Global Extreme Weather Log
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 11 August 2020
- Published on 11 August 2020
WEEKLY GLOBAL EXTREMES
(Article Mnager-news and events)
This page provides a weekly log of unique weather events and information that summarizes some key events of note. Most of the extreme notes are from Electroverse Extreme Weather daily updates.
For clips of these events see my Global Weather Album: Global Weather 2020-2021.
Global Weather Album 2020-2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bLyGGEv6oK6f7q9N8
Global Weather Album Spring 2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8
Global Weather Album Fall-Winter 2021-22: https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7
Global Weather Album Winter 2022-23: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA
Global Weather Album Summer 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/rBprNqGzNmHBodKy8
Global Weather Album Fall - Winter 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Global Weather Album Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather. I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes. Note: I do not focus on heat as the MSM covers that aspect of our climate variability..
22 JULY 2024
SUMMER is here in the N. Hemisphere with its typical variety of weather from hot dry to thunderstorms and summer showers, to Canadian cold fronts that bring relief and take temperatures from much above normal to comfortably below normal. Central US gets a “cold wave” July 21-24, 2024.
Europe is experiencing the same variety of weather as N Atlantic storms 990 mb lows pump moisture across north central EU and keep the UK and France relatively cool and in the warm sector above normal with thunderstorms to cool the afternoons. UK Met Office reported a cooler than average summer so far at -1.55º C below normal. The Alps’s glaciers remain snow covered even in the Pyrenees.
India shivvers with 11ºC in July. Himalyas and Tibetan Plateau continue to get significant snow 30 to 60 cm. The Indian Mosoon to mid-July is 22% above normal.
The Southern Hemisphere is in winter with cold and snow - upto 529 cm in the southern Andes, and 20-60 cm in the Snowy Range of SE Australia. Deep 932-970 mb storms buffet the Antarctic coast with 1-2 m of snow in selected spots and blizzards whip the area with 40-55 kt winds.
The South Pole Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSWs can weaken or displace the polar vortex, influencing tropospheric weather. The polar vortex extends from the troposphere, where ‘weather happens’, to the stratosphere, where the ozone layer resides. It acts like a large cyclone covering the poles to mid-latitudes, varying in shape at different altitudes. See album for graphical summary. Dome station hit -82.1ºC on 16 July, its record is -82.9ºC on 27 July 2014.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT. The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now below normal. see:
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
and
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg
The northern jet stream is weakening with many short meridional - wavy N-S flows. Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful. Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall. Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement around the hemisphere.
See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea are back to summer after a record cold and snowy winter.
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m throughout the winter. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns. Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact. The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this winter. Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows in April and a deadly storm in early May. The Tibetan Plateau continues to get significant snow on 15 July 2024 with 49-71 cm.
Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic. It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer. On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok… Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 100% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively. SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly. McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September. Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC. December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively. The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under. South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-137 cm this week. May is setting fall records.
Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward. Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather and now is turning cold as Antarctic highs set new cold records in April and May and are continuing to set cold records. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms. Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
South America was warm, but cold fronts are predicted to take temperatures 5-10ºC below normal next week. The Andes continued to build their glaciers (1-2 m). South American snow was at record levels. Patagonia had significant snows and skiing in the Andes continued in November 2023. Surface temperatures reached -10ºC this week in Patagonia with 8 feet of snow. Argentina and Brazil continued to cool in the south with the floods and antarctic air. Antarctic cold fronts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains (100-300 mm) in the South of Brazil by Iguazu Falls in April. The Iguazu region had heavy rains and floods in contrast to a record drought in the Amazon Basin. However, the past month had heavy rain in the upper headwaters of the Rio Negro and Amazon Rivers. Deep thunderstorms with top temperatures of -70 to -80ºC are helping mitigate the drought. These mesoscale convective complexes can dump 100-200+ mm. Rio and Sao Paulo had flash floods and have remained wet. The Porto Alegro lost over 126 people as extreme flash floods hit the region in May.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
UK energy policy:
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00367-6
Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
Global temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
Allan T. Emrén
Published Online:June 30, 2023pp 401-412. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
Abstract
During the past 170 years, temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased. Published data on global temperature, CO2 data, and data on sea ice in the Arctic have been investigated. It is seen that support for human activities causing the observed increases is weak. It is found that the rate of change in CO2 concentration is controlled by global temperature rather than vice versa. To stop the growing concentration, the temperature has first to be decreased by about 1.4 K. This makes it questionable if attempts by humans to modify the global temperature, or the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere will give any noticeable result. A correlation is found between seasonal variations in CO2 concentrations and Arctic sea ice quantities. The present increase in CO2 concentration and temperature is similar to one 55 million years ago, indicating that the Earth passed a 'tipping point' around 1750.
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
…….
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
A new documentary on climate: Well worth viewing —
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 22 JULY 2024
Buenos Aires’ Coldest First Half Of July On Record; Great Barrier Reef Sets All-Time Record In 2024; Sunspot AR3738; + South Pole SSW Event
July 16, 2024 Cap Allon
Buenos Aires’ Coldest First Half of July On Record
Argentina has been having a historically cold and snowy time of it this winter.
This graph shows the average temperature in Buenos Aires for the first half of July from 1950 to 2024, based on observations from the city’s official Central Observatory.
The first half of July this year, with an average temperature of 7.3C (45.1F), was the coldest since records began in 1950.
The Buenos Aires Astronomical Observatory, established in 1872, has been instrumental in climatological studies through its systematic collection of temperature data.
Initially supporting astronomical observations, the observatory included meteorological measurements to correlate with atmospheric conditions, with reliable records dating back to 1950.
Unfortunately for the alarmists, during the first half of July at least, the dataset shows no trend.
Great Barrier Reef Sets All-Time Record In 2024
As a backwards mainstream media continues to call for the imminent collapse of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) –as they have been for decades now– the latest data reveals sustained, record-setting recovery that should finally silence the doomsayers.
And this is more than a recovery, mind: The most-recent data (2024) reveals GBR coral cover achieved another all-time record-smashing high in monitoring books dating back to 1986, increasing the remarkable cover documented in 2022 and 2023.
[The Guardian]
Defying every CAGW predictions, the GBR has gone the same way as the exaggerated scares of extinct polar bears and an ice-free Arctic. The establishment lapdogs in the media, following script, haven’t yet realized the jig is up, which is amusing.
Refering again to the chart above, the Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS) has reported sustained record-breaking coral growth through the latest annual period ending May 2024. The data show that average hard coral cover in 2023-2024 has remained consistent with the trend seen in previous years, advancing further a remarkable resilience and recovery.
Contrary to the catastrophic warnings, recent years have seen no significant coral bleaching, no cyclones wreaking havoc, and no crown-of-thorns starfish outbreaks. This stability is poison to the AGW Party narrative.
Dr. Peter Ridd, formerly of James Cook University (JCU) in Queensland, has been a steadfast critic of the mainstream narrative regarding the GBR. He has long argued that fears of global warming ‘killing the reef’ are baseless and driven by flawed models and ideologically-motivated claptrap.
In January 2018, Dr. Ridd published an opinion piece in the ‘Marine Pollution Bulletin’, highlighting what he described as a “reproducibility crisis” and questioning the validity of several studies on the reef’s health.
After voicing his dissent, Dr. Ridd faced severe disciplinary actions from his employers, culminating in his dismissal. Despite the attacks, he has continued to advocate for a more accurate and balanced portrayal of the reef’s status, for scientific integrity.
And he has been right to do so — the studies and rhetoric Dr. Ridd publicly questioned in 2018 were prophetic:
Dr. Ridd’s experiences highlight a broader issue within the scientific community, where funding and peer-review processes are often swayed by powerful interests with agendas; where spineless academics buckle under weaponized terms like “consensus”, fail to apply proper scrutiny, and aid in the marginalizing of dissenting voices.
In his commentary for the spectator.com.au in 2023, Dr. Ridd expressed his concerns, stating, “I have been saying for some time that many of our science institutions have become totally untrustworthy. By its willful abandonment of quantitative analysis, the Australian Academy of Science (AAS) has destroyed its reputation as a source of useful scientific advice.”
South Pole SSW Event
Weather patterns in the Southern Hemisphere look to be initiating a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event above the South Pole — a rare but powerful event with global implications.
The polar vortex, which keeps cold conditions at the pole, can occasionally be disrupted by an SSW event. Minor SSWs involve stratospheric temperatures rising at least 25C in a week, while major SSWs also include a dramatic reduction in stratospheric winds.
Currently, stark warming is observed in the stratosphere above East Antarctica, nearing the threshold for a minor SSW.
SSWs can weaken or displace the polar vortex, influencing tropospheric weather.
The polar vortex extends from the troposphere, where ‘weather happens’, to the stratosphere, where the ozone layer resides. It acts like a large cyclone covering the poles to mid-latitudes, varying in shape at different altitudes.
Monitoring the polar vortex is crucial as it affects daily weather. A strong vortex contains cold air at the poles, creating milder conditions elsewhere, while a weak vortex allows cold air to escape into lower latitudes, resulting in ‘polar outbreaks’.
Current analyses show a warming wave pressing against the vortex’s core, causing significant pressure anomalies. This stratospheric warming event, which is seeing temperatures exceed 60C above average, is reducing the vortex’s wind speeds.
SSW events are rare in the Southern Hemisphere, with only three recorded in the satellite era: September 2002, September 2010, and August-September 2019.
Past events have led to sustained cold outbreaks across Southern Hemisphere land masses. Post the 2010 event, New Zealand witnessed a record-cold October, with precipitation benchmarks also falling.
This 2024 event, the latest model runs, suggest the documented warming will lead to above-normal pressures developing over Antarctica in late July, forcing lower pressures across mid-latitudes.
New Zealand, Australia, South America, and southern Africa could see stormier and colder conditions as a result, potentially lasting more than two months and so impacting all of winter.
As for global implications, the Brewer-Dobson circulation connects both hemispheres’ stratospheres.
Eastern Australia Breaks Electricity Demand Records Due To Polar Blast; Summer ‘Snow’ Record At Philadelphia; New Study: Temperature Drives CO2; + Climate Charting Obfuscations
July 18, 2024 Cap Allon
Eastern Australia Breaks Electricity Demand Records Due To Polar Blast
The wintry blast sweeping eastern Australia is setting records for cold and electricity demand alike, affecting multiple states and prompting energy authorities to prepare for outages.
On Monday, Victoria broke a 17-year record for maximum winter electricity demand, reaching 8,612 MW at 6PM, surpassing the previous record set in July 2007 by more than 250 MW.
This demand spike is expected to be challenged again, as temperatures across much of the state remain well-below average with further snows expect from Tasmania through Victoria and New South Wales.
Headed north, Queensland has also set a new record for maximum winter electricity demand, reaching 8,728 MW, up 12 MW from the previous record set on July 4, 2022. At the time of the peak demand, Queensland’s generation mix consisted of 65.1% black coal, 25.9% gas, 4.2% hydro, 2.5% wind, 0.7% batteries, and 1.6% imported.
With winter only halfway over and lengthy periods of anomalous cold forecast to continue buffeting Australia, AEMO has warned that “deliverability risks” could persist until the end of August. Energy authorities say they are working to ensure that households can maintain heating while managing industrial gas supplies.
The cold has persisted this week, intensified even.
Most-recently, Queensland has broken a slew of cold weather records, so reports cairnspost.com.au, in what they have called a “brutal” polar blast. On Thursday, Far North Queensland notched its lowest temperatures in 116 years, with Cape York taking the biscuit. The state has even seen rare snow, which is reported to have fallen at three separate regions in Southern Queensland.
The story of the past few weeks has been anomalous cold, at least in the east.
And looking ahead, latest GFS runs foresee more of the same, with the majority of the Aussie continent set to be engulfed by ‘blue’ by the end of the month, piling extra strain on the grid.
Summer “Snow” Record At Philadelphia
On Sunday afternoon, small hail fell during a thunderstorm at Philadelphia International Airport. The local NWS in Mount Holly, New Jersey logged it as snow due to official guidelines that categorize hail, along with sleet and graupel, as snowfall.
This might have gone unnoticed but for it triggering a record event report:
“Here’s a win for #TeamSnow,” the NWS posted on X. “A record snowfall of a trace was set at Philadelphia PA yesterday. This breaks the old record of 0.0 inches set in 1870.”
The NWS noted that there had been 13 other instances where a trace of summertime ‘snow’ was recorded due to hail:
New Study: Temperature Drives CO2
A study led by Demetris Koutsoyiannis challenges the mainstream belief that atmospheric carbon dioxide drives global temperature increases.
The study employs a sophisticated stochastic assessment method to analyze data spanning from the Phanerozoic eon (around 540 million years ago) to the present.
By examining both instrumental data from the past 70 years and paleoclimatic proxy data from natural recorders like ice cores and tree rings, the research offers a comprehensive look at the temperature-CO2 relationship.
Contrary to the prevailing consensus, the study finds that across all time scales, changes in temperature lead changes in CO2 levels. This unidirectional causality remains consistent whether the period analyzed is short-term (decades) or long-term (millions of years).
https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024287
Climate Charting Obfuscations
A topic sidestepped by climate scientists is a subtle but significant detail in a widely-circulated climate projection chart.
Starting with a projection for temperature increases due to ongoing CO2 emissions, derived from the latest IPCC report, the below graph outlines various potential future scenarios.
The ‘future’ shaded areas and the bars on the right show the uncertainty ranges, which are based on calculations from around two dozen ‘top’ climate models. The IPCC then calculate the mean value, and the deviation from the main value.
This next chart focuses on past temperature simulations from these different ‘top’ models, depicted by various colored lines, with the red line indicating the mean value and the black line representing ‘actual’ data.
German theoretical physicist Sabine Hossenfelder, in her latest video, describes this colorful array as “the rainbow of scientific uncertainty.”
Hossenfelder notes that climate scientists typically report temperature ‘anomalies’ (deviations from a baseline) rather than ‘actual’ temperatures. This practice can be confusing since the baseline varies between the models.
Why not use absolute temperatures? Well, while the models do predict absolute temperatures, these predictions vary significantly and are often found to be wildly inaccurate, and so they are left out.
Cold Records From 1899 Fall In Queensland, With “Vigorous Winds And Blizzards” Forecast For NSW; Stratospheric Water Vapor Update; + Active Sun
July 19, 2024 Cap Allon
Cold Records From 1899 Fall In Queensland, With “Vigorous Winds And Blizzards” Forecast For NSW
Eastern Australia’s cold spell is now proving historic, with long-standing benchmarks continuing to fall.
Focusing on Aussie tropics, i.e. Queensland, Thursday morning saw Palmerville (located at 16°S!) reach 0.5C (32.9F), smashing the July record of 1.7C that had stood since 1899.
Kowanyama posted 4.9C (40.8F), which was a full 1C below the July record set in 1984.
While the 6C (42.8F) daily high observed at Applethorpe made for the lowest max anywhere in the state since 2015.
The remarkable chill has rolled-over into Friday and all.
Charters Towers posting 0.1C (32.2F), which breaks the all-time record also set in 1899, and by 1C and all.
Weipa touched 9.9C (49.8F), which is 0.5C below the July record that had stood since 1959.
Scherger, at 10.8C (51.4F), is 0.9C below its all-time benchmark set June 2011.
While Point Fawcett’s 9.7C (49.5F), pips the July 2023 record by 0.1C.
–This list is far from exhaustive, but you get the idea.
Eyeing ahead there’s even more to come and all, specifically for NSW, where the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has just issued a weather warning: “Damaging winds are expected this afternoon as a strong cold front moves through. Vigorous winds are predicted for the southern ranges, central tablelands, and Illawarra coast, with blizzard conditions likely in the Alpine region.”
If you’re in the East brace for another cold and potentially snowy weekend, is the messaging.
The BOM’s severe weather warning for the NSW Alpine region includes “vigorous winds and blizzards” as a northwesterly cold front passes through Friday. Strong winds will also affect parts of southern NSW before moving over eastern NSW Saturday.
Meanwhile, Queensland set a new record for electricity demand on Wednesday owing to the cold, surpassing the previous winter record set in July 2022. Victoria also set a record on Monday. While Southern WA is next in line for a polar blast.
Looking further ahead, the majority of the continent could be shivering before the end of July, as per the GFS at least:
Stratospheric Water Vapor Update
While Australia has endured cooling of late, globally, thermometers have cranked up a touch over the past 12-or-so months, owing mostly to the unprecedented injection of stratospheric water vapor following the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai volcanic eruption. Referencing the few studies that have been done on this topic, Australia chilling out is actually predicted.
The additional water vapor in the stratosphere, the ~150Tg injected in early-2022, is the defining climatic story of the past two years (H2O being the most potent greenhouse gas), yet it is continually swept under the rug by mainstream climate scientists, mentioned even less by the legacy press.
This is despite NASA themselves quietly conceding its significance.
As stated on the agency’s website, the eruption of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (HT-HH) underwater volcano “resulted in the largest stratospheric aerosol perturbation since the Pinatubo eruption.” … “Studies have proposed that, due to its larger and more persistent water vapor plume, HT-HH will have a net surface warming effect.”
Among the few studies on this subject is “Long-term climate impacts of large stratospheric water vapor perturbations“ published in the Journal of Climate, which states that large stratospheric water vapor (SWV) anomalies “lead to strong and persistent warming of Northern Hemisphere landmasses in boreal winter, and austral winter cooling over Australia, years after the eruption.”
Active Sun
The Sun is crackling right now with 276 sunspots peppering the Earth-facing solar disk — the highest number of Solar Cycle 25.
A potentially dangerous spot lurks among them, the ever-growing ‘AR3751’.
It hasn’t exploded … yet, but AR3751 has a mixed-polarity magnetic field and so harbors energy for X-class flarings. Note the plus-minus-plus sandwich at the heart of the sunspot in this magnetic map from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory:
The Snow Piles Up Down Under, Cold Records Fall; Bengaluru Shivers; Sailors Found Dead After Attempting Fossil Fuel-Free Atlantic Crossing; + Demonizing Human Prosperity
July 22, 2024 Cap Allon
The Snow Piles Up Down Under, Cold Records Fall
A massive snowstorm Friday night continued into Saturday, blanketing Aussie alpine regions.
Despite ‘The Science’ foretelling of a future without snow, this weekend brought a spectacular “Christmas in July” for ski resorts across the southeast, with more 50cm (20 inches)
accumulating in popular tourist destinations.
Angus Hines of the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) described it as a “very wintry outbreak”.
Mt Buller received 22cm (8.7 inches) of snow on Saturday morning, with an additional 15cm (5.9 inches) accumulating throughout the day, and yet more on the way. “It’s been brilliant, it
started snowing on Friday night and hasn’t stopped,” said the resorts marketing manager David Clark. “The best conditions we’ve seen so far.”
While cold enough to snow, it was a slow start in June, “but it’s such a relief to have these big snowfalls and proper cold fronts coming through, setting us up for the rest of the season,” Clark added. “We’re guaranteed to have snow now through October.”
Mount Hotham saw 31cm (12.2 inches) in 24 hours to Saturday morning, reaching full capacity and closing to day visitors. Thredbo, further north, posted 27cm (10.6 inches) overnight, bringing its seven-day total to 43cm (16.9 inches).
“The entire mountain and village are covered in a thick blanket of fresh white snow, creating magical wintry scenes,” a spokesperson said. “Experts forecast this low-pressure system could bring another 50cm (19.7 inches) over the next 10 days.”
Falls Creek in north-east Victoria received 45cm (17.7 inches) of snow in just 24 hours. Its seven-day total has now exceeded 70cm (27.6 inches).
Perisher was hit hard and all, with freezing temperatures were recorded as low as 800m (2,625 feet).
This is owing to the anomalously-low temperatures, which have already proven record-breaking in many spots.
Queensland experienced additional record lows on Monday.
In tropical north Queensland, Cairns dropped to 11.4C (52.5F), to Townsville to 8.6C (47.5F), and the Sunshine Coast to a very chilly 3.7C (38.7F). Coastal centers such as Mackay also felt the blast, dropping to 4.4C (39.9F).
Southern Queensland experienced sub-zero temperatures, with Oakey recording the state’s coldest morning at -4.4C (24.1F), Amberley seeing -1.2C (29.8F), Applethorpe dropping to -3.8C (25.2F), and Warwick to -3.7C (25.3F).
Longstanding records were broken elsewhere, with Palmerville in Cape York –for example– shivering through its coldest day in 125 years, hitting an all-time low of 0.5C (32.9F).
Tuesday and Wednesday will be another cold one, before a reprieve kicks in for the remainder of the week.
Bengaluru Shivers
The India city of Bengaluru has shivered through one of its lowest summer temperatures on record, according to the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), with the mercury reading 23.8C (74.8F).
This marked a significant departure from the average for the capital of Karnataka, and made for one of the lowest July temperatures ever recorded in the southern city’s history, dating back to the late-1800s.
The unusual cold has been attributed primarily to an offshore trough forming over coastal Karnataka which has been channeling cool, moist air from the Arabian Sea into the interior regions of the state. This was highlighted by IMD scientist CS Patil who noted a dramatic 3.2C drop in daytime temperature within just 24 hours — highly unusual for this part of the world..
The intensification of westerly winds is also a factor, as it has transported significant moisture from the sea, interacting with the existing weather patterns over Bengaluru. This interaction has led to persistent cloudy and wet conditions.
The heavy monsoon rains, 22% above normal since June, have also contributed to the cooler temperatures and unusual weather.
The IMD is expecting these conditions to persist, with heavy rainfall record-low temperatures forecast to continue, intensify even.
Sailors Found Dead After Attempting Fossil Fuel-Free Atlantic Crossing
Tragically, the bodies of a couple of eco-adventurers, Brett Clibbery, 70, and Sarah Justine Packwood, 54, have been discovered in a life raft washed up on Sable Island, often referred to as the ‘Graveyard of the Atlantic.’
The pair, who set sail on their renewable vessel The Theros from Nova Scotia June 11, were reported missing a week later.
Despite extensive Coast Guard searches, no traces of the Theros have been found.
The exact circumstances leading to their trouble remain unclear, but investigators are exploring multiple theories.
Veteran sailors have proposed that the additional weight from the batteries –taken from a Nissan Leaf electric car– and solar panels may have destabilized the boat. It has also been intimated that the amateur nature of the boat’s engine replacement could have posed problems, with one source describing it as ‘a homemade job.’
Demonizing Human Prosperity
Award-winning journalist Alex Newman summarizes the push to demonize human prosperity:
“The notion that CO2 is pollution is absolutely preposterous… The idea that [it’s] going to destroy the planet or change the temperature of the Earth is totally ludicrous,” he says.
“But from a totalitarian perspective, if you can convince people that CO2 is pollution, there’s no human activity that doesn’t result in CO2 emissions, including living, including dying, turning on a light switch.
“Every single aspect of your life, then, if we submit to the idea that CO2 is pollution, then comes under the regulatory control of the people who claim to be saving us from pollution.”
Antarctica Nears July Record Low With -82.1C (-115.8F); European Glaciers Remain Covered In Snow; UK Met Office Reports a Cool Summer So Far; + July Cold Wave To Grip Much Of U.S.
July 17, 2024 Cap Allon
Antarctica Nears July Record Low With -82.1C (-115.8F)
The global minimum for 2024 has just been nudged lower.
On July 16, the Dome Fuji AWS, Antarctica posted -82.1C (-115.8F), which is a reading not far off the station’s monthly record of -82.9C (-117.2F) set on July 27, 2014.
The Relay Station AWS also hit a noteworthy -72C (97.6F) at 22:50 UTC.
Below-average readings persist at the Ross Ice Shelf and all, with Schwerdtfeger, Vito, and Margaret all approaching -60C (-76F).
European Glaciers Remain Covered In Snow
The Ossoue Glacier, France remains covered in snow in mid-July, a theme repeated across many European mountains — news unreported by the legacy media.
The great health of the glacier is attributed to a cold spring and a cool start to the summer, according to Météo Pyrénées on X.
Situated in the French Pyrenees, the Ossoue Glacier is considered a crucial indicator of climatic trends in the region—or it was before it started misbehaving, i.e. retaining mass. The heavy snow cover this season is preserving the glacier’s integrity, which still, as of mid-July, has no ice exposed.
This is a story repeated across European peaks in 2024, from France through Switzerland, to Germany through Italy — to name just four nations.
Typically, by June, the Alps would see a significant reduction in snow cover. However, this year, even into July, snow levels are riding exceptionally high, rivaling some of the largest snowpacks ever recorded.
The Glacier Monitoring in Switzerland (GLAMOS), for example, recently reported a historic pack with ALL Swiss glaciers well-above the multidecadal norm, many breaking records
“Something special has happened in recent months,” reports aviationanalysis.ne. “So much snow has fallen [in Switzerland] that amounts are now at record levels.”
UK Met Office Reports a Cool Summer So Far
As of mid-July, the UK has experienced a cooler-than-average summer. The mean temperature currently stands at 13.04C (55.47F), which is 1.55C below the long-term seasonal average.
July 2024 has continued the trend set in June, with consistently below-average temperatures across the UK. It has also been a little drier than average, with 45% of the total season rain falling, when we should by now be at 49%.
Cool and dry — the exact opposite of AGW Party proclamations.
In their latest report, released Tuesday, the Met Office stresses, “It’s important to remember that we are now only halfway through meteorological summer. We still have the second half of July and August to go, and summer weather can sway statistics in short periods of time. Things can change quickly when it comes to summer rainfall, with short heavy bursts quickly pepping up totals and a few very hot days can bring average temperatures up quickly.”
While all true, this is not the rhetoric the agency would employ if we were enduring two months of above average temperatures. They would be claiming ‘human prosperity has made this heat 35.76x more likely’ with supporting quotes from pop-scientists like Stephen Belcher, who in 2023 after Coningsby, Lincolnshire nudged above 40C for 15 minutes, said “In a climate unaffected by human influence, climate modelling shows that it is virtually impossible for temperatures in the UK to reach 40C.”
But that was last summer. The UK is now chilling out in 2024, and the Met Office has had no choice by to turn the EOTW rhetoric right down.
Emily Carlisle writes in the latest Met Office report: “British summers are highly variable. Some are hot and dry, others cold and wet. June saw contrasts, with a cool first half offset by warmth later, but overall it was cooler and drier than average. July has continued the cool trend.”
The Met Office looks set to have a harder time hiding the chill in July.
To the 15th, the month is posting an anomaly of -1.5C, which is substantial, and looking ahead, the forecasts are calling for much of the same for the remainder of the month — and for the majority of Europe, and all:
July Cold Wave To Grip Much Of U.S.
Much of the central and eastern United States is on course to face a pretty fierce July “cold front” next week, bringing organized showers and storms.
A deep trough will move south across the eastern half of the U.S. on Thursday, according to the National Weather Service (NWS), ushering in unseasonably cool air and above-average rainfall.
Cooler, wetter weather may persist in the southern, central, and eastern U.S. through the rest of the month, forecasters said.
Below average temperatures are set to engulf a broad swath, including Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland, and northern parts of Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi, according to the NWS’s Climate Prediction Center.
15 JULY 2024
EXTREME HEAT AND COLD dominated the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere news this week. The American Southwest set hot temperature records and Australia, Argentina set cold and snow records - Nature’s balance. The impact of clouds and thunderstorms were clearly felt on temperatures in the afternoon temperature anomalies in the N. Hemisphere. These local effects cool us and decrease the temperature record counts.The SW US should cool as an upper level short wave and the monsoon kick in. NOAA’s CPC is predicting that the La Niña will develop and have a 79% probability by November 2024. Today, it has weakened from its June status.
Europe continued hot in the south and cool and wet in the north. The Tour de France has been graced with relatively mild temperatures with some rain showers. Spain was blessed with cooling rains from the Atlantic. Greenland’s snow mass balance is maintaining a normal decrease as summer melting continues. Siberia is relatively mild with 20 to 28ºC temperatures.
Argentina continues to set record low temperatures and the Andes have picked up significant snows of 1-3 meters. Southern Africa also had significant snow and cold weather. Australia’s snowy range is beginning to pick up 30 to 60 cm snows as NZ’s Alps have 14-61 cm. The Antarctic continues to be battered with large deep storms (934-976 mb) that have produced 1-2 m of snow along the coastal mountains. Ground blizzards of 40 to 50 kt winds continue as McMurdo base reached -31 and Amundsen Scott (S Pole) station hit -65ºC and other stations down to -73ºC.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Previous notes of interest:
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT. The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now below normal. see:
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
and
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg
The northern jet stream is weakening with many short meridional - wavy N-S flows. Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful. Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall. Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement around the hemisphere.
See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea are back to summer after a record cold and snowy winter.
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m throughout the winter. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns. Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact. The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this winter. Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows in April and a deadly storm in early May. The Tibetan Plateau continues to get significant snow on 15 July 2024 with 49-71 cm.
Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic. It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer. On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok… Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 100% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively. SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly. McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September. Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC. December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively. The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under. South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-137 cm this week. May is setting fall records.
Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward. Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather and now is turning cold as Antarctic highs set new cold records in April and May and are continuing to set cold records. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms. Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
South America was warm, but cold fronts are predicted to take temperatures 5-10ºC below normal next week. The Andes continued to build their glaciers (1-2 m). South American snow was at record levels. Patagonia had significant snows and skiing in the Andes continued in November 2023. Surface temperatures reached -10ºC this week in Patagonia with 8 feet of snow. Argentina and Brazil continued to cool in the south with the floods and antarctic air. Antarctic cold fronts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains (100-300 mm) in the South of Brazil by Iguazu Falls in April. The Iguazu region had heavy rains and floods in contrast to a record drought in the Amazon Basin. However, the past month had heavy rain in the upper headwaters of the Rio Negro and Amazon Rivers. Deep thunderstorms with top temperatures of -70 to -80ºC are helping mitigate the drought. These mesoscale convective complexes can dump 100-200+ mm. Rio and Sao Paulo had flash floods and have remained wet. The Porto Alegro lost over 126 people as extreme flash floods hit the region in May.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
UK energy policy:
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00367-6
Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
Global temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
Allan T. Emrén
Published Online:June 30, 2023pp 401-412https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
Abstract
During the past 170 years, temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased. Published data on global temperature, CO2 data, and data on sea ice in the Arctic have been investigated. It is seen that support for human activities causing the observed increases is weak. It is found that the rate of change in CO2 concentration is controlled by global temperature rather than vice versa. To stop the growing concentration, the temperature has first to be decreased by about 1.4 K. This makes it questionable if attempts by humans to modify the global temperature, or the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere will give any noticeable result. A correlation is found between seasonal variations in CO2 concentrations and Arctic sea ice quantities. The present increase in CO2 concentration and temperature is similar to one 55 million years ago, indicating that the Earth passed a 'tipping point' around 1750.
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
…….
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
A new documentary on climate: Well worth viewing —
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 15 JULY 2024
La Niña Forecast: Heavy Snow Ahead; Dr. Judith Curry On ‘Scientific Consensus’; “A Vaccine-Style Approach To Tackle Carbon Emissions”; + Space Weather Lull
July 9, 2024 Cap Allon
La Niña Forecast: Heavy Snow Ahead
It may only be July but thoughts are turning to the Northern Hemisphere winter, to the forecast La Niña and the cold and snow said ENSO pattern brings.
The 2022-23 winter, characterized by record-breaking snow totals and extended ski seasons, occurred during the previous La Niña. That winter capped a rare “triple-dipper” La Niña in fact, spanning three consecutive seasons from 2020 to 2023.
NOAA forecasts say another La Niña is likely on the cards during the 2024-25 winter, making for the fourth in the last five years and so contradicting the climate models that decreed ‘global warming would favor more frequent El Niño events’.
Research has claimed, and continues to claim, that greenhouse warming will increase the frequency and intensity of El Niño events. A 2018 study published in Nature Climate Change projects that extreme El Niño events could become twice as frequent as temperatures rise. Similarly, a 2022 study from the University of Exeter foresees a global warming-fueled increase in the frequency of El Niño events by 2040.
These predictions are based on climate models that simulate the impact of increased greenhouse gas concentrations on the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) indicate a robust strengthening of ENSO and more frequent extreme El Niño events under global warming scenarios .
But these models have failed, evidenced by the planet set to experience its fourth La Niña winter out of the past five.
It may be summer, but skiers are already hopeful of the season to come.
As per skimag.com, significant snowfall should be the theme this winter, with snowy conditions hitting the likes of Montana, Wyoming, Idaho, Utah, and northern Colorado in the west; and Maine, northern Vermont, and northern New Hampshire in the east.
While NOAA’s official preseason report isn’t due until August, OpenSnow COO and Meteorologist Sam Collentine provided a preview, stating, “La Niña tends to favor average to above-average snowfall in much of the western U.S. during significant events.”
Although not a guarantee, this developing La Nina is hinting at another winter of heavy, record-breaking snow. Prepare. Meteorologists underestimated the historic totals during the 2022-23 season. Heed the warnings.
“A Vaccine-Style Approach To Tackle Carbon Emissions”
Sir Patrick Vallance, the face of the UK’s stringent COVID-19 lockdowns and mandated vaccine roll-out, has just been appointed Minister of State for Science, Research and Innovation.
A former executive at pharmaceutical giant GlaxoSmithKline, Vallance was instrumental in the government’s heavy-handed pandemic response.
He frequently appeared in televised briefings alongside then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson, advocating for no-nonsense lockdown measures and widespread vaccination, and was knighted in 2022 for his ‘services’.
Earlier this year, Vallance endorsed Labour’s flagship manifesto pledge to establish a publicly owned energy firm, Great British Energy, aimed at driving Net Zero policies.
Vallance has been critical of the country’s approach to Net Zero thus far, urging faster implementation of said policies. Writing in The Times, he argued that delaying action would leave the UK dependent on solutions provided by other countries.
He stated, “If we choose to go slowly others will provide the answers and we will ultimately end up buying the solutions.”
Vallance also drew parallels between the urgency of Net Zero and the COVID-19 response, suggesting a vaccine-style approach to tackle carbon emissions, high energy bills, and energy insecurity.
“With a determined effort using currently available technologies and those that are close to being deployable, a clean power system by 2030 is achievable,” he wrote.
In Vallance, we have another unelected executive, a link between conglomerates and government, helping shape public policy.
Dr. Judith Curry On ‘Scientific Consensus’
The “scientific consensus” talking point was shredded by climatologist Dr. Judith Curry in her interview with John Stossel.
Stossel: “The overwhelming scientific consensus. That’s what people still believe.”
Dr. Curry: “… when you talk about ‘scientific consensus,’ like the Earth orbits the sun, you don’t need to say ‘There’s a consensus that the Earth orbits the sun,’ it’s a well-known fact. When you’re talking about consensus, it’s usually on a topic where there is disagreement, and a government has asked a group to come to some sort of an agreement on what’s what. You see it in science, you see it in… medical boards… So, it’s a manufactured consensus. It’s a consensus of scientists, which is different than a scientific consensus.”
Dr. Curry goes on to explain that there is no consensus on the most contentious climate change issues.
Dr. Curry: “… there’s a true scientific consensus on very little of this, you know that: • The temperatures have been increasing for over a hundred years • That burning of fossil fuels emits CO₂ into the atmosphere • And, CO₂ has a radiation spectrum that sort of keeps the Earth’s surface warm, all other things being equal. Beyond that, there’s no real big consensus on anything.
“The most consequential issues we don’t have a consensus on: • How much of the recent warming is caused by fossil fuels? We still don’t know • And is warming dangerous? This is the weakest part of the argument. There’s no agreement as to whether warming is even dangerous.”
Dr. Curry also discusses the IPCC.
Dr. Curry: “… The origins go back to the 1980s, and the U.N. environmental program had this big environmental agenda, anti-capitalism. They hated the oil companies and they seized on the climate change issue as one to move their policies along… the policy cart was way out in front of the scientific horse from the very beginning. So, the IPCC’s mandate was to look for dangerous human-caused climate change. The IPCC wasn’t supposed to focus on any benefits of warming. They weren’t supposed to focus on natural climate variability. They were just supposed to look for the signal of dangerous human-caused climate change.”
You can watch the interview in full here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U0PQ1cOlCJI
Space Weather Lull
No CMEs are heading for Earth, which means geomagnetic storms are unlikely for the next 3-or-so days. At the same time, none of the sunspots currently facing Earth are producing anything more than low-level M-flares.
Just 90 sunspots currently pepper the Earth-facing solar disk, the lowest number since late-May.
Historic, All-Time Cold Hits Argentina; South Africa Hit by Cold Fronts And Heavy Snow; + Offshore Wind Farms Are A “Big Lie”
July 10, 2024 Cap Allon
Historic, All-Time Cold Hits Argentina
Argentina has been experiencing unprecedented lows this week, with severe frost affecting most regions and shattering several historic temperature records.
In Gualeguaychú, a new all-time low of -7.6C (18.3F) was recorded, surpassing the previous records of -7C (19.4F) set on June 23, 1945, and June 14, 1967 — with data here collected since 1931.
Venado Tuerto set a new monthly record low of -7.5C (18.5F).
Similarly in El Palomar, the monthly minimum record was equaled with a temperature of -7C (19.4F), tying the July 29, 2007 record — data since 1935.
Additionally, the Observatory Central Buenos Aires posted a temperature below 2C (35.6F) —at 11 p.m. on July 9— a rare occurrence not seen since 2007.
Minimum temperatures in Junín are also nearing the all-time record set in 1967.
While back in mid-June, Rio Gallegos logged -17.4C (0.7F), its coldest temperature recorded in the past 42 years and the fourth lowest in its historical records since 1956.
The snows have been just as impressive as the lows, more so even, with tremendous accumulations hitting both Argentina and Chile.
Snowfall records have been falling, with South America’s overall cover riding incredibly and consistently high.
South Africa Hit by Cold Fronts And Heavy Snow
South Africa is experiencing a series of cold fronts, leading to extremely frigid conditions, gusty winds, and heavy snowfall.
Pretoria residents, for example, have been waking up to freezing lows this week, with -2C (28.4F) noted Tuesday.
This has been the story for many South Africans, particularly those in the interior, who have been enduring temps well-below the freezing mark and widespread frosts.
Vryburg experienced a bone-chilling -9.5C (14.9F). While elsewhere, monthly cold records for July have been toppled, including the -7.3C (18.9F) at Lindleyspoort, the -6.3C (20.7F) at Marken, -4.5C (23.9F) at Marico, and -1.9C (28.6F) at Pietermaritzburg.
Flakes are even hitting the Kalahari Desert, a large semi-arid sandy savanna in Southern Africa extending for 900,000 km2 (35,000 sq mi) covering much of Botswana, as well as parts of Namibia and South Africa.
The Kalahari is currently enduring a significant drop in temperature, reports informante.web.na.
Looking ahead, two more cold fronts are expected to sweep South Africa on Thursday and then again Saturday, primarily affecting the Cape provinces. While not as strong as the first front, the already saturated ground means additional snow and rain could lead to widespread flooding. Warnings have been issued for Cape Town, the Winelands, Overberg, and Cederberg districts.
Farmers are advised to take necessary precautions to protect crops and ensure the safety and wellbeing of their animals.
The Tshwane EMS is urging the general public to keep warm too, but to stay safe by observing essential safety precautions.
Offshore Wind Farms Are A “Big Lie”
Edgar J. Gunter, professor emeritus in mechanical and aerospace engineering at the University of Virginia and a fellow at the American Society of Mechanical Engineers, has expressed significant concerns regarding the development of offshore wind farms.
Gunter, who has vacationed at Long Beach Island, particularly Harvey Cedars, for the past 50 years, became particularly attentive to this issue when dead whales started washing ashore. “This drew my focus to the problems associated with offshore wind farms,” he writes.
Gunter, who has been researching offshore wind turbines in the U.S. and Europe for the past year, argues that there has been a proliferation of misinformation from atmospheric activists, politicians, and wind turbine developers.
Claims that wind turbines are reliable, affordable, and produce cheaper energy than fossil fuels or nuclear power are what he terms the “big lie.” Gunter insists, “If repeated often enough, many people will believe it. Nothing could be farther from the truth.”
He asserts that large offshore wind turbine farms are unacceptable and should not be supported for several reasons:
Unreliable Energy Source: Wind turbine energy is secondary and not available 24/7. During large winter storms, turbines must shut down to avoid damage, making them unavailable when most needed.
High Costs: Offshore wind turbines are extremely expensive to develop and maintain, leading to high energy costs for consumers.
Limited Lifespan: Wind turbines have a limited lifespan of 10 to 20 years, compared to nuclear plants designed to last 60 years. The blades, made of toxic epoxy glues, need replacing within ten years and are difficult to recycle.
Environmental Impact: Wind turbines pose significant environmental risks to marine life and migrating birds. Noise from surveying and construction can cause the death of whales and dolphins.
Unsuitable for Data Centers: Reliable energy is crucial for AI and data centers, which cannot depend on the inconsistent energy produced by wind turbines. These centers need their own emergency backup power systems.
Grid Reliability Issues: Wind turbines are unreliable generators of secondary energy, which can cause damage to the electrical grid and stationary equipment. As a result, grid operators are hesitant to integrate this energy.
As the director of the rotor bearing dynamics laboratory at the University of Virginia for over 30 years, Gunter developed reliable rotating equipment for NASA’s space shuttle program, the petrochemical industry, and fossil and nuclear power plants.
“Wind turbines are the most unreliable equipment due to the high loading involved with the rotating huge fan blades and the complex gearing arrangement,” he explains. There also environmental risks associated with the turbines. “Gallons of highly toxic, synthetic lubricants are required to minimize bearing and gear wear. The Environmental Protection Agency has stated that as little as several gallons of this oil leaking can contaminate over 1 million gallons of water,” he warns.
Gunter, in his piece for thesandpaper.net, concludes that offshore wind farms offer no advantages over conventional power generation systems. He criticizes the Biden administration’s goal to make the grid fossil-free by 2035 using wind and solar as misguided. “Eighty-five percent of atmospheric carbon dioxide pollution comes from China and India. China produces more electricity from coal-fired power plants than our entire electrical system.”
Gunter underscores that no qualified mechanical, electrical, or power engineers support the development of these “expensive, inefficient, and unreliable wind turbines.”
New Zealand’s Cold Start To Winter; 79% Chance Of A Winter La Nina; + Trouble Ahead For Markets?
July 12, 2024 Cap Allon
New Zealand’s Cold Start To Winter
NIWA’s official prediction for a warmer-than-average winter in New Zealand isn’t exactly going to plan, with temperatures plunging below freezing across the country, to -7.8C (18F) in Omarama this morning.
MetService’s Lewis Ferris explains that New Zealand is under a high-pressure system, with the combination of light winds, clear skies, and long nights leading = to some of the lowest temperatures seen in years.
“It’s been a cold, wintry start across much of the country, especially in the South Island,” Ferris noted.
Mt Cook Airport recorded -7.6C (18.3F), while Auckland Airport experienced its coldest morning of the year at 3C (37.4F).
Ferris indicated that cold temperatures are expected to persist throughout July.
While a warmer system next week is predicted to bring northerly rain and clouds, causing temperatures to rise slightly in the north, the overall theme will be cold, particularly in the south, in the likes of Otago and Southland.
Police have issued warnings to Southland drivers to exercise caution due to multiple reports of black ice on the roads.
A word on Australia: the Bureau of Meteorology’s official forecast for the warmest winter on record is also proving an abject failure. The country is bracing for potentially historic cold next week, extending the run of cold that began in June.
A low-pressure system is intensifying as it moves south, towards Tasmania’s coast. This system, combined with a stalling high south of the bight, will draw extremely cold Antarctic air northwards.
This frigid airmass will drop temperatures across Victoria, NSW, and Queensland, leading to icy cold south-westerly winds that could bring temperatures down 10C below average. Queenslanders, especially, may experience their coldest days in years, and possibly even snow over the granite belt early Wednesday morning, reminiscent of June 2019 when rare snow hit Stanthorpe.
Heavy snowfall is expected along the ranges from Monday to Wednesday, with ski resorts anticipating 50 cm (20 inches) or more of fresh powder. Snow could also fall around the ACT, Blue Mountains, and Orange as freezing levels drop well-below 1000 m (3280ft). The NSW Northern Tablelands, including Guyra, are expecting see fresh flakes by Tuesday.
79% Chance Of A Winter La Nina
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC), a division NOAA, issued its latest El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) report on July 11.
The ENSO Alert System Status is now “La Niña Watch,” indicating a 70% chance that La Niña will emerge during August-October and persist into the Northern Hemisphere winter of 2024-25, with a 79% chance during November-January.
ENSO-neutral conditions prevailed over the past month, with near-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the east-central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.
This upcoming La Niña would mark the fourth La Niña winter in the past five years, contrary to climate model predictions that anticipated fewer La Niña events due to global warming.
As for the impacts, research indicates that La Niña events typically result in cooler global temperatures due to enhanced upwelling and stronger trade winds (Zhang et al., 2013). In the U.S., La Niña winters often bring increased snowfall, especially in the northern and western regions, as the jet stream more-readily buckles, allowing colder Arctic air to sink south.
ENSO-neutral conditions are likely to continue in the short term, with La Niña expected to emerge by late summer and persist into the winter. This, if it plays out, will likely lead to cooler global temperatures and extra snowfall across the Northern Hemisphere.
Weekly updates are available on the CPC’s website, with the next’ ENSO Diagnostics Discussion’ scheduled for August 8.
Argentina Continues To Freeze; Hurricane Lull; U.S. Still Mostly Run On Fossil Fuels; + X-Flare
July 15, 2024 Cap Allon
Argentina Continues To Freeze
The likes of Argentina and Chile are continuing to shiver, with South America’s snow cover maintaining unusually-high levels; record-breaking lows and widespread snows have impacted daily life, agriculture, and infrastructure.
Swaths of Argentina recorded notably low temperatures again Sunday: Santa Rosa del Conlara saw -9C (15.8F), Villa Reynolds hit -8.7C (16.3F), Coronel Suarez -7.1C (19.2F), Azul -6.8C (19.8F), Tandil -6.5C (20.3F), El Palomar -6.0C (21.2F), La Plata -5.2C (22.6F), and Junín -5C (23F).
Snowfall has been unusually heavy and widespread this season and fall.
Vast areas of the Andes have posted totals of over 2 m (6.5 ft), Southern Argentina and Chile up to 1.5 m (5 ft), and Brazil’s southern states like Rio Grande do Sul have reported up to 30 cm (12 inches).
The extreme cold and snow have put strains on infrastructure. Snow and ice have led to road closures, disrupting travel and logistics. Increased demand for heating has strained power grids, leading to occasional outages.
Agriculture has also been impacted, with frost damage already leading to reduced yields and economic losses. Fruit orchards and vineyards are particularly vulnerable. Likewise, livestock farmers are taking extra measures to protect their animals.
The cold has been felling records in some spots.
Yesterday, Iguazú logged a high of just 8.3C (46.9F), the third lowest daily maximum in its recorded history, rivaling the all-time record set back in 1965. Additionally, this made for the city’s fourth consecutive daily high below 10C (50F), an unprecedented feat with the previous record being three consecutive days set during the July of 2000.
Hurricane Lull
The rest of July looks quiet in the Atlantic tropics.
Even in hyperactive seasons the basin can still become a “ghost town,” experiencing long periods of inactivity, writes meteorologist Ryan Maue.
The below forecast model, courtesy of ECMWF, indicates no significant cyclonic activity in the Atlantic basin over the next 15 days, from July 13 to July 28:
The map shows minimal cyclone tracks, i.e. very little activity.
The majority of the basin, including the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico, and the eastern Atlantic, appears free of significant cyclonic development. This lull in activity is tied various, likely temporary factors such as unfavorable atmospheric conditions, sea surface temperatures, and wind shear, which can inhibit cyclone formation.
While the season overall may still prove active, the remainder of July is forecast to be calm. But rest assured, MSM outlets will resume their fear-porn, cherry-picking coverage as soon as activity steps back up–they’ll just likely have to wait until August.
Despite the CAGW narrative, global tropical cyclone energy (ACE) remains at the levels of the 1980s.
Scientists know that ACE is modulated entirely by climate patterns such as El Niño and La Niña, by Pacific interdecadal variability, and also by Atlantic multidecadal variability, but rarely do they publicly voice this.
The mainstream claim that major hurricanes are becoming more frequent is not supported by empirical evidence.
U.S. Still Mostly Run On Fossil Fuels
Despite the subsidies for renewable energy, despite the tax credits, the schemes, and the incessant propaganda, the United States still relies heavily on fossil fuels.
As of 2023, some 82% of all energy consumption in the U.S. comes from fossil fuels.
Oil: 38%
Natural Gas: 36%
Coal: 9%
Nuclear energy also plays its part, contributing 9% to the overall energy mix.
Renewable energy accounts for another 9%, but the largest portion of this comes from biomass at 5.3%, which isn’t ‘green’. The burning of biomass releases particulates into the atmosphere –carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, and others– at levels often exceeding those released by fossil fuels.
Other renewable sources include:
Wind: 1.6%
Solar: 0.9%
Hydro: 1%
Geothermal: 0.1%
Together, solar and wind contribute just 2.5% to total energy consumption, highlighting America’s ongoing reliance on FFs to fuel its prosperity.
Data sourced from the Energy Information Administration.
Despite considerable financial incentives, including Investment Tax Credits, Production Tax Credits, grants and loan guarantees, solar and wind energy are still struggling to make any significant impact.
In short, they aren’t worth the effort.
The intermittent nature of solar and wind power generation poses significant challenges and necessitates additional investment in energy storage and backup systems. High initial costs, even with subsidies, also make it a poor investment, especially in a market with cheaper and more reliable options, i.e. fossil fuels.
The material requirements for various renewable electricity generation sources are also substantial and overlooked:
X-Flare
Sunspot AR3738 erupted on July 14, producing an X1.2-class solar flare.
NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory captured the extreme ultraviolet flash:
The radiation from the flare ionized the upper layers of Earth’s atmosphere, leading to a shortwave radio blackout over Australia, Southeast Asia, and Japan.
The flare was not sustained long enough to expel a CME from the sun’s atmosphere, meaning no auroras.
More eruptions are expected today, July 15 due to AR3738’s ‘beta-gamma-delta’ magnetic field configuration. NOAA puts the chances of another X-flare at 15%, with the probability of an M-flare at 65%.
Contrasting last week, the sun is looking on form Monday, with 200+ spots currently peppering the Earth-facing solar disk.
8 JULY 2024
Northern jet continues to deliver cool weather in short waves, while southern areas suffer heat waves especially on the West Coast. California fires continue after a wet, rapid grassland growth spring. Las Vegas set a hot record ~120ºF on 7/8/24. June’s “historic heat in the US” has been challenged by observed data. July’s Hurricane Beryl caused massive destruction in the Windward Islands and Jamaica as an early season CAT 5 which decreased to a tropical storm in the Gulf then spun up to hit Houston as a CAT1. It brought in heavy rains and surf, then moved NE to Arkansas.
Europe continues a mild summer with the UK having a very cool wet summer. Scotland’s Ben Nevis ski area had a touch of snow on July 1st. Greenland set a daily record Snow Mass Balance increase of 4 GT on July1st. Greenland’s accumulated SMB for this water year is slightly above normal this week.
Northern Italy had an exceptional snow year in the Dolomites. Arpa Lombardia Nivometeorological Center revealed that between May and June, the period of maximum accumulation, Lombardy’s glacial basins logged depths of as much as 40 meters (131 feet). The dense compact snow is beneficial for growing the glaciers. Six major ski areas are open into July.
Cold records have been set in South Australia, and Argentina set heavy snow records as the intense Southern Jet and subtropical jets stirred up very deep storms (970 to 934 mb) and heavy snow in the Antarctic. Argentina had an early ski season and heavy snows trapped herds of sheep. Tasmania suffered record cold at -13ºC that froze water pipes and closed roads.
The Tonga Volcano may be responsible for the extreme weather because it injected > 150 million tonnes of water vapor into the stratosphere. Water vapor is a strong greenhouse gas. See details in the Electroverse articles displayed in the link below.
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Review of past logs:
Atmospheric Rivers dominate precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere from Alaska to Greenland and Europe. These ARs are associated with intense cyclonic storms on the jet stream that dominate the weather. Recall tropical cyclones (hurricanes) and extratropical cyclones (Lows) and anticyclones (Highs) control our weather. Atmospheric River forecasts quantify the model computations of moisture flux from surface to 700 mb. This flux controls the duration and intensity of precipitation. Remember last winter when California had a record number of intense ARs that filled the “1000 yr“ drought’s reservoirs and extended Mammoth Mountain’s ski season into August 2023. Mammoth mountain is again accumulating heavy snows with a foot a day for 7 days in the last storm. California is drought free today as new ARs are pounding the coast again this winter triggering flash floods and debris flows in this saturated ground. The Colorado River Basin continues to benefit from these snowstorms from Colorado to Wyoming and Utah. Early season NRCS snow water equivalent SWE is running from 100 to 120% of normal. The May 19, 2024 had from 98 to 250%.
NRCS Basin Data: https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/imap/#version=169&elements=&networks=!&states=!&basins=!&hucs=&minElevation=&maxElevation=&elementSelectType=any&activeOnly=true&activeForecastPointsOnly=false&hucLabels=false&hucIdLabels=false&hucParameterLabels=true&stationLabels=&overlays=&hucOverlays=2&basinOpacity=75&basinNoDataOpacity=25&basemapOpacity=100&maskOpacity=0&mode=data&openSections=dataElement,parameter,date,basin,options,elements,location,networks&controlsOpen=true&popup=&popupMulti=&popupBasin=&base=esriNgwm&displayType=basinstation&basinType=6&dataElement=WTEQ&depth=-8¶meter=PCTMED&frequency=DAILY&duration=I&customDuration=&dayPart=E&monthPart=E&forecastPubDay=1&forecastExceedance=50&useMixedPast=true&seqColor=1&divColor=7&scaleType=D&scaleMin=&scaleMax=&referencePeriodType=POR&referenceBegin=1991&referenceEnd=2020&minimumYears=20&hucAssociations=true&relativeDate=-1&lat=43.728&lon=-104.797&zoom=5.0
Atmospheric River forecast by Marty Ralph’s team:
https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/iwv-and-ivt-forecasts/
An important component of the Grand Solar Minimum is an increase in clouds due to its impact on our solar system’s magnetosphere and increased numbers of deep space cosmic rays penetrating our upper atmosphere and generating cloud condensation nuclei. Clouds produce many complex phenomena ranging from cooling as solar radiation is reflected back to space, to surface warming as heat is retained at night and radiational cooling is reduced under stratus and in fog. On a large scale temperature gradients control the winds and jet stream dynamics. Clouds also impact the sea surface temperature SST which can have profound impacts on the Earth’s energy budget from the El Niño and La Niña to Jet stream intensity and location. NASA is now predicting a solar maximum of cycle 25 by January 2024 with some CMEs. Like the one that gave us the beautiful Auroras last week. Note: current climate models fail to adequately simulate clouds; hence, a serious limit to their long term predictions. The primary critical impact of the GSM is late spring frosts and early fall frosts that limit the growing season. it is difficult for long term models to predict these critical events accurately.
Volcanic activity has increased dramatically in November 2023 with two stratovolcanoes pumping huge amounts of volcanic ash into the stratosphere in the northern Hemisphere from Kamchatka, and the tropics from New Guinea. Iceland’s seismic activity also increased significantly and resulted in a small volcanic eruption. Stratospheric volcanic dust from volcanoes cause significant atmospheric cooling. During the Little Ice Age there were many volcanoes associated with the Milankovitch Cycle that also contributed to the cooling. Japan had a devastating earthquake in the last weeks.
During the winter, low clouds can keep the polar regions warmer, thus reducing the N-S temperature gradient that may lead to a weaker jet stream and a meridional flow. This wavy N-S flow enhances the warm and cold sectors of storms and hence, extreme temperature swings. Thus far this winter we have a very wavy jet steam. Have a look at my album’s examples.
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT. The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now below normal. see:
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
and
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg
The northern jet stream is weakening with many short meridional - wavy N-S flows. Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful. Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall. Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement around the hemisphere.
See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea are back to summer after a record cold and snowy winter.
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m throughout the winter. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns. Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact. The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this winter. Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows in April and a deadly storm in early May.
Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic. It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer. On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok… Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 100% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively. SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly. McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September. Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC. December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively. The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under. South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-137 cm this week. May is setting fall records.
Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward. Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather and now is turning cold as Antarctic highs set new cold records in April and May and are continuing to set cold records. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms. Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
South America was warm, but cold fronts are predicted to take temperatures 5-10ºC below normal next week. The Andes continued to build their glaciers (1-2 m). South American snow was at record levels. Patagonia had significant snows and skiing in the Andes continued in November 2023. Surface temperatures reached -10ºC this week in Patagonia with 8 feet of snow. Argentina and Brazil continued to cool in the south with the floods and antarctic air. Antarctic cold fronts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains (100-300 mm) in the South of Brazil by Iguazu Falls in April. The Iguazu region had heavy rains and floods in contrast to a record drought in the Amazon Basin. However, the past month had heavy rain in the upper headwaters of the Rio Negro and Amazon Rivers. Deep thunderstorms with top temperatures of -70 to -80ºC are helping mitigate the drought. These mesoscale convective complexes can dump 100-200+ mm. Rio and Sao Paulo had flash floods and have remained wet. The Porto Alegro lost over 126 people as extreme flash floods hit the region in May.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
New 2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
UK energy policy:
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00367-6 .
Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
Global temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
Allan T. Emrén
Published Online:June 30, 2023pp 401-412 https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
Abstract
During the past 170 years, temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased. Published data on global temperature, CO2 data, and data on sea ice in the Arctic have been investigated. It is seen that support for human activities causing the observed increases is weak. It is found that the rate of change in CO2 concentration is controlled by global temperature rather than vice versa. To stop the growing concentration, the temperature has first to be decreased by about 1.4 K. This makes it questionable if attempts by humans to modify the global temperature, or the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere will give any noticeable result. A correlation is found between seasonal variations in CO2 concentrations and Arctic sea ice quantities. The present increase in CO2 concentration and temperature is similar to one 55 million years ago, indicating that the Earth passed a 'tipping point' around 1750.
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
…….
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
A new documentary on climate: Well worth viewing —
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 7 JULY 2024
Greenland Gaining Gigatons Of Mass In Summer; NOAA’s Ghost Stations; + Global CO2 Emissions Tracking Well Below ‘Scary’ Climate Scenarios
July 2, 2024 Cap Allon
Greenland Gaining Gigatons Of Mass In Summer
On July 1, 2024, Greenland’s ice sheet posted an unprecedented ≈4 Gigaton summer gain. Data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) show this is the highest daily July gain since records began in 1981.
During a period usually marked by significant summer melt, the charts show extensive snow and ice accumulation, with deep blue areas indicating significant mass gains.
The 1981-2010 averages call for a 4 Gigaton melt at this time of year, what we saw yesterday was a 4 Gigaton gain, adding to the ≈2 Gigaton gain the day before.
Several factors have contributed to the narrative-defying gains.
1) This summer has seen cooler-than-average temperatures in the Arctic, slowing the melt. 2) Cooler water brought by ocean currents has reduced ice melt. And 3) unusually high summer snowfall has added significantly to the ice sheet’s mass.
These gains challenge the simplistic mainstream climate models calling for accelerated melt due to human prosperity.
Frustratingly for the alarmists, this season looks set to be another with above-average SMB for the Greenland Ice Sheet:
NOAA’s Ghost Stations
NOAA’s manipulation of climate data through the use of “ghost stations” exposes a systematic effort to fabricate temperature records, so as to fuel the global heating narrative.
In decades past, the number of US Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) temperature stations fluctuated, with new ones added and old ones decommissioned.
However, a trend began in the late 1990s, coinciding with the rise of AGW narratives.
Contrary to what one might expect during a period when accurate climate monitoring is crucial, the number of active temperature stations has plummeted. From a consistent 1,200 stations between 1930 and 1996, the number dropped to just 830 by 2020—and continues to decline.
Even more perplexing is the fact that many of the decommissioned stations still report temperature data to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). These “ghost stations” continue to contribute phantom data, completely fabricated temperature readings, which NOAA incorporates into its official climate reports.
Meteorologist John Shewchuk has highlighted this issue extensively, pointing out that by 2020, NOAA was fabricating temperature data for more than 40% of all USHCN stations. Just a few examples of these ghost stations include:
Childs, AZ (USHCN No. 21614): Temperature observations ended in 2005, yet NOAA continues to fabricate data.
The systematic fabrication of data has allowed NOAA and other government agencies to portray an artificially warming present, one aided by their simultaneous cooling of the past.
These agencies control the data, meaning they can do whatever they want with it, present it however they see fit, tweak and manipulate it to their hearts content, so long as they adequately cover their tracks.
Contrary to NOAA’s adjusted data, the raw USHCN data indicates no significant warming (see below).
The 1930s Dust Bowl era remains the hottest period on record, and overall, summers have been cooling eversince. The perceived warming trend only emerges after NOAA’s “adjustments” are made, which they claim are necessary “to improve data quality”.
Global CO2 Emissions Tracking Well Below ‘Scary’ Climate Scenarios
The notion that global CO2 emissions are skyrocketing towards extreme levels, as depicted by the SSP5-8.5 scenario, is increasingly being debunked by actual emissions data.
The SSP5-8.5 scenario, which projects extreme and highly unrealistic CO2 emissions, is often used to generate alarmist climate predictions. However, actual data increasingly diverges from these doomsday projections, revealing the manipulative intent behind their continued use.
As Dr Roy Spencer writes: “The IPCC knows very well that as long as climate models are run that produce extreme amounts of climate change, few people will question the assumptions that went into those model projections. Peoples’ careers now depend upon the continuing fear of a “climate crisis” (which has yet to materialize).”
Dr Spencer wasn’t able to find a recent graph showing how actual CO2 emissions compare to the scenarios. “So I made one,” he writes. In the following plot, Spencer shows estimates of global CO2 emissions from fossil fuel use through 2023, and EIA projections every 5 years from 2025 through 2050 (green). Also shown are a few of the latest (AR6) SSP scenarios.
The most-unrealistic scenario, SSP5-8.5, assumes a future where global CO2 emissions skyrocket unchecked, leading to “catastrophic climate outcomes”. Although practically impossible, this is the baseline for many extreme predictions, including:
1) The IPCC AR6 predicts an increase in global surface air temperature by 2.4C to 4.8C by the end of the century under SSP5-8.5. This projection supports claims of extreme heatwaves and uninhabitable regions.
2) According to a study published in Nature Communications, SSP5-8.5 could result in up to 1.3 meters of sea-level rise by 2100, threatening coastal cities and displacing millions [UCAR] .
3) Research in the Journal of Climate suggests an explosion in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, droughts, and heavy rainfall under SSP5-8.5, forecasting widespread agricultural failure and water shortages .
4) The Environmental Research Letters report highlights potential mass extinctions and habitat destruction driven by the extreme conditions projected under SSP5-8.5 . These scenarios push for aggressive conservation measures.
These dire warnings are built on exaggerated and wholly unrealistic assumptions about fossil fuel use. The only reason the IPCC and other bodies persist with the likes of SSP5-8.5 is because it serves their agenda. There is no logic behind it.
By painting a picture of impending doom, they galvanize support for drastic measures that might otherwise face resistance, measures that often involve significant economic and social upheaval, including draconian regulations, taxes, and shifts in energy policy that can undermine economic prosperity and personal freedoms.
The use of SSP5-8.5 in climate models allows proponents of AGW to claim that they are “following The Science”, but this scenario is far from scientific, it is merely another tool of fear used to justify extreme, poverty-inducing climate policies.
Unprecedented Snowfalls in Argentina Threaten 1 Million Livestock; Aussie Cold; Record Stratospheric Water Vapor; Global Temperatures Took Another Step Down In June; + CO2 Fantasticals
July 3, 2024 Cap Allon
Unprecedented Snowfalls in Argentina Threaten 1 Million Livestock
Breeders in Argentine Patagonia have taken to social media to express their distress after unprecedented snowfalls buried their livestock, threatening about 1 million animals with starvation in one of the region’s coldest winters in decades.
Videos from Chubut show sheep buried in deep snow, with only their heads visible.
The Argentine Rural Confederation (CRA) has described the situation as “dramatic.”
Enrique Jamieson, president of the Federation of Agricultural Institutions Santa Cruz, highlighted the complexity of the situation, with heavy snowfalls extending across Santa Cruz, affecting about 40,000 cattle and 1 million sheep.
The most-recent snow dumps, ranging from 40 to 60 cm (1.3 to 2 ft) in depth, have rendered pastures inaccessible, endangering cattle and sheep. Efforts are underway to move livestock to areas with less snow to forage or receive supplemental feeding.
Jamieson explained that consistent, early-season snowfalls through April and May had already formed a frozen layer, complicating access to food for the animals. The recent snowfall added additional feet on top of this layer, exacerbating the problem and making it difficult for the animals to reach food.
The situation is dire, with breeders and agricultural institutions urgently seeking solutions to prevent the starvation of their livestock amidst the extreme winter conditions.
Aussie Cold
Southern and Eastern Australia is continuing to shiver through a pretty persistent and harsh cold snap, with thermometers dipping to subzero levels (C) in numerous regions.
Frost has swept the likes of Victoria, Tasmania, and South Australia, causing disruptions and posing headaches for farmers.
In Victoria, where a swatch of frost warnings have been issued, places such as Ballarat and Bendigo have posted overnight lows of -2C (28.4F) and -1C (30.2F), respectively. Melbourne too continues to shiver, hovering around 2C (35.6F) Wednesday morning.
Tasmania has also been hit, with Hobart noting -1C (30.2F). Inland areas, including Liawenee, are enduring colder lows, with -10C (14F) registered here. The severe cold has led to icy roads, prompting authorities to advise caution for motorists.
In South Australia, Adelaide recorded its coldest morning of the year at 3C (37.4F), while the state’s mid-north region saw -3C (26.6F). Farmers here are particularly affected, with the freeze posing a threat to crops and livestock.
The Antarctic air mass responsible is expected to linger and all. The Bureau of Meteorology forecasts it has at least another few days to run, with both day and night-time temperatures expected to remain well below average.
Record Stratospheric Water Vapor
The massive impact of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai eruption on global temperatures and climate is striking, yet few in mainstream academia seem keen to discuss it.
When this underwater volcano erupted in January 2022, it injected a massive amount of water vapor—approximately 50 million tons—into the stratosphere, significantly altering atmospheric conditions. This increase in stratospheric moisture by about 10%-30% has contributed to a warming effect on Earth’s surface, a forcing expected to persist for years.
This chart shows the significant impact the eruption had on the stratosphere’s water vapor content. Note the initial pop in early 2022 and then the subsequent gradual latitudinal spread, particularly through 2023.
Typically, large volcanic eruptions cool the planet by releasing sulfur dioxide and ash, which block sunlight. However, the Hunga Tonga eruption was unique because it released more water vapor than sulfur dioxide.
Water vapor is a potent greenhouse gas, the most potent, leading to a warming effect rather than cooling. This anomaly explains the unexpected rise in global temperatures observed from 2023 into 2024, partly attributed to this event.
The delay between the eruption and its warming impact is due to the time it takes for the injected water vapor to mix and distribute within the stratosphere. Unlike heavier volcanic aerosols, water vapor is less affected by gravity and remains suspended longer, enhancing its warming effect. Increased stratospheric water vapor increases global temperatures, this is not contended, but it has been suspiciously sidestepped since Jan 15, 2022.
Global Temperatures Took Another Step Down In June
The V6 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for June, 2024 has come in at 0.80C, down 0.10C from May and down 0.25C from the April peak:
Brits Asking “Where Is Summer?”; Europe’s Lowest Burn Acreage On Record; Tasmania’s Second-Coldest Temperature Ever; + America’s “Historic June Heatwave” Was a Lie
July 4, 2024 Cap Allon
Brits Asking “Where Is Summer?”
This summer, the UK has held anomalously cool, defying earlier Met Office forecasts for a record hot season.
June’s average mean was 12.9C (55.2F), which is 0.4C below the long-term average, making for the coldest June in years. Snow fell on Scotland’s peaks for eight consecutive days last month, a very rare occurrence.
Likewise in Ireland, a cold June was endured: an average of 13.18C meant for 0.51C below the norm.
BBC Scotland forecaster Calum MacColl blames the unusual chill on natural causes (naturally). “The jet stream was in a west to north-westerly orientation across the North Atlantic,” he explains, “resulting in Scotland often being on the cold side of the jet [which funneled polar maritime air into the nation].”
Contrary to official “record hot” forecasts, a cool June is now spilling into July where it continues to impact livestock and agriculture, with farmers reportedly struggling with the unseasonably low temperatures.
The cold is expected to persist for the foreseeable, and all, with ‘blues’ set to dominate through the first half of July–at least.
Europe’s Lowest Burn Acreage On Record
Recent data reveals that Europe is experiencing its lowest burn acreage on record in 2024, a fact completely ignored by an agenda-driving media.
The below chart from the Global Wildfire Information System visualizes this inconvenience:
The chart shows cumulative burned areas in Europe from January 1 to June 30, 2024, compared to the average and min-max range of the previous decade. The green line representing 2024 shows significantly lower burned areas, the lowest on record.
Despite this, MSM coverage focuses heavily on localized fire incidents in places like Greece, skewing public perception. This selective reporting overlooks countries like France, Hungary, Portugal, Spain, Italy, Bulgaria, and Ukraine, which are posting record-low burn.
Many of these nations are also posting colder-than-average Junes. As well as the UK and Ireland, France, Belgium and the Netherlands have also noted monthly cold anomalies, of -0.04C, -0.4C and -0.7C respectively.
Climate foretellings keenly link global warming to increasing wildfire incidents in Europe. The Science warns that “climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of wildfires” (European Environment Agency). However, the substantial decrease in burned areas this year challenges these alarmist projections.
And 2024 isn’t a one-off either, with 2023, 2022 and even the decades prior refusing to play AGW ball.
As climate scientist at the University of East Anglia Dr Matthew Jones admitted during the summer of 2022: “We’ve actually seen a decline in the area burned by fires in the Mediterranean and across Europe more widely over the last couple of decades, in a way that doesn’t marry up with the rapidly changing risk of fires.”
Accurate and balanced reporting is key for public understanding and solid policy-making; fear and wild obfuscations are good for serving narratives and enforcing compliance. The establishment routinely highlights negative events without acknowledging positive trends, and its lapdogs in the media dutifully sell the tale.
The broader wildfire picture shows a significant reduction in burned area across Europe, reaching the lowest levels on record in 2024, continuing a multidecadal trend — a trend not only confined to Europe, it is global (as detailed in the article below).
Tasmania’s Second Coldest Temperature Ever
Australians in Victoria, Tasmania, and South Australia have been experiencing fierce chills, with temperatures plunging to record lows, defying recent forecasts by the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) that had called for the warmest winter on record.
In Tasmania, Liawenee set a new record low for the third consecutive day, with -13.5C (7.7F) logged early Thursday morning — the coldest ever July reading in the area, after yesterday’s -12.9C (8.8F) and -10.8C (12.6F) the day before.
It is also the state’s second-coldest temperature ever, behind the -14.2C (6.4F) set back in August 2020.
South Australia was not spared either. West Terrace, Adelaide registered a low of 0.6C (33.1F), tying its coldest temperature since July 24, 1908. The outback town of Yunta recorded -4.3C (24.3F), while the Nullarbor weather station hit -3.2C (26.2F) — additional record lows. While even in the metropolitan region, Noarlunga experienced its coldest July temperature at 2.2C (36F).
Bureau of Meteorology senior forecaster Chris Kent said some areas are enduring readings 10C below their July norms, a setup caused by a strong high-pressure system south of Australia that is driving cold air over the southern states, with clear skies and light winds helping create perfect conditions for frigid overnight lows.
Eastern and Southern Australia’s long-lasting cold snap starkly contrasts the BoM’s calls for a “record warm winter”.
America’s “Historic June Heatwave” Was a Lie
Recent media reports have widely claimed that the United States experienced a “historic heatwave” in June 2024. However, an examination of long-term climate data reveals a different reality.
The chart below shows the percentage of US Historical Climatology Network stations that reached or exceeded 90F (32.2C) each June from 1895 to 2024. The blue line represents annual data, while the red line indicates the 10-year moving average.
Over the past 129 years, there has been significant variability in the percentage of stations reaching 90F in June. The highest percentage was recorded in 1933, with 91% of stations reaching this temperature, and the lowest was in 1928, with only 42.3%.
Despite fluctuations, the long-term average percentage of stations reaching 90F in June stands at 73.1%, with a standard deviation of 9.3%. The data for June 2024 shows that the percentage of stations hitting 90F was below this historical average, at 66%, contradicting the media’s narrative of an exceptionally hot month.
Alarmists would do well to follow their own guidelines, i.e. to look at long-term data trends rather than short-term events. The overall percentage of stations reaching 90F in June 2024 was below the historical norm.
The “historic heatwave” of June 2024 is yet another media creation, it isn’t one bore out by the data, it isn’t one, ignoring the myriad of headlines, that would actually be remembered by history.
Scottish Ski Centers Report Rare July Snowfall; Brewing SSW Event In The Southern Hemisphere?; + 101 Scientists: Claims Of Man-Made Global Warming Are Exaggerated
July 5, 2024 Cap Allon
Scottish Ski Centers Report Rare July Snowfall
Following the eight consecutive days of snow in June, Scottish peaks are seeing the summer flakes persist into July.
After weeks of increasingly cold and stormy weather since the summer solstice, attributed to the jet stream, Scottish ski centers have reported a rare occurrence of snowfall on high slopes this morning.
WinterHighland’s webcam captured fresh snow at Glencoe on Thursday morning, marking a rare summer event. Snow flurries also hit peaks across the Highlands, including the slopes of Cairngorm above Aviemore.
The AGW Party have long warned that Scotland’s ski resorts would soon be no more.
Dr. Adam Watson, a leading expert on Scottish snow patches, stated in 2010, “With rising temperatures and changing weather patterns, the snow cover in Scotland will diminish.” Additionally, a 2017 report by the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment noted, “Scotland’s ski resorts are at risk due to a decline in snow cover, which could severely impact winter sports tourism and local economies.”
Mainstream studies continue to predict significant reductions in snow cover across ski areas worldwide. A 2024 study published in PLOS ONE states that under high emissions scenarios —absurd as they are— snow cover days in ski areas will likely decrease dramatically, threatening the viability of these resorts.
The study highlights that the European Alps, which include Scotland’s ski resorts, could see a 42% decline in annual snow cover days by 2071 compared to historical norms.
Despite the predictions, this past spring, the Alps saw an unusually large blanketing of snow, contributing to the general Northern Hemisphere trend of increasing mass:
Data from Glacier Monitoring Switzerland (GLAMOS) indicated that the snow accumulation in the Alps in 2024 has been significantly higher than average. Surveys of 14 Swiss glaciers, extrapolated to all 1,400 glaciers in the country, showed about 31% more snow compared to the 2010-2020 average.
“The snow mass in the Alps this spring reached levels not seen in years,” reads a GLAMOS report, with the head of the network, Matthias Huss, writing on X, described the weather this year as a “blessing”.
Brewing SSW Event In The Southern Hemisphere?
The Southern Hemisphere has registered only one major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event, in Sept 2002, with two minor events in Sept 2010 and Aug-Sept 2019. Now, there are signs that something substantial is brewing in the SH strat.
Forecasts indicate a significant warming at the 10 hPa level through mid-July (animation below).
Questions remain as to whether a 25C increase will be reached, required to classify as even a minor SSW, but there is chance.
101 Scientists: Claims Of Man-Made Global Warming Are Exaggerated
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Richard Lindzen – Atmospheric physicist, MIT: “There is no evidence that the natural variability of the climate is driven by anything other than natural phenomena.” (2018)
Freeman Dyson – Theoretical physicist and mathematician, Princeton University: “I am skeptical of the claim that climate change is a crisis.” (2015)
Judith Curry – Climatologist, Georgia Institute of Technology: “The climate is always changing, and the causes of this change are complex and multifaceted.” (2020)
William Happer – Physicist, Princeton University: “CO2 is not a pollutant but a benefit to the planet.” (2019)
Roy Spencer – Meteorologist, University of Alabama in Huntsville: “The evidence for significant human impact on climate change is not as strong as often portrayed.” (2017)
John Christy – Atmospheric scientist, University of Alabama in Huntsville: “The climate system is not very sensitive to CO2.” (2021)
Nils-Axel Mörner – Geologist and geophysicist: “Sea level rise is not accelerating.” (2016)
Henrik Svensmark – Physicist, Danish National Space Institute: “Cosmic rays influence climate.” (2020)
Patrick Michaels – Climatologist, Cato Institute: “Climate models overestimate warming.” (2018)
Tim Ball – Climatologist, University of Winnipeg: “Climate change is a natural phenomenon.” (2015)
Ian Plimer – Geologist, University of Melbourne: “Human-induced climate change is a hoax.” (2019)
Christopher Landsea – Meteorologist, NOAA: “Hurricanes are not increasing in frequency or intensity due to climate change.” (2013)
Vincent Courtillot – Geophysicist, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris: “Solar activity has a significant impact on climate.” (2017)
Syun-Ichi Akasofu – Geophysicist, University of Alaska Fairbanks: “Natural climate variability is the dominant factor.” (2014)
David Bellamy – Botanist: “Global warming is not a significant threat.” (2013)
Robert Carter – Geologist, James Cook University: “Climate change is driven by natural variability.” (2015)
Khabibullo Abdusamatov – Astrophysicist, Russian Academy of Sciences: “Solar cycles are the primary drivers of climate change.” (2017)
Don Easterbrook – Geologist, Western Washington University: “Climate change is a natural process.” (2020)
Joseph D’Aleo – Meteorologist: “Climate models are unreliable.” (2016)
Benny Peiser – Social anthropologist: “Climate change policies are economically damaging.” (2014)
Ross McKitrick – Economist, University of Guelph: “The economic impact of climate change policies is underestimated.” (2020)
Tom V. Segalstad – Geologist, University of Oslo: “CO2 is not the primary driver of climate change.” (2019)
…… see Electroverse link
Exceptional Snow-Year In Northern Italy; Winter Begins With a Bang In South America; Tasmania Freezes; + “Tonga Volcano Prime Suspect”
July 8, 2024 Cap Allon
Exceptional Snow-Year In Northern Italy
2024 is proving an impressive year for snow in the European Alps, and an inconvenient one for the warmists.
I’ve written about the record-accumulations on Swiss glaciers, but the same is being witnessed across northern Italy.
In the first six months of 2024, the administrative region of Lombardy –for example– has posted well-above average accumulations across all of its glaciers, particularly on the Adamello.
Contrary to AGW Party predictions of ‘forever less’ (more on that below), data from the Arpa Lombardia Nivometeorological Center reveal that between May and June, the period of maximum accumulation, Lombardy’s glacial basins logged depths of as much as 40 meters (131 feet).
Conducting 55 core samples and numerous snow depth measurements, Arpa Lombardia data show that glaciers like Adamello, Pisgana, Alpe Sud, and Savoretta witnessed snowfall well above the historical average, 10 meters (32.8 feet) above in many cases
Furthermore, this year’s snow is dense and compact, and is so far withstanding summer warmth, reducing the glacial melt season which will contribute to a season of limited drought.
Endless mainstream studies foresaw the Alps suffering significant declines in snow cover and glacier mass by now.
One study, led by the University of Bayreuth and published in 2012, projected that Alpine ski resorts would lose 80 snow cover days annually by the mid-2020s if high emission scenarios continued.
Likewise, a Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (2019) paper projected that the Alps would see substantial snow cover reduction by 2025. The study indicated that the number of snow cover days could halve, with severe impacts on water availability and local ecosystems.
While a Eurac Research study, published in 2022, suggested that, due to cLiMaTe ChAnGe, the Alps could see a reduction in snow cover by up to 50% by 2025.
Despite the prophesies, the snowfalls of 2024 have led to great summer glacier skiing conditions, with well-above average pack.
Even into July, skiing and snowboarding is on offer in Austria, France, Italy and Switzerland, at the following resorts:
Hintertux, Austria
Tignes, France
Val d’Isere, France
Cervinia, Italy
Passo Stelvio, Italy
Zermatt, Switzerland
Winter Begins With a Bang In South America
The ski season in South America is off to a spectacular start, with resorts opening earlier than usual due to record snowfall.
It hasn’t been all plain sailing for ski areas, though.
Las Leñas, Argentina had planned a pre-opening on June 20 but had to cancel due to avalanches, road closures, and excessive snow. The resort is now open with a snow depth of more than 1.2 meters (4 feet) at the base, with 6+ meters (20+ feet) up top.
“We were excited about the pre-opening, but weather conditions made it impossible,” the resort stated. “The snow accumulation was so significant that even the access road had to be closed by provincial authorities. We thank our visitors, collaborators, friends, and suppliers for their understanding and trust, as safety is our priority in such natural events.”
Cerro Catedral, also in Argentina did manage to open in early-June and is enjoying a bumper start to the season. Likewise in Chile, conditions are proving remarkable.
The data tell the story. Since the record-setting start in May, snow extent across the South American continent has consistently challenged records:
Looking elsewhere in the Southern Hemisphere, Australia and New Zealand are yet to be hit with any big snow dumps. Although temperatures have been more than cold enough for flakes to form, the necessary weather systems haven’t blown in.
Recently though, snow has started to arrive across resorts in both Australia and New Zealand, backing up the work done by snow cannons.
The NZ ski season has been “jump-started by natural snowfall,” so reads local reports, with South Island resorts the first to open, followed by a host on the North Island.
Whakapapa, in particular, welcomed 12,000 visitors over the first two days.
“It’s been a brilliant Matariki weekend, an amazing kickoff for us here at Whakapapa,” said operations manager Steve Manunui.
Tasmania Freezes
Australia’s cold has indeed been noteworthy. Eastern and Southern regions in particular have felt the chill, including Tasmania where, among statewide hazards, freezes have closed the Great Lake Hotel in the Central Highlands.
The hotel, located on the Marlborough Highway in Miena, suffered significant damage from frozen pipes and heavy frost, with temperatures in the area plummeting to record-breaking lows, including the historic -13.5C (7.7F) logged by nearby Liawenee.
Initially planning to reopen on Saturday, the hotel will now remain closed until at least July 10. “We are literally stuck without water and will be unable to open until [the pipes] thaw out,” a spokesperson said, thanking folk for their understanding.
The school holidays have been disrupted more broadly, with Tasmania Police warning drivers of dangerous road conditions due to ice and snow. They emphasized the risk of black ice and urged caution, with more than 50 main roads under official alerts.
Overnight temperatures Sunday dropped to -10.5C (13.1F) in Liawenee, -6.2C (20.8F) in Butlers Gorge, -5.3C (22.5F) in Fingal, and -4.5C (23.9F) in Launceston Airport and Cressy. In Campbell Town, a frozen fountain has become a local attraction.
“Tonga Volcano Prime Suspect”
Just over a year before the abrupt warming, in January 2022, an unusual VEI 5 volcanic eruption took place in Tonga.
While there have been several VEI 5 or higher eruptions in the last 200 years, the majority haven’t affected the global climate in any significant way. Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai is one of the exceptions. Its eruption was a submarine one, at a very shallow depth (about 150m/500ft below the sea surface), and as a consequence it ejected 150 million tons of water into the stratosphere.
In 200 years of records, the only one other VEI 5+ submarine eruption occurred in 1924 off the Japanese island of Iriomote at a depth of 200m/660ft, but this did not have anywhere near the same atmospheric affects as Hunga Tonga. It is believe the Tonga explosion occurred at just the right depth to project the most water into the stratosphere.
The Tonga eruption is considered a once-in-a-200-year event, likely much rarer.
“Science was fortunate to witness it,” writes Javier Vinós.
We know strong volcanic eruptions reaching the stratosphere can significantly affect the climate for a few years, with effects often delayed by over a year. The eruption of Mount Tambora in April 1815, for example, had a global climate impact but it took 15 months for the effect to develop, eventually resulting in the “year without a summer” in 1816.
These delayed effects coincided with the appearance of a sulfate aerosol veil in the Northern Hemisphere due to seasonal changes in global stratospheric circulation.
The figure below shows the modern water vapor anomaly in the stratosphere between 15 and 40 km altitude. The large darkening created by the Tonga eruption appears in the Northern Hemisphere in 2023 and coincides with the abrupt warming.
1 JULY 2024
FLOODS, extreme heat, cold, record snows, and severe weather characterize 2024 thus far. We are off to horrific start to extremes from America to Europe, China, South America and Australia and the Antarctic. While the heat has been bad in the US, the SW is yet to beat June 1996. The percentage of the US reaching 90º F by 23 June is below normal inspite of the MSM extreme heat warnings. Canadian Highs have continued to relieve the excessive heat. The northwest has been cool. Severe floods hit Iowa and Minnesota damaging large areas of farmland. Interestingly, the northern jet stream continues to flow with short waves triggering cold fronts and severe weather from Asia to Europe. Normally in summer, the jet weakens and becomes intermittent. The North American Monsoon started early bringing heavy rains and flash flooding to New Mexico and southern Colorado.
Alta, Utah had the snowiest 2-year period October 2022 to May 2024 with 1531 inches (127 ft, 39 m). The second named tropical storm Beryl formed in the Atlantic north of Brazil at 9ºN on 29 June. This storm is predicted move into the Caribbean south of Cuba by 4 July as a CAT 1-2 hurricane after reaching CAT 4 east of the Lesser Antilles.
Europe and Asia have had a variety of extreme conditions from short heat waves punctuated by severe thunderstorms, heavy rains and local floods to “February-like” snowfalls in Kashmir and the Tibetan Plateau with avalanches. China had severe floods and debris flows as the SW Monsoon moved into the region.
The Andes have received record snows providing an outstanding ski season with 87% of the total annual snowfall received by 29 June. Major ski areas now have 13 and 19 feet on the ground with more to come. Avalanches closed major roads near Santiago and ice is forming in Tierra del Fuego bay. The Chilean Resort of Valle Nevado, for instance, has already received 87% of its average winter snowfall, accumulating more than 209 inches (5.3 m). The resort opened three weeks early on May 31, benefiting from a massive storm that dumped six feet, chased by another that dropped two more. The southern jet provided a strong Atmospheric River into the central Andes.
Australia and New Zealand are receiving snow with 13-29 cm and 95-138 cm respectively. Deep storms (932 -970 mb) continue to circle the Antarctic as the southern jet stream intensifies. These are dumping 144 to 312 cm along the coast near the Thwaites Glacier. Interior temperatures remain cold at -60 to -78ºC. Eastern Australia is setting new record lows where Antarctic Highs have brought clear skies and radiative cooling. Low winds and cold have put “immense pressure” on the energy grid.
These 2024 extremes may be indicative of the Grand Solar Minimum. Certainly the shortened growing season is characteristic of a GSM. Flood crop damage furthers the impact on crop yields. However, the sun is very active with large CMEs expected to continue into 2026.
Look forward to the climate cabal picking a different cherry as sweaters are redonned across the West:”
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Review of past logs:
Atmospheric Rivers dominate precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere from Alaska to Greenland and Europe. These ARs are associated with intense cyclonic storms on the jet stream that dominate the weather. Recall tropical cyclones (hurricanes) and extratropical cyclones (Lows) and anticyclones (Highs) control our weather. Atmospheric River forecasts quantify the model computations of moisture flux from surface to 700 mb. This flux controls the duration and intensity of precipitation. Remember last winter when California had a record number of intense ARs that filled the “1000 yr“ drought’s reservoirs and extended Mammoth Mountain’s ski season into August 2023. Mammoth mountain is again accumulating heavy snows with a foot a day for 7 days in the last storm. California is drought free today as new ARs are pounding the coast again this winter triggering flash floods and debris flows in this saturated ground. The Colorado River Basin continues to benefit from these snowstorms from Colorado to Wyoming and Utah. Early season NRCS snow water equivalent SWE is running from 100 to 120% of normal. The May 19, 2024 had from 98 to 250%.
NRCS Basin Data: https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/imap/#version=169&elements=&networks=!&states=!&basins=!&hucs=&minElevation=&maxElevation=&elementSelectType=any&activeOnly=true&activeForecastPointsOnly=false&hucLabels=false&hucIdLabels=false&hucParameterLabels=true&stationLabels=&overlays=&hucOverlays=2&basinOpacity=75&basinNoDataOpacity=25&basemapOpacity=100&maskOpacity=0&mode=data&openSections=dataElement,parameter,date,basin,options,elements,location,networks&controlsOpen=true&popup=&popupMulti=&popupBasin=&base=esriNgwm&displayType=basinstation&basinType=6&dataElement=WTEQ&depth=-8¶meter=PCTMED&frequency=DAILY&duration=I&customDuration=&dayPart=E&monthPart=E&forecastPubDay=1&forecastExceedance=50&useMixedPast=true&seqColor=1&divColor=7&scaleType=D&scaleMin=&scaleMax=&referencePeriodType=POR&referenceBegin=1991&referenceEnd=2020&minimumYears=20&hucAssociations=true&relativeDate=-1&lat=43.728&lon=-104.797&zoom=5.0
Atmospheric River forecast by Marty Ralph’s team:
https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/iwv-and-ivt-forecasts/
An important component of the Grand Solar Minimum is an increase in clouds due to its impact on our solar system’s magnetosphere and increased numbers of deep space cosmic rays penetrating our upper atmosphere and generating cloud condensation nuclei. Clouds produce many complex phenomena ranging from cooling as solar radiation is reflected back to space, to surface warming as heat is retained at night and radiational cooling is reduced under stratus and in fog. On a large scale temperature gradients control the winds and jet stream dynamics. Clouds also impact the sea surface temperature SST which can have profound impacts on the Earth’s energy budget from the El Niño and La Niña to Jet stream intensity and location. NASA is now predicting a solar maximum of cycle 25 by January 2024 with some CMEs. Like the one that gave us the beautiful Auroras last week. Note: current climate models fail to adequately simulate clouds; hence, a serious limit to their long term predictions. The primary critical impact of the GSM is late spring frosts and early fall frosts that limit the growing season. it is difficult for long term models to predict these critical events accurately.
Volcanic activity has increased dramatically in November 2023 with two stratovolcanoes pumping huge amounts of volcanic ash into the stratosphere in the northern Hemisphere from Kamchatka, and the tropics from New Guinea. Iceland’s seismic activity also increased significantly and resulted in a small volcanic eruption. Stratospheric volcanic dust from volcanoes cause significant atmospheric cooling. During the Little Ice Age there were many volcanoes associated with the Milankovitch Cycle that also contributed to the cooling. Japan had a devastating earthquake in the last weeks.
During the winter, low clouds can keep the polar regions warmer, thus reducing the N-S temperature gradient that may lead to a weaker jet stream and a meridional flow. This wavy N-S flow enhances the warm and cold sectors of storms and hence, extreme temperature swings. Thus far this winter we have a very wavy jet steam. Have a look at my album’s examples.
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT. The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now below normal. see:
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
and
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg
The northern jet stream is weakening with many short meridional - wavy N-S flows. Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful. Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall. Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement around the hemisphere.
See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea are warming into summer heat after a record cold and snowy winter.
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m throughout the winter. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns. Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact. The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this winter. Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows in April and a deadly storm in early May.
Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic. It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer. On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok… Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 100% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively. SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly. McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September. Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC. December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively. The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under. South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-137 cm this week. May is setting fall records.
Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward. Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather and now is turning cold as Antarctic highs set new cold records in April and May and are continuing to set cold records. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms. Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
South America was warm, but cold fronts are predicted to take temperatures 5-10ºC below normal next week. The Andes continued to build their glaciers (1-2 m). South American snow was at record levels. Patagonia had significant snows and skiing in the Andes continued in November 2023. Surface temperatures reached -10ºC this week in Patagonia with 8 feet of snow. Argentina and Brazil continued to cool in the south with the floods and antarctic air. Antarctic cold fronts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains (100-300 mm) in the South of Brazil by Iguazu Falls in April. The Iguazu region had heavy rains and floods in contrast to a record drought in the Amazon Basin. However, the past month had heavy rain in the upper headwaters of the Rio Negro and Amazon Rivers. Deep thunderstorms with top temperatures of -70 to -80ºC are helping mitigate the drought. These mesoscale convective complexes can dump 100-200+ mm. Rio and Sao Paulo had flash floods and have remained wet. The Porto Alegro lost over 126 people as extreme flash floods hit the region in May.
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
New 2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
UK energy policy:
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00367-6 .
Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
Global temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
Allan T. Emrén
Published Online:June 30, 2023pp 401-412https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
Abstract
During the past 170 years, temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased. Published data on global temperature, CO2 data, and data on sea ice in the Arctic have been investigated. It is seen that support for human activities causing the observed increases is weak. It is found that the rate of change in CO2 concentration is controlled by global temperature rather than vice versa. To stop the growing concentration, the temperature has first to be decreased by about 1.4 K. This makes it questionable if attempts by humans to modify the global temperature, or the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere will give any noticeable result. A correlation is found between seasonal variations in CO2 concentrations and Arctic sea ice quantities. The present increase in CO2 concentration and temperature is similar to one 55 million years ago, indicating that the Earth passed a 'tipping point' around 1750.
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
…….
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
A new documentary on climate: Well worth viewing —
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 1 JULY 2024
Avalanches Strand Dozens In Chile; Utah’s Snowiest Two-Year Period On Record; + The AMO Is Turning Cold With Global Implications
June 25, 2024 Cap Allon
Avalanches Strand Dozens in Chile
The recent record-breaking snowfall has stranded dozens of people in mountain towns east of Santiago, Chile following a number of avalanches. The snow combined with extreme cold has caused significant disruptions, blocking roads, knocking out the power, and isolating communities.
In the Chilean province of Maipo, for example, heavy snowstorms have led to towering accumulations. Two towns in the Cajon del Maipo mountain range, along with a ski center, have been cut off, with authorities working to reach and evacuate those stranded.
At Lagunillas Ski Center, some 33 people, including 8 children, remain trapped, but food supplies have been successfully delivered. While in Lo Barnechea, Carabineros an avalanche buried Route G-251 in Valle Nevado, burying at least one vehicle:
Another avalanche blocked a nearby mountain pass, trapping nine people in the town of Banos Morales and 20 in Lo Valdes. Authorities are awaiting snow plows to clear the roads, which are reported to be under some 33 feet (10 meters) of snow.
The June extremes in South America have resulted in one of the deepest snowpacks on record so early into a season. In Chile, Ski Portillo is topping 15 feet, with Las Leñas in Argentina already exceeding 20 feet — with much more to come.
Utah’s Snowiest Two-Year Period On Record
Utah has set a remarkable record for the snowiest two-year period in its history, receiving 131% of its average snowfall — data courtesy of the Utah Avalanche Center’s recently released annual report.
“Utah experienced another exceptional snowpack this winter. Following the historic snowfall of the 2022-2023 season, we saw 131% of the average snowfall this winter across the State, setting a record for the snowiest two-year period in Utah’s history,” reads the opening lines of the report.
“From October 2022 to May 2024, Alta Ski Area reported an astonishing 1,531 inches of snow—over 127 feet!”
The 2022-23 season alone saw Alta Ski Area accumulating 903 inches, the highest seasonal snowfall ever recorded there. The following season, 2023-24, also experienced exceptional snowfall. By the end of March 2024, Alta had received 580 inches of snow, making for the snowiest start to a year since records began.
“As has become typical, the year began with early-season snow followed by long periods of cold, dry weather, resulting in weak, faceted snow on shaded aspects. The snow guns eventually activated, providing a winter filled with powder riding,” continues the report.
“Unfortunately, following an unprecedented May storm that delivered over 39 inches of snow in the Central Wasatch Mountains, our season ended tragically with the May 9th fatalities of two backcountry riders.”
Despite absurd mainstream warm-mongering over localized (and brief) summer heatwaves, the likes of the Rockies and parts of the Northwest have experienced late-season snows, with vast portions of the U.S. enduring anomalous lows.
Research meteorologist Ryan Maue is another to have had enough of establishment gaming — his tongue firmly in his cheek here:
Exclusive heat map 6/18/24. NWS NDFD
Analysis of the historic & brutal heat wave caused by a climate-fueled "heat dome" Temperatures across Great Lakes + Northeast will up to 17°F above normal for mid-June. Atlanta will be an incredible 3°F above normal. Also, Montana will be 24°F below… Show more
SEE SUMMER 2024 ALBUM
Maue’s ridicule is more than warranted.
The MSNBC report (below) isn’t balanced news, it is propaganda supporting a tired narrative that the majority of people are no longer buying. The terms used: “extreme heat,” “baking,” “absolutely scorching,” “extreme,” “ferocious,” “relentless heat wave smashing records,” “intense,” “scorching hot,” “scientists say there is a clear link between intense heat and human-caused climate change, meaning this extreme weather is unlikely to go anywhere anytime soon”.
Last Monday (June 17), some one million residents across the Northwest were under a winter weather advisory and/or frost advisory — this goes unreported.
Moderate to heavy snowfalls were observed in the mountains of western Montana and Idaho, with more than a foot falling at Clover Meadows in Montana. This unusual weather event marked only the fifth time that a Winter Storm Warning has been issued in Montana during the month June — this goes unreported.
Speaking again to MSM deceptions, even according to NOAA’s own phantom, UHI-skewed and poorly-cited temperature readings nothing untoward is occurring. So far this year, 1,484 monthly heat records have fallen vs 948 monthly cold records. And when it comes to all-time records, 31 have fallen for heat with a narrative-crushing 199 toppling for all-time cold.
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records
“U.S. temperature trends reported by NOAA bear no resemblance to the thermometer data they are derived from,” writes climate researcher Tony Heller.
For more on this tampering, click below:
The AMO Is Turning Cold With Global Implications
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is a climate cycle that affects North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, alternating between warm and cool phases over several decades. The oscillation has significant climatic implications.
The AMO shifts between warm phases and cool phases, with the combined cycles (the two that we have data for) spanning 58 and 67 years.
As shown above, we are currently in a warm phase that commenced in 1995, which is projected to end between 2027 and 2032.
The subsequent cool phase of the AMO is expected to be are characterized by below-average sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, leading to broader climate impacts.
Cooler sea surface temperatures can reduce the intensity and frequency of hurricanes and alter rainfall patterns, leading to changes in regional climates such as droughts in the Sahel and increased precipitation in the southwestern United States.
Research suggests that the AMO influences not just regional but also global climate systems. Studies indicate that the AMO’s cool phases can lower global temperature averages due to the significant heat exchange between the ocean and the atmosphere.
For instance, Knight et al. (2005) demonstrated that the AMO plays a critical role in modulating Northern Hemisphere temperatures, with cool phases corresponding to cooler periods on a global scale. Similarly, Zhang et al. (2007) noted that the AMO’s influence extends beyond the Atlantic, affecting climate variability in the Pacific and also global atmospheric circulation patterns.
The AMO’s upcoming cool phase is expected align with other global cooling ‘forcings’ — its commencement dates (2027 to 2032) fit very well with the forecast onset of the Grand Solar Minimum, with the Suess de Vries Cycle, also with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and perhaps even lunar cycles. Also, any lingering water vapor following Hunga-Tonga’s historic eruption should be gone by then, with a recent paper noting its stratospheric impacts peaking 3 – 7 years post eruption (so 2025 – 2029).
To wrap things up, as the AMO transitions into a cool phase we should expect a significant hit to global temperatures. The historical pattern of the AMO suggests that cooler sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic will contribute to a period of global cooling, exposing today’s crippling Net Zero policies anti-human and “crazy”.
Percentage of U.S. To Reach 90F by June 23 Among Lowest On Record; Discovery of Steve’s Twin; + Historical Storm Data Exposes NYT Billion-Dollar Deception
June 26, 2024 Cap Allon
Percentage of U.S. To Reach 90F by June 23 Among Lowest On Record
Despite the copy-&-paste hysteria from mainstream media outlets about an “unprecedented heatwave” and “record-breaking temperatures,” the data is telling an entirely different story.
The below chart shows the percentage of U.S. weather stations reaching 90F from January 1 to June 23 each year, from 1895 to 2024. The blue line represents annual data, while the red line indicates the 10-year moving average.
This year, the percentage is shown to notably low, ranking as the 19th lowest since records began 129 years ago, at ≈55%. This contradicts media claims of “deadly, unprecedented heat,” highlighting a palpable disconnect between the truth and the story.
For reference, the highest recorded percentage was in 1933 (89.8%), and the lowest in 1982 (42.4%).
Despite the unarguable facts, sensational quotes continue to flood Western propaganda outlets: “Unprecedented heatwaves are sweeping across the nation.” “Record-breaking temperatures highlight the urgent need for climate action.”
These exaggerated claims aim to mislead the public by distorting reality, so as to povertize and to privatize. Alarmists keenly accept ANYTHING that supports their dogma, they are propagandized sheep in sheep’s clothing. “Humans’ fossil fuel burning has cooled the planet while warming it,” is one of their latest nonsensicals:
Discovery of Steve’s Twin
Ever since aurora chasers identified Steve, a mysterious purple ribbon in the dusk sky, scientists speculated about a possible dawn twin. Recently, a photographer’s sharp eye and data from ESA’s Swarm satellites confirmed this suspicion.
Steve, initially documented by the Alberta Aurora Chasers, is not an aurora borealis, but a sub-auroral ion drift—a fast-moving stream of extremely hot gas moving westward.
At first, its unusual characteristics puzzled scientists. Unlike the aurora borealis, which displays green, blue, and red hues and lasts for hours, Steve is a fleeting mauve-colored phenomenon.
ESA’s Swarm satellites helped identify Steve as a sub-auroral ion drift, technically termed a Strong Thermal Emission Velocity Enhancement (STEVE).
Historical Storm Data Exposes NYT Billion-Dollar Deception
Is climate change driving massive increases in severe thunderstorm costs and causing “The Possible Collapse of the U.S. Home Insurance System”? According to the NYT, this alarming trend is evident, one requiring drastic, energy-restricting action.
While it is a fact that billion-dollar disasters and global insured disaster losses are increasing, with thunderstorms the key contributor (green in the below chart), it is crucial to separate scientific evidence from media exaggeration.
See Album for charts
When analyzing historical trends, it becomes apparent that US tornadoes have not shown any long-term increase, with the strongest tornadoes actually shown to decrease (see below graphic). While for hail, data since at least 2004 reveals “no clear overarching national climatological hail trend has been found for the USA,” according to a 2021 study published in Nature.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-020-00133-9
As explained by Patrick Brown, a PhD climate scientist infamous for his withholding of the full truth in order to get his climate paper published, “fundamental theory tells us that severe thunderstorms require many ingredients, but two are particularly important: Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and wind shear.”
Historical data show no real change in these ingredients. Tornado and hail reports from 1990 are largely stable (see below). However, climate models consistently predict increased CAPE with warming (they are more uncertain re. wind shear).
https://electroverse.info/climate-scientist-withholds-full-truth/
While legacy media outlets keenly attribute increased economic losses to cLiMaTe ChAnGe, losses are instead primarily driven by increased exposure and construction costs — a truth that the insurance industry itself even acknowledges.
Therefore, reducing economic losses is achieved by managing exposure and costs, not by absurd and expensive plots to control the weather. The media’s bent to overplay the role of climate change is, once again, obscuring the real issue from public eyes.
See album for total emissions 1959-2020 by country
South America’s Snowiest Start To A Season In 30-Years; Record Cold Freezes The Sea In Tierra del Fuego; Help For BC Wineries Following Devastating Winter; Denmark’s Absurd ‘Flatulence Tax’; + US Heatwave Failed To Deliver
June 27, 2024 Cap Allon
South America’s Snowiest Start To A Season In 30-Years
The ski season in South America is shaping up to be one of the most remarkable in decades. Early-season snowfall has been abundant, with multiple storms blanketing resorts across Chile and Argentina.
Conditions have allowed many resorts to open weeks earlier than usual, with the season expected to extend to late-October.
In Chile, locals are calling it to the best start to a season in 30 years.
The Chilean Resort of Valle Nevado, for instance, has already received 87% of its average winter snowfall, accumulating more than 209 inches. The resort opened three weeks early on May 31, benefiting from a massive storm that dumped six feet, chased by another that dropped two more.
The scenes are even more impressive at Ski Portillo, another Chilean report, where more than 20 feet have already accumulated, surpassing the seasonal average before the resort even had chance to open, which is scheduled for June 29.
July and August are expected to bring exceptional skiing conditions if current trends continue. However, it isn’t all plain sailing, the historic snow has led to some resorts temporarily closing due to avalanche concerns and blocked access roads.
Record Cold Freezes The Sea In Tierra del Fuego
The remarkable snows in Chile and Argentina are coinciding with persistent and record-breaking cold. This May was Chile’s coldest since 1950, according to the country’s meteorological agency, and the chill is now intensifying through June.
In Tierra del Fuego, Argentina this week, unusually low temperatures have frozen the sea near San Sebastián, north of Río Grande:
Ocean waves have frozen solid amid a persistent cold wave affecting Patagonia, where temperatures have routinely plummet to -15C (5F) and beyond. For instance, Balmaceda, Chile, posted a frigid -21.9C (-7.4F) this week — a new record.
Owing to the big freeze, the Argentine National Weather Service has issued red alerts across multiple regions, citing health risks and infrastructure issues–such as the freezing of pipes in Río Grande.
Cindy Fernández, a service spokesperson, attributed the sea freezing to a combination of polar air and weak winds.
Exceptionally cold Antarctic air has been blowing hard into South America of late. Temps across the bottom of the world have been holding below-average for months and months, with this week delivering sub -70Cs to the likes Concordia and Vostok.
Help For BC Wineries Following Devastating Winter
Wineries in British Columbia faced unprecedented challenges this year as a severe winter cold blast decimated crops. The January cold event caused a catastrophic 97-99% reduction in grape and wine production across a wide area.
To help, the provincial government has exempted affected wineries from the 4,500 liters minimum production requirements, allowing them to maintain licenses and continue selling past vintages.
Additionally, the government recently pledged an extra $70 million for vineyard recovery, on top pf the $15 million already issued, with the federal government suspending the annual excise tax increase.
“This means B.C.’s 295 land-based wineries, many in the South Okanagan, can keep their tasting rooms open and continue selling inventory from prior years’ harvests,” said Jordan Knox, president of the chamber, speaking to the exemptions.
The province is also exploring additional support re. the grape shortage, including reviewing winery sales agreements.
Executive director Michael Magnusson emphasized the need for stopgap measures, such as sourcing grapes from outside the province, “to sustain wineries during this crisis” caused January’s devastating cold blast.
Denmark’s Absurd ‘Flatulence Tax’
Denmark’s proposal to impose a “flatulence tax” on livestock farmers is a clear example of how the myth of man-made climate change is being weaponized to control and impoverish the people.
This misguided plan, expected to pass in the national parliament, aims to tax farmers for the gases emitted by their cows, sheep, and pigs starting in 2030.
Taxation Minister Jeppe Bruus claims this tax will help slash Denmark’s greenhouse gas emissions by 70% by 2030 and achieve climate neutrality by 2045.
US Heatwave Failed To Deliver
Despite the AGW Party’s wall-to-wall propaganda campaign, not a single U.S. state set a new June high temperature record during the brief and pretty standard bout of summer heat.
Vermont might have tied its June record of 101F on the 21st at N. Springfield Lake, matching readings from 2003 and Saint Johnsbury from 1919, but the data is still preliminary, and either way, it wasn’t unprecedented.
As pointed out by meteorology major Chris Martz on X, 39 states recorded their all-time June high-temperature records thirty or more years ago. Of these, 31 were set prior to 1960, and 28 were set before 1950. Six states set their all-time June record highs in the years 1934, 1936, and 2012, while five states each set records in 1919, 1931, and 1994.
The Desert Southwest has yet to experience a heatwave as intense as that of late June 1994, which remains unmatched in the historical record. June 2012 rivaled the heatwaves of 1931, 1934, and 1936 across the Heartland and eastern U.S., while the year 1919 remains a benchmark in New England’s record books.
Moreover, barring isolated pockets of ‘red’, the story this week has been ever-expanding ‘blue’. This is a theme forecast to intensify into the weekend as anomalously low temperatures sweep the majority of the U.S., as per latest GFS runs:
The AGW Party let its mask slip this week, it overplayed the heat and exposed its true self in yet another failed bid to control the climate narrative. A sign of desperation.
Avalanche At Kedarnath Temple; Australia’s Bitter Cold And Low Wind Leads To Power Concerns; Greenland’s Record Summer Gains; + Incoming CMEs And The Approaching Solar Max
July 1, 2024 Cap Allon
Avalanche At Kedarnath Temple
On Sunday morning, a large avalanche struck the snowy mountain behind Kedarnath Dham, Uttarakhand, India.
A video of the event went viral on social media.
Fortunately, no casualties or damage have been reported.
“There was no loss of life or property,” Dr. Vishakha Ashok Bhadane, the region’s senior superintendent of police.
Heavy snow has beset the region in recent weeks and months, notes disaster management officer Nandan Singh Rajwar.
The higher reaches Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Kashmir have all observed healthy snow volumes in June, with stark temperatures drop noted that are “giving Kashmir a February-like feel in June,” so said the meteorological department.
Australia’s Bitter Cold And Low Wind Leads To Power Concerns
Eastern Australia is enduring a brisk start to the season, felling record lows and defying the BoM’s winter forecast.
On one of the coldest mornings in recent years, thermometers dipped to 7.8C (46F) in Sydney. This chill is part of a broader pattern affecting much of the country, including New South Wales and Queensland, as a polar air mass and clear skies dominate.
https://electroverse.info/avalanche-at-kedarnath-temple-australias-bitter-cold-and-low-wind-leads-to-power-concerns-greenlands-record-summer-gains-incoming-cmes-and-the-approaching-solar-max/
In NWS, temperatures at Perisher Valley dropped to -4.7C (23.5F), while Sydney’s Observatory Hill posted an anomalous 8.1C (46.6F). Queensland shivered through similarly frigid conditions, with Stanthorpe hitting -2C (28.4F), the lowest reading in years.
Tasmania has also faced some of its coldest nights in years of late.
Liawanee, for example, on the Central Plateau recorded -12.1C (10.2F), just shy of breaking the state’s all-time record. Ross, with -6.5C (20.3F), experienced its coldest night in more than five years, and Launceston, with -3.1C (26.4F), had its coldest July night in 16 years.
The biting cold has also impacted Australia’s energy grid. A high demand for heating, coupled with low wind power generation, has put immense pressure on infrastructure.
A coal-rich nation relying heavily on unreliable renewables is the crux of the issue. You let a fanciful, anti-human narrative run unchecked and this is the result.
Looking ahead, the ‘blues’ and ‘purples’ are expected to persist, intensify even, into the new week, with a fresh front crossing southeastern Australia — one forecast to deliver additional anomalous lows and also substantial snows to the higher elevations.
Greenland’s Record Summer Gains
Recent data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) showcases record-breaking gains on Greenland. Contrary to mainstream foretellings, the ice sheet is posting substantial accumulations, continuing the run started in mid-May.
The latest SMB charts reveal multiple-gigaton gains on June 29 and 30, a stark contrast to the typical summer melt. These gains not only far-exceed the 1981-2010 average, they are also among the highest ever summer readings in 43-years of data.
Indeed, despite the ongoing ‘atmospheric CO2 apocalypse’, fierce chills and sizable snow dumps have worked to deliver the island its largest late-June gains in DMI books dating back to 1981. See Summer Album
The next chart illustrates the wider story.
It shows that Greenland has been failing to follow the prescribed melting trajectory for years now, since 2012:
According to alarmist climate models, Greenland should have experienced significant melting by now which, in turn, should have inundated coastal locales with rising seas.
But the data show nothing alarming continues to occur.
As highlighted, 2024 is resulting in additional headaches for the AGW Party. Instead of the anticipated summer melt, Greenland is seeing a late pickup, leading to above-average mass, reinforcing the inconsistency between climate reality and climate models.
The dire predictions of Greenland’s imminent melting are not materializing.
The same can be said for the Arctic. Recent data here indicates that the Arctic sea ice melt since the summer solstice has been the slowest in almost three decades.
The below chart, which comes courtesy of Tony Heller, shows summer sea ice melt from June 21 to June 29 for each year dating back to 1997. Clearly visible, 2024’s melt rate is exceptionally slow; extent is significantly higher than in the past 27 years.
Cooler atmospheric conditions, the jet stream, variations in ocean currents, and healthy Hemisphere-wide snow cover are likely contributing to these anomalies. The same can also be said for the record cold experienced the past few years on Antarctica.
Incoming CMEs And The Approaching Solar Max
Three Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) that left the Sun over the past few days are expected to graze Earth’s magnetic field July 1 through 3, as the Solar Maximum of Cycle 25 continues.
The most significant impact is likely on July 3, stemming from a CME hurled into space by a magnetic filament eruption in the Sun’s southern hemisphere. Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible leading up to the Fourth of July.
As of mid-2024, solar activity has notably increased, suggesting we are approaching the peak of Solar Cycle 25.
As reported by spaceweather.com, amateur astronomer Eduardo Schaberger Poupeau has compiled daily images of the Sun for the first six months of the year, creating a composite image that vividly illustrates the heightened activity:
Poupeau comments, “Since the beginning of 2024, the Sun has increased its activity. The presence of so many sunspots is a clear indication that we are close to the maximum activity of Solar Cycle 25.”
The composite image reveals two significant patterns.
First, sunspots are concentrated in two distinct bands, one north and one south of the Sun’s equator. As the solar cycle progresses, these bands will converge at the equator, ultimately neutralizing each other in a collision of opposite-polarity magnetic fields. This convergence will mark the transition from Solar Maximum to Solar Minimum.
Second, the southern hemisphere is exhibiting more sunspots than the northern hemisphere. This imbalance is not unusual, as one hemisphere can dominate sunspot activity for extended periods. In this instance, the disparity is largely due to a massive southern sunspot (AR3664) that circled the Sun three times, significantly boosting the southern sunspot count.
Solar Maximum is still unfolding, with some models predicting it could persist for another 2 years. It is possible we have peaked in terms of strength, but a period of relatively high activity is set to persist until ≈2026, meaning continued flare danger.
24 JUNE 2024
Summer Solstice arrived on 21 June bringing summer weather in its fullest strength to the N Hemisphere. Our first named TS Alberto moved off Honduras and Yucatan briefly into the Gulf and then back into Mexico. South Texas had another shot of flooding rains and storm tides. Montana also had heavy snow in the Rockies. The Central and Eastern US was hot as the offshore Canadian High’s return flow pulled warm moist air from the Gulf setting hot records. Iowa was on the frontal boundary of the warm air that triggered severe thunderstorms and record flooding after 10-17 inches of rain. The June chill hit the West setting cold records in Alberta and Montana. While weak, the northern jet persists with short waves triggering cold fronts, severe weather, forecasts of tornadoes in NE…
We live in a fluid atmosphere where hydrodynamics and thermodynamics must create a net balance. As you know the density of the atmosphere varies with temperature, thus hot areas must be compensated by cold areas to create an equilibrium. Our extreme heat in the East was balanced by a cool west and cool areas over the oceans. While the Northern Hemisphere heats in summer, the lack of sunshine cools the Southern Hemisphere, where cold records have been set this season. The sun and the oceans are our primary controls of the earth’s temperature, not fossil fuel emissions. Watch TropicalTidbits.com ’s temperature anomalies: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=global&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024062400&fh=6
Europe had mixed conditions from a rare Cool Spain to Hot Central Europe under a SW flow bringing dust from Algeria. Mediterranean lows brought some rain and relief to southern Europe. Greece suffered in record heat. The Alps have several glacier areas open and Les 2 Alpes in France will open for summer skiing with one of the deepest snowpacks ever reported there, in contrast, Slovenia’s Kredarica observatory is down to 10 cm. It’s glacier is gone - only snow fields/couloirs left. In Mecca over 1300 people died in 120ºF (49ºC) heat.
Deadly floods hit China as the monsoon moved north. Thunderstorm cloud tops hit -71ºC - deep storms. The Tibetan Plateau continued to get snow while south of the Himalayas India cooled in the monsoon.
The Southern Hemisphere moved toward winter with very cold days in the high latitudes. Australia, Chile and Argentina turned cold with heavy snow in the Andes and Patagonia (10-30 cm, 2-5 m, and 50-80 cm) respectively. Afriski in Lesoto opened the only open ski area in the African Continent.
Electroverse: “Moreover, looking ahead, the Northeast is due to swing back to ‘blues’ next week.
I look forward to the climate cabal picking a different cherry as sweaters are redonned across the West:”
NEW: Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS:
See: https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9.
You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Temperature anomalies are tracked on:
tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6
The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:
see: https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure
Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:
Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
Summer 2024 album: https://photos.app.goo.gl/egYrzbhS53gNoa5JA
Review of past logs:
Atmospheric Rivers dominate precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere from Alaska to Greenland and Europe. These ARs are associated with intense cyclonic storms on the jet stream that dominate the weather. Recall tropical cyclones (hurricanes) and extratropical cyclones (Lows) and anticyclones (Highs) control our weather. Atmospheric River forecasts quantify the model computations of moisture flux from surface to 700 mb. This flux controls the duration and intensity of precipitation. Remember last winter when California had a record number of intense ARs that filled the “1000 yr“ drought’s reservoirs and extended Mammoth Mountain’s ski season into August 2023. Mammoth mountain is again accumulating heavy snows with a foot a day for 7 days in the last storm. California is drought free today as new ARs are pounding the coast again this winter triggering flash floods and debris flows in this saturated ground. The Colorado River Basin continues to benefit from these snowstorms from Colorado to Wyoming and Utah. Early season NRCS snow water equivalent SWE is running from 100 to 120% of normal. The May 19, 2024 had from 98 to 250%.
NRCS Basin Data: https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/imap/#version=169&elements=&networks=!&states=!&basins=!&hucs=&minElevation=&maxElevation=&elementSelectType=any&activeOnly=true&activeForecastPointsOnly=false&hucLabels=false&hucIdLabels=false&hucParameterLabels=true&stationLabels=&overlays=&hucOverlays=2&basinOpacity=75&basinNoDataOpacity=25&basemapOpacity=100&maskOpacity=0&mode=data&openSections=dataElement,parameter,date,basin,options,elements,location,networks&controlsOpen=true&popup=&popupMulti=&popupBasin=&base=esriNgwm&displayType=basinstation&basinType=6&dataElement=WTEQ&depth=-8¶meter=PCTMED&frequency=DAILY&duration=I&customDuration=&dayPart=E&monthPart=E&forecastPubDay=1&forecastExceedance=50&useMixedPast=true&seqColor=1&divColor=7&scaleType=D&scaleMin=&scaleMax=&referencePeriodType=POR&referenceBegin=1991&referenceEnd=2020&minimumYears=20&hucAssociations=true&relativeDate=-1&lat=43.728&lon=-104.797&zoom=5.0
Atmospheric River forecast by Marty Ralph’s team:
https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/iwv-and-ivt-forecasts/
An important component of the Grand Solar Minimum is an increase in clouds due to its impact on our solar system’s magnetosphere and increased numbers of deep space cosmic rays penetrating our upper atmosphere and generating cloud condensation nuclei. Clouds produce many complex phenomena ranging from cooling as solar radiation is reflected back to space, to surface warming as heat is retained at night and radiational cooling is reduced under stratus and in fog. On a large scale temperature gradients control the winds and jet stream dynamics. Clouds also impact the sea surface temperature SST which can have profound impacts on the Earth’s energy budget from the El Niño and La Niña to Jet stream intensity and location. NASA is now predicting a solar maximum of cycle 25 by January 2024 with some CMEs. Like the one that gave us the beautiful Auroras last week. Note: current climate models fail to adequately simulate clouds; hence, a serious limit to their long term predictions. The primary critical impact of the GSM is late spring frosts and early fall frosts that limit the growing season. it is difficult for long term models to predict these critical events accurately.
Volcanic activity has increased dramatically in November 2023 with two stratovolcanoes pumping huge amounts of volcanic ash into the stratosphere in the northern Hemisphere from Kamchatka, and the tropics from New Guinea. Iceland’s seismic activity also increased significantly and resulted in a small volcanic eruption. Stratospheric volcanic dust from volcanoes cause significant atmospheric cooling. During the Little Ice Age there were many volcanoes associated with the Milankovitch Cycle that also contributed to the cooling. Japan had a devastating earthquake in the last weeks.
During the winter, low clouds can keep the polar regions warmer, thus reducing the N-S temperature gradient that may lead to a weaker jet stream and a meridional flow. This wavy N-S flow enhances the warm and cold sectors of storms and hence, extreme temperature swings. Thus far this winter we have a very wavy jet steam. Have a look at my album’s examples.
The La Niña has formed as of 6/19/24. NCAR scientists called for a severe winter. Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter. Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE. The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March. This verified quite nicely in January - burr ! We’ll see how March goes. It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.
Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below. She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.
Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field. Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…
https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/
Her primary web site: https://solargsm.com/
September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT. The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now below normal. see:
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
and
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg
The northern jet stream is weakening with many short meridional - wavy N-S flows. Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful. Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall. Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement around the hemisphere.
See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK
see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/
Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1
Rain:
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure
Japan and N Korea are hot.
TropicalTidbits.com (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms. You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.
The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m throughout the winter. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns. Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact. The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this winter. Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows in April and a deadly storm in early May.
Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic. It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -65º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer. On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok… Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF. Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms. The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 100% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively. SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly. McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September. Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC. December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively. The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under. South Georgia Island had snows reaching 72-137 cm this week. May is setting fall records.
Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward. Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather and now is turning cold as Antarctic highs set new cold records in April and May and are continuing to set cold records. Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC. Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia! This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms. Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs. Monthly cold records were set in March. Note: Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.
JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/
Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year. The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with 1-2 m and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 57-260 mm. Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs..
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA
For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.
New 2/26/24
Winter 2024: https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7
EPOCH TIMES 5/1/24:
JOURNALIST REPORTS WITH REFEREED PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS:
Link: Climate change article:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/ominous-rumblings-from-the-climate-change-cult-5553549
Earth’s Future -mass extinction history
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003336
UK energy policy:
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00367-6. .
Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
Global temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
Allan T. Emrén
Published Online:June 30, 2023pp 401-412 https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
Abstract
During the past 170 years, temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased. Published data on global temperature, CO2 data, and data on sea ice in the Arctic have been investigated. It is seen that support for human activities causing the observed increases is weak. It is found that the rate of change in CO2 concentration is controlled by global temperature rather than vice versa. To stop the growing concentration, the temperature has first to be decreased by about 1.4 K. This makes it questionable if attempts by humans to modify the global temperature, or the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere will give any noticeable result. A correlation is found between seasonal variations in CO2 concentrations and Arctic sea ice quantities. The present increase in CO2 concentration and temperature is similar to one 55 million years ago, indicating that the Earth passed a 'tipping point' around 1750.
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276
…….
WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:
Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 24 JUNE 2024
Queensland Freeze Breaks 32-Year Record; Record Cold British Columbia; Heat Index Obfuscations; + New Study Identifies Antarctica’s Record Winter Cold
June 18, 2024 Cap Allon
Queensland Freeze Breaks 32-Year Record
Eastern Australia’s unusual chill has busted a 32-year record in Queensland and also blanketed a 640 km (400 mile) stretch of the state in frost, so reports couriermail.com.au.
On Sunday, Brisbane Airport recorded 2.6C (36.7F), the coldest June temperature since 1992. The Scenic Rim and Darling Downs regions saw temperatures plunge to -5C (23F) and beyond, setting new monthly record lows for June.
The frost extended over 640km, reaching as far north as Mackay and covering the Darling Downs, Burnett, and Wide Bay regions. Such extensive frost coverage is highly unusual for Queensland, with its northern reaches enjoying a tropical climate.
Meteorologists are attributing this ongoing ‘cold snap’ to clear skies, dry air, and light winds, which allowed temperatures to drop significantly overnight. The cold air mass settled over the region, creating ideal conditions for frost formation.
Queensland residents have donned winter clothing typically reserved for southern parts of the country, continues the Courier Mail article, while farmers are working hard to protect crops from frost damage.
Temperatures have also struggled across Victoria and South Australia, with locales experiencing their coldest June days in decades, according to Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) data.
BoM senior forecaster Angus Hines said the frigid temps were showing no signs of letting up, in what was proving to be an unusually persistent chill.
“It’s quite a long time, actually,” he said. “We’ve had a chilly weekend, but the weather pattern is going to keep feeding in those chilly conditions through most of the rest of this week.”
Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be the worst, according to Hines, with widespread areas of morning frost forecast for Tasmania, Victoria, New South Wales, and the ACT.
Record Cold British Columbia
Environment Canada reports an unseasonably cool air mass over British Columbia, breaking multiple temperature records, including some dating back about 70 years.
Temperatures in the Trail area fell to 4C (39.2F) on Sunday, breaking the previous record of 4.4C (39.9F) set back in 1954.
In Bella Bella, the minimum dropped to 3.9C (39F), pipping the old record of 4C (39.2F) set ten years ago.
While in Kelowna, a new low daily maximum of 13.3C (55.9F) was notched, besting the 15C (59F) from way back in 1906.
Additional records for low daily maximum temperatures were set across the likes of Penticton and Princeton, both of which reset records established in 1939. Other locations, including Summerland (1987), Sparwood, Nakusp, Merritt, and Kamloops (1991), also set new low daily maximum temperatures as descending Arctic air crashed the summer party.
Lytton, for example, reached a maximum of just 15.2C (59.4F), breaking its previous record of 15.4C (59.7F) set in 2014.
Tuesday will see the anomalous cold march eastward out of B.C. and into the neighboring provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan, no doubt breaking June-records there and all.
‘Blues’ and ‘purples’ will also sink well-south of the border, challenging records from Montana and Washington, all the way down through Nevada and Utah, and also Arizona…
Heat Index Obfuscations
America’s cold outbreak hasn’t made it to our favorite mainstream news outlet, they’re busy exaggerating localized heat and standard summer warmth:
When ordinary temperatures aren’t quite doing it, the “heat index” is used to ramp-up the climate anxiety.
Attempting to define how hot it feels when both temperature and humidity are considered, the heat index has notable inaccuracies. It often overestimates the perceived temperature, especially outside typical ranges or in varying conditions like wind and sunlight.
Climate alarmists routinely use the heat index to exaggerate global warming. By emphasizing higher perceived temperatures rather than actual ones, they can make the current conditions appear more extreme — as the New York Times has done above.
This tactic stirs up undue fear and urgency among the gullible, skewing public perception of the climate data.
The lead weather story in America this week in’t heat, it’s anomalous summer chills.
New Study Identifies Antarctica’s Record Winter Cold
Despite 2023 being the “hottest year ever!”, Antarctica experienced extreme cold in late winter (July and August), as detailed in a new study published in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences on June 13.
In late winter 2023, Antarctica saw unprecedented cold temperatures across various regions.
The Antarctic Meteorological Research and Data Center noted record lows at both staffed and automatic weather stations, including those in East Antarctica, the Ross Ice Shelf, and the Antarctic Peninsula.
Kunlun Station, for example, logged its lowest-ever temperature at -79.4C (-110.9F).
Taking August 2023, numerous locations across the continent experienced extreme lows. Margaret AWS endured -66.4C (-87.5F), the second-coldest minimum ever recorded in its region. Other notable records include Vito AWS on the Ross Ice Shelf with -61.1C (-78.0F), Willie Field on Ross Island with -59.9C (-75.8F), and Erin in West Antarctica with -53.2C (-63.8F).
The study identified four distinct cold phases from mid-July to late August 2023, phases characterized by strong negative anomalies in the mid-tropospheric atmosphere. Negative 500-hPa geopotential height anomalies were prominent over regions that experienced extreme cold, such as East Antarctica and the Ross Ice Shelf. The atmospheric conditions during these phases included southerly flows and calm weather patterns, contributing to the freezes severity.
Temperatures below -50C (-58F) severely disrupted essential flight operations to key research stations, risking hydraulic failure and fuel gelling in aircraft. The WINFLY (winter fly-in) period was particularly affected, delaying the arrival of cargo, supplies, and personnel to McMurdo Station.
Antarctica has shown cooling since 1979, with the South Pole experiencing its coldest-ever winter (April-Sept) in 2021.
The South Pole’s cold persisted through 2022. November of that year averaged -40.4C (-40.7F), making for the the coldest Nov since 1987, while December 2022 averaged -29.1C (-20.4F), the coldest Dec since 2006.
In January 2023, Vostok saw -48.7C (-55.7F), its lowest Jan reading since records began in 1957. Concordia tied its lowest January temperature that month, of -48.5C (-55.3F).
Antarctica’s cold trend continued through March, with the continent logging its coldest early-year reading ever.
July 2023 saw Earth’s lowest temperature since 2017, and August 2023 at Vostok averaged -71.2C (-96.2F), the coldest since 2002. Several sites set new all-time records last August, as mentioned, including Vito AWS, Willie Field, and Erin.
In September, Vostok recorded a low of -80.6C (-113.1F), the lowest Sept reading since 2012.
October saw the South Pole average an anomalous -52.8C (-63.0F).
And then November 2023 brought Vostok’s coldest November in 40 years.
The freeze has persisted into 2024.
Vostok and the South Pole reported significant deviations below normal for the months of January, February, and March. Their averages for January, for example, came in at -2.4C (-27.7F) and -3.2C (-26.2F) below normal, respectively.
And as recently as April 2024, a new low of -77C (-106.6F) was set at Concordia, while Vostok saw -75.5C (-103.9F). While the month over all was another colder-than-average one for both Vostok and the South Pole, the seventh in a row, with 3.1C and -2.2C below the norm, respectively.
Antarctica’s persistent and extreme cold points to the complexity of Earth’s climate system, emphasizing that can’t be “CO2 what did it”. The continent’s extensive ice cover, coupled with the consistently low temperatures, suggests that Antarctic ice isn’t in any danger of ‘melting away’ as the mainstream scientific community might have us believe. Recent measurements indicate a recovery in Antarctic sea ice extent, aligning with levels from the 1980s.
For more on Antarctica, click the articles below:
Fresh Snowfall Hits Northwestern Peaks; Cold Records Fall In Montana And Alberta; Frosts Hit The Aussie Tropics; Michael Mann: Tool of the Establishment; + Three Big Sunspots
June 19, 2024 Cap Allon
Fresh Snowfall Hits Northwestern Peaks
As many Americans plan for the Fourth of July, mountain peaks in the northwest are experiencing unseasonable snowfall.
Timberline Lodge on Mt. Hood, Oregon, reported 7 inches of fresh snow on Sunday.
The storm also hit Silver Mountain in Kellogg, Idaho, blanketing Kellogg Peak under an unseasonal layer.
The snow disrupted the North American Enduro Cup (NAEC) races, forcing the cancellation or alteration of multiple stages.
As the storm moves east, peaks in Montana, Wyoming, and parts of Colorado are expected to see up to a foot by Thursday.
Cold Records Fall In Montana And Alberta
Western North America has held cold this week.
Billings, Montana posted its lowest-ever temperature for the date on Tuesday, while north of the border, in southern Alberta, at least seven communities set new cold records for June there with some breaking benchmarks that had stood for over a century.
Despite the chilly start to the week, summer-like warmth should return by Saturday. Increasingly, wild fluctuations are proving the theme, swings between extremes. Alberta saw 30cm of snow on Tuesday, just days out from the 30C forecast on the summer solstice.
Frosts Hit The Aussie Tropics
Chasing the cold records set earlier in the week, Australia’s southeast has continued to shiver through Wednesday, with numerous locales experiencing their coldest June morning in at least 20 years.
A Tasman Low is shipping icy southerly winds over eastern Australia this week, and a high-pressure system is causing temperatures to plummet under clear skies.
Listed below a few of the latest benchmarks to fall…
Tasmania
Smithton recorded -4.5C (23.9F), the lowest temperature there since records began in 1962.
King Island saw -0.1C (31.8F), the coldest since July 2020.
Victoria
Westmere dropped to -5.7C (21.7F), a record since 2006.
Sheoaks recorded -2C (28.4F), the coldest June temp in 29 years.
Omeo hit -6.4C (20.5F), the coldest since 1995.
Melbourne recorded 1.4C (34.5F), the coldest in nearly two years, with Melbourne Airport matching its coldest June morning since 1996 at 0.2C (32.4F).
Mortlake Racecourse fell to -3.5C (25.7F), the coldest June morning in 28 years.
Bendigo saw -3.9C (25F), its coldest reading since August 2013.
New South Wales
Griffith Airport hit -4C (24.8F), the coldest temp since August 2018.
Queensland
And as the headline of this section suggest, frosts were noted in the tropics.
The town of Tambo, QLD dropped to -5.6C (21.9F), smashing a 42-year record there.
For all concerned, the wind chill made it feel some 4C to 6C colder, with Sydney feeling like 1C (33.8F) and Melbourne feeling like -2.3C (27.9F). Daytime highs struggled to reach 16C (60.8F) in Sydney, Hobart, and Melbourne.
Historical Context of the Heatwave
(Data compiled by Chris Martz)
Atlanta, Georgia:
Tue 6/18: 89°F / record: 101°F (1944)
Wed 6/19: 89°F / record: 99°F (1933)
Thu 6/20: 90°F / record: 98°F (1933)
Fri 6/21: 93°F / record: 98°F (1933)
Sat 6/22: 97°F / record: 98°F (1964, 2022)
Sun 6/23: 97°F / record: 99°F (1930, 1944)
Mon 6/25: 95°F / record: 99°F (1930, 1988)
Chicago, Illinois:
Tue 6/18: 93°F / record: 98°F (1954)
Wed 6/19: 95°F / record: 102°F (1953)
Thu 6/20: 89°F / record: 104°F (1988)
Fri 6/21: 92°F / record: 101°F (1988)
Sat 6/22: 96°F / record: 97°F (1988)
Sun 6/23: 86°F / record: 97°F (1930)
Mon 6/24: 85°F / record: 97°F (1937, 1953)
New York City, NY:
Tue 6/18: 89°F / record: 95°F (1929)
Wed 6/19: 91°F / record: 98°F (1994)
Thu 6/20: 94°F / record: 98°F (1923)
Fri 6/21: 94°F / record: 97°F (1953, 1988)
Sat 6/22: 88°F / record: 98°F (1988)
Sun 6/23: 89°F / record: 96°F (1888)
Mon 6/24: 87°F / record: 96°F (1888)
Oklahoma City, OK:
Tue 6/18: 87°F / record: 104°F (2011)
Wed 6/19: 89°F / record: 101°F (1918, 1953, 2011)
Thu 6/20: 86°F / record: 104°F (1918, 1953)
Fri 6/21: 91°F / record: 104°F (1936, 1988)
Sat 6/22: 95°F / record: 107°F (1936)
Sun 6/23: 97°F / record: 101°F (1925, 1933, 1934)
Mon 6/24: 98°F / record: 104°F (1911)
St. Louis, MO:
Tue 6/18: 91°F / record: 101°F (2021)
Wed 6/19: 95°F / record: 105°F (1936)
Thu 6/20: 96°F / record: 103°F (1953)
Fri 6/21: 98°F / record: 99°F (1988)
Sat 6/22: 99°F / record: 102°F (1930)
Sun 6/23: 94°F / record: 101°F (1930)
Mon 6/24: 95°F / record: 102°F (1988)
Washington, D.C.:
Tue 6/18: 92°F / record: 97°F (1944)
Wed 6/19: 89°F / record: 99°F (1994)
Thu 6/20: 92°F / record: 99°F (1931)
Fri 6/21: 96°F / record: 99°F (2012)
Sat 6/22: 97°F / record: 101°F (1988)
Sun 6/23: 97°F / record: 98°F (1988)
Mon 6/24: 93°F / record: 100°F (2010)
Montana’s Record Lows and Snows; Global Snow Roundup; + Surprise Noctilucent Clouds Persist
June 20, 2024 Cap Allon
Montana’s Record Lows and Snows
An invasion of Arctic air has led to record low temperatures and rare snows in Montana this week.
On Tuesday, Billings registered 38F (3.3C), breaking the old 1939 record. Then on Wednesday, the city logged 39F (3.9C), besting the previous 1946 benchmark of 42F (5.6C).
Additional records fell across the state on June 19:
Jackson: thermometers read 24F (-4.4C) Wednesday morning, felling a daily record.
Driggs: 25F (-3.9C) set a new benchmark here.
Cut Bank: 33F (0.6C) beat the previous record of 34F (1.1C) from 1972
Great Falls: 34F (1.1C) broke the old record of 38F (3.3C) set in 1902 and 2001
Missoula: 35F (1.7C) tied the 1996 record
Lewistown: 34F (1.1C) tied the old record from 1978
Miles City: 37F (2.8C) easily bested the 41F (5C) set in 2020
A few higher elevation spots, such as Showdown Montana ski area near Neihart, received several inches of mid-June snow.
Looking ahead, something of a warm-up is expected this weekend, before temperatures risk crashing back below average during the second half of next:
The story this week is ‘anomalous June chill’, and it looks set to be story next week and all.
Despite this, AGW Party lackeys are ramping up the fear over a few pockets of pretty standard summer heat.
New York Governor Kathy Hochul has said that these are “temperatures we have not seen in our lifetime,” and CNN fave, Dr. Michael Mann has stated that this “heat dome” is part of an increasing trend in “unprecedented extreme weather events.”
The forecast temperature anomalies for mid-week, when Hochul and Mann made there claims, are shown below:
Global Snow Roundup
Impressive snow totals have been posted across numerous global destinations.
This roundup aims to provide a comprehensive review of conditions and updates from key winter sports locations worldwide.
Record Snowfall in South America
Portillo in Chile reported 113 cm snow in 24 hours this week, with totals at 325 cm (10.7 ft) before the season’s official start.
Exceptional June falls have been the theme across many South American resorts, making for a historically early start.
Valle Nevado and La Parva, for example, saw 1.5m (5 ft) in 48 hours, enabling these resorts to open far earlier than planned.
New Zealand Ski Season
Three centers —Cardrona, Mt Hutt, and The Remarkables— have opened despite initial rain delays.
Cold temperatures and fresh snowfall have improved conditions greatly across New Zealand’s South Island, with Cardrona receiving an additional dumping since opening.
These centers have seen a promising start, providing solid early-season conditions.
Improved Conditions in Australia
Owing to the recent spate of record low temperatures, recent snowfalls have also enhanced terrain at Aussie ski resorts.
Falls Creek opened Wombat’s Ramble, while Perisher, with 26 cm (10.2 inches) of fresh snow, has the most terrain open.
The cold weather has also facilitated extensive snowmaking efforts, ensuring good coverage.
Afriski in Lesotho
The only outdoor ski center open in African continent, Afriski, has its main run and a terrain park operational.
Timberline, Oregon
Timberline remains the last open ski resort in North America, offering a few miles of slopes.
Despite being midsummer, the resort continues to provide skiing opportunities, with fresh snowfall reported on high peaks in the Rockies and Pacific Northwest.
Europe
Several glacier ski areas, including Hintertux in Austria and Zermatt in Switzerland, remain open thanks to a hisfresh June snowfall.
Les 2 Alpes in France is set to open for summer skiing with one of the deepest snowpacks ever recorded there.
Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent, as per ECCC, is currently well-above 1998-2011 norms, and on the increase:
Polar Blast Hits Australian Alps; They Said… + Prepare For Less
June 21, 2024 Cap Allon
Polar Blast Hits Australian Alps
Thermometers in Eastern Australia took a further step down Thursday, with the Aussie Alps posting freezing lows.
The combination of extremely dry and cold air, clear skies, and light winds overnight caused temperatures to plummet across the Australian Alps and surrounding areas.
Temperatures in the highland areas of both Victoria and New South Wales sank below -8C (17.6F), marking some of the lowest readings in years.
Mount Hotham hit a frigid -8.3C (17.1F), the lowest temperature recorded in the state of Victoria for six years. While in New South Wales, Khancoban equaled its lowest temperature in six years with a nippy -3.8C (25.2F).
https://electroverse.info/polar-blast-hits-australian-alps-they-said-prepare-for-less/
Other notable minimum temperatures on Thursday included the -9C (15.8F) at Thredbo Village, the -8.9C (16F) at Cooma Airport, the -8.1C (17.4F) at Perisher Valley, the -4.5C (23.9F) at Falls Creek, and the -4.4C (24.1F) at Omeo
Despite it being too dry for natural snow, the frigid conditions created the perfect setup for snowmaking.
“With the Winter Solstice almost upon us, we’re feeling the full brunt of winter’s cold, enabling our snowmaking crews to excel in their operations,” said John Palmer, Falls Creek Ski Lift Company Mountain Operations Manager.
The Australian Alps are forecast natural snow now through Saturday as lingering polar air combines with incoming moisture.
The benchmarks continued to fall at lower elevations and all Thursday, both monthly and even all-time records. I’ve listed a handful below.
Smithton, Tasmania
Temperature: -4.5C (-40.1F)
Viewbank, Victoria
Temperature: -1.9C (28.58F)
Record: 0.6C below 2013 June record
POR: Since 2013
Omeo
Temperature: -6.4C (20.48F)
Record: 0.1C below 2016 record
Strahan, Tasmania
Temperature: -2.9C (26.78F)
Record: Just 0.1C above all-time record
POR: 52 years
Record: 0.3C below 1982 all-time record / 0.6C below 2015 June record
Period of Record (POR): 61 years
Griffith
Temperature: -4C (24.8F)
Record: Ties 2007 June record
POR: 49 years
They Said…
They said European glaciers would vanish.
Below is comparison of France’s Mont Buet (June 14, 2009 vs June 16, 2024):
Six years ago this week, they said we only have five years left to save the planet.
Needless to say, Earth is coping just fine.
They said the polar bears would die, they’ve thriving. They said the Arctic would melt away, it’s expanding. They said the Great Barrier Reef would bleach into nothingness, it is breaking records. All of it, either exaggerations, obfuscations or outright lies.
Yet there are grown adults who still believe warmth = bad:
Prepare For Less
The AGW Party is an arm of the wider globalist movement, where money and power are removed from public hands and funneled up to a select, self-anointed few.
The propaganda is everywhere you turn, conditioning us for a future of less.
From Dutch news this week, “The Netherlands will have to get rid of the idea that electricity is available to everyone at all times”:
Canada Hit With Extremes; Swiss Glacier Recovery; Ski Season Delays In S. America After Record Snow; Coldest Start To Winter In Decades For Parts Of Australia; + “Net Zero Averted Temperature Increase”
June 24, 2024 Cap Allon
Canada Hit With Extremes
Weather patterns in Canada have brought both record-breaking heat and cold.
Recently, Western Canada has experienced significant June snowfall and record cold while Eastern Canada has faced an early taste of summer. Last Wednesday alone, Alberta set 13 new record low temperatures, with Hendrickson Creek dropping to -2.7C (27.1F). Simultaneously, heat records were slain in Ontario, Quebec, and the Atlantic provinces.
Ken Dosanjh, a meteorologist at Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), noted that while fluctuations in atmospheric circulation are normal, the recent extremes are unusual. Kerri Lang, a warning preparedness meteorologist for ECCC, echoed Dosanjh, saying the current situation is distinguished by the intensity of these extremes, which are breaking all-time records.
A key factor in these weather patterns is the jet stream, which separates colder air to the north from warmer air to the south.
Typically, it flows west to east in a relatively straight line. However, scientists, as reported by mainstream outlets such as cbc.ca even, say the jet stream has become less stable and more wavy, contributing to the recent weather extremes.
As the jet stream dips across Canada, it is causing heat in the east (below the jet stream) and cold in the west (above it).
Some researchers suggest that prolonged periods of low solar activity could be responsible for weakening the jet stream.
During the Maunder Minimum, a notable period of diminished solar activity, Europe and North America experienced some of the coldest winters in documented history.
A weakened jet stream played a huge part in this, as it shifted from its typical zonal flow (west-east) to a more meridional flow (north-south). This change allowed Arctic air masses to penetrate much further south than usual, causing extended cold spells and significant cooling across the affected regions. Conversely, on the flip side, extreme heat was also a theme, such as in Siberia.
There are many studies underscoring the influence of solar activity on the jet stream.
Click below for a deeper dive:
Swiss Glacier Recovery
Swiss glaciers have been enjoyed a season of heavy snowfall, drastically improving their condition, so says Matthias Huss, head of the Swiss Glaciological Survey Network (GLAMOS).
In a recent post on X, Huss noted that at the summer solstice, the state of Swiss glaciers is better than it has been in many years. Earlier in June, Huss described the weather this year as a “blessing” for Swiss glaciers.
A report by GLAMOS at the end of May indicated that glaciers across Switzerland had snow cover well above the average, with depths ranging from 3 to 6 meters (10 to 2- feet).
Surveys of 14 Swiss glaciers, extrapolated to all 1,400 glaciers in the country, showed about 31% more snow at the end of April compared to the average from 2010 to 2020.
This story is one shared across the European Alps this winter: heavy and persistent snow, even into summer.
Even in July, Europe’s anomalous cold and high-elevation snow looks set to continue. Following a brief burst of warmth come the final days of June, summer’s chill (and mountain snow) is forecast to return the following week, by July 4:
Ski Season Delays In S. America After Record Snow
Comparable to North America’s record-smashing snow season of 2022-23, South America is experiencing its own potentially legendary ski year with unprecedented snowfall burying the slopes of Chile and Argentina.
Skiers at Ski Portillo, Chile, have been greeted by remarkable early powder, notching 13 feet (as of late last week). Similarly, Las Leñas, Argentina, has been inundated with snow, receiving 19 feet so far. Due to the excessive dumpings, road closures, and high avalanche danger, both resorts have had to delay their official openings.
Portillo did manage a weekends-only on the 1st and 2nd of June, but heavy storms have put pay to all further pre-season dates. Las Leñas likewise had plans to open for a pre-season launch but had to delay due to extreme avalanche risk.
Even more snow is expected in the coming days, with forecasts predicting an additional 2-5 feet across South America.
David Owen, founder of PowderQuest, noted, “It’s close to the best start we have ever seen in our 25 years guiding here.” With more snow on the way, records for June snowfall at many ski areas in Chile and Argentina seem likely to be broken.
South America’s ski season began robustly in May when Patagonia posted historic snowfall. Catedral Alta Patagonia in Argentina seized the opportunity for an early pre-season opening from May 9th to 11th. “Locals were calling it ‘Magic May,'” Owen said, and June has continued the trend with non-stop snow across most ski areas.
Despite the delays at Las Leñas and Portillo, spirits remain high. Owen shared, “Everyone is so pumped to have such an early start. Huge bases and deep powder are a dream for all of us. Hopefully, it continues!”
Coldest Start To Winter In Decades For Parts Of Australia
Parts of Queensland, New South Wales, and Victoria are experiencing their coldest start to winter in decades with temperatures expected to stay low for the foreseeable as another polar air mass traverses across the country this week.
Dean Narramore, a senior meteorologist at the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), reported that great swathes of southeastern Australia held some 5C below the winter average last week.
Numerous locations logged their lowest June temperatures on record.
To name just a handful, Thangool and Tambo in Queensland, as well as Omeo, Viewbank, and Echuca in Victoria, all experienced unprecedented June cold. The peaks also shivered with Mount Hotham seeing -8.3C (17.1F), Victoria’s coldest temp since 2018.
Narramore noted that SE Australia is experiencing its coldest start to winter in a decade, likely since the mid-2010s, but perhaps even earlier.
Frost as far north as Mackay and inland parts of Townsville have been noted, historic events that the BoM say was the result of a low-pressure system in the Tasman Sea combined with a high-pressure system in the Great Australian Bight, which created prolonged southerly winds across southern and eastern Australia.
Looking to this week, a similar polar outbreak is predicted to blow in Tuesday through Thursday, one forecast to deliver some 20 cm (8 inches) of snow to the peaks of Victoria and NWS.
Eyeing further ahead, latest GFS runs see a more robust system moving through Western Australia later next week, spreading to the majority of the country by the end of the week and into the weekend, as July commences, turning the Alpine snow heavier.
RICHARD LINDZEN + WILLIAM HAPPER:
“Net Zero Averted Temperature Increase”
Dr. Richard Lindzen is an atmospheric physicist and professor emeritus at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), noted for his contributions to climate dynamics. Dr. William Happer, a physicist and professor emeritus at Princeton University, has an extensive background in atomic physics and has served as the Director of Energy Research at the U.S. Department of Energy. Dr. William A. van Wijngaarden, a physicist at York University in Canada, specializes in radiation and its interaction with atmospheric particles and gases.
Their recent paper, published June, 2024, argues that achieving net zero CO2 emissions by 2050 would have an insignificant effect on global temperatures.
Specifically, it estimates that eliminating U.S. CO2 emissions would only avert a 0.0084°C temperature increase, while global net-zero emissions would avert just 0.070°C. Even considering the IPCC’s higher climate sensitivity estimates, the reductions remain minimal, so small that they fall below current measurement capabilities.
The bombshell is based on a climate sensitivity (S) of 0.75°C, lower than the IPCC’s estimate of 3.0°C that includes positive feedbacks. But even when using the higher sensitivity, the averted warming is still minor: 0.034°C for the U.S. and 0.28°C globally.
The paper explains that the warming effect of CO2 is logarithmic, meaning each additional unit of CO2 has a progressively smaller impact. This principle suggests that the cost of reducing CO2 emissions increases disproportionately compared to the benefits. The paper highlights the significant economic and societal costs of achieving net zero, arguing that these costs are not justified by the minimal climate benefits — assuming you consider a slight reduction in warming beneficial in the first place.
The findings support the view that there is no climate crisis necessitating drastic foot-shooting policies. And increasingly, net zero looks to be a weapon of the haves wielded to control the economy and so society, enforcing austerity and privatization. Unquestionably, carbon reduction disproportionately impacts ordinary people while offering negligible environmental benefits, at best.
The paper suggests alternative environmental strategies that balance economic growth and environmental protection without extreme measures, focusing on technology and adaptation rather than an attack on human property via stringent CO2 reduction targets with high economic costs.
Dr. Lindzen, Dr. Happer, and Dr. van Wijngaarden: “There is no climate crisis”.
Full paper linked HERE.
https://co2coalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Net-Zero-Averted-Temperature-Increase-2024-06-11.pdf
