.7F) on Sept 4 — its coldest September temp ever recorded.”

“The Andes mountains were hammered this past week, with Chilean and Argentine resorts logging some of their heaviest snowfall of the season. Valle Nevado reported more than five feet in seven days, nearly half of its seasonal total delivered in a single burst. Ski Portillo added three feet in just four days, enough to reopen the mountain in full “midwinter” mode. And La Parva received two-thirds of its entire season’s snowfall during this single storm cycle.” Brazil and n. Argentina had 8-12ºC departures below normal with frost in growing areas severely crippling the coffee crops.

Deep (970-934 mb) Southern Ocean storms continue to hammer the Antarctic Coast and pile up 1-3 m snows. Interior temperatures also remained in the -74 to -65ºC range. The southern jet remained strong with 130 to 180 kt wind max.

New album: Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/27/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 27 January showed warming off Ecuador with cooling from 120 to180º W. This warming continued this week of 12 April. The warming turned neutral to cold in May 3rd’s analysis. Today the pattern is neutral with a forecast of a brief la Nina by November. See the albums.

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 7 September 2025

Massive End-Of-Winter Snow Buries Australia’s Resorts; Europe’s “Hell Summer” Never Arrived; U.S. To Hold Cold For Weeks; Norway’s Hydro Shortfall Puts Britain At Risk; + CME To Impact Earth
September 1, 2025 Cap Allon

Massive End-Of-Winter Snow Buries Australia’s Resorts
A blizzard has buried Australia’s ski fields under some of the deepest snow in years.
Resorts across the Aussies Alps logged equally impressive totals: Mount Buller in Victoria received 53 cm (21 in) in just two days. Hotham posted 77 cm (30 in), Thredbo 71 cm (28 in), Perisher 67 cm (26 in), Charlotte Pass 70 cm (28 in), Falls Creek 69 cm (27 in), and Buller 62 cm (24 in). Snow even reached lower elevations west of Sydney: “the most significant fall in years,” said the locals.

https://www.patreon.com/posts/massive-end-of-u-137844898?utm_campaign=patron_engagement&utm_source=post_link&post_id=137844898&utm_id=274dbf9b-a9bf-46d2-8f9e-ec69d73b40c5&utm_medium=email

The Antarctic blast delivered temperatures of -5C (23F) and winds strong enough to put chairlifts on hold. Once skies cleared, Perisher reported “perfect winter” conditions, with 87 freshly groomed runs and packed powder across the slopes.
Snowy Hydro’s benchmark site at Spencers Creek, NSW —located midway between Perisher and Thredbo— measured a depth of 220.4 cm (87 in) on September 1, the deepest pack for the date since 2019 and the first time the 2 meter mark had been breached since 2022. In Victoria, Mt Hotham reported a base of 159 cm (63 in) and Falls Creek 143 cm (56 in).
Two major blizzards in under a month —the first in early August, the second to close winter— have cemented 2025 as one of the strongest snow seasons of the century for Australia’s alpine regions — the opposite to CAGW fairytelling.
With bases exceeding 2 meters, lifts are expected to keep spinning through September and into the October holiday weekend.

U.S. To Hold Cold For Weeks
Continuing the story of last week, a powerful polar front will drive deep anomalies across much of the U.S. well into September, felling additional records.
This week, widespread departures of 10–15C below average are expected from the Dakotas through the Midwest and into the Ohio Valley. The chill then digs further south and east into the weekend, engulfing the Plains, Appalachians, and even the Deep South.
Alongside the cold, stormy weather will roll across the eastern half of the country.
The Southeast—including Jackson, Nashville and Atlanta—looks set for multiple days of soaking rains from Tuesday into Thursday. That moisture then spreads into the Northeast Thursday into Friday, reinforcing the autumnal feel.
Looking north of the border, there are pockets of anomalous cold infecting here, and all.
Ontario awoke to biting lows over the weekend, with several sites flirting with historic August records.
Toronto Pearson dropped to 7.8C (46F), its lowest August reading since 1989. Windsor logged 6.5C (44F), the coldest August low since 1982. Elsewhere, Bancroft sank to 2.3C (36F) while Delhi shivered at just 1.3C (34F) — numbers more fitting of October.
 

Europe’s “Hell Summer” Never Arrived
The establishment spent months warning of a “hell summer” across Europe in 2025—extreme heat, endless drought, increased deaths. It never arrived.
Take Germany, the supposed epicenter of the inferno. The official definition of a heatwave here (TINZ et al. 2008) requires five consecutive days above 30C (86F). In 2025, not a single such event occurred. None. Yet the German Weather Service (DWD) still pumped out “heat warnings” nevertheless.
Another telling dataset comes from Berlin’s outdoor swimming pools — they suffered a 20% drop in visitor numbers thanks to a season that was, in the words of operators, “simply too cool and too rainy.” By mid-August, pools had counted 300,000 fewer visits than in 2024. Cool nights left water temperatures as low as 18C (64F).
The Berliner Zeitung reports “low visitor turnout” due to a season that “had been projected to be one of the hottest on record.” What Europe got instead was another glaring reminder that the climate industry survives on PR.
 

Norway’s Hydro Shortfall Puts Britain At Risk
Norway’s reservoirs are nearing 20-year lows. This is bad news for the likes of Britain and Germany.
Britain normally imports 1.4 GW of baseload from Norway via undersea interconnectors. But if reservoirs hold low, those flows could reverse. Instead of supplying us, Norway would need to draw power back across the cables to cover its own shortages.
Energy analyst Kathryn Porter warns of exactly this: “If the water runs out, we’ll end up exporting that same 1.4 GW back. That’s a 2.8 GW hit to the GB market — higher prices and real risk of shortages. This is why relying on interconnectors is so risky.”
While many Brits sit completely unaware of this issue, Norwegians are furious. Prices soared after the cables opened in 2021. And now, interconnector projects are front and center headed into next week’s elections, with almost every party pledging to scrap or block them.
For Britain, Norwegian hydro cannot be relied on this winter—whether by politics or by physics. Rationing plans are ready to go.

 CME To Impact Earth
On August 30, the sun launched a coronal mass ejection (CME) directly at Earth.
NASA forecasts the impact late on September 1, with the potential to trigger a strong G3 geomagnetic storm.

Washington Posts Its Coolest August In 25 Years; Andes Under Feet Of Snow; Russian Ship Stuck In Arctic Sea Ice; + CME Has Arrived
September 2, 2025 Cap Allon

Washington Posts Its Coolest August In 25 Years
Washington, D.C. just logged its coolest August since 2000.
The monthly mean came in at 75.8F (24.3C), which is 3.6F (2C) below the modern average.
It was also the driest August on record with only 0.2 inches (5 mm) of rain.

https://www.patreon.com/posts/washington-posts-137933129?utm_campaign=patron_engagement&utm_source=post_link&post_id=137933129&utm_id=0dc5f31f-cb67-4d81-8ada-6bff22999116&utm_medium=email

The Washington Post keenly notes that the chilliest August on record was in 1927 with a mean of 70F (21.1C), but what they leave out is that Aug 2025 beats some impressive historical benchmarks. It was colder than August 1872 — 153 years ago, for example.
The cool wasn’t confined to the capital either.
The chart below shows much of the eastern and central United States running below average last month, bucking mainstream storytelling:
The final week of August was particularly cool with a slew of records falling.
Even NOAA’s warm-mongering, UHI-ignoring data summary reveals the U.S. set 76 new monthly cold temperature records during the final week of August, vs just the one for heat. Also, 1,012 daily low temperature records were broken, against 407 for high.

 Andes Under Feet Of Snow
The Andes mountains were hammered this past week, with Chilean and Argentine resorts logging some of their heaviest snowfall of the season.
Valle Nevado reported more than five feet in seven days, nearly half of its seasonal total delivered in a single burst. Ski Portillo added three feet in just four days, enough to reopen the mountain in full “midwinter” mode. And La Parva received two-thirds of its entire season’s snowfall during this single storm cycle.
Avalanche danger rose accordingly. In La Parva, a slide swept up several skiers.
Snow is also reaching lower elevations, including Argentina’s Valle de Pancanta in San Luis:

Russian Ship Stuck In Arctic Sea Ice
The round of headlines claim the Arctic could be “ice-free by 2027.” A study in Nature Communications led by researchers at the Universities of Colorado and Gothenburg used 300 model runs to suggest the first “ice-free summer day” might occur within a handful of years.
But such predictions are nothing new — and they have consistently failed. The public has been warned of an “ice-free Arctic” by 2000, 2013, 2016, and 2020. None materialized. Not even close.
The hype also has a long history.
On November 2, 1922, the Washington Post —of course they did— carried reports from Norway describing a warming Arctic, vanishing glaciers, scarce seals, and fish species moving north.
Ice was said to be disappearing as far north as 81°29′. That was 103 years ago.
Now today, far from vanishing, sea ice is still obstructing navigation.
On Friday (Aug 29), the Russian LNG carrier Arctic Metagaz was forced to halt and reverse course near the East Siberian Sea after running into heavy summer ice floes.
Russian charts indicated widespread summer ice in the East Siberian Sea, with concentrations varying between 10 and 60% depending on location, including grounded hummocks (massive, immovable pilled-up pressure ridges often anchored to the seafloor).
Even the nuclear icebreaker Sibir has struggled to clear lanes.
This marks the second consecutive summer when sea ice has blocked the eastern Northern Sea Route.
Reality check: a century+ of failed predictions, 2025 fleets caught in August ice, and yet another round of computer-model junk that serves the agenda and no more.

Victoria’s Best Snow Season In Years; Arctic Sea Ice Above 2011-2020 Average; Antarctica Has Been Cooling For 70 Years; A23a Breaks Up; + Electricity Is Only 20% Of Global Energy Usage
September 3, 2025 Cap Allon

Victoria’s Best Snow Season In Years
Victoria’s alpine resorts have banked their heaviest snow in years.
Falls Creek has received more than 3 m (10 ft) across the season, including 71 cm (28 in) in a single recent storm. A separate 69 cm (27 in) dump pushed visitor numbers to near-record levels.
Mount Buller logged 60 cm (24 in) in the past week, while Mount Hotham and Falls Creek both reported higher-than-average snow depths for June, July, and now early-September.
This winter’s consistent top-ups and rare heavy snow days will extend the season deep into spring.
“Dwindling snow” remains the official line.

https://www.patreon.com/posts/victorias-best-138014556?utm_campaign=patron_engagement&utm_source=post_link&post_id=138014556&utm_id=b8f74db6-0460-44a5-8348-6824c9ddcb12&utm_medium=email

Arctic Sea Ice Above 2011-2020 Average
Arctic sea ice is holding strong this summer.
Currently, extent is tracking above the 2011-2020 average:
The ice has been particularly stubborn in a number of regions, including the East Siberian Sea where summer shipping routes have failed to open up as expected, obstructing navigation (see yesterdays article below).

Antarctica Has Been Cooling For 70 Years
We’re told Antarctica is “warming twice as fast as the global average.” The data say otherwise.
Reliable Antarctic observations began with the International Geophysical Year (1957–58), when scientists planted the first permanent weather stations on the ice sheet. Those records don’t show uniform warming — they show net cooling.
East Antarctica cooled steeply from 1986 to 2000, with the McMurdo Dry Valleys dropping by around 0.7C (1.3F) per decade.
Looking across the continent, the 1966–2000 period shows a net cooling, the outlier being the Western Peninsula. Even there, the much-publicized warming flatlined after the late 1990s. A 2016 Nature paper confirmed the absence of 21st-century warming on the Peninsula — a natural reversal that’s still ongoing.
West Antarctica did warm through the second half of the 20th century, but then flipped. From 1999 to 2018 the WAIS cooled at -0.93C per decade, with spring plunging -1.84C per decade. The driver was a negative Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, which shifted circulation patterns and pumped cold southerly air into the region.
CMIP6 climate models missed this cooling entirely.
Despite the establishment’s official position (“forever hotter”), the dominant reality remains: decades of East Antarctic cooling, a Peninsula reversal, a West Antarctic cool-down, and a colder Southern Ocean.
 A23a Breaks Up
The mainstream press this week is full of cut-and-paste reports on iceberg A23a finally breaking apart. After nearly 40 years, the trillion-ton slab has drifted north into warmer waters and is now crumbling. And? So? That’s what icebergs do.
A23a calved from the Weddell Sea ice shelf in 1986, sat grounded for more than 30 years, then broke free in 2020. From there it entered “iceberg alley,” the conveyor belt that carries giants north into warmer seas where they always disintegrate.
The mainstream articles —all of them— end with this predictable messaging: “Iceberg calving is a natural process. But scientists say the rate at which they were being lost from Antarctica is increasing, probably because of human induced climate change.”
No evidence, no data — just the ritual incantation.
In reality, Antarctica has been calving bergs for as long as it’s had an ice sheet. “Iceberg calving is a natural process.” The Larsen C, B, and A shelves, the Ross, the Ronne: this is the system breathing. Ice sheets advance, crack, and shed icebergs. A23a’s break off and demise is not a sign of “climate breakdown”. It is further evidence the climate system is working exactly as it always has.

Electricity Is Only 20% Of Global Energy Usage
U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright highlights a fact almost no one in politics seems to grasp: electricity makes up only about 20% of total global energy consumption. The remaining 80% is dominated by fuels used directly for transport, industrial heat, shipping, aviation, and heavy machinery. Oil, gas, and coal still drive the vast bulk of the world’s energy system.
“Even if you wrapped the entire planet in a solar panel, you would only be producing 20% of global energy,” explains Wright on X.
Proponents of solar will argue: “Fine, then electrify everything.” But this fantasy runs head-first into reality. You cannot run steel blast furnaces, cement kilns, container ships, aircraft carriers, or long-haul jets on batteries and panels. Even if you tried, the scale of land use and storage would be absurd.
Take the popular talking point: Covering 1–2% of the Sahara in solar panels could power the world. No, intermittency kills the argument. Solar is not on-demand power. Even with batteries, the U.S. has storage for about seven minutes of grid use. Scaling this to anything useful, and global, would cost astronomical sums. There isn’t enough money in the world.
The ‘solar utopia’ is flawed thinking. Politicians and activist equate electricity with all energy, when in fact it’s only a fraction. In a rational world, we’d be building fleets of 1,000-MWe nuclear reactors and SMRs. Instead, we waste time and money on fantasies.

South America’s Incoming Freeze; Record-Setting September Cold To Grip U.S.; This Year’s Temps Among Coldest Since 1895; US Wildfire Burn Area At Decade Lows; + IPCC: Questions Dodged, Errors Unaddressed
September 4, 2025 Cap Allon

South America’s Incoming Freeze
Southern and Central South America are about to be hit by another Antarctic blast, with back-to-back waves on the way.
On Sept 5, much of Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, and southern Brazil will be in the grips of deep anomalies:

https://electroverse.info/south-americas-incoming-freeze-record-setting-september-cold-to-grip-u-s-this-years-temps-among-coldest-since-1895-us-wildfire-burn-area-at-decade-lows-ipcc-questions-dodged-errors-unaddr/

Then a week later, on Sept 12, initial GFS runs suggest a second, even harsher surge reinforcing the chill, sweeping north from Patagonia through the Pampas and into Brazil’s key agricultural belts:
For Brazil’s coffee heartlands, this is another ominous forecast. Arabica is notoriously fragile, surviving in only a narrow climatic band. Already stressed by erratic weather, namely persistent frosts since 2021, a fresh freeze could obliterate yields. Coffee has always been a “canary in the coal mine” crop: in 1975, a single frost wiped out two-thirds of Brazil’s crop, sending global prices soaring.
And it’s not just coffee. Maize, sugarcane, and other crops are vulnerable to cooling ramp-up observed since 2021. Frost damage is a one-way street — unlike drought or heat, a freeze doesn’t just stunt growth or delay things, it stops the entire process dead.
South America’s growing zones sit on a climatic knife edge. Each successive polar intrusion chips away at production reliability, with implications for global food supply and pricing.

Record-Setting September Cold To Grip U.S.
A CONUS-engulfing mass of polar air is crashing south this week, set to tank temperatures far below September norms.
The latest GFS runs show departures of -8C to -18C across the Midwest, Great Lakes, and into the Plains, with the chill extending as far south as Texas and northern Mexico. The core of the cold will hang over the central U.S., where days will feel more like November than early September.
The GFS anomaly map lights up blue and purple from the Dakotas through Ohio, and southward into Oklahoma and Arkansas.
I expect the corporate press will continue to distract with a small, isolated pocket of warmth in the Northwest—as they have done since late August despite the data (and records) painting a clear picture of an America shivering overall…
This could prove one of coldest openings to autumn in many-a decade, continuing what has been a cool 2025…
 2025 U.S. Temps Among Coldest Since 1895
The average daily maximum temperature across the United States so far this year (Jan 1–Sept 3) ranks as the 16th lowest in records stretching back to 1895.
The NOAA dataset of Historical Climatology Network stations shows 2025 running cooler than the vast majority of the past 130 years, with only a handful of years in the 1960s and 1970s recording lower averages.
The long-term mean sits at 68.9F, and while 2012 spiked to 71.9F, the overall trend since the 1930s peak has been flat to down.
Unlike daily minimums or calculated averages, raw maximums are less prone to manipulation. They’re also far less distorted by the Urban Heat Island effect, which mostly inflates nighttime lows as concrete and asphalt retain heat after sunset. Maximums, by contrast, are driven by broader atmospheric conditions and provide a clearer climate signal. Not perfect. But clearer.
 

US Wildfire Burn Area At Decade Lows
According to the National Interagency Fire Center, U.S. forest fire acreage burned through September 3, 2025, is tracking at the third lowest of the past decade —barely over 4 million acres— and trending down.
The overall trend since 2015 is one of decline:
Federal records going back to 1926 show that U.S. burn acreage routinely exceeded 30–50 million acres per year in the early 20th century — an order of magnitude higher than anything seen in recent decades.
Today’s totals, though headline-grabbed as “historic” and “devastating,” are in fact among the lowest in recorded history.

 IPCC: Questions Dodged, Errors Unaddressed
In October 2024, climate researchers Ned Nikolov and Karl Zeller submitted an Open Letter to the IPCC exposing three fatal flaws in Chapter 7 of AR6.
The problems were not trivial — they go straight to the heart of the IPCC’s central claim that recent warming has been driven by greenhouse gases. 
The Letter identified: 
The failure to account for declining Earth albedo and the resulting increase in absorbed solar energy since 2000, documented by NASA CERES data. 
A sign convention error in Figure 7.3 that mislabels reflected solar flux as absorbed flux, sowing confusion about the direction of radiative forcing. 
A glaring logical inconsistency between the calculated Anthropogenic Radiative Forcing (ARF) and the observed planetary energy imbalance (EEI). 
 These issues collectively invalidate AR6’s headline conclusion: “It is very likely that well-mixed greenhouse gases were the main driver of tropospheric warming since 1979.”
The IPCC replied a few months later, with their “Error Protocol Team” dismissing all three points without correction.
They claimed the albedo decline was already accounted for, though the cited framework predates CERES observations. They brushed off the Figure 7.3 error as a matter of “sign convention” (another way of saying “It doesn’t matter, you just have to know which way we defined positive vs negative.”) And they dodged the ARF vs. EEI contradiction entirely, producing what Nikolov calls an “incoherent response that shows a total misunderstanding of our point.”
In short, the UN climate body refuses to admit even the possibility of error. Instead of engaging with the evidence, they circled the wagons.
Nikolov: “It’s despicable irresponsibility on the part of the IPCC!”
If the core findings of AR6 rest on misrepresentations, then its climate scenarios —and the trillions in policy and spending based upon them— are built on sand.

The Open Letter is linked here.
In short, the UN climate body refuses to admit even the possibility of error. Instead of engaging with the evidence, they circled the wagons.
Nikolov: “It’s despicable irresponsibility on the part of the IPCC!”

Australia Turns Blue; September Chill In Central Canada; Records Continue To Fall In U.S., UP Sees Record-Early Snow; + The Mammoth Green Grift
September 5, 2025 Cap Allon
Australia Turns Blue
Kununurra, in northern Western Australia, posted 8.7C (47.7F) on Sept 4 — its coldest September temp ever recorded.
Looking at the GFS (maps below), there’s a lot more to come.
Latest runs show an outbreak of blues and purples engulfing much of the continent Sept 10, driving anomalies well below the 1981–2010 norm.
https://electroverse.info/australia-turns-blue-records-continue-to-fall-in-u-s-as-up-sees-record-early-snow-the-mammoth-green-grift/
The cold is set to expand from WA into SA, Victoria, Tasmania, and New South Wales, bringing widespread frosts and likely additional cold records. Even Queensland isn’t spared, with models pointing to sub-seasonal lows spilling into the state’s interior.

September Chill In Central Canada
Central Canada is shivering through an early dose of fall, with snowflakes spotted in Geraldton, NW Ontario, and daytime highs more typical of early November.
Winnipeg dipped to 0.4C (32.7F) overnight with a daytime max of just 9C (48.2F) — the city’s coldest minimum this early in September since 2004.
Further east, Geraldton managed only 4.1C (39.4F) for a high on Thursday, while Carman, Sprague, and Emerson all stalled in the low 8Cs (mid–40s F).
Snow in early September is unusual for Ontario, but the chill has been widespread, with much of the Prairies and northern Plains gripped by air masses straight out of the Arctic. South of the border, too, the records are continuing to topple…
 

Records Continue To Fall In U.S., UP Sees Record-Early Snow
A dip in the jet stream is delivering an early taste of fall across much of the United States.
The chill is widespread. From the northern Plains through the Great Lakes and into the Appalachians, daytime highs are struggling in the 40s and 50s , with Milwaukee and Minneapolis forecast to remain below 60F. Chicago and Detroit will hold in the 60s.
The record map (below) is stacked with blue: dozens of locations across the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Southeast are adding to the thousand+ records that fell during the final week of August.
Looking ahead, more than 140 million Americans are forecast anomalous cold through the weekend.
Conditions are already hinting at what might be to come this winter…
On Thursday (Sept 4), Michigan’s Upper Peninsula logged its first snowflakes of the season — the earliest on record, according National Weather Service data, beating the prior mark of Sept 12, 1975.
The NWS confirmed the flakes in Keweenaw County, where video shot by local Eddie Brecht showed a snow/rain mix falling outside Eagle Harbor. “Alright guys, I just had to show you for myself,” said Brecht. “It’s coming down. Snow-rain mix. Pretty incredible.”
Despite the record, the NWS downplayed it as merely “a little on the early side” — a curious understatement for snow arriving more than a week earlier than ever previously observed. Picture the hew-ha if this was a heat-related record.

Fall-like weather has arrived early, and in force.
 

The Mammoth Green Grift
In 2024, Climeworks’ flagship “Mammoth” direct-air-capture plant in Iceland managed to capture a grand total of 105 tonnes of CO2. That’s less than the annual emissions of a dozen 18-wheelers — and 1,000 times below the company’s stated target. Price tag for this charade: over $100 million.
Climeworks as a whole has now pulled in more than $1 billion from investors, cashing in on the carbon-panic bonanza. This is what that money buys: a machine that consumes colossal amounts of energy while delivering a statistical rounding error in “savings.”
For every ton of CO2 removed, Mammoth devours 5,000–6,000 kWh of electricity — energy that, if generated conventionally, would emit five to ten times more CO2 than the plant captures. Even in Iceland, where geothermal and hydro dominate, that power isn’t free. It’s stolen from households and industries, cannibalizing real energy needs to feed a fantasy machine.
Capturing 1,000 tons requires 5–6 million kWh. To offset Iceland’s 12.4 million tons of CO2 emissions in 2024, Mammoth would need 72 terawatt-hours — nearly four times the nation’s entire yearly output of 20 TWh.
Politicians and media call this “progress.” In reality, it’s waste on an industrial scale, a science-fiction gimmick. Carbon capture doesn’t solve emissions — it creates them, burns through resources, and funnels money upward, keeping the green-tech myth alive.
The only thing Climeworks reliably captures is cash.
The wider “green” buildout is no different, across the board.
Building a single 100-MW wind farm requires 30,000 tons of iron ore, 50,000 tons of concrete, and 900 tons of non-recyclable plastics. With solar, the tonnage in cement, steel, and glass is 150% greater than for wind, for the same output.
This is not about reducing CO2, certainly not saving the planet, it’s about profiteering. Global Warming Policy Foundation calculates the true burden on taxpayers: $2.3 million per job per year to finance “green energy” subsidies in the U.S. The scam isn’t just industrial — it’s financial. Investors and corporations pocket billions, while the public foots the bill.

Records Continue To Fall In U.S.
Early September is delivering November-like chill across large swathes of the United States.

https://electroverse.info/records-continue-to-fall-in-u-s-la-nina-update-european-winter-forecast-calls-for-arctic-finish-southern-ssw-new-study-ipccs-models-significantly-overestimate-sea-le/

On Saturday, Sheridan, Wyoming posted 31F (–0.6C), while Baker, Montana dropped to 30F (–1.1C) — both new records. Livingston tied its 32F (0C) mark. Patchy frost was reported across ranchland, a rare sight for September’s opening week.
In Minnesota, Duluth tied its 1904 record at just 52F (11.1C), Hibbing set a new low maximum at 50F (10C), and Ashland, Wisconsin broke its 1926 mark with 53F (11.7C). International Falls tied its 53F (11.7C) record, and Brainerd matched 57F (13.9C).
Further south, Lexington, Kentucky logged its fourth record low in two weeks, falling to 45F (7.2C) Sunday morning. Burlington, Iowa tied its Sept 7 record of 42F (5.6C) from 1956, with nearby towns also dipping into the low 40s (≈5–6C).
A slew of daily records have fallen over the past 24 hours…
…adding to the thousands that have been toppled since the last week of August.
Frost advisories currently stretch across five states, with the NWS forecasting continued record lows Monday.
 

European Winter Forecast Calls For Arctic Finish
Mkweather has released its European winter forecast. It outlines a season split in two, with a potentially historic finale.
December will be storm-lashed, goes the forecast, with La Niña energizing the Atlantic jet and driving repeated lows into western Europe. The UK, France, and Iberia face flooding rains and coastal surges as the jet dominates.
But the setup is primed to flip. As pressure builds over Greenland and Scandinavia, the Atlantic flow is likely to break down, unlocking Arctic reserves. The Siberian High is strengthening, and once the pattern shifts, cold air will be free to surge west.
The polar vortex is already looking fragile. If a sudden stratospheric warming occurs in January, the circulation will buckle and the cold will cascade south. February stands out as the month when Europe could collapse into deep freeze, with eastern nations facing brutal cold and snow cover, central Europe bracing for blizzards, and even western Europe exposed to intrusions.
Mkweather calls it “a winter written by teleconnections” — meaning the season’s path is being dictated by large-scale drivers. La Niña, the weakening polar vortex, and a likely swing of the NAO from positive to negative could see northern blocking and Arctic air dominating later on, delivering cold waves capable of rivaling the harshest winter freezes in modern times.
Southern SSW
The southern stratospheric polar vortex is tracking at unprecedented weakness for early September.
Zonal winds at 60S, 10 hPa have collapsed sharply from August highs, now running well below the multidecadal envelope, according to NOAA CPC data.
For the first time since 2002, a full-blown Southern Hemisphere sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event is possible.
That 2002 breakdown delivered historic impacts, with Antarctic air spilling into South America and Australia, leading to record frosts, disrupted agriculture, and altered ozone concentrations above the pole.
A similar scenario now looms. When the vortex weakens, the containment of Antarctic air fails, allowing polar cold to escape northward into mid-latitudes. The resulting circulation shifts can persist for weeks, reshaping weather far from Antarctica.
This development adds to the global cooling trend that began in 2024 (likely earlier but the Hunga Tonga eruption is looking to have delayed things a couple of years). Rather than accelerating warming, as foretold by The Narrative, atmospheric dynamics are instead flashing cold signals from pole to pole.
The coming weeks will determine how much of this Antarctic air escapes. If the vortex continues to collapse, the Southern Hemisphere could face its first full-blown SSW in more than two decades — with widespread implications.
In related news, ocean temperatures are continuing their decline, much to the ignoration of Greta’s flotilla.
Cooling is, and always will be, the climate threat. Warming is beneficial.
 

New Study: IPCC’s Models “Significantly Overestimate” Sea Level Rise
A new study has exposed one of climate science’s central claims: accelerating sea level rise.
https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/9/1641
Dutch engineer Hessel Voortman and researcher Rob de Vos analyzed more than 200 long-record tide-gauge stations worldwide. Their finding: the average rate of rise in 2020 was just 1.5 mm per year — about 6 inches per century. That’s less than half the 3–4 mm/year widely reported by climate scientists and endlessly parroted by the media.
The authors found no evidence of acceleration attributable to ‘manmade climate change’. Where notable rises did occur, they were explained by local factors, such as land subsidence, earthquakes, construction, or lingering post-glacial rebound, not CO2.
Voortman, who has spent three decades in flood defense and coastal infrastructure, says he was astonished that no one had ever directly compared real-world observations against IPCC projections: “It is crazy that it had not been done,” he told journalist Michael Shellenberger.
His 2023 work had already shown no acceleration off the Dutch coast. Extending the study globally confirmed the same pattern: projected rises far outstrip observed ones. The IPCC’s models, he concludes, “significantly overestimate” actual sea level rise.
Satellite datasets, often cited as proof of rapid acceleration since the 1990s, are also questioned. Voortman notes that sea levels happened to be in a trough in 1993 and near a peak in 2020 — giving a misleading impression of a steep climb when in fact no underlying trend exists.
Despite the data, headlines of “drowning cities” and “climate refugees” persist. But as Voortman himself points out, the alarmist narrative is a political tool, not a scientific reality.
You can read the study, billed “the first of its kind”, in full here.

1 SEPTEMBER 2025

As the sun accelerates southward and the days are shorter, N Hemisphere weather looks much like Fall a few weeks early. Aspen in Colorado above 9500 ft are beginning to turn and frost is on the roofs. My temperature reached 33ºF this week. Canadian highs are bringing below normal temperatures from the Dakotas to Alabama and points east. Many stations are reporting record low temperatures after their record high temperatures in July. California is normal with unusual rains in the LA Basin. The la Nina is forming in the Eastern Pacific as the Farmers Almanac predicts a normal cold wet winter in the Rockies and East. Canada is having an early winter in the NE on Ellesmere and Baffin Islands with 50 to 150 cm in forecasts. “In Resolute, Nunavut, daytime highs on Friday are forecast to hold near -3C (27F), feeling closer to -10C (14F) in the wind — conditions that are expected to set a new record for the lowest August high. The standing mark is –4.5C (24F) from 1997.”

Europe is also cooling with early frosts and 5 to 10ºC temperatures below normal. The Carpathians had snow along with high peaks in the Alps. Germany and the UK are low on energy supplies as Norway’s hydropower systems are compromised by low reservoirs. Germany set low temperature records, further exacerbating their energy problems. Model forecasts continue to predict more winter-like jet stream patterns with deep short waves bringing warm and cold air in their respective warm and cold sectors. “St. Petersburg just witnessed an unusual late-summer mix of wet snow/hail. Roads and pavements were coated in a snowy slush, hail scattered the asphalt, and flooding hit low-lying areas following torrential downpours.”

Asia had an early snow storm in Pakistan that closed roads. “Khardung-La Pass in Ladakh, India has been shut after heavy snow over the past 24 hours left the route impassable.”

The S. Hemisphere continues to have a heavy cold winter with record snows from the Snowy Range to the NZ Alps, and the Andes. “Australia has seen one of its snowiest seasons of the century, with a fresh Antarctic blast this week delivering even more.” This storm’s reach is also worth noting. Into the weekend, snow is expected within 35 km (22 mi) of five capital cities. Snow levels will fall to 600 m (1,970 ft) in Victoria, 700 m (2,300 ft) in NSW, and just 300 m (985 ft) in Tasmania. That makes a dusting possible on hills within Canberra itself, Melbourne’s outer ranges, Sydney’s Blue Mountains, Hobart’s western slopes, and even Adelaide’s Mount Lofty Ranges. Additionally, areas of the southern Flinders and Mid‑North of South Australia are likely to see snow and all.”

The Antarctic and Southern Ocean continue to have deep storms (935 mb), high winds and blizzards, and heavy coastal snows of 1-2 m. “The southern winter is asserting itself once again. In the early hours of August 26, the Dome Fuji AWS posted a low of -76.6C (-105.9F).”

New album: Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 1 September 2025

Perth’s Coldest Day In 50 Years; Antarctica At -105.9F; Snow Closes Khardung-La; OK With Record Summer Cold; Germany Breaks Historic Cold Records As The Gas Tanks Run Dry; + The Hurricane Link That Never Landed
August 26, 2025 Cap Allon

Perth’s Coldest Day In 50 Years
Perth endured its coldest day in half a century.
On Monday, Western Australia’s capital city posted a maximum of just 11.4C (52F) — the city’s coldest day since July 1975.
Temperatures across the western parts of the state held 5–10C below average, with some towns barely climbing into single digits.
A lingering pool of polar air, coupled with heavy cloud cover, kept the chill locked in.

https://electroverse.info/perths-coldest-day-in-50-years-antarctica-at-105-9f-snow-closes-khardung-la-ok-with-record-summer-cold-germany-breaks-historic-cold-records-as-the-gas-tanks-run-dry-the-hurricane-link-that-n/

The chill capped what has been Perth’s wettest winter, overall, since 2000, with the city surpassing its average rainfall in June, July, and August — the first time that’s happened since 1996.
According to the BOM’s pre-season outlook, Perth was to expect a “drier-than-usual” winter and a “warmer-than-average” one and all. Wrong again.
 

Antarctica At -105.9F
The southern winter is asserting itself once again.
In the early hours of August 26, the Dome Fuji AWS posted a low of -76.6C (-105.9F).

Snow Closes Khardung-La
Khardung-La Pass in Ladakh, India has been shut after heavy snow over the past 24 hours left the route impassable.
Traffic was suspended as snow and ice made the road treacherous, with authorities halting movement of vehicles and supplies.
Khardung-La is a critical link between Leh and the Shyok and Nubra valleys. Snow clearance will begin once conditions stabilize, officials said, with all travelers urged to avoid the route until further notice.
The Indian Meteorological Department expects further moderate snow across Ladakh’s upper reaches Tuesday and Wednesday.
Conditions are no better at Shinku La, some 155 miles to the southwest, where fresh snow continues to blanket the pass:

OK With Record Summer Cold
Tulsa woke up to October weather in late August on Monday.
A deep trough tumbled temperatures as much as 30F below average across Oklahoma, with afternoon highs stuck in the 60s and low 70s instead of the usual 92+F (33+C).
Tulsa never climbed past 72F (22C) which made for the coldest August 25 on record (since 1942). Many areas with steady rain didn’t escape the 60s, conditions more typical of late-October than the dog days of summer.
And it isn’t just OK feeling fall’s early onset, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Indiana also felled/neared record lows:
After a brief rebound (into the 80s), another cool-down is lined up for midweek.
 

Germany Breaks Historic Cold Records As The Gas Tanks Run Dry
The week opened with record cold across Germany, where morning lows plunged well below seasonal norms. Central regions saw widespread readings under 5C (41F), with multiple long-standing benchmarks broken.
Deutschneudorf-Brüderwiese in Saxony dropped to 1C (33.8F). Runkel-Ennerich, Hesse, recorded 1.2C —a new station record— while Fulda and Nuremberg each hit 1.6C. Erfurt-Weimar set its coldest August low in 74 years at 3.7C (38.7F), and Giessen/Wettenberg registered 3.8C (38.8F) — the coldest August temperature since records began there 86 years ago.
Ground frost was logged in parts of Saxony’s Ore Mountains and Sauerland, where temps slipped below freezing.
Looking ahead, the GFS model continues to flag an early-season blizzard for the Alps. Forecasts for September 2 project a strong polar jet trough driving subpolar marine air into Central Europe, colliding with subtropical air over the Alps. The AISF warns this setup could deliver up to three meters (10 ft) of new snow in the high terrain.
This natural volatility will be downplayed by mainstream narratives.
While temperatures tumble, Germany’s energy reserves are scraping historic lows. Official data show storage at just 67% — far below last year’s 92%, and trailing France, Poland, Austria, and Belgium.
Berlin insists there is no crisis, pointing to four floating LNG terminals as proof of “flexibility.” But storage is insurance, and Germany has burned through its reserves just as the weather threatens to turn, as autumn arrives weeks early.
This crisis isn’t just about swapping Russian pipeline gas for overpriced LNG. That move made energy costlier, but the real vulnerability stems from shuttering the very fossil fuel and nuclear infrastructure that once guaranteed cheap, reliable baseload power.
By abandoning coal plants, killing nuclear, and treating gas storage as an afterthought, Germany tied its energy future to windmills, solar panels, and whatever LNG cargoes can be snapped up on the global market. When the wind stalls or the night falls or demand spikes, there’s no cushion — and reserves plunge.
Germany has dismantled its long-built pillars of energy security and potentially prosperity itself. And for what?

The Hurricane Link That Never Landed
On this day in 1990, climate scientist Steve Schneider contended that within 10 to 20 years we would know whether greenhouse gas emissions were driving stronger, deadlier hurricanes.
Schneider pointed to storms like Hugo and Gilbert as evidence that global warming was already “loading the dice.”
That was 33 years ago. The verdict is well in. There has been no increase in hurricane frequency or intensity — not in the Atlantic, not globally. Every metric of hurricane activity remains within the bounds of natural variability.

The late Bill Gray, a legendary hurricane researcher at Colorado State, called it at the time: Schneider’s claims were empty speculation. Gray stated that the science didn’t add up — hurricane counts were actually declining, and the supposed link between warmer oceans and storm activity was far from proven. History has vindicated him.
Three decades of data later, the so-called “CO2-warming-hurricane connection” is dead in the water — only the establishment keeps pretending otherwise. What was sold as an early warning has turned out to be just another chapter in the endless cycle of failed predictions.

Europe Breaks Low Temperature Records; Summer Snow In St. Petersburg?; U.S. Sees Nationwide Anomaly Of -5.9F And Record-Setting Cold; + The Met Office’s Phantom Stations
August 27, 2025 Cap Allon

Europe Breaks Low Temperature Records
Europe has endured a string of bitterly cold nights this week, with records tumbling across multiple nations.
Germany posted its third unusually cold August night in a row.
On Aug 26, widespread lows in the single digits were observed, hovering around 5C (41F) across central North Rhine-Westphalia. In the Ore Mountains, conditions turned even harsher with ground frost — and in places, full air frost.
Several German stations have set new August cold records.

https://electroverse.info/europe-breaks-low-temperature-records-summer-snow-in-st-petersburg-u-s-sees-nationwide-anomaly-of-5-9f-and-record-setting-cold-the-met-offices-phantom-stations/

This is no isolated dip, but part of a broader cold anomaly gripping Europe.
Czechia logged sub-zero dawns at 17 sites on Monday, with 15 long-term stations setting new records for the date. The standout was Kvilda-Perla in the Bohemian Forest with -4.8C (23F).
Poland also joined the freeze. In the Orawa–Nowy Targ Basin, a low of -3.6C (26F) at 2 meters and -7.7C (18F) at ground level, both unprecedented readings for August.
Snow has also settled in these parts, in Poland’s High Tatras.
Thermometers tanked to -3C (27F) on Kasprowy Wierch with continuous snowfall from Saturday night through Sunday. Flakes can technically strike the highest Polish peaks in any month, but August events are rare, the last coming in 2010.
Europe has been unusually cool these past 7-days.
And so too has Africa, particularly the tropics. The Sahel and Horn show anomalies as deep as -6C on reanalysis (below) — an extreme departure for the region.
Much of Africa south of the equator is also running cold, which continues last month’s extra-tropical Southern Hemisphere drop (from +0.55C in June to +0.10C in July) that was a key driver of July’s UAH decline.

Summer Snow In St. Petersburg
St. Petersburg just witnessed an unusual late-summer mix of wet snow/hail.
Roads and pavements were coated in a snowy slush, hail scattered the asphalt, and flooding hit low-lying areas following torrential downpours.
St. Petersburg’s summer climate is typically far removed from snow. Average daytime highs in August sit between 16C and 18C (61F and 64F), and the first snowfalls usually don’t arrive until in early-November.
If validated, this event is more than just anomalous—it is extreme. Pravda.ru has supporting video (below). Further confirmation comes from News.am citing Vesti.ru. But as of writing, no confirming meteorological agency statements have yet been published.

U.S. Sees Nationwide Anomaly Of -5.9F And Record-Setting Cold
A powerful late-August chill is sweeping the lower 48, felling records.
As per data from meteorologist Ryan Maue, the U.S. national temperature anomaly for today (Aug 27) sits at -5.9F compared to the multidecadal norm — a stark departure when averaged across such a vast landmass.
RTMA analysis shows widespread cold anomalies, with the core centered over the central Plains where departures touch -25F. Much of the Midwest, Great Lakes, and interior Northeast are also running 10–20F below average.
Such a widespread late-August cold anomaly won’t get anything more than a shrug from the likes of CNN, yet it joins the mounting list of record chills and premature frosts logged across the Northern Hemisphere this month.

The Met Office’s Phantom Stations
Lowestoft weather station closed in 2010. Yet the UK Met Office still issues “monthly data” for it — precise to a decimal point.
When pressed, the Met Office insists its Lowestoft numbers are “estimates” based on “up to six well correlated stations.” Yet the stations it lists —Hemsby, Coltishall, Scole, Morley St Botolph— closed years or even decades ago. The handful of sites that do remain are poor matches: a fruit farm at Charsfield, a woodland plot at Lingwood, an RAF runway at Wattisham. Most of these sites weren’t even operating while Lowestoft was still active. To call these “well correlated” with a seaside climate is indefensible.
FOI requests revealed the Met Office doesn’t even keep a record of which stations it uses. The claim that such information is “not retained” is beyond belief.
The results are absurd. According to these fabrications, Lowestoft in August 2022 averaged 24.6C — almost 4C hotter than the historically hot summer of 1976. Even 2023’s mild summer was magically hotter than 1976’s benchmark June.
Station coverage has collapsed. Back when the WMO set its preferred 1961–1990 baseline, Norfolk and Suffolk had 43 functioning weather stations. Since 2010, just 16 remain, and only two are coastal. Six of nine “climate averages” stations listed for the region do not even exist.
Rather than admit gaps, the Met Office has quietly erased datasets. Just days ago it stripped the 1971–2000 and 1981–2010 climate averages from its website without explanation, leaving only 1961–1990 and 1991–2020.
The entire national climate record is now being spun from “averages of averages of averages.” It’s a joke. No wonder the Met Office refuses to answer. Britain’s “official record” rests on phantom stations and agenda-driven guesswork.
You can find more on all this here.

More Record Lows Sweep U.S.; Canadian Arctic Slips Straight Into Winter; Summer Frosts Grip Europe’s Lower Elevations; Record Cold Slovakia, Hungary’s Lowest-Ever Summer Temp; Climate Central Caught Hiding Data; + Solar Spike
August 28, 2025 Cap Allon

More Record Lows Sweep U.S.
A mass of unseasonably cold air has driven record lows across the United States this week, rewriting late-August weather books from the Midwest to the Deep South.
In northern Michigan, Roscommon plunged to 29F (-2C) on Aug 27, with Grayling, Trout Lake and Rexton all freezing at 32F (0C). Gaylord set a new daily record low of 39F (4C), breaking the mark of 40F (4C) from 1968. Widespread frost risk has farmers and gardeners bracing for damage, with further advisories in place through Aug 29.
Indiana and Michigan added to the tally. Fort Wayne posted 42F (6C), smashing a 115-year record of 45F (7C) set in 1910. Coldwater, MI tied a 109-year record with 40F (4C), while Jonesville set a new low at 37F (3C). Lexington, KY dropped to 46F (8C) — the third coldest August reading on record for the city — breaking its Aug 27 record of 49F (9C) set in 1968.
Even the Deep South was not spared. Central Alabama woke to fall-like air on Aug 27, with Birmingham dipping to 55F (13C), a new record low that broke the 1968 mark of 58F (14C). Anniston tied its 1952 record with 53F (12C), while Shelby County Airport set a new record at 58F (14C), beating the 2015 benchmark. One of the chilliest reports came from just east of Oneonta at 47F (8C).
The records kept falling through Wednesday and into Thursday:

https://electroverse.info/more-record-lows-sweep-u-s-canadian-arctic-slips-straight-into-winter-summer-frosts-grip-europes-lower-elevations-record-cold-slovakia-hungarys-lowest-ever-summer-temp-climate-central-caught/

Canadian Arctic Slips Straight Into Winter
While a pocket of heat in Western Canada dominates the legacy headlines, a powerful trough over the Arctic Archipelago is holding firm, locking very frigid air in place.
In Resolute, Nunavut, daytime highs on Friday are forecast to hold near -3C (27F), feeling closer to -10C (14F) in the wind — conditions that are expected to set a new record for the lowest August high. The standing mark is –4.5C (24F) from 1997.
Snow is expected to fall alongside the cold. Forecasts call for some 10 cm (4 inches) through Friday and Saturday as the first of two winter systems sweeps in. A second, stronger front will follow Sunday into Monday, with parts of Baffin Island bracing for more than 15 cm (6 inches) of accumulation with winds topping 80 km/h (50 mph) bringing possible whiteouts.
While early-season cold and snow are not unprecedented in the far north, subzero highs and accumulating snow in August are well ahead of schedule.
 

Summer Frosts Grip Europe’s Lower Elevations
Late August frosts struck several Balkan valleys — a rare event.
Kosanica, Montenegro fell to –1.9C (29F), Miercurea Ciuc, Romania to –1.7C (29F), and Karajukića Bunari, Serbia to –0.4C (31F). These readings, logged in low to moderate elevations, underline just how sharp Europe’s cold pooling has been this week.
The impacts were immediate: frost-sensitive crops, including vegetables, orchards, and vineyards, faced damage.
Such frosts are seldom seen in the Balkans during summer, per local reports.
 Record Cold Slovakia, Hungary’s Lowest-Ever Summer Temp
In Slovakia’s High Tatras, atop Lomnický štít —the nation’s second-highest peak— a low of -8C (17.6F) has been observed — the coldest August reading there in 45 years.
The only colder August values were set back in 1980: -8.4C (16.9F) on Aug 25 and -8.2C (17.2F) on Aug 26.
Unlike valley stations, Lomnický štít sits fully exposed to free-atmosphere conditions, making its dataset a reliable gauge of Central European extremes. The drop was aided by clear skies, radiative cooling at altitude, and a pocket of cold air aloft.
Even more remarkable, Hungary has just logged its coldest summer temperature ever.
This week, Mohos Sinkhole on the Bükk Plateau tanked to -10.1C (13.8F) — extraordinary for the height of summer. The Mohos station, as per its data, was below freezing by 7:30PM, under -5C (23F) by 9PM, and reached -10.14C before dawn.
The reading comfortably breaks the nation’s previous record summer low of –8C and settles a decades-long debate among researchers in the area: could a Bükk sinkhole ever hit -10C in summer at standard height? The answer is now confirmed.
Nearby Vörösmeteor Sinkhole touched -8.1C (17.4F) — what would have been a new national record for Hungary but for Mohos.

Climate Central Caught Hiding Data
Climate Central is at it again — pushing scary charts that only work if you cut history in half.
The nonprofit propaganda outfit, bankrolled by billionaire-backed outfits like the Bezos Earth Fund, recently blasted out graphics warning that Detroit is suffering “+19 more warm fall days” since 1970, showing a sharp warming spike.
They ignore the UHI effect for one, but Climate Central’s cherry-picked start date is the real trick here: by beginning in 1970, they can draw an upward-sloping line that looks alarming and unprecedented. As always though, zooming out changes the story.
Detroit’s full temperature record goes back well over a century. Plot it honestly, and you see that autumns were just as warm in the 1920s, 30s, and 40s (a little warmer, even). The 1970s happened to be a historically cold decade — the coldest stretch of the entire record. Start a chart there, and of course the modern years look “hot.”
Climate Central delete the inconvenient warm past, draw a straight line through a cold trough, and pretend it proves runaway warming. Detroit falls have warmed a little since the 1970s ice-age scare years (in line with urbanization), but they remain entirely within the bounds of natural variability. The city has been here before — a century ago.
 

Solar Spike
Solar activity has spiked over the past 48 hours as a cluster of active regions crowd the Earth-facing disk. Today’s official sunspot count stands at 227 — Solar Cycle 25 isn’t giving up without a fight.
Roughly one-third the size of the Carrington sunspot (of 1859), AR4197 appears even larger thanks to its surrounding swarm of smaller spots. Together, the group harbors a complex beta-gamma magnetic field — the kind that can unleash X-class events.
NASA’s SDO confirms AR4197’s growing instability, with solar forecasters warning of heightened flare risks in the days ahead.

Snow Piles Up In The Australian Alps, Even The Capitals; Reinforcing Cold Front To Extend U.S. Chill; Global Wildfire Area Down 30% Since 2002; + Atlantic Is A Ghost Town
August 29, 2025 Cap Allon

Snow Piles Up In The Australian Alps, Even The Capitals
Australia has seen one of its snowiest seasons of the century, with a fresh Antarctic blast this week delivering even more.

https://electroverse.info/snow-piles-up-in-the-australian-alps-even-the-capitals-reinforcing-cold-front-to-extend-u-s-chill-global-wildfire-area-down-30-since-2002-atlantic-is-a-ghost-town/

Resorts are already reporting up to 30 cm (12 in) in the first 24 hours of the storm’s onset, with another 40–50 cm (16–20 in) forecast across the higher ranges. That will push storm totals on the upper slopes close to 1 m (3.3 ft) by Saturday, adding to season accumulations already around 3 m (10 ft) — levels not seen in years.
The Bureau of Meteorology had forecast a weak snow year back in May. Instead, Aussie ski fields are logging bumper levels.
This storm’s reach is also worth noting. Into the weekend, snow is expected within 35 km (22 mi) of five capital cities. Snow levels will fall to 600 m (1,970 ft) in Victoria, 700 m (2,300 ft) in NSW, and just 300 m (985 ft) in Tasmania. That makes a dusting possible on hills within Canberra itself, Melbourne’s outer ranges, Sydney’s Blue Mountains, Hobart’s western slopes, and even Adelaide’s Mount Lofty Ranges. Additionally, areas of the southern Flinders and Mid‑North of South Australia are likely to see snow and all.
Regional towns aren’t spared either. Snow is forecast in Orange, Lithgow, Oberon, the Monaro region, Guyra (NSW), Trentham, Omeo, and the Grampians (Victoria), plus many Tasmanian settlements—down to near sea level in some spots.
Back in early August, southeast snowfields shattered records, posting their heaviest falls since the mid‑1980s. Parts of Queensland saw their first snow in decades, as levels dipped to around 800 m in areas of NSW and Victoria.
With 4–5 more weeks of lift operations planned, heavy snow still falling, and even low-level flakes across four states (plus the ACT), 2025 will cement itself as one of Australia’s most epic snow years of the century, despite the BOM’s relentless deception.
And as per latest GFS runs, August will close out very cold for practically the entire continent:

Reinforcing Cold Front To Extend U.S. Chill
Low temperatures are continuing to tumble, from Kentucky to West Virginia and into Pennsylvania.
Lexington, KY notched its third consecutive daily low record on Thursday, dipping to 48F (9C) — the coldest for the date since records began. Before that on Wednesday, the city plunged to 46F (8C) — the coldest August reading in nearly 40 years. While Tuesday tied a record dating back to 1945. Average lows for late August sit around 64F (18C).
In neighboring West Virginia, Huntington fell to 48F (9C) Thursday, breaking a 1986 mark, while Parkersburg tied its long-standing record at 45F (7C). Records in both locations stretch back almost a century.
Central Pennsylvania saw a reinforcing cold front sweep through Thursday into Friday, dragging highs well-below average, with many northern areas struggling to hit 60F (16C). A cold day followed on the heels of Thursday morning’s record-breaking chill.
Hundreds of low temperature benchmarks have fallen across the U.S. this week. Parts of the Plains and Midwest registered temperature departures of as much as 30F below average Tuesday/Wednesday, sparking frost advisories in the Upper Midwest.
And now looking ahead, another polar front is lining up out of Canada.
Even NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center sees it — a wide swath of anomalous cold from the Dakotas down to Texas, extending east into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. Mainstream have no choice but to concede: the U.S. is headed into early-season cold.

Global Wildfire Area Down 30% Since 2002
Contrary to the placard-brandishing alarmists that march Western streets, the world is not burning up. Satellite data from the Global Wildfire Information System show that the total land burned by wildfires each year has fallen by 28.5% since 2002.
Back in the early 2000s, close to half a billion hectares were burning annually. Today, that number sits near 350 million (and falling). The decline has been steady and clear across savannas, shrublands, forests, croplands, and other terrain.
While the media scrambles to frame every regional outbreak—California, Australia, the Mediterranean—as proof of “climate breakdown,” the global picture tells a very different story: wildfire activity is declining, not increasing.
The data is all there, alarmists — consume facts not spin.
 

Atlantic Is A Ghost Town
We’re now pushing into the heart of the Atlantic hurricane season — the period when activity normally surges. Yet the basin looks barren.
Aside from one low-probability wave off Africa, the tropics are silent:
During the peak, the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico, and western Atlantic are all void of storms. The season still has weeks to run of course, but as of late-August it is practically a ghost town out there. Fingers crossed it stays that way.
Like wildfire trends, hurricane data refuses to play along — another persistent headache for the AGW Party:

https://electroverse.info/massive-end-of-winter-snow-buries-australias-resorts-europes-hell-summer-never-arrived-u-s-to-hold-cold-for-weeks-norways-hydro-shortfall-puts-britain-at-risk-cme-to-imp/

The Antarctic blast delivered temperatures of -5C (23F) and winds strong enough to put chairlifts on hold. Once skies cleared, Perisher reported “perfect winter” conditions, with 87 freshly groomed runs and packed powder across the slopes.
Snowy Hydro’s benchmark site at Spencers Creek, NSW —located midway between Perisher and Thredbo— measured a depth of 220.4 cm (87 in) on September 1, the deepest pack for the date since 2019 and the first time the 2 meter mark had been breached since 2022. In Victoria, Mt Hotham reported a base of 159 cm (63 in) and Falls Creek 143 cm (56 in).
https://www.snowyhydro.com.au/generation/live-data/snow-depths/
Two major blizzards in under a month —the first in early August, the second to close winter— have cemented 2025 as one of the strongest snow seasons of the century for Australia’s alpine regions — the opposite to CAGW fairytelling.
With bases exceeding 2 meters, lifts are expected to keep spinning through September and into the October holiday weekend.This week, widespread departures of 10–15C below average are expected from the Dakotas through the Midwest and into the Ohio Valley. The chill then digs further south and east into the weekend, engulfing the Plains, Appalachians, and even the Deep South.

25 August 2025

Hurricane Erin captured the news this week as the storm passed north of the Windward Islands as a CAT 5 with central pressure of 915 mb creating huge waves and heavy rains. It passed up the East coast several hundred miles off shore still generating up to 17 ft waves and heavy coastal flooding as a 975mb CAT 2 storm. Central waves were up to 13 m according to the ECMWF model. Interestingly, a huge 950 mb Antarctic storm over the ice covered Ross Sea generated 40-55 kt ground blizzards. A strong Canadian front cooled much of the central US 5-10ºC below normal this weekend. “Northern Maine was hit with an early taste of winter this week as overnight lows dipped below freezing.” An early winter is in the air as Aspen leaves are turning 2 weeks early, and high elevation ground cover has turned red above timber line in the central Rockies. ECMWF forecasts for the next 15 days has significant snow on Wyoming and Colorado peaks.

Europe had a cold winter-like trough from the UK to the Med that brought needed rain and cool temperatures. “Europe will close out August with an unseasonable chill. GFS data show widespread anomalies of 6C to 10C below the 1981–2010 average, stretching from France and Germany across Poland, the Balkans, and into Russia. Scandinavia is also pulled into the chill, with central Europe at the core of the cold”
Most of Europe north of the Mediterranean will feel autumn weeks early.” Today, X-Hurricane Erin dominates the N Atlantic from the UK to Greenland as a 956 mb intense extratropical storm with 48 kt winds and 12 m waves centered 12º longitude (512 m mi)west of Ireland. It has a beautiful classical satellite signature - see https://www.windy.com/-Satellite-satellite?satellite,51.917,4.219,4,p:temp On August 24, the first snowfall of the season was recorded in the Carpathians. Rescuers reported snow on Mount Pip Ivan Chornohirskyi, where summit temperatures dropped to just 1C (34F), and authorities warned hikers to avoid the trails.

Asia was warm from Siberia to China while India was normal (hot) to 2-5ºc below normal. High parts of the Tibetan Plateau continued to get 20 to 90 cm of new snow.

Australia and New Zealand were cold and snowy in their mountains as the ski country is having a banner year. Southern Hemisphere continues to suffer from cold weather which has significantly impacted Brazilian coffee production: “Brazil’s key coffee regions are enduring a punishing sequence of cold events that threaten to cripple the already weakened 2026 harvest. Frost is hitting the delicate flowering phase that sets next year’s crop, stress from which can linger for months.” “Brazil’s Cooxupé —the world’s largest coffee cooperative, based in Guaxupé, Minas Gerais— has reported warehouses running at just 60% capacity at the close of the 2025 harvest. Normally those warehouses are full. Coffee is the canary in the coal mine. Arabica, the dominant variety, survives only in a narrow thermal band — slip a few degrees colder and yields collapse. In 1975 a single frost wiped out two-thirds of Brazil’s crop overnight and rewired global supply.”

“The Australian Alps are bracing for one of the heaviest dumps of the season, with storm totals expected to reach 18–36 inches (45–91 cm) across the Snowy Mountains and Victorian High Country by this coming weekend.” “Valle Nevado, Chile has just been buried under one of the biggest dumps in recent memory. A late-August storm delivered more than five feet (1.52 meters) of snow in only five days, pushing this season’s total past 13.5 feet (over 4.11 meters).” The main surge is expected to arrive Friday night, when colder air drives snow levels well down to 800 m (2,600 ft) and snow-to-liquid ratios improve, bringing lighter, drier flakes to the ranges.”

The Antarctic winter continued to have fierce 935 to 970 mb storms, ground blizzards, and heavy snows on the coastal mountains. Studies of the Arctic and Antarctic Sea Ice show no significant departure from the long term normals. CO2 has no significant effect.

New album: Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/27/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 27 January showed warming off Ecuador with cooling from 120 to180º W. This warming continued this week of 12 April. The warming turned neutral to cold in May 3rd’s analysis. Today the pattern is neutral with a forecast of a brief la Nina by November. See the albums.

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 25 August 2025

Aussie Alpine Rescues Up; Cold Freezes Global Coffee Supply; New Study: Tonga Eruption Exposes IPCC Flaw, Cooling Ahead; + Peer Review Redefined
August 19, 2025 Cap Allon

Aussie Alpine Rescues Up
Australia’s Snowy Mountains are in the grip of a rescue-heavy winter, with crews already handling more than triple the call-outs of last year.
Heavy early dumps set the tone in June, with blizzards dropping 50–70 cm (20–28 inches) across the ranges and Perisher stacking up a 90 cm (35 inches) base by August — described by locals as the best cover seen in years.
Visitor numbers have surged with the conditions, and so have accidents: 14 rescues so far this season, compared with just four in 2024.
Deputy Zone Commander Matt Price: “Facing one of our most active snow seasons in years, our alpine volunteers have shown exceptional skill in very challenging conditions.”
Police Commander Toby Lindsay warned too many were still heading out unprepared: “There is no such thing as being too prepared. A Personal Locator Beacon can be the difference between life and death.”
Emergency services this week staged a joint alpine rescue drill at Perisher, bracing for more incidents as snow continues to pile up into the back half of the season.

https://electroverse.info/aussie-alpine-rescues-up-cold-freezes-global-coffee-supply-new-study-tonga-eruption-exposes-ipcc-flaw-cooling-ahead-peer-review-redefined/

 Cold Freezes Global Coffee Supply
Coffee is being driven into a structural bull market by one factor above all: cold.
Brazil —the world’s largest producer— has endured repeated frosts and record-low temperatures since 2021. As per global coffee analyst Maja Wallengren, the most recent frost, in mid-August, 2025, hit just as flowering began for the 2026 crop.
This stage of growth is crucial, where even a light frost can be devastating.
These trees, already weakened by years of hardship, respond with “stress flowering” — putting energy into leaves instead of cherries. That means irreversible losses before fruit even sets. Agronomically, recovery from this cycle is slow, often stretching years or decades.
The 2025 harvest is proving a disappointment. Official forecasts sit at 55–65 million bags, already below average, but field reports suggest closer to 47 million.
Wallengren warns this shortfall, combined with cold-driven damage to the 2026 crop, sets the stage for a 10-year bull run in coffee prices. In her view, $3.40–3.50/lb arabica is not expensive, but the floor. Prices are likely to break above $4 and could test $5–6 by early 2026 as deficits deepen, she contends.
Meanwhile demand keeps rising by roughly 3 million bags a year. And with no real recovery possible for years/decades and with more cold weather forecast (both short and long term), the idea that “high prices cure high prices” no longer applies. The coffee simply isn’t there.
This is a weather-driven supply collapse, due to cooling. Brazil’s arabica belt has been frozen into decline — and the world market is only beginning to price it in.

New Study: Tonga Eruption Exposes IPCC Flaw, Cooling Ahead
A new study, published August 2025 in the Journal of Basic & Applied Sciences (link), analyzes the true driver of the recent “record warmth” and finds that it wasn’t CO2 at all—it was the Hunga Tonga volcanic eruption.
https://setpublisher.com/index.php/jbas/article/view/2607
On January 15, 2022, the Hunga Tonga submarine volcano injected an unprecedented 146 million tonnes of water vapor into the stratosphere. That single eruption increased stratospheric water content by roughly 10%—enough to temporarily spike satellite temperature readings.
According to the UAH, Earth’s lower tropospheric temperature climbed rapidly, peaking in April 2024 at 0.45C above the IPCC’s much-touted “safe” 1.5C threshold. The mainstream media immediately seized on this as evidence of runaway CO2-driven warming.
But the researchers here, H. Douglas Lightfoot (The Lightfoot Institute) and Gerald Ratzer (McGill University, Emeritus), show that the spike was short-lived, tightly correlated with the Tonga eruption, and entirely uncorrelated with the smooth, gradual rise in atmospheric CO2.
As we know, by July 2025, global temperatures had already fallen 0.6C from their April 2024 peak.
“The 24-month spike in the measured temperature record is uncorrelated with steadily rising CO2 levels, disproving any assertion that CO2 is a driver of global climate warming. This is a decisive counterexample to the IPCC position.”
 For decades, climate models have attributed nearly all warming to CO2 emissions while ignoring episodic natural drivers—volcanoes, solar activity, stratospheric water vapor shifts. Yet here we have a real-world, empirical demonstration that natural forcings can completely overwhelm and create short-term warming events that exceed IPCC projections without any corresponding rise in emissions.
Moreover, the temporary overshoot of 1.5C caused no catastrophic impacts whatsoever. No tipping points. No collapse. Just a heat blip, already fading.
This matters for agriculture, continues the paper. Farmers are being warned about endless warming, when in reality the longer-term trend (as the UAH shows) points to cooling ahead—shorter growing seasons, earlier frosts, and declining food security.
 To conclude:
1) The “record heat” headlines of 2023–24 were the direct result of a volcanic eruption, not CO2.
2) This gives the IPCC’s central claim—that rising CO2 is the primary driver of global temperature—a decisive counterexample.
3) Cooler decades lie ahead, according to the researchers, consistent with solar cycles and pre-eruption trends. Cooling was already evident in the UAH satellite record before Tonga, they explain, and is now re-emerging as the volcanic spike dissipates.
 The science has spoken. The models are broken. And once again, the establishment refuses to admit it. Cooling ahead.
 

Peer Review Redefined
A Climategate email has recently resurfaced, one that should have ended the credibility of mainstream climate science years ago.
In the 2004 exchange, Phil Jones (then head of the Climatic Research Unit, and lead IPCC author) wrote to Michael Mann: “Kevin and I will keep them out somehow – even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is!”
This is gatekeeping, short and simple.
Top IPCC authors are openly plotting to block inconvenient studies from inclusion. The public was told to “trust the science.” But little did they know the science itself was being curated, manipulated, and censored behind closed doors.
This email was one of many that surfaced in the Climategate leaks, revealing backroom discussions about hiding data, massaging conclusions, and undermining dissent. Instead of open inquiry, climate science became a cartel.
And the same names keep appearing.
Michael Mann, for example, famous for the “hockey stick” graph, was recently called out in court for misleading a jury. In Mann’s long-running defamation case against commentator Mark Steyn a jury did initially award Mann $1 million in damages, but the presiding judge later slashed the award to just $5,000 and sanctioned Mann for “bad-faith trial misconduct.” Mann was found to have misled the jury by inflating claimed grant losses from $112,000 to $9.7 million, with the judge calling it “an affront to the Court’s authority.” He now faces paying over half a million dollars in Steyn’s legal fees.
If the science is as “settled” as we’re told, why the secrecy? Why the shady characters? Why the manipulation? Why the lies? Because the science isn’t settled. The establishment knows it. And they’ve spent decades trying to bury anyone who points it out.

Early Frost Bites Maine; Cool Summer Finale For Europe; Brazil’s Coffee Belt To Be Hit Again; Study: Natural Warming Not Emissions; + Lowest Daily Sunspot Count Since April 2024
August 20, 2025 Cap Allon

Early Frost Bites Maine
Northern Maine was hit with an early taste of winter this week as overnight lows dipped below freezing.
Estcourt Station bottomed out at a rare 31F (-0.6C), while Caribou fell to 38F (3.3C). In Houlton, temperatures tanked to 35F (1.7C) on Monday — marking the second-earliest reading that low since records began in 1948, with only Aug 17, 1979 seeing cold earlier. The 39F (3.9C) posted there on Tuesday set a new daily record minimum.
Frost was confirmed across multiple locations, reads a NWS report.

https://electroverse.info/early-frost-bites-maine-cool-summer-finale-for-europe-brazils-coffee-belt-to-be-hit-again-study-natural-warming-not-emissions-lowest-daily-sunspot-count-since-april-2024/

Along the coast, Hurricane Erin is forecast to bring rough surf and gusty winds later this week, but the real story inland is the early arrival of frost.
And that could well be summer for much of America, with an expansive cold front forecast to descend south starting this weekend:
It could well be summer for Europe, and all…
 

Cool Summer Finale For Europe
Europe will close out August with an unseasonable chill.
GFS data show widespread anomalies of 6C to 10C below the 1981–2010 average, stretching from France and Germany across Poland, the Balkans, and into Russia. Scandinavia is also pulled into the chill, with central Europe at the core of the cold
Most of Europe north of the Mediterranean will feel autumn weeks early.
Blocking patterns are again locking in anomalies. For much of the continent, it means jackets in August — a far cry from the “endless summer heat” headlines that dominated during a very brief burst of heat earlier in the month.
 

Brazil’s Coffee Belt To Be Hit Again
Brazil’s coffee belt is bracing for yet another blast of cold air as a new front pushes north across all major arabica regions.
This winter has already set records for frequency and intensity of cold incursions in Brazil’s coffee heartland. Trees, already weakened by repeated cold snaps (since 2021), now face further stress just weeks before the critical 2026 flowering season.
Growers warn that even without a hard frost, sustained cold and excessive rainfall can sharply reduce flowering uniformity and weaken yield potential. With global supply chains already tight, any further weather hit in Brazil —the world’s top coffee producer— will likely echo across markets.
Global coffee analyst Maja Wallengren: “This once again confirms what has been a record-breaking winter for intense cold across all main arabica producing regions.”
 

Study: Natural Warming Not Emissions
Nothing new here — just another study confirming what independent researchers have been saying for decades: warming drives CO2, not the other way around.
Published in Sci (2024) by Demetris Koutsoyiannis of the National Technical University of Athens, the paper finds that the isotopic signature of CO2 in the air looks the same today as it did during the Little Ice Age. If fossil fuels were driving the rise, that fingerprint would have shifted — but it hasn’t, which means the atmosphere is still dominated by natural sources and sinks.
Natural systems —oceans, soils, vegetation, and even volcanoes— move vastly more CO2 in and out of the atmosphere than humans ever could, and the supposed fossil-fuel ‘fingerprint’ is nowhere to be found, according to Koutsoyiannis.
The study concludes that human activity makes up just 3–4% of total emissions — trivial compared to what oceans, soils, and vegetation handle daily. More importantly, it confirms the sequence: first the planet warms, then CO2 levels rise.
For years, we’ve been told that natural sinks —plants and oceans— were in equilibrium until humans tipped the scales. But the biosphere is not static. For one, satellite records show the Earth is now far greener than it was 40 years ago, with NASA data revealing a 10–14% increase in global leaf area since the 1980s. Plants are growing faster and absorbing more CO2, especially in arid regions. The biosphere adapts. It expands. The sink is dynamic.
Regardless of the evidence though, the political machine rolls on. Western governments have already dismantled their energy systems, thrown trillions at wind and solar, and plunged themselves into economic freefall. One estimate puts the renewables tab at $178 trillion by 2030 — all for a problem that data show doesn’t exist in the way it’s been sold.
This study isn’t a revelation. It’s one more brick in a wall of evidence built over years of observation, ignored by the very institutions that claim to “own the science.” CO2 is not the master knob of climate. Human emissions are negligible. And the real crisis isn’t in the atmosphere — it’s in the wreckage of economies sacrificed to a dogmatic narrative.
For a full read of the paper, click here.
https://www.mdpi.com/2413-4155/6/1/17

Lowest Daily Sunspot Count Since April 2024
On August 20, 2025, the daily sunspot number fell to 36 — the lowest tally in nearly a year and a half.
According to SILSO data, the last time activity dipped this low was April 1, 2024 with 31. Before that, you’d have to go back to November 18, 2023, when the count briefly slid to 26.
Solar Cycle 25 looks to be rolling over into decline. The fall to mid-30s marks a clear break from the explosive highs of last year.
The real question is how deep the fall will go.
Solar Minimums are not uniform. Some merely skim the floor, while others drag the count through weeks and even months of spotless runs. The Maunder and Dalton episodes proved that the Sun can linger in extended states of quiet far beyond the neat 11-year textbook model.
If Cycle 25 is now turning down, the depth of the coming Minimum will determine much about the coming decade: cosmic ray flux, upper-atmosphere chemistry, auroral frequency, and climate patterns on Earth, i.e. the level of accompanying cooling.
The Sun’s face is nearly blank — just 36 spots are visible, from just three weak groups.

Season’s First “Arctic Blast” Inbound; Study: Doing Nothing Feeds Megafires; Antarctic Sea Ice Paper: 130,000 Years of Natural Change; + Arctic Sea Ice Stalls: 20 Years Without Decline
August 21, 2025 Cap Allon

Season’s First “Arctic Blast” Inbound
A descent of cold Canadian air will dip deep into the Lower 48 next week, knocking temperatures well-below normal. While “Arctic blast” might be overkill for late August, the setup will feel like an early arrival of Fall.
The core of the chill will start in the north this weekend, and by early next week will have targeted the likes of Kansas, Oklahoma, and northern Texas. Forecasts show widespread double-digit departures extending from the Rockies through the Midwest.
Days will resemble October rather than August.

https://electroverse.info/seasons-first-arctic-blast-inbound-study-doing-nothing-feeds-megafires-antarctic-sea-ice-paper-130000-years-of-natural-change-arctic-sea-ice-stalls-20-years-without-decline/

Study: Doing Nothing Feeds Megafires
Activists insist the best wildfire strategy is to do nothing—leave the forest “untouched,” because cutting trees is bad. But a new simulation study on ponderosa pine forests shows what common sense already told us: the biggest factor in wildfire severity isn’t tree spacing, restoration layouts, or any other management nuance—it’s the mass of fuel left on the ground.
Researchers tested different thinning strategies, from “thin-from-below” (removing small ladder trees) to “ecological restoration” (designs that attempt to reproduce conditions prior to European settlement). All reduced fire severity compared to doing nothing. But the clear winner was the simplest approach: cut out the small stuff and clear the surface fuels.
What mattered was whether managers dealt with the carpet of pine needles, branches, and dead wood.
“Regardless of thinning strategy and residual stocking levels, surface fuel loading had the greatest effect on fire hazard and highlights the need for treatments to directly address the accumulated fuels from a century of fire suppression.”
This revelation would not surprise the ancients. For thousands of years, Indigenous peoples across North America, and Aboriginal Australians, set small, cool fires at the right time of year to clear fuels, open the understory, and prevent catastrophic burns. They didn’t call it “fuel load management.” They just understood the obvious: burn it now, or watch it burn bigger later.
Modern man has stamped out these practices in the name of “protection,” but this allows fuels to build up and megafires to break out. Modern scientists are now running high-powered simulations to confirm the lesson our ancestors already knew: clearing the fuels is essential — and small, frequent, controlled burns is the simplest way to achieve this.

Antarctic Sea Ice Paper: 130,000 Years of Natural Change
Antarctic sea ice helps drive ocean circulation, regulates heat exchange between ocean and atmosphere, and plays an indirect role in the global carbon cycle — meaning changes in its extent ripple through the entire climate system. This paper (Crosta et al., 2022) pulls together what we know about Antarctic sea ice over the last 130,000 years. Ice has advanced and retreated dramatically through natural cycles, far outpacing the relatively minor shifts of the modern satellite era.
https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/1729/2022/
Reconstructing seasonal sea ice extent —winter (WSI) and summer (SSI)— using proxies like diatoms in marine sediment and sodium flux in ice cores, scientists discovered that during the Last Glacial Maximum (around 21,000 years ago), winter sea ice nearly doubled in extent compared to today, while summer ice expanded mainly in the Weddell and Ross seas. In contrast, during the Last Interglacial (about 125,000 years ago), when global temperatures were at least 2C (3.6F) warmer than pre-industrial, Antarctic winter sea ice was roughly half its modern size. Through the Holocene (covering the past 11,000 years), sea ice waxed and waned with natural shifts, expanding in the cooler Late Holocene despite higher carbon dioxide levels.
Variability on scales of decades to millennia has always been the norm. Today’s changes fit within a long record of wild fluctuation, with sea ice often much lower than it is now.
Climate models used by the IPCC do not reproduce the observed variability. Models typically project steady declines in Antarctic ice, yet the historical record shows increases, decreases, and long periods of expansion — none of which are captured. The authors admit that predicting future Antarctic ice is “highly uncertain.”
Today’s models can’t even simulate the last 40 years of satellite observations, meaning their projections for the next century carry no weight. What the paleoclimate record shows, far more clearly, is that Antarctic sea ice has always changed —often dramatically, often quickly— and always for reasons beyond human control.
 

Arctic Sea Ice Stalls: 20 Years Without Decline
A study published in Geophysical Research Letters finds that Arctic sea ice loss has undergone a pronounced slowdown over the last 20 years. The authors report no statistically significant decline in September sea ice area since 2005.
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL116175
This pause is consistent across multiple datasets (NSIDC and OSISAF) and applies not only to summer minimums but to every month of the year. Both sea ice extent and volume have remained largely unchanged since the mid-2000s.
The paper claims that pauses like this are “not unusual” in climate model simulations and could even persist for another five to ten years.
But this directly contradicts the mainstream narrative of the past two+ decades. The consensus expectation was not a pause — it was collapse. Countless studies, headlines, and public figures warned of an ice-free Arctic by now, some as early as the mid-2010s. Instead, sea ice has held steady for 20 years.

Record August Chill Hits Yemen And Saudi Arabia; Snow Slams Cerro Catedral; Coffee: The Canary In The Cooling Coal Mine; + Extreme Event Attribution: The IPCC’s New Political Weapon
August 22, 2025 Cap Allon

Record August Chill Hits Yemen And Saudi Arabia
Cool, wet conditions have swept southwest Saudi Arabia and neighboring Yemen this week, delivering record-breaking cold.
The Saudi coastal city of Gizan has registered a max of just 30.5C (87F) — making for the coldest August day ever recorded there.
While in Yemen, notably the highland villages, overnight lows tanked to 7C (45F), in Saada — again, an extraordinary chill for this time of year.
Persistent rains and cloud cover have accompanied the temperature drop, with local forecasts calling for ongoing showers across the Yemeni highlands (Ibb, Taiz, Dhamar, Al Bayda, Raymah, Hajjah, Saada, Amran, Sanaa) as well as southern Saudi Arabia.

https://electroverse.info/record-august-chill-hits-yemen-and-saudi-arabia-snow-slams-cerro-catedral-coffee-the-canary-in-the-cooling-coal-mine-extreme-event-attribution-the-ipccs-new-political-weapon/

Snow Slams Cerro Catedral
Heavy snow is hitting Cerro Catedral, Río Negro as Antarctic cold sweepst northern Patagonia:
Flakes settled across the high mountain and along stretches of RN40, snarling travel and justifying the official weather warnings put in place. Temperatures at elevation plunged to -11C (12F), some 10C below average.
Forecasts call for more snow over the next 48 hours, with the cold deepening and pushing north — set to grip northern Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, Bolivia, and even southern Brazil this weekend and into next week…
 

Coffee: The Canary In The Cooling Coal Mine
Brazil’s Cooxupé —the world’s largest coffee cooperative, based in Guaxupé, Minas Gerais— has reported warehouses running at just 60% capacity at the close of the 2025 harvest. Normally those warehouses are full.
Coffee is the canary in the coal mine. Arabica, the dominant variety, survives only in a narrow thermal band — slip a few degrees colder and yields collapse. In 1975 a single frost wiped out two-thirds of Brazil’s crop overnight and rewired global supply.
In times of cooling, staples like wheat and maize can survive — they might not thrive, but a freeze or two is’t going to destroy the entire yield. The likes of coffee, cocoa, and sugarcane are trapped in thin equatorial belts, and a dip in temperature, a frost, and the crop is dead.
History backs this. During the Little Ice Age, frost hammered European vineyards and cash crops long before grains faced collapse. Luxuries went first. Warm-adapted crops are fragile because they rely on climatic stability — the first thing cooling takes away.
Cooxupé’s warehouses sitting half-empty is an early signal of systemic stress in warm-band agriculture. Brazil’s coffee has been struggling with anomalously cool temperatures and destructive frosts since 2021. Prices are rising, but they will soon spike hard. Supply chains will wobble. And if the planet keeps tilting toward cold, coffee won’t just be costly, it will be out of reach for many.
The “Indiana Jones of Coffee,” analyst Maja Wallengren, has been warning of exactly this fragility. Once coffee tips outside its sweet spot, the fall isn’t gradual. It’s a cliff. Coffee could be telling us something: The COLD TIMES are returning.
 

Extreme Event Attribution: The IPCC’s New Political Weapon
The IPCC has named its author team for the Seventh Assessment Report (AR7). Chapter 3 —Changes in regional climate and extremes, and their causes— is already showing where the process is headed.
Instead of building on the IPCC’s long-standing framework of Detection and Attribution (D&A), the new line-up leans heavily toward Extreme Event Attribution (EEA) — a separate and far more controversial enterprise.
The IPCC’s D&A framework treats climate change as shifts in long-term weather statistics. Detection means spotting such a shift. Attribution means identifying its cause. For most extremes —floods, droughts, storms, heatwaves— the IPCC has not made confident detections, let alone causal attributions, and does not expect to any time soon.
That failure was unacceptable to campaigners — imagine not finding proof that human CO2 is wrecking the planet. Out of that gap came EEA:
That was seen as a failure to alarmists — fancy not detecting human CO2 emissions are destroying the planet. And that failure gave rise to EEA: the idea of tying individual events directly to greenhouse gas emissions. Unlike D&A, EEA is mostly conducted outside the peer-reviewed literature, often announced by press release,
and designed for headlines and lawsuits rather than rigorous scientific scrutiny..
Chapter 3 of AR7 is dominated by EEA specialists. Of its 20 authors, at least nine have published on extreme event attribution. Two of the three coordinating lead authors —including World Weather Attribution (WWA) co-founder Friederike Otto— are deeply embedded in the EEA camp, they basically invented it.
In short, this is not a broad spectrum of expertise on extremes; it is a concentrated cluster of advocates.
A glance at the list tells the story:
Traditional D&A experts are virtually absent. This is not representative of the field. It is a deliberate weighting. And this weighting matters because EEA is garbage.
The Honest Broker, aka Roger Peilke Jr., touches on this. He considers monsoon rains, specifically flooding in Pakistan.
The WWA declared in a press release “every tenth of a degree of warming will lead to heavier monsoon rainfall, making fossil fuel phase-out urgent.” Yet a 2025 peer-reviewed study concluded the opposite: monsoon changes are uncertain, projections show no significant increase, and CO2 rise may even reduce rainfall slightly. While long-term data on Pakistan’s rivers shows declining, not increasing, flows in many regions. Both positions cannot be true. But one gets front-page coverage, the other gets ignored. With AR7’s new authorship, it’s clear which view will dominate.
The WWA itself is part-funded by the Bezos Earth Fund and tied into ongoing U.S. National Academy studies on EEA. Several AR7 authors are connected to these projects. The incentive is obvious: keep the headlines flowing and keep climate policy tethered to extreme events. The end result is that every flood, every storm, every heatwave becomes an “emissions story.”
Deaths from disasters are at historic lows worldwide. But the narrative of EEA insists otherwise: every extreme is proof of climate collapse, every tenth of a degree edges us closer to the apocalypse.

Early U.S. Cold To Impact 200 Million; Summer Snow In The Carpathians; Australia Forecast 3 Feet; Andes Hammered: Five Feet of Snow in Five Days at Valle Nevado; + MSM vs MSM
August 25, 2025 Cap Allon

Early U.S. Cold To Impact 200 Million
More than 200 million Americans from the Plains to the East Coast will be hit by an unseasonable chill this week.
A powerful cold front spilling out of Canada is set to dominate the central and eastern half of the country. GFS runs show widespread anomalies of 12C to 16C below the 30-year norm, with pockets even colder.

https://electroverse.info/early-u-s-cold-to-impact-200-million-summer-snow-in-the-carpathians-australia-forecast-3-feet-andes-hammered-five-feet-of-snow-in-five-days-at-valle-nevado-msm-vs-msm/

Already, the northern Plains have turned sharply cooler. Frost advisories were hoisted across northern Minnesota as lows dipped into the 30s — in August. By Tuesday, Oklahoma City may struggle to crack 70F (21C), while the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest fall into the 40s overnight.
This is no passing chill. Even NOAA’s outlook carries below-average temperatures through the end of August and into early September — a fall preview weeks ahead of schedule.
 

Summer Snow In The Carpathians
On August 24, the first snowfall of the season was recorded in the Carpathians.
Rescuers reported snow on Mount Pip Ivan Chornohirskyi, where summit temperatures dropped to just 1C (34F), and authorities warned hikers to avoid the trails.
Snow was also noted near Hoverla, Ukraine’s tallest mountain, in the Zaroslyak tract. Several high-altitude areas were dusted and all, weeks earlier than the typical onset of autumn cold.
Europe is chilling right now, with August frosts noted across the likes of Germany, Austria, Italy, and Romania, also:

Australia Forecast 3 Feet
The Australian Alps are bracing for one of the heaviest dumps of the season, with storm totals expected to reach 18–36 inches (45–91 cm) across the Snowy Mountains and Victorian High Country by this coming weekend.
The main surge is expected to arrive Friday night, when colder air drives snow levels well down to 800 m (2,600 ft) and snow-to-liquid ratios improve, bringing lighter, drier flakes to the ranges.
Charlotte Pass, Thredbo, Perisher, and Selwyn should see 30+ inches (76+ cm), while Falls Creek, Mount Hotham, and Mount Buller will land in the 26–28 inch (66–71 cm) range. Mount Baw Baw and Tasmania’s Mount Mawson will record lesser but still notable totals.
The flakes actually begin Tuesday night with a dense base-building phase, before the primary cold shot blasts through late Friday, producing the bulk of the accumulation.
This week’s storm could push the snowpack in the Snowy Mountains and Victorian High Country above 2 meters (6.6 feet) — a threshold reached only a handful of times this century.

Andes Hammered: Five Feet of Snow in Five Days at Valle Nevado
Valle Nevado, Chile has just been buried under one of the biggest dumps in recent memory. A late-August storm delivered more than five feet (1.52 meters) of snow in only five days, pushing this season’s total past 13.5 feet (over 4.11 meters).
The storm came in two phases, with heavy winds and rapid accumulation mid-week before a top-up into the weekend. Cars in the resort lot were reportedly buried, and access roads required snow tires as traffic controls were enforced.
As per the mountain’s official report, conditions are described as packed powder, ideal for both piste and off-piste riding. Temperatures have plunged to -17C (1F) at the summit, keeping snow quality intact.
This marks the second consecutive standout season for Valle Nevado. Last year, the resort logged nearly 23 feet (7 m) of snow and extended its operations until October 20, one of the longest seasons in its 36-year history. The current season is already on track to rival or exceed that benchmark, with operations scheduled through mid-October, at least.
Other parts of the Andes also caught heavy snowfall. Argentina’s Portillo picked up 32 inches (81 cm) in five days, while Las Leñas posted totals of 24 inches (61 cm).
While for South America overall, a powerful Antarctic air mass is continuing its advance north up the continent Monday and Tuesday, due to further impact the already weakened Brazilian coffee harvest.

MSM vs MSM
Same outlets. Absurd claim. Reality kicks in. No accountability.
BBC 2007: “Ice-free Arctic by 2013.” BBC 2015: “Arctic ice grew by a third.”
Guardian 2012: “Sea ice gone within four years.”
Guardian 2025: “Dramatic slowdown in melting surprises scientists.”
The cycle is the product, not the truth.
Alarmist headline, missed prediction, quiet walk-back, repeat.
The MSM will quiet down re. Arctic sea ice from now on. But I see the spotlight has already shifted south: Antarctica is becoming the new stage for “record melt,” “tipping points,” and “catastrophe.” Same script, new scenery — and same unscientific BS:

18 August 2025

Normal Summer weather continued this week with wild fires from California to the Rockies and Louisiana. Canadian fires burned in NW Territories, Alberta and Saskatchewan. Fortunately, temperatures were cooler than normal on the West Coast and NE, while the rockies and SE were warm. CAT 4 Hurricane Erin moved across the Atlantic just north of the islands and Puerto Rico and is predicted to move up the East Coast off shore creating tropical storm winds and waves but not making landfall. “The Almanac warns winter could start early and linger through March, with some areas —particularly New England, the Great Lakes, and the northern Plains— holding onto winter conditions well into April.” - A normal winter.

Europe had the normal very HOT Spain and Portugal with 20ºC above normal in France, while Poland and central Europe warmed into the 30s; however forecasts take them back below normal by 20 August. Germany had frost in the high mountains. Greenland had significant snows taking them to 2 GT above normal in August and maintaining the cumulative SMB above normal for the year. Refereed journal articles showed no significant change in Arctic sea ice since 2007. Currently the northern shore from Greenland to the Beaufort Sea shows 2-4 m thick ice according to the Danish Arctic Research Center.

Asia continues to have significant snow in the Tibetan Plateau and N China had deadly floods.

Southern Hemisphere continues to suffer from cold weather which has significantly impacted Brazilian coffee production: “Brazil’s key coffee regions are enduring a punishing sequence of cold events that threaten to cripple the already weakened 2026 harvest. Frost is hitting the delicate flowering phase that sets next year’s crop, stress from which can linger for months.” Australia and New Zealand continue to get snow in the mountains with 30 to 140 cm of new snow. Strong Antarctic Highs (1030 mb) are pumping cold air northward. The Andes continue to get 2-4 m snows at high elevations. Ground blizzards of 30 to 55 kt winds are hitting the Antarctic coasts as deep 930-970 mb storms circle the continent.

New album: Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. It continues to evolve with a 70% chance of fully developing by November 2024 according to NOAA’s latest 9/21/24 forecast. The latest SST analysis on 01/27/25 has a complex La Niña/El Niño pattern… The weekly SST anomaly on 27 January showed warming off Ecuador with cooling from 120 to180º W. This warming continued this week of 12 April. The warming turned neutral to cold in May 3rd’s analysis. Today the pattern is neutral with a forecast of a brief la Nina by November. See the albums.

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 18 August 2025

BBC Heatwave Hysteria; Farmers’ Almanac: “Old-Fashioned Winter” For U.S.; Four Decades of Climate Policy, Zero Impact; + Study: No Decline In Arctic Sea Ice Since 2007
August 12, 2025 Cap Allon

BBC Heatwave Hysteria
The BBC is at it again — front-page “amber alert” headlines accompanied by photos of sweaty tourists.
A nation is baking under its “fourth heatwave of the summer” with “health services under strain.”
As per the data, Monday saw eight UK weather stations recorded 30C or above… 

https://electroverse.info/bbc-heatwave-hysteria-farmers-almanac-old-fashioned-winter-for-u-s-four-decades-of-climate-policy-zero-impact-study-no-decline-in-arctic-sea-ice-since-2007/

 …every single one of them at an airport or airfield. Runways, tarmac, and jet exhaust — the the Urban Heat Island effect is, once again, responsible for jacking up thermometer readings.
We’re talking RAF bases like Lakenheath, Northolt, and Benson; major airports like Heathrow; and smaller but still aviation-heavy sites like Farnborough. These are not pristine, rural, climate-neutral locations. They are concrete heat sinks, surrounded by metal, glass, and thousands of horsepower in the form of taxiing aircraft.
This is the foundation of the BBC’s “heatwave” story — a handful of airport-based spikes. The result is inflated temperatures, a public primed for fear, and an ever-ready justification for climate-crisis policy making.
 

Farmers’ Almanac: “Old-Fashioned Winter” For U.S.
The Farmers’ Almanac is out, and it’s warning Americans to prepare for an “old-fashioned winter”. Branded “Chill, Snow, Repeat,” the 2025–26 season is expected to bring consistently cold air and cyclical snow events from late fall well into spring.
Editor Sandi Duncan says the pattern will be relentless: temperature plunge, snow, a brief thaw, then the process begins again.
The Northeast is primed for a harsh season, with a deep freeze forecast for mid-Jan and multiple heavy snowstorms in January and February. Northern New England faces dangerous cold and deep accumulation, with winter potentially lasting into April.
The Great Lakes and Midwest will see similar extremes, including a major snowstorm in early February and persistent frigid air settling in afterward. The North Central states —from the Dakotas to Missouri— are in for a “classic winter wonderland” with sustained Arctic outbreaks and March snow events, even into Easter weekend.
The Pacific Northwest is pegged for chilly, wet weather and strong mountain snow totals, a boon for ski resorts and water reserves. The South Central region will be cold and wet, with icy conditions in northern Texas and Oklahoma.
The Almanac warns winter could start early and linger through March, with some areas —particularly New England, the Great Lakes, and the northern Plains— holding onto winter conditions well into April.
This forecast —while best taken with a pinch of salt— fits the recent trend of deep, lingering winter cold gripping much of the Northern Hemisphere, not the endless heat mantra pushed by intergovernmental panels and their media lapdogs. If it proves accurate, Winter 2025–26 will strain infrastructure, drive up heating demand, and wear down communities.
Enjoy the summer warmth. Long may it last.
 

Four Decades of Climate Policy, Zero Impact
Forty years of climate pledges, treaties, taxes, and subsidies have achieved absolutely nothing:
Since the 1980s, Western governments have poured hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars into “research” and “mitigation,” insisting CO₂ is the planet’s thermostat. Yet emissions keep climbing — from the region driving global growth: Asia.
While Europe and the U.S. have strangled industries with carbon pricing, bans, and regulations, Asia has been building coal plants and manufacturing capacity at record pace. And while countries like Germany shut down their nuclear plants, eliminating one of the only large-scale, reliable low-CO₂ energy sources, Asia —mainly China and India— has 5,144 operational coal power plants (red dots), and a whopping 1,000 more in the works (blue and green dots):
China’s coal-fired power capacity continues its steady march up:
CO₂ emissions are now higher than ever. The “global” climate movement was never global. The West’s unilateral sacrifices were little more than an expensive exercise in futility, likely an intentional one.
Asia’s economies are expanding, the West’s are shrinking.
 

Study: No Decline In Arctic Sea Ice Since 2007
A new peer-reviewed (whatever that means) paper in Geophysical Research Letters reports a clear regime shift in September Arctic sea-ice extent (SIE) in 2007 — followed by 18 years with no long-term trend.
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2024GL114546?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Before 2007 the September minimum declined roughly linearly; since then, SIE has fluctuated around a flat mean.
Lead author Harry L. Stern (University of Washington) analyzes the NSIDC Sea Ice Index (1979–2024) and shows that splitting the record at 2007 yields two distinct behaviors: a pre-2007 linear decline and a post-2007 series with no significant slope.
Statistical tests reject a single linear trend over the full period, 1979–2024, with Stern finding a piecewise model with a 2007 breakpoint fits best. In that fit, the 1979–2006 trend is −0.55 × 10^6 km2 per decade, and the 2007–2024 period is best described by a constant mean of about 4.63 × 10^6 km2 (Stern).
The paper reviews previously proposed mechanisms (Arctic Oscillation, Arctic Dipole, ocean stratification, and various feedbacks) but stops short of endorsing a single cause. It treats the physical explanation for the post-2007 stability as unresolved.
The public was told to expect rapid, continuous losses and an imminently ice-free Arctic. At COP15 in December 2009, Al Gore told delegates that some models suggested a 75% chance the Arctic could be “completely ice-free” in summer within five to seven years — i.e., by the mid-2010s. That claim was widely broadcast at the time and is preserved on video.
Reality diverged, of course (but Gore still got rich). September SIE has bounced around but shows no downward trend from 2007 through 2024 (and into 2025).
Stern ran a statistical test using 10,000 simulated timelines and found the recent flatness is so far from the old steady-decline pattern that the “straight-line melt” idea doesn’t fit anymore. The old linear model should be rejected. A discontinuity in 2007 with a flat mean afterward explains the data better, according to Stern.
Fortellings of relentless, near-term collapse have not matched real world observations.
A statistically flat September minimum has been the story since 2007. That is a problem for simplistic narratives. On the positive, media discussion has started to pick all this up, noting the study’s central finding: no long-term trend in September SIE since 2007. Expect pushback and reframing, but the paper is open access; readers can examine the figures, the regime-shift tests, and the parameter-free bootstrap for themselves.
Linked again here.

Frost Sweeps German Mountains As Europe Braces For August Chill; Wildfires Are Trending Down; Heat Island Skewings; + Humans Like Warmth
August 13, 2025 Cap Allon

Frost Sweeps German Mountains As Europe Braces For August Chill
While mainstream headlines fixate on a pocket of Mediterranean heat, other regions are running anomalously cold for mid-August, with a real early-onset of autumn potentially on the cards by next weekend.
On Aug 12, ground temperatures across Germany dropped into single digits, including lows of 2.2C (36F) in Bad Berleburg-Hem. and 2.7C (37F) in Medebach.
In the Ore Mountains, Kühnhaide’s weather station hit -0.7C (31F).

https://electroverse.info/frost-in-germany-mountains-as-europe-braces-for-late-month-chill-wildfires-trending-down-heat-island-skewings-humans-like-warmth/

The media won’t touch this. They’re milking the south’s ‘heat dome’ for all it’s worth, despite it being a localized, short-lived feature, using the death of a 4-year-old boy as evidence of their fictional “climate emergency”—which is low even for them.

Wildfires Are Trending Down
Wildfires are clearly the agreed upon ‘climate scare’ of the week:
But, 1) Spain, where the majority of Europe’s fires are currently located, has only entered a ‘pre-emergency’ stage, 2) burn acreage was at an all-time record low just a year ago (unreported on), and 3) wildfires in Europe are actually trending down, as per the official data:
They’re trending down globally also (MODIS satellite data to 2003):
We have data extending a lot further back — same trend:

Heat Island Skewings
The Urban Heat Island effect isn’t disputed — even the silliest climate scientist agrees cities run hotter than their rural surroundings. Alarmists insist it’s a solved problem though, “fixed” after the fact by climate models. I disagree.
For starters, NOAA’s GHCN —the core dataset for NASA, HadCRUT, and other official sets— has grown steadily more urban.
In the 1920s, around 20% of stations were at airports. By the late 1970s, U.S. network cuts shifted the mix, leaving about one-third of U.S. sites on runways. By 2009, airports made up 49% of GHCN stations worldwide (46% NH, 59% SH).
Urban sites —towns and cities— are also overrepresented.
Berkeley Earth found 27% of GHCN-M stations sit in cities >50,000 people, though urban land covers <1% of Earth’s surface.
Cities routinely run far than surrounding rural areas, with extremes of +8 to +10C.
Airports, with acres of heat-absorbing asphalt and constant jet exhaust, are among the warmest microclimates available.
Adjustments exist, but they’re flimsy and built on the same biased network.
Nearly half of all GHCN stations are on runways, and more than a quarter are in cities (categories that can overlap). In the 1961–1990 baseline window used for global temperature calculations, about 27% of sites met rural criteria. Many stations from the baseline era, both “rural” and urban, have since witnessed urban growth, airport expansion, and/or suburban sprawl. Yet the classification often remains static, meaning stations that were rural in 1961 —for example— may now be surrounded by asphalt in 2025.
It’s a complete mess. But The Climatariat like it that way. It’s hard to quantify the UHI’s impact on the global temperature trend. We know it’s there and that it’s likely significant, but there is zero appetite (funding) to run the objective studies required.
 

Humans Like Warmth
Life thrives in warmth. Heat speeds chemical reactions, fuels plant growth, and boosts biodiversity.
Longer growing seasons mean more food. Warmer climates demand less energy for survival, freeing resources for population growth. Cold slows metabolism, shortens seasons, and limits food supply.
The data reflects it: over a billion people live in tropical savannahs, hundreds of millions in other warm, wet zones. The coldest regions —subarctic, tundra, polar— are almost empty. Warmth sustains life; cold suppresses it.
It’s more than comfort. Warmth drives the entire biosphere’s productivity. Tropical and subtropical zones produce the bulk of Earth’s biomass — from plankton blooms in warm seas to dense forests and fertile river valleys. In these regions, plants can photosynthesize year-round, animals don’t burn vast calories just to keep warm, and humans can grow multiple crops per year. In cold regions, every living thing operates on energy rationing — shorter lifespans, slower growth, reduced reproduction.
Civilization itself grew in warm belts. From Mesopotamia to the Indus Valley, the ancient population centers all shared long growing seasons and warmth. The pattern hasn’t changed. The warmer the better.

Brazil’s Coffee Belt Freezes; China Coal; Sunspot Decay And Solar Minimum; + First Climate Lockdowns?
August 14, 2025 Cap Allon

Brazil’s Coffee Belt Freezes
Brazil’s key coffee regions are enduring a punishing sequence of cold events that threaten to cripple the already weakened 2026 harvest. Frost is hitting the delicate flowering phase that sets next year’s crop, stress from which can linger for months.
According to Maja Wallengren, founder of SpillingTheBean, the Cerrado Mineiro, Southern Minas, Alta Mogiana, and parts of São Paulo have been hit by three intense cold fronts this year — the latest bringing several consecutive mornings of frost.
While the current frost may not match the visible devastation of the infamous July 2021 freeze, Wallengren warns the underlying stress is far more severe. Brazil’s arabica coffee park has been battered by five years of nonstop weather shocks. The result, she says, is a fragile, stressed crop that was already capped at 70% of maximum potential before this latest cold wave began. Now, she estimates a best-case harvest of as low as 54 million bags in 2026 — down sharply from typical years of 64 million.
As noted by the WeatherWealth Commodity Newsletter, “In my 40 years of experience in this business, only twice in 100 years has there been a frost this late in August that caused crop damage. Coffee grown further north rarely sees damage this late.”
The Cerrado Mineiro alone accounts for roughly 5 million bags annually, or about 8% of Brazil’s output, but the damage is far wider.
INMET, Brazil’s national meteorological service, has extended this week’s frost warnings, noting “minimum temperatures close to 0C and frost formation in most regions” for the remainder of the week.
Southern Minas —Brazil’s top arabica region— has already endured four straight mornings of intense cold, with the front forecast to intensify further.
Looking ahead, conditions won’t improve much as August continues with another Antarctic blast possible by Aug 23.
In a market where Brazil supplies 35–40% of global coffee, the ongoing cold represents a significant upside risk for prices.
As Wallengren recently tweeted: “Intense cold is predicted to continue through Friday. This is a MASSIVE blow to Brazilian growers still struggling to recover from HUGE frost 4 years ago and SEVERELY further damaging upcoming flowering potential for the 2026 arabica harvest.”
She concludes: “The world is running out of coffee.”
 

China Coal
Per-capita coal energy in China has surged since 2000, as the U.S. started curtailing:
Renewables haven’t displaced coal; they’ve been layered on top of it.
China’s growing economy, its power-hungry grid, needs a firm and affordable supply. Coal provides that. Wind and solar do not.

Sunspot Decay And Solar Minimum
Ten sunspot groups are currently visible — all in decay.
With no fresh regions emerging, the risk of significant flaring is minimal. Solar activity is expected to stay low through the week.
The balance of published forecasts leans weak for Solar Cycle 26.
Multiple peer-reviewed studies project SC26 below SC25, with some dropping to SC24-level or lower.
A 2023 MNRAS study (NARX model, multi-proxy) finds SC26 ≈113 (Oct 2036), “similar to or weaker than SC24.” A function-fitting study summarized in a 2024 review places SC26 at ~96 ± 28 — explicitly weaker than SC24. (ouci.dntb.gov)
A 2024 century-cycle review compiles recent forecasts and similarly notes several teams putting SC26 in the 96–135 range with a 2035–2036 peak window
NOAA/SWPC states it does not yet issue an SC26 prediction, and its 2025 methods paper only outlines a preliminary probabilistic approach, noting a SC26 start window of between Apr 2028 to Mar 2034.
Grand-minimum scenarios also remain relevant. Zharkova (2020) argues for a Modern Grand Solar Minimum spanning the mid-21st century, which would see SC26 depressed; the magnitude is disputed, but it anchors the low end possibilities.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7575229/

Across precursor, ML, and function-fit methods, the median expectation for SC26 is below average, below SC25 and in several cases at or even under the historically weak SC24. Odds favor a low, possibly very low cycle peaking around 2035–2036 — with final amplitude contingent on how the polar fields set up into the 2026–2027 minimum. Sorry, but it’s another time will tell.

First Climate Lockdowns?
New Brunswick’s ban on Crown Land access used to be sold as a wildfire prevention measure — keep people out of the woods to reduce human-caused ignitions (the main cause of wildfires — 75-90%). That logic just shifted somewhat.
In a recent address, Premier Susan Holt now says the closures are about you, not the forest. If you break your leg hiking or need rescue for any reason, first responders might be too busy fighting fires to help. So you’re banned from going for a walk.
This is a major shift in rationale:
From preventing harm to the environment to restricting your movement.
From reducing the risk you pose to others to controlling the risks you take yourself.
This is why people are calling it the first taste of climate lockdowns — restrictions on normal life justified by broad, shifting “emergency” reasoning.
Today the ban covers the woods. Tomorrow…?
Global wildfire activity is declining (down 25% over the past two decades, as per satellite (NASA/GFED) records) — yet the emergency powers keep expanding.

Big Summer Gains For Greenland Ice Sheet; Brazil Coffee Frost Alerts Extended; Heatwave Exaggerations In Europe; + Another La Niña Watch Issued, Defying The Models
August 15, 2025 Cap Allon

Big Summer Gains For Greenland Ice Sheet
On August 14, Greenland’s SMB spiked to near-record-breaking levels.
Widespread accumulation dominated the ice sheet on Thursday, particularly the south, with daily gains hitting 2 gigatons — an impressive spike for the date, potentially the largest mid-August daily gain ever recorded.

https://electroverse.info/big-summer-gains-on-greenland-ice-sheet-brazil-coffee-frost-alerts-extended-heatwave-exaggerations-in-europe-another-la-nina-watch-issued-defying-the-models/

The cumulative SMB remains far above the 1981-2010 mean (bottom section below):
Greenland’s SMB posting substantial gains in mid-August, undercutting the breathless “point of no return,” “cracking apocalypse,” and “imminent collapse” headlines splashed by the Guardian, BBC, CNN, and the rest.
 

Brazil Coffee Frost Alerts Extended
Frost warnings across Brazil’s coffee belt have been extended through Friday, with Minas Gerais again in the firing line.
The latest forecast map shows widespread high-risk zones (red) stretching across Paraná, São Paulo, and Minas:

Heatwave Exaggerations In Europe
 Germany: No Heatwaves In 2025
Germany’s official heatwave definition, per TINZ et al. (2008), is five consecutive days above 30C (86F).
According to the official data, no threshold-meeting heatwave has occurred in Germany in 2025 — not a single five-day 30C+ (86F+) event. Yet DWD has consistently issued “heat warnings” for perceived temperature stress anyway.
 UK: Low Threshold
The Met Office and UK Health Security Agency define a heatwave as three consecutive days meeting or exceeding region-specific maximums: 
25C (77F) in Scotland, Northern Ireland, northern England, Wales, and south-west England. 
26–28C (78.8–82.4F) in central and southern England, with 28C (82.4F) in London and the southeast. 
 These thresholds are extremely low compared with historic extremes. The UK has topped 30C (86F) in almost every year since 1875, with 33C (91.4F) and even 35C (95F) regularly registered pre-1900.
By modern definitions, a short run of warm summer days in the mid-to-high-20sC (77F – 82.4F) is now classed as a “heatwave.”
UKHSA/PHE has recorded “heat episodes” in England since 2016. Their data show how common they are:
It is now standard to log three, four, even five heatwaves in a single summer under this low threshold.
 A Patchwork of Definitions
Across Europe, “heatwave” can mean different things: 
Belgium: ≥18C (64.4F) min & ≥30C (86F) max for 3 days. 
Denmark: >28C (82.4F) average max for 3 days. 
France: thresholds vary; 27C (80.6F) (risk) to 41C (105.8F) (danger). 
Netherlands: >25C (77F) all days, ≥30C (86F) at least 3 days in a 5-day run. 
Austria/Styria: ≥27C (80.6F) for 3 days, adjusted for humidity. 
Czech Republic: ≥30C (86F) for 3 days. 
Hungary: ≥26.6C (79.9F) average minimum for 3 days. 
 What triggers a heatwave alert in Hungary or the UK probably won’t even register in Germany or the Czech Republic.
It’s all rather meaningless anyway. Three consecutive days of 28C (82.4F) in London — who cares?
Reality
In 2025, Germany hasn’t had a single event meeting its official heatwave definition. The UK has racked up multiple “heatwaves” but only thanks to a short-duration, low-temperature threshold. And across Europe, wildly inconsistent definitions allow the same weather to mean anything from “pleasantly warm” to “climate emergency” — depending on which side of a boarder you’re on.
In reality, the pattern in Europe this summer is one of persistent cool outbreaks — and there’s another rolling in this weekend for central regions, with something more intense and widespread threatening to descend down the week after:

Another La Niña Watch Issued, Defying The Models
The NWS has issued a La Niña Watch for winter 2025–26. Its August 14 update calls for ENSO-neutral conditions through late summer, with about a 56% chance for August to October, followed by a La Niña come the fall and early winter, before returning to neutral in spring.
Even a brief La Niña can shift Northern Hemisphere winter patterns. Historically for the U.S., the Pacific Northwest, Upper Plains, Midwest, and New England all trend colder and wetter, while portions of the southern tier, including California, can skew drier and milder. The Rockies are less predictable, with snowfall seemingly depending more on local storm tracks than on broad ENSO phases.
Mainstream climate models have long predicted that global warming would favor El Niño dominance, yet La Niña has cropped up in four of the past five years, and if 2025–26 delivers again, that makes five of six.
In the satellite era, only two triple‑dip La Niña events have occurred: 1998–2001 and 2020–2023. The former followed a record-strong El Niño that left lingering subsurface Pacific cold anomalies. The latter, however, lacked such a springboard. Instead, it was thought to have been sustained by persistent easterly wind anomalies—likely tied to extratropical atmospheric forcing, rather than classic tropical ocean–atmosphere coupling. While other research suggests a link to years of waning solar activity.
One study found a strong correlation between solar cycle terminations and ENSO transitions, correctly predicting La Niña onset in mid‑2020, though the precise mechanism remains elusive. Other analyses of the 11-year sunspot cycle show that El Niño occurrences are statistically less frequent during solar maxima, suggesting a modulatory role for solar forcing. Another study finds that descending or ascending solar cycle phases can amplify or dampen ENSO-related sea‑surface temperature anomalies, indicating that solar activity could modulate ENSO on decadal timescale. It’s a burgeoning field, but it could offer key insight.
https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/earth-science/articles/10.3389/feart.2023.1204191/full
https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/earth-science/articles/10.3389/feart.2023.1139699/full

What is known: climate models continue to predict the opposite of what we’re seeing.
Research published in Nature Climate Change forecasts more frequent El Niño events by 2040 as greenhouse gases rise. Despite the disconnect with reality—with six years of observations showing the contrary—this remains the mainstream consensus.
https://eos.org/articles/more-frequent-el-nino-events-predicted-by-2040

Solar factors, ocean-atmosphere asymmetries, extratropical forcing—maybe wildfire or monsoon feedbacks too—could be at play. It’s clear the physics is more tangled than theory foresaw. If La Niña returns in 2025–26, it becomes yet another data point challenging the AGW textbook.

Australia Freezes At -13.2C; Snow In Weird Places; The New York Times Invents Hot Days; + Just Four Sunspot Groups
August 18, 2025 Cap Allon

Australia Freezes At -13.2C
On August 18, Thredbo Top Station in New South Wales plunged to -13.2C (8.2F), more than 3C (5.4F) colder than any night this year.
More than that, it was also NSW’s coldest reading in more than seven years, and the nation’s lowest since Liawenee, Tasmania, set a state record at -13.5C (7.7F) in July 2024.

https://electroverse.info/australia-freezes-at-13-2c-snow-in-weird-places-the-new-york-times-invents-hot-days-just-four-sunspot-groups/
Across the country, all eight states and territories posted anomalous chills: 
NSW: -13.2C (8.2F) at Thredbo Top Station
VIC: -7.6C (18.3F) at Mount Hotham
ACT: -6.1C (21F) in Canberra
QLD: -4.3C (24F) at Applethorpe
TAS: -4.2C (24F) at Ouse
SA: -0.1C (32F) at Keith West
NT: 1.4C (34.5F) at Alice Springs
WA: 2.4C (36.3F) at Forrest
 A dry Antarctic airmass over southeastern Australia was to blame. With clear skies, radiational cooling allowed surface heat to escape rapidly. A rare windless night over Thredbo and the insulation of around 10cm (4in) of fresh snow helped drive the mercury down to levels rarely observed outside Tasmania’s Central Plateau.
Nationally, only Tasmania has managed lower than -13.2C (8.2F) in the past decade.
Australia’s winter of 2025 has been punctuated by repeated cold air intrusions, sharp radiational cooling events, snow reaching into non-alpine towns, and widespread frosts far into Queensland — the exact opposite of BOM seasonal outlooks.
And the freeze isn’t over.
More anomalous cold lies ahead. Forecasts show further surges of polar air hitting Australia through the week, with more snow on the way (potentially heavy snow into late-August) and temperatures down some 5C (9F) below average for many.
 

Snow In Weird Places
From the driest desert on Earth to the American Deep South, rare snowfall has been a theme of 2025.
Starting in January, a powerful storm buried the northern Gulf Coast.
On Jan 21, Florida set a new state record with 8.8 inches in Milton, breaking a mark that had stood since the 19th century. Louisiana saw as much as 9 inches, with New Orleans logging 8 — nearly three times its previous record. Houston picked up 3 inches, its third snowiest day on record, while Mobile, Alabama, shattered its old record with 7.5 inches.
2025 has delivered an unusual cluster of extremes worldwide.
Snow blanketed Algeria’s Sahara in January. Hawaii’s Mauna Kea saw a deep layer in February. Argentina’s Atlantic coast was transformed into a winter scene in June. And by month’s end, the Atacama Desert in Chile, among the driest places on Earth (parts of it have gone centuries without measurable rain), saw snow draped across its barren surface, as per NASA satellites.
The conditions aren’t mysterious —combine cold air, moisture, and elevation, and snow can fall almost anywhere— but what is notable is the frequency with which these “impossible” events are now occurring.
Snowfall is not a relic of the past, as the AGW theory originally foretold. On the contrary — the evidence points to it showing up in weirder and weirder places. Overall, it is becoming a more frequent and widespread phenomenon, and the AGW cabal are trying their best to keep up with this reality.
Terms like “polar vortex” have been popularized to explain away violent cold intrusions. Though the phrase dates back to the 19th century in meteorology, it only entered the public lexicon after the brutal U.S. winter of 2013–14 — when mainstream outlets needed a way to square record-low temperatures and heavy snowfall with the narrative of “catastrophic global warming.”
Since then, it has been deployed whenever Arctic cold spills south (NH): “A warming Arctic destabilizes the polar vortex, leading to more cold outbreaks further south,” is the official position. What was once recognized as a natural part of winter variability is now repackaged as a symptom of global warming. In this way, no matter the outcome —heatwaves or blizzards— the storyline always points to the same conclusion.

The New York Times Invents Hot Days
The New York Times is once again selling climate fiction.
In its interactive feature “How Much Hotter Is Your Hometown?”, the Times claims that Marion, Indiana is on track for a huge rise in 90F (32C) days. Their graph shows a future of 30–60 such scorchers each year by the end of the century.
The only problem is the historical record shows the exact opposite.
According to NOAA’s own daily data, Marion peaked back in 1921 with 56 days at or above 90F (32C). Since then, the frequency of hot days has collapsed. The official record (chart below) shows a sharp long-term decline: where Marion once saw more than 40 or 50 hot days in a year, recent decades have averaged fewer than 20.
The trendline is unmistakable—down, not up.

Just Four Sunspot Groups
Just four weak sunspot groups dot the solar disk (making for 53 spots in total):
Solar Cycle 25 is proving another underwhelming cycle.
While activity has spiked above official forecasts, the peak is now likely behind us, and SC25 will not rival the great 20th-century maxima. It is stronger than SC24 —the weakest in 200 years, since the Dalton Minimum— but remains part of the broader decline since the 1950s ‘Modern Maximum,’ which cosmogenic isotope (Be-10, C-14) and sunspot records show was the highest solar activity in at least 8,000 years, with some reconstructions extending that to 9,000-11,000 [Solanki et al., Nature, 2004; Usoskin et al., 2017].
Human history shows prosperity flourishes under strong solar output. Weaker cycles, by contrast, have aligned with brutal cooling epochs and great hardship: crop failures, mass migration, societal breakdown — with the cold often setting in abruptly, within just a handful of years.
All eyes now turn to Solar Cycle 26. If it continues the downward trend —and proves as weak as SC24, or weaker— the depth of that downturn could decide the course of human prosperity.

11 August 2025

WILD FIRES dominated the weather in North America this week. New fires broke out in LA as dozens of fires were located from western states to the South and East. Canadian fires from Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba to Quebec created dense smoke that covered NYC preventing seeing the Statue of Liberty in extremely low visibility. Temperatures in the northern US were below normal under Canadian air. “Millions of Californians have just endured the coldest start to summer in living memory. From the Bay Area to parts of Southern California, June 1–August 1 brought a record-setting chill.”

Europe was relatively cool until August 9th when the heat from N Africa reached south central EU. Portugal was 20ºC above normal on 10 August while most of Germany, Poland and Ukraine were normal. “Despite the heatwave headlines, many European nations actually finished the month of July coolder-than-average. In Austria, the national mean temperatures finished -0.2C below the norm in the lowlands and -0.6C in the mountains.” “Switzerland also ran cooler, ending the month at -0.4C below its 1991–2020 July average.”

Asia was much below normal in N China where deadly floods took over 40 lives. The Tibetan Plateau continued to have significant 50-120 cm snows. “Ludhiana, a major industrial and agricultural hub in Punjab often called the “Manchester of India,” just saw its coolest July in 15 years.” “Delhi logged its coldest August day in at least 14 years on Saturday, with the max struggling to just 26.4C (79.5F) — 7.8C (14F) below the average.”

The Southern Hemisphere had cold Antarctic air masses chilling the region from Australia, New Zealand and Argentina to southern Brazil. “The chill persists across large areas of Australia, with multiple stations logging historic August cold.” “The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has issued multiple warnings, with freezing conditions and snow expected. A front will drive deep inland Wednesday and Thursday, dragging a blanket of frigid air over the Northern and Eastern Cape, North West, and Free State.” “The cold and snow will stretch further than just South Africa, with the likes of Namibia and Botswana also hit. High-altitude stations in Chile, Peru, and Ecuador have logged some of their coldest readings in years. In Chile, Lago Chungará plunged to -17.5C (0.5F), while nearby Visviri sank to -15.3C (4.5F). Across the border in Peru, Chuapalca bottomed out at -18.4C (-1.1F). These are all readings well-below the seasonal norms.”

Deep (931-956 mb) storms continued to hit the Antarctic coasts dumping 3-4 m of new snow. Ground blizzards of 30 to 50 kt winds accompanied the heavy snow. Interior temperatures remained very cold at -59 to -72, while the Peninsula dropped to -31ºC.

New album: Summer 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/97DXAuejffVZwq469

My albums provide detailed satellite, model, and other analyses that document the weekly weather of interest.

Spring 2025: https://photos.app.goo.gl/uw7pS9A8TtNmTzSv6

Winter 2024-25 Album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dptScrC2ePBxJdVJ9
FALL ALBUM: https://photos.app.goo.gl/cMYFVJgHcNTsSaBRA
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA

You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tracked on:

tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Previous notes of interest:

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 11 August 2025

Ludhiana Logs Coldest July in 15 Years; More Monthly Cold Records Fall Across Australia; California’s Record Cool Summer; New Climate Equation; + Corruption
August 5, 2025 Cap Allon

Ludhiana Logs Coldest July in 15 Years
Ludhiana, a major industrial and agricultural hub in Punjab often called the “Manchester of India,” just saw its coolest July in 15 years.
The district’s average maximum temperature last month came in at 33C (91F), the lowest since 2011, with the hottest day peaking at a mere 35.8C (96F). Nighttime lows also dipped (despite the UHI), averaging 26.8C (80F), marking a stark departure.
The cooling coincided with above-normal monsoon rainfall. The India Meteorological Department reported 180.3 mm (7.1 inches) of rain in July — 9% above average.
For a month often billed as “unforgiving,” this July turned mild — the kind of moderation that doesn’t make the headlines.
 

More Monthly Cold Records Fall Across Australia
The chill persists across large areas of Australia, with multiple stations logging historic August cold.

https://electroverse.info/ludhiana-logs-coldest-july-in-15-years-more-monthly-cold-records-fall-across-australia-californias-record-cold-summer/

In the Northern Territory, Tennant Creek Airport plunged to 4.1C (39.4F) — its coldest August temperature in 57 years — beating the previous record of 4.5C (40.1F) set on 14 July 1978. Delamere Weapons Range also dropped to 7.9C (46.2F), also a monthly low.
Queensland’s Gulf Country saw widespread records: Normanton Airport fell to 9.8C (49.6F), Burketown Airport to 6.6C (43.9F), Century Mine to 4.4C (39.9F), Mornington Island Airport to 10.5C (50.9F), and Cooktown Airport to 8.2C (46.8F) — all new records. Cairns Racecourse matched its record of 7.9C (46.2F) from 2019.
Australia’s cold is of little interest to the warm-mongers controlling Western media.
 

California’s Record Cool Summer
Millions of Californians have just endured the coldest start to summer in living memory.
From the Bay Area to parts of Southern California, June 1–August 1 brought a record-setting chill.
Satellite-era data (since 1979) shows large swaths of the state (everywhere in blue) logging their coldest June and July on record.
Petaluma has felt more like Fairbanks, Alaska.
While San Francisco has seen just two days above 70F since June 1.
Monterey hasn’t cracked 71F — every other post–WWII summer has had at least one day at 74F or higher.
And Lompoc is enduring its coldest summer since 1971.
While the headlines predictably push hotty-heat-hot, much of California has been shivering — much of America, in fact, isn’t having much of a summer to speak of, not by historical benchmarks. The number of days above 90F is way down on the average, and the average daily maximum temperature so far this year is 10th lowest since 1895, down more than five degrees since 1934:

NOAA data also show that the share of U.S. stations hitting 90F (32C) at least once a year has been falling steadily since 1931, when a record 97% of the country reached that mark:

As pointed out by meteorologist Chris Martz, thirty-three U.S. states set their all‑time August high temperature records before 1955. Of those, eight Midwestern states hit their records in 1936, right in the middle of the Dust Bowl, and seven New England, Great Lakes, and Mid‑Atlantic states set theirs way back in 1918.

“The frequency hot afternoons in the US has plummeted since the sunspot peak of the 1950s,” writes climate researcher Tony Heller.

New Climate Equation
Ned Nikolov, Ph.D. has just dropped another disruptive climate model: a universal equation for calculating the global surface air temperature (GSAT) of any rocky planet with an atmosphere.
This isn’t a patchwork of forcings and feedbacks tuned to match Earth observations — it’s a clean, physics-based model that seemingly works across the Solar System. 
“This is the latest version of our UNIVERSAL Global Temperature Model valid for any rocky planetary body in the Solar System and beyond,” said Nikolov. “Note that it contains no GHG ‘radiative forcing’ or positive feedbacks!”
 The model achieves high accuracy without greenhouse gas concentrations.
Instead, it relates a planet’s surface temperature to real, measurable physical properties: incoming solar energy (Total Solar Irradiance, TSI), geothermal heat, albedo, surface pressure, and a few constants.
The greenhouse layer of climate orthodoxy doesn’t even make it into the equation.
The equation looks intimidating, but it’s built from straightforward physics.

Atmospheric pressure, albedo, and thermal properties determine how much energy gets absorbed and stored. There’s no need to shoehorn in “radiative forcing” from CO₂ or build castles of feedback loops.

“It’s a new macro-level physical law that’s way more accurate than anything produced by the unphysical ‘greenhouse’ hypothesis,” writes Nikolov.
Mainstream models are Earth-only, parameter-tweaked beasts. They fail catastrophically when applied to Venus, Mars, or Titan. Nikolov’s appears to work everywhere.
If validated, this model undercuts the central dogma of climate alarmism: that CO₂ “traps heat” in a way that dominates planetary temperatures. Instead, pressure and solar input set the baseline, with albedo and minor factors adjusting the dial.
 Corruption
I’ve embedded this powerful speech made recently by Bret Weinstein, PhD.
In it, he delivers a searing warning about systemic corruption in health, academia, and beyond, arguing that every major truth‑seeking institution is under coordinated attack.
“Our research universities spend huge sums of public money to reach preordained conclusions.”
Weinstein calls this a deliberate blinding of the public — a trajectory that, if unchecked, leads to a new dark age.

Patagonia’s Increasing Snow; Cold And Snow Sweep South Africa; China’s Solar Bubble Pops: 87,000 Jobs Gone, More Pain Ahead; + Rise And Decline Linked To Hunga-Tonga
August 6, 2025 Cap Allon

Patagonia’s Increasing Snow
Patagonia has been hit by another wintry blast, with intense snowfall burying Nahuel Huapi National Park.
Authorities shut access to the popular Lookouts, Playa Muñoz, and Frey Shelter routes from Lake Gutiérrez after large accumulations increased the avalanche risks. Park officials are warning tourists to stay inside designated boundaries and obey ranger instructions as conditions continue to deteriorate, with near-zero visibility reported.
Looking ahead, another frigid air mass is lining up for Friday (Aug 8), one forecas to grip much of the South American continent: 

https://electroverse.info/patagonias-increasing-snow-cold-and-snow-sweep-south-africa-chinas-solar-bubble-pops-87000-jobs-gone-more-pain-ahead-rise-and-decline-linked-to-hunga-tonga/

According to reports, Patagonia’s winters are becoming increasingly severe, with heavier, more frequent snowfalls reshaping the Andean landscape. Areas that once saw only light accumulation are now receiving larger, longer-lasting snowpacks. Winters are becoming far less forgiving — tied, broadly, to shifts in Pacific currents and regional atmospheric patterns.

https://noticiasambientales.com/environment-en/tourist-paths-in-nahuel-huapi-national-park-closed-due-to-heavy-snowfall-in-rio-negro/#google_vignette

Aided by Patagonia’s increasing falls, 2024 saw South America’s snowiest start to winter in 30 years.

https://electroverse.info/south-americas-snowiest-start-to-a-season-in-30-years-record-cold-freezes-the-sea-in-tierra-del-fuego-help-for-b-c-wineries-following-devastating-winter-denmarks-absurd-flatulence-tax-u/

Cold And Snow Sweep South Africa
South Africa is bracing for ‘the coldest and most wide-reaching system so far this winter,’ according to local reports, which is impressive given the biting fronts that hit in June
The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has issued multiple warnings, with freezing conditions and snow expected.
A front will drive deep inland Wednesday and Thursday, dragging a blanket of frigid air over the Northern and Eastern Cape, North West, and Free State.
The cold and snow will stretch further than just South Africa, with the likes of Namibia and Botswana also hit.

China’s Solar Bubble Pops: 87,000 Jobs Gone, More Pain Ahead
In 2024, China’s five biggest solar manufacturers —Longi, Trina, Jinko, JA Solar, and Tongwei— quietly shed 87,000 jobs, wiping out 31% of their workforce. These cuts weren’t announced; they were buried in filings.
The industry is in freefall, due to a glut. The world now produces twice as many solar panels as it actually uses, most of them from China. Between 2020 and 2023, Beijing funneled resources from the collapsing property market into its “new three” industries — solar, EVs, and batteries. Factories multiplied. Prices plunged. A vicious price war gutted profits.
By 2024, the solar sector bled $60 billion.
Large sections of the Western media continue to fall head-over-heels for China’s supposed “green revolution,” parroting its self-styled climate leadership while ignoring the reality on the ground: hundreds of new coal plants, new coal railways — an energy strategy still rooted in fossil fuel expansion.
China’s heavily subsidized solar industry exists largely to flood the virtue-signalling West with panels while Beijing keeps the lights on at home with coal. China is not green. Those telling you otherwise are either selling the ruse or have bought it hook, line, and sinker.

Rise And Decline Linked To Hunga-Tonga
As revealed in the figure below, every global cooling episode since 1983 has been tied to La Niña — except two…
The 1991 dip was caused by the Pinatubo eruption.
The 2024 drop — climate researcher Javier Vinós points to a different volcano: 
“I think it is the result of the changes in atmospheric circulation and cloud cover caused by the Hunga Tonga eruption of 2022 and subsequent increase in stratospheric water vapor.”
 Unlike Pinatubo, Hunga Tonga didn’t darken the skies with ash — it injected a record 146 teragrams of water vapor into the stratosphere, increasing its total by roughly 10%, an unprecedented amount in the modern satellite era.
Vinós argues this model‑breaking event drove the initial warming spike and, as its effects wane, the cooling that began in 2024 and continues into 2025. This makes far more sense than the offerings of mainstream pop-scientists, who were completely blindsided by the event.
NASA’s Gavin Schmidt said the data exposed “uncharted territory” for climate models, suggesting modern warming had ‘broken the climate,’ potentially pushing it into a “new paradigm.” While Michael Mann waved away volcanic activity as a potential cause: “This one’s not that hard… steady, ongoing human‑caused warming plus a spike from a big El Niño event.”  But there are issues… Mann’s attempt at simplification once again distorts more than it explains. While the 2023–24 El Niño was technically “big”, the warming surge began before the event peaked. Typically, global temperature rises lag El Niño by several months. Therefore, the logical conclusion: El Niño was likely a contributing factor, but it wasn’t the key driver.
When the observations don’t match the models, the agenda-driving ‘experts’ punt to vague “new paradigms.” Vinós doesn’t. His explanation —that Hunga Tonga’s water‑vapor blast caused both the rise and the ongoing decline— actually fits the data.
For the underlying Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) data —NOAA’s primary measure of El Niño/La Niña conditions— click here.

Global Temperatures Drop Sharply; The World Weather Attribution Scam; GFS Spins Up Two Fantasy Hurricanes; + CME
August 7, 2025 Cap Allon

Global Temperatures Drop Sharply
The “hottest year ever” headlines are due to stop. That’s according to Europe’s climate agency Copernicus: “The recent streak of global temperature records is over — for now,” says it’s director Carlo Buontempo.
That’s an official admission: the warming spike is over.
Satellite data confirms it. UAH shows global temperatures falling since early 2024 (chart). Hunga-Tonga’s aftereffects appear to be dissipating. The El Niño spike is gone. La Niña could be returning (odds rising into fall and winter – NOAA). Earth is cooling.

https://electroverse.info/global-temperatures-drop-sharply-the-world-weather-attribution-scam-gfs-spins-up-two-fantasy-hurricanes-cme/

But the narrative won’t die.
Buontempo immediately pivots: “Unless we rapidly stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, we should expect not only new temperature records but also a worsening of these impacts — and we must prepare for that.”
Even when it cools, the solution is the same: fear, taxes, control. Climate models didn’t predict this drop. They’ve failed for decades—run hot, miss turning points, ignore natural variability. But they still drive policy.
2025 is not following script. The panic machine is stalling. Earth is cooling. And even the climate establishment can’t hide it.
 

The World Weather Attribution Scam
The World Weather Attribution (WWA) group sells a scientific impossibility: the ability to determine how much more likely a specific extreme weather event was “because of climate change.”
WWA is charged with producing simplified, press-ready answers to feed the media cycle. Their reports always read the same way: “This [flood/heatwave/hurricane] was made [x] times more likely by climate change.” These claims cannot be independently verified or falsified. That alone disqualifies them from being considered scientific. Attributing causality to a single weather event after the fact —and claiming precision to two decimal places— is not possible, the game being player here is not science.
In real science, conclusions are testable. If you understand a system, you can predict outcomes. WWA can’t predict anything. They wait for a disaster, feed temperature and precipitation data into biased models, run simulations with and without CO2, then announce the result as if it were proof. It’s statistical prestidigitation — not observation, not hypothesis testing, not real-world validation.
Climate attribution modeling is a circular process. Models are tuned to produce warming, then used to prove that warming caused the event. The feedback loop is perfect — for propaganda. It’s no coincidence the WWA is media-facing, not peer-reviewed or prediction-driven. They exist to generate headlines, not scientific understanding.
Predictably, the WWA is quietly funded by billionaire interests.
Jeff Bezos, who owns The Washington Post, donated $10 million to them through his Earth Fund. To avoid disclosing this conflict, WaPo ran a WWA-friendly article reprinted from the Associated Press — a slick workaround to pretend impartiality.
There are two other primary funders: the Grantham Foundation and the European Climate Foundation, who share the same goal: push the climate crisis narrative. These are not neutral backers. Grantham uses his billions to shape climate science in his image. The ECF is a policy influence machine run by the architect of the Paris Agreement.
Together, the trio fund outcomes, not inquiry—turning unverifiable models into media headlines and passing it off as science.
It’s impossible.
If a group of researchers claimed that a single coin toss landing heads was “1.8 times more likely” due to someone standing in the room, they’d be laughed out of physics. But slap “climate change” on the conclusion, and suddenly it’s on the front page.
Quantifying the influence of cLiMaTe ChAnGe on individual events with precision is impossible. I-m-p-o-s-s-i-b-l-e. WWA pretends otherwise because the public doesn’t know better and the media won’t correct them.
In any serious scientific discipline, WWA’s methods would be dismissed as cargo cult science. They are nothing but a marketing arm of the climate industrial complex — and their output deserves the same scrutiny as any paid advertisement. It’s bullshit.
 

GFS Spins Up Two Fantasy Hurricanes
A recent GFS run has delivered two simultaneous major hurricanes barreling toward the U.S. on August 22. This is hour 384. What’s know as ‘model fantasy land’. But still, it’s laughable.
Despite the absurdity (or because of it), online forecasters couldn’t resist sharing. But there’s a deeper issue here. “This is what happens when climate alarmists force plant food (CO2) into weather and climate models,” writes meteorologist John Shewchuk.
Models aren’t just predicting weather anymore, they’re reacting to agenda-driven parameters—politically corrected baselines and carbon hysteria inputs baked into every long-range run. The result is simulation fiction, tailor-made for Guardian headlines.
No doubt Michael Mann had a GFS-induced wet dream after seeing this one, probably while clutching his hockey stick and whispering “code red” into a wind tunnel. Never mind that his hurricane forecasts are reliably useless—he called for 33 named storms in 2024, the highest ever projected, yet the season limped to just 18. Now 2025 is shaping up to be another damp squid, low on storms and high on desperation.
Two Category 5s on both sides of Florida? Only with CO₂. Only with models like the GFS—an over-engineered fantasy generator (past 90-or-so hours) with an estimated $100 million a year in funding (embedded across NWS operations (taxpayers) and targeted grants).

CME
On Aug 5, sunspot AR4168 unleashed an M4.4-class solar flare, along with a partial-halo coronal mass ejection (CME).
NASA modeling suggests the CME will graze Earth’s magnetic field on Aug 8, potentially triggering G2-class geomagnetic storm.
Great Barrier Reef Holding Strong In 2025; What A Difference A Year Makes; South America’s Freeze Exposes Energy Fragility; + Popular Climate Study Exposed As Propaganda
August 8, 2025 Cap Allon
Great Barrier Reef Holding Strong In 2025
Since 1986, Australia has measured coral cover on the Great Barrier Reef. In 2022, 2023, and 2024, coral surged to the highest levels ever recorded. 2025 cover is holding strong — but now only the fourth highest on record: cue catastrophe headlines.
The Australian Institute of Marine Science publishes regional coral cover data yearly. Using weighted averages from official sources, the reef over the past few years is the healthiest we’ve ever known it. These numbers don’t lie.

https://electroverse.info/great-barrier-reef-holding-strong-in-2025-what-a-difference-a-year-makes-south-americas-freeze-exposes-energy-fragility-popular-climate-study-exposed-as-propaganda/

What A Difference A Year Makes
July 2025 was 0.23C cooler than July 2024, per ERA5 data:
Both hemispheres cooled equally (-0.23C).
The tropics dropped -0.31C, and the Antarctic plunged -1.76C. North America, Europe, Russia, and much of Africa and South America all show negative anomalies. Even the Arctic cooled north of 80°N (-0.20C), despite the usual claims of runaway warming.
This global drop comes as the Hunga-Tonga water vapor injection and the 2023 El Niño fade. Ocean heat is receding. Reality is asserting itself. The media won’t touch this. But the data is public. And it’s pointing the wrong way—for The Climatariat.
 

South America’s Freeze Exposes Energy Fragility
Just last month, an Antarctic front plunged South America into a deep freeze, and the continent’s energy grids faltered.
Snow fell in Mar del Plata for the first time in 34 years. Buenos Aires hit -1.9C (28.6F), its coldest since 1991. The Atacama Desert turned a very rare white. Gas was rationed. Power grids collapsed. Energy systems failed.
Solar panels vanished under snow. Wind turbines stalled. Only fossil fuels —gas, coal, diesel— kept the heat on.
Argentina’s grid loses up to 20% of transmitted energy due to inefficiencies. Add unreliable wind and solar, and the system breaks: blackouts, freezing homes, and fear.
Cold kills. In Argentina, over 60,000 die annually from cold — seven times more than from heat. Chile records nearly 48,000 cold deaths versus just 4,500 from heat. Across the region, cold-related mortality costs $2.1 billion each year. The data is not debatable. Warmth isn’t the threat — cold is.
South America holds vast reserves of oil and gas. Argentina’s Vaca Muerta alone contains 300 trillion cubic feet of gas and 16 billion barrels of oil. Brazil and Guyana are expanding offshore production. Even Brazil’s climate-friendly President Lula approved new drilling in the Foz do Amazonas basin. Because without fossil fuels, the continent freezes.
South America is expected to drive 80% of non-OPEC oil growth over the next five years.
Net Zero is a fantasy built in Western boardrooms, blind to the needs of Montevideo or Mendoza.
South America needs heat and power — not carbon quotas. No fossil fuels, no survival.
 Popular Climate Study Exposed As Propaganda
In April 2024, the journal Nature published a paper titled The economic commitment of climate change. It claimed that global GDP would fall by 19% over the next 26 years due to climate change, even if emissions were slashed immediately.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07219-0

This paper was cited by the United Nations, referenced in U.S. Congressional records, and hailed by mainstream media outlets as proof that climate change would bring enormous economic harm. The paper became the second most widely circulated climate study of the year, according to Altmetric tracking.
But it was sham.
The science didn’t hold up.
And even the peer reviewers knew it, with all three raising serious concerns.
One reviewer flagged “a major concern on the uncertainty and validity” of the model itself, noting that the authors described their projections as “empirically validated” even though there was no real-world validation involved. That testing hadn’t been done.
Another reviewer said it was “somewhat difficult to comprehend the full rationale” behind the statistical choices made by the authors, criticizing the lack of regression tables, robustness checks, or clear justification for the methods used. The same reviewer also advised the authors not to mimic the “hyperbolic narratives” found in other parts of the climate literature.
The third reviewer pointed out that the results depended on “several seemingly arbitrary methodological choices” and questioned the framing of the baseline assumptions. The authors, they said, were making decisions that heavily influenced the outcome without transparency or justification.
Any self-respecting scientific journal would have demanded a complete overhaul or rejected the paper entirely. But this was a paper about climate catastrophe. It told the right story. It played to the fiddle. So it was published anyway.
The paper became the second most widely circulated climate study of the year:

In June 2025, a follow-up paper took the original apart.
Titled Data anomalies and the economic commitment of climate change, it exposed the flaws in the underlying model and showed that the damages had been overstated by a factor of nearly three. The true projected impact was a minor reduction in growth—well within the margin of error used by most economic analysts. A statistical blip. Nothing close to the doom it had been sold as.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09320-4

Only then did Nature respond. On August 6, 2025, they issued a formal note alerting readers that the “reliability of data and methodology presented in this manuscript is currently in question.” A full editorial review is now supposedly underway.
But the damage has been done.
The study was widely circulated, even cited by the halls of power. It did its job — it may have been built on lies, but it checked the right political boxes. The science didn’t matter. The outcome did. Most people never see the walk-backs.
Worst still, this wasn’t a mistake. This is how climate research works now. If your model tells the world it’s burning, your paper will get published and promoted. If it doesn’t, it gets ignored—or buried.
‘The economic commitment of climate change’ should have been rejected. The fact that it wasn’t—and that it was celebrated instead—tells you everything you need to know.
Happer
We already know all this — but there’s something reassuring about hearing Dr. William Happer say it.
A calm, clear retort to the fanatic wailings: “The war on CO₂ is really a war on people.”

High Andes Shiver; Delhi’s Coldest August Day in 14 Years; It Was A Cool July For Europe; The Guardian’s Climate Flip-Flop; + NOAA’s ‘Record Heat’ Built on Missing Data
August 11, 2025 Cap Allon

High Andes Shiver
High-altitude stations in Chile, Peru, and Ecuador have logged some of their coldest readings in years.
In Chile, Lago Chungará plunged to -17.5C (0.5F), while nearby Visviri sank to -15.3C (4.5F). Across the border in Peru, Chuapalca bottomed out at -18.4C (-1.1F). These are all readings well-below the seasonal norms.
The chill wasn’t confined to the extreme heights, either.
In Ecuador, Latacunga registered -3C (26.6F), which is some 10C (18F) below its August norm and nearing its monthly low — an unusual frost for the city’s milder climate.

https://electroverse.info/high-andes-shiver-delhis-coldest-august-day-in-14-years-it-was-a-cool-july-for-europe-the-guardians-climate-flip-flop-noaas-record-heat-built-on-missing-data/

Looking ahead, the chill will linger into Wednesday.
While eyeing into GFS ‘fantasy land’ (hour 294), an even fiercer Antarctic blast is shown encasing the South American continent starting around August 23.
More on that closer to the time.
 

Delhi’s Coldest August Day in 14 Years
Delhi logged its coldest August day in at least 14 years on Saturday, with the max struggling to just 26.4C (79.5F) — 7.8C (14F) below the average.
IMD data shows this was one of the 10 lowest August highs at the Safdarjung station since records began in 1969.
Overnight temperatures were also cool for the season, with a minimum of 23.8C (74.8F) — 3.2C (5.8F) below average.
The forecast points to more of the same, with temperatures holding well below the August norm for the foreseeable.

 It Was A Cool July For Europe
Despite the heatwave headlines, many European nations actually finished the month of July coolder-than-average.
In Austria, the national mean temperatures finished -0.2C below the norm in the lowlands and -0.6C in the mountains
Germany’s cool weather has continued into August, with the first 9 days of the month running below average.
Looking ahead, models point to a volatile pattern.
The GFS sees a brief, though intense, burst of heat Aug 12–15, before a sharp descent thereafter. By about August 23, the operational run has temperatures tanking to levels more typical of autumn (again though, we’re in fantasy land — time will tell).

The Guardian’s Climate Flip-Flop
The Climatariat are ambulance-chasers, changing their story as quickly as the weather.
Back in July 2022, The Guardian stated Spain and Portugal were experiencing their “driest climate in 1,200 years,” due to human-caused global warming blocking “vital winter rains.” The Iberian Peninsula was drying out, and fast.
Fast-forward to late 2024 and, suddenly, the problem was the opposite. “Apocalyptic floods” in Spain were now proof that the climate crisis was “getting worse” and that “Big Oil is killing us.” Drought or deluge, it all supports the same narrative.
This kind of climate-reporting whiplash is standard, but neither extreme is supported by the data. A recent Nature study on Mediterranean precipitation reveals this
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08576-6

The researchers found that, across the Mediterranean, annual precipitation has been stable since 1871. There are swings from decade to decade, but no overarching long-term trend. They attributed the ups and downs to natural atmospheric variability.
Spain’s records tell the story — unless you selectively choose your start date.
Begin the analysis in 1871, and there is little to no trend. Start in 1951, and you can produce a statistically significant decrease (p<0.05). Start in 1981, and you’ll find a statistically significant increase (p<0.05).
Pick your start date, pick your headline.
And that’s exactly how the Climatariat operate.
 

NOAA’s ‘Record Heat’ Built on Missing Data
NOAA has released its June 2025 global temperature maps — and once again, the “record heat” narrative leans heavily on creative coloring rather than actual measurements.
The headline map (above) splashes deep red across Central Africa, claiming “record warmest” conditions. But NOAA’s own land-only departure map (below) —the one that never makes the evening news— shows much of this region has no station data at all. Instead of grey for missing readings though, NOAA’s percentile map fills the gap with invented heat.
Cool anomalies get the same treatment. Significant June chills in South America, Australia, India, and Siberia —drops of -1C to -3C versus the 1991–2020 average— are muted or erased. On the percentile map, those blues fade to neutral or even warm tones.
This is not “science correcting for gaps” — it’s a visual campaign to reinforce a predetermined narrative. The end result is a world map that screams ‘dangerous heat’ even though the underlying data from the same agency says nothing of the sort.

Hurricanes 2017: All time Records

Details: Category: News and Events; Created on 01 October 2017; Published on 01 October 2017

Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria set all time historic records of intensity, duration and catastrophic damage. This is byfar the worst most destructive hurricane season the United States has ever had. We have suffered hundreds of deaths, massive destruction of property and land, and Billions in damage. These hurricanes were well predicted and emergency evacuations ordered days in advance of the landfall thanks to NOAA's forecast teams, emergency managers and local governments.

2015 Year of Extremes

Details: Category: News and Events; Created on 03 November 2016; Published on 03 November 2016

Selected Extreme events of 2015

LATEST Major Weather Events

30 NOV 2015: COP21 Climate Talks in Paris

Leaders from over 180 countries from around the world are meeting in Paris to develop a comprehensive plan to curb greenhouse emissions and develop renewable energy. President Obama noted that terrorists were unable to stop such an important meeting of world leaders from taking place. President Obama clearly stated that the US has taken significant steps to slowing emissions and are now producing renewable energy that is competitive with conventional fuels. He stated specific goals for emission reduction of 17% by 2020 and 25% by 2025 and requested that other countries do the same with significant commitments with capitol to drive down costs of clean energy. The US supports emission reductions, but will not sign an agreement!!!!
Data from 2015 indicate that this is the warmest year on record based on surface measurements. Extreme weather continues around the world from record winters to extremely hot summers. Today, Bejing’s pollution set records 17 times greater than world health standards.

7 Dec 2015: Extreme floods in Channi, India and UK.

India battling deadly floods in Chennai
Weeks of heavy rain and flooding have inundated Chennai, India

In 24 hours, Chennai received as much rain as London would in 6 months (CNN)Weeks of heavy rain and flooding have knocked out power, suspended public transportation and left people stranded in Chennai, one of India's largest cities. It has rained 34 of the past 40 days and the heavy-rain-warning continues, according to CNN meteorologists. The rain warning for the southern Indian states of Tamil Nadu and neighboring Puducherry are forecast through December 5, according to India's main weather office.

UK has extreme Precipitation:

Office: Rain and storms soaked the northern U.K. this weekend, prompting evacuations, severe flood warnings and the arrival of the army in the worst-hit areas. Rory Stewart, the British floods minister, told the BBC that Storm Desmond has “broken all the U.K. rainfall records” and unleashed “a completely unprecedented amount of water.”
Drone footage shot above Kendal, a flood-hit town in Cumbria, shows the flooded cricket ground and people wading through inches of water.

Cumbra Wales 7 Dec 2015

Storm Desmond dumped more than 10 inches of rain on some areas in England, including the northwestern county of Cumbria, while other rain-battered regions such as North Wales got more than seven inches, according to the Met Office, the U.K. weather forecaster. Nearly 50 severe flood warnings (which indicate danger to life) remain in effect in England and Wales, while 32 flood warnings are in place in Scotland.

UK Extreme floods

An Environment Agency spokesman warned "significant flooding" was expected in the area, adding: "The situation is serious and there is a significant risk to life.” Homes around the 18th century stone bridge, over the River Wharfe, were evacuated by soldiers.
An Environment Agency spokesman warned "significant flooding" was expected in the area, adding: "The situation is serious and there is a significant risk to life."

The strongest El Nino on record is likely to increase the threat of hunger and disease for tens of millions of people in 2016 aid agencies say.

December 30, 2015 CNN:
More than 18 million Americans live in areas under flood warnings, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Tuesday.Thirteen states are affected, NOAA said.
One of the states most affected is Missouri, which is grappling with deadly flooding that will threaten cities and towns along rivers for days even through the most of the rain has stopped.
Levees have been overtopped in West Alton, just north of St. Louis. And late Tuesday, St. Charles County emergency officials ordered all people to evacuate the mostly rural area, which lies on the Mississippi River.
Record flooding on Mississippi There have been an estimated 49 weather-related deaths in the past week across the country, with the current severe storm system blamed for 35 deaths: 13 in Missouri, 11 in the Dallas area, five in southern Illinois, five in Oklahoma and at least one in Georgia. Many died after their cars were swept away by floodwater.
Record Flooding in Mississippi River
225 roads closed across Missouri I44 closed in 2 places

US Streamflow Map 30 DEC 2016

US Streamflow 30 DEC 2016 NOAA

Major historic flooding: NOAA Flood Forecast Map

Flood Hydrograph showing historic flood at Cape Girardeau Mississippi: 27 DEC 2015 to 6 Jan 2016

GLOBE

Details: Category: News and Events; Created on 31 October 2016; Published on 31 October 2016

GLOBE - Global Learning and Observations to Benefit the Environment GLOBE presents an opportunity for students, teachers, and scientists to learn and develop scientific thought processes and to understand our environment. In the early 1990’s Vice President Al Gore had an idea to help children around the world use the internet to communicate and learn about each other and their environment. His goal was to have at least one computer in every school around the world. He wanted students to improve their understanding of science and math thru making observations that they could share. I had an opportunity to meet Dr. Sandy McDonald, Director, Forecast Systems Laboratory, NOAA when he was helping Al Gore develop the early stages of GLOBE in 1993. At the time I worked with the US Bureau of Reclamation and was a visiting scientist at NCAR in Boulder, Colorado. NCAR and UCAR hosted many meetings on GLOBE and UCAR now hosts the GLOBE Implementation Office (GIO). One of my interests has been to promote GLOBE in various regions. After returning from Morocco in 1988, I maintained interests with the Direction de la Meteorologie National and with friends at the Casablanca American School. Morocco joined GLOBE after helping make the connections there.

Today, I am interested in helping Slovenia join GLOBE. This effort dovetails with US Ambassador, Brent Hartley’s interest in developing a partnership between the Slovenian Triglav National Park and Crater Lake National Park in Oregon. Environmental science and biodiversity are common interests of Triglav and Crater Lake park rangers and environmental scientists.

Lyn Wigbels, International Coordinator, GLOBE Implementation Office relayed this information about recent GLOBE Student Research Experience: "I was pleased to hear about the Ambassador’s project which sounds like a great venue for involving students in the GLOBE Program. Over the years, GLOBE activities have been organized in national parks. Most recently, during our 20th GLOBE Annual Meeting in Estes Park, Colorado, in July, GLOBE students visited Rocky Mountain National Park to take part in a Student Research Experience:

http://www.globe.gov/news-events/globe-news/newsdetail/globe/video-captures-the-essence-of-the-2016-globe-student-research-experience?

This video truly captures the essance of the GLOBE scientific discovery process and clearly demonstrates how it works to engage students from around the world in learning about nature and their environment. It shows how students apply the scientific procss and communicate their discoveries to others working with their mentors.

Joining GLOBE can be a life changing process that enables teachers, scientists, GLOBE partners, and alumni to improve their understanding of earth.

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