Hydrometdss

Global Extreme Weather Log

WEEKLY GLOBAL EXTREMES

(Article Mnager-news and events)

This page provides a weekly log of unique weather events and information that summarizes some key events of note. Most of the extreme notes are from Electroverse Extreme Weather daily updates.

For clips of these events see my Global Weather Album: Global Weather 2020-2021.

Global Weather Album 2020-2021: https://photos.app.goo.gl/bLyGGEv6oK6f7q9N8 

Global Weather Album Spring 2021:  https://photos.app.goo.gl/AXJDAGeKLrkcvLvM8  

Global Weather Album Fall-Winter  2021-22:  https://photos.app.goo.gl/7Vha3C3tKzmdDNyp7

Global Weather Album Winter  2022-23: https://photos.app.goo.gl/yMZB2gDoTbqLZzdQA

Global Weather Album Summer 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/rBprNqGzNmHBodKy8

Global Weather Album Fall - Winter 2023: https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6

Global Weather Album Winter 2024:  https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7 

The purpose of these Global Extreme Weather Logs is to educate and inform you about Mother Nature’s way of keeping a balance in our planet’s weather.  I provide examples of events that may not be reported elsewhere and physical explanations of the causes of these extremes.

 ECMWF SH 10-DAY TSNOW

22 April 2024

Intense storms from California to Dubai punctuated our spring weather this week.  California continued to have very late rain and snow.  The April 15th California storm dumped snow in the Rockies and deepened into a 980 mb low stretching again from Baffin Island to the Gulf of Mexico.  Its cold front triggered severe weather and heavy rain. The Canadian Arctic air (1030 mb) is setting freeze warnings from Oregon to Tennessee.  The Grand Solar Minimum signature weather is here! CNN warned of freezing and hard freeze this morning from the Ohio Valley to NY.  More mountain snow is predicted of the next 10 daysfrom the Sierra to the Rockies.

Europe enjoyed spring-like warm weather; however a deep trough brought cool weather to Spain and Portugal and significant snow to the Pyrenees and Alps and Carpathians.
Rains and cool air return next week with temperatures dropping to freezing (from 30ºC in 24 hr) with snow in the Alps and mountains from San Marino to Bucharest and Skopje. Freeze warnings are in effect from France to the Balkans.  Farmers and vintners are worried about their crops at this delicate period.

Dubai and SE Iran had quite a rare flash flood event in the Desert.  This extreme storm creates an interesting question for the alarmists regarding thermodynamics and their lack of understanding.  Yes, warm air has more energy and moisture carrying capacity.  The dry deserts have plenty of hot air but no floods.  Many are located near oceans - plenty of moisture.  The global warming alarmists would have you believe the deserts will have severe storms given their simplistic view.  The Dubai storm was triggered by a larger scale disturbance that could tap the normally available energy and trigger a record storm.  It was very limited in area.  I posted the satellite images.  There is no relationship to CO2 alarmism, but they must claim every possible extreme event.  Mother Nature is doing as she always does - protect us naturally.  Even in Columbia where a severe drought dried reservoirs as seen on CNN, today the ECMWF model predicted 100 to 550 mm of rain this week.  That should help mitigate the drought.

The southern hemisphere continued to cool and set cold records in the Antarctic with locally heavy snows triggered by deep 950-940 mb storms.  The circumpolar jet is increasing in intensity with a wavy pattern that dumps heavy snow in the Andes and Coastal Antarctic mountains.  Sea Ice is increasing as interior temperatures fall into the -70s ºC.

THE FOLLOWING TABLES show the observed temperatures at key points from Greenland to Vostok and the ECMWF 10-day snowfall forecasts at key points around the world where glaciers may be receding or growing.

OBSERVED TEMPERATURES and ECMWF 10-DAY SNOWFALL FORECASTS

 https://photos.app.goo.gl/D4FSQPjmzrAwbS2q9

 You can see the magnitude of the storms on windy.com and in NOAA’s GOES satellite imagery: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/fulldisk_band.php?sat=G18&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Temperature anomalies are tucked on:

 tropicaltidbits.com
see: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2024021212&fh=6

See details below in CURRENT EXTREMES: 11 March 2024

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2023-11-13&id=0927f461-b5cc-4bbf-8f64-04383cf830f2

The windy.com wave map shows the deep storms:

see:  https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,67.842,-1.230,3,i:pressure

Check out the albums below for detailed charts, satellite images, and observations:

Fall - Winter 2023:
https://photos.app.goo.gl/ZtfEjJRJ14eKVKpw6

 Winter 2024:  https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7  

Review:

Atmospheric Rivers dominate precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere from Alaska to Greenland and Europe.  These ARs are associated with intense cyclonic storms on the jet stream that dominate the weather.  Recall tropical cyclones (hurricanes) and extratropical cyclones (Lows) and anticyclones (Highs) control our weather.  Atmospheric River forecasts quantify the model computations of moisture flux from surface to 700 mb.  This flux controls the duration and intensity of precipitation.  Remember last winter when California had a record number of intense ARs that filled the “1000 yr“  drought’s reservoirs and extended Mammoth Mountain’s ski season into August 2023. Mammoth mountain is again accumulating heavy snows with a foot a day for 7 days in the last storm.  California is drought free today as new ARs are pounding the coast again this winter triggering flash floods and debris flows in this saturated ground.  The Colorado River Basin continues to benefit from these snowstorms from Colorado to Wyoming and Utah. Early season NRCS snow water equivalent SWE is running from 100 to 120% of normal.  

NRCS Basin Data:  https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/imap/#version=169&elements=&networks=!&states=!&basins=!&hucs=&minElevation=&maxElevation=&elementSelectType=any&activeOnly=true&activeForecastPointsOnly=false&hucLabels=false&hucIdLabels=false&hucParameterLabels=true&stationLabels=&overlays=&hucOverlays=2&basinOpacity=75&basinNoDataOpacity=25&basemapOpacity=100&maskOpacity=0&mode=data&openSections=dataElement,parameter,date,basin,options,elements,location,networks&controlsOpen=true&popup=&popupMulti=&popupBasin=&base=esriNgwm&displayType=basinstation&basinType=6&dataElement=WTEQ&depth=-8&parameter=PCTMED&frequency=DAILY&duration=I&customDuration=&dayPart=E&monthPart=E&forecastPubDay=1&forecastExceedance=50&useMixedPast=true&seqColor=1&divColor=7&scaleType=D&scaleMin=&scaleMax=&referencePeriodType=POR&referenceBegin=1991&referenceEnd=2020&minimumYears=20&hucAssociations=true&relativeDate=-1&lat=43.728&lon=-104.797&zoom=5.0

Atmospheric River forecast by Marty Ralph’s team:
https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/iwv-and-ivt-forecasts/

An important component of the Grand Solar Minimum is an increase in clouds due to its impact on our solar system’s magnetosphere and increased numbers of deep space cosmic rays penetrating our upper atmosphere and generating cloud condensation nuclei.  Clouds produce many complex phenomena ranging from cooling as solar radiation is reflected back to space, to surface warming as heat is retained at night and radiational cooling is reduced under stratus and in fog.   On a large scale temperature gradients control the winds and jet stream dynamics.  Clouds also impact the sea surface temperature SST which can have profound impacts on the Earth’s energy budget from the El Niño to Jet stream intensity and location.  NASA is now predicting a solar maximum of cycle 25 by January 2024 with some CMEs.  Note: current climate models fail to adequately simulate clouds; hence, a serious limit to their long term predictions.  The primary critical impact of the GSM is late spring frosts and early fall frosts that limit the growing season.  it is difficult for long term models to predict these critical events accurately.

Volcanic activity has increased dramatically in November 2023 with two stratovolcanoes pumping huge amounts of volcanic ash into the stratosphere in the northern Hemisphere from Kamchatka, and the tropics from New Guinea.  Iceland’s seismic activity also increased significantly and resulted in a small volcanic eruption.  Stratospheric volcanic dust from volcanoes cause significant atmospheric cooling.  During the Little Ice Age there were many volcanoes associated with the Milankovitch Cycle that also contributed to the cooling.  Japan had a devastating earthquake in the last weeks.

During the winter, low clouds can keep the polar regions warmer, thus reducing the N-S temperature gradient that may lead to a weaker jet stream and a meridional flow.  This wavy N-S flow enhances the warm and cold sectors of storms and hence, extreme temperature swings. Thus far this winter we have a very wavy jet steam.  Have a look at my album’s examples.

The El Niño continues to weaken yet it covers a large area; however, so far California is following the intense winter weather associated with an El Niño. The latest SST observations show cold water below the thin warm El Niño water, thus indicating the likelihood of a la Niña forming soon.   NCAR scientists called for a severe winter.  Thus far, the Ontario-Hudson Bay 700 mb low has been pulling cold air south into the East much like last winter.  Note: the eastern N American low gyrates in the Jet, hence its impact varies. The West and High Plains are on the western edge of the deep cold air, hence, they have brief cold blasts and may benefit from the Pacific ARs heavy snow; however, they will enjoy somewhat warmer winter temperatures than the NE.  The Sudden Stratospheric Warming - SSW was predicted to pull extremely cold air into the entire US by mid-January and again in February and March.  This verified quite nicely in January - burr !  We’ll see how March goes.  It would appear that CHINA and Asia have been hit the hardest with severe cold weather this season and are now warming.

Dr. Valentina Zharkova, a solar expert from the Ukraine, talks about the sun’s impact on the el Niño in her interview below.  She reviews the Grand Solar Minimum and solar system impacts on climate variability.  

Valentina Zharkova’s interview at the end of this link provides a comprehensive review of the GSM physics from an expert in this field.  Dr. Zharkova reviews the physics, mathematics, and relationships of solar cycles, orbital mechanics, magnetosphere impacts, volcano cycles, and el Nino cycles related to the earth’s inclination…

https://electroverse.info/coldest-may-80n-greenland-gains-warmer-in-the-past-zharkova-interview/

Her primary web site:  https://solargsm.com/

 September recorded increases in SMB occurred +6 GT and +10 GT on 1 and 2 Sept respectively setting new records and again this week with 8-10 GT.  The accumulated SMB curve dropped to normal in December-February and is now at or above normal.  see:
 
http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/

and

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next3d,69.945,22.148,4,i:pressure,m:fDTafyg  
 

The jet stream continues strong with a sharp meridional - wavy N-S flow from N America  to Europe.    Short waves trigger storms as they become more frequent and more powerful.  Their wind shear can still spin up tornadoes in convective storms normally seen in spring and fall.  Omega blocking ridges control the speed of system movement.

See:
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,34.089,20.303,4,i:pressure,m:ff3agyK 

see: http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/  

Snow:
https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,74.902,-40.649,4,i:pressure,m:fOdadW1

Rain:
 https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,next10d,51.944,-74.399,4,i:pressure

Japan and N Korea armed a bit  with 2-38 cm of snow on the mountains of N Korea and Japan respectively with record cold and snow.  

TropicalTidbits.com  (forecast models) also gives you a look at the temperature departures from normal associated with these storms.  You can see the warm and cold sectors - the normal variations of global temperature.

The Himalayas had heavy snow on the peaks with most areas receiving 1-3 m. The Tibetan Plateau is high ~3-5 km msl with new snow from the Himalaya to Shan ranges. Total snow on the ground on 9/3/23 still ranged from 0.5 to 5 m. This high elevation massif is a major factor controlling global weather patterns.  Its unusual snowfall this summer may have a significant impact.  The Hindukusch have had significant snows of 0.5-2.0 m again this week.  Delhi set cold records, northern India and Pakistan had record snows last week.   

Southern hemisphere jet is intensifying as the sun marched north cooling the Antarctic.  It is now driving several large deep storms (976 to 936 mb) circling the Antarctic. Antarctic still has large areas in the interior below -40 to -75º C as measured in Windy’s satellite surface temperatures - even this January was reporting below -40ºC - a year without summer.   On 3 Sept the South Pole reported -74.9ºC (-102ºF) and -80ºC at Vostok…  Last week as the Antarctic begins cooling into Fall. Vostok broke -50ºC in December and -60 in March. This week the temperature again fell below -100ºF.   Howling blizzards are still circling the Antarctic coast with 30 to 50 kt winds near these storms.  The Ross Sea and Weddell Sea are 95% and 100% sea Ice covered respectively.  SEA ICE is now increasing rapidly.  McMurdo Base has been quite cold at -19 to -25ºC setting records and grounding aircraft in September.  Temperatures in the Antarctic are cooling, and remaining significantly below normal. This week McMurdo rose to -19º C. The Antarctic set a November record cold of -60ºC.  December and now January are setting new cold summer records: On Jan 4, 2024, the minimums at Concordia, JASE2007 AWS and Vostok were all, once again, below -40C, coming in at -40.8C, -40.2C and -40.1C, respectively.  The South Pole set its 3rd coldest March record at -60ºC this week.The sun is moving N, so the cold is settling in down under.  South Georgia Island had snows reaching 53-76 cm this week.

Southern Africa set cold records and snow as deep cyclonic storms march across the South Atlantic pumping Antarctic Air northward.  Even Madagascar and Reunion Island set new cold records and had some snow in October 2023. Record snow fell in late October 2023.
 
AUSTRALIA has had a variety of summer weather.  Antarctic highs set new cold records in June and July and are continuing to set cold records.  Sydney set a new cold summer record when it failed to reach 32ºC (89.6ºF) in December 2022. Australia’s Victoria and South Australia had some much below normal temperatures and cold records to -2.7ºC.  Western Australia cooled as the Antarctic waves moved north. Frosts developed in Queensland and the NW Territories - in subtropical Australia!  This week large areas of Australia continued to have heavy rain : Darwin 150-500 mm, N Queensland had 95-162 mm as tropical cyclones hit. However, much of Australia had significant rains: Canberra 50 mm. Alice Springs remained cool at 20-25 ºC. Normally we see 30 to 45ºC in the satellite surface temperatures on windy.com but Alice Springs remained in the 20s with a couple 40ºC days. The cloud top temperatures near Darwin were -80ºC in deep thunderstorms.  Last week a major Antarctic cold front moved northward over Australia triggering heavy rains up to Alice Springs.  Monthly cold records were set in March.  Note: DR Jennifer Marohasy discusses Australian forecasts and observations every week.

JENNIFER MAROHASY’s latest: https://jennifermarohasy.com/2024/01/cyclone-jasper-bom-forecasting-getting-to-the-truth/

Note: 2023 was the first time since 1987 when  Australia’s mountains had snow on the ground all year.  The mean February temperature was 0.2ºC below normal making the summer mean temp 0.5ºC below normal. New Zealand continues to increase snows over the South Island with  20-70 cm and heavy rain at low elevations on the West coast 100-300 mm.  Note: October 25-30, 2023 the interior of Australia had satellite surface temperatures from 10 to 31ºC - spring was here with a few cool highs. During the past weeks, February 1-26, it was much cooler followed by a few 30-40ºC days. Last week the deserts were 10-15ºC behind an Antarctic front. Last week the Snowy range had 11 cm - an early start to winter.

 South America was warm, but cold fronts are predicted to take temperatures 5-10ºC below normal next week. The Andes continued to build their glaciers (1-2 m). South American snow was at record levels.  Patagonia had significant snows and skiing in the Andes continued in November 2023. Surface temperatures reached 30ºC this week in Patagonia.  Argentina and Brazil continue to be warm,  yet, some Antarctic cold fronts have triggered thunderstorms and locally heavy rains (100-300 mm) in the South of Brazil by Iguazu Falls.  The Iguazu region had heavy rains and floods in contrast to a record drought in the Amazon Basin.  However, the past month had heavy rain in the upper headwaters of the Rio Negro and Amazon Rivers.  Deep thunderstorms with top temperatures of -70 to -80ºC are helping mitigate the drought. These mesoscale convective complexes can dump 100-200+ mm.  Rio and Sao Paulo had flash floods and have remained wet. Columbia is predicted to have 100-550 mm rains this week 22-29 April.

https://www.windy.com/-New-snow-snowAccu?snowAccu,next10d,-66.653,-60.776,4,i:pressure,m:NPaelA  

For those interested in understanding the current weather, I have documented events in the Albums showing model, satellite, radar, images.

New 2/26/24
Winter 2024:  https://photos.app.goo.gl/DdoiQp1TL7DGMC1B7

WSJ: How Climate Policy Went Wrong:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-climate-policy-went-wrong-new-aerosal-study-energy-subsidies-carbon-tax-4e437371?mod=opinion_lead_pos8

A new documentary on climate: Well worth viewing —

Climate: The Movie" highlights a different perspective on the climate change debate and is supported by scientists who have signed the Clintel's World Climate Declaration. This group of researchers seeks to present an alternative narrative in the face of the dominant discourse.

Electroverse provides an excellent source of extremes not reported in the MSM:
Latest Extremes: 22 April 2024

Heavy Snow Slams Northwestern Iran; Europe Braces For Spring Freeze; + Bureau of Meteorology Forecasts Record-Warm Winter For Australia, Ignoring The Data (And Cooking The Books)
April 15, 2024 Cap Allon
Heavy Snow Slams Northwestern Iran
Rare mid-April snow has blanketed areas of northwest Iran, including in the town of Khalkhal.
The snow has been heavy and all, with reports suggesting 50 cm (20 inches) has fallen, resulting in widespread road closures.
In line with the snow, temperatures have also fallen in recent days — to record-challenging levels for the time of year.
This region of Iran is considered one of the agricultural hubs of the country. And as reported by ifpnews.com (who provide the below video), “the sudden cold snap has caused concern among local farmers during the spring season”.

https://electroverse.info/snow-iran-europe-spring-freeze-bureau-of-meteorology-cooking-the-books/ 

Europe Braces For Spring Freeze
While spring 2024 has delivered record-breaking cold and snow to the likes of Scandinavia and the Alps, more central and eastern regions of Europe have been enjoying unusual spring warmth, an early onset of summer.
This week, however, that anomalous heat will be disappeared by a dramatic temperature drop. Highs of 30+C (86+F) this past weekend will be replaced by single digits by mid-week as well as damaging overnight frosts/widespread lowland snows.
This return to winter will be long lived too, lasting until at least the end of the month.
Latest GFS runs reveal the swing between extremes, calling for a dive from 16C above seasonal norms on Sunday, April 14 to as low as 16C below by Wednesday, April 17–where temperatures are expected to remain for the foreseeable.
The BBC ran articles last week claiming ‘global boiling’ was to blame for Europe’s heat, adding that we’re in “uncharted territory”.
BBC ‘journalists’ were keen to ignore the position of the jet stream in their reportings of the heatwave, but now they’re more than happy to incorporate it in their analysis of this upcoming cool down. Where excretions of “planet-warming gases” were to blame for a toasty start to spring, natural forcings are of course responsible for this encroaching spring freeze (and heavy snow).

Europe is flipping from the ‘blocking high’–responsible for dragging that tropical heat northwards–to a ‘dipole pattern’ which will see a strong high pressure system park over the North Atlantic and drag down (and trap) cold polar air over the continent.
“It starts with the solid upper trough ejecting off the northeast North Atlantic on Monday,” reports severe-weather.eu, “rapidly digging towards central Europe on Tuesday and the Balkan peninsula by mid-week.”
Europe will experience a significant cooling, “an intense cold period”, continues severe-weather.eu — a return to wintry weather.
This will come as shock to the system, and, rather than supporting the CAGW theory of ‘ever hotter’, will instead add further weight to the low solar activity theory, which states: “reduced output from the sun weakens the jet stream, changing its standard ‘straight’ ZONAL flow to a ‘weak and wavy’ MERIDIONAL one” (click below for more).
Low elevation snow is forecast for many by Tuesday evening, owing to rapid a temperature decrease.

Fresh snow will accumulate across the Apennines and Carpathians of Romania and the High Tatras of Slovakia, and also across Croatia, Bosnia, and Montenegro. The Balkans could see something of an April burial by Wednesday. Italy too will cop its share.
Unsurprisingly, the Alps will continue its remarkable winter-extending run of snow, where recent totals have already made up (and more) for what was a rather lackluster Jan/Feb. Accumulations exceeding a meter (3.3ft) are easily achievable this week.
Low elevation snow is forecast for many by Tuesday evening, owing to rapid a temperature decrease.
The likes of Austria and Slovenia will see the brunt of that drop.

Fresh snow will accumulate across the Apennines and Carpathians of Romania and the High Tatras of Slovakia, and also across Croatia, Bosnia, and Montenegro. The Balkans could see something of an April burial by Wednesday. Italy too will cop its share.
Unsurprisingly, the Alps will continue its remarkable winter-extending run of snow, where recent totals have already made up (and more) for what was a rather lackluster Jan/Feb. Accumulations exceeding a meter (3.3ft) are easily achievable this week.
The fallen snow will only aid temperatures in their plunge below freezing, which in turn will threaten new plantings with hard frosts.
Many growers are warning, that will spring in full swing, that the cold-damage to orchards and vineyards could be “catastrophic”. We can expect ‘frost fires’ to be lit across Europe’s vineyards in the coming weeks, as has been an increasingly regular scene in recent years.
From the UK through France and Germany, up north, down south, and way out east, the cold will be expansive, with only the far west (i.e. Portugal) spared.
And looking ahead, the freeze looks set to intensify into next week with the snows also stepping up.
This is when the worst of the frost damage could occur, when the 850 mbar temperature anomaly chart (below) is expected to read 8-10C below average which is “beyond extreme,” according to Marko Korosec, lead forecaster for severe-weather.eu.

The impacts of El Niño, Solar Maximum, and Hunga-Tonga have also supported global temperatures in recent months (natural forcings that the BBC also opts to downplay, or fail to even mention).
However, this ‘warming trifecta’ is now waning: La Niña is forecast to return this year, Solar Cycle 25 may have already peaked, and Hunga-Tonga’s record mesospheirc injection of water vapor is (very slowly) beginning to dissipate.
Global temperatures WILL come crashing back down to early-2023 levels, i.e. back down below baseline.
Is Europe getting a taste of what’s to come…

Feet Of Spring Snow Pound Colorado; U.S. Braces For Record April Cold; Met Office’s Antarctic Sea Ice Report; + Stock Market Behaving Eerily Similar To 1929
April 18, 2024 Cap Allon
Feet Of Spring Snow Pound Colorado
Heavy snow is battering the high country this week, with a wide area, including Larimer County, receiving 3 feet.
The National Weather Service (NWS) says the aptly named Never Summer range as well as Medicine Bow saw even higher totals.
While across Colorado ski areas, snow enthusiasts are rejoicing the late season top up. In just a 24-hour period through Tuesday, well-over foot of fresh snow was reported at Loveland Ski Area, Vail Ski Resort and Copper Mountain, to name just three.

https://electroverse.info/snow-colorado-u-s-braces-for-record-april-cold-met-office-ice-report-stock-market-1929/

U.S. Braces For Record April Cold
“Protect your outside plants! A Freeze warning has been issued,” warns newstalk870, speaking to the Tri-Cities of Washington.
The NWS in Pendleton is warning of freezing temperatures in the Lower Columbia Basin and in the Yakima/Kittitas Valleys Thursday morning, with thermometers dropping to 28F – 32F, perhaps beyond.
Latest GFS runs reveal the extent of the descending polar air which could span some 30 states and stretch the length of the CONUS, from Montana to Texas (from Canada to Mexico, in fact).
Focusing on Montana, record-breaking cold is expected there, according to ktvh.com.
Cold temperatures, a biting wind chill, and areas of snow will continue for the next several days here. Overnight lows will enter the 10s across a wide area, with daily highs holding in the 30s for many. The mountains will dip into the single digits (F).
And a quick word on Europe, where “catastrophic” frosts threaten growing regions from France to the Balkans with heavy out-of-season snow to boot. Well, the big spring freeze is good for one thing: it returns those wet-eared Cassandras back to the shadows.

No Spring In Sight For Much Of Russia; Temperatures Are Falling Globally; + Ruang Volcano Erupts To 55,000 Feet
April 19, 2024 Cap Allon
No Spring In Sight For Much Of Russia
April snow is building across Russia.
Starting in the east, the likes of Magadan and Kolyma have seen substantial spring snowfalls of late which have pushed the snow depth to 58 cm (1.9 ft) in the former, setting a new record there.
Looking west, to European Russia, freezing lows and heavy snows have returned to the Leningrad region, among others.
As forecast by hmn.ru, the snow will intensify into the weekend here, “after which the Northern capital will become white with snow.”

https://electroverse.info/russia-chills-temperatures-falling-ruang-to-55000-feet/

St. Petersburg, for example, is enduring “a return of winter landscapes due to the collision of a southern cyclone with cold Arctic air.” Here, daily highs will hold around the freezing mark for the foreseeable, which, when combined with the intensifying snow, will make for chaos on the roads — a situation compounded by the vast majority of motorists having switched to summer tires.



Temperatures Are Falling Globally
Continuing West, Europe is dealing with a fierce swing between extremes this week.
In Slovenia, for example, summer crashed back to winter in less than day:
Speaking to the heavy spring snow, flakes are falling from Scandinavia and Scotland down through France, Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Italy, out east over the likes of Ukraine, and also down south well-into the Balkans.
Over a meter (3.3ft) is settling in some parts, with much more on the way.
Checking in with alpine webcams, these heavy snows are extending the ski season:
As per the latest forecasts, these anomalous lows and heavy snows look set to stick around.
“We thought this year Europe had been sparred from the ‘April damnation’ but hell no,” writes @extremetemps on X. “Every run the cold is worsened AND prolonged with no real end in sight. Say goodbye to your apricots for the fifth year in a row.”
What good is ‘global warming’ if year-after-year late-season freezes delay the onset of spring:

Ruang Volcano Erupts To 55,000 Feet
Aiding the global cool down will be this week’s powerful eruptions at Mount Ruang:
Mount Ruang, a 2,400 foot stratovolcano on Ruang Island, North Sulawesi, Indonesia has erupted at least seven times since Tuesday night, firing ash plumes as high as 55,000 feet into the sky — and so into the stratosphere.
Preliminary reports say the volcanic explosivity index (VEI) could reach 4, perhaps 5.
No casualties have been reported, but this was never expected to be a killer, rather a cooler. The cooling effects from Ruang will be felt for years to come, and should go someway to offsetting the warming caused by Hunga Tonga’s submarine spewing (VEI 5).
The Tonga eruption expelled unprecedented amounts of water vapor into the atmosphere (10 – 30% extra) which has temporarily warmed the planet (water vapor being the most potent of the common greenhouse gasses and also the most abundant).
These impacts are waning naturally, but Ruang’s stratospheric injection of ash will assist in the cooling.
Latest reports reveal the plume of sulfur dioxide (SO₂) already extends over 1000 kilometers.

El Niño Has Officially Ended
The 2023 El Niño has ended, say the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM). The Pacific Ocean has “cooled substantially” in the past week.
The naturally occurring El Niño brought warmer waters to the surface of the Pacific, adding heat to the atmosphere and putting on hold the cumulative cooling effect of years of low solar activity.
The BBC, seemingly annoyed by a “quicker than expected” end to El Niño and the subsequent threat of a returning of La Niña (as it would lead to a stark drop in global temperatures), have stepped up the ‘catastrophism’, going so far as to suggest that La Niña may actually never return.
The BBC argues, with the help of the BoM, that “as the current global ocean conditions have not been observed before, inferences as to how ENSO may develop in 2024 that are based on past events may not be reliable.”
A returning La Niña is indeed a big blow to the AGW Party.
According to ‘The Science’ (linked below), El Niño should be the dominate ENSO pattern in a warming world. If La Niña ends up ruling, which appears to be the case (with NOAA forecasting 2023-24 to be the fourth La Niña winter of the last five) then something entirely different is likely playing out.

Norwegian Ski Resort On For Bumper Summer Season; Europe Freezes; Official Datasets Continually ‘Find’ More Warming; + Solar Maximum Is Near
April 22, 2024 Cap Allon
Norwegian Ski Resort On For Bumper Summer Season
The Folgefonna Glacier in Norway is being readied for the upcoming summer season, which is expected to be a bumper one given winter and spring’s record-challenging snowfall (the best since 2015, so far).
Fonna Glacier Ski Resort, one of only six ski resorts/areas in the world to open exclusively for the summer months, has seen “massive snowfalls this winter thanks to one of the coldest winters in decades,” reports snowbrains.com.
In early-March, Fonna was digging out its ski lift following a monstrous snowstorm that dropped 10+ meters (33 feet). And thanks to favorable conditions ever since, skiing is “slated to be epic this summer”.
Eyeing east, to Finland, some exceptionally late ‘ice days’ are being registered there.
Turku Airport, for example, struggled to -0.4C (31.3F) on Sunday; Jokioinen Ilmala managed a daily high of just -1.5C (29.3F); with Tampere Pirkkala Airport reaching just -2.6C (27.3F) — the latter appears to have set a new coldest April low-max (in 44 years of record keeping at the locale), pipping the -2.5C (27.5F) set back on April 1, 1998.
“None of the weather stations in Finland rose above two degrees Celsius, not even the marine stations,” writes Mika Rantanen, of the Finnish Meteorological Institute.
“Remarkable for this late in April.”

https://electroverse.info/norwegian-snow-europe-freezes-datasets-find-warming-solar-max-is-near/ 

Finland’s cold has proved long-lasting, too.
Case in point: Sunday (April 21) marked the 200th day of ‘thermal winter’ in Sodankylä Tähtelä, Lapland (a period where the daily mean temperature holds below the freezing mark). This makes 2023-24 the longest winter since 1994-95, which lasted 215 days.
Snow cover is also proving historic in these parts, having now been on the ground since Oct 8, 2023 — one of the longest-ever stretches in books dating back to 1910.
And given Europe’s ongoing freeze, which is set to run into May (more on that below), combined with the ≈70 cm (27.5 inches) of snow left on the ground, Tähtelä has a shot at breaking its all-time record-stretches for snow cover AND thermal winter, both of which stand at 231 days (Oct 3, 1968 – May 23, 1969).
Europe Freezes

It isn’t just the far north enduring an extension of winter, cold and snow have returned to much of Europe. What forecasters had feared is now playing out: catastrophic frosts across the continent’s growing regions, particularly central areas.
“The air mass is so cold for late April that it could significantly damage blooming fruit trees, vineyards, and crops,” reported @severeweatherEU as the ‘blues’ and ‘purples’ began descending — cold that is expected to persist for the foreseeable:
Over the weekend, in Serbia, -8C (17.6F) was registered in Karajukića Bunari; in Bosnia and Herzegovina, -6C (21.2F) hit Sokolac; while in Montenegro, -10C (14F) hit Kosanica — to name just three locales.

Monday is bringing an intensification of the freeze.
Heavy snow is accompanying the spring cold.
Some 70cm (27.5 inches) hit the likes of Firstalm, Upper Bravaria, Germany on Sunday:
As atmospheric scientist Wei Zhang writes:
“When adjustments are made for various reasons, you would expect half the time it would increase the warming trend and half the time it would decrease it. But every adjustment I’ve ever seen has increased the post World War II warming trend.”

Tony Heller goes further:
“It is incomprehensible to me how any serious person could look at this hockey stick of data tampering, and not recognize it as systematic fraud…”

Bureau of Meteorology Forecasts Record Warm Winter For Australia, Ignoring The Data
According to the Bureau of Meteorology, temperatures will be above average for most Aussie states this May to July, which could result in the warmest winter ever recorded by the Bureau’s inaccurate and heat-skewed network of weather stations.
It’s also going to be dry, add the BoM, but they’ve been promising Aussies drought for years now and all it ever seems to do is piss it down. Heavy early-season snows have even clipped the alpine regions of late, almost two month before resorts are due to open. This works to kill both birds with one stone: its needs to be cold to snow, and it also needs to be wet to snow.