Climate Change and Natural Variability
- Details
- Category: Hydromet
- Created on 09 October 2018
- Published on 09 October 2018
see Content: Article Manager, title CC&NV
30 May 2023
Meet Dr Patrick Moore: Greenpeace co-founder who left the organisation
An excellent review of Greenpeace and Moore's views on climate controls:
“There’s no emergency” – dissident climatologist Dr Judith Curry on climate change...
Worth listening to for a review of important issues today…
https://youtu.be/YBdmppcfixM
Dr Richard Lindzen exposes climate change as a politicised power play mo...
A scientist's perspective
Bjorn Lomborg-- The Cost of Climate Alarmism
a Danish perspective
July 4, 2020
MIT climate scientist breaks ranks and declares IPCC models are uncertain. For more information on current climate in 2019-2020 see: https://photos.app.goo.gl/dbxzkqHee15DB6uK6
Man-Made Global Warming Destroyed in 500 Words, by Geologist Dr Roger Higgs
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE (IPCC) THREE PILLARS OF MAN-MADE GLOBAL WARMING: COLLAPSED — by Dr Roger Higgs (DPhil Oxford, geology, 1982-86), Geoclastica Ltd Technical Note 2020-7, 25th May 2020, amended 26-5-2020 on ResearchGate.
IPCC’s Three Pillars
(Pillar I)
“Earth’s average surface temperature and man’s CO2 emissions have both risen since 1850, so CO2 must have caused the warming”
Five disproofs:
- What else has risen? The Sun’s magnetic output, affecting cloudiness (Svensmark), more than doubled from 1901 to 1991 (Lockwood), to its highest peak in 10,000 years (Higgs 1).
- In those last 10,00 years, simple visual cross-correlation shows changes in temperature lagged 60-160 years behind solar-output changes, due to the ocean’s vast heat capacity and slow mixing (Higgs 1, 2) & …
- … temperature and CO2 were uncorrelated, until their joint rise from the late 1800s.
- CO2 is still rising (NOAA), but Earth has cooled since 2016 (Met. Office). Every passing day not ‘warmest ever’ for that date, at multiple sites worldwide, embarrasses the IPCC.
- Warming since 1910 paused 1945-75 (30 years) and 1998-2012 but CO2 kept rising.
(Pillar II)
“Global warming’s continuance despite the Sun’s weakening after 1991 absolves the Sun and incriminates CO2”
Disproof:
This mismatch is simply due to the oceanic time-lag, currently about 60 years. Thus global warming will continue (with ups and downs, mainly due to the Sun’s 11-year cycles) until around 2050, about 60 years after the Sun’s 1991 grand peak (Higgs 2).
Pillar II was asserted in IPCC’s 2013 ‘Fifth Assessment Report’, Chapter 10 (IPCC 1 p.887, co-author Lockwood [see (1) above], citing 4 of his own papers). But IPPC already knew about the lag, Chapter 3 having stated the “ocean’s huge heat capacity and slow circulation lend it significant thermal inertia” (IPCC 2 p.266).
(Pillar III)
“Sea level (SL) for the last few thousand years varied less than 25cm, so the 30cm SL rise since 1850 proves abnormal warming by CO2”
Disproof:
The 25 cm claim (only “medium confidence”; IPCC 3 p.385) is based on selected evidence (Higgs 3) and on dismissal of the famed 1961 SL curve (Fairbridge; Wiki) with SL oscillations of 2 to 5 metres in the last 6,000 years, confirmed by dozens of later geologists worldwide, and lately with very strong archaeological support (Higgs 4, 5, 6).
Conclusions
- That’s it. That’s all they have. Be surprised.
- The Sun was by far the main driver of global temperature for the last 10,000 years.
- CO2 is innocent; it has no climate effect; the simultaneous rise in temperature and CO2 is pure accident; CO2’s residual ‘greenhouse effect’ is effectively nil (Higgs 7, 8).
- The IPCC urgently needs to consult geologists (Higgs 9, 10).
- Another Sun-driven large sea-level rise is predictable (Higgs 11).
For all references please visit www.researchgate.net/publication/341622566.
Or email This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..">This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..
“Question everything,” writes Dr. Higgs.
Scientific Paper “Proves” Clouds Control the Climate, not Man
A June, 2019 research paper concludes that human activity can account for no more than a 0.01C rise in global temperatures, and goes so far as to “prove” low-level clouds “practically control the global temperature”.
The paper, entitled “No Experimental Evidence for the Significant Anthropogenic Climate Change“ and published in Nature, is the work of a group Finnish scientists. It explains how the IPCC’s analysis of global temperatures suffers from at least one glaring error — namely, the failure to account for “influences of low cloud cover” on global temperatures.
In this paper we will prove that GCM-models used in IPCC report AR5 fail to calculate the influences of the low cloud cover changes on the global temperature. That is why those models give a very small natural temperature change leaving a very large change for the contribution of the green house gases in the observed temperature. This is the reason why IPCC has to use a very large sensitivity to compensate a too small natural component. Further they have to leave out the strong negative feedback due to the clouds in order to magnify the sensitivity. In addition, this paper proves that the changes in the low cloud cover fraction practically control the global temperature.
For the full paper, click here.Canada Day 2020 went down as one of the Coldest on Record across BC, AB, and SK
July 3, 2020 Cap Allon
This year’s Canada Day has gone down as one of the chilliest on record across parts of British Columbia, Alberta, and Saskatchewan.
The daily high of 14.8C (58.6F) at Vancouver International Airport was the lowest since 1960, reports globalnews.ca. According to Global BC meteorologist Mark Madryga, the average high for the day is 21C (69.8F).
Staying in BC, the theprogress.com reports that Chilliwack busted an even bigger record. This year’s July 1 was the coldest since record-keeping began back in 1881 — Wednesday’s 13.5C (56.3F) comfortably usurped the previous all-time record of 14.4C (57.9F) from 1966.
In Whistler, the daily high was an incredible 11C (51.8F) — the lowest since at least 1951 when the area’s record-keeping began. Note, the average high for July 1 day is 22 C, with many Canada Days in Whistler hitting the 30s!
It was also colder than usual in Kamloops, continues globalnews.ca, with thick clouds holding the mercury to a high of just 15.3C (59.4F) — Madryga said this is the lowest reading since 1979, with the area seeing an average high of 27 C.
Iceland is Rocking — 9,000 Earthquakes in 10 Days
July 1, 2020 Cap Allon
As predicted, the year 2020 is looking very much like the beginnings of the next Grand Solar Minimum cycle. Now, we have the news that Iceland –the likely home of the next climate-altering volcanic eruption– is a’rocking.
As reported by newsweek.com on Tuesday, Kristín Jónsdóttir, Earthquakes Hazards Officer for the Icelandic Meteorological Office (IMO), said a substantial earthquake swarm is happening in a known fault zone called the Tjörnes Fracture zone:
The IMO has said that some 9,000 earthquakes have been reported over the past 10 days alone, three of which have been above magnitude 5 and felt up and down the country.
“Stress builds up in the zone because of tectonic plates which move past each other in opposite directions,” said Jónsdóttir. “This is the largest earthquakes swarm in the Tjörnes Fracture Zone recorded in the past 40 years.”
The earthquake swarm coincides with signs a volcano to the south may be about to erupt. The IMO has said activity at Katla volcano appears to be characteristic of an impending eruption.
Since January this year, researchers have recorded an uplift in and around Katla, and in recent weeks have recorded an increase in sulfur dioxide close to where two previous eruptions have taken place.
Katla’s previous sizable eruption was the VEI 4 back in 1918 (volcano.si.edu). That year falls within the Centennial Minimum–the previous multidecadal spell of low solar activity.
ALL of the powerful, climate-altering volcanic eruptions of the past have been linked to low solar activity. Worringly, the Sun is currently going through its deepest solar minimum of the past 100+ years, and looking forward, NASA has revealed the next cycle (25) will likely be “the weakest of the past 200 years” — a return to Dalton Minimum conditions.
The Dalton Minimum (1790-1830) was a solar-driven period of global cooling that included the famine-inducing eruption of Mt. Tambora in 1815. The eruption was the one of the most powerful of the past 2,000 years, and resulted in some of the harshest climatic conditions of the modern era: 1816’s “the year without a summer” — click below for more:
April 22, 2020
Dr. Jay Lehr presents a refreshing look at the true controls of Climate Variability on the CFACT.org web site. A very concise and interesting look: "
Climate science cannot attribute today's incredibly complex climate "100 percent" to CO2, methane, solar radiation, cloud formations, planetary oscillations, or other factors. Claiming 100 percent influence is foolish. The UN IPCC doesn't even try to go there.
Updated 03 24 2020
Earthquake and Global Cooling Cycles, Whats Next to 2024
https://youtu.be/4g38-EJR0v4
Adapt 2030: Planets and Earthquakes- Food shortages beginning in 2021... by David Dubyne
2016 Annual GWPF Lecture - Matt Ridley - Global Warming Versus Global Grand Solar Minimum
https://youtu.be/j5M1qtN62yk
Honest science fair logic for climate change Sources...
Believing in Six Impossible Things Before Breakfast, and Climate Models
Canadian lecture at UK ROYAL ACADAMY GWPF
Climate Politics as Manichean Paranoia - Roger Pielke Jr @ The GWPF (Global Warming Policy Foundation, UK):
https://youtu.be/Iene_nipRXM
A nice view of open debate on Global Warming. Need for folks talking to each other vs at them. Listening is important.
Professor Ian Plimer book launch - Not For Greens
at the Institute of Public Affairs (IPA) - Australia
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lMfYjKauHbs
ECONOMICS OF RENEWABLE ENERGY GLOBALLY ANALYSED
DR JENNIFER MAROHSEY at the I P A in Sydney talks about climate change and sea levels.
Climate Change: The Facts 2017 - Full event in Sydney
THEY SHINED A LIGHT ON THE SCIENCE OF CLIMATE: Integrety in Science
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b3v5w6WXj4A
Updated 03 20 2020
An excellent honest scientific lecture that gives a UK perspective on climate change, concensus and both sides of the issue. A Global Warming Policy Foundation lecture by Matt Ridley at the Royal Society.
See: https://youtu.be/j5M1qtN62yk
Updated 03 06 2020
John Coleman's review of climate change and global warming sources - an
outstanding, simple explanation:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AA3OA_2S4QY
The Hartland Institute Climate Lecture by Lord Christopher Monckton - an excellent logical argument on climate sensitivities and feedback mechanisms:
Hartland Institute Climate isses: https://www.heartland.org/Center-Climate-Environment/
Lord Monckton: https://www.heartland.org/multimedia/videos/lord-christopher-monckton-iccc13-panel-5-advancing-from-theory-to-practice
Founder of the UK Hadley Center one of the world's best climate research centers.
Updated 02 27 2020
Canada's Climate Discussion Nexus
by John Robinson
The 97% fabrication: The In-depth Story Behind a Climate Fraud
see: https://youtu.be/ewJ6TI8ccAw
Facts behind the original study by Naomi Oreskes in 2004: 928 sample size with 75% scientists saying that Global Warming (GW) was probably human caused by 2006 Al Gore warped this to say that 100% of scientists said GW was human caused. Not True!!
Other studies by University of Illinois: 10,000 survey returned 3146 of which 90% said there was warming since the little Ice Age pre 1800s, and 82% said human activity was a significant contributing factor. They did not mention a significant danger... Among meteorologists only 64% said yes - human activity was a significant factor. The media looked at the 77 self proclaimed climate experts of which 75 said that human activity was a significant cause of GW: 75/77= 97% this is 2% of the survey respondents, thus the statement that 97% of the world's scientists is fake.
Australian Scienist John Cook studied 12,000 scientific papers: 97% said that greenhouse gases were at least partly responsible for GW. But 2/3 of the papers examined expressed no view at all of the consensus. Of the remaining papers 33 of 34% agreed with the consensus 33/34 = 97% again. This survey did not ask if human effects on the climate were significant or dangerous, hence the result was somewhat nebulous and certainly not 100% consensus. When checking the papers for the number that said humans contributed significant effects on GW only 64 of 12,000 papers agreeded: this is 0.53% of the sample.
The Nexus discussion goes on to a study of the world's scientific societies and academies concluding that the members were not surveyed, but the societies's climate activists wrote their statements saying 97% agreeded with significant GW anthropogenic causes.
A survey bythe American Meteorological Society of its 7000 members had 1800 responses with 52% saying that warming has happened since the 1800s and 48% saying they believed it happened but was likely natural variability ... Have a look at the facts by Nexus.
Canada's Tim Ball's Lecture on Climte Variability - a classic comprehensive argument discussing Natural Climate Change from an interesting conservative Canadian Scientist
see: https://youtu.be/M1VJtER2IUE
Hide The Decline: A Climategate Backgrounder
A comprehensive analysis of temperture data: truth vs modified records for the IPCC's reports - political data vs real science??
Patrick Moore - The Power of Truth
THIS IS A POWERFUL LECTURE ON OUR PLANET'S SURVIVAL from Polar bears to coral reefs and plants to sea life by one of the founders of Greenpeace, who left it to follow the TRUTH. Well worth listening to the full lecture - a Canadian's perspective
Greenpeace Truth
Patrick Moore – The Sensible Environmentalist
https://youtu.be/UFHX526NPbE
Patric Moore + other scientists
Updated 01/03/2020
Global warming: why you should not worry
https://youtu.be/pwvVephTIHU
Richard Lindzen’s refreshing ideas on reality of climate variability...
Professor Happer discusses the physics of CO2 emissions and raditive processes - a bit technical:
https://youtu.be/Oog7-KOtpEA
Freeman Dyson Harrison Schmitt CO2
Updated 12/31 2019
World In Midst of Carbon Drought (w/ Prof. William Happer, Princeton University...
A comprehensive look at CO2: https://youtu.be/U-9UlF8hkhs
Ancient History in Greenland Ice: DRI, Oxford, Excellent review of Ice core procedures looking at Pb and Au and inferring various levels of industrial progress over past 3000 years. Identifies Paleoclimate transports back to various periods of ancient history. Ice core Pb data are accurate to +- 2 years older data 30 year dating errors...
An Ice Core expert explains how his team makes ice cores and tracks ancient history back 3000 years...
Updated 21 Dec 2019
So far this year, 400 scientific papers debunk climate change alarm
400 Scientific Papers Published In 2017 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm
by Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone
During the first 10 months of 2017, 400 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media.
Updated 7 Nov 2019
NASA discusses Grand Solar Minimum and Maunder Minimum
Updated 24 October 2019
Talk to Rotary Clubs in Slovenia:
Global Climate Change: Media vs Physics
by
Dave Matthews, PhD
RC Summit County, Colorado
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Most of the world is concerned about climate change which appears to be leading to a much warmer climate with glaciers receding and sea level rising. Many extremes of temperatures, intense storms, and droughts have been observed and presented in the popular media.
The Media cites the UN’s IPCC reports that say the warming is human caused by CO2 emissions and the greenhouse effect on radiation balance.
This talk focuses on the physics of the atmosphere-sun system and uses expert lecturers from MIT, NCAR (US National Center for Atmospheric Research), and Nobel winner from the University of Stockholm. They present the scientific evidence that Global Climate Change is a natural phenomenon that has been occurring for millions of years. They present the physics of radiative transfer that is the basis of the greenhouse effect, analyze data used to show large temperature increases from 1980 to 2018, and look at the past 450,000 years of ice core data and the sun spot cycles that have created ice ages.
Dr. Fred Goldberg closes with a prediction for the future based on his expert analysis of the Arctic and the Grand Solar Minimum. It is not a warming scenario.
Links on YouTube
Radiative balance: MIT Professor Emeritus Richard Lindzen
A Classic Lecture on Climate Sensitivity by Atmospheric Scientist Professor Emeritus Richard Lindzen delivered in Europe in April, 2014. Prof Lindzen has been at the top of this field for decades, and was a lead author during the early years of the IPCC
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2czGg3fUUA
Stefan-Boltzmann radiative emittance law E=σ Τ4 σ=5.67 x10-8 W m-1 Tº-4
Stefan calculated sun temp of 5430ºC in 1879 vs 5504ºC observed today
Data CO2 Scam: Senator Malcom Roberts Nov 2016
On 6 November 2016 Roberts delivered his response to the briefing, presenting a 42-page report titled "On Climate, CSIRO Lacks Empirical Proof", co-authored by Timothy Ball and Tony Heller.[28]Historic temperature data was altered:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7cdgITRc-s
A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to Global Warming
Steven F. Hayward, Pepperdine University at Hillsdale College
Climate Lecture: •Nov 11, 2014
This lecture is part of Hillsdale College's 2014 CCA series.
97% of Scientists believe in Human caused global warming - actually 97% of 1/3= 32%
Physics Nobel Laureate; "Global Warming" is Pseudoscience
Dr Fred Goldberg Squashes Climate Alarmism: SWEDISH PERSPECTIVE
Fake Man-Made Climate Change Alarmism has been gripping the planet, and followers of this insidious cult of CO2 have been frightening millions of people for decades. Now Dr Fred Goldman exposes the so-called "Science" of Dangerous Man-Made Climate Change for the complete nonsense that it is.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEcnJFTxQcU
Updated 4 Nov 2019
Does Greta Thunberg know about The Milankovitch Cycles and their effect on Climate Change?
Excellent analysis of Earth - Sun orbital characteristics and impacts
Professor Ian Plimer book launch - Not For Greens
Updated 14 October 2019
Adapt 2030 shows extreme global weather causes this week.
North America sets records from Canada to Texas extreme cold and heavy early snowfall. The Grand Solar Minimum has impacted our weather throughout 2019. The Electrovers web site tracks the latest extreme weather events around the world. The map of today's record breaking cities is shown on this web page.
The Danish Polar Portal provides much information on the Arctic regions with daily updates on the status of Greenland's snow and ice, the polar ice thickness, and many other scientific analyses of tremendous value to understanding climate variability.
New Zealand experiences Fourth Coldest September this Century
This appears related to the Grand Solar Minimum's reduced magnetosphere.
New Zealand’s average temperature last month –for the country as a whole– was below the 1981-2010 September avg., Niwa has said in its Monthly Climate Summary.
An unusual warming of the atmosphere high above Antarctica –called a Sudden Stratospheric Warming event (SSW)– assisted in making last month the fourth coldest September in New Zealand this century.
There have only ever been two SSWs recorded in the Southern Hemisphere, previous to this years — one in September 2002 (major) and another in September 2010 (minor).
The 2002 SSW event resulted in New Zealand experiencing a significant cold outbreak in October while the 2010 event was associated with record rainfall during September.
Updated 23 Sept 2019
Scientists recognize that the sun is the primary source of energy in the Earth-atmosphere system. Solar cycles have been tracked directly and indirectly over the past millena - thousands and hundreds of thousands of years as noted in many lectures linked on this web site. Today, we are moving into a critical solar minimum with profound impacts on our society. This Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) is not a human controlled phenomenon, rather an astronomical cycle. The following GSM link provides updates to the world weather extremes caused by the GSM:
NASA Predicts 200 year Grand Solar Minimum coming soon
Canadian meteorologist challenges human caused global warming ideas: https://youtu.be/ksMYjzWSlI4
A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to Global Warming
A conservative energy expert's perspective: Professor Setven Hayward, CCA2 lecture in 2014:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZlICdawHRA&feature=youtu.be
Human Caused global Warming: The climate change hoax - Dr. Tim Ball, UK, Canada 2018
Updated 11 Sept 2019
Sea level is an interesting and complex variable that impacts millions of people around the world. Dr Jennifer Marohasy discussed this at the Climate Change Concern Forum in Maroochydore, Australia. She has been studying sea levels for over 30 years and has an interesting presentation that describes impacts on the Great Barrier Reef. see: https://youtu.be/dVlu-7_FxD8 You'll see there are many natural causes for sea level variations from lunar gravitational pull and 18-year orbital cycles to cyclones and extreme phase syncing of these phenomena that amplify tidal surges.
Updated: 28 June 2019
Our winter in Colorado was remarkably wet and cool with many strong Pacific storms dumping heavy wet snows.
We set many records in March and had over 1000 avalanches. Snow continued into late June with some storms dumping 3-4 inches at our home, all of which quickly melted. The Grand Solar Minimum led to a weakening of the sun's megnitosphere which permitted more cosmic rays to heat the stratosphere. This warming caused several strong tropospheric polar vortices to form and maintain a deep polar flow into the Eastern US setting many new cold records from Minnesota to Florida.
The jet stream remained very strong through the winter with a blocking flow over western North America, Western Europe and a strong summer jet in the southern hemisphere with deep snows predicted in the Andes (1-4 meters). The ECMWF model also predicted over 7 meters in parts of Alaska and British Columbia near Mount Logan in two 10-day forecasts.
Astronomers are warning about a little ice age coming within 10 years. We'll be watching this carefully.
Princeton's William Happer rebuts myth of carbon pollutionWorld in Midst of Carbon Drought: William Happer , Princeton UniversityClimate Change Narritive is driven by Agenda of Political Control, Myron Ebell: American Thought Leaders dialogue provides an interesting review of today's climate debate indicatig that human impacts are relatively mild. Myron provides a very intersting discussion of issues, economics, and science. see:
For a spectacular current view of our Earth from GOES Geosynchronous Satellites 16 and 17 you can see the latest images at:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
These satellites provide continuous coverage of storms and their tracks, snow and ice, hurricanes and droughts.
Yesterday, 8 October 2018, the IPCC provided an alarmist media proclamation that the world must act immediately to reduce CO2 emissions or we will have severe climatic consequences of warming and sea level rise. The IPCC again quoted that 97% of scientists confirmed this human caused climate change, and nearly all scientific publications confirm this critical situation due to anthropogenic causes. Unfortunately this is a biased one-sided unbalanced perspective of True science. In the links below I will provide a more rational, physically honest set of view points that the climate alarmists proclaim are heretics, untrue, unpublished works.
Updated: 7 Januarary 2019
The Solar Cycle has been studied for centuries and the following link provides a succinct summary of this critical source of, or lack of energy. The Sun is going to sleep - last Grand Solar Minimum 400 years ago according to astrophysicist Peter Temple:
See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=phaBUQ3NU1w
Ice Age comming? Glacialogists show, in a PBS program, some fascinating new evidence from ice core studies regarding a "cold climate in the very near future". Deep ocean evidence also shows that we are heading for another ice age according to Lamont Observatory's vast number of sea bottom cores. John Casey clarifies the current dogma of global warming vs climate change warming over the past 200 years. Now scientists are finding significant stable temperatures that are transitioning to cooling and glacier expansions. I watch the ECMWF global forecasts every day looking at 10-day snow forecasts, temperatures, and sea surface waves that mark the extent of polar ice. This past 2018 Antarctic winter had record breaking cold temperatures down to -98ºC shattering the previous Vostok -89º world record. NASA observed the -98º, I saw half a dozen reports below -92 to -97ºC. Is this an indicator of the new solar minimum's approach?
Real-time Polar weather sources of information:
Meteo France Arctic
https://fr.weather-forecast.com/maps/Arctic?symbols=none&type=lapse
Meteo France Antarctique:
https://fr.weather-forecast.com/maps/Antarctica?symbols=none&type=lapse
Space Science and Engineering Center, U Wisconsin, Madison
http://amrc.ssec.wisc.edu/data/view-data.php?action=view_image&product=surface/plot/TAC.GIF
Have a look at this comprehensive current solar analysis below:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fPLq_Dixs8A
NASA Solar Cycle: https://spaceplace.nasa.gov/solar-cycles/en/
NOAA-USAF Space Weather Center:
for the latest daily solar information:
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/report-and-forecast-solar-and-geophysical-activity
General Sunspot cycle information:
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/phenomena/sunspotssolar-cycle
Adapt 2030 Interesting current information and adaptation preparedness:
https://www.youtube.com/user/MyanmarLiving
Note: I have been watching heavy snows in the Middle East across Turkey and down to Lebanon and in the Hindu Kush in the ECMWF model runs this winter.
These ADAPT 2030 folks have an interesting discussion on how our planet is moving toward the Grand Solar Minimum with evidence from historic climate analyses, history of civilization and agriculture, and current observations of Arctic ice and Greenland ice mass increasing ... from 2017 to 2018... They have some critical crop forecasts based on astrophysics solar impacts on the Earth.
see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J2z5DVBqCYs
Paleo Climate review of ice age potential from glacier experts 100,000 yr ice cores from Baffin Island...Lamont Observatory: Sea Sediments 1-Million year records were related to Earth's Orbital Mechanics, quite interesting:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fPLq_Dixs8A
12 JANUARY 2019
Dr Arlin Super, world renound cloud physics expert, professor, and retired science program manager for US Bureau of Reclamation projects recommended the following web sites as scientifically based unbiased sources of reliable information. I have known and respected Arlin for over 50 years:
World's most looked at site on climate and global warming issues:
Judith Curry, Climate expert and professor, whose testimonies at Congressional Hearings on climate change provide insights regarding the physical controls of climate and weather:
Roy Spencer, PhD : Climatologist, author, former NASA scientist:
Anastasios Tsonis is emeritus distinguished professor at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee:
Not a lot of People know that:
Word Press: DW News world-wide:
No Tricks Zone:
"Not here to worship what is known, but to question it" - Jacob Bronowski. Climate and energy news from Germany in English - by Pierre L. Gosselin:
http://notrickszone.com/#sthash.SmQJohef.dpbs
8 October 2018
Climate change facts from the experts:
Professor Emeritus Richard Lindzen (MIT):
QUITE thorough analysis of radiative balance technical, classic lecture at PH D level but yet understandable. Professor Lindzen privides a clear review of the fundamental physical laws that debunk activist theories of human induced global warming:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2czGg3fUUA
Global Warming, Lysenkoism & Eugenics - Prof Richard Lindzen
Good intellectual discussion of science evolution and bias w/r climate science globally
These lectures will challenge your intellectual perspective on human impacts on climate variability. They confirm what I have said over the past 20 years. Please take some time to listen to these scientists. It will take time, and you can play the lectures when you want to get a new perspective.
Posted 10-5-2018 Dave
More realistic lectures on Climate Change from Europe:
Global Warming Policy Foundation: Panel of Experts Nigel Wilson
Professor Matt Ridley explains some basics about just why we should not be in fear of "man-made" climate change. Speech was at the Royal Society, UK on the 17th October, 2016. "Skeptics are winning the argument"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YCcLggcPcj0
Australian perspective:
The CO2 Scam - Australian Senator Malcolm Roberts Nov 8th 2016: "destroyed from within by activists"
NASA Scientist and Canadian Scientists present interesting analyses. NASA scientist shows altered data sets of surface temperature and sea level… Canadian scientist reviews the politics of government science and IPCC…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7cdgITRc-s
1000frolly 2 years ago
WELL DONE Ted Cruz for exposing this absolute scam of invented Global Warming. Thumbs DOWN to Obama and his crony's for their vile attacks on real scientists 2:11:00
Dr Fred Goldberg Squashes Climate Alarmism
1000frolly
Published on Mar 17, 2016
Fake Man-Made Climate Change Alarmism has been gripping the planet, and followers of this insidious cult of CO2 have been frightening millions of people for decades. Now Dr Fred Goldman exposes the so-called "Science" of Dangerous Man-Made Climate Change for the complete nonsense that it is:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEcnJFTxQcU
Curry Christy Mann & Pielke go at it
28,080 views
Published on Mar 30, 2017
https://rogerpielkejr.com/2017/04/03/house-science-committee-testimony/
Date: Wednesday, March 29, 2017 - 10:00am Climate Science: Assumptions, Policy Implications, and the Scientific Method.
Protaganists; Dr. Judith Curry President, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Professor Emeritus, Georgia Institute of Technology
Dr. John Christy Professor and Director, Earth System Science Center, NSSTC, University of Alabama at Huntsville;
State Climatologist, Alabama Michael Mann Self-appointed leader of the CO2-drives-the-climate group-think cabal, subject of the Wegman report into the Hockey Stick fake science, Climate-gate email scandal proponent, expert in pseudo-science, litigious fanatic who loses court cases one after another, thin-skinned verbiage abuse expert, hide-the-decline instigator, Geologist who continuously claims to be a 'climate scientist' when he has no such qualification, Ad-Hominem practitioner, untrustworthy man with VERY small hands; Trofim Lysenko reborn.
Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. Professor, Environmental Studies Department, University of Colorado
10 09 2018
Burt Rutan; the Real Climate Change Data
73,901 views
THIS IS A VERY NICE VIEW of CO2 and climate change. An honest engineer’s perspective of the fundamentals and clarification of the “alarmist” charts, data and rhetoric for scare tactics that the media has pushed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jPP7P43wulg
Published on Jul 12, 2015
Aviation pioneer Burt Rutan presents the real data on climate change and global warming. The effects of our CO2 on the planet are also investigated.
Climate Scientist Murry Salby Returns! - Presents NEW SCIENCE
28,959 views
Published on Jun 24, 2015
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rCya4LilBZ8
Author of the seminal book on climate; "Physics of the Atmosphere & Climate" Professor Murry Salby is without doubt one of the best Climate Scientists on the planet. In a lecture in London on the 17th March, 2015, he reveals new work which shows that; 1) The climate sensitivity is below 0.2c - confirmed by 3 independent methods. 2) Most of the observed increase in atmospheric CO2 is not anthropogenic. 3) CO2 movements and concentrations are largely determined by nature, not man; consequently, any cuts we make to our CO2 emissions will not have the desired effect, and are a costly waste of time. 4) CO2, whether man-made or not, does not 'drive' the climate system. Professor Murry Salby has been vilified by enviro-alarmists and the left for his scientific results. Salby was disenfranchised and exiled from academia in Australia for daring to speak such “sacrilege.” In a case similar to many others we have seen in Australia, and across the west, he was the subject of University hate and was finally sacked while he was on a lecture tour in Europe; his employer, Macquarie University of NSW, sacking him from his position as Professor of Climate Science. The University board cancelled his return ticket home, stranding him in Paris. All Salby's work was confiscated and has still not been returned to him. The pursuit of genuine Science in the field of climate - and free speech are Dead in most Western Universities: Other cases where top scientists were vilified and sacked or demoted by a University for the results of their science or for their views on the climate include; Bob Carter, Murry Salby Lennart Bengtsson, David Legates, George Taylor, Caleb Rossiter, Bjorn Lomborg, Henk Tennekes, Askel Winn-Nielsen, Alfonso Sutera, Anonio Speranza and scores of others.
Category
Science & Technology
Germany's Renewable's Disaster - Prof Fritz Vahrenholt
The Global Warming Policy Foundation: Restoring balance and trust to the climate debate
16,051 views
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JS5Bm44O_TQ
1000frolly
Published on Jan 27, 2018
Professor Fritz Vahrenholt of Hamburg University speaks about the 'clean' energy revolution going on in Germany. The average German family is paying US$400 per year more for their energy, and the cost of the move to 50% wind and solar power has cost the country over US$30 billion. Meanwhile, Germany's emissions are going up, and have been for several years, while the USA's emissions continue to fall. If the contained emissions in the wind farms and solar panels are included, no savings in CO2 emissions are made. The main effect of the move to renewable energy, appears to have been a large transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich in Germany.
Prof Vahrenholt wrote the excellent book "The Neglected Sun" along with co-author Prof Luning. Highly recommended read!
Physics Nobel Laureate; "Global Warming" is Pseudoscience
18,161 views
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LyztWNW2HsM
1000frolly
Published on Jan 21, 2018
Professor Ivar Giaever, Nobel Laureate in Physics destroys the pseudoscience of 'man-made global warming' through CO2. 1000Frolly channel relies on your generosity and support to keep up the fight against the forces of pseudo-science. Professor Ivar Giaever, the 1973 Nobel Prizewinner for Physics trashes the global warming/climate change/extreme weather pseudoscientific clap-trap and tells Obama he is "Dead Wrong". This was the 2012 meeting of Nobel Laureates. The 2015 speech by Prof Giaever is here; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TCy_U...
Climate Debate - Mann vs Curry & Moore June 2018
45,422 views
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pVXHaSqpsVg
A balanced debate on climate change….
Published on Jul 22, 2018
Charleston, West Virginia, June 12, 2018. Dr. Michael Mann, Dr. David Titley, Dr. Patrick Moore and Dr. Judith Curry met in to discuss climate change.
They were asked two questions: -
To what extent is the use of fossil fuels affecting climate change? -
What can and should be done to offset those effects?
This video is the copyright of ©️2018 Spilman Thomas & Battle, PLLC. No infringement of copyright is intended. Video is presented here in its entirety without comment or advertisements, and is shown purely for educational purposes. Category; Education
Michael Mann’s Activist perspective of IPCC support, we must double the rate of sea level rise by 2x… letter to the editor of Wall St Journal denial of “most basic facts”… unprecedented droughts lead to national security problems, wild fires…. perpetual fires… coastal damage inflicted by climate change, adapt? No further fossil fuel use…
Dr. Judith Curry substantial disagreement, no unified theory fo climate predictability… must look at the whole elephant, not just the tusk. IPCC consensus no longer supported due to manufactured political concensus.
Dr. Moore, IPCC does not say that hurricanes and tornadoes are increasing in Climate change, but the media does.."This has become some kind of religion, even the Pope is into it."
Admiral Titley believes national security is at risk for many factors from sea level rise to 500 million displaced people.
SEE: 1000Frolly for more youtube lectures and articles on climate change
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b3v5w6WXj4A
2013 Weather Networking
- Details
- Category: Hydromet
- Created on 12 November 2013
- Published on 12 November 2013
Networking with ARSO, Joseph Steffan Institute, and FGG continued this fall. ARSO added a 600 processor super computer for forecasting and numerical modeling research called BOBER. ARSO Director Josko Knez and Agriculture Minister Dejan Zidan unveiled the new super computer in August. It will be used to improve mesoscale and interactive dynamic ocean models of the Adriatic for severe weather predictions. It can perform 20 billion mathmatical operations per second and cost 640,000 EUR. The BOBER air-sea interaction research is designed to improve the understanding and simulation of mesoscale moisture and energy fluxes that control precipitation and extreme events.
ARSO provides much technical forecasting information on their public web page which is leading to better awareness of Slovenian weather conditions and preparedness for damaging extreme weather. The MeteoAlarm system provides real-time updates of hazardous weather.
Joseph Steffan Institute provides fundamental research in a wide variety of disciplines from medicine to nuclear physics. Dr. Roman Trobec introduced me to his research in computer science and communications. His web site provides detailed information about this powerful research.
In 2013, after a dry early season mid-February, March, April and May provided heavy snows that brought our Summit County weather station total accumulated WaterYear snow to 243 inches and 18.14 inches of water equivalent on May 31, 2013. This resulted in excellent late season ski conditions in the central Colorado Rockies.
Hurricanes 2017: All time Records
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 01 October 2017
- Published on 01 October 2017
Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria set all time historic records of intensity, duration and catastrophic damage. This is byfar the worst most destructive hurricane season the United States has ever had. We have suffered hundreds of deaths, massive destruction of property and land, and Billions in damage. These hurricanes were well predicted and emergency evacuations ordered days in advance of the landfall thanks to NOAA's forecast teams, emergency managers and local governments.
Current Hydrometeorological Events and News
- Details
- Category: Hydromet
- Created on 06 August 2012
- Published on 06 August 2012
NOTE: SITE IS UNDER DEVELOPMENT various links to Current events Pages to be added: MM cust html User 1 Article MGR
NEW GOES 16 and 17 Satellites become operational 2018 & 2019. Outstanding high resolution rapid scan hemispheric coverage from Africa & Europe to the Pacific.
See GOES Imagery Viewer: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
Grand Solar Minimum creates extreme weather in 2019 see below
NASA Predicts 200 year Grand Solar Minimum coming soon Sept 2019:
How Ice Ages Happen: The Milankovitch Cycles
more information: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eB3DJtQZVsw
GLOBE Global Learning and Observations to Benefit the Environment
Extreme Events occupied much of the news in 2015 2015 Year of Extremes
In 2016 extremes continued: 2016 Year of Extremes again
Record hurricane devistation in 2017 with Harvey, Irma and Maria
Slovenian EARS radar tour by Anton Zgonc 16 Okc 2017
NEW Powerful Weather Analysis and Forecast too; Windy TV World Wide weather: V, T, QPE, QPF... from ECMWF and GFS Models + local forecasts, web cams, METAR obs...
My new book on Amazon Kindle eBooks:
GLOBE
- Details
- Category: News and Events
- Created on 31 October 2016
- Published on 31 October 2016
GLOBE - Global Learning and Observations to Benefit the Environment GLOBE presents an opportunity for students, teachers, and scientists to learn and develop scientific thought processes and to understand our environment. In the early 1990’s Vice President Al Gore had an idea to help children around the world use the internet to communicate and learn about each other and their environment. His goal was to have at least one computer in every school around the world. He wanted students to improve their understanding of science and math thru making observations that they could share. I had an opportunity to meet Dr. Sandy McDonald, Director, Forecast Systems Laboratory, NOAA when he was helping Al Gore develop the early stages of GLOBE in 1993. At the time I worked with the US Bureau of Reclamation and was a visiting scientist at NCAR in Boulder, Colorado. NCAR and UCAR hosted many meetings on GLOBE and UCAR now hosts the GLOBE Implementation Office (GIO). One of my interests has been to promote GLOBE in various regions. After returning from Morocco in 1988, I maintained interests with the Direction de la Meteorologie National and with friends at the Casablanca American School. Morocco joined GLOBE after helping make the connections there.
Today, I am interested in helping Slovenia join GLOBE. This effort dovetails with US Ambassador, Brent Hartley’s interest in developing a partnership between the Slovenian Triglav National Park and Crater Lake National Park in Oregon. Environmental science and biodiversity are common interests of Triglav and Crater Lake park rangers and environmental scientists.
Lyn Wigbels, International Coordinator, GLOBE Implementation Office relayed this information about recent GLOBE Student Research Experience: "I was pleased to hear about the Ambassador’s project which sounds like a great venue for involving students in the GLOBE Program. Over the years, GLOBE activities have been organized in national parks. Most recently, during our 20th GLOBE Annual Meeting in Estes Park, Colorado, in July, GLOBE students visited Rocky Mountain National Park to take part in a Student Research Experience:
http://www.globe.gov/news-events/globe-news/newsdetail/globe/video-captures-the-essence-of-the-2016-globe-student-research-experience?
This video truly captures the essance of the GLOBE scientific discovery process and clearly demonstrates how it works to engage students from around the world in learning about nature and their environment. It shows how students apply the scientific procss and communicate their discoveries to others working with their mentors.
Joining GLOBE can be a life changing process that enables teachers, scientists, GLOBE partners, and alumni to improve their understanding of earth.
